Queens NC vs Lipscomb

8 ET

8-Unit bet on the Under currently at 168 points and is valid to 165.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 21-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in a game with a total of 165 points.

Ø  One of the teams (Lipscomb) has had 33 or fewer turnovers over their last four games.

If that team is favored and the total is 160 or more points the Under has produced a 26-14 record for 65% winning bets.

Bradley vs Evansville
8 ET | ESPN+ | Ford Center

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 143.5 points and is va.id to 141.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama

8 ET | ESPN+ | Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL

8-Unit Bet on the Under 151.5 points and is valid to 149.5 points.

Here is a Free glance at type of unique and highly profitable research my subscribers get every day for every play I release. Check it out and then check the special discounted subscription I started offering today for the rest of the College Basketball season covering you through the NCAA Championship game.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, the Under has produced a 76-43 record good for 64% winning bets.

From my predictive mode, we are looking to see South Alabama to shoot 45% or lower from the field and with both teams making fewer than 10 3-point shots. In lined games, the Under has gone 9-2 when South Alabama and GS has seen the Under go 9-0.when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.

Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech

7 ET | ESPN+ | Thomas Assembly Center

8-Unit bet on Louisiana Tech minus the 9.5 points and is valid up to -10.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 218-72 SU 162-121-7 ATS for 57.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on home favorites of 3 to 10.5 points.

Ø  The home team is outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG.

Ø  The home led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If our home favorite has posted an assist-to-turnover ratio of not more than 1.00 and the total is between 135 and 150 points they have earned an outstanding 43-18 SU record and 38-21 ATS for 64.4% winning tickets since 2015.

From the predictive model we learn that WKY is 35-1 SU since 2006 and 10-3 ATS for 77% winning tickets since 2016 when scoring 77 or more points and with the opponent having committed three or more turnovers than they did.

Loyola – Maryland vs American

Bender Arena | 7 ET | ESPN+

8-Unit bet on Loyola- Maryland +9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exceptional record going 340-230-5 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on road teams that are priced at pick-em or as an underdog.

Ø  The road team is avenging a double-digit home loss.

Ø  The road team has lost 80% or more of their games on the season.

American is just 9-18 ATS in each of the last two seasons after game number 15 and facing a foe that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Loyola is 30-10 ATS for 75% in home games in which they seek to avenge a loss where they scored 60 or fewer points. Bet Loyola.

Michigan State vs Minnesota

Williams Arena | 9 ET | Peacock

8-Unit Bet on Michigan State -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points.

Here are a few of the situational trends that are supporting this bet on MSU. MSU is 155-110 ATS after having won four of their last five games. Minnesota is 23-44 ATS after covering the the spread in four of their last five games.

MSU is coming off a two-game home stand and under their head coach Tom Izzo they have gone 96-60 ATS when coming off a two home games in which they were priced as the favorite.

From my predictive model, MSU is 19-6 SU and 16-5 ATS for 8-% when scoring 75 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers when facing a conference foe under Tom Izzo.

South Carolina vs Mississippi

Colonial Life Arena, Columbia
6:30 EST | SECN

8-Unit bet on South Carolina -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 27-9 SU and 22-13-1 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on home favorites between 3 and 6.5 points.

Ø  The home team has covered the spread by a total of 48 or more points over their last 7 games.

Ø  The home te4am has won 75% or more of their games on the season.

Ø  The Total is between 130 and 145 points.

Morgan State vs NC Central

McDougal-McLendon Arena, Durham | 7:30 ET

8-Unit bet on Morgan State +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 41-20-3 for 67% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points.

Ø  The team is a terrible shooting from beyond the arc making 32% or fewer of those shots.

Ø  The foe allows 32% or lower 3-point shooting.

Ø  The game takes place after game number 15.

Ø  The team averages 14.5 to 17 turnovers per game.

Ø  The guest averages 14.5 or fewer turnovers per game.

If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets.

Nebraska vs Illinois
6:30 EST

8-Unit bet on Nebraska +9.5 points and is valid down to 7.5 points.

Nebraska is a decent 3-popint shooting team and this is something Illinois does struggle defending as evidenced by the fact they are 3-11 ATS when facing a team that is making right or more 3-point shots per game after the 15th game of each of the past three seasons. Illinois is just 6-17 ATS when having lost to the spread in two fo their last three games over the past three seasons; 46-69 ATS following a game in which they committed eight or fewer turnovers. Illinois head coach is 9-19 ATS following a game in which they made 78% or more of their free throws.

From the predictive model, Nebraska is 24-4 SU and 20-4-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 77 or more points and had 12 or fewer turnovers since 2019.

Xavier vs DePaul

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

(12) Iowa State vs (18) Baylor
8:00 ET | ESPN

Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
10-Unit MAX Bet on Baylor -3.5 points and is valid to -5.5 points.

Betting on ranked teams that are ranked higher in numeric value in the AP poll (Baylor ranked 18th and Iowa State ranked 12th) and are at home facing a conference foe have gone 294-180 SU (62%) and 176-133-8 ATS (57%) since 2006. If the line is between 3.5 and 6.5 points these home ranked teams have gone 7-1 SUATS since 2018.

In a ranked matchup of conference foes where the home team is favored between 1.5 and 10.5 points and the total is between 135 and 145 points, the home team has gone 60-17 SU and 47-27-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2006. If the home team has won 75% or more of their games on the season, they improve to 44-11 SU and 36-17-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2006. If we drill down a bit further into the matchup and include only games after the 15th one of the regular season, these homers have gone 32-5 SU and 24-11-2 ASTS for 69% winning bets.

ISU is just 2-12 ATS in road games facing teams that attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game on the season over the last two seasons. Baylor is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we expect Baylor to score 77 or more points and shoot 42% or higher form beyond the arc and have no more than 15 turnovers. In past home games when they met or exceeded these performance hurdles, they have gone on to a highly profitable 102-4 SU record and 53-7 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets since 2006. In games in which ISU allowed these measures has seen them go a terrible 12-56 SU and 5-31-1 ATS for 14% winning bets.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

NIU is 12-3 ATS when facing teams that average 6 or less steals per game on the season after 15 or more games in each of the past three seasons. EMU is a money-burning 0-8 ATS in road games after two or more consecutive UNDER results over the last three seasons.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Morehead State vs Tennessee Tech

8-Unit best bet on Tennessee Tech plus 11 points and is valid of the remain a double-digit underdog.

TTECH is not a good basketball team. However, there are solid teams ATS in specific situations. They are 9-1 ATS having lost eight or more of their last 10 games over the last three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games avenging a loss to the current opponent by double-digits over the last two seasons. TTECH head coach Pelphrey is 28-12 ATS in home games when facing low pressure defensive teams that are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games in all games he has coached.

Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action.

Morehead State vs Tennessee State
8 EST | 8-Unit best bet on Tennessee State (TS) plus 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

TS is a solid 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last three seasons; 15-4 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons; 24-9 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. TS head coach Collis is a perfect in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games.

From the predictive model TS is expected to score 70 or more points and for Morehead to have at least four ore turnovers than TS. In past games in which TS has met these projections has seen them go 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets.

Old Dominion vs Marshall

7:00 EST |

8-Unit Bet on ODU plus the 9 points and is valid down to 7.5 points.

Consider adding a sprinkle on the money line that is not more than 0.5 units. If you like the money line more than just a sprinkle then reduce the spread bet to 7 units and add 1.5 units on the money line to make the combination wager a little more aggressive.

ODU is on an 11-3 ATS run when facing teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game after 15+ games spanning the last two seasons. Marshall is 3-18 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent in each game.

From the predictive model, ODU is a perfect 7-0 ATS when scoring 71 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons.

Vanderbilt vs Auburn

Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet Under the total between 140 and 150.

Ø  The road team is coming off a double-digit loss.

Ø  The host is coming off a road upset loss.

If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

Wichita State vs Tulsa

7 EST | Donald W. Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK
8-Unit bet on Tulsa using the money line if priced at -1.5 or less.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 50-21 SU record and a 38-21-5 ATS mark for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that is outscoring their opponents by 3.5 to 8 points per game.

Ø  Game occurs after the 15th one of the season.

Ø  Our team is coming off five consecutive games in which they allowed 75 or more points in each one.

Ø  That team is facing a foe that has a scoring differential between -3.5 and +3.5 PPG.

If our team has recorded an effective field goal percentage of 50% or better over their last five games, their record improves to 28-6 SU and 18-9-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Richmond at Fordham
7 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on the Fordham Rams getting 2 points. If this line drops to 1.5 dog and at most 1.5-point favorite use the money line. So, this bet is valid to -1.5-point favorite.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 42-19 SU record and a 43-17-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on home teams priced between a 3-point favorite and a 3-point dog.

Ø  That home team has earned a win percentage between 40 and 50%.

Ø  That home team has played Under the total by 30 or more points over their last five games.

Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan
7 PM EST |
8-Unit bet on the NIU +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

If you like NIU to win this game outright then consider placing 6.5 units on the line and 1.5 units on the money line.

The following Money Line College Basketball betting system has gone 99-115 for 46% winners, but by averaging a +158-money line wager has earned 45 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that has allowed 47% or higher shooting in three consecutive games.

Ø  That team is facing a foe that has allowed 40% or lower shooting in each of their last three games.

Boston University vs Holy Cross

7 ET | Hart Center, Worcester, MA

8-Unit bet on Holy Cross +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Let’s get right to the predictive model that projects Holy Cross will score 69 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past five seasons when Holy Cross has met or exceeded these performance measures in home games has led to a 4-4 SU record and a 6-1 ATS record good for 86% winning bets over the past two seasons. Boston University is 10-26 ATS for 28% when allowing 69 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. Holy Cross has not been lined to all games over the lifetime as a Division-1 Basketball program.

Tulsa vs Rice

8-Unit bet on Tulsa plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Tulsa at +7.5 or better during the first half of action.

Rice is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 1-8 ATS when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by four or more PPG this season; 8-18-1 ATS when facing a conference foe spanning the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS following three consecutive games in which they committed no more than 14 turnovers in each of the three games.

From the predictive models we learn that Tulsa is 15-6 SU and 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winning bets when scoring 74 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons.

Arkansas vs Kentucky

8-Unit bet on the Razorbacks plus 7.5 points and is valid to 6 points

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Razorbacks at +11.5 or better during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Razorbacks is the following algorithm that has gone 15-100 SU and 70-44-1 ATS for 61.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs of 6 or more points.

·      Our dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe.

·      The opponent is coming off an road upset loss.

If our dog is playing at home and their average points plus the foe’s average points per game is more than the posted total, our dog’s record improves to a highly profitable 5-18 SU and 17-6 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Pacific vs St. Mary’s
8-Unit bet on Pacific plus 27.5 points and is valid to 24.5 points

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Pacific at +34.5 points during the first half of action. This is a monster dog and upon occasion the models do identify a great opportunity with these horrible playing teams going up against a top-level conference foe.

Supporting this bet on Pacific is the following algorithm that has gone 11-113 SU, bnut a hioghly profitable 81-43 ATS for 65.3% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet on double-digit underdogs.

·      The dog is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes.

·      The favorite is coming off an upset win on the road.

If the foe is not ranked in the latest Top-25 AP poll our dogs improve to a 64-36 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 1995.

San Francisco vs Gonzaga
8-Unit bet on Gonzaga -8.5 points and is valid to -9.5 points.

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on two parts consisting of 10% on the Zags at -6.5 and 10% on the Zags at -3.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Zags is the following algorithm that has gone 70-20 SU and 52-36-2 ATS for 59% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

·      The favorite is outscoring their foes by an average 10 or more PPG.

·      The favorite is playing on four or more days of rest.

·      The favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If the game is after the 13th game of the regular season our favorites have gone an impressive 24-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Illinois vs Northwestern
8-Unit bet on Northwestern +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog.

·      Game is after the 15th game of the season.

·      The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

·      Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG.

·      That foe is coming off two straight Over results.

Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat.

Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State
8-Unit bet on MTST at pick-em and is good to a -1.5-point favorite.

MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field.

Auburn vs Alabama
8-Unit bet on Auburn plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons.

Evansville vs Northern Iowa
8-Unit Bet on Evansville +13.5 points and is valid f they remain a double-digit underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has gone 27-46 SU, but a highly profitable 45-26-2 ATS for 63.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are:

·      Betting on underdogs.

·      The Dog has failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games.

·      The opponent has seen their last five games play Under by 55 or more points spanning their last five games.

If the total in the game is posted at 140 or more points, these dogs improve to 20-23 SU and 29-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015.

Toledo vs Northern Illinois

8 EST
8-Unit Bet on Northern Illinois +5.5 points and is valid to 4.5 points.

Here are a few of the situational betting angles supporting NIU in this game. Toledo is 2-9 ATS when facing a team whose defense averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. NIU is 37-16 AYTS when facing an elite ball handling team committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game after the 15 game the regular season spanning the past 20 seasons. Toledo is 1-11 ATS after having won three of their last four games spanning the past two seasons; 26-13 ATS after two games facing conference foes spanning the past three seasons. NIU is 31-13 ATS following a game in which they scored 75+ points spanning the past 20 seasons.

The current lines convey an 82-77 Toledo win and my predictive model project that NIU has an 85% probability of scoring 85 or more points. In past home games in which NIU scored 75 or more points has led them to a highly profitable 84-8 SU record and 41-14 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 20 seasons and 10-4 ASTS for 71.4% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota
8-unit bet on Wisconsin -3.5 points and is valid to 4.5 points.

7 EST

Wisconsin is 16-5-1 ATS when facing teams averaging 16 or more assists per game in games played over the past three seasons; 8-1 ATS when facing teams that are outscoring their foes by 8+ PPG in games played this season; 14-4-1 ATS following a game in which both teasm scored 75 or more points over the past 15 seasons.

From the predictive models, there is an 85% probability that Wisconsin will score 78 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which Wisconsin met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to an outstanding 28-1 SU and 20-6 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Minnesota has allowed these measures they have gone on to a 2-21 SU record and 5-17-1 ATS mark for 22% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cincinnati vs Kansas
9:00 EST |
8-Unit Bet on Kansas minus 8 points and is valid up to 9.5 points.

Cincinnati is 9-19 ATS when facing an elite team shooting 45% or better and allowing 42% or lower in games played over the past three seasons. Kansas is 120-74 ATS when playing only their third game in a week; 70-40 ATS after allowing 80+ points in their previous game; 85-57 ATS following a loss.

Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word
7:30 EST
8-Unit bet on Nicholls State -2.5 points and is valid to 3.5 points. If the line drops to -1.5 or lower then use the money line for this bet.

Betting on road teams after game number 15 where the line is priced between the 3’s that are averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game and facing a host that is averaging 14.5 to 18 turnovers per game and in matchup where both teams defenses are allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting has earned a 27-7-1 ATS record fot 79% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Fairfield vs Manhattan
2:00 EST | ESPN+
Draddy Gymnasium, Riverdale, NY
8-Unit Bet on the Under 148.5 and is valid to 145,5 points.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016.

Northwestern vs Nebraska
2:15 EST
8-Unit bet on Nebraska -3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points.

Nebraska is 13-4 ATS in home games when facing a good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the past two seasons; 17-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

Northwestern is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when allowing 75 or more points and the predictive models show an 82% probability that Nebraska will score at least 75 points today.

Hampton vs Monmouth

8-Unit bet on Hampton +11.5 points and is valid to +10 points
2 EST

Betting on double-digit road underdogs that have forced 14 or fewer turnovers in five consecutive games and now facing a host that has played three consecutive games facing 11 or fewer turnovers has earned a 114-73-3 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If the total is 145 or more points, these dogs have gone 34-17 ATS for 67% over the past 25 seasons.

TX-San Antonio vs Tulsa
8-Unit bet on Tulsa minus the 6 points and is valid up to -8 points.

Tulsa is on a 56-31 ATS run when facing offensive-minded teams averaging 77 or more PPG. TXSA is just 4-13 ATS in road games after covering five or six of the past seven games. TXSA head coach Henson is just 13-24 ATS in road games when playing a winning record team after the 15th game of the season.

From the predictive model, Tulsa is projected to score 80 or more points and commit no more than 12 turnovers. In past home games when Tulsa has met or e3xceeded these performance measures has led them to a 48-7 SU record and 28-6-3 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to dd the remaining 3 units at 159.5 points during the first half of action.

From the predictive models we are looking for MSST to commit no more than 18 turnovers, score 70 or fewer points and hold Kentucky to 38% or worse from beyond the arc. In past games when they have achieved these measures has seen the Under go 41-6 for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Under has gone 33-9 for 79% winning bets when Kentucky has shot no better than 37% from beyond the arc, allowed 70 or fewer points and forced 18 or fewer turnovers spanning the last five seasons.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M
8-Unit Best Bet on Arkansas +2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points spanning their last five games and now facing a foe that has gone Under the total by 55 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 26-26 SU record and 44-26-2 Ats mark for 63% winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). If the total is between 140 and 149.5 points, these dogs have produced a 13-19 SU record and 21-10-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and the Over in these games has been even better at 23-9 for 72% wining bets.

The models did not identify a potential OVER bet for this matchup, but if you like it, I suggest betting it LIVE in-game at 137.5 or fewer points and make it no more than 3 units in size. I may put the OVER out on the web site as a free pick with the system featuring just the OVER and not giving away the side.

Georgia vs South Carolina
8-Unit Bet on Georgia +7 points and is valid to 5.5 points.

Georgia is 13-3 ATS when coming off a home ATS win where the team lost the game; 9-1 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in each of their last five games. Georgia head coach White is 25-10 ATS in road games and facing a host that is averaging six or fewer steals per game after game number 15 for his career.

Richmond vs Duquesne
8-Unit Bet on Richmond plus the four points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Richmond is 9-2 ATS this season when facing a solid ball handling team that averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Duquesne is 1-8 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record; 0-6 ATS this seasons when facing a team making 45% or more of their shots; 1-8 ATS when facing a strong defensive team allowing 42% or less shooting this season.

Southern University vs Bethune-Cookman
7:30 EST
8-Unit best bet on BC plus the 5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Southern is 2-12 ATS in road games when facing teams making no better than 31% of their shots from beyond the arc in games played over the past three seasons; 1-9 ATS in road games after the 15th game of the season and facing a foe that has won 20 to 40% of their games, BC is 8-1 ATS in home games when facing a foe that averages three or more fouls per game than their opponents spanning the past three games.

Iowa vs Minnesota
2 EST
8-Unit Best bet on Iowa plus the 2 points and is valid to pick-em.

Iowa is 8-1 ATS following a game with 24 or more assists spanning the past three seasons. Minnesota is just 24-42 ATS following losses to the spread in four of their last five games over the past 20 seasons. Iowa head coach McCaffery is 60-38 ATS when facing a team that averages 21 or more three point shots per game after the 15th game of the regular season.

From the predictive model, Minnesota is just 3-9 SUATS in home games in which they allowed 77 or more points over the past five seasons.

Long Beach State at UC-Santa Barbara

10 EST
10-Unit Best bet on UC Santa Barbara using the money line

LBST is 4-11 ATS when playing against a team that has won 60% or more of their games on the season over the past two seasons; 0-6 ATS when facing a team that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game after the 15th game of the regular season spanning the last two seasons; 2-10 ATS when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding their foes by 4 or more boards per game over the past two seasons; 5-12 ATS after having won two of their last three games over the past two seasons.

UCSB is 14-4 ATS following a game in which they made 55% or fewer of their free throws. UCSB head coach Pasternack is 30-15 ATS when playing against a team that has won 60 to 80^ of their games; 19-6 ATS when facing a solid offensive team scoring 77 or more PPG.

From the predictive models, we are expecting a slower than usual pace in this game with UCSB attempting 54 to 62 shots, shoot better than 47% from the field, and score 75 or more points. UCSB is 31-3 SU and 19-6-1 ATS in home games in which they have scored 75 or more points over the past five seasons; they are 29-2 SU and 18-5-1 ATS when shooting better than 47% and scoring 75+ points in home games over the past five seasons.

Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State

4:00 EST
8-Unit bet on NWST plus the 2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Betting on dogs that have lost to the spread by 42 or more points over their past five games and facing a foe that has seen the total play Under by 55 or more points over their last five games has gone 43-26-2 ATS for 62.3% winning bets since 2015.

NWST is 18-4 ATS when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game after the 15th game of the regular season.

Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech
4:00 EST ESPN+ | Hooper Eblen Stadium
8-Unit Bet on the Under 146.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Tennessee Tech head coach Pelphrey is 8-0 Under when coming off an upset double-digit win and is 11-2-1 Under coming off a road win by double-digits.

Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois

4 PM EST

8-Unit Best Bet on Bowling Green using the money line.

Betting on any team priced between the 3’s, after a game in which they made 50% of more of their three pointers, has a solid defense allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting, is facing a foe that is allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting, and after the 15th game of the regular season has earned an outstanding 38-12 ATS mark for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Arkansas vs Florida
4 EST |
8-Unit bet on Arkansas +7.5 points and consider a sprinkle on the money line.

Betting on dogs of 6 or more points that are coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and facing a foe coming off an upset loss priced as the favorite has earned a 77-43-1 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Oakland vs IUPU

2 EST | Indiana Farmers Coliseum
8-Unit best bet on the Under 143.5 and isa valid to 141.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Oakland is 7-0 Under in road games following a close win by six or fewer points in games played over the past two seasons.

Minnesota vs Indiana
8-Unit bet on Indiana minus the 4 points and is valid to 5.5 points.

Indiana is 8-0 ATS in home games and taking on a foe that has won 80% or more of their games spanning the past three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games and facing an elite foe that is outscoring their foes by 12 or more PPG; 15-4 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past three seasons; 9-1 ATS in home games following a game in which 125 or fewer points were scored.

Minnesota gas covered the spread in 8 consecutive games. Teams that are priced as a road dog and facing a conference foe and have covered in 7 straight games have gone just 16-50 SU and 25-41 ATS for 62% winning bets.

Maryland vs Minnesota
8-Unit Bet on Maryland +1.5 points and is good to Maryland priced as a 1.5-point favorite.

Minnesota is 0-7 ATS in home games following two games in which they committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. Maryland is coming off a 14-point loss to No.1 ranked Purdue on January 2 and shot just 33% from the field. IN the 2023 season, Maryland is 4-0 ATS following a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field. As a dog of 4.5 or fewer points, Maryland is 8-3 ATS following a game in which they shot less than 40% form the field.

Bowling Green vs Akron
James A. Rhodes Arena
Akron, Ohio
8-Unit Bet on BGU plus the 9.5 points and is valid down to 7.5 points.

Akron is 6-15 ATS when facing a winning record team over the past two seasons; 0-6 ATS following two games in which they allowed 65 or fewer points over the past two seasons. Akron head coach Morehead is 2-9 ATS following two games in which his team allowed 65 or fewer points.

From the predictive model, BGU is 126-23 SU and 48-12 ATS for 80% winning bets when holding a foe to fewer than 74 points and have an assist to turnover ratio above 1.0 since 2016.

South Dakota State vs. Weber State
Dee Events Center, Ogden, Utah
9 ET
8-UNIT bet on SDST plus 5.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Over the past 10 seasons betting on road underdogs including pick-em that allowed less than 35% shooting in their previous game and facing a foe that has shot at least 50% from the field in each of their three previous games has earned a 55-31 ATS record for 64% winning bets. This is a system created to exploit significant regression situations, which in this game is focused on seeing Weber State shoot below their recent three game average.

Tennessee Chattanooga vs. Samford
8-Unit Bet on Samford minus the 8.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points.

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points playing with four or more days of rest that are outscoring their opponents by double-digits and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half have earned a 63-16 SU record and 50-27-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game occurs after the 10th game of the season these teams improve to 30-5 SU and 23-10-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Western Carolina vs. The Citadel
8-Unit bet on Western Carolina minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to and including 5.5 points.

Betting on road teams in a conference matchup that won each fo their two previous games by 20 or more points and are facing a host that scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game has earned an outstanding 21-10 SU and 16-7-1 ATS mar good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

NEW MEXICO ST (5 - 8) at TULSA (7 - 3)

Friday, 12/22/2023 8:00 PM

8-UNIT Best Bet on Tulsa minus the seven points and is valid up to 8.5 points.

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off B2B home wins and that are a member of a major D-1 conference and facing a team from a mid-major conference has gone 75-38-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1996.  

UNC-Ashville vs. Appalachian State
7:00 ET, Thursday
8-Unit Bet on UNC-Ashville (ASH) plus the 10.5 points and is valid down to 8.5 points.

Betting on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that is facing a team that has won 80% or more of their games on the season and has covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games has earned a highly profitable 86-43 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Liberty vs. Utah Valley State
8-Unit Best Bet on UVS plus the 5.5 points and is valid if the remain the underdog.

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that made 13 or more 3-point shots in their previous game and is a matchup where both teams make 65 to 69.9% of their free throws has earned an 84-40-ATS record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game has a total between 125 and 140 points, our teams have gone 50-47 SU and 64-33 ATS for 66% winning bets. If our team is playing at home, they soar to a highly profitable 26-13 SU and 27-12 ATS record for 7-% winning bets.

UCONN v Seton Hall
8-Unit Bet on Seton Hall plus the points currently priced as 8.5-point underdogs and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Here are a few situational angles supporting the bet on Seton Hall in this Big East matchup tonight. SH head coach Holloway is 20-7-1 ATS when facing teams that are out rebounding their opponents by 4 or more boards per game; 44-26-2 ATS when priced as the underdog for his career.

Betting on underdogs using the money line that are facing a foe that shot 50% or higher in each of their last three games and is shooting 47.5% or between for the season and is now facing a defense allowing between 40 and 42% shooting has gone 66-62 SU averaging a +165 money line wager for a 31% ROI.

Bet on the Hall for an 8-Unit betting amount getting the points and sprinkle another unit on the money line.

Cornell vs Siena
8-Unit on Cornell minus the 13 points

Cornell is 17-5 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 57.5 or fewer PPG. Siena is 1-8 ATS following a blowout loss of 20 or more points; 4-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last seven games.

From the predictive model we learn that Siena is 0-8 ATS when allowing 80 or more points in games played over the past three seasons.

Eastern Washington vs Cal Poly SLO
8-Unit bets bet on Cal Poly priced as a 6.5-point home dog and is valid down to 5 points.

Betting on team that is allowing between 45 and 47.5% shooting and is facing a foe that is shooting 47.5% or better form the field and is coming off a game in which they shot 60% or better from the field has earned a solid money-making 40-18 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Jacksonville State vs Wisconsin
8-Unit Best Bet on JS plus the 19 points and is valid to 17.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs between 10 and 20 points that has a losing record on the season and facing a host that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and that saw their previous game play Over the total by 24 or more points has earned a money-making 235-152 record good for 61% winning bets.

Wisconsin is 0-7 ATS when facing a team with a losing record in games played over the past seven seasons. JS is 9-2 ATS when playing a below average defense allowing 45% or higher shooting spanning the past two seasons.

North Alabama vs Charleston Southern
8-Unit Bet on CSU +5.5 points and consider a sprinkle on the money line. Also, consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 more units at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that has seen their last five games play Over the total by 33 or more points in total and is a matchup modestly losing record teams with win percentages between 40 and 50% on the season has earned a 64-48-5 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets and if our dog has an assists to turnover ratio of at least 1.1 they improve to a 15-8 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Marshall vs Toledo
8-Unit Bet on Marshall plus the 8.5 points. Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 units on Marshall at 12.5 points during the first half of action.

Marshall is 18-7 ATS when playing their second game in the past seven days. Marshall head coach D’Antoni is 19-7 ATS when facing a team with a poor defense allowing 787 or more points per game and 45-27-1 ATS when facing a solid offensive team scoring 77 or more points per game. Toledo is scoring 80 points per game and allowing 77.

New Orleans vs San Francisco
8-Unit Best Bet on New Orleans plus 20 or more points

Betting on losing record road underdogs of 20 or more points and facing a host that has covered the spread in 6 or7 of their last eight games and has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 53-21 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 18-9 ATS for 67% winners since 2014.

Pacific vs Fresno State
7 ET
8-Unit best bet on Pacific plus the 14 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. 

Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are outscored by eight or more PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last two games has earned a 155-96-2 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Cal Davis
5:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on Milwaukee plus 9.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Iowa vs Iowa State

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 150 and 159.5 with one of the teams allowing 77 or more PPG and with that team trailing at the half in their previous game by 20 or more points has produced a 55-32 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Nebraska vs Minnesota

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Nebraska -2 or fewer points.

Betting on road favorites including pick-em following a game in which they lost to the spread by 18 or more points and facing a host that has seen total play OVER by 24 or more points over their previous three games has earned a highly profitable 27-15 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road favorite show less than 40% from the field in their previous game, they have then gone 17-7 SUATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Longwood vs Morgan State
8-Unit On Longwood minus the 10 points and is valid up to 11.5 points.

From the predictive model, we learn that Longwood is 10-2 Ats when scoring 75 to 80 points and MS is just 1-8 ASTS when allowing 75 to 80 points over the last three seasons.

Betting on favorites between -4.5 and -11.5 points that have won each of their last three games by double-digits and facing a foe that has trailed in each of their last three games at the half by 5 or more points has produced a 21-2 SU record and 16-6-1 ATS mark for 73% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Illinois vs Rutgers
8-Unit bet on Rutgers using the money line if the spread is less than 2.5 point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that have led at the half by six or more points in each of their past three games and facing a foe that scored 75 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 78-47-3 ATS record for 62.4% winners since 2015.

Detroit vs Cleveland State
8-Unit bet on winless Detroit getting 12 points and is valid as long as they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are getting outscored by 12 or more points per game and is coming off a game in which there was 115 or fewer combined points scored has earned an 84-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Houston vs Xavier
8-Unit best bet on Houston minus the points, currently priced at 8.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has gone 76-20 SU and 56-38-2 ATS for 60% winning bets. If our team made three or more three pointers than their foe did in the previous game, their record soars to a highly profitable 33-5 SU and 27-9-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Texas Tech vs Butler
8-Unit bet on Texas Tech using the money line.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Akron vs UNLV
8-Unit bet on Akron plus the 3.5 points and is valid down to 2.5 points.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Miami vs Kentucky
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky minus the 6 points and is goo up to 7.5

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG and led at the half by 20 or more points in their previous game has produced a solid 147-112 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets since 2015. If the game has a total of 160 or more points our favorites have gone 55-22 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model we learn that when Kentucky has scored 81 or more points they have gone an impressive 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS over the past five seasons. Miami is just 2-16 SU and 3-15 ATS when allowing 81 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.

Yale vs Rhode Island
8-Unit bet on Rhode Island plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The betting flows are favoring more action on Yale and the line could get to 6.5 points later today ahead of the tip.

Betting on home teams as an underdog including pick-em that is shooting 48% or better from the field and is out rebounding their foes by at least 7 per game has gone 28-6 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons and is an amazing 15-1 ATS over the past three seasons for 94% winners.

NJIT vs Wagner
8-Unit bet on NJIT plus the points, currently priced as 8.5 point dogs.

Betting on road dogs of three or more points that average between 65 and 75 PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last three games and facing a foe is averaging 64 or fewer PPG has earned a solid 28-16-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Alabama vs Ohio State
8-Unit Best bet on Alabama minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to 7.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

UNCA vs Lipscome
8-Unit best Bet on UNCA minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

Michigan Vs Memphis
5 EST Wednesday
8-Unit Bet on Memphis using the money line.

Memphis is off to a solid 3-0 start to the season and have shot over 50% from the field in two of the games and allowed 33% or lower shooting in two of those contests as well. Michigan is coming off a horrid 94-86 loss to Long Beach State priced as a fifteen-point favorite. Memphis head coach Hardaway is 27-14 ATS following three or more consecutive wins and 21-10 ATS when facing a team that is outscoring their foes by 12 or more PPG.

From the predictive playbook we learn that Michigan is 34-75 ATS when they have allowed 75 or more points. Memphis is 9-2 ATS when they have committed 10 to 13 turnovers. So, the predictive mode is expecting Memphis to scire 75 or more points and to commit fewer than 13 turnovers.

Iowa vs Arkansas State
8:00 ET
8-Unit best bet on Iowa minus the 20.5 points and is valid up to and including -21.5 points

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Same system applies to betting on Eastern Kentucky.

Tennessee Martin vs Eastern Kentucky
7:00 EST
8-Unit best Bet on the EKU minus the 8 points and is valid up to -9 points.

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Merrimack vs Ohio State

7 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State minus the 23.5 points and is valid up to and including 26 points.

Betting on double-digit favorites that are taking on a non-conference foe that had a winning record last season and is coming off a road upset win has earned a solid and consistent 75-5 SU and 51-25-4 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is not greater than 140 points, these favorites produce big profits going 31-1 SU and 21-7-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. Bet Ohio State and lay the wood.

No.1 Kansas vs. No. 17 Kentucky
9:30 PM | Champions Classic, Chicago, IL
United Center
10-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to and including -7.5 points. I do believe if there is any market movement, the price will get cheaper to bet Kansas. So, look for -6 or lower throughout the day.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in the first 10 games of the regular season, both teams won at least 60% of their games last season, and our favorite has 3 or more returning starters than their foe has earned a 36-12-1 ATS record for 75% winners and 44-5 SU mark. So, consider betting 80% of your normal bet size preflop and then look to get on Kansas with the remaining 20% at -2.5 or even pick-em knowing this system has gone 44-5 SU!

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 8.5 points playing on a neutral court that are coming off back-to-back wins by 20 or more points and scored at least 90 points in their last game have gone 31-18-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Ranked teams that made 15 more field than their previous two foes are 60-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2006. If they are favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points have gone to a remarkable 20-2 SU and 18-3-1 ATS for 86% winning bets since 2006.

Florida International vs Miami (Fla)
Watsco Center, Coral Gables
7 PM
8-UNit best bet on FIU at 20 or more points

Miami is the 13th ranked team in the nation, but the models are suggesting this is just too many points to be giving FIU. This line opened at -20 and has quickly risen to 23 and even 23.5 at some books currently. I suggest betting 50% now and add the remaining 50% amount within the last hour till the tipoff.

Betting on double-digit road dogs that are coming off a horrid game losing by 15 or more points and were priced as the favorites has produced an 22-176 SU record, but a 138-58-2 ATS result for 70.4% winning bets.

Michigan vs St. Johns
6:30 PM | Madison Square Garden
8-Unit best Bet on Michigan +2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

This is part of the Gavitt Tipoff games. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s in the first 10 games of the regular season after leading their previous two games by at least 10 or more points at the half and have only two returning starters has produced a 120-64 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

St. Johns is just 1-7 ATS in home games after playing a game priced as the favorite; 3-10 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite; 1-10 ATS in home games after one or more wins.

UAB vs Maryland
8-Unit Best bet on Maryland minus the points, currently priced at -5 and is good up -7.5 points.

Bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have three or more returning starters than the foe and with both teams having won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Howard vs Georgia Tech
McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta, GA
7:30 PM ESPN+/ACCNX
8-Unit Best Bet on Howard plus the 10.5 points

Betting on dogs from 10 to 19.5 points in the first seven games of the season that are facing a non-tournament team form last season, who won four or more of their last games in the previous season, and who won between 45 and 55% of their games in the previous season have gone 38-13-1 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

From the predictive model we learn that Howard is 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets in games that they scored 75 or more points and had more rebounds than their foes.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State
WinTrust Arena, Chicago, Ill
9:30 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on Miss. State minus the points

Returning starters and their production from the previous season a huge advantage in the early part of the season in college basketball. Miss State head coach Chris Jans has five returning starters while ASU head coach Bobby Hurley has just one.

Betting on teams that are the favorite by 3 to 9.5 points, with 3 or more returning starters than their foe and in a game involving two teams that won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season, and with the current game occurring within the first 10 games of the season has earned a solid 30-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Georgia Southern vs Georgia Tech
Opening College Hoops
8-Unit best Bet on Georgia Southern plus the points

Betting on road underdogs of 10 or more points in the first seven games of the regular season and are facing a foe that was not in the NCAA tournament and had a win percentage between 45 and 55% last season has earned an outstanding 37-7 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets.

NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet 
8-Unit Best bet on San Diego State plus the 7.5 points and do believe you will see 8 and 8.5 potentially prior to the tip off.  
LIVE Betting Strategy 
We have reached the final 40 minutes of the NCAA Tournament and two unlikely programs have navigated the March madness maze to reach this distinguished event set to start at 9:20 PM EST at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. The Aztecs know they can come from behind and were down 14 points in the second half to FAU before rallying for the first-ever buzzer beater shot that was scored with the team trailing and not tied. In the third game of the season, Stanford was up 10 points and the Aztecs won by 12. They were down 13 points to Coastal Carolina before winning by six points. They were down 11 to the College of Charleston in the first round of the Tournament before rallying for a 6-point win. So, I like betting 70% preflop at +7.5 points and then adding 15% at 9.5 points and 15% at 11.5 points during the first half of action only. 
 
Although unlikely prior to the tournament, these two teams are the two best teams right now in the nation by many measures. They both prefer a slow, grinding, and physically tough style of game with UCONN ranking 252nd nationally averaging 66.7 possessions per game and SDST ranking 254th averaging 65.7 possessions per game.  

The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes.  
  Teams playing in the Finals that have the lower defensive 3-point shooting percentage are 4-1 ATS for 80%. Teams like the Aztecs that three of their five previous opponents led by three or more points are 8-4 ATS for 67% in the Championship game. The Aztecs are 12-1 ATS when facing a foe that makes 8 or more 3-point shot attempts per game this season.  
 
1-UNIT Player Props 
Darrion Trammell Under 9.5 points 

Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points 
Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points 
 

Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 

10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. 

Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. 

The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport.  
 
Live Betting Strategy: This is a game that is going to a much faster pace than the first semifinal game. Betting 70% preflop on Miami at +5.5 and then add 30% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action. There will be scoring streaks by both teams. Overall, I do like Miami to pull off the uspet win here and move on the Finals – against FAU if everything works out there for us too. As a precursor I believe the line will be very close to pick-em if Miami and FAU meet in the Finals.  
 
Head coach Hurley is just 9-18 ATS in games away from the UCONN campus after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Miami head coach Larranaga is 28-14 ATS away from home after scoring 80 or more points in two consecutive games. 
 
 
Player Prop Bets: 1-UNIT MAX each recommended 
San Diego State’s Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points 
Miami’s Nigel Pack Over 13.5 points –110 
Miami’s NorchardOmier Over 22.5 points, assists, rebounds –110 
UCONN’s Andre Jackson Under 5.5 assists –110 
UCONN’s Alex Karaban Under 4.5 rebounds +100 
 
 

Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State 
8-Unit best bet on Florida Atlantic plus the points. 
3-Unit Parlay on FAU and Miami (FLA) money lines 
5-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total 
 
This matchup is the first game of the two NCAA Tournament semifinals taking place at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. First, I do not see the backdrops and backgrounds hindering shooting performances in either of these semifinals as we had seen in recent games taking place in Indianapolis, for instance. The first national semifinal of the Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston on Saturday will feature a pair of first-time participants: Florida Atlantic (35-3) and San Diego State (31-6). And while the Owls and Aztecs made surprising runs to Houston, their season-long success belies the notion that their appearances are an aberration. The Owls are currently riding an 11-game winning streak that isn't even their longest of this season. FAU had its 20-game win streak snapped by an 86-77 road loss to UAB on Feb. 2. 

To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister.  

 
FAU uses their bench better than any other program and no player is averaging more than 30 minutes per game. At 13.1 points per game, Martin is one of three Owls averaging double figures in points with five-plus rebounds alongside fellow sophomores Johnell Davis and Vladislav Goldin. 

FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. 

FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons.  

 
Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. 

Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. 

UCONN vs Gonzaga
Elite-8 Round
Bet the OVER 153 points currently. My strategy will be to bet 75% preflop OVER the total. As you may have seen on this Tweet and heard on the ERSPN Syracuse shows and Sports Map Radio shows, games that have played UNDER the first half total by 10 or more points have gone a perfect 4-0 OVER since last Saturday alone using the LIVE in game bet that can be executed during the half time break. So, if this first half does play Under by 10 or more points, add the 25% remaining bet amount on the OVER.
     Plus, this one, from the Elite 8 on through the Championship game, DOGS that led at the half went on to a 17-6-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. So, if Gonzaga is leading at the half, look to get a pizza money size bet on the books at pick-em during the first 7 minutes of the second half only. 

Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career.

Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State
8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points
The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. 
     Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.

Miami (Fla) vs Houston 
8-Unit best bet on the Under 138 points. 
Betting the Under in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament with a dog 3 or more points being a member of a Major Conference (B10, B12, SEC, ACC, PAC-12, BEAST) and the favorite not from the Major Conferences has seen the Under go 9-0 Under.  
Miami is 11-3 Under in road games facing a foe that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game in games played this season. Houston is 21-11 Under when facing a non-conference foe in games played over the past two seasons. Miami head coach Larranaga is 47-26 Under after having won four of the last five games for his career. 

San Diego State vs Alabama 
8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 137 points 
Betting the Over in the NCAA Tournament with a total between 130 and 139.5 points, one of the teams (Alabama) has won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has earned a highly profitable 14-8 Over good for 64% winning bets. If the line for the game is at least a –2 favorite, the record is 8-2 Over for 80% winners. 

Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season. 

North Texas vs Oklahoma State 
8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at  
 
Betting the OVER when the total is 127.5 or lower involving as matchup of excellent defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or lower on the season, after game number 17, and a matchup of solid rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by 3 to 6 boards PG on the season has earned a 49-25-2 Over for 67% winning bets. 

North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.  
 

TCU vs Gonzaga 
8-Unit best bet on TCU plus the 4.5 points 

Here again, you can opt to bet 70% preflop plus the points and then look to add 30% money line at any price of +300 or better during the first half only.  

TCU has shot poorly recently and have played Under their team total by more than 20 points over their last 5 games. They are facing a team in Gonzaga that has struggled defensively this season and has also played Over their team totals by 15 points over their last five games. In the NCAA Tournament, teams that have played Under their team total by 20 or more points over their last five games and facing a foe that has played Over their team total by 15 or more points has seen the team, in this case, TCU, go 29-12 SU and 27-13-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If it is a Round of 32 matchup, our team has gone 10-4 ATS for 71% winners and 3-0 ATS if priced as the underdog. 
Gonzaga ranks 357th of the 363 teams in consistency ratings and this makes Gonzaga extremely vulnerable to a significant regression after shooting 50% from the field in each of their past two games. We have a team in TCU that ranks 11th in second chance scoring in the nation matched up against Gonzaga, who ranks 105th nationally in this category defensively.  

From the predictive model, TCU is 40-12 ATS for 77% winners when getting 10 or more offensive rebounds and shooting at least 48% from the field and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners if priced as a dog of 6.5 or fewer points.