Rating: 2 Units

 Fading the Beavers here. They have lost 10 straight games only covering the spread in one of them. They are one of, if not, the worst teams in a Power Five conference. The Colonels have been playing really well this season. They will have the best player on the court in this game, Ty Gordon. Gordon has scored at least 22 points in each of his last five games. He should dominate again today and lead the Colonels to an easy cover.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spartans have been playing great basketball. They are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games. They have also been great at home as they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their home stadium. The Broncos have been struggling recently. They are 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. They are also significantly worse on the road. In the Broncos four games away from home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS. The Spartans will be able to slow down the Broncos and cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 I love this Xavier team. The Musketeers have talent from top to bottom. They are 9-2 ATS including 3-0 ATS as an underdog. This is a really big game for their Big East regular season championship hopes. The Wildcats have been struggling against good teams. They are 1-4 SU and ATS against teams that Kenpom ranks in the top 50. Kenpom ranks the Musketeers at 23rd. The Musketeers are going to give the Wildcats a tough time. This is going to be a fun game to watch. The Musketeers will play good enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 The SportsLine Projection Model and a few others believe The Citadel should be favored quite a bit more than one point. Both teams played Monday in this holiday-type event at The Citadel with Manhattan winning and the host school losing. The Bulldogs' Hayden Brown was selected as the Southern Conference Preseason Player of the Year in a vote by the league’s head coaches and he has played like it, averaging 20.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. The Jaspers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. The Bulldogs have covered six straight following an ATS loss.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread seems about 3-4 points too high as the teams open Summit League play. The Pioneers are one of the better defensive clubs in the league so should be able to hang around in their own gym. Grad transfer K.J. Hunt is the only Summit League player that currently leads his team in scoring (15.8 ppg), rebounding (4.5 rpg), assists (3.6 apg) and steals (1.2 spg). Denver is 8-1 ATS in its past nine as a home dog.

Rating: 2 Units

The Tommies have been impressive in their first Division I season. They are really good offensively. The Tommies are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.6 threes per game on 40 percent from downtown. The Mavericks are terrible. They are 0-10 against Division I teams losing by an average of 20.8 PPG. This spread is way too low. The Tommies should dominate this game and easily cover this small spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Eagles have been over performing this season. They are 7-3 ATS this season. Their fast pace is something that some teams struggle with. I expect for Valparaiso to be one of those teams. The Eagles won’t allow them to get set defensively as they get out in transition often. The Beacons are a bad home team. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in their three home games against Division I teams. This spread is too big to stay off. The Eagles should be able to do enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Stags have been impressive so far this season. They are 9-1 ATS including 7-0 ATS on the road. The Minutemen have a terrible defense. Kenpom ranks them as 318th best defense in the nation. They are allowing 78.5 PPG on 48.5 percent from the field against low tier offenses. The Stags are the better team. They should be favored. I expect the Stags to have an easy time offensively and cover the spread (and maybe win straight up).

Rating: 2 Units

The Bears are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are running through their opponents as they have an average margin of victory of 26.8 PPG. The Bears are 7-2 ATS so far this season. On the other side, the Ducks haven’t been good this season. They were ranked 13th coming into this season but they are just 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS. In their one game as an underdog (5 points), they lost by 29 to Houston. Their road doesn’t get any easier today. They’re outmatched in this battle. Take the Bears to win big.

Rating: 2 Units

I was surprised to see this line so low. My model makes this line 14.5, and thats with some rather conservative estimation. There's a legitimate chance that this finishes closer to 20 than it does to 10. The distribution of expected results is heavily on the side of a Xavier cover. Trust the model and take the home favorite to get it done.

Rating: 2 Units

I love betting on Western Illinois almost as much as I love betting against Eastern Illinois. My model has a huge edge, indicating that this should be a 24 point win for the Leathernecks. I even saw Erik Haslam's model has this at 40 points. I think that must be a bug in his system, but there's a non-zero chance it's a real projection. EIU is that bad. They lost to Missouri by 28 and I think Western Illinois is a better team. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

I'm returning about three points of value on this game for Bakersfield. My model is indicating that Colorado should only be favored by ten points rather than thirteen. The Buffaloes are 1-8-1 ATS at home this season and have looked disappointing. Colorado is 8-3 SU but have only once beaten a team by more than 13 and that was against lowly Maine. Cal State Bakersfield should keep this close enough to cover, take the points.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread is too high for this total. The Mustangs have covered each of their last four games. These teams play at such a slow pace that covering this spread sounds near impossible. The Bulldogs offense has been struggling. The Mustangs will be able to keep this game close enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Frankly, I think Pacific should be about a four-point favorite. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Tigers winning by 11. That seems a bit off. It's the first-ever meeting between these schools. Pacific has been great defensively, holding opponents to just 41.9 percent from the field. North Dakota State is 1-4 in true road games. The Bison have used five different starting lineups already. They are 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven.

Rating: 2 Units

These teams just played on Tuesday where the Jaguars won by seven points. The Texans are terrible offensively. Kenpom ranks them as the 280th best offense. They average just 61.6 PPG on 40.5 percent shooting. They are also one of the worst three point shooting teams in the country. They rank 354th in three point percentage and 346th in three’s made per game. The Jaguars will be able to score too many points for the Texans to keep up with. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bonnies have been struggling with the absence of their best player, Kyle Lofton. Lofton is a big loss for the Bonnies as he was playing 39 minutes per game. The Bonnies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games with Lofton missing their last three. Now they have to face the Hokies who have been playing really well this season. They are 7-4 SU and ATS this season including 5-1 SU and ATS at home. Kenpom ranks the Hokies 31st in Division I. The Hokies will take advantage of the Bonnies struggles and cover this small spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Definitely don't love the board today -- but this number has come down enough where we will roll with the Retrievers at home. They enter on a three-game skid but all away and against better teams than UNC Greensboro, which is 5-0 at home but 1-2 on the road and in neutral site games. The Retrievers are the top scoring team in the America East at 78.2 ppg and also lead in three-point field goals made (93), free-throw percentage (80.3) and assists per game (13.5). It's a veteran team with four seniors and a junior starting. The Retrievers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven as favorites.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread is too high. I make these teams about even with the absence of Cougars center Dishon Jackson who is out with a thumb injury. The Aggies have won each of their last three games, all of which were on the road. The Cougars are coming off of a straight up loss in a home game where they were favored by six. They should struggle again in this game. The Aggies will be able to keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

I am very high on this Xavier team. The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. The Eagles are not a good team. They are just 1-4 ATS in their five games as an underdog including 0-3 ATS as a double digit underdog. The Musketeers are a much better team. They have beaten up on bad teams and will again in this game. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

South Dakota is 6-0 at home this season and 59-9 all-time at its fairly new Coyote Sports Center. After sitting out last season in the pandemic, Aussie Hunter Goodrick has come back strong for the Coyotes and is averaging 7.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. All six of Bellarmine's losses are against good-to-great competition (Purdue, UCLA, Gonzaga to name three) but all of its wins are against garbage. Only two of Bellarmine’s 11 games have had single-digit scoring margins.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knights are one of the worst teams in Division I. They are 0-8 with an average margin of defeat of 20.4 PPG. The Stags have looked impressive this season. They are 8-1 ATS and have been trending upwards. They have won seven of their last eight games including four straight road games. They will dominate this terrible Knights teams and easily over this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Beavers are terrible. They are 1-8 SU and ATS so far this season. They are averaging just 65.1 PPG and allowing 72.2 PPG. The Aggies have looked impressive so far this season. They are just 4-3 but they are trending in the right direction. This is a perfect spot for the Aggies to stay hot. The Aggies will have a huge advantage on the glass in this matchup. This will help give them easy second chance baskets against a terrible defense. The Aggies will keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Despite luring the nation's No. 1 recruiting class, Penny Hardaway's Tigers have been mammoth disappointments on a four-game losing streak. The program hasn't lost five in a row since Jan. 29-Feb. 16, 2000. The models still largely love Memphis, though, and I do think the team gets fired up tonight in a White Out game against the No. 6 Tide. Already, at least 22 NBA teams have requested credentials for the game. This is the Tide's first true road game and that does matter. I'm not saying Memphis will win -- wouldn't stun me, though -- but 5.5 points is too many.

Rating: 2 Units

Corpus Christie is getting far too much love here. Minnesota has been playing great basketball and is going to have a pretty easy time winning this game. My model makes this game a 20 point win for the Gophers. This one is already moving as it opened at 15, I'd play it all the way to -17.

Rating: 2 Units

I have the wrong team favored in this one- my model is making the Jacksonville Dolphins a 1 point favorite against Southern Miss. USM has failed to cover in three straight games while Jacksonville holds solid 5-1 ATS record so far this season. Another telling sign is that Jacksonville beat UNCW by 29, while USM beat them by 14. With the home court factored in that still makes Southern Miss about 6-8 points worse by comparison. Take the point and a half and watch for Jacksonville to probably win this game on the floor.

Rating: 2 Units

My model doesn't really do huge spreads, it operates much more successfully on lines that are less than about 18 points. However, I don't need my model to make this play on LSU, the line is far too small. LSU is 8-1 against the spread and is facing a Northwestern State team that lost on the road to SMU by 47, UL Monroe by 30, and Houston by 41. LSU beat UL Monroe by 62 to open the year and has many other impressive wins. This should be a cover at 31.5, lay the large number and enjoy the show.

Rating: 2 Units

This line is way too low, I'm seeing some projections around 17 and 20 for this game. My system is coming in a bit more conservatively at 15 points but this is definitely a strong signal from the model. ETSU is a borderline top 100 team while NC A&T hovers around the bottom 300 depending whose rankings you use. There's a good chance that 7-3 ETSU can run away with this on 3-8 NC A&T. Grab the home favorite.

Rating: 2 Units

Not exactly a marquee matchup between the 3-5 Red Flash and 1-8 Hawks on Tuesday. I don't read too much into Hartford's record because it has played just one true home game and lost close to Boston U, which is pretty good. The Hawks have played a very tough schedule. Hartford leads the American East in shooting at 45.8 percent overall and 35.3 percent from deep. Hartford brings back 62.9 percent of the team's scoring — including four of its top seven scorers -- from last year when it won the America East title and lost to eventual champion Baylor in the NCAA Tournament. The SportsLine Projection Model has Hartford winning by five and a few other models have about the same.

Rating: 2 Units

Less than ten college basketball games today, but we can still find some value. It appears that Milwaukee is getting a bit too much respect here, my model is projecting Rhode Island to win by 9 points. URI has done well against the spread so far this season, going 6-3 as a favorite. They're going to have advantages on both sides of the ball in this game, but it's going to be especially tough for Milwaukee when they're on offense. Expect the defense for the Rams to lead the way. They'll handle business on the road, lay it.

Rating: 2 Units

The Huskies have been terrible this season. They have one of the worst offenses in the country. Out of 358 teams, they rank 357th in scoring offense and 356th in field goal percentage. The Cougars have been exceeding expectations this season. They are 7-2 ATS this season including 5-0 ATS in their last five games. They are the better team and should be favored as the home team. The Huskies are 1-6 SU away from home and the Cougars are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS at home. The Cougars should be able to control this game and cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Bears are ranked number two in the country for good reason. Baylor is the only team in the country that Kenpom ranks top ten in both offense (5th) and defense (7th). The Bears have been dominant this season as they are 8-0 SU and their closest game was an eight point win. Villanova only has two losses this season and they have come in their only two games against top ten teams. They lost by nine to UCLA and by six to Purdue. The Bears will be able to do enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 Idaho is getting a lot of love in the market after their recent win over South Dakota State, but I think that is giving us a lot of value going the other way. My model agrees, making this a 15.5 point expected win for Bakersfield. Bakersfield has not played in a while, but their last game was a win over Boise State, they won 46-39 when made 15.5 point underdogs! We've seen how solid Boise is, therefore I think the Roadrunners should be able to handle Idaho by 12. Idaho lost to a similarly ranked Utah Valley squad by 38 earlier this year, so I think theres a good chance at a beat down.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Rams have been playing well recently. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They are also 4-0 ATS away from home. The Monarchs are still without one of their best players, Charles Smith, who is out with mononucleosis. It hasn’t hurt them yet but now they have to face one of the best defenses in the country. According to Kenpom, the Rams are the third ranked defense in the country. They are going to prevent the Monarchs from doing anything offensive and easily cover this spread. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these teams have done well against the spread this year. However, I have the wrong team favored in this one- my model is making UC Irvine a favorite by a full point. I think it'll be a nail biter of a game but it's always good to take the points in those scenarios, especially when you're getting what appears to be the more complete side. I'd play this all the way down to +1.5 here if it happens to fall, but grab the points while you can.

Rating: 2 Units

My projections are showing a good chance that Abilene Christian can run away with this game over Drexel, so the line is definitely a bit small. The official number I'm getting is an 8.5 point victory for the Wildcats. They've covered all but their first game of the season against Utah and should be able to keep it rolling today. Drexel has looked solid but I'll fade them on the road in Texas, lay it with Abilene.

Rating; 2 Units

The Wildcats look unbeatable right now. They are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS this season. Kenpom ranks them as the 18th best offense and the 7th best defense. All of the Illini's production has come from Kofi Cockburn. They are missing two rotation guards. The Wildcats will be able to slow down Cockburn and the Illini will have no answer. This line is way off. Take the undefeated Wildcats to win this game.

Rating: 2 Units

I missed picking on Youngstown State last time but I think they bounce back nicely here today, they've still covered two of their last three contests. My model is making this a 9 point win for Youngstown and I'll gladly take three points of value on a home team. Canisius has not covered in any of their last five games and the Penguins should take care of business. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Blue Demons look really good. They are 7-1 ATS and their offense is on fire. They are averaging 85.3 PPG on 49.2 percent from the field. The Cardinals haven’t been good at home. They are just 1-3 ATS at home. I am low on Louisville this year, especially against good opponents. The Cardinals only defensive struggle is that they let up too many points in the paint. DePaul does a great job of getting points at the basket. The Blue Demons will keep this game close enough to cover. Take the points.

Rating: 2 Units

At 3-6, Arizona State’s expectations are long gone for a salvageable season. On Thursday, the Sun Devils face a motivated Grand Canyon team that has two Arizona State transfers in Taeshon Cherry and Holland Woods. Look for ASU’s strength of schedule to pay dividends Thursday.. The Devils have faced heavyweight matchups in tournaments and have already played two Pac-12 games. Take ASU on the small line.

Rating: 2 Units

Iowa State was putrid last season but under first-year head coach T.J. Otzelberger, ISU brought in seven transfers and is one of a handful of unbeatens left in the nation. The Cyclones rank Top 15 nationally in turnover margin and steals per game. ISU is No. 21 in the NCAA's NET rankings and has three Quad 1-2 wins, one of eight teams with that many nationally. Iowa, meanwhile, has dropped two straight. Are the Hawkeyes the better team? Probably, but I'm absolutely taking this many points on a home team in a rivalry game.

Rating: 2 Units

Gonzaga has not looked great in its past three games, losing two and beating Tarleton by just nine. Will the Zags lose here? Obviously not, but Merrimack is a solid NEC team with all five starters back from last season. Thus, this veteran bunch shouldn't be intimidated and can hang within 25-30. The Warriors also will play VERY slow to keep the possessions to a minimum. The Zags may be looking ahead a bit to spanking in-state Big Brother Washington on Sunday.

Rating: 2 Units

St. John’s will be in for a test Thursday against Monmouth. The Hawks are 7-1 overall and their only loss was by two points against Charlotte. Moreover, they start five seniors including former Big East Seton Hall guard Shavar Reynolds. Yet, St. John’s has a knack of speeding up teams. That does not bode well for Monmouth. Take the Red Storm.

Rating: 2 Units

The Boilermakers are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are 8-0 straight up and have the best offense in the country. The Scarlett Knights have been terrible this season. They are 1-7 ATS and struggling on both ends of the court. Rutgers’ Geo Baker is unlikely to play again in this one. The Scarlett Knights are coming off of a 35 point loss to Illinois. The Boilermakers are going to dominate the Scarlett Knights and cover this spread easily. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

I'm always pleased when the model decides to pick against an 0-7 ATS team. Idaho State has just looked terrible this year and I have them losing by 14.5. It would not be the least bit shocking to see this get to twenty points. I'd take almost any spread against them right now but it definitely helps that California is 6-2 ATS. The Bears can play cohesive basketball, which is all it takes to cover against the Bengals. Lay it.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spartans rarely play well at Minnesota -- must be that silly raised floor. Last year, they lost by 25 in Minneapolis. This is only MSU's second true road game of the season and in their first one they faced a very short-handed Butler team. I do believe the unbeaten Gophers are playing over their heads right now, but first-year coach Ben Johnson did a great job rebuilding on the fly by landing some great transfers -- Minnesota's top four scorers are are all transfers. This should be a defensive slugfest and I'd be more surprised if MSU covers than I would if the Gophers win outright.

Rating: 2 Units

This is simply one of those games where there's no doubt the visiting team will win but the home team is getting too many points by a handful. Arkansas State dating to last season is 3-9 ATS in its past 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. UAPB is just 1-9 SU but has played a brutal schedule with every game but one on the road. Last season Pine Bluff upset the Red Wolves in Jonesboro.

Rating: 2 Units

nteresting to see UConn as the underdog in this matchup, my model has that as the wrong team favored... So I'll jump now with my projected number sitting closer to -1.5 for the Huskies. West Virginia has a tall task, and I would expect that if Connecticut doesn't win they will probably keep with within a bucket.

Rating; 2 Units

For this matchup in Youngstown between the Penguins and the Central Michigan Chippewas my model has the 11 point spread as a bit too low. I'm projecting a 14 point win for Youngstown at home. CMU has looked terrible, going 2-6 ATS so far this season and Youngstown is coming off a good win against Green Bay which could indicate they're a bit underrated still. This is a solid team with a great mascot, go Penguins!

Rating: 2 Units

Western Carolina has won the past two in this series, including a 3-point buzzer-beater last season. The SportsLine Projection Model has WCU winning by 11. Various other ones don't have it nearly by that much but all by a minimum of three points. The Catamounts are among the national leaders with 112 made three-pointers. They have won every game they have led at the half this year and lost the ones they haven't led. Teams generally get off to good starts at home. Tennessee Tech has lost three straight and is 0-4 in true road games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jayhawks are not where they want to be yet and are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. Their defense has been struggling recently, allowing an average of 77.3 points over the last three contests. The Miners have been overperforming this season. Their defense has looked elite, as they are allowing just 61.1 points per game. This spread is too high, considering how Kansas is playing right now. Take the points with the Miners.

Rating: 2 Units

Northeastern is 3-0 in true home games this season, while UMass has played just one true road game and lost in blowout fashion at Yale. UMass has rallied back from down double digits to win in four games this season but that it was down double digits is obviously concerning. The Minutemen are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games. Since the 2014-15 season, the Huskies are 22-4 in non-conference home games. Led by transfer Chris Doherty, Northeastern has outrebounded its opponent in six of its nine games this season, including four of the last five. The Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

Rating: 2 Units

Toledo might be the MAC's best team and its only two losses were at good teams Oakland and Michigan State. Sophomore Ryan Rollins leads Toledo and ranks 26th nationally with a MAC-best 20.1 ppg. The Rockets are outrebounding their opposition by 7.9 rpg this season, which ranks ranks 33rd in the nation. Bradley has won three in a row but all were home and against pretty mediocre-to-bad competition. The Braves are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. I probably wouldn't go any higher than this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

This is a fade on the Tribe, who are 0-8 SU and ATS in their eight games against Division I teams. Kenpom ranks William & Mary as the 321st team in the country. The Monarchs are expected to be getting back two of their best players, Charles Smith and Jason Wade, from injury. They have been playing really well even without the duo. Old Dominion is the much better team in this matchup. With the addition of Smith and Wade, the Monarchs easily should cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

My model makes Iowa a six-point favorite Monday and it might end up finishing at an even wider margin. Illinois has struggled on the road, owning an 0-3 ATS record, and now the Illini head to Iowa for a Big 10 battle. Iowa has been playing well and will be looking to cover its fifth straight. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

Texas Southern is 0-7 but that's very misleading as the Tigers have played a very tough schedule and not a single home game yet. They have been competitive in nearly every game as witnessed by their 5-2 ATS mark. TSU won the SWAC last season and a game in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament and is favored to win the SWAC again with four starters back. I don't think UF even wins by 20, much less 25 to lose this bet.

Rating: 2 Units

The SportsLine Projection Model has the Pilots winning by exactly three, but ESPN's BPI and a few others have it closer to 7. Portland's 7-2 record matches the best nine-game start to a season in the last 10 years. Shantay Legans has the best nine-game start among all Portland head coaches since the Pilots joined NCAA Division I in 1958. Legans brought in a ton of transfers and three especially have been thriving: Former Eastern Washington (where Legans was hired from) players Tyler Robertson (16.4 ppg, 7.0 rpg) and Mike Meadows (10.6 ppg, has a triple-double), and ex-UNLV big man Moses Wood (15.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg). VMI is winless on the road and obviously had to make the long trip across country. The Keydets haven't covered yet this year.

Rating: 2 Units

This is a fade on the Irish as they 1-5 ATS and have lost three of their past four SU. The Eagles have been overperforming so far, and their defense has been outstanding in only allowing 60.1 PPG. Notre Dame should struggle again and BC will cover.

Rating: 2 Units

This pretty much comes down to where this game is being played -- San Jose State is unbeaten at home with wins over Cal State Fullerton and Northern Colorado, while South Dakota is 0-2 in true road games with double-digit losses at Drake and Nebraska. San Jose State has been boosted by five Power 5 transfers, topped by Ohio State's Ibrahima Diallo. The Coyotes are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

Rating: 2 Units

This is a contrarian play, as there's going to be a good number of bettors rushing to take the team that just beat Gonzaga. However, we just saw Gonzaga struggle against Tarleton on Monday and, if you remember the game between Duke and the Zags, there was a good amount of foul trouble for Gonzaga. Just something to consider. Bottom line, this is a decent letdown spot for Duke coming off a big win. Grab the points with Ohio State at home.

Rating: 2 Units

The Broncos have looked terrible in their last two games, losing both as favorites. They have scored a total of just 116 points in those two games. The Rainbow Warriors have looked good, going 3-2 but not losing a game by more than three points. Their offense has been really good as they are averaging 81 PPG. This spread is too high, as the Hawaii offense will score enough points to cover.

Rating: 2 Units

The model has the wrong team favored and thinks the Wildcats edge this one out by a point. Wake Forest looks to have the money on its side but this line still came down from +2 overnight. Both teams have played a bit of a weak schedule to open the year. Wake has failed to cover against both LSU and Oregon St in its last two games and Northwestern should pose a similar challenge.

Rating: 2 Units

Rice comes off a solid third-place finish at a holiday tournament in Florida and is 2-0 in true home games. Owls guard Travis Evee leads the team and is eighth in Conference USA with 16.1 points per game. He is second in C-USA with 3.3 three-pointers per game, is third in three-point field goal percentage (43.4%) and sixth in field goal percentage (50.0%). The Owls lead C-USA in three-point shooting. Rice is 6-0 ATS in its past six games as a home favorite. The SportsLine Projection Model has Rice winning by six.

Rating: 2 Units

Purdue's offense is unstoppable. It is averaging 92.3 PPG, and the Boilermakers have shot at least 50 percent from the field in all six of their games so far this season. The Seminoles have been bit by the injury bug, as they are missing three players in their rotation, including two starters. Florida State went to overtime with Boston University and only had four players record over 20 minutes. The Seminoles are very thin right now, and the Boilermakers should blow them out and easily cover. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

 I believe this spread is only going to rise -- the SportsLine Projection Model has the Mocs winning in a rout. The schools played on Nov. 16 in Chattanooga and the home team won by seven. Kansas transfer Silvio De Sousa has been great in the early going for the Mocs, averaging 12.0 points and 6.5 rebounds. Chattanooga was picked No. 1 in the 2021-22 SoCon Preseason Coaches and Media Polls, while Tennessee Tech was picked to finish 8th in the Ohio Valley Conference Preseason Poll.

rating: 2 Units

 I am a bit surprised to see Minnesota favored by just a few points Tuesday. The Gophers are undefeated and hold a 4-1 record against the spread so far this season. Meanwhile, the Panthers are 2-4 and have only covered once in their five home games. Pittsburgh was just beaten outright by UMBC. A 10-point loss when you're a 5.5-point favorite does not instill confidence. The model has this one as a five-point game, so we're getting a good 2.5 points of edge. Lay it.

Rating: 2 Units

Elon is 0-5 against NCAA Division I competition this season with the Phoenix's two wins against something called Randolph College as well as Bluefield College. I think the latter one was from the movie Animal House. UNCG is unbeaten at home and allowing just 53.2 points per game there. The Spartans are ranked fifth nationally in rebounding margin (15.7), 11th in rebounds per game (45.4) and 24th in defensive rebounds per game (30.3). They will have a huge edge there. At -6.5, I didn't like this but at -4 it's worth a shot. The SportsLine Projection Model has UNCG winning easily.

Rating: 2 Units

OK, this spread has climbed to the point where I have to take that huge number on the Hawks. The MEAC program is 2-4 straight up but 5-0 against the spread. It upset a good Fordham team. UConn may not have much interest in the beginning coming off tough holiday tournament games vs. Auburn, Michigan State and VCU. CBS Sports Network has this telecast.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Cowboys have looked amazing on both ends of the court. They are averaging 84.6 points while allowing 56.8 per game. They have had an easy schedule but they have thrived so far. The Titans have struggled defensively even against a weak schedule. KenPom ranks them as the 258th best defensive team. The Cowboys' offense will have another great game.

Rating: 2 Units

Oregon really has to prove it can cover a spread, so I'll take the points with Montana. The Grizzlies had a bit of trouble to open the season but have covered in three straight games. Oregon has had difficulty all season as the Ducks are 1-5 against the spread, only covering against SMU, which is 1-7 ATS. Not a big vote of confidence there for Oregon. Montana can stand up to a team like this, 13 is likely too many points. Grab the underdog and challenge Oregon to show us it is decent enough to get this done. I don't think the Ducks are.

Rating: 2 Units

This is mostly a fade of UT Arlington. The Mavericks are 1-5 this season, won their only game against a non-DI school, and have covered just once. We just saw Utah State win handedly on a similar -15.5 line vs. UT Arlington, and UCSB has covered as the home favorite two of two times this year. This is definitely a bit of a mismatch, and USCB should be able to get it done on both ends of the floor.

Rating: 2 Units

 At full strength, I think Illinois would spank Notre Dame. However, the Illini are expected to be without Andre Curbelo (undisclosed), Trent Frazier (leg), Jacob Grandison (illness) and Benjamin Verdonk (flu) tonight in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge matchup. The Irish have been hugely bolstered by graduate transfer Paul Atkinson Jr., the 2019-20 Ivy League Player of the Year who transferred to Notre Dame during the offseason. Wish I had gotten this at +6.5 but clearly oddsmakers are starting to adjust.

Rating: 2 Units

Oral Roberts was one of the darlings of the 2021 NCAA Tournament but the Golden Eagles haven't really carried that over yet with a 3-3 record and those wins over all non-Division I schools. KenPom ranks Tulsa as the No. 142 team nationally and Oral Roberts 177. Sagarin has Tulsa as two points better and the SportsLine Projection Model six better. This is for the Mayor's Cup -- Oral Roberts is in Tulsa if you didn't know.

Rating: 2 Units

 I think the wrong team could be favored in this one. Cornell is 5-1, including three outright wins as an underdog against Binghamton, Lafayette and Colgate. The Big Red then covered in a loss to Penn State as a dog and against St Francis (PA) as a favorite in a victory. They've yet to lose ATS and face a Canisius team that has had its struggles. The Golden Griffins recently were 10-point favorites over Coppin and only won by a point. I think this is going to be a close battle between upstate New York teams. I'll take the points on the team that's covered every game.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wildcats are 3-2 but their losses have come against two of the nation's top five teams. They beat the 17th-ranked Volunteers by 18 points in Tennessee. They have had a full week of rest. The Explorers have looked incompetent at times in their first four games. They have played against very weak competition and are just 2-2. Their terrible defense won’t be able to handle the Wildcats' offense.

Rating: 2 Units

 This pick is a fade of Georgia. The Bulldogs are averaging 66 points per game against a weak schedule. The Terriers are averaging 84 points on 48.9 percent shooting from the field. Their offense should stay hot today.

Rating: 2 Units

Drake has lost two tough games in Florida, to Belmont and Alabama. I still think the Bulldogs will cover versus a North Texas team that's shooting 42 percent overall and 31.9 percent from deep. The Bulldogs are much better offensively and that will be the difference here.

Rating: 2 Units

My model makes this game an 8.5-point spread, so you're getting a nice edge here with Dixie State. This is a battle between Utah schools, and even though Dixie has gone 1-4, this line is still too big. Grab the points, and expect this rivalry matchup to stay within double digits.

Rating: 2 Units

Indiana is 5-0 and has covered every double digit spread it has seen since letting Eastern Michigan hang around to open the season. EMU was concerning, but Indiana seems to have woken up since and I think the Hoosiers keep rolling. Marshall has struggled against teams much worse than this. The model has this as a 14-point spread in favor of Indiana, so I'm getting my coveted three-point edge. Lay the points with the Hoosiers.

Rating: 2 Units

 I feel like the wrong team is favored. My model makes this game a pick 'em, but Harvard lost to Sienna and barely covered against Albany so I am a bit confused on why the Crimson are favored. This is a big Boston-area rivalry game; I think Northeastern shows up, and the model agrees. Grab the points in what should be a close one.

Rating: 2 Units

Yes, Duke is a very good team, but no team is on Gonzaga's level. The Bulldogs proved that with their 20-point beatdown of UCLA. According to KenPom, the Bulldogs rank first in adjusted offensive efficiency and seventh in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Blue Devils have looked impressive but they haven’t faced a good opponent since their first game. This spread is too small.

Rating: 2 Units

Oregon State is 0-5 against the spread and Wake Forest is undefeated this season, but my model has Oregon State as a one-point favorite. Wake Forest has not had a very difficult schedule, and Oregon State might be able to keep this closer than expected, if not win outright. This is definitely a bit of a contrarian play, but if you play systemically you need to trust it.

Rating: 2 Units

This is a true home game for Arkansas State and not a neutral site tournament. The Red Wolves (soon to be possibly also be the Washington Football Team's nickname) are projected to win by seven via the SportsLine Projection Model and by 4.5 via ESPN BPI. A-State returns all five starters, 97.1 percent of minutes, 97.9 percent of scoring and 96.6 percent of rebounds from last season.

Rating: 2 Units

Rick Pitino's Iona team is coming off an upset win over Alabama in which the Gaels made just 4-of-21 3-pointers. The Gaels have a balanced attack, led by forward Nelly Junior Joseph, who averages 16.3 points and 7.8 rebounds. Four starters average double figures in points. In a game where the spread is just 3.5 points, free throw shooting could prove to be crucial, and Iona ranks third in free throw attempts while Belmont checks in at No. 222. Grab the points with the hot Iona team.

Rating: 2 Units

Folks, this is why I sit home all day monitoring numerous news feeds -- to get you guys the immediate information (and win some bets myself). Thankfully, I have an understanding wife! We crushed fading Georgia Tech earlier today because they were hit hard by the flu. Well, Xavier just ruled out starters Dieonte Miles and Colby Jones with fellow key players Jerome Hunter and Adam Kunkel as game-time decisions vs. the Hokies. The Musketeers are dealing with a flu bug, too.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jaguars have had only three games against Division I teams and their offense has struggled. They have averaged just 64.3 PPG in those games. The Rainbow Warriors have a very explosive offense as they are averaging 84 PPG. All five of their starters are averaging double-digit points. Only two Jaguars are doing that. Hawaii is likely the better team so taking any points here is a good deal.

Rating: 2 Units

This is too big of a spread for the Incarnate Word Thanksgiving Invitational game. This is a spot for Incarnate to show up in its own tournament. My model makes the Cardinals only three-point underdogs, so we are getting nearly a four-point edge. Grab the points.

Rating: 2 Units

Got destroyed on college hoops, I'll admit it. Still firmly believe I should have won two of the three and one was a bad beat of a lifetime. Oh well, we move on. This game is in Orlando and KenPom ranks Miami at 102 and North Texas 114. The last three games, Miami started four sixth-year players and a third-year player, owning a combined 27 seasons of experience. This early in the season, I'll take experience like that.

Rating: 2 Units

CBS Sports Network has this game from the Bahamas. KenPom ranks unbeaten Mississippi State six spots ahead of Louisville nationally. The Bulldogs have trounced their first four opponents but this will be an obvious step up in competition. Louisville has a home loss to Furman on its resume and comes off a not-impressive close home win over Detroit. MSU leads the SEC in field goal percentage (52.0) and three-point field goal percentage (45.7) and has four impact transfers. Louisville is 1-7 ATS in its past eight as a dog. I believe this spread should be a few points higher.

Rating: 2 Units

No sport changes my mind about playing or not playing a game more than college basketball regarding injuries simply as they are so hard to track with nearly 400 schools in Division I. Well, I just happened across some pretty good injury news for New Mexico in this one as star guard Jaelen House, an Arizona State transfer, will play after missing the previous game, and senior guard Saquan Singleton, the Lobos’ top returning scorer/rebounder/assist leader from last year, will make his season debut off a heart abnormality. Frankly, I thought this spread was a couple of points too high regardless but now like the Lobos quite a bit in Las Vegas.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bears are much better than the Rams offensively and defensively. The VCU defense has only allowed 52 PPG so far this season, but it hasn't faced an offense like Baylor. The Bears average 85.8 PPG and shouldn't slow down today. KenPom ranks BU as the fourth-best team in the nation and VCU 91st. This spread is too small for how good the Bears are.

Rating: 2 Units

 This is a true home game for New Orleans as it hosts the UNO Classic. This spread seems off via various models as SportsLine's has the Privateers winning by seven and ESPN's BPI by 10. New Orleans has perhaps the best backcourt in the Southland Conference in seniors Derek St. Hilaire (21.6 ppg) and Tony Green (10.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.3 apg). The Privateers won easily on Wednesday, while Presbyterian had to play down to the wire vs. VMI. New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 at home.

Rating: 2 Units

 I have this game as +2.5 for UC San Diego. The Tritons have gone 3-0 against the spread so far this season, winning every game by double digits, and are facing a Montana squad that lost to North Dakota. I think we have a much closer game than five points, and UC San Diego might just win outright. Grab the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Baylor Bears aren’t being talked about enough with the top tier of teams. They are stacked. They have been dominant on both ends of the court. According to KenPom, the Bears rank sixth in both adjusted offensive efficiency and adjusted defensive efficiency. The Sun Devils have been very inconsistent. Their offense has had a lot of troubles and they haven’t played a defense of Baylor's caliber. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

KenPom ranks Utah Valley at No. 188 and Nicholls State 215. While the SportsLine Projection Model has the Wolverines winning by a point in the SoCal Challenge, Sagarin has them by 4.3. Utah Valley has the WAC's best player in Fardaws Aimaq, who leads the Wolverines in both scoring (22.6 ppg) and rebounding (13.2 rpg). Utah Valley returns 10 players, including three starters, from last year's squad that won a share of the WAC regular season title. The school is coached by former NBA scrub Mark Madsen -- remember him dancing years ago at a Lakers title celebration?

Rating: 2 Units

This game will be the Huskies' real start to the season. They have played four really bad teams. They're averaging 92 points while shooting better than 50 percent from the field and nearly 40 percent from deep. They've allowed 51.3 points per game while holding opponents to 33 percent shooting. The Tigers got a scare from South Florida last time out. UConn is a much better team than Auburn. This spread is too small.

Rating: 2 Units

Let's get our day started on a winning note from the Bahamas. Is this spread wrong? The various models appear to think so. SportsLine's has Drexel winning by two points. ESPN's BPI has the Dragons has about a point better. CAA Preseason Player of the Year Camren Wynter for Drexel will be the best player on the floor.

Rating: 2 Units

KenPom ranks Fairfield 15 spots better nationally and this is a true home game for the Stags. The SportsLine Projection Model has them winning by 3. Sagarin and ESPN's BPI have it about the same. Fairfield played both Boston College and Providence tough, while Stony Brook is 0-2 on the road. Fairfield is one of four teams in the nation to welcome back more than 99 percent of its scoring and 99 percent of its minutes from last season.

Rating: 2 Units

 This spread seems too high at least according to various models -- SportsLine's has about the highest point differential I've seen at Campbell winning by 17. Campbell is a good Big South program but UMES has had some quality outings this season, only losing to Saint Joseph's by two and winning at Fordham. The Hawks should be able to stay within this number.

Rating: 2 Units

The model makes this one a seven-point spread, and it looks like Texas-Rio Grande Valley should be able to keep this game within double digits. The Vaqueros play with an elevated pace and can go on scoring runs. Grab them and the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Friars are 5-0 on the season and already have taken down two Big Ten teams in Wisconsin and Northwestern. They now will face a Virginia team that struggles with an offensive efficiency rating that ranks them No. 156 in the country. No one has had an answer for Providence big man Nate Watson, who averages 18.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. The Friars are a top-50 team rebounding the ball on the defensive end, while Virginia checks in 200 spots lower in the same category. Lay the small number with the better team on a neutral court.