Panthers @ Giants 7:00 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Over 39.0

Since Brian Daboll took over as head coach of the Giants last season, they’ve gone over the total in all 4 of their preseason games. Furthermore, if you go back to his days as offensive coordinator, The Bills went 5-0 to the over during their last 5 preseason games when he was in that role, and Buffalo averaged 26.0 points scored per contest. So, the last 9 preseason games he’s coach in as either an offensive coordinator or head coach have all gone over the total.

Carolina is coming off an anemic offensive performance during last week’s 27-0 home loss to the New York Jets. However, recent NFL preseason betting history shows that teams coming off a shutout loss and are within this current total parameter have played in a high percentage of high scoring affairs the next time out. Specifically speaking, All NFL Preseason Road teams with a total of between 33.5 and 40.0 that are coming off a shutout loss in their previous game, resulted in those road teams playing 7-1 to the over since 2000. Those 8 contests produced a combined average of 48.8 points scored per game.

Browns @ Eagles 7:30 PM ET

Game# 401-402

Play On: Over 37.0

The Eagles have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 preseason contests under current head coach Mick Sirianni. Furthermore, if there was a total of 38.0 or less, then that number improves to 6-0 to the over and with a combined average of 47.5 points scored per game. Philadelphia racked up 334 yards of total offense in a narrow 20-19 loss to Baltimore in their preseason opener. Even more impressive was the 271 yards of total offense they amassed in the 1st half of that game.

Since Kevin Stefanski has taken over as head coach in Cleveland, the Browns have played 4-0 to the over whenever there was a total of 37.5 or less. Cleveland was part of the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio so this will be their 3rd preseason game. During the first 2, they averaged a combined 18.0 points scored and 356.5 yards scored per game. All 3 of their backup quarterbacks performed well during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Orioles (Rodriguez) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Under 8.5

Yu Darvish has produced 5 quality starts over his last 6 outings. He’s been especially good during his last 4 starts while posting a brilliant 0.95 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen has struggled on the road but has been solid at home while with a staff 3.31 ERA/1.22 WHIP. San Diego has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games.

The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has endured his fair share of struggles this season. However, throughout his previous 3 starts he’s exhibited very good form while collecting a 2.50 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has been consistently good all season. The Orioles are coming off a weekend series at Seattle in which they took 2 of 3 despite scoring just a combined 5 runs during the first 9.0 innings of play in each game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Texans @ Patriots 7:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Under 37.0

Under the guidance of head coach Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have gone under in 8 consecutive preseason games when the total was 36.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 31.1 points scored per contest. Additionally, under Belichick, the Patriots have gone under the total in 6 consecutive preseason games when their point-spread was between +2.5 and -2.5 just like it currently is. Conversely, the Houston Texans have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 preseason games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Royals (Lyles) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Over 10.5

Jordan Lyles has seen each of his previous 3 starts go over the total and his 7.47 ERA/1.53 WHIP during those outing were major contributing factors to those high scoring affairs. Lyle has surrendered an alarmingly high 23 home runs in 118 1/3 innings pitched this season. Lyles has made 5 starts versus Boston since last season and had a miserable 8.10 ERA during those appearances. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.87 ERA, and they allowed 5 home runs in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Kansas City has scored 7 runs or more in 7 of their last 11 games. The Royals have gone over in 5 of their last 6 and 9 of their previous 12 games.

Boston’s Nick Pivetta has displayed terrible form over his last 7 starts while recording a sizable 7.23 ERA and he allowed 9 homers during 37 1/3 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Kansas with all coming since 2021, and he compiled an awful 6.98 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those outings. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal throughout their previous 7 games while posing a staff 9.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP and they allowed 7 home runs during 34.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.

Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Guardians (Bibee) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 8.0

The Blue Jays Yusei Kikuchi has a brilliant 1.04 ERA over his last 3 starts and all those games went under the total. Kikuchi has a career 1.80 ERA/0.90 WHIP in 3 starts against Cleveland while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Blues Jays have played 14-4-1 (77.8%) to the under in their last 19 games.

Cleveland’s Tanner Bibbee has displayed terrific form over his last 7 starts while recording a 1.96 ERA/1.16 WHIP. Bibee has also pitched 7-1 to the under at home this season with a 1.96 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 with a staff 2.70 ERA/1.11 WHIP. Cleveland has played 36-19-1 (65.5%) under at home this season. Cleveland has averaged a pathetic 2.4 runs scored per game and it a mere 2 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Chirinos) vs. Pirates (Keller) 7:05 ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 10.0

Mitch Keller is 0-3 in his career team starts versus Atlanta with a massive 10.03 ERA/2.57 WHIP. Keller has been in horrible form over his last 4 starts while recording a 9.97 ERA/1.98 WHIP. The Pirates have played 33-21-1 (61.1%) to the over at home this season and that includes 26-12 (68.4%) over as a money line underdog of +100 or greater.. The Pirates have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and 6-1 over during their previous 7 games when the total was 8.0 or greater.

The Braves have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and belted 14 home runs over their previous 7 outings. The Braves Yonny Chirinos is unequivocally the weak link in their starting pitching rotation. Chirinos has a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Over 9.5 (+100)

Zack Greinke has posted a large 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched during 10 road starts this season. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP, and they allowed 5 homers in just 22 1/3 innings pitched. On a positive note, the Royals have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .307 team batting average and .354 on-base-percentage over their last 7 outings. Furthermore, the Royals have gone over the total in 7 straight games and 11 of their last 12 when the total was 9.5 or greater.

The Phillies have gone over the total in 4 straight games when the total was 9.5 or greater and there were a combined 12.5 runs scored per game.

The first 2 games of this series have produced a combined 8 homers and 27 runs scored. The scheduled home plate umpire today is Jeff Nelson and teams have played 13-6-1 to the over this season when Nelson was calling balls and strikes and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mariners (Woo) @ Angels (Ohtani) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Over 8.0

Seattle has played 15-5 to the over this season when facing American League teams like the Angels who average 4.9 or more runs scored per game. The Mariner Bryan Woo has exhibited terrible form over his last 3 starts with an 8.16 ERA/1.75 WHIP while also allowing 4 homers in just 14.3 innings pitched.

Shoei Ohtani is coming off a complete game 1-hit shutout performance in his last start. However, in his previous 3 starts prior to that absolute gem, Ohtani recorded a 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP and surrendered 6 home runs during 13 1/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.

Twins (Gray) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Over 9.0

Mathew Liberatore has a massive 10.12 ERA/2.36 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. The Cardinals bullpen has performed poorly over their last 7 games with a staff 4.97 ERA/1.50 WHIP. St. Louis has smacked an impressive 14 home runs throughout their previous 7 games.

Sonny Gray of the Twins has a terrible 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP during his previous 4 starts. The Twins bullpen has an awful 7.30 ERA as a staff over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pirates (Keller) @ Brewers (Houser) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Over 8.5

The Pirates Mitch Keller has been in bad form over his last 3 starts with an 8.64 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 16 2/3 innings pitched. During his lone start versus Milwaukee this season, Keller allowed 4 earned runs in only 5.0 innings pitched. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 28-13 to the over this season when their money line was +125 to -125 which it currently is.

The Brewers Adrian Houser has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts with a 6.89 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Milwaukee bullpen has recorded an uninspiring 5.32 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Guardians (Williams) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Over 8.5

Gavin Williams has a deceivingly good ERA over his last 3 starts. However, his 1.69 WHIP during that time and 4.3 innings pitched per start during that stretch indicates he’s been flirting with disaster. The Guardians bullpen has a terrible 5.57 ERA/1.95 WHIP throughout their last 7 games.

Houston’s Framber Valdez has seen his last 3 starts go over the total while posting an awful 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a poor 6.85 ERA/1.78 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Angels (Canning) @ Braves (Morton) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Over 9.5

The Angels were held to 5 runs combined in their just completed 3-game series in Toronto. However, that lack of run production is a bit deceiving when considering the fact, they amassed a combined 35 men left on base during those 3 games. Prior to the stretch, the Angeles had scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their previous 7 games. Additionally, the Halos have smacked 12 home runs over their last 7 games. The Angels slated starting pitcher is Griffin Canning and he posted a sizable 6.05 ERA/1.50 WHIP during his last 4 starts.

The Braves have been dynamic offensively this season and their last 7 games are indicative of such. Atlanta has averaged 5.7 runs scored per game, produced a .302 team batting average, and belted 15 home runs over their last 7. Atlanta’s expected starter Charlie Morton has been extremely shaky over his last 2 starts while recording a 7.72 ERA/2.14 WHIP. The Atlanta bullpen has posted an uninspiring 5.62 ERA/1.50 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total.

Rangers (Perez) @ Padres) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Over 9.0

Texas starter Martin Perez has been in terrible form over his last 3 starts and has subpar numbers on the road in 2023. The Rangers bullpen has been shaky throughout the better part of the season and been worse than that over the past 7 games. The Rangers are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game during their previous 7 outings. Since the start of last season, Darvish has seen all 8 of his starts in July go over the total and there was a combined 13.9 runs scored per game.

The Padres Yu Darvish has been in bad form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 1.81 WHIP. San Diego has averaged 5.4 runs scored per outing in their last 7 games.

Dodgers (Miller) @ Rangers (Dunning) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 9.5

Bobby Miller of the Dodgers has pitched extremely well on the road this season with a 2.11 ERA/0.98 WHIP in 4 starts. The Dodgers bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games while compiling a staff 1.03 ERA/0.95 WHIP and yielding only 1 home run in 26 1/3 innings pitched.

Texas is coming off last night’s 11-5 loss to the Dodgers and that game easily sailed over the total of 9.5. However, the Rangers have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 6.6 runs scored per game. Dan Dunning has been rock-solid for the Rangers this season while posting a 3.20 ERA/1.12 WHIP during in 13 starts. Dunning also has averaged 6.1 innings pitched per start which also includes 6.4 at home. Giving his team that kind of length when called upon to start covers up for the flaws the Rangers bullpen has and minimizes the risk of wasting one of his stellar performances.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Phillies (Walker) 12:35 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

The Phillies Tijuan Walker has been brilliant in 8 home starts this season with a 2.30 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has been terrific at home this season.

The Brewers Corbin Burnes has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 1.89 ERA/0.74 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Milwaukee bullpen has been excellent over their last 8 games. Milwaukee has gone under in each of their previous 6 games. Milwaukee has also played 21-8 to the under in 2023 whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total.

Giants (Cobb) @ Reds (Abbott) 12:35 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Under 9.5

The Giants Alex Cobb has exhibited stellar form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/1.06 WHIP and those games played 2-0-1 to the under. As a matter of fact, Cobb has pitched 12-4 to the under this season in 16 starts with a shiny 2.82 ERA.

The Reds Andrew Abbott is 3-0 in his team starts during the day with a 1.86 ERA/0.88 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.4 innings pitched per start. All 4 of Abbott’s home starts have gone under the total and his sparkling 2.10 ERA/0.74 WHIP was a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Cincinnati has gone under in 6 of their last 7 games and they scored 3 runs or fewer in all but one of those outings. Give me this game to go under the total.

Nationals (Corbin) @ Cubs (Taillon) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Over 9.0

Although James Taillon turned in a strong performance during his last  start, and Patrick Corbin has displayed good form in recent start, I’m none to thrilled with either of those starting pitchers. Furthermore, both bullpens have struggled mightily over each of their previous 7 games. The Cubs have played 6 overs in a row and there was a combined average of 12.2 runs scored per game. Washing has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined average of 13.3 runs scored per game. The Nationals have smacked 13 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Diamondbacks (Nelson) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Under 9.0

Ryne Nelson is coming off a horrible home start in which allowed 7 earned runs during just 3.0 innings pitched against the Mets. However, he’s been outstanding in 9 road starts this season while posting a 2.81 ERA/1.03 WHIP. The Diamondbacks have averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing over their last 11 games and 9 of the 11 went under the total.

Jose Berrios has historically pitched much better at home than on the road and this year is no different. Berrios has pitched 5-1 to the under in 6 home starts this season while recording a superb 2.98 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Blue Jays bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games while collecting a staff 1.73 ERA/0.89 WHIP. Toronto has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and allowed a mere 2.9 runs per game. Give this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Suarez) @ Marlins (Garrett) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Ranger Suarez has been a vastly underrated pitcher in the Phillies rotation. Suarez has compiled an excellent 1.97 ERA/1.09 WHIP in 5 road starts this season. Suarez has made 4 career starts versus Miami, all have come on the road, each transpired since 2021, and he posted a 0.82 ERA during those outings. The Phillies bullpen has been outstanding of late which is proven by their 0.00 ERA over the last 10 games. Philadelphia has played 15-8 to the under when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The Phillies have played 14-1 to the under this season following 3 straight wins.

Miami’s Braxton Garrett has been in real good form over his last 5 starts with a 1.86 ERA/0.79 WHIP while striking out 38.0 batter in 29.0 innings pitched. Miami has played 13-8 to the under this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Mets (Carrasco) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Over 10.0 (5*)

Carlos Carrasco is 0-5 during his last 5 team starts with a 6.23 ERA/1.85 WHIP while allowing 5 home runs in only 21 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets have hit 17 home runs throughout their previous 8 games. Carrasco has pitched 23-9 (71.9%) to the over in his career starts during the month of July.

Ryne Nelson of Arizona a sizable 7.09 ERA/1.83 WHIP in 8 home starts this season. The Diamondbacks have cracked 11 homers over their last 8 games. Yes, Nelson has shown good form in his last 3 starts but all came on the road.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Yankees (Cole) @ Cardinals (Montgomery) 2:15 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

We have two red-hot starting pitchers in this matchup who have a recent history of pitching deep into games. Jordan Montgomery has been in superb form over his last 5 starts while compiling a 1.71 ERA/0.95 WIP and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Montgomery has made 1 career start versus his former team that took place last season, and he pitched 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 2 hits in addition to walking only 1. Furthermore, the Yankees batting order he faced last year compared to this current version was a much more formidable one.

Gerrit Cole has been pretty much dominating all season while going 13-4 in his team starts with a 2.78 ERA/1.13 WHIP and averaged 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Yankees bullpen is one of the best in all of baseball this season. However, their offensive production compared to recent seasons has left much to be desired and especially with Aaron Judge still being out of the lineup due to injury.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Ober) @ Orioles (Bradish) 2:15 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

The Orioles Kyle Bradish has exhibited superb form over his last 3 starts while posting a 2.37 ERA/1.04 WHIP and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles have a poor 2.25 team batting average while averaging less than a home per game over their last 7.

Bailey Ober of the Twins has been terrific in 12 starts this season while compiling a 2.97 ERA/1.02 WHIP and 10 of those games went under the total. Unfortunately for Ober, Minnesota has averaged only 2.8 runs scored per game during his 12 starts. The Twins bullpen has been extremely good over their previous 7 games with a 1.21 ERA/0.85 WHIP. Despite scoring 8 runs in a win over the Orioles last night, Minnesota has averaged just 3.3 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, Minnesota has played 6-1 to the under this season when the total is 8.5 and they scored 6 runs or more in their previous game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Lopez) @ Orioles (Kremer) 7:05 ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 9.0 (-120) (5*)

The Twins Pablo Lopez has a sparkling 2.94 ERA/1.04 WHIP and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 8 road starts this season while averaging a healthy 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Minnesota bullpen has been dominant over their last 7 games with a staff 1.40 ERA/0.93 WHIP. The Twins have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and 3-0 to the under during their previous 3 games. Minnesota will be facing Baltimore’s starting pitcher Dean Kremer. During his last 3 starts Kremer has exhibited good form while compiling a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ration while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Red Sox (Paxton) @Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM RT

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

The Red Sox James Paxton has been in top form over his last 5 starts with a 2.22 ERA/0.885 WHIP. Boston has been anemic offensively throughout their previous 7 while averaging a mere 1.6 runs scored per game.

Jose Berrios has a brilliant 2.48 ERA/1.07 WHIP and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 6 home starts this season. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games while recording a staff 1.87 ERA/1.03 WHIP.  Toronto is coming off yesterday 2-1 home win over San Francisco. The Blue jays have played 14-3 to the under this season after allowing 2 runs or fewer in their previous game. Lastly, and for what it’s worth, Toronto has gone under the total in all 10 of their games this season which were played on a Friday.

Give me this game to go under the total.

White Sox (Giolito) @ Angels (Barria) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Lucas Giolito has been in very good form over his previous 4 starts while compiling a 1.50 ERA/1.04 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The White Sox have played 15-5-3 to the under in their last 23 overall and 8-1-2 under during their previous 11 away games. The White Sox have also played 19-9 to the under this season as a money line away underdog of +100 or greater like they’ll be tonight.

The Angels Jaime Barria is 4-0 during his team starts this season with a stellar 2.79 ERA/1.09 WHIP. The Angels have played 7-1 to the under in their last 8 and 8-2 to the under in their previous 10 games. Additionally, the Angels played 13-5 to the under in their previous 18 at home.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Gray) @ Braves (Strider) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Over 8.0 (10*)

The Braves Spenser Strider has a large 8.40 ERA/1.80 WHIP over his last 3 starts and allowed 5 home runs in just 15.0 innings pitched. Strider will be facing a Twins team which has smashed 13 homers throughout their previous 7 games. Strider has pitched 7-0 to the over in his home starts this season and there was a combined average of 12.7 runs scored per game.

Speaking of homers hit, Atlanta has hit an incredible 21 of them over their previous 7 games. The Braves have scored 5 runs or more in 11 of their previous 12 and 17 of the last 21 games. Atlanta has played 25-13-1 to the over at home in 2023 and there was a combined 10.2 runs scored per game.

Although Sonny Gray has been the best starting pitcher for Minnesota since last season. Gray does have some vulnerabilities. He’s pitched 10-2 to the over in that exact time frame when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined 11.2 runs scored per game. The Twins bullpen has a shaky 5.49 ERA/1.59 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Since last season, Minnesota has played 18-6 to the over when facing National League teams. During that identical time span, Atlanta has played 30-12 to the over versus American League teams.

Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Nelson) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Giants Anthony DeSclafani has been in bad form over his last 4 starts while recording a 7.94 ERA/1.88 WHIP. The Giants have played 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games. San Francisco has scored 7 runs or more in 8 of their previous 12 games.

Arizona’s Ryne Nelson has exhibited poor form over his last 5 starts while collecting a lofty 5.92 ERA/1.85 WHIP. The Diamondbacks bullpen has an uninspiring staff 4.99 ERA in their last 7 games. Arizona has played 14-5 to the over on the road this season whenever the total was between 7.0 and 8.5 with a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

All statistics in this analysis are reflective of games played through Friday 6/23.

Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Yankees (Cole) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Nathan Eovaldi was brilliant in his lone start versus the Yankees this season while pitching a complete game 3-hit shutout. Eovaldi is enjoying a terrific first half of the season while compiling a 2.80 ERA/0.99 WHIP in 15 starts.

Garrett Cole has pitched 3-0-1 to the under in his last 4 starts while posting a sparkling 1.73 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Since last season, Cole has pitched 3-0 to the under versus Texas with a superb 2.37 ERA/1.00 WHIP.

Both starting pitchers should be early top 5 contenders to win the American League Cy Young Award. Each bullpen has been rock-solid. The head-to-head series between these teams has played 14-4-1 to the under since 2021 and that includes 6-1 under at Yankee Stadium.

Give me this game to go under the total.

All statistics in this analysis are reflective of games played through Friday 6/23.

Cubs (Smyly) @ Pirates (Bido) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Cubs have played 5-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 7 and there was a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per game. During that stretch, the Cubs averaged 6.7 runs scored per game and had an excellent team on-base-percentage of .351. Drew Smyly gets the start today for Chicago. Smyly has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts with a 6.05 ERA/1.75 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.28 ERA/1.48 WHIP on the road this season.

The Pirates are far from a good offensive team. However, they’ve shined when facing left-handed starting pitchers like Drew Smyly is this season. They played 12-7-2 over the total when going up against southpaw starting pitchers and they averaged 5.0 runs scored per game with an impressive .351 team on base-percentage. Osvaldo Bido will be making just his 2nd start of the season and he lasted only 4.0 innings during his debut against ironically enough the Cubs. Bido doesn’t figure to get much help from a Pirates bullpen that has a terrible staff 9.97 ERA/1.89 WHIP over their previous 7 games.

These teams played a 3-game series just last week and went over the total on each of those occasions with a heft combined average of 13.0 runs scored per game. The Cubs averaged 9.3 runs scored and 13.0 hits per game in that series. Additionally, Drew Smyly started a game in that series and allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in 6.0 innings pitched.

 Give me this game to go over the total.

Rays (Eflin) @ Padres (Snell) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 8.5 (-120) (5*)

This will be considered a day game on the West Coast with a local 4:15 PDT start. The Rays Zack Eflin is a perfect 7-0 in his day game team starts this season while recording an excellent 2.78 ERA/0.81 WHIP and averaged 6.1 innings pitched per start. Since 2021, Eflin has a 2.65 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 3 starts against San Diego. The Padres bullpen has been rock-solid throughout their previous 7 games with a 2.89 ERA/1.11 WHIP.

Blake Snell has been in sensational form over his last 3 starts which is evidenced by a 0.47 ERA/0.74 WHIP and he struck out 27 batters in 19.0 innings pitched. Snell has a stellar 2.65 ERA in a trio of day game starts this season. The Rays bullpen staff has recorded a very good 1.95 ERA/1.12 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Rays have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 12 of their last 14 games. San Diego has played 21-6 (28%) when facing a starting pitcher like Zack Eflin who allows an average of 5.5 or fewer hits per start.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Rays (McClanahan) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

When Yu Darvish struggled this season, it’s been on the road. However, he’s made 5 home starts with a 2.03 ERA/0.94 WHIP while averaging 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen staff has an excellent 2.64 ERA/1.03 WHIP at home this season. The Padres have played a noteworthy 12-0 to the under this season when facing teams like Tampa Bay with a +0.5 or greater run per game differential.

Sean McClanahan has gone 10-1 in his team starts this season with a sparkling 2.18 ERA/1.11 WHIP. The Rays bullpen has a very good staff 2.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP over their last 7 games. The Raus have played 9-2 to the under during their previous 11 away games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Yankees (German) @ Red Sox (Houck) 7:10

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 10.0 (5*)

Tanner Houck has pitched well in 5 career starts versus the Yankees while recording a 2.63 ERA/1.08 WHIP, and that includes 2 at Fenway Park in which he yielded 0 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings pitched. All those starts have come since 2020. The Red Sox have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 9-3 to the under during its previous 12.

Domingo German has gone 4-0 during his last 4 team starts with an impressive 2.45 ERA/1.05 WHIP. Since 2021, German has made 6 starts versus Boston with a stellar 2.67 ERA/0.90 WHIP and those game played 4-1-1 to the under. The Yankees have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 7-2 to the under during its previous 9. The Yankees bullpen has been arguably the best and most consistent in baseball to this point of the 2023 season.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Angels (Detmers) @ Rangers (Heany) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The last 4 times these teams have met this season resulted in an over on each occasion and there was a substantial combined average of 15.0 runs scored per game. Texas has gone over the total in each of their last 5 with a combined average of 11.6 runs scored per game. The Rangers have also averaged 6.9 runs scored per game when facing left-handed pitchers this season and played 14-6 to the over in those exact situations. Furthermore, Texas has played 21-10-1 to the over at home this season while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game and hitting 52 home runs.

The Angels Reid Detmers has shown bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a terrible 1.72 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Detmers has pitched 12-3 to the over in his starts when his team’s money line was +125 to -125 like it currently is. The Rangers Andrew Heaney has pitched 7-0 to the over this season in his starts when the Rangers were a home favorite of -110 or greater and there was a whopping 16.0 runs combined scored per game.  Heaney has pitched 6-1 to the over at home this season with a lofty 5.67 ERA/1.53 WHIP.

Play on this game to go over the total.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Diamondbacks (Davies) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Zack Wheeler has a lofty 5.18 ERA during 6 road starts this season. Since 2019, Wheeler has made 2 starts at Arizona and was tagged for 10 earned runs on 14 hits during 13 2/3 innings of work. The Phillies bullpen has an awful staff 6.97 ERA/1.55 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. That also includes allowing 6 home runs during just 20 2/3 innings of work. The Phillies have played 12-3 to the over this season when facing American League teams and with a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per game.

Zach Davies has a sizable 6.75/1.80 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Arizona has been sizzling hot offensively of late, averaging 7.6 runs scored per game, hitting .305 as a team, and amassed a .381 OBP in their last 7 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Guardians (Bibee) @ Padres (Musgrove) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Tanner Bibee has been in very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.81 ERA/1.00 WHIP and better than a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cleveland bullpen has a stellar 2.51 ERA/1.29 WHIP as a staff throughout their previous 7 games. Cleveland has played 27-13-1 to the under this season when facing right-handed starting pitchers like Joe Musgrove.

Speaking of Joe Musgrove has been in superb form with 1.04 ERA/0.98 WHIP over his previous 3 starts. The Padres bullpen has a shiny staff 2.78 ERA/1.03 WHIP over their last 7 games. The Padres have played 11-3 to the under this season when facing American League teams. San Diego has also played 9-1 to the under this season when facing starting pitchers like Tanner Bibee that allowed 5.5 or less hits per start.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Heat @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Over 209.5 (5*)

This series has seen totals decrease in each game. It started in Game 1 at 219.5 and 4 games later it’s now 209.5. That’s with no significant injuries on either side prompting those moves. Denver has shot the ball extremely well through the first 4 games while making 50.8% of their field goal attempts. Despite scoring less than 100 points in 5 of their last 8 games, the Heat have still shot a respectable 36.6% from 3-points territory and averaged 12.3 makes per game in these NBA Finals. Neither team has been to the free throw line with any regularity in the first 4 games of the series. However, each has been very efficient when getting there with Denver converting on 81.1% of their attempts and Miami is at 85.2%.

NBA Playoffs away underdogs of 6.5 or greater like Miami that are coming off 2 losses by 10 points or more and there’s a total of 215.5 or less, resulted in those away underdogs playing 6-0 to the over since 2006. Those 6 contests went over the total by an average of 10.8 points per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Garrett) @ White Sox (Giolito) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Miami has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 and allowed 2 runs or fewer on each occasion. The Marlins pitcher Braxton Garrett is 5-1 during his day team starts this season with a brilliant 1.82 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Garrett has pitched 12-1 to the under when pitching on 5 or 6 days rest like he’ll be doing today.  The Miami bullpen has been superb over their last 7 games with a staff 1.69 ERA/1.27 WHIP and was 3-for-3 on their save opportunities.

Lucas Giolito is coming off a sensational start at Yankee Stadium in his previous outing while pitching 6.0 innings of scoreless and hitless baseball. Giolito has been very good at home this season with a 2.70 ERA/0.93 WHIP in 6 starts. The White Sox bullpen has an excellent staff 1.57 ERA/0.78 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Chicago has played 9-1 to the under at home this season when facing teams like the Marlins who average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Grove) @ Phillies (Suarez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

The Dodgers pitcher Michael Grove has struggled in his 5 starts this season with a 8.14 ERA.1.52 WHIP and averaged just 4.2 innings pitched per start. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Dodgers bullpen that has a staff 6.17 ERA/1.63 WHIP, and they allowed 7 home runs in 23 1/3 innings pitched. Los Angeles is coming off yesterday’s 6-0 win at Cincinnati that easily went under the total. However, the Dodgers have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately after a game that went under and there was a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per occurrence. Los Angeles has played 14-5-1 to the over in their last 20 overall and 11-3 to the over during their previous 14 away games. The Dodgers have hit a noteworthy 14 home runs in their last 7 games.

Ranger Suarez has a lofty 5.47 ERA/1.54 WHIP in 5 starts this season. The Phillies have hit 11 homers over their previous 7 games and averaged 5.1 runs scored per outing. Philadelphia has seen all 3 head-to-head matchups versus the Dodgers go over the total with a combined average of 15.7 runs scored per game. They Phillies allowed a combined 36 runs, 44 hits, and 7 homers in those 3 matchups versus Los Angeles.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Astros (Valdez) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

The Astros pitcher Framber Valdez has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a microscopic 0.41 ERA/0.77 WHIP and averaged a healthy 7.3 innings pitched per outing. The Astros have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 whenever the total was between 8.0 and 9.0.

The Blue Jays Jose Berrios has been in good form over his last 3 starts with a 0.96 ERA. Berrios has pitched 3-0-1 to the under this season at home with a 2.22 ERA/1.03 WHIP and a tad better than a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Toronto has played 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 games. Toronto has played 17-9-2 to the under at home this season.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Henry) @ Nationals (Irvin) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

Jake Irvin has seen each of his previous 4 starts go over the total while he recorded a large 8.82 ERA/1.90 WHIP. The Washington bullpen staff has collected a terrible 6.65 ERA/1.75 WHIP and surrendered 7 home runs in just 21 2/3 inniings throughout their last 7 games. The Nationals have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined 12.6 runs scored per game.

Tommy Henry has pitched 2-0-1 to the over in his previous 3 starts with a lofty 5.47 ERA. Arizona’s bullpen staff has amassed an uninspiring 4.87 ERA on the road this season and allowed an alarmingly high 17 home runs in 95 1/3 innings of work. Since 2021, Arizona has played 20-8 to the over immediately following a day off like they had yesterday.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Rays (Eflin) @ Twins (Varland) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Tampa Bay starter Zach Eflin is 6-0 in his home team starts this season with a 2.19 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per start. Tampa Bay has gone under the total in their last 3 and 6 of their previous 7 games. During those last 7 games the Rays allowed 2 runs or fewer 5 times. The Rays have averaged only 3.4 runs per game and hit just 4 home runs over their last 7 outings.

Minnesota is coming off 3 extremely low scoring affair which average a mere combined 3.3 runs scored per game. The Twins have also played 20-8 to the under this season whenever the total was 8.0 or 8.5. The Twins starter Louie Varland has displayed good form over his last 3 appearances with a 2.50 ERA/1.06 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings per outing. The Twins bullpen has an excellent staff 2.14 ERA/1.04 WHIP throughout their last 7 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Rea) @ Reds (Ashcroft) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 10.0 (5*)

Cincinnati is coming off last night’s 5-4 home loss to Milwaukee. The Reds have played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 following an under in the previous outing and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per game. The Reds slated pitcher Graham Ashcraft has made 2 career home starts versus Milwaukee and recorded a sizable 10.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP during those outings. As a matter of fact, Ashcraft has pitched 5-0 to the over in his last 5 starts overall with a terrible 11.29 ERA/2.02 WHIP. The Cincinnati bullpen has struggled mightily throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 7.30 ERA/1.62 WHIP.

The Brewers slated pitcher Colin Rea has a lofty 5.66 ERA and allowed 6 home runs in just 20 2/3 innings pitched during 4-day-game starts this season.  The Brewers bullpen has an uninspiring 4.52 ERA/1.43 WHIP on the road this season.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Angels (Ohtani) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Shoei Ohtani has pitched 4-1-1 to the under in 6 starts versus Houston since last season with a terrific 1.71 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Ohtani has displayed very good form during his last 3 starts overall with a 3.32 ERA/1.05 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Angels bullpen has been solid on the road this season with a staff 3.41 ERA/1.20 WHIP.

Framber Valdez has pitched 4-1 to the under in his starts versus the Angels last season with a stellar 3.19 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Valdez has been in superb form while going 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a 2.00 ERA/0.85 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.8 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 while recording a staff 2.63 ERA/1.22 WHIP.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (Carrasco) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Mets Carlos Carrasco has been terrible in both of his home starts this season while recording an enormous 10.24 ERA. He lasted a combined total of 9 1/3 innings pitched in those outings an allowed 3 home runs. The Mets are coming off last night’s 2-0 home win over the Phillies. However, New York has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an over and there was a combined average of 13.2 runs scored per game.  Conversely, the Phillies have played 3-0-2 to the over during their previous 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 11.0 runs scored per game.

Aaron Nola has posted a lofty 6.05 ERA in 3 road starts this season while allowing 5 home runs in 19 1/3 innings pitched. As a matter of fact, Nola has surrendered 9 home runs in 47 2/3 innings pitched over his last 7 starts. Since the start of last season, Nola has pitched 11-2 to the over whenever the total was between 8.5 to 10.0 and there were a combined 12.4 runs scored per game. The Phillies bullpen has a shoddy 5.72 ERA/1.57 WHIP on the road this season.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Yankees (German) @ Mariners (Miller) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Yankees Domingo German returns from his 10-game suspension after showing great form over his last 4 start with a 1.64 ERA/0.68 WHIP. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Yankees have played 24-9 (73%) to the under.

Seattle’s Bryce Miller has seen all 5 of his starts going under the total this season and his brilliant 1.15 ERA/0.51 WHIP was a major reason why. Additionally, 2 of those 5 starts came at home where Miller allowed 0 earned runs in 12.0 innings pitched. Seattle went over the total on Sunday, and they’ve played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 following an over during its previous game.

Both bullpens in this matchup have been rock-solid thus far in 2023. Give me this game to go under the total.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Under 204.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a 104-103 win in Game 6 to force a deciding 7th Game. That contest stayed under the total of 210.5. After witnessing the first 3 games of this Eastern Conference Finals going over the total, the last 3 contests have all stayed under. It speaks volumes to me when the sportsbooks make this big of an adjustment to a Game 7 total when the average number in the first 6 games was 213.8.

NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams have played 41-24 (63%) to the under since 2003. Since 2019, that NBA Game 7 home teams off a Game 6 away win have played 12-3 (80%) to the under and there was a combined 197.4 points scored per game.  Furthermore, since 2014, NBA Game 7 home teams coming off a Game 6 away win in which they allowed 100 points or more have played 5-0 to the under with an average combined score of just 186.0 points scored per contest. All the betting angles are applicable to Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday night.

Boston @ Miami 8:30 PM

Game# 501-502

Play On: Under 210.5 (5*)

Since the 2021 Playoffs, Boston has played 9-0 to the under when facing elimination and there was a combined average of 201.8 points scored per game. Boston is 16-3 to the under in their last 19 when +3.0 to -3.0. Since last year’s playoffs, Miami has played 6-2 to the under in games they can possibly clinch a series win and there was a combined average of 206.9 points scored per game. This has been a series played at a slow pace by modern day NBA standards. Boston has averaged 84 field goal attempts par game and Miami 83 per contest. There has been just a combined average of 40 FTA’s PG in this series which is extremely low by NBA standards.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Orioles (Bradish) @ Yankees (Cole) 7:05 ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Kyle Bradish has been very good over his last 2 starts while allowing just 1 earned run in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Bradish has made 1 career start at Yankees Stadium and that came last year when allowed 0 earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched.  The Orioles bullpen has been consistently good since the start of the season which is evident by their staff 3.03 ERA/1.23 WHIP.

Gerrit Cole has been terrific when pitching at Yankee Stadium this year while recording a brilliant 1.18 ERA/0.92 WHIP in 6 starts. The Yankees bullpen has been terrific over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.34 ERA. The Yankees have played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 and allowed a mere 2.4 runs per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

White Sox (Cease) @ Guardians (Allen) 6:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

The White Sox have played 9-1-1 to the under in their last 11 games. Dylan Cease has made 5 starts versus Cleveland since 2021 and compiled a stellar 2.45 ERA. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 1.25 ERA/0.69 WHIP.

Cleveland pitcher Logan Allen has pitched 3-1-1 to the under in 5 starts this season with a shiny 3.04 ERA. The Guardians bullpen has an impressive 2.51 ERA/1.06 WHIP at home this season. Cleveland has played 15-6-1 at home this season. The Guardians have also played 19-9 to the under when facing right-handed starting pitchers.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Nuggets @ Lakers 8:30 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Over 224.5 (5*)

Denver has been red-hot offensively over their previous 7 games. During that stretch they averaged 120.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.2% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory. The Lakers have shot a more than respectable 48.8% from the field, 37.4% from 3-point range, and averaged 28 free throw attempts per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Speaking of those 28 free throw attempts per game, Los Angeles converted on an excellent 81% of those shots.

NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams like the Lakers that are down 3-0 in a series, and there’s a total of 220.0 or greater, resulted in those home teams playing 11-1 to the over since 2014. The average total in those 12 contests was 223.3 and a combined 237.7 points were scored per game. The only under in that sequence was this year’s Game 4 between Denver in Minnesota. The final score of that contest was 114-108 which barely stayed under the total of 222.5.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Dodgers (Stone) @ Braves (Morton)

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

During their previous 7 outings, the Atlanta Braves have averaged 5.6 runs scored per game and smashed 16 home runs. They’ll get the fair share of at bats versus a Dodgers bullpen which has allowed an alarmingly high 9 home runs over their previous 37 1/3 innings pitched and had a terrible 6.99 ERA as a staff. The Dodgers have played 12-3 to the over this season immediately following 3 or more away games. The Braves have played 9-1 to the over this season at home and following 3 or more home games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Astros (Javier) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Houston’s Christian Javier has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.68 WHIP in 19.0 innings of work. Javier can count on his bullpen to get the job done tonight since they’ve posted a staff ERA of 0.76 throughout their previous 7 games. It’s worth noting, since the start of last season Houston has played 34-12 (74%) to the under during the month of May.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes has been very good in 6 starts at night this season while collecting a 1.93 ERA/0.96 WHIP and averaging 6.2 innings pitched per out. The Brewers bullpen has been solid at home this season with a staff 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP. Milwaukee has played 17-9 (65%) to the under in night games this season.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Taillon) @ Phillies (Nola) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 8.5 (5*)

Jamison Taillon is 0-6 in his team starts this season with a lofty 6.66 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in each of their previous 9 and with a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Cubs bullpen has an awful 9.82 ERA/2.09 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Aaron Nola has gone a forgetful 1-4 during his team starts du ring the day this season a a sizable 5.59 ERA. The Phillies bullpen has an uninspiring 5.15 ERA/1.48 WHIP in 20 day games this year.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Over 210.5 (5*)

Miami is coming off a home 96-92 series clinching win over New York in a game that easily stayed under the total of 204.5. The Heat have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following a win in a contest that stayed under the total and there was a combined average of 235.6 points scored per game. Miami has also played 7-0 to the over this season as a road underdog of 4.5 or greater and following a win in their previous game.  Those 7 contests averaged a combined total of 244.0 points scored per game.

Boston is coming off wins in Game 6 and Game 7 over Philadelphia to overcome a 3-2 series deficit and move on to this Eastern Conference Final.  Those last 2 games each went under the total. Boston has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 following going under in each of their previous 2 games. Those 6 contests had an average combined points scored of 237.9 points scored per game. The Celtics witnessed each of their 2 regular season home games versus Miami going over the total with a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game.

Any NBA Playoffs home team in Game 1 of a series and is coming off a 7-game series win in the previous round, resulted in those home teams playing 7-0 to the over since the 2017 postseason, and there was a combined average of 228.6 points scored per game. This identical NBA Playoffs totals betting angle has also played 11-1 to the over since 2014.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Nationals (Gore) @ Marlins (Cabrera) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Over 7.5 (5*)

Miami has seen 4 of their last 5 go over the total. Miami’s Edward Cabrera has displayed very shaky form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 6.62 ERA. The Miami bullpen staff has a lofty 1.58 WHIP over their last 7 games.

The Nationals are currently a money line underdog of +101 for tonight’s game. Washington has played a perfect 7-0 to the over this season as a road money line underdog of +100 to +150 and there was a combined 14.1 runs scored per game. The Nationals McKenzie Gore has displayed ppor form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 1.79 WHIP. The Washington bullpen has an uninspiring 5.47 ERA/1.62 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Nationals have gone over the total in their last 3 outings and with a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Over 222.5 (5*)

The Lakers went over the total in all 3 away games during their winning Western Conference Semifinal series against Golden State. Those 3 contests produced a combined 229, 236, and 227 points scored. During their last 3 regular season meeting versus Denver, there was a combined 231 or more points scored on each occasion.

Since the 2021-2022 NBA season began, Denver has played 42-23 (65%) to the over in home games whenever the total was 220.0 to 229.5. There was a combined average of 230.7 points scored per game during those 65 contests.

Since the 2021 NBA Playoffs, home teams playing the opening game of a series in Round 2 or beyond, and there was a total of 218.5 and 231.0, resulted in those home teams playing 9-0 (100%) to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 223.3 and there were a combined 231.1 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Cubs (Wesneski) @ Twins (Ryan) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Cubs Hayden Wesneski has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t gone over the total in 4 consecutive games all season. As a matter of fact, even with those last 3 going over the total, Chicago has played 11-5-1 to the under during their previous 17 games.  Chicago has allowed a mere 3.4 runs per game throughout their previous 10 games. The Cubs bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.45 ERA/0.81 WHIP during their last 7 games.

Joe Ryan has shown exceptional form over his last 3 starts with a miniscule 1.42 ERA/0.95 WHIP. The Twins have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and averaged a paltry 2.4 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Urias) @ Padres (Musgrove) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: 8.0 (5*)

The first 2 games of this NL West series have gone under the total. The Dodgers are 3-1-1 to the over this season when coming off back-to-back games that stayed under. The Dodgers Julio Urias has given up 7 home runs in 21 2/3 innings pitched over his last 4 starts. Urias has also seen all 3 of his away starts in 2023 go over the total and his awful 7.20 ERA/1.60 WHIP was a key contributor to those high scoring affairs. Urias also has a terrible 7.98 ERA/1.84 WHIP in 3 day starts during day games this season. The Los Angeles bullpen has a poor 5.59 ERA/1.54 WHIP during away games. The Dodgers have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road this season with a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game.

Joe Musgrove has pitched 36-18 (67%) to the over during his career starts versus teams like the Dodgers that are averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game. Musgrove has made 2 abysmal starts so far in 2023 and recorded a huge 10.80 ERA/1.64 WHIP while also allowing 4 home runs in just 8 1/3 innings pitched. The Padres have averaged 6.3 runs scored per game and hit 11 homers over their previous 7 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Nuggets @ Suns 10:00 ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Denver is coming off a 97-87 home win in Game 2 to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. Denver has played 5-1 to the under this season immediately following a win in which they allowed 99 points or fewer. There was an average total of 229.1 in those 6 contests and just 214.8 points were scored per game. Additionally, Denver has played 3-0 to the under this season when the total is 229.5 or less and immediately following a game in which they scored 99 points or fewer. The average total in those 3 contests was 222.8 and there were 198.0 points scored per game.

Since the start of last season, Phoenix has played 5-0 to the under at home when the total is 205.0 or greater and they’re coming off a SU loss in their previous contests. Those 5 contests had an average total of 219.3 and there was a combined 212.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Clayton Kershaw has been in spectacular form over his last 3 starts while posting a 0.45 ERA/0.45 WHIP and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Dodgers bullpen is beginning to round into form after a disappointing April. During their previous 7 games, Dodgers relievers have a combined 1.16 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Dodgers had testerday off. Since 2020, they’ve played 31-16 to the under following an off day.

Yu Darvish has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.89 ERA/1.18 WHIP and had 26 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched. Darvish has an impressive 2.69 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Padres bullpen has been rock-solid over its previous 7 games with a staff 2.10 ERA/0.94 WHIP.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Kraken @ Stars 9:40 PM ET

Game# 55-56

Play On: Under 5.5 (5*)

The oddsmakers are undeterred by the Game 1 final score of 5-4 or by the fact these teams have played 4-1 to the over in games versus one another this season. They have kept the total at 5.5.  Despite the Game 1 high scoring affair, the Seattle Kraken have played 9-2 to the under in their last 11 games. Seattle has also played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 immediately following a game in which they allowed 4 goals or more. Conversely, Dallas has played 4-1 to the under at home this season whenever the total was 5.5 and after losing their previous game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Orioles (Gibson) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Zack Grienke has displayed terrible form over his last 4 starts with a 8.24 ERA/1.47 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs during only 19 ⅔ innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has an awful 7.22 ERA.1.78 WHIP at home this season. Furthermore, the Royals are 1-13 at home in 2023 and is allowing 6.6 runs per game.

Since 7/20/2018, Kyle Gibson has pitched 4-0 to the over in his 4 starts at Kansas City with a massive 10.06 ERA/2.12 WHIP. Baltimore has averaged 6.4 runs scored per game in their last 7 while also hitting .301 as a team. During that stretch, they also smacked 11 home runs. The Orioles have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road with a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Braves (Wright) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Braxton Garrett is 4-0 in his team starts this season with a 1.89 ERA. Since the start of last season, Garrett has posted a brilliant 1.32 ERA during 3 starts versus Atlanta. During that same period, Kyle Wright made 3 starts versus Miami and pitched 14.0 innings of scoreless baseball while striking out an impressive 23 batters.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Strahm) @ Dodgers (Urias) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

We have a pair of left-handed starting pitchers set to square off on Tuesday night at Dodger Stadium. Neither of these teams have fared well when facing left-handed starters this season. The Dodgers are 2-6 versus lefty starters while averaging just 3.0 runs scored per game and recording a horrible .170 team batting average. The Phillies are 3-5 versus lefties and while averaging a mere 2.6 RPG.

Julio Urias has made 3 home starts for the Dodgers in 2023 and posted a very good 2.04 ERA/1.02 WHIP during those outings. The Dodgers bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a 3.46 ERA/1.23 WHIP.

Matt Strahm has been terrific to begin the season with a 2.42 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 5 starts. The Phillies bullpen has a stellar 2.62 ERA/1.04 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Lastly, Philadelphia has played 10-3 to the under in their last 13 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Golden State vs. Sacramento 3:30 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Under 229.5 (5*)

Historically an NBA Playoffs Game 7 have been low scoring contests more times than not. Specifically speaking there have been 13 Game 7’s since 2019 and 10 of those contests played under the total. Furthermore, Since the 2003 NBA Postseason, any Game 7 with a total of 216.5 or greater resulted in all 4 contests playing under the total and with a combined average of just 191.4 points scored per contest. Since 2016, Golden State has played in a Game 7 on 3 occasions and each went under the total and with a paltry combined average of only 189.7 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Blue Jays (Bassitt) 1:37 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Heading into Saturday, Toronto had played 8-0-1 to the under during their previous 9 games and they allowed 2 runs or fewer on 7 of those occasions. Chris Bassitt has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts this season with a sparkling 2.19 ERA/0.97 WHIP. He averaged 6.2 innings pitched per start during those previously mentioned 4 starts. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 2.00 ERA/0.61 WHIP.

Seattle’s Marco Gonzalez is 3-0 in his team starts versus Toronto since 2019 with a superb 1.83 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Since 2021, Gonzalez has pitched 17-4 to the under as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater like he’ll be on Sunday. The Seattle bullpen has an excellent 2.86 ERA/0.96 WHIP in their last 7 games, and they also recorded a dominating 25:2 strikeout to walk ratio during a combined 22.0 innings pitched.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:40 ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 11.0 (5*)

Kyle Freeland has pitched 18-4 to the under in his career team starts when facing a team like the Angels who currently possesses a .510-to-.540-win percentage. Colorado has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and their bullpen has a brilliant 2.96 ERA/1.15 WHIP during that time.

Arizona’s Merrill Kelly had an excellent 1.59 ERA in 3 starts versus Colorado last season and averaged over 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Kelly is 2-0 in his road team starts this season with a 0.93 ERA. The Arizona bullpen has compiled a sparkling 2.15 ERA/1.02 WHIP throughout their last 7 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Bruins @ Panthers 7:35 PM ET

Game# 1-2

Play On: Over 6.0 (5*)

Florida has played 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 conference home games and there was a combined average of 8.6 goals per contest. Florida is averaging an incredibly high 39.0 shots on goal per game at home. They’ll be facing Boston goaltender Linus Ullmark who has a superb .935 save percentage in 53 starts and 2 relief appearances this season. However, during the first 5 games of this series, Ullmark has a very mediocre .904 save percentage. Florida is coming off a 4-3 overtime win at Boston in Game 5 to stave off elimination. Since the start of last season, Florida has played 17-3 (85%) to the over immediately following an overtime win.

Boston has played 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 and 10-1-1 to the over during their previous 12 away games. The Bruins have scored 3 goals or more during each of the first 5 games of this series and going back to regular season action they’ve accomplished that feat 8 straight times.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Warriors @ Kings 10:00 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Over 234.5 (5*)

Golden State won Games 3 and 4 at home to even this series at 2-2. The Sacramento Kings have played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 at home immediately following 2 consecutive losses. The average total in those 7 contests was 236.6 and 247.5 points were scored per game. Conversely, Golden State has played 11-0 to the over this season in away games in which their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 and the total was between 226.0 to 238.0 The average total in those 11 contests was 233.0 and there was a combined 245.6 points scored per game.

Golden State is #1 in the NBA when it comes to offensive pace and Sacramento is 9th in that identical category. The Kings are #1 in the NBA when it comes to offensive efficiency while Golden Sate is #9. Lastly, Sacramento is #25 in the NBA when speaking about defensive efficiency and Golden State is average at best while ranking #17.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Suns vs. Clippers 3:30 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 226.0 (5*)

Phoenix took Game 3 of this series with a 129-124 road win and the contest easily went over the total of 225.0. That makes 6 consecutive contests go over the total for the Clippers at home and with a combined average of 244.3 points scored per game. The Clippers have played 10-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 12 games and allowed opponents to score 120 points or more 6 times.

Phoenix has gone over in their last 6 on the road when the total was 234.0 or less and there was a combined average of 240.5 points scored per game. The Suns have allowed 118 points or more in 8 of their last 9 away games.

During the first 3 games of this series, these teams have combined to average an extremely high 59 free throw attempts per game. Saying it’s been a physical series thus far would be a monumental understatement. Dating back to the regular season, these teams have played 4-0-1 to the over during 5 meetings between them and there was 233.2 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Kings @ Oilers 10:00 PM ET

Game# 61-62

Play On: Over 6.5 (5*)

The Oilers are coming off Monday's 4-3 overtime loss in Game 1. Edmonton has played 8-0 to the over at home this season when the total was 6.5 or less and following a home 1-goal home loss in their previous game. There was a combined average of 8.6 goals scored per game. The Kings have played 7-0 to the over this season on the road and following a road 1-goal win.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Astros (Javier) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Kevin Gausman has been very good in 3 starts this season while posting a 1.35 ERA during those outings. Gausman also had an excellent 25:2 strikeout to walk ratio in 20.0 innings pitched. Since 2021, Toronto has played 24-10 (71%) to the under during April away games.

Since last season, Houston has played 22-10 (69%) to the under when facing an American League starting pitched like Kevin Gausman who owns an ERA of 3.20 or better. Christian Javier is 2-0 in his home team starts thus far and with a shiny 3.27 ERA.

Both bullpens in this matchup are solid. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (DeGrom) @ Royals (Lyles) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Over 7.5 (5*)

Kansas City has played 5-0-1 to the over in their last 6 with a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. Jordan Lyles has collected an uninspiring 5.19 ERA/144 WHIP in 3 starts thus far. The Royals bullpen has been brutal of late while recording a terrible 8.31 ERA/1.57 WHIP throughout the last 7 games. Since last season, Kansas City has played 30-11 (73%) to the over when facing teams like Texas who are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.

Since 2021, Texas has played 10-3-2 to the over in games versus Kansas City. The Rangers have also played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 versus all teams. Jacob DeGrom is 3-0 in his team starts but with a very average 4.32 ERA. Since 2022, Texas has played 39-18 (68%) to the over as a money line favorite of -110 or greater.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Bucks 5:30 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 220.5 (5*)

Both meetings in Milwaukee this season between these teams went over the total with a combined average of 232.5 points scored per game. Milwaukee has played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 whenever there was a total of 228.0 or less and there was 241.2 points scored per game.

Miami went under the total in both of their Play-In-Tournament games. Miami has gone over in their last 6 when the total is 217.0 or greater and following its previous 2 contests going under. There was a combined 239.5 points scored per game in those 6 contests.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Grizzlies 3:00 ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Under 228.5 (5*)

Since the 2018-2019 season, all 9 meetings between these teams in Memphis have gone under the total with a combined average of 205.3 points scored per game. Memphis is coming off a loss to Oklahoma City in their regular season finale. The Grizzlies have played 4-0 to the under this season as a home favorite of -3.0 to -11.0 and they allowed 100 points or fewer on each occasion. Memphis is #2 in the NBA when it comes to defensive efficiency. However, the Grizzlies are just 14th in offensive efficiency and the Lakers are #19. These teams met 3 times this season and those contests played 1-0-2 to the under with neither team shooting the ball particularly well.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Warriors @ Kings 8:30 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 237.0 (5*)

Golden State has played 28-11-2 to the over on the road this season with a combined average of 240.7 points scored per game. Those results also include 12-1 to the over if their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 with an average of 242.5 points scored per game. Golden State has been red-hot offensively over their previous 7 contests while scoring 128.7 points per game, shot 50.6% from the field, and converted a superb 42.6% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Sacramento has played 13-4 to the over this season when facing teams like Golden State who shoot 36% or better from 3-point territory. The Kings have averaged 123.4 points scored per game at home this season while also shooting 50.7% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the 3-point line.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Knicks @ Cavaliers 6:00 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Over 216.5 (5*)

New York has played 9-0 to the over in the last 9 as a conference away underdog and when there was a total of 226.5. The average total in those 8 contests was 221.4 and there were a combined 239.6 points scored per game. The Knicks defense has been a bit soft throughout their last 5 regular season contests in allowing opponents to score 121.6 points per game while they shot 51.4% from the field and made 46.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. However, during that identical stretch, New York also scored 125.4 points per game, shot 49.7% from the floor, and made 39.1% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Cleveland has shot 47% or better in 12 of its last 13 games. The Cavaliers have also scored 114 points or more in 11 of their previous 14 games. The Cavs have also made 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 contests in addition to making 83.3% of their free throws. Cleveland went over the total in both home games versus New York this season and there was a combined 237.5 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ LA Lakers 10:00 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Over 231.5 (5*)

The Lakers went over in each of their final 8 regular season contests and there was a combined average of 239.7 points scored per game. Los Angeles has scored 118 points or more in their last 7 games. Minnesota will be playing their 3rd game in days. The Timberwolves have played 15-2 to the under this season when cast into that identical situation and there was a combined average of 246.3 points scored per game.

Both teams like to play at a brisk offensive pace with the Lakers ranked #5 in that category and Minnesota #7 through 82 regular season games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Hawks @ Heat 7:00 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Over 226.5 (5*)

Miami has seen each of their last 7 at home go over the total and there was a combined 240.7 points scored per game. Miami also played 5-0 to the over during their previous 5 games overall.

Atlanta has played 10-2 to the over this season on the road when the total was 211.0 to 229.5 and there was a combined 233.9 points scored per contest. Atlanta also played 4-0-1 to the over during its final 5 regular season contests and there was a combined 248.2 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

White Sox (Kopech) @ Pirates (Oviedo) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Both starting pitchers are coming off terrible 2023 debut starts. The teams split the first 2 games of this series with final scores of 11-5 and 13-9. After going under in their season opener, the White Sox have played 8-0 to the over and there was a combined average of 14.1 runs scored per game. The White Sox bullpen has been brutal through their first 9 games with a staff 8.82 ERA/2.14 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Chicago has played 25-13 to the over in away day games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Denver @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Phoenix enters today on a 6-game win streak while allowing 105 points or fewer on 5 of those occasions. The Suns have seen each of its last 3 at home go under and there was a combined average of 203.0 points scored per game. The Suns have also played 25-14 (64.1%) to the under in all home games this season. Denver has seen each of their last 10 all go under the total and there was a combined 217.6 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Miami @ Philadelphia 7:40 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Under 220.0 (5*)

Philadelphia has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 and 7-2 under during its previous 9 games. The 76ers have seen both meetings versus Miami go under the total this season and with a combined average of 207.5 points scored per game. Furthermore, the 76ers have gone under the total in 3 consecutive contests whenever their total was 220.0 or less and with a combined average of 207.3 points scored per game. Miami has played 4-0 to the under this season in away contests in which there was a total of 220.0 or less and there was a combined average of 206.3 points scored per game. Lastly, these 2 teams are among the slowest offensive paced teams in the NBA with Miami ranking #29 and Philadelphia #27 in that category.

Give me this game to go under the total.

San Diego State vs. Connecticut 9:20 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Under 132.5 (10*)

The only flaw that UConn has displayed defensively during their 5 NCAA Tournament games is allowing opponents to have an average of 19 free throw attempts per game. If you even want to label that as a flaw. However, San Diego State has been terrible from the free throw line during their 5 NCAA Tournament game while converting on just 63.4% of their free throw attempts. Otherwise, the Huskies have held all 5 of their opponents to 38.8% or worse while giving up a mere 59.2 points per contest. UConn has covered all 5 games in the big Dance. The Huskies have played 8-1 to the under this season when not playing at home and coming off covering each of their previous 3 games.

San Diego State is a 7.5-point underdog at the time of this writing. The Aztecs have played 8-0 to the under since 12/17/2021 and there were a combined 125.1 points scored per game. San Diego State is coming off a thrilling 72-71 buzzer beating win over FAU in a game that went over the total of 132.0. That snapped a string of 12 consecutive games going under the total for the Aztecs. As a matter of fact, they haven’t gone over the total in 2 straight games since January 10th. Furthermore, The Aztecs have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 contests following an over in their previous outing and there was a combined average of 121.6 points scored per game. The Aztecs have also gone under in their last 5 after allowing 70 points or more during its previous contest and there was a combined 118.2 points scored per game.

According to Ken Pomeroy, San Diego State is #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and UConn is #8. Additionally, UConn is #214 in adjust offensive temp and San Diego State is #270.

Give me this game to go under the total.

FAU vs. San Diego State 6:09 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Under 132.0 (5*)

San Diego State has gone under the total in each of their previous 12 games. Those 12 contests averaged a combined 121.8 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Aztecs held opponents to a mere 57.0 points scored per game, 37.2% shooting from the field, and permitted to make only 23.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. It’s not like San Diego State was an offensive juggernaut throughout those 12 contests as they averaged just 64.8 points scored per game and shot an uninspiring 40.9% from the field and made just 31.9% of their 3-point shot attempts.

FAU has seen its last 4 games go under the total whenever the number was 143.0 or less and there was a combined average of 125.0 points scored per game. The Owls allowed just 55.0 points per contest and held their opponents to 32.7% shooting during those 4 games. San Diego State gets a lot of praise for their staunch defensive play and rightfully so. However, FAU is quietly #30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and that includes #11 in 2-point defensive shooting percentage (44.8%). The Owls are a very good 3-point shooting team, but they’ll be facing an opponent on Saturday that’s #2 nationally in defensive 3-point shooting percentage (27.8%).

Give me this game to go under the total.

Denver @ Phoenix 10:40 PM ET

Game# 577-578

Play On: Under 227.5 (5*)

Denver has gone under in 7 straight contests with an average total of 230.0 and a combined 219.1 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests the Nuggets allowed only 10.0 points per game. The Suns have been stout defensively during their previous 3 contests while allowing just 202.7 points scored per game.

Phoenix is coming off a 107-100 win over Minnesota and that contest styed well under the total of 234.0. Denver is coming off a 107-88 loss to New Orleans and that game easily stayed under the total of 226.5. NBA teams like Phoenix that are playing in a contest with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that went under the total by 24.0 points or more in their previous contest, versus an opponent like Denver who went under the total by 30.0 points or more during their last outing, resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82.1%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 39 contests was 225.1 and there were a combined 213.6 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Detroit @ Houston 8:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Under 229.0 (5*)

Detroit has gone under the total in 7 consecutive road game. The average total in those 7 contests was 227.6 and there was a combined 217.0 points scored per game. The Pistons scored 107 points or fewer in each of those 7 away games.

Houston has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 at home. The Rockets have gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games. However, the Rockets have played 8-0 to the under this season when the total is between 224.5 and 237.5 and they’re coming off overs in their last 2 contests. The average total in those 8 contests was 230.9 and a combined 212.9 points were scored per game.

NBA teams like Houston with a total of 220.0 or greater who saw a combined 235 points or more being scored in their previous contest, and both themselves and their opponent is being outscored by 7.0 or more points per game on the season, resulted in those situations playing 27-3 (90%) to the under since 1996. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2020-8021 season this NBA totals betting angle has played 12-0 to the under.

Give me this game to go under the total.

LA Clippers @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Over 236.5 (5*)

Throughout their previous 9 games Memphis has averaged 126.6 points scored per contest and shot a sizzling hot 51.8% from the field. On a negative note, the Grizzlies have allowed 121.4 points per contest and permitted opponents to shoot a combined 50.2% from the field during their last 5 games.

The Clippers have played 6-1 to the over as a road underdog this season following overs in each of their previous 2 contests, and there was a combined average of 239.0 points scored per game. The Clippers have seen each of its previous 4 games go over the total and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Chicago @ Charlotte 7:10 PM ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Chicago allowed 121 and 124 points in their last 2 games. The bulls have played 3-0 to the under this season following 2 consecutive contests in which they allowed 120 points or more and there was just a combined average of 211.0 points scored per game. On the other side of the coin is a Charlotte team which has played 14-4 to the under in their last 18 contests. These teams have met 3 times this season and each contest went under the total with a combined average of only 203.7 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 987-988

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Toronto hurler Alec Manoah has pitched 8-0 to the under on the road in his career whenever there was a total of 7.0 or 7.5, and there was a combined average of 4.9 runs scored per game. The Blue Jays are a money line favorite of -120 at the time of this writing, and that’s significant from an MLB betting perspective. Manoah has pitched 12-1 to the under on the road during his young career when the Blue jays have a money line of +125 to -125. Manoah was sharp in 5 spring training starts with a 3.10 ERA/1.18 WHIP.

Miles Mikolas looked brilliant in 3 spring training game starts while not allowing any earned runs in 12.0 innings of work. During 14 home starts last season, Mikolas posted a superb 2.38 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.8 innings pitched per outing.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Minnesota @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Over 235.0 (5*)

Phoenix has averaged 120.0 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests while also shooting a stellar 48.2% from the field and making 37.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. During that exact time frame, the Suns also averaged 93 field goal attempts per game which translated to a very fast pace even by NBA standards. On the negative side, Phoenix has also allowed 117.8 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 49.1%.

Minnesota has averaged 118.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.0% from the field and converting on 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 contests. During that precise stretch, they also allowed 118.2 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 50.2% from the field and 37.2% from 3-point territory. The Timberwolves will be playing in their 3rd game in 4 days. Minnesota has played 7-0 to the over this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days and it’s on the road. Those 7 contests produced an enormous 250.7 points combined being scored.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Phoenix @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 233.5 (5*)

Utah has gone over in their last 4 at home and there was a combined 246.3 points scored per game. The Jazz have also played 7-1 to the over in their previous 8 games overall and there was a combined 242.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Phoenix has gone over in each of their previous 5 contests and there were a combined 239.6 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has played 15-4 to the over in road games whenever the total was 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 242.1 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Xavier vs. Texas 9:45 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup.

Xavier is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, #3 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.9%), and #33 in adjusted tempo which basically mean they like pushing the pace to a faster speed than normal. The Musketeers have scored 78 points or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Xavier has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 whenever the total was 152.0 or less and there was a combined average of 156.3 points scored per game.

Texas is #15 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. During their previous 3 contests, Texas averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 51.4% from the field and 77.4% from the free throw line. During that stretch, they also averaged 60.3 field goal attempts per game which translated to a brisk offensive pace. They’ll be facing an Xavier team which has had 60 or more field goal attempts in 6 of their last 8 games and will be a willing partner to play an up-tempo game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Princeton vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 140.5 (5*)

This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup.

Princeton has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 145.0 or less and there was a combined average of 152.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Creighton has played 5-0 to the over in their previous 5 contests whenever there was a total of 147.5 or less and there was a combined 156.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Gonzaga vs. UCLA 9:45 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Over 145.5 (5*)

Gonzaga has scored 100 or more points 8 times this season, 82 points or more in 12 of their last 15 contests, and 88 points or more in 16 of 34 games versus Division 1 opponents this season. The Zags have also allowed 80 points or more on 10 separate occasions this season. The Bulldogs have faced UCLA in each of their previous 2 seasons and averaged 88.0 points scored per game while shooting a sizzling hot 57.5%. Gonzaga is coming off an 84-81 win over TCU. Gonzaga has played 4-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 156.0 or less and they allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 165.4 points scored per game.

UCLA is coming off a 68-63 win over Northwestern. The Bruins have played 5-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 147.0 or less and they allowed 63 points or fewer in their previous game. UCLA has played 9 games as a favorite and with a total of 140.0 or greater and they averaged 80.8 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Charlotte @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Under 225.5 (5*)

New Orleans has played 13-1 to the under in their last 14 games when there’s been a total of 225.0 or greater. Those games had an average total of 231.5 and there was a combined average of just 217.5 points scored per contest. The Pelicans have also gone under in their last 3 regardless of the total and there was a combined 217.3 points scored per game.

Charlotte has played 8-1 to the under in their last 9 away games. That includes 4-0 under in their previous 4 on the road with a combined (217.7 points scored per game. The Hornets are next to last in the NBA in adjusted offensive efficiency. They’ll be facing a New Orleans team today who ranks #20 in that same category.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Michigan State vs. Kansas State 6:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

Michigan State is #6 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while making 38.7 of those attempts. The Spartans have scored 72 points or more in 6 of their previous 8 games. The Spartans will be facing a Kansas State team that ranks #291 nationally in free throw attempts allowed. Michigan State is a very good free throw shooting team which is evidenced by their shiny 75.7% conversion rate. The Spartans have played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 137.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 150.1 points scored per game during regulation time.

Kansas State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and with a combined average of 151.4 points scored per game. The Wildcats have scored 73 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Similar to Thursday’s opponent, Kansas State is also a very food free throw shooting team at 75.2%. On a negative note, the Wildcats have allowed 74.4 points per game over its last 5 contests.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Indiana @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 234.0 (5*)

Toronto has gone over the total in their last 5 games as a favorite like they’ll be this evening. The Raptors have shot 48.5% or better in 6 of its last 8. However, they’ve also permitted their opponents to shoot 50% or better in 8 of its last 10 games. The Raptors season analytics indicates they are #25 in the NBA when it pertains to adjusted offensive tempo. Nonetheless, they’ve drastically changed their style of late and amassed 90 or more field goal attempts in 10 of its last 11 games.

Indiana has shot 48% or better in 8 of their previous 12 games. They’ve also allowed their opponents to shoot 48% or better during 10 of their previous 15 games. The Pacers have scored 121 points or more in 9 of their last 12. Indiana has also given up 115 points or more in 8 straight games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Sacramento @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Over 239.5 (5*)

Sacramento is #1 in the NBA when pertaining to adjusted offensive efficiency while Utah is #9. Neither team in this matchup is very good defensively. The Kings are #25 in defensive efficiency while Utah is #24.

Sacramento has scored 122 points or more in 11 of their last 13 games. The kings have also shot 48% or better during 15 of its previous 18 contests. Sacramento has shot a sizzling 43.4% from beyond the 3-point line throughout their last 5 contests and averaged an extremely high 18 makes per game. Conversely, Utah has allowed their last 5 opponents to make an alarmingly high 43.4% of their 3-point shot attempts which includes 18 makes per contest. Sacramento has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 when the total was 238.0 or greater and there was a combined 257.5 points scored per game.

Utah has scored 115 points or more in their last 6 and 5 of those contests went over the total. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 239.7 points scored per game. The Jazz have played at a frenetic offensive pace over their previous 5 while averaging 94 field goal attempts per game. The Jazz are currently a 5.0-point underdog in tonight game. Utah has played 24-12 (67%) to the over as an underdog this season.

Give me this game to go over the total.

UCF @ Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

Simple mathematics comes into play with this pick on the total. UCF has gone 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 138.0 to 149.0 and there was a combined average of 158.4 points scored per game. Florida has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 and with a combined average of 150.8 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.