Not many, if any, have done it better than Zack Greinke when he takes the bump at home, installed as a favorite. His home vs road dichotomy is about as widespread as possible, as he is 59-88 on the road, but when he is posted as a home favorite the numbers go off the charts at 76-27. he stands at 10-2 at home on the season with a stellar 2.55 ERA to back it up. Greinke is 2-0 lifetime here vs LA allowing a total of 3 runs in the 2 starts, and no reason to believe much will change here. Lance Lynn made one start here vs the Dodgers this year which resulted in a 9-1 blowout loss, and the Cards have lost each of his last 4 starts on the season. Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 vs a right handed starter, and now 24-6 in Greinke's last 30 home starts. Make the play on LA.

Tim Hudson turned 39 in August. He got off to a great start when he was fresh as through his first 88.1 innings he pitched to a 1.83 ERA. It all came tumbling down from that point on, as over his last 101 innings he has pitched to a 5.08 ERA, as he has appeared to have run out of gas. Jordan Zimmermann has been just the opposite. The Nats were 8-7 in his first 15 starts, but then he got in the groove and they have now won his last 11 starts. Zimmermann has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 12 starts. We have one pitcher struggling, and another zoned in here. Giants have not performed well in the role of a dog where they are 7-20 in their last 27, and that includes 1-7 behind Hudson. Nats own a 37-14 mark in their last 51 as a favorite. and are 50-20 behind Zimmermann in his last 70 starts, including 4-0 here vs the Giants. make the play on Washington.

The LA Angels were supposed to be in this spot for the past 2 years, but the team never played up to lofty expectations, until about June of this season, and then they took off, finishing with 98 wins, the best in baseball. They will send Jered Weaver to the mound for this one, and Weaver has relished the role of a home favorite in his career as he is 90-35, including 12-3 in his last 15 starts here this year. he has also won his last 3 starts vs KC in this role. Justin Vargas saw a good season go bad, as he has not won since August 18th. Vargas allowed 4 or more runs just 4 times over his first 24 starts, but has since allowed 4 or more in 6 of hos last 7 starts. Royals just 6-20 in their last 26 as a dog from +151 to +200, and are now 41-12 in Weaver's last 53 home starts. Play on LA.

This game fits a 79-28 situation, and the play is on Texas.

This game fits a 79-28 situation, and the play is on Cleveland.

The Philadelphia Phillies apply to a very negative 13-70 situation for this game. The play is on Miami.

This game fits a strong 78-27 situation, and the play is on Cleveland.

The Cincinnati Reds have fallen apart, a contending team that has packed it in for the season. The Reds have scored 2 runs total in their last 4 games, and are 1-6 in their last 7, scoring no more than 2 runs in any of the 6 losses. Cincinnati has a long history of falling apart after a game in which 3 or less total runs were scored as they are 17-53 in their last 70 in this spot, as well as 5-20 in their last 25 and 0-11 if they are a dog of 160 or more. Cincinnati is also an ugly6-25 in their last 31 road games vs a right handed starter (1-14 lately). The Reds are also 1-18 on the road vs right handers if they are a dog of greater than 106 in their last 19, scoring just 2.5 runs a game. Cards sport a 50-17 home record in their last 67 vs a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, and are 87-38 vs a right hander here since the beginning of last season, including 23-3 to a line of greater than -175. Make the play on St. Louis.

This game fits one of my strongest situations, which has gone 74-21 over the last 11 years. It has produced a 36.7% ROI. It has also been better lately, having gone 29-5 in the last 34. Rangers are 5-21 in their last 26 vs a right handed starter. Play is on Oakland.

The Red Sox win last night has left them in a very contrary strong situation, that has seen teams in this spot go 13-69 over the last decade. Make the play on Kansas City.

Tigers are a playoff team if the season ended before today's action, but there are 4 teams in hot pursuit, while the Tigers try and catch KC for the division. Good opportunity for them here, as they send David price to the bump, although he is off 2 of 3 starts with shaky outings. Price was touched up for 5 runs in his last start, and that is the bad news, the good news is when he allows 4 or more runs in his previous start, his ERA in the next one is 2.42 in the next one over the last 3 years, with his team 13-3 in the 16 occurrences, including 6-0 this year. Price owns a 6-1 career mark vs the Tribe. tribe taking the donut behind Carrasco in a series opener at 0-7 in his last 7, and Tribe also just 1-5 behind Carrasco against the Bengals. This has also been a chamber of horrors for Cleveland as they are 15-36 here in their last 51. Make the play on Detroit.

The Oakland A's have had everything go their wsy for the last 2 and a half years. They won the AL West 2 years in a row, and looked to be in control until the Angels got hot, put some pressure on them, and the A's have not dealt with it very well at all. The A's are now 9-20 in their last 29 games, as well as 3-10 in their last 13. The A's offense has produced 3 runs or less in 17 of their last 29 games. Scott Kazmir is a great story, and has had a very good season, but is he hitting the wall? he has worked 165.2 innings on the season, the most he has worked since 2007, some 7 years ago, and it is starting to show. Kazmir has allowed 3 or more runs in 6 of his last 7 starts, and his ERA has risen by more than a run in those 7 starts. Chris Sale has dominated all season, never allowing mre than 4 runs in any start, and 3 runs or less in all but 2 starts. Sale has led the Sox to a 10-4 record at home on the season. A small chalk here sure has value on the home team, make the play on Chicago.

The Minnesota Twins have a couple pitchers at the top of the rotation in Gibson and Hughes, that have them over .500 when they take the mound, unfortunately the rest of the rotation has left the team in shambles. Ricky Nolasco was supposed to provide a good arm in the middle of the rotation, but he has failed, and if the Twins had anyone else he would no longer be in the rotation. Nolasco allowed 8 runs in his last outing, and opponents have scored 112 runs in his 22 starts on the season at over 5 runs per contest. To give that a perspective on how it correlates to tonight's game, consider the fact that LA is 57-6 when they score 5 or more runs, including 26-1 in their last 27. This game fits a drowning dog situation which is 0-23 for the dog the last 23 times it has come up. My MLB GAME OF THE MONTH is on LA.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the Chicago White Sox.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Texas.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the Chicago Cubs.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Toronto.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Detroit.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Kansas City.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Arizona.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Angels.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Tampa Bay.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Pittsburgh.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the NY Mets.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Toronto.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Detroit.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Dodgers

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Dodgers.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Angels.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Tampa Bay.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Kansas City.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the Chicago Cubs.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Atlanta.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Oakland.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the NY Yankees.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Miami.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Cleveland.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Angels.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Detroit.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Dodgers.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Cincinnati.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Angels.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Baltimore.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Detroit.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Angels.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Tampa Bay. 

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Seattle.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Milwaukee.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the NY Mets.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Miami.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Arizona.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Philadelphia.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Toronto.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the Chicago White Sox.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Miami.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Boston.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the Chicago Cubs.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Baltimore.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Seattle.

All of today's selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the LA Dodgers.

All of today's selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on Cleveland.

All of today's selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on  the NY Mets.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Pittsburgh.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the Chicago White Sox.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Miami.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the NY Mets.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the Chicago White Sox.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Cincinnati.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the Chicago Cubs.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the LA Dodgers (40-0 situation on Greinke in this one)

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Minnesota.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Cleveland.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Minnesota.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Detroit.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the Chicago Cubs. 

  All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Kansas City.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Pittsburgh.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Tampa Bay.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the LA Angels.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Philadelphia.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Texas.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Toronto.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the Chicago Cubs.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on Pittsburgh.

This game fits a situation which is 34-96 against the Colorado Rockies and this year the situation is a perfect 0-7. The play is on Washington.

This game fits a situation that is 34-95 over the last 11 years, and 0-6 this season, and it plays against Colorado. The play is on Washington.

All of today`s selections are from situations that have produced a 10 year history of a 10% ROI or better. The play in this game is on Arizona.

All of today`s selections are from situations that have produced a 10 year history of a 10% ROI or better. The play in this game is on Tampa Bay.

All of today`s selections are from situations that have produced a 10 year history of a 10% ROI or better. The play in this game is on the Chicago White Sox.

All of today`s selections are from situations that have produced a 10 year history of a 10% ROI or better. The play in this game is on Pittsburgh

 The LA Angels and the Seattle Mariners are both playing extremely well right now and it took 16 innings last night to find a winner. Tonight is a great pitching matchup with Garrett Richards squaring off against Felix Hernandez. They both enter at 11-2 on the season, and both carry ERA`s from 2.50 and down. Hernandez has really found the groove vs the Angels where he has pitched to a 1.65 ERA in his last 5 starts against them. Richards already owns 7 shutout innings vs the Mariners this season already, and also has stellar career numbers against them. Mariners still in a tough spot as they are 33-69 in their last 102 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of better than .600. Angels dominating at home to anticipated pitching duels at 15-2 in their last 17 to a total of 6.5 or less. Seattle just 23-51 here in their last 74. Make the play on LA.

The San Diego Padres have limited offense, but they have relied on a very strong pitching staff to keep themselves in games. They are on a record pace of 1 run games because of that as they have already played 31 of them. They have gotten the better of the results at home where they are just 24-26 on the season, but 12-8 at home in 1 run games. This game figures to be another close one, with both pitchers sporting ERA`s in the 2`s. The Mets have played a lot better of late, but have had issues against right handed pitching where they are just 5-12 in their last 17. San Diego no longer has Houston Street, but the pen is deep and ranks 2nd in baseball, and will be the difference maker here. Make the play on San Diego

 The San Francisco Giants needed the all-star break more than any other team. The offense was producing just 2.5 runs a game in the 20 games prior. They came back to life last night hanging a 9 spot on Miami, in an easy win. Tim Hudson has had huge success against Miami where he owns a 14-4 career record backed by a 2.95 ERA. Miami has not been the same team without Jose Fernandez in the rotation and they are just 10-21 in their last 31 games, and after a strong start at home they are just 5-12 here in their last 17. Marlins now 0-8 in their last 8 at home vs a winning team. Make the play on San Francisco.