On Monday the NFL Totals System is on the Carolina at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 245/246 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% totals system that plays to the over home dogs with a total of 40 or higher that scored under 10 points on the road in their last game, vs an opponent that was a home dog in their last game. These games average 56 points per game. While I don't believe we will get that high tonight, I do think this will be higher scoring than usual. The Eagles are 16-0 since December 2005 after scoring fewer than 23 points as a dog in their last game. Carolina has flown over 8 of the last 9 in weeks 10-13 and all 4 times on the road when the total is 38.5 to 42. Look for Philly to move the bal better than expected as they now play a 3rd straight game without Vick. Take the Over in this one.

On Sunday night the Totals System Play is on the Under in the Packers at Giants game. Rotation numbers 243/244 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a multitude of systems and angles. First we note that home favorites off a bye week that are off a road loss of 10 or more have flown under in 24 of the last 31. The Packers are 0-9 OU the week after a game in which they benefited from at least four turnovers. They have also played under in 10 of 14 when the line is +3 to -3. The Giants have stayed under in 17 of 25 long term with rest and 7 of 10 this season. Finally we note that home favorites off a game where they scored 14 or less as a road favorite have gone under 11 of 12 times vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game, going back to 1989. The Giants will be without running back Bradshaw again and this will hurt their running game. Manning has thrown 2 touch down passes the last 5 weeks. Look for this game to stay under the total here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Power Play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 239 at 4:25 eastern. The Niners for one of my favorite short rest systems that plays on teams that scored 30 or more on Monday night football, while allowing less than 10. These teams are 28-4 straight up in their next game. The Saints have rebounded nicely to win 3 straight. However We cant ignore a nearly 200 yards per game edge the Niners have on defense. The Saints have the better offense but the disparity is alot less than one would think at only around 30+ yards per game. The Niners have allowed a total of 3 points combined in their last 2 road games. They should have Alex Smith back for this one as well. Look for San Francisco to win this one.


3 Team 10 point teaser Teaser SD. Chargers +11 , St. Louis Rams +11, Green Bay +13

On Sunday the NFL Offshore Steam Play on the SD. Chargers. Game 238 at 4:05 eastern. This game was hit offshore by sharp money, Public backing Baltimore

On Sunday the Early NFL Power System Play is on the Titans. Game 229 at 1;00 eastern. Tennessee fits 26-4 road favorite off the bye system, similar to the one that Green Bay covered in last week against Detroit. The Jaguars will likely be spent in this one after blowing a late 14 lead on the road in Houston, only to lose late in over time. We also want to play against home teams in this spread range that lost 8 of their last 10 games as they are 3-26 ats since 1983. The Jags are 1-5 straight up and ats at home when the line is 42.5 to to 45. They are 0-5 at home losing by an average 30-8 score. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee.

On Thanksgiving night the Power System Play is on the Patriots. Game 107 at 8;20 eastern. No Gronkowski no problem. The Pats will just recall someone from their practice squad and he will turn into their next superstar. Actually they have tight end Hernandez back for this one. We note that favorites off back to back wins or more on Turkey Day are 17-2 with 16 spread wins the last 24 years. For a short rest system we note that road favorites on short rest at -7 or more that scored 42 or more points at home have Covered Every time the last 24 years winning by an average 39-12 score. The Patriots are a veteran team and wont have any problems adding a few wrinkles into their offense on a short week. They were tooth and nail at home as a 10 point favorite to beat the Jets earlier in the season winning by 3 in overtime. That game started a 3 game descent for the Jets, who just got back on track with a win in St. Louis. This will be a tough spot for the Jets as the Patriots are doing much better in divisional road games of late winning by a larger margin vs these teams on the road than at home. Home dogs of 7 or more on short rest like the Jets that scored 21 or more as a road dog have lost every time the last 24 years. They lost by an average 16 points. Ouch. With the Patriots having covered 11 of the last 13 here in New York we will back the Patriots here tonight.

On Turkey Day the NFL Power System Play is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4:25 eastern. Line has been dropping all week in this game and is now down to -3 for Dallas. Here are the facts about this game. Dallas qualifies in numerous solid situations. Certain Turkey day favorites off back to back wins are 17-2 with 16 spread covers. Next we want to play on home favorites in short rest games that are -3 or more with a total of 42 or higher that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams PERFECT since 1989 winning by an average 39-12 score. Tony Romo is just about unbeatable in November home games. Washington has lost 17 of the last 20 here in Dallas and could have a tough time with the short 3 day turnover in this game. Dallas is 10-1 ats on Thanksgiving day vs losing teams. Were Doing Dallas today.

On Thursday the Early Power Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Texans are 9-1 this season and have not lost on the road. However this will be tough today coming into a noisy dome against a team that Must win this game in the Lions to keep their fading playoff hopes alive. Houston is 1-16 straight up in domes and 0-4 straight up and ats when the posted total is 49.5 or higher. They are Also winless losing both most recent Thursday games.The Texans are 0-8 ATS in franchise history on the road after a home game in which their defense stopped at least ten third down attempts. The Lions are off a tough loss to the Packers,blowing the lead late. The good thing for them is they are home with a chance to get the sour taste out of their mouths right away. The yardage stats are nearly even with the Lions having a slithg offensive edge and the Texans a defensive edge. Houston may have been looking past the Jags on Sunday needing a spirited Over time effort to get the win. This game is not nearly as crucial to them as it is the Lions. Take the Points and watch the Lions may pull the upset here.

On Monday the NBA Totals System is on the Under in the Indiana at Washington game. Rotation numbers 501/502 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has stayed under all nine times since 1995. We want to take the under for all home teams that scored 80 or less as a home dog of 4 or less, vs an opponent that scored 80 or less on the road and shot 45% or less. This system is averaging a shade over 163 points, so its no wonder qualifying teams go under the total. The Pacers have gone under in 17 of the last 22 November games, including 6 of the last 7. Washington has gone under in 4 of 5 off 3+ losses and 6 of 8 this season and all 3 vs Central division teams. These two played a low scoring game just over a a week ago with Both teams failing to score 90. Look for this game to stay under the total.





On Monday the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Chicago at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:40 eastern. The Niners have played under in all 4 games vs winning teams and 3 of the last 4 Monday nighters. The Beard have played under in 15 of the last 16 as a road dog of 3.5 or more if playing off a loss. Chicago has never had much success here and will have a hard time scoring against what will be a swarming Niners defense, especially without Starting Qb Cutler. Their defense will have to rise to the occasion and keep them in this one and they are very capable of slowing down a San Francisco offense that will have starting Qb Alex Smith back. How healthy Smith is remains to be seen until he starts getting banged around. Look for low scoring and boring. Take the Under.

On Sunday night the Selection is on the Under in Baltimore at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 433/434 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits the favorite flips system when a team goes from favorite to dog.
Overall when a

On Sunday the Late afternoon Teaser is 3 teams 10 points. Take the Patriots. Game 425 at 4:25 eastern to +1, the Broncos. Game 432 at 4:25 eastern to +2 and the Raiders. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. to +15 ALL 3 MUST COVER THE TEASED LINES





The Broncos are 8-0 ATS since 2009 vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. The Broncos are the Chargers heads knowing they came back from a 24 point deficit on the road in San Diego on Monday night a few weeks back. Philip Rivers is a walking time bomb on any given play he could force a throw and provide a pick six. Denver may coast in this one if they get up early


The Patriots are 11-0 straight up at home since 1992 in games where the total is 49.5 or higher. The Colts have been solid of late but this will be a tough spot to win. Denver came and was smoked by 17 and the Pats were not happy about allowing over 30 here last week. Look for a much improved effort.




The Raiders are 9-0 ATS 2009 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least plus-two. Non Division Road favorites like the Saints Have failed to cover 12 of the last 14 times off certain home dog wins. This will be a tough sot against a Raiders team that can score right along with them

AFC Play on Cincy

On Sunday the NFC North Play is on the Lions. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions fit 3 solid systems here this week. We want to play on division home dogs off a road favored loss, secondly we want to play on division home dogs that scored 20 or more in back to back games, vs an opponent off a win, and finally a play against system that applies to the Packers and all road favorites that are on a 4+ game win streak that lost their prior road game. Detroit needs this game and cant afford to fall any further back in the standings. The Yardage numbers are very close in this one and the situations favor the Lions. Take Detroit and the 4 points.

On Sunday the road warrior power play is on the Bengals. Game 427 at 1;00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a solid system that plays against the Chiefs and all teams that are at home off 3 or less point loss as a double digit road dog, as this system has cashed 29 of the last 35 applications. All teams at home in non division games that are favored or a dog of less than a touch down are 1-13 ats after facing the Steelers of late. With the Chiefs having one less day to prepare and coming off the tough overtime loss they may be deflated in this one. The Bengals will look to carry the momentum from their biggest win of the season over the Giants into this one. Take the Bengals.




On Sunday the Divisional Super System play is on Carolina. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit a 23-3 system here that plays on teams that are +3 to-3 and have revenge for a favored loss the last time these teams met, provided our team has a .250 or less win percentage. These teams get up for these revenges cashing 23 of 26 since 1983. The Panthers will look to rebound from blowout loss to Denver and should have an easier time against a Tampa Bay Team that has over achieved on offense the past few weeks and will not be able to sustain another 30 point effort. This is a potential flat spot for a Tampa Team that was blasted here 48-16 last year, before winning at home as a dog vs Carolina. The Bucs are 5-13 as road favorites of 3 or less and the Panthers have covered the last with revenge. Look for Carolina to Cash.

OFF SHORE STEAM ON THE NY. Jets at 1:00 eastern.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 306 at 8:35 eastern. The Bills have the benefit of being home on short rest which is advantageous to them here more than the Dolphins who will have less time to prepare off the shellacking they took at home with Tennessee. We note that home favorites with 6 or less days of rest are 8-0 straight up and ats winning by an average 32-13 score if the home team had 250 or more passing yards and scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as home favorite and rushed for less than 100 yards. Additionally road teams on short rest have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times off a home favored loss and scored 9 or less points. This is a tough spot for Miami even though they have some road trends in their favored, those are all on normal rest and this is a Thursday game so we put more stock into the Systems that pertain to the rest and preparation factors. The Bills have home loss revenge from late last season and they are 10-1 ats as a home favorite of 6 or less vs losing teams. The Bills are 17-0 ATS when they are off a game as an away dog in which they stopped their opponent on at least one goal-to-goal and did not allow 500+ yards of offense.Take Buffalo -2.5 in this one.

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Steelers. Game 240 at 8:40 eastern. The Steelers fit all the subsets of one of my finest Monday night Systems. What we want to do is play on certain Monday night home favorites in a non division game, if they are off a win, vs an opponent off a 10 or more point loss and spread loss of 3 or more and the posted total is higher than 39. Home favorites of -4 or more that are coming in off a road dog win also with a total of 40 or higher have been solid through they years and Monday night non division favorites of 10 or more are 18-0 with 15 spread wins vs a .400 or less opponent. The Chiefs are winless to the spread in their last 3 trips here and have allowed 240 or more in every road game this season. The Steelers are 10-1 ats when scoring 24 or more. The Culprit of the Chiefs struggle this season has been Turnovers. They kill themselves on a weekly basis and do not force turnovers from their opponents. Look for the Steelers to build momentum from knocking off the Giants last week in New York in what should be a much easier spot for them. Lay it with Pittsburgh. Bonus total on the Under

On Sunday night the NFL Power Play is on Houston. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. The Texans are 7-0 ats in non conference games off back to back wins, 4-0 ats vs teams off a win of 30 or more and 9-0 ats if they allowed 90 or less yards rushing in back to back games. In closely lined game at +3 to -3 the Texans are 7-0 ats. The Bears are 0-6 ats after scoring 40 or more with Coach Smith and may not have the benefit of turnovers vs a sound and poised Houston team. The Bears are 0-7 ats f they allowed 3 or more sacks in back to back games, Houston is a live dog with edges on both sides of the ball here tonight. Take the Texans.



On Sunday the NBA Power System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 510 at 9:35 eastern. The Lakers may be ready to roll now. They have fired coach Brown and promptly responded with a 24 point home blowout win. That win sets them up in a solid Power System that is 14-0 straight up and 13-0-1 and applies to home favorites of 5 or more with rest that scored 100 or more as a home favorite and shot 45% or less, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 90 or less while shooting 40% or less. The Lakers have not lost to the spread since at least 1995 if playing at home after playing as a home favorite and scoring 100 or more on 45% or higher shooting. The Kings are 0-6 straight up and to the spread on the road after scoring 90 or less as a home dog, vs an opponent who scored 100 or more, losing by an a average 13 points. Look for the Lakers to crown the Kings tonight. Were Laker Takers tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on the NY. Jets. Game 231 at 4:05 eastern. The Jets know if they lose this one they are done as far as playoffs go. So you will see a spirited effort, similar to what we sat at New England in a game they nearly won before losing in Overtime as an 11 point dog. There solid Solid angles involved in this one, here we go. The Jets are 10-0 ATS Since 1997 when they are off a double-digit ATS loss in a game that had a total of less than 40. Seattle is 0-13 at if they allowed 21 or less in a game that went over the total by 10 or more points. The Seahawks are a lousy 0-17 ats if the total is less than 50 in a Sunday game and they scored 28 or more in an 8 or more point win in their last game. The Jets are 7-0 ats as a dog off a bye week. The Jets also fit a nice system here that has cashed 36 of 42 times and pertains to their home loss and the Seattle Win last week. Look for the Jets to get the cover at the very least in this one.

Sunday 3 Teams 10 POINT teaser. San Diego. Game 219 at 1:00 eastern. New England. Game 216 at 1;00 eastern. Dallas. Game 233 at 4:25 eastern. Chargers to +13, Patriots to -2 and Dallas to +8




The Chargers are 9-0 ATS as a dog when they swept a team last week. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS

as a dog the week after a straight up win at home as a favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Bucs are 0-7-1 ATS at home the week after in which they committed 100+ yards of penalties.




Cowboys at Eagles - The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS


the week after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing. The Eagles are 0-8 ATS at home vs a divisional opponent when they faced non-divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks.




The Patriots already defeated the Bills 52-28 in Buffalo and now get them here at home. With the 10 point tease taking this to -2 we should coast in this one. Angles and trends aside the Bills will be lucky to stay within 10 here today.

On Sunday the early AFC Play is on Tennessee. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans apply to a solid system that plays on certain non division teams if both teams come in having lost to non divisional teams last out. Miami is an Amazing 0-18 ats as a favorite of -4.5 or more on Sunday over the last 9 years, 0-8 ats after losing to the Colts and 0-8 ats at home off a road game vs an opponent that has less wins then they do. This game is very even statistically with Miami having ever so slight edges. The Titans have covered 17 of the last 23 as a dog after playing as a dog in their last game. Look for Tennessee to Cover.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Jaguars. Game 106 at 8:25 eastern.The Jaguars are 10-0 ATS since November 2003 vs a divisional opponent when they face another divisional opponent next week. We also want to play against certain road favorites off a home dog win if that road favorite is on a 2+ game win streak. The Colts are a miserable 1-15 to the spread vs team that are .400 or less and have failed 6 of the last 7 in game 9 of the season. The Jags have covered 10 of the last 11 in November games off a double digit ats loss. The Jaguars will look to get their first win against a Colts team they beat earlier in the season on the road. Look for the Jags to stay in this game throughout and I would not be surprised to see them pull off the mild upset. Take the points.

On Monday night the NFC Power House Play is on the Eagles. Game 439 at 8:40 eastern. The Eagles have a tremendous edge on defense here over 130 yards. On Offense the edge for the Saints is minimal, less than 30 yards. The Eagles have far superior angles backing them here tonight as well. Philly has cashed 5 of the last 6 here and is 7-0 ats as a road dog vs a sub .500 opponent off a loss. The Eagles are 10-2 ats on the Monday night road vs an opponent off a loss. The Saints have failed to cover 12 of the last 13 times as a home favorite of eight or less off a loss of 10 or more. On Monday night the Saints have done well. However they are not the same Saints team and are 0-3 ats at home on Monday off a double digit ats loss and have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 at home on Monday night vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. The Saints will get their points. However the Eagles will have a much easier time matriculating up and down the field here tonight. Look for a complete effort on offense for an Eagles team that should feast on a Saints team that allows over 20 points just about every week. Take the Points with Philly.

On Sunday night our Selection is on Dallas. Game 437 ay 8;30 eastern.The Falcons are 0-15 ATS since 1989 when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their average. Dallas is 9-0 ats vs the NFC South as long as they are not giving 7 or more and will want this one badly after coming back from 23 down only to lose on 2 late field goals to the Giants. The Falcons fit a system here that plays against teams off a win and a bye that have not lost yet this season. The Falcons will get a desperate Dallas team and they will fall to 0-10 ats off back to back teams vs teams under .500. Take Dallas tonight.

On Sunday the late Afternoon Power system play is on the Giants. Game 436 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants should be flat for this one. After all they followed up a huge win in San Francisco with close Division wins over Washington and Dallas. Now they have an AFC Foe in a game that wont mean nearly as much as the prior three right? WRONG. With the recent events and having the game played in New York after the Sandy Storm disaster Emotions will run high and their will be plenty of motivation to win one for the City. Don't believe it. Go watch the Knicks win followed by the Carmelo Anthony speech. Home teams have a tendency to rise up and turn in tremendous performances after such events.The Steelers are 0-14 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since 2006 on the road when they are off a game as a favorite in which they had fewer than ten incompletions.The Steelers are 0-11 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since 1990 as a 3+ road dog vs a team that has averaged at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. Look for The Giants to get a solid win and cover today.

On Sunday the LEAD Power System Play is on the Bengals. Game 410 at 1;00 eastern. The Bengals fit a solid system that pertains to teams that have lost 3 in a row and were a winning team last season and has not lost more than two third of their games this season. The Broncos have failed to cover in 10 of 11 games off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent that is a losing team. The Bengals have covered 8 of 9 as a dog or more than 1.5 vs the AFC West. Bengals off the bye will be well prepared to in this one. Take the Bengals.

3 team 10 point Tease the Bengals to +14, Green Bay to -1 and Carolina to +13


On Sunday Take the Packers. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS as a road dog when they are off a game in which they suffered at least four sacks, as long as they had at least 170 yards of total offense. The Packers will win this one


On Sunday the NFC Play is on the Panthers. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are 10-0 ATS (+9.8 ppg) in franchise history as a road dog on grass after a road game. The points are too much here take Carolina.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is Indianapolis. Game420 at 1:00 eastern.The Colts are 14-0 ATS since 1989 when the line is within three of pick the week after a win in which they were down by at least three points at the half they also fit 3 tremensous systems. The best of which plays on certain home dogs off a road dog win at +7 or less, vs an opponent off a win. Miami has lost 12 straight after playing the Jets. The Colts have won 15 of 17 off a division road win. Miami comes in off a Big revenge win vs the Jets and this will be a tough spot for them. In the battle of rookie Quaterbacks will back Luck over Tannehill. Take the Colts.

OFF SHORE STEAM ON HOUSTON

On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 310 at 8;25 eastern. We want to play against any home favorite off 3 or more straight up and ats losses, vs an opponent that is also 0-3 straight up in the last 3 and is coming off a an ats loss. The Chiefs have 17 point home loss revenge and are a solid 14-2 ats with division loss revenge if entering off a loss. Romeo Crennel is 8-1 to the spread on the road vs an opponent off 2 or more loses and Coach Turner for the Chargers has failed to cover in 12 of the last 14 as a favorite off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss by 10 or more. The Chargers have started their usual mid season swoon off a fast start and may win, but we cant lay the points in this one as San Diego is very inconsistent and the Chiefs are sitting on a big game off a disappointing home favored loss to the Raiders. Take the points in this one. Take the Chiefs.

On Monday night football the 92% Power totals system is on the Over. Game 243/244 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid tech system illustrated below that plays to the over for home dogs that are off not playing off a bye week that scored 21 or less as a road dog of 3 or more with a total that was 38 or less, vs an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 3 or more that also had a total of 38 or less. These games have flown over 12 of 13 times. If we insist the home dog is getting 3.5 or more that 12-1 is a perfect 9-0 since 1989. The Niners are averaging 25 points on the road and Arizona 21 here at home. The Cardinals have also flown over the total 4 of the last 5 times as a home dog from +3.5 to +7. Look for this game to go over the total tonight.


O/U: 12-1-0 (8.2) avg total: 35.8 +6: 12-1-0 (92.3%)


Final
Team: 24.7 94.1 32.2 17.2 197.8 2.4 4.5 4.6 3.0 4.4 16.5
Opp: 33.8 139.2 29.5 17.5 219.9 1.8 4.3 9.5 4.9 8.5 27.5

On Sunday night the NFL Super System Side is on Denver. Game 242 at 8:30 eastern. The Extra week to prepare for the Saints offense will be very beneficial to a Denver defense that is already 136 yards better statistically. The Saints may very well be without star tight end J. Graham for this one. Now for our Masterpiece. We want to play on any home team that scored 35 or more as a road team with a line that was +3 to -3 vs an opponent that also scored 35 or more on the road. These home teams have covered every time and win by an average 14 points per game. The Saints have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 as a dog off a division road win. The Broncos are 6-1 ats with rest off a win vs an opponent off a win and 18-6 ats overall off a bye week. The Broncos may put up huge numbers vs that Saints defense. Look for Denver to get the win and cover.

On Sunday the Top totals Play of the day is on the Under in the Chargers at Browns game. Rotation numbers 225/ 226 at 1:05 eastern. The system for this game is to play the under in games where the total is 39 or higher and one team is off a bye week like the Chargers are that allowed 30 or more points in back to back games. Look for the Chargers defense to play much better and this one to stay under the total.




NFL Power Angle total Over Seattle at Detroit. Game 229/230 at 1:00 eastern.The Lions are 19-0 (+10.2 ppg) since October 2000 when they are off a game in which they punted at least seven times and held their opponent to fewer than 20 points.

On Sunday the AFC Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 225 at 1:00 eastern. The Chargers fit some solid systems here today. We want to play on teams off a Monday night football loss if they scored 24 or more in the loss. The Chargers are off a bye week and perhaps the worse collapse in their history blowing a Huge lead in a loss to the Broncos. They will look to get the bad taste out of their mouths knowing they are 4-1 straight up and ats off a Monday night game and 13-5 ats as a road favorite of 3 or less. The Browns fit a negative system that plays against home teams from +3 to -3 if they are off 1 or more games that went under and are playing a team that allows 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-23 ats. The Chargers are 12-1 ats in the road if the last 2 games they played in had 50 or more points scored. The Browns are 4-12 ats from +3 to -3 and are 1-7 straight up in the series. The new version of the Brwons is 1-7 ats vs The AFC West and the Chargers are 12-2 ats after playing Denver. Finally we note the Chargers are 11-0 at off a home loss vs a team with less wins than they have. Chargers win and cover today.

3 Team 10 point Terminator Teaser is on Miami to +12.5. Game 231 at 1:00 eastern. There are 3 solid systems and a 17-0 angles in this one. The Jets and all home favorites are in a play against mode off a road overtime loss. Additionally we want tom play against any home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit road dog. We went against the Raiders in that role and cashed with the Jags last week. The Dolphins are 17-0 ATS as a dog when they are off a game in which their defense stifled at least ten third down attempts and recorded at least one sack. Three of those wins were against the Jets. Game 2 is on the Dallas Cowboys to +12.5. Game 240 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants are 0-4 ats off 3 wins and 1-7 ats as division favorites of late. Dallas has covered 9 straight division games if scored 20 or less and opponent has double revenge. Game 3 of this teaser is on the Colts to +13.5. Game 221 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 11-0 ATS since November 2008 on the road when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they failed on fewer than three red zone attempts and fewer than two goal-to-go attempts. The Titans are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since September 10, 2000 as a favorite when one game under 500. Miami +12.5, Dallas +12.5 And Indy +13.5

On Thursday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. Since 1996 had you played the under for road dogs that scored 21 or more points as a home dog or favorite from -3 to +3 that had 100 or less yards rushing, vs an opponent that had 150 or more yards rushing as a home favorite. You would have cashed Every time. Tampa has stayed under in 10 of 12 vs winning teams, 4 of 5 vs NFC North teams and the last 4 times on 6 or less days rest. The Vikings have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs NFC South teams and 8 of the last 10 when the total is 35.5 to 42. Look for this one to go under the total tonight.

On Monday night in the NFL the totals system play is on the under in the Detroit at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a never lost totals system that plays to the under for all home teams that scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog if both teams passed for 250 or more yards in their last game. These games have been solid Under plays and the games have averaged 26 points per game. While I think their will be more than that scored in this one, I do think the under is the right way to go in this one, as both teams have good run defenses. The Lions have posted under in 8 of 10 Monday night appearances. Look for this one to stay under the total tonight.

On Sunday night the AFC North Super system play is on the Steelers. Game 435 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a 100% System that plays on road teams from -3 to +3 if both teams were on the road in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards while passing for 250 or more yards. Since 1989 these teams have covered every road game. The Steelers have extra rest for this one with Cincy off a tough turnover filled loss to Cleveland. The Steelers are 3-0 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less the past few seasons and the Bengals are 2-10 straight up in games where the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals are 0-5 after allowing 30 or more. The Steelers have cashed 10 off 11 here. The Steelers have won 17 of 21 in the series and are a perfect 10-0 if off 1 loss vs the Bengals. Look for the Steelers to get the cash tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Super System Play is on Jacksonville. Game 434 at 4;25 eastern. The Raiders appear to be the victims one of of my favorite system that pertains to teams as road dogs of 10 or more that are off a loss of 3 or less, if they are home in their next game vs an opponent off a loss. These Dejected homers carry the heart breaking close loss over to the next week and have a tough time covering. With a subset or two they fail over 90% of the time. Oakland is 1-13 ats vs losing teams and has lost 4 of the last 5 vs AFC South teams. They are also 1-11 ats vs teams off back to back losses like the Jaguars. The Jags have won the last 2 times off a bye and have won 4 of 5 in this series vs Oakland. Take the Points in this one.

On Sunday the AFC Play is on Baltimore. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern. No, We did not lose our minds. We are aware Baltimore is without 2 defensive starters including Ray Lewis. However this is more than built into the line today. The Ravens are getting 7 here and we have a solid system that has cashed every time and pertains to teams like Houston un week 6 or later that are -7 or less and off their first loss. There are a few more parameters to this one, just as there were last week when this one was in play with Arizona in this same spot in their loss to Buffalo. Houston is 1-8 ats in weeks 5-9 at home and has lost and failed to cover in all 3 here in the series. Baltimore will have the advantage of shock value in their first game without Lewis. They have covered 7 of 10 on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 and are 8-2 straight up in weeks 5-9, including 7-0 ats off a win vs an opponent off a favored loss. Coach Harbaugh is 5-1 to the spread as a dog vs an opponent off a loss. Green Bay exposed a Houston weakness in pass defense something Flacco will surely take advantage of. As we saw last week with the Niners and Giants, just because one team has playoff revenge it does not mean they will win and cover. Take the points in this one.

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Dallas at Carolina game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 1:00 eastern. The Cowboys are 17-0 OU when they are off a game vs an AFC opponent in which they scored more than 20 points, as long as they did not lose the game by two-plus TDs. Dallas has gone over in 7 of 10 October games, 5 of 6 in Game 6, and 5 of 6 off a non conference road game. Carolina has flown over in 7 of 10 at home vs NFC East teams and 3 of 4 off a home favored loss. In the series 4 of 6 here have played over and the Panthers have played over 75% of the time as a home dog of 3 or less. Look for a high scoring game. Take Dallas at Carolina to fly over the total today,



O/U: 17-0-0 (11.3) avg total: 44.8


Final
Team: 25.6
Opp: 26.4

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 15 2005 DAL WAS A 0-7 0-21 0-7 7-0 7-35 0 +35' -28 -28 +6' -10.8 17.2 L L O 0
SUN 5 2006 DAL PHI A 7-10 14-7 0-7 3-14 24-38 +2 +43' -14 -12 +18' 3.2 15.2 L L O 0
MON 7 2006 DAL NYG H 0-9 7-3 0-14 15-10 22-36 -3' +45 -14 -17' +13 -2.2 15.2 L L O 0
THUR 12 2006 DAL TB H 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12' +39 28 +15' +9 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0
SUN 3 2007 DAL CHI A 0-3 3-0 14-7 17-0 34-10 +3 +42 24 +27 +2 14.5 -12.5 W W O 0
SUN 6 2007 DAL NE H 0-14 17-7 7-10 3-17 27-48 +4' +52 -21 -16' +23 3.2 19.8 L L O 0
THUR 13 2007 DAL GB H 13-10 14-7 0-7 10-3 37-27 -7 +51' 10 +3 +12' 7.8 4.8 W W O 0
MON 2 2008 DAL PHI H 14-6 10-24 7-0 10-7 41-37 -6' +47 4 -2' +31 14.2 16.8 W L O 0
SUN 6 2008 DAL ARZ A 0-7 7-0 7-7 10-10 24-30 -5 +49' -6 -11 +4' -3.2 7.8 L L O 1
SUN 17 2008 DAL PHI A 3-3 0-24 0-17 3-0 6-44 +1' +42' -38 -36' +7' -14.5 22.0 L L O 0
SUN 7 2009 DAL ATL H 0-7 17-0 7-7 13-7 37-21 -5 +47' 16 +11 +10' 10.8 -0.2 W W O 0
SUN 13 2009 DAL NYG A 0-0 10-14 7-7 7-10 24-31 -1 +45' -7 -8 +9' 0.8 8.8 L L O 0
SUN 5 2010 DAL TEN H 3-10 7-7 7-3 10-14 27-34 -6' +42' -7 -13' +18' 2.5 16.0 L L O 0
SUN 6 2010 DAL MIN A 7-7 7-0 0-14 7-3 21-24 +1' +44 -3 -1' +1 -0.2 1.2 L L O 0
SUN 14 2010 DAL PHI H 7-7 3-7 10-3 7-13 27-30 +3' +50' -3 +0' +6' 3.5 3.0 L W O 0
SUN 2 2011 DAL SF A 0-0 7-14 7-7 10-3 27-24 -3 +42' 3 0 +8' 4.2 4.2 W P O 1
SUN 11 2011 DAL WAS A 7-0 3-14 0-3 14-7 27-24 -7 +41' 3 -4 +9' 2.8 6.8 W L O 1
SUN 7 2012 DAL CAR A -2 +45

On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Seattle At San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 303/304 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 2 Perfect Totals systems that pertain to the under. First we want to play the under for road dogs like Seattle with 6 or less days of rest that scored 21 or more as a home dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. This system is perfect and the games have averaged 28 points. Second we will play the under for home favorites of 10 or less like the Niners that scored 14 or less at home and rushed for under 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for under 100 yards. This system is also perfect and they both date to 1989. Now for some angles we note that Seattle has stayed under in all 5 conference games this season and all 3 of their road games have stayed under 36 points. The Niners have played under in their last 5 Thursday games and 9 of 13 vs teams with a winning record. The Niners will probably score more in this one than they did vs the Giants and will also play much better on defense. Seattle has been solid on defense and will have trouble scoring here. Look for a low scoring game resulting in the Under.

On Monday the NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 233 at 8;40 eastern. You would think in such a closely lined game it would be difficult to get such a clear cut system side. However, we dash to the database and take the guess work out. This line could fluctuate from + to -1 for either team by game time. So we go right to a system that is specific to games from -3 to +3. Here we go. We want to play on road teams like Denver that are +3 to -3 and scored 21 or more on the road last week and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that was a road dog of 3 or more in their last game, which San Diego was in their loss to the Saints. These teams as illustrated below are 12-2 straight up and 13-0-1 to the spread. The Road team in this series has won 5 of the last 6. Peyton Manning has won all 8 times from -3 to +3 in Monday night affairs. Coach Turner for the Chargers has lost and failed to cover all 5 times as a divisional favorite of 3 or less and has been also a solid play against as a favorite when taking on a team off a loss of 10 or more. Denver also showed as a simulation winner on the Computer analysis. In this AFC West battle look for the Broncos to get the cash. DO DENVER.


SU: 12-2-0 (9.8)
ATS: 13-0-1 (10.4) avg line: 0.6


Final
Team: 30.1
Opp: 22.8

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 2 1990 STL TB A 14-0 14-7 7-0 0-7 35-14 -3 +47 21 +18 +2 10.0 -8.0 W W O 0
SUN 3 1994 BUF HOU A 0-0 9-0 3-0 3-7 15-7 +2' +44' 8 +10' -22' -6.0 -16.5 W W U 0
SUN 4 1997 RAI NYJ A 6-3 16-7 0-6 0-7 22-23 +1' +46 -1 +0' -1 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0
SUN 16 1997 DET MIN A 0-7 7-6 0-0 7-0 14-13 +1 +46 1 +2 -19 -8.5 -10.5 W W U 0
SUN 10 2000 DEN NYJ A 10-0 10-10 3-10 7-3 30-23 +3 +46 7 +10 +7 8.5 -1.5 W W O 0
SUN 12 2001 SF IND A 3-7 17-7 7-7 13-0 40-21 +2' +52 19 +21' +9 15.2 -6.2 W W O 0
MON 14 2004 KC TEN A 0-7 14-14 14-7 21-10 49-38 -1 +52' 11 +10 +34' 22.2 12.2 W W O 0
SUN 2 2005 STL ARZ A 7-3 3-3 7-3 0-3 17-12 +1 +44' 5 +6 -15' -4.8 -10.8 W W U 0
SUN 9 2008 ARZ STL A 0-7 24-0 7-0 3-6 34-13 -3 +50 21 +18 -3 7.5 -10.5 W W U 0
SUN 3 2009 IND ARZ A 0-3 21-0 7-7 3-0 31-10 +2' +48' 21 +23' -7' 8.0 -15.5 W W U 0
SUN 11 2009 PHI CHI A 10-0 0-9 7-11 7-0 24-20 -3 +45 4 +1 -1 0.0 -1.0 W W U 0
SUN 12 2009 ARZ TEN A 0-3 3-3 7-7 7-7 17-20 +3 +45 -3 0 -8 -4.0 -4.0 L P U 0
SUN 11 2011 RAI MIN A 3-7 21-0 3-0 0-14 27-21 0 +45' 6 +6 +2' 4.2 -1.8 W W O 0
SUN 4 2012 CIN JAC A 3-0 14-7 0-3 10-0 27-10 +1 +44' 17 +18 -7' 5.2 -12.8 W W U 0
MON 6 2012 DEN SD A +1 +49'

On Sunday the Late Play is on the Packers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. Last week we nailed New Orleans over San Diego in this spot. This week we go to a live dog in Green Bay. The Texas apply to a Solid system direct from the database that plays against any home team that was a road favorite by 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game. These home teams are 2-13 ats since 1989. If we insist that the home teams had 150 or more yards rushing in their last game the system is Perfect against the home teams. Houston is also 1-5 to the spread in the first of back to back home games and 1-5 ats as a home favorite off a road loss. Even worse they are 0-8 to the spread vs .400 or less non conference teams. The Packers have won 5 of 6 in game 6 of the season and are opposite Houston at 8-0 to the spread vs .500 or better non conference opponents. They have also won 12 of 15 vs winning teams overall. With the Packers having covered 5 of the last 6 as a dog we will. BACK The PACK Tonight.

On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.

On Sunday the NFL Dog is on Buffalo. Game 225 at 4:05 eastern. There is a huge System Subset that is 22-0 and plays against Arizona and all Favorites of 7 or less that are in week 6 or later that come in off their first loss, there are a few more parameters to this one that gets it Perfect but the base system is solid enough. The Bills have the edge on offense while Arizona has it on defense. The Cardinals may be deflated off the loss last week and The Bills are 17-7 ats vs NFC West teams and have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series, They are also a Fabulous 6-0 ats as a dog of 3.5 or more off a loss and scored 7 or less last out. The Bills will want to get the bitter taste of last weeks 45 point blowout loss out of their mouth and will give Arizona all they can handle in this one. Take the Points with the Bills.

On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.

NFL OFF SHORE STEAM TOTAL OVER 42.5 PATS AND SEAHAWKS

On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.







On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one.

On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.







On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one.

On Thursday we "Remember the Titans" Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Titans are 11-0 ATS in franchise history when they are off a road game in which they scored fewer than ten points, had more than 25 yards rushing and committed at least two turnovers. The Steelers apply to a system that is 1-13 ats that plays against all road teams with short rest off a home game where they scored 21 or less vs an opponent off a road game and scored less than 10 and had less than 100 yards Rushing. Where else would you fing system and material like this. I looked for every reason to like thr Steelers here. I even querirs how thye do in their last 15 games as a road favorite when they win the game, and still they are ust 8-7 ats. The Steelers are 2-9 ats as a non division favorite of -3 or more and have dropped 9 of 10 to the spread in games before playing the Bengals. The Titans have covered 5 of 6 on Thursday since 1992. Take the points. The Titans will likely be a 7 point dog by game time.


SU: 9-2-0 (8.4)
ATS: 11-0-0 (7.4)

Team: 35.6
Opp: 19.1

Day Week Season
SUN 13 1997 TEN BUF H 14-0 7-7 3-0 7-7 31-14 -3' +36' 17 +13' +8' 11.0 -2.5 W W O 0
SUN 10 1999 TEN CIN A 14-0 0-0 10-7 0-7 24-14 -9 +34' 10 +1 +3' 2.2 1.2 W W O 0
SUN 6 2001 TEN TB H 7-0 10-7 0-7 11-14 31-28 -2' +33 3 +0' +26 13.2 12.8 W W O 1
SUN 9 2001 TEN JAC H 7-0 0-17 7-0 14-7 28-24 -3 +37' 4 +1 +14' 7.8 6.8 W W O 0
SUN 3 2003 TEN NO H 10-2 3-3 7-0 7-7 27-12 -4' +43' 15 +10' -4' 3.0 -7.5 W W U 0
SUN 8 2004 TEN CIN H 0-3 13-0 14-10 0-7 27-20 -3 +40 7 +4 +7 5.5 1.5 W W O 0
SUN 2 2005 TEN BAL H 7-0 6-0 3-3 9-7 25-10 +3' +36' 15 +18' -1' 8.5 -10.0 W W U 0
SUN 3 2006 TEN MIA A 0-3 7-0 3-7 0-3 10-13 +10' +35' -3 +7' -12' -2.5 -10.0 L W U 0
SUN 10 2006 TEN BAL H 12-7 14-10 0-0 0-10 26-27 +7 +38 -1 +6 +15 10.5 4.5 L W O 0
SUN 13 2007 TEN TEX H 7-7 0-3 14-0 7-10 28-20 -3' +42' 8 +4' +5' 5.0 0.5 W W O 0
SUN 8 2009 TEN JAC H 3-0 10-7 10-6 7-0 30-13 -3 +44' 17 +14 -1' 6.2 -7.8 W W U 0
THUR 6 2012 TEN PIT H +6' +43


1-13 ATS System plays against the Steelers.
SUN 4 1991 HOU NE A 3-3 3-14 0-0 14-7 20-24 -12' +38 -4 -16' +6 -5.2 11.2 L L O 0
SAT 17 1994 PHI CIN A 3-7 17-3 7-10 3-13 30-33 +1 +36 -3 -2 +27 12.5 14.5 L L O 0
SAT 17 1994 SEA CLE A 0-7 0-14 3-7 6-7 9-35 +10' +33' -26 -15' +10' -2.5 13.0 L L O 0
THUR 14 1996 WAS DAL A 0-0 3-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +9 +42 -11 -2 -11 -6.5 -4.5 L L U 0
SUN 9 1997 IND SD A 0-3 0-9 6-14 13-9 19-35 +6 +37' -16 -10 +16' 3.2 13.2 L L O 0
SUN 12 1997 PHI BAL A 0-7 0-0 3-0 7-3 10-10 +2' +41 0 +2' -21 -9.2 -11.8 P W U 1
SUN 11 1999 NE MIA A 7-3 3-7 7-14 0-3 17-27 +3 +37 -10 -7 +7 0.0 7.0 L L O 0
FRI 16 1999 DAL NO A 0-10 7-0 17-7 0-14 24-31 -9 +37' -7 -16 +17' 0.8 16.8 L L O 0
SAT 17 2000 SF DEN A 0-0 0-17 0-21 9-0 9-38 +7' +50' -29 -21' -3' -12.5 9.0 L L U 0
SUN 16 2001 NO TB A 0-17 0-13 7-3 14-15 21-48 +3 +38 -27 -24 +31 3.5 27.5 L L O 0
SUN 9 2002 PHI CHI A 0-0 7-13 6-0 6-0 19-13 -7 +38' 6 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0
SUN 3 2005 DAL SF A 0-7 12-17 7-7 15-0 34-31 -6' +40' 3 -3' +24' 10.5 14.0 W L O 0
SAT 16 2011 STL PIT A 0-3 0-7 0-3 0-14 0-27 +12 +34' -27 -15 -7' -11.2 3.8 L L U 0
SUN 4 2012 SEA STL A 7-3 0-10 3-3 3-3 13-19 -2 +39 -6 -8 -7 -7.5 0.5 L L U 0
THUR 6 2012 PIT TEN A -6' +43

On Monday the NFL Power system Play is on the NY. Jets plus the points. Game 436 at 8:35 eastern. Teams like the Jets off a home loss by 2 dozen or more points bounce back big in right back home games, vs an opponent who comes in off a win. If the home team get more than a field goal the system really sky rockets. The Jets were so pathetic on offense last week and rushed for under 50 yards and passed for slightly over 100 yards. In fact home dogs off a home dog loss that rushed for less than 50 yards and passed for less than 150 have won straight up every time if the total is 44 or less. The Jets have won all 5 meetings in the series and are 3-0 vs AFC South teams. Coach Ryan has won 5 of the last 6 vs an undefeated team and the Texans have failed to cover every time in October games off a win and cover vs a non divisional opponent. Backed with the 2 systems and the 4 Power Angles we will take the points in this one.

On Sunday night the NFL Power system play is on the Saints at 8:35 eastern. We want to play on 0-4 teams in week 5 that were installed as favorites as these teams finally break through to the tune of 80% win and cover if they were a playoff team last season and lost their last game by 6 or less points. The Saints have covered the last 10 times off a loss if their opponent is a winning team. The Chargers are 1-7 to the spread on the road vs teams that are .333 or less if they scored 35 or more in their last game. Chargers are a nice team but not good enough to start 3-0 on the road.

On Sunday the NFL Road warrior System play is on the Titans. Game 419 at 4:25 eastern. The Titans are the beneficiaries of some solid technical systems that plays against the Vikings in this one. Week 5 teams off a pair of dog wins have been money vs an opponent that had a winning percentage of .400 or less last season. The Vikes have failed to cover the last 6 times as a team when playing off back to back dog wins. The Titans fit a nice week 5 system that plays on 1-3 teams off a loss vs an opponent off a win that has at least one win. There is no surprise that teams coming home vs a non conference team struggle off a big road division dog win. The Vikings struggled at home in their opener vs a very mediocre Jacksonville team. Take the points today with the Titans.

On Sunday the NFL Early Power System Winner is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are rested and ready and have covered 6 of 7 off a straight up favored loss vs a non conference team. The Eagles may be flat off the big division win vs the Giants and they are 1-6 to the spread as non conference dogs of 9 or less. Even worse we want to play against teams as a dog of 3 or more after beating the defending Super Bowl champions as these teams turn up flat as a pan cake having lost 30 of the last 34 times. The Steelers fit a nice system that plays on non division favorites that scored 20 or more before their bye week as these teams rested teams have covered 27 of the last 32 times over a 29 year period. The Tomlin, Rothlisberger combo are 9-0 straight up and to the spread off 1 exact loss of late. Look for the Steelers to rebound and get the win and cover.

On Sunday the NFC power System Side is on Washington. Game 412 at 1;00 eastern. The Redskins fit a plethora of systems pertaining to home dogs off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win. Atlanta fits a negative system that plays against road favorites of -3 or less off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent like the Skins off a win which has cased 20 of the last 24 times. The Falcons have lost and failed to cover 14 of the last 16 times vs an NFC East team if both they and their opponent won their last game. As we seen on Thursday night in our 5* Rams selection, these short prided 4-0 road favorites are no cinch to get win number 5. Washington is 7-1 to the spread in October off a dog win vs a winning team, and 5-1 ats as non division home dogs of 3 or more. Look for Washington to get the cash here today.

On Sunday the NFL Rest system side is on the Colts. Game 416 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a huge rest system that play on home dogs of 6 or more off a bye week vs an opponent with no rest. These home dogs are 25-6 to the spread. These rested home teams are also 7-0 straight up and ats if getting 2.5 or more and come in off a home loss. The Packers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as a road favorite of more than 6. Even worse are teams that are 2-2 off one exact win if they had a win percentage of .800 or higher last season. These teams are 2-8 ats since 1977. The Packers have failed to cover 4 straight in the series here. The Colts have covered 7 of 8 in October games if getting 5 or more vs a winning team. Look for the Colts to keep this one close today.

On Thursday the NFL Triple System Super Side is on the Rams. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 3 Powerful systems here tonight. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites like the Cardinals that are off a home favored win and spread loss, vs an opponent off a win in their last game. These road favorites are just 4-20 ats long term. Another Highly Successful system plays on home dogs off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Finally our perfect system plays on all home teams from -3 to +3 that that scored 21 or less at home in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home and rushed for less than 50 yards. These home teams are flawless to the spread. Arizona coach Whisenhunt is 1-7 ats off back to back wins. The Rams are 5-1 ats home off a dog win and have improved on defense in each of the last 3 games. Arizona has lost the only two times they have played on Thursday. Look for St. Louis to to take this one here tonight

On Thursday the NFL Totals system is to play over the total in the Arizona at St. Louis game 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits another cutting edge system that plays to the over for home dogs that rushed for less than 100 yards at home in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for less than 100 yards. In a week shortened game the offenses tend to have the advantage. Look for this one to play over the total

On Monday the NFL Power system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 232 at 8:35 eastern. The Cowboys fit a solid week 4 system that pertains to teams off back to back spread losses, vs an opponent off an ats win and scored 19 or more. Dallas has lost their ground game after starting big against the Giants. Dallas does have edges on both sides of the ball and has won and covered 3 of the 4 here at home vs Chicago. The Bears are 0-6 ats after allowing 10 or less points and just 2-16 ats after a game where they were favored by 7 or more and had 1 or less turnovers. On Monday nights the Bears are 3-9 ats on the road off a win and cover and 3-11 to the spread on the road vs non division teams. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC East Power Side is on the Giants. Game 229 at 8:30 eastern. The Giants are well rested in this one and we note that Divisional dogs or favorites of less than 7 in September games have failed to cover in 20 of 22 times if they .500 or worse last season and did not lose in the preseason this year. The Giants also fit a superb system that plays on teams off a win and cover on Thursday vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. The Eagles also fit another negative system that plays against home teams with a +3 to-3 line if they are off 1 or more unders and allow 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-22 to the spread. The Eagles are 0-9 ats at home vs division teams off a non division road game and 1-6 ats as favorites vs an opponent off 2 or more wins that last as a dog. The Eagles are 0-4 the last 4 times playing off 1 exact loss and the Giants are 5-0 as dogs off a spread win by 10 or more vs winning division teams. I thing we have all heard enough. Take the Giants in this one.

On Sunday the NFL System Play is on Miami. Game 219 at 4:05 eastern. Miami fits a few system here today. Taking a look at one we want to play against Non division favorites off 3 straight dog wins if they are -4 or more. These teams like Arizona have lost 8 of 9 times to the spread the last 32 years. Miami has cashed 8 of times vs any team off 3+ wins. The Cardinals have failed to cover all 5 times in non division games as favorites off a dog win. Coach Whisenhunt is 0-5 ats laying a field goal or more when off at least 2 wins. Finally the Cardinals are 1-7 ats off a double digit ats win vs losing teams. Miami has a solid defense and that will keep them in this game. Look for Miami to get the cover in this one.

This Pack must cash 2 of 3 games. Jacksonville +1.5, Oakland +7 and New Orleans +7.5


On Sunday the NFL Triple pack is on Jacksonville. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern. Game 2 On Oakland. Game 221 at 4;05 eastern and New Orleans. Game 225 at 4;05 eastern. Both the Jags and Raiders fit a game 4 system that plays on all dogs of 1.5 or more off 1 exact win. These teams are 45-14 ats. The Saints fit a 37-9 system that plays on road dogs from 7 to 10 in a non division game if both teams are off non division games. The Bengals are 0-5 ats after allowing 35 or more while the Jags are 10-1 ats with revenge in non division games vs an opponent off a dog win. Oakland is 16-2 ats as division dogs and have covered the last 6 here. In the Saints games we note that their is a second system that plays on 0-3 road teams in Sunday games that are off a non shutout loss vs an opponent with at least one win. Take Jacksonville, Oakland and New Orleans in late afternoon action.

On Sunday the Shocker is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are off a pair of close losses both by a combined 3 points. A last play missed field goal at home vs Arizona and a late loss on Sunday night aided by shoddy officiating left Bellichick with a 50,000 fine. Those close losses set the Patriots up in a Never lost system that dates to 1980 and plays against teams off 2 losses by 3 or less points. These teams have lost every time the last 33 years. The Patriots usually do well here. However this could be the year Buffalo knocks them off. The Pats are 1-7 to the spread as favorites off 2 losses and the Billls are 7-0 ats as a dogs of 3 or more vs an opponent off back to back losses. Finally the Bills have won an amazing 19 of 20 times off a win in September games vs a losing team that is off a loss. The Patriots cant go 1-3. Can They? We will grab the points in this one.

On Thursday the NFL Power System total is on the under in the Cleveland at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that won all but one time since 1989. We want to play the under for home teams off a home favored win and scored 38 or more points vs an opponent that is off a home dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing. Look for a lower scoring game as Baltimore looks to shore up an unusually leaky defense with a home game against Weeden and the Browns. Baltimore will obviously win this one but may be a little flat off the Big win vs the Patriots on Sunday night. Look for a defensive battle early on with Baltimore pulling away late. Take the under,

On Monday night the NFL Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a perfect system and Seattle applies to a negative 0-17 angles that pertains to their ats dog win over Dallas while covering by more than 14 on a Sunday. For the system we want to play on any road favorite with more than 6 days rest if they scored 21 or more at home, vs an opponent that also scored 21 or more at home and rushed for 150 or more yard which Seattle did against Dallas going for 182. These road favorites are 10% since 1989 winning by an average 12 points per game. The Packers 7-2 straight up vs Seattle and have covered the last 3 here. The Seahawks are just 1-8 to the spread as a non division dog off a dog win. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover tonight. See the Power Angle charted below.

ATS: 0-17-2 (-9.5) Seattle


Final
Team: 22.7
Opp: 32.9

SUN 3 2003 SEA STL H 7-7 3-10 0-6 14-0 24-23 -3 +47' 1 -2 -0' -1.2 0.8 W L U 0
SUN 14 2003 SEA MIN A 0-0 0-13 7-7 0-14 7-34 +1 +51' -27 -26 -10' -18.2 7.8 L L U 0
SUN 5 2004 SEA STL H 7-0 17-7 0-3 3-17 27-33 -7 +43' -6 -13 +16' 1.8 14.8 L L O 1
SUN 4 2005 SEA WAS A 3-0 0-7 7-10 7-0 17-20 +2 +36' -3 -1 +0' -0.2 0.8 L L O 1
SUN 7 2005 SEA DAL H 0-7 3-0 0-0 10-3 13-10 -4' +45 3 -1' -22 -11.8 -10.2 W L U 0
SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0
SUN SB 2005 SEA PIT A 3-0 0-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +4 +47 -11 -7 -16 -11.5 -4.5 L L U 0
SAT WC 2006 SEA DAL H 3-3 3-7 7-7 8-3 21-20 -2 +47' 1 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0
SUN 5 2007 SEA PIT A 0-0 0-7 0-7 0-7 0-21 +6 +39 -21 -15 -18 -16.5 -1.5 L L U 0
SUN 9 2007 SEA CLE A 7-0 14-9 3-7 6-14 30-33 +1' +47 -3 -1' +16 7.2 8.8 L L O 1
SUN 5 2008 SEA NYG A 3-14 3-13 0-10 0-7 6-44 +7 +43' -38 -31 +6' -12.2 18.8 L L O 0
SUN 9 2008 SEA PHI H 7-0 0-14 0-6 0-6 7-26 +6' +43 -19 -12' -10 -11.2 1.2 L L U 0
SUN 2 2009 SEA SF A 0-10 10-3 0-7 0-3 10-23 +1 +39 -13 -12 -6 -9.0 3.0 L L U 0
SUN 6 2009 SEA ARZ H 0-14 3-3 0-7 0-3 3-27 -3 +45' -24 -27 -15' -21.2 5.8 L L U 0
SUN 2 2010 SEA DEN A 0-7 0-10 7-7 7-7 14-31 +3' +40 -17 -13' +5 -4.2 9.2 L L O 0
SUN 11 2010 SEA NO A 3-7 13-20 0-7 3-0 19-34 +11' +44 -15 -3' +9 2.8 6.2 L L O 0
SUN 7 2011 SEA CLE A 0-0 0-3 3-0 0-3 3-6 +3 +41 -3 0 -32 -16.0 -16.0 L P U 0
SUN 12 2011 SEA WAS H 0-7 7-0 3-0 7-16 17-23 -3' +37' -6 -9' +2' -3.5 6.0 L L O 0
SAT 16 2011 SEA SF H 7-0 3-3 0-10 7-6 17-19 +2 +37 -2 0 -1 -0.5 -0.5 L P U 0
MON 3 2012 SEA GB H +3' +47

On Sunday night the NFL Perfect play is on the Patriots. Game 427 at 8;35 eastern. Certainly you have seen this stat Its all over the place and on TV. Tom Brady is 11-0 off a loss. That's nice but still not enough to warrant a play on the Patriots. However when we throw in that Road dogs of 2.5 or more are 46-15 to the spread off a a -7 or higher home favorite loss vs an opponent off a loss, now we have something. The Patriots are 7-1 in this building and 8-0 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49.5. They are 4-0 straight up as a dog and have a much better defense. Even without Welker and Hernandez the Patriots will still find a way. Both teams are off close and tough losses and one of them will be 1-2 after this game. We think it will be the Ravens that go under .500. Take the Points with the Patriots.


On Sunday the MLB Power System Play is on the Reds. Game 954 at 8:05 eastern. The Reds fit a tremendous 26-3 system here tonight. We wan to play on home favorites at -140 or more off a -140 or higher home win by 5 or more runs with 5 or more men left on base and no more than 1 error, vs an opponent off a +140 or higher road dog loss by 5+ runs in a game where the total was 8 or less and scored 2 or less with 5+ men left on base and also with 1 or less errors. This system as is has won 26 of 29. If we insist that the total in this game is 8 or less its a perfect 12-0. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds tonight and he is 14-0 if he went 6 or more innings last out but less than 8 innings and allowed 1 or les runs. He is also 4-0 of late vs the Dodgers and has won 6 of his last 7 home September starts. Harang for the Dodgers has lost 7 straight road September starts. Plenty of times e have seen the public fade the team that clinches a playoff spot and that team rests all their players and wins anyway. Look for the Reds to win this one.

On Sunday the NFC Game is on Arizona. Game 420 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona fits one of my favorite early season system that plays on home dogs in weeks 2-4 at +6.5 or less, that are better than .500 and are off a road dog win, vs an opponent off a home game. These teams are 19-0 ats with the addition of a subset. Philly will be without J. Macklin and are off a pair of 1 point wins. Team in their next game off these back to back 1 point wins are 0-5 straight up the last 24 years. The Eagles fit another play against system that goes against road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss, vs an opponent off a road win. These road favorites are 3-15 to the spread. Philly has lost 3 of the last to the spread in the series including a loss last season. Arizona has won 8 of 12 here in the series and are a live dog here once again. Take Arizona Plus the points.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout Play is on the NO. Saints. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. Both teams come in at 0-2 in this one. That sets up a solid week 3 system that plays on certain teams off back to back straight up favored losses, provided they are not off a spread lobby by more than 2 touchdowns and lost no more than 5 games last season. These teams have won and covered every time the last 32 years. The Saints are 7-1 to the spread at home when the total is 49.5 or more and 5-1 ats in September as a home favorite vs a non division team. The Chiefs are a mess especially on defense and are 1-6 to the spread in September games as a road dog of less than 10. Look for the Saints to come marching in here today. Take New Orleans

On Sunday the NFL Dog is on the Bengals. Game 409 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a huge System that plays against Washington and all homers in week 3 that have one exact win and won 12 or less last season vs an opponent that was 9-7 or worse. These teams with an additional parameter have not covered. Se we are playing against Washington here today. The Skins are also 0-7 ats as a non conference home favorite. The Bengals have solid power angles pertaining to September. They are 7-1 to the spread as a road dog off a win and 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 28 or more. The Bengals overall are 14-5 ats vs the NFC East. They may very well pull the upset in this one. Take The Bengals here today.

Tennessee Titans Off shore NFL Play at 1:00 eastern

On Thursday the NFL Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants will up to 4 starters out for this one including offensive lineman Diehl, running back Bradshaw and WR Hakeem Nicks, they are also banged up on defense, they are on a short week here and we note that road teams from +3 to -3 have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times after scoring 35 or more as a home favorite of -7 or more vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. furthermore, home teams from +3 to -3 have won and covered 7 of the last 8 times after a home game where they scored 21 or more, vs an opponent that passed for 300 or more yards, while rushing for under 100. The Panthers may not be as good a team as the Giants, but they can certainly be better here in this one and can move the ball with a solid offense that has multiple weapons. Look for Carolina to emerge with a win and cover tonight. I'm going to Carolina in my mind.

On Monday night the NFL power System Play is on Atlanta. Game 226 at 8:30 eastern. The Falcons fit a solid system here that plays on home favorites that scored 35 or more on the road and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams are 14-0 since 1990 with all but one winning by 3 or more. Atlanta is 7-0 ats as a non conference favorite of 3 or more and Denver has lost 3 of the last 4 on turf. The Falcons have the better defense. Denver and Manning looked real good against a banged up defense at home last vs the Steelers. Monday night home teams are a good investment in this sprwad range when both teams are off a win at 78%. This one will be much tougher for them with the crowd noise and fast pace. Look for the Falcons to get the win and cover.

On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Detroit. Game 223 at 8;25 eastern. You have to love the setup here for the Lions. They are playing with home loss revenge from last years No hand shake game between the 2 coaches who came off looking like a couple of first grades in the school yard. The Niners are coming off a huge upset in Green Bay and may not be able to hold that same momentum. The Lions were clearly looking past the Rams last week at home in preparation for this one and were nearly burned before winning late. The Lions qualify in 2 system here tonight. First we want to play on game 2 road dogs off a win but spread loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. These road teas have covered 11 of 13 since 1989. The Lions are 7-1 ats s a non division dog of 6 or more and should play real well here. Take Detroit.

On Sunday afternoon the 4* road warrior Perfect system side is on the Washington Redskins. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Skins fit perfect system here today that has not lost as far back as 1989 and plays on road favorites off a road dog win at +3 or higher while scoring 35 or more points, if the total in this game is 42 or higher. These teams win by an average 23-10 score. The Redskins have covered 6 of 8 here in the series, including a 17-10 win here last season where they won the rushing battle 196-45. The Rams have lost 35 of the last 39 vs winning teams if they have no rest. They are 1-4 vs the NFC East and 1-7 to the spread as a dog of 12 or less with revenge. Look for The Redskins and RG3 To take another on the road here today.

On Sunday the AFC Double system play is on Kansas City. Game 205 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs fit 2 solid system here today. Having a look at one, we want to play on game 2 non divisional road dogs off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss, This bases system has cashed 31 of 42 times since 1980. With a tweak or two we can get this one perfect. KC is 5-0 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less, 5-0 ats as a non divisional road dog off a loss of 10 or more and Coach Crennel has covered all 3 times as a dog after allowing 35 or more last out. He is also 7-1 to the spread vs non divisional teams off a loss of 10 or more. The Bills have lost 9 of 10 off a division game and 1-5 ats as a favorite. Buffalo will have to rely on CJ. Spiller for the whole work load now that Starting running back F. Jackson is out. Buffalo was hideous last week and the whole preseason. The Chiefs were a better team last season and are a solid choice here today. Were going to " Kansas City, Kansas City here we come" Take the points here.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout System is on the Patriots. Game 200 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are 5-0 straight up and to the spread in the last 5 vs Arizona and 5-0 ats in September games at home vs winning teams. For technical purposes we want to play against road dogs with no rest in non conference Sunday games with a win percentage of .650 or higher that are off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home win. Since 1980 these road teams are 1-8 to the spread. The Patriots have an improved defense to go along with a great offense and can name the score in this one. The Capper is this little nugget. Teams who lost the Super Bowl have won and covered 5 straight in the 2nd game of the season at home if playing off a win. Look for The Patriots to coast and cover in this one.

On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 102 at 8:10 eastern. This game fit a solid system that has not lost the last 23 years. We want to play on home favorites off a home game where they scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent off a home game where they are favored by 7 or more and scored 18 or more and had 300 or more yards passing in the game. These home teams have won and covered every time and by an average 34-18 scored. The Packers have dominated the series of late and have won 4 of the last 5 by 10 or more points. The Packers have won and covered both times of late on Thursday. The Bears have lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 times as as road dog from +3.5 to +7. The Bears are also a paltry 1-10 to the spread as a road dog vs an opponent who comes in off a straight up favored loss. Coach Mccarthy for the Packers has covered 9 of 10 in division games when facing an opponent with revenge. Coach Smith for Chicago is 1-9 ats off a non division game vs an opponent off a favored loss and 1-5 to the spread as a dog after scoring 35 or more. Finally Chicago has failed to cover 9 of the last 10 on the road when the total is 45 or higher. Based on the system, the Angles and the series history were Packer Backers tonight.

On Monday night In the NFL the Selection is on the SD. Chargers. Game 481 at 10:15 eastern. The Chargers fit an Early NFL System I use that pertains to certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge. This system has cashed 53 of 66 times when used in the first 3 weeks of the season and Arizona cashed on Sunday in this very system. Oakland is 2-8 ats home vs the Chargers and Monday night dogs have cashed 27 of the last 37. Charges live dog here tonight and should get the straight up win. Take San Diego.

On Sunday night the 4* NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 478 at 8:25 eastern. We have a solid winning system here that goes way back to the 1970/s and plays on favorites of 3 or less in weeks 1-3 in playoff rematches that are not divisional games. Many will be on the Steelers just for the fact that its a right back revenge game. However many times these teams still don not exact that revenge. The fact remains, if the line makers believed the Steelers were a cinch to win they would be favored here by a point or two. Peyton or no Peyton. The Broncos have won 6 of the 9 in the series and the Steelers are 1-3 straight up and to the spread as a road dog of 3 or less. The Steelers have a better defense. They did last year too. That didn't help them in the thin air up here last season and it wont help them tonight. Its Peytons Place tonight. Were Bronco Backers tonight

On Sunday the NFC Power System Play is on Arizona. Game 476 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona fits a sold system we use every year that has cashed an amazing 52 of 65 times and pertains to certain divisional Dogs. There is a Key 100% Subset to this system that applies for game sin the first 3 weeks of the season. The line on this game opened at Arizona -1 and is now Seattle laying three. No specific reason other than an undefeated preseason and the hype surrounding New rookie starter Russel Wilson. Arizona has won 5 of the last here at home vs Seattle and the Seahawks are notoriously slow starters on the road in their first game failing to cover 13 of the last 20 years and the last 7. In the NFL laying points on the road with a rookie quaterback who has never played 4 full quarters in an NFL game is unwise to say the least. Arizona will go with J. Skelton here after he narrowly beat out K.Kolb. Their Defense improved in the last half of the season last year. They will be tough to beat here today. Look for Arizona to get the win here as a live home dog.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Tennessee. Game 462 at 1:00 eastern. This game has some powerful systems in application today. First we note that teams who lost in the Super bowl and open up on the road have had the hang over carry over. These teams have failed to cover in 13 of the last 14 season opening road games. The Steelers were in this spot in week one last year and were smoked by Baltimore 35-7. While I don't think this one will be a blowout. I do feel this is too many points to give what looks to be a solid Titans team that missed the playoffs despite posting a 9-7 record. Another solid system that pertains to this game is to play against non divisional teams that won 13 or more games last season, vs an opponent who won less than 13. The Titans have covered 10 of the last 15 home openers. New England has some new pieces on the offensive line and Brady took far too many hits in the preseason. That could spell trouble for the Patriots in this one as well. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee plus the points.

On Wednesday the guaranteed NFL power System selection is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 451 at 8:30 eastern. The Cowboys have revenge on their mind in this one as the Giants ended the Dallas season here in the last game of the regular season 31-17 finishing Dallas a disappointing 8-8. The Giants are the defending super bowl champion but were not the best team in football last season. The Giants much like the Packers a year before just happened to get hot at that the right time and run the table starting with the Saturday game vs the Jets. This is a new season and while the Giants are a good team, they play in perhaps the most competitive division in football where every team is a quality team. The Giants are just 1-6 ats as a division favorite of 3.5 or more. They also fit a solid defending Super Bowl Champion play against system that plays like this. We want to play against certain Super Bowl champions in week one if they are going into revenge, which they clearly are here. Since 1982 these champs have been chumps going 1-6 to the spread, with the only team covering the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs. I realize that the Super Bowl champion has won week one at a high rate. However the revenge and the parity between these two over rules all in this one. Look for the Cowboys to cover in this one.



For the Bonus total take the over. The Giants have flown over in 26 of 38 in the first two weeks of the season over the years and Dallas has gone over 13 of 15 in their first road game and 9 of 10 on the road in the first of back to back road games if they are playing a divisional team.

On Super Bowl Sunday our selection is on The New York Giants. Game 101 at 6:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-0 Power system and a bevy of solid angles this season. They also figure to cover on the Simulation scene. When this game was simulated 10, 000 times the Patriots wound up winning 55% of the time but just by and average score of 27-25, while the Giants have Simulated a cover 58% of the time. In the Madden EA Sports Simulation the Giants emerge as 27-24 winner. While that is nice to have on our side it is not the basis of our play here. They system and the multitude of Super Bowl and Power Angles is what really puts us on the Giants here tonight. The Giants have a better defense while the Patriots have the better numbers on offense. The Giants have won the last 4 games vs the AFC East and 3 of the last 4 on Turf. They have a solid win in New England this season in a game that was scoreless at the half. The impressive part of that win is the Patriots had 100 more pass yards than the Giants and still could not win, while the Rushing stats were just about even. Now for some more angles. The Giants are 11-3 ats off back to back wins and 5-1 ats when the line is +3 to-3. They have covered 4 of the last 5 when the total is 49.5 o higher. They would be the first team to win the Super Bowl with just 9 wins in a 16 game regular season. They come into this game off back to back dog wins and such teams have covered 6 of the last 7 times in this role. In fact AFC Teams are 8-1-1 ats the last 32 years if they play a team that has a win percentage of .791 or higher. The team with the Better record like the Patriots are on a horrendous run going 1-13-2 ats and 0-8 of late. The dog has covered 7 of the last 10. The Giants win over a then undefeated Patriots team was the first such win in 33 years where a winning team scored less than 20 points. That win gave Coach Coughlin his first Super Bowl win. We note that coaches who won their first super Bowl appearance are 9-3 straight up in their second Super Bowl. In fact Coach Coughlin shares the all time record with Tom Landry for the most playoff road wins with seven. The Patriots are just 1-4 ats vs fellow playoff teams and like the Giants could have lost their last game. They scare no one on defense with the 31st ranked overall stop unit. The Patriots average more points per game than the Giants but such teams are just 2-8-1 ats the last 11 years. Teams who convert the better percentage on 3rd down have gone a surprising 3-7-1 ats of late again playing against the Patriots. Also teams who allow more yards per rush are 4-9-1 ats. Number one seeds are on a 2-8 run and the last 6 super bowl favorites that lost as a favorite in last years playoffs have gone down to the spread 5 times. Another key stat is that teams with nore average pass yards per attempt are 39-6 straight up. The Giants have the better deep threat and could win that stat as well. Much will be made about the Patriots revenge in this one. However they had revenge for the Super Bowl loss earlier in the year and as a 9 point favorite were unable to find a way to beat the Giants. It seems like the Giants have found a way to make the Patriots uncomfortable on offense and with a star running back to take the heat off Brady its quite possible he will get knocked down several times here. In the the end we will back the Giants in this one as they just seem to find a way to win. Take the 3 points buy the half point if you have to.

Props-
Over 313 yards passing Eli Manning
Manning to throw more pass yards in the 2nd half
Brady to throw at least one pick
Chad Ochocinco makes at least one catch.

On Super Bowl Sunday our Totals Selection is on the Over tonight. There are several solid Power Angles that apply to this one flying over the total here tonight from both sides. The Giants have played over the total 10 of 11 times in the 2nd half's vs teams who complete 63% or more of their passes the last 3 seasons. They have played over in 9 of 10 off 3+ wins and 8 of the last 9 on Artificial turf. The Patriots have played over the total in 12 of 14 vs winning teams the last 3 years in the 2nd half of the season. On Artificial turf they have gone over in 16 of their last 22. They have revenge in this one and 6 of the last 8 revenger's they have soared over the total. When they are off 4+ wins 11 of 13 times they have gone over. Both teams have prolific offenses with numerous weapons that will be tough to contain on a fast surface. In the first game these two played they were score less in the first half and still wound up with 40+ points. I look for the offenses on both sides to get off to a better start in this game. I also expect both teams to run plays that the opposing defenses have not seen on film. New England has the 31st ranked defense in the league and has given up a lot of yardage this season. The Giants defense has been on a roll since the Jets game, however they are playing on a fast turf and will likely yield more points here than they did vs a one dimensional San Francisco offense two weeks ago. Look for this game to fly over the total tonight.

In The NFC Championship our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers game 304 at 6:30 eastern. This year we have a Regular season rematch between to teams that met just over 2 months ago. The Giants travel cross country to take on a San Francisco team that came out of nowhere to win the NFC West after Hiring Harbaugh. The First game was a win for the Niners 27-20 in a game that was statistically won by the Giants. New York had a slight advantage rushing the ball 93-77 and also had more passing yards 302 to 228. The difference was the Niners played better on both sides of the ball in the red zone and the Giants were hurt by 2 costly turnovers. The Niners have won 5 of the last 6 in the series here at home. The Giants have the poise advantage as they are battle tested and come off their most impressive win of the season in a Big blowout win over the Defending Super Bowl Champion Packers. The Giants kept Green Bay off balance all day and were able to stymie the best overall offense in the league by getting constant pressure on Rogers without having to blitz and compromise pass coverage. The Packers weren't able to mount much of a run game and were playing from behind the whole day while the rejuvenated Giants defense made them look average all day. That big win over the Defending champs set the Giants up in a big negative system that has lost all 10 times since 1975. What we want to do is play against any team who beat the super bowl champs in a playoff game if there next game is not the Super Bowl. These teams have failed miserably when trying to sustain they type of momentum needed to get to the super bowl. In fact home teams like the niners in conference championship games are 21-4 straight up off an ats win vs an opponent off a win and cover that allowed 10 or more points. The Giants made history in assuring the Packers to be the first team in history to win 15 regular season games and not win at least one playoff game. The Giants lit up the score board for 37 points, another stat that will come back to haunt them here as road teams in Conference Championship teams off a win and cover have lost and failed to cover 10 of the last 11 times after scoring 5 or more touchdowns. We all remember the last time the Giants were here for a playoff game and blew a 21-0 lead. If you worries about the 2.5 spread. Don't be. The team that wins the conference Championship teams are 72-6 ats. Look for the 49ers to put an end to the Giants run. Take the Niners

On Sunday the AFC Championship system play is on the New England Patriots. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. Conference Championship winners are 72-6 ats the last 39 years. So popular thinking leads up right to the Patriots as a 7 point favorite. Looking at the systems and angles we see that playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season are 41-5 straight up and 35-9-2 ats vs teams with a win percentage of .777 or less. Further data states that home favorites from -5 to -10 with no rest in playoff action off a home favored win and cover and prior win have covered 15 of 9 times since 1980. Perhaps my favorite system in this game though is the one that reads home favorites that scored 42 or more at home as a favorite and had 300 or more yards passing vs an opponent that was favored are 100% perfect since 1989 if the total is 44.5 or higher. The Ravens are not what they were on defense and could not get off the field against Houston and 3rd string QB Yates in a couple of drives last week. Had Schaub been in there and the Ravens offense struggling without the aid of turnovers the Patriots would be playing the Texans here. Brady can play error free and make the Ravens defense look old here With all their weapons. On defense the Patriots have a bend but don't break mentality as they stiffen in the red zone. Their defensive numbers are skewed as most opponents are putting up yards while they play catch up. Look for the Patriots to win and cover here today.

On Sunday the NFC Power total is on the Over in the Giants at Packers game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. This game fits Several Angles that suggest this game goes over the total here today. The Packers have the worst defense and the best OVERALL offense. The Giants were not able to stop the Packers in a 38-35 loss earlier in the season and have gone over in 10 of 14 off back to back wins and 12 of 17 as a dog. When playing with revenge 8 of the last 12 have played over the total. Green Bay has played over in 21 of 30 as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10 since 1992. In their home games this season 7 of 8 have gone over and the games have averaged 60 points. The Packers have also played over in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and all 5 off a division win. Look for another back and forth high scoring affair. Take the Giants and Packers to go over the total.

On Sunday the NFC Divisional Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 115 at 4:30 eastern. The Giants have covered 6 of 8 vs winning teams and have won straight up as a road dog both times from +7.5 to +10. The Packers really only have an 18 yard statistical edge on offense here and the Giants have the better defense. There some enormous spread trends pointing to the Giants as well. The Giants are a PERFECT 23-0 to the spread when they are playing on the road on Sunday and come off a win where they had 150 or more yards rushing and scored 43 or less points. They are also 13-0 to the spread as an underdog off a win where they did not turn the ball over. Finally the Giants have covered 8 straight times as a dog if they had 10 or less incomplete passes in their last game. Look for the Giants to stay within the 8 point spread here today as the Packers are not taking any one by surprise. With the Giants having plenty of big game poise we will Take the 8 points today with the Giants.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore has won and covered every game vs Playoff teams this season and fit a couple of solid power systems in this one. We want to play on teams coming off the bye that have a win percentage of .700 or better vs a team making the playoffs that had a losing record last season. These home teams have not lost and have covered 91% of the time. Road teams like Houston that are off win and prior loss in the Divisional round have failed to cover 96% of the time vs a team with rest. Houston is 0-5 straight up covering just once vs the Ravens. In a game here earlier in the season Houston lost by 15 points. The Ravens finally get out of the wild card scenario and will look to take advantage of Rest, Home field and a Qb making his first road start in a Playoff game and will have looks Young Yates has not seen before. We will buy the half point here and Play the Ravens at -7.

On Saturday the super rare NFL Power System Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Broncos come into New England off their stunning home dog win over the Steelers. That big upset win and their prior home loss to the Chiefs though set them up in a rare Power system that has not lost in over 32 years. What we want to do is play against any playoff road dog off a home dog win and prior home loss vs an opponent that won their last game. Not only is this system perfect but the average margin of defeat for these road teams is over 20 points per game. Denver has everything break their way last week in a win vs the Steelers getting several penalties to help them and perhaps getting help on some no calls on some clear cut pass interferences on the Steelers first 2 drives which if resulted in touchdowns as opposed to field goals could have resulted in a complete change in the complexion of the game. Denver shoed at home that they simply cannot stop a Patriots offense with a bevy of offense that out yards them by over 100 yards per game. The Patriots will be very focused here, wanting to forget last seasons home favored loss to the Jets. The Patriots are 5-1 ats vs AFC West teams winning all games against that division this season. The Broncos wont have the luck of playing an injury riddled team this week and will likely getblown out here in this one. Take the Patriots.

On Saturday the NFL System play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. There are several systems pointing either for the niners or against the Saints in this one. For starters home dogs in the first 2 rounds are 18-5 ats since the mid 70/s including 3-0 straight up and ats in the divisional round winning by over 3 touchdowns per game. Road teams as a dog or favorite of 6 or less are 3-11 ats if they allowed 28 or more in a playoff win the last 32 years. The Saints won here last season by just 3 points vs a dismal niners team. This will be a much tougher chore as the niners are much improved and are 7-0 ats at home this season and average the same amount of points at 27 that the Saints do in their road games. The difference however is in the defense where the Saints allow 24 points on the road compared to the Niners who allow just 10 points this season here including just 10 points in the last three here. The Saints will have a tough time running on a staunch niners defense that has allowed just 1 rushing touchdown and can cause drive decimating turnovers. The Niners have an array of weapons on offense that may be more effective here. The Niner could use Gore and his rushing attack to counteract Brees and the Saints then Burn the blitz happy Saints defense. The Saints come in off an amazing 9 straight wins and covers. They are only one of 3 teams since 1978 that have scored 40 or more points in 4 straight games. The other 2 failed to cover. The Saints have not won a playoff road game going 0-4. The Niners have a week of rest and are off back to back spread losses which also works in their favor. Perhaps if the Saints did not lose in Tampa and St. Louis they would have had this game at home. However they didn't and they don't. I love the 4+ points but I see the Niners winning straight up here as I've seen what the Saints can do on the road, Seattle last season against an under .500 playoff team and they lose as an 11 point favorite. Look for San Francisco to get the cash here tonight.

On Sunday in the AFC Wild card game our selection is on the Denver Broncos. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. Denver is a large home dog here vs a Steelers team that averages 15 points per game on the road and has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite from 7 to 10. Home Dogs in the First round of the Playoffs have covered 16 of the last 20 since 1977 and teams who lost the super bowl last season have covered less than 20% of the time in the first round off a win. Also of note is that teams making their first playoff Appearance at home in over 3 years have won 22 of 30 times. With Denver 7-0 straight up at home with a total of 32.5 to 35 we will back them plus the points here today.

On Sunday the NFL Wild Card Power Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants are starting to roll here now as they played their best games of the season the last 2 weeks against the Jets and Dallas. Now they get Atlanta who was a white wash winner over Tampa Bay in a game that was over at the half. Today Atlanta will have a tough time here as the over looked factor by many is the Dome team on the road on grass in colder climates. The temperature for this one will be in the high 30/s which favors the Giants. NY also applies to a solid system that plays playoff homers vs an opponent off a division win of 4 or more points if they are favored or a dog of less than 6. Atlanta is 1-3 on the road vs winning teams and the Giants have won 2 of 3 vs winning teams at home. Atlanta will look to take Victor Cuz away today and they just might, hover that may enable the Giants to run the ball more effectively and get H. Nicks involved. On Defense the Giants should be in Matt Ryans face all day. Look for the Giants to get the cash here today. BUY THE HALF POINT DOWN TO -2.5 So we win if they win by 3

In The Late NFC Wildcard game the selection is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Saints apply to a bevy of solid systems angles in this one. Looking back the first game between these two we see that The Lions were statistically right there with the Saints and still lost by 14 points. Id hate to think what would happen if the Saints were to really dominate play. Playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season vs a team that has a win percentage of .777 or less are 40-4 straight up and 34-8-2 ats long term. Furthermore team in the wild card round have won and covered every time the past 15+ years if they lost straight up as a favorite in the playoffs last season. The Saints were a 11 point favorite going into Seattle last season and laid an egg losing to a Seattle team that under .500. This year they will make amends for that loss as we note that teams who are favored and win the game, covered 21 of 25 times vs a team coming in off a loss the last 32 years. The Lions have lost 19 straight on the road vs winning teams and are 0-5 ats vs winning teams this season in the 2nd half. Since 1997 the Lions are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the posted total is 49.5 or higher and 1-5 ats as a dog from 10.5 to 14. They have failed to cover the last 5 times in the wild card round and may realize quickly that they are overmatched here. The Saints come marching in. Play the Saints. BUY HALF POINT TO -10

On Saturday the NFL Early Winner is on Houston. Game 102 at 4;30 eastern. These two teams met just a few weeks ago and Houston stunned Cincy late in the game getting a pass interference call that put them on the 1 yard line with seconds left, they punched it in and came away with a 1 point win. Houston has a better defense and having Yates or Delhomme in wont matter as either can keep pace with Cincy rookie Qb Andy Dalton. This game will be about defense and Houston has the edge. Home team in this round are usually winner and the numbers here support the history. Wild card home teams as a favorite of -1.5 or more have won and covered every time the past few seasons and teams who come in off a pair of losses have won and covered over 90% of the time historically. Non divisional wild card roadies that arrive off a division loss are a terrible 2-13 over the past 34 years. Look for Houston to emerge with the win and cover.

On Sunday night in the Win or go home game between the Dallas and New York, our selection is on the Giants. Rotation number 312 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants have lost 3 straight home games and have covered just once here this season in a Monday nighter vs St. Louis. So why are we not on Dallas who has revenge for a Sunday night loss at home in a game the Giants came back from a 12 point deficit with 5 minutes to go? The reason is this. Week 17 home favorites off a road game where they scored 28 or more have won every time the last 23 years vs an opponent that was at home in a game where they were +3 to -3. The Giants have covered 5 of the last 7 here and systems aside the Jets win which the Giants really wanted in effect to shut Jets coach Rex Ryan up will serve them well as instead of coming out flat they will be motivated and poised. Everyone in that locker room knows if they don't win coach Coughlin wont be back. They will play hard here and get the win. Tony Romo and Felix Jones will play for Dallas but Romo could be one good hit from seeing T. Mcgee going into the game. Dallas has their chance to beat the Giants and take control and didn't do it. This time it will be much tougher with a raucous crowd the Giants will win and cover tonight. Take the Giants.

On Sunday the NFC South Side is on Tampa Bay. Game 303 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a trio of solid systems. The best of which is a week 17 system that plays on road dogs that were a road dog of 3 or more in their last game vs an opponent that also was a road dog in week 16. These road dogs are 14-2 ats since 1989 and the subset makes it perfect. Another solid system plays against home favorites of 4 or more that allowed 40 or more last week and scored less than 30 if they won 12 or more of their last 32 games. Division favorites perform poorly off a division game where they allowed 35 or more on the road and are off an ats loss of 10 or more. Atlanta is in the playoffs and will win this game but Tampa wants to get last weeks blowout off their mind and will play this game much closer than anticipated. Atlanta is 3-10 ats at home vs the BUCS and and 1-5 ats vs an opponent that is off 4 or more straight up and ats losses. Take Tampa Today.

On Sunday in Early action the NFL power System play is on the Houston Texans. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. Houston? Their locked into the 3 seed and have nothing to play for and the Titans have 45-7 home loss revenge. Not to worry. Home teams in week 17 that were road favorites last week vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home are 26-7 ats since 1989. Yeah but what if their a home dog? Well, these home dogs are Perfect having covered every time. The Texans get wide receiver Andre Johnson back today while Titans running back C. Johnson is doubtful. The Texans are 40 yards better on offense and 75 yards better on defense. the Titans are 2-6 ats vs winning teams in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years and 1-4 ats with revenge. The Texans are 6-1 straight up and ats when the total is 35.5 to 42 and 4-1 ats vs winning teams. Take what you can get for points, but Houston likely wins this one outright. Take Houston

On Monday night Football the play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Falcons have been chomping at the bit since losing in overtime at home vs The Saints on a game where they went for it from their own 25 on 4th and 1 in overtime and were stuffed. They know exactly what to expect from the Saints and have played them tough here over the years winning here last season and covering 14 of the last 19 here. The Falcons and Saints have played some tight games and this one should be close as well. The Falcons are 9-1 ats in the final 4 weeks of the season and 16-3 ats as a dog with revenge and 8-0 ats as a road dog of less than 10 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more. Atlanta has covered the last 7 times in their final road game. The Saints are 3-16 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and come in the hottest team in the league with 6 straight wins and covers. While I wont call for the upset I do think Atlanta can hang in here. Take the points with Atlanta.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the under on the Chicago at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 129/130 at 8:30 eastern. The Packers are in a big Bubble burst situation that applies to teams that are undefeated after week 12 of the season than come in off their first loss. The Packers really struggled last week on offense with he loss of Jennings and some banged offensive lineman. They may play better this week, However the Bears are still playing decent defense. On Offense the Bears are a mess as C. Hanie has wrecked the playoff chances with his inept play. Now they are without WR Sam Hurd who is out on drug trafficking charges, cause he doesn't make enough money as a Pro football player. They will once again be without lead running back M. Forte. The Packers will look to straighten out a defense that isn't close to where it was statistically last year. The Bears are 0-16 to the Under as a road dog of more than 3 off a loss and have gone under in 19 of 26 as a dog,including 12 of 16 as a road dog from +10.5 to +14. The last 6 meetings between these two have played under. Last year the Packers won here 10-3. Look for another low scoring game between these two. Take the Under.