On Saturday the NFL Game 15 Super side play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. The Cowboys fit a week 15 system here tonight that plays on road teams in game 15 that are on the road next week to close out the season if they are taking on an opponent that is off straight up and against the spread loss. This system has cashed 34 of 47 times since 1980. Dallas will look to improve on defense as they have allowed 30 or more the last 4 games. That however was against some high powered offensive teams. Tonight they take on an anemic Arizona offense that averages over 100 yards less than Dallas does. The Cowboys have covered 16 of 21 in the series off a an ats loss. Dallas is 3-1 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49, while Arizona is just 3-7 ats as a dog. Look for Dallas to coast for once in a solid win and cover. Take Dallas

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 332 at 8:35 eastern. The Vikings qualify in a never lost system that dates to 1989. What we want to do is play on home dogs if the total is 34 or less if they scored 21 or less and their opponent also scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Ironically the Home dog has won the game straight up every time. While I don't think they will win the game here with 3rd string Qb Weber I do think that the game will be more competitive than last weeks 21-3 loss to the Giants. The Bears were man handled by the Patriots and are 0-3 as a favorite from 3.5 to -9. The Vikings are 8-2 with division revenge at home and 4-1 ats on Monday night football. Look for the Vikings to get the cover tonight.


On Monday the NCAAB Power totals play is on the over on the North Colorado at Colorado St. game. Rotation numbers 531/532 at 9:00 eastern. This game has several solid over angles. North Colorado will look to improve their shooting performance as they have shot progressively worse the last 3 games. They have played over in 17 of 23 off a non conference game and 75% of the time as a road dog in this range. Colorado St is coming off their worst performance thus far in a loss to Kansas which saw them shoot only 28% from the field. They are a hot shooting team and have shot over 50% the prior 6 games before Kansas. They have gone over 10 of 14 times after scoring 60 or less and 11 of 16 vs losing teams. Both games in the series have played over. Look for this one to go over the total as well.

On Sunday the Big revenger play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 307 at 4:14 eastern. Denver plays with major home loss revenge for a 59-14 pasting. Same season revengers off a road favored loss ae 35-14 ats long term. The Broncos are 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 7 or less. Oakland is a poor home favorite and is just 1-9 ats vs Losing teams. Thye are 3-12 ats at home vs divisional teams that are less than .500 and have revenge. K. Orton will not play in this one. Instead we will see T. Tebow. Look for Denver to get the cash

On Sunday the Big totals system is on the Over in the Jets at Steelers game. Rotation numbers 325/326 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a tight totals system I use. What we want to do is play the over for road teams that were home favorites of 3 or more and scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home favorite. These games have played over 15 of 17 times averaging 45 points per game. And yes I have a 100% Subset that remains for my eyes. Both offenses have been dismal. The Steeles haven't done much the past 2 games managing just 9 points last week. They had 2 defensive touchdowns. The Jets haven't put up a score since thanks giving in an actual offensive series. Today this will change as Both teams will open it up. The Steelers are without T. Polamalu today which will be a key loss. The Jets defensive signal callers are done in Leonard and E. Smith. The Jets have gone over the total all 6 times on the road this season and 8 of 10 times in the second half vs winning teams. Pittsburgh has gone over 13 of 17 times off a division game and 4 of 5 times vs AFC East teams. Look for the Steelers to snap their 4 game under streak. Play the over in this one.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 324 at 4:05 eastern. The Seahawks are taking 7 points here today. They are a decent 4-2 at home and catch the Falcons in a tough scheduling spot. Atlanta off 2 impressive road wins are playing their 3rd straight road off 2 wins and covers. Their is a perfect system that dates to 1980 and plays against certain teams in the 3rd game of a 3+ road trip. Another system is alos in play. What we want to do is play on non division road favorites of 6.5 or more that won by 20 or more and scored 42 or less vs an opponent that did not lose by more than 20 ats. A secondary system is to play against road favorites off a win streak of 4 or more games if they lost the previous road game prior the win streak. Both system are high percentage systems long term. Seattle should give Atlanta a tough game here today, especially with the Falcons very well aware of the big showdown game next week vs the Saints. Take the points in this one.

On Sunday the 7* NFL DAISY CUTTER GOY is on the Kansas City Chiefs. Game 303 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs are coming off one of the poorest offensive performances in recent times. They totaled just 67 yards in a 31-0 loss at San Diego last week. That loss sets them up in a bevy of systems. The Best of which is 100% and wins by over 10 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and they were road dogs of 7 or more with a total of 40.5 or more and they had less than 100 yards rushing and less than 150 yards passing. KC had B. Croyle making the start last week in a crucial divisional game. This hand cuffed the Chiefs from the start. Now they know they have to win. The Good news is the probable return of starting Qb Cassel. A secondary system that dates to 1980 plays on small road favorites off a 24 pr more point road loss. The Rams are off a blowout loss to the Saints. They have not been good against teams with a winning record. They are 3-16 straight up, including 0-9 the last 3 years. They are 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-10 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. KC is 3-1 vs winning teams this year and 18-5 vs NFC West teams. The Chiefs are 8-1 ats vs non divisional teams on the road off a loss of 10 or more and the Rams are 2-7 ats home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. Look for the Chiefs to win this one here today as the NFC West continues to be a mess and the AFC West heats up. Take the KC Chiefs +3

On Thursday the Triple System NFL Play is on the San Francisco 49 ers. Game 301 at 8:20 eastern. The Niners are the beneficiaries of 3 big systems tonight. What we want to do is play against home favorites of 6 or more in their 3rd straight home game if the total is 45 or less. Secondly we want to play against non division home favorites off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that has a win percentage of less than .666. Third system plays on road dogs off a home favorite win of 14 or more and a prior loss of 14 or more as a road dog. This beauty is 20-2 Since 1980. The Niners are 7-1 ats as a non conference dog of 4 or more, 3-0 on Thursdays and 7-2 in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Chargers are just 1-3 vs losing teams. In the series they have lost 2 of the last 3 here at home. When the Chargers are playing a non division team after allowing 10 or less they are just 1-5 ats. Look for the Niners to keep this one close. Take the points with San Francisco.

On Monday night the NFL Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 133 at 8:35 eastern. The Ravens qualify in a solid system here that plays on road favorites off home favored loss that scored 14 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 300 or more yards passing. On Top of this System we note the Balty is 12-0 vs teams with a losing record, while Houston has lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams this season. In the month of December the Ravens are 13-1 ats vs a non division team if they are playing off a home loss. The have a defense that is over 80 yards better. In fact Houston has allowed 24 or more points in every game except one, or 11 of 12 this season. Balty is 12-1 ats when they score 24 or more points on the road the past few seasons. The Texans have lost all 3 meetings vs Baltimore as well. Look for the Ravens to come out with a chip on their shoulder. Take the Ravens

On Sunday night the NFL Power Play side is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 131 at 8:20 eastern. This is the first match betwen theses 2 NFC east Division rivals. The last time they played Dallas was a Perennial playoff team and knocked Philly out of the Playoffs with a 34-14 victory. Things have changed drastically this season as Dallas is in last place and Philly is in a battle for first with the Giants. This game fits a nice system that plays on Road favorites that are coming in off a Thursday game vs an opponent off a win and Both teams scored 28 or more in the last game. The Eagles are 5-1 off Thursday games and have covered 10 of the last 12 in the second week of December. Dallas is 0-6 ats in the second week and 0-8 ats off a non divisional road win vs an opponent off a win. There will be no Dez Bryant in this one for Dallas.. The Eagles have edges on both sides of the ball and will feel added pressure once the Giants dispatch of Minnesota earlier in the day. Look for Dallas to win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the 25-3 Power system Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 109 at 4:15 eastern. While many will fade the Patriots and chalk up their big win as just the extra motivation of revenge and longer preparation we wont. The Patriots fit a Never before released 25-3 Power System that pertains to teams who scored 30 or more while allowing less than 10 on Monday night. Popular thinking assumes these teams will fall flat. The exact opposite happens. The Patriots are a unique team when it comes to game planning and preparation. They are favored here for a reason. While Chicago has 6 dog wins to their credit and a better statistical defense. The Patriots are better on offense and will be able to throw the ball on a Chicago team that will surrender big plays if they do not get to Brady. The Patriots defense has played much better and the hidden truth is that they are always ahead in their games to the point where other teams amass a lot of yards trying to play Catch up. The Patriots have won 4 of the last 5 in the series and are 5-0 vs winning teams. They are 9-1 in non conference games and 8-1 in December. The Bears coach Smith is 0-7 as in December off back to back wins. The Patriots actually win by a larger margin on the road than Chicago does at home. Look for the Patriots to get the win and cover.

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Tampa at Washington game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a 100% Totals system that averages 54 points per game over the last 22 years. What we want to do is play the over for certain road favorites with a total of more than 40 that scored 21 or more as a home dog last week and are taking on an opponent that scored 9 or less as a road dog last week. Tampa blew a later double digit lead last wee at home vs Atlanta. Now they travel to Washington to take on a Redskins team that has lost three straight at home and was shelled real good last week in New York. Washington is allowing nearly 400 yards per game on defense. Both teams are averaging over 320 yards per game on offense. The Weather will be Milder than first predicted and it will be approximately 47 degrees at kickoff. Look for both teams to play a much different game that last years model that accumulated just 29 points. Take the Over

On Thursday the Night the NFL Triple system play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 102 at 8:20 eastern. Am I losing my mind going against a Colts team off back to home favored losses against a Titans team that cannot get out of their own way offensively? Of course not here is why. What we want to do is play against any road favorite that comes in off a home favored loss vs an opponent also off a home favored loss. Since 1980 these road favorites are 4-9 straight up and against the spread. Moving on we note that home dogs of less than 5 points off a home favored division loss and scored 10 or less points have covered 10 of 14 times since 1980. For the third system we polish of these un worthy road favorites noting they are covering just 28% of the time if they are road favored off 2 consecutive home favored losses. The Colts could lose here and still win the division. On Defense the Colts may struggle more than the Titans with the limited preparation time and they have not played that well on the road this season anyway allowing over 26 points per game. compared to the Titans at 18 points per game at home and 13 points per game in divisional games. Tennessee has covered 4 of 5 on Thursday nights. Titans offense has been non existent the past 2 weeks with just 6 points. Home dogs that are off back to back games scoring less than 7 in both are solid investments. Titans get the cash here tonight. Take Tennessee


On Thursday the NBA play is on the Portland Trail blazers. Game 706 at 10:35 eastern. Orlando comes in to this one off a tough loss to the Hawks 80-74. That results sets them up in a negative system here tonight. What we want to do is play against road favorites of -4 or less with 1 or more day of rest if they scored 90 or more as a home favorite and shot 40% or less from the field,in vs an opponent that score 90 or more as a home favorite. These road chalk teams are 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ats since 1995. The Magic are 1-6 ats on the road after scoring 80 or less at home in their last game. The Blazers have won 2 straight after their long losing streak. last year they took care of Orlando here 102-87. Look for more of the same tonight. Portland is the play.

The Jets and Patriots may be an East Coast match up. However this game that pits to of the Best teams in the AFC will draw Plenty of attention nation wide. Both teams come in with stellar 9-2 records and both appear headed to another playoff appearance.

The Patriots are back at home off a big come from behind win on Thanks giving day in Detroit. The Jets are also off a big home win against the Bengals on Thanks giving night. Both teams are well rested for this one here with 10 full days of preparation time. In the first game on September 19th the Jets came away with a 28-14 win as a 3 point home dog. The Jets won the battle of the stats in that game with 336 yards to 291 for New England. They managed to hold the Patriots to just 52 yards rushing. On the season the Jets are averaging 360 yards on offense with 148 coming on the ground and 212 yards through the air. The Patriots are averaging 349 yards on offense, with 112 yards per game coming form their rushing attack and 236 yards per game coming from the arm of Tom Brady. On Defense the Patriots have been susceptible this season allowing 399 yards per game. Of particular concern is their pass coverage as opposing teams have averaged 288 pass yards per game. Their run defense has been better but still allows 110 yards per game on the ground. The Jets have a decided edge on defense allowing 103 yards less per game than New England. The Jets run defense has allowed 86 yards per game, while their pass coverage has been superb allowing 210 yards per game. So as we can see the Jets have edges on both sides of the ball. On Monday nights the Patriots have won three of their last four, while the Jets have dropped three of their last four. For some team specific Angles we note that the Patriots are 5-0 at home this year, and 7-1 in the month of December the past few seasons. They have out scored opposing teams by a 31-24 score here at home while averaging 384 yards on offense. The Jets are 10-5 straight up as an underdog the past few seasons including 4-0 as a road dog of 3.5 or less. They are an amazing 5-0 on the road this season winning by an average 28-17 score, and accumulating 400 yards per game on offense. In Divisional play long term the Jets are 14-2 against the point spread if they are .500 or better as a road dog and a perfect 9-0 if they are coming off a win. Coach Rex Ryan is 6-1 ats in his short coaching career as an underdog vs an AFC team if his teams record is .500 or better. The Patriots have some equally impressive angles on their side tonight. They are 9-1 ats as a home favorite of 3 or more vs a team with a win percentage of .600 or better and 11-1 ats long term in divisional play if they have revenge and their opponent is off back to back wins. Expect the winner of this game to win the AFC East this season. Despite all the angles going both ways I will lean with the Jets here at +4 or more as they are statistically better in road to home sets.

On Sunday night the Big System Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 367 at 8:20 eastern. Baltimore fits a nice play against system here tonight that goes against home teams that scored 21 or less at home last week that had less than 100 yards rushing and 250 or more yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road favorite. The Steelers play with home loss revenge from an early loss back in week 4. Pittsburgh is 9-1 straight up with revenge, 9-3 in the second half vs winning teams and 3-1 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less. Look for the Steelers to deal the Ravens their first loss of the season at home. Take the Steelers +3

On Sunday the NFL Power System Game is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 357 at 4:15 eastern. Atlanta qualifies in the team playing their first game of road trip system provided they are not favored by more than 4 points. This system is 22-4 ats and has a 100% Subset going. Atlanta is a team on a mission this season as they look to stay ahead of the Saints and get home field advantage in the playoffs. Tampa rallied late in the first meeting and nearly pulled the upset. Atlanta will not take them lightly here and will get the win and cover. The Falcons are 14-5 in games with lines that are +3 to -3. Tampa is 0-3 as a home dog of 3 or less and 0-3 vs winning teams. In December they are just 2-6 of late. Atlanta mean while has won 75% of their games vs winning teams.

On Sunday the NFL Double System play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 343 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system here today that plays on certain teams as long as they are not favored by more than 3 and are playing their first game of a 3 game road trip. The Browns are 9-1 ats vs AFC East in regulation games . Miami is just 2-8 ats home off a dog win and 0-6 ats the last 3 years as a favorite from 3.5 to 6. that were home favorites of 7 or more and had 150 or more yards rushing vs an opponent that was a dog and also had 150 or more yards rushing. Cleveland offense should do better with Qb Delhomme than with C. Mcoy. Take the points here with Cleveland.

On Thursday the Double System Power Play in the NFL is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8:20 eastern. Houston falls in to a few negative systems here tonight. Lets take a look see. What we want to do is play against non division teams that have a win percentage of less than .875 off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that comes in off a favored loss. The Second system plays against road dogs from +3.5 to +9.5 that are off a double digit division win. Both of these systems are consistent money makers year in and year out. Coach Kubiak is a terrible 0-8 ats vs an opponent off a road loss and failed cover. The Eagles rarely lose as a home favorite in this range winning 21 of the last times and are a solid 6-0 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more off a straight up favored loss vs a losing team. Take Philly here tonight.


On Thursday the bonus NCAAF Play is on the Arizona Wildcats. Game 304 at 8:00 eastern. Arizona gets the nod in their big rivalry game with Arizona St here tonight. The Wildcats are 7-1 vs losing teams while The Sun Devils are 0-14 vs teams with a losing record and 3-12 as a road dog of late. Arizona St is also 1-6 ats in their last road game the past 7 years. Arizona gets the nod tonight.

On Monday the 5* NFL System Play is on the SF 49 ers. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. The Niners fit a solid 95% Power system here tonight. What we want to do is play on certain road favorites off a home game where they scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game. These road favorites win by an average 12 points per game. Looking at this game statistically we see that the 49 ers have a 40 yard edge on offense and a 70 yards edge on defense. Monday night angles all favor them too. They are 23-9 ats on Monday night football including 12-5 as a road favorite and 8-1 vs an opponent off a loss. Arizona is 0-5 on Monday night football vs an opponent and again vs losing teams. Overall they are 0-7 at home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Whisenhunt is 1-9 off a non division game if tonight's opponent is off a straight up and ats loss. The Niners are 9-2 off a favored loss and have covered the last 5 games here in Arizona. Too much overwhelming info. Take San Francisco

On Sunday night the NFL Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. SD is better on both sides of the ball by 30 yards on offense and 75 yards on defense. This is their time of the year as they are like a closer in speed duel of a horse race. SD has covered 12 of 13 times here in Indy. The Colts are all banged up on both offense and defense but somehow seem to keep find guys off the shelf to come in and contribute. This will be tough to do on a Charger defense that is top notch this year. On Sunday night the Colts are 1-8 ats vs an opponent that comes in off back to back wins. The Chargers play their best ball in November and December. They are 12-3 ats on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher and have covered 7 of their last 9 as a dog. Take the Chargers tonight. Bonus NBA Below


On Sunday the NBA System Play is on the over in the Pacers at Lakers game. Rotation numbers 715/716 at 9:35 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% NBA Totals system. What we want to do is play the over for home favorites of -5 or more with 1 or more day of rest if the total is 190 or higher and they scored 90 or more on the road with a spread range of +3 to -3 and shot 45% or less. Id the opponent which is Indiana in this case scored 100 or more as a home favorite of 4 or less this system cashes 90% and averages 210 points per game. The Lakers have gone over 4 of 5 times this season as a home favorite from -6.5 to -9. In the series between the 2 teams the last four games have all flown over the total. The Pacers have no problem playing an up tempo game with the Lakers.

On Sunday the BIG Dog with Bite is on the Chicago Bears. Game 228 at 4:15 eastern. The Bears qualify in one of my favorite system here today. What we want to do is play on Batter than 500 home dogs of less than 7 off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home games. This seemingly simple system has cashed 31 of 34 times. The Bears at 7-3 are getting no respect here. They have a superb defense capable of shutting down M.Vick and the Eagles who only managed to win by 7 points over a Giants team that had 5 turnovers and a 133 yards passing. The Philly defense is much better at home than on the road as well. Chicago has extra preparation time having played their last game last Thursday in a shut out win in Miami. The Bears are 5-1 with a +3 to -3 line and 7-2 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. They play this on with Home loss revenge from last years loss here. In that game they were doomed by turnovers. Finally Lovie Smith is 9-1 ats with revenge vs an opponent off a divisional game. Look for the Bears to surprise the Eagles here today.

On Sunday the NON Conference Power system play is on the New York Giants. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants qualify in 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one that's directly from the database and has cashed 100% of the time since 1989. What we want to do is play on home favorites of 7 or more that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game and had less than 150 yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite. These homers win by an average 21 point per game. The Giants were still close last week in a 24-17 loss to Philadelphia, despite 5 turnovers. Now they take on a Jacksonville team that is 2-8 ats vs winning teams and 1-5 ats off 2 or more wins. The Giants have won both meetings here in this series and are 4-0 with 3 covers as a favorite from -3.5 to -9. With the Jaguars 1-8 ats in November off a win vs an opponent off a loss we will back the Giants here today.

On Sunday the NFL Power Angle Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 230 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons are 18-1 at home with Matt Ryan at the helm. They are on a terrific run right now and are real tough here. They are 3-0 as a home favorite of 3 or less and 5-0 vs NFC North teams. Green Bay on the 2nd of back to back road off a big win last week in Minnesota. We note that the Packers are 0-5 vs NFC South teams and just 1-4 as a road dog of 3 or less. For system purposes we want to play against road teams that are 3-0 straight up and ats in their last 3 games if they scored 30 or more back to back. Another fine system is to play against road teams in the 2nd half of the season off a double digit road win if the spread is less than 3. Look for coach to Smith to move to 9-1 vs teams off back to back wins. Take the Falcons here today.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the New York Jets. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Cardiac kids the New York Jets are. They have several miraculous comebacks in games they should have won with no problem. Tonight they qualify in a Huge Thanks giving day system that plays on Home favorites in certain winning percentage that are off a win. This system is perfect lone term. Cincy will struggle on defense regardless if its a short week or not. At 2-8 they are a big disappointment and will likely get blown out here by a Jets team that will look to shore up the defensive lapses they suffered against Houston. Take the Jets tonight.

On Turkey day the 5* Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 105 at 4:15 eastern. The Saints have now hit their best stride and qualify in a big system here today that plays on certain favorites off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a win. Dallas has played much better under new coach J. Garret. However their defensive woes will be exposed today against a Saints team that will look to score fast and often. Dallas is a solid play on Thanksgiving against losing teams. However when facing a winning team they are not nearly as good. The Saints have covered 6 of the last 7 in the series and are 7-2 ats as a road favorite of less than 5 off a win. The Cowboys are 2-9 ats at home vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. Look for the Saints to get the win and cover today.

On Thursday the early NFL play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Lions are playing solid ball at home despite their lsoing record this season. They are averaging 33 points per game. Today they take on a New England team that has allowed at least 20 points in all but one road game. Look for Detroit to be in this the whole way and get the cover today.

Monday night side

On Sunday night our Big totals play is on the Over in the Giants at Philly game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that has gone over the total 22 of 26 times with a 100% subset. What we want to do is play the over for home teams with a total of 42 or more if they scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game and the opponent scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Philly is off the explosive 59 point game vs Washington on Monday night. While the Giants are off the bad home favored loss to Dallas. The Giants have gone over in 12 of 15 games after playing Dallas and 5 of 6 vs conference opponents. The Eagles have gone over 5 of 6 times as a home favorite of 3 or less and 16 of 22 times when the line is +3 to -3. These 2 played some real barn burners last year. Philly can score and has struggled on defense while the Giants can score and will have trouble with M.Vick and Phillys offense. Look for this one to play over the total tonight.

On Sunday the Power System Pay is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. The Rams fit a solid system here today. We want to play against teams like Atlanta that are road favorites of less than 5 off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent that is off a road dog loss with an ats win. The Rams covered in their ot loss last week in San Francisco while Atlanta beat Baltimore as a short home favorite. This system is 5-16 straight up and 4-16-1 ats since 1980 and has a 100% Subset of the system. The Rams are much improved this season and already have some big wins here this year. The Rams are 6-1 ats with 6 or less days of rest and 4-0 ats vs the NFC South. When they have played winning teams they have covered both times this year. At home vs the Falcons they have won 8 of 12 times. The Falcons are just 2-12 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off a loss. Take the points. Play St. Louis

NFL PLAY ON MINNESOTA

On Sunday the Blowout Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit one of my favorite blowout system. Here goes. Since 1980 road favorites of MORE than 10 are a solid 14-0 straight up and 12-2 ats. The Ravens are well rested off their Thursday night loss to Atlanta. When they play losing teams they Hammer them. They are 11-0 with 9 covers vs losing teams. They are better on both sides of the ball, including nearly 100 yards better on offense. Carolina has not thrown in the towel. They are just overmatched. They are 1-6 ats with 6 or less days of rest and head coach J. Fox is 0-10 ats vs teams who win over 75% of their games. Lay the 11 with Baltimore.

NFL Side play on Miami

On Monday night the NFL System Play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. I must admit I liked Washington with my opinion most of the week. That all changed when I poured over the data. I found Dynamite in the database. Play on road favorites that scored 21 or more as a home favorite and rushed for 150 or more yards vs an opponent who scored 21 or more as a road dog in their last contest if theyy rushed for less than 100 yards. A perfect 100% system. The we look at the angles and see that Washington is 0-9 straight up and ats at home on Monday night most recently. They are also 2-7 ats as a division home dog. Philly is 6-1 ats on Monday nights including coach Reids 6-0 ats Monday night football mark on the road vs division teams. The Eagles are 10-2 ats in November games off a non division game if they have revenge. Philly has taken 12 of 18 here in Washington and has won and covered 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite in this range. Play Philly Tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Total is on the over in the Seattle at Arizona game. Rotation numbers 233/34 at 4:15 eastern, This game fits several solid totals angles here today. Both defenses are allowing nearly 400 yards as well. The Cards are 6-0 to the over with 6 or ess days of rest and 6 of 8 on the year. In home games over the past 3 years 15 of 22 have played over the total. Seattle has gone over 4 of the last 5 times a a dog. For system purposes this game fits the short turn around system that reverses the prior totals result between two teams that have played within the last 3 weeks. The first game went under with 32 points. Expect a much higher game here. Take the over

On Sunday the NFC North Game is on the Chicago Bears. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears have lost their last 2 home games and should bounce back nice vs a Vikings team that is winless on the road this year at 0-4. The Bears qualify in a solid home dog system here that pertains to home dogs off a road win vs an opponent off a home win. The Vikings pertain to a big negative system that plays against road favorites off a home favored win at -7 or more if they failed ats in that game. Chicago has covered 6 of the last here in the series and has won 11 of 15 vs losing teams. Minnesota has lost both games this year vs teams with a winning record and coach Childress is just 1-5 ats on the road vs a division team off a win. Look for the Bears to cash this one. Take Chicago.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout system side is on Buffalo. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills may be winless but this is their best chance here today. The Bills apply to a winless homer system here today and catch a Detroit team off a heart breaking loss to the Jets. They also may be without starting Qb M.Stafford. The Lions are 2-14 on the road vs a non divisional opponent that is off 2+ losses and 1-8 vs losing teams Even worse is their 3-27 mark on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bills have won both recent meetings here in the series and get their first win here today. Take Buffalo

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 106 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays on certain home teams if the line is +3 to -3 and both teas are off home games where they were favored and scored 21 or more points. Baltimore is just 3-7 on turf and 2-11 in domes. When the total is 42.5 to 45 they are 2-6 on the road. Atlanta is 8-1 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. Look for Atlanta to win this one tonight in the battle of the birds take the Falcons.

On Monday night the NFL Power system play is on the Steelers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit an undefeated system that plays on road favorites that scored 14 or less on the road last week as a dog or favorite of less than 3 vs an opponent that scored 14 or less last week at home also as a dog or favorite of 3 or less. If we make the total in these game 40.5 or more our road favorites cover every time. The Bengals have really struggled this season and have lost their last 2 home games. They are a hideous 1-13 ats at home in divisional play off a non division loss vs an opponent off a loss. The Steelers are 5-0 ats after scoring 10 or less points vs an opponent off back to back losses. Look for the Steelers to cash out tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Green Bay. Game 428 at 8:25 eastern. The Packers qualify in a solid system here that gas cashed 12 of 14 times. What we wan to do is play on home favorites that scored less than 10 points on the road last week as a dog vs an opponent that scored 21 or les as a home favorite with both reams rushing for under 100 yards. Dallas has struggled big time at 0-4 straight up and ats in conference play. Green Bay is still good enough to get the win and cover tonight. Take Green Bay

On Sunday the AFC West Power system Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. The Chiefs and Raiders battling it out at the top of the AFC West who would have thunk it. The Chiefs have won 75% of the time as a short road dog and the visiting teams has covered 8 straight in the series. Oakland is 2-7 in November and 4-14 ats vs KC. As a favorite Oakland is 1-12 ats and 0-6 ats off back to back wins. For system purposes we note that certain home teams coming off a home game are a 94% go against when taking on an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more. Look for KC to win this one.

On Sunday the Top totals plays is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under for Teams like Atlanta that allowed 30 or more in back to back games before the bye week. These teams usually shore up their defensive woes and play a much tougher game. If the total is 44 or less the system hits a nice 90% subset. All 4 game sin the series have gone under and Tampa has been an under team vs Division opponents going under in 11 of 14 games. When the Bucs take on winning teams they go under 11 of 15 times. When the line is 44 or more Tampa has gone under 8 of 8 times. The Falcons have gone under 8 of 9 times as a division favorite of -3 or more points. Look for this one to stay under the Number. Take the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game.

On Sunday the Blowout Power System Game is on the New York Jets. Game 415 at 1:00 eastern. The Jets fit 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one. What we want to do is play against certain home dogs of less than 5 points if they come in off a home favored win and cover and have a win percentage of .400 or less. These home dogs usually do not win back to back games. Detroit is an improved team. However they are in a bad spot here against a Jets team off a shut out loss. The Jets have taken care of business vs losing teams winning and covering in all games vs these doormat types. Their offense will be much more productive this week. The Jets are 4-0 su and ats with 6 or less days rest and 14-6 ats vs NFC North teams and have better numbers on both sides of the ball. Detroit is 1-14 vs winning teams, 1-5 as a home dog in this range and 2-7 ats in November games. The capper is The Lions 0-6 ats record in games after scoring 35 or more points. Take the Jets to soar past the Lions.

******PLEASE NOTE- I ACCIDENTALLY SENT OUT THE "OVER" AS THE PICK WHEN IT SHOULD BE CLEAR THAT I AM ON THE UNDER TONIGHT. PLEASE DISREGARD THE PREVIOUS SELECTION. UNDER IS THE PLAY ON THE MNF GAME.****** On Monday night the NFL Power totals system play is on the Under in the Texans at Colts game. Rotation numbers 231/232 at 8:30 eastern. Houston fits a solid system here tonight that plays to the under for teams where the line is less than 7 points where a team allowed 30 or more points in back to back games prior to their bye week, provided the total is 44 or higher. This system has cashed at a high rate since 1990. The first game between these two teams was a real barn burner in which well over 50 points were scored. The Colts will have worked on a solution to Arian Foster who torched them down in Houston. The Texans won the game but allowed over 400 yards in the air by P.Manning. Look for this game to have less scoring. The Texans have gone under 5 of 6 times off the bye week and 7 of 10 times on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher. The Colts have gone under 9 of 10 times when the total is 49 or more. This one stays under tonight.

On Sunday night the Power system Play is on the NO. Saints. Game 230 at 8:35 eastern. The Saints were the victims of one of the biggest upsets in recent years when they lost as a 14 point favorite to a 1 win Cleveland team last week. The Problem is their anemic run game. QB D. Brees is forced to throw the ball to compensate and he has thrown too many picks leading to opposing scores. Tonight they may get R.Bush back which would be a big help. The Saints fit a defending Super Bowl system here that has cashed 92% of the time. Pittsburgh may be 5-1 but its the Saints that actually have the edge on both sides of the ball. If the Saints can control their turnovers they will COME MARCHING IN. Take the Saints

On Sunday the NBA Side play is on the Utah Jazz. Game 705 at 7:05 eastern. The Jazz are off a pair of blowout season opening losses and fit 2 systems here tonight. We want to play on road dogs with 2 days rest at +5 or more if the total is 190 or higher and they scored 90 or more points as a home favorite of 5 or more vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road favorite in their last game. This system has cashed 12 of 14 times since 1995. Look for the Jazz to get the cover here.

On Sunday the Big Power System Play is on the Cincinatti Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. The Line in this game opened at 3 late Sunday night. The Public however has been pounding Miami all week long with the line now settling with the Bengals as a 1 point favorite. Cincy qualifies in a solid system that pertains to short home favorites off a road game where they scored 28 or more and now playing an opponent that scored 21 or more at home with +3 to -3 line. Cincy is off a pair of tough losses. Last week they came back from huge deficit to take a lead at Atlanta before falling short. The week prior they blew the lead at home vs Tampa Bay due to some late turnovers. Miami is off a dejecting loss to Pittsburgh and may not have their head on straight. The odd thing about the Dolphins season thus far is that the road team has won in all 6 of their games. Look for the Dolphins 3 game road win streak to come to an end today vs a Hungry Bengasls team hat is 10-1 in games before playing the Steelers. Take the Bengals

On Sunday the NFC game is on the Detroit Lions. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. Detroit fits a solid system here that plays on certain losing teams that are a favorite of 3 or less and are playing winning teams. These home favored losers have won and covered every time since 1990. Detroit beat Washington here last year as a 6 point dog. Today we see that the lines makers are giving them the respect as they are favored. In their 2 home games this year they blew out a Rams team that looks vastly improved and lost by just 3 to a good Philly team. While they have lost a ton of games the past 3 years they have won 2 of 3 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Washington has ben lucky in some of their wins this year as they have a defense that makes big plays but gives up alot of yards. The Skins are 2-5 on Turf of late and just 1-5 ats vs an opponent coming in with rest. Look for Detroit to win this one and cover the small number.

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the New York Giants. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. Much like Yesterdays game with NE and SD we have a team well under .500 laying points to a team with one loss. Dallas may Need the game. That's doesn't mean they will get it though. Dallas is off a heart breaking late loss to Minnesota last week while the Giants let an improving Detroit Team hang around for a cover. These results set up the system for tonight. What we want to do is play against home favorites at any range if the total is 40 or higher and the home team is coming off a road game as a dog or favorite of 3 or less and had 100 or less yards rushing, and they take on an opponent who scored 28 or more as a home favorite with 150 or more rush yards. These home favorites are 4-13 ats since 1989 and I have a subset which cashes at 96%. The Giants won here 33-31 most recently and appear to better than they were last year while Dallas is not as good as they were. The Giants are 6-2 vs losing teams and 11-3 off back to back wins. They are 21-2 ats in Divisional Play off back to back wins if their opponent is off a non Division game and 7-0 on the road off back to back wins vs an opponent off a loss. Dallas, Americas team is a money burning 2-6 at home on Monday night off a loss. Take the Giants at 3.5 or more.


Bonus total is to go over, the Giants are 6-1 to the over when on the road vs losing teams and on the road when the total is 42.5 to 45. The Cowboys have played over 9 of 11 times in weeks 5-9 and 8-1 to the Over at home vs an opponent off 2+ wins. Take the Over 44 here.

On Sunday night the Triple angle play so on Green Bay. Game 428 at 8:20 eastern. Green Bay fits a solid system that plays on certain home teams that scored 21 or less as a home favorite vs an opponent whi scored 21 or more as a short home favorite in their last game. Much will be made about the Green Bay injuries, however the line is built to consider this. Green Bay is 4-1 on Sunday nights if off a loss. The Vikings are off a big desperate win over Dallas any not be Able to bring that same intensity to Lambeau tonight. The Vikings are 0-9 ats vs a conference opponent that is off a straight up and ats loss, 1-7 ats as a dog vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss, and in Divisional games 1-10 ats vs an opponent off a su favored loss that has revenge tonight. Look for Green Bay -2.5 to get the win and cover tonight.

On Sunday the Big AFC Power System Game is on the SD Chargers. Game 424 at 4:15 eastern. No one expects the Chargers to do much here against a solid Patriots team. The Chargers have proven to be a terrible road team with some bad road favored losses. However they are good at home and qualify in 2 big systems here today. What we want to do is play on home favorites off back to back road favored losses, vs an opponent off a win. These road favs are 24-3 since 1980. As you can see they bounce back big. The Patriots have lost every time the past few years as a road dog of 3 or less and are 1-5 ats as a dog vs the AFC West. SD is 4-1 at home when the line is 45.5 to 49 and 6-1 off a straight up favored loss vs a non division opponent. SD is the Play here.

On Sunday the Big NFC System Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern. Carolina fits a tremendous Double system both based on the premise of playing the Dog with a winless team off a bye week. Going into detail on one of them we want to play on the dog in week 4 or later in a game involving a winless team. If the winless team scored 7 or less we start to get to the high end of the system. Carolina has covered 10 of the last 11 vs SF. The Panthers are 13-4 vs NFC West teams while SF is 3-14 vs the NFC South. The Niners are also a horrendous 1-8 as a road favorite and 1-9 in weeks 5-9. The Panthers are 7-1 ats after scoring 10 or less in their last. Today they get Moore back at QB. Add in the fact that teams that started 0-4 or worse off their first win are very poor long term investments and we have a nice play. Take the Panthers.

On Sunday the Totals System Play is on the Under in the Bills at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do is play the Under when we have a team off a bye week that allowed 30 or more points in back to back games prior to the bye week. This system has cashed 24 of 28 times over the past 20+ years. Those of you who know me know I like to make these systems as close to perfect. So yeah If I do some back fitting I can get the 24-4 to 100%. Point of the matter though is Buffalo is anemic on offense and Baltimore is lights out on defense. I do expect The Bills to play better on defense this week and every game between these two since 1992 have played under. The Line keeps going up so wait till game time and play the Under

On Sunday the Dog with Bite that wins outright is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 405 at 1:00 eastern. Cincy qualifies in a solid dog system here today. What we want to do is play on road teams off a bye week that lost by less than 7 in their prior game if the total today in this game is less than 45. The Bengals are off a big disappointing home loss to Tampa. In that game they were killed by later turnovers. Today they can make amends with the benefit of the extra rest vs an Atlanta team off a 2 touchdown loss in Philly. The Bengals are 5-0 ats off back to back losses if the last loss was as a favorite. Cincy bounce back here. Take Cincy +3.5

On Monday night the 27-3 NFL System play is on The Jacksonville Jaguars. Game 236 at 8:35 Eastern. The Jaguars apply to this solid system tonight that plays on certain home dogs of less than 7 off a road dog win if they are a better than .500 team. The Jags are off a pair of big dog wins. Tonight they take on Titans team that is also off a big dog win in Dallas last week. The Jags are 9-0 if they are .500 or better and off a non division game vs an opponent that is also a winning team. They are 4-0 with revenge vs an opponent off a dog win. On Monday night that are 33-0 at home off a non division game. Tennessee is 1-6 ats off a dog win vs an opponent off a dog win. As for coaching angles we note that Jack Del Rio is 17-5 ats if his team is .500 or better has revenge and the opponent is also .500 or better. J. Fisher is a terrible 0-12 ats as a favorite of 3 or more vs an opponent off back to back wins. With all the solid Power Angles and the Big system we will back the Jaguars here

On Sunday the MLB Playoff Side is on the Phllies. Game 908 at 8:15 eastern. The Phillies fit a game 2 sequence scenario side based on their game 1 home loss. They are averaging nearly 6 runs per game the past 7, compared with SF who is averaging jst 2.9 runs per game and hitting .231 in that same span. Both starters Oswalt for Philly and Sanchez for SF have similar numbers. However the Phillies have won 11 of Oswalts past 12 starts and he is 8-1 when taking on an opposing lefty. Look for Philly to even things up tonight. Take the Philies for 3 units at -150 or less.

On Sunday night, the triple system NFL side play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 234 at 8:20 eastern. The Redskins apply to a bevy of solid power systems tonight. Lets take a look at one. What we are looking to do is play against defending super bowl losers as a road favorite in a non-division game vs an opponent that is .500 or better. If these losers are favored by more than 2 points they have failed to cover 22 of 24 times. Indianapolis has been sub par in some of there road games this year. Washington has over achieved and is coming in off a pair of solid dog wins vs Philly and Green Bay. With the power systems on there side, and the public all over Indianapolis in this game, we will back the Redskins tonight.

On Sunday the Revenger in the NFL is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 231 at 4:15 eastern. Dallas plays with playoff knockout revenge from last year. In that game they were killed by a -3 turnover edge. The stats were not as bad as one would think in a blowout game. Dallas fits a solid system that plays on certain road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, vs an opponent off a loss. Dallas is off a tough loss at home to the Titans while the Vikings are off a Monday night loss to the Jets. Both of these teams need this game. However Dallas has less distractions than Minnesota. The Favre controversy on top of one less day of prep time could take a toll on the Vikings. Back Dallas here today.

On Sunday, the none divisional totals system is on the under in the Miami at Green Bay game at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a solid total system of mine that plays to the under in games where we have a team off of a bye week that allowed thirty or more points in the previous two games before there week of rest. These teams have played under the total 23 of 26 times long term. When the total is 39.5 or higher the system cashes at over 95%. Green Bay will also be without 2 offensive starters in the game. Miami will look to tighten things up on defense and especially there special teams unit which was responsible for 3 touchdowns in there Monday night football blowout loss to Miami. Both teams have gone under the total in 6 of 9 games vs none conference opponents. In the series, every game here in Green Bay has played under since 1992. Play the under in the Miami at Green Bay game

On Sunday, the NFL divisional game is on Tampa Bay. Game 216 at 1:00 eastern. Tampa Bay fits a tremendous home dog system that plays on certain home dogs of less than 7 points if they are better than .500 and are playing off a road dog win. These teams have cashed 27 of 29 times since 1990. Tampa Bay has over achieved this season and is coming off a big upset win in Cincinnati last week. New Orleans has not played well this year, especially on offense and will once again may be without there top 2 running threats. They are off a bad loss in Arizona. Tampa Bay beat New Orleans as a 13 point dog in the last game between the 2 teams. Look for Tampa Bay to at the very least stay within the 4.5 point spread. Take Tampa Bay +4.5.

On Monday the NFL Totals system is to go over the total in the Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% system that has a 100% perfect subset. What we wan to do is play the over for road teams off a bye week if they scored 21 or more as a home favorite and they are taking on an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite. This system has cashed 90% over the past 21 years. If out road ream scored 28 or more the system goes perfect and averages 46 points per game. The Vikings have gone over the total 6 of 8 times in weeks 5 through 9. When the total is 35.5 to 38.5 the Vikings have gone over 20 of 27 times. The Jets have found their offensive stride scoring 28 or more in 3 straight games. Tonight they get Santonio Holmes back. The Vikings have enough offensive fire power to score on the Jets defense that is very good, but not as dominant statistically as last year. Look for this game to play over 38 points.

On Sunday night the 19-1 Totals system play is on the over in the Eagles at 49ers game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a huge totals system that averages 47 points per game which is higher than the 38 point posted total. What we want to do is play the over for certain home teams if the posted total is 38 or less and they scored 14 or less on the road last out. If the opponent scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 3 or more this system pops out to 19-1 since 1989. The Eagles are 7-0 over the total on the road as a dog if the total is 40 or less and the 49ers are 12-3 to the over vs the NFC East. Look for a higher than anticipated game. Go over 38 points Philly at SF

On Sunday the 18-2 Power system play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 4333 at 4:15 eastern. The Titans qualify in a solid Power system her today. What we want to do is play on dogs of more than 5 if they have a win percentage of .500 to .667 and are off one loss as a favorite of -6.5 or more. Dallas is coming off a bye week and a nice win at Houston and Tennessee is off a bad home favored loss to Denver. The Titans are 13-4 ats vs NFC East teams and 6-1 in non conference games. They have covered 75% as a road dog in this range. When they take on rested teams they have covered 5 of the last 6 times. Take the Titans +7 here today.

On Sunday the NFC play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 426 at 1:00 eastern. The Redskins fit 3 solid systems here today. What we wan to do is play on home dogs of 3 or less off a win vs an opponent off a home favored win and ats loss. The secondary system involves home dogs off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win. Washington is 5-1 as non division home dogs. Green Bay is just 1-6 ats after playing the Lions. Green Bay and Washington have similar numbers on both sides of the ball. However with the Power systems that apply we will take the points here today. Take WASHINGTON

On Sunday the Week 5 Power Play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills qualify in a big week 5 system that pertains to winless teams. They also apply to a system that plays on certain homers off a home loss by 24 or more points. They will want this one badly with their bye week on deck. When at home off a double digit loss vs an opponent off a win and cover they have covered 7 of 8 times. The Jags have allowed 20 or more points in their last 8 road games and should be flat off their big upset win vs the Colts. Take the Bills


On Sunday the Double Perfect Power system play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 418 at 1:0 eastern. Detroit will look to get their first win against a Rams team that is off back to back home dog wins. These upset wins set the Rams up in a rare system that has come up just 6 times since 1980. We want to play against non divisional road dogs of less than 5 points off you guessed it back to back home dog wins. These short road pups are 0-6 straight up and ats. The Lions also qualify in a solid week 5 Power system that is 85% long term. The Rams are 0-5 ats on the road after allowing 10 or less points. They have played just one road game on the season. The Lions have played 3 of their 4 game son the road and have played a much tougher schedule thus far. The Capper is the Lions 12-1 ats record as a home favorite of 2 or more vs an opponent off back to back wins. lay the 2 points with Detroit

On Sunday the OFF SHORE STEAM on Tampa Bay. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern.Tampa was hit hard by a solid group out of Panama. Tampa is off a bye week and will no doubt be prepared as they come off a 25 point Blowout home loss tot he Steelers. Tampa qualifies in big system that plays on dogs of 6.5 or more if they have at least one win vs a non divisional team and are off a non division loss, vs an opponent off a division loss. Since 1992 these dogs are 20-2 ats. Tampa is 4-1 as a dog in this range and the Bengals are just 2-11 ats as a favorite. The Bucs are 5-1 ats with rest. The Bengals happen to be 0-5 ats vs an opponent with rest. Look for the Bucs to get the Cover here. Take the 7 points with the Bucs.

On Monday the Monday Night Power System Play is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 226 at 8:35 eastern. The Patriots qualify in a rare system that is 100% against the spread since 1989. What we want to do is play against road teams if the line is -3 to +3 and they scored 28 or more as a home favorite of -7 or more and had 150 or more yards rushing if the total is 40 or more and the opponent played their last game at home. Road teams lose by an average 31-14 score which is unusual for such a closely lined game. Miami coach Sparano is 5-0 ats vs division opponents off a loss. The Patriots are 1-6 off a win against a division rival and 0-3 the last 3 years when on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49. Miami is 9-4 as a home dog on Monday nights the last 30 years. They are right back at home in another prime time home game after their loss to the Jets. The Patriots were exposed in pass defense by a Buffalo team that couldn't move the ball vs the Jets on Sunday. New England is a shell of their former selves on defense. Look for Miami to come away with the win. Take Miami

In NFL Action the Sunday night Power system plays on the New York Giants. Game 220 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants looked terrible last week in abad loss to the Titans. Look for them to straighten things out this week against a Bears team who is coming off a big dog home win vs Green Bay. The Bears were the beneficiaries of 18 penalties called against the Packers. Some of the penalties were clearly game changers. For technical purposes we want to play on home favorites of -3 or more off a home favored loss and scored 14 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. These homers are 12-2 and win by an average 11 points per game. T. Coughlin is a solid 8-1 ats in his career off a double digit non division ats loss vs a winning team. The Bears are 1-9 ats as road dogs vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss and 1-4 ats as a road dog from 3 to 7. Go with the Giants tonight.

NFL off shore steam on Washington. Game 221 a 4:15 eastern.

On Sunday the NFL Divisional Power system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 202 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers qualify in 2 solid systems here today. What we want to do is play on undefeated game 4 home favorites. Secondly we play against teams like Baltimore who are division road dogs off a win as a 7 or more point home favorite, but did not cover the spread. These road dogs are just 4-20 ats and rarely win in this range. The Steelers are 12-3 vs winning teams while Baltimore is under .500 vs winning teams. The Ravens are 2-5 in October games, compared with Pittsburgh at 6-1. The Steelers are a solid 23-5 straight up at home when the total is 32.5 to 35, which shows how well they do in these tighter games.. Baltimore is just 1-4 ats the last 5 vs Pittsburgh. Look for the Steelers to win.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite that wins outright is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams just make it as a qualifier in this 44-13 system. What we want to do is play on dogs of 1.5 or more if they are 1-2 and off a win. These first time winners have shown they can carry the momentum over to the next week in a dog role. Seattle is a terrible road team and have lost 8 of their last 9 games on the road off a home win. The Rams are 6-1 at home off a dog win and have slightly number better numbers on both sides of the ball. Seattle won last weeks game due to 2 big special teams plays with L. Washington taking 2 back for touch downs. Look for The Rams to surprise folks as they even their record here. Take the Rams +2

Bonus MLB Play on Atlanta Braves. Game 908 at 1:35 eastern. Braves send Bobby Cox out with a win in hos alst regular season game.

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 430 at 8:35 eastern.

Sunday night Side

TAKE Buffalo

take Tampa

Take KC

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 237 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays against the 49ers here tonight. What we want to do is play against home dogs of 3 or more if they are coming off a road favored loss and scored 9 or less points, if they are taking on an opponent off a home game. This system wins by an average 13 points per game. The Saints had a ton of time to prepare for this game as they opened the season last Thursday with a 14-9 win over the Vikings in a game where they scored on their first possession and then used solid defense to come from behind and win. Tonight they take on a San Francisco team that was the hot pick to win their division. However after a 31-6 drubbing to an average Seattle team, one has to wonder if they can overcome their offensive turmoil and rally around Qb Alex Smith, or whether they will go backwards here. They had little success on the ground last week rushing for just 49 yards. On Defense they will be hard pressed to stop a Saints team that can score quick and often and employs a number of different options. The Saints have won and covered all 4 times the past 3 years as a road favorite from 3.5 to -7 and have covered 7 of the last 8 in September. Look for the Saints to get the win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Double system Play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 230 at 4:15 eastern. Washington fits 2 systems here today. Play on home dogs of less than 5 in non conference games off a home dog win. These teams have covered at a high rates the last 25 years. Washington is coming off a solid win over Dallas, while the Texans beat the Colts for just the second time. Houston is a terrible 0-9 ats on the road off a home dog win and 2-6 vs the NFC East. Houston could struggle with the vaunted Washington defense here today. Take Washington


Bonus play over the total Giants at Colts

NFL System play on New England Patriots

On Sunday the NFL Top play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit one of my favorite early season systems that plays on certain dogs in the 1st 3 weeks of the season vs an opponent with revenge. Baltimore does have a great defense. However the offense they will oppose today is much better than that of the Jets. In fact the Bengals beat the Ravens both times last year. They put up 369 yards and 403 yards, so we know they are not stymied by Ray Lewis and the Ravens defense. Cincy will improve on defense as they take on an offense at home that will not be as tough as a road game in New England. The Bengals are 3-1 as a home dog of 3 or less the past 3 years and have covered 4 of the last 5 at home vs Baltimore. The Ravens are just 1-6 ats off a Monday night game as the lost day seems to effect them. The Ravens were psyched for the Jet game and May not be able to sustain that type of motivation here. Back the Bengals.

Under steelers at Titans

Over the total Arizona at Atlanta

On Monday the NFL Power Angle Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 479 at 7:00 eastern. The Ravens qualify in several solid angles her tonight. For starters they are 6-1 ats as a road dog of 3 or less. In the month of September they are 6-0 ats the last 2 years. They have won 5 of the 6 meetings since 1992 and are 16-4 ats when the total is 35.5 to 42.. The Ravens have the better offense and as good a defense as the Jets. New York has been plagued by turnovers since the arrival of 2nd year QB M.Sanchez. While it is impossible to predict who will win the turnover battle, it is worth noting that Baltimore is 45-3 when they win the turnover battle. The Ravens appear to be a better team. Lets take the points here. Take Baltimore

On Sunday the NFL NFC system play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 474 at 4:15 eastern. Seattle fits a big system that pertains to divisional dogs vs an opponent with revenge in early season action. They take on a San Francisco team that is just 1-6 ats as a road favorite. Seattle opens up with new coach Pete Carrol today. Seattle has won 6 of the last 9 meetings here and will give the 49 ers a big game here. Take the points with Seattle.

On Sunday the early season Dominator system is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 456 at 1:00 eastern. This early season system has done real well the past few years. What we want to do is play on certain divisional teams in the first 3 weeks of the season if their opponent That has revenge. Buffalo will be looking to make a statement in this AFC East early season match up. The Bills are aware they are an after thought with New England, Miami and the Jets. Chan Gailey will get a good game from his troops in front of the home crowd. It will help that Miami is 0-6 in their first road game of late and 1-5 the last 3 years in September. The Bills have taken 5 of the last 7 games in September and are a Live dog here today.

On Thursday the NFL System play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 451 at 8:30 eastern. What we want to do is play against Game 1 Super Bowl champions if they are going into revenge. These champs are a poor 1-6 ats. This is right back playoff Revenge for the Vikings who are 5-0 ats the last 5 vs the Saints and have covered the last 4 times in New Orleans. Last years game was decided by 3 points. The Vikings clamped down on the Saints in the second half of that game. However they were done in by a big pick from B. Favre. Tonight the Vikings have this one circled and should cover the points. Take The Vikings

On Sunday the 16-0 DOUBLE system play is on the OVER in the Minnesota at NO. Saints game at 6:45 eastern. In NFL Conference championship games the total has gone over 9 straight times if the home team is off a win of 2 touchdowns or more and the posted total is 37 or more. In addition games where the total is 51 or more have played to the over 7 straight times since 1991. Look for an up and down game with alittle or no defense as both teams light up the score board tonight. Tkae the over in the NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME.

On Sunday the 68-6 Conference Championship angle is on the Indy Colts at 3:00 eastern. The Colts fall into an incredible 4 systems here today. Lets break some of them down. What we want to do is play on home team in Conference Championship games off an ats win vs an opponents who is off a win and cover and allowed 10 or more points. This system has cashed 19 of the last 21 times. The Colts also fit another deadly system indicator that plays on Playoff teams that won 13 or more games this year and 1 or more games last year. These teams are 39-4 straight up and 33-8-2 ats. The Colts will want this one badly after all the heat they took for blowing the perfect season at home against the Jets in week 16. The whole city was upset after that loss calling the game a forfeit. The Colts will make amends for this game. Another benefit for the P. Manning and the Colts is having seen the Jets defense already this season. Every team playing the Jets for a second time has been more productive in the second go around. The Colts defense does not get nearly the credit they deserve and may very well shut the Jets vaunted ground attack down. It will be very difficult for the Jets to win a third straight road game against a winning team in as many weeks. There is a reason why its only happened 1 or 2 times. It will be very difficult against a battle tested Colts team that may win this game much easier than expected. Consider that since 1973 in 74 Conference championship games the spread has only come into play 6 times. When favorites win these games they very rarely fail ats. Look for a solid win and cover for the Colts here today. Lay the points.

On Sunday the Big totals play is on the Under in the NY.Jets at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. The Jets have the # 1 defense this year and lead many defensive categories. They allow a shade over 13 points per game this season. SD has made a habit of scoring 20 or more points in their games. Today if they get 20 it will be the toughest points they score all year. They have not faced a blitzing,scheming defense like this all season. The Jets on offense are the leading rushing team. So they will do what they can to burn the clock and keep the game close. They will not score much either against a SD defense that knows exactly what's coming and have had the extra week to prepare for it. Look for a low scoring ,boring affair here today. Take the Under 42 in the Jets at Chargers game.

On Sunday the 5 star NFL system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. Americas team comes in to this as the ' HOT LIKE WOW" team. They have allowed 14 points the last 3 weeks combined. Based on that bruising defense comes this top notch playoff system. What we want to do is play on playoff underdogs that allowed 17 or less points in back to back games vs an opponent who scored 30 or more points in their last game. This system has cashed 22 of the last 27 times. The Cowboys have been clicking on all cylinders of late and will be tough for anyone to stop. The Vikings come in here off the bye week and an impressive win prior to that against a down trodden Giants team. The Vikings will not have an easy time scoring here today. The Dallas defense will be in Favres face all day and may force some poor decisions. Take the points here and wait until game time so you can get 3 points or buy up to 3 if you have to.

On Saturday the Ravens at Colts Simulator total is on the over 44 points. Through 3 different statistical simulations this one played over all 3 times with an average 47 points. Take the Over here tonight.

On Saturday the BIG NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. This game fits 2 big systems that I use to deterine the outcomes of playoff games. Lets take a look at one of the aplications here today. What we want ot do is plays against playoff road dogs in a certain range if they are coming in off a home dog win and lost their previous game. These road teams lay an egg in this spot failing to cover every time since 1980. Better yet is that these games are not even close. Home teams in this spot are winning by over 15 points per game. The Saints also fit a tight system that pertains to #1 seeds off back to back spread losses. The Saints are ready and will take on an Arizona defense that may get tired early after their second half debacle agains the Packers. Playoff teams who won and allowed 28 or more points are poor investments in the Playoffs. Look for the Saints to come out firing on all cylinders and put an end to the Arizona season. Lay 7 the points with New Orleans.

On Sunday the Big 14-0 system play is on Arizona. Game 108 at 4:40 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that plays on wild card home teams off a straight up home loss vs a non divisional team. These home teams bounce back in a big way. The Cardinals also qualify in a big right back revenge system due to their loss last week vs The Packers. Green Bay won here last week with most of the Cardinals starters resting. They also did very well in the 3rd pre season game against the Cards a game in which starters played 3 quarters. The Packers really have the Cardinals attention here. The Public has moved the line from the Cardinals -2.5 to a 1.5 dog. This is fine with me. Look for the NFC defending champs to surprise every one once again as their extra time in the film room provides big dividends. Take Arizona today.

On Saturday the Big NFL playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas and Philly game at 8:00 eastern. Right back revenge games have gone over 9 of 11 times since 1978. The Eagles were stymied last week at Dallas and have a lot of soul searching to do. They will be vastly improved here and put up points vs a Dallas defense that has back to back shut outs. Dallas may be a little too over confident due to their recent success. This game looks like and up and down the field affair. Take the over tonight. Take the Over 45 points

On Saturday the 100% triple system NFL wildcard play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 102 at 4:30 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of some solid systems that play against the Jets here today. What we want to do is play against certain playoff teams that are off a shutout win of 27-0 or better. This system is very rare. However it has covered 100% of the time since 1978. The Jets ironically fell into this system against Oakland a few years back and needless to say lost by 20 points. Home team with a total of 35 or less also do very well in the playoffs. This game is a right back revenger for the Bengals as they lost last week in New York and had to listen to how badly they played all week. The Jets may have an excellent defense. However the Bengals have an excellent run defense that will not be shelled by the Jets running attack 2 weeks in a row. There will be no surprises from B. Smith either. The Jets may have opened the playbook trying to get there. The Bengals will be the ones with the tricks up their sleeves. The Odds makers are reacting to the recent success of road team the past few years after a long playoff dominance by homers. This perhaps is why the line is so low here. Take the Bengals here as there are just too many reasons and systems for them to cash here.

On Sunday the Big 5 star play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 329 at 4:15 eastern. The line has come down somewhat in this game. The Chargers may be resting some key people in this one as they have the #2 seed wrapped up. The Skins fits 2 solid systems that date back to 1980. What we want to do is play on certain road teams off a shut out loss in non conference games. This Power system gets even stronger if our team failed to cover the game prior to the shut out. Many of these road dogs win the game outright. For whatever reason the Redskins have played much tougher football in road games this year than they have at home. The dog in their road games has covered 5 of the 7 games. I look for a much improved effort from Washington here and expect them to win the game as a small dog.

On Sunday the 17-1 Power angle play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions may do to the Bears what the Bears did to the Vikings on Monday night. Win a game no one thinks they can win. The Lions are 8-0 ats as a home dog vs less than .500 teams in division play. Chicago is 0-9 ats on the road if they are less than .500 and are playing an opponent who has revenge. GOT SYSTEMS? This game fits my Loser bowl week 17 system that plays dogs of less than 7 points in the final game if both teams have won less than 8 games. The Lions also fit the Sweet sub set which applies to teams who have won 6 or less on the season. Lions and Tigers and bears oh yeah. Lions roar today. IF oyu like this game wait till you see the 17-1 NBA total system of the month and the 2 big 5 star NFL system bombs on Sundays card.

On Sunday big system play is on Atlanta. Game 321 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs fit a negative system here today that plays against certain home teams off a road dog win at +10 or more last week. These over achieving homers come home and lay an egg of the big upset win Tamp actually fits 2 systems based on this premise. Atlanta is a better team and laying less than 2 points here is very attractive. Take Atlanta today.

On Sunday the big dog play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 121 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid 43-14 system here today that plays on dogs of more than 2 points that are off a favored loss at -7 or more and allowed 27 or less vs an opponent off an ats win. Denver was shocked by Oakland last week as a 14 point favorite. I expect a much better effort vs the Eagles here today. Philly has been a hot team winning and covering easily here last week against the 49 ers. Today they will get a tough test from a solid Denver defense. The line appears to be too high here. Take the Broncos today

On Sunday the 7 unit NFL GOY is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons qualify in a big blowout system today. What we want to do is play against road dogs of 7 or more, like Buffalo that were home dogs of 7 or more and scored 21 or less in their last game and had 150 or less yards passing, if our team Atlanta in this case scored 14 or less points and had 100 or less yards rushing. This system has cashed all but one time since 1989. What I like most about the system though is the average 29-8 score for home teams that apply to it. I also have a secondary game 15 sandwich system that plays against teams line Buffalo that are off a home game and are on the road in game 15 with the season ending homer on deck. These road sandwich teams have struggled through the years going just 6-20 ats if their opponent is off a win of 10 or less points. Atlanta is 6-1 ats after scoring 10 or less points in their last game and are a perfect 5-0 straight up and ats at home when the total is 38.5 to 42.. The Bills struggled at home last week to score and were able to get a late touchdown to make the score respectable. They do not have much to play for and have rookie Qb Brian Brohm making the start today. With a loud crowd and a good team that has lost their last 2 home games, this will be a real tough spot. The Falcons are a fast team and will be aided by the Dome and the Turf today against a Bills team that should get blown out today. M.Ryan is back and I look for the Falcon offense to be much more potent today. Take the Falcons today.

On Monday night the NFL double system totals play is on the Under in the Giants at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 321/22 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid Monday night totals systems. What we want to do is play the under for Monday night division home dogs if the posted total is 40 or higher. This simple system has cashed 28 of 39 times long term. Another system which has cashed 17 of 21 times is to play the under when you have a road favorite that scored 30 or more in their last game and lost, if the total is 41 or higher. The Giants are coming off a terrible defensive game last Sunday night allowing over 40 points and looking very unorganized. Today they get what they need in a Washington offense that will be hard pressed to duplicate last weeks 30+ point explosion in Oakland. While the Giants will improve on defense the Skins will regrss some on offense. The Giants offense may regress some too as they face a staunch Washington defense that can shut down anyone if they are on their game. Take the Under here tonight in what looks to be a low scoring grind it out type of game.

On Sunday night the Double system Sunday night POWER play is on Carolina. Game 330 at 8:20 eastern. The Vikings are involved in a great go against system here that dates to the late 70/s. What we wan to do is play against road favorites in the first of back to back road games if they have a monday night game on deck and its vs a division opponent. These road favorites are 4-25 ats. The Vikes also qualify in another neagative system that plays on non division road favorites of -6.5 or more off a win of 20 or more and scored less than 42 points vs an opponent who did not lose by 20 or more in their last game. This system has cashed 24 of 34 times over the years. The Panthers are 4-0 ats this year vs winning teams and have covered 8 of 10 times in December. Whe installed as home dogs in this range they have covered all 5 times. Take Carolina

On Sunday the Dog of the week is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit a negative system here that plays against road favorites that come in off a home favored win and ats loss, taking on an opponent off a road win. These over valued road teams are just 3-20 ats. This game will likely be played in inclement weather which may slow down the Patriots more than the Bills. The Pats are 1-4 ats on the road this year, and have lost ats in 4 of the 5 division games they have played. The Bills have covered 2 of their 3 games against winning teams this year. In the first meeting between these teams the Bills blew a big lead and lost 25-24. Today they take 7 points from a struggling team. Buffalo is the play.