NCAAF Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The Tigers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games away from the Bayou when forced to lay points. Meanwhile, the Seminoles comes back with no less than 18 starters back from last year’s 10-win squad which improved on offense by 8 points and 104 yards per game, while the defense allowed 6 points less and 58 yards less per contest. They are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in this series since 1980, including 4-0 SUATS when facing an LSU squad that won six or more games the previous season. Finally, Florida State is 9-0-2 in 11 previous contests in Orlando.

NCAAF Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Vanderbilt has been more than 7-point favorites in a season opener five times since 1980 and lost four games outright. They’re just 5-10 ATS as favorites of 14 or more points in nonconference clashes, including 0-4 ATS in the last four. Hawaii likely comes into this one seething from a 63-10 season-opening loss to Vanderbilt in Timmy Chang’s debut last year. A 9-5 ATS mark in season-opening road games works, as does momentum for a 6-1 ATS season-ending effort the previous year.

NFLX Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Pete Carrol comes into this one with a 12-4 ATS career mark in third preseason contests While  Green Bay boss Matt LaFleur is 0-3 SU and 0-2-1 ATS in similar Game Three’s. Additionally he is 2-6 overall in exhibition games entering this preseason. Finally, consider that Pete Carroll is 8-4 SUATS in his final preseason game with the Seahawks, including 5-1 ATS when not favored by four or more points. Additionally, teams coming off two consecutive home wins are 19-4 ATS in game 3 when they are dogs of 5 or fewer points. Finally, if the team is off a win of more than 3 points are 14-3 SU and 15-2 ATS.

NFLX Game of the Year

Rating: 5 Units

John Harbaugh is not only riding a 22-game win streak in the exhibition season (20-2-1 ATS) but is also 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS at home in preseason openers. In addition, the Eagles enter highly touted this season despite falling in the Super Bowl. Therefore keep in mind that Super Bowl losers are 10-20 SU and 6-23-1 ATS in preseason openers since 1992, including 3-16 ATS against foes who won 2 or more preseason affairs the previous year.

NHL Total of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Consider that the Over is 7-2-2 in Panthers last 11 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game, 7-2 in Panthers last 9 vs. Atlantic, 16-5-2 in Panthers last 23 vs. a team with a losing record, and 27-11-2 in Panthers last 40 Monday games. While the Over is 13-3 in Senators last 16 games playing on 1 days rest, 8-2 in Senators last 10 vs. Eastern Conference, and 12-4 in Senators last 16 overall.

Sweet 16 Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

What has been overlooked this season, is Bama was the No. 20 in the AP preseason poll. Safe to say they have been major overachievers to the point they were awarded the No. 1 overall seed in this year’s tournament. And starting today they own the easiest path to the Final Four with only No. 5, 6 and perhaps 15 seeds in their path. They also bring the best Rebound Margin, and second-best Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Scoring Margins of all teams still remaining in this tournament. San Diego State enters with the second worst Offensive Field Goal Percentage (uh oh). The Aztecs are in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2014, and third time overall. Seven players average at least 20.0 minutes per game this season, but only one player averages double-digits in scoring. Ironically. SDSU was No. 19 in the AP preseason Top 25, ahead of Alabama. With MWC teams a shivery 3-31-1 ATS in their last 35 outright losses in this tourney, you know exactly what to do.

Sweet 16 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

This is familiar territory for the Razorbacks, reaching the Sweet 16 for the third straight season and taking aim at their third consecutive Elite 8 appearance. Getting here was not easy, though: CBS Sports reports that three Arkansas players fouled out in the Kansas game and two others finished with four fouls in the 72-71 upset. Then there’s a massive hangover awaits Arkansas, as teams in Sweet 16 games off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS since 1996 when facing sub .790 opponents in this round. We think Connecticut is going to RULE the Razorbacks, going 24-6 SU and 21-9 ATS versus SEC foes of late (4-0 SUATS the last five seasons), including 6-1 SUATS against those coming off a SU underdog win. UConn is an outstanding 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS record this season in non-Big East battles tells us Arky will get counted out here – a notion seconded by the fact that UConn is 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS in this tournament against foes coming off an NCAA tourney upset win as an underdog, including 9-0 SUATS versus No. 6 or lower seeds.

Tournament Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Miami, the ACC regular season and Drake, the Missouri Valley conference tournament. A trio of 5thyear senior guards leads the Bulldogs’ attack: Tucker Devries, Roman Penn, and Garrett Sturtz returned with their extra year of eligibility after having led Drake to 95-wins the previous four years. The terrific threesome averaged 42.1 PPG, 16.5 RPG, and 8.3 APG. They match up well with a Miami unit that also emphasizes guard play. The Canes bring a wobbly 1-5 ATS record as a favorite in this tournament into this fray as well as a 0-3 ATS mark in its last three Missouri Valley contests. Making matters worse, Miami mentor Jim Larranaga is just 1-5 ATS as a single digit favorite in this tournament. Meanwhile, Drake closed the season on a 13-1 winning run. In addition, they were 4-1 SUATS against .750 or greater opponents this campaign. However, we saved the best for last, where Drake head coach Darian DeVries is 10-2 SUATS “between the 4’s” in games on a neutral court

Tournament Play of the Day

There is a large contingent of Vegas wise guys who like this Creighton team, and it’s understandable.After all, the Blue Jays were ranked No. 9 in the AP preseason poll after winning 23 games the previous season despite being beaten up with injuries. The truth of the matter is unless they win two games in this event and make it to the Sweet 16, they will fall short of last year’s effort. That’s the plight we see happening, and with it, we’re not about to lay points with a team under this sort of scrutiny. For openers, Creighton enters with a crummy 7-13 SU and 5-14- 1 ATS record in this tournament since the turn of the century, including 0-4 ATS when coming off a loss as a favorite. On the fl ip side, NC State enters with a sparking 8-1 SU and 7-1 ATS record this season in games when coming off a loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. In addition, the Pack is 4-1 SUATS in this tourney when entering off a loss when they sport a greater than .666 win percentage. We’re backing the team playing the better ball as playing on any .666 or greater lined Division-1 team in Round One of the NCAA tournament coming off a loss of 24 or more points if they are facing a sub .740 lined Division-1 foe is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1990

Rating: 4 Units

The Dubs have won five out of the last six games against the Grizzlies overall, but they are 5-0 at home during that stretch. On the road, Memphis has beaten the Warriors in four of the last games straight up, and the Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in the last six games against the Warriors at FedEx Forum. I understand Morant will not be playing, but Memphis is 4-1 straight up in home games without him this season. Both of these teams have been so drastically different at home vs on the road this season. I have to take the home dog here.

NBA Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The Sixers edged the Bucks, 110-102, in Philly in their most recent get-together in November, setting the table for this payback, as Milwaukee has reeled off six wins in a row in same-season revengers entering the fray. In addition, John Deere has gone 18-3 SU and 16-5 ATS when laying fewer than 8 points as a host this season. We’re not jumping in front of that, especially with added support that Milwaukee is 23-8 SU and 20-11 ATS in this series, including 7-1 SUATS with same-season revenge, as well as 5-0 SUATS when the Bucks own a winning record.

NCAAB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Cats are playing their best ball of the season at the right time. Even so, 16-14 Villanova will likely need to win out thru the Big East tourney in order to capture an invite into the NCAA Tournament for the 17th time in the last 18 Dances. Meanwhile, UConn took the opposite approach to the season, opening the campaign on a 14-0 winning run before going just 9-7 heading into March. Still, with 23 wins at press time, the Huskies all but have their NCAA tourney ticket punched. A trip to the archives tells us Villanova is 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in this series, as well as 9-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in Last Home Games. Then there’s the program’s intimidating history: winning the Big East regular season championship 7 of the last 9 years, and the Big East conference tournament 5 of the last 8 years. Yes, they miss Jay Wright, but these are still the players he recruited and they won’t back down now. With a 10-3 SU effort at home this season and revenge for a 74-66 loss to UConn in late December, we seal the deal for Villanova with the fact that UConn is 6-11 SU and 5-12 ATS against foes playing their final home game of the season, including 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS when the Huskies sport a .586 or greater win percentage.

NCAAB Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Huggins led the Wildcats in 2006 and 2007, and he’s currently 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS with same-season revenge of 4 or more points at WVU against KSU (Wildcats beat West Virginia on New Year’s Eve, 82-76). It’s been an inconsistent season for WVU, though expectations were low after only 1 starter returned from the previous campaign’s 16-17 squad. But even though the Hillbillies have won just twice in their last six games, those two wins came in their last three outings. Owners of a 17-13 record at press time, the Huggies are sitting firmly on the NCAA bubble and needs this like kielbasa needs sauerkraut. Not so for the Wildcats, who are sitting pretty after knocking off Oklahoma to improve to 23-7 with 11 wins in Big 12 play. This is not a good role for the visitors, though, as they’re 0-3 SUATS against foes in Last Home Games playing with same-season revenge of 6 or fewer points. The Manhattan Cats are also just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS away in Big 12 Last Road Games in regular season finales. Finally, Huggy’s team is 12-4 SU in WVU Coliseum this season, which fits right in with the fact that WVU head coach Bob Huggins is 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS in Last Home Games when playing with three or more 

days of rest, including 7-0 SUATS with West Virginia

NBA Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Philly is 24-6 SU and 22-10 ATS at home this season, and ranks No. 3 overall in the league in Team Scoring Defense. On the fl ip side, Boston’s Achilles Heel is its 28th ranked effort in Team Rebounds this season. In addition, the shamrocks were riding a 0-5 SUATS skein here in this series until the aforementioned win they scored late in the campaign last season. With the Celts coming off a same season revenge win at Indiana on Thursday, and staring dead ahead to same-season revenge rematches with the Knicks and the Cavs, we need to consider that the Sixers are 12-0 SUATS at home this season when seeking same-season loss revenge.

NBA Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The majority of games on tonight’s NBA game are laced with teams each playing with 8 days of rest on this post All-Star Friday. And 8 is a magic number for Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra who brings a career log of 7-1 ATS when his troops are playing with eight or more days of rest during the regular season (read: post All-Star game), including 6-0 ATS when facing .400 or greater opponents. Foremost on their minds tonight, though, will be exacting revenge from a 123-115 loss here three weeks ago. And with it the stars should be lined in their favor. On the other side of the court Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in this series when operating on three or more days of rest.  Finally, Miami is 10-1 ATS when seeking revenge from a same season defeat of fewer than 20 points when coming off a double-digit defeat and facing a foe that is coming off a double-digit win.

CBB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Izzo and his troops as they’re a glittery 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS mark in home games when seeking revenge after meetings with the Wolverines, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight games. Thus, it’s no surprise that we’re backing Sparty once again this week, especially when MSU has racked up a 20-2 SU and 16-6 ATS record at home in this series, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking same-season revenge from a double-digit loss (fell 82-69 in Bloomington a month ago). The Hoosiers are playing well, riding an 8-2 SU win skein before hosting Illinois last Saturday, and are currently locked in third place in the Big Ten chase. But they’re facing a double whammy here: besides owning a dreadful 2-7-1 ATS record on the road this season, they’ve also got a date with in-state rival Purdue up next, and Indiana is 0-4 ATS before Boiler bouts. Toss in the fact that the Hoosiers are 19-89-3 ATS in Big Ten games they lose outright against avenging opponents. Despite what could be a somber atmosphere to begin tonight’s clash, we declare it’s “Iz Time” again in the Breslin Center, and we seal the deal with the fact that playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo at home from Game 20 out in a conference game when seeking revenge from a same-season loss is 24-7 ATS since 2002.

CBB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Arizona bested the Buffs, 82-72, in the semifinals of the P-12 tourney last season – as they bring a sterling 16-2 ATS ledger into this affair when they sport a sub .570 win percentage on the season. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are coming off a decisive 88-62 revenge win over Utah on Thursday with archrival ASU up next, and Zona is just 6-16 ATS at home before facing the Sun Devils. Consider that Colorado is 9-1 ATS when seeking revenge from a conference tourney loss the previous season, including 7-0 ATS when the Buffaloes sport a sub .769 win percentage, as well as 6-0 ATS when facing .700 or greater opponents.

CBB Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

The Bobcats are an intimidating 18-4 ATS in this series when both teams sport a .450 or greater win percentage. We also like the fact that Buffi e is staring dead ahead to same season revengers with Akron and Central Michigan, and the Bulls are just 3-8 ATS versus avenging foes before facing the Zips, including 0-3 SUATS away. Yes, Ohio head coach Jeff Boals knows his team has a ways to go if they want to match last year’s 25-win performance, but we love this play so much that we’ve declared it our Valentine’s Day Special! Putting the finishing touch on tonight’s box of chocolates is the Bobcats’ 18-6 SU and 16-8 ATS home in conference contests when looking to settle a score. Additionally, Ohio U is 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS at home in MAC games when seeking same-season loss revenge.

CBB Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Ohio State has put in a dreadful 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS effort versus Big Ten foes. Yes, the Buckeyes ran out to a solid 10-3 start this campaign, but OSU enters Value City Arena today with a confusion-inducing 1-9 SUATS record in its last ten contests. As a result, Holtmann’s heroes are looking down with only one team – Minnesota – left between them and the bottom of the Big Ten cellar. Here comes more trouble, as the Spartans are 6-1 SUATS away in this series when looking to exact revenge from a loss the previous season, as well as 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS when seeking anytime revenge and playing on four or more days of rest, including 7-1 SUATS versus sub .740 foes. And with the Buckeyes losing four of their previous five home games, we expect to see a fully energized Izzo today. Finally, playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo with 3 or more days of rest from Game 20 out if they are seeking same-season revenge against a .700 or fewer conference opponent is 20-4 ATS since 1998.

NBA Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Greg Popovich takes on a Toronto team that handed him the WORST LOSS of his career in a 143-100 ass whooping in San Antonio on November 2 earlier this season. If that’s not enough of a hair-raising beat down, then it doesn’t exist in Pops’ world. Making matters even worse for the Raptors is that they enter this game off a double-revenge affair of their own at Memphis with another payback on deck here against Utah on Friday. With the Spurs 11-9 SU and 12-8 ATS overall in this series, including 4-1 ATS when Toronto is coming off two days of rest. Finally playing on San Antonio head coach Greg Popovich from Game 55 out when he is seeking revenge from a same-season loss of more than 25 points when the Spurs own a sub .690 win percentage 11-0 since 1998.

CBB Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Pirates have gone 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS, and should add to those figures with a game against pitiful DePaul last weekend. In yet another case of biting the hand that feeds us, we’ll fade Creighton off what we think will be a big win over Villanova. Yes, we know we talked up the Bluejays last Saturday but one of the deciding factors was the game location: Creighton is a great home team but a lousy road team. Not to mention the Jays are just 14-22-1 ATS against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points, including 3-8 ATS versus .550 or greater foes. Meanwhile, the Pirates can boast a 5-0 SUATS record at home this season with a sub .700 win percentage. Finally consider that Seton Hall is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in this series when the Blue Jays fly in with a sub .700 record, including 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS when the Hall boasts a winning record.

NBA Play of the Day

Rating: 3 Units

Knicks look to even the score from a 119-112 Christmas Day home defeat to Philly. With it they bring along a strong 10-5-1 ATS record in games with a .444 or greater mark as a division home dog with revenge, including 5-1-1 ATS when coming off a home game. They also pile on with a 12-8 SUATS mark this season with same-season loss revenge of 7-plus points. The 76ers are coming off a same-season revenge contest with the Spurs, (3-7 ATS away after facing San Antonio) with another same season revenge affair up next against Miami (3-9-1 ATS before Miami, including 0-3 ATS away). Finally, consider that the Knicks are 15-8 SU and 14-7-1 ATS series with same-season loss revenge if .428 or greater, including 7-1 ATS as a dog.

AFC Division Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Pickett pulled another rabbit out of the hat in last week’s thrilling comeback win over the Ravens in Baltimore to keep alive their aforementioned chances outlined above. The trends work in the Burghers favor today, too, as Pittsburgh is 30-8 SU and 24-12-2 ATS at home with a .500 or fewer record when coming off a home game, as well as 7-1 SUATS with revenge in this series, including 6-0 ATS when the Browns sport a losing record. On the other side of the fi eld, Cleveland is 1-11 ATS when coming off a non-division road game and 0-8 ATS in games when both teams are coming off a win. With that, we’ll side with the Black and Gold against Big Brown as they get their revenge today. Finally, consider that Mike Tomlin is 19-5 SU and 18-6 ATS at home in his career in games when both teams are coming off a SUATS win, including 9-0 SUATS from Game 12 out.

NFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Brady is clearly programmed to break every NFL passing record in the book. In his best outing of the year – 432 yards and three TDs passing, one rushing TD – he completed 34 passes Sunday, adding yet another record to his seemingly endless collection. In the process he won his 19th division title, as the Bucs are now back-to-back division champs for the fi rst time in team history. Atlanta enters as a team playing out the string, just 2-6 SUATS and ITS in its last eight games while throwing green QB Desmond Ridder to the wolves. With the Dirty Birds just 2-13 ATS at home coming off a home game and Brady 3-0 ATS in his career as a dog in season finales, and finally NFL .500 dogs are 5-0 ATS in final games of the season when coming off a win

NFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

QB Aaron Rodgers is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS at home when the Packers are riding a three game win streak. He’s also 32-7-1 SU and 28-12 ATS at home in division games in his NFL career (4-0 SUATS this season), including 18-1 SU and 15-4 ATS in games in which the Packers sport a sub .666 win percentage. Toss in his 29-19-1 ATS mark in games when the Packers own a losing record, including 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS versus .750 or greater foes (5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS at home) and the task looks almost insurmountable for the Vikings today. Sure, Minnesota holds down the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoff picture, but the fact remains they rank DEAD LAST in the league in overall defense and – remember this - no team has ever won an NFL playoff game that owned the worst defense in the league. And don’t fall asleep on the fact that the Vikings are 1-15 ATS in their last sixteen conference losses. Speaking of which, QB Aaron Rodgers is 15-1 SU from Game Thirteen out during the regular season.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

USA TODAY called out the fact that the Jets handed the Jaguars a Christmas gift two years ago when they foolishly rallied to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, just before Christmas and granting them access to QB Trevor Lawrence as the No. 1 overall draft pick. Talk about a gift that keeps on giving to Jacksonville, it’s one that may well haunt the Jets for the next 10-15 years. What may also trouble the Big Planes today is their recent 7-16 SU and 5-18 ATS record in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 1-10 SUATS versus greater than .400 foes. That fits perfectly into the Seahawks’ 10-0 ATS record in home games when coming off consecutive underdog losses. Then there is head coach Pete Carroll, who is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in January, including 4-0 SUATS with a losing record and 4-0 SUATS versus sub .600 foes – and our favorite holiday ‘Caroller’ has also never lost four consecutive home games. Finally, consider that playing on any NFL non-division home dog or ‘pick’ if they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games is 112-82-7 ATS since 1980. Better yet, put these non-division hosts up against a sub. 500 foe in this role and the black ink turns a deep shade of green, going 35-19-3 ATS, including 16-1-2 ATS when they sport a win percentage over .100 and were a dog of 6-plus points in their last game.

Bowl Game of the Year

Rating: 5 Units

This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG.

Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980.

Bowl Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The military teams take advantage of success, going a combined 29-9 ATS when coming off a win. AFA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 bowl games and in addition to being stingy at giving the ball back, they carry the top overall defense in the country. This bowl game is to honor the military and they give back by going 6-3 ATS in the last 9, including 4-1 ATS as the dog. Meanwhile, Da Bears are a sub-standard 0-3 SUATS as single digit favorites while the Big 12 has been small ATS versus military teams, going 0-3. If you are a trend lover, BU is 3-14 ATS on Thursdays plus this game is at TCU’s home field, where Baylor has lost five of the last seven, both SU and ATS. If that’s not a strong persuader, consider that Playing on any greater than .667 college military team in a bowl game that scored fewer than 50 points in its last game if they are not off a loss and their team’s overall net Yards Per Rush is greater than 1.0. is 17-0 ATS since 1980.

NFL Upset of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Bengals are 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve games, and that may sound good to Joe Public, but not to the savvy handicapper as non-rested NFL teams on a 5-0 SUATS win streak have puked as non-division favorites of 5 or fewer points, going just 10-20-1 ATS in this role. On the other side of this hardto-like take are the Bucs, who were totally throttled in last week’s 28-point loss at San Francisco. It doesn’t get much worse than that. In fact, it was the third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career. And adding more misery, it occurred at the hands of 7th round rookie QB Brock Purdy. By now we all know of Brady’s jaw-dropping 11-1 ATS career mark as a home dog. But don't forget that Tom Brady is 16-3 SU and 18-1 ATS as a pick or dog off a loss in his NFL career, including 10-0 SUATS off a loss of more than 7 points.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence, has over the course of his last three games sport a 111.7 QB Rating with 0 INTs. Meanwhile, the not-so-big news in the Dallas receiver room is that WR TY Hilton will be joining the Cowboys, not Odell Beckham, Jr. The feeling here is OBJ may still be in play for America’s Team, but not until he’s able to take the field. Yes, the Boys are confident, riding an 8-game ITS (In The Stats) win skein entering today’s game. But we can’t ignore that playing against any sub .800 NFL non-division road favorite coming off three straight home games from Game 11 out is 12-1-1 since 1980.

MNF Game of the Month

Rating: 4 Units

When up against the wall, we’ll back Bilichick with every shot. For openers, he is 13-2 SU and 10-5 ATS in his last 15 contests when coming off two losses, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS away. And then there is his 8-1 ATS career record away with a .500 record when coming off a loss. On the flip side, Arizona coach Kliff Kingsbury checks in at 12-18 ATS home with the Redbirds, including 5-15 ATS when not taking more than two points. Kingsbury is also 1-3 SUATS on Mondays, including 0-3 SUATS the last three. With the Pats 8-1 ATS when coming off a home loss, there’s no better time to take the Pats. Finally, Pats head coach Bill Belichick is 22-9 SUATS against NFC West foes in his NFL career, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 SUATS versus those coming off a loss

Mismatch of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

So why is it, that the Seahawks a measly 3.5-point favorite at home against the 4-8 Panthers? Is Vegas telling us something? They may be trying, but we’re not buying. Not with Carolina 0-3 SUATS in NFC West division duke outs this season, and 0-3 SUATS the last three games in this series. And not with the Panthers a pussycat-like 0-4 ATS in games when coming off a Bye week. Turn it around and you’ll find a Seahawks squad 7-3 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Better yet, the Seahawks are 25-3 SU and 21-6-1 ATS in games when coming off consecutive ATS losses under head coach Pete Carroll, including 15-0 SU and 14-1 ATS at home.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Brady  is simply the best as an underdog, going 41-17-1 ATS in his illustrious career, including 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and 17-5 ATS when his team is coming off an ATS loss. He also stands 21-6 SU in his career in games in which his team is .500 on the season. Perhaps even more impressive is Brady’s 45-14 SU and 43-12-4 ATS mark in games against foes with a better record, including 24-6 ATS when taking points. With Monday night’s stirring comeback win over the Saints, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 4 seed in the NFC playoff picture while the Niners lay claim to the No. 2 seed. Frisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of fewer than four points and Tampa Bay is 7-1-2 ATS as a dog after being a favorite the previous game. Finally consider that playing against any .666 or greater single-digit NFL regular season home team coming off consecutive home wins if they are facing an opponent coming off a loss is 14-2-1 since 1983.

AFC Blowout of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Patrick Mahomes is on a path towards an MVP season. Thru 11 games this season he’s completed 66.1% of his passes for 3,585 yards, 29 TDs and 8 INTs. Mahomes is also 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in starts during November and December when not favored by more than 3 points. And he’s 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in all games in which the Chiefs are seeking revenge. The revenge we’re referring to: last season’s AFC championship game loss which denied Kansas City a Super Bowl appearance, instead sending the Bengals to the big game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is 3-10 SU and 3-8-2 ATS as a home dog against greater than .400 opponents, including 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or fewer points. With the Bengals 3-7 ATS as non-division home dogs of fewer than 6 points.  To cap it all off consider that Kansas City is 40-7 SU in Patrick Mahomes’ NFL starts from November out. He is also 26-0 in his last 26 starts in November and December.

AFC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Bolts had failed to score a touchdown in their previous 20 fourth-quarter possessions before finding the end zone twice (TD and 2-point conversion) in the game’s final 15 seconds. Now they head to Sin City sporting a 1-5 ATS record as division road chalk, as well as a 2-8 ATS ledger when coming off a spread loss and facing a foe off a spread win. The Black Patches return home with a lofty 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in division games when coming off consecutive SU underdog wins. They are also 13-6 ATS the last nineteen games in this series when taking points, including 6-1 ATS at home. With the Chargers hobbled by the worst Yards Per Rush defense (5.4) in the league, and the Raiders offense gaining 5.2 Yards Finally consider that the Raiders are 11-4 ATS at home in the last fifteen division home games, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS when hosting a foe not off a win of 3 or more points.

Prime Time Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

The ‘return to the norm’ is simply too strong to overcome as ATS losses begin to pile up with each passing week. With it the Eagles enter this week on a 3-game ATS losing skid while having been out yarded in half of their last six games. Granted, the Packers are facing demons of their own, but Aaron Rodgers thrives in these situations, and we expect nothing less today. With it the Pack checks in 7-1 ATS in game versus .750 or greater foes the past two seasons, as well as 8-2 ATS when coming off a Thursday contest. Meanwhile, the Green Birds enter 1-8 ATS versus foes off a SU home favorite loss, and just 3-8 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday game. To cap it off, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SUATS as a dog when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS versus .700 or greater foes.

AFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The ground game has really come to the Bengals aid of late as Nate Davis of the USA TODAY notes that the Bengals one-two running back punch of Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine, former teammates at Oklahoma, have eight TDs the past two games. But the hottest team in the league – read: Tennessee – also know they are 6-0 ATS off an away game versus a foe also off an away game. They are also 5-0 ATS off a Thursday game. Finally, Tennessee is 12-0 ATS off an ATS win versus a foe off an ATS win.

Upset of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

App State is 2-7 ATS in lined games, 1-7 ATS as a favorite (!) and 0-4 ATS when coming off a victory. Georgia Southern is the opposite going 4-0 ATS in regular season finales and a sturdy 5-1 ATS in last home games. Finally, Eagles Coach Helton has never lost four straight (even though Southern Cal die-hards thought he lost every game there) and is 6-2 SUATS when coming off consecutive losses.

Big-12 Game of the Mont

Rating: 5 Units

Iowa State has out-yarded each of their last five opponents, including a 422-246 margin over Texas Tech in last week’s 14-10 loss. They have also held eight opponents to a season-low – or 2nd low – yardage this year, and that is just enough to apply the slip-knot on the TCU noose. When you consider that the Clones are 5-1 ATS in this series over the last six matchups (3-0 ATS as a dog), and that they own a 6-0 ATS mark as conference road dogs, you’ll find your winner. Finally, playing on any CFB dog off two losses, both as a favorite, if they allow 21 or fewer PPG and they are facing an undefeated opponent is 13-2-1 since 1980.

Divisional Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The Bengals are 8-0 ATS when coming off a non-division game when facing a foe that is also coming off a non-division game, as well as 7-0 ATS off a win versus foes coming off a win. And then there is Burrow, who brings a 9-1 SUATS career record into this game when facing an NFL opponent coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, the Black-and-Gold are at home following last week’s home win with a 0-4 SUATS ledger at home when coming a home game. Mike Tomlin’s troops are also 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) this season while being outgained an average -85 YPG. Finally the Bengals are 25-1 ATS in their last twenty-six division games they win outright

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Mike McCarthy, not the sharpest knife in the NFL coaches’ drawer, decided to go for it on fourth-and-3 from Green Bay’s 35-yard line in overtime rather than kicking a field goal to go up by 3 points. The Cowboys failed to convert and the Packers then proceeded to kick the game-winning field goal. Another knock at the door is Dallas’ 3-10 ATS log in this series, including 1-10 ATS without rest. To clinch it all, Dallas is 3-18-1 ATS as a conference favorite versus .666 or greater opponents, including 3-11 SU and 0-13-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 4 points.

Big-10 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Good numbers for the visitors, though, as they’re 4-0 ATS as double-digit conference road dogs this season, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight run-ins with undefeated conference foes. Michigan counters with a superb 11-1 ATS mark as Big Ten home chalk of less than 20 points, but the Maize-and Blue can’t be trusted to cash a ticket in their final home game, as they’ve gone 2-6 ATS in the last eight such affairs. And let’s face it, Harbaugh will work from a strictly “vanilla” playbook today to avoid tipping off Ohio State’s Ryan Day. Meanwhile, with two rough defenses doing battle today – and Ohio State on deck for Michigan – points could be hard to come by. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game Eleven if they are facing a .700 > foe is 16-2-2 ATS since 1980.

Big-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Unit

We realize TCU is 12-1 ATS in LRGs (Last Road Games), but they weren’t undefeated then and carrying the weight of being in the position they are in this year. Meanwhile, some of the numbers look very good when studying Baylor: 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back home games, 7-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 10 points in previous game, and 3-0 ATS with double conference revenge (Bears lost 30-28 as 7.5-point favorites at TCU last season, one of only two defeats they were dealt in 2021). Meanwhile, back to the Horned Frogs, whose numbers are less-shiny: 1-6 ATS versus double conference revenge and 2-12 ATS after playing Texas. It is extremely strange to imagine, but the Frogs can possibly afford a loss and still make the College Football Playoff – but why take the chance? One thing we know for sure is Baylor is 13-1 ATS as a dog with conference revenge versus a foe coming off a SUATS win, including 8-0 ATS at home

Upset of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Coming off their Bye week, the Browns look to be as healthy as they’ve been all season with star DB Denzel Ward and OT Wyatt Teller due back after resting lingering injuries. They are also as hungry as they’ve been this season as they now trail AFC North Division-leading Baltimore by 2.5 games and need to up their game in anticipation of the return of QB Deshaun Watson in three weeks. The Browns secondary better sharpen up, though, going against the top 1-2 WR duo in the league in Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Hill is on pace for a record 2,085 yards and could become the first ever receiver to surpass 2,000. Nonetheless, Miami arrives 3-8 ATS following consecutive NFC contests, while Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in this series, 4-0 ATS in first of back-to-back roadies, and 5-1 ATS following a division home game. Consider that Cleveland HC is 11-6 ATS as a dog with his current team, including 5-0 ATS against opponents he defeated in a most recent meeting.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Pete Carroll’s crew enters on a 4-0 SUATS win skein, winning three of the games outright as underdogs. And speaking of dogs, Seattle QB Geno Smith is 12-3 ATS in his last fifteen games when taking points in this league, including 7-0 ATS versus .444 or greater foes. On the other side of the fi eld, it should be noted that Brady is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral fields, but only 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS versus NFC West foes with the Bucs. In wrapping things up, it should also be noted that NFL teams with the better record are 19-8-1 SU and 16-12 ATS in Euro games. To clinch is, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 7-2 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when riding a three-game-plus win skein, including 7-0 ATS when taking either 2 or 3 points.

ACC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Louisville has quietly stitched together a decent season after a terrible start and may be saving Scott Satterfi eld’s job. Satterfi is a solid 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS against teams coming off a spread loss of 19 or more points. UL is 4-0 SUATS in their last four. To tap it off playing against  any CFB home favorite of more than 4 points from Game Nine out coming off its first loss of the year as a favorite of 4 or more points if they are off a DD ATS loss and are facing a foe who allows 20.1 or fewer PPG is 11-0 ATS since 1982.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Arkansas is 13-6 SUATS at home when coming off a SU favorite loss to a conference foe, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog of fewer than 8 points. Also, Sam Pittman is 19-9-1 ATS overall in his career with the Hogs, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of 16 or fewer points. In addition, you need to realize that LSU is a horrendous 2-7 ATS as a road favorite of less than 15 points while coming off back-to-back home games. Also, road favorites who upset Alabama the previous week are also just 2-7 ATS in the following game since 1980 when coming off three consecutive wins, including 0-5 ATS when they own a win percentage of greater than .750 on the season. Sure, Jayden Daniels has improved greatly, as has the Tiger defense, but Pittman’s crew will be up to the challenge. Finally, Arkansas is 5-0 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss in this series.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Atlanta is 4-12 SU and 3-13 ATS after scoring 30-plus points in their previous game, including 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS at home. Yes, the Chargers have struggled with QB Justin Herbert’s rib injury but there is nothing like a week off during the season to help mend the healing. The Bolts are 5-0 ATS non-conference road games as well as 5-1 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. In closing consider that the Atlanta Falcons are 2-20-1 ATS at home during the regular season when coming off a home win..

NFL Mismatch of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

NFL road teams coming off a shutout loss – read: the Raiders – are 12-6 SU and 15-3 ATS since 1993 when facing foes coming off consecutive losses. Coupled with the fact that NFL teams returning home without rest after playing in London are 0-3 SUATS when coming off a SU favorite loss makes the red-faced Black and Silver the right side in this contest today, even though the Raiders failed to cross midfield until the 2:00 minute warning in last week’s embarrassing 24-0 loss at New Orleans. In the process, they were blanked for the first time since 2014 when, ironically, rookie QB Derek Carr suffered a 52-0 whitewash loss to the Rams. Carr bounced back the next game with a 24-13 win over the 49ers when he completed 22-of-28 passes for 3 TDs, 0 INTs and a Passer Rating of 140.2 – his best effort of the season. Jacksonville is on a 0-5 SUATS losing slide, and just 1-9 ATS at home versus AFC West opposition. Finally,  the Raiders are 10-1 ATS away during the regular season versus AFC South foes.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

We will find out if the maligned OU defense will continue their Cyclones form or revert to the team that was strafed for 41, 55, 49 and 42 points prior to visiting Ames, Iowa last weekend. If the Sooners can’t stop Baylor frosh RB Richard Reese, who despite his 5’9” stature, has 12 TDs and 791 ground yards, the game will be a Bear market. Oklahoma is a depressing 0-5 ATS at home versus a team coming off consecutive SUATS wins. To cap it off, Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference dog versus an opponent coming off a SUATS win.

Big-10 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Boilermaker head coach Jeff Brohm has carved out a ‘good dog, bad favorite’ personality and we’re not about to go against that today, not after Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point dogs at Iowa last season, meaning a major payback is in order today. With the Boilers now a lousy 1-4 ATS at home in this series, and HC of Iowa going 24-14 ATS in his career, including 10-2 ATS when taking single digits and coming off a SUATS win.  To seal the deal, Iowa is 12-5 ATS as a dog with revenge when coming off a SUATS win under head coach Kirk Ferentz, including 8-1 ATS when not coming off a spread win of 13 or more points.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 5 Units

Las Vegas has cashed in each of the games, winning two of them on the scoreboard. Like Arizona, they are still on the outside looking in at the current NFL playoff picture. Unfortunately, they’ve struggled against foes coming off a Thursday game going just 4-10-1 ATS. And they’ve also wriggled in this series with a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS mark the last ten gatherings. The Saints have won the stats in 5 of their seven games this season, including each of their last three games. As a result, they bring the better offense and the better defense into this fray. They are also 11-4 SU at home when playing off a SU previous home loss. Finally, consider that  NFL playoff teams the previous year are 6-22 SU and 7-20-1 ATS away in Game Seven when coming off consecutive ATS wins if not favored by 3 or more points, including 2-15 ATS if the Over/Under total in this game is greater than 40 points.

Upset of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Aggies have won and covered the last three games of this series, but they have gone 9 consecutive FBS games scoring 25 or fewer points – second-longest current streak in the FBS. Things are in crisis mode in College Station, as their fans are not used to seeing three consecutive defeats. Their saving grace is the fact they actually outgained their first FBS foe this season (they’re 1-5 ITS) in last week’s loss to South Carolina. Fisher lost three games in a row once in his career, (in 2011) but won the next game 41-16 at home against Duke. We call for the upset today. To cap it off,  Jimbo Fisher is 14-3 SU at home off consecutive losses, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog.

ACC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Notre Dame has been favored in the last eight matchups in this series since 2003 and even covered when a 33-point favorite in 2020. They are 3-1 ATS in the last four, 4-1 ATS away vs foes .800 or better, and a sturdy 9-3 ATS in ACC road games… PLUS a whopping 5-0 SUATS in the last five ACC battles. Meanwhile the state of the Orangemen must be called into doubt after the Clemson crusher, plus the Dome hasn’t always been a warm home to the football program. SU is a horrible 0-4-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or fewer points when coming off a conference contest. Finally, ND is 17-6 ATS as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, including 10-1 ATS when the Irish are coming off a win of 4 or more points.

TNF Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Brady is 10-0 SUATS in his NFL career with a losing record and coming off a loss. On the other side of the field, the Ravens are certainly not hitting on all cylinders either going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four contests. And with it, Baltimore brings a 0-5-1 ATS mark in Thursday road games. ultimately, NFL teams coming off three consecutive losses as a favorite of 7 or more points in each game are 3-1-1 ATS since 1980. In addition, the Bucs are 5-0 SUATS the last five games as an underdog with Tom Brady behind center, while Brady is 6-0 ATS as a dog versus AFC North foes in his NFL career. Lastly, Bucs QB Tom Brady is 41-17-2 ATS as an underdog in his NFL career, including 11-1-1 ATS at home.

Inter-conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Kansas City is 8-18 ATS as a favorite when coming off one loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 3-14 ATS versus avenging foes. The bottom line, though,  the Niners’ No. 1 ranked defense is 101 YPG superior to that of the Chiefs. That being the case, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan is 14-6 ATS as a dog with a win percentage of .333 or more, including 6-0 ATS versus .714 or fewer opponents.

SEC Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Bama’s 40 straight appearances in the Top 5 ends as they fall to No. 6 entering this contest. However, before knee-jerking and deciding to back Bama here, you need to know that Nick Saban is just 6-13 ATS in his CFB head coaching career, including just 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS at home when coming off a SUATS loss and facing an FBS opponent. Mississippi State HC, Mike Leach is 30-15 ATS after a double digit loss, including 15-4 ATS in the last 19 games. Additionally playing against any unrested double-digit conference favorite from Game 7 out off its first loss of the season as a conference favorite of more than 7 points if they’re facing a greater than .333 conference foe off a loss is 15-1 ATS since 1980.

MAC game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

After a slow 0-3 start, the Bulls have kicked their heels and ride a 4-0 SUATS win skein entering this contest. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG in those four games, while the defense has held its last two opponents to just 7 points apiece. Buffalo in this series is 5-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 ATS at UB Stadium. Buffalo is also 12-4-1 ATS as a home dog, including 5-0-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opposition. Head coach Maurice Linguist, had sunk to 4-11 with the Bulls until they went on their recent 4 game rampage. Buffalo is 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS favorite win. Also, consider that playing on any college football home dog who is 4-0 SUATS in its last four games if they were favored in their last game is  22-9 ATS since 1980, including 20-4 ATS if they are facing a foe coming off consecutive wins..

SNF Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

The stat that jumps out in this contest is that both teams rank No. 1 and 2 in Net Turnover Margin, with Philly +1.8 and Dallas +1.0. For what it’s worth, the Eagles are 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS under Nick Sirianni in games in which they lose the TOs, while the Cowboys are 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS the same way under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, where Sunday night home teams coming off consecutive wins tend to struggle, there is no refuting the fact that teams who just upset the defending Super Bowl champions are close to no shows the following game. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in games after Rams, and the Eagles seeking triple revenge it's important knowing America’s Team is a meager 1-9 SUATS away versus .428 or greater foes seeking triple revenge.  Finally, playing against any NFL away team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in their last game by 7+ points and scored 28+ points if they’re facing a .400 > foe and the O/U total in this game is < 44 is a PERFECT 15-0 ATS since 1980.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

It starts with KC QB Patrick Mahomes’ 12-1 SU mark versus .777 or greater foes, as well as his 4-1 SUATS record at home versus the AFC East during the regular season. On the flip side, Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled away in his NFL career against .700 or better foes, going just 2-5 SUATS. Digging deeper, the Bills are 1-12 ATS in the 2nd quarter of the season (Games 5-8) with a .500 or greater win percentage when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent coming off a home game. Head coach Andy Reid brings in a 28-9-1 ATS dog log into this prime time showdown when coming off consecutive wins, including 4-0-1 ATS at home. Consider also that the Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The bottom line is that Brian Kelly will need to do a better job or his one-game deficit in the SEC West will be blowing in the wind. At least he helps himself by bringing along a 21-12 ATS record as a road dog, including 9-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 9 or more points. LSU has also held its own in the last nine series contests with Florida, going 6-2-1 ATS overall and 3-1 SUATS away. New Gators head coach Billy Napier looks to be behind the 8-ball here, as the host team has gone 1-4 ATS in five lined games under Napier this season. Florida also hasn’t fared well of late in home games when playing with SEC revenge, going just 1-4 ATS. Consider finally, that Napier stands 5-11-1 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents.

Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

First, BYU in the favorite role at home is 2-6 ATS when the spread is under 6 points. Second, Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or less. Third, the Razorbacks are a sharp 4-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Even better, or worse depending on whom you’re rooting for, a top-notch SEC underdog coming off losses to Bama and Texas A&M finds itself 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in this situation. Consider that the Cougars have not faired well versus the SEC going 1-8 ATS versus SEC foes since 1990.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Baltimore has been outgained in all four games this season.  Cincinnati’s strength this season has been its defense as they rank No. 8 in points allowed and No. 11 in overall yards allowed. They are also one of five teams that have been installed as a favorite in every game this year – yet dress up as a dog today. Finally, consider that  Cincinnati is 12-1 ATS against foes seeking double revenge.

NFC South Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Brady is 12-4 ATS in his NFL career when his team is coming off consecutive losses, as well as 23-7 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit loss. To clinch it, Brady is 7-1 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit home loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games.

PAC-12 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Washington State is 7-2 ATS as the visitor  in this series and 12-3 ATS in Game One of back-to-back road games. Looking up another Washington State stat yields: 7-0 ATS on the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah next week and the LA crowd might be distracted.

SEC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Kelly has been a home hero, going 18-7 SU at home versus undefeated foes, including 13-3 in games in which his troops allow fewer than 21 PPG. LSU is also 5-1 ATS versus conference opponents with rest, and 15-8 ATS as a home dog when coming off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SUATS over the last four. Last week’s win over Auburn was ugly, as Kelly’s team fell behind early, 17-0, before getting it into gear. Tennessee has solid wins against Florida and
Pitt, but the Vols are just 2-7 ATS in Game 5. Finally, consider that the Vols are 3-11 SU and 1-13 ATS when both teams were favorites in their last game, including 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS in SEC games.

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Given the fact the Jags, with their new head coach Doug Pederson, are 0-10 ATS in the second of consecutive away games, they are also 0-4 ATS against the NFC East. On the other side of the coin, Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC South. All good numbers in the Eagles’ favor, for sure. To cap all of this off, consider that playing one any NFL non-division home team in Game 4 if not favored by more than 7 points vs. a foe that scored more than 24 points in its last game is 17-3 ATS since 1980.

AFC Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Mariota owns nearly twice the career wins (31) than Browns signal caller Jacoby Brissett (16). However, the Hawaiian hurler is 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS in his NFL career in games when his team is coming off a SU underdog win – including 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS when not taking three or more points, not to mention 1-6-1 ATS against AFC North opponents. We cap it off with the fact that Atlanta is 0-8  SUATS versus the AFC North since 2014, while Cleveland is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC South.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating; 4 units

Both teams are 4-0 on the season, this marks the Wolfpack’s first ACC tilt while the Tigers bring a 2-0 conference record into this affair. Recent ATS history offer full support to Clemson here, as they are 7-1 ATS as conference chalk of 8 or fewer points, plus the series host has cashed in three of the last four. That’s pretty strong considering State’s 1-7 ATS failure as a dog of 8 or fewer points, and a 1-4 ATS mark playing away from Raleigh after a non-conference home game. Most important, though, is the fact that the Wolfpack tripped up the Tigers, 27-21, as 10.5-point home dogs last season. With Dabo revenge in play here, we’ll lay the points as he has excelled in conference games when seeking revenge, going 14-6 SU and 13-7 ATS in his career, including a perfect 6-0 SUATS as a single-digit favorite.

Big-10 Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

The 23 points given up by the Hawkeyes in their first four games are the fewest scored on the team since 1966. In addition,  Iowa will be looking to avenge last season’s loss to Michigan,42-3, in the Big Ten title game. things to consider are that College football home dogs like Iowa, who won 10-plus games the previous season, are 3-0 ATS in Game Five versus undefeated foes playing their first road game of the season. Additionally,  4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in Game Five versus foes coming off consecutive wins.

NFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Green Bay’s is 14-2 ATS in games after battling the Bears, along with the Pack’s 9-5-1 SU and 10-5 ATS record in games when seeking “double revenge”, including 10-2 ATS versus .333 or great foes. On the other side of the coin, the Bucs are 2-8 ATS at home against foes seeking “double revenge”, as well as 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in Game Three’s of the season. Finally the Packers are 11-2 SUATS with a sub .750 win percentage under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge.

AFC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Matt Ryan now owns a 63.9 QB Rating with the Colts. The saving grace is his 11-5 SUATS career record against AFC West opposition, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. On the opposite side of the field, the 2-0 Chiefs – the only undefeated team in the AFC West – enter with a Super Bowl grudge rematch on tap at Tampa Bay next week. Kansas City’s 1-5 ATS record in its last six AFC South skirmishes, and the Colts 6-1 ATS log when coming off a division road. Finally NFL home dogs coming off a shutout loss are 12-2-1 ATS, including 10-0 ATS versus .466 or greater opponents.

Big-12 Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

K-State has covered the last three matchups in this series, and head coach Chris Kleiman is 7-2 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, including 4-0 ATS when taking more than a dozen points. There is no question that the Wildcats have struggled offensively this season, but the loss to Tulane last week was truly an aberration for star RB Deuce Vaughn, as the diminutive junior failed to score a TD for the first time in 10 games. Kleiman’s defense, however, is very good. Consider , teams playing AWAY off their first loss of the season find point spread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 139-106-7 ATS dating back to 1980. When these teams are also off an ATS loss (Kansas State), they improve to 121-78-4 ATS in these situations. And if these teams are coming off a SU favorite loss they ratchet up to 69-35-2 ATS, including 38-13-1 ATS as a dog, in addition to 31-10-1 ATS against a foe coming off a SUATS win – and a 20-6 ATS combo as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win.

SEC Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Gators own a huge statistical edge in this series, going 5-1 SUATS the last six meetings, 11-1-1 ATS in Game 4, and a whopping: 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games against Tennessee. The Vols are 0-4 SUATS in Game 4’s, and 1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10 or more points. Tennessee is also 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at Rocky Top coming off a home game, and a depressing 0-5 SUATS against SEC foes coming off a win. To cap it off Florida is 14-2 SU and 14-1-1 ATS in this series when Tennessee is coming off a win of 10 or more.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating; 5 Units

Rodgers has made a living at home in his career with the Packers, going 69-38-4 ATS overall, including 27-12 ATS in division games, as well as 28-9-2 ATS when hosting foes coming off a SUATS win. Green Bay is 20-3 SU and 18-5 ATS in this series since 2011, including 8-0 SUATS when coming off a loss. To clinch it, Green Bay is 9-0 SUATS in regular season games when coming off a loss under head coach Matt LaFleur.

NFC Division Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Tom Brady comes into this one with a 2-7 ATS career mark when taking to the road as a favorite when coming off a road win after beating the spread by double-digits in his last game including six straight losing tickets in his last six tries. Additionally Tampa is 1-6 ATS away in games with double revenge. Consider as well that New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last eight games in this series, and 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS as conference home dogs versus .800 or greater opponents.

Mismatch of the Week

Rating: 4 units

Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS at home in this series and this 6th most experienced team in the nation. Meanwhile, Marshall has struggled on the road when they visit the MAC, going 11-25-1 ATS and 1-5 ATS when coming off a win where they beat a 21 point plus spread. In addition,  double-digit ATS winners that are 2-0 road favorites slip badly the following week, going 3-10 ATS the past five years in game 3’s. Consider as well that playing against any college football favorite who upset Notre Dame in its last game if they beat the spread by 17 or more points in the win is 12-1-1 since 1992.

Inter-Conference Game of the Month

Rating; 5 Units

Coach Bryan Harsin after a rough first season, is 27-7 in his first four games of the season and Auburn is 10-2 ATS as home dogs against undefeated foes. Nittany Lions leader James Franklin is 3-10-1 ATS away vs a team coming off back to back wins. PSU being 2-7 ATS vs. the SEC is another reason we’re going with the Tigers.

NFL Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Bucs are 1-6 ATS as non-division road chalk and 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine games against NFC East foes. Looking to the opposite side of the field we find Dallas at 7-0 ATS in its last seven home dog roles, and 4-0 ATS versus the, NFC South. To cap it off consider that an NFL pick or road favorites who won 13-plus games last season are 19-32-1 ATS in season openers, including 0-4 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 50 or more points.

AFC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

Steeler head coach, Mike Tomlin makes winning division games a priority, going 65-29-1 in his career – including 10-4-1 in first division contests of the season. Additionally, playing against NFL any division road team not favored by 8 or more points in Game One of the season if they lost in the Super Bowl game last season is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1988.

CFB Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Cougars are 15-7 ATS in home openers, including 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points. The host in this series winning and covering the last three matchups, while BYU is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opponents. To clinch it, Baylor is 2-10 ATS in its first away game of the season, including 0-6 ATS when not favored by more than 14 points.

ACC Game of the Week

Rating: 4 Units

With at least four games to come against ranked opponents, last weeks loss deals a major blow to the Eagles’ path back to bowl eligibility under 3rd-year coach Jeff Hafley. A long-term 18-7-1 ATS record as conference road dogs since 2013, including 7-1 ATS when both teams are coming off a loss, plus a series spread mark of 8-3 ATS in the last eleven games (4-1 ATS in the last five) means it's a BC call tonight. To seal the deal consider that beaten bowlers in Game Two who lost their season-opening game as a favorite are 54-72 ATS in these games, and if they happen to be seeking revenge in this contest, they dip to 8-17 SU and 6-19 ATS in these frays – including 2-13 SU and 1-14 ATS if they scored 24 or fewer points in the loss.

Thursday Blowout

Rating: 4 Units

Rams are 5-0 SUATS Game One of the season the last five years, while head coach Sean McVay is 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS during the first three games of the season in his NFL career, including 7-1 SUATS at home. With public support overflowing for the Bills, we consider that fact that defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 ATS as home dogs during the first six games of the season since 1980.

NCAAF Play of the Day

4 Units

Kelly hasn’t exactly been an ATM early in the season, going 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years, and 5-13-2 ATS in the first three games of the year versus foes that won 5 or fewer games the previous season,  including 0-5 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Meanwhile, Norvell is 16-9 SU and 11-7 ATS versus non-conference opponents, including 7-0 ATS the last seven contests, and 7-1 ATS during the first three games of the season.

5* CFB Blowout

The tale of the ATS tape tonight doesn’t strongly favor either side. Ohio State is 34-1 SU in season openers, including 22 wins in a row, and 4-0 SUATS of late in the series (average win 15.5 PPG). The Irish counter with a recent 14-5 SU record versus Big Ten opponents, and in the last 115 games in which ND has tackled the Big Ten, they’ve lost by more than 17 points only 10 times. The bottom line is this many points is simply too much to pass up with a quality team like the Irish. Buckeyes win on the scoreboard, but Notre Dame cashes the ticket.

NCAAF Game of the Week

5 Units

Appalachian State stands 11-1 SU at home under third-year head coach Shawn Clarke, and 32-3 SU on the Mountain since 2016. FYI: the Apps are also 40-11 ITS (In The Stats) the last four years, including 21-3 at home. To seal the deal, consider that Appalachian State is 23-1 SU in regular season games in which they win the stats the past two seasons.

Rating: 4 Unit

NFLX Game of the Week

Saints welcome new head coach Dennis Allen to the team knowing he is 1-4 ATS in his preseason career against NFC North opponents, as well as 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away during the exhibition campaign. With the Saints just 1-5 ATS in Game Two of the preseason and Green Bay 6-0 SUATS in this preseason series the pick is Green Bay.

Rating: 5 Unit

NFLX Game of the Year

Green Bay was sent packing in the 2021 playoffs by a 13-10 home loss to the Niners in the Division Round in a game in which the Cheeseheads held Frisco to a season-low 212 total yards of offense – their fewest in 87 games under Kyle Shanahan – yet were STILL booted from the postseason. In addition, we like the fact that the Pack is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in preseason openers. Given the fact that San Francisco is one of only two teams (Atlanta the other) that will face all three preseason foes that they downed in real games last season, expect the Packers to give the 49ers the boot tonight. Consider that Green Bay is 5-0 SUATS this time of the year against NFC West opposition.

Rating: 10 Unit Tournament Game of the Year

Jayhawks' focus on shot quality more than volume. They're making 40.6 percent of their 3-pointers in the tournament, and on Saturday they matched Villanova's 13 treys while attempting seven fewer (24 to Villanova's 31). The Tar Heels are shooting 36 percent on 3-pointers. Consider that the Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

Rating: 8 Unit Big-12 Tournament Game of the Week

Texas Tech survived a scare against Oklahoma in the semifinals on Friday, pulling out a 56-55 victory. Earlier Friday, Kansas cruised past TCU 75-62. The Red Raiders and Jayhawks split the regular-season series, with each team winning at home. Texas Tech prevailed 75-67 in Lubbock on Jan. 8, while Kansas' 94-91 double-overtime victory in Lawrence on Jan. 24 was one of the best games of the Big 12 season. The rubber match will be for the conference's automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament, though both teams seemingly are locks for top-four seeds. Consider that the Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week

Toronto is 18-12-1 ATS away this season, including 8-0 ATS when coming off consecutive wins (check status). Cleveland coalesces with a 9-20 ATS mark against foes seeking 33-point or larger same-season revenge, including 4-15 ATS when the Cavaliers sport a sub .700 win percentage. With Cleveland’s return to the mean, this becomes the Raptors get-even opportunity. Finally, consider that Toronto is 8-1 ATS with same season revenge of 14-plus points in this series when the Cavs own a sub .690 win percentage, including 0-5 ATS away

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day

Determined to get back on track, and ready for the Big Ten tourney
starting this week, expect an inspired effort from the Wolves today, who’ll use an 11-point home loss suffered to Ohio State three weeks ago as major incentive. For openers, UM is 10-6 ATS in this series when facing the Buckeyes with a lesser record, including 5-0 ATS when coming off a loss. And speaking of Brutus, the Buckeyes aren’t much in Last Home Games, going just 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS the past ten seasons, including 1-4 SUATS versus avenging foes. That being the case, consider that Michigan is 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss under Juwan Howard, including 5-0 SUATS with a greater than .600 win percentage

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Play of the Day

Teams on opposite sides of the Atlantic Coast Conference spectrum end the regular season Saturday when Notre Dame hosts Pitt in South Bend, Ind. The Fighting Irish (21-9, 14-5 ACC) are tied for second place in the league standings and in solid position to make the NCAA Tournament despite a loss to Florida State on Wednesday. The Panthers (11-19, 6-13), meanwhile, have endured a difficult season that has them sitting ahead of only NC State and Georgia Tech in the ACC standings. They have dropped three straight games, including the last two by a combined 51 points.

Rating: 5 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Miami head coach Jim Larranaga brings a 5-10 SUATS career mark into this contest in season-ending finales, including 0-3 SUATS the last three. And for what it’s worth, Boeheim has been in two games when his troops were looking to avenge a same season defeat of one-point exact. They won both contests straight up as underdogs. Finally, Syracuse is 13-5 SUATS in Last Home Games, including 6-0 SUATS when playing with three or more days of rest, by an average win margin of 23 PPG.

Rating: 5 Unit SEC Game of the Week

The Bulldogs have done their best work in Starkville this season where they stand 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS, including 6-1 SUATS in conference play. While Auburn has lingered near or at the top of the rankings this season, they are beginning to show signs of wear, going just 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six contests at press time, while the visiting team is only 6-19-1 ATS in Tiger tiffs this season. Given Mississippi State head coach Ben Howland’s 50-32-2 ATS career mark at home when seeking revenge, including 18-11-1 ATS when taking points, along with his 15-5 SUATS record in LHG’s – including 14-2 SUATS in games in which his troops possess a .482 or better win percentage. Finally to clinch it,  Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS as a dog in Last Home Games since 1993.

Rating; 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day?

Consider that the Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. While the Seminoles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win, and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Rating: 5 Unit NBA Game of the Week

The Sixers enter tonight’s fracas with a double-revenge chip on their shoulder from this season, as they are 55-33 ATS away long-term against the league in this role, including 20-11 ATS against losing squads. Given the candy apples’ 7-15 ATS mark when facing division foes playing with identical same-season double revenge – and Philadelphia’s 14-1 SU record the last 15 games in this series in which the Sixers own the better record.  To cap it off, the Philadelphia 76ers are 33-0 ATS in SU away victories in which they are seeking revenge for a pair of same-season losses.