MLB Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
06-03-15 |
Baltimore Orioles +121 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
The Baltimore Orioles turned things around under Buck Showalter when he was brought in during the latter stages of the 2010 season. The O's have been one of the best teams to wager on since that time, with a winning and profitable record on the blind. The O's have dropped the first 2 of their 4 game set in Houston. Lance McCullers has his big league career off to a good start, and has posted a 2.00 ERA at home for the Stros. Miguel Gonzalez has pitched well, and is off one of his best performances of the season allowing 1 run over 8 innings vs Tampa, and Baltimore has cashed 8 of his last 11 starts on 4 days rest. Baltimore fits a situation for this game that has produced a 19.2% ROI over the last 12 years. Make the play on Baltimore.
|
06-03-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Francisco Giants +115 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
The San Francisco Giants have won 3 of the last 5 World Series, and are 30-24 sitting 2 games in back of the LA Dodgers in the NL West. They are on a 4 game losing streak as they try and salvage a game against Pittsburgh who has taken the first 2. The Pirates have played well of late as they are 10-2 over their last 12 to move to a season high 4 games over the .500 mark. They will give the ball to hard luck starter Francisco Liriano who is 2-4 on the season despite a very solid ERA. Hudson may be on track after his 1 run 7 inning performance last time out vs the Braves. The Pirates however are now 1-8 in Liriano's last 9 starts vs a winning team, and 0-7 when he takes the mound in his last 7 after a quality start in his last outing. Giants coming up aces as a home dog at 9-1 in their last 10. Make the play on San Francisco.
|
06-03-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers +141 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
There certainly have not been a lot of high spots for the Milwaukee Brewers over the past few seasons, and at 18-35 on the season, their playoff hopes are already faded and likely gone. That hasn't stopped them from being ultra competitive in splitting the first 2 games of this series, both 1-0 decisions for each club. Jimmy Nelson gets the ball for the Brewers today, and he has been decent with a 3.90 ERA on the season. That pretty much matches the ERA owned bu Jon lackey vs the Brewers over his career which stands at 3.86. Nelson has pitched the Brewers to 4 straight road wins vs a team with a winning record, and the Cards just 2-6 in Lackey's last 8 starts on 4 days rest. Make the play on Milwaukee.
|
06-02-15 |
New York Mets v. San Diego Padres +105 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
105 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
The San Diego Padres generated little offense a year ago, and some changes had to be made if they were going to compete in the NL West. It has helped them to an extent raising their team average 18 points over a year ago, and have been on a pace to more than surpass last year's HR numbers. It didn't help them last night as they fell to Jason deGrom, and the NY Mets 7-0. The Mets however have played very poorly on the road this season at 8-15. While the numbers don't look favorable here, the Padres find themselves in one of the top dog situations in baseball, one that has produced a 55-34 record and an ROI of +33.2% over the last 12 years. San Diego has responded with a 7-1 record in their last 8 after allowing 5+ runs in their previous contest, and are 10-4 in Kennedy's last 14 starts to a total of 6.5 or less. Make the play on San Diego.
|
06-02-15 |
Baltimore Orioles +133 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
Sometimes having the right manager for a team's personnel makes a huge difference. The Baltimore Orioles back in 2010 were 32-73 before hiring Buck Showalter. The team responded by finishing strong, and a basement dweller since Buck was hired has gone 407-365 since, producing an ROI of +9.7% on the blind! It has been an even better fate on the road where Baltimore has put together a 156-164 record under hs managerial tenure, as a road dog, and an ROI of +16% on the blind. Houston has not been very good against solid pitching where they own a 46-98 record in their last 144 vs a pitcher with a WHIP pf less than 1.15. They are also 43-102 in their last 145 vs a team that plated 2 runs or less in their previous contest. Make the play on Baltimore.
|
06-02-15 |
Cleveland Indians -125 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
The Kansas City Royals grew up in a hurry last season, and met with little adversity. They cashed in all the way to the World Series. They are 29-19 on the season, but facing some adversity for the first time as young players have fragile egos and they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games, scoring a total of just 6 runs in the 5 losses, as the team is in an offensive funk right now. Cleveland has washed away the ills of a poor start, and the Tribe, on the strength of a 10-3 run have closed to within 2 games of .500. Their starting pitching and bullpen have been as good as any team in the league over the last 14 games, allowing 3 runs or less in 12 of them. The Royals are just 1-7 in their last 8 as a dog of +110 to +150, and with dormant bats against some hot pitching, they could be in trouble here once again, to a Tribe team that has taken 5 of the last 7 here. Make the play on Cleveland.
|
06-02-15 |
Oakland A's +127 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
127 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Okalnd A's have been long known for getting a lot of mileage out of very little. This season things have not worked out very well, as we approach the 1/3 mark of the season, the A's find themselves at 20-33 on the season, and in last place in the AL West. Detroit has not faired much better, as so much was expected from a team loaded with stars and pitching, but they have been unimpressive at 28-24 and in 3rd place in the rugged AL Central. The A's however have gotten a lift from their pitching staff recording 3 shutouts on their way to a 1.67 ERA and a 6-3 record over their ladst 9 games. Detroit is playing their worst baseball in a decade. The Tigers are just 5-10 in their last 15 games, and have dropped 4 straight. The A's own 4 straight wins behind Graveman when starting as a dog. Make the play on Oakland.
|
06-02-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Philadelphia Phillies +153 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
153 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Cincinnati Reds have not hit the ball very consistently this season, but have managed to put up back to back games of 8 runs in each. The fact is this is a team that has produced 3 runs or less 27 times on the season, and that is more their norm. Johny Cueto is the talk of trade rumors and will continue to be as the Reds continue to struggle.Cueto had a tender elbow and missed a start so he may not be as sharp as he had been previously. Cueto dominated early in the season but pitched to a 1-2 record in May with a 4.45 ERA. Sean O'Sullivan made one start vs the Reds a year ago allowing just a single run in 6 innings of work. Reds now 0-6 in their last 6 to a total of 7-8.5, and 2-9 in their last 11 vs a right hander. Phillies have quietly gone 5-0 in their last 5 as a home dog. Make the play on Philadelphia.
|
06-01-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Francisco Giants +121 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on line value, as well as positive situations, that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's from +8.9% to +52.2%. The play in this game is on San Francisco.
|
06-01-15 |
New York Yankees v. Seattle Mariners -136 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-136 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on line value, as well as positive situations, that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's from +8.9% to +52.2%. The play in this game is on Seattle.
|
06-01-15 |
Baltimore Orioles +107 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on line value, as well as positive situations, that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's from +8.9% to +52.2%. The play in this game is on Baltimore.
|
05-31-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners -104 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have produced an ROI from +11% to +33.1%. The play in this game is on Seattle.
|
05-31-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers +101 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have produced an ROI from +11% to +33.1%. The play in this game is on Milwaukee.
|
05-31-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles -103 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have produced an ROI from +11% to +33.1%. The play in this game is on Baltimore.
|
05-29-15 |
Miami Marlins +155 v. New York Mets |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
155 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on line value, and a 12 year history of situations which have produced an ROI of 8.9% to 19.6%. The play in this game is on Miami.
|
05-29-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Chicago Cubs -134 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-134 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on line value, and a 12 year history of situations which have produced an ROI of 8.9% to 19.6%. The play in this game is on the Chicago Cubs.
|
05-27-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. Tampa Bay Rays +109 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on Tampa Bay.
|
05-26-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets -184 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
The Philadelphia Phillies have the worst offense in baseball, so facing Jason deGrom here is not going to be an easy task. deGrom is also pitching at home, and his home road splits are quite distant. His career numbers show 1.50 ERA home, and 4.21 ERA away. His WHIP is 0.95 at home, and 1.36 away. He walks just 1.83 at home vs 3.43 on the road, and 9.3 K's at home vs 8.8 on the road. Put that together with a poor Philly offense, that is even worse vs right handers, and the Mets look strong here. Make the play on New York.
|
05-24-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers -128 |
Top |
11-3 |
Loss |
-128 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
The San Diego Padres made a lot of moves this off season to improve the team both in pitching and offense, but they have really not gotten much out of their investements thus far. The Padres have dropped 4 straight games, including the first 2 in this series, and overall they are now 1-7 in their last 8 to fall to 4 games under .500. The Dodgers have things rolling and their 26-16 mark is best in the NL as we pass the quarter-pole of the season. The Padres addressed improving the offense, but they have scored 1 run or less in 5 of their last 8, and a 6th game saw them plate just 2 runs. They have allowed just 4 runs in the 2 games this series, but own 2 losses. Dodgers are now 40-16 in their last 56 as a home favorite including 22-4 when the total is 7-8.5. Make the play on LA.
|
05-24-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +152 v. Washington Nationals |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
The Washington Nationals were picked to win it all before the seaon started, and at 25-18 coming into play today, they are pretty close to where they should be and lead the NL East by 1.5 games over the Mets. They hand the ball to Gio Gonzalez today, and thus far on the season he has struggled, as he has posted an ERA of just shy of 5. The Phillies have split the first 2 games of this series, and Gonzalez was just 1-2 against them last season in 4 starts. Aaron Harang has been a brilliant addition to the Phillie's staff as he is 4-3 with a superb 1.82 ERA on the season. Harang has been great in his last 2 starts where he has not allowed an earned run. Phillies are playing their best baseball of the year at 8-3 over their last 11, and have the pitching matchup in their favor for this one. Make the play on Philadelphia.
|
05-24-15 |
New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates -160 |
Top |
1-9 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
The Pirates have had the Mets number of late as they have put 8 of the last 11 meetings in the win column. Pittsburgh has to be feeling pretty good after their win yesterday vs Met's ace Matt Harvey 8-2. The Mets have been lost on the road, as they have dropped 6 straight, and David Wright being shut down does not aid their attack, while Andrew McCutchn has caught fire for Pittsburgh raising his average over 7 points in just over 3 weeks, and had 3 big hits yesterday, and is 5-13 vs today's Mets starter, Johnathon Neise. Josh Harrison is 21-for-43and is also swinging a hot bat for the Pirates. Mets are now 5-17 in their last 22 as a dog, and Pittsburgh is now 36-15 at PNC Park in their last 51 vs a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Make the play on Pittsburgh.
|
05-23-15 |
San Diego Padres +140 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on situations that have produced an ROI for 16.6% to 22.2% the last 12 years. The play in this game is on San Diego.
|
05-23-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Cleveland Indians -211 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are based on situations that have produced an ROI for 16.6% to 22.2% the last 12 years. The play in this game is on Cleveland.
|
05-22-15 |
San Diego Padres +173 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are from historically profitable situations over the last 12 years, ranging from 16.5% ROI to 66.9% ROI. The play in this game is on San Diego.
|
05-22-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Chicago White Sox -116 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are from historically profitable situations over the last 12 years, ranging from 16.5% ROI to 66.9% ROI. The play in this game is on Chicago.
|
05-22-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies +102 |
Top |
11-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
All of today's selections are from historically profitable situations over the last 12 years, ranging from 16.5% ROI to 66.9% ROI. The play in this game is on Colorado.
|
05-21-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox +117 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on Chicago White Sox.
|
05-21-15 |
Texas Rangers +147 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
147 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on Texas.
|
05-21-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants +118 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
118 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on San Francisco.
|
05-21-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals +108 v. New York Mets |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on St. Louis.
|
05-17-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Seattle Mariners -147 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
Seattle fits a situation today that is 56-16, while Boston is in a dreadful 14-71 situation. Make the play on Seattle.
|
05-16-15 |
New York Yankees v. Kansas City Royals -108 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Yankees used to haunt the Kansas City Royals way back when, and then the Royals went bad for a long time. Things tend to go full circle, and right now the Royals are a much better team, with deeper pitching, and a deeper, and better bullpen. The Yankee bats have fallen asleep, as they have lost 4 straight games now, and have failed to push across as many as 3 runs in 4 straight games as well. CC Sabathia is finished, his velocity is way down, and his serves are leaving the park with a high degree of regularity. New York is just 10-19 in his last 29 starts, in which opponents have accumulated 5.2 runs per game. The Yankees by virtue of their losing streak, and lack of production fit into this scenario:
Teams playing as a road dog that have scored less than 3 runs a game in at least their last 4, and lost at least 4 in a row, and it is not a series opener, are 17-56 over the last 12 years. Make the play on Kansas City.
|
05-15-15 |
New York Yankees -122 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
1-12 |
Loss |
-122 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
The Yankees have been better tan advertised this season, and one reason is a healthy Michael Pineda. Pineda recorded 21 outs his last time out, 16 via the strikeout, and on the season he has a ridiculous 54-3 strikeout to walk ratio. The Yankees have lost 3 straight games, but the Bombers are very good in this spot as they own a 20-5 mark in their last 25 as a road favorite if they are on a 3 or more game losing streak, and 9-1 if it is a series opener, winning by 2.6 runs a game. Make the play on New York.
|
05-14-15 |
New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays +116 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
116 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation that has had a 17.3% ROI over the last 11 years and it plays on division home dogs off a win, in May games, traditionally the month that shines for dogs. Play is on Tampa Bay.
|
05-10-15 |
Miami Marlins v. San Francisco Giants -109 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
This game fits a strong 172-80 situation that has had a +15.8% ROI over the last 12 years. The play is on San Francisco.
|
05-03-15 |
Seattle Mariners -105 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
Streaking teams tend to draw in bettors, and the odds makers tend to over-compensate the line. The last 12 years in MLB have seen a team on an 8 game winning streak or longer, and playing at home to a line of -115 or lower, have seen their opponents produce a 24.3% ROI. Make the play on Seattle.
|
04-27-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -120 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
Looking at the Arizona Diamondbacks performance over the last 2 games, will leave many bettors on the sidelines when it comes to their game tonight at home vs the Rockies, or in fact may stir up a crowded line at the Rockies betting window. Arizona has gone 18-95 at the plate over their last 3 games, and are below the Mendoza line as a team over the period at .195. The Rockies send Tyler Matzak to the mound for this one and his nifty early season ERA of 2.40. despite what appear to be solid numbers, he has walked 10 hitters in 15 innings, and his 3 collective starts have averaged just 5 innings. This is a guy who was 6-11 in his rookie year, so looks to be value going against him, which is supported by the fact that a team that was shutout in their last game, as well as scoring less than 3 in their game previous to that, and at home facing a starter that has an ERA of less than 2.47, have a robust 46-17 record over the last 12 years, good for a ridiculous 34.9% ROI. April games show even more value, because we have a pitcher that may have an early season ERA that is not in line with his future projections. Thus, April games have been 16-3 in this situation, posing with a trophy-like 16-3 mark with a 62.6% ROI. (16-2 lately, 70.3% ROI. make the play on Arizona.
|
04-26-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies -104 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which is 90-48 and has held a 31.7% ROI the last 12 years, make the play on Philadelphia
|
04-21-15 |
Minnesota Twins +137 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
The Minnesota Twins are in a 114-93 dog situation tonight, which has produced a 17% ROI the last 12 years. Make the play on Minnesota.
|
04-19-15 |
Cincinnati Reds +167 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has a +20.8% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on Cincinnati.
|
04-19-15 |
Colorado Rockies +167 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
0-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has a +20.8% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on Colorado.
|
04-19-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers +156 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has a +20.8% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on Milwaukee.
|
04-19-15 |
Miami Marlins +175 v. New York Mets |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has a +20.8% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on Miami.
|
04-19-15 |
Chicago White Sox +125 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
1-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has a +23.9% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on the Chicago White Sox.
|
04-18-15 |
Miami Marlins +136 v. New York Mets |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
This game fits a dog situation that has produced a 20.8% ROI the last 10 years, make the play on Miami.
|
04-18-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +177 v. Washington Nationals |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
177 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
This game fits a dog situation that has produced a 20.8% ROI the last 10 years, make the play on Philadelphia.
|
04-17-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Houston Astros +111 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has produced a 43.8% ROI and the play is on Houston.
|
04-15-15 |
Oakland A's v. Houston Astros -115 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Houston Asstros have not been a good team for a long time, but they have been making up some ground. Drew Pomeranz was superb in the opener allowing 0 runs over 7 innings, but he has been challenged by this Houston lineup in his career, never recording a win in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance, while carrying the baggage of a 5.79 ERA. McHugh is becoming a top of the rotation pitcher, having won all of his last 7 decisions in 2014, he opened the season with a gem in a Houston win. last season vs Oakland he went 8.2 innings allowing just 2 hits and a single run. Additionally, the Astros fit a situation in this game that has produced a 28.6% ROI over the last 10 years. Make the play on Houston.
|
04-15-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +135 v. New York Mets |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
The Phillies were in a tough spot last night facing Matt Harvey, but they managed to score 5 runs against him, but it wasn't enough as they fell 1 run short of the win. The Mets paid the price for the win as Wright and Cuddyer both left the game with injuries and they both may miss this contest, and that severely weakens the Mets attack. Jerome Williams was brilliant in his 2015 debut, and his appearance last season vs the Mets also went well. Williams has an edge vs a Mets lineup that has just one hitter that has faced him for more than 3 at bats. Phillies own a 5-1 record with Williams on the hill as a dog from +110 to +150, while the Mets a woeful 17-35 in their ladst 52 vs a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Make the play on Philadelphia.
|
04-15-15 |
Washington Nationals +117 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
10-5 |
Win
|
117 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
The Washington Nationals were projected as the top MLB team coming into this season, and a lot of that has to do with their superb pitching. They have played really poorly ondefense with 10 errors already and last night an error led to 3 Boston runs, without the benefit of a base hit, in an 8-7 loss. The Sox are watching Big Poppy struggle to open the season and Washington starter, Gio Gonzalez has been great vs Hanley Ramirez who is 212 with 6 k's against hom, and Justin Pedrioa who is just 2-13. nats pitching has a way of taking charge after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, as they have followed at 38-18 in their last 56. Boston is just 5-14 in their last 19 to a total of 7-8.5. Make the play on Washington.
|
04-14-15 |
Seattle Mariners -108 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
Early in the season (April), it is a "psychological" factor for a team to get to .500, and in fact, a team 1 game below .500 in April games, have always been a very good bet. Play on Seattle.
|
04-14-15 |
Los Angeles Angels -114 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-114 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Early in the season (April), it is a "psychological" factor for a team to get to .500, and in fact, a team 1 game below .500 in April games, have always been a very good bet. Play on the LA Angels.
|
04-14-15 |
Cincinnati Reds +137 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
137 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game fits an early season angle which is 71-36, and the play is on Cincinnati.
|
04-14-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +205 v. New York Mets |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
Early in the season (April), it is a "psychological" factor for a team to get to .500, and in fact, a team 1 game below .500 in April games, and playing as a road dog, where there is often more value, have gone 199-203 to an average line of +132.7. Big dogs, facing a team off a win with a line of +155 or higher are a mega play on as they are 34-27 to an average line of +175, and an ROI of +51.6%! Play is on Philadelphia.
|
04-14-15 |
New York Yankees +113 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
Early in the season (April), it is a "psychological" factor for a team to get to .500, and in fact, a team 1 game below .500 in April games, and playing as a road dog, where there is often more value, have gone 199-203 to an average line of +132.7. Play on the NY Yankees.
|
04-14-15 |
Washington Nationals +117 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
This game fits an early season angle which is 71-36, and the play is on Washington.
|
04-13-15 |
Oakland A's -114 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
The Houston Astros have started the season at .500 entering game number 7 on the season. This has not been a healthy place for a ,500 team, especially when they are playing at home vs a team that also has less than 4 wins on the season, as they are 2-13 SU in game 7. Moreover, these teams have crashed and burned when posted as a home dog having gone 0-9 in the last 10 years. Make the play on Oakland in this one.
|
04-13-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays -138 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-138 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the season with 6 straight games on the road, and are not exactly .500, posted as a home favorite of -130 or more, against a team that is not off to a hot start (5-1 or better), are 19-3 and carry a +38.6% ROI. That plays on Toronto tonight.
|
04-13-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets -165 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the season with 6 straight at home, and play on the road vs a team that played 6 straight away, and are posted as a road dog of greater than +145 are just 1-11. Make the play on the NY Mets.
|
04-12-15 |
Boston Red Sox -101 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
4-14 |
Loss |
-101 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
The NY Yankees have the 2nd highest payroll in MLB at 216 million. They are far from the 2nd best team. The former Bronx Bombers have committed to 170 million to players 30 and over, and 90 million to players 35 and older. This is a team in decay, and Tanaka looked tentative in the opener recording 1 strikeout, as his elbow remains a huge question mark. The Yankees are hitting .193 as a team, and at the same time have allowed 6 or more runs in 4 of their 5 games. Buchholz looks ready to put last year behind him, and at this stage the Sox are vastly superior all the way around. Make the play on Boston.
|
04-11-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels -130 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-130 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
The Kansas City Royals surprised last year, not only making the playoffs, but going all the way to the World Series. There has been no hangover, as the Royals have picked up right where they left off a year ago. Kansas City has started the season 4-0 as they take on the LA Angels. They may be in for their toughest game of the seaon so far squaring off vs Jered Weaver. Weaver is 167-103 in his career good for a +8.3% ROI playing on him, but at home he has been off the charts. Weaver is 95-38 at home with an ROI of +15.4%, and that climbs to +19.7% if he is not a favorite of -215 or more in the contest. teams that start the season at 4-0, are bad bets in game 5, as their opponent has a +39.6% ROI when facing them. Make the play on LA.
|
04-11-15 |
Chicago Cubs +100 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
9-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Colorado Rockies have been a big surprise starting the season at 4-0. The Rockies have never started 5-0 in their franchise history. The Cubs have had trouble driving in runs, although getting plenty of opportunities, as they are 2 for 25 with runners in scoring position, and that is going to change. jason Hamel has an edge here, as he has plenty of experience pitching at Coors Field, where he has made 87 career starts. Once again we find a 4-0 team trying to start 5-0, but history shows they are bad bets with their opponents logging a +39.6% ROI against them. The visitor here is unlike many other, with a pitcher that has tons of experience pitching in Colorado. Make the play on Chicago.
|
04-11-15 |
New York Mets +108 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
The early returns may suggest that the Braves are going to be tough to deal with this season, but they really have begun to rebuild the team, and the 4-0 start may be just an illusion. Juloi Teheran was very good at home a year ago where he posted a 2.11 ERA, but the issue was and still will be, the Braves offense that generated 2 or less runs in 9 of his 16 home starts. He has made 7 career starts vs the Mets, and the Brave punchless attack generated 10 runs in the 7 games. Dillon Gee appears to be ready to shiut down the Braves attack as over his career he has posted a 3-1 record with a glistening 1.50 ERa against the Braves. Teams starting 4-0 have been great play against teams over the past 10 years. Make the play on New York.
|
04-11-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -102 |
Top |
9-6 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
The Detroit Tigers have come out all business to start the 2015 season, as they take on Cleveland with their perfect 4-0 start to the season. David Price got the Tigers started in the opener, and the Detroit staff has a combined 1.00 ERA through the 4 games. price owns just a 2-2 record in his career against the Tribe, who plated 4 runs in the opener, the only earned runs allowed this season by Tiger pitching. Cleveland will go with Corey Kluber who is plenty capeable of matching Price inning for inning. The Tigers 4-0 start works against them here however, as teams starting the season 4-0, have shown their opponents to be a wise choice over the past 10 years, producing a +39.6% ROI playing on them. Make the play on Cleveland.
|
04-11-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals +115 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
115 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
You couldn't ask for a better start, with all the drama in the Reds 4-0 mark through 4 games. Cincinnati has won all 4 games in their final at bat becoming the first team to do so in their first 4 games in nearly 100 years. St. Louis is a good team especially at home, and they beat Red's starter Johny Cueto in 2 of his 3 starts against them a year ago. Michael Wacha looks to bounce back from an injured 2014 where he missed 3 months, but still managed a 3.20 ERA, and threw the vball well in the spring. Wacha has a career 2.63 ERA against the Reds in 5 starts, and St. Louis owns 4 straight wins in Cincinnati. Luck has been on the side of Cincinnati to start the season, but it comes to an end today. Make the play on St. Louis.
|
04-10-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels -118 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-118 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the MLB season at 3-0 and play game 4 on the road have been awful the last 10 years as their opponents have registered an ROI of +52.5%. Make the play on the LA Angels.
|
04-10-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates +110 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the season 0-3 and are playing game 4 on the road have been great bets the last 10 seasons in MLB as they have produced an ROI of +23.7%. Make the play on Pittsburgh.
|
04-10-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays +119 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
9-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has produced a +17.8% ROI, the last 10 years, the play is on Tampa Bay.
|
04-10-15 |
Minnesota Twins +108 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
6-0 |
Win
|
108 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the season 0-3 and are playing game 4 on the road have been great bets the last 10 seasons in MLB as they have produced an ROI of +23.7%. Make the play on Minnesota.
|
04-10-15 |
Chicago Cubs +125 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation which has produced a +17.8% ROI, the last 10 years, the play is on the Chicago Cubs.
|
04-10-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -108 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
Teams that start the MLB season at 3-0 and play game 4 on the road have been awful the last 10 years as their opponents have registered an ROI of +52.5%. Make the play on Cleveland.
|
04-09-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays +100 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
Teams playing in their opening series of the season that won game 2 as a home favorite, and are now posted as a home favorite again in game 3, have been very poor. The fact is over the last 10 years, playing against them has produced a +41.8% ROI. Make the play on Toronto.
|
04-09-15 |
Chicago White Sox +110 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
Teams playing in their opening series of the season that won game 2 as a home favorite, and are now posted as a home favorite again in game 3, have been very poor. The fact is over the last 10 years, playing against them has produced a +41.8% ROI. Make the play on the Chicago White Sox.
|
04-09-15 |
New York Mets +112 v. Washington Nationals |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
112 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
Teams playing in their opening series of the season that won game 2 as a home favorite, and are now posted as a home favorite again in game 3, have been very poor. The fact is over the last 10 years, playing against them has produced a +41.8% ROI. Make the play on the NY Mets.
|
04-09-15 |
Minnesota Twins +151 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
1-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
Teams playing in their opening series of the season that won game 2 as a home favorite, and are now posted as a home favorite again in game 3, have been very poor. The fact is over the last 10 years, playing against them has produced a +41.8% ROI. Make the play on Minnesota.
|
04-08-15 |
San Diego Padres +128 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
This game fits a game number 3 situation, where the home favorite won the first game, and lost the 2nd game, and they do horrible in this spot with the dog earning a very nice 38.8% ROI over the last 10 years. Make the play on San Diego.
|
04-08-15 |
Los Angeles Angels +120 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
120 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
This game fits a game number 3 situation, where the home favorite won the first game, and lost the 2nd game, and they do horrible in this spot with the dog earning a very nice 38.8% ROI over the last 10 years. Make the play on the LA Angels.
|
04-08-15 |
Chicago White Sox -101 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
5-7 |
Loss |
-101 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a season game 2 situation that over the last 10 years has produced a 25.7% ROI, playing against the home favorite, if they won game 1. The play is on the Chicago White Sox.
|
04-08-15 |
New York Mets +125 v. Washington Nationals |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation playing against a pair of season game 2 teams when the home favorite lost the opener. The ROI on the road dog to win again is 38.2%, and the play is on the NY Mets.
|
04-08-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays +112 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
This game fits a situation playing against a pair of season game 2 teams when the home favorite lost the opener. The ROI on the road dog to win again is 38.2%, and the play is on Toronto.
|
04-08-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Philadelphia Phillies +150 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
150 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
This game is based on game 2 of the regular season, and playing on a team that lost as a hoe dog in their season opener, that is now a home dog again. These teams have produced a 29.9% ROI the last 10 years and the play is on Philadelphia.
|
04-08-15 |
Minnesota Twins +170 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
0-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a season game 2 situation that over the last 10 years has produced a 25.7% ROI, playing against the home favorite, if they won game 1. The play is on Minnesota.
|
04-07-15 |
San Diego Padres +148 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
148 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
Teams that win their opener often let down, and in game 2 if they won as a home favorite, and are posted as a home favorite again, the dog carries all the value producing a 19.1% ROI the last 10 years. Make the play on San Diego.
|
04-07-15 |
Los Angeles Angels +120 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
120 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
|
Teams that win their opener often let down, and in game 2 if they won as a home favorite, and are posted as a home favorite again, the dog carries all the value producing a 19.1% ROI the last 10 years. Make the play on the LA Angels.
|
04-07-15 |
Texas Rangers +151 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
151 |
13 h 54 m |
Show
|
Teams that win their opener often let down, and in game 2 if they won as a home favorite, and are posted as a home favorite again, the dog carries all the value producing a 19.1% ROI the last 10 years. Make the play on Texas.
|
04-07-15 |
Colorado Rockies +136 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
136 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
Teams that lose their opener as a home favorite, tend to lose their 2nd game as well as a home favorite. Their opponent has carried a 32.7% ROI in game 2. Make the play on Colorado.
|
04-07-15 |
Atlanta Braves +115 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
12-2 |
Win
|
115 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
Teams that lose their opener as a home favorite, tend to lose their 2nd game as well as a home favorite. Their opponent has carried a 32.7% ROI in game 2. Make the play on Atlanta.
|
04-06-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's -147 |
|
0-8 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 49 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Oakland.
|
04-06-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers -183 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 52 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on the LA Dodgers.
|
04-06-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners -143 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Seattle.
|
04-06-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Miami Marlins -123 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-123 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Miami.
|
04-06-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -124 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Cincinnati.
|
04-06-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals -123 |
Top |
1-10 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Kanas City.
|
04-06-15 |
New York Mets v. Washington Nationals -182 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-182 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Washington.
|
04-06-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays -126 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-126 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Tampa Bay.
|
04-06-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Milwaukee Brewers -153 |
Top |
10-0 |
Loss |
-153 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Milwaukee.
|
04-06-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers -180 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on Detroit.
|
04-06-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees -144 |
Top |
6-1 |
Loss |
-144 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
If you think there is not a home field advantage for game 1 of the MLB season, you simply have not been paying attention. The last 11 years when a team is playing their home opener as a home favorite of greater than -120 and less than -190, against a team that is also playing their opening game of the season, the results have been staggeringly one-sided. The home favorite is 50-16 and has an ROI of +26.5%, winning 75.5% of all games. Make the play on the NY Yankees.
|
10-21-14 |
San Francisco Giants -106 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
The 2014 World Series begins tonight in Kansas City, as the San Francisco Giants look for their 3rd Championship in 5 years. Kansas City is built for speed, and put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses. It is a marker of success, get on base, steal, bunt and cause problems for the defense. A couple noteworthy points regarding this. The first is Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner has pitched 31.2 innings in the post-season, and has an ERA of 1.42. No other SF starter has pitched more than 13.2 innings. Four bullpen members of the Ginats, Affeldt, Casilla, Lopez, and Petit have worked 24 innings and allowed 8 total hits. You can't steal first. Secondly, Bumgarner led the NL picking off 6 runners this season, and allowed just 7 stolen bases against him. This certainly should take a big part of the Royal's game away. San Francisco is not hitting well, but have produced 12 runs without the benefit of a hit, so if they hit a little bit, they are going to be tough to beat. James Shileds has been ineffective in the post-season, and if the Ginats are going to have a chance in this series, they absolutely have to win when Bumgarner gets the ball. KC has lost all their momentum with a big layoff, and teams with the most rest in world series games win 40% of the time. Jut one time over the last decade as a team swept the 3 game series during the regular season, and they lost 7-2 in game 1 of the World Series. Bumgarner's last 10 starts have seen opponents score 0 runs, after his 1st 23 saw every team score at least 1, so needless to say he is in the zone. Play on San Francisco.
|
10-06-14 |
Washington Nationals v. San Francisco Giants -127 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-127 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Washington Nationals had a 1-0 lead with 2 out and nobody on in the 9th inning, and it sure looked like they were heading to San Francisco tied at 1-1. That broke down quickly as a walk and a pair of hits tied the score at 1, and the Nats lost a marathon in 18 innings 2-1. They now have to head for the opposite coast down 0-2 in the series, and the tank has to be just about empty. Ross Bumgarner won't make it much easier as he pitched a complete game shutout vs Pittsburgh in the wild card game, and has completed 9 starts on the season allowing 0 runs. San Francisco fits a nice playoff situation which is 22-6 based on their win in game 2. Make the play on San Francisco.
|