Arkansas +7 to 7.5  (get the hook)

Yep – taking the Hogs at home.  This is the LAST STAND for the Razorbacks.  Texas AM has looked good this season but other than stunning Arizona State in their opener have played no one.  A closer look at the stats and the numbers for these 2 teams are almost identical.  Arkansas’s defense actually has a better number and Arky is throwing the ball for an unreal 9.7 yards per pass and running it for almost 5 yards a carry.  I say they are a wounded animal in the corner and come out with every trick in the books this week and make a stand against a rival SEC team who has played two easy games in a row and now face a pissed off Razorback crew hungry for a win.

Play 1 Unit on Arkansas

Tennessee -1

Look for UT to end a 10 year losing streak.  Florida cannot run it, as evidenced by barely over 3 yards a carry against Kentucky last week, and Florida's vaunted stop unit faces it's stiffest test to date with a dialed in and revenge hungry Tennessee looking for a breakout win. Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in this series as a visiting underdog and not sure the Florida QB position is all that solid.  Tennessee rested many starters last week against a weak sister so expect them at full strength and focus this week.

Play 1 Unit on Tennessee 

Navy -7

U Conn blew their wad against Missouri last week, blowing a halftime lead.  Missouri’s offense right now is anemic so I put no stock into the fact that U Conn held tough with them, and Mizzou’s best offensive player was out and their QB situation is deplorable.  Navy has no such problems on offense racking up almost 500 yards a game.  U Conn goes from defending the spread attack in a heartbreaking and draining game and loss at Mizzou to playing the Triple Option attack led by QB Reynolds who is a rock star QB at running the triple option and he has 70 TD’s in his career.  Navy fired up about playing in the AAC for the first year and rocked a decent East Carolina last week.  U Conns offense is woeful, did I mention?

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Bowling Green Pick to –1 (Tuesday Lines) Bet asap..up to 3 MAX 

Purdue stinks guys..  Bear in mind Bowling Green already hammered Big 10 Maryland on the road, and they lost by 3 in a shootout to a good Memphis team last week 44-41.  Trust me when I say shootout because that is one sided.  QB Johnson for BG is a rock star QB, he had 12 TD’s against Tennessee, Maryland and Memphis and only 1 pick.  He goes up against Purdue who is allowing 35 ppg, and they are 2-142 SU their last 14 at home and are a Big 10 bottom feeder.  No way Boilermakers trade punches on the scoreboard as while BG’s defense is suspect, they also are putting up 609 yards per game on offense.

Play 2 Units on Bowling Green 

Giants -3 to 3.5

Expect the NY Giants to pound the rock.  A must win for Coughlin and company here and he is flat out a better coach than Gruden all day long.  If games were 58 minutes long in the NFL the Giants would be 2-0.  Instead they GAVE AWAY 2 games and I expect them to get this done tonight against a team with a coach and QB that is not that of the Giants and the Skins face a tough running game with Jennings and Williams hitting them hard.  Cousins forced to throw will not turn out well, and Skins have no deep threat where NY is suspect.

Play 1 Unit on the NY Giants

Green Bay -3 to -3.5 (buy the hook down for -120 for insurance if u care to)

Triple revenge, NFC Championship debacle, Seattle defense gave up 31 points, that is right 31 points to ST LOUIS last week.  Green Bay has had this circled all off season, and Green Bay is the better team and while Lynch will have a big day running as GB surrendered  180 yard to Chicago on the ground, Green Bays Aaron Rodgers wants this as much as you want to win the lottery.  Shootout in Green Bay in a high scoring game, Green Bay by 10 gents.   Legion of Boom was shredded last week, Rodgers will shred them this week. 

Play 2 Units on Green Bay

Lions +3

Better team.  Minny looked lost on Monday and on a short week play a pissed off Detroit team that blew an 18 point lead at San Diego last week.  Detroit loaded on offense, Stafford a better QB by a longshot and the Lions have 3 options at RB and we all saw last week what Hyde from the 49ers did to them on the ground.  Norv Turner lost with this offense and AP got 10 touches last week, expect him to see more but Bridgewater way overrated.  Minny was hyped all year, they have issues everywhere, wow. 

Play 1 Unit on Detroit

Cincy -3

San Diego beat up in the secondary including their stud, and offensive lineman is out and Cincy flat out will expose a weak secondary with their weapons.  Yes Oakland is bad by Dalton and company put on a clinic and Cincy defense at full strength here.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

2 TEAM 6 POINT TEASER- 1 UNIT – Tease Baltimore down to -.5 and Tease Cleveland to +7  

Houston +3

All overt the Texans here, and an insider told me in Vegas that a prominent Las Vegas Bettor put a max bet on this as well.  Carolina without their stud WR, and possibly a stud LB.  Carolina did enough to beat Jax, but I like Mallett at QB for Houston and Houston’s defense will shut down 1 dimensional Carolina on offense.  I expect Houston to win outright in a low scoring one here.  TE Olsen caught 1 ball last week and Newton will be shadowed this whole game.

Play 1 Unit on Houston

UTEP -3

Good line drop from 4 in a series UTEP has dominated.  This is a play against New Mexico State more than anything who just lost at home to Georgia State!  New Mexico State is 10-25-2 ATS their last 37 games folks and UTEP in no stellar team but they have won 6 in a row in this series and after playing big boys Arkansas and Texas Tech, they will be glad to see a team on their level, however they are flat out better.  I see a double digit win here.  UTEP HAS SCORED 42-42-41 AGAINST THE Aggies in the past 3 years, all blowout wins. 

Play 1 Unit on UTEP 

T

South Carolina +16.5

Look Georgia had a hard time beating Vandy, they have QB issues and South Carolina is left for dead folks, and while losing to Kentucky because they lost their QB in that game and still outgained Kentucky, not willing to lay it here as the Ol Ball Caoch is a better coach than Georgia’s.  Too many points in this SEC game, I will take them and the Gamecocks here to make a stand.  South Carolina’s 2nd string QB fared very well last week.  

Play 1 Unit on South Carolina

Northern Illinois +35

Yeah I am grabbing 5 TDs at the kickoff against Ohio State with Northern Illinois who has averaged 594 yards of offense over their first 2 games, and yes Murray State and UNLV are not even close to Ohio State but NIU is no slouch in these one sided games in terms of depth and talent, they are 9-1 ATS the last 10 games against Big 10 foes and they are capable of putting up 14-21 points here and easily cover this number.  NIU QB Hare is no joke and will command attention when throwing it.  David versus Goliath and Ohio State managed a 38 point win last week against Hawaii who is no where the talent of NIU, who had beaten straight up their last 3 Big 10 opponents in Northwestern, Illinois and Iowa, and this is a team who has won at least 11 games a year for the past 5 years in a row and they will not lay down.

Play 1 Unit Northern Illinois

Navy -4.5

All over the Midshipmen here and their potent ground attack by triple option expert QB Reynolds against a rebuilding from 5 of East Carolina on the road for the second straight week after a very draining game against Florida last week.  East Carolinas defense should get shredded here.  Of note is the fact this is the first year EVER in Navy’s history they belong to a conference and this is their opener, and they have had an added week to prepare for this one. 

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Rice -7.5

Already at 8 in some places, North Texas IS A BAD BALL TEAM, home or not it does not matter.  Last week SMU who was 1-11 in 2014 was my Top play against them and they blew them up, and Rice will do the same.  No offense, terrible QB situation and the offensive line of No. Texas will have issues again against the Owl Attack.  Rice head coach David Bailiff is an underrated coach and his team is always competitive even against good foes and are on a 28-14 ATS spread run.  Owls offense is enough to get over here led by QB Jackson who can flat out run this offense.  Rice scored 14 unanswered in the 4th quarter against Texas last week and although they lost by 2 TD’s, as usual a Baiiff coached team never quits.

Play 2 Units on Rice.