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College Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-28-18	Iowa State v. Washington State OVER 56.5		26-28	Loss	-118	20 h 36 m	Show
-Iowa State went 7-1 over their final 8 games of the season; team in excellent current form -offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play -Cyclones defense gave up 24, 38, and 24 points in their last 3 games; another bad matchup here -Washington State lost their final game of the season after scoring just 15 points; big effort here -offense averages 41 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 29.6 points per game -Cougars allow 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play *10 Play OVER the total.**
12-28-18	Auburn -3.5 v. Purdue		63-14	Win	100	12 h 6 m	Show
-Auburn went just 1-2 over their last 3 games; no shame in losing to Alabama and Georgia -offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 26.5 points per game -Tigers defense allows just 5.2 yards per per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play -Purdue went 2-3 to close the season; those losses came by a combined 44 points; poor form late -offense is averaging 139 rushing yards per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 159.5 rypg -Boilermakers defense allows 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yppl *9 Play AUBURN (-).**
12-27-18	Vanderbilt v. Baylor +4.5		38-45	Win	100	9 h 42 m	Show
-Vanderbilt went 3-1 to close the season to become bowl eligible; went just 6-6 SU overall -offense is averaging 22 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 25.7 points per game -Commodores defense allows 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yppl -Baylor also went 6-6 on the season, but just 2-4 SU down the stretch; expect big effort here -offense completed 61.5% of their passes vs. defenses that only allowed 60.9% completions -Bears defense allows 4.4 yards per rush on the road vs. offenses that average 4.6 yards per rush *10 Play BAYLOR (+).**
12-26-18	TCU +1.5 v. California		10-7	Win	100	9 h 6 m	Show
-TCU went 6-6 on the season; played the 17th hardest schedule in the country; no injury luck -offense was less effective against defensive units with speed to match; big drop in class here -Horned Frogs defense allows 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play -California went just 4-5 SU down the stretch; 2 of those wins came by just 2 and a single point -offense is averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that allow 29.9 points per game -Golden Bears defense faced slow offenses in the Pac 12; facing a speed-based TCU unit here *10 Play TCU (+).**
12-22-18	Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii		31-14	Win	100	12 h 1 m	Show
-Louisiana Tech comes in off back-to-back losses; last as a 10.5-point favorite; bounce back here -offense faced a schedule loaded with very strong defenses; major class drop in this game tonight -Bulldogs defense is giving up 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play -Hawaii opened the season with a 6-1 record; team was way overrated; went 2-4 down the stretch -offense runs for 113.5 yards per game vs. defenses that allow 163.6 rushing yards per game -Rainbow Warriors allow 35.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.7 points per game *10 Play LOUISIANA TECH.**
12-22-18	Houston +7 v. Army		14-70	Loss	-110	5 h 2 m	Show
-Houston went 8-5 against a tough schedule; line is overinflated for QB and DT absences -offense is averaging 6.8 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play -Cougars allow 4.2 yards per rush vs. offenses that average 4.4 yards per rush; key matchup -Army won their biggest game of the season over Navy in their last outing; spread is too big here -offense is averaging 5.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play -Black Knights defense faced bad offenses that only averaged 5.7 yards per play; big class jump *9 Play HOUSTON (+).**
12-20-18	Marshall v. South Florida +4.5		38-20	Loss	-105	4 h 46 m	Show
-Marshall won 8 games this season, but they played an extremely easy schedule; away game here -offense is only averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play -Thundering Herd defense has been much worse on the road this season; 4.2 ppg more allowed -South Florida started the season at 7-0; they’ve lost 5 straight games since; off a break at home -offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 6.0 yards per play -Bulls defense allows 5.7 yards per play vs offenses that average 5.8 yards per play *10 Play SOUTH FLORIDA (+).**
12-18-18	Northern Illinois +2 v. UAB		13-37	Loss	-110	3 h 36 m	Show
-Northern Illinois went 7-2 over their last nine games; both losses came by 7 points or less -offense has played some very stout defenses out of conference this season; numbers are skewed -Huskies defense allows just 21.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.5 points per game -UAB went just 1-2 SU over their final 3 games of the season; played a very easy schedule -offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that give up 30.7 points per game -Blazers defense allows 5.5 yards per play on the road vs offenses that average 5.2 yards per play *9 Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).**
12-15-18	Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State		13-45	Loss	-110	18 h 5 m	Show
-Middle Tennessee State comes in off back-to-back games against UAB; big effort off a loss -offense is averaging 29.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 27.1 points per game -Blue Raiders defense is giving up 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play -Appalachian State went 10-2 against a terrible schedule that ranks 45 spots below MTSU’s -offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play -Mountaineers defense faced a poor collection of offenses that only averaged 5.6 yards per play *9 Play MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+).**
12-15-18	Eastern Michigan v. Georgia Southern OVER 45		21-23	Loss	-107	15 h 34 m	Show
-Eastern Michigan went 7-5 this season, but they scored 27 points or more in 6 of those games -offense is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. defenses that allow 7.4 yppa -Eagles defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.3 yppl -Georgia Southern went 9-3 this season; they scored 28 points or more in 8 of their games -offense is averaging 31.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 30.6 points per game -Eagles defense has given up 26.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road this season *9 Play OVER the total.**
12-15-18	Arizona State +6.5 v. Fresno State		20-31	Loss	-110	13 h 35 m	Show
-Arizona State went 7-5; played a much tougher schedule; line is inflated for WR Harry absence -offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play -Sun Devils defense allows 25.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.1 points per game -Fresno State won their biggest game of the season in the MW Championship at Boise State; flat -offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play -Bulldogs defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 5.5 yards per play; big class jump *10 Play ARIZONA STATE (+).**
12-15-18	North Texas v. Utah State OVER 66.5		13-52	Loss	-105	11 h 6 m	Show
-North Texas went 9-3 this season while playing in many high-scoring games; expect same here -offense is averaging 36.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 32.9 points per game -Mean Green allows 7.0 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. offenses that average 6.8 yppa -Utah State went just 10-2 this season; they scored 30 points or more in 9 of those games -offense is averaging 47.2 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 33.8 points per game -Aggies defense allows 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.2 yards per play *9 Play OVER the total.**
12-01-18	Fresno State v. Boise State -1		19-16	Loss	-105	11 h 44 m	Show
-Fresno State is 10-2 against a very easy schedule; already lost at Boise State this year; repeat -offense is only averaging 29.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.6 ppg -Bulldogs defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play -Boise State is also 10-2 on the season; playing their best football while winning 7 straight games -offense averages 37 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.7 points per game -Broncos allowing 18.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.5 points per game *9 Play BOISE STATE (-).**
12-01-18	Georgia +13 v. Alabama		28-35	Win	100	6 h 54 m	Show
-Georgia is 11-1 SU on the season; lone loss came to a good LSU team; undervalued here -offense is averaging a whopping 7.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play -Bulldogs defense gives up 17.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.3 points per game -Alabama is a perfect 12-0 on the season; steamrolled every team; facing best opponent now -offense has played a terrible collections of defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play; class jump -Crimson Tide defense has also faced a bad group of opposing offenses that average 5.8 yppl *10 Play GEORGIA (+).**
11-30-18	Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo		30-29	Win	100	5 h 9 m	Show
-Northern Illinois comes into this conference championship game off 2 losses; big effort here -offense has played some very stout defenses out of conference this season; numbers are skewed -Huskies defense allows just 20.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.3 points per game -Buffalo is 10-1 SU on the season, but they’ve played an extremely easy schedule; class jump -offense has faced a terrible collection of opposing defenses that give up 30.7 points per game -Bulls defense allows 5.6 yards per play on the road vs, offenses that average 5.2 yards per play *10 Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+).**
11-24-18	Utah State v. Boise State -2.5		24-33	Win	100	13 h 38 m	Show
-Utah State has won 10 straight games after losing their season opener; beat all terrible teams -offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 6.1 yards per play -Aggies defense allows 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.1 yards per play -Boise State has won 6 straight games since losing at home to San Diego State; in good form -offense is averaging a strong 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play -Broncos allow just 17.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.4 points per game *9 Play BOISE STATE (-).**
11-24-18	Oklahoma State v. TCU +6.5		24-31	Win	100	10 h 24 m	Show
-Oklahoma State comes in off 4 straight close, high-scoring games; last 2 as underdogs; flat spot -offense is averaging just 183.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 182.2 rypg -Cowboys defense is giving up 6.7 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.9 yppl -TCU returns home off a confidence-building road win at Baylor; big effort in last home game -offense has been better at home this season; averaging 1.7 ppg and 1.1 yppl more than overall -Horned Frogs defense allows 23.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.4 ppg *9 Play TCU (+).**
11-24-18	LSU v. Texas A&M -2.5		72-74	Loss	-115	10 h 55 m	Show
-LSU is just 2-1 SU and an ugly 0-3 ATS over their last 3 games; overvalued after a hot start -offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.3 yards per play -Tigers defense is good overall, but their numbers are inflated; taking a big jump in class here -Texas A&M is playing with legitimate double revenge; expect big effort here; strong home field -offense averages 36.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25 points per game -Aggies defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 6.3 yards per play *10 Play TEXAS A&M (-).**
11-24-18	Michigan v. Ohio State +5.5		39-62	Win	100	2 h 25 m	Show
-Michigan has won 10 straight games since their season opening loss to Notre Dame; class jump -offense is averaging 25 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 27 points per game -Wolverines defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play; class rise -Ohio State returns home off back-to-back road wins; 6-0 at home; rivalry game; big effort here -offense is averaging 7.3 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play -Buckeyes defense is giving up 18.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.5 ppg *9 Play OHIO STATE (+).**
11-23-18	Washington +2.5 v. Washington State		28-15	Win	100	8 h 37 m	Show
-Washington has 3 losses on the season by a combined total of just 10 points; expect big effort -offense averages 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play -Huskies defense allows 16.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.6 points per game -Washington State comes in off their best game of the season; 69-28 win over Arizona; regress -offense is averaging just 81.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 152.3 rypg -Cougars defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play; jump in class *9 Play WASHINGTON (+).**
11-23-18	Oklahoma -3 v. West Virginia		59-56	Push	0	7 h 7 m	Show
-Oklahoma is 10-1 on the season with their lone loss being a misleading 3-point defeat to Texas -offense is averaging a whopping 8.8 yards per play vs. defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play -Sooners give up 120.7 rushing yards per game on the road vs. offenses that average 178.5 rypg -West Virginia is just 3-2 over their last 5 games; opened the season at 5-0; beat 1 good team -offense is averaging 162 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 169.3 rypg -Mountaineers allow 62% pass completions vs. offenses that complete 60.9% of their passes *10 Play OKLAHOMA (-).**
11-22-18	Mississippi State -12 v. Ole Miss		35-3	Win	100	15 h 46 m	Show
-Mississippi State playing with legitimate revenge against their in-state rival; expect big effort -offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play -Bulldogs defense allows 12.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.7 points per game -Mississippi returns home off an overtime road loss at Vanderbilt; 4-game losing streak; bad spot -offense has scored 29 points or less in three of their last four games; now facing a stout defense -Rebels allow 36.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 31.8 points per game *9 Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).**
11-17-18	Arizona State v. Oregon -3.5		29-31	Loss	-100	18 h 1 m	Show
-Arizona State is on a 3-game winning streak; 2 of those wins were at home; tough road spot -offense is only averaging 25 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 26.3 ppg -Sun Devils defense gives up 29.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 25 ppg -Oregon returns home off a road loss; playing with legitimate revenge; expect big effort here -offense averages 43 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 31.2 points per game -Ducks defense allows 5.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play *9 Play OREGON (-).**
11-17-18	Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt OVER 70		29-36	Loss	-115	15 h 58 m	Show
-Mississippi’s last 2 games have had 158 total points scored; expect another big scoring game -offense is averaging 37.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 30.9 points per game -Rebels defense gives up 36.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 32.3 points per game -Vanderbilt returns home where their offense has been much better this season; expect points -offense averages 29.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game -Commodores defense has given up 31 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; in poor form *10 Play OVER the total.**
11-17-18	Texas Tech v. Kansas State +7		6-21	Win	100	11 h 57 m	Show
-Texas Tech hits the road without their starting QB; extreme cold and windy conditions; bad spot -offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.9 yards per play -Red Raiders defense gives up 6.4 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 6.1 yppl -Kansas State may be playing their last home game for legendary HC Bill Snyder; big effort here -offense is averaging 184.3 rushing yards per game at home vs. defenses that give up 160.4 rypg -Wildcats defense is giving up 20 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 ppg *9 Play KANSAS STATE (+).**
11-14-18	Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5		17-52	Win	100	4 h 49 m	Show
-Buffalo comes in on a 5-game winning streak; 3 of those games were at home; bad road spot -offense only averages 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play -Bulls defense has faced a terrible group of offenses that only average 23.9 ppg; big step-up here -Ohio returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a loss; expect big effort -offense is averaging 49.2 points per game at home vs. defenses give up 31.5 points per game -Bobcats defense allows 95.5 yards per game on the ground on just 3.5 yards per rush at home *9 Play OHIO (-).**
11-10-18	California v. USC -4		15-14	Loss	-105	19 h 35 m	Show
-California just played 2 big games as underdogs; now on the road; natural letdown spot here -offense is only averaging 23.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 30.8 points per game -Golden Bears defense has faced a weak collection of offenses that average 28.9 ppg; class jump -USC returns home off a solid road win; they lost their previous home game; expect big effort -offense is averaging 37 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.3 points per game -Trojans defense is allowing just 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play *10 Play USC (-).**
11-10-18	Kentucky v. Tennessee +6		7-24	Win	100	12 h 36 m	Show
-Kentucky enters off back-to-back big games as underdogs; now favorites on the road; bad spot -offense is only averaging 18.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 25.1 ppg -Wildcats defense gave up 48 points in their last 2 games; 37 points in their previous 3 games -Tennessee has played a brutal schedule; Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina; class drop here -offense is averaging 27.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 25.8 points per game -Vols defense gives up 5.0 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play *9 Play TENNESSEE (+).**
11-10-18	Washington State v. Colorado +6.5		31-7	Loss	-110	12 h 36 m	Show
-Washington State has played 3 straight big games with 2 of them at home; bad road spot now -offense is averaging just 71.8 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 147.3 rypg -Cougars defenses gives up 33.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.6 ppg -Colorado has lost 4 straight games, but 3 of those games were on the road; expect big effort here -offense is averaging 6.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.9 yards per play -Buffaloes defense allows 4.8 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play *9 Play COLORADO (+).**
11-10-18	Ohio State v. Michigan State +3.5		26-6	Loss	-103	8 h 7 m	Show
-Ohio State barely survived at home against Nebraska after getting walloped at Purdue; bad form -offense averages 29 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30.6 points per game -Buckeyes defense allows 34.3 points per game on 6.9 yards per play on the road this season -Michigan State returns home off an easy win at Maryland; positive momentum carries here -offense averages 23.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 23.4 points per game -Spartans defense is giving up 4.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play *9 Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).**
11-09-18	Fresno State v. Boise State +3		17-24	Win	100	9 h 17 m	Show
-Fresno State is 8-1 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; big class jump here -offense is only averaging 31.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 38 ppg -Bulldogs defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play -Boise State has legitimate revenge after losing as 7-point road favorites at Fresno St last season -offense averages 38 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 28.9 points per game -Broncos allowing 17.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 26.8 points per game *10 Play BOISE STATE (+).**
11-03-18	BYU v. Boise State -13.5		16-21	Loss	-102	20 h 53 m	Show
-BYU hits the road off 3 straight home games with their last being a 7-6 loss to Northern Illinois -offense is only averaging 19.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 24.4 ppg -Cougars allowing 5.9 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play -Boise State returns home off a solid road win at Air Force; expect another strong blowout win -offense averages 43.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 30.1 points per game -Broncos defense is allowing 18 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.7 points per game *9 Play BOISE STATE (-).**
11-03-18	Notre Dame v. Northwestern +10.5		31-21	Win	100	17 h 52 m	Show
-Notre Dame is 8-0 on the season, but aside from Michigan, they’ve played a terrible schedule -offense is only averaging 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play -Irish defense is giving up a whopping 227.7 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush -Northwestern comes in off a SU home underdog win last week; positive momentum carries here -offense averages 25.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 24.8 points per game -Wildcats defense allows 5.4 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play *10 Play NORTHWESTERN (+).**
11-03-18	Missouri v. Florida -6		38-17	Loss	-120	14 h 38 m	Show
-Missouri has lost four of their last five games; blew a 14-3 lead late last week; terrible spot here -offense completing 53.3% of their passes on the road vs. defenses that allow 60.1% completions -Tigers defense is giving up 37.7 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season -Florida returns home off their poor performance against Georgia; expect a strong bounce back -offense is averaging 36 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 25.4 points per game -Gators defense is giving up just 19 points per game on 5.0 yards per play this season *9 Play FLORIDA (-).**
11-03-18	Oklahoma State v. Baylor +6		31-35	Win	100	10 h 41 m	Show
-Oklahoma State hits the road after their big home win over Texas; major flat spot for this game -offense is averaging 30 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 32 points per game -Cowboys allowing 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play -Baylor returns home off back-to-back road losses; 2 days of extra rest as well; expect big effort -offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play -Bears defense is giving up 27 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 ppg *9 Play BAYLOR (+).**
10-27-18	Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5		35-38	Win	100	15 h 56 m	Show
-Texas comes in off a bye, but time off isn’t what they wanted while on a 6-game winning streak -offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play versus defenses that also give up 5.4 yards per play -Longhorns defense gives up 31 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 29.3 ppg -Oklahoma State also comes off a bye; perfect timing since they are on a 2-game losing streak -offense averages 43.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game -Cowboys defense allows 5.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play *9 Play OKLAHOMA STATE (+).**
10-27-18	Tennessee v. South Carolina -8		24-27	Loss	-110	14 h 16 m	Show
-Tennessee enters off a 4-game gauntlet of Florida, Georgia, Auburn, and Alabama; battered team -offense is only averaging 18.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 25.1 ppg -Vols defense is giving up 34 points per game on 6.7 yards per play on the road this season -South Carolina comes into this game fresh off a bye week; lost previous home game; big effort -offense averages 31.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.8 points per game -Gamecocks defense is allowing 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.3 yards per play *9 Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).**
10-27-18	Washington State v. Stanford -2.5		41-38	Loss	-110	14 h 58 m	Show
-Washington State hits the road after their big home win over Oregon; major flat spot tonight -offense is only averaging 72.6 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that allow 140.4 rypg -Cougars defense gives up 31.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 26.4 ppg -Stanford returns home off a win at Arizona State; lost their previous home game; big effort here -offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.0 yards per play -Cardinal defense is giving up 15.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 29.1 ppg *9 Play STANFORD (-).**
10-27-18	Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +1		13-28	Win	100	14 h 57 m	Show
-Texas A&M comes in off a bye, but it came after winning 3 straight games; bad time for rest -offense averages 24.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 27.8 points per game -Aggies defense is giving up 34 points per game on 7.2 yards per play on the road this season -Mississippi State returns home off an ugly 19-3 loss at LSU; expect a strong bounce back game -offense is averaging 37 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 26.4 points per game -Bulldogs defense is giving up just 13.6 points per game on 4.4 yards per play this season *10 Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).**
10-25-18	Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech -3.5		49-28	Loss	-105	6 h 34 m	Show
-Georgia Tech is just 2-3 SU on the season with both wins coming against teams in disarray -offense is predominantly a running team; they are facing a strong rush defense; bad matchup -Yellow Jackets defense is giving up 34.7 points per game on 6.3 yards per play on the road -Virginia Tech returns home off a solid road win; positive momentum; expect big effort -offense is averaging 42.5 points per game at home vs. defenses give up 32.9 points per game -Hokies defense allows 100.5 yards per game on the ground on just 3.3 yards per rush at home *9 Play VIRGINIA TECH (-).**
10-20-18	USC +7 v. Utah		28-41	Loss	-105	17 h 13 m	Show
-USC has won 3 straight games after opening the season with back-to-back losses; undervalued -offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up just 5.5 yards per play -Trojans defense is allowing just 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play -Utah is also 3-2 on the season; 2 of their wins have come as double digit favorites; step-up here -offense needs to run the ball to have success; facing a terrible matchup here; USC allows 3.7 ypr -Utes defense has faced bad offenses that only average 5.1 yards per play; big class jump tonight *9 Play USC (+).**
10-20-18	Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -13		7-14	Loss	-102	17 h 39 m	Show
-Vanderbilt has played a brutal schedule; 5th big game in 6 weeks; blowout loss coming here -offense is averaging just 15 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 24.9 ppg -Commodores defenses is giving up 31.5 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road -Kentucky comes into this game off their bye week; lost their previous game; expect big effort -offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play -Wildcats defense allows just 11.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 25.8 ppg *10 Play KENTUCKY (-).**
10-20-18	Mississippi State +7 v. LSU		3-19	Loss	-115	16 h 14 m	Show
-Mississippi State comes into this game fresh and ready off their bye; big scheduling edge here -offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play -Bulldogs defense is giving up just 12.7 points per game on 4.6 yards per play this season -LSU enters off back-to-back big games; lost at Florida and then pulled a huge upset of Georgia -offense played their 2nd best game of the season last week; expect major regression in this spot -Tigers defense gave up 37 points to this same Mississippi State offense last season; bad matchup *9 Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).**
10-20-18	Michigan v. Michigan State +7.5		21-7	Loss	-106	9 h 10 m	Show
-Michigan is a perfect 5-0 on the season, but this will be just their 2nd true road game; tough spot -offense averaged just 5.1 yards per play in their lone road game at Northwestern; lucky to win -Wolverines defense has faced a terrible collection of offenses; taking a big step-up in class now -Michigan State returns home off an underdog win at Penn State; positive momentum carries -offense is averaging 29.3 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home; shock to Michigan -Spartans defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play *9 Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).**
10-13-18	Colorado v. USC -7		20-31	Win	100	20 h 2 m	Show
-Colorado is a perfect 5-0 on the season; they haven't played a road game in a month; bad spot -offense has faced bad defenses that give up 36 points per game on 5.7 yards per play; class rise -Buffaloes defense is giving up 216 rushing yards per game on the road; terrible matchup here -USC comes into this game fresh and ready off a bye week; just their 3rd home game; big effort -offense is averaging 41 points per game on 6.6 yards per play at home this season; explode here -Trojans defense is allowing just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.9 yards per play *9 Play USC (-).**
10-13-18	Ole Miss v. Arkansas +6.5		37-33	Win	100	17 h 2 m	Show
-Mississippi’s 3 wins have come against Southern Illinois, Kent State and UL Monroe; big deal -offense has faced terrible defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play; taking a big class jump here -Rebels defense is giving up 36 points per game on 6.2 yards per play on the road this season -Arkansas is winless on the season; last 3 games came against Alabama, Texas A&M and Auburn -offense is averaging 34.3 points per game at home vs defenses that give up 27.1 points per game -Razorbacks defense gives up just 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play *10 Play ARKANSAS (+).**
10-13-18	West Virginia v. Iowa State +7		14-30	Win	100	17 h 33 m	Show
-West Virginia is 5-0 SU on the season, but they’ve played a joke of a schedule; real test here -offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that give up 31.9 ppg; big jump-up in class -Mountaineers defense has allowed 48 points in 2 road games; just 45 points in 3 home games -Iowa State returns home off a SU underdog win at Oklahoma State; positive momentum carries -offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 4.9 yards per play -Cyclones defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 6.4 yards per play *9 Play IOWA STATE (+).**
10-11-18	Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU		17-14	Win	100	5 h 0 m	Show
-Texas Tech comes in off a loss and off a bye week; revenge game as well; expect big effort -offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play -Red Raiders defense is giving up 31 points per game vs. offenses that average 35.5 ppg -TCU also comes in off a bye week, but they won their previous game so less important game -offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play -Horned Frogs defense has faced poor offenses that only average 5.5 yppl; big step-up in class *10 Play TEXAS TECH (+).**
10-06-18	California v. Arizona +2.5		17-24	Win	100	19 h 27 m	Show
-California couldn’t take advantage of a deflated Oregon team at home last week; bad road spot -offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play -Golden Bears defense is giving up 163.7 rushing yards per game; face a terrible matchup here -Arizona comes into this game off a close home loss to USC last week; bounce back effort -offense averages 217.4 rushing yards per game on 5.2 yards per rush; fantastic matchup here -Wildcats defense is allowing just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play *9 Play ARIZONA (+).**
10-06-18	Auburn v. Mississippi State +3.5		9-23	Win	100	17 h 2 m	Show
-Auburn is 4-1 SU, but they will be playing their first true road game of the season; tough spot -offense has faced defenses that give up 27.9 points per game; taking a big class jump here -Tigers defense gave up 6.1 yards per play to Washington in their lone neutral site game -Mississippi State comes in off back-to-back losses with their last being at home; bounce back -offense is averaging 41.7 points per game at home vs defenses that give up 30.9 points per game -Bulldogs defense is giving up just 13.4 points per game on 4.5 yards per play this season *9 Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).**
10-06-18	Kentucky v. Texas A&M -5.5		14-20	Win	100	16 h 28 m	Show
-Kentucky comes into this with a 5-0 record; 2 of those wins as double digit dogs; flat spot here -offense relies heavily on their running game; terrible matchup here; A&M allows just 80.6 rypg -Wildcats defense has faced weak offenses that only average 24.5 ppg; big jump up in class now -Texas A&M is just 3-2 SU on the season, but their 2 losses came against Alabama and Clemson -offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.8 yards per play -Aggies defense allows just 15.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 28.8 ppg *10 Play TEXAS A&M (-).**
10-06-18	LSU v. Florida +2		19-27	Win	100	13 h 59 m	Show
-LSU is a perfect 5-0 SU on the season, but this will be just their 2nd true road game; tough spot -offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play in their lone road game at Auburn; fortunate to win -Tigers defense also gave up 5.0 yards per play to Auburn; stiffest test of the season comes now -Florida returns home off an impressive underdog win at Mississippi State; positive momentum -offense is averaging 39 points per game on 6.5 yards per play at home; shock to LSU’s defense -Gators defense is giving up 4.6 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.6 yards per play *9 Play FLORIDA (+).**
09-29-18	Oregon v. California +2.5		42-24	Loss	-105	20 h 47 m	Show
-Oregon is off an embarrassingly bad blown home loss to Stanford last week; terrible spot now -offense is only averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up 6.6 yards per play -Ducks defense is giving up 24.5 points per game versus offenses that only average 22.8 ppg -California comes into this game fresh off a bye; revenge game as well; expect big effort -offense averages 34.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 32.9 points per game -Golden Bears defense is allowing just 19.3 points per game on 4.2 yards per play this season *9 Play CALIFORNIA (+).**
09-29-18	Ohio State v. Penn State +4		27-26	Win	100	17 h 46 m	Show
-Ohio State is 4-0, but they will be playing their first true road game of the season tonight -offense has faced defenses that give up 33.8 points per game on 6.1 yards per play; class jump -Buckeyes defense gave up 28 points on 6.7 yards per play in their lone neutral site game -Penn State is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 39-38 at Ohio State last season -offense is averaging 55.5 points per game versus defenses that give up 29.3 points per game -Nittany Lions defense is giving up just 19.5 points per game on 4.6 yards per play this season *10 Play PENN STATE (+).**
09-29-18	Stanford v. Notre Dame -5		17-38	Win	100	17 h 41 m	Show
-Stanford is off a miraculous win at Oregon last week; second straight road game; terrible spot -offense is only averaging 104.2 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 114.6 rypg -Cardinal defense gave up 31 points on 6.4 yards per play in their lone road game this season -Notre Dame is playing their second straight home game; revenge game; expect big effort -offense is averaging 31.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22.7 points per game -Irish defense allows just 4.5 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play *9 Play NOTRE DAME (-).**
09-29-18	Utah v. Washington State +2		24-28	Win	100	15 h 5 m	Show
-Utah is 2-1 on the season, but their 2 wins have come against Weber State and Northern Illinois -offense is averaging just 21.7 points per game versus defenses that give up 26.5 points per game -Utes defense has faced terrible offenses that average 17.1 ppg on 3.9 yppl; big step-up in class -Washington State played last Friday night, so they had an extra day of prep time; big effort here -offense is averaging 45 points per game on 6.7 yards per play at home; shock to Utah’s defense -Cougars defense is giving up 4.4 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.0 yards per play *9 Play WASHINGTON STATE (+).**
09-27-18	North Carolina v. Miami-FL -17.5		10-47	Win	100	8 h 37 m	Show
-North Carolina got their first win of the season last week as expected; big jump up in class here -offense has been terrible in their two road games; 18 points per game on 4.9 yards per play -Tar Heels defense allows 33.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.7 points per game -Miami has won their 2 home games by a combined score of 108-17; expect another big win -offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play -Hurricanes defense is giving up just 18.5 points per game on 3.8 yards per play this season *9 Play MIAMI FL (-).**
09-22-18	Michigan State -5 v. Indiana		35-21	Win	100	17 h 3 m	Show
-Michigan State comes into this game fresh off a bye; lost their previous game; expect big effort -offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 4.4 yards per play -Spartans defense has allowed just 23.5 points per game versus defenses that average 41.7 ppg -Indiana has faced three terrible teams so far this season; big jump up in class; expect first loss -offense is only averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play -Hoosiers defense is giving up 187.3 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush; bad matchup *10 Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).**
09-22-18	TCU v. Texas +3.5		16-31	Win	100	14 h 58 m	Show
-TCU went all out for their marquee game against Ohio State last week; letdown spot on the road -offense has faced defenses that give up 39.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play; class jump -Horned Frogs defense gave up 182 rushing yards last week; face another terrible matchup here -Texas is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 24-7 at TCU last season; expect big effort -offense is averaging 31.3 points per game versus defenses that give up 26.6 points per game -Longhorns defense is giving up just 17.5 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home *9 Play TEXAS (+).**
09-22-18	Florida International v. Miami-FL -26		17-31	Loss	-105	13 h 14 m	Show
-Florida International has faced three terrible teams so far this season; big jump up in class here -offense has faced defenses that allow 31.9 points per game on 5.8 yards per play; stout unit now -Panthers defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.8 yards per play -Miami has won their last 2 games by a combined score of 126-24; expect more of the same here -offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.3 yards per play -Hurricanes defense is giving up just 19 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season *9 Play MIAMI FL (-).**
09-22-18	Pittsburgh v. North Carolina +3.5		35-38	Win	100	10 h 49 m	Show
-Pittsburgh will be playing their 4th game of the season, but this will be their first road game -offense is averaging just 21 points per game versus defenses that give up 25.1 points per game -Panthers defense is giving up 197 rushing yards per game on a whopping 5.1 yards per rush -North Carolina comes into this game fresh off a bye; big scheduling advantage; big effort here -offense is averaging 162.5 rushing yards per game on 5.2 yards per rush; great matchup today -Tar Heels defense is giving up 4.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.0 yards per play *9 Play NORTH CAROLINA (+).**
09-22-18	Akron v. Iowa State -19		13-26	Loss	-112	9 h 30 m	Show
-Akron comes in off a SU road win as 21-point underdogs at Northwestern last week; regression -offense has faced two poor defenses that give up 6.0 yards per play; now face a stout defense -Zips defense gave up 34 points on the road last week; faced offenses that only average 15.5 ppg -Iowa State is 0-2 after a pair of 10-point losses to Iowa and Oklahoma; big performance coming -offense is averaging 5.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 4.5 yards per play -Cyclones defense allows just 25 points per game vs. offenses that average 38.8 points per game *9 Play IOWA STATE (-).**
09-21-18	Washington State v. USC -4.5		36-39	Loss	-108	10 h 39 m	Show
-Washington State is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS; they’ve played 3 terrible teams; big jump in class -offense has faced defenses that give up 40.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play; real test now -Cougars defense has been untested by offenses that only average 21.2 ppg on 4.8 yards per play -USC returns home off back-to-back expected losses at Stanford and Texas; big effort tonight -offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. strong defenses that only give up 5.1 yards per play -Trojans defense allows just 25 points per game vs. offenses that average 32.3 points per game *10 Play USC (-).**
09-15-18	Washington v. Utah +5		21-7	Loss	-110	20 h 35 m	Show
-Washington had no excuse vs. Auburn in their season opening loss; road game in altitude now -offense has had trouble running the ball in their 2 games so far; a mediocre 4.4 yards per rush -Huskies defense gave up 30 points at home to Utah last season; not a good sign for the rematch -Utah returns home off a quirky scheduled game at Northern Illinois last week; expect big effort -offense is averaging 481 yards per game on 6.5 yards per play; even better numbers at home -Utes defense has held their first two opponents to just 8 points per game on 2.2 yards per play *9 Play UTAH (+).**
09-15-18	USC v. Texas -3		14-37	Win	100	17 h 26 m	Show
-USC was stymied at Stanford as expected last week; young QB will now face a tougher crowd -offense is only averaging 4.4 yards per rush vs. defenses that give up 5.0 yards per rush -Trojans defense is giving up 233.5 rushing yards on 6.5 yards per rush; terrible matchup here -Texas is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 27-24 at USC last season; expect big effort -offense is averaging 191.5 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only allow 120 rypg -Longhorns defense is giving up 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play *9 Play TEXAS (-).**
09-15-18	Colorado State v. Florida -20		10-48	Win	100	13 h 27 m	Show
-Colorado State scored 17 unanswered 4th quarter points to beat Arkansas last week; letdown -offense is only averaging 86.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that allow 165.3 rypg -Rams defense is giving up 7.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.9 yards per play -Florida lost to Kentucky at home last week as a 2 TD favorite; expect a strong performance here -offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play -Gators defense has allowed just 50% completions on a measly 4.8 yards per pass attempt *10 Play FLORIDA (-).**
09-15-18	Florida State -3 v. Syracuse		7-30	Loss	-100	9 h 28 m	Show
-Florida State is severely undervalued in this game after last week’s close call against Samford -offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play -Seminoles defense is allowing 25 points per game vs offenses that average 34.5 points per game -Syracuse has faced two terrible opponents so far this season; taking a big jump up in class now -offense has faced two defenses that allow a whopping 57 points per game on 6.3 yards per play -Orange defense has faced bad offenses that only average 16.3 ppg on 4.9 yards per play *9 Play FLORIDA STATE (-).**
09-08-18	USC v. Stanford -5		3-17	Win	100	17 h 18 m	Show
-USC will hit the road after a home win over UNLV last week; stepping way up in class here -offense will have true freshman QB JT Daniels making his first college road start; tough venue -Trojans rush defense gave up 308 yards on a whopping 7.2 yards per rush last week; bad sign -Stanford returns 15 starters, including 9 on offense; playing with legitimate revenge vs. USC -offense ran for 202 ypg on 5.9 yards per rush last year; bad matchup for USC’s defense -Cardinal defense gave up just 10 points on 263 total yards of offense vs. SDSU; stout unit again *9 Play STANFORD (-).**
09-08-18	Tulsa v. Texas -22.5		21-28	Loss	-115	17 h 33 m	Show
-Tulsa went just 2-10 in 2017; more experience; they tend to get crushed by Power 5 teams -offense struggled against Central Arkansas’ defense last week; big step-up in class here -Golden Hurricane has given up 59, 48, and 52 points in their last 3 road games vs. Big 12 teams -Texas lost their season opener to Maryland for a 2nd straight year; won 56-0 in Game 2; repeat -offense put up 405 yards of offense on the road; scored 40 pts or more in 4 home games in 2017 -Longhorns defense only allowed 21.2 points per game last year; expect bounce back effort here *10 Play TEXAS (-).**
09-08-18	Georgia v. South Carolina +10.5		41-17	Loss	-115	12 h 14 m	Show
-Georgia surprised most by making the National Championship game last season; hard to repeat -offense dominated a weak Austin Peay last week; taking a big jump in class now on the road -Bulldogs defense only returns 5 starters from last year’s 16.4 ppg unit; unknown commodity -South Carolina is one of the most improved teams in the country this season; undervalued here -offense was absolutely dominant in their 49-15 win last week; 263 rushing & 294 passing yards -Gamecocks defense improved by 5.8 points per game last year; held Georgia to just 24 points *9 Play SOUTH CAROLINA (+).**
09-08-18	Western Michigan v. Michigan -28		3-49	Win	100	9 h 40 m	Show
-Western Michigan lost 55-42 to Syracuse last week; taking a monumental class jump now -offense was inefficient; converted just 20% (2-for-10) on 3rd downs; now face a stout defense -Broncos rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 334 rushing yards in last week’s loss -Michigan returns home off an expected loss at Notre Dame last week; big bounce back game -offense was stymied against a stout Irish defense; expect a breakout performance this afternoon -Wolverines defense allowed just 302 total yards last week; anticipate another strong effort here *9 Play MICHIGAN (-).**
09-03-18	Virginia Tech v. Florida State -7		24-3	Loss	-115	8 h 41 m	Show
-Virginia Tech went 9-4 in 2017; all of their wins came against teams that won 7 games or less -offense regressed by 6.8 points per game last season despite playing an extremely easy schedule -Hokies defense only returns 5 starters; they were stout last season, but now they are very young -Florida State went 7-6 in 2017 with an injury-plagued team; new HC Willie Taggart; big year -offense was decimated by quarterback injuries; now healthy and 8 returning starters; breakout -Seminoles defense is always a high-ranking unit; allowed just 21.2 points per game in 2017 *9 Play FLORIDA STATE (-).**
09-02-18	Miami-FL v. LSU +3.5		17-33	Win	100	6 h 3 m	Show
-Miami went 10-3 in 2017, but 4 wins came by 8 points or less; lost last 3 games to end the year -offense regressed by 5.2 points per game last season despite playing an extremely easy schedule -Hurricanes defense also regressed by 2.5 points per game; not as good as their record indicated -LSU went 9-4 in 2017 with an inexperienced team; two of their losses came by 3 and 4 points -offense has been plagued by awful quarterback play; Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow takes over -Tigers defense will be one of the best in the country; allowed just 18.9 points per game in 2017 *10 Play LSU (+).**
09-01-18	Middle Tennessee State +3 v. Vanderbilt		7-35	Loss	-115	16 h 41 m	Show
-Middle Tennessee State returns an experienced and talented team; 17 starters are back in 2018 -offense looking to atone for their pitiful play in last year’s 28-6 home loss to Vanderbilt -Blue Raiders defense gave up just 24.7 points per game last season; expect more improvement -Vanderbilt is a young team that only has 12 returning starters; had no less than 15 in last 3 years -offense always fields a weak scoring unit; 20 points per game in 4 years under HC Derek Mason -Commodores defense was terrible last year, and with just 5 returning starters, don’t expect much *9 Play MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+).**
09-01-18	Michigan v. Notre Dame		17-24	Win	100	15 h 15 m	Show
-Michigan has played to a much lower level away from home under HC Jim Harbaugh -offense will have Mississippi transfer Shea Patterson under center, and he’s changing systems -Wolverines defense has shown vulnerability to strong rushing attacks, especially on the road -Notre Dame returns 15 starters from last year’s 10-3 team; lost to Georgia by a single point -offense ran for 269 ypg on 6.3 yards per rush last year; bad matchup for Michigan’s defense -Irish defense held 10 of their 13 opponents to 20 points or less in 2017; stout unit returns 9 *9 Play NOTRE DAME.**
09-01-18	Washington +2.5 v. Auburn		16-21	Loss	-110	11 h 16 m	Show
-Washington is the most experienced team in the Pac 12 with 17 returning starters; 10-3 in 2017 -offense averaged 41.8 and 36.2 points per game last 2 years under senior QB Jake Browning -Huskies defense returns 9 starters from a unit that gave up just 16.1 ppg on 4.4 yards per play -Auburn went 10-4 last year, but they haven’t had back-to-back double digit win seasons in eons -offense has some question marks; just 1 returning starter along the line; top running back gone -Tigers defense will be a stout unit once again in 2018, but face a strong, balanced offense here *9 Play WASHINGTON (+).**
09-01-18	Ole Miss v. Texas Tech -2		47-27	Loss	-115	8 h 42 m	Show
-Mississippi lost quarterback Shea Patterson when he transferred to Michigan; big drop off -the Rebels offense is without their best passer and best rusher from last season; need time to gel -defense has been terrible; 34.3 points per game over the last 2 years; facing potent offense here -Texas Tech returns 16 starters; the most they’ve returned over the last three years; breakout year -offense is a high-scoring unit that comes out ready; 59, 69 and 56 points in last 3 season openers -Red Raiders defense shaved off 11.3 points per game last season; unit returns ten starters *9 Play TEXAS TECH (-).**
09-01-18	Costal Carolina v. South Carolina -29		15-49	Win	100	8 h 32 m	Show
-Coastal Carolina begins their second year in the FBS; 3-9 SU last year; out-classed here -offense averaged 345 yards of offense per game in 2017; can’t trade points with Gamecocks -defense has no chance in physically stopping the run or the pass in this game; mismatch -South Carolina will be one of the most improved teams in the country this season -head coach Will Muschamp is in his 3rd season here, and he has 14 returning starters back -Gamecocks offense improved by 3.4 ppg and their defense improved by 5.8 ppg last season *10 Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).**
08-31-18	Western Kentucky v. Wisconsin -36.5		3-34	Loss	-105	6 h 26 m	Show
-Western Kentucky has just 10 returning starters; big class difference for their season opener -the Hilltoppers offense was terrible last season while averaging just 25.5 points per game -rush defense will get steamrolled here; gave up 170 rushing yards per game last season -Wisconsin returns the 3rd most experienced team in the country from last year’s 13-1 team -offense scored 59 points in their season opener last year at home; expect similar result tonight -Badgers defense allowed just 13 points per game on 227 yards per game at home last season *9 Play WISCONSIN (-).**
01-08-18	Alabama -3.5 v. Georgia		26-23	Loss	-108	9 h 57 m	Show
-Alabama head coach Nick Saban will face former assistant Kirby Smart; assistants are 0-11 SU -offense averaged 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.6 yards per play; 37.9 ppg -Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.1 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season -Georgia won a high-scoring shootout vs. Oklahoma in overtime; freshman QB regresses here -offense needs to run the ball to have success; Alabama defense allows just 91.8 rypg on 2.7 ypr -Bulldogs defense allows 143.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Alabama runs for 255.8 ypg *10 Play ALABAMA (-).**
01-01-18	Alabama -3 v. Clemson		24-6	Win	100	21 h 21 m	Show
-Alabama is 11-1 on the season, and off their first loss, expect a supreme performance here -offense averaged 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.7 yards per play; 39.1 ppg -Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.5 points per game on 4.0 yards per play this season -Clemson went 12-1 on the season; ugly loss came to Syracuse; will face top-rated defense -offense averaged 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allowed 5.7 yards per play -Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 5.4 ppg and 0.7 yppl more on the road *9 Play ALABAMA (-).**
01-01-18	Georgia v. Oklahoma OVER 61		54-48	Win	100	18 h 32 m	Show
-Georgia went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in nine of their games -offense is averaging 34.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 25.7 points per game -Bulldogs defense gave up 40 points against Auburn; will face a similar spread offense here -Oklahoma also went 12-1 this season, and they scored 31 points or more in 13 of their games -offense is averaging 44.9 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.9 points per game -Sooners defense gave up 35, 41, and 52 points in three of their five true road games this season *10 Play OVER the total.**
01-01-18	South Carolina v. Michigan UNDER 43		26-19	Loss	-115	12 h 26 m	Show
-South Carolina comes in off a loss; their worst defensive game of the season; big bounce back -offense averaged just 21.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 26.9 ppg -Gamecocks defense allows just 20.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.8 ppg -Michigan comes in off back-to-back loss in which they gave up 55 points; expect strong effort -offense averaged just 4.9 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.3 yppl -Wolverines defense allows 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 27.6 points per game *9 Play UNDER the total.**
12-30-17	Wisconsin -6 v. Miami-FL		34-24	Win	100	10 h 12 m	Show
-Wisconsin is 12-1 on the season, and their first loss came in their last game; expect bounce back -offense is averaging 33.8 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 25 points per game -Badgers defense is allowing just 4.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play -Miami FL went 10-2 after losing their final two games; easy early schedule caught up to them -offense only scored 17 total points in their two losses; scoring trouble will continue in this game -Hurricanes defense gave up 62 points in their losses against run-based teams; face similar here *10 Play WISCONSIN (-).**
12-30-17	Washington v. Penn State OVER 54		28-35	Win	100	6 h 52 m	Show
-Washington scored 30 points or more in 10 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here -offense averaged 6.4 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.9 yards per play; 36.9 ppg -Huskies defense played a bad group of offenses that only averaged 5.4 yards per play; step-up -Penn State scored 31 points or less in 10 of their 12 games; expect scoring ways to continue -offense averaged 6.6 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 5.4 yards per play; 41.6 ppg -Nittany Lions defense gave up 39, 27, and 44 points to the 3 good offenses they faced this year *9 Play OVER the total.**
12-29-17	USC v. Ohio State OVER 64.5		7-24	Loss	-105	9 h 55 m	Show
-USC scored 27 points or more in 12 of their 13 games this season; expect similar here -offense averaged 34.5 ppg on 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up just 5.8 yppl -Trojans' defense gave up 5.8 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.8 yppl -Ohio State scored 27 points or more in 11 of their 13 games; expect scoring ways to continue -offense averaged 42.5 ppg on 7.0 yards per play vs. defenses that allowed 24.9 ppg on 5.4 yppl -Buckeyes' defense gave up 31 and 38 points to Oklahoma and Penn State; USC similar offense *9 Play OVER the total.**
12-29-17	Utah State -4 v. New Mexico State		20-26	Loss	-104	6 h 45 m	Show
-Utah State lost their season finale; 4-1 off a loss, so expect a supreme effort in this game -offense was better on the road where they averaged 32 points per game on 6.0 yards per play -Aggies defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play -New Mexico State may be the worst team to make a bowl game this season; 6-6 SU on the year -offense averaged 29.6 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 29.9 points per game -Aggies defense gave up 37.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road this season *10 Play UTAH STATE (-).**
12-29-17	NC State -7 v. Arizona State		52-31	Win	101	4 h 45 m	Show
-NC State went just 2-3 to close the season; Clemson and Notre Dame were 2 of their losses -offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26 points per game -Wolfpack defense is allowing just 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play -Arizona State went 7-5 this season; they gave up 30 points or more in all five of those losses -offense only averaged 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.6 yards per play -Sun Devils defense gave up 32.8 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season *9 Play NC STATE (-).**
12-28-17	Stanford v. TCU -3		37-39	Loss	-110	9 h 4 m	Show
-Stanford lost 4 games this season, and all of them came away from home; more of the same here -offense was much worse on the road where they averaged 4.9 points per game less (27.1-32) -Cardinal defense allows 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yppl; average unit -TCU is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Oklahoma in Big 12 title, expect big effort -offense averaged 33.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play this season; scoring will continue -Horned Frogs defense only gives up 17.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.2 ppg *10 Play TCU (-).**
12-28-17	Virginia Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State		21-30	Loss	-115	5 h 24 m	Show
-Virginia Tech went 9-3 during the regular season; Clemson and Miami were 2 of their losses -offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26.8 points per game -Hokies defense is allowing just 13.5 points per game on 4.8 yards per play this season -Oklahoma State also went 9-3 this season; they gave up 151 total points in their 3 losses -offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 5.9 yppl; big step-up in class -Cowboys defense gives up 30.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game *9 Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).**
12-27-17	Missouri v. Texas +3		16-33	Win	100	9 h 58 m	Show
-Missouri won their last 6 games of the season after a 1-5 start; long layoff bad for their rhythm -offense put up big numbers vs. bad defenses that gave up 29.9 ppg on 6.1 yppl; step-up in class -Tigers defense was awful on the road; gave up 33.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play -Texas is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Texas Tech in their finale, expect big effort -offense scored 93 points in their last 3 games; scoring ways will continue with extra prep time -Longhorns defense allows 21.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.1 points per game *9 Play TEXAS (+).**
12-27-17	Purdue +3 v. Arizona		38-35	Win	100	8 h 29 m	Show
-Purdue got back on track late in the season as they closed on a 3-1 SU and ATS run; good form -offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.3 yards per play -Boilermakers defense allows 17.8 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road this season -Arizona closed the season by going 1-3 SU and ATS; opposite direction of their opponent -offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg; big step-up in class -Wildcats defense was terrible on the road; gave up 40.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play *10 Play PURDUE (+).**
12-27-17	Boston College v. Iowa UNDER 45		20-27	Loss	-107	5 h 19 m	Show
-Boston College scored 23 points or less in 6 of their 12 games this season; expect similar here -offense averaged just 5.1 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.3 yards per play -Eagles defense allows just 22.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 30.1 points per game -Iowa scored 19 points or less in 6 of their 12 games; expect low-scoring ways to continue -offense averaged just 5.0 yards per play away from home vs. defenses that allowed 5.2 yppl -Hawkeyes defense allows 19.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 28.9 points per game *9 Play UNDER the total.**
12-26-17	Kansas State v. UCLA OVER 61		35-17	Loss	-115	10 h 52 m	Show
-Kansas State only went 7-5 this season, but they scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games -offense is averaging 32.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.5 points per game -Wildcats defense is giving up 29.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road -UCLA went just 6-6 this season, but they also scored 30 points or more in 8 of their games -offense is averaging 33.7 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 27.8 points per game -Bruins defense has given up 45.5 points per game on 7.2 yards per play on the road this season *10 Play OVER the total.**
12-24-17	Houston v. Fresno State UNDER 49		27-33	Loss	-110	16 h 22 m	Show
-Houston went 7-4 SU against an average schedule this season; 9 of their 11 games went Under -offense averaged just 20.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg -Cougars defense gave up just 23 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 32 points per game -Fresno State went 9-4 SU against an average schedule this season; last 9 games went Under -offense averaged just 19.7 points per game on 5.0 yards per play away from home this season -Bulldogs defense gave up 17.2 points per game vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 points per game *9 Play UNDER the total.**
12-23-17	Appalachian State +7 v. Toledo		34-0	Win	100	17 h 15 m	Show
-Appalachian State lost 4 games; 3 of those losses came by 7 points or less; Georgia lone big loss -offense averaged 40.3 points per game in their last three wins; expect scoring ways to continue -Mountaineers defense is giving up just 21.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.1 ppg -Toledo went 11-2 SU against my 102nd rated schedule this season; both losses were blowouts -offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 30.7 ppg; big step-up in class -Rockets defense was poor on the road; gave up 29.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play *10 Play APPALACHIAN STATE (+).**
12-23-17	Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5		34-38	Win	100	10 h 15 m	Show
-Texas Tech scored just 30 total points in their last 2 games of the season; expect big effort here -offense is averaging 36.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 30.2 ppg -Red Raiders defense gave up 31.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play this season -South Florida scored 31 points or more in 9 of their 11 games; expect more of the same here -offense averaged a whopping 43.2 points per game on 7.1 yards per play on the road this season -Bulls defense gave up 30 points per game on the road vs. offenses that averaged 25.2 ppg *9 Play OVER the total.**
12-22-17	Central Michigan +3 v. Wyoming		14-37	Loss	-110	4 h 55 m	Show
-Central Michigan closed the season strong by going 5-0 over their last 5 games; cohesive team -offense was better on the road where they averaged 32.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play -Chippewas defense gave up just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play -Wyoming lost their last 2 games of the season; QB Josh Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury -offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play versus defenses that gave up 5.8 yards per play -Cowboys defense played a terrible slate of opposing offenses that averaged 24.7 ppg this season *9 Play CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+).**
12-21-17	Temple -6.5 v. Florida International		28-3	Win	100	5 h 60 m	Show
-Temple closed the season strong by going 3-1 over their last four games; lone loss to UCF -offense averaged 37.3 points per game in those three wins; expect scoring ways to continue -Owls defense is giving up just 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play -Florida International’s last two games of the season were their best; time off a negative here -offense much worse on the road; they averaged just 22.4 ppg vs. defenses that gave up 26.2 ppg -Golden Panthers defense awful on the road; gave up 37.4 points per game on 6.4 yards per play *9 Play TEMPLE (-).**
12-20-17	Louisiana Tech v. SMU -4		51-10	Loss	-103	4 h 0 m	Show
-Louisiana Tech went just 6-6 this season despite playing a terrible slate of opponents -offense was average while averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.7 yppl -Bulldogs defense gave up 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.6 yppl -SMU went 1-3 down the stretch; those losses came to UCF, Navy and Memphis; step-down here -offense is averaging 40.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game -Mustangs defense played very strong offenses this season; big step-down in class for this game *9 Play SMU (-).**

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