25* graded play on Seton Hall as they take on George Washington in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seton Hall will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at a significant upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-3 ATS for 88% winners since 2010. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seton Hall is a solid 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Take Seton Hall.

25* graded play on Portland as they take on Colorado State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; Portland is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that CSU is a money burning 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take Portland State.

25* graded play on Arkansas as they take on GA Tech in NCAA hoops action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. Thanksgiving Day. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arkansas will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARKANSAS) good offensive team from last season scored 77 or more points/game, after a win by 15 points or more. Take Arkansas.

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on K-State in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 57-23 for 71.2% winners using the money line and has made 37.5 units/unit wagered since 1997. Neutral court teams (KANSAS ST) off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal losing team from last season who won 40 to 49% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Missouri is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 points. K-State head coach Weber is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games in all games he has coached. Take Missouri and expect the upset. 

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they take on Memphis in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SM will lose this game by fewer than 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 94-59 ATS (+29.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. SM is returning just one starter from last year's edition, but the new four are as a total better than their predecessors. Not suggesting that SM can win this game, but Memphis is in a rather unfocused mode for this game knowing they are vastly better. This is a situation where the unsuspecting favorite can presume the game is won before it is played and that is nearly always a dangerous combination for any team.  Further, Memphis HC Pastner is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games as the coach of Memphis. Take Southern Mississippi. 

25* graded play on the Kansas Jayhawks as they take on Norther Colorado in NCAA hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by 32 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a a 35-11 ATS mark good for 76% ATS winners the last five seasons. Play on favorites of 20 or more points (KANSAS) - with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a rock solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Take Kansas. 

50* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Wisconsin in the Final Four Round of the NCAA Tournament.  The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by at least 9 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; Wisconsin is a money losing 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Calipari is a solid 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of Kentucky; 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a win by 6 points or less; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games; 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. The difference in this game is the Kentucky defense and their enormous bench depth. Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot just 35% from the field, which is best in the nation by a wide margin. In fact, only the 2000 Stanford Cardinal has allowed a shooting percentage less than 36% in the last 25 years. Wisconsin will have to score form the paint and I see them struggling against the length of Kentucky. One of the stats I really like to use is the opponent assist-to-turnover. Kentucky rank first with a 0.555 ratio while Wisconsin ranks 127th with a 0.937 ratio. This means that Kentucky forces nearly double the opponent turnovers to what the opponents get in assists. I am not suggesting this will be a low scoring game. Just that the Kentucky defense will be the dominating factor. Take Kentucky.

25* graded play on the Miami Hurricanes as they take on the Stanford Cardinal in the Championship game of the NIT Tournament.  If you can get a ML of +125 or higher, then playing the entire amount using the money is a solid alternative wager. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this Championship game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; Miami is a solid 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also a solid 13-1 against the money line (+13.4 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami guard Rodriquez is doubtful for tonight's game with a wrist injury. This means that team leader Sheldon McClellan will play more minutes and possibly the entire game. He leads Miami in scoring with 14.4 PPG. That is not a bad thing when playing in the last game of the year. Take Miami (Fla). 

25* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Stanford in the semi-final round of the NIT set to start at 9:25 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ODU will win this game. The line is at 2 1/2 with a money line of about +125 at most books. Now, if you can get a money line offered to you at +130 or higher I would recommend a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. If the money line stays at +125, then I would suggest just making a 25* play using the the line only. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. ODU is a solid  16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 47-19 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. ODU is a solid  14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on Duke in the Elite 8 set to start at 5:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game and advanced to the Final 4. Given the line at +2 and +2 1/2 at majority of sports books, I don't see the opportunity to play a combination wager comprised of a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, if you are able to get a +130 money line, then it would be wise to construct the combination wager. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid 101-33 against the money line (+47.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997;  7-1 against the money line (+6.2 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season;  11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games facing top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga has shown they are a complete team with great leadership from experienced seniors. I also don't believe that Okafor can hold off Gonzaga's size for an entire 40 minutes essentially by himself. He has shown some very lax defensive skills in recent games and Gonzaga will look to pound the pain often. On eof two things can happen and neither are good for Duke. One is that Okofar plays more aggressive defense and gets into foul trouble, or the Gonzaga will score a t a very high percentage from 2-point range. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play onLouisville as they take on Michigan State in the Elite 8 Round of the NCAA Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager IF the line gets to 3 points. I do think based on the betting flows there is a chance this may occur. However, you may see the line stay at 2 1/2, but vig rise to -120 area for betting on MSU. If you see that, it will mean the money line has risen to a satisfactory level for the combination wager to be validated. So, if you see the ML at +130 or higher make a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Kentucky as they take on Notre Dame in the Elite 8 Round of the NCAA Tournament. I also like the 'OVER' for a 10* play. I would not wager more than a 5* play using Kentucky and the 'over' for a parlay. Another consideration, would be not to do a parlay and simply add a 5* amount to Kentucky and the "over' making it a 30* and 15* respectively. That essentially provides the return the parlay would with out the added risk of the parlay not hitting. The simulator shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by at least 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 104-60 ATS for 64% winners since 2009.  Play on favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (KENTUCKY) average 3-point shooting team making between 32 and 36.5% an dis now facing an average 3-point defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% shooting; and with the favorite a dominant rebounding team >=+6 reb/game competing against an average rebounding team +/-3 reb/game. This system underscores two of the matchups I see Kentucky dominating in this matchup. One is rebounding and the second is the opportunity Kentucky will have to knock down 3's. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kentucky is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season. No question, the media is correct in stating that Notre Dame is a very good offensive team with four players making better than 40% from the beyond the arc. BUT, Kentucky is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. Notre Dame has not dressed well in the role of under dogs in consecutive games and now find themselves a double digit one. ND is just  5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. ND has strong 3-point shooting, but Kentucky has equivalent length of many NBA teams. That length reduces the spreading of the defense to respect the 3. Moreover, that length will allow Kentucky to anticipate the perimeter shot and contest them far more than any other team ND has faced. Contrary to media reports, I expect that Kentucky will come out running instead of 'setting the slower tone' They have a vast advantage in bench depth over ND and can choose to run them off the court. Perimeter shooters need their legs to lauch solid shots and a fast paced game will wear down those shooters. Take Kentucky. 

25* graded play on New Jersey Tech as they take on Canisius in the quarterfinal round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NJ Tech will win this game by at least five points. As you may remember, I played on NJ Tech in their previous two games, both winners and see the same matchup advantages for them in this contest.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. In lined games under head coach Engles, NJ Tech is a rock solid 8-1 ATS. This reflects the under valued nature of NJ Tech and the fact that the public has not caught up to just how good this team is playing against similar competition. They are also the last remaining independent D-1 program and essentially auditioning for an opportunity to be a conference member. NJ Tech is the much better shooting team and play better team defense than Canisius. NJ Tech ranks 36th in 3-point shooting percentage and 78th in total shooting percentage. Canisius ranks a horrid 255th in 3-point shooting and 278th in overall shotting percentage. Take NJ Tech. 

25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Michigan State in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 10:07 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game and advanced to the Elite Round. With the current line at +2, there is no advantage in placing a combination wager. However, if the line would move to +3 or higher than a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line would be validated. I am confident in my release on Oklahoma to win, but the money line spreads are wide for any event. For example, the ML for MSU is +110 and -130 for MSU and obviously the net difference between the two is pockets by the book. But, with money lines, no all of the action is balanced between 'buyer' and seller' with most money lines seeing much more action and dollar volume on the favorite. So, to offset they make the spreads wider and pay-out less on the dogs that are generally underplayed to offset the favorite players. So, at +110 there si certainly no advantage as compared to a +2 -110 line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid  31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that the Sooners are a very strong 9-2 against the money line (+7.2 Units) versus good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on Louisville as they take on NC State in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:35 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents since 1997. NC State is a money burning  30-64 ATS (-40.4 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997.Further, Louisville is a strong  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on UCLA in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:15 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 118-72 ATS mark good for 62% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) that are solid 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% and after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% over the last two seasons; 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. UCLA is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga is playing well and flying under the media radar. I strongly believe they are a team that will make the Final 4. Looking at the scope of both teams fundamentally, Gonzaga is the vastly better team at both ends of the court. Gonzaga has a modest edge on the offensive side, but a vastly superior edge on the defensive end. Gonzaga ranks 46th in scoring defense, 15th in assists allowed, 26th in rebounds allowed, and 7th best posting a 0.436 assist-FG made ratio. By comparison, UCLA ranks 206th in scoring defense, 290th in assists allowed, 163rd in rebounds allowed, and 265th posting a poor 1.12 opponent assists to turnover ratio and 308th posting a 0.585 opponent assist-FG made ratio. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Xavier in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 10:15 P{M ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ARZ will win this game by at least 12 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game this season. Further, we see that ARZ is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on Murray State in the NIT quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that ODU will win this game and advance to the semifinal round of the NIT. Last night's Game of the Year play in the NIT on Richmond had to be one of the most painful and frustrating losses of my 21-year career. Richmond was cruising up 17 points against what appeared to be a disinterested Miami team. That's why they play 40 minutes and that's why we don't hit 80% ATS winners. It was just one loss though at the end of the day. They key factor from what I have learned over the years is forget these losses - and even the great wins - and get to the present day's card searching for the next opportunity. The best athletes in the world and the best businessmen in the world conduct their lives in the present planning for future success. Golfers and pitchers are excellent at this trait never getting too high or too low and always focused on executing the next task as well as possible. So, that is the course of action for today and we must further recognize that I am on 10-3 ATS NBA run and 16-7 ATS run with the 25* Titan releases. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ODI is a solid  16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, they are an outstanding 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) competing against excellent ball handling teams committing

50* graded play on the Richmond Spiders as they take on the Miami Hurricanes in the NIT quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Richmond will win this game by five or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Richmond is an inferior 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 28-73 ATS (-52.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Richmond is a solid  82-39 ATS (+39.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, Richmond has some very powerful money making matchup trends against Miami tonight. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games  teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last two seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they host Murray State in the Second Round of the NIT set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by at least seven points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers (+-3) as opponent over the last 3 seasons; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last three seasons. Further, we note that Tulsa has been a money making  25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons;  22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Radford as they take on Vermont in the CBI Tournament quarterfinals set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Radford will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vermont plays a very slow grinding style of game. They rank 325th attempting an average of just 50 shots per game. Further, they do not attempt many shots from beyond the arc. They rank 278th making 5.3 three-point shots per game and 312th attempting 15 three-point shots per game. Radford ranks 85th with a 45% shooting percentage and I strongly believe that They will also be more effective from the perimeter than based on season averages. Another advantage for Radford is their strong offensive rebounding presence. They rank 54th getting 10.4 offensive boards and an even better 39th in offensive rebound percentage getting one every 34% of all possessions. Take Radford. 

25* graded play on NJIT as they host Cleveland State in the CIT second round set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NJIT will win this game. If the line remains at +3 or higher, than consider making a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland Stat is just 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game since 1997; 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Further, we see that 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after one or more consecutive overs this season. NJIT is the last independent college basketball program in the country, so they have had to make games with any opponent willing to play them. They destroyed Hampton 86-67 Feb 2 and have won 7 of the last 8 contests. Damon Lynn is the team leader in minutes (36.5), scoring (17.7 PPG), and steals (1.6). He is complemented by fellow guard Ky Howard, who is the team leader in rebounds (6) and assists (4.2). They have a a very athletic forward in Daquan Holiday, who is 6-8 and just 205 pounds, but can leap out of the building. They are a much better ball movement team than Cleveland State and will work the ball for the best shot possible. They will not wait and drain the shot clock either, often times taking the first open shot in a possession. They also rotate five other guards in and out of the game and this will keep Lynn and Howard quite fresh in the second half. Take NJIT. 

25* graded play on Louisville as they take on Northern Iowa in the Third Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:40 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games competing against good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Pitino is an excellent coach and will have his team fully prepared for this matchup. Pitino is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games facing non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on Iowa in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 7:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least seven points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 114-62 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997.  Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (GONZAGA) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game committing eight or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is just 31-93 ATS (-71.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when competing against good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games spanning the last 2 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when competing against dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Further, Gonzaga is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons;  27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga can score inside or from mid-level jumpers, or from the perimeter. Iowa likes to play fast, but getting into a track meet will be counter productive against Gonzaga. Take Gonzaga.

25* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Duke in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 2:40 PM ET. Of note:  SDST guard Aqeel Quinn (10.8 points) has nearly recovered from apparent food poisoning. Quinn said he started feeling badly after eating a turkey sandwich Thursday, then started vomiting and needed an IV by that night. He played just 19 minutes and went 1 for 6 from the field in the win against St. John's. He stated Saturday he's "pretty solid now. The simulator shows a high probability that SDST will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and actually has a shot to upset Duke in this matchup. Given this favorable projection, I like simply adding a 3* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 143-85 ATS mark good for 63% winners since 2009. Play against any team (DUKE) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a good team winning between 60% to 80%. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SDST is a rock solid  20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) competing against good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. SDST is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that SDSAT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. We also see that Krzyzewski is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers as the coach of Duke. SDST Forward Skylar Spencer is the a junior and has a ton of defensive ability and is fundamentally schooled to defense players like Okafor. He does not have stunning flash stats, but does a ton of things for his team that do not appear in the box score. I strongly believe he will do a great job being extremely physical with Okafor. Duke is at it;'s best when Okafor is scoring down low and then feeding his teammates on the perimeter. Duke is limited in size to Okafor and Plumlee and I do believe that SDST does have the size and depth to minimize Duke's offensive paint presence. Take SDST. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Michigan State in Round 3 of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 6 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a solid  33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 2 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that this matchup favors UVA on many other levels. They are a solid  21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games facing excellent ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Northern Arizona as they take on Sacramento State in the CIT second round action set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Northern Arizona will win this game. Given this favorable projection and the fact they are installed as a 3 1/2 point dog presents an excellent opportunity to make a combination wager. I suggest placing a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. In addition, placing a round robin parlay with these three teams wagering no more than a 3* play on each of the three parlays offers an excellent bonus opportunity. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NA is a solid  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they force 9 or fewer turnovers in a game this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season. Take Northern Arziona.

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on NC State in the Third Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 7:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 11 points. I also like the 'under' in this matchup and suggest a 10* play on the 'under' and then a 5* play using Villanova and the 'under' in a reverse parlay. The 4:1 pay-off with the reverse parlay is quite attractive from a ROI standpoint. Obviously, we are assuming too that these plays won't both lose as that would cost 12* units in loss from the 5* reverse parlay. Please take some time and study the reverse parlay and it's significant risk/rewards before taking on this play. A smart play too, is to just play Villanova as a 25* play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 118-71 ATS mark since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VILLANOVA) good 3-point shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3-point defense allowing 32 to 36.5% and after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC State is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Villanova is an outstanding 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season.; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season.; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Villanova.

25* graded play on Tenn-Martin as they take on USC-Upstate in the second round of the CBI tournament set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that TM will win this game. Given this favorable projection and the fact they are installed as a 3 1/2 point dog presents an excellent opportunity to make a combination wager. I suggest placing a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997.  Play on a road or neutral court team (TENN-MARTIN) off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, in March games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. TM is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons;  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. TM is off a very strong win defeating Northwestern State 104-79 and shot 56% for the game. They were installed as 2 1/2 point dogs and was by a vast margin their best complete game of the season. Take Tennessee-Martin. 

25* graded play on Sam Houston State as they take on LA-Lafayette in CIT Tournament action set to  start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SHS will win this game by more than 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 228-147 ATS mark good for 61% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAM HOUSTON ST) an excellent defensive team allowing

25* graded play on UCLA as they take on UAB in the third round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points and I would not be surprised to see this a solid double digit win for UCLA. True, that SMU could easily be in this spot, but they are not and the reasons at this point matter zero. UCLA is in this spot and they are a dangerous team for their next opponent after winning here. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-18 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UAB) after four or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB is a money losing 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents (+-3) in a game over the last three seasons;  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCLA is a solid 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Further, we see that UCLA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season;  11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when competing against good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on Providence as they take on Dayton in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:55 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Providence will win this game by at least 6 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. When Dayton has played a superior rebounding team, the results have been poor. Dayton is just 20-48 ATS (-32.8 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Providence has been a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Even worse for Dayton is the fact that they are an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less this season. I simply see Providence as the vastly better team overall with a sizable edge in rebounding. Take Providence.

35* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on North Dakota State in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:50 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game by at least 20 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid  104-49 ATS (+50.1 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997;  18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80%) of their games spanning the last 2 seasons;  14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games facing good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that head coach Few is a solid Few is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 165 points or more as the coach of Gonzaga. NDST is a quality team, but they have not faced a team as complete as Gonzaga. NDST ranks 47th in scoring defense allowing 61.6 PPG, but this is somewhat misleading given their slow grinding style of offense. Gonzaga is one of the best offensive teams in the nation and score inside, outside, and mid-level. They work the ball with strong passing and players are always spaced and putting pressure on the defense to essentially defend every possible shot on the court. Gonzaga ranks 2nd in effective shooting percentage, fourth in three-point shooting percentage, second in two-point shooting percentage, and BEST in overall shooting efficiency. Gonzaga ranks just 229th in 3-point attempts, but rank 87th in 3-point shots made. This clearly reflects Gonzaga does not rely on the '3' or paint scoring to win games, which has been the case of Gonzaga Tournament teams past. NDST ranks 273rd allowing 36.4% 3-point shooting and 140th in opponent shooting efficiency percentage. NDST cannot defend all three areas of shot attempts (3-point, paint, and mid-level) against Gonzaga and few teams if  any can. Now, NDST really struggles at times on the offensive end. Any multiple minute period of no FG made by NDST will simply allow Gonzaga to extend their lead. NDST ranks 244th in scoring offense and 204th posting a 0.95 assist-to-turnover ratio. Further, BDST ranks 283rd in 2-point shooting and 211th in shooting percentage. They do shoot the 3-point shot well making 37.8% good for 43rd best, but Gonzaga ranks 71is in opponent 3-point shooting percentage, 7th in 2-point shooting percentage, and 10th in overall opponent shooting efficiency. Take Gonzaga. 

25* graded play on Virginia as they take on Belmont in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 3:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 20 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 82-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2009. Play on favorites of 10 or more points (VIRGINIA) that are average 3PT shooting team making between 32 to 36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% after 15+ games, and is a dominant rebounding team posting a differential of >=+6 rebounds per game and is facing an average rebounding team posting a +/-3 rebound differential after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, UVA has some powerful matchup trends in their favor noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games after 15 or more games spanning the last two seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. UVA lost in the ACC semifinal to UNC 71-67 and were installed as 4 1/2 point favorites. UVA is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take Virginia.

25* graded play on Kansas as they take on New Mexico State in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 12:15 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by at least 12 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2009. Play against neutral court teams as an underdog (NEW MEXICO ST) that are dominant rebounding teams posting a differential of>=+6 rebounds per game and is now facing a good rebounding team posting a differential between+3 to +6 rebounds per game and after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is off a 70-66 loss to Iowa State and were installed as 2 1/2 point favorites. Self is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Kansas played the toughest overall schedule in the nation. NMST has not seen one opponent this season that even comes close to the physicality and speed of Kansas. Further, Kansas' physical length will be a factor especially in the rebounding department. Kansas ranks 15th best in the nation in defensive rebounding and 58th in offensive rebounding. A strong focus will be on keeping NMST off of the offensive glass and minimizing their multi-shot possessions. Take Kansas. 

35* graded play on Georgetown as they take on Eastern Washington in round 2 NCAAM Tournament action set to start at 9:55 PM ET  The simulator shows a high probability that Georgetown will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-17 ATS since 73% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (E WASHINGTON) after four or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgetown is a solid  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; EWU is just 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Georgetown played a vastly more difficult schedule than EWU. Winners of five straight games and covering the last four, EWU, is over valued by my standards. EWU is led by the offensive powerhouse guard Tyler Harvey, who has team highs in minutes (37) and scoring (23 PPG). I am very confident that Georgetown's defense will contain him and force the rest of the EWU players on the floor to be significant contributors. Georgetown ranks 49th with a 0.835 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio reflecting how well they defend opponents and fill passing lanes. Another huge edge for Georgetown will be in rebounding, especially on the offensive glass. Georgetown ranks 49th in the nation getting an offensive board in 33% of their possessions. EWU ranks 173rd getting a defensive board in 70% of opponent possessions. Take Georgetown. 

25* graded play on LSU as they take on NC State in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 9:20 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that LSU will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid  4-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game this season;  6-1 against the money line (+6.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season;  8-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; LSU is a solid long-term  57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. The following are matchup power trends that support LSU winning this game. LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) competing against good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season; 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.  Take LSU.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Butler in second round NCAA Tournament action set to start at 2:45 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Line shows Texas at -1 at the majority of books so there is absolutely no opportunity to use a combination wager on this apparent upset. Despite having several games where coaching was very poor, I do think this Texas team has the potential; to win their first tow games of the Tournament. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler has been a money burning 37-70 ATS (-40.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Texas is a solid 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Notre Dame in the second round of the NCAA TOurnament set to start at 12:15 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NE will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Too low a probability predicting the upset for a combination wager using the line and money line, but it does warrant adding a 2* amount using the money line to the 25* line play. Obviously this play could wreak havoc on a lot of brackets should the upset actually occur. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 139-81 ATS mark good for 63% winners since 2009. Play against any team (NOTRE DAME) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% playing a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons. Further, we note some situational power trend showing that NE is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Irish have been a money burning 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take Northeastern

25* graded play on the Sam Houston State as they take on UNC-Wilmington in the First Round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Sam Houston will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC-Wilmington is just  6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. Seven of the top-10 players on the Sam Houston State team in minutes played are guards. They are also a much deeper team with nearly double the players making significant contribution sin games. I strongly believe this depth will be a major factor, especially in the second half. Take Sam Houston State.

25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on UCONN in the first round of the NIT set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. UCONN is a money losing 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after a game with 9 or less assists since 1997; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Further, ASU head coach Sendek is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. ASU is coming off a tough 67-64 loss to USC installed as 6 1/2 point favorites in the PAC-12 Conference Tournament. Yet, UCONN is off an even tougher loss in the Conference Final losing 62-54 to SMU and failing to cover as 4 point dogs. UCONN offense has gone south shooting 33% against SMU and then 36% in the semifinal win against Tulsa. ASU is a vastly better offensive team and gets to the free throw line far more than UCONN. ASU ranks 110th in scoring differential getting outscored by an average of 3 points per game. UCONN ranks what appears to be a better 87th having outscored their opponents by 4.4 PPG. On the defensive end we note that UCONN ranks 22nd in scoring defense, BUT rank a horrid 170th with a 0.981 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. This clearly means that UCONN's defense is only ranked this high because of their slower paced game and struggles on offense. ASU is the vastly better rebounding team as well. They rank 14th in the nation with a 77% defensive rebound percentage. They will minimize UCONN offensive rebounding and keep them to a majority of one-shot possessions. Take ASU. 

25* graded play on Robert Morris as they take on North Florida in a 'play-in' game for the NCAA Tournament set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Robert Morris will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Robert Morris is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997;  8-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game since 1997. Further, Robert Morris is a stout 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games since 1997. Guard Dallas Moore is the offensive star for NF averaging team highs in minutes (32.4) and scoring (16 PPG). Many times Robert Morris will be playing four guards during game. These guards are good players and compliment one another very well. Further, the rotation of these four guards that play nearly equal time between 27.5 minutes and 30 minutes will simply where down Dallas Moore, Nesbitt, and Beech. Robert Morris also has a fifth guard David Appolon, who averages 21 minutes and brings a complete package to the game coming off the bench. Take Robert Morris.

25* graded play on Stanford as they take on Cal-Davis in NIT first round action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that  Stanford will win this game by more than 9 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons;  10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cal-Davis is a money losing 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Stanford is the vastly better team at both ends of the court and has had a much more difficult schedule than Cal-Davis this season. Stanford is rested and are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. They are also 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1997. Take Stanford.

25* graded play on Rider in the first round of the CBI Tournament set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rider will win this game. I like making this a combination wager using a 19* play on the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is a solid  14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they make 56% to 63% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in games where both teams score 65 or less points this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Loyola is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of

25* graded play on George Washington as they take on Pittsburgh in NIT action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that GW will win this game. As many of you know, when I get a DOG graded as an 'Upset Alert' Titan, I like to play it is a combination wager. The line needs to be at 3 1/2 however, for this to validated based on ROI analysis. So, at 2 1/2 simply play a 25* amount using the line only. Should the line move to 3 1/2, the a combination wager comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money is valid. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; Pitt has been a money losing 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game this season; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season. Further, we note that GW is a near-perfect  8-1 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take GW.

25* graded play on Eastern Illinois as they take on Oakland in the first round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that EI will lose thi sgame by fewer than seven points and has a reasonable shot at winning the game. Giv en this favorable projection consider making a combination wager using a 22* play on the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-13 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2009. Play against a favorite (OAKLAND) in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences, playing with 7 or more days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EI is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when they grab 8 or less offensive rebounds in a game this season. Take Eastern Illinois.

35* graded play on the Wisconsin Badgers as they take on the Michigan State Spartans in the Big Ten Conference Championship set to start at 3:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by more than eight points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin is a solid 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 53-16 ATS (+35.4 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when they commit 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games competing against solid ball handling teams committing

35* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Kentucky in the SEC Conference Tournament Championship game set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Arkansas will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. I will, if it is available, place a 2* play using the money line on Arkansas. Just in case. This is a highly inflated line and on first take, rightfully so, as Kentucky has steamrolled through it's last 8 games. However, Arkansas is a very good team in their own right and I simply see this game being played out in a single digit manner. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 138-78 ATS for 64% winners since 2009. Play against any team (KENTUCKY) that is a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games played and now playing a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arkansas is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Further, Arkansas is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. SEC Player of the Year, Bobby Portis had his worst game of the season against Georgia Saturday. He had just four points on 1-of-14 shooting. However, his teammates more than offset his 'bad' day' and Arkansas cruised to a fairly easy win over a quality opponent. Portis is the Player of the Year for a reason and I strongly believe he will have a monster game against Kentucky. Arkansas actually possess a more efficient offense than Kentucky. They rank 9th in scoring offense and 6th averaging 16.5 assist per game, and 10th posting a very strong 1.406 assist-to-turnover ratio. Kentucky ranks 37th in scoring offense, 36th in assists, and 12th with a 1.395 assist-to-turnover ratio. Another important part of this game is Arkansas' abilities to keep Kentucky off of the offensive glass. Both teams are exceptional getting offensive boards. If Kentucky has no more than 3 board edge in this category, it will go a long way to determining just how close this game is on the scoreboard. Take Arkansas. 

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Notre Dame in the ACC Conference Championship game set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by 5 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; Notre Dame is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game this season. Further, UNC is supported by meaningful power matchup trends. UNC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when competing against poor pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Tulsa as they take on UCONN in the semifinal of the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a near perfect 15-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 against the money line (+7.2 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in games where both teams score 65 or less points this season; 15-4 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further Tulsa has a very favorable power matchup trend showing that they have produced a 22-7 against the money line (+14.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Yale as they take on Harvard in the playoff game to determine the IVY League regular season winner set to start at 4:00 PM ET. This game is being played on a neutral court and the famed Palestra in Philadelphia.  The simulator shows a high probability that Yale will win this game and advance to the NCAA Tournament. Yale had their chance to seal the bid simply by winning on the road at Dartmouth. They lost by one point and now have to face their bitter rival Harvard. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-8 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (YALE) and is an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG and is now facing a struggling offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG after 15+ games and after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season;  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Further, Yale has been a sparkling 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Take Yale. 

35* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on UAB in the C-USA Championship game set to start at 3:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Middle Tennessee State will win this game and advance to the NCAA Tournament. Line is stable at +2 and I don't see this line moving enough to vbalidate a combination wager - like we used on Middle Tennessee State the past two games for 25* Titan winners. I need to see +3 for a combination wager to be validated and that would consist of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games when the rebounding differential is between +3 and -3 in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Middle Tenn State is a perfect  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists this season. MTST is playing very well and over the last four games they have had just 33 turnovers. This excellent ball handling and passing has more than offset 2 games shooting well below 40% form the field. By comparison, UAB has had 55 turnovers over their last four games and had 30 of them over the last two games. Looking at rebounds as a percentage of possessions shows that MTST will have the edge in this part of them game. UAB has been a horrid 260th in the nation allowing an opponent to get an offensive board in 31% of their possessions. MTST ranks 17th in the nation allowing an offensive baord in just 17% of opponent possessions. The ball handling and rebounding strengths is what will lead MTST to the Championship. Take Middle Tennessee State.

25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Michigan State in quarterfinals action in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ohio State is a solid  82-48 ATS (+29.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997. Izzo is just 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games after playing a road game as the coach of MSU. Matta is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points as the coach of Ohio State. Ohio State has a much better defense and I believe that their defense will force MSU into difficult shots late in the clock and also a higher number of turnovers. Ohio State is 51st in scoring defense and ninth best in scoring differential. They also rank 61st posting a 0.848 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison MSU ranks 135th posting a 0.939 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Another key to an Ohio State win is that must keep MSU off the offensive glass and minimize their multi-shot possessions. They will do a great job of that. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on Sam Houston State as they take on Texas A&M CC in the semifinal of the Southland Conference Tournament. I've study these teams extensively and I am fully convinced that Sam Houston is at least 10 point better in this matchup. The simulator shows a high probability that Sam Houston State will win this game by 11 or more points. Sam Houston is a vastly better team at both ends of the court. They are a superior rebounding team and that will mitigate multi-shot possessions by TEX A&M CC. Sam Houston ranks 22nd in the nation getting 11.3 offensive boards per game and 10th averaging 25.2 defensive boards. Rebounding stats can be misleading so taking into consideration the rebounds based on a % of total possessions offers a much clearer picture. So, SH ranks 39th getting an offensive board in 34% of all possessions and 33rd getting a defensive board in 75 of opponent possessions. By comparison, TEX A&M CC ranks 222nd in pure offensive boards and 167 in offensive board percentage at 29% of possessions. Further, they rank 289th in pure defensive boards and 245th getting a defensive board in 69% of opponent possessions. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Although TEX A&^M has had limited lined games in their history, their coach Wilson has been a money burning 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Sam Houston State.

25* graded play on Norfolk State as they take on Hampton in the semifinals of the MEAC Tournament set to start at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that NS will win this game by more than 8 points. Of note is that Hampton guard Dwight Meikle has been downgraded to miss tonight's game with an ankle injury. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Norfolk State is a vastly better team at both ends of the court. Neither team is all that impressive, but when studying this specific matchup, NS has many significant advantages. Hampton ranks 325th in the nation posting a 0.722 assist-to-turnover ratio and 313th posting a 0.463 assist-FG made ratio. Hampton may appear to have a rebounding edge on just pure numbers, but when you factor in the rebounding based on a percentage of possessions it shows otherwise. Hampton ranks 46th getting 10.6 offensive boards per game and 39th averaging 34.3 boards per game. But because they play a higher paced game that involves a 326th ranking in turnovers,  they rank 112th in offensive % and 109th in defensive %. I strongly believe that Norfolk State will do a great job on the defensive end and minimize Hampton's offensive rebounds. Take Norfolk State.

25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Arkansas in SEC quarterfinals action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. I like simply adding a 3* play using the money line to the 25* play using the line. The simulator shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning and advancing to the SEC TOurnament semifinal round of play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UT is a solid  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at the matchup trends we see UT is a solid  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games after 15 or more games this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when competing against teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. They have been excellent road warriors too noting they are  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season. Take Tennessee. 

As an optional wager, you can play these dogs as a RR parlay using the money line. I would recommend not using more than a 3* play for the trio of parlays. 25* graded play on theUAB as they take on Louisiana Tech in the C-USA semifinals set to start at 6:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UAB will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win this game and advance to the Conference Championship game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UAB has been a remarkable  7-2 against the money line (+5.9 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season. UAB is a solid  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive 'unders' this season. L-Tech is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season;  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals this season. Take UAB. 

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Texas El Paso in the C-USA semifinal The simulator shows a high probability that MTST will win this game and advance to the Championship. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. For all of the same reasons I played this team for a 25* winner Thursday are applicable to this release as well.   this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MTST is a solid  24-14 against the money line (+19.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997; 8-2 against the money line (+7.8 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; UTEP is just 3-6 against the money line (-18.0 Units) in road games when they grab 8 or less offensive rebounds in a game this season. UTEO is also a money burning 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games versus poor shooting teams - making

25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Oklahoma State in Big 12 quarterfinals action set to start at 9:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma State is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers +-3 as opponent over the last 2 seasons; Sooners are a rock solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Oklahoma State is a money losing 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage between 60% to 80% after 15 or more games over the last three seasons. Take the Sooners. 

25* graded play 'OVER' Ohio State - Minnesota in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that more than 147 points will be scored in this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is a solid 8-2 OVER (+5.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season;  8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Given the inconsistent Minnesota defense , the only hope they have to upset Ohio State is to try and run them off the court. They rank 38th in scoring offense and 34th in assist-to-turnover ratio and matchup well in a high paced game against Ohio State. Now, Ohio State has a strong defense, but has been exposed in running attacks. They do have a very strong offense of their own that can easily match Gopher scoring runs. I expect this to be an up and down game with lots of action. Take the 'over'. 

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Iowa State in Big 12 Conference tournament action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by more than four points. Simply, I think on any other day, Iowa State is the better team on paper. However, this is a do or die game for Texas. A win and they certainly get off the Tournament bubble and a loss would be devastating - even to a strong Iowa State team.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game this season; Texas is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents this season. Texas is a solid money making  10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when competing against low pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Old Dominion in the quarterfinals of the Conference USA Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that MTST will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MTST is a solid  56-28 ATS (+25.2 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game since 1997. ODU is just 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games when they have the around same number of rebounds +- 3 as their opponents in a game since 1997. ODU is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more since 1997; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1997. Davis is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after two straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of MTST.

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Louisville in the quarterfinals of the ACC TOurnament. The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than five points.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid money making 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game this season; Louisville is just 34-71 ATS (-44.1 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, we note that Louisville is a weak 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Pitino is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) when competing against dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of Louisville. UNC is the second best overall rebounding team in the nation averaging 42 rebounds per game and best in ball movement and distribution averaging 18 assists per game. They also rank best ion the nation averaging 29 FG made per game. Take UNC. 

This is the first three-pack of several releases on the very busy Thursday card. I am releasing them in chronological order so make sure you check back every so often to get all of my releases on what promises to be a huge day for us.  25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in the second round of the Big Ten Conference Tournament set to start at 2:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU has been a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997; 9-4 against the money line (+6.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season;  6-9 against the money line (-12.9 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Take Penn State. 

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on NC State in ACC Round 2 Conference Tournament action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game. Should the line move to +3 1/2, which I believe it will, a combination wager would be recommended. That wager would be comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. If the line stats stagnant at 3 or even drops to 2 1/2, then simply make the wager a 25* play using the line only. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-57 ATS mark  since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (PITTSBURGH) revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and is now playing a winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is of three straight losses with the most recent loss a 61-52 at FSU. However, Pittsburgh is a resilient 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1997. Further, Pitt is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Pittsburgh. 

25* graded play on Marshall as they take on Western Kentucky in first action of the C-USA Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Marshall will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at a shocking upset win. I like simply adding a 2.5* amount using the money line to the 25* play using the line to exploit the upset potential of this play. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-30 mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (W KENTUCKY) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WKU is an imperfect  0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite since 1997. HC Harper is a horrid  0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when competing against teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of Western Kentucky. Take Marshall.  

25* graded play on USC as they take on Arizona State in the first round of the PAC-12 Conference Tournament set to start at 5:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a strong shot at getting a significant upset win. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is an outstanding 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, USC is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when competing against teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take USC.

25* graded play on Penn as they host Princeton in Ivy League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Penn will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is a superior rebounding team in this matchup. Penn is a solid  60-28 ATS (+29.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Princeton is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997. Take Penn. 

25* graded play on the Wisconsin - Green Bay as they take on Valparaiso in the Horizon League Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Green Bay will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play on the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a rock solid 10-2 against the money line (+7.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-2 against the money line (+11.0 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-3 against the money line (+8.8 Units) when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, we see that Green Bay is a near-perfect  7-1 against the money line (+8.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. Take Wisconsin - Green Bay.

25* graded play on St. Francis as they take on Robert Morris in the Northeast Conference Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that St. Francis will win this game by more than 7 points. St. Francis - NY defeated St. Francis PA by 14 points and that positive momentum will carry them to the Big Dance in what I see as another convincing win waiting to happen. SFNY is the vastly better rebounding team led by Forward Jalen Cannon is the team leader in scoring (16.6 PPG) and rebounds (10.4). Robert Morris' top rebounder is guard Lucky Jones averaging just 6 per game. Take St. Francis - NY.

25* graded play on Manhattan as they take on Iona in the Metro Atlantic Conference Championship game set to start at 9:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Manhattan will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Manhattan is a rock solid  7-2 against the money line (+5.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season;  12-5 against the money line (+7.8 Units) when competing against good ball handling teams committing

25* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Eastern Michigan in the First Round of the Mid-America Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. I want to note that I am nearly always one of the last handicappers to post my releases.  My methods take many hours fo time to complete, especially the analysis of the betting consensus that is formed from the data of 12 sport books. So, remind yourself of that fact and know you are always getting my very best work regardless of the time they are submitted for sale. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami (Ohio) will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a great shot at getting a major first round win. In order to capitalize on the upset bid potential, I like making this a combination wagered comprised of a 22* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line for a total of 26* amount of risk. This combination maximizes the total rate of return of this opportunity based on the calculated projections. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. This will be a slow paced grinding type of game with very few fast break scoring opportunities by either team. EMU is just 25-52 ATS (-32.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1997; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.Under current HC Cooper, Miami (Ohio) has been a very resilient team coming off a loss. In fact, he is a solid Cooper is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of Miami (Ohio). 

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on William and Mary in the Colonial Conference Tournament Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that NE will win this game. Given the skinny line, there is no opportunity to use a combination wager comprised of line and money line segments. Simply play NE and get the line provided. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NE is a solid 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NE has a much deeper and far superior bench. W&M does their offensive production with four players. After those four starters, who average double digits in scoring, the next best averages just 6 PPG. NE will be the faster and quicker team to the ball down the stretch. Take Northeastern. 

25* graded play on Nebraska as they host Maryland in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Nebraska will win this game. The current line is +2 Nebraska. I would like to make this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, we need the line to move to +3 for that wager to be validated based on total rate of return analysis (ROI). Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-21 mark good for 65% winners and has made 27 units/unit wagered since 2009. The average play has been a +126 Dog Play. Play against a road team using the money line (MARYLAND) and is a good 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing a poor 3PT shooting team making

25* graded play on Ohio State as they host Wisconsin in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin has been a money burning 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Ohio State is 113-60 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 73-42 ATS (+26.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. Ohio State has won three straight games and are off a solid 10-point win at PSU installed as five point favorites. This has been an excellent situation for Ohio State entering their next game. They are a very strong 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons. OSU is 18-1 at home and have won three of the last four Wisconsin showdown at Value City Arena. In addition, HC Matta will mark his 400 career win and 29th at OSI - most in school history, with a win. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on SMU as they host Tulsa in a very key American Conference showdown with the winner getting the regular season Conference title at 3:00 PM ET. SMU has not defeated Tulsa at home in a decade, but obviously I strongly believe that streak will come to a stop. The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by 10 or more points. They are the better team, especially on the offensive end. The defenses are somewhat equal with slightly more advantages in this department for the Mustangs. SMU ranks 11th in the nation posting a strong 0.638 assist-FG made ratio and 44th with a 1.257 assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Tulsa ranks 269th with a 0.485 assist-to-FG made ratio and 194th with a 0.959 assist-to-turnover ratio. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is a near-perfect  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game this season. Take SMU.

35* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Duke in ACC Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. UNC will get their revenge in this game.  The simulator shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than five points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-17 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2009. Play against a road team (DUKE) that is an excellent shooting team making >=47.5% and is now competing against a good shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% after 15+ games and is a hot shooting team with 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC a solid money making 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see several significant game trends for this matchup. Duke has been a money burning  8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when facing low pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Villanova as they take on St. Johns in Big East Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.   The simulator shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 15 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is a solid money making 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game this season; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Take Villanova. 

25* graded play on the Miami Hurricanes as they take on Virginia Tech in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this game by 7 or more points.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play against any team (VIRGINIA TECH) that is an average shooting team making between 42.5 and 45% and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 40 and 42.5% after 15+ games and after 4 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or higher. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also a solid  12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take Miami. 

25* graded play on  Georgetown as they take on Seton Hall in Big East Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Georgetown will win this game by at last 15 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgetown has been a money making 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons;  9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Georgetown is better in all facets of the game, especially on the defensive end. Georgetown ranks 45th in the nation posting an impressive 0.818 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio and 52nd allowing just 10.9 assist per game. Seton Hall will be overmatched by the Georgetown defense. Hoyas will also force the tempo on every opportunity and look to get to the rims for easy scores and/or getting fouled in the process. They are great at generating fouls and they will have an abundance of free throws in this game. Take Georgetown. 

25* graded play on Butler as they take on Providence in Big East Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Butler will win this game. I like making this play a combination wager comprised of a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler is a near-perfect  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game this season;  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; Providence a money burning  7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Butler in the upset. 

25* graded play on Michigan State as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by four or more points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MSU is a solid 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is a money burning 32-85 ATS (-61.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Further, we see that MSU is been a strong 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is off a very poor 77-63 loss home to Iowa and were installed as 3 point favorites. These types of humiliating losses are difficult to get over for many teams. Indian is one of them noting they are just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite since 1997. Take MSU. 

25* graded play on  UC-Riverside (UCR) as they take on Cal-Davis in Big West action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UCR will lose this game by fewer than 8 [points and has a reasonable shot at getting a shocking road win. I like making this a combination wager using a 31* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCR is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997;  30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Further specific situations shows that UCR is  21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons;  11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. CD win games with their offense and their defense is quite suspect. I note a 254th national ranking with a 1.099 assist-to-turnover ratio allowed by CD this season. This reflects minimal pressure allowing slightly more assist than forcing turnovers to date. Steve Jones remans out as the UCR point guard with a foot injury extending back to February 4. However, the rest of the team has done well and stepped in his absence. Guard Jaylen Bland is the team leader in minutes (36) and is scoring 15.9 PPG second only to Forward Taylor Johns (16.5 PPG). Further, UCR is a vastly better rebounding team led by Johns and Cal-Davis does not always take good care of the ball averaging 13.7 turnovers per game. Bland is an excellent defender and I expect him to have several steels of the his defensive pressure leading to poor passes that end in turnovers. This si a game where Cal-Davis could take for granted and if they do, it could be a very costly loss. Take UC-Riverside. 

25* graded play 'OVER' Tulsa/Cincinnati in C-USA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that more than 120 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-13 'Over' record good for 76% winners since 1997. Play 'over' with road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (CINCINNATI) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with just two starters returning from last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid  7-1 OVER (+5.9 Units) in home games when competing against non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on St. Louis as they host St. Bonaventure in A-10 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Saint Louis will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STL is a solid 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997; Bonnies are just 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more since 1997. St. Louis had a horrid loss last time out losing 78-50 home to George Mason and allowed 60% shooting and made just 37% of their own shots. Teams have a strong tendency to perform much better in their next game and in many cases significantly above their season averages at both ends of the court. I firmly believe St. Louis will put in one of their best efforts of the season. Take St. Louis.  

25* graded play on the South Florida as they host UCF in American Conference action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SFU will win this game by three ro more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCF has been a money burning 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons;  8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons. Based on the situations, we note that UCF is a weak 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when competing against non-pressure defensive teams forcing

25* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Akron in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Akron is a weak  1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is not a solid ball passing team as evidenced by their low number of assists per game. However, Akron has been miserable against these types of teams noting they are just 2-7 against the money line (-14.2 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging

25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on Iowa State in Big -12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. This would be a MONSTER win for the Sooners and obviously I think they are catching Iowa State at the right time. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons;  12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State is an elite ball handling team posting extremeley good metrics in these categories. However, the Sooners have been  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when competing against elite passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons;  10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons; 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State has been an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Oklahoma. 

25* graded play on Ohio State as they host Purdue in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that that Ohio State will win this game by 11 or more points.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is just 17-41 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Ohio State is a solid 113-60 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Purdue has not done well dressed as a road warrior noting they are 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997. Ohio State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after a conference game this season; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons; 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Ohio State is just vastly better on both ends of the court. Take Ohio State. 

25* graded play on Oregon State as they take on California in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oregon State will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-8 ATS mark over the last five seasons. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CALIFORNIA) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite and is now facing an opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon State is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons;  33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in games where both teams score 65 or less points since 1997;  7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Oregon has struggled on defense this seaosn, but Cal has a solid history of failing to take advantage of those weaknesses. Cal is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when competing against poor offensive teams scoring

25* graded play on UCONN as they take on SMU in American Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that UCONN will win this game by more than four points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is just 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. SMU is just  3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots over the last 3 seasons. On paper SMU is the better team, but this matchup at this point in the season and with UCONN desperate for a win and playing at home makes it a far different. Take UCONN.

25* graded play on the Duke as they take on Syracuse in ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by at least 14 points. Duke has significant matchup advantages across the board ranging from effective shooting percentage to offensive rebounds allowed. This is a matchup where Duke will not allow themselves to get caught looking ahead, knowing that ANY loss could cause them to lose a top seed in the Tournament. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is off a nice win, however they are just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season. Duke is a solid 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997; 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a combined score of 175 points or more since 1997. Take Duke. 

25* graded play on George Washington as they take on Davidson in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer that 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination wager, comprised of a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS mark for 74% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (GEORGE WASHINGTON) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread and is now facing an opponent That has been a hot team covering 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread. Davidson may have been hot, but this is a game that will catch them off guard with GW inteneity at both ends of the court. GW needs this win badly and it will show with a great effort tonight. Take George Washington.

25* graded play on South Carolina as they host Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miss State is a money losing 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game this season; 18-44 ATS (-30.4 Units) when they score 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997; SC is a solid  13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. Two mostly struggling offensive teams, but the vast difference is the superior SC defense in this matchup. I will use one example focused on a key and meaningful stat opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. SC defense ranks 16th in the nation with a 0.74 assist-to-turnover ratio. MS ranks 174th posting a 0.974 ratio. A number below 1.000 indicates a defense generates more turnovers than allows assists. It is a progressive stat since it is a ratio meaning that there is a monumental difference between these two teams in this defensive category. Take South Carolina.

35* graded play on Florida State as they host Louisville in ACC action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game. Given this favorable projections, I like making this a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season; 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1997; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games this season; Louisville is a money burning  4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games this season. Further, we see that HC Pitino is just Pitino is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of Louisville. Hamilton is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent as the coach of FSU. This is just not a good spot for Louisville. FSu has been playing increasingly better defense. They don't play aggressively looking for steals, but rather are making smarter decision with very good help defense in the paint. Louisville is just not a good offensive team and wins games with their defense. They rank 223rd in the nation in effective shooting percentage and 306th in 3-point shooting percentage. This lack of a perimeter threat plays right in the defensive strengths of FSU. Seminoles will pack the paint and force Louisville to shoot from the perimeter. Take Florida Stat.

35* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on Cleveland State in Horizon Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valpo is an outstanding 23-5 against the money line (+17.8 Units) when competing against poor foul drawing teams attempting

25* graded play on Pacific as they take on Santa Clara in West Coast Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pacific will lose this game by fewer than four points. I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an 82-43 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 2009. Play on any team (PACIFIC) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more and is a struggling team winning between 20% to 40% of their games and is now playing a team with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pacific is a solid money making 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; Santa Clara is just  29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Further, we see that Pacific is a  perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games competing against poor passing teams averaging

25* graded play on Texas State as they take on Troy University in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that TS will win this game by 9 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Troy is a money burning  3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they score 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons. TS may struggle on offense, but their defense is quite good and not dependent on a slow paced game either. TS ranks 14th in the nation posting a 0.728 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio and 63rd in scoring defense. They defend the perimeter quite well and rank 29th allowing just 30% shooting from beyond the arc. Troy has one of the worst assist-to-turnover ratios in the nation ranking a horrid 337th with a 0.646 ratio. I expect a high number of Troy turnovers and mental mistakes that TS will fully take advantage of tonight. Take Texas State. 

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they host Texas- San Antonio in C-USA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SM will lose this game by fewer than 4 points. I like making this a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 93-59 ATS (+28.1 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997. Further, SM is off a low scoring affair and this is excellent news for this game. They are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a combined score of 115 points or less over the last 2 seasons;  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a combined score of 115 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. No doubt SM struggles on the offensive end ranking just 336th in scoring offense. However, they will be going against a very weak T-SA defense that ranks 273rd in the nation allowing 74 PPG. Take Southern Mississippi. 

25* graded play on Western Kentucky as they host Florida Atlantic in C-USA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that WKU will win this game by at least 14 points.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FAU is just  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; WKU is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. WKU is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997. WKU has huge advantages in scoring offense, assists per game, total rebounding, and defensive rebounding. FAU will have very few multi-shot possessions and that is not good news for a team ranked 268th in shooting percentage at 41%. Take Western Kentucky.