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NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-28-14	Miami Dolphins -3.5 v. Oakland Raiders		38-14	Win	100	45 h 25 m	Show
Miami -4 A total fade play against the Raiders. Travel cross country to get beat and now travel to England! They have no offense, back to back travel off a brutal game against the Pats and Miami will redeem themselves this week against possible one of the bottom 3 teams in the NFL. Miami will run it and run it well here. Raiders just cannot get out of their own way and Miami can play better D than last week, and QB Carr for Oakland cannot throw the long ball for big plays, only 1 completion over 30 yards this year! Raiders just not well coached and cannot make big plays catching a decent team in a bad mood of a embarrassing loss, and a QB who wants to prove himself after a lot of media speculation all week. Play 1 Unit on Miami
09-25-14	NY Giants v. Washington Redskins -3		45-14	Loss	-130	6 h 21 m	Show
Redskins -3.5 (Buy the hook (half point down) at -115 for overall odds on wager if you want – I do not think it is needed) Sold on Kirk Cousins as the better triggerman for the Skins sake than RG III, and sold on the Skins defense being better here. While Cousins had a huge day against Philly, I do not think the Giants defense is as bad as Philly’s, but their secondary is suspect and they were not tested against Fitzpatrick last week, but they will be this week. Washington has a much better 1-2 punch at RB, plus home field here. NY just too inconsistent and 1 good game against a so-so Houston team does not have me jumping on the bandwagon. NY gives up big plays and their special teams is questionable as well. Remember RB Foster did not play for Texans last week and Houston’s QB is deplorable. Home field worth 3 and I think Washington is the better team, so I will lay the field gal here. Play 1 Unit on Washington BONUS PLAY – UCLA -4 for a half unit. AZ State popular in the betting markets, and home dog on a Thursday always worth a hard look, but I think Hundley plays and his backup is capable if not, can run the offense and I think this is UCLA’s coming out party.
09-21-14	Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5		20-26	Win	100	56 h 16 m	Show
Seattle -4.5 Denver has yet to show me anything, as a matter of fact they beat 2 teams so far whose record combined is 0-4 and they struggled in both games, and bear in mind KC lost RB Charles on the first series and KC’s best defensive player was out and KC damn near tied it at the bell. Denver simply does not run the scheme on offense that is successful against Seattle defense and it was exposed last year in the Super Bowl and although Denver has shored up their defense I have yet to see them dominate an opponent. Seattle is DOOM at home and catching them off a loss is even worse for Denver who makes their first road trip of the season to the toughest place in the NFL to play and the Hawks in a foul mood. Denver second half collapses have been epic this season and they have failed to cover a spread. Play 2 Units on Seattle – TOP PLAY
09-21-14	Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -9.5		9-20	Win	100	53 h 60 m	Show
New Orleans -10 HATE to lay double digits in the NFL but New Orleans at home, 0-2 start, defense was embarrassed the last 2 weeks straight, and Minny with all the AD distractions and off a complete domination at home by the Pats, and the Saints are a better team than the Pats, in the dome here, a major blowout is on tap as the Vikes suffer the Saints frustrations with Drew Brees and company pulling out a can of whoop ass. Play 1 Unit on New Orleans 2 Team 6 Point Teaser – Tease San Diego to +8.5 and Tease Washington to +12.5 for 1 Unit.
09-18-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons -6		14-56	Win	100	7 h 26 m	Show
Atlanta -6 Thursday Nights can be a slippery slope but Atlanta off a tough loss has seen far superior teams than Tampa has. Yes that includes Carolina, because BOTH teams Tampa played this year started back-up QB’s, and Matt Ryan is the real deal and the Dirty Birds are focused, trust me. A running game is present for ATL, 3 stud WR’s, indoor on the turf, 3 point home field advantage, and I do not see Tampa’s offense capable of a late rally and back door cover here. Not sold on Tampa’s QB situation, not sold on Doug Martin against this defense grinding out the clock and moving the chains and Tampa’s defense is good, but they will be gassed by games end and Atlanta’s big play capability will be the difference. Play 1 Unit on Atlanta
09-14-14	Detroit Lions v. Carolina Panthers -2.5		7-24	Win	100	47 h 26 m	Show
Carolina -2.5 Great number here. Detroit a different animal away from the turf at home and after scoring 30 points in a previous win, the next game the Lions are 0-12 ! WOW. Cam Newton back, Carolina has some legit receivers and their defense will shut down Stafford and quite frankly Detroit cannot run it. Carolina will romp in my opinion. Play 1 Unit on Carolina
09-14-14	Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills +1		10-29	Win	100	47 h 25 m	Show
Buffalo +1 Love the Bills at home. Miami off a huge upset win over New England, but the Pats cannot run it and Buffalo can. Buffalo off an upset as well, but EJ Manual looked very sharp and the Bills are vastly better than the preseason showing they made, and Miami has big issues in Buffalo and the Bills swept Miami last year. Love Buffalo here to pound Spiller and Jackson all day. Play 1 Unit on Buffalo
09-14-14	New England Patriots -6 v. Minnesota Vikings		30-7	Win	100	47 h 24 m	Show
New England -6 Love the Pats off a loss and since the Rams are so horrible on offense the Minny last week not all that impressive, and I took them there too. Do not see Brady and company going down the path of 0-2 to start out the season and I expected this number 7 or higher. Pats redeem themselves and QB Cassell will get exposed here. Play 1 Unit on New England Bonus 2 Team 6 Point Teaser - Tease Denver down to -7 and Tease Jax to +12 - 1 Unit
09-11-14	Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Baltimore Ravens		6-26	Loss	-145	7 h 42 m	Show
Steelers +3 Evenly matched teams, I like taking Dogs. Anyone see Big Bens numbers last week, and Pitt has the better ground game until Bell end up suspended for the weed issue. I like Pitts speedy wide outs and although they slipped and fell after halftime last week, they played better than anyone expected. Think the Ray Rice issue is a distraction in Ravens camp? HELL YES. They has major issues last week against Cincy and Dalton picked them apart and Big Ben tons better than Andy Dalton with a better running game. Last 5 decided by 3 or less Not sold on the Ravens and highly touted or not I see them at 0-2 after tonight. Play 1 Unit on Pittsburgh.
09-08-14	NY Giants v. Detroit Lions -6		14-35	Win	100	9 h 36 m	Show
Lions - 6 to -6.5 max Laying points Sunday was death, but NY did little on offense in the preseason to convince me they can trade punches here. No Way. Lions loaded on offense, Golden Tate will be a huge addition to them, they have a 1-2 punch at RB, and of course Megatron rolling around against a suspect secondary. Offensive line issues for NY as they are starting a guard that San Fran cut last week. Manning has to show me something and any sort of run game out of NY has to be established to kill clock, I just do not see it. Detroit by 10. Play 1 Unit
09-07-14	Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7.5	Top	24-31	Loss	-106	124 h 56 m	Show
Denver Broncos -7 to 7.5 Home field here worth 4, and with the Colts looking lost and unproductive in the preseason, missing Freeny on the DL, I expect Denver to pull out a can of whoop ass in this one. Remember last year one of the rare losses Denver had was an ass kicking at Indy in Manning’s return, and he has had this one circled since the schedule came out. Did I mention Mathis was out for Indy too? Who rushes the passer with effectiveness. Denver defense is a massive upgrade with Ware and Talib, and I simply think the key in this one is the time Manning gets to throw it with limited pass rush and weak DB’s for Indy. Payback is sweet Play 2 Units on Denver (NBC Late Game ) TOP PLAY
09-07-14	Minnesota Vikings +4 v. St. Louis Rams		34-6	Win	100	116 h 27 m	Show
Minnesota +4 Minny went undefeated in the Preseason, and while I do not put a ton of stock into it, St Louis has had a ton of distractions in the preseason. Michael Sam’s ordeal and losing Bradford for the entire season, and I did not see much offense out of them. Zimmer (DC from Cincy) takes over the Vikings team on the rise, Cassell is serviceable at QB and let’s not forget Adrian Petersen running around with Norv Turner as offensive coordinator here, a role he is made for versus his head coaching tenures which were never any good. Outright win would not shock me, and I respect Rams defense, but not sold on QB Hill running the Ram offense with a rookie RB behind him. I expect scoring to be a premium and I like catch the points over the fall number of 3 here. Play 1 Unit on Minny
02-02-14	Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos -2		43-8	Loss	-100	149 h 8 m	Show
Denver -2 Not going against the best QB the NFL has seen here in Manning. Russell Wilson will have to play an ABOVE perfect game, and I have yet in the past 4 weeks to see him play a perfect game period. The bull rush defense of Seattle works well at home, but with Manning getting rid of the ball in less than 2 seconds on the average, immense pressure does not bother him. You also can expect 65% or more will be Denver fans in this game on location in NY which does not hurt. I have doubts about Seattle
01-19-14	New England Patriots +6 v. Denver Broncos		16-26	Loss	-110	78 h 3 m	Show
New England +5.5 to 6 Yeah, the Bronco's are everyone's favorite by this number which dropped to 4.5 now has shot up again. We are betting into a number, not a game, and while Denver should win this one, I cannot buck Brady and company to make this a thriller down to the wire. New England can score points against Denver's defense, their running game has improved and New England's coaching staff knows how to win big games. Not sure of Mannings prowess in big games, and have no illusions, this will not be a blowout. New England for 1 Unit
01-12-14	San Diego Chargers +9.5 v. Denver Broncos	Top	17-24	Win	100	101 h 45 m	Show
San Diego +9.5 The Chargers have the recipe for beating Denver, as the only team who played them very tough twice and the only team to beat them in Denver this season. Past results rarely repeat themselves in wagering but the line is very high as Peyton Manning has warranted that over the years in the post season to carry such a big number? The FACT that the Chargers have not lost by more than 10 points all season is indication enough they are gamers, and no doubt Phillip Rivers is a riverboat gambler and spear chucker much like Brett Favre was back in the day. The Charger defense has held the Bronco
01-11-14	Indianapolis Colts +7.5 v. New England Patriots		22-43	Loss	-119	53 h 8 m	Show
Colts +7 Think Andrew Luck and his buddies remember the 59-24 drubbing at the hands of the Pats last November? I bet they do. When was the last time Brady won a AFC Championship? Living on past reputation with a defense that gives up big plays and points, still had New England winning numerous games ugly this season, but none the less at home they are unbeatable 90% of the time. The big Key for the Pats in terms of success was Gronkowski, and he was Brady
01-11-14	New Orleans Saints +8 v. Seattle Seahawks		15-23	Push	0	49 h 18 m	Show
Saints +8 Lest we not forget the beating New Orleans took on a MNF game in here this year, and the upset win Seattle pulled off a few years back in the Wildcard of the Playoffs with an 8-8 team I think, because I can GUARANTEE you Sean Peyton and Drew Brees and company have not forgotten it. New Orleans is getting key numbers of +6 and +7 and through those key numbers I see a team hell bent on revenge, who despite being on the road last week, won a big game on the road, held a big time offense in check and New Orleans has also done a better job as the season progressed with running the ball and their defensive front 7 has improved. Seattle
01-05-14	San Francisco 49ers -2.5 v. Green Bay Packers	Top	23-20	Win	100	50 h 15 m	Show
San Fran -2.5 Green Bay backed in here boys. They needed a miracle play from Aaron Rogers just to beat a very bad Bears defense, and quite frankly an average team. San Fran is red hot. I have found over the years that hot teams peaking at the right time are dangerous. San Fran is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS coming in here, the offense is healthy and Green Bays defense is below average against a mobile QB, Vernon Davis, 2 solid WR
01-05-14	San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5		27-10	Loss	-105	47 h 40 m	Show
Cincy -7 San Diego is here by default. They struggled against KC and their 2nd stringers last week, 12 of KC
01-04-14	Kansas City Chiefs +1 v. Indianapolis Colts	Top	44-45	Push	0	28 h 5 m	Show
Kansas City +2 An old mentor in this business, Mike Lee once told me if you see a fishy line in the post season bet against it. While Wildcard favs went 4-0 ATS last year, I like KC here for numerous reasons. They were handed a 23-7 loss at HOME in Arrowhead and now Indy lays just -2.5 at home? Kansas City has the better running game and the better defense, which has not played well lately but has the ability to be a difference maker, and regardless of recent performance we had the best defense in the NFL through the first half of the season. Facing Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers twice along the way will do damage to any defense, and bear in mind KC played scrubs ;last week at SD and they damn near won the game, and the starters are well rested, with revenge. Andy Reid is a veteran NFL coach, has vast experience in the post season, and I think Jamaal Charles goes off in this one and KC's WR's play better than in recent weeks. Indy played in a weak division, and has no running game. I know they beat Seattle, Denver and San Fran this year, but that was with Reggie Wayne, and I think his absence proves fatal here for Indy. Play 1.5 Units on Kansas City BONUS 2 Team 6 Point Teaser - Tease KC to +8 and Tease New Orleans to +8.5 - Play 1 Unit
12-29-13	San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals		23-20	Win	100	51 h 51 m	Show
San Fran -1 Lets expose Arizona here, Palmer does not play well under pass pressure, period. San Fran is well coached and will be coached up for this game with a possible division title on the line, although Seattle will win. Zona needs allot of help to sniff the playoffs and this is worst matchup on earth for them. San Fran off a poor performance on Monday, even with a 10 point win one should be prepared for this one to gain momentum, and although the first meeting was a 13 point win, Zona had 4 turnovers. That said those turnovers were forced and the Niners will force more this week. Palmer no good under pressure. Tight game, I am taking the better team with less pressure on them to win by 3. Play 1 Unit on San Fran
12-22-13	New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3		13-17	Win	100	24 h 14 m	Show
Carolina -3 New Orleans cannot win on the road, period - enough said. Carolina an 18 point loser 2 weeks ago and now favored at home? Why - because oddsmakers know Carolina is the play on team at home and New Orleans on back to back roadies here cannot win one on the road. Panther defense wants revenge. Play 1 Unit on Carolina
12-22-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. St. Louis Rams -4		13-23	Win	100	24 h 3 m	Show
St Louis -4 The Rams are sneaky good and now that Tampa is over their 4 game win streak it is business as usual. Rams defense sneaky good, the offense playing vastly better and home in the dome where they destroyed a great Saints team last week. Zac Stacey at RB for the Rams has looked great and had 133 last week against a stingy Saints defense, and Clemmons looking better each week. Not sold on Glennon for TB, he has dropped off a bit. Play 1 Unit on ST. Louis BONUS 2 Team teaser 6 Pointer - 1 Unit- Tease Cincy down to -2.5 and Tease Seattle down to -4. Cincy should roll the Vikes off a bad performance last week, and Hawks defense brings QB Palmer back down to earth.
12-16-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Detroit Lions -6.5		18-16	Loss	-110	11 h 21 m	Show
Detroit -6.5 to 7 What can the Ravens do on offense to counter the Lions on the scoreboard? Flacco has been horrific on the road all year, the Ravens run game which is non existent against this front 7? Ravens run it for 82 yards a game, 30th in the NFL. Can't run it so the Lions tee off on pass rush with a strong front 4. How does Baltimore trade punches on the scoreboard? Ravens rarely lose by more than 3 or 4 points but Lions in a must win scenario at home with Green Bay and Chicago both winning on Sunday and they will be focused. The Lions are their own worst enemy 90% of the time, and if they can hold down the mistakes and run their offense here they should get a double digit win here at home. Play 1 Unit on Detroit.
12-15-13	Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts -5		3-25	Win	100	45 h 50 m	Show
Colts -6 If Houston gets down early in this one against the hit and miss Colts, trust me they will throw it in. Houston is a train wreck and have little fight in them. Indy needs a solid win here, and off a straight up loss the Colts know how to bounce back, they are 9-0 the last 9 times in their game after a loss, Houston a good whipping boy. Play 1 Unit on Indy
12-15-13	Chicago Bears v. Cleveland Browns	Top	38-31	Win	100	45 h 50 m	Show
Chicago pk to -1 Cutler back, Bears offense clicking and no doubt the Browns will put up more of a defense than Dallas did on Monday. Always a tricky spot for focus off a MNF game, short week and travel but Chicago in a dogfight for the division with Detroit, who they know has a winnable MNF game this week, and Cutler will want to impress in his return and lead his team into the division crown and playoffs. Browns off a heartbreaker last week at Pats, hard to recover from that and really what do they have to play for here, Bears need this game badly, huge game in their eyes, I expect a solid effort here. Play 3 Units on Chicago
12-09-13	Dallas Cowboys +1 v. Chicago Bears	Top	28-45	Loss	-108	77 h 49 m	Show
Dallas pk to +1 Dallas is flat out the better team. Chicago's defense a total wreck and they allow opponents to run the ball at almost 6 yards per carry. A healthy dose of RB Murray in this one for Dallas and Romo should find lots of success out of play action, where he thrives like crazy when given the opportunity. Dez Bryant should have a big night as well. Chicago losing the division and their QB play is inconsistent but they will score against the Cowboy defense, so the Over here, pending final day weather also worth a sniff but Dallas can rack up points against a bad defense and they will tonight, enough to win by 3 to 7 points. Play 1 Unit on Dallas
12-08-13	Oakland Raiders +3 v. NY Jets		27-37	Loss	-110	46 h 23 m	Show
Oakland +2.5 Wrong team favored. Like the new QB for Oakland out of Penn State, and like the overall scenario here for an Oakland team who is better than their record, play tough away from home against an offense at NY that cannot muster any points, yards, big plays, stretch the field or threaten anyone in anyway. Oakland
12-08-13	Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5		6-27	Win	100	46 h 22 m	Show
Tampa Bay -2.5 Short number here for a team playing well, with the better defense, with the better QB and with more momentum than Buffalo, who lost to the lowly dirty birds last week in OT. Buffalo finds ways to lose and Tampa finds ways to win. Bucs off a beat down at Carolina last week, I expect them to bounce back at home here with allot less heat on rookie QB Glennon than he faced last week. Play 1 Unit on Tampa Bay 2 Team 6 Point BONUS Teaser
12-08-13	Kansas City Chiefs -3 v. Washington Redskins	Top	45-10	Win	100	46 h 25 m	Show
Kansas City -3 Washington a train wreck and going nowhere, and their offense is a mess going up against a defense which is very good and pissed off after 3 straight defeats. I cannot make a case for home field being worth much here as bad as the Skins are, and Washington is the type of team KC feasted on getting to 9-0 before hitting Denver twice the last 3 weeks. Out of the 3 losses KC has went down in, the hidden gem is the fact the offense is showing signs of life, Smith throwing deeper with accuracy (only if his WRs could catch them) and they get to face the NFL
12-02-13	New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -5	Top	7-34	Win	100	9 h 38 m	Show
Seattle -4.5 Two things at play here first and foremost, Seattle is a world beater at home, and the Saints are a different animal away from the Big Easy Superdome. For Drew Brees the guy is Mr. Monday Night Football, no doubt, but the vast majority of his success on MNF has come at home, and he is the better QB in this game. The ability to run the ball will be the key factor in this game and that favors Seattle with Lynch all the way here. Mobility is an issue that troubles the Saints defense, and QB Wilson also provides that. You also have the best pass coverage team in the NFL in this one, and while Brees and company will find some spots to score here, I am going with a strong home team., the better defense, better special teams, and better running game in a big game. If Seattle can win this, the Super Bowl is likely to run through Seattle in the NFC in the playoffs, and they know it. Seattle 10-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. Drew Brees
12-01-13	Atlanta Falcons v. Buffalo Bills -3		34-31	Loss	-105	52 h 27 m	Show
Buffalo -3 Like Buffalo to break the curse of Toronto in this one, Atlanta out of gas, beat up on defense and frankly not any good on defense. Atlanta is a train wreck in slow motion, you cannot trust them at home let alone in Canada, and Buffalo competes in every game and their running attack with Spiller and Jackson should shred the Atlanta D. Play 1 Unit on Buffalo 2 Team 6 Point Teaser - Tease Chicago to +7 and Tease the Giants to +5. Play 1 Unit
12-01-13	New England Patriots -7 v. Houston Texans		34-31	Loss	-110	49 h 23 m	Show
New England -7.5 Cannot make a case for Houston, just deplorable and New England off a big win and we all know how the Pats play in November each and every year. Keenum to get the start again, but the issue was he was declining in his previous 2 games before they tried Schuab again. Nothing working for Houston, Pats are one of the Top 3 teams in the NFL and do not overlook teams. Jax wins in Houston by 7 last week, (?). Could be a trap line but the play on the field is ALL NEW ENGLAND against a lifeless team on offense. Play 1 Unit on New England
11-28-13	Green Bay Packers +6.5 v. Detroit Lions	Top	10-40	Loss	-110	44 h 40 m	Show
Green Bay +6 KEY HERE: Green Bay knows how to contain Detroit
11-25-13	San Francisco 49ers -4 v. Washington Redskins	Top	27-6	Win	100	17 h 52 m	Show
San Fran -4.5 Yes the offense of San Fran is woeful but improving and it should get very healthy against a Washington defense that is horrific and a funnel to the end zone for opposing teams. If San Fran can't score 24 to 28 here they need to throw in the towel. Expect a healthy dose of Frank Gore and Vernon Davis to have a huge night over the middle in the seam. San Fran thin at WR but can move the chains on the ground here which makes play action a huge advantage in the pass game. Washington has not faced a defense as physical as the Niners this season and RG III with struggle here under pressure Play 1 Unit on San Fran
11-24-13	Dallas Cowboys +3 v. NY Giants	Top	24-21	Win	100	49 h 36 m	Show
Dallas +2.5 After sitting 14 days and preparing, I like the BETTER TEAM in the hunt for the NFC North crown to get over on the surging Giants. Who have the G Men beat? No one, and I mean no one with a QB . Packers, Philly with Barkley, Oakland with a 3rd stringer, Minnesota with Freeman? The Giants have matchup issues here and Dallas is do or die, taking Romo in a big game here and a healthier team. Play 1 Unit on Dallas
11-24-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5 v. Detroit Lions		24-21	Win	100	45 h 11 m	Show
Tampa Bay +9 Detroit should not lay this number here and Tampa competes in every game. Like QB Glennon, 8 TD passes and 1 pick and Tampa has a running game and we all know Revis and Megatron are hooking up here. The Lion defense was walked all over by a weak Pitt team last week. Detroit wins, but not by 9. Play 1 Unit on Tampa
11-21-13	New Orleans Saints -8 v. Atlanta Falcons	Top	17-13	Loss	-110	8 h 6 m	Show
New Orleans -9 Trying not to over think this game is difficult, but if Atlanta let a rookie QB rack up points against them last week, what do you think Drew Brees and company will do? The Saints know 1 way to play, balls out on both sides of the line of scrimmage, period. This is a divisional game and if you are in the hunt in NFC for the playoffs, EVERY game counts for home field, and while the Saints are a different animal on the road, what are the weaponless Dirty Birds going to do on offense to trade punches in this game on the scoreboard against a very aggressive defense who makes plays? Nothing. Saints by 2 TD
11-18-13	New England Patriots +3 v. Carolina Panthers	Top	20-24	Loss	-110	10 h 50 m	Show
New England Panthers kinda like KC, only beat one good team and that was San Fran, and a young team off a huge win is always a go against, especially with Brady and company having an added week to prepare and be healthy. Vereen is back at RB, Gronk is back, Brady on fire and this is a national TV game with a big play air about it, and New England more experienced and better equipped to handle it. Panthers front 7 solid, but like last nights Denver game against a good KC front 7, Brady like Manning gets rid of the ball so quick it neutralizes a good pass rush. Play 2 Units on New England NBA Best Bet on Monday. With only 1 loss on the season, and low volume as my keyword, I find 1 game on Monday Night that Oddsmakers left some room for profit, and will expose a weak line and cash a nice ticket in NBA Hoops on Monday. NO Hype, just a Winner! Charlotte +11.5 The Bobcats have won and covered their last 3 road games and anything over 10 points in the NBA is a ton of points. Chicago not clicking on all cylinders yet and both teams play great defense and in a low scoring game, I will always take big points. Play 1 Unit on Charlotte.
11-17-13	Kansas City Chiefs +8 v. Denver Broncos	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	55 h 13 m	Show
Kansas City +8 KC
11-17-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Chicago Bears -3		20-23	Push	0	48 h 46 m	Show
Bears -3 Ravens a mess and their running game is a mess with Rice at 2.7 yards per carry, and although Chicago banged up. This is a must WIN to stay in the playoff hunt and divisional race against the Lions who will win today. McCown a decent QB who has impressed, Forte will have a huge day, Bears at home off a loss, and Ravens offense cannot trade punches. Lucky win against Cincy last week and I had the Ravens, but they are outclassed here. Play 1 Unit on Da Bears
11-17-13	Cleveland Browns +6.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals		20-41	Loss	-110	48 h 44 m	Show
Browns + 6 The Underdog owns this series and not sold on QB Daltons recent form and against this defense of the Browns which is good, I do not expect Cincy to light up the scoreboard. Nothing comes easy against the Browns and although their QB position is a mess, I cannot ignore the history between these two in state rivals, always a tough game. Play 1 Unit on Cleveland 2 Team 6 Point Teaser
11-17-13	NY Jets +1 v. Buffalo Bills	Top	14-37	Loss	-107	48 h 46 m	Show
NY Jets +1 Off a bye, with Ed Reed in house, the Jets under Ryan have won all but 1 game all time against the Bills who have dropped 3 straight and 5 out of 6, and Jets off a bye week will rack the Bills in this one. The running game is going, the Jets #1 rush defense against a banged up Spiller and QB Manuel not in game shape and a suspect Bills defense. Did I mention the hapless Steelers offense dominated these guys? Oh Yeah WR Holmes back this week and a healthy Jets team in the playoff hunt against a team they own and are better than. Play 3 Units on the JETS
11-14-13	Indianapolis Colts -2.5 v. Tennessee Titans	Top	30-27	Win	100	9 h 57 m	Show
Colts -2.5 Never under estimate the Colts, and this line is a gift after the Colts never got off the bus on Sunday and got rolled by the Rams. My sources in Indy tell me the coaching staff and players are well prepared, and with Tennessee having QB issues with Locker out again, on a short week, and getting beat by the NFLs worst team last week, the Colts are the team who come in here and kick some ass. Expect Andrew Luck to have a big night and steamroll the Titans. Square play? Maybe, but we are talking about a team focused, who beat the Seahawks, Niners and Bronco
11-10-13	Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers -5.5	Top	10-9	Loss	-112	50 h 31 m	Show
San Fran -6.5 Carolina has been beating the hell out of weak sisters, look at their schedule. There is allot about playoffs, and while San Fran has been upping the ante , they are clicking right now on offense and any team who can pressure Carolina
11-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +2		17-20	Win	100	46 h 27 m	Show
Baltimore +1.5 Ravens in a must win, and this proud team off a Super Bowl win has stunk it up and not been able to close out games. 4 losses by a total of 11 points, they are DUE and Cincy off a MNF debacle and they are the walking wounded with 5 starters out on defense, 2 on offense and this is ripe for the taking in a must win, catching points at home with a motivated team. Cincy has won with smoke and mirrors all year, they get exposed here with a less than 100% unit Play 1 unit on Baltimore
11-10-13	Detroit Lions +1 v. Chicago Bears		21-19	Win	100	46 h 26 m	Show
Detroit PK Love the Lions off a bye week here and into the Bear Den with QB Cutler coming back who will not be 100% and or sharp, and Bears off upset win against Green Bay who lost Aaron Rogers in that game, but they are on a short week. Detroit
11-03-13	Philadelphia Eagles v. Oakland Raiders -2.5		49-20	Loss	-110	51 h 3 m	Show
Oakland -2.5 Philly offense sucks. Chip Kelly
11-03-13	Tennessee Titans -3 v. St. Louis Rams		28-21	Win	100	48 h 60 m	Show
Tennessee -3 Off a bye week, Locker back at QB and actually a very decent team who beat Indy in Indy. Teams after playing Seattle are 0-9 ATS this season! The Rams left it all on the field in a heartbreaker on MNF and now face a rested and focused team who is healthy. Rams had little or no production at QB, and I doubt they run it like they did on Monday. Short week too. Love Tennessee in this situational spot. Play 1 Unit on Tennessee Bonus 2 Team 6 Point Teaser- Tease Buffalo to +9 and Tease the NY Jets to +12.5
10-31-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins +3	Top	20-22	Win	105	8 h 36 m	Show
Miami +3 Taking the home dog on Halloween here. Bengals confident after a pasting of the Jets last week but Miami matches up well. The fish should be motivated after blowing a 17-3 lead to the Pats last week on the road, and do not forget the Fish beat the Colts in Indy, the same Colts team who beat Denver, Seattle and San Fran. Miami is on a slide and this is a MUST win. It is too easy to lay the points here with Cincy, I have seen this scenario a thousand times in the NFL, and home dogs are always the play unless there is overwhelming evidence that the road team can win by 7 or more. Short week, travel, Ravens on deck in a huge divisional game
10-28-13	Seattle Seahawks -11.5 v. St Louis Rams	Top	14-9	Loss	-107	9 h 3 m	Show
Seattle has had trouble before in STL. Tonight won't be like that. St Louis is giddy over their Cardinals and may not have much support tonight. The Rams turn to backup QB Kellen Clemons. That can't be good against the Seahawks D. Seattle's offense is beginning to come around as well. This could be a long night for the Rams fans that are paying attention. Play one unit on Seattle
10-27-13	Atlanta Falcons +3 v. Arizona Cardinals	Top	13-27	Loss	-120	50 h 46 m	Show
Atlanta +2.5 Falcons a good team with some close losses and are seriously undervalued. Arizona cannot run the ball, and they cannot stop the run. Stephen Jackson starts for Atlanta
10-27-13	Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots -6		17-27	Win	100	46 h 22 m	Show
New England -6.5 to 7 Miami lost 3 in a row. They stink. Their offense is in a funk. Pats off a loss are like 24-9 SU and I fully expect after last weeks loss by default. The Pats will drop the hammer. The Pats scored 27 points against a very very good jets defense last week on the road and Miami
10-24-13	Carolina Panthers -5.5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers		31-13	Win	100	55 h 4 m	Show
Carolina -6.5 The Panther DEFENSE is the key in this game. And facing QB Glennon in only his 4th start on a team with serious chemistry issues and NO offense is going to be a tall chore, to cover a number, even at home. I like home dogs in the NFL but I cannot make a case for TB in this one. DOUBLE REVENGE as Carolina lost both divisional games last year in this series. A huge motivational factor. Tampa has issues with mobile QB
10-21-13	Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3.5		7-23	Win	104	9 h 56 m	Show
NY Giants -3.5 This is the first time ever I have laid points, over a fall number with a winless team, at least that I can remember. NY has played a tougher schedule, have the better QB, have home field where they have played better, they get 2 DB
10-20-13	Denver Broncos -6 v. Indianapolis Colts		33-39	Loss	-100	52 h 1 m	Show
Bronco's -6.5 Manning returns home. Indy off a short week and long travel, and while talented, Manning exposes them here as he will be highly motivated, even with a bad Bronco defense to get a big win here, and plenty of bulletin board material out of Indy this week to motivate. Von Miller returns on defense and will rally them to win a big one for Manning. Denver a contender, Colts a pretender. Play 1 Unit on Denver
10-20-13	Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -1		27-24	Loss	-133	45 h 32 m	Show
Detroit -2.5 Drinking the kool aid on a trap line? Well maybe but Cincy winning with smoke and mirrors and last second heroics, not buying it here with Dalton and Cincy's running game facing this front 5, and Stafford and company, with a healthy Bush at RB should put up close to 30 here at home and I do not see Cincy's magic working on the road twice. They were in OT against the BIlls last week with a QB who they picked off the scout team ! Play 1 Unit on Detroit 2 Team 6 Point Teaser Tease the Ravens to +7.5 and Tease Kansas City to -1 for 1 Unit
10-17-13	Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7		34-22	Loss	-115	57 h 24 m	Show
Arizona +7 Yep, looks easy to lay points against the woeful Cards who are their own worst enemy at times, but I see plenty of chinks in the armor for Seattle this season, including the fact they simply struggle away from home. I would lay this in Seattle in a heartbeat, but struggles at Carolina on the road, a road loss to Indy, and a so/so performance against Tennessee this past Sunday, against a below average QB has me on a big home dog, with a capable QB, and if you have not noticed, Seattle's secondary has been suspect all year. Short week with travel too! Also the red zone offense for Seattle is below average and while they are a public darling, this is a team who has some issues and are not hitting on all cylinders, and Zona defense has enough mustard to frustrate Wilson, and QB Palmer and his weapons can score some points here. HUGE game for Zona on national TV against a hated division rival and disrespected with this line, they will cover. Play 1 Unit on Arizona
10-14-13	Indianapolis Colts -1 v. San Diego Chargers		9-19	Loss	-108	6 h 54 m	Show
The Colts will try to improve to 5-1 tonight. The Colts have one of the leagues top offenses so far this year. The Chargers have a lot of passing yards themselves but continue to turn the ball over. Rivers threw for 411 yards against Oakland last week but had 3 INT's. The Colts rush defense hasn't been very good, but the Chargers pass defense is worse. Play one unit on Indianapolis Colts
10-13-13	New Orleans Saints +3 v. New England Patriots		27-30	Push	0	73 h 12 m	Show
Saints +2 Brady and company cannot get well against this improved defense and the Saints are the hottest team in the NFL. New England
10-13-13	Philadelphia Eagles -1 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers		31-20	Win	100	70 h 49 m	Show
Philly -1.5 to 2 Tampa is a hot mess. Yeah their defense is solid, but will be tested by Philly, who got back on track last week against a bad NY team, however, Tampa Bay
10-13-13	St. Louis Rams v. Houston Texans -7	Top	38-13	Loss	-115	70 h 48 m	Show
Houston -7 to 7.5 Everyone down on Houston, and they deserve all the bad press they get. Their QB back on his heels, and this team was a Super Bowl contender. Well they can right the ship here. St. Louis cannot stop anyone running the ball. With Foster and Tate running it, the pressure is off the throwing game. A nice balance on offense here and Houston can win by 17, and I think more. St Louis
10-07-13	NY Jets +10 v. Atlanta Falcons		30-28	Win	100	8 h 5 m	Show
The way both defenses play - Jets good Falcons not so much! This is too many points for the Falcons to be laying anywhere including the dome or in the field down by the river!
10-06-13	Denver Broncos -7 v. Dallas Cowboys	Top	51-48	Loss	-105	101 h 2 m	Show
Denver -7 to -8 This Line is posted at 7 on mid-Tuesday and climbing. Tell me how Dallas wins this? They cannot run, they beat the Giants (only with 6 turnovers given to them) and the Rams who both are flat out deplorable and lost to anyone halfway good. Denver allows 74 yards a game on the ground and Dallas cannot run. Romo in a big game with no running game? How many times have you seen this movie? Turnover after turnover and a big fat loss. Do you think it matters to Denver they are on the road? Denver
10-06-13	Carolina Panthers -1 v. Arizona Cardinals		6-22	Loss	-116	96 h 37 m	Show
Carolina -1.5 Arizona a mess right now and woeful Tampa Bay did everything but beat them on the scoreboard with a rookie QB last week, and in all honesty Zona
10-03-13	Buffalo Bills v. Cleveland Browns -4		24-37	Win	100	30 h 48 m	Show
Crappy number to lay but Buffalo lost their last 5 road games, and had 2 miracle wins this year and are off an upset win on Sunday against the Ravens. BOTH Buffalo
09-30-13	Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -6.5		17-38	Win	100	10 h 33 m	Show
The Saints have cashed 10 straight home games under Head Coach Sean Payton. Look for them to continue that streak against the Dolphins tonight. The Dolphins while 3-0 have been outgained in all three contests. I don't expect them to outgain New Orleans or be on the winning side of the scoreboard when the game ends. the Saints offense is much better prepared to put up the points than Miami's. The Ryan led defense of the Saints along with the raucous home crowd will be able to get it done against Miami.
09-29-13	Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3		32-40	Win	100	48 h 41 m	Show
Detroit -2.5 Not sold on Chicago, if you look deep into the games they played, they should have lost 2 of them and they caught a bad Steeler team with multiple injuries on Sunday Night in a perfect storm. Lest we forget the Lions were a playoff team 2 years ago and this is an absolute MUST Win for them with Green Bay on deck and the DL of Detroit should dominate Chicago, especially with 2 rookies on the OL. Bush is back at RB in this one, and the Bears defense will give up points here and they have no answer for WR Johnson. Tillman not 100% at DB for the Bears, they lost one of their best D-lineman for the season last week. Detroit in this dome is tough
09-29-13	Pittsburgh Steelers -3 v. Minnesota Vikings		27-34	Loss	-100	48 h 40 m	Show
Pitt -2 Yeah I know they suck, but so does Minny. The Vikings I have deduced have 2 players worth a shit, Jared Allen and AP at running back. Matt Cassel may get the start, and neither him or a wounded Ponder are no match for this pissed off defense and RB Bell for Pitt makes his debut in an absolute must win with a short number. If Pitt gets a running game established they can win by 10. Play one unit on Pittsburgh
09-23-13	Oakland Raiders +15.5 v. Denver Broncos		21-37	Loss	-110	23 h 45 m	Show
Oakland +15 - +16 Sunday line here and it might go up. VALUE LINE - regardless of who is playing anything over 10 points in the NFL is always tasty to me. Denver is a damn good team, no doubt but Oakland poses some threats here especially on defense. Denver without 2 starting OL players and Oakland's defense is one of the tops in the NFL through 3 weeks and they get after the QB. Denver off a cross country trip to NY and if they take the Raiders lightly, they will have a game on their hands, and QB Pryor and their RB tandem should move the chains against an over rated Denver defense. Yes Denver should dominate but years of experience doing this tells me a double digit divisional game dog is worth the stretch as I go outside the box here as everyone and their dog is laying the wood in this one. Play 1 Unit on Oakland for the cover
09-22-13	Atlanta Falcons v. Miami Dolphins -1		23-27	Win	100	51 h 8 m	Show
Miami -2.5 Atlanta over valued with 5 KEY injuries here. Miami is playing well, especially at the QB Spot and with RB Jackson out for Atlanta, and injuries to Jones and White, I like the Fish in their home opener. Much like Kansas City, Miami is undervalued, won 2 road games and have a legit shot for a nice win. Dolphins extremely well coached and should be able to get at QB Ryan of Atlanta here and their secondary is sneaky good. Play 1 Unit on Miami
09-22-13	NY Giants v. Carolina Panthers		0-38	Loss	-110	48 h 2 m	Show
NY Giants +1 Better QB, better coach, and the Giants with their back against the wall. Carolina DL is solid but their DBs are no good and they have injuries back there this week against a motivated Eli Manning. You can bet Tom Coughlin has them ready to play and Carolina is a mess on offense. No brainer here. Play 1 Unit on NY
09-22-13	Green Bay Packers -2.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals	Top	30-34	Loss	-120	48 h 4 m	Show
Green Bay -2.5 The Packers have a running game, Aaron Rogers is on fire, Cincy off a short week with an emotional game against the Steelers. Imagine if the Steelers put up 24 points on MNF football what the outcome would have been. Green Bay is an offensive machine and Rogers in total sync who will put up 24+ here, and they should be 2-0 right now, they blew it against the 49ers. Green Bay will put up enough points here on the scoreboard that Cincy cannot trade punches with, and QB Dalton for Cincy has been very inconsistent this year. Tough spot for Cincy off a MNF game. Play 2 units on Green Bay
09-15-13	New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5		16-14	Win	100	48 h 39 m	Show
The Hype is simple because it is fact. After nailing down an undefeated Premium Play day last Sunday, and kicking off the week right with a 2-0 Sweep Thursday Night, these NFL Sunday Selections will fatten your bankro9ll. Invest and Win.
09-15-13	Dallas Cowboys v. Kansas City Chiefs -3		16-17	Loss	-105	45 h 33 m	Show
KC -2.5 to 3 Again we have 4 things going for KC and one for Dallas. Dallas wins by 5 at home when given 6 turnovers? Romo Banged up, Dez Bryant out? KC has the better defense, better coach, better run game and home field. KC
09-15-13	Cleveland Browns v. Baltimore Ravens -6	Top	6-14	Win	100	44 h 30 m	Show
Ravens -6.5 Hate to lay a big number anytime but added time to prepare off an ass kicking at Denver, better defense and the Browns QB Weeden throws picks and the Browns could not establish ANY type of ground game against an average at best run defense of the Dolphins last week. Ravens in home opener here roll big. Play 1 Unit on Baltimore
09-15-13	St Louis Rams +7 v. Atlanta Falcons	Top	24-31	Push	0	44 h 29 m	Show
Rams +6.5 Jeff Fisher
09-09-13	Houston Texans -4 v. San Diego Chargers	Top	31-28	Loss	-110	6 h 7 m	Show
Houston -3 to 3.5 Chargers thin on defense, especially at LB. Houston a Super Bowl contender and from what I have seen the Chargers are a mess, and with a weak OL, I expect Houston's massive pass rush to disrupt QB Rivers all night long. RB Foster is 100% which is bad news for the Chargers, as Houston should move the chains at will even on the road. I see a 10 point win here by the might Texans. Play 2 Units on Houston BONUS 2 Team 6 Point Teaser - Tease Washington to +3 and tease Houston to +3 and Play a Half Unit.
09-08-13	Tennessee Titans +7 v. Pittsburgh Steelers	Top	16-9	Win	100	44 h 42 m	Show
I was not impressed with Pitt in the preseason, nor OC Todd Haley's play calling, and while I do not put a ton of stock in the preseason about the only thing the Steelers did that was positive was keeping Big Ben healthy. The OL is still a mess, not sure about Pitt establishing a running game of any substance here with rookie Bell hurt, and losing Wallace is a HUGE deal for stretching the field vertically for Big ben. Jake Locker is do or die this year for the Titans, but his scrambling ability here should be enough to keep Pitt on their toes defensively and in what I see as a low scoring game, the big points are tasty and I am taking a bite this Sunday for a cover here, not sure Pitt can mount enough offense to cover this number especially with a great OL line blocking for RB Johnson and eating clock. Play 1 Unit on Tennessee
09-08-13	Cincinnati Bengals +3 v. Chicago Bears	Top	21-24	Push	0	44 h 40 m	Show
I am sold on the Bengals, and not from Hard Knocks on HBO. They are the better team here and on defense they should give Cutler and company issues. Jay Cutler does not play well against a good pass rush and throws it into coverage when under pressure which is turnovers. A new head coach, and all new schemes, and leader Urlacher is gone from a solid defense, but Cincy has the running game, and weapons and I think Dalton is a very underrated QB who led his team in his first 2 years into the playoffs. Lovie Smith ran this defense when he was head coach and that voice on the sidelines is gone, there is an adjustment period for that, and Lewis a veteran coach poised to have a big year. Bengals show up and win SU. Play 1 Unit on Cincy 2 Team 6 Point Teaser for 1 Unit. Tease New England down to -3.5 (Rookie QB with no experience, beat up secondary on defense facing Brady and company? Easy win minus some points here.) and tease NY Giants UP to +9 for 1 Unit. (Dallas 3-17 ATS last 20 at home, lets add the points..Manning and Company 10-3 ATS last 13 on the road)
02-03-13	Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -3.5		34-31	Loss	-108	121 h 53 m	Show
San Fran -3.5 (line as of Tuesday- 4 in some places- may want to wait closer to week
01-20-13	Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -8	Top	28-13	Loss	-110	75 h 47 m	Show
New England -8 I Cannot buy the Ravens here, even with huge points. Championship game favs of 7-9.5 points in either division, since 1970 are 15-5 ATS. In other worlds you lay the points with the team who you think will win and take your chances, which seem to pay off well. Baltimore
01-20-13	San Francisco 49ers -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons		28-24	Win	100	71 h 18 m	Show
San Fran -3.5 The last 9 games Atlanta played in the regular season were against teams who did not make the playoffs. While the Dirty Birds got the monkey off their back last week with a Playoff win, it was ugly down the stretch and a team far more prepared than San Fran will be in terms of experience and weapons, especially at QB comes to the Dome this week, having lost thgis very same game last year. QB Kapernick the real deal, Frank Gore a stud, Davis a stud, the defensive line is solid and San Fran well coached. Hate to go against a home dog in the Championship game here, but after what Seattle did in the 4th quarter last week, San Fran can expose those very weakness
01-12-13	Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers -3		31-45	Win	110	95 h 33 m	Show
San Fran -2.5 to 3 Short and sweet here. The fundamentals of Playoff handicapping in the NFL is to take a team who has a better defense, which San Fran does BY FAR, and the team with the better running game, which San Fran does by FAR again. No doubt QB Rodgers the best QB in this game, but Green Bay while hot heading into the playoffs, had 2 tough back to back games against Minny, and they do not have the luxury of playing Joe Webb at QB in this one, Kapernick good enough as dual threat to keep the defense guessing. Green Bays lack of running game and average defense bites them hard here. Line dropping under 3 off the fall number. A tight one, I think the DL of San Fran the difference. Harbaugh 14-3-1 at home as head coach and 2 of those losses were in OT. Home field worth 3 here. San Fran D ranked third in total yards and 2nd in points allowed. Play 1 Unit on San Fran - also play Half unit on the UNDER 44.5 in this one
01-12-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos -9	Top	38-35	Loss	-110	91 h 49 m	Show
Denver -9 Indy went 1 for 6 in the red zone last week and racked up 419 total yards with a rookie QB against the Ravens over hyped and vaunted defense. Rest assured Denver will score in the red zone. Last week the Ravens defense played a ton of plays and their age, fatuige and age will show here in this game, especially late. If you thought QB Luck from Indy outplayed Flacco last week, wait till Manning gets done, and with the Ravens inconsistent offense other than Ray Rice against a very good Denver defense, looks to me like Denver, who is solid at home, gets it done BIG in this game. I have no doubts here, Denver rolls. The Ravens in way over their head against a rested Denver team who will have the Ravens D gased by late third quarter. Denver running game has vastly improved which is huge in the playoffs along with a stud QB. Play 2 Units on Denver- TOP PLAY
01-06-13	Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5		9-24	Win	100	25 h 54 m	Show
Ravens -6.5 to 7 max For those who think Balitmore is going to struggle here and Indy is the real deal, think again. The Ravens played to about 70% capability last weekend and Indy is the worst 11-5 team I have seen, out of a weak confernce overall and a rookie QB against a defense who is playing this game all out for their hero Ray Lewis who makes a start and plays in his last home game ever. I wacthed Indy struggle in person in Kansas a few weeks back, and KC a horrible team. Lewis's scenario is HUGE motivation for the Ravens, who have faltered downt he stretch, it will be the fire under their ass they need. Indy has issues against the run so look for a large doese of Ray Rice and a Raven team who brings their A game at home for this one. Home field here worth 4 points Play 1 Unit on the Ravens
01-05-13	Minnesota Vikings +9.5 v. Green Bay Packers		10-24	Loss	-126	69 h 25 m	Show
Minnesota +9.5 (this line from 7.5 to 9.5 depending on book on Wednesday). SHOP YOUR LINE as this is all over the place. Public pounding Green Bay but they cannot stop the run and AD is on fire. Ponder not near the QB that Rodgers is but I like the Vikes to cover this. Green Bays playoff performance at home is deplorable. I can go on and on. The Weather around 25 degrees at kickoff but no snow. Hard to not take the Over here, but this is not the dome like last weeks shootout. I like dogs in the playoffs and getting almost double digits with any playoff team who can run the ball against a team who cannot stop it is a take. General rule. Also Green Bay has no running game. Play 1 Unit on Minnesota Play 1 Unit. 2 Team 6 Point Teaser. Tease Green Bay down to anywhere from -1.5 to -3.5 and tease Cincy up to +10.5.
01-05-13	Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 v. Houston Texans		13-19	Loss	-104	66 h 51 m	Show
Cincy +4.5 Going to be popular going against Houston as each week everyone gets ready for them to tuern it around, and yet they do not. I lost on them last week and they let a rookie QB beat them up and a suspect Colts defense pound them and harass their QB all day. The pass rush blocking for Houston is deplorable and that is the KEy reason why I think the Bengals can win this, and keep it very tight. Cincy's defense vastly under rated and they are rolling. Houston going an opposite direction and at home, I do not think they can win this. hard to turn it around in a week after some very poor performances. It is all about momenteum, Cincy has it and are sneaky good. Cincy pl;ayed here last year in the first round of the playogffs and got their ass kicked 31-10, playing with revenge. houston has been a trainwreck. Remember Jacksonville came in here and racked up almost 40 on them! Play 1 Unit on Cincy
12-30-12	Green Bay Packers -3 v. Minnesota Vikings		34-37	Loss	-120	50 h 1 m	Show
Green Bay -3 Really in all honesty Minny has Petersen at RB and nothing else and he is not 100% for this game. Packers are the hottest team in the NFL right now outside of Seattle, and their defense has stepped it up big time. Aaron Rodgers looking like an MVP and Green Bay would love nothing more than to knock off their hated division rival in their own house and Harvin is out for this game, the only big play threat that Ponder has at WR for the Vikes. Minny is overrated and this line should be 6 or more in all honesty. Green Bay plays hard every play and are vastly better than Minny. Dirt Cheap Line here, pound GB in this one. Packers load the box and dare Ponder to beat them deep with no good WRs. Mis Match! Play 1 Unit on Green Bay.
12-30-12	St. Louis Rams +11 v. Seattle Seahawks		13-20	Win	100	50 h 0 m	Show
St Louis +10.5 Think Seattle gives a shit about this one, because they KNOW that San Fran is not going to lose to Arizona! Love the set up, unbeaten and all ATS covers at home for the Hawks, this is the week after 3 straight hugely emotional games they have a letdown and get ready for the playoffs. JEFF FISHER. Two words that have me all over St Louis and the points here. The Rams were a laughing stock last season but have done a great job this season making the most out of what they have and they will compete here in their last game of the season. Give me double digits in this spot in the NFL anytime in this scenario, I have seen it time and time again. Pete Carroll will not lay down here by any means, but St Louis will cover this. Play 1 Unit on St Louis BONUS 2-Team 6 Point Teaser
12-30-12	Houston Texans -6.5 v. Indianapolis Colts	Top	16-28	Loss	-110	47 h 36 m	Show
Houston
12-23-12	NY Giants -1 v. Baltimore Ravens		14-33	Loss	-125	120 h 6 m	Show
New York Giants -1 to 2 Not sold on Ravens. Firing Cam Newton did nothing to help the office, Torrey Smith is out this week, and the G Men fresh off an ass kicking at Tlanta are not happy. NY off a loss is 4-1 SU their last 5 and Coughlin will have them ready, and they get Bradshaw back this week. Rumor of Ray Lewis appearing in this game does little to sway me. Baltimore
12-23-12	Indianapolis Colts -6.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs		20-13	Win	100	117 h 42 m	Show
Indy - This line will go up, so be it. Anyone want part of KC this weekend? KC is a train wreck in slow motion and even at home cannot be trusted. Word is out of KC that Rikki Stanzi, third on depth chart will play in this game with Quinn questionable and not 100%. I guess they have thrown Cassel on the scrap heap with a 64 million dollar contract. Really explains it all. KC
12-17-12	NY Jets v. Tennessee Titans		10-14	Loss	-110	4 h 19 m	Show
Pick: Jets Analysis: Jets +1 ** 1 Unit MAX A very tough game to call but all things said, Tennessee's defense is deplorable allows teams to run the ball and rack up points. Of all the key points in this game and in any game where you have 2 evenly matched teams, DEFENSE is key..Jets have it and Titans do not. Titans will be able to run it but Jets also running the ball better and thye jets have a veteran team here who is ready to continue to make a playoff bid..although they will not make it...this game is winnable. Titans dead last in NFL in points allowed
12-16-12	Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders -3		0-15	Win	100	71 h 34 m	Show
Oakland -3 KC on the road? Enough Said. KC in back to back weeks on the road? Agagain, enough said. Oakland is as ad as KC, ALMOST. So what is the difference? QB Palmer better than KC
12-16-12	Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans -9	Top	17-29	Win	100	67 h 10 m	Show
Houston
12-13-12	Cincinnati Bengals -4 v. Philadelphia Eagles	Top	34-13	Win	100	13 h 50 m	Show
Bengals -4.5 Philly
12-03-12	NY Giants -3 v. Washington Redskins	Top	16-17	Loss	-100	22 h 37 m	Show
NY Giants -3 Have no illusions, the NY Giants and Tom Coughlin play their best ball down the stretch, always have, and last week after a bye week was an example of that destroying a Top 10 NFL team, the Packers. NY rendered them useless the entire game and have their focus back off the bye week and now play a team who always gives them fits. The Giants won by 4 in the previous meeting, and are 0-4 ATS the last 4 against thye Skins, but at days end this is for playoff positioning and an NFC East division crown, and while the Skins have looked good in their last 2 games, they played those against the woeful Cowboys and Eagles. trends reverse and while this opened lower than 3 and we lost some line value, I honestly feel NY is the better team here by a TD, even on the road. Tough to go against a home dog on MFL, but the better team here is NY and also a lonmg layoff for Washington is not always a good thing and NY has had an extra day here as well. The Skins took both games from NY last year, Couglin wants the sweep here and so does this team. Play 2 Units on the Giants.
12-02-12	Philadelphia Eagles +11 v. Dallas Cowboys		33-38	Win	100	35 h 47 m	Show
Philly +11.5 Dallas has NO business laying 11 points to anyone- even KC or Jax - even at home! This is a hated rival and while Dallas is the better team, especially at honme, division wins do not come easy and while Philly is a mess, Dallas is not far off. The most overrated team in the NFL and a public darling driving this line to double digits. Philly has weapons guys, and can expose a Dallas defense and hang tough. Cowboys turnover prone as well. Play 1 Unit on Philly 2 team 6 point teaser. Tease Kansas City to +9 and tease Minnesota to +15.5 (line dropping on MInny- get this in now!)
12-02-12	Cincinnati Bengals -1 v. San Diego Chargers	Top	20-13	Win	100	31 h 42 m	Show
Cincy -1 The Chargers a mess and off a brutal loss last week against the Ravens. The offense is paltry at best and they catch a red hot Cincy team I have rode the last 2 weks, both no sweat winners. Cincy under the radar but the their defensive front 5 is as good as any in football and they rush the passer well, not a good combo for QB Rivers whio has been a turnover machine all year. Cincy has scored 93 points in their last 3 games and simply have too many weapons for SD. Cincy is very well coached, as opposed to the Chargers who have nothing to play for here and they have shown little pride down the stretch. Play 2 Units on Cincy - TOP PLAY

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