NY Giants -1 to 1.5

Short and Sweet here.  The Giants have blown 5 fourth quarter leads this year and despite no running game against a weak rush defense here, and Manning being up and down, I like Odell Beckham against this secondary and Miami is simply the team that cannot get it done, especially at home this year and still working on new offensive schemes under new OC Zac Taylor in only his second week.  Coughlin finds a way to coach them to a win here and I expect Manning and company to have just a few more points than Miami.

Play 1 Unit on NY Giants 

New England -3 to 3.5

Generous gift by Oddsmakers as Houston was dismantled last week the entire game by an average Bills team and no doubt the Texans will not be able to run the ball here and we have Tom Brady and company, although short handed off a loss and getting a cheaper number here because of it.  Pats in full rebound mode and Houston coach O’Brien faces his mentor, and Bill will want a piece of his ass off a loss.  Pats still working on first round bye and home field, plenty to play for here gents at a cheap number.  QB Brady versus QB Hoyer?  No contest boys, as the Pats will be dialed in.  Betting square and taking the cash.

Play 1 Unit on New England

2 Team 6 Point Teaser – 1 Unit.  Tease Pittsburgh to +9 and Tease Kansas City to -4

Buffalo -1 

Real simple math here.  Buffalo ranks 4th in the running the ball in the NFL and Philly ranks 27th against the rush, and with a secondary for the Eagles that cannot cover good WR’s, Sammy Watkins will have a huge day, and QB Taylor a better QB than Bradford.  Eagles off an upset road win over the Pats with Special teams and defensive TD’s they wont get today.  Philly dysfunctional on many levels, and oh – RB McCoy returns back to Philly to make a statement. 

Play 1 Unit on the Bills

Carolina -8.5

I smell a 31-10 type ballgame here and that is IF Atlanta can get to 10 points.  Atlanta is in free fall, Matt Ice Ryan throwing picks like crazy, the defense is on the field all day long for the Dirty Birds and they are one of the worst teams over the last 6 weeks in the NFL, and on the other side we have arguably one of the best teams in the NFL at home off a wakeup call scare, who is playing for a first round bye and home filed in the post season here today with plenty of motivation.  The Falcons offense is deplorable right now, terrible play calling, against this defense at home?  Square bet laying a big number?  So Be it.  Forget about it, monster blowout.  The Panthers in December over the last 38 games in division play have covered 27 out of 38 spreads.

Play 2 Units on Carolina  - TOP PLAY

Washington -3 (good line drop for no reason) 

The Skins are 5-1 at home, and the Cowboys haven’t won a game without Romo all year and are in serious decline.  The Skins have been world beaters at home, obvious that QB Cousins is the best QB in the game, and Gruden the best coach in the game.  Cowboys 1-6 ATS without Romo, and Cousins at home 11 TD’s and only 2 picks.  Dallas just 2-8 ATS last 10 meetings with Washington.  Dallas throws it in early when getting beat – Skins never give up.

Play 1 Unit on Washington 

Chicago -7.5

Going to back the Bears here playing a better brand of football.  I put NOTHING into the Niners close one against AZ last week, the Cards had played Seattle and Cincy within 6 days of each other and never got off the bus and still won.  The Bears on a roll, Forte is back with Langford also stepping up and Culter with Gace at OC is playing lights out and showed up Rodgers on MNF.  Home field big here in cold weather the Da Bears under Fox on a spread run, the Niners 0-5 SU on the road and 1-4 ATS.

Play 1 Unit on Chicago

Baltimore +3.5

Miami stinks.  Yep I am taking the better coach off back to back wins as ugly as they were, and the Dolphins flat out embarrassed last week and their offense a funk, the locker room a disaster and their QB is so overrated is unreal.  The Ravens in spite of their record have played everyone tough and have not lost by more than 8 all year.

Play 1 Unit on the Ravens

Atlanta +1.5

Atlanta +1.5

Matty Ice gets Freeman back and Tampa is not all that folks and horrible ATS at home.  Falcons avenging an OT loss, and I look for them to get back on track here somewhat.   Better weapons and with a running game they can be dangerous.

Play 1 Unit on Atlanta

2 UNIT TEASER- 2 Team 6 Points.  Tease Minnesota to +7 and tease Indy to +13 – 2 Units. 

Michigan State -3.5

I look at an Las Vegas Oddsmakers Top 20 ranking report weekly, which know a hell of a lot more than Sports Writers and pollsters, and guess what, Iowa is not even in their top 25.  Yeah Iowa beat Nebraska by 8 and MSU lost to them on a fluke play and missed call from the refs. If Iowa is so good, they should have destroyed a bad Husker team where the QB threw 4 picks in that game, Iowa should have ram rodded them.  Bottom line is QB Cook is good, MSU has wins over Ohio St, Michigan and Oregon and have a better resume and have been in the spotlight before.  Iowa falls here by 10 in my opinion.  Good team but overrated, MSU the real deal with a better coach.

Play 1 Unit on Michigan State 

USC +4.5

I will make this simple, Stanford off a brutal game against Notre Dame and quite frankly I cannot back a team in a championship game that has the worst defense of the 2 teams very often, and that will be Stanford’s demise here.  USC clicking on all cylinders under their interim and now new head coach, and off a impressive blowout win over a good UCLA team.  USC avenging a 310 point setback in the earlier season meeting, Clay Helton no doubt has reminded his team of this, and I am fairly sure while Hogan a great QB for the Cards, Kessler is no joke for USC and the 1-2 punch at RB for the Trojans is newly emphasized by HC Helton and a different team than what Stanford saw in Game 1 in September and Trojans playing more physical and loose. 

Play 1 Unit on USC

Houston -5.5

Not sold on Temple and their coach has been talking with other schools about Jobs, but with Ward back at QB Houston DESTROYED a damn good Navy team (my only loss last Saturday), so I am all over the high flying Cougar attack.  This is also a HOME GAME for the Cougars which is a huge plus as well.  Contrasting styles here no doubt but Houston more likely to cover a number here and played some damn good defense last week against the triple option attack which was impressive and they flat out shut down QB Reynolds from Navy, which is impressive. 

Play 1 Unit on Houston

Green Bay -3

Avenging a loss is key here.  Green Bay lost 3 in a row and one to the Lions as a double digit favorite.  Add in the fact this line was double digits 2 months ago on the futures and you have added value in this number.  While you may react to Sunday Night’s debacle for Green Bay do not.  Look at the box score in that game.  They out first downed the Bears, out rushed them, had less penalties, and frankly on paper out played them, but were 0-2 in the red zone and it killed them.  Detroit has been solid as of late however they have a lot of attention on their side because they whipped the Eagles last week, but folks the Eagles suck.  Green Bay rights the ship here by double digits.

Play 2 Units on Green Bay

Oakland -1
Cheap number for Oakland here against a team with 4 wins over their last 22 games and a banged up QB with no TD passes over the past 2 games and limited targets to throw to against a better than average secondary.  Jack Del Rio will have his team prepared here off back to back losses.
Play 1 Unit on Oakland 

San Diego +4.5 to 5
Yep - The Chargers are flat out ugly but Jax laying this number is scary.  I will grab this over the fall number of 3 anyday.  Chargers have stat edges in Points - Yards gained - turnovers - Time of possession - Kicking and penalties.  I know the Chargers OL is cheese cloth and they have injury issues but Rivers the best QB in this game and Chargers will pull out all the stops after KC whipped their ass last week.  This line an overreaction to what people saw last week, SD will play better and cover this number in a tight game.
Play 1 Unit on San Diego 
2 Team 6 Point Teaser - Tease Denver to +8.5 and tease Minnesota to +7 - Play 1 Unit. 

Ole Miss -1
Everyone loves the homedog here and the home team has some serious advantages here as trends will tell you but Ol Miss's offense and QB Kelly have more scoring power here (#1 offense in SEC) and MIss States defense has allowed 81 points the past 2 weeks and will be hard pressed to slow down Ole Miss offense at 40 ppg who just gutted LSU.  This will be a tight game so hang on but Ol Miss the better team laying less than a FG here is too good to pass up.  Ol Miss pounded MSUS last year and while QB Prescott concerning for Ol Miss's defense I think the Rebels are too much for the Bulldogs.  I lean MSU on my radio show this week but took a hard look at this one and think Ol Miss is a clear cut choice.

Northwestern -3.5
This one at Soldier field and Northwestern's only 2 losses to Iowa and Michigan folks and they have a stud RB in Johnson who will shred the Illinois weak run defense.  Northwestern coach Fitzgerald will coach his team to a win here.  Illinois 1-4 ATS last 5 games. 
Play 1 Unit on Northwestern 

Alabama -14
Rarely if at all do I lay double digits in a rivalry game but Alabama the best team in the country and RB Henry against a defense that allows 181 yards on the ground a total mis match.  Auburns QB position in big trouble against this defense which is a shut down defense with 38 sacks and Sabin will not let off the throttle here, the Tide can name the score at Jordan Hare here, Tide Roll by 20+
Play 1 Unit on Alabama

Indiana -6.5
The Hoosiers played Michigan to OT, lost by 7 to Ohio State this season, and have a very good football team who has a had a brutal schedule.  Purdue has 1 good win this season, to a 5 win Husker team who started a 2nd string QB.  Hoosiers playing for a bowl big here.  Purdue QB doubtful here and Hoosiers blew out Maryland last week as an underdog and Hoosier QB Sudfeld is a stud and threw for 4 TDs last week and 385 yards, Too much for Purdue to handle on the scoreboard here.
Play 2 Units on Indiana - TOP PLAY

San Jose State +7.5

Home dog here worth the stretch,  and what is Boise State doing laying over a TD to anyone?  Losses to Air Force, New Mexico (badly) and the offense is so banged up with injuries it is unreal.  San Jose playing for a bowl game here and have the offense to keep pace and this is a Spartan team who played BYU to 1 point loss (Common opponent, BYU crushed BSU) and Sparty looking for Bowl Bids with a win.  Tight one all the way., as BSU has allowed over 500 yards per game in their last 3 on defense, and laying a number on the road?

Play 1 Unit on San Jose State – Go Sparty!

Iowa -1

All over the Hawkeyes here.  Avenging an OT loss in this game last year at home, and it was not pretty and quit ugly during that game.  Iowa is vastly better than Nebraska and the Husker offense is shorthanded at WR and against this defense which allows just 15 ppg on the road this season, Huskers will struggle with turnover prone QB Armstrong.  This line should at least be 4, and bear in mind the Husker win over Michigan state was a fluke aided by the refs.  Huskers just 3-3 ATS at home this year.  Did I mention the Husker defense is deplorable and if Iowa wants to throw once the run game starts clicking, this could get ugly.

Play 1 Unit on Iowa

NAVY -4 (houstons QB and RB are out ) 

All over the Middies here, I have put them out 3 times this year including last week and cashed all 3.  Houston is deflated, their QB is banged up and questionable and Houston’s defense cannot handle QB Reynolds and this triple option attack.  Navy is 9-1 for the first time since 1963 with Roger Staubauch and can roll almost anyone on offense and their only loss this year was at Notre Dame.  Did I mention Navy is 8-2 ATS this season?  That would be besides a great offense led by a record setting QB, the Navy defense allows just 18 ppg

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Lions –1.5

I cannot trust Philly on the road and I cannot trust Mark Sanchez but I can jump on the Lions bandwagon of back to back wins including Green Bay at Green Bay.  The Eagles offense in a total funk and the Lions while not a great team, are at home here and their defense in the last 2 games has been outstanding.  QB Sanchez is slated to start but rumors of Bradford playing are being floated, but a 100% Bradford is not all that good so playing banged up if he does is not a game changer here.  Tampa punked Philly badly on Sunday – Short Week – no confidence – travel on a holiday – Lions defense at home is fired up after 2 performances that were the best of the year.  Less than a field goal?  I will lay it.

Play 1 Unit on the Lions

2 Team 6 Point Teaser.  Tease Carolina to +7 and Tease Chicago to +15 for a half unit to 1 Unit Play

Bills +7

A rash of injuries for New England, and sooner or later it catches up, no matter how good of a coach NE has at adjusting, Edelman was a huge hit, and the Pats are on their 19th Offensive line arrangement this season.  Buffalo’s defense has vastly improved since the bye week and while both teams are good at stuffing the run, the Bills McCoy has been off the chart as of late as he is fully healthy and QB Taylor is not turning it over.  New England a better team but underdogs are hot at 19-6-1 ATS the last 2 weeks overall in the NFL and I like the Bills to make a stand here and they have had added time to prepare here off a Thursday Night game last week. . 

Play 1 Unit on Buffalo

Same Game 2 team 6 Point Teaser – Side and Total.  Tease the Total DOWN to 42 and take the OVER and tease the Bills UP  to +13 for a HALF UNIT. 

Minnesota PK

The biggest game for the Vikings in 10 years minimum.  They are a cover machine at 8-0 ATS and Green Bay in free fal and the GB defense as bad as the offense and BAD MATCHUP here for Green Bay.  The Packers are 27th in the NFL against the run and they play Adrian Petersen!  This is for the division championship in my opinion as Minny will be hard pressed to win at GB next month and I am taking the hotter team at home on a hell of a spread run as GB cannot run it and have limited success passing and Aaron Rodgers has not been his usual self, Minny sky high for this one and a well-coached team, and the best tackling team in the NFL.

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota

2 TEAM 6 POINT TEASER – 1 UNIT – Tease Cincy to +11 and Tease Indy to +12

Oakland +1

Detroit off a win against Green Bay and this low of a number against lowly Oakland?  The Raiders will get it going big time against this defense, oddsmakers know it and left a short number and I will expose it.  Better coach, better RB, better QB and Oakland fired up after getting waxed at home by the Vikes, and the Lions have not covered a spread at home this season!

Play 1 Unit on Oakland

Denver  PK to -1

Yep, taking the new QB, the better defense and a pissed off Bronco’s bunch over the John Fox led Bears off a surprising win against the Rams last week.  The Bronco defense will be at full strength and when was the last time QB Cutler put together 3 good games?  Also main weapon Jefferies is doubtful.

Play 1 Unit on Denver

Okie State pick to -1

Fading Baylor second straight week.  Better defense, better QB and better coach and did I mention they were in Stillwater, a very tough venue worth 4 points alone.  Okie State will not be looking ahead to big brother OU on deck, this is for the Big 12 title hopes and to remain in the hunt for the final 4..  Baylor’s frosh QB banged up and listed as game time although he will play and Baylor also lost All conference first team safety Orion Stewart last week to injury.  OSU defense a sack master and they have a ball hawking secondary, again, ALL AT HOME.  Baylor limping in here, and while OSU struggled at Iowa State last week looking ahead no doubt and taking them lightly, that has added to a soft line here. 

Play 1 Unit on Oklahoma State

Missouri +8.5

Well Head Coach Gary Pinkel has decided to step down and this is his last home game EVER.  Think that provides added motivation on Senior Day in Columbia?  Hell yes it does, plus Mizzou playing for a Bowl Game with a tough game at Arky next week, so a must win scenario.  While Mizzou’s offense has been in the cellar all year they managed over 480 yards against BYU last week in an outright win as a 6 point pup in that game.  Mizzou has owned the Vols, winning 3 straight against them and while Tennessee has a good team, they have no business laying over a TD on the road against one of the SEC’s best defenses, and we all know Tennessee has issues closing out games and they put up just 24 against a horrific North Texas team last week, and barely beat a bad South Carolina team by 3, and both those were at home for the Vols.   Mizzou circles the wagons this week in an all-out effort.  Better defense at home getting points playing their guts out for a beloved head coach in his last homer. 

Play 2 Units on Mizzou

Navy -12

Tulsa is 115th against the run, they allow 39 ppg and they face a Navy attack, triple option, run to perfection by record setting QB Reynolds which is clicking on all cylinders and remember 8-1 Navy sii no joke, they waxed a ranked Memphis team folks, and Tulsa struggled last week against Central Florida who has not won a game all year!  BLOWOUT – MIDDIES ROLL.

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Oregon -4

USC on the road, they are banged p on defense big time and 2 studs are out tonight,  and since QB Adams has settled in for the Ducks, they are flat out rolling people going 4-0 SU and ATS the last 4 games.  Eugene worth 4 points alone, Oregon on the rise, USC limping, Ducks roll, this line should be 7 or 8 points, I smell a double digit win here by the Ducks.  Quack quack.

Play 1 Unit on the Oregon

Air Force +11

Not sold on BSU laying this type of number over a team who has OWNED them against the spread over the years, not to mention Boise State got their ass kicked by New Mexico as a 30 point favorite and Air Force a cover machine at 11-4-1, and both these teams at 7-3 and playing for a conference title hopes here, should be close.

Play 1 Unit on Air Force – The Fly Boys!

Jax -2.5 to 3 MAX - Game out early at 2.5 guys!!!!!  

I had a free play on Jax who got the job done at Baltimore, albeit a crazy call by the refs that benefited them, but the resurgence of the offense behind QB Bortles has been good, Running game good, and WR Robinson one of the better fantasy WRs out there.,  Tennessee on a short week, travel and off a brutal beating against mighty Carolina, and the win over New Orleans in OT does little to impress me for the Titans as the hapless Redskins just waxed the daylights out of New Orleans Sunday.  Jax last 4 games while the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has averaged 27 ppg.  Better resume and better team and at home.  Jax 8-1 ATS the last 9 in this series.

Play 1 Unit on the Jags 

Central Michigan -9.5 to 10 MAX 
The line dropped off 10, PERFECT.  Kent Stat is dead last in scoring in the NCAA at #128 and their offense is deplorable and they have failed to score in 3 out of their last 5 games.  Cent. Michigan has played a brutal schedule and have lost some close games to good teams and their record is deceiving, and they have the 20th ranked defense in yards allowed in the NCAA.  Kent State may not score.
Play 1 Unit on Central Michigan

Ohio U -8.5 to 9  

Ball State has no offense and while they rank near the bottom against the run, they allow over 500 yards per game this year overall on defense.   Ohio U has ran the ball for over 300 ypg their last 2 games.  Word out of Athens is this is Frank Solich’s last home game as it has been leaked he is retiring at seasons end.  Ohio U looking to get over big time on Ball State here

Play 1 Unit on Ohio U to

Arizona +3

Better team getting points.  Better QB getting points.  Just as good as defense if not better getting points.  Better coach getting points.  Better skill position players on offense in getting points.  Arizona off a bye week getting points.  Seattle has shut down 2 QB’s all year – Matt Cassel and Chicago’s backup Clausen.  Anyone good has beaten Seattle this season, and Zona will face a do or die effort on a tough home field and all the public will be pounding Seattle based on reputation and name only here, I will side with the Sharps.

Play 1 Unit on Arizona  

Dallas +1
Biggest square bet on the board but I am on the Cowboys.  TAMPA IS HORRIBLE AT HOME.  1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS their last 13 games at Raymond James Stadium and with the defense of Dallas, who can shut down boundary receivers like Mike Evans, and Dallas's run game to control the game and take the heat off their less than stellar QB Cassel, I think Dallas gets its done huge on Sunday to snap a streak of losses without Romo.  In Dallas's last 2 losses they could have won the game especially against Philly.
Play 1 Unit on Dallas

Miami +6
According to my sources in Vegas, and they are GOOD sources, the biggest sharp player bet this week is the Dolphins and I agree.  Philly is not all that guys and should have lost last week at Dallas, and Tannehill actually is better than Bradford at QB in my opinion and while Miami has looked less than stellar the past 2 weeks, I think their defense will step up and they have the skill players to expose a defense in the Eagles that is not that good folks.  Bad number to lay (fall number), I will take it.  Whole world on Philly here, I will play contrarian.
Play 1 Unit on Miami

Washington St +9.5

No one buying into a team with a QB that is kicking ass in the PAC 12 for WSU?  Anyone see the injury list of the UCLA defense?  Luke Falk (33 TD’s only 7 picks) is a stud at Washington State and Mike Leech will pull out all the stops and use some trickery against the Bruins, who beat bottom feeder Oregon State last week, but this week they face a team that is undervalued.  Did I mention WSU is 11-2 last 13 as a road dog?

PLAY 2 Units on Washington St – Top Play

Southern Miss -7.5

Look for Southern Miss, who I saw play Nebraska this year and hang around in that one in Lincoln, to expose just a deplorable Rice defense that is a funnel to the end zone.  When you allow 36 ppg, you simply cannot hang around with an inconsistent offense and Southern Miss QB Mullens has 25 TD passes this year, and the Eagles are 7-2 ATS their last 9 games and a serious contender in Conf. USA.

Play 1 Unit on Southern Miss

Air Force +1.5

Utah State started out hot, and now they are off back to back losses including New Mexico (wow)  last week and they face the nation’s leading second ranked  rushing attack on the road.  Air Force is the real deal in the Mountain West, and if they can win this game at home they can be in the driver’s seat with another win to land in a championship game.  The Fly Boys are 9-2 ATS at home versus the line folks.

Play 1 Unit on Air Force

Duke -3.5

Think Duke head coach Cutcliff will have the Devils focused after the ass kicking they took last week?  I feel sorry for a Pitt, whose offense is vanilla and very defendable against angry Duke defense.  Duke apparently let the horrific Miami debacle and loss 2 weeks ago mess them up for the showdown with North Carolina, and we get a soft number here because of it.  Duke’s QB vastly better, Dukes coach vastly better and Duke at home is worth some cushion as well.

Play 2 Units on Duke – Another Top Play

Bills +2.5

I think he Bills win straight up so I will take the points.  Tyrod Taylor was 8 for 8 in hitting WR Watkins last week – they have McCoy and Williams at RB, a mobile QB hitting 71% of his throws YTD and they face a banged up Jets team with a limited QB who struggled to put Jax away last week.  Bills off a convincing win against Miami last week who was red hot rolling into Buffalo.  Jets meet their match here and if QB Fitzgerald goes down or not 100% Jets in big trouble with QB Smith coming in.  Rex Ryan knows this Jets team inside and out.

Play 1 Unit on Buffalo

BONUS PLAY – Virginia Tech +2.5 to win outright versus a bad GT team, and Bud Foster knows how to stop the triple option attack, and VT trying hard to get Beamer in his swan song year to a Bowl Game, a must win here for that.  

Chicago +4.5

Taking over the fall number of 3 here.  The Chargers have 6 starters out, 5 other starters listed as questionable and their best 2 offensive pass catchers are out.  Add in the fact their defense sucks and the Bolts cannot run it, QB Rivers has less weapons at his disposal and the fact that San Diego has found ways to lose all year, and I will take Cutler and the Bears who are playing better and the points.  Forte is out for the Bears, the backup is solid. 

Play 1 Unit on Chicago

2 Team 6 Point Teaser / Side and Total  - Tease Chicago to +10.5 and tease the Total UP to 55.5 and take the UNDER.  

NY Giants -2.5

The line here is an overreaction to Tampa’s win at Atlanta.  Did you see that game, Atlanta turned it over all over the place and Tampa still needed OT to beat them.  NY has a better QB and coach, bigger playmakers, and they can score against this defense,  Based on last week’s results, this line is ripe for the taking.

Play 2 Units on the NY Giants – TOP PLAY

Minny - 1.5 to 2

Value here under 3 with a team 6-0 ATS their last 6 and Rams have Gurley and that’s it, and trust me, head coach Zimmer will have his team ready to stop the run.  Minny is sneaky good and while they struggled last week to a win and cover at the Bears, Rams on the road cannot be trusted with 1 fluke win against the Cards early in the season.  This line lower than expected as an overreaction to Rams big win against lowly Niners last week.  AP – Bridgewater – Diggs and company and home field where the Vikes have been very tough at Gopher Stadium.

Play 1 Unit on the Vikings

2 Team 6 Point Teaser – Tease Oakland to +10 and tease Atlanta down to -1 – PLAY 1 Unit 

LSU +6.5

Defense, running game, deep talent, physical and good coach.  NO I am not talking about Alabama, I am talking about LSU.  These teams are pretty much even folks, neither QB a game breaker with his skills and LSU is undervalued catching almost a TD here.  LSU QB Harris looks great this year and he has better WR’s than Bama and the Tiger defense well equipped to stuff Alabama run attack.  OT game last year was a bitter loss in Baton Rouge, the Tigers have has this one circled.  Alabama very beatable in 2015, even at home.  Public line here big time.

Play 1 Unit on LSU

Michigan State -5 to -5.5 (line as of Tuesday)

Get on this ASAP, as it is a night game and money will pour in on MSU by weeks end.  Nebraska is a shell of itself and Purdue and  a QB not near as good Conner Cook just hung 55 on Nebraska last week.  One of the worst pass defenses in all of college football, a top 3 team as far as the most penalties on the year, and quite frankly a disinterested head coach in Mike Riley who may get ran out of town on a rail car if MSU blows out NU this Saturday.  Nebraska cannot stop anyone on offense and Tommy Armstrong is turnover prone and not built to throw and play from behind and the Huskers may face the best defense they have seen all season here.  Nebraska is living on past deeds, not present.  Michigan State a legit contender for the final 4 this year and odds on with Ohio State to win the conference.  Husker flat out are a bad football team, poorly coached, and they will get man handled here.  The Huskers only win in the last 5 weeks was at Minnesota when they had 7 starters out. Huskers pass defense 125th against the pass and 90th overall. Enough said.  

Play 3 Units on Michigan State. Game of the Year.

Texas Tech +8.5

Any team that can score like Texas Tech is good for a backdoor cover and from what I have seen from West Virginia, neither team has a defense, Tech off a heart breaker versus undefeated Okie State but the Mountaineers are just 3-7 ATS their 10 home games as a fav and this one has last minute thriller shootout written all over it. A Tech win SU would not surprise me. 

Play 1 Unit on Texas Tech

Tulsa -17

A Blowout – Central Florida’s coach O’Leary resigned, Tulsa is seeking a bowl bid and have the capability of putting up monster numbers here, especially with QB Evans who has 5890 yards in the past season and half and last year UCF blew these guys out and Evans had the worst game of his career in that game.  The Knights are 1-8 ATS the last 9 games and have NO offense to trade punches here, especially on the road.  I have faded UCF twice this season and cashed both.

Play 1 Unit on Tulsa - Blowout 

Buffalo -2

I am not buying sucker bet here.  Going to lay the short number with Buffalo here as they have a vastly better offense than Kent State, who ranks near the bottom in offense in the NCAA.  The 1-2 punch at RB for the Bulls plus a better QB gives them a huge edge in this game at a cheap number. Kent States last 3 games they managed 5 FG’s and 1 TD, that will not cut it here and if Buffalo wants to make a bowl game, this is a must win because Northern Illinois on deck, but they will not look past this one.

Play 1 Unit on Buffalo

BONUS PLAY – Nevada -4 over Fresno St for a half unit.

Two Plays here - No Writeups today guys - short on time but this game was well researched

Bad weather and rainy for the game.  

COLTS +6.5 to 7 - A 1 Unit Play - fading the public here. Colts cover late.

Same Game teaser 6 Points - HALF UNIT - Tease Colts to +12.5 to 13 and Tease the Total DOWN to 40 and Take the OVER.  

Atlanta -7

QB Ryan tore up Lovie Smiths defense big time with 2 double digits wins last year and the one in the Atlanta dome was ugly.  Atlanta won ugly last week and will want to atone for 2 bad performances and the Bucs blew a monster lead last week (24 points)  in a loss at Washington.  Atlanta better suited to stop RB Martin and the Atlanta defense rendered Tennessee useless last week and are vastly improved under their new head coach Quinn. 

Play 1 Unit on Atlanta 

Arizona -5.5

Guys Johnny Football is playing and the Zona defense licking their wounds as they roll into Cleveland against a bad football team after Joe Flacco and the Ravens did some damage to them on MNF and yet they get a win.  Johnny Football not ready for primetime, has limited targets and the Zona coaching staff on the defensive side of the ball will blitz him to death.  Arizona’s offense looked sluggish at times but they are healthy with a 1-2 punch at RB, had 3 WR’s that can go deep and QB Palmer is healthy and should have a big day here.  Cleveland is a bad team guys that allows 5 yards per carry and Johnson and Ellington will shred them.

Play 3 Units on Zona – TOP PLAY

Air Force -7

Look for highly touted offensive guru coach Norm Chow to exit Hawaii at years end (Should have stayed at USC).  I like under the radar mismatches and I faded Hawaii last week against Nevada, and I will fade them again this week as Hawaii cannot stop the run, AT ALL, and the Falcons have a triple back, triple option attack, the ol wishbone for lack of a better term and while they are not as good at Navy at running it they are damn close, they will trounce Hawaii here big time in a runaway win.  AF just murdered Fresno racking up 458 yards rushing last week, and face the nation’s 115th ranked rush D.

Play 1 Unit on Air Force

Temple +11

Game of the Year for Temple who is undefeated and I think this is the game where all the injuries catch up to Notre Dame who has lost on the road already to a very good Clemson team.  The Temple defense is NO JOKKE and while they will allow more than 1.8 yards per carry on defense at home today  and give up more than 12 points in this game which is their overall season average, I like the little guys chances here for a home cover in a hard fought game.  The Temple running game is no joke with RB Thomas and he goes up against a very suspect Irish run defense.

Play 1 Unit on Temple

Nebraska -8.5 to -9

The Huskers were handed another late defeat last Saturday in Lincoln against the once ranked 13th Northwestern Wildcats, as the bad luck continues for the Huskers and first year coach Mike Riley.  Purdue is the PERFECT opponent for a blowout and on the road this year Nebraska has beaten up weak sisters like Minny and now Purdue who cannot trade punches on the scoreboard with Nebraska no matter how inept on defense the Huskers have been, especially on pass defense.  The Huskers are 10-2 ATS on the road their last 12 roadies and with Armstrong and the running game held in check last week, the Huskers will be happy to play the 99th ranked defense in CFB this week.  Huskers redeem themselves this week, this line should be 13 minimum.

Play 1 Unit on Nebraska

Ol Miss -7.5

Taking the Rebels here with Double revenge against a bad Auburn, whom you lest forget almost got beat by Jacksonville State in here earlier this year.  An impressive 23-3 blowout of a good Texas AM team last week restored confidence in Oxford.  Ol Miss playing with double revenge and remember Auburn ruined the Rebels party last year with a 4 point win at Ol Miss.  Better QB by far, better quick strike capability by Rebels and they get back 2 studs on defense and are playing a team who just lost a 4 OT game at paltry Arkansas last week.

Play 2 Units on Ol Miss – TOP PLAY

Buffalo -7

The Bulls are a better than average MAC team and they are playing a team who cannot put points up on the board and turns the ball over like crazy, a -12 in turnover ratio with a defense that is a funnel to the end zone and gives up 5 yards per carry and a secondary that is suspect where good QB's are having a field day against them.  Bulls QB LIcata should have big night and the 1-2 punch Buffalo has a RB should flourish.  Red Hawk homefield not worth much either.

Play 1 Unit on Buffalo

BONUS PLAY HALF UNIT - Oregon +2.5 - Better QB and better offense and a healthy QB.  

Carolina -3

Like the Panthers here, still no respect and Philly in all honesty is not a good team they had more turnovers than NY did on MNF but the G Men so bad they made Philly look good.  When you get gifted a ton of turnovers and still struggle to score, what are you going to do against a Carolina defense that is a bad matchup, and even the average WR’s fro Carolina can find space against this P{Hilly defense.

Play 1 Unit on Carolina

Oakland +4

Look the Chargers defense is horrific, the worst secondary the NFL, and the defense is so bad that Rivers threw for over 500 yards last week and lost!  Everyone keeps waiting for the Chargers to emerge, they are not going to.  Oakland plays these guys tough every year, and the underdog in this series is an amazing 11-1 ATS and most of those if not damn near all of them have been Oakland, and the Raiders are 5-1 ATS their last 6 in San Diego.  Raiders off a bye week, and the Chargers blew their wad against Green Bay last week.  Honestly Jack Del Rio the better coach here too.   

Play 1 unit on Oakland  

NY Jets +8 to 9

Jets have covered 5 out of the last 6 times these two have played with teams not as good as this one.  Jets can trade points here all day – RB Ivory should have a huge day and eat clock, Decker and Marshall can make plays and you are paying a high price for Brady and company here who needed the whole game to beat Indy last week who is not near the team the Jets are.  Too many points, public ;loves New England, Sharps love the Jets and so do I.

Play 1 Unit on the Jets

Texas AM +5.5

Grab the points here as Ol Miss was exposed last week against a good Memphis team, however looking at the Ol Miss schedule would give anyone great pause as other than a fluke win over Alabama, they have played no one.  texas AM is SOLID and off a loss and will five Ol Miss fits, I think they win outright.

Play 1 Unit on Ol Miss 

Mizzou -2.5 to 3 max (there is a reason I put these games out on Wednesday) 

I know the Tigers failed to score a TD last week, and I know they are a shell of themselves on offense versus the past 2 seasons when they won the East Division in the SEC, but Mizzou folks is better than a Vandy team who lost to Western Kentucky in here.  Mizzou Frosh QB Lock getting more experience each week and off a tough loss at Georgia last week, who is vastly superior to Vandy, I see Mizzou bouncing back to win by 7-9 points in this one as they stop the bleeding after 2 straight losses here and get back on track.  Gary Pinkel the better coach here and will get his team ready for this one, a winnable game in the SEC on the road where they need a conference win after going down to Kentucky and Georgia already.  Mizzou has one of the best defenses in the SEC and a Top 10 defense in the country, defense wins games against bad teams even with a struggling offense.  Cheap number, my power rating has Mizzou at -7.

Play 2 Units on Mizzou – Top Play

Pitt -6.5 to 7 max

Two teams in different directions, and if it was not for a 3 point setback against undefeated Iowa, the Panthers would be an unbeaten team folks, they are sneaky good and under the radar right now, and Syracuse off a 3 OT loss last week to lowly Virginia, I am all over the Panthers in this one as they should be favored aby double digits.  Pitt is 4-0 ATS last 4 on the road and they have also covered the 6 in this series.

Play 1 Unit on Pitt

Rice -9

Army should not be able to hang with Rice here who is a cover machine at 14-5 ATS their last 19 and while Rice plays little defense not sure Army can exploit that with their offense.  Rice won by 20 last year and quite frankly both teams are about the same and Rice can put points up all day long here.

Play 1 Unit on Rice

Texas -4

With a week off and K State reeling from a 55-0 loss to OU, a team Texas beat the hell out of before their bye week, I do not k State has enough offense here to cover the number and Texas re-rejuvenated and they are at home here.  K State just does not have near the talent Texas does and I feel Texas will roll now after getting off the snide and remember two of their losses were last second special teams blunders including a 1 point loss to a very good Cal team.

Play 1 Unit on Texas 

Cal +3.5

UCLA’s defense without their leader since injury have surrendered 94 points in two games – WOW.  Now you have the best QB in college football coming in here and a high octane, quick strike offense led by Bears QB Goff who is coming off the worst outing in his career with 5 picks against Utah in a game they still competed in despite the turnovers, which is a tell-tale sign the right side here is with the better team, better QB and a surprisingly better defense than last year for the Bears.  Last year UCLA won this game by 2 points in a high scoring affair, and while UCLA frosh sensation QB Rosen is good, Goff is better.  Cal also had a bye week and added time to prepare and UCLA reeling off an ass whipping to Stanford, and UCLA has numerous injuries.

Play 1.5 Units on Cal

Giants +5

The Giants have the better offense and Manning coming off a 400+ yard game against the Niners here.  Philly beat up on New Orleans bad defense last week after struggling for over half the game again.  Tom Coughlin versus Chip Kelly here, there is a mis match as well.  The defenses are both suspect, but with the lack of secondary for Manning to throw against here the Giants can put points up on the scoreboard and that brings points into play with we are dealing with a number here over a fall number of 3.  The Giants rank 12th in rush defense and 10th in scoring allowed on defense folks.  The Giants have ripped off 3 straight wins and beaten some pretty good teams and they are 3 plays away basically from being 5-0 headed into tonight.  Not sold on Philly yet and the Giants playing with double revenge here as Philly swept them last year.

Play 1 Unit on the NY Giants

2 Team 6 Point Same Game Teaser.  Tease the NY Giants to +11 and tease the Total DOWN to 44 and take the Over. 

Carolina +7

Undefeated team catching points against a team with a losing record and they have an equal defense and better QB at throwing it,.  Battle of defenses here, Carolina at 100% health on defense and yes Seattle is a beast to play at home, but remember the Lions gave them a game in here and should have one.  Low scoring, points at a premium, I will gladly take them.

Play 1 Unit on Carolina

2 Team 6 Point Teaser – Full 1 Unit Play –  Tease San Fran to +8.5 and Tease Washington to +12 

Detroit -3

Like the Lions here at home, back against the wall, and while people think the Bears are all that with Cutler back – they beat KC who is horrific and they beat Oakland on a prayer and some lucky bounces, both teams have losing records.  Yes Zona blew out Detroit last week, but that was off a heartbreaker at Seattle on MNF and on a short week, they were doomed.  Lions own 5 straight home covers here and this line should be 6.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit

Arizona -3.5

Pittsburgh is a massive paper Tiger and look at their schedule and see who they beat, not a single team with a winning record.  Vick is no match for Palmer in trading punches on the scoreboard and Pitt off short week and travel from west coast here as well.  Ellington is back at RB, Chris Johnson has been running like the old days and they have weapons everywhere.  Big Ben may return?  I doubt it, still the Cards are vastly better, Pitt gets exposed.

Play 1 Unit on Arizona

Nevada – 6 to 6.5 

Wyoming and North Texas are having a race, to see who is the absolute worst team in college football and we get Nevada here who is 9-2 ATS on the road their last 11, and off a nice bounce back win last week over New Mexico in dominating fashion, and oh yeah, New Mexico already had beaten the punchless Cowboys by 10 on the road!  QB issues, talent issues, coaching issues, lack of depth issues, and they have failed to cover a number in their last 7 games at home.  Wyoming is 120th in points scored in the NCAA and ranked 115 in rushing defense and have not had 1 game all year they stayed within single digits.  The mis-match is the Wolfpack run it for 222 yards per game and Wyoming cannot stop them..

Play 1.5 to 2 Units on Nevada

Northwestern +2.5

Iowa thin at RB and this is where Iowa’s weak schedule catches up with them.  Laying points on the road against a good team who flat out got their ass kicked last week and will be hell bent on stepping it up big time at home  Iowa has some injury issues and you have a real live dog that has the 8th ranked defense in all of college football and a damn good coach to boot.  NW allowing just 6 points per game at home, they have the best player on the field in RB Jackson as well.

Play 1 Unit on Northwestern

Tulsa +12

Anytime I have a team who racks up 588 yards a game and scores in bunches and has a stud QB, I will gladly take big points.  ECU still using 2 QB situation and they are off a brutal road trip to BYU and have had a meat grinder schedule.  Tulsa hung with Oklahoma and their QB Evans will light up a secondary that gave up 921 yards passing in the last 3 weeks, as Evans has 1800+ yards passing and only 3 picks all year.

Play 1 Unit on Tulsa 

Cincy +6.5

Cincy has not played since waxing Miami on national TV on ESPN and they have got it going on gents.  Hayden Moore for Cincy, frosh sensation QB will have a field day with this up-tempo offense against a weak, and I mean weak BYU secondary who gave up 385 yards passing to East Carolina last week.  BYU has been through a meat grinder of a schedule, numerous injuries abound including a banged up QB, and Cincy is a road warrior under Tuberville going 9-2 ATS their last 11 roadies.  Cincy has an offense that can win this SU and for sure a backdoor cover.  Off a bye and well prepared.

Play 2 Units on Cincy

Stanford -7

Look UCLA’s best player is out, they are reeling off a huge ugly loss and Stanford after opening the season with a loss to Northwestern who is a 1 loss team, have beaten up everyone in their path.  They are home here which is worth 3 point alone, they have the better QB and now defense.  Lay it.

Play 1 Unit on Stanford

San Diego -3.5

Anytime I can Mike Vick, who has 5 covers when quarterbacking in his last 20 starts, I am fading him.  Pitts defense is not good, key players out obviously and I look for the Chargers with home field here to blowout the Steelers.  This line should be -5.5 or 6, I feel even though we are dealing with the hook on -3.5, it is worth the stretch.  Better QB in this game, and better defense as well.  You could but this down to -3 for -120 or 12/10 odds if you want.  Chargers third in total offense in the NFL – I do not think a Mike Vick offense can trade punches on the scoreboard all night despite some issues on the OL for the Chargers, I lean home team here.

Play 1 Unit on San Diego 

Arizona -2.5

The Cards will destroy the Lions.  Frankly a short week, travel, a brutal physical game against Seattle and a heart breaking loss where the refs made a bad call but the Lions played like dog crap folks.  Bottom line is AZ’s defense way too much for the predictable Detroit offense who cannot run because they have NO offense line, and little time for Stafford to pass it and stretch the field deep.  AZ off a loss to the hands of St Louis who had +3 in turnovers but are a better team than many think, and QB Palmer and his WR’s should havr a big day here and RB Johnson getting quality yards as well.  AZ defense too much here.  AZ vastly better coached!

Play 1 Unit on Arizona

Philly -4.5

Yes, going off Monday Night you would think we would be all over the Saints, but Dallas in bad shape, and the Saints are a bad team.  Saw something in Philly last week that has me thinking even though they lost, they found something in the passing department and who better to expose than a porous Saints defense.  Look for Philly to break this wide open.

Play 1 Unit on Philly.

Cincy -3

Seattle has no offensive line and without Russel Wilson they quite frankly would be a bad football team.  RM Lynch is very questionable with hammy and doubtful and not 100% if he did play, and even though the defense is solid for Seattle they have not played a team like Cincy other than Green Bay who has this type of offensive prowess, and Green Bay smacked them around.  Cincy has a great defense second only to St Louis that Seattle saw and they lost that game as well.  I believe this Cincy team is as talented as any in the AFC, not as well coached but talented. 

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

2 team 6 Point Teaser – 1 Unit Play - Tease New England down to -2.5 and Tease the NY Giants down to -1.  Both games through Key numbers.

San Jose St -2.5

QB Decker out for UNLV and although SJSU off a brutal game against SEC Auburn which they were in for most of it, I still feel with no way for UNLV to move the ball SJSU will win this by a TD on Saturday.  Decker is 100% out, and he is the guy that makes it happen for UNLV.  Season win total was at 2, they have matched that but I do not see a team as bad as UNLV winning back to back games.  Spartans are better.

Play 1 Unit on San Jose State

SHORT AND SWEET

Miami +8

8-2 ATS is the underdog in this series.  Miami's last stand, undervalued here off a loss at CIncy and FLorida State is without main offensive weapon at RB here.  Always a hotly contested game here and I feel Miami has the vastly better QB.  Both coaches prone to huge mistakes but Hurricanes can strike quick and deep and I like their chances at a cover big time.

Play 1 Unit on Miami

BONUS PLAY - Half Unit on California +7.5 - get this in early.  

U Conn +2.5

What a gift – Central Florida is 0-5 and laying points   WOW.  U Conn had BYU tied up 10-10 late in the game last week, almost beat Missouri on the road as well.  CFU lost to Furman and Tulane to name a few as well as Florida International.  The cupboards are bare at Central Florida, U Conn is a good team with a good defense and that defense will win this game for them.  Huskies allow just 19 ppg on defense and that is against the likes of Navy, BYU and Mizzou folks.  CFU is also laced with injuries and their secondary is ranked 116th versus the pass and they have injuries there as well.

Play 1 Unit on U Conn

Purdue +3

Yep the Boilermakers – Ugly pick maybe but Minny on a back to back roadie here, they just got hammered at Northwestern big time and the Gopher offense is in toal disary and cannot get off square one, and they are shuffling QB’s as well.  RB Jones for Purdue racked up 1157 yards last week against Michigan State who is stout up front and Purdue gave them a game as well.  Home dog here, I say they bite!

Play 1 Unit on Purdue

Georgia - 2.5 to 3

What did sports bettors see last week?  The saw Bama destroy Georgia on national TV.  Well many skipped a bad Arkansas team beating up on Tennessee in their own house and Tennessee cannot close out a game to save their life and have played Florida and Arky in back to back weeks.  I see no way Tenn. Can stop the run attack and a pissed off Bulldog team here who still can and just might win the SEC East this year.  Georgia is 5-1 ATS off a SU loss, and while many are down on the Bulldogs, I still think despite a bad QB, their running game e is enough to carry them.  Georgia owns the Vols, winning and covering 5 straight, make it 6.  Short number here.  If they would have even competed with Bama this line would be 6 minimum. 

Play 1 Unit on Georgia

Central Michigan +7

Really, CMU is better in my opinion and have big strike capability under QB Rush, and while Western Michigan has had a bye week, their defense cannot stop the CMU attack and the defense of Western Michigan is allowing 35 ppg and over 6 yards per rush.  All in all I think we have the better team catching more than a TD in some spots, and this same team just upset Northern Illinois last week, a team who almost beat Ohio State 2 weeks ago!

Play 2 Units on Central Michigan – TOP PLAY

Virginia Tech -2

Are you kidding me?  VT at home, back against the wall, and left for dead on the side of the road.  Frank Beamer is not in his prime anymore but Blacksburg is worth 4 points alone, and NC State has not played anyone all year so throw all those defensive stats out the window for the Wolfpack here, they played 1 good team and got beat and Louisville no powerhouse by any stretch this year.  Catching VT off a loss at home on primetime.  Yes their OL allowed 7 sacks last week but they were unable to run it so it was predictable.  Expect Beamer and DC Bud Foster to devise a plan and get a win here.  Cheap number for a home team that is backed in a corner.

Play 1 Unit on VT 

Houston -4
We are getting near 3 points of home value here in my mind, this should be 7.  Colts OL is deplorable, 41 year old QB behind a line that cannot block and needed OT to beat Jax last week.  Houston at home off an embarrassing performance and prideful defense foaming at the mouth to atone for letting the Falcons rip them a new one, and they will tee off on Indy weak front line and make a showing here.  Oddsmakers making you lay a number over 3 with a team who got crushed last week against the Division Champs...there is a reason why.  Indy limping in here and this is last stand for Houston's season.  
Play 1 Unit on Houston 

St Louis +7 - 7.5

Yep, they damn near beat Pitt but played so bad it was unreal down the stretch.  Look for Gurley – Mason and Cunningham to grind it out on the ground and while Arizona has impressed, this is the best defense they have faced and a defense that shut down Pitt last week big time, even when Big Ben was in there.  How good is Arizona?  Well the combined record of the teams they have beaten up on is 0-9!  The Rams keep this close with defense and doubt you see a ton of scoring either.

Play 1 Unit on the Rams

2 Team 6- Point Teaser – 1 Unit Play -  Tease Denver down to -1 and Tease San Diego down to -1 to 1.5 (Lines as of Wednesday)  Both under the fall number of 3 in either case.  

Cincy -4

Look I am all in on the Bengals, and they have impressed.  What gets KC in trouble is having to trade points against good teams and KC’s defense was exposed big time against Green Bay Monday Night.  KC has no OL and all world Charles cannot get loose and Alex Smith has no time to throw.  Cincy’s defense no joke, Cincy’s offense is loaded, and Dalton is playing out of his mind.  KC on a short week with travel after an ass kicking and Cincy at home rolling.  Fading Kansas City here, poor play calling by Reid and a defense that was shredded by the same style offense that Cincy runs last week.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

NY Giants +5.5 – Top Play

Added time for the G Men to prepare for Buffalo who is off a road trip to Miami.  Before we all start bowing down to Rex Ryan, who has Buffalo played that is worth a shit?   Well New England and they blew them out in this stadium.  A struggling Indy team and a deplorable Miami team.  I would take Tom Coughlin over Rex Ryan any day of the week for a head coach and while NY has been anything but impressive, they gave 2 games away to 2 undefeated Atlanta and quite frankly Dallas would be undefeated if they had Romo, and they bounced back nicely last Thursday against the Skins.  NY is basically 3 plays away from being 3-0 and bear in mind for all the hype about Buffalo’s defense, the secondary is yielding almost 300 yards per game, and word is WR Cruz is suiting up his week.

Play 2 Units on the Giants

Southern Miss -16

North Texas is one of the worst teams in College football and despite being down 22-0 at halftime last week, So Miss gave Nebraska all they wanted in Lincoln last week in the second half and threatened to tie the game late in the fourth.  UNT simply cannot stop anyone and Southern Miss has a strong running game, a QB with 9 TD’s and only pick, and a strong home field. North Texas gets pummeled late here.

Play 1 Unit on Southern Miss – Blowout   

Kansas State +8

Bill Snyder with 2 weeks to prepare?  Bill Snyder’s Wildcat teams are 11-2 ATS their last 13 against ranked opponents.  Okie St needed a Texas Special teams blunder to beat a bad Texas last week and again, the Old Ball Coach Snyder has another under the radar Big 12 team who will fight and claw and show up big time in this game.  Okie State has played no one guys, K State will hang tough, grab the points as I always take Snyder in spots like this over the years, it has been flat out money in the bank.

Play 1 Unit on K State

Nebraska -6.5 to 7

The Huskers have struggled this year including last week where they had a commanding 22-0 halftime lead on Southern Miss before falling apart but getting the win.  Illinois is horrific on defense, 6.9 yards per carry allowed, they allowed MTS to throw for 300 yards against them, and Husker QB Armstrong is improving weekly and the Husker running game is deep and fast and will attack Illinois and dominate this game, not to mention Armstrong’s dual threat as he has over 300 yards passing last week and 63 yards on the ground.  The Huskers also get 4 Key players back from injury including the first start of the season for burner and special teams expert Pearson el who is a huge playmaker and word out of Lincoln is he will also see time in the slot.  Huskers undervalued here at this number due to 2-2 record.  They lost to BYU on a hail mary and to Miami in OT. 

Play 2 Units on the Huskers 

Ohio U -2.5

Frank Solich OWNS Akron.  The Bobcats were a big radio play of mine last week and they should have beaten Minnesota and got nixed out of tying FG effort that still has Solich steamed.  Akron ranks 105th in offense in the NCAA and QB Vick for Ohio U is the real deal, and Ohio has numerous more threats on offense than that of the Zips.  Solich is a great coach and will not let a Big 10 matchup defeat last week deflate his team.  Ohio is a contender in the MAC this year gents.

Play 1 Unit on Ohio U

Cincy +7

Weather is 50-degress, it is 93 in Miami.  Going into this game Miami is missing 2 DB’s to injury and this is Cincy’s biggest game of the year.  Gunner Keil at QB for Cincy is out, HOWEVER his replacement Hayden last week set a school record 557 yards and 4 TD’s but threw a late pick to seal the fate of the Bearcats against Cincy .  Miami has Florida State on deck, on the road against a high flying offense who can keep pace with some defensive guys out, and Al Golden has a tendency to blow games late with poor coaching and Tubberville is no slouch coaching his team.  Home dog worth the stretch here.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy to cover in a tight one. 

Kansas City +7
The combined record of the teams Green Bay has beat is 0-4, and this is a ton of points against a capable team here as Jamal Charles should have success against the Green Bay defense.  Both Seattle and Chicago moved the chains against Green Bay and KC has 10 days off to prepare after letting Denver score 14 points in 35 seconds in a tough loss last Thursday.  KC's offense can put points up and Rodgers will face a pass rush and good secondary here and with Lacey and Adamas out I like KC to keep this very close.
Play 1 Unit on Kansas City
6 Point teaser - tease KC to +13 ands tease the total down to 43 and take the OVER - Half Unit 

Oakland +3.5 to 4

Cleveland starting McCown over Johnny Football – BIG MISTAKE.  Oakland has momentum off an Epic win last week over the Ravens and despite Oakland playing little defense, I expect a shootout here (think about the Over here too) and Oakland has many more offensive weapons and Carr the Best QB in this game.  Benching Manziel is a stupid idea for the Browns. 

Play 1 Unit on Oakland

Houston -6.5

Tampa in trouble here.  Houston has underperformed all season but I expect their defense at home to rock Winston and company and the Bucs face a real defense, unlike the hapless and toothless Saints.  Expect Mallet and his WR’s (Hopkins now slated to play) to get some big plays and for Tampa to really struggle in this one big time in back to back roadies.  Look for JJ Watt to reak havoc on Sunday.  Coming out party for the Texans here. 

Play 1 Unit on Houston

Two Team 6 Point Teaser – Full 1 Unit Play - Tease Buffalo to +8.5 and tease Cincy to +8.5  Both teams through 3 key numbers – both could win outright.

Philly +2

Jets on a short week and travel off Monday Night football and flat out yes they have the better defense here but I think Philly is a team destined for better than 0-3 to start despite how bad they looked last week.  This line is an over reaction to what you saw on Monday Night which in all honesty was not an offensive showcase for NY, and also a reaction to the Eagles stinking it up against Dallas.  Fortunes turn different this week.  Jets beat a shitty Cleveland team and an Indy team who quite frankly were poorly coached and have been flat out beat by teams that were better than them at the moment. 

Play 1 Unit on Philly