Miami -5



Willing to lay it here as Miami always hammers the Bulls it seems, 4-1 ATS their last 5 in here, and the Bulls continue to struggle without Rose. On TNT, I tend to isolate those games from others, it really is the NBA

Denver -4

Love the Nuggets here off a blowout win at Toronto and scoring vastly more points than the hapless Nets, without Pierce right now and poor play from the old guard in place. Garnett a shell of himself and the offense of Denver better by 10 ppg in recent stats. Denver hot, 6-0 SU their last 6!

Play 1 Unit on Denver.

Denver -4

Love the Nuggets here off a blowout win at Toronto and scoring vastly more points than the hapless Nets, without Pierce right now and poor play from the old guard in place. Garnett a shell of himself and the offense of Denver better by 10 ppg in recent stats. Denver hot, 6-0 SU their last 6!

Play 1 Unit on Denver.

Portland -3.5

I always like home dogs like last night, but riding a red hot Portland team here tonight. The Suns defense in their last 5 games is 10 points worse than Portland, and Portland

New Orleans +2.5

Going contrarian here as Golden St has injury issues big time and Igoudala is out and Curry is working back into the the system after missing 2 games. The Warriors are too good to lose 4 straight? Well New Orleans is off a bad loss to San Antonio but had won 3 straight going into that game with some insane offense, scoring 108 ppg their last 5 games and they are 5-2 at home. I always like going against road teams Holiday week as well, and Golden State shorthanded here tonight and New Orleans plays their best defense at home. Bogut questionable tonight as well for GS and they have went 1-3 their last 4 road games. Oddsmakers begging you to take Golden St, I am going against that. Good side for half a NBA teaser as well.

Play 1 Unit on New Orleans

LA Lakers -4

Kings 1-3 on the road this season and LA has been hot at home, as their last 2 games played were at home and they won those 2 games by a combined 29.5 points OVER the spread, with their offense clicking. Willing to lay it here against a bad road team.

Play 1 unit on LA Lakers

This Pacer defense will smother Boston's anemic offense, they only avg. scoring 93 while Indy only allows 87. Paul George is averaging over 24 per game for the Pacers. The Pacers should own Boston here. I don't look for it to be close.

Play one unit on Indiana Pacers

Minnesota -4.5

This line shooting up, opened at 3.5 and could be 5.5 or higher. Reason? Wizards John Wall is playing terrible, the Wiz are allowing 104 ppg and Kevin Love and the T-Wolves are hot and scoring 108 ppg on offense against a team short handed and that plays no defense.

Play 1 Unit on Minny

NY Knicks +1.5

Home team here and while the ATS trends do not favor the Knicks, bear in mind they are playing a tired team who in the last 3 nights have played 2 OT games. That takes a toll on the road and they are playing the Knicks who are 9th in the NBA in defense on some tired legs. JR Smith stepping up and the Knicks bench is deeper in this one as well. Also Harden is very questionable tonight for Houston and after much research and a few phone calls it is very doubtful he plays, and Houston off a very tough loss to the 76ers. Love the set up here with a home dog on TNT.

Play 1 Unit on the Knicks.

UNDER 188 - 189

Yes tired and worn out always gives into sloppy defense and more points scored but I was damn lucky to win the Over in Game 6 with OT and while this should be a hell of a game, defense is going to be key for both teams, especially Miami in order tog et the win. A Chess match between 2 good coaches and 2 very good teams who will leave it all out there and the refs are letting them play which also means reeduced free throw attempts. I see 183 as a power number here with my adjustments.

Play 1 Unit on ther UNDER

OVER 191

Both teams shooting for the stars tonight and both teams role players stepping up. I do not think the Spurs can match their last games shooting intensity however the small lineups are producing points and I expect James and company to pull out all the stops at home where they average dame near a 100 ppg this season and San Antonio has found their shooter in Green and Ginobli has stepped up as well and Parker will have his as well, and Duncan always good for 17-20 points.

Play 1 unit on the OVER

OVER 188

Heats last 5 4 road games have went over - Spurs last 5 home games have went over. Expect both teams to so small tonight and I expect the Spurs Parker to play better with rest and Ginobli to have a better shooting performance. A lot on the line tonight for both teams,m they will open it up.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

Bonus Side Play - HALF UNIT - Spurs +1.5

Miami +1

Let

San Antonio -2

Spurs one of the best home teams in the NBA, off an embarrassing ass kicking in Game 2. Miami

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 188

Expect James and company to shoot better and for both teams to be loose here. Both teams limited turnovers in game 1 and with a more up tempo pace here I feel in game 2 there will be a few more turnovers and that leads to transition points. Miami averages over 100 points at home and this one here I feel they open it up and pull out all the stops, and the Spurs can keep pace.

Miami -5

Best team in the NBA on their home floor, best player in the game, matcup issues are not a problem in this one like it was for Miami against Indiana and even Chicago, and Spurs off a long layoff, with Miami dominating their last game 3 days ago. Home court worth 4 here, and Miami is more than 1 point better than the Spurs. Respect the Spurs and coach Pop to show up ready, but Miami will make a statement and with decent looks outside I like them here to score close to 100.

Play 1 Unit

Indiana +7.5



The Pacers can defend James, and dominate the paint and win in Miami. Again 7.5 points is a huge number in the NBA and no one is here by accident and the Pacers playing better now and James and company having chemistry issues and scoring issues with their big 3 overall and Wade not a 100% is hurting them. I think Miami can get the win but the Pacers will not go down without a fight in any remaining games and are very well coached as well. Take the generous points. Miami is a horrible cover team at home in the post season.



Play 1 Unit on Indiana

Miami -2.5

Tyhe last game was a 2 point line on Miami and they win by 18 and now the line for game 4 has increased a half point. As I stated in my play on Miami in that game, they can and did figure out how to nuetralize the inside game of Indiana and other players picked up the scoring around LeBron. Indiana is not a scoring team and Miami is, even if they do not play as good as defense. With San Antonio on the sidelines, Miami wants to end this and rest up ASAP, they are the better team and proved it in Game 3, nothing will change. Indiana out gunned on offense here and cannot trade punches on the scoreboard if Miami brings their A game. Miami by 6 for a 1 UNIT Play.

Over 180.5 Spurs / Griz

Elimination game for the Griz and San Antonio last 6 have went over, the Griz's last 4 home games have went over and both teams will pull out all the stops here and put up points. Not a big enough ;line adjustment by oddsmakers.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Miami -1.5

Short and sweet. Miami is SOLID on the road and after a home split in this series, they come in here with the better team and I look for them to get some more scorers involved and take the heat off of LeBron and spread it around today. Play 1 Unit on Miami

Seattle -120

Yes King Felix has had a rough go of it and Holland for the Rangers looks like the play- but I expect King Felix to redeem himself tonight in this one.

Play 1 Unit on Seattle


NBA Side Play Winner Saturday off a SU Dog Winner for you on my TGIF Discounted card with the Pacers as the run in the NBA Playoffs is now 17-8 and I am cashing out the Side Play in the Spurs and Griz Game 3 tonight. Have NO Doubts again!

Memphis -5.5

6-0 SU at ATS at home for Memphis and now they get home where they can shoot the ball better and I doubt that the Spurs can match the first 2 games in terms of 3 point shooting. There is a HUGE rebounding edge for Memphis in this series and they have yet to expose that for points with the Spurs lights out shooting. I will lay the number here as oddsmakers are tipping their hand with this line.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis to get one here. Must Win!

Play 1 Unit on Indiana +7.5 - Like the Pacers to cover and expect both teams a little tighter tonight. Laying big points at home for the Heat, who have won at home this year but carrying a premium number has not been an easy cover for them.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 181.5

Look for a well rested Miami team to open it up tonight. The last game these guys played back in March was 196 points. I think Miami comes out purpose tonight and gets it done but not willing to lay a big number with Wade's condition and Indiana not here by accident, they were better than the Knicks. This series has went OVER in 5 out of the last 6 games.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Memphis +5.5

The Griz did not get this far by accident and I expect them to play it closer to the vest tonight and I doubt San Antonio can match the game played in game 1 which was stellar. The write-ups are getting old and quite frankly Memphis could overall be the better team here but this one they keep close. The Spurs were lights out from 3 point range and Randolph for the Griz made 1 shot shooting..that will not repeat itself tonight. The Griz are 5-0 ATS after an ATS loss and I expect them to bounce back big tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis

MLB BONUS PLAY

Analysis: Under 179.5 Pacers / Knicks

These 2 got to 160 the other night with NY knowing they had to score like crazy in transition to beat the Pacers at home, and yet these 2 mustered only 160 points. The last 3 have went under and more of the same Saturday. NO ADJUSTMENT from oddsmakers here and the Pacers play defense at home and neither team, especially Indiana, a huge offensive threat. This number should be 172 in my book on power ratings, I am all over the Under.

Play 3 Units on the UNDER

San Antonio -1.5

PLAY 1 Unit Each

Miami -14



Insane to lay 14 in the post season in 99% of the cases out there. While Chicago stunned Miami in Game 1 in Miami, a place where the Heat are 40-5 SU on the year, I do not see it happening again. Wade played terrible and the Heat won by 23 on the road on Monday. Bottom line is after a defeat like that and then taking to the road in an elimination game against the Best Team inb the NBA who is totally focused and KNOWS the Bulls beat them on their home floor, the Heat will close this out big time on Wednesday. 20 point win

Miami -7 to 7.5

Watch the Heat get ti done tonight again. Bench scoring is non existent from the Bulls and starters are wearing down playing an average of 42 minutes each. Miami CLEARLY better, Chicago short handed and resorting to schoolyard tactics on defense to try and stop Miami. The Bulls also lost their composure in the last game and I expect Miami to drop the hammer tonight and use their depth to keep the train going. Miami

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER 198.5

Whole world has been betting over in this series. The Spurs flexed their muscle, and also realized with their experience that to win this series they cannot outscore or attempt to trade punches on the scoreboard with GS, they need to play defense. With both Curry and Parker not 100% I like the under here in a tight game.

Memphis -5

First of all the line is a dead giveaway oddsmakers are begging you to OK City. Secondly the inside game of the Griz at home is going to a huge difference, and they are undefeated in the playoffs at home and have lost only 1 game here since early Feb.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis

Golden State -2

Short and Sweet. The Warriors at home are MONEY and the last 2 games basically they dominated the Spurs all but for about 5 minutes. The scoring at home for GS is going to be something San Antonio cannot match up to on the scoreboard in my opinion. Going with the hot hand and Curry and company at home laying less than a 3 pointer to win SU by 6-7 points. I have this line at -6 for Golden State, 4 point overlay.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

San Antonio -7

Look for the Spurs to adjust on defense and play better at home. They held LA to under 85 in their first round series but with the OT in game 1 and a win when they should have lost, they will be far more prepared, especially on defense to make some adjustments and take serious advantage of their home court tonight. San Antonio far to experienced to let this series get away and keep letting the Warriors shoot uncontested shots and get out of their game plan. Golden St is dangerous but play no defense and I willing to lay the points here.

Play 1 Unit on San Antonio

OVER 186 OK City / Memphis

Line the same as game 1 and that total ended at 184. I expect more scoring now that these 2 have felt themselves out and bear in mind that in the last 5 games, both teams have averaged over 100 points. I expect not such a tight contest in terms of scoring here and both teams to open it up and for Memphis to get a ton of points inside and for OK City to open it up in transition.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

Miami -12



The Heat will run the Bulls into the floor. Bulls without a true point guard right now and short handed and all that against a rested Heat team at home who should exceed 100 points tonight in a blowout.



Play 1 Unit on Miami

Pacers +5.5

I expect a low scoring game here and despite the Pacers lack of success on the road in the round 1 series against Atlanta, they did close it out on the road and in what I expect to be a low scoring game, this is a good deal of points and I will take them. You get teams laying 5+ points in round 2 and the dogs are gonna cover gents, anyone playing right now is a good team. The Knicks are inconsistent and this is a big number.

Play 1 unit on Indiana

OK City +1

Yes I backed the Rockets on Wednesday but oddsmakers have adjusted this line down to manageable number with the better team. OK City should tame it down, play alittle defense and spread it around more now that they can get some things lined out without Westbrook in the mix here. I do not see the Thunder advancing past the next round however they ARE better than Houston with their back against the wall and off a horrific performance, with their post season experience from last year and their pride in play here, I like them to win a tight one and cover the small number tonight.

Play 1 Unit on OK City

NBA Friday from Tony George

Golden State -1

Taking the Warriors here to pull the upset and win the series. When you play no defense, and neither team really does, but when you give up 110 ppg in your last 10 and score 106, you are going to find yourself on the losing end in the post season. Golden State is 30-13 at home this year and with all crap surrounding Denver beating up on Curry, the friendly confines of being at home with a fired up home crowd provide a homecourt here worth 4 points in my opinion. Better from 3 point range, better from the free throw line, and the best player on the floor all belong to Golden State not to mention the home court advantage. Denver on the road is a different animal winning only 11 out of 24 games this year against opponents with over a .500 record. All in all I like Golden State in this spot and look for them to be better in the paint after what Denver did to them in the last game down low.

Play 2 Units on Golden State

Houston +8.5

Too many points, OK City not the same without Westbrook and Durrant easier to defend. Also the Rockets are getting a ton of cheap boards. Both teams are scoring 105 per game their last 5 and with a team who scores triple digits consistently, giving them almost 9 points is insane, and I do not care if the Thunder are at home or not.

Play 1 Unit on Houston

Brooklyn -5.5

You would expect this number to be smaller, but oddsmakers know who is going to cash out here and it is the Nets. Off a 3 OT deal in the last game, it is tough to travel and play on the road after a game like that. Nets face elimination here expect their best.

Play 1.5 units on Brooklyn.

OK City -1.5 to 2

No defense and a poor outing last game for OK City, they are vastly better in all phases even without Westbrook, they will pick it up tonight and play hard in Westbrook s absence. 1 UNIT

BONUS HALF Unit Play - Pacers +2.5

Boston +7



Play 1 Unit on Boston tonight, whose bench sucked lkast game and they allowed NY's defense to smother their efforts down the stretch, as Boston had the game in hand for 3 quarters. Boston good enough to adjust and hang tight in this one, I will take the generous points

OVER 181 - Clippers / Grizzlies

I like this number which is over adjusted from oddsmakers. A real close look at the ref's in this one as 2 of the 3 refs calling this game have huge OVERS numbers in the game they call. Another perspective is Memphis's last 10 games, 7 of them involved triple digits either for or against and the same scenario with LA. I expect both teams to open it up more than game 1.

Play the OVER for 1 Unit
.

Denver -

The NBA's BEST Home court record. 38-3! Last trip here Golden State was beaten by Double Digits and I love Denver and their offense at home in this opener.

Play 2 Units on Denver

Bucks -4.5



Must win for the Bucks here and a winnable road game for the Bucks who have dropped their last 4 roadies and are in a fight for 7th place in the Playoffs. Orlando scoring just 89 ppg and allowing 97 their last 5 games, all losses and Milwaukee KNOWs THEY CAN WIN A ROAD AFFAIER HERE AND THEIR OFFENSE SHOULD BE ABLE TO POST UP NEAR 100 HERE, I LIKE THEM TO COVER WITH EASE, AS THEY WILL BE FOCUSED.



Play 1 Unit on Milwaukee



Play a Half Unit on the LA Angles -125.

76ers +6.5 to 7



Hawks laying a big number here and quite frankly Philly

Golden State +7

What the hell are the Knicks doing laying 7 points in any game to a team with a winning record? NY had dropped 5 games before beating an average Philly team 2 days ago (and did not cover) and yet they are taking on a Golden State team here off a tough loss at powerhouse Indiana last night and are on the third game of their east coast swing, currently sitting at 1-1 for the trip and laying a huge number. The Knicks offense is not near as potent as GS, and are 9 ppg less in output the last 5 games played. Grab the points here.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State.

San Antonio -3



Golden State at home is a good test, but fresh off destroying the Clippers on TNT last night I am not looking for a letdown spot here as San Antonio is hot and scoring lights out on offense. My Overlay on this game is 7 points, and that usually means a bigger move than 1 unit, but I have a team on back to back nigfhts here on a road trip so I hold this at 1 Unit abd stay true to flat betting this week. Spurs have wonj 10 straight against GS, covered 7 of those, and GS allows 108 ppg their last 5 against a hot offense is DOOM.



Play 1 Unit on the Spurs.

Miami -3

Not impressed with a Bulls win at New orleans to open up the second half, and Miami is till hot and love the national stage like tonight. They also are playing with revenge and know they never fare well at Chicago. The Bulls in this series have covered 4 out of the last 5 and won 3 out of the last 5 in this series straight up. Miami had a nice win over Atlanta on the road by 13 points and have covered 5 straight coming ion here. I like the revenge factor here big time for Miami, I am going with the better team, the best in the East in this one.

Play 1 Unit on Miami Heat

BONUS PLAY - Play a half Unit on Georgia +10

Boston +7

The Lakers are a hot mess, death of Jerry Bus in the mix now, and quite frankly why a team who has covered just 3 out of their last 10 games, whose last game they were hammered jacked by 24 points, and playing a Celtic team who is a cover machine at 8-2 ATS their last 10 games and lost by 7 last night, are favored by this many is beyond me. Altitude or not last night, Boston is 12 ppg better on defense their last 5 than LA who is allowing 105 ppg on defense and Kobe has no chemistry with this team and Nash is out in this one, and the Celtics already have a game under their belt to open the second half and in all ways in my mind are the better team. Last time these 2 played on the 7th of this month, Boston won by 21 and they are 16-7-1 ATS the last 24 games in this long standing rivalry series.

Play 1 Unit on Boston

Denver -8.5

Hot home team. Hot on offense, Boston NOT a good road team and while they have played well without Rondo, they run into a buzz saw here in the altitude after a long break. Denver is better, score lights out at home and not sure Boston can run the floor all night here and Denver pulls away late on a strong home floor. Boston has the Lakers on deck and oddsmakers begging us to take a decent team getting big points, I am not buying it Laying the wood here.

Play 1 Unit on Denver

Miami -


The Lakers lost to Miami by 9 at home in their last meeting. LA has won 4 out of 5 BUT only 1 playoff caliber team was played during that stretch and they got waxed by 21 points in that one against Boston who was without Rhondo. Miami is playing lights out, LeBron is playing like he is from another planet right now and since that last meeting LA lost Gasol and is no better than thery were, especially with an unhealthy Howard and Miami has gotten better. The Heat rise to the occasion when playing big named teams and today will be no expection. This is the 7th and final road game for LA on this East Coast Swing road trip, and I love going against a team on a long road trip in their last game, LA could not have picked a worst opponent to end it on.



Play 1 Unit on Miami



Play half Unit on Denver +2 at Boston. Both teams hot, Denver's transition game soemthing Boston cannot hang with.



Play half unit on Houston -5.5 Sacramento in bigh trouble here, Houstonh should roll them by 8+ points. Houston 117 ppg on offense the last 5 games and Sacramento just 90. Houston shooting lights out.

NY Knicks -1 to 1.5

OK, the Celtics are about as bad as the Lakers right now. Aging team, no chemistry, issues closing games, and the Knicks are flat out better. Could not get more simpler than that gents. Add in th4e fact the Kicks are playing with revenge here after a 7 point home loss to Boston back on the 7th of this month, and the Celtics are in a funk, dropping 4 straight including games to New Orleans and Detroit, and I love the Knicks in revenge mode tonight and conversely the same road trip that Detroit and New Orleans was beating Boston, the following days NY was beating those same teams. Points in the paint go to NY and a rebounding edge as well, and the Knicks are better from the arc and at the free throw line.

Play 1 Unit on the Knicks

BONUS PLAY

Miami Heat +2



Lakers win two game against also rans and now lay points to a Miami team who is struggling but vastly better, especially on defense. No way I am buying that, James and company live for the spotlight like this to make a statement on national TV after some recent setbacks..love getting points here



Play 1 Unit on Miami

Heat -2.5 at home for 1 Unit. They will be up to defend their crown here and OK City meets their match again. Evenly matched, home court advantage, and King James will bring his "A" game for this one. Foget the stats, take the better team......

Merry Xmas.

OVER 187.5 Atlanta / Washington

Play the Over here as neither team n play defense, and Atlanta should light it up. The total has exceeded 190 points in all but 1 game in the last 10 games. Both games this year have went Over. Atlanta coming off a bad loss at home and will open it up tonight.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

Play a half unit on San Antonio +2.5

Pistons / Clippers UNDER 192.5

Detroit plays some defense and there offense is in a funk and they should be able to disrput the Clippers offense and keep this under the number by 7-10 points versus the posted line. My power rating is at 185. The Clippers are hot ansd beating people by 15 ppf in their current 9 game win streak...an easy game to overlook and show up lathargic.

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER

Play half a unit on Pheonix -6.5

UNDER 182 Bulls / Pistons

Two great defensive teams and one of the teams, Detroit is not good on offense which adds more fuel to the fire here. Da Bulls number 1 uin the NBA oin scoring defense by the way. This has smells like3 Under all the way here.

Play 1 Unit5 on the UNDER

Bonus Play Houston +8.5 for a half unit

Utah -3.5

Looks like Denver should be favored here, yet the Jazz, who are 5-0 at home are favored. That is a sure sign oddsmakers know that the Jazz are playing with revenge here after a 20 point road loss at Denver earlier this month. Utah is a different animal at home, winning their home games this season by an average of just under 11 points. Solid home team, on a very strong home floor, with revenge after an embarrassing loss. Utah is not only 5-0 at home, but covered 4 of those 5 games ATS.

Play 1 Unit on Utah, best of luck. TG

Denver +

Memphis is hot, have the best record in the NBA and now oddsmakers are playing catch up and laying a big number on them here. This play is about the line, not the game. This is a premium number because Memphis is hot and Denver is not. The Nuggets playing with 3 time revenge and were swept by the Griz last season and will not come in here and lay down. Memphis in unchartered waters as the NBA

Miami Heat +3



Yep, catching points with the best team in the NBA off a loss against a team that has owned them recently. Denver is 8-2 ATS against the Heat the last 10 games winning 3 out of the last 5 SU. Miami had a rough time at the Clippers last night and many think they will falter on back to back roadies, in the altitude here, but I am not sold on Denver who plays no defense against a team averaging 104 ppg with LeBron no doubt telling his team mates that Denver is a thorn in their side they need to take care of. Miami 42 % from 3 point range and Denver just 30% on the year. Miami has a better FG % as well on the year. D Wade is questionable and played very little last night, but I do not care. Look for the Heat to outscore the Nuggets, and maybe it is a set up line, but I am drinking the Kool-Aid here.



Play 1 Unit on Miami

Charlotte -1.5

Cheap line for the Bobcats who are now rivaled by the Wizards who are winless on the season and scoring just 88 ppg on offense and have not once exceeded 94 points in a single game this season. Charlotte

Boston+3

Backcourt issues big time for Chicago in this game, and teh Bulls are one of the worst cover teams in the NBA out of the gate here. Boston is playing with some revenge here losing 5 out of the 6 games to the hometown Bulls here and the edge is in the backcourt qwhere the Bulls are into the bench now after injuries have hot the starters, and still no close replacement to Rose. Bostons weak defense not as big of factor is the put up 90+ in this one.

Play 1 Unit on Boston

Analysis: Minnestota +7.5

Playing against the Bulls here tonight and BOTH teams allow just 90 ppg on defense and Minny at 4-1 and playing well without Kevin Love. Too many points in what should be a low scoring game. Take the points for 1 unit.

OVER 193.5

My power ratings have this at 200. That is a 6.5 point overlay against the line. I make a move on a 4 point overlay with side or total in the NBA, so this is slight bump here. Both teams will pull out all the stops here and while OK City scored 98 the last game against a stout defense, it has been Miami

OK City +3.5

OK City had all kinds of issues, inexperience being one of them in game 3. Miami got the result of perfect storm on Sunday, it will not happen again tonight. Lest we forget the Thunder beat some very good and expere3inced teams to get here. They shot poorly from the floor, Durrant was out at crucial times with foul issues, they shot poorly from the free throw line while Miami went 31-35 from the stripe..the list goes on and on. Tired legs tonight versus rested legs, that makes playing defense tougher. Look for OK City to step it up from the outside, look for Harden to step up and for Durrant to go off. OK City way to good to go down 3-1 in this series, and Miami with all the things that went wrong in game 3 for OK City should have blown them out, they did not, a tale tell sign guys.

Play 1 Unit on OK City and a BONUS PLAY on the OVER 192.5 for a half unit.

Under 195 Heat / Thunder



Like the Under here for a few reasons., Game 1

OVER 179 Heat / Celtics

Chris Bosh returns tonight so that puts this side play on a crash course here as the entire reason Boston has a lead in this series is that Miami has no inside presence and is giving open look looks to Boston on the outside. What Bash can do is score with mid range shots which is specialty. Look for Bostons guards to have a better game and Garnett top continue to thrive despite Bosh

Spurs -5



Look for San Antionio's experience to win out here BIG. They have won their last 11 home games by an average of 16+ ppg. They are 11-0 in their last 11 at homne. This is a MUST WIN game, and no doubt their guard play will be better tonight and Duncan is now stepping up. This is the biggest game of the year for the Spurs NO DOUBT. They have a strong home court at 23-5-1 ATS their last 29 home games, UNREAL STAT! The Thunder have dropped 6 games in row by an average of double digits their last 6 in here. The huge homecourt enjoyed by the Thunder the last 2 games is over, they find out the real power of an away floor that is the strongest in the NBA tonight, San Antonio by 10+ here.



Play 3 Units on the Spurs.

Play OVER 206 Spurs / Thunder on Thursday - Tony George Sports

Anothert shootout and OK City at home will break 100 points on offense and San Antonio can match them for points especially with Parker playing well up top.

Play the Over

Miami -3

Wade and James are stepping it up and getting serious as evidenced by their last 2 games and performances. Indiana dealing with injuries to Grainger and West, both expected to play but not near 100% and both those players have to have big games for them to compete. Miami has some suspension issues but as evidenced by the last game, if James and Wade are on their game, they can dominate even without Bosh is will not play. The Heat looked lost without him the first 2 games after injury and but now have found balance with their 2 stars and it should be enough to carry the Heat here. Miami puts them away tonight, on the road.

Play 2 Units on Miami

Miami -1

Not messing around here. Just like the Boston game last night which I lost, Miami played poorly in their last game at home and lost a close one. The better team is Miami and good teams bounce back. Bosh out hurt the Heat but the overall team was their owrst enemy in game 2, shot 6% from 3 point range, shot 60% from the FT line and James missed 2 in a row with 50 seconds left and never too a shot in the last 3 minutes, and Miami managed 34% from the floor and still managed to lose only by a single point. Look for a better effort and continued pressure on Grainger who had 1 point in the first game and 11 in the last game. That is key to holding Indiana at bay. I have seen this scenario many times over the years and failed to pounce on Boston in the same scenario last night, I will not make the same mistake twice.

Play 1.5 Units on Miami

Philly -2

Like then younger team at home here. Philly got it done at Boston in game 2 after a solid fight in game 1 in a very slim loss, look for Philly to get over on Boston at home. Both games in this series decided by 1 point, but home court is worth 3 here and if Philly is to contend this is a MUST WIN game for them to get a leg up. Doug Collins knows how to coach, and look for Philly to open it up at home and continue to play good defense against a aging team here going deep into the playoffs with some fatigue as the Celtics bench is not all that deep. Philly won 2 home games against Boston by 32 and 13 points in the regular season and are 3-0 at home in playoff games, look for a 6-7 point win here.

Play 1 Unit on Philly

KC -128 for HALF Unit. Going against the O

San Antonio -11.5

Smell a blowout? Hell yes I do. 7 days off and 14 games in a row from San Antonio who comes in with the deepest bench in the NBA with all their veteran players well rested. LA comes limping in here with major injuries to all their stars, after a brutal series with Memphis and now travel to the lions den where the Spurs have the best homne court in the NBA (tied) and they have put up 100 points or more in 13 out of 14 games in this recent tear. No contest here.

Play 1 Unit on San Antonio

Short and Sweet here gents.



Over 169.5 to 170 Bulls / Sixers



Almost unheard of to have a line of under 170 in an NBA game. In order for the 76ers to win, they HAVE to dictate Pace. The Bulls are reeling without Rose and Noah not 100% here and I feel after their shooting issues and lack of production, they know the pace will be brisk and look to get Courver in the mix here and put up some points. I can see Philly getting 85-90 points here at home and an all out effort. Bulls can keep pace.



Play 1 Unit on the Over



Atlanta +6.5

Chicago +1.5



2 things at work here. Da Bulls are 24-9 SU on the road this year and have won many games without Derrick Rose in the process of the 24 wins they have had. They allowed 109 points at home thier last game and were totally out of sync. They also allowed the Sixers well over 50% from the floor without challenging shots. That will not happen twice. Look for the Bulls to redeem themselves here and iron out the rough spots without Rose and beat up on the Sixers here on the road. Chicago the deepest team in the NBA abd they will utilize that tonight.



Play 1 Unit on the Bulls.

Miami -5



There write-ups are getting shortened as the same game scenario in almost each game between series plays are simply not needed. The Knicks shot 49% from the floor on the road and still lost by 10 in game 2 and were blown off the court in game 1. They lack presence in the paint and with their big guy out with a hand injury, self inflicted, they have no chance here. Bottom line, the Heat vastly better and a short handed Knicks team at home without one of their studs is simply not going to beat Miami no matter where they play.



Play 1 Unit on Miami


NBA from Tony George

Dallas -3

Figured this line would be at this number, no surprise from oddsmakers here. Have no doubts, the Mavs gave OK City all they wanted and then some in BOTH games in OK City. Tonight they should pick up their first win at home, on a strong homecourt. You can analize these games to death if ya want, I simply say Dallas is due and at home they get it done tonight. They are the defending world champs with veteran talent who knows how to win with their back against the wall.

Lean to Dallas

Orlando +3

I always like taking a team returning home for their first home game in the playoffs. Orlando lacked energy and shooting percentage in game 2 of this series and really gave it away in the 3rd quarter. They also were owned on the boards as losing Howard is a huge blow for them but allowing the Pacers second chance points is killing them. Orlando has shot poorly and I look for that to improve at home and give their best effort here in their home opener. Orlando as a home dog under 5 points is 7-3 ATS their last 10 in this position and this is a must win game. Home court helps big here.

Play 1 Unit on Orlando

Play half unit on the Phillies -108- Listed pitchers only- cannot rermember getting Halladay at this price ever.

Hawks / Celtics OVER 178.5

Atlanta scores 99 ppg at home. 10 out of their last 11 have went Over at honme. expect them to open it up and get a jump on Boston here. They have average a combined allowed 186 ppg on defense their last 5 games. Atlanta also averaged 108 ppg on offense their last 5 games. Obviously you cannot look at the last 5 games because of how many of those games were played to end the season but these two have scorers all over the place and Pierce is playing for Boston. Atlana is very good on the offensive glass which is also easy points. Atlanta is also 11-1 ATS on the Over in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference foes.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Bonus Play - Play a half unit on the Clippers +5.5. Chris Paul is playing tonight for LA.

OVER Lakers and Spurs

Kobe Bryant returns tonight for LA so expect some fireworks and added scoring for LA who is avenging a home loss where the Spurs throttled them and had 112 points 3 days ago. In the Lakers last 29 games against Western Conference teams they have went OVER in 21 of those games. The Spurs are not the defense juggernaut as they have been in years past and currently are averaging 104 ppg their last 5 games. The suit up everyone again tonight for this rematch and you can expect a high scoring affair here. I have this power rated at 209, that is a 6.5 point overlay against the line. San Antonio is hitting 51% from the floor overall and 41% from 3 point range in their last 5 games. Although the Under trends for these 2 clearly favor that proposition, it is what is going on right here, right now and this one should go over the total with ease.

Play 1.5 Units on the OVER

Detroit +9

Going with the Pistons and big points here gents. They are playing better and just destroyed the Cavs last night. These 2 teams have played 3 times this year. Detroit had a 1 point home win, lost by 5 and 6 in the other two games, one of them an OT game. I like where Detroit

Indiana Pacers +3

San Antonio -5 to 5.5



Scheduling, it is all about scheduling spots in the NBA when it comes to pointspreads. Tough spot for Memphis to travel after a game last night to a very strong home court. San Antonio had ripped off 11 straight wins befoire losing at Utah, but they rested their best 3 players in that game, something their head coach has done this season, and I was all over the under in that game last week for a big winner. Now at home the Spurs are full strength, and got beat at home against the Lakers last night without superstar Bryant. Memophis won against the Suns at home, a play I was on. Spurs too good to go 0-3 in their last 3 games, last night was a wake up call. So why is the line 5 or higher against a team who this year has beaten OK City and Miami on the road? SET UP LINE. Oddsmakers Beggin you to take the points, and I am not buying it. Rememeber including last nights loss, the Spurs are an amazing 23-5 SU at home. One stat jumps off the board at me with this line, after a losing a game against the spread, the following game the Spurs are 11-1-1 ATS the following game in their last 13 times in this scenario. I have a feeling the Spurs put it all together tonight. The Spurs have went 3-0 SU against Memphis so far this year and won each of those by more than 5 points. Catching the Spurs in a bad mood at home where they are almost unbeatable, I am willing to lay this number.



Play 1 Unit on San Antonio

OVER 177.5 Toronto / Philly

In their last games Philly managed 103 points last night at the Nets and the Raptors scored 98 in their last game. With Philly falling off the map this is an opportunity to open it up on offense again as they did last night and they are looking at going 2-0 on this road trip they are on tonight. Not willing to lay 4 with them on the road yet which is the line tonight, but I think they will be in the 90

UNDER 208.5 Utah / San Antonio

These two played last night in a high scoring affair in San Antonio, in a back to back scenario / home and home series. The Spurs are 3-1 ATS their last 4 games of back to back on Unders. I have a power rating of 201 here, which is a 7.5 point overlay. It seems as usual for the course that the second of back to backs are always lower scoring and harder fought games. Utah allows just 95 ppg at home this season. Duncan and Parker are listed as doubtful tonight for rest as well as Gionobli. I do not know what that means but the Spurs won

OK City -3.5

With OK City losing back to bacvk at home against Memphis and then at Miami in a revenge game for the Heat, I like them against the Pacers on the road. They would be favored by 7 at home minimum in this game, and with Chicago winning last night, they are 3 games out of the #1 seed in the East and they will be focused in this one no doubt and looking to get back on the win side of things here with a big game. Indiana playing better but beating weak sisters, and I think OK City proves why they are one of the best teams in the NBA tonight in what I see is a must win game with a decent number here to lay on the road.

Play 1 Unit on OK City

BONUS PLAY

Miami -2.5

Two things here. Revenge and home court. Really you can go back and forth on stats and man to man matchups, but at days end it is about the NBA

Golden State +7 to 7.5



Reversal of fortune for the Griz, who I put out as an 8 point pup on Monday as a free play and they won outright at OK City last night in a shocker. Tough scheduling spot for OK City and in the NBA this is a sound solution to finding winners, looking at scheduling spots. Golden State is getting big points here, playing with triple revenge and catching Memphis on their fourth game in 5 days and they have a huge game with Dallas on deck tomorrow. Coming off a huge upset win, this is a classic letdown spot in the scheduling with a look ahead game tomorrow. Like the points


Play 1 Unit on the Warriors.

Orlando -5.5

Love the mis match here as Orlando relys on the 3 point shot and their perimeter game, and Denver plays little defense up top and outside the box. Orlando is a beast at home covering 9 out of their last 12 games. This is also the 6th road game since March 23rd for the Nuggets and I like going against teams on the end of a leg of a long road trip and they are catching a good team off back to back losses at home.

Play 1.5 Units on Orlando.

Atlanta -3.5


The banged up Knicks are a good bet to go AGAINST on the road. They have dropped 7 out of their last 9 by almost an average 10 ppg in those losses and in all 7 losses lost by more the spread tonight. Atlanta is a different animal at home and with Joe Johnson drawing a good matchup here and having some dominant wins at home this season, and on a 6-2 home run, I am backing the Hawks who play well at home against a team not 100% that plays poorly on the road.



Play 1 Unit on Atlanta



BONUS PLAY

Miami Heat -3.5

Like getting this short number with the Heat tonight. They have dropped 2 straight including a tough one at Chicago, and Philly a good team but not ready for prime time, even at home in this one. The Sixers record is deceiving in that they have played the 27th weakest schedule in the NBA, and I do not see Miami losing 3 in a row, and although they are 1-6 ATS their last 7, they have owned the Sixers in the past and this is a winnable road game. Wade and James too much here, and NO DOUBT the Heat will be focused and ready to snap a 2 game slide tonight. Too much firepower for Philly.

Play 1 Unit on Miami

Miami Heat -5

Portland an average team, Miami an exceptional team who loves the limelight, none bigger than TNT. Miami is a scoring machine and the big 3 are on fire and they were the hottest team in the NBA headed into all star break. They have won and covered 4 straight in this series and the road team is 6-1 ATS the last 7. Portland off a loss last night and are sorely outmatched here.

Play 1 Unit on Miami

Miami -9



Lets dispel the fact NY crushed Atlanta last night. Last time they had a back to back game scenario, they got beat by the Nets of all people at home. This is the 4th game in 5 days for the Knicks, and Miami was home resting night watching them play. Miami is the best team in the NBA in my opinion and would love nothing more than to beat the team all America is hyped up on. Mis-Matches all over the place, and 3 best players on the floor are on Miami

San Antonio +3.5 to 4

Portland looked deplorable last night at the Lakers and San Antonio is hot. Smells like a set up line, but Portland banged up and I am drinking the kool aid on this one. Aldridge is not 100% and San Antonio is a solid team, and with a deep bench, I like them to get the outright win in the Rose Garden tonight, I am grabbing the points with the better team.

Play 1 Unit on San Antonio

Houston -3

Losers of 2 straight to Memphis, I like the Rockets at home to avenge those losses. They shot 33% from the floor on the road against Memphis last month in a tough loss, where their guard Martin who averages 18 ppg did not score and Memphis

LA Clippers

Dallas -2.5



Dallas had owned the T Wolves until this year. They have dropped 2 straight against them and I like the defending world champs in a double revenge spot tonight on the road laying a short number here. The Mavs are always a solid road bet given a decent line, they are 16-6-1 their last 23 on the road and Minny really is not all that good at home covering just 3 out of their last 11. The Dallas angle continues as well as the the road team in this series has covered 21 out of 26 times. Dallas just avenged a home loss to Denver on the road their last game and I like them to get it done here with a day off and they will be ready for this one.



Play 1 Unit on Dallas



Play a half unit on the OVER 201to 202 in the Thunder and Jazz game tonight. No doubt the Thunder will be tired on defense after playing late last night. Both teams will score and Utah in transition should get a ton of points here. Lean to Jazz as well

Golden State +2.5

Like to go against teams off an OT game the night before, and OK City beat Portland in OT last night. This is their 5th road game on this road swing and deep into a long road trip I like to go against teams who are traveling and off a game the night before, once they get 4 or 5 games into the travel schedule. Head Coach Mark Jackson benched all his starters in their last game, a loss to the Kings for lack of effort, the second time this season he has done that. Since GS has not played since Saturday Night I expect an full out effort and some fresh legs here to pull off the upset as a live dog. Bear in mind the Warriors have beaten Miami, Chicago and Portland at home this year,.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

Toronto -4

Fresh off 2 embarrassing losses, one by over 30 points, I like the Raptors at home to bounce back against the worst team in the NBA in the Wizards. This line dropped a half point upon opening, I will take it. Battle of ugly teams. Neither team very good, but Toronto at home worth 3 points and they are 3-6 points better than the Wizards. Wiz playing better after firing Flip Saunders, but I do not see them winning this one on the road. Teams off a bad loss in the NBA have a tendency the next game to turn it on big time. Short and Sweet today.

Play 1 Unit on Toronto.