25* graded play on Vanderbilt as they take on Tennessee in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will win this game. Given the line showing Vanderbilt as a +2 point dog, there is no valid advantage to making this a combination wager using the line and money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-14 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VANDERBILT) after allowing 60 points or less two straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 65 points or less three straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vanderbilt is a rock solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game this season. Take Vanderbilt. 

25* graded play on Baylor as they take on Iowa State in a monster Big-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. This game will be televised on ESPNU/WatchESPN. The simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baylor is an outstanding 12-4 against the money line (+7.4 Units) when they grab 14 or more offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Baylor is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is a money losing 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. The matchup to watch Baylor exploit is on the offensive end. Baylor averages an offensive board in 42% of their possessions and reflects their superior athleticism and fundamental skills. Normally, a team this aggressive also gets called for a higher number of fouls. However, we see that Baylor averages a foul committed in 21% of their possessions ranking 78th in the nation and averaging 16.5 fouls per game good for 52nd in the nation. Take Baylor. 

25* graded play on Denver as they take on South Dakota in Summit Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will win this game. Here again, I like the combination wager using a 22* play on the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 87-48 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997.  Play on a road team (DENVER) after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games and with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is a solid money making  16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. The matchup advantage for Denver is ball movement and distribution. They rank 22nd in the nation averaging 22 assists per game where SD ranks 240th allowing 13.1 opponent assists per game. On the other side of the game, we note that SD ranks a miserable 259th averaging just 11.e assists per game while Denver ranks 30th allowing an opponent just 10.1 assist per game. Further, Denver ranks 18th posting a 1.370 assist-to-turnover ratio and SD a distant 188th posting a 0.968 ratio. Take Denver. 

25* graded play on Massachusetts as they host St. Josephs in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UMASS will win this game by at least 8 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season. SJU is also just 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) in road games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. UMASS is off two straight road losses and now return to home comforts. UMASS is a near-perfect s 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. In addition, Kellogg is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of UMASS. STJ has a scoring offense ranking 293rd averaging 62 PPG. They really struggle at times during nearly all of their games. Moreover, they are a horrid free throw shooting team ranking 346th in the nation making just 61.6% of those shots. UMASS needs this conference win and I expect them to put a very big effort tonight. Take UMASS. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Wake Forest is  2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 22-50 ATS (-33.0 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Moreover, we see that UVA has done well against solid ball handling teams. They are 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on the George Washington as they take on St. Bonaventure in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GW will win this game by at least 7 points. S Bonaventure has no perimeter threat ranking 274th in 3-point shooting percentage. GW can play zone and simply pack the paint and protect the rim forcing St. Bonaventure to try and win the game with their greatest weakness. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW does an excellent job at getting fouled and getting to the charity stripe. This has been a strong theme in the majority of their wins. GW is a solids 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take George Washington. 

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on NC State in ACC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by 10 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC State is a money losing 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; UNC is a robust  22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cream seems to always rise to the top in February in NCAAM basketball. UNC is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons. Not to mention 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season. I really believe the Duke loss where UNC had come back from multiple double point deficits and actually led by 7 points late, will only serve to add more confidence and focus to this team. They showed this in the next game after the Duke loss by destroying Georgia Tech 89-60 and easily covered as 11 point favorites. Take UNC. 

25* graded play on Ohio University as they host Bowling Green in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio U can win this game. Given this favorable projection,. I like making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Note that these are based on the money line and support by strong belief that Ohio will win this game. BG is just 1-8 against the money line (-8.7 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Ohio U is a solid 14-6 against the money line (+7.9 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 3 seasons. Ohio U is  perfect  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. Take Ohio University. 

25* graded play on Eastern Michigan as they take on Central Michigan in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that EMU will win this game by three or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-12 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2009.  Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (C MICHIGAN) after a cover as a double digit favorite and playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CMU is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. EMU is not a sharp shooting team. They rank just 275th in effective FG%, 279th hitting 31.2% of their 3-pointers, and 234th hitting 46% of their 2-point shots, and 290th with a 40% overall shooting percentage.  However, CMU is just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when competing against struggling shooting teams making

25* graded play on Norfolk State as they take on Delaware in State in MEAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NS will win this game by at least nine points. Neither team has been lined this season, but there is ample facts from the metrics of this game to serve for a very strong money making opportunity. NS finds themselves in second place in the MEAC three games behind undefeated North Carolina Central. NS and North Carolina Central are the two best teams in the Conference and I expect them to face each other in the Championship of their Conference Tournament. So, it obviously very important for NS to continue to build, work and improve as a team and not have any letdowns whatsoever. NS leader is guard Jeffry Short, who has team-highs in minutes (34), scoring (19 PPG), and steals (1). DS has a strong rebounder in Center Kendall Gray, who at 6-10 and 240 pounds does provide a paint presence. Yet, I see a quicker NS forward in Rashid Gaston being able to get to the ball quicker and more often. He is 6-9 and 240 pounds and very quick off his feet. He is averaging 9.7 boards per game. The NS defense is vastly better than DS as well. NS ranks just 246th in opponent assist-to-turnover ratio, but DS is a horrid 326th posting a 1.270 ratio. You will also see NS have much better ball movement and distribution on offense. Take Norfolk State. 

25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they host Louisville in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GT loses this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning this game. Given this favorable outcome, I liek making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the money line and a 4* play using the money line. This combination wager maximizes the return on investment (ROI) based on the projections. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GT is a solid  44-17 ATS (+25.3 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game since 1997.Further, we see that GT is a resilient team and has posted a 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Louisville has struggled mightily on offense shooting less than 42% in their last three games. Both teams are excellent rebounding teams, but GT has the advantage. GT ranks 12th posting a 36.4% offensive rebound per possession and 12th posting a 77.4% defensive rebound percentage. This reflects sound fundamentals at both ends of the court and it will be a dominant reason GT may win this game outright. Take Georgia Tech. 

25* graded play on Eastern Kentucky as they take on Austin Peay in Ohio Valley Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that EKU will win this game by at least 17 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Austin Peay is just  2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. EKU is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Looking at the stats EKU has massive advantages in Offensive Efficiency, effective FG% (53 vs 42), scoring offense and scoring differential. On the defensive end EKU enjoys advantages in defensive efficiency, opponent effective FG%, opponent turnovers per play %, and defensive scoring. EKU generates a turnover in 24% of opponents possessions. That's almost 1 turnover for every four possessions. Take Eastern Kentucky. 

25* graded play on Illinois as they host Michigan State in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-24 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2009. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MICHIGAN ST) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois is a solid 19-10 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 6-3 against the money line (+9.5 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Illinois has done well against teams like Michigan State noting they are  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game this season. Michigan State is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. Take Illinois. 

25* graded play on Indiana as they take on Rutgers in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 5:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by at least 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 120-63 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 2009. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RUTGERS) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is a money7 losing 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Rutgers is also a weak  4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games in games played over the last three seasons. Further, we see that Indiana is just  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Hoosiers have an excellent offense that ranks in the top-20 nationally in several statistical categories. Rutgers defense ranks 256th with a poor 1.082 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. I do not see Rutgers being able to contain the Hoosier offense and literally Indiana will simply run away with a win and easy cover. Take Indiana. 

35* graded play on the Evansville as they take on Wichita State in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Evansville will lose this game by fewer than 12 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Evansville is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Evansville is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, this is not a good situation for Wichita noting they have bee a money losing 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games since 1997. Adding more fuel of support to his play is that Simmons is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread and  33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) when competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of Evansville. I really like the matchup where Evansville's ball movement has a serious advantage against Wichita State. Evansville ranks 4th best in the nation posting a 0.65 assist-to-FG made ratio. They don't shoot many three balls at all and work the ball into the paint to get high percentage shots or to get fouled and shoot free throws. They rank 17th averaging 17 free throws made. Evansville has a prolific 3-point shooter in Balentine, who has averaged 25.3 points and hit 13 of 26 from 3-point range in three games against Wichita last season. The junior guard heads into this meeting scoring an MVC-best 19.4 per game while ranking among the league leaders with 53 3s. He will be matched up against last year's defensive player of the year award (Left Driesell award) in Tekele Cotton. This will be a great matchup to watch unfold and I do strongly belevie that Balentine will get teh best of it today. Take Evansville. 

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-4 ATS mark good for 86% winners since 2009. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) that are solid offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game on the season and after a combined score of 115 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan is a money losing  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is a solid  17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games since 1997. Take Ohio State.

25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on Houston in American Conference action set to start at 9:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Cincy will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 117-61 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 1997. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincy is a solid 32-11 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997.; 44-19 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Cincy defense will tighten up and play well against a struggling Houston team. Take Cincinnati.

25* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Auburn in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by 29 or more points. Very rare that I ever get a big-time favorite on board from the SIM, but when they do appear they are for very valid reasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game this season. Auburn defense ranks 278th in scoring defense, 306th in total rebounding, and 314th in allowed shooting percentage. Kentucky will be unstoppable on offense adn will turn up the heat on the defensive end. This is the time of year that elite programs begin to focus more intensity on the defensive end ahead of the Conference Tournaments and NCAA TOurnament. I don't see Auburn scoring more than 50 points. Take Kentucky.

25* graded play on the Stanford as they host California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they commit 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, the Cardinal is a solid money making 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) competing against minimal pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on San Francisco as they take on Pepperdine in Big West Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SF will win this game. They are installed as 2 1/2 point dogs currently and should this line move to 3, which I think it may, then a combination wager is validated. With a line of 3 or greater play a 21* amount using the line and a 4A* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 85-46 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on a road team (SAN FRANCISCO) after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games and with a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SF is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Take San Francisco. 

25* graded play on Louisiana Tech as they take on Old Dominion in C-USA action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that L-Tech will win this game. L-Tech is the better team on both sides of the ball. They rank 34th in scoring offense and 41st posting a 0.796 assist-to-turnover ratio. Further, they are vastly better on defense ranking 12th with a 0.710 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. They are not a solid rebounding team generally, but I do believe they will do a far better rebounding job against ODU. I strongly believe that L-Tech offense will simply wear ODU down with their faster style of game. ODU ranks 211th in scoring offense and 206th in free throw percentage, and 243rd in 3-point shooting percentage. The inability to shoot from beyond the arc will allow L-Tech to pack the paint on the defensive end and allow for for far greater rebounding. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. L-Tech is a rock solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. ODU is just  5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 14 or more offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Louisiana Tech.

25* graded play on Nevada as they take on Boise State in Mountain West action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Nevada will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2009.  Play against home teams as a favorite or pick (BOISE ST) off an upset win as a road underdog and is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is playing a bad team losing between 20% to 40% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nevada is a solid 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997; 52-19 ATS (+31.1 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997. BS is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Nevada struggles to score points, but they are a really good rebounding team ranking ninth in the nation averaging 39.3 boards per game. They rank 4th on the offensive glass getting 13.1 per game. better than 40% of all Nevada possessions result in an offensive rebound. BS will not be able to keep them off the boards and somehow Nevada will get their offense rolling. Take Nevada. 

25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Texas A&M in SEC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game by three or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas A&M is just 1-8 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-9 against the money line (-9.8 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; Further, we have a situational power trend noting that A&M is a miserable 13-26 against the money line (-31.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997. SC has a dominating defense in this matchup. They rank 14th in the nation in effective FG% allowing opponents just 43.7% shooting, and 13th in true opponent shooting percentage at 38.2%. A&M ranks 100th in effective shooting and 140th in shooting efficiency. SC will use it's suffocating defense to generate fast breaks off of missed shots and A&M turnovers. Take South Carolina. 

25* graded play on Texas Tech as they take on Oklahoma in Big-12 Conference action set to start at Noon PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tech will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tech is a struggling offensive team that ranks 312th in socring offense (60.4 PPG), bu the Sooners have mysteriously struggled against these types of teams. Sooners are a miserable 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games competing against offensive teams scoring

25* graded play on the Seton Hall as they take on St. Johns in Big east Conference action set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seton Hall will lose this game by fewer than 8 points. I would add a 2* money play to the 25* play using the line based on the projections. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 104-60 ATS mark good for 63.4% winners since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seton Hall is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Willard is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals as the coach of Seton Hall and 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Take Seton Hall. 

35* graded play on Harvard as they host Penn in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Harvard will win this game by 20 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Harvard is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons;  18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Penn is also an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when competing against good rebounding teams out rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last two seasons. In every significant statistical category, Harvard has a vast advantage. They are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Harvard truly has an excellent defense that feeds off opponent mistakes. They rank 15th in th enation in scoring defense and 58th in opponent rebound sper game. Penn is just a weak team that mentall knows they are outmatched before the game even starts. They rank 309th in scoring offense and 319th with a 0.721 assist-to-turnover ratio. Harvard will be able to minimize Penn's multi-shot possessions with sound rebounding, force Penn into mistakes, and take advantage of all in getting strong scoring opportunities. Take Harvard.

25* graded play on Iowa as they host Rutgers in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by at least 15 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-20 ATS mark good for 71.4% winners since 1997.  Play on home favorites of 10 or more points (IOWA) off two or more consecutive losses as a favorite, in February games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is a solid  18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game over the last 3 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa. 

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like forming a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Hoosiers are a money losing 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Indiana is a solid ball handling team that ranks 60th  with a 1.176 assist-to-turnover ratio. However, Purdue, like they did in the first meeting of these tow teams, have done very well against strong ball handling teams like Indiana. Purdue is  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when facing good ball handling teams committing

35* graded play on Northeastern as they host William and Mary in Colonial Athletic Association action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by five or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997.  Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WM & MARY) off a home loss by 3 points or less, a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now competing against a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid  51-22 ATS (+26.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. W&M is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. W&M guard Dixon is not likley to play in this game with a significant hamstring injury. There is a sizable drop off regarding the bench players that would fill the minutes. The starters, of course, could take on the extra minutes, but with added fatigue. Marcus Thornton is already playing 36 minutes per game. I really like NE ability to move the ball on offense. They rank 42nd in the nation with a 0.603 assist-FG made ratio and 49th averaging 14.3 assist-per-game. I believe NE starting five will have a significant edge in this game that will lead NE to a easy win and easy cover. 

25* graded play on the James Madison as they host Drexel in Colonial Athletic Association action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that JMU will win this game by at least seven points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-50 ATS mark good for 65% winners. Plat against road teams as an underdog or pick (DREXEL) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off an road win scoring 85 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drexel has been a money burning  5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game this season; 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. JMU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take James Madison.

25* graded play on Eastern Michigan as they host Buffalo in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that EMU will win this game by at least three points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-34 ATS mark for 67% winners since 1997. Play against any team (BUFFALO) that is a good offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now competing against an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they host East Carolina in American Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-18 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 2009. Play against road underdogs of 10 or more points (E CAROLINA) and is a struggling offensive team scoring between 63 to 67 PPG and is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Georgia in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and does have a solid shot at an upset win. I like adding a 2.5* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line for this matchup. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-30 ATS mark for 69% winners since 2009. A home team (GEORGIA) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home loss by 3 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is just  3-6 against the money line (-9.1 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season;  3-6 against the money line (-11.2 Units) when competing against poor shooting teams making

35* graded play on Eastern Tennessee State as they host Tennessee Tech in Ohio Valley Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Eastern Tennessee State will win this game by at least nine points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ETST is a solid 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite since 1997; 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite since 1997. I really like ETST perimeter offense in this matchup. They rank 8th int he nation making 9.3 three-points per game and rank 14th in the nation attempting 24.5 three-point shot per game. They rank 40th in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage and 92nd in overall effective FG percentage. This prolific offense will be going against a suspect T-Tech defense that ranks 284th allowing a 51.8% effective shooting percentage and 297th in three-point percentage allowed. The Buccaneers have three strong players that I fully expect will exceed their season averages tonight. Guard Rashawn Rembert is the team leader in minutes (33) and averages 15.4 PPG. The other guard, Jalen Riley is the team leader in scoring (19.8 PPG) and steals (1.8). The third player is forward Lester Wilson, who is solid across the board playing 28.5 minutes, scoring 12.7 PPG, and adding 3.8 boards. In addition, the ETST bench is much deeper than TST and the second units will have significant matchup advantages. 

25* graded play on Utah as they host California in PAC-12 action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game by 20 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.  Utah is a very strong 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. I don't see a very suspect Cal offensive team getting above 60 points. Utah ranks 10th in scoring defense in the nation allowing 57 PPG. Take Utah.

25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game by at least 18 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is a very strong 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; Washington State is a money burning 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is a perfect  9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Washington State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds this season. Arizona is one of the best offenses and teams in the nation and they are going up against one of the weakest defenses in the nation. WSU ranks 240th out of 351 D-1 teams in scoring defense, 343rd posting a 1.404 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Making the matchup even more of a mismatch is that Arizona also sports one of the best defensive teams in the country. Take Arizona. 

25* graded play on Missouri State as they take on Northern Iowa in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Missouri State will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2009. Play against a road team (N IOWA) that is an excellent defensive team allowing opponents

25* graded play on Colorado as they host Stanford in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford has been a money burning 8-11 against the money line (-15.2 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-13 against the money line (-18.0 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 against the money line (-7.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-22 against the money line (-19.7 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Colorad is in a very good spot noting they are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado. 

25* graded play on Oakland as they host Detroit in Horizon League action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-51 ATS for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OAKLAND) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a weak s 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997;  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season. Oakland is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Oakland is a solid money making 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Cleveland State as they host Illinois - Chicago in Horizon League action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Cleveland State will win this game by at least 15 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois - Chicago is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game this season. Cleveland State is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Take Cleveland State.

25* graded play on Houston as they take on UCF in American Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Houston will win this game. Given the skinny dog line currently, there is no advantage in playing a combination wager using line and money line parts. However, if this line moves to 3 1/2 , then I would recommend a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCF is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCF is a money burning 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games facing ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Bradley as they host Loyola-Illinois in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Bradley will win this game by at least three points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Bradley is a money making 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Obviously, the 60 point level is critical to this pick. Further, Bradley is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games after 15 or more games in games played spanning the last 3 seasons. Loyola is an imperfect  0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. Loyola is already an offense that plays extremely slow ranking 345th out of 351 D-1 basketball teams averaging 48 shot attempts per game. They are averaging 61 PPG ranking them 301st. Bradley does have a sound defense that ranks 61st allowing 61 PPG. So, it stands to reason that Loyola will struggle to score more than 60 points in this matchup. Take Bradley. 

25* graded play on TCU as they host Oklahoma State in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM RY. The simulator shows a high probability that TCU will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-58 ATS mark since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) off a road loss by 10 points or more and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and iw no competing against a winning team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ok State is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, Ok State is a weak 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take TCU. 

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Butler in Big East Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons;  15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons;  19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we note that Villanova is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Illinois State as they take on Wichita State in Missouri Valley Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Illinois State will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-58 mark since 2009.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS ST) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Illinois State is an excellent rebounding team, especially on the offensive end. One key to an upset win is solid rebounding and I believe Illinois State has a decided edge in this category. Take Illinois State. 

25* graded play on the Arkansas - LR as they host Georgia Southern in Sun Belt action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that GS will win this game by at least 3 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ARk - LR is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that Ark- LR is a very strong 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when competing against solid defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on the Iowa State Cyclones as they take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that ISU will win this game by 9 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-7 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. ISU is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. West Virginia forces the most turnovers and steals per game in the nation. West Virginia averages 22.4 points per game off turnovers, most among major conference teams. Yet, the Mountaineers scored 14 points off turnovers in their loss to Iowa State on Jan. 10, tied for their fourth fewest this season and for very good reason. West Virginia presses 38% of the time, the most in the nation. Iowa State scored 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting against the press in its win on Jan. 10. So, you readily see that Iowa State offsets to the greatest strengths of WVU. I think this game will be an even greater domination by ISU. 

25* graded play on the Louisiana - Monroe as they host Appalachian State in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that LM will win this game by at least 11 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. App-State is just 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. LM is a solid  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that LM is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season. Ball handling edge clearly goes to LM. App State ranks 292nd in the nation averaging 10.5 assists-per-game and 292nd posting a 0.789 assist-to-turnover ratio. LM ranks 150th averaging 12.7 assists-per-game and a very respectable 93rd posting a 1.103 assist-to-turnover ratio. In addition, LM ranks 58th in turnovers committed at 11.5 per game. Take Louisiana- Monroe.

25* graded play on South Florida as they take on Memphis in American Conference action set to start at noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SFU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at a meaningful upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis has been a horrid  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; 0-6 against the money line (-16.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  3-7 against the money line (-14.9 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season. I believe the SFU guard play featuring Anthony Collins and Corey Allen, Jr. will be highly effective and will have above average stat games today. Forward Chris Perry at 6-8 and 270 pounds has the body and athleticism to defend the paint and the rim. Take South Florida. 

25* graded play on Georgia State as they take on Texas State in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that GS will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-15 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 2009. Play against home teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. TS is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season;  2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Georgia State.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on North Carolina in ACC action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at upsetting the ranked Carolina. Given this favorable projection I like making a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC us just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Washington as they host Arizona in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1997.  Play against favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA) after going over the total by more than six points in three consecutive games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington has done well against physical teams noting they are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when competing against good foul drawing teams attempting >=25 free throws/game over the last two seasons. Further, head coach Romar is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997; 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Washington.

25* graded play on Princeton as they take on Brown in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Princeton will win this game by 11 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brown is just 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997. Princeton has been a money making 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. Brown had lost five straight games until defeating Dartmouth 67-64 in their last game and covered as 1 1/2 point dogs. However, Brown is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. Take Princeton. 

25* graded play on Toledo as they host Kent State in MAC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Toledo will win this game by more than 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-27 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1997.  Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games and in a game involving two good teams winning between 60% to 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toledo is a solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons;  33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997. Toledo is off a huge 92-88 win at Buffalo installed as a 5 point road dog. This is very good news for this game noting that Toledo is  19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog since 1997. Further, HC Senderoff is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls as the coach of Kent State.

25* graded play on Cal State - Fullerton (CSF) as they take on Cal-Dvis (CD) in Big West Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that CSF will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a decent shot at winning the game. I like adding a 3* money line play to the 25* line play to take advantage of this upset bid. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2009.  Play against home team (CAL DAVIS) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and is now playing a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games played. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CD is just  5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997. UCD star guard, Corey Hawkins, is listed as questionable with a calf injury. He is the team leader in minutes (34), points (21.3), rebounds (5), assists (4), and steals (1.5). Even if he plays, the calf injury has to be factor in his overall play, especially in first steps and rebounding. Take CS-Fullerton. 

25* graded play on Utah as they host Stanford in PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game by 12 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.  Utah is a rock solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 38-13 ATS (+23.7 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997;  50-17 ATS (+31.3 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Utah has modest advantages in the offensive stats over Stanford. However, the glaring edge is on the defensive end. Utah ranks 11th in the nation in scoring defense and 121st posting a 0.740 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Stanford ranks a dismal 174th in scoring defense and 200th with a 1.004 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Take Utah.

25* graded play on Texas-Arlington as they take on Texas State in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas Arlington will win this game. Given that they are 3 point dogs, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Should the line move to 2 1/2 then play it as a 25* wager using the line only. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas - Arlington is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; Texas State is just  3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. I expect the duo guard play of Jonny Hill and Lonnie McClanahan to dominate this matchup and led their team to a win. Take Texas- Arlington. 

25* graded play on Siena as they take on Marist in MAAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Siena will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Marist isa coming off another drubbing at the hands of Iona losing 89-67 and failing to cover as 14 point dogs. Marist is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Unfortunately, Marist is one of the worst teams in D-1 this season ranking 300th or worse in the majority of offensive and defensive categories. Even though they are favored in this game, I just don't see them winning. Siena ranks 68th in the nation scoring 68 PPG and a 124th in assist-to-turnover ratio. This are not elite numbers, but when compared to Marist they do stand out. Marist ranks 313th in scoring offense and 307th in assist-to-turnover ratio. Take Siena. 

25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Rutgers in Big Ten action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by 8 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a near-perfect  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons;  15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. On the other side of the matchup, Rutgers is just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game this season. Purdue is a very deep team. They have just two players scoring in double digits, but they have four more players scoring 8.5 PPG or more. Purdue is the better rebounding team and they certainly are the better ball handling team. Rutgers ranks 264th with a 0.829 assist-to-turnover ratio while Purdue is a solid 62nd with a 1.174 ratio. A number below 1.000 indicates more turnovers than assist per game. A number above 1.000 indicates better ball handling with a greater number of assists than turnovers. Take Purdue.

25* graded play on Air Force as they take on Boise State in Mountain West Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Air Force will lose this game by fewer than 7 points. I also like adding a 2* Play using the money line to the 25* play using the money. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-24 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2009. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AIR FORCE) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home wins.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boise State is a near-imperfect 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on St. Johns as they host DePaul in Big East Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that St. Johns will win this game by 14 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Johns is a solid 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons.;  66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. DePaul is just 26-52 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that DePaul is an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs this season;  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Take St. Johns.

25* graded play on South Florida as they take on UCF in American Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that South Florida will win this game. It's a skinny line showing UCF favored by 1 1/2 points, so there is little value in making the money line play. Stay the course and play a 25* unit amount using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 112-65 ATS mark good for 63.3% winners over the last five seasons. Play against home teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games and is a marginal losing team winning between 40% to 49% of their games and is now playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCF is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers (+-3) as opponent over the last three seasons. SF is a rock solid  38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games since 1997; UCF is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. SF is off of a 63-58 loss at Cincinnati and easily covered as 15 point dogs. Note that SF is  a perfect  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take South Florida.

25* graded play on Auburn as they host Arkansas in SERC action slated to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-9 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2009. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARKANSAS) average shooting team hitting 42.0 to 45% of their attempts and is now competing against a struggling shooting team making between 40 and 42.5% of their shots after 15+ games and after game allowing a shooting percentage of 33% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas has not traveled well noting a horrid 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road favorite or pick over the last three seasons. Moreover, they are 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1997. Arkansas is off a 20 point dominating win over Mississippi State Saturday. However, they are just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival since 1997. Take Auburn.

25* graded play on the Temple Owls as they take on Cincinnati in American Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by four or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in games where both teams score 65 or less points over the last 3 seasons; Temple is a solid money making 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, Cincinnati is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Take Temple.

25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Clemson in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by 5 or more points. Notre Dame was slammed in revenge form by Duke in their last game. I feel confident that this excellent team with elite coaching will bounce back strong with an important road win. Notre Dame's offense is just too much for Clemson to handle. Notre Dame ranks 8th in scoring offense and 26th in assists per game and FOURTH in the all-important assists-to-turnover ratio. Clemson ranks 31st in scoring defense, but in large part attributed to their plodding offense that ranks 277th in scoring and 203rd in shot attempts per game. Notre Dame has an immeasurable advantage playing their higher paced tempo on Clemson. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Notre Dame.

25* graded play on Iowa State as they take on Oklahoma in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ISU is a solid  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. This is the type of matchup where FT shooting will be a critical part of ISU winning this game. ISU is an excellent ball movement and distribution type team. They average 17.8 assists per game led by Monte Morris, who has team highs in minutes (33) and assists (5.7). As team they rank first in the nation in assists-per-game and 6th with a 1.570 assist-to-turnover ratio. This clearly sows that they do not make mistakes and if anything they will force Oklahoma into mistakes and exploit them for scores. Take Iowa State. 

25* graded play on Siena as they take on St. Peters in MAAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Siena will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-20 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ST PETERS) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games and is a team losing between 40% to 49% of their games playing a losing record team. St. Peters is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games when competing against foul prone teams called for 21 or more fouls/game in game splayed since 1997. Further, St. Peters has been a money burning  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a home favorite or pick this season;  6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Siena. 

25* graded play on Duke as they take on Florida State in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by 15 or more points. I had Duke Saturday in their 30-point blowout win over Notre Dame and I fully expect more of the same in this matchup. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-24 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1997. Play against home underdogs of 10 or more points (FLORIDA ST) excellent team shooting >=45% with a defense of

25* graded play on UMASS as they host La Salle in Atlantic 10 action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2009.  Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LASALLE) and is a poor three point shooting team making

25* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on Oakland in Horizon League action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Valparaiso will win this gam,e by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-9 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 2009. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VALPARAISO) revenging a road loss to opponent of 10 points or more and is off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valparaiso is a solid  16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997;  31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Oakland is a money burning 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Take Valparaiso. 

25* graded play on Rider as they host Manhattan in MAAC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Rider will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is a rock solid 11-1 against the money line (+13.0 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last three seasons;  8-3 against the money line (+7.9 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their three pointers in a game over the last three seasons. In addition, Rider is a solid 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons. Manhattan is a money burning  0-4 against the money line (-12.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Rider.

35* graded play on San Francisco as they host Gonzaga in West Coast Conference action set to start at 11:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that SF will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Add a 1.5* amount using the money line just in case this DOG pulls off the huge upset. Revenge is an often over used and largely misunderstood sports term. Yet, in this game revenge is certainly validated knowing that SF Head Coach Walters is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) revenging a same season loss versus opponent. Gonzaga defeated SF 88-57 and covered as 20 1/2 point favorites on January 8. Moreover, Head Coach Few is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of Gonzaga. Adding to this is the fact that Few is after 2 straight games shooting 55% or higher and allowing 45% or lower. Gonzaga shot 69% and allowed 42% shooting in their 77-63 win at Santa Clara, but failed to cover as 15 point favorites. In the second to last game, they shot 55% and allowed 35% shooting in a 82-64 mauling of Memphis and covered by the hook. This is not a good situation for Gonzaga and in my opinion the line is grossly over inflated. Take San Francisco.

25* graded play on SMU as they take on Tulsa in an American Conference matchup set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by four or more points. Although SMU is currently ranked 23rd in the nation, they have two conference losses while Tulsa is a perfect 10-0. Don't be fooled though as Tulsa must play SMU twice and third-place Cincinnati in the coming weeks. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is a solid 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. In addition, we note that SMU is  17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons;  21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Tulsa HC Haith is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997. SMU is a much better ball movement and rebounding team than Tulsa. SMU ranks 16th in the nation averaging 16 assists-per-game while Tulsa is a distant 285th averaging just 10.7 assists-per-game. SMU is allowing opponent just 28 rebounds per game good for fourth best in the nation. Tulsa ranks 185th in the same category. Strong ball movement and strong rebounding will be the dominant keys to a big SMU win. Take SMU. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Louisville in ACC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by 10 or more points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a solid money making  16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997;  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. In addition, UVA is an outstanding 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. Take Virginia. 

25* graded play on Fordham as they take on St. Louis in A-10 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Fordham will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is a money burning  7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season;  6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. In addition a matchup trend shows that St. Louis is a horrid  2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take Fordham. 

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Georgetown in Big East Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 10 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 'Nova is  17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Villanova. 

25* graded play on Xavier as they take Providence in Big East Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Xavier will win this game by 9 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Xavier is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  92-48 ATS (+39.2 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game since 1997. In addition, in a matchup trend we note that Xavier is a solid 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games when competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last three seasons. Xavier is one of the best ball handling teams in the nation. They rank ninth best with a 1.457 assist-to-turnover ratio and rank fifth averaging 17 assists-per-game. Strong ball handling will be a major key to Xavier winning this game by double digits. Take Xavier. 

25* graded play on Duke as they take on Notre Dame in ACC Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by 12 or more points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Duke is a rock solid 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dame is just 18-43 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Duke plays solid fundamental defense and rarely takes chances on getting steals. The fact that they do not force trunovers is not a reflection of how well they do play on that end. In fact, ND is just 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when competing against minimal pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Cornell as they take on Penn in Ancient Eight action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Cornell will win this game by more than 9 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. I am confident in stating that I do not see Penn scoring more than 60 points. In past games, Penn is a money burning 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. In addition, Cornell is a solid  71-20 ATS (+49.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game since 1997;  33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Further, Cornell is a solid 64-36 ATS (+24.4 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. Situationally, Cornell is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Penn struggles on offense ranking 290th in scoring offense and a horrid 321st in assist-to-turnover ratio. Cornell plays a slower style of game than other Conference teams, but is dominated by their defense that ranks 65th in scoring defense and 129th in assist-to-turnover ratio. I simply see Cornell's defense dominating this game and leading them to a double digit win. Take Cornell.

25* graded play on the San Jose State as they take on Fresno State in Mountain West Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. Granted, San Jose State is arguably one of the worst teams in NCAA basketball this season. Yet, Fresno State is not all that excellent either and I just don't see how in the world they should be installed as double-digit favorites - let alone 19 points. The simulator shows a high probability that SJST will lose this game by fewer 15 points. San jose is the second-worst scoring offense ranking 350th in the nation scoring just 50.8 PPG. Grambling is the worst at 49.1 PPG. In a much more meaningful stat, assists-to-turnover ratio, we see these teams are quite similar. FSU ranks 293rd with a 0.783 ratio while SJST ranks 329th with a 0.662 ratio. Even more important is that SJST is a much better ball movement team than FSU. SJST ranks 215th with a 0.515 assist-to-FG made ratio while FSU is a distant 341st in this category posting a 0.783 ratio. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU is an imperfect  0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game this season. Take San Jose State. 

25* graded play on Oregon as they take on Washington in PAC-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oregon will win this game by 9 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-16 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more and now facing an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington Center Robert Upshaw has been dismissed from the team due to disciplinary reasons. This has left a big hole on the rebounding end as he was the team leader averaging 8.2 RPG and was also scoring 11 PPG. Oregon has three very strong players in Guard Jospeh Young with team highs in minutes (36) and scoring (19PPG), and assists (3.6). Dillon Brooks plays forward and plays 28 minutes averaging 12.7 PPG and 4.6 rebounds. The other starting forward is Elgin Cook averaging 27 minutes and 13 PPG and a team high in steals (1.2). This trio will dominate Washington with no true rim protector. Take Oregon. 

25* graded play on Jacksonville State as they take on Memphis in a rare inter-conference matchup set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that JAX State will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 117-68 mark good for 63% winners since 2009. Play against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (MEMPHIS) that is an average three-point shooting team making between 32 and 36.5% and is now facing a poor 3-point shooting defense allowing >=36.5% after 15+ games have been played. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JAX State is a solid 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread since 1997. Memphis has struggled to a 2-2 record over their last four games and have lost all four ATS. They shot just 35% and allowed 55% shooting in a 82-64 loss to Gonzaga and failed by the hook to cover a 17 1/2 point dog line. JAX is led by guard Darion Rackley, who has team highs in minutes (32) and points scored (15.4). The other guard is JaQual Townswer, who  is team leader in assists (3.5) and also scores 8 PPG and adds 1.33 steals. I see this guard combination being able to compete against Memphis. Not calling the dramatic upset, but I do believe they keep this game to mostly single digit deficits. Take Jacksonville State.

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 21 or more points. Indiana has not won a basketball game in Madison in 17 years. Wisconsin is head and shoulders above all other teams in the conference and they are poised for another deep run in the NCAA Tournament this season. They are a well prepared team and extremely focused on the present - taking it literally one possession at a time. They are certainly deserving of being a heavy favorite in this matchup. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Indiana does not have a strong defensive presence and plays games with the attitude to outscore the opponent. They rank ninth in the nation in scoring offense (80.3 PPG), but rank a dismal 294th in scoring defense (72.0 PPG). By comparison, Wisconsin ranks 42nd in scoring offense (74) and seventh in scoring defense at (55.5 PPG). I strongly believe that Wisconsin will execute at will on the offensive end adn that their defensive presence will make it significantly more difficult for Indiana to score points. Take Wisconsin.

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Virginia in ACC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game. UVA is coming off their first loss of the season. They enjoyed an eight point lead with a little more than 4 minutes to go. Duke came storming back and hit three's from all over and won the game finishing on a 19-5 run. That sting will still be present in this matchup against No. 12 UNC. Virginia wins with their defense. UNC wins with scoring the most second-chance points per game in the nation. UVA allows just 6.6 2nd-chance points per game and UNC scores 15 2nd-chance points per game. This contrasting style is also shown in the tempos that both teams play. UNC ranks best in the ACC and 8th in the nation averaging 71 possessions per game. UVA is the second-slowest team in the nation averaging just 59 possessions per game. American ranks slowest at 57.7 possessions. I see UNC being able to get offensive boards and have a significant edge in multi-shot possessions. Further, their fast tempo will gradually wear UVA down over the course of the game. Take UNC. 

25* graded play on the Western Illinois as they take on North Dakota State in Summit Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Western Illinois will lose this gam,e by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at getting the home upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager consisting of a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NDST is just  2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; WIU is a solid money making 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. WIU forward Mike Miklusak is out for this game with a leg injury. His minutes will be filled by several solid bench players. Take Western Illinois. 

25* graded play on Marist as they take on Canisius in MAAC Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Marist will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Marist is arguably one of the weakest college basketball teams in the nation. Yet, this matchup, I expect, to be to their liking. Canius ranks higher in the majority of meaningful performance stats, but not enough to be be a 11 1/2 point favorite to any team. Canisius ranks 53rd in the nation in scoring defense. By itself, this is quite impressive, but it is highly misleading. The reason is that they play a very slow style of game on the offensive end. They rank 173rd in assists allowed and 289th in rebounds allowed. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-31 mark good for 68% winners since 1997.  Play against home favorites of 10 or more points (CANISIUS) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread and is a team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a terrible team winning less than

25* graded play on Florida State as they host Miami (Fla) in an ACC Conference matchup set to start at 12:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game. The line is currently showing FSU installed as a 2 point dogs. Unless, the line moves to +3 would a combination wager be validated based on the ROI. Should that occur, then a play comprised of a 21* amount on the line and a 4* amount on the money line would work well. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-10 mark good for 77% winners using the money line and making 23 units/unit wagered since 2009. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MIAMI) off an upset loss as a home favorite and is a solid team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a marginal winning team winning between 51% to 60% of their games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU head coach Hamilton is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home underdog or pick.; 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. Further, Miami is a money burning 4-6 against the money line (-21.0 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Pepperdine as they take on St. Mary's in West Coast Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that St. Mary's will lose this game by fewer than eight points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pepperdine is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they grab eight or less offensive rebounds in a game over the last two seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Pepperdine is also an outstanding  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when competing against solid defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on theLouisville when they host North Carolina in ACC Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 ATS mark for 68% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) and is a cold team failing to cover six or seven of their last eight against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams winning >= 80%.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is an imperfect  0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when competing against elite teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last two seasons. UNC is also an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a combined score of 165 points or more over the last two seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on the Rutgers as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 3:15 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rutgers will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (RUTGERS) after scoring 55 points or less in a loss to a conference rival and is now playing with one day rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is a solid s 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is a money burning 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after 2 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 50% or higher since 1997. In fact, the Indiana defense has been just terrible over their last three games. In their last three games, they allowed a 59% shooting percentage to Purdue and lost 83-67 installed as 4 1/2 point dogs. Then they allowed 63% shooting in an 82-70 loss at Ohio State. And third last game, they allowed 51% shooting in a 89-70 home win against Maryland. I fully expect Rutgers to have an above average offensive night and will keep this game to 10 or fewer points throughout. Take Rutgers.

25* graded play on the Florida as they host Arkansas in SEC Conference action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by nine or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a money burning 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997;  20-46 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997. Florida is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 80-46 ATS (+29.4 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. Further, Arkansas is just  4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Florida is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Starting Florida guard, Michael Frazier II, is probable for this game. He is the team-leader in minutes (31) and scoring (13.4), but is a big part of the solid defense that Florida brings to this game. Arkansas ranks fifth in scoring offense, BUT I firmly believe that the Florida defense that ranks 24 in scoring, 22nd in assists allowed, and 11th in the all-important assist-to-turnover ratio will dominate. Take Florida.

25* graded play on Western Michigan as they take on Eastern Michigan in MAC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Western Michigan will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 22* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line for a total risk of 27* units. This combination combined with the probabilities maximizes the risk/reward profile and total rate of return of the investment (ROI).  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-6 ATS for 79% winners over the past five seasons. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (E MICHIGAN) in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (69-73%) after 15 or more games and after two straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Further, EMU head coach Murphy is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after two straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less. 

25* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Pittsburgh in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Notre Dame will win this game by 9 or more points. Simply said, Pitt does not have the defense nor the depth to play with ND high-powered offense. ND is off one of the biggest wins for the programs of the past several years. That win over Duke is one that builds tremendous confidence and chemistry for any team and reveals to them that they as a unit really belong in the elite rankings. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a money burner 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons;  0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game this season;  1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season;  4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Last, Pitt is an imperfect  0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) facing solid good defensive teams allowing

25* graded play on Western Illinois as they take on IUPUI in Summit Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Western Illinois will win this game. They are currently lined as two point dogs. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-21 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2009. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IUPUI) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. IUPUI is just  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they make 23% to 30% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; Western Illinois is  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Western Illinois.

25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on Penn in IVY League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Dartmouth will win this game by five or more points. Penn is a horrid ball handling team ranking 312th in the nation with a 0.72 assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Dartmouth ranks 13th with a 1.015 assist-to-turnover ratio. A ratio below 1 reveals that a team is committing more turnovers then generating assists. A number above 1.000 is the beginning target for strong ball handling teams. In case you were wondering, Notre Dame ranks best in this important category with an outstanding 1.706 ratio. So, I believe Penn will be turnover prone again in this matchup allowing Dartmouth to generate fast break scoring opportunities in transition. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) as a home underdog of three points or less or pick since 1997.;  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Take Dartmouth.


25* graded play on the UC-Davis as they host UC- Santa Barbara in Big West Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UC-Davis will win this game by three or more points. The biggest factor in this game is the tremendous perimeter shooting by UC-Davis. They rank best in the nation in three-point shot percentage at 44% and fourth in overall shooting at 50%. UCSB us not a good perimeter defending team ranking 20th in opponent three-point shooting. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCSB is a weak  1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 32-66 ATS (-40.6 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997. Cal Davis is a solid 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997. Cal Davis is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Marshall as they take on Southern Mississippi in C-USA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Marshall will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager consisting of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-93 mark using the Money Line good for just 39% winners, BUT has made a whopping 68 units/unit wagered averaging a +268 DOG play since 1997. Win percentage means very little and units won means everything when dealing with Money Line systems , trends, and game situations.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season. Take Marshall. 

25* graded play on Belmont as they host Jacksonville State in Ohio Valley Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Belmont will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JAX State is just 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997; 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, they are a money burning 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on TCU as they take on Kansas in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that TCU will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Looking at the matchups, the TCU defense is vastly stronger than Kansas and will be the dominant reason TCU gets this big home upset win. TCU defense ranks 15th in scoring, fourth allowing 8,8 assists per game, and 12th posting a 0.673 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Kansas ranks 128th in scoring defense, 119th in assists allowed, and 214th posting a 1.014 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. This game will see two of the best guards in the conference compete. I give the edge to TCU's Kyan Anderson over Kansas' Frank Mason. Anderson plays superior defense and will have offensive advantages as well. I expect Mason to be under his scoring average of 12.7 PPG and for Anderson to be well above his scoring average of 13.7 PPG. It will be the TCU defense that gets the job done. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 129-69 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2008. Play against any team (KANSAS) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is just 57-107 ATS (-60.7 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997; 43-72 ATS (-36.2 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Take TCU.

25* graded play on Boise State as they take on Colorado State in Mountain West Conference action set to start at 11:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that BS will win this game by four or more points. Boise plays fast and quick led by an offense that at times during games has four guards on the court.  The guard duo of Anthony Drmic and Derrick Marks combine for 34 PPG, which is about 47% of the team's offensive production. I believe this duo will post game numbers significantly above their season averages. CS simply does not have the guards to defend either of them. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CS is an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons;  6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Boise ranks 12th best in the nation averaging only 10.1 turnovers-per-game. CS is just  4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) playing against excellent ball handling teams committing