*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value Play* The Kansas City Royals haven't gotten enough respect all year long. This is a really good team, and they have made themselves a lot better from their trade deadline deals. Ben Zobrist has been awesome for the Royals. Danny Duffy has pitched better late in the year. The Royals offense is deeper than the Red Sox. Boston has been red hot of late, but I'm fading them here when I can get the much better team at even money. Kansas City has a much stronger bullpen and a much better defense as well. Good price on a very good team. Take Kansas City. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers offenses have been on fire lately. Detroit scored 25 runs in two games in Chicago against the Cubs. The Rangers have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games. Martin Perez isn't a bad lefty, but the Tigers are second in the league in hitting lefties and with Cabrera back this lineup is very good. Alfredo Simon has been a total gas can in the last couple months. He is fully capable of giving up a huge inning at any time. Plenty of run scoring opportunities for both teams throughout this game.

The over is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 5-0 in Perez's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0-1 in Simon's last 8 when the Tigers opponent scores 5 runs or more the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in Detroit. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays have a weighted on base average of .356 against left handed pitching this year. The second best weighted on base average against lefties in the majors is .336. Toronto has been amazing against lefties all year and Adam Morgan isn't a special lefty. Morgan is a rookie who has peripherals that suggest he has gotten relatively fortunate so far this year despite having a subpar ERA already. Philadelphia played good baseball right after the break, but they have been bad of late. Mark Buehrle has been surprisingly good this year, and no one on this Phillies team has good career numbers against him. As a team they are hitting .190 against him. Look for the Blue Jays to pile up the runs in this one as they coast to a nice win. Take Toronto -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Baltimore Orioles aren't getting the respect they deserve in this one. Baltimore has been playing some very good baseball of late. The Orioles are 38-22 at home this year. They are 12-2 in Ubaldo Jimenez's last 14 home starts. Noah Syndergaard has tremendous stuff, and I don't like going against him, but there's too much value for me to not to here. Syndergaard has struggled away from home thus far. The Mets are 1-7 in his last 8 road starts. The Mets have beaten the Orioles in 9 straight meetings. I think the Orioles are very hungry in this series finale in Baltimore on Wednesday night. The Orioles should be a bigger favorite. Take Baltimore. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Atlanta Braves are playing bad baseball of late, especially on the road. San Diego has finally started hitting the baseball in recent days. Julio Teheran will start for Atlanta in this one, and his home/road splits are huge this year. Teheran has a nice 2.44 ERA at home this year. He has an awful 6.75 ERA on the road. Tyson Ross has a career 2.94 ERA at home, and he'll be up against a Braves lineup that has an ugly .287 on base percentage in the last three weeks. The odds here imply that there is a 40% chance of the Padres winning by two or more. I think the chance is close to 50%. At +150, I see this as a nice value. Take San Diego -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Los Angeles Dodgers lost a heartbreaker last night in Oakland. I like their chances of bouncing back today. Alex Wood is a guy who has strong peripherals and Oakland doesn't hit lefties well at all. I waited on this play to see what the Dodgers lineup looks like today, and it is strong. Jesse Chavez has struggled in recent outings, and the Dodgers offense is one of the best in baseball. While they didn't show it last night, the Dodgers have the bullpen advantage here as well. Good price on the much better team here. Take the Dodgers. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jacob Degrom has been throwing the ball extremely well all year, but the stretch he has been on since May is extraordinary. In his last 15 starts, Degrom has allowed more than 2 runs only two times. He has allowed more than 3 runs only once. He is absolutely locked in right now. He is a serious contender for the NL Cy Young award. Kevin Gausman has been up and down in his career, but Gausman has great stuff and he has been much better at home than on the road. Gausman has a 3.38 career home ERA, and his ERA at home this season is just 1.50. The Mets offense has improved lately, but they still aren't good. These are two good defensive teams with good bullpens. 

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Orioles last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 3-0-2 in Gausman's last 5 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts when the Orioles gave up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 3-0-2 in his last 5 home starts overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Monday MONEY* The Minnesota Twins have been terrible on the road in recent weeks. Minnesota has a weak .296 on base percentage against right handed pitching this year. Bryan Mitchell is a pretty good prospect for the Yankees. He might not pitch deep into the game, but the Yankees have a huge bullpen advantage over Minnesota here. Kyle Gibson is the primary reason for this play. Gibson has a career 10.70 ERA in four career starts vs. the Yankees. This Yankees lineup is absolutely capable of putting up a huge number here. Gibson's career ERA in the month of August is 5.91. The moneyline is -150 here, and I don't like paying that much. Since I believe the Yankees have a real shot at putting up several runs, the run line is the better value at a big plus money price. Take New York -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Red HOT CASH* The Miami Marlins are playing some terrible baseball right now. Without Stanton the lineup isn't good, and now they are without arguably their second or third  best hitter in Christian Yelich. The Cardinals have some guys down with injuries offensively, but they have youngsters who are more than picking up the slack. Randall Grichuk has been amazing, and Stephen Piscotty is producing in a big way too.

Carlos Martinez is turning into a very good starting pitcher. Martinez has a spectacular 1.47 ERA so far this year. David Phelps has been getting crushed of late, and his daytime ERA this year is 6.17. This is a mismatch in every way. The Marlins aren't likely to score many runs here, and I see St. Louis covering the run line. St. Louis is 23-5 in Martinez's last 28 starts. The Marlins are 0-6 in Phelps' last 6 starts. Take St. Louis -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers meet on Saturday night. Justin Verlander starts for the Tigers. In four of his last six starts, Verlander has allowed one earned run or less. While I'm still cautious about him, there have been some encouraging signs. Collin McHugh has been throwing the ball better of late, and he is due for some better luck. Opponents have had a lot of batted ball luck against him this year, and that should even out over time. The biggest reason for this pick though was who is behind the plate. Bill Miller is my single favorite under umpire in baseball. He routinely has a massive strike zone, and he'll help these pitchers out.

The under is 4-0 in Houston's last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The under is 6-0 in McHugh's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after the team scored 5 runs or more last game. The under is 7-1 in his last 8 games. The under is 4-0 in Miller's last 4 Saturday games behind the plate. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* Johnny Cueto is an elite starter, and the Royals are already looking great for picking him up. He's thrown it well in all three of his starts with the team. The Angels offense has been a disappointment this year, and the bottom of their order isn't any good. Kansas City has been awesome at home this year (40-20), and the Royals have the much better bullpen. The Royals offense is undervalued by many. Matt Shoemaker has an ERA of 10.00 in two career starts vs. Kansas City. He's a streaky pitcher, and he was hit hard in his last outing. Shoemaker is much worse on the road too. The moneyline is too expensive for me (I never lay more than -150 in MLB). Take Kansas City -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago Cubs are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They are finding ways to win the close games thanks to great bullpen work and timely hitting. Jake Arrieta is one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Arrieta has been terrific all year long, and his consistency has been amazing. The White Sox have had a few nice weeks of late offensively, but this is still one of the weaker lineups in baseball. Jose Quintana is a quality pitcher for the White Sox, but the Cubs are really good against left-handed pitching. The Cubs have the starting pitching edge, the lineup edge, and the bullpen edge. 

The Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more. They are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more. They are 7-0 in Arrieta's last 7 as a road favorite. They are 5-0 in his last 5 with the total set from 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games. They are 0-4 in Quintana's last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. A 56-0 angle. Take the Cubs. 

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The San Diego Padres have Tyson Ross on the mound for this one. Ross is a rare pitcher who has fared well at Coors Field. He has a career 3.75 ERA at Coors. Ross is a guy who gets a ton of ground balls, and that helps a lot in Colorado. The Rockies lineup is still solid, but it's certainly not what it was at the beginning of the year. Yohan Flande starts for the Rockies and I'm not very high on him. San Diego catches the Rockies after a long road trip here, and the Rockies are likely to be the more tired team. Colorado looks listless of late, and I truly believe the Padres should be the clear favorite in this one.

San Diego is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite. They are 5-0 in Ross' last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. They are 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the NL West. The Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. They are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. They are 0-5 in their past five games against San Diego. A 27-0 angle. Take San Diego. 

*3 Star MLB Run Line Value* The St. Louis Cardinals have been the best team in baseball this year. This is a team with no real weaknesses. St. Louis has a great starting staff, a great bullpen, and a very good lineup. Miami has one of the weakest lineups in baseball. The Marlins have fallen apart late in the year on the road. Miami is 16-37 in their last 53 road games. They are 1-5 in Tom Koehler's last 6 starts. Koehler has thrown the ball well at home in his career, but he has struggled on the road. August has been his worst month of the year by a large margin. Jaime Garcia has been really good this season, and he has been great at home in his career. I'll take the plus money on the run line here. Take St. Louis -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels staged a major comeback and beat the Kansas City Royals in a 7-6 thriller on Thursday night. That's two nights in a row that Kansas City's excellent bullpen has blown late leads. The Angels haven't been good on the road this year, and the Royals have been totally dominant at home. Jered Weaver isn't a guy I believe in, and I see the Royals as the value side here. Kansas City has a terrific home field advantage, and their offense has been consistent at home all year. The Angels offense has struggled against lefties this season. I expected a bigger price on this one.

The Royals are 6-0 in Duffy's last 6 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. They are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left handed starter. They are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. They are 0-5 in their last 5 overall vs. a lefty. A 26-0 angle. Take Kansas City. 

*4 Star MLB Run Line ROUT* The Houston Astros host the Detroit Tigers here. Dallas Keuchel has been amazing at home this year. Keuchel is 10-0 at home this year and he has a brilliant ERA of 1.26. The Astros are 10-1 in his 11 home starts this year. Houston has covered the run line in all ten of Keuchel's wins at home. In this one, Alfredo Simon starts for Detroit. Simon has been awful in his last couple months. Simon has allowed 4 runs or more in 8 of his last 9 starts. That's about as bad as you'll see, and Houston's offense has a lot of power hitters who should thrive against a guy like Simon who gives up a lot of home runs. Take Houston -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Atlanta Braves have been terrible against left handed pitching all year. Robbie Ray has had a nice season for the Diamondbacks. Julio Teheran has been very good at home this year. Teheran started the year really badly and he didn't find his form until recently, but he has quality stuff and should have a nice career. I expected a lower total in this one, and I'm glad to take the under at this level. 

The under is 7-0 in the Diamondbacks last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in Ray's last 4 starts on 5 days rest. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 8-0-3 in the Braves last 11 games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0-2 in the Braves last 6 home games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 starts vs. the DBacks. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds for the first game of a four game series tonight. Cincinnati has practically packed things up for the season. The Reds have nothing to play for, and it has been showing on the road of late. Cincinnati is 30-65 in their last 95 road games. They are 19-53 in their last 72 as a road underdog. Cincinnati won yesterday, and the Reds are a miserable 3-13 in their last 16 games following a win. The Dodgers are 50-22 in their last 72 home games. Cincinnati is 8-20 in their last 28 games at Los Angeles.

Sampson starts for the Reds here and he is a decent prospect, but this is the toughest task he's had yet. He should have trouble with a very good Dodgers offense. Mat Latos pitches for the Dodgers and he was traded away by the Reds in the offseason. You have to think there is some extra incentive here for Latos. Latos will be helped a lot by Dodger Stadium being pitcher-friendly. Mismatch here. Take Los Angeles -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Mets have Noah Syndergaard on the mound for Thursday afternoon's game against Colorado. Syndergaard is a tremendous pitching prospect with a bright future. Syndergaard has a 1.57 ERA in 57 and 1/3 innings pitched at home this year. He has a 0.98 ERA when pitching during the daytime. Eddie Butler has been beaten up badly often this year. While the Mets offense isn't very good, they have a massive starting pitching advantage and a massive bullpen advantage here. The Mets have beaten the Rockies 7 games in a row. In 6 of those games, they have won by at least two runs. Too expensive on the moneyline, so I'm taking the runline here.

The Rockies are 0-7 in their last 7 games with Butler on the mound against a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 in his last 4 as an underdog. The Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less. They are 5-0 in Syndergaard's last 5 home starts. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games against the Rockies. While I won't lay -250 on the moneyline, I'm glad to take the runline here. Take the Mets -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* In seven career starts vs. the Dodgers, Jordan Zimmermann has an ERA of 5.00. He also has a 4.95 ERA on the road this year. This Dodgers lineup has crushed right handed pitching this season. Clayton Kershaw is back in his dominant form, and he has a great track record against Washington. He has a 2.31 lifetime ERA against the Nationals. Kershaw dominated them in July, and I think he can do it again here. While it's always scary to take the run line in a game with a total this low, there is no way I'm laying -200. At plus money, the Dodgers run line is a solid investment. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 starts vs. the Nationals. Take Los Angeles -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Gerrit Cole vs. Michael Wacha is quite a pitching matchup. Over his career, Wacha has been much better when pitching at home, and he'll be at home in this one. Cole has really come on this season, and he has turned into one of the best pitchers in baseball. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate here and the under is a whopping 90-58 in his last 148 games behind the plate. Kulpa's massive strike zone is going to help both of these young pitchers. I look for a lot of punch outs throughout this game. A pitcher's duel as both guys go deep into the game. 

The under is 6-1-1 in Cole's last 8 road starts. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 games between these two in St. Louis. A 16-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The San Francisco Giants are coming off a rough road series, but now they are back at home and the Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Chris Heston has been great at home this year. Heston has a 2.57 ERA at home this year. He faces a Houston Astros lineup that is without one of their best hitters in Carlos Gomez. Scott Feldman toes the rubber for the Astros. Feldman isn't very good, and I think there's a real chance he doesn't stay in the rotation much longer. Advanced metrics suggest he has gotten very fortunate so far this year, and he is due for some regression. 

Houston is 0-9 in Feldman's last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less last game. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-7 in his last 7 as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. A 30-0 angle. Take San Francisco. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins and Texas Rangers meet on Tuesday night. Minnesota is sliding quickly as expected. The Twins simply were never as good as their record looked earlier this year. Minnesota has overachieved in a big way. Texas is trying to make a push in the Wild Card standings. Yovani Gallardo and Kyle Gibson have both been beaten up pretty badly in recent outings. These are two pitchers who are inconsistent and can be hit hard and give up runs in bunches. Also important here is both bullpens rank in the bottom five in the majors. This is the type of game where it wouldn't surprise me to see a lot of runs scored late in the game. 

The over is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The over is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed pitcher. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox offense has been bad most of the year. They got red hot for a two or three week period and now they are starting to settle back into their normal range. The Angels offense ranks 21st in the majors in the past month. Chris Sale is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He has been torched in his last two starts, but I think there is a good chance he'll bounce back here. The Angels have a combined batting average of .093 as a team against him. Los Angeles starts Matt Shoemaker, and he has been dealing of late. Shoemaker hasn't allowed a run in any of his last three starts! He's gone 19 innings in a row without giving up a run. 

The under is 5-0-1 in Shoemaker's last 6 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 7-0 in the White Sox last 7 vs. the AL West. The under is 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts with a total of 7 or higher. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game one of a series. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* I generally look for spots to play unders on get away days in Major League Baseball. Here is one of those spots. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. Anthony DeSclafani is a pretty good young pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. DeSclafani has been dealing in his last few outings. All year long he has thrown much better on the road than at home as well. Patrick Corbin is starting to throw the ball better of late outside of his last outing against Washington. The Reds offense has been slumping in a big way of late.

The under is 9-0 in the Reds last 9 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games vs. a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a righty. A 61-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Oakland A's offense is a mess. Ben Zobrist is badly missed in the middle of the order. The bottom of the order is among the worst in baseball. Houston has improved offensively, but the bottom of their order is still weak as well. Mike Fiers is a guy with a really deceptive delivery. Oakland hasn't seen him before, and I think that works to his advantage here. Chris Bassitt is a guy I've liked for a while now. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a single game this year. 

The under is 5-0 in the Astros last 5 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Bassitt's last 4 home starts. A 22-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Moneyline Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox played some great baseball for a couple weeks, but they have fallen off once again. I feel like the oddsmakers are showing them too much respect here. Chicago has been a bad team for nearly the entire year, and Kansas City has dominated them in the recent past. The White Sox have Quintana pitching here. He's a quality pitcher, but his numbers against KC aren't good. The White Sox are dead last (by a long way) against left-handed pitching this year. I was very surprised to see a price this cheap on the home team.

The White Sox are 6-22 in Quintana's last 28 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games in Kansas City. The Royals are 10-3 in Duffy's last 13 home starts. Take Kansas City. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jaime Garcia has dominated this Milwaukee Brewers lineup in his career. Milwaukee's hitters have a .202 average against him. This Brewers lineup lost a ton at the trading deadline. Gone are Carlos Gomez, Gerardo Parra, and Aramis Ramirez. This team is having serious problems scoring runs. They have struggled against lefties all year, and Garcia has been sharp. Wily Peralta has been hit hard by the Cardinals. St. Louis has a .331 average as a team against Peralta. The Cardinals have an edge in every aspect of the game.

The Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. They are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. They are 0-4 in Peralta's last 4 starts after lasing 4 innings or less. They are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the NL Central. A 24-0 angle. Take St. Louis. 

*4 Star MLB Dog of Day* I'm willing to admit when I'm wrong. I was wrong about the Cleveland Indians this year. I thought they would be a much better team than they have been. Minnesota has overachieved this year, and I'll look for places to fade them down the stretch, but this price is just silly.  Ervin Santana has dominated the Indians in his career (.179 team average against him). Trevor Bauer has an ERA of 6.07 in five starts against the Twins. Cleveland is playing some very uninspired baseball right now. How on earth do they deserve to be laying this price? This is purely a value play based on the price. Take Minnesota. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have Collin McHugh on the hill here, and he has thrown a quality start in 7 of his last 9 starts. Jesse Chavez starts for Oakland. He's going the opposite direction. After a great start to the year, Chavez has been awful in his last few outings. Houston definitely helped their lineup at the trade deadline, and they have a much better bullpen than Oakland. The A's offense is bad to start with and they haven't had success against McHugh in the past. Good price on the road team. Take Houston. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Dallas Keuchel has been great all year long, and the Oakland A's offense is really bad now. Oakland traded away Ben Zobrist, who was their best hitter. Oakland is also much worse against left handed pitching, and Keuchel is one of the best lefties in the league. Sonny Gray is an amazing pitcher as well. Gray has been on quite a roll all year long. The Astros have a better lineup now, but they still strikeout a lot. Gray has the ability to rack up the punch outs here. 

The under is 5-0 in the A's last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in Gray's last 5 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 5-0-2 in Gray's last 7 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Gray's last 5 starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 3-0-2 in Gray's last 5 games vs. a team with a team with a winning record. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Julio Teheran is a better pitcher than he showed early this year. He has been rounding into form of late and he has been sharp at home all year long. Teheran also has a 2.54 ERA in 10 career starts vs. the Marlins. Miami's lineup is one of the worst in the majors. Atlanta's lineup isn't much, if any, better than the Marlins. Jose Fernandez is absolutely tremendous. Fernandez hasn't missed a beat after coming back from injury. He's absolutely one of the top five pitchers in the game today. Fernandez has been brilliant against the Braves in the past. He has a career 0.93 ERA against Atlanta. Look for a pitcher's duel here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays can obviously score runs in bunches. This is an amazing lineup. Kyle Gibson has a career ERA of 5.72 in the second half of the season. He was good earlier in the year, but he has shown signs of faltering lately. I think that gets even worse against a star studded lineup like Toronto's. The Minnesota bullpen is one of the worst in baseball, so they won't help much. Mark Buehrle has thrown the ball really well in the last couple months. Minnesota's offense is regressing back to the mean of late. If this game is a slugfest, that gives the Blue Jays a nice advantage. Minnesota has lost 8 of their last 10 games, and 7 of those 8 losses were by 2 runs or more. Toronto has won 7 of their last 8 games, and 6 of those 7 wins have come by 2 runs or more. Take Toronto -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Houston Astros send Scott Kazmir to the mound, and short of Clayton Kershaw there hasn't been anyone in baseball throwing the ball better than him of late. He's a really streaky pitcher, and he can go on prolonged stretches like this. Since Kazmir is capable of getting lit up from time to time, I'm taking the plus money on the run line instead of laying nearly -150 on the moneyline (though it was a tough call). Houston's bullpen is one of the best in baseball. Texas has the worst bullpen in baseball. Nick Martinez has been really bad in the last month, and Houston's offense is much improved. Take Houston -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Run Line ROUT* The Toronto Blue Jays have the best offense in the majors. Tyler Duffey has been called up from Triple A to make his first career start for the Twins in this one. What a team to have to make your first start against! The Twins are tanking right now. They overachieved for a really long time, but they are finally coming back down to earth. Drew Hutchison's home/road splits are massive. He's pitching at home here, and he has an ERA of 2.47 at home this year. I fully expect Toronto to score several runs here, and Hutchison is capable of getting on a roll and shutting down the Twins. Take Toronto -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Chicago White Sox offense has been much better of late, but I believe their amazing offensive output isn't going to continue much longer. Who's the type of pitcher who can stop them? Chris Archer is definitely the type of guy. Archer has actually been better away from home in his career. He pitches deep into the game and will take advantage of the White Sox aggressiveness at the plate. Chris Sale is coming off a rare bad start, and I fully expect him to bounce back in a huge way. Sale is one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball. The Rays lineup isn't very good. Look for both starters to go deep into this game. 

The under is 4-0 in Archer's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Sale's last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts following a team loss. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more. A 25-0 angle. Take the under.  

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The San Francisco Giants are a better team than the Atlanta Braves. I don't think anyone can dispute that one. I had my eye on this game last night in hopes that the line would move down. It did move down, and now I'm taking the Giants. San Francisco blew a big lead last night and lost in heartbreaking fashion. San Francisco is a veteran team that has done a ton of winning, and they are well positioned to bounce back quickly. Bochy is the best manager in baseball in my opinion, and the Giants have a huge lineup advantage. Freddie Freeman is doubtful for this one and he is by far and away the Braves best hitter. The Giants bullpen is league average while the Braves have one of the worst in the league. The Braves are 0-5 in Shelby Miller's last 5 home starts. They are 1-11 in his last 12 starts overall. Great price on the road team. Take San Francisco. 

*4 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Toronto Blue Jays offense is scary good. Edwin Encarnacion is healthy again now. Troy Tulowitzki was obviously a tremendous pickup. Ben Revere was a nice underrated pickup as well. Toronto's first five hitters are easily the best in the majors. Phil Hughes is a guy who gives up a bunch of home runs, and Toronto is absolutely a team that can launch homers in a hurry. Estrada isn't a pitcher I trust a lot, but this Twins offense is coming back to earth lately. Minnesota's bullpen is one of the worst in the majors. Minnesota has overachieved all year. The Blue Jays should win comfortably. Take Toronto -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Kansas City Royals are one of the best teams in baseball. With their acquisitions at the trade deadline, I feel like this team has a real shot at returning to the World Series. Ben Zobrist was a great pickup for this lineup, and I believe the Royals offense is underrated by most. Detroit's offense isn't even close to as good as it was earlier this year. Cespedes is clearly a big loss, and Miguel Cabrera is still on the disabled list. Justin Verlander isn't the pitcher he used to be. He has allowed 6 runs or more in 3 of his last 7 starts. Danny Duffy has very good numbers against Detroit in his career (3.16 ERA in 10 starts). The Royals have a massive edge in the bullpen and defensively here. Great price on the Royals.

Kansas City is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. They are 4-0 in Duffy's last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games after scoring 5 runs or more. They are 0-4 in their last 4 Tuesday games. They are 0-6 in Verlander's last 6 with a total of 7 to 8.5. They are 0-8 in his last 8 starts on grass. They are 0-5 in Verlander's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. A 35-0 angle. Take Kansas City. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers offense was rolling along really nicely a few weeks ago. Since then, the Brewers lineup has been shredded apart at the trade deadline. Gone are Carlos Gomez, Gerrardo Parra, and Aramis Ramirez. These were three of the team's best hitters, and Milwaukee absolutely has been much worse offensively since then. Tyson Ross is a really good pitcher, and he's been throwing the ball extremely well. I don't see Milwaukee getting going against a pitcher like Ross. Wily Peralta has an ERA almost one full run better in the second half of the season compared to the first. San Diego's offense ranks in the bottom third of the majors in every offensive category this year.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 vs. the NL Central. The under is 7-0-2 in the Brewers last 9 games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 games against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 vs. the NL West. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 vs. an underdog. The under is 6-0 in Peralta's last 6 starts with a 5 days of rest. A 51-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Sonny Gray is absolutely one of the best pitchers in baseball. The Cleveland Indians offense hasn't been able to get anything going against anyone in the last few weeks, and it's hard to imagine them getting things going against Gray. He has great command of all his pitches. Trevor Bauer is an up and down guy, but he's been much better on the road. The A's lineup is a lot weaker without Zobrist in the middle of the order. Phil Cuzzi is the umpire here, and Cuzzi has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball. Look for both starting pitcher's to work deep into the game.

The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in Bauer's last 6 on 4 days of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in his last 9 road starts. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 as an underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in the A's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-2 in the A's last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games with a total set at 7 runs or higher. The under is 4-0-2 in Gray's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Chicago White Sox offense has come on in a huge way in the last two weeks. This was an offense that was the worst in baseball for much of the season. Alexei Ramirez, Adam Eaton, and Melky Cabrera have keyed the turnaround. Ivan Nova hasn't looked good so far this year, and Nova gives up a lot of fly balls. The wind is expected to be blowing out at nearly 25 mph for this game. The temperature is expected to be 90 degrees. That's perfect conditions for home runs. Samardzija is a good pitcher, but the Yankees lineup is excellent and they should put up some runs here too.

The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 with the total between 7 and 8.5. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 vs. the AL Central. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a righty. A 43-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Philadelphia Phillies are really playing good baseball right now. I'm impressed with the work of this team to continue fighting despite having very little to play for. Atlanta is in a terrible tailspin right now, and with the Braves selling off some key assets before the deadline, this is a team that is headed south in a hurry. Julio Teheran isn't necessarily a bad pitcher, but his home/road splits are massive. Teheran has a nice 2.37 ERA at home this year. His ERA on the road is a terrible 7.24. He's on the road in a hitter's park here. Morgan has potential and Atlanta is the second worst team in the majors so far this year against lefties.

Atlanta is 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the NL East. They are 0-6 in their last 6 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5. They are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a 40% win percentage or lower. They are 0-4 in Teheran's last 4 road starts. Philadelphia is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the NL East. They are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. They are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more. They are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a righty. The Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games in Philly. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Milwaukee Brewers lineup looks a whole lot different without Carlos Gomez or Gerrardo Parra. Milwaukee has been struggling to score runs with those guys, and now without them I look for some bad offensive numbers from the Brewers the rest of the year. Chicago's offense has been disappointing in the past month. While the Cubs are very good against left handed pitching, they aren't good against righties. Matt Garza hasn't been good this year, but he has pitched well recently against his old team (the Cubs). Garza generally pitches better late in the season too. Kyle Hendricks has allowed just 2 runs in 18 and 1/3 innings against Milwaukee in his career.

The under is 4-0-2 in the Cubs last 6 when their opponent fails to score 2 runs last game. The under is 6-0-2 in the Brewers last 8. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 vs. a righty. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 with a total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts vs. the Cubs. A 37-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* I had my eye on this one last night, and now the line has dropped to the point where I see enough value to make it a play. Gerrit Cole is a contender for the Cy Young award in the National League. I back Cole whenever I get the chance. He actually doesn't have very good numbers against Cincinnati, but I'm still confident in his ability to get a quality start. Raisel Iglesias has good raw stuff, but he gives up a lot of home runs and that's a really bad thing this time of the year at Great American Ballpark. Cole is a ground ball guy. The Pirates offense has heated up lately, and Pittsburgh has a huge bullpen advantage over Cincinnati. That's important because Iglesias rarely pitches deep into a game. Lay the price here with the favorite. Take Pittsburgh. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies are really playing hard since the All Star Break. This team deserves a lot of credit for not quitting. Philadelphia has a young core that is swinging the bats well right now. Aaron Nola is a very good pitching prospect for Philadelphia. I expect big things from him. Atlanta's offense overachieved through much of the early season, but they have fallen apart of late. While the Phillies appear to be playing inspired baseball, the Braves appear ready for the season to be over. Wisler isn't a bad young pitcher, but he has been very fortunate in avoiding long balls this year. The warm weather and a hitter's park isn't good for a fly ball pitcher like him. 

Atlanta is 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a righty. They are 0-5 in their last 5 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Philadelphia is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the NL East. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 4 runs or more. They are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or lower. They are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30. A 41-0 angle. Take Philadelphia. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The St. Louis Cardinals offense broke out last night after being silenced by the Reds earlier this week. Kyle Kendrick starts for the Rockies in this game, and he's one of the worst pitchers in the big leagues. It isn't very often that you'll see a total of 7 on a game where Kendrick is pitching. Michael Wacha is clearly a good pitcher, but he's struggling with his command right now, and the Rockeis lineup is great against right handed pitching. I like the value on this total. Here's another spot where warm temperatures and wind blowing out will help us. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF Bookie SMASHER* The San Francisco Giants have been really streaky this year. They are on a nice hot streak right now. San Francisco's offense is good, and they have been great away from home. They'll be in a great hitter's park on Friday night and they'll face a pitcher who is struggling really badly right now. Nick Martinez has been blasted on a consistent basis after starting the year brilliantly. Martinez has a career 7.39 ERA in the month of July. Madison Bumgarner starts for the Giants and he's been great throughout his career away from home. Texas isn't good against lefties. The Giants have an edge in every aspect of the game here. The Rangers bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. The moneyline is too expensive to the run line is the play. Take San Francisco -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* The ball really flies well in Arlington this time of the year. The temperature at game time is expected to be 97 degrees for this one. Nick Martinez is capable of giving up nearly this total by himself when he is off his game, and he has been awful of late. The Rangers should be able to put up a few themselves with the ball carrying well. Texas' bullpen is overtaxed right now, and they are terrible to start with. The Giants have been scoring runs by the bunches on the road this year. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Tigers have been one of the best offenses in the majors against left handed pitching all year. Wei Yin Chen has outperformed his advanced metrics by a huge margin this year. While I think Chen is a decent pitcher, I also believe he is due for some regression. Buck Farmer starts for Detroit, and he has been terrible so far in his young career. Farmer doesn't have the put away pitch needed, and this Orioles offense should jump on him. Neither bullpen is particularly strong, and the weather here is favorable for an over with temperatures in the upper 80's.

The over is 4-0 in Farmer's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. The over is 3-0-1 in Lance Barksdale's last 4 games behind the plate. The over is 21-4-1 in the Tigers last 26 with a total of 7 to 8.5. A 32-4 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Kansas City Royals are a really good team. They play great defense, have a solid lineup, and have a tremendous bullpen. Johnny Cueto is the ace the Royals needed badly. While Toronto certainly has a good offense, I think Cueto pitches well in his first start for Kansas City. Hutchison is a guy that can't be trusted to command his pitches, and the Royals offense will certainly be patient and make him work. Huge pitching advantage for the Royals and they are underpriced here. Take Kansas City. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays average 5.50 runs per game against left handed pitching. They have been historically good this year against lefties. The Blue Jays lineup obviously got much scarier with the acquisition of Troy Tulowitzki. He's one of the best in the game against lefties too. Danny Duffy has a career 6.75 ERA against Toronto. I think Toronto gets to him here. Marco Estrada pitched better than his skill level was for much of the year, but he has struggled in his last couple starts. The Royals offense is really good against right handed pitching, and Ben Zobrist helps this offense in a big way. At a total of just 8.5, I see this as a solid value play with these two offenses. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The New York Yankees scored 21 runs last night. In general, I don't love taking an over with a team that just scored that many runs the night before, but I 'm making an exception here. Colby Lewis is pure fade material at home, and I think the Yankees bats have a good chance of staying hot in Texas against Lewis. Lewis has a career ERA of 5 at home. This Yankees lineup is one of the top five in the majors right now. Another major key here in this one is the weather. It is expected to be 98 degrees at game time. That means the ball will be flying extremely well in Arlington on Wednesday night. Tanaka has been pretty good this year, but the Rangers have good numbers against right handed pitching this season. 

The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 5-0-1 in Lewis' last 6 as a home underdog. The over is 5-0 in Lewis' last 5 starts when the team's opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. The over is 7-1 in Lewis' last 8 on 4 days of rest. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox have been slumping in a huge way. The Chicago White Sox have won five straight games, but it's important to note how bad the White Sox have been against left-handed pitching. Chicago has a ridiculously bad weighted on base average of .259 against lefties this year. No other team has a weighted on base average worse than .279 against lefties. Wade Miley started the season pitching poorly, but he has been very good of late. The White Sox have been surging offensively of late, but that was against a bunch of right handed pitching. Also very important here is the home plate umpire. Doug Eddings is the ultimate strike caller behind the dish. He'll help both pitchers a bunch here.

The under is 5-0 in the White Sox last 5 after allowing more than 5 runs last game. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 8-0-1 in the Red Sox last 9 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Miley's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. A 25-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* What would make the Cleveland Indians be a favorite here? I was high on Cleveland coming into the season and I've been wrong on this team. Cleveland has a fantastic starting rotation and some good pieces on offense, but the Indians have been massive underachievers this year. They have been losing some really ugly games the last few days. It looks to me like Cleveland doesn't care in the least right now. Kansas City just continues to go about their business by winning games with defense, a great bullpen, and a good lineup. Chris Young isn't a great starter, but Trevor Bauer has been bad for Cleveland of late. The Royals have a better lineup and a much better bullpen and defense.

The Indians are 0-7 in their last 7 home games. They are 0-6 in their last 6 home games as a favorite. They are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the AL Central. They are 0-5 in their last 5 with the total set between 7 and 8.5. They are 0-4 in their last 4 after giving up 5 runs or more. A 27-0 angle. Take Kansas City. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Mets offense is still terrible (I expect more deals for the Mets in the coming days). James Shields has been throwing it well of late. Collectively as a team the Mets have a .155 batting average against Shields. Noah Syndergaard has amazing stuff. When he's on he is nearly unhittable. The Padres offense has been a huge disappointment this year. Syndergaard has struggled at times on the road, but he has a sparkling 1.74 ERA at home. This feels like a 2-1 or 3-2 type game where neither teams gets many baserunners. Look for a pitcher's duel in New York.

The under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 games following an off day. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4. The under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 vs. the NL East. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 vs. a righty. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 during game one of a series. The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 following an off day. The under is 5-0 in their last with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 7-0 in Syndergaard's last 7 during game 1 of a series. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 as a home favorite. A 64-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Chicago Cubs hit left handed pitching very well. The Colorado Rockies crush right handed pitching. With a total of 7, I'm going over the total. The wind is blowing in at Wrigley, and I assume that's the reason for this total being so low. It's important to note though, that the projected wind speed is 6 mph on average tonight, so I think this line is an overreaction to the weather. De La Rosa isn't bad, but he is certainly hittable, and the Cubs splits vs. lefties are much better than vs. righties. Colorado is the best team in the majors against right handed pitching. While I do like Kyle Hendricks, I think the Rockies will get to him some here. The Rockies bullpen is awful, so once De La Rosa is gone the Cubs could add on several. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Cincinnati Reds start Michael Lorenzen in this one. Lorenzen can occasionally have some command issues, but he is a guy with a high ceiling. Colorado starts Kyle Kendrick in this one, and I always look to fade Kendrick when he is pitching at Coors Field. Kendrick is one of the worst right handed pitchers in baseball, and he gives up a ton of home runs. Obviously, he isn't a good fit at Coors Field where the ball is really flying this time of the year. Kendrick has a 6.89 ERA at Coors Field so far this year. The Reds aren't a good team now, but they aren't bad enough to deserve being an underdog against Kendrick. Take Cincinnati. 

*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The St. Louis Cardinals are the best team in the National League. The Atlanta Braves are worse than their record would indicate. Atlanta is a team that could easily fall off in a big way in the second half of the season. The Braves offense is in a miserable slump now, and Michael Wacha is dominant at home. Here are the numbers working in Wacha's favor. He has a career home ERA of 2.41. He also has a career daytime ERA of 2.34. Wisler isn't a bad pitching prospect for the Braves, but the Cardinals have roasted right handed pitching all year long. St. Louis' lineup is much better now with Matt Holliday back in the middle of the order. Look for the Cardinals to roll in this one. Take St. Louis -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cleveland Indians offense is mired in a severe slump right now. They have been baffled by lefties the last two days. Carlos Rodon is inconsistent because of his inexperience, but he has tremendous stuff and I don't like the Indians chances of breaking out of their funk against him. Danny Salazar has had a lot of bad luck this year, and he shut out the White Sox once already this year. The White Sox, though they have hit it well in this series so far, have a terrible offense on the year. The biggest reason I like this play is home plate umpire Bill Miller. Miller is the biggest strike caller in the major leagues. The under is always worth a look with him behind the plate, and on Sunday (get away day) it's an even stronger indication. 

The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 during game 4 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Salazar's last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 vs. these two in Cleveland. The under is 23-4 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. A 39-5 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox lineup has been disappointing this year. Boston still has the potential to put up runs in bunches. They haven't done it as many times as they should have this year, but Alfredo Simon has been awful lately and I think they'll get plenty of chances here. Simon has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his last 6 starts (34 runs overall in those starts). Steven Wright starts here for the Red Sox. The Tigers offense is still one of the best offenses in the majors. Wright is a knuckleballer who is no better than mediocre, and he has a lot of trouble holding runners on base. Two offenses with a lot of potential and two pitchers I'm not high on. 

The over is 4-0-1 in Simon's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The over is 5-0-1 in Simon's last 6 starts as an underdog. The over is 3-0-1 in Simon's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Simon's last 4 road starts. The over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in Wright's last 4 starts. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox meet Friday night, and I'm expecting a pitcher's duel here. Jose Quintana has been an underrated left hander for quite a while. Quintana has a dazzling 1.21 ERA in 5 appearances (4 starts) at Cleveland. Cleveland's offense hasn't been doing much in the last few days, and they'll likely have a hard time here. Corey Kluber's peripheral numbers aren't much different this year than they were last year. The offense just hasn't been scoring runs for him, and the defense has let him down several times. This is a White Sox lineup that is arguably the worst lineup in the American League. Adam Hamari is a big strike caller behind the plate here as well.

The under is 22-3-1 in Quintana's last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in the White Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 Friday starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 vs. the White Sox. The under is 22-4 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. A 67-7 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Milwaukee Brewers have been on fire of late. This isn't a team that has packed it in for the year despite starting out miserably. They have gotten healthy, and they have started crushing the baseball. Milwaukee ranks first in the majors in on base average in the month of July. Carlos Gomez, Ryan Braun, Adam Lind, and Jon Lucroy are all healthy and swinging the bat really well. Arizona has been slumping of late. The Diamondbacks don't have enough pitching depth, and that shows here as they start Zack Godley in this one.

Godley is making his major league debut. He only has three games of experience above the Single A level! Godley has a 5.14 ERA in 3 starts at Double A. This Brewers lineup should get to him early.I've always liked Mike Fiers. He pitches much better in the second half of the season. Specifically, July has been his best month. In his career, Fiers has a spectacular 1.54 ERA in July. The Brewers bullpen ranks in the top five in the majors, while the Diamondbacks bullpen is mediocre. 

Milwaukee is 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite. Milwaukee is 5-0 in Mike Fiers' last 5 starts during game one of a series. They are 5-0 in his last 5 as a favorite. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. A 30-0 angle. Take Milwaukee big. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jose Fernandez is a tremendous young pitcher. His upside is absolutely off the charts, and after a very long time away from the mound (due to injury), he has stepped right back in and been great in his first two starts. Arizona's bats are slumping right now, and it's hard to break out of a slump against a guy like Fernandez. Robbie Ray has quietly had a great season. The Marlins offense is bad to start with and without Stanton they are really bad. The Marlins bullpen is one of the best in baseball. Two young pitchers who should put together quality starts here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Noah Syndergaard and Jordan Zimmermann meet in what I expect to be a nice pitching duel. This is a getaway day game, which usually means some starters are out of the lineup and we often see some quicker at bats late in the game as well. Syndergaard has 5 walks and 30 strikeouts in his last 4 starts. He has amazing stuff, and the Nationals offense isn't hitting right now. The Mets offense is terrible and Zimmermann has a career 2.91 ERA against them. This is a pitcher's park and the wind will be blowing in from center field here. Take the under in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs play a doubleheader on Wednesday. Doubleheaders are always tricky, because so many of the regulars get time off. Many times, I stay away from betting on doubleheader games at all. When I do have action on a doubleheader, it is usually an under. That is the case again here. Mike Leake has been in good form lately, and the Chicago Cubs haven't been good against right handed pitching this year. Kyle Hendricks is an underrated pitcher for the Cubs. Jim Reynolds is a good umpire to have here since he has turned into a nice under umpire in the last few years. Look for several starters to be out of this game.

The under is 4-0 in the Cubs last 4 after their opponent allows 5 runs or more. The under is 5-0 in the Cubs last 5 following a win. The under is 4-0 in Hendricks' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 during game three of a series. A 29-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ron Kulpa will be calling the balls and strikes in this one. Kulpa is one of the top under umpires in the game. He consistently has one of the highest strikes called percentages in baseball. He also has consistently rung up far more batters than the average umpire. Mat Latos and Jeremy Hellickson are both guys who try to paint the corners, and I see a friendly home plate umpire being highly beneficial to both of them. The Marlins offense is terrible without Stanton in the middle of the lineup. Latos has been throwing it much better lately and the Marlins bullpen is very good. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Road Warrior* The Texas Rangers have been better on the road than they have been at home this year. Matt Harrison had a bad first start to his season after being on the disabled list. Coors Field certainly isn't an easy place to make a start, but the Rockies aren't even close to as good against lefties as they are against right handed pitching. The biggest reason for this wager though is Kyle Kendrick is the starting pitcher for the Rockies here. Kendrick is a fly ball machine, which makes him a terrible fit for Coors Field. He's one of the worst starters in baseball, and when I can get even money playing against him, I'm taking it. Take Texas. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* I still believe the Cleveland Indians are better than their record would indicate. I expect Cleveland to finish above .500 this year. Milwaukee has been playing some good baseball of late, but I think there is some recency bias in this line. Matt Garza starts in this one for Milwaukee, and he's been blown up all year. Danny Salazar starts for the Indians here, and he's a youngster with a ton of talent. Salazar has been throwing the ball much better in his last few outings. I expected the Indians to be a much bigger favorite than this. Take advantage of recency bias and take the better team with the better pitcher.

Cleveland is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. They are 6-0 in Salazar's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Brewers are 0-6 in Garza's last 6 Tuesday starts. They are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 23-1 angle. Take Cleveland. 

*3 Star MLB Interleague BEST Bet* The Pittsburgh Pirates have Gerrit Cole on the mound and this price is really short for having a guy like him on the mound. I know Kansas City is a very good team, but I think Gerrit Cole is one of the top three or four pitchers in baseball. He hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in a single start all year long this year. That's truly amazing when you are talking about it in the latter part of July. Jason Vargas is no better than mediocre. The pitching mismatch here is huge. The Pirates and Royals are very similar teams in my opinion. The Royals have the better defense and better offense, but Cole should carry the way here. Take Pittsburgh. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals offense has been bad in the past few weeks. All year long St. Louis has been markedly worse against left handed pitchers and Carlos Rodon unquestionably has the stuff to dominate if he has his command. Rodon threw the best game of his career last time out in a win against the Cubs. Michael Wacha has been very good this year, and he's up against the worst offense in baseball. The White Sox have been dreadfully bad on offense this year. Both bullpens are good and I expect this total to move downward, so grab this one early. 

The under is 5-0-1 in the Cardinals last 6 following an off day. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The under is 4-0-1 in Wacha's last 5 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0-1 in the White Sox last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in the White Sox last 5 during game one of a series. A 24-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Atlanta Braves aren't good at hitting left-handed pitching. The Los Angeles Dodgers aren't good at hitting left-handed pitching. Both of them will be facing a good lefty in this one. Brett Anderson toes the rubber for the Dodgers and Alex Wood for the Braves. If you look at both teams splits, they are drastically better against right handed pitching. Anderson has shown the ability to throw it really well this year, and Wood is a guy who has come on strong throughout the course of the year.

The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 when their opponent scores 5 or more runs last game. The under is 11-0 in the Braves last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The under is 5-0-1 in the Braves last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The under is 6-0 in the Braves last 6 vs. a left handed pitcher. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Red HOT CASH* It's a matchup of Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer in Washington on Sunday afternoon. There isn't likely to be much offense here. This is an under I would have been at least somewhat interested in to start with, but with my single favorite under umpire Bill Miller behind the dish for this one, it's a four star rated play. Miller's strike zone has been the biggest in the majors the last two years, and the under is 35-15-1 in his last 51 Sunday games. There's no denying how well Greinke and Scherzer are pitching right now, and neither of these offenses have been swinging it all that well lately. I see a lot of quick innings throughout this one. Look for both starters to paint the corners with the wider strike zone. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers got one hit on Saturday night against Chris Tillman. Detroit has shown the ability to bounce back from poor offensive performances this year, and the Tigers have a favorable matchup on Sunday. Miguel Gonzalez has three starts in his career against Detroit, and zero of them are quality starts. His career ERA vs. Detroit is 8.47. Detroit's offense is a top five offense in baseball. Baltimore's offense ranks in the top ten offenses in baseball. In the past two years, Justin Verlander has a 5.25 ERA against the Orioles in four starts. Neither bullpen is all that great either. 

The over is 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less last game. The over is 6-0-1 in Verlander's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a team loss. A 20-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Tampa Bay Rays have a huge pitching edge in this one. The bullpens are similar, but Chris Archer is a tremendous starter and Marco Estrada is no better than mediocre. Archer has elevated his game to the point that he's a top ten pitcher in all of baseball right now. Toronto is a great offensive team, but Archer's numbers against them in the past are amazing. In 6 career starts in Toronto, Archer had a sparkling 1.49 ERA. The Rays are 4-0 in Archer's last 4 starts vs. the Blue Jays. Take Tampa Bay here. 

*4 Star MLB Red Hot CASH* The Chicago Cubs have hit left handed pitching really well this year. Manny Banuelos has potential to be good for Atlanta, but his long injury history has taken away a bit of his upside. The Cubs lineup is tough to navigate for any lefty, and Banuelos has very little big league experience. Jon Lester starts here for the Cubs, and he has gotten better over the course of the season. Unlike the Cubs, the Braves have been terrible against left handed pitching this year. The Atlanta offense is a mess right now without Freddie Freeman in the middle of the lineup. 

Atlanta's bullpen has been bad all year, and they will be even worse now with Jason Grilli out for the year with an injury. The Cubs have a clear advantage when it comes to starting pitching, lineup, and the bullpen. Take Chicago here. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday SIZZLER* The Philadelphia Phillies are the worst team in baseball, and it isn't even close. Their play over the last few days makes it look like they are ready for the All Star Break about as much as anyone. They know they have nothing to play for and if any team is going to mail it in on Sunday, the Phillies would likely be the one to do it. These players want to get home and enjoy their break. San Francisco still has plenty to play for, and they know this is an opportunity to get on track. They've beaten down the Phillies in the first two matchups in this series, and I think there is a good chance it happens again here. 

Chad Billingsley has been bad in limited action this year, while Chris Heston has been excellent. Heston has been particularly good at home. The Giants head into the break with a comfortable win. Take San Francisco -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Colby Lewis has been terrible when pitching in Texas over the course of his career. His ERA is above 5 in his career in Arlington. Lewis is in really bad form right now. The Padres offense has been scuffling, but I think they have a good chance of getting things going against him. James Shields is a good pitcher, but he does have problems with the long ball. Texas hits right handed pitching well, and there are several home run hitters in this Rangers lineup. Weather is important at Texas, and it will be in the upper 80's for this one. No umpire in baseball has a smaller strike zone than Paul Schrieber, so we have a great umpire for an over. Take the over in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Dallas Keuchel is a tremendous left-handed pitcher. He keeps the ball down and avoids the long ball very well. Tampa Bay's offense isn't very good, and I don't see them having much success against him here. Houston's bullpen is one of top five in the majors so far this year. Jake Odorizzi pitched great in his rehab start and I expect him to be ready for this first start back from the DL. The Astros offense isn't even close to as good without George Springer at the top of the order. Houston's offense is regressing of late. This is a pitcher's park and we have two very good pitcher's going here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* This one was a lean for me last night, but I didn't play it because the Mets were about -150. That was too expensive for me, but with the big price drop I'm taking the Mets. John Hirschbeck is notorious for being a homer as an umpire behind the plate, which is a big boost to this one. I'm not sure why the line dropped so much here, but I'm going to trust my numbers. Matt Harvey is dominant when at his best, and this is his last start before the break. Patrick Corbin is just coming back from an injury and I think it will take him some time for his command to come back. The Mets are a stunning 42-12 in their last 54 as a home favorite. Arizona is 17-40 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning record at home. Take the New York Mets. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers offense has been on fire lately. Detroit has hit Phil Hughes well in the past too. Yoenis Cespedes is as hot as anyone in baseball today, and he has been great in his career against Hughes. Alfredo Simon starts for the Tigers, and he has allowed 5 runs or more in each of his last four starts. The Minnesota offense has been good against right handed pitching of late. Neither of these teams has a good bullpen. Detroit's bullpen imploded in the ninth inning Friday night, and the Twins have one of the five worst pens in baseball. This total is a full run too low in my opinion.

The over is 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 Saturday games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The over is 11-0 in their last 11 games during game 3 of a series. The over is 6-0 in Simon's last 6. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 3-0-1 in Simon's last 4 on 4 days of rest. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 as an underdog. The over is 7-0-1 in Simon's last 8 after the Tigers allowed 5 runs or more last game. The over is 3-0-3 in the Twins last 6 home games vs. a right handed starter. A 55-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays absolutely destroy left-handed pitching. Toronto has a .365 weighted on base average. That's nearly 20 points higher than any other team in baseball. They face an average lefty here in Danny Duffy. Marco Estrada starts for the Blue Jays. Estrada isn't as good as he has pitched in the past month or so. He's a guy who is due for regression. The Kansas City Royals offense is hitting the ball really well in the last few days. I think this one has a real chance to be a back and forth affair between two good offenses. 

The over is 4-0 in the Jays last 4 Friday games. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4. The over is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 vs. the AL East. A 19-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies are a really good offense against right handed pitching. They haven't been good against lefties this year. In fact, they rank 27th out of 30 teams in weighted on base average against lefties. Alex Wood is a pretty good left handed pitcher. Wood started the season a bit slowly, but he has been great in the last month. Kyle Kendrick is a guy I look to fade any time I get the opportunity. Kendrick is a really bad pitcher. He isn't good no matter where he pitches, but at Coors Field he is a particularly bad fit. Atlanta's offense has been good against right handed pitching this year, and Kendrick is one of the worst righties in baseball. 

Atlanta is 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Braves are 4-0 in Wood's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Colorado is 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a left handed starter. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set from 9 to 10.5. They are 0-4 in Kendrick's last 4 after a team loss the previous day. A 24-0 angle. Take Atlanta. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies rank second in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitching. Matt Shoemaker hasn't been very good this year, and pitching at Coors Field is a really tough place to get on track. Chris Rusin starts for the Rockies, and he isn't a good lefty at all. The Angels offense is the hottest in all of baseball. The Angels have scored 8, 13, 12, and 10 runs in their last four games. A double digit run total from the Angels again here wouldn't be shocking. The Rockies bullpen is awful, and rain could play a role in this game too. This has all the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Chicago White Sox offense has been really bad this year, but they get a chance to score here against Drew Hutchison. Hutchison has an ERA of 9.00 on the road this year, and he was torched last year in Chicago. John Danks starts opposite him for the White Sox. Danks is one of the worst left handed pitchers in the league. Toronto has a ridiculous .366 on base percentage against left handed pitchers. The Blue Jays are easily the best team in the league against lefties. This Toronto offense is fully capable of getting to the over themselves if they get on a roll as they do quite often against lefties. This total is a full run too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Diamondbacks rank sixth in the majors in hitting left handed pitching. The Texas Rangers rank ninth against right handed pitching. Matt Harrison is working his way back from an injury, and this is a tough matchup for him. In addition, Harrison isn't likely to go too deep into the game, and the Texas bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. Jeremy Hellickson is a guy who gives up a lot of home runs, and it will be hot in Texas tonight with the ball flying well. The posted total here dropped to 9 overnight, which makes this one a play for me. Nine is a crucial number, so be sure you get that number. 

The over is 4-0 in the DBacks last 4 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0-1 in Hellickson's last 5 following a quality start. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in Texas' last 4 games with a total of 9 to 10.5. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games vs. a right handed pitcher. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games with a total of 9 to 10.5. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Orioles have lost the first two games in this series. Baltimore is a team that I think can win the AL East this year. They have a good offense, a decent rotation, and a good bullpen. Minnesota has no doubt overachieved to this point, and I'll be very surprised if they continue to hang in the playoff race. Tommy Milone and Ubaldo Jimenez are both inconsistent starters, but the Twins have struggled against right handed pitching this year, and Baltimore is good against lefties. Jimenez is a streaky pitcher, but he is throwing it very well coming into this one. Also, Jimenez has a career ERA just above 2 when pitching at Target Field. The Orioles are 20-8 in their last 28 games after losing the first two games in the series. They've shown the ability to avoid sweeps, and I think they are the better team. Take Baltimore. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins may have the same record, but the Baltimore Orioles are a better team. Minnesota has done a nice job to this point, but I fully expect the Twins to falter and finish below .500 this year. They just don't have enough talent on their roster. Baltimore's Kevin Gausman is a highly touted youngster who has quality stuff. The Orioles bullpen has a couple lights out guys in O'Day and Britton. The Twins bullpen is one of the worst in baseball. The Orioles also have a clear advantage when it comes to their lineup vs. the Twins lineup. The Twins are 7-19 in Gibson's last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Good value on the Orioles. Take Baltimore. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has been quite a bit better in the past month. Philadelphia is significantly better against lefties than they are against righties, and they'll face Eric Surkamp in this one. Surkamp had a 4.50 ERA in Triple A this year, and his past history starting in the majors isn't good. On the other side, Sean O'Sullivan starts for the Phillies and he's one of the worst pitchers in baseball. The Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late, but they are great against right handed pitching. A guy like O'Sullivan should be the perfect way for a Dodgers offense to break out of their slump. 

The over is 41-19-3 in the Dodgers last 63 home games. The over is 12-3-1 in the Phillies last 16 games. The over is 21-8 in the Phillies last 29 as an underdog. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels offense was disappointing early in the year, but this offense is firing on all cylinders now. The Angels piled up 13 runs in last night's win. Colby Lewis isn't a good pitcher, and the Angels have hit him hard in the past. Lewis has a career ERA above 5 at home. The Texas bullpen is the worst in baseball, so they won't provide much relief. C.J. Wilson is a mediocre pitcher at this point in his career, and his outings against his former team in Texas haven't gone well in the past. The temperature will be in the lower 90's at the start of this game and the ball will be carrying well. This number is too low.

The over is 5-0 in the Angels last 5 as a road favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The over is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 as a home underdog. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Texas. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Houston Astros aren't nearly as good of a team without George Springer. Springer is probably their best player, and he's definitely their best outfielder. Houston is much improved, but I still don't think they are as good as their record thus far. Boston is probably better than their record thus far. As Boston is getting healthier, their offensive numbers should improve. Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez has a long history of dominating in the minors and he's been very good. While McCullers has been great for the Astros thus far, his large jump to the majors (from Double A) still worries me. I think Rodriguez gets the best of this pitching matchup. Take Boston. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is pounding out hits right now. Milwaukee hasn't been healthy all year until now, and this offense is just now getting a chance to show what they can do when they are healthy. Mike Leake has a 4.5 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and several of the guys who have been red hot lately have hit Leake hard in the past. Taylor Jungmann is going to be a good pitcher in this league, but I believe he'll have some rough starts early on due to some control problems. The ball is flying really well at Great American Ballpark this time of the year, and we have an umpire (Tumpane) with a small strike zone behind the dish.

The over is 5-0-2 in the Brewers last 7. The over is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a win. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0 in Leake's last 5 after the Reds have allowed 5 runs or more last game. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Angels offense took a while to get going this year, but they are finally hitting the baseball. Now, they go to a ballpark that favors hitters in a big way and take on Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has an ERA above 7 at home. Hector Santiago has been masterful in limited action pitching in Texas. The Rangers offense isn't any good against lefties, and the Angels are slightly better against lefties than righties. Rodriguez is a guy who allows a ton of baserunners, and with the hot temperatures and hot lineup I expect some big innings for the Angels offense.

The Angels are 4-0 in Santiago's last 4 starts on 5 days of rest. They are 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite. The Rangers are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the AL West. They are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. The Angels are 12-2 in their last 14 at Texas. A 30-2 angle. Take the Angels. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is finally healthy. They haven't been healthy all year, but now they are putting up runs in bunches with a healthy lineup. Lucroy is a big presence near the top of the order and Aramis Ramirez is healthy now too. Ryan Braun and Carlos Gomez are red hot in the middle of the order. Joshua Smith doesn't quite look ready for the big leagues yet for the Reds. Look for the Brewers bats to stay hot. Jimmy Nelson is prone to the home run and the ball is carrying well in Cincinnati this time of the year. 

The over is 4-0-2 in the Brewers last 6. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 as a home underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 vs. the NL Central. A 33-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Matt Harvey vs. Zack Greinke in this one. Harvey went through a bit of a down period, but he has been amazing in his last three starts. Greinke has the best ERA in the league. Dodger Stadium is definitely a pitcher friendly park, and I think we'll see a great pitching duel here. The Mets offense is just awful right now, and the Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late. These are two right handers who can really miss bats, and I think we'll see a bunch of punch outs in this game. I don't like taking unders on a total this low, but I see both pitchers working deep into the game. A 2-1 or 3-1 type game here.

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dodgers last 6 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent gives up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 after the Dodgers score 2 runs or less. A 41-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Noah Syndergaard is a really good young pitcher who has tremendous stuff. Syndergaard is going to have a very nice career. Still, he isn't even close to in the same category as Clayton Kershaw, especially not as this point in his career. The Mets have scored more than 2 runs in only 2 of their last 10 games. I don't expect more than 2 from them in this one. The Dodgers rank number one in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitchers. Syndergaard hasn't been good on the road in his young career, and this is a tough matchup for him. Look for the Dodgers to put up enough runs, and Kershaw to dominate the Mets lineup. Kershaw has a 1.62 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Mets. Take the Dodgers -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Kansas City Royals have hit Tommy Milone hard in the past. Milone has an ERA above 6 in his last four outings against Kansas City. The Royals have a professional lineup that can make Milone pay for the mistakes he makes inside the strike zone. Jeremy Guthrie isn't a good pitcher. He is always capable of getting lit up, and this Twins offense has been surprisingly good this year. At a low number and at plus money, I like the value on the over in this one. The over is 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts vs. the Royals. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense was dreadful in their four game sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians. They must now take on Mashiro Tanaka in New York. I know Tanaka wasn't sharp in his last outing, but I also am not writing him off as some others are. He can pile up the strikeouts, and strikeouts are an issue for this Rays lineup. Chris Archer is simply one of the best pitchers in baseball. Archer has been amazing against the Yankees in his career. He has a 2.02 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Yankees. He has an even better 1.91 ERA in four career starts at Yankee Stadium. In Tanaka's 2 starts vs. the Rays he has a 1.93 ERA. 

The under is 2-0-2 in Archer's last 4 following a team loss. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in Archer's last 4 starts vs. the Yankees. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Colorado Rockies have a top five offense in baseball against right handed pitching. Jeremy Hellickson isn't a very good pitcher to start with, and he's been dealing with some minor injuries that have been bothering him lately. Chris Rusin is a below average lefty, and the Diamondbacks have been very good against lefties this year. The Diamondbacks bullpen is subpar and the Rockies bullpen is awful. Colorado is without closer John Axford right now, and he was one of the few relievers who had been pitching well. Both offenses should get a bunch of scoring opportunities in this one.

The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0 in Hellickson's last 5 vs. the NL West. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts following a team loss. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona between these teams. A 20-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* I don't like taking totals this low, but this is a total I would take down to 6. Sometimes day/night splits don't matter too much, but in the case of Jacob Degrom they matter to me a lot. Degrom has pitched in the daytime 12 times in his career. His ERA in those games is a sparkling 1.21. Jake Arrieta's daytime ERA with the Cubs is 2.68 as well. The Mets offensive woes are well documented, but the Cubs offense hasn't been much better of late. Both of these teams really struggle against right handed pitching, and in this one they'll be facing a very good righty. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.