All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
04-09-24 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Phoenix will be anxious to avenge a 138-111 beatdown at L.A. in January, knowing they are 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS in games when avenging a loss of 25-plus points. That’s not good news for a group of paper clips who stand 5-12 ATS against foes with same season revenge on their minds from a loss of 20-plus points, including 0-5 ATS in the last five games – not to mention that Phoenix Suns are 12-2 ATS in Last Home Games they win outright, including 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Finally, Phoenix is 5-1 SUATS in this series when looking to avenge a same-season loss of 25-plus points, including 5-0 SUATS when the Clippers sport a winning record. |
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04-02-24 | Rockets +8 v. Wolves | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Houston stood 7-2 ATS when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 20-plus points (lost 111-90 here two months ago, and 122-95 at home during the first week of January). Minnesota also takes the court off a pair of weekenders, currently owning a 0-2 SUATS mark in this series when playing with a greater than .590 win percentage. The Timberwolves are wedged into a tight one here, coming off same-season revengers against the Bulls and Nuggets, with more get-even games on deck with the Raptors (4-14 SU and 6-11 ATS before Toronto) and the Suns. Since March rolled around, Houston was 12-1 SUATS in their last thirteen games. Finally, playing on any .500-plus conference road team with same season double-revenge from a loss, the last by 20-plus points, if they are facing a greater than .666 foe is 15-3 ATS. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Tournament Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units UConn is destroying their competition, as they won by 39 over Stetson, 17 over Northwestern, and 30 over San Diego State. Their backcourt carried them in the Sweet 16, as they got 18 points from Cam Spencer, and 17 points from Tristen Newton in the win. Newton was a First Team All-American this season and led the team with 15.3 PPG and 6.1 APG as a 6'5 senior guard. He has scored 13 or more in each of the three tournament games, with a high of 20 coming against Northwestern. Spencer is their outside shooter, he is a 6'4 senior guard averaging 14.5 PPG and has knocked down 94 threes on the season on a red-hot 44.1% shooting from deep. Their big man inside is 7'2, 280-pound sophomore Donovan Clingan, he averages 12.6 PPG and 7.4 RPG on the inside. Alex Karaban is another member of the sophomore class, the 6'8 forward can shoot from the outside and adds 13.6 PPG and 5.0 RPG. Stephon Castle is a 6'6 freshman guard getting 10.9 PPG, he had 16 in the win over San Diego State. UConn is currently ranked 1st overall in KenPom. They have the top overall offense in the nation in terms of efficiency and rank 6th in defensive efficiency. They play much slower than the Illini, ranking 319th in the nation in pace of play. UConn is 25-11 ATS as favorite and 16-4 road/neutral |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units After a rocky 5-4 start, UNC went on a 10-3 run before the wheels fell off in a 4-5 February. With a puny 20-13 record following a 2nd round exit in the ACC Tournament, the Heels FAILED to make the Big Dance. Even worse, they decided to take their ball and go back to Chapel Hill, spurning the NIT to stew in private over one of the university’s biggest sports embarrassments. Fast forward to now, where the return of Armando Bacot and R.J. Davis took UNC from the pit of despair to a No. 1 seed in this year’s Big Dance. The Westgate SuperBook, however, did not offer as much respect as the Selection Committee when they gave the Tar Heels longer odds of winning it all than No. 2 Arizona. The good news for the Tide is they tickle the twine more than any team in the nation, averaging 90.7 points per game. The bad news is they get ripped for 80.9 PPG on defense, by far the worst of any Sweet 16 team. They also don’t have much positive history in this event, going one-and done in their last two trips to the NCAA tourney, and just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in this tournament versus No. 1 and No. 2 seeds. Meanwhile, Hubert’s Heels are 33-5 SU and 26-12 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points against SEC opposition while Bama is just 1-6 ATS as a dog of 2 or more points this season. North Carolina is on a 10-1 winning run heading into this slugfest! Finally, UNC is on a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS run in its last eight contests in The Big Dance – all since Hubert Davis took the reins three years ago |
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03-21-24 | McNeese State +6.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 65-86 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 29 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units McNeese is led by second-year head coach Will Wade, who previously took LSU and VCU to the NCAA Tournament and will lead McNeese to its first tournament appearance since 2002. His troops dominate the NCAA statistics, ranking No. 1 in Win Margin, No. 3 in both Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Turnover Margin, No. 5 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 10 in Offensive Field Goal Percentage. Needless to say, that’s quite a laundry list. Meanwhile, after a lethargic 11-5 start to the season, the Zags closed like a racehorse, but it was too late when they fell to Saint Mary’s in the West Coast Conference title game. With it, they ride a 1-8 ATS overall mark in their last nine games into this tourney contest. That’s not promising news against a 12-seed that can flat-out play, a double-conference champion taking points from a foe that was neither. Finally, McNeese head coach Wade is 3-0 ATS as a No. 8 or lower seed in the NCAA tournament versus .800 or fewer opponents |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Celtics were riding high at 29-8 on the season. They had just come off a same-season revenge victory at home against Minnesota the night before and immediately hit the road for a back-to-backer versus Milwaukee. The Bucks stormed out to a 41-23 lead after the first quarter and never looked back, going on a 25-0 run before the white flag was raised and the starters were benched, taking a 75-38 lead into the half, the largest lead in franchise history. When it was over, Boston’s hide was thoroughly tanned after a 135-102 beating. The payback tips at 7:40 in Beantown tonight, and for what it’s worth, Boston is 3-0 ATS in this series when avenging a same-season defeat of 25 or more points, with every win by double-digits. They are also 16-5-1 ATS the last twenty-two games in this series, including 7-1-1 ATS when coming off a home contest. The Bucks are just 1-7-1 ATS as a dog against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30-plus points; and finally playing on any .545 or greater NBA team seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 33 points if they are facing a .545 or greater foe is 16-2 ATS. |
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03-13-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Cleveland was 7-4-1 ATS this season as a road pick-or dog. The Cavs saw a three-game series win skein snapped in a 123-104 home loss to New Orleans in late December. Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Pelicans arrive off an 18-point same-season avenger against Atlanta with another same-season revenge contest on tap against the Clippers. Finally, New Orleans is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in non-conference games after facing Atlanta |
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03-10-24 | 76ers +7 v. Knicks | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The fact that the Sixers were nicked 110-96, at home three weeks ago, gets their attention, especially given the fact that Philly is 10-4 ATS of late with same season revenge from a double-digit loss, including 4-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. New York is 0-6 ATS at home since February when hosting avenging foes. Finally, Philadelphia is 12-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, including 6-0 ATS away. |
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03-10-24 | SMU v. UAB -1.5 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units UAB will be gunning to join SMU in the 20-win club, which would be a major accomplishment for head coach Andy Kennedy considering they welcomed zero returning starters this campaign. The Blazers are 13-2 ATS as either a dog or a favorite of fewer than 4 points this season. Battling tough opposition is no problem either, as the fi re-breathers are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS versus winning opposition this season. Finally, UAB is 9-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games. |
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03-09-24 | Connecticut v. Providence +10 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The timing is right with UConn hitting the road off a No. 1 seed-clinching home win over Marquette, especially since they own a dismal 0-5 ATS record in the Last Game of the Season versus .600 or greater foes. Not so for Providence, who is 11-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 4-1 SUATS the last five contests. The Friars have been a strong underdog this season, going 9-3 ATS, including 3-0 ATS at home, and they just so happen to own a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark as a dog of more than 1-point in Last Home Games. With Providence primed to get even with the Huskies for a 9-point loss on the last day of January, finally Providence is 10-1 SUATS as a home dog since 2021, including 4-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge |
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03-07-24 | Raptors v. Suns -10 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Raptors enter off a same-season revenge rumble at New Orleans while standing 6-12 SUATS in post-Pelican performances, including 0-5 ATS when Toronto owns a sub .540 win percentage. Making matters worse for the dinosaurs, they have another same-season get-even affair on deck against Portland, knowing they are 1-6 SUATS in games before the Blazers’ battles. We sign off, though, with Finally, Phoenix is 7-1 ATS with same-season revenge in this series, including 5-0 ATS in games in which Toronto owns a sub .700 win percentage. |
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03-05-24 | Kansas State v. Kansas -11 | Top | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Kansas stands 31-1 SU and 17-11 ATS at home off a previous home loss by an average win margin of 20.1 PPG, including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with same-season revenge. The No. 7 Jayhawks have the weapons to do the job again tonight, ranking No. 4 in the land in Offensive Field Goal Percentage, just a bit under 50%. That fits just right with Kansas State’s 2-5 ATS record versus revenge-seeking foes this season (Kansas lost to K-State by 5 points in early February). Consider that Kansas State is 1-14 SUATS in its series against Kansas when the Jayhawks sport a sub .770 win percentage. Finally, Kansas is 5-0 SUATS in this series when seeking revenge from a same-season loss, by an average win margin of more than 15 PPG |
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03-05-24 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The young Cavs were on a major roll at the All-Star break, claiming 18 wins in over 20 games. The Break did them no good, though, as the momentum was chilled, and they dropped 3 of 5 games heading into Friday night’s visit to Motown. However, their best achievement this season has been a super sturdy 10-7 SUATS mark in games against quality opposition (.589 or greater foes), including 7-3 at home. To top it off, they will carry a same-season double revenge chip on their shoulder into tonight’s contest. Meanwhile, the Celts arrive off a same-season revenge tussle with the Warriors, bringing a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS log in this role into this affair. And be sure to check this line, as Boston has proved to be a bust when laying points after Golden State gatherings, just 10-25-1 ATS overall since 1990. To top it off, the Beantown bunch is staring dead ahead to another same-season revenger with Denver on tap. Finally, Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge. |
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03-02-24 | Michigan State +10.5 v. Purdue | Top | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units As we’ve alluded to previously, MSU was ranked No. 4 in the AP Preseason Top 25 poll, its highest ranking since 2020. And at 17-11 and residing in sixth place in the Big Ten entering this contest, they’ve certainly underperformed this campaign. That makes them a dangerous ‘Bubble Team’ here, playing with a double revenge chip on their shoulder from a pair of losses laid on them by the Boilermakers last season. No doubt that Purdue is one of the nation’s most talented teams and that head coach Matt Painter’s troops want to make amends for last year’s embarrassing first-round exit in the NCAA Tournament, but the Boilers are just 0-3 SUATS in this series when MSU is seeking double revenge from the previous season. Purdue has not performed well this year against avenging Big Ten foes coming off a loss, going just 3-6 ATS, and the Boilermakers might be looking ahead to Tuesday night’s huge road trip to Illinois. Finally, playing on the Michigan State Spartans from Game 20 out if they're coming off an ATS loss of 9 or more points and are seeking revenge in a conference game is 13-1 ATS. |
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02-28-24 | Kings v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 96-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The defending champs hold the triple revenge card this evening. They are 7-2 ATS in their last nine same-season triple revenge contests, as well as 10-3 ATS as a home favorite with a similar revenge motive. Sacramento supports that position going 10-18 SUATS away in the series in games in which Denver is looking to get even from an earlier loss. Finally, the Nuggets are 15-2 SU and 12-5 ATS as a host in this series when seeking same-season revenge, including 6-0 SUATS when the Kings own a .570 or greater win percentage. |
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02-25-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors +1.5 | Top | 119-103 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Denver has tripped up the Warriors in all three meetings. The fact that Kerr brings a healthy 5-2 SUATS career mark in this role into this contest helps to set the stage for a major payback. Meanwhile, the Nuggets enter 0-3 ATS in this series the last three times they tripped up the Warriors three straight times in the same season. The fact that Denver has a same-season triple-revenge affair of their own up next against Sacramento just about seals the deal. Was we consider that Golden State is a long-term 24-10 ATS when seeking same-season triple revenge, including 16-2 ATS with a greater than .390 win percentage when facing a .545 or greater foe. |
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02-25-24 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 60-57 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units This is Tom Izzo’s time of the season and with his troops sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble, it’s important to remember that last year Izzo became the first men's basketball head coach in history to lead his team to 25 straight NCAA Tournament appearances. Just days before that record-setting appearance was confirmed, though, the Spartans were bounced, 68-58, in the first round of the Big Ten tourney by the Buckeyes last season, so you know exactly where their focus will be today. After edging Rutgers in the conference opener in January, the Buckeyes have been falling faster than the autumn leaves, going just 3-8 outright since – one of the reasons former head coach Chris Holtmann was issued a pink slip. Even worse for OSU today, the Buckeyes are 2-12 SU and 4-10 ATS in this series with a sub .580 win percentage, including 0-3 SUATS when Sparty is coming off a loss. After suffering a costly home loss to Iowa last Tuesday, we look for Izzo to rally his troops again. Finally, playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo at home with 3+ days of rest from Game 20 out in a conference game when seeking revenge against a sub .714 opponent. is 18-0 SU and 15-2-1 ATS. |
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02-24-24 | Texas v. Kansas -8 | Top | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Self stands 57-8 SU and 44-20-1 ATS with conference loss revenge, including 25-2 SU and 2-5 ATS versus .666 or fewer foes, and Kansas is 6-1-1 ATS in this series with a revenge chip on their shoulder, including 3-0 SUATS at home by an average win margin of 21 points per game. Enter Texas, who has seen an 11-2 season start head south after going only 6-7 since conference play began in January, including 1-5 SUATS when coming off a win. The 19-7 Longhorns did manage to bounce back from a 21-point rout by Houston to edge Kansas State on Monday, 62-56, but it was not enough to keep Bevo from falling out of this week’s AP poll. Texas is a poor 10-24 ATS in outright losses as a road dog against revenge-seeking opponents. Finally, Kansas is 6-0 SUATS playing with LTKO (League Tournament Knock Out) revenge when facing a sub .740 foe. |
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02-23-24 | Raptors +7 v. Hawks | Top | 123-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Toronto takes the court with a same-season double revenge chip on its shoulder, including a one-point nip-job here in a 126-125 loss when the Hawks scored on a put-back with one second remaining in the game. Furthermore, they will enter the fray sporting an 8-1 ATS mark in this series as an avenging visitor. On the other side of the court sits the Hawks, a team that has struggled mightily this season in home games, including a jaw-dropping 1-15 ATS record in division contests. Atlanta is an anemic 1-5 SUATS against sub. 600 foes in games in which the Hawks are playing with a week off in between games. Finally, playing against any NBA team during the regular season with 7 or more days of rest when facing an unrested opponent is 10-1-1 ATS. |
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02-22-24 | Knicks v. 76ers | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units 76ers figure to be anxious to avenge their worst loss of the season, a 128-92 thumping on this floor in early January. With it, they bring a sterling 7-1 ATS ledger into this game when sporting same-season revenge from a loss of 13 or more points this campaign. They’ve also beat New York like a drum of late, going 20-7 SU and 16-10-1 ATS in the last seven seasons. On the flip side, the Knickerbockers are just 3-9 SU and 3-8-1 ATS against well-rested foes that are playing with 7-plus days of rest. With New York riding a rocky 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS mark heading into the All-Star break, it’s time to seal this deal with the fact that Philadelphia is 109-14-1 ATS in division games it wins outright when playing with same-season loss revenge, including 73-6 ATS when coming off a loss. |
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02-21-24 | Duke v. Miami-FL +5.5 | Top | 84-55 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units It’s been a disappointing season for the 15-10 Hurricanes, who were ranked No. 13 in the AP preseason after losing to UConn in last season’s NCAA Final Four. Jim Larranaga’s troops started this campaign 11-2 before hitting a bumpy road that saw them sitting in 11th place in the ACC at press time, no thanks to three losses in their previous five home games. Couple that with a loss as a No. 1 seed to the Devils in the semifinals of last year’s ACC tourney, one that snapped a five-game ATS winning streak by the ‘U’ in this series, and we expect Larranaga to improve on his 10-3-1 ATS career mark in LTKO revenge affairs, including 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in games in which his troops sport a greater than .600 win percentage. With Duke just 11-24-1 ATS in games after skirmishes with the Seminoles, and Miami 15-6-1 ATS with conference loss revenge, including 10-1 ATS as a dog, we are on the Canes. |
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02-17-24 | Texas A&M +8.5 v. Alabama | Top | 75-100 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Texas A&M’s 5-0 start to the season has withered to a 10-9 follow-up and with it the Aggies find themselves knocking on the Bubble. Worse, they enter off an embarrassing loss at Vanderbilt as 8.5-point chalk. However, with 4 starters back from last season’s 25-win unit, the talent is there, and all head coach Buzz Williams needs to do is stick to the script as he is 35-21-1 ATS as a visitor with the Aggies, including 19-5-1 ATS when coming off a loss. Despite a comfortable 109-92 win over LSU in their last contest, Alabama stands just 23-25 SU and 15-30-2 ATS after facing the Tigers. The Aggies are currently stuck smack in the middle of the SEC standings at 6-5 but with Tammy owning the No. 8 spot nationally in Rebound Margin, we’ll call for the outright upset. Finally, Texas A&M is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS with SEC tourney revenge from the previous season, versus sub .750 opponents, including 5-0 SUATS when the Aggies own a greater than .600 win percentage |
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02-14-24 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +8.5 | Top | 92-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Tennessee has had their share of troubles in this series of late, going 1-4 SU the last five and 2-6 ATS the last eight away. If that’s not troubling enough, Tennessee owns a dreadful 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS record away from Knoxville versus an SEC foe with revenge. These two met just once last season, with the Razorbacks getting roasted by 17 points, and the Hogs are a money-making 11-6-1 ATS as home dogs when playing with the ‘R’ word. Finally, Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS at home with revenge with Arkansas, including 10-0 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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02-14-24 | Knicks +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units New York is 4-1 ATS away in its last five road games with same-season double revenge. They are also an eye-popping 55-1 ATS in their last fifty-six road wins, including 41-0 ATS in the last 41 games (18-0 ATS as a favorite). Whew. Toss in Orlando’s 2-23-1 ATS ledger in its last twenty-six home defeats (2-13-1 ATS as a dog). Finally, the Knicks are 4-0 SUATS in this series with same-season double revenge by an average win margin of 16 PPG |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The primary difference between these two squads has been their performance in conference play this season where Philly stands 19-11 SU and 18-10 ATS overall, while the southbound and down birds are 13-20 SU and 7-26 ATS (more below). The 76ers were 5-0 SUATS in this series until Atlanta pulled the rug out on them in a 139-132 loss a month ago. Inside this series, Philadelphia is 4-0 SUATS with same-season revenge from a loss of 4 or more points. With the Hawks arriving off a get even rematch at Boston and a puny 3-15 ATS in Celtics follow ups versus avenging opposition. Finally, Atlanta is 0-8 ATS this season versus .400 or greater foes with same-season revenge |
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02-06-24 | Dayton v. St. Joe's +2 | Top | 94-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units while the Hawks may not be the powerful basketball presence of years gone by (last winning season was in 2015-16), they are 10-5 ATS at home in this series, including 7-2 ATS when seeking revenge. Head coach Billy Lange chips in with a 9-4 ATS record with the Hawks versus .800 or greater foes, including 4-1 ATS with the revenge chip. The fact of the matter is the Flyers have bigger fish to fry on Friday when they visit VCU with LTKO revenge on the their minds, and Dayton is a feeble 2-6 SUATS in its last eight A-10 contests against avenging conference foes. The bottom line is St. Joe’s has won 10 of its 12 games SU at Hagan Arena this season. Finally St. Joseph’s is 9-1 ATS in this series when seeking revenge, including 6-0 ATS at home. |
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02-03-24 | Lakers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Lakers will be looking to even the score against New York from a five point home loss as five-point home chalk back in December, knowing they are riding an 8-1 ATS streak as non-conference dogs in same-season revenge. The Knicks are 0-8 ATS as a home favorite coming off a same-season revenge win over the Pacers. Finally, playing on LeBron James when his team’s win-loss is .500 is 8-1 ATS. |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Mississippi State is playing with revenge from an 8-point home loss this season, and a pair of setbacks last season – including an LTKO defeat. That should find the five-returning starter Bulldogs chomping at the bit for payback today and we won’t have to worry about a letdown following their in-state rivalry battle with Ole Miss as MSU is often in a celebratory frame of mind after taking on the Rebs (27-14-1 ATS the last 20 years, including 18-7-1 ATS as a dog). The Tide is also one leg up on 6-2 Auburn, who waits on deck, and Bama’s lackluster 2-4 ATS mark in games before Aubbie adds to the Crimson woes here. Finally, MSU is 15-10 ATS versus greater than .666 foes with head coach Chris Jans, including 7-0 ATS during the regular season when the Bulldogs sport a sub .700 win percentage. |
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01-27-24 | Kansas v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units If you’ve been an ISU backer this season, you probably think there’s a printing press in Hilton Coliseum that cranks out the bucks after a home game as the Cyclones are 12-2 ATS on this floor. They’ll also be looking to square things up from a loss to KU in the semifinals of the Big 12 tournament last season. No. 7 Kansas is loaded with talent like most Jayhawks squads under head coach Bill Self, but they’ve had two uncharacteristic stumbles of late, losing on the road to UCF and West Virginia. That’s music to our ears considering the Jayhawks have not dominated this series, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-5 ATS when ISU sports a .777 or greater win percentage. The Cyclones have performed well taking points at home, going 5-1 ATS the last half dozen games and will look to lean on their 4-0 ATS success at home with conference tourney revenge against .800 or greater opponents. Finally, Iowa State head coach T.J. Otzelberger is 9-1 ATS at home with the Cyclones as either a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points, including 7-0 ATS with a win percentage of .777 or greater. . |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State +3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Spartans fell 70-57 as a -5.5-point home favorite to the Badgers in an earlier meeting back on December 5. What would make this win even sweeter for Izzo is the fact that Wisconsin will still be sitting atop the Big Ten should they defeat Indiana and Minnesota before facing Sparty, so knocking off the conference leader would look really good for a Michigan State squad that struggled to a 4-5 start to the season. The Badgers have not fared well in this series recently, going 8-17 SU and 9-16 ATS, including 1-7 ATS as a favorite. Finally, playing on Michigan State from Game 20 out when they are seeking conference revenge with 3 or more days of rest is 34-12-1. |
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01-23-24 | Lakers v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units When James Harden joined the Clippers in November, Erik Spoelstra said he didn’t know exactly how Harden would fit alongside Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and Russell Westbrook, but had faith Lue would find a way. And he has. As a result, they are now the T-Lue Clippers, currently resting a game behind the Denver Nuggets for the third sport in the Western Conference playoff chase. Despite dropping the last two games in the series to King James and company, the Clips bring an 11-3 SUATS overall mark in Lakers showdowns the past four seasons. Finally, the Clippers are 9-0 ATS at home in this series when taking the court with same-season double revenge. |
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01-22-24 | Cavs -105 v. Magic | Top | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Following a lethargic 13-11 SU and 10-13-1 ATS start to the season, Cleveland has rebounded and will carry an 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS mark into Orlando, where they will look to extract a healthy measure of revenge from a 10-point loss in Orlando when they last met in mid- December. They bring the league’s No. 2 Scoring Defense and No. 5 Defensive Field Goal Percentage into this fray; knowing they catch the Magic off a double revenger from the night before on the same floor against Miami. On the other side of the court, the Magic bring a measly 1-4 SUATS record in the game as an unrested host coming off a home contest. Finally, Cleveland is 6-1 SUATS this season in games with same-season revenge this season, including 5-0 SUATS versus sub .770 foes |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 39 m | Show |
Divisional Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Interestingly, of the eight teams arriving in this round of the playoffs, four of them rank in the Top 10 in both offense and defense. The Bills and the Chiefs are two of them. It’s our educated guess that two of the four defensively staunch squads will be meeting in Super Bowl LVIII, with the Chiefs looking to repeat. Patrick Mahomes is 2-0 in the postseason against Josh Allen – both wins coming at Arrowhead – but this will mark the first road playoff game in his career. So, how will he and the Chiefs respond against the hottest team in the league? That’s the question. What we know for sure is the Mahomes is also 11-1 ATS in his NFL career as an underdog, winning eight of the games outright. Head coach Andy Reid has a 7-4 ATS career mark as a playoff dog, and a 9-4 SUATS career mark in postseason games between the 3s (+3 to -3). The points are tempting for a team that owns the best ‘In the Stats’ record (13-4) at this stage of the playoffs. |
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01-20-24 | College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington -140 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Cougars dropped the hammer on Wilmington three times last season, including a win in the CAA title game. Charleston was tripped up as double-digit chalk on Thursday night against Towson, and the Cougars are a weak 3-8 ATS coming off SU favorite loss, including 0-3 ATS this season when coming off a SU favorite loss. Considering that the Seahawks have not lost on their home court this campaign, we look at the fact that UNCW is 19-4 ATS in this series, including 14-1 ATS when they sport a sub .750 win percentage. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
Wild Card Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Ironically, the only career road playoff game for QB Jalen Hurts was two years ago in a loss to Tampa Bay, where the Eagles return to the scene of the crime. In his career playoff starts, Hurts owns a 2-2 record, with 4 passing touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and an 84.7 passer rating. Lately, though, he’s been a similar mess with an 82.9 QB Rating the past four games while tossing 4 TDs and 5 INTS. And that’s critical, considering that the average turnover during the regular season is worth 4.3 points. In the playoffs, it jumps to 4.7 points. On the flip side, Baker Mayfield’s career was on life support in 2022 before his bounce-back season with the Bucs. The former No. 1 pick struggled down the stretch, but he had his best statistical season to help Tampa Bay claim the NFC South title for a third straight year. Given the success of home dogs in the Wild Card round and the fact that playing on any NFL home dog in the Wild Card Round if they are playing with same-season revenge is 9-1 ATS, so we’ll take whatever they offer up |
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01-07-24 | Rams +4 v. 49ers | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Rams will be handing the ball to Carson Wentz, who at first glance is just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in his last ten starts. But he is also 7-5 SUATS in his career with teams riding a three game win streak, including 3-0 SUATS in division games. The Rams are 9-0 ATS as a division road dog, as well as 5-1 ATS in its last six division road contests. Flipping the script, the Niners enter with nothing to gain as they have the No. 1 seed throughout the NFC playoffs and figure to be resting starters for an extended period of time, with star RB Christian McCaffrey and QB Brock Purdy already nailed to the pines and QB Sam Darnold slated to start. Finally, playing on any NFL .500 or greater division road dog with triple revenge is 48-24-2 ATS since 1981 Better yet, bring them in off a win and they improve to 35-13-2, while going 19-5-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins, including 12-1 ATS since 1998. |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Baltimore is 6-2 outright against the eight teams seeded No. 1-7 in the current NFL playoff picture, winning the games with a +125-point differential. In fact, their only two losses were by 2 points against Cleveland and 3 points in an overtime loss to Indianapolis. The Steelers can make the playoffs with a win today and a loss by either Buffalo or Jacksonville, along with four other Wild Card possibilities. However, Baltimore’s 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS ledger at home in games coming off a win of 35-plus points – including 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS versus sub .600 foes – Finally, Baltimore is 12-3 SU and 13-1-1 ATS as a home dog in this series when the Steelers sport a winning record. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty +17.5 v. Oregon | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -115 | 145 h 29 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units Liberty has averaged out-yarding teams +166 per game, and while we admit Oregon is a leap above in class for LU, the Flames are also 6-0 ATS vs foes coming off a SUATS loss as a favorite and a healthy 17-4 ATS off a win when facing a .500 or better opponent. Pac 12 Bowling Teams are 6-21 SU and 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. Liberty Coach Jamey Chadwell brought his winning ways from Coastal Carolina, he’s 44-11 SU when his team has the better record, including 12-0 at Liberty. Not sold yet on the former conference and national title contender being unable to cover? Then consider that Pac-12 teams are 2-13 SU and 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss with the only outright wins by 1 and 2 points. |
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12-31-23 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | Top | 19-56 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 1 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Baltimore is just 7-7 SU and 4-10 ATS laying points in its last 14 games when coming off a win as an underdog – including 1-9 ATS against foes with at least one win on the season and 0-8 ATS as a favorite of three or more points. That fits like a glove for the Dolphins and their 16-4 ATS mark as a non-division road dog of 5 or fewer points. With Miami 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a favorite, we’ll be on the take today. Finally, Baltimore is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite behind Lamar Jackson when coming off a SU underdog win. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Cowboys currently sit one game behind both the Eagles and Lions and are looking to crash the party. They are also riding a 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS run at Jerry’s World, including a 5-0 ATS log when coming off a loss. Detroit enters 1-5 ATS away when coming off an away game, while the ‘Boys are 5-1 ATS against the NFC North. Better yet, the Cowboys are 12-6 ATS since 1990 at home in Last Home Games against foes coming off a win, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS with a .600 or greater win percentage. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 SUATS as a favorite in games when coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -125 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units While Miami is currently the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoff Picture, they can claim the top-seed should it win out - and it would certainly deserve so, having to go up against the likes of the Cowboys here, and the Ravens and Bills to conclude the campaign. Fortunately, they are 9-2 SUATS at home coming off a home game as a favorite after dressing up as a favorite the previous game, including 6-0 ATS when not favored by seven or more points. Meanwhile, Dallas has a -4 point differential on the road in 2023 (14th in the NFL) while leading the league with a +171 point differential at home in 2023 – and that’s with a 40-point road win in its season opener at the Giants. Finally, NFL home favorites coming off a home shutout win are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 2000 against an opponent coming off an away game, including 7-0 SUATS if they sport a sub .750 win percentage |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Both the Texans and Colts have tiebreakers over Pittsburgh, after beating the Steelers earlier this season. This means that the Steelers will have to finish with a better record than both squads – which means winning out is mandatory for Tomlin’s troops. Tomlin can also lean on his 11-7 SU mark in games against .550 or greater foes in which Pittsburgh is riding a 3-game losing streak, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games in the Steel City. Meanwhile, the Bengals lug a 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS mark in Saturday road games into the fray, including 0-5 SUATS against foes coming off back-to-back losses – which ties nicely into the Steelers’ 4-0 SUATS ledger as a host on regular season Saturdays. And finally, Pittsburgh head coach Tomlin is 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home in games when the Steelers sport a .500 exact win percentage, including 4-0 SUATS as a dog |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -124 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units QB Josh Allen is 15-2 SU in his last seventeen regular season games the past two years. The Bills are on a major 33-1 winning run in games in which they win the turnover battle – with the only loss coming in overtime at Philadelphia this season. And you can toss in Dallas’ 0-4 SUATS in its last four games as a road dog. Finally, Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS against NFC East opponents coming off back-to-back wins. |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Niners are off a fifth consecutive win following the Bye with a potential Super Bowl pairing up next week when they host the rugged Ravens. They enter 0-4 ATS as double-digit road chalk since 2012 and 7-12 SUATS of late in this series. Meanwhile, the Niners are also 0-6 ATS as a favorite in this series when Arizona sports a sub .250-win percentage. Finally, Arizona is 8-1 ATS as a home dog of +9 or more points when hosting .750 or greater opponents. |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Miami has the look of a dog that you like to see, going 64-44-2 ATS when taking points under head coach Chuck Martin, including 8-2 ATS when playing with rest, and 4-0 ATS in bowl games. Both teams closed strong down the stretch with the RedHawks riding a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS finish while Appalachian State went 5-0 U and 4-1 ATS before suffering a 49-23 loss to Troy in the Sun Belt Championship game. However, Miami won the MAC title against Toledo, getting revenge against a Rockets team that handed the ‘Hawks one of their two losses this campaign. Although they have had their way against the MAC since joining the FBS, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, the Mountaineers have struggled laying points of late and it looks like they are laying them to the wrong foe at the wrong time, as evidenced by their 7-13 SU and 8-12 ATS mark versus .846 or greater opposition, including 2-8 ATS as chalk. ASU is also staring down the barrel of a 2-6 SU and 0-7-1 ATS disaster in its last eight tries as chalk versus a foe with a better record. A call to FEMA could be in order when we get a look at Miami’s superior stats: 6-0 ATS in bowl games since 2019, 10-1 ATS as a dog after being a dog, and 4-1 ATS as pups this season with three wins coming outright. We love bowl dogs who won a conference championship game when taking on non-champions, especially when the opponent’s defense gets ripped for 5.1 Yards Per Rush. And considering the last four Cure Bowl favs went 0-4 ATS. Finally Miami head coach Chuck Martin is 6-0 ATS as a dog on a neutral field. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 39 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Philadelphia isn’t currently scheduled to face another squad with a winning record for the remainder of the regular season. That should be good news considering the fact the Eagles are 9-4 SUATS in this series in games in which they own a .750 or greater win percentage, including 5-0 ATS when Dallas enters off a win. Take the points with the better team coming off an embarrassing loss, and if you’re uncomfortable, consider that the Eagles are 16-6 SU and 14-7-1 ATS versus winning foes during the regular season behind QB Jalen Hurts, including 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS the last fifteen games |
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12-10-23 | Seahawks +11 v. 49ers | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Conference Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Seahawks bring artillery of their own into this battle with a jaw-dropping 24-8 SU and 25-6-1 ATS mark in games when coming off consecutive losses as a dog, including 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a win of 7 or more points. They are also 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in this series before Game Fourteen of the season, including 7-0 ATS when the Niners enter off a SUATS win. However, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 9-1 SUATS in his career when coming off three losses, including 5-0 SUATS with the Seahawks, as well as 8-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win. |
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12-09-23 | BYU -160 v. Utah | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units The Cougars have won eight straight games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. Their ball movement has been very good and they also very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over a lot and won’t give the Utes a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Utes have played well defensively at home, but they struggled in recent games and gave up more than 80 points in two of their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Cougars in this game. The Utes have won three straight games. They are also playing well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game at home. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Cougars, so don’t expect them to get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. The Cougars force a lot of turnovers and they’re playing well defensively, holding opponents under 60 points per game, so expect them to keep Utah’s offense in check. Go with BYU to cover the spread. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 45 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Kansas City totes an unacceptably weak rush defense into Lambeau that surrenders 4.6 Yards Per Rush. The Chiefs are also 2-9 ATS when coming off one win, including 1-5 ATS away. In addition, the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS versus .800 or fewer foes. Toss in QB Jordan Love’s 3-0 SUATS career mark at home against non-conference opposition, and finally Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win. |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +10 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 45 m | Show |
PAC-12 Championship Best Bet Rating: 4 Units Ironically, the Huskies are the first – and only – undefeated team to land a berth in the Pac-12 championship game. While QB Michael Penix Jr. gets the lion’s share of media attention, we’d like to heap some praise on second year Washington head coach Kalen DeBoer. Not only is he 23-2 SU since taking the job in Seattle, DeBoer is 15-1 SU with the Huskies when they own a better record than their opponent, including 13-0 the last 13 games. He also fits right into tonight’s role, going 6-1 ATS in his career as an underdog, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog with the Huskies. The Ducks may have cashed more tickets in this series of late, going 14-4-1 ATS, but they’re just 3-8 SU with revenge when Washington sports a .875 or greater win percentage. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
Thursday Night Game of the Month Rating: 4 Units Dallas looks to close the gap on the Lions, 49ers, and Eagles in the NFC Playoff Picture. For all of their success, though, there is a tax that must be paid, and tonight it comes as an inflated 9-point favorite. It’s more than they laid here to the Jets and 3-points more than what they were favored by here against New England. Topping it off, they have a same-season revenge rematch on tap with the Eagles. Pete Carroll’s crew enters this affair 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four games in this series. Carroll is also 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS in Game Twelve of the season, including 8-0 ATS as a single-digit dog. With those boxes checked we wrap it up with the fact that Seattle is 14-1 ATS when coming off consecutive losses as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS in the last ten games |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating; 5 Units If the NFL playoffs were to begin this week, Philly would own the No. 1 seed in the NFC. However, due to its recent funk, Buffalo would be on the outside looking in as the No. 8 seed in the AFC. Remember, though, the Bills are one of only five NFL teams that rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense this season – the Eagles do not. We top it off with the fact that Buffalo is 5-0 SUATS the last ten years against foes coming off a Monday Night game. Finally, playing against any NFL home team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game is 6-0 ATS. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals +2.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Biggest Achilles without Joe Brr is the Bengals’ pitiable ground game which ranks last in Rush Attempts Per Game and No. 30 in overall rushing. Still, the bottom line is Pittsburgh is still 0-10 ‘In the Stats’ this season, and you won’t find us laying points with them any time soon. Not with the Bengals 5-0-2 ATS when coming off two losses, including 4-0 outright in the last four games. While this appears a strange “Best Bet” consider that the Bengals head coach Zac Taylor is 12-3 ATS as a dog against an opponent the Bengals defeated in their most recent meeting, including 12-1 ATS as a dog of more than one-point |
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11-25-23 | California +9.5 v. UCLA | Top | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 60 h 7 m | Show |
PAC-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bruins are just 6-14 ATS when playing against revenge in this series and are a miserable 3-7 SU and 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. Add to that a 2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in LHGs and we put up the stop sign in Pasadena. Meanwhile, Cal head coach Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS as a home dog, including 7-0 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite versus a foe coming off a win as a dog. UCLA has the nation’s second-ranked rushing defense, but Cal’s sophomore RB Jadyn Ott has averaged nearly 145 yards on the ground over the last four games and scored 6 TD’s and is the Pac-12’s leading rusher. Finally, Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win |
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11-25-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +9 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The NCAA stuck to their moronic stupidly needless rule not allowing a team to play in a bowl game while transitioning from D3 to D1. The week got worse when the ‘72 Dolphins popped the corks once JMU was upset by App. State. You can’t fix stupid, so JMU is finishing their promising season at Coastal against a team that likely hasn’t forgotten the 47-7 beatdown they took from J. Mad last year. Finally, Coastal Carolina is 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS as a single-digit dog with revenge on the brain, including 4-0 SUATS when the Chants are batting .600 or better in the win column. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 15 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Seahawks have allowed more yards than they’ve gained this season. and the ultra-angry Rams enter off their Bye week riding a 0-3 SUATS losing skein. Underdogs in this role are 27-10-1 ATS since 1995. It doesn’t hurt that L.A. is 9-1 ATS the last ten games in this series, including 5-0 ATS when the Seahawks arrive off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, Seattle enters just 3-8 ATS in its last eleven division roadies, including 0-3 ATS as a favorite. Tie it into the Rams’ 26-16-1 ATS record in division games behind Sean McVay, and McVay’s 4-0 ATS mark in the first of consecutive division games when coming off a loss of 7 or more points, plus McVay’s 3-0 ATS career mark as a division dog with a losing record. Finally, the Rams are 4-0-1 ATS as a dog with a week of rest. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns -105 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 92 h 45 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Steelers have recorded 36 fewer first downs than opponents this season, and they’ve run 75 fewer offensive plays. This game also presents a matchup of the league’s top two sack masters in T.J. Watt, who has the most sacks in NFL history in his first 100 games, against the Browns Defensive MVP leading candidate Myles Garrett, who is tied for the lead league with 11. With the Browns bringing a lethal combo of top rated Rushing Attempts Per Game (34.9) along with the league’s top-ranked defense, look for the “rally around the backup” war chant to carry them to 5-1 SUATS in their last six division home games in the Dawg Pound today. Finally, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 6-11 ATS away in his career against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 2-10 ATS when the Steelers sport a .500 or greater win percentage. |
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11-18-23 | Georgia v. Tennessee +10.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 43 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Vols come in 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games,7-0 ATS when coming off a conference road game, and 6-0 ATS off a loss. Despite their spotless SU record this season, Georgia is a surprising 1-6 ATS when coming off a double-digit win, and 1-4 ATS in their last five conference road games. Additionally, Defending National Champions are 26-38-1 ATS as road favorites against .700 or greater opponents, including 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS loss. Finally, playing against any 10-0 college football double-digit favorite in Game 11 if they are facing a .666 or greater opponent is 17-2-3 ATS. |
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11-18-23 | Utah -102 v. Arizona | Top | 18-42 | Loss | -102 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Arizona is 0-7 ATS before ASU and 0-6 ATS in Game 11. Additionally, Arizona is 2-8-1 ATS when coming off a road favorite win. Utah has recently dominated this series, 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. You make the Utes a road dog or pick ‘em, they are 15-3 ATS. This game, pre-season, had Utah as an eight point favorite and we think the wise guys had it right the first time. Finally, Arizona is 3-12 ATS in last home games when coming off a win, including 1-10 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Denver checks in 0-9 ATS when coming off an underdog win, 0-7 ATS of late in this series, 0-6 ATS away when coming off consecutive home games, and 1-8 ATS when they are coming off a pair upset wins. And we didn’t even mention the Broncos’ 1-5 ATS ledger on the Monday Night road. Buffalo piles on at 7-0 SUATS in its last seven games as a favorite against the AFC West. They are also 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 SUATS at home. If that’s not enough, then check out that Buffalo is 33-12 SUATS coming off three ATS losses, including 14-1 ATS against foes coming off a win (9-0 ATS at home). |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -160 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 68 h 48 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Teams off a Bye on a 5-0 SUATS win skein in their last five games are just 3-8 ATS since 2009, including 0-4 ATS against foes coming off back-to-back losses. Then there is Niners head coach Kyle Shanahan’s 6-1 ATS career record in games when coming off three consecutive ATS losses, including 4-0 ATS away. That makes today’s contest a minefield for surging Jacksonville. Making matters worse, the Niners rank 4th in the league in scoring defense and 5th on offense in Rush Attempts Per Game and Rushing Yards Per Game. Finally, .545 or greater NFL teams who have lost each of their last three games SUATS are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS since 1980 versus foes who are 3-0 SUATS in their last three games. |
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11-11-23 | Appalachian State +2.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 19 m | Show |
Sun Belt Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Anytime Vegas makes ASU the underdog, they deliver, going 10-1-1 ATS in their Sun Belt days and 9-1-1 ATS overall when on the receiving end of points in their last 11 games. Georgia State was rocked last week by conference leader James Madison, 42-14, and that was fresh off being blown out by Georgia Southern the week before when State gave up 44 points. The Mountaineers have won two straight games, combining for 80 points in wins over Southern Miss and Marshall and ASU QB Joey Aguilar has thrown at least two TD passes in every game this season but for the loss at Wyoming. ASU is the better offensive AND defensive team. Finally, since joining FBS in 2013 the Panthers are 0-4 ATS in Last Home Games versus foes coming off a win. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +5.5 | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 25 m | Show |
BIG-10 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Consider that 9-0 teams hitting the road for Game 10 are 30-47-1 ATS since 1982 including 6-20-1 ATS when facing teams with competent defenses, giving up 20.5 ppg or fewer. The Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS with double conference revenge. James Franklin is 15-5-1 ATS at home with conference vengeance on the evidence table, including 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS with a win percentage of .800. Finally, Penn State is 8-3 SU against undefeated opponents under James Franklin when the Lions allow fewer than 12 PPG including 7-0 by an average win of 22.4 PPG. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers -180 v. Jets | Top | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 60 h 53 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating; 5 Units The Chargers rolled past Chicago last Sunday Night when QB Herbert completed 31-of-40 passes for 298 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions to put themselves back in the playoff picture (they currently rank No. 12 in the current playoff seeding, one game back of No. 7 Cleveland for the final spot). The Jets figure to comply behind a horrible 1-7 ATS mark in games when both teams were favored the previous contest. Finally, the New York Jets are 2-9 SUATS in Game eight of the season, including 0-5 SUATS versus foes coming off a win. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys +3 v. Eagles | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Dallas has 11 wins in a row at AT&T Stadium, the league’s longest current run of dominance at home, but they are only 4-6 in their last 10 road games. However, they are also 6-1 SUATS in their last seven division games as a road dog of fewer than 4 points. Mike McCarthy chips in with a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in division games with a .500 or greater record with Dallas. The Cowboys enter this division duke out at 4-0 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games, while first-place Philly is 5-12 ATS in division home games against avenging opponents, including 1-5 ATS when the Eagles sport a winning record. Finally, Dallas QB Dak Prescott is 27-7 SU and 24-10 ATS in division games, including 7-1 SUATS during the first half of the season. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | Top | 52-42 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units The Huskies are 2-8 ATS as road chalk, 3-8 ATS in the last 11 against Pac 12 foes .666 or better in the W and L column and in their last four games UDub is 0-3-1 ATS. The Trojans are 8-2-1 ATS when the underdog. As a Coliseum dog, the Men of Troy are 16-10-1 ATS including 7-3 ATS vs. the undefeated. Riley is 40-3 ATS in his career at home. Finally, Lincoln Riley is 4-0 SU vs unbeaten conference opponents and 3-0 ATS as a conference dog. |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State +6 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 45 h 37 m | Show |
BIG-12 Play of the Day The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in the last four Bedlam confrontations, but plenty of the numbers going into this year’s edition are not so pretty. Oklahoma is 4-15-1 as conference road chalk of 6 points or more, 1-4 against the number in Game 9, and 1-4 against the number versus single conference revenge. Oklahoma State is 8-0 ATS as home dogs of less than 14 points and 6-0 ATS w/ single conference revenge. Additionally, Okie State is 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups with a conference opponent. Finally, the Cowboys are 18-10 SU and 18-9-1 ATS at home under Gundy against foes with a better win percentage, including 12-2 SUATS the last fourteen contests |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -8 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 81 h 37 m | Show |
MNF Game of the Month Rating: 4 Units Detroit returns home where they are 13-2-1 ATS as a host since Thanksgiving day in 2021. They are also 7-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off a SUATS loss. And then there are the Raiders, who rank dead last in the league in rushing, averaging 69 yards on the ground, despite having Josh Jacobs in the backfield, which goes to the abilities of Josh McDaniels as a head coach. Note that home teams on Monday Night Football are a resolute 31-18 ATS since 1980 when coming off a loss of more than 21 points. Finally, Lions’ head coach Campbell is 17-8-1 ATS at home as an NFL head coach, as well as 18-6 ATS in games in which his squad hold foes to 100 or fewer rush yards, including 14-1 ATS the last 15 games. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings -124 v. Packers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins silenced the critics as he was simply terrific with a brilliant performance against the 49ers on Monday Night with a 35 of 45 (77.8 %) effort for 478 yards and two TDs. That’s the same Kirk Cousins who was 2-10 SUATS in his NFL career on Monday Nights. So, with the Packers riding a 1-6 ATS skein in the second of back-to-back games as chalk, and the Vikes 4-1 ATS after Monday Night hosters, and finally Vikings QB Cousins is 11-3 SUATS away from Game Four out versus sub .400 NFL opponents in his NFL career, including 6-0 ATS versus non division foes |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 27 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Week Rating; 5 Units Jedd Fisch rebuild, now in its third year and very much on track. Last week they embarrassed Washington State 44-6 for the Wildcats largest margin of victory over a ranked opponent. Oregon State is a solid, well-coached outfit to be sure and QB DJ Uiagalelei has finally stopped having screaming nightmares about Clemson Coach Dabo Sweeney. DJ hasn’t been picked since September 30th vs. Utah. Watch for the starting QB for Fisch- early in the week he had not announced if RS-Freshman Noah Fifita gets the nod against over the injured vet Jayden de Laura. If he plays, it’s a game changer in favor of U of A since the Hawaii native is completing a very nice 69% of his passes and has three rushing TD’s. Jedd Fisch is 4-0 ATS as a dog versus teams coming off consecutive SUATS wins. AZ is 4-2 ATS and 6-0 SU in this series when coming off a win of 28 points or greater and they’re 5-2 ATS as conference home dogs. Finally, the Beavers are 1-7-1 ATS as road favorites of fewer than seven points, including 0-6-1 ATS vs sub .600 opponents. |
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10-28-23 | Oklahoma v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 44 h 6 m | Show |
Big-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units KU is 5-1 ATS in the last six games of this series and a most impressive 7-0-1 ATS versus undefeated opponents that give up more than 14 PPG. (OU is a still stingy 16.4 PPG). Can Oklahoma stop the run? The Sooners are going to have to, because Kansas has a two headed rushing combo of Devin Neal and Daniel Hishaw Junior who have combined for nearly 1,100 yards and 12 rushing touchdowns so far. Oklahoma is 2-7 ATS when coming off a conference home game. Finally, Jayhawks Head Coach Lance Leipold is 29-10-1 ATS at home in FBS play, including 13-1-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opponents and 12-1-1 ATS when his team is .700 or better. Rock, Go Against the Chalk, KU! |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units When the Bolts hired Kellen Moore from Dallas to be their offensive coordinator after firing Joe Lombardi after last season, Moore was expected to elevate the Chargers’ offense among the best in the league. So far, Moore has done that for the passing offense, but the Chargers’ trouble running the ball has remained. Nonetheless, QB Justin Herbert enters 12-7 ATS in his NFL career in division games, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. With the Bolts 10-3 ATS as division road dogs and the Chiefs 1-6 ATS after hosting a Thursday game. Finally, defending Super Bowl champions coming off a SUATS win are 8-18-2 ATS at home in division games the following season against foes coming off a SUATS loss, including 1-9 ATS when the champs sport a greater than .800 win percentage. |
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -160 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -160 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units LA will need to put a complete game together, with star WR Cooper Kupp back in the lineup, that will happen real soon. Knowing the Rams are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when coming off a division home game and facing a .500 or greater foe certainly aids their case. So does the fact that head Steeler Mike Tomlin is 3-10 ATS away off a win with rest in his career versus non-division opponents. Finally, .600 or greater NFL road dogs, coming off a Bye that won their previous game outright as an underdog, are 2-17 SU and 4-15 ATS – including 0-7 SUATS since 2000 if they are facing a sub .600 opponent. |
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10-21-23 | Utah v. USC -7 | Top | 34-32 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 21 m | Show |
PAC-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units There are some good numbers on USC, including a 9-3 ATS mark with triple revenge, plus a 6-2 spread record after a non-conference road game and a 5-2 ATS record after taking on Notre Dame. As for the Utes, it’s beginning to look as though they will be redshirting star QB Cam Rising, as his recovery from knee surgery is not looking promising. Kyle Whittingham is 8-16-1 ATS when the Utes lose their previous game outright as a road dog, including 1-12-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. Finally, USC head coach Lincoln Riley is 40-2 outright at home in his career, including 20-0 from Game Six out. |
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10-21-23 | Clemson -145 v. Miami-FL | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -145 | 55 h 22 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The fact is the 4-2 / 2-2 Tigers find themselves up against it and if they have any realistic hope of competing in the ACC title game (which they’ve missed only once since 2015), a win today is mandatory. Point spread history suggests they’ll get it done, considering Clemson is 6-2 and 7-1 ATS in the series of late, including 4-0 SUATS the last four. The Hurricanes put up plenty of garbage yards in last week’s loss at UNC but they’re a feeble 0-5 ATS at home with conference revenge and 1-7 ATS when both teams are coming off a conference game. They also have problems coming off two losses, going 4-11 SU and 4-10 ATS, including 0-3 SUATS away, with every loss by 18 or more points. Finally, Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal is 9-16 ATS at home in conference games, including 0-5 SUATS with Miami. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Jacksonville is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as home favorites behind QB Trevor Lawrence. Game Six of the season has been more like a devilish 6-6-6 to the Jags as they are 1-12 SU in Game Six the last 13 years, including 0-6 ATS at home. That’s chock full of bad numbers, if ever there were any. If you think those bad numbers, consider that Jacksonville is 2-14 SU and 1-15 ATS as a favorite if it was an underdog in its previous game! |
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10-15-23 | Ravens -4 v. Titans | Top | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Titans gained 400 yards two weeks ago facing the Bengals and then another 347 this past weekend. It appears the offense has come alive, but the defense yielded a season-high 429 yards in last week’s loss at Indianapolis. With NFL teams who are dining on tea and crumpets 6-1 ATS as favorites when arriving here off a SU favorite loss, we take added solace in knowing Jackson is 24-11 SU and 22-11-2 ATS away from home with the Ravens, including 4-0-2 ATS when coming off a loss. Finally, Tennessee is 1-13-1 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of 5 or fewer points versus AFC North opponents. |
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10-14-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. North Carolina | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 24 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units UM is better than last year’s brutally disappointing squad and the Canes are one of 16 teams unbeaten In the Stats; of course UNC is also one of the 16 but the Tar Heels are a sticky 3-7 ATS in the second of three straight home games. Mack Brown’s team is 5-0, and he could have been joined by Mario Cristobal’s Canes, who instead are 4-1. Finally, UNC is 4-11 SU and 1-14 ATS when coming off a conference home game, including 0-9 ATS as the favorite. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 73 h 9 m | Show |
ACC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Panthers rush defense is best in the nation. In this series, Pitt is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS plus 8-1 ATS coming off a conference game. The Panthers are 9-4 ATS as a dog coming off a SU favorite loss, including 3-0 ATS at home. Finally, playing against any college football favorite who defeated Notre Dame as an underdog in its last game if they beat the spread by 10 or more points in the win and they are facing a .600 or fewer opponent is 14-0-1 ATS. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4.5 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Rams come in with a 6-1 ATS mark in games when both teams are coming off wins as favorites. Philly tends to falter in games against the NFC West, going 9-16 SU and 8-17 ATS in the past 25 contests. When the 2-2 Rams get Cooper Kupp back, it will be a scary tandem alongside rookie Puka Nacua. Nacua had another monster game after totaling 25 catches for 266 yards over the first two weeks, notching nine receptions for 163 yards last Sunday in Los Angeles’ overtime win at Indianapolis. Finally, playing against the defending Super Bowl loser from Game 5 out as an away favorite of fewer than 7 points in a non-division game versus a .333 or greater opponent is 16-1 ATS. |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots -118 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week |
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10-07-23 | Colorado v. Arizona State +4.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 33 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Colorado has been outscored 90-28 in the first half of their last three games. The Buffs are also 1-8 ATS when coming off a home loss. Meanwhile, the Arizona State owns the better defense by 136 YPG and are also 9-0 ATS at home in Game Six of the season. They are also 17-9 ATS as a conference home dog, including 13-4 ATS when coming off a loss. Finally, Arizona State is 9-0 ATS as a home dog when both teams are coming off a loss and they are hosting an opponent that allows 23 or more points per game. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma +6.5 v. Texas | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 68 h 9 m | Show |
Big-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Plenty of smart people also know Texas historically underperforms when this is a heavyweight championship fight of undefeated teams. UT is 1-5 SU and 2-5 ATS when both teams are without a blemish (last time was 2011) and for some strange reason, Texas is 1-7 ATS the week before a bye. Finally, as big as Big Tex, the 55-foot statue that greets you in Fair Park: Texas is 4-16 ATS in its last twenty games against avenging conference opponents, including 0-9 ATS away from home. |
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10-01-23 | Rams +105 v. Colts | Top | 29-23 | Win | 105 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units QB Gardner Minshew’s will last week moved his record to 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS in his last dozen starts. Complicating matters, the Colts are 5-10 SUATS in non-division games following consecutive underdog wins. Given the fact that Indy is one of 6 NFL teams to have been outgained in each of their games this season, what are the chances for the Colts this week? It is not all that good. The Rams have a top coach and a quality quarterback, which makes them dangerous on any given Sunday. Especially knowing that the Colts are just 2-12-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins, including 0-8-1 ATS at home. Finally, HC McVay is 5-0 ATS away in his career, and 5-0 ATS when coming off a loss in his career, against foes coming off a SU underdog win. |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans +2.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Titans surrender just 2.6 defensive yards per rush, which jumps off the page next to Cincinnati’s 5.1 DYPR. That’s a gaping difference. So, while a boatload of trends lines up in the Bengals’ favor, we’ll defer to stats and shade the Titans and Mike Vrabel and his glossy 16-9 ATS dog log against foes coming off a SUATS win. Finally, the Titans are 9-3 ATS at home against foes coming off a Monday night contest, including 4-0 ATS versus sub .400 opponents. |
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09-30-23 | Illinois +1 v. Purdue | Top | 19-44 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 18 m | Show |
Big-10 Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Vegas has made the Boilermakers the betting favorite, and that’s where things get ugly for Purdue. They are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games when laying points against avenging teams, 0-4 ATS at Ross-Ade last year and 0-3 SU at home this season. Purdue always seems tougher when they have the chip on their shoulder and here to knock it off is the fact that Purdue is 0-12 ATS as a conference favorite of 18 or less points. |
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09-30-23 | Florida +105 v. Kentucky | Top | 14-33 | Loss | -100 | 63 h 55 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops has worked wonders during his 10-plus years at Lexington but he’s a money-burning 8-14 ATS at home in conference games versus foes off an ATS loss. And when it comes to taking on a conference team playing with revenge, the Cats had cashed just three tickets in their last ten tries. Finally, consider that Florida's HC is 11-2 ATS as a dog in conference games, including 7-0 SUATS as a dog of 5 or fewer points |
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09-25-23 | Rams v. Bengals -135 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Cincinnati is 15-3 SU and 16-2 ATS in its last 18 non-division games, including 6-0 SUATS at home. In addition, they stand 7-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS losses. Los Angeles checks in with a 0-6-2 ATS log against AFC North foes coming off back-to-back losses. Finally, Joe Burrow is 5-0-1 ATS with the Bengals when Cincinnati is coming off a pair of losses. |
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09-24-23 | Broncos +6 v. Dolphins | Top | 20-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating; 4 Units After blowing last week’s 21-14 lead after two quarters, Denver has now lost an NFL record nine straight games where it has had the lead at halftime. Even with first-year NFL coaches just 1-9 this season, the value is all with Denver in this matchup. You can count on one thing in this game: Sean Payton is pissed, and somebody will pay the price. He is also 23-7-2 ATS in his NFL career against foes coming off a win. Finally, NFL Game Three underdogs coming off a pair of SU favorite losses are 16-2-1 ATS since 2003, including 9-0 ATS versus foes with a winning record. |
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09-23-23 | Arkansas +18 v. LSU | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 33 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Hogs got crushed last week in a stunning home loss against BYU last week but they actually outgained the Cougars 424-281 in total yardage. In addition, Arkansas Head coach Sam Pittman is 6-1-1 ATS on the road with revenge and the Razorbacks are 7-1-1 ATS away with conference revenge. Meanwhile, the Tigers have not had the best of it in this series, going 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Finally, LSU is 3-11-2 ATS as a favorite in conference home openers, including 0-7-2 ATS when favored by 13 or more points |
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09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 10 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Nick Saban’s is 28-3 record versus former assistants, including 2-0 SUATS when the Tide is coming off consecutive point spread losses by an average win margin of 24 PPG. Additionally, if those assistants are undefeated, Saban is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS against them. Saban is 9-2 SUATS in his career when his team is coming off consecutive double-digit ATS losses, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight games. Finally, Nick Saban is 21-7-1 ATS in conference games when coming off back-to-back ATS losses, including 8-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win and 4-0 SUATS versus undefeated foes (by an average win margin of 30 PPG) |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Lions | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 16 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Seattle is 4-0 SUATS in this series, as well as 21-9 SU and 20-8-1 ATS when coming off a loss and facing an opponent coming off a win. In addition, Seattle’s head coach thrives against teams coming off a win from this division, going 11-3 outright in his career, including 5-0 when the foe is coming off an upset win. Finally, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 8-3 ATS as a dog with the Seahawks when facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. |
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09-17-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -170 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -170 | 88 h 8 m | Show |
Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units NFL division teams in Game Two of the season, coming off a division loss in Game One, are 12-1 SU and 10-2-1 ATS since 1990 if they were a playoff team last season, including games against opponents who are coming off a SUATS win. The Ravens are a horrible 2-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS record of late when coming off a no-division game and taking on an opponent off a division game. The Bengals 8-1 ATS when coming off a road game and facing a foe off a home game. Finally, playing on any NFL home team in Game Two coming off a loss if they were a playoff team last season and they are facing a division opponent coming off a win is a perfect 10-0 ATS since 2010. |
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09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue +2.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -105 | 72 h 0 m | Show |
NCAAF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in games in which both teams enter off an ATS win and 8-2 ATS as a home dog with a win percentage less than .666. Additionally, Home teams in Game Three of the season, who were in a bowl team last season and are coming off a road win that was preceded by a season-opening home loss, are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS since 2017. Finally, Syracuse versus sub-.666 avenging foes, is just 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS in this role (0-11 the last eleven). |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Gators are 5-1 ATS in the last six, even with last year’s wild loss when UF was beaten 38-33 while a double-digit dog. UT on the other hand struggles early, their Game 3 record is an embarrassing 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in game three versus the SEC. After cake games versus FCS teams, the Vols limp around, going 1-5 ATS in the first game after an FCS opponent and in SEC openers, the Vols are also 1-5 ATS. Take them on the road and in games where the home team is seeking revenge, like this one, Tennessee is 3-10-1 ATS, including 0-6 ATS if the foe is coming off a win. Finally, Florida’s Bill Napier is 17-8 ATS as the underdog, including 3-0 SUATS at home. |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 98 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Jets hosts division rival Buffalo sporting a long-term 8-5-1 ATS mark at home on Monday nights in division battles. They also bring a nifty 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS mark in this series into this contest, including 4-0 SUATS as a competitive dog of 4 or fewer points. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers enters on a nine-game win skein on Mondays. He is also 6-1-1 ATS as a home dog in his NFL career. Finally, the Jets are 22-10-1 SU and 24-9 ATS of late, including 6-0 ATS in season opening games the past six years |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The architect of the Cowboys’ offense, Kellen Moore, who has moved on to take over the offensive coordinator duties with the Chargers in Los Angeles this season. Over Moore’s four years as offensive coordinator in Dallas (2019-2022), the Cowboys’ offense totaled the 2nd most yards (391 per game) and 2nd most points (27.7 per game) in the NFL. However, Dallas is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS away against quadruple avenging opponents, including 0-4 ATS in division games. New York is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS at home when seeking quadruple revenge, including 4-0 SUATS in division contests |
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09-09-23 | Central Florida v. Boise State +3.5 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 67 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAF Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Broncos after owning the No. 2 rushing attack in the Mountain West last season under OC Dirk Koetter, BSU’s top two RB’s George Holani and Ashton Jeanty managed just 95 yards on 20 carries against Washington under new OC Bush Hamdan (a former Boise QB). Meanwhile the Boise defense, which was ranked 11th in the nation in 2022, was lit up for 568 yards by Michael Penix and his cohorts. But keep in mind that the Broncos have survived in the past. Boise is now cast into the rare role of a home dog where they are 5-3 SUATS in this role since 1999. Finally, Boise State is 21-0 outright in its first home game of the season the past twenty-one years. |
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09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL +4.5 | Top | 33-48 | Win | 100 | 65 h 39 m | Show |
NCAAF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Texas A&M has gone 1-5 on the scoreboard, 4-13-1 ATS overall in road openers and 0-5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points. They haven't done well coming off a big win, going 4-11-1 ATS off a 40+ point win when meeting a team better than a .400 record. Miami comes in at 17-4 SU and 14-6-1 ATS at home in a battle of undefeated teams. Miami has also done well versus the SEC when a dog against a team coming off a win, going 3-0-1 ATS. Miami has done well versus unbeatens, going 4-1 SUATS and 13-5 ATS. Finally, Miami is 13-5 SUATS as a non-conference home dog, including 5-0 SUATS the last five, and 7-0 SUATS versus foes coming off a SUATS win. |
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09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 118 h 36 m | Show |
NCAAF Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Clemson comes into this one with a 1-7 ATS mark as a road favorite in season openers, and a 3-7 ATS log in its last ten games on this field. Swinney brought in Garrett Riley from TCU to overhaul the Tigers’ stagnant offense. Duke comes in 3-1 SUATS in its last four lined home-openers as well as 3-0 SUATS in its last three lined season openers. More importantly, Duke was 6-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in Mike Elko’s debut last season. Finally, College football home dogs in season openers who return 17 or more starters are 43-16-1 ATS since 1990 if they won three or more games the previous season, including 12-2 ATS if they are a dog of more than 12 points. |