3* Mmembers only Play on the Giants at 1:00 eastern

On Thursday the 4* NFL System Play is on the Tampa May Buccaneers. Game 104 at 8:25 eastern. Tampa fits in to a couple of Nice systems that pertain to winless teams from week 6 out. There are several variations of this system that apply that pertain to Tampa coming in off a spread loss and taking on an opponent off a win and cover wile scoring 30 or more points. Another fine system plays on any Divisional home dog that scored 20+ points the last 2 weeks vs an opponent off a win. The Bucs have covered 6 of 6 with rest. The Panthers are 0-3 straight up on Thursdays and have lost and failed to cover the last 3 times after scoring 30+ points back to back. The Panthers are covering machines if they scored 27 or more but are mediocre when the scored less than 27. Thus should be a tight game and we note that Cam Newton is just 2-14 straight up in one score games. Tampa Bay swept Carolina last season and even with the injuries will be in this game throughout. Take Tampa Tonight as they at the very least cover the number.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 424 at 8:40 eastern. The Giants look to get their first win of the season and may be the best 0-6 team to ever play in this league with the roster they have. Tonight they fit the rare system below that is specific to Monday nights and plays on home favorites off a road loss that scored 21 or less points, vs an opponent that comes in off a home loss by 7 or more points. These teams are 9-0 straight up and ats as far back as 1989 and win by 18 points per game. The Vikings have J. Freeman making his debut as the musical qb situation continues this year for the Vikings. Minnesota is 0-5 ats of late on Monday night football. The Giants are 5-1 ats of late on Monday nights as favs in this range. Look for New York to get the win and cover.


SU: 9-0-0
ATS: 9-0-0
Final
Team 30.9
Opp 12.7

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Sep 28, 1992 Monday 4 1992 Chiefs Raiders home 0-0 10-7 0-0 17-0 27-7 -7.0 37.0 20 13.0 -3.0 5.0 -8.0 W W U 0
Oct 19, 1992 Monday 7 1992 Steelers Bengals home 3-0 7-0 0-0 10-0 20-0 -9.0 38.0 20 11.0 -18.0 -3.5 -14.5 W W U 0
Dec 11, 2000 Monday 15 2000 Colts Bills home 3-3 6-3 14-6 21-8 44-20 -6.0 46.0 24 18.0 18.0 18.0 0.0 W W O 0
Dec 12, 2005 view Monday 14 2005 Falcons Saints home 7-3 14-14 9-0 6-0 36-17 -10.5 44.5 19 8.5 8.5 8.5 0.0 W W O 0
Nov 27, 2006 view Monday 12 2006 Seahawks Packers home 3-7 9-7 7-7 15-3 34-24 -9.5 43.0 10 0.5 15.0 7.8 7.2 W W O 0
Oct 20, 2008 view Monday 7 2008 Patriots Broncos home 6-0 14-0 14-0 7-7 41-7 -3.0 48.0 34 31.0 0.0 15.5 -15.5 W W P 0
Sep 19, 2011 view Monday 2 2011 Giants Rams home 7-6 14-0 7-10 0-0 28-16 -7.0 44.0 12 5.0 0.0 2.5 -2.5 W W P 0
Nov 05, 2012 view Monday 9 2012 Saints Eagles home 7-0 14-3 7-10 0-0 28-13 -3.5 51.5 15 11.5 -10.5 0.5 -11.0 W W U 0
Sep 16, 2013 view Monday 2 2013 Bengals Steelers home 7-3 3-7 7-0 3-0 20-10 -6.5 41.0 10 3.5 -11.0 -3.8 -7.2 W W U 0
Oct 21, 2013 view Monday 7 2013 Giants Vikings home -3.0 47.0

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Denver at Indy game. Rotation numbers 421/422 at 8:30 eastern. This game should be a real barn burner here tonight. Peyton Manning unhappy with the critical comments Colts owner Irsay made about Winning multiple Super bowls should have added incentive to light it up here tonight as comes home in this game. Manning will likely do his talking on the field here tonight and he will do so with the #1 ranked offense that is capable of 40+ points each week. The Colts will be hard pressed to stop Denver but will likely play much better on offense than they did on Monday night in San Diego. They can score on a suspect Denver defense. In the series 8 of 11 have flown over the total. Denver has played over in 15 of 17 vs teams with a win percentage of .600 or higher, 9 straight if their ats margin went down the past 2 weeks, 13 straight after scoring 7 or less than their season to date average, 10 straight on Turf vs an opponent with at least one loss on the season and all 8 times Demaryius Thomas has a catch for 30+ yards. The Colts have played over 7 straight times if they rushed the ball 10 or less times than their season average which is a symptom of being behind and forced to throw in a game. Look for this one to go over the total.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tennessee. Game 416 at 4:05 eastern. With or without J. Lockers we like the Titans chances here today. Tennessee fits some of our solid power systems for this game. Non division road favorites like the Niners with no rest off a home favored win at -7 or more while scoring 28+ points, vs an opponent off a road dog loss at +10 or higher have Not covered since 1989 and only win 33% of the time straight up. These games have been big let down spots. San Francisco is 1-8 to the spread off a win vs an opponent that has lost at leas their last 2 games. Coach Munchack for the Titans has covered 6 of 7 off back to back losses. Even more impressive the Titans are 9-0 ats after a game where they had 3+ turnovers. With the 49ers 0-8 to the spread on the road after allowing 100 or more pass yards than their season to date average. We Remember the Titans Here today.




On Sunday the AFC North Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 419 at 4:25 eastern. Baltimore covered for us last week converting a 4th down and 21 from their own 10 yard line scoring a touchdown and holding the Packers off the scoreboard late getting a cover by a half point. This one should be easier here today .Defending Super Bowl champs are a solid investment as a dog off a loss, vs an opponent of a win.. Another fine system that applies to thise game plays against the Steelers and teams with lines that are -3 to +3 that allowed 6 or less points in their last game, vs an opponent that lost by 3 or less points. These teams have bounced, failing to cover in 28 off 33 applications. The Ravens have covered 13 of 17 on the road after getting out rushed by 75+ yards last out/. Baltimore is 14-0 ats off non conference game if they trailed by 5+ points at half time. Qb Flacco has covered 9 straight if the Ravens are not favored by 16 or more points and he averaged over 15 yards per completion in his last game. The Steelers are 0-9 ats as a favorite if they had 9 or less incomplete passes as a favorite last week and 0-13 ats off a road win with 349 or less yards passing but still had a completion of more than 34 yards. With Pittsburgh 0-5 to the spread at home off a double digit spread win we will Back Baltimore with the 2 systems and 5 Angles that add up to 50-0.

Big off shore steam Buy Order Play on Houston comes down at 1:06 eastern. Sharps nailed it good.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tennessee. Game 416 at 4:05 eastern. With or without J. Lockers we like the Titans chances here today. Tennessee fits some of our solid power systems for this game. Non division road favorites like the Niners with no rest off a home favored win at -7 or more while scoring 28+ points, vs an opponent off a road dog loss at +10 or higher have Not covered since 1989 and only win 33% of the time straight up. These games have been big let down spots. San Francisco is 1-8 to the spread off a win vs an opponent that has lost at leas their last 2 games. Coach Munchack for the Titans has covered 6 of 7 off back to back losses. Even more impressive the Titans are 9-0 ats after a game where they had 3+ turnovers. With the 49ers 0-8 to the spread on the road after allowing 100 or more pass yards than their season to date average. We Remember the Titans Here today.

On Sunday the AFC East Power system Play is on the NY. Jets. Game 398 at 1:00 eastern. The jets can play with the Patriots and had it not been for a plethora of turnovers late in the game they may have beat the Patriots on the road earlier in the season. However the Patriots emerged with a lack luster 13-10 win. Now the Patriots face the Jets on the road. The database tells us that since 2001 home dogs are 7-2 straight up and 9-0 ats off a home loss if they scored 9 or less points and their opponent is off a home win and scored 28 or more. The Jets in general are 10-0 ats at home as a dog off a home loss, 5-0 ats at home off a loss of 10 or more vs a non divisional conference team and 6-0 ats at home with same season revenge if they had 3+ turnovers in the first game. The Patriots escaped their 2nd loss with some late game heroics getting a touchdown with 5 seconds left to come back and beat the Saints. Look for the Jets to keep this one close and have a legit shot to get the win.


BONUS: 3-TEAM 10 POINT TEASER-


Green Bay to even- Packers have covered 30 straight in a 10 point teaser after playing on the road in a game where their Completion rate went down by 10% of their season average.


Miami to +3 Playing against the Bills here as they are 0-20 to the spread on 6 point teasers if they were a home dog in thier last game, this is an even safer 10 point teaser.


San Diego to +3 as the Chargers have covered 22 straight on the road in a 10 point teaser vs an opponent that allows 375+ yards passing

On Sunday the NFL Blowout system is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 412 at 1:00 eastern. Carolina fits a Tremendous system that plays on home teams if both teams scored 35 or more points last week on the road. If the road team was a dog in that game the system is 100% Perfect since 1989. Carolina is 6-1 ats as a favorite in this series and has a top 3 defense. Road dogs like the Rams that are +3.5 to +10 that allow 70-95 yards rushing have failed to cover 33 of 41 times vs an an opponent that allows 70 -96 yards rushing. The Rams are a terrible 8-21 to the spread as a road dog from 3.5 to +7. The Panthers are 6-2 ats at home vs NFC West teams. The Rams are 0-4 straight up and ats before playing on Monday night football. Look for Carolina to win and cover here today.

On Thursday the NFL Triple Perfect play is on Seattle. Game 303 at 8:25 eastern. This game is chocked with Never before released Thursday specific systems that date to 1989. Here we go. Thursday night division road favorites off a home favored win at -7 or more are winning by an average 15 points per game. Thursday road favorites off a home favored win that had 150 or more yards rushing have covered every time. Seattle is 6-0 ats as a favorite from -3.5 to -9.5. They have covered the last 3 times as a road favorite off a home favored win. Seattle smashed Arizona 58-0 last December. Arizona is 0-3 straight up and ats on Thursday night and 1-9 with just 2 spread wins in October. Seattle is 13-1 ats after averaging 6 or more yards per play the last 3 years. With the Cardinals 2-13 vs winning teams we will back the Seattle Seahawks tonight.

On Monday night Football our Power system Play is on the SD Chargers. Game 230 at 8:40 eastern. The Chargers fit a Plethora of Systems angles and Indicators here in this game, including a Never before released Scoring system. Monday night non divisional home team that were on the road in their last game have CASHED EVERY TIME the last 10 years vs an opponent like the Colts that are off a home win. The Colts are off a big home dog win over Seattle and are likely to bounce in this game. In fact our Exclusive data shows that on Monday night ANY Road team off a home dog win is 1-9 straight up. The Colts have been getting action like People know the final score. They opened as a 3 point dog and by game time may be laying a point or two. The Colts have lost 4 of 5 in the series and the Chargers are 21-3 to the spread vs AFC South Teams. The Chargers are a 90% spread investment at home vs teams no more than 2 games under. 500 or better than .500 if they lost straight up as a favorite in their last game. The Chargers are 9-0 ats at home if they are 1 game under .500 and 5-1 ats as a Monday night home dog. I could go on but I think we get the Idea here. Wait till game time to get the optimal line and Take the San Diego Chargers. Congrats to those of you who Jumped on for Sunday we nailed the 6* Dog of the Year and the Big 5* total.

On Sunday night the NFL Selection is on the Washington Redskins. Game 227 at 8:30 eastern. The Skins are rested and ready and have covered 11 of 13 in the series including the last 7 here in Dallas. Road dogs of 3 or more off a road favored win, vs an opponent off a home loss have won 6 of the last 7 times STRAIGHT UP and by an average 10 points per game since 1989. Home favorites like Dallas are just 2-7 straight up and 1-8 ats off a home loss vs an opponent off a road win, like Washington is. The Cowboys may have a let down here after going all out and losing by 3 on courtesy of a Romo Pick that Left Denver within field goal range late in the game. Dallas has lost 8 of 9 on Sunday night football. The Cowboys are 0-11 to the spread if their rush yards were lower than the week prior the last 2 weeks and they have failed to cover 10 straight as a favorite if they allowed 4+ sacks in their last game.The Skins have covered 8 of the last 10. Finally Washington has covered 18 of the last 20 on the road if they score more than 20 points which is something we think they will do here tonight. Take the point were on Washington.

On Sunday the NFL Total Of the Month is on the Over in the Jacksonville at Denver game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 4:00 eastern. This game fits the solid system as seen below which is the 11-0 subset of the 24-4 base system that plays over for home favorites like Denver that are at -10 or higher and scored 35 or more on the road in their last game vs an opponent like the Jags that are off a spread loss as an underdog. If the road team scored 42 or more which Denver did in their 51-48 win at Dallas that 24-4 goes to a perfect 11-0 and averages 55 points per game. Denver has played over 10 straight times as a favorite in non division games and 7 of 9 in October. In their last 19 Denver has soared over in 14 of 19 and all 5 games so far this year. Jacksonville has played over in 6 straight vs AFC West teams. In the series here 5 of the last have played over. More of the same here today. Take the Over.


O/U: 11-0-1

Final
Team 38.2
Opp 18.5

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Nov 11, 1990 Sunday 10 1990 Bills Cardinals home 0-7 21-0 0-7 24-0 45-14 -12.0 36.0 31 19.0 23.0 21.0 2.0 W W O 0
Oct 23, 1994 Sunday 8 1994 Fortyniners Buccaneers home 7-0 10-0 17-0 7-16 41-16 -15.0 42.5 25 10.0 14.5 12.2 2.2 W W O 0
Nov 26, 1995 Sunday 13 1995 Fortyniners Rams home 7-7 21-0 7-6 6-0 41-13 -14.5 43.5 28 13.5 10.5 12.0 -1.5 W W O 0
Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Patriots Jets home 7-0 13-3 7-7 7-0 34-10 -13.0 42.0 24 11.0 2.0 6.5 -4.5 W W O 0
Oct 12, 1997 Sunday 7 1997 Steelers Colts home 0-10 17-0 7-3 0-9 24-22 -11.5 42.0 2 -9.5 4.0 -2.8 6.8 W L O 0
Dec 06, 1998 Sunday 14 1998 Vikings Bears home 14-0 13-0 7-14 14-8 48-22 -16.5 46.5 26 9.5 23.5 16.5 7.0 W W O 0
Sep 23, 2001 view Sunday 3 2001 Colts Bills home 14-7 21-10 7-3 0-6 42-26 -10.0 44.5 16 6.0 23.5 14.8 8.8 W W O 0
Dec 12, 2004 view Sunday 14 2004 Bills Browns home 3-7 14-0 3-0 17-0 37-7 -11.0 38.0 30 19.0 6.0 12.5 -6.5 W W O 0
Dec 11, 2005 view Sunday 14 2005 Seahawks Fortyniners home 7-3 17-0 14-0 3-0 41-3 -16.0 44.0 38 22.0 0.0 11.0 -11.0 W W P 0
Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Bears Buccaneers home 7-0 14-3 3-7 7-21 34-31 -13.0 35.5 3 -10.0 29.5 9.8 19.8 W L O 1
Nov 02, 2009 view Monday 8 2009 Saints Falcons home 7-14 21-0 0-7 7-6 35-27 -11.0 55.5 8 -3.0 6.5 1.8 4.8 W L O 0
Nov 11, 2012 view Sunday 10 2012 Patriots Bills home 10-0 14-17 7-7 6-7 37-31 -12.5 53.5 6 -6.5 14.5 4.0 10.5 W L O 0
Oct 13, 2013 view Sunday 6 2013 Broncos Jaguars home -27.0 52.0

NFL SHARP MONEY OFF SHORE STEAM TOTALS BUY ORDER MOVE. Under Seattle-Tennessee

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tampa Bay. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs fit one of our Best bye week systems that pertains to teams that are winless in week 4 or later and off a straight up and ats loss. The Bucs will look to get rid of the sour feeling of blowing a double digit second half lead last out against the Cardinals. They have home loss revenge fro a close loss here to the Eagles last season and the extra week to prepare will pay dividends here as they will face Nick Foles who will not run like Mike Vick would have. D. Revis should control Desean Jackson. The Bucs are not as bad as the normal winless team either. They just have had trouble closing out games. They could easily be 3-1 had they not had a 15 yard penalty in New York that made a last second field goal 48 yards as opposed to a hail Mary attempt. Then with under a minute losing at home to a New Orleans team that was held to a season low 16 points and then 2 weeks ago blowing a lead and losing 13-10 to Arizona. The Bucs are 5-0 ats in October as non division home dogs and the Eagles fast paced offense will be easier to defend since the Bucs have practiced against it all week to get ready. The Eagles have lost 9 of 12 vs losing teams and are just 1-4 vs the NFC South of late. The Eagles are 0-8 ats if one of their receives had 100 or more yards in their last game. Look for Tampa to get the cash.


BONUS: 3 TEAM 10 POIN TEASER OF THE WEEK- San Francisco to -1--- Teams like AZONA are 0-5 straight up and ats as a road dog of 10 or more off a home dog win of 14 if their opponent had a total of less than 41 last out.


Oakland- to +19--KC is 0-24 ats on a 6 point teaser like vs Division teams that they have a better record then. This is a 10 pointer


Jacksonville-TO +37 NFL Dogs of more than 20 are 6-0 ats the last 28 years

On Sunday the Non Conference Game is on Baltimore. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore fits na Incredible system here that has CASHED 26 STRAIGHT TIMES. We want to play on home dogs in October or later that are off a road dog win in a game where they were a dog of 9.5 or less and averaged 4.3 yards per carry or less so long as they are not on a 7 or more game win streak. Right there we have a play. However as you know we like to dig deep into the database and the findings are as follows. The Ravens are 10-0 ats at home since Moving to Baltimore if they are not favored by 12 or more points and won as a dog last week. They have covered 7 straight after allowing 50 or less yards on the ground. Defending Champs are 5-0 ats as non division dogs off a dog win the last 33+ years. So that one is pretty rare. Green Bay has failed to cover 8 straight times on the road off a win if J. Jones had a catch of 19 or more yards and 0-8 ats as favorites if they allowed 10 or less at home. With Clay Mathews out and Green Bay already losing on the road vs the Bengals who hail from the AFC North we will back Baltimore in this game.



On Sunday the BONUS NFL Total is on the Over in the Carolina at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings have posted over in all 4 games this year and have 10 straight overs with rest vs non division opponents. As for our system we note that teams with totals that are 42.5 to 49 have flown over 28 of 33 times if they allow 17 or less points per game, like Carolina and have gone under in at least 2 straight. The Panthers have played over 8 straight vs teams who have scored 27 or more points per game the past 3+ years and have gone over in 17 of 21 if they have lost to the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings have flown over in 17 of 20 at home after allowing 300+ yards passing.. Look for this one to go over the total

On Sunday the Non Conference Game is on Baltimore. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore fits na Incredible system here that has CASHED 26 STRAIGHT TIMES. We want to play on home dogs in October or later that are off a road dog win in a game where they were a dog of 9.5 or less and averaged 4.3 yards per carry or less so long as they are not on a 7 or more game win streak. Right there we have a play. However as you know we like to dig deep into the database and the findings are as follows. The Ravens are 10-0 ats at home since Moving to Baltimore if they are not favored by 12 or more points and won as a dog last week. They have covered 7 straight after allowing 50 or less yards on the ground. Defending Champs are 5-0 ats as non division dogs off a dog win the last 33+ years. So that one is pretty rare. Green Bay has failed to cover 8 straight times on the road off a win if J. Jones had a catch of 19 or more yards and 0-8 ats as favorites if they allowed 10 or less at home. With Clay Mathews out and Green Bay already losing on the road vs the Bengals who hail from the AFC North we will back Baltimore in this game.



On Sunday the BONUS NFL Total is on the Over in the Carolina at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings have posted over in all 4 games this year and have 10 straight overs with rest vs non division opponents. As for our system we note that teams with totals that are 42.5 to 49 have flown over 28 of 33 times if they allow 17 or less points per game, like Carolina and have gone under in at least 2 straight. The Panthers have played over 8 straight vs teams who have scored 27 or more points per game the past 3+ years and have gone over in 17 of 21 if they have lost to the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings have flown over in 17 of 20 at home after allowing 300+ yards passing.. Look for this one to go over the total

On Thursday the NFL Triple system Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. This game has 3 Powerful systems going tonight. Lets have a look see at the findings. Thursday home favorites off a home loss where they scored 21 or less are 6-0 and 5-1 ats since 1989 winning by an average scored of 27-12. Thursday road dogs that scored 21 or less at home in a game where the line was -3 to +3 are 0-9 straight up and 1-8 to the spread losing by an average 13 points per game. In all games road dogs of 7 or more that lost to the spread by 7+ points and the game by 14+ points at home like the Giants have lost and failed to cover 7 of 9 times vs an opponent also off home loss that scored 21 or less. The Giants are 1-6 straight up and ats as a road dog of 3 or more off a home loss where they scored 21 or less. Many will point to the Giants 4-0 record here in Chicago. However they have not played here since 2007 and that's is just not pertinent to the game at hand here tonight. Chicago played a much tougher New Orleans team and this should be a much softer spot for them. The Giants are in terrible current form and have been getting blown out every week. In their last 2 road games they have scored just 7 points while allowing well over 60. We cant back a team that cant get to the Qb or protect their own Watching the films on the Giants once sees that thy simply try to throw the ball deep to Victor Cruz and have no real running game to take the pressure of Eli Manning. Chicago should win and cover here tonight.

On Monday night football the Totals Selection is on the Under in the NY.Jets at Atlanta Falcons game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits 2 Powerful totals systems direct from the database. First we want to play the under for road dogs of 7 or more like the Jets with a total of 40.5 or higher playing on Monday night football if they are off a road dog loss 21 or more, vs an opponent off a home loss. These road dogs have stayed under every time. Our next league wide system plays to the under for home favorites of 10 or higher off a home spread loss vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 14 or less. If these road teams have 3+ turnovers in their last game theses game have gone under every time since 1989. The Falcons have a bevy of totals angles pertaining to the under tonight. The Falcons have played under 7 straight as a favorite if they had 3 times as many pass yards then they has rush yards. They are 12-2 under as a home favorite if Matt Ryan threw for 400+ yards. Atlanta is 9-1 to the under at home vs an opponent that is averaging 230+ pass yards and 12-1 under if they had 400 or more total yards in the last 3 games. The Falcons are 7-1 under in weeks 5-9 including 4 of 4 in game 5. When they are a home favorite from -7 to -10.5 they have played under in 3 straight. The Jets are 5-0 under vs NFC South teams. The Jets have a solid defense that is over 100 yards better than Atlanta. The Jets will struggle to score but be able to keep themselves in the game most of the way with that high energy defense. Look for this game to stay under.


BONUS Side on Atlanta as coach Smith has Covered 16 straight in games off a loss by 6 or more points.

On Sunday the late game selection is on Oakland. Game 432 at 11:35 eastern. The game time is moved ahead on this one and the Raiders apply to a solid game 5 system we use the pertains to 1-3 teams that are off a loss and are playing an opponent off a win. The system really pops when we insist this be a division game. The Raiders are 7-1 ats as home dogs ff a loss. The Chargers could easily bounce here off a big home dog win over Dallas. San Diego is 0-7 ats as a road favorite if they are off a spread win by 7 or more points and 0-10 to the spread when favored if they were a dog in their last game. The Raiders are 9-1 ats as division dogs of more than 3 off a loss. Take the Points with the Raiders tonight. Play the Raiders

On Sunday night the Perfect system Play is on the Houston Texans. Game 435 at 8:30 eastern. Houston is backed with the Perfect 11-0 system below that plays on road dogs off a home dog loss that scored 21 or less points if both teams had 150+ rush yards in their last game. Houston will look to bounce back from a terrible home loss to Seattle in a game where they had a 20-3 lead. San Francisco was last seen cashing big for us last Thursday in a 35-11 win against the Rams. The Niners have never handled AFC South teams well as they 2-7 straight up against them including a 27-7 loss to the Colts. Houston is 4-0 ats off back to back losses and 9-2 ats as dogs vs Non conference teams. San Francisco is 1-8 ats at home in a non division game off a win and cover and 2-9 ats as non conference favorites of more than three. Tale the Points in this one with Houston. See they system below.




SU: 6-5-0
ATS: 11-0-0

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 30.5 144.3 27.3 14.9 195.2 1.2 3.0 5.7 6.2 6.3 21.2
Opp 29.0 121.0 33.2 19.1 239.6 1.6 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.1 19.3

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Sep 17, 1989 Sunday 2 1989 Lions Giants away 0-3 7-0 7-14 0-7 14-24 10.5 39.0 -10 0.5 -1.0 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0
Nov 21, 1994 Monday 12 1994 Giants Oilers away 0-0 0-0 7-7 6-3 13-10 3.0 35.0 3 6.0 -12.0 -3.0 -9.0 W W U 0
Oct 24, 1999 Sunday 7 1999 Jets Raiders away 0-3 10-0 10-7 3-14 23-24 7.0 36.5 -1 6.0 10.5 8.2 2.2 L W O 0
Jan 03, 2000 Monday 17 1999 Fortyniners Falcons away 0-7 7-10 8-14 14-3 29-34 7.0 46.5 -5 2.0 16.5 9.2 7.2 L W O 0
Oct 05, 2003 view Sunday 5 2003 Saints Panthers away 0-3 3-7 7-6 3-3 13-19 7.0 37.5 -6 1.0 -5.5 -2.2 -3.2 L W U 0
Dec 14, 2003 view Sunday 15 2003 Browns Broncos away 0-10 10-0 0-0 10-10 20-23 10.5 43.0 -3 7.5 0.0 3.8 -3.8 L W P 1
Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Redskins Saints away 10-0 3-7 0-0 3-3 16-10 9.5 47.0 6 15.5 -21.0 -2.8 -18.2 W W U 0
Dec 31, 2006 view Sunday 17 2006 Seahawks Buccaneers away 10-0 7-7 3-0 3-0 23-7 3.0 36.5 16 19.0 -6.5 6.2 -12.8 W W U 0
Oct 12, 2008 view Sunday 6 2008 Rams Redskins away 3-7 7-0 6-0 3-10 19-17 13.5 44.0 2 15.5 -8.0 3.8 -11.8 W W U 0
Oct 09, 2011 view Sunday 5 2011 Raiders Texans away 3-7 9-7 3-3 10-3 25-20 5.5 48.5 5 10.5 -3.5 3.5 -7.0 W W U 0
Nov 06, 2011 view Sunday 9 2011 Broncos Raiders away 7-3 0-14 17-7 14-0 38-24 7.0 41.5 14 21.0 20.5 20.8 -0.2 W W O 0
Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Texans Fortyniners away 7.0 41.5

MID Afternoon Play on Carolina. Game 429 at 4:05 eastern. Below is a perfect system that plays on road favorites that scored 35 or more points at home before a bye week if the total is 40 or higher.


SU: 11-0-0
ATS: 11-0-0

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 34.9 149.5 33.2 20.5 248.2 1.6 3.7 9.5 7.5 7.5 28.7
Opp 21.7 83.4 37.2 21.2 231.4 2.6 3.7 3.7 2.4 6.7 16.5

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 24, 1993 Sunday 8 1993 Bills Jets away 0-7 6-0 7-0 6-3 19-10 -2.5 42.5 9 6.5 -13.5 -3.5 -10.0 W W U 0
Nov 06, 1994 Sunday 10 1994 Fortyniners Redskins away 10-0 7-3 13-3 7-16 37-22 -11.0 44.0 15 4.0 15.0 9.5 5.5 W W O 0
Oct 17, 1999 Sunday 6 1999 Redskins Cardinals away 0-3 10-0 7-0 7-7 24-10 -4.0 48.0 14 10.0 -14.0 -2.0 -12.0 W W U 0
Oct 08, 2000 Sunday 6 2000 Raiders Fortyniners away 3-0 3-14 15-0 7-14 34-28 -4.5 49.5 6 1.5 12.5 7.0 5.5 W W O 1
Nov 03, 2002 view Sunday 9 2002 Rams Cardinals away 7-0 10-7 0-0 10-7 27-14 -3.5 43.0 13 9.5 -2.0 3.8 -5.8 W W U 0
Nov 10, 2002 view Sunday 10 2002 Saints Panthers away 6-0 7-7 7-10 14-7 34-24 -4.5 41.5 10 5.5 16.5 11.0 5.5 W W O 0
Nov 21, 2004 view Sunday 11 2004 Chargers Raiders away 6-0 7-7 3-7 7-3 23-17 -4.0 47.5 6 2.0 -7.5 -2.8 -4.8 W W U 0
Nov 13, 2005 view Sunday 10 2005 Broncos Raiders away 0-0 13-0 10-0 8-17 31-17 -3.0 46.5 14 11.0 1.5 6.2 -4.8 W W O 0
Feb 04, 2007 view Sunday 22 2006 Colts Bears away 6-14 10-0 6-3 7-0 29-17 -7.0 48.0 12 5.0 -2.0 1.5 -3.5 W W U 0
Oct 28, 2007 view Sunday 8 2007 Browns Rams away 3-14 14-3 7-3 3-0 27-20 -3.0 45.5 7 4.0 1.5 2.8 -1.2 W W O 0
Nov 21, 2010 view Sunday 11 2010 Packers Vikings away 0-3 17-0 7-0 7-0 31-3 -3.0 44.5 28 25.0 -10.5 7.2 -17.8 W W U 0
Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Panthers Cardinals away -1.5 42.0

On Sunday the NFL Early Power system play is on Jacksonville. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. This is too mnay points the Rams are laying here today. Both teams are under .500 and the Jags should improve enough here to get the cover. The Rams not having Steven Jackson this year has really hurt their run game. We have a system that pertains to 2 teams that both getting out rushed by 38 or more yards per game if they both had 70 or less yards rushing. Since 1983 this one has cashed 41 of 53 times. The Jags get J. Blackmon back from his suspension for this game and that can only help. St. Louis is 4-18 ats at home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. The Jags are 5-0 ats in October as a double digit loss. Look for Jacksonville to stay within the number here tonight


Sunday 3 Team 10 POINT Teaser-


1. Green Bay to +3


2. Baltimore +13



3. Indy Colts to +13

SUNDAY 34-2 SYSTEM PLAY ON Chicago. Game 426 at 1:00 eastern. Below is a solid system that plays against road teams and has won 34 of 36 times. The Public is on the Saints at a higher percentage than any other team this week and this will be a tough task with a short week off a big Monday night win vs Miami. The Bears are off their first loss and the Saints have played just one road game which was a nail biter against a weak Tampa Team. Look for Chicago to bounce back this week. DA BEARS for 5 units at +1.5



SU: 10-26-0
ATS: 2-34-0 avg line: -3.7

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 23.1 90.8 37.5 22.0 239.0 2.4 3.4 5.2 3.7 6.0 18.5
Opp 30.5 135.8 30.9 19.0 214.0 1.1 5.7 8.2 5.3 7.8 27.2

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 30, 2005 view Sunday 8 2005 Redskins Giants away 0-6 0-13 0-17 0-0 0-36 1.5 42.5 -36 -34.5 -6.5 -20.5 14.0 L L U 0
Sep 24, 2006 view Sunday 3 2006 Bears Vikings away 3-3 0-3 6-0 10-10 19-16 -3.5 34.5 3 -0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 W L O 0
Oct 01, 2006 view Sunday 4 2006 Chargers Ravens away 7-7 6-0 0-0 0-9 13-16 1.0 33.5 -3 -2.0 -4.5 -3.2 -1.2 L L U 0
Oct 08, 2006 view Sunday 5 2006 Chiefs Cardinals away 0-14 10-3 0-3 13-0 23-20 -3.5 40.0 3 -0.5 3.0 1.2 1.8 W L O 0
Oct 08, 2006 view Sunday 5 2006 Cowboys Eagles away 7-10 14-7 0-7 3-14 24-38 2.0 43.5 -14 -12.0 18.5 3.2 15.2 L L O 0
Oct 15, 2006 view Sunday 6 2006 Falcons Giants home 0-0 7-3 7-14 0-10 14-27 -3.0 41.5 -13 -16.0 -0.5 -8.2 7.8 L L U 0
Oct 16, 2006 view Monday 6 2006 Bears Cardinals away 0-14 0-6 10-3 14-0 24-23 -11.5 40.0 1 -10.5 7.0 -1.8 8.8 W L O 0
Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Chargers Chiefs away 0-14 6-6 7-7 14-3 27-30 -5.5 40.0 -3 -8.5 17.0 4.2 12.8 L L O 0
Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Steelers Falcons away 10-7 14-14 7-14 7-3 38-41 -2.5 37.5 -3 -5.5 41.5 18.0 23.5 L L O 1
Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Jaguars Texans away 0-0 0-10 7-0 0-17 7-27 -8.0 39.0 -20 -28.0 -5.0 -16.5 11.5 L L U 0
Nov 05, 2006 view Sunday 9 2006 Bears Dolphins home 3-0 7-14 3-7 0-10 13-31 -13.5 37.5 -18 -31.5 6.5 -12.5 19.0 L L O 0
Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Seahawks Browns away 7-0 14-9 3-7 6-14 30-33 1.5 47.0 -3 -1.5 16.0 7.2 8.8 L L O 1
Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Patriots Colts away 0-3 7-10 3-0 14-7 24-20 -4.5 56.0 4 -0.5 -12.0 -6.2 -5.8 W L U 0
Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Chargers Vikings away 7-7 7-0 0-14 3-14 17-35 -7.0 41.5 -18 -25.0 10.5 -7.2 17.8 L L O 0
Sep 14, 2008 view Sunday 2 2008 Steelers Browns away 0-0 7-0 3-3 0-3 10-6 -6.0 43.5 4 -2.0 -27.5 -14.8 -12.8 W L U 0
Sep 21, 2008 view Sunday 3 2008 Giants Bengals home 0-3 10-10 3-0 10-10 26-23 -13.5 41.5 3 -10.5 7.5 -1.5 9.0 W L O 1
Oct 05, 2008 view Sunday 5 2008 Seahawks Giants away 3-14 3-13 0-10 0-7 6-44 7.0 43.5 -38 -31.0 6.5 -12.2 18.8 L L O 0
Oct 12, 2008 view Sunday 6 2008 Panthers Buccaneers away 0-14 3-3 0-3 0-7 3-27 2.0 36.5 -24 -22.0 -6.5 -14.2 7.8 L L U 0
Oct 13, 2008 view Monday 6 2008 Giants Browns away 0-3 14-14 0-3 0-15 14-35 -8.0 43.0 -21 -29.0 6.0 -11.5 17.5 L L O 0
Oct 26, 2008 view Sunday 8 2008 Steelers Giants home 7-3 0-6 7-0 0-12 14-21 -3.0 42.0 -7 -10.0 -7.0 -8.5 1.5 L L U 0
Nov 02, 2008 view Sunday 9 2008 Texans Vikings away 7-7 0-14 7-0 7-7 21-28 5.0 46.5 -7 -2.0 2.5 0.2 2.2 L L O 0
Oct 04, 2009 view Sunday 4 2009 Ravens Patriots away 7-3 0-14 7-7 7-3 21-27 2.0 45.0 -6 -4.0 3.0 -0.5 3.5 L L O 0
Oct 18, 2009 view Sunday 6 2009 Giants Saints away 3-14 14-20 0-7 10-7 27-48 3.5 47.5 -21 -17.5 27.5 5.0 22.5 L L O 0
Oct 18, 2009 view Sunday 6 2009 Vikings Ravens home 14-0 0-3 6-7 13-21 33-31 -2.5 45.5 2 -0.5 18.5 9.0 9.5 W L O 0
Nov 01, 2009 view Sunday 8 2009 Colts Fortyniners home 3-7 6-7 3-0 6-0 18-14 -12.5 45.0 4 -8.5 -13.0 -10.8 -2.2 W L U 0
Sep 19, 2010 view Sunday 2 2010 Titans Steelers home 3-7 0-6 0-0 8-6 11-19 -5.0 37.0 -8 -13.0 -7.0 -10.0 3.0 L L U 0
Sep 26, 2010 view Sunday 3 2010 Chargers Seahawks away 0-0 0-10 12-7 8-10 20-27 -4.0 44.0 -7 -11.0 3.0 -4.0 7.0 L L O 0
Sep 27, 2010 view Monday 3 2010 Packers Bears away 7-0 3-7 0-0 7-13 17-20 -3.0 46.0 -3 -6.0 -9.0 -7.5 -1.5 L L U 0
Oct 10, 2010 view Sunday 5 2010 Chargers Raiders away 0-12 17-3 7-7 3-13 27-35 -6.0 44.5 -8 -14.0 17.5 1.8 15.8 L L O 0
Sep 25, 2011 view Sunday 3 2011 Jets Raiders away 7-7 10-10 0-7 7-10 24-34 -3.0 41.0 -10 -13.0 17.0 2.0 15.0 L L O 0
Sep 25, 2011 view Sunday 3 2011 Lions Vikings away 0-6 0-14 10-0 13-3 26-23 -3.5 44.5 3 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 1
Oct 30, 2011 view Sunday 8 2011 Cowboys Eagles away 0-14 0-10 0-3 7-7 7-34 3.0 48.5 -27 -24.0 -7.5 -15.8 8.2 L L U 0
Oct 30, 2011 view Sunday 8 2011 Saints Rams away 0-0 0-17 7-7 14-7 21-31 -13.5 48.5 -10 -23.5 3.5 -10.0 13.5 L L O 0
Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Ravens Eagles away 7-7 10-0 0-10 6-7 23-24 2.5 46.5 -1 1.5 0.5 1.0 -0.5 L W O 0
Oct 14, 2012 view Sunday 6 2012 Fortyniners Giants home 3-0 0-10 0-13 0-3 3-26 -6.0 46.0 -23 -29 -17 -23.0 6.0 L L U 0
Nov 04, 2012 view Sunday 9 2012 Texans Bills home 7-0 0-6 7-3 7-0 21-9 -11.0 47.5 12 1 -17.5 -8.2 -9.2 W W U 0
Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Saints Bears away -1.5 50.0

On Sunday the AFC Total Of the Year is on the Over in the Baltimore at Miami game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has won 18 straight times playing to the over when we have certain teams like Miami that are coming home off a Monday night football game if the total is more than 39 points. Miami has played over 12 straight times if the line is +3 to -3 and they are off a road game where their opponents punted no more than 5 times. Baltimore decided to abandon the run game last week and that caused a ton of turnovers. In fact the Ravens have played over the last 6 times in games after they turned it over more than 4 times. The Ravens are also 9-0 to the over if they has a receiver that hauled in a 40+ yards catch in their last game. Look for this one to fly over the total here today.

On Thursday the NFL Triple system Power Side is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This one was pounded through the database and here are the findings. All of the following systems date at least to 1989. Home favorites when Both teams are off home dog wins are are are as this has only happened 6 times with the home favorite winning 5 of the 6 times. Home favorites off a home dog win by 7 or more points that scored 21 or less are 10-0 with 9 spread wins and win by an average 23-10 score. Road dogs like the Bills that are off a home dog win and scored 21 or more and rushed for 200+ yards are winless straight up and to the spread and lose by an average 27-7 score. Finally In game specific to Thursday nights we see that road dogs of 3 or more off a home dog win are 0-9 and lose by an average 27-10 score. The Browns are 5-0 ats from game 5-8 as non division favorites, 4-1 ats as a home favorite vs the AFC East and 6-1 ats at home off a division dog win.

On Monday night the NFL System Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 226 at 8:40 eastern. The Saints fit a solid system here tonight that plays on undefeated home teams on Monday night vs a a non division team. The system dates to 1980 and has cashed nearly 90%. The Saints are 4-0 ats on Monday night football, 12-1 ats vs a non division opponent off 3+ wins, 10-1 ats off back to back win vs an opponent off back to back straight up and ats wins. They have a +75 yard edge on defense and +85 on offense. Non division home favorites on MNF are 94% vs an opponent off a win. Miami is 2-9 ats on the Monday night road as a dog. Miami is also 1-6 ats off 3+ wins if their last win was as a dog. New Orleans is also 9-0 ats at home vs an opponent that averages 255+ yards passing and they have covered 10 of 11 as a home favorite of 7 or more. The Saint have also come marching in to the tune of 9-0 ats after Tight end Jimmy Graham has 60+ yards receiving in a home win. Look for the Saint to get the win and cover.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals system play is on the Over in the New England at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that plays to the over home teams that have a total over 42 and less than 50 if they are taking on a team that has gone under in their last 2 games and allows 17 or less per game like the Patriots. Thee games have soared over in 26 of 30 instances. New England has won with defense so far. However, there defense is not as good as it has played and their offense is better than it has played. Atlanta has some injuries up front as well. The Patriots have played over in 8 of 9 on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. On a fast turf surface look for this one to fly over the total.

On Sunday afternoon our NFL Double system side is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 221 at 4;25 eastern. Philly has extra prep time for this one after playing on a Thursday and taking on a Denver team that played on Monday night. There are 2 excellent systems that are in action for this one. First we want to play on teams like the Eagles that are playing the first of 3+ road games so long as they are not -4 or more as these teams are 26-4 to the spread. The other system dates to 1973 as we play against week 4 teams that scored 24 or more points in the first 3 games and won their last game. Denver fits all the negative subsets of that system as well. Playing against home favorites of 7 or more, if the opponent has at least one win and this is a non division game. We will back the Eagles who should score enough to stay within the number in this one. Take the Double digits with Philadelphia.

On Sunday the Dominator play is on KC. Game 214 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs already have one more win than they had all last season as Andy Reid is a rejuvenated coach who appear to have righted the ship in Kansas City. KC is 3-0 and the Mediocre Giants are 0-3. So one would ask how do 3-0 home teams do against 0-3 road teams? The Answer is very good, especially if you were to hand track these games as far back as 1974, which we have done. Most of the modern data bases go back to 1980, but some times you just get curious to go back even further. Since 1974 these home teams are 8-1 ats, so yes its a rare occurrence here today. The Chiefs beat a better Dallas team here 2 weeks ago as they tear through the NFC East off a road dog win in Philly last Thursday night. That win sets up another big system that applies here today. We want to play on teams who won on Thursday that have a win percentage of .700 or higher vs an opponent that lost on a Sunday and has a win percentage of .350 or less and is also off an ats loss. The Giants are 0-7 ats as a road dog after scoring 10 or less points. Non division home favorites that are 3-0 are 15-1 when laying less than 7 with 14 spread wins. The Chiefs have a defense that is 70 yards better than New York. Look for KC To get the win and cover.

On Sunday the Early totals play is on the Over in the Seattle at Houston game. Rotation numbers 207/208. This game fits a 26-4 totals system that plays to the over for teams that are averaging 1 or more yards per carry than their opponent if they allowed 74 or less yards in their last game. Houston has flown over in 12 straight at home off a loss if the line is +3 to-3. They have also played over in 7 of 10 after scoring 10 or less points, like they did in last weeks blowout loss to Baltimore. Seattle has flown over in 6 of 8 on the road off back to back home games and 7 of the last 10 after scoring 40 or more points. Take the Over in this one.






On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Arizona. Game 209 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against 0-3 teams like Tampa that are favorites or dogs of less than 6 in week 4 Sunday games, vs an opponent with 1 or more runs. Arizona is 6-0 ats as a dog off 1 exact loss and spread loss. Road teams that are +3 to -3 have covered 28 of 35 times if they rush for 89 or less yards on average. The Other sold system in this game is to play against Non division favorites of less than 5 in grass games if both teams come in off road dog straight up and ats losses. Look for Arizona to Take Down Tampa today.

On Sunday our season ending Play is on the NY Mets. Game 952 at 1:40 eastern. The Mets have played hard till then end for Terry Collins but have struggled losing the first three games of this series to Milwaukee. Last night they battled back and tied it late only to lose in extra innings. Today they will have a delayed start from 1:10 eastern to 1:40 eastern as they induct the greatest hitting catcher of all time into their Hall of Fame in Mike Piazza. it will be a big day for all the droves of folks who will come out to see the induction. The place will be packed as its close to a sell out as of Saturday night. The Mets will have J. Niese on the mound and he should out duel Estrada here as The Brewers have struggled vs leftys this season. Look for the Mets to avoid the sweep as this looks to be a nice end to their season with the Piazza induction. Take the Mets.


NFL 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER


HOUSTON TEXANS TO +12.5


INDY COLTS TO PICK


ATLANTA +7.5

Members only play on JAX. JAGS. Home dogs getting moe than 8 points 22-3 to the spread. They wont win but they should cover. Alos of note is this late breaking database nuggets. Road favorites like the Colts in week or later that have normal rest have failed to cover 29 of 30 times if they are off a road dog win and scored less than 28 and have 1-7 more win than their opponent.

On Sunday the AFC North Play is on Cleveland. Game 204 at 1:00 eastern. This game has a 24-0 System that dates to 1982 and plays on certain home dogs in weeks 2-4 that are off a non division road win vs an opponent off a home game. Cleveland fits this one here today. They also have several other indicators on their side. Teams in game 4 that are 1-2 and off a win are 45-17 to the spread if they are +1.5 or more. Game 4 home dogs off a road dog win have covered 10 of 11 vs an opponent, like the Bengals that are off a win and cover. The Browns are 6-0 ats off a win if they had 300+ yards passing. They have their best receiver back and he was solid last week. The Bengals are 0-6 ats if they allowed 10 or more than their season average in points and 0-7 ats as a division favorite when they have a better record than their opponent. The Bengals have lost here the last 2 seasons. The Points and Cleveland are the play here today.

In Thursday night NFL Action our Double system dominator Side is on the SF. 49ers. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. Both teams are off blowout losses coming into this one. However its San Francisco that has really been a bust as they are off back to back 20+ point blowout losses to Seattle and Indianapolis on Sunday as a 10 point favorite. Road favorites off a home favored loss that scored less than 10 points have covered 96% vs an opponent like the Rams that are off a road dog loss that scored 14 or less points. San Francisco has won 7 of 9 vs losing teams. The Rams fit a 100% Play against system that goes against home dogs off a road dog loss by 7 or more points if they scored 10 or less points had 2 or less turnovers while rushing for less than 50 yards and allowing 150 or more rush yards. These home dogs have never covered and are losing by an average 18 points per game. The Rams are 2-11 off back to back losses and the Niners have covered 10 straight vs teams off 2+ losses if they are playing with revenge. Harbaugh is 5-0 ats as a favorite of less than 5. The Niners are 7-1 ats in September off a straight up favored loss and will look to get the offense back on track after managing just 10 points the last 2 games combined. With the Rams 1-29 straight up as a division home dog of 3 or more we will back the Niners tonight.

NFL System total

On Sunday the Evening totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that pertain to home dogs that have scored less than their season average in the last 2 games, as long as they were not ahead at the end of the first quarter and did not have more than 10 penalties in the game. These games have Soared over the total 21 straight times and by 2+ touchdowns. The Bears are 9-0 over before playing Detroit and 11-0 Over on grass vs Non divisional teams with a division game up next week.They have played over in 7 of 9 after 2+ wins. The Steelers have played over in 11 straight at home off a road loss if they scored 16 or less points. Look for the Steelers to turn things around on offense here tonight in what should be a very entertaining game. Take Chicago and Pittsburgh to play over the total.

On Sunday in afternoon action our dog play is on the Buffalo Bills game number 415 at 4:25 eastern. The Bills have covered 19 straight times if off a non division win by 3 or less points provided they scored in the last quarter. Even better though is a league wide system we have cleaned up with the past few seasons that plays against home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit dog. These home teams have bounced big after nearly scoring the big road upset, failing to cover in 30 of 36 applications. These home teams simply get flat after losing a game they were all out to win as a dog of 10 or more. The Jets were done in by 3 4th quarter interceptions by Rookie Qb Geno Smith despite holding the Patriots to just 13 points at home. The Jets are 0-10 ats off a spread win where they had 3 or more turnovers than their opponents and have failed to cover the last seven times as a favorite when they allowed 4 or more sacks. Look for the Bills to take this one.





Sunday Bonus Power Teaser 11-2 on these since last year and cashed one last week--- Here we go- 3 teams 10 points



San Francisco Game 412 at 4:25 eastern to Even. They have covered 24 straight on a 10 point line move if they scored 10 or less points from their season average..Atlanta game 409 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta to +12 as we play against a non division home team like Miami off back to back road dog wins Pitt Steelers game 418 at 8:25 eastern. In 49 games playing at home off a road loss where they scored 14 or less the Steelers have only lost by More than 12 points just 4 times in those 49 games.

SF- Even

Atlanta +12

Pitt +12.5

On Sunday the NFL Top play is on.....Hold your nose. Jacksonville. Game 413 at 4:25 eastern. By game time the Jaguars should be getting upwards of 20 points, which is perfect as teams laying 20 or more have NOT Covered the spread, not even once the last 34 years dating back through 1979. Another solid system, an exclusive one we use whenever it applies dates to 1977 and plays on week 3 road dogs getting more than 12 points if they are 0-2. These teams are 17-2 ats. These teams maybe ugly but they get the job done, most teams in this range sitting at 0-2 give it all they have desperately trying to avoid going 0-3. Most times they lost, but this situation have become a classic win and no cover for the home team. Seattle is off a Big emotional win over San Francisco and gave it their all. Its only natural that this be a flat spot. They could win 21-3 and not cover in this game. Seattle is also 0-9 ats after The Niners and 3-14 ats home off a win vs an opponent off a road game. Coach Carrroll has also shown he lets up as he is 2-8 ats off back to back wins vs losing teams Both teams have solid defenses and the Jags will stay in the game because they wont give up a ton of points. I expect they will play better on offense as they cant be happy with the Demonstrator pleading with management to sign Tebow. Henne will most likely be back their again for an injured B. Gabbert. Henne should benefit form playing last week and they should play more cohesively. Jacksonville is a perfect 9-0 ats as a dog of 7 or more if they allowed 4 or more sacks. We will hold our noses and take Jacksonville today.

On Sunday the Early Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 396 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit all the Parameters of Solid System that won just last week with Denver. We want to play on Teams who won on a Thursday night if they have a .700 or better win percentage and are taking on a team like Tampa Bay that lost on a Sunday, if that losing team has a win percentage of .350 or less. Tampa did a nice job coming back from a gut wrenching loss to the Jets, only to have their hearts ripped out by a late loss at home to New Orleans. Now they take to the road in a tough spot against a New England team who is getting healthier by the minute. Coach Bellichek is a tremendous 22-2 to the spread at -11.5 or less of back to back spread losses, including 9-0 ats off back to back ats losses vs an opponent off a loss. With Tampa having internal problems, like Revis going to the media with the. Coach Schiano is too strict and there's too much Discipline. The Tampa team may not have their heads screwd on right for this one. Take New England.


On Sunday the early bonus totals system pay is on the under in the San Diego at Tennessee game. Rotation numbers 391/392 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that dates to 1984 and plays to the under for week 3 teams like the Chargers that have allowed 30+ points in each of the first 2 games, vs an opponent with at least one win and the line is less than 10. This one has cashed 19 of 23 times. San Diego figures to improve on defense against a Titans team that is not as good as what they have seen the first two weeks in Houston and Philly. The Chargers offense also should slow down a bit against a Titans team that pays tough at home. San Diego has stayed under 9 straight times after allowing over 370 yards passing provided they scored no more than 48 points in their last game. Look for this game to go under tonight.

On Thursday the guaranteed NFL Thursday night Power System play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8;25 eastern. This game is backed with 2 Tremendous systems that date back to 1989.. First we note that ALL Home teams in non divisional games that are off a home favored loss and scored 28 or more points while passing for 300+ yards, like the Eagles are a perfect 9-0 ats and win by an average 18 points per game. Second we have a Thursday specific system here that plays on home teams off a home favored loss at -3 or more. These teams have won and covered 90%. Finally a perfect plays against system that goes against the Chiefs as Thursday night road dogs have neither won nor covered since 1995 off a home favored win where they scored 21 or less points. Don't be fooled into thinking that all the useless trends you will se in this game matter. They wont. Both teams have new coaches and new philosophies. Road games for teams like KC are tough when coming off a hard fought victory and KC was all out in that Dallas game hanging on late. They have already matched last seasons win total and this is an extremely tough sot especially with Philly off a walk off loss to San Diego. Lay the points here . Take the Eagles.

On Monday night the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Pittsburgh at Cincinnati game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid week 2 totals system that is 15-1 to the under since 1992 when we have a team like the Bengals that lost game 1 by 1-3 points in a game where the line within 3 points of Pickem. Three of the last 4 between these two have stayed under and The Bengals have played under 10 straight times when Reciever A.J Green had more than 88 yards receiving and the total is higher than 36 points. The Bengals have also gone under 7 straight times off a non division loss by 3 or less points. The Steelers have played under the last 6 times as a dog if they allowed 4 or more sacks in their last game. Look for more of a defensive divisional grind in this one. Take the Under.

On Sunday night our GUARANTEED Pure Power totals selection is on the Under in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 8:35 eastern. This game is chocked with Huge systems and Perfect Indicators. Systems: Play the under in any week 2 game when we have a team playing off a win as a favorite at -5.5 or less if they were down at the half and the total in this game is higher than 38. This system has won 19 of 21 times, and we have a little subset that applies that gets it to a perfect 19-0. Right there we have a solid selection. However we can keep adding and note that the under comes in 38 of 52 times when the posted total is 42.5 to 49 when a team is coming off a home game, like the Niners and both teams had winning record last season. Now for some angles. Seattle has stayed under the last 11 times if the line is +3 to -3 and they are playing a division opponent in the first game of there 2 scheduled meetings. San Francisco has played under 9 straight in that exact same scenario. Look for this game to be lower scoring than expected as both these teams have tremendous defenses. Take the Under.


On Sunday night in MLB Action The BONUS Selection is on the NY. Yankees at +1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are a perfect 12-0 as a road dog off a road loss where they scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. There is also a 75% plays against system that pertain to Boston and favorites this season that are off a home favored win and scored 5 or more runs on less than 10 hits vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits if both teams had no more than 1 error. The Yankees have I. Nova on the mound and he has won all 3 starts in Boston in his young career. T. Buccholz for Boston is 0-4 in home starts vs the Yankees. New York may win this on outright, but we will take the insurance on the run line at 1.5 as that stat is perfect when they are in this situation.

On Sunday the GUARANTEED NFL Top play is on Jacksonville. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Jaguars have covered 13 of 16 after scoring 6 or less points. There are several solid systems and angles that also apply to this one. Here we go. Play on road dogs from +5 to +10 in non division games that lost to the spread and did no score offensively. These teams are 22-3 ats. The Jags manages just a safety in their 28-2 blowout loss to KC. Oakland is 0-11 ats as a favorite off a road loss if they scored 28 or less points and 0-9 ats at home if they and their opponent have the exact amount of wins, and that would be zero here today. The Raiders have failed to cover the last 5 in this series and are 2-13 ats as a favorite off a loss. Finally we note that road dogs getting 6.5 or less points have covered 17 of 18 times vs an opponent that had 1 or more turnovers but did not allow more than 280 yards. Most of these dogs win straight up. We, however will take the points in this one. Take Jacksonville.



On Sunday the BONUS 3 team Power teaser is on Arizona game 216 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta game 206 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Atlanta has won 15 straight at home with M. Ryan at the helm and they play of a loss they have also covered in 15 straight games moving the line 10 points at home between away games. Carolina has covered on a 10 point line move 26 of 27 times on the road if they were a home dog. Arizona is the beneficiary of Detroit's 1-22 teaser record after scoring 34+ points. Play Arizona, Atlanta and Carolina in a 3 team teaser.


Atlanta + 4.5, Carolina +7 and Arizona +12

Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.

Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.

On Sunday the Double system Early Pack is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 211 at 1:00 eastern and the Over in the Miami at Indianapolis game. Rotation numbers 201/202 also a 1:00 eastern. Looking at the Vikings we note they fit an outstanding early system we use that plays on divisional dogs in the first 2 weeks vs an opponent that has revenge. The Bears have failed to cover 7 straight when playing off a non conference game. They have also failed to cover the last 8 times when any one of their wideouts had 100+ yards receiving. The Vikings and coach Frazier should rebound nicely here as they are 6-0 at as a dog vs an opponent off a win. Look for a close game here. In our second selection we have a solid totals system that has cashed 20 of 24 times to the over and plays to the over for game 2 teams in conference games that are playing an opponent off a 10+ point road win like Miami, in a conference game where the total is 35 or higher. A second system that applies here today is to take the over for road teams like Miami when the posted total is 35.5 to 42 after rushing for 50 or less yards in their last game. This one has gone over 80% of the time. Look for a high scoring game here today. Take Miami and Indy to go over.---- Play Minnesota and Over Miami- Indianapolis

Top off shore steam buy order side on Carolina. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay. Rotation numbers 207/208 at 1:00 eastern and Over Detroit at Arizona.Rotation numbers 215/216 at 4:05 eastern. All 3 of these were hit hard with some of the sharpest off shore money.

On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Jets at Patriots game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that has flown over in 13 of 14 games since 1989. We want to play the Over for home favorites of 10 or more that are off a road favored win and had 150+ yards rushing, vs an opponent like the Jets that are off a home win. These games average over 50 points. The Jets will move the ball on New England as Geno Smith looked good in the Tampa game but also has the propensity for big blunders and costly turnovers which is a positive when playing the over. The Jets have flown over in 4 of 5 before Playing Buffalo. In the series 7 of the last 8 have played over. The Patriots may be getting Gronkowski back and even with the loss of running back Vereen still have Ridley to run it. Brady makes a star out of even average route runners so the Patriots will still be able to move the ball. The Defenses will struggle with the short rest. The Patriots have gone over in 18 of 25 with 6 or less days rest and ALL 5 On Thursday nights. In games after the Bills they have gone over in 5 of 6. When the total is 47 or less they are 13 of 16 to the over. There may be some rain on the way tonight but that will push the total down. Take the Over between the Jets and Patriots.


O/U: 13-1-0 (6.71, 92.9%) avg total: 44.6 +6:

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 30.2 136.9 35.0 22.9 283.3 1.1 7.0 10.7 5.4 10.4 33.5
Opp 24.1 99.1 33.4 18.6 212.1 2.6 2.4 5.9 4.1 5.6 17.9

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 04, 1992 Sunday 5 1992 Fortyniners Rams home 7-0 3-7 0-0 17-17 27-24 -16.5 41.5 3 -13.5 9.5 -2.0 11.5 W L O 0
Dec 04, 1994 Sunday 14 1994 Fortyniners Falcons home 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13.0 47.5 36 23.0 16.5 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0
Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Cowboys Broncos home 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10.0 44.0 10 0.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 W P O 0
Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Fortyniners Falcons home 17-0 7-3 7-7 10-0 41-10 -13.5 49.0 31 17.5 2.0 9.8 -7.8 W W O 0
Oct 08, 1995 Sunday 6 1995 Raiders Seahawks home 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10.0 39.5 20 10.0 8.5 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0
Nov 06, 1995 Monday 10 1995 Cowboys Eagles home 10-3 7-3 7-6 10-0 34-12 -14.0 43.5 22 8.0 2.5 5.2 -2.8 W W O 0
Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Fortyniners Panthers home 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10.0 37.5 -6 -16.0 16.5 0.2 16.2 L L O 0
Sep 27, 1998 Sunday 4 1998 Fortyniners Falcons home 14-7 17-0 0-0 0-13 31-20 -11.5 46.5 11 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 0
Nov 22, 1998 Sunday 12 1998 Broncos Raiders home 3-0 14-7 0-7 23-0 40-14 -11.5 44.5 26 14.5 9.5 12.0 -2.5 W W O 0
Oct 07, 2007 view Sunday 5 2007 Patriots Browns home 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16.5 48.0 17 0.5 3.0 1.8 1.2 W W O 0
Sep 28, 2008 view Sunday 4 2008 Cowboys Redskins home 7-0 3-17 7-3 7-6 24-26 -11.0 46.0 -2 -13.0 4.0 -4.5 8.5 L L O 0
Nov 29, 2009 view Sunday 12 2009 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13.5 45.0 29 15.5 12.0 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0
Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Patriots Cardinals home 3-6 3-0 3-7 9-7 18-20 -13.5 48.0 -2 -15.5 -10.0 -12.8 2.8 L L U 0
Sep 30, 2012 view Sunday 4 2012 Texans Titans home 14-0 0-7 14-0 10-7 38-14 -13.0 44.5 24 11.0 7.5 9.2 -1.8 W W O 0
Sep 12, 2013 view Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home -12.0 43.5



On Thursday night in College Football the Bonus play is on TCU. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. Tcu will look for paybacks from last seasons 56-53 home over time loss at the hands of Texas Tech. Statistically the game was very close. However the Horned Frogs were done in by a -3 in the all important turnover category. TCU has covered 7 of the last 8 with conference revenge. Texas Tech will throw it most of the night and will most likely lose the rushing yards category to TCU. Unfortunately Tech may be unaware that TCU HAS WON 47 STRAIGHT When they out rush their opponents. With the spread at -3 we will keep that valuable nugget in mind. TCU was perhaps looking ahead to this one last week in a lethargic looking win over SE Louisiana. Prior to that gave LSU a tough game before falling short late. Tech has played a mediocre SMU Team and SF. Austin, so there gaudy offensive numbers be somewhat inflated. Look for TCU to take down Tech. Take TCU Tonight.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 482 at 10:20 eastern. The Chargers qualify in a solid system here that plays on certain week 1 Monday night NFL Home dogs and the system has been Rare and solid dating back to 19709. Another fine week 1 system Plays AGAINST non division game 1 teams like Houston that won 13 or more games last season and are playing an opponent that won less than 13 games. These teams have failed to cover 21 of 28 long tern. The Chargers are 20-3 ats vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a home dog on Monday night football. Houston is 0-4 vs San Diego. finally we note that non divisional teams that had a .750 or better win percentage that are dogs or favorites by less than a touchdown have failed to cover over 90% of the time vs an opponent that was .500 or less last season. Look for the Chargers to keep this one close.

On Sunday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 477 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid Divisional Dog system we have used with tremendous success if the home team has revenge. Dallas is 0-8 ats as a division home favorite and the Giants 9-0 to the spread here.. Dallas has been a horrendous favorite failing to cover in 22 of 28 instances. Coach Coughlin has covered to the tune of 8-0-1 ats as a dog. The Giants are fast starters every year. Look for them to play well here once again. Take the Points with the Boys in blue tonight.

On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.




On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona.

On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.




On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona.

On Sunday the Perfect Totals System is on the Under in the Seattle At Carolina game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 1:00 eastern. Totals a little high here with 2 Solid Defenses in what looks to be a close game. For our totals system we note that Non Division home dogs in week 1 with a total of 45 or higher have gone under 11 straight times. Seattle has played under in 5 straight as a favorite of less than 6 in the first month of the season. In the series here al 3 have played under Look for this one to follow suit. Take the under.

On Sunday the Power System Side is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 469 at 1;00 eastern. The Vikings took both games last season and fit a SOLID Early System we use that plays against favorites like the Lions that have revenge. This system is 57-13 heading into this season. The Lions are 3-11 to the spread in the series and 0-9 ats if they are not +2 or more or favored when playing on Sunday. The Lions are also 0-10 ats in games where Star Wideout Calvin Johnson caught 7 or more ball vs this team in their last meeting. The Vikings could control the clock with a solid run game and take advantage of a Detroit team that played terrible in first half's last season only to have to make big comebacks late. Not what you want when you take a favorite. The Vikes are 13-7 as a dogs and did win 10 games compared to 4 last season for Detroit. Look for Minnesota to get the cash.

On Thursday our Opening selection in the NFL is on The Denver Broncos. Game 452 at 8:35 eastern. If ever there was a game circled on a teams schedule its this one here tonight. Denver is chomping at the bit to get the sour taste of last seasons playoff loss to Baltimore out of their mouths. The Broncos epic defensive lapses single handedly lost them the game. They were 9 point favorites in that game and are once again laying a touchdown to Baltimore who wont have the leadership of Ray Lewis to propel them. While Baltimore did make some nice acquisitions on defense led by the E. Dumerville pick up. The feeling is that they wont be able to gel right away and this will be a tough team to stop tonight. Denver upgraded their run game with M. Ball and still have Moreno coming out of the back field. Baltimore has new faces on offense too as A. Boldin a big catch receiver is gone. We look for this game to be more similar to Denver's 34-17 win in the prior game they played last season. Denver has won 9 of the last 10 home openers will be tough once again on defense and has a solid system in their favor. Super Bowl Champions have failed to cover 80+% in opening games when going into revenge and that system goes perfect one more little nugget from the database With Baltimore 1-7 ats when they lose as a road dog, 1-4 ats on Thursday and 1-5 ats as a dog of 7 or more. We will back the Broncos in this one.

OVER VIEW: Super Bowl XLV11 will be played indoors at The Louisiana Super Dome in New Orleans. Below we will bring you a series of Systems, angles, Situational indicators, as well as a Historical Perspective that will be perhaps the most Comprehensive analysis in the country. We will far exceed the game winning analysis we had last year with the Giants over the Patriots. Some of the information you will see here far exceeds the industy standard as we strive to bring you the most cutting edge material on a daily basis. Now on to the game.


THE LINE: San Francisco opened as a 5 point favorite soon after the Championship games concluded and were quickly bet down to a 3.5 point favorite, where the line has remained pretty steady with a few fours starting to pop up. The Recommendation is to buy down to -3 if you are getting 3.5. Cant recall too many instances where we have a team that is favored by such a small amount when having BOTH a top 10 offense and a top 10 Defense, vs an opponent who has neither.


Offense: San Francisco is a top 10 offense and has a slightly better statistical advantage over the Ravens and have the all important better rushing statistics. Rushing the ball is Paramount in the Super Bowl as teams who win the rushing battle have gone on to win and cover 90% of the time. The Niners as a team have won 25 of the last 26 times when running the ball 25 or more times, which is a distinct possibility in this one, especially with Kappernick at the helm. With 3 solid options in Kappernick, Gore and Lamichael James the niners should have plenty of new looks the Ravens may not be able to handle. In the passing game we have seen Kappernick utilize weapons in V. Davis and M. Crabtree and occasionally go deep to Randy Moss who will be sprinting deep routes all day. We note that in Super bowl play favorites who score 28 or more are 12-1 to the spread and 1-16-1 ats when they don't. The Niners should be able to move the ball here against the Ravens as they average over 5 yards per carry.




Baltimore on offense has been propelled by the hot play of Joe Flacco. In his games playoff games this year Flacco has hit another gear. The biggest factor is that he has not turned the ball over. Tonight however, should the running game get shut down, he will be forced to throw and that could lead to turnovers. The Ravens run the ball for a full yard less than the niners and this game will be much tougher to score for them than it was against a poor Patriots defense.




Defense: All time in Super bowl history 39 of the 46 champions have had a top Defense. The 49ers come in with a Top 10 defense to go along with a top 10 offense. San Francisco has allowed 3.8 yards per rush. Should they get in the back field and pressure Flacco, something he has not had to deal with, that could lead to turnovers. Baltimore with Rice and Pearce have a nice tandem but with a vaunted Niners front may not be able to get going. The Niners are very aware of the Big Plays they have allowed in the passing game of late and will no doubt shore that up. While the Ravens have some nice receivers, led By Boldin and Smith, they are not as good as the Niners have faced in recent weeks in Atlanta and Green Bay. I look for a solid defensive effort here from San Francisco.


Baltimore on defense is ranked 21st and played very well in their Win vs the Patriots. In that game they did not have to contend with Tight end Gronkowski and New England really had no real running threats like they have to contend with tonight. They made a Patriots offense look very average. In the Denver game they were aided big time when Denver lost their top running back due to injury. In both of those games they faced Pocket passers on grass and never had to deal with Option reads they will see here tonight on a fast surface. Denver really lost that game more than the Ravens won it. Teams like Baltimore who come in allowing more yards per rush are just 4-10 Ats in the Super Bowl of late. The Ravens will have their hands full tonight as they can take one thing away, but not everything.


History: In this years look at the Hank Stram Super Bowl System, we note that the 49ers are the qualifying team. This system which was more effective in years past than it has been of late has the 49ers as the winning team. The system is 33-11-2 ats all time. Below is the set of parameters which awards points to the team that qualifies in the statistical sets displayed below.



The Hank Stram System:

10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years

8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl

8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes

7 give to team with most offensive rushes

7 award the team with best overall record (straight up)

5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry

4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record

4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards

4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns

3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt

3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points

3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD

On Sunday the AFC Selection is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 303 at 6:30 eastern. The last 3 games between these two have been decided by 3 or less points. Had this been a regular season the line would be no more than 6 points. While there are some situations pertaining to New England and home teams of a win and cover. There some equally disturbing situations that plays against the Patriots. Like playing against teams that scored 40 or more last out. These teams have failed to cover 20 of 23 times in the next game. The Ravens have covered 7 of the last 8 on the road in Playoff games vs non division opponents. In computer Simulation the Ravens were the choice when getting 8 or more points. While the Patriots have 31-30 same season revenge the Ravens have Conference Championship revenge from last years heart breaking loss. In that game wide receiver Lee Evans dropped an easy touchdown and then Ravens Kicker Billy Cundiff missed an easy 32 yard game tying field goal. Baltimore did get luck last week winning the game despite maybe the poorest special teams performance in playoff history, allowing both a Punt and Lick off return for touchdowns. When allowing just one special teams score your chances greatly decrease, let alone two. Baltimore believes they are a team of destiny and when you play like they did last week and win, sometime you gather momentum and play much better. The Patriots will be without Gronkowski and may not get the same types of offensive production they had last week from some of their Unheralded players. We will back Balty in this one and take the Ravens and the points here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Championship Game system Selection is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. There are some solid statistical indicators and systems that apply to this Game here today. For Atlanta we note that they are 3-0 vs teams with winning records at game time this year. They are 7-0 vs NFC West teams and 30-7, including 10-1 of late when playing on 6 or less days of rest. Home dogs that have won at least 75% of their games are 8-2 straight up. Another solid system that has cashed 21 of the last 31 is to simply the dog with a higher win percentage. Teams Like Atlanta off back to back ats losses are 45-19 ats. In games between #1 VS #2 seeds in NFC Play the 1 seed has won 8 of 12 times. Atlanta and San Francisco have similar offensive number and the Niners have a better defense. However with Atlanta being home that evens out. The Falcons may not have as tough a time with Option reads and Kappernick like some seem to think. Having faced Russell Wilson last week should be a benefit to them in this game as opposed to having faced a conventional style Qb. Atlanta took the monkey off their back getting that first playoff win last week and should have plenty of confidence. The Niners may struggle on the road in a loud building and may not be able to duplicate the 500+ yard performance they had last week at home. As good as the Niners defense is, they have allowed an average of 28 points per game the last 4 road games and the last time they played in a loud venue in Seattle they struggled and were blown out by nearly 30 points. Add in the fact that teams who scored 40 or more have failed to cover 20 of 23 times and we look to have the making of an upset win. In that 3-20 system is an 18-0 Subset too. The 49ers are 0-11 to the spread since on the road when they are off a win in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their average, as long as they are a favorite of -7.5 more..Looking below we see how poorly Pacific team do in the eastern time zone.. At the very least we think Atlanta emerges with a Cover here in this one and With Matty Ice and his solid Home numbers, they may win outright. Fly with the Falcons today.





Since 2007, PST teams are 15

On Sunday the ACF Divisional Play is on Houston Game 115 at 4:35 eastern. Tom Brady is 19-26 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (9-19 ATS since November 2007). Houston is not playing the 3rd of 3 straight road games here and the Patriots needed the game much more in the first matchup than Houston did at the time. Houston has played much better on defense this season than the Patriots have and Revenging teams are 27-12 since 2002 in the Playoffs. The Patriots have struggled failing 7 of the last 8 times vs teams like Houston that win two thirds or more of their games if they are off a bye week and are favored by more than 3 points. The Simulations show the Patriots should win but not cover the spread which could get up to 10 by game time. The Patriots are 0-9 to the spread since 2005 at home when they are off a home game in which they prevented their opponent from getting into the end zone from first and goal. Another Solid system plays on playoff dogs with a better win percentage which Houston has at 13-4. Thus one has covered 21 of the last 30 times. Since 2001 home favorites from -5 to -10 that come in off a home favored win and prior road favored win are 0-4 ats. Houston is 10-2 ats with revenge and a perfect 3-0 in that role this season. Surprisingly the Patriots have failed to cover 23 of the last 32 times at home when the total is 45 to 49.5




Texans 5-0 ATS past 5 games in January
Texans 6-1 ATS past 7 as underdog
Texans 7-2 SU past 9 vs. AFC East teams
Texans 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoffs
Patriots 1-6 ATS in playoffs since 2008

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Seattle at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 113/114 at 1:00 eastern. The Seahawks are 16-0 to the over since November 1997 as a road dog versus any team with more wins, when they themselves are off a win. Seattle has played over in 16 of 20 times vs winning teams and 6 of 7 times vs NFC South Teams. The Falcons have flown over in 3 of the last 4 off a bye week and 15 of 22 times vs NFC West teams. The last time they were a 1 seed off a bye in the playoffs 69 points were scored in the game. Look for a back and forth game with both teams moving the ball today. Take the over.

On Saturday the NFC Perfect system Power play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Niners fit a tremendous power system here tonight that is Perfect and has cashed 21 straight times going as far back as 1977. We want to play on certain teams if they lost their conference Championship game last season, vs an opponent like the Packers that won by more than a touchdown. There are other variations which criss cross into this system, Like the fact that the Packers are off 1 exact win and the Niners being off back to back spread losses. Historically teams like the Packers playing in their second game off a home win and cover have been dead in the water vs rested teams off a spread loss. So I wont bore you here with the parameters of 4-5 more systems that all point to the Niners. I will tell you that San Francisco looked solid and came back with excellent results in out Computer Simulations. Many will point to the Green Bay home loss revenge from week one. However, while the Packer shave been solid with revenge, this may be too tough a spot to exact it. The Packers will be lucky to get the 20+ points they scored in the first game. On Defense they allowed 30 at home and it figures to be tougher here vs a San Francisco defense that ranks right behind Denver and Seattle and will be tough to score on today. The Niners will want to get rid of last years loss here to the Giants which prevented them from a super bowl and set up the aforementioned system. Coach Harbaugh has won 10 of 11 times vs teams that have won more than 2/3 of their games and as an organization the Niners are 18-6 at home in the playoffs. Kappernick does not have the pedigree of an A. Rogers however he has a better chance of success as he and the Niners should be able to run on the Packers in this one. Another troubling sign for Green Bay is how lack luster they looked in the Second half against a Beaten Minnesota team. The Packers scored 24 points in a game where they should have been in the high 30/s. Those type of lapses here will have them in hot water, The Niners know the way to beat the Packers is to get pressure on Rogers, and when you can do that his accuracy on his throws gets affected. When you learn how to beat Green Bay is easier the second time around. Just ask the Giants. Green Bay had revenge at home last year, vs a Giants team that figured them out on offense. That revenge made no difference as the Giants disposed of the Packers with ease in the playoffs last season. We look for the Niners to do the same. Take San Francisco here tonight.

On Saturday the AFC Playoff payoff side is on Denver. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. The Broncos were a big simulation winner cashing nearly 80% of the time. They are solid on both sides of the ball and have the Best defense outside of Seattle. The Broncos are 10-1 to the spread as a favorite and 20-6 ats off a bye week. In game against the AFC North they have coasted winning and cashing all 4. The Favorite in this series has cashed the last 4 times as well. The Ravens may have revenge on their minds. However they already lost 34-17 at home just a month ago to these Broncos. What stands out about that game is they they were down 17 at the half mainly due to turnovers but could only play even with Denver at home in the second half. Lat week the Ravens had their way on the ground and with short passes against a Colts defense ranked 29th against the run. No such luck here against a Broncos run defense that is ranked 3rd in the league. They no longer have the Lewis momentum, and their is a great deal of concern that with the wrinkles the Broncos have added Payton and Co, may make the Ravens defense look very old here today. This perhaps is why we don't hear a peep from Lewis and or any of the Baltimore players this week. On Offense we know that Denver can score 30 with their eyes closed here. The Ravens though have struggled and looked inept for most of the season on the road. The Ravens simply do not win when they are dogs of 9 or more losing 16 straight times in this role. We all know that if we can pick the winner of these games our chances of cashing are much greater at spread success. Now for a system we note that game 2 playoff teams off 1 home favored win and cover exact lose to the spread around 80% of the time. We have several Variations to this system that pertain to Denver's performance in their last game that will take the 80% to close to 100%. However I'm not looking to write a novel and I commend those of you who have read up to this point In the end the Ravens will have no answer to Denver and if they start turning it over it will get ugly fast. Lay the Points in this one.

On Sunday the NFC Power System play is on Washington. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. After 50,000 simulations of this game Seattle on average won by 1 point and 53% of the time.The fact remains though that certain NFL Wildcard home dogs in the wild card round are 14-4 since 1978 and there is a 100% Subset which remains for my eyes only. Washington is 10-1 at home in the playoffs and is on a major run winning 7 straight. Seattle has won 5 straight. However, The Sea hawks are 2-20 ats, when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from the turnover advantage. Washington will be loud, and Seattle has not been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home. The 12th man will be loud and Seattle will have the same problems their opponents have with noise. In the battle of the 2 rookie Qb/s we look for RG3 To get the cash here as a 3 points home dog. Seattle is 0-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for a close game. Take the 3 points.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system here that plays on home teams that are off a conference championship game loss last year, vs an opponent off a win by 9 or more points. These teams are an incredible 18-1 straight up and to the spread. The Ravens will be fired up with Ray Lewis back in the defensive huddle. Baltimore averages over 31 points per game at home and the Colts are allowing 29 on the road. We also want to play against road teams like the Colts that are off a division win by 4 or more points, that scored 24 or more points. In general road teams off a dog win vs A division rival have been inept in the playoffs historically. The Colts are way ahead of the game with the progress that rookie Qb A. Luck has had. This game will serve as a big lesson in what looks to be a promising career. The Ravens will give him looks he has not seen and he will have to keep the ball away from Ed Reed. Any turnovers here and this could get ugly. The Ravens are 5-1 straight up and to the spread in the Wild card round. They are 5-1 with 4 spread wins as a home favorite from 3.5 to 7. The playoffs have not been kind to dome teams in the outdoor games and Baltimore has more big game poise and b Joe Flacco has made the playoffs in every year of his career and has 7 starts. Strong running game with Pearce and Rice will be too much here. Lay the points.

On Saturday the NFC Power System Play is on Green Bay. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Packers are in a right back rematch game here after losing last week at Minnesota in a game the Vikings needed to make this game possible. The Vikings led by Adrian Peterson were all out to win and were able to get in overtime while rushing for over 200 yards. What we want to do is play against road dogs off a home dog win while scoring 28 or more points and rushing for over 200 yards. These teams are 0-16 straight and 2-14 ats, including 0-7 ats if the opponent scored 21 or more last game losing by an average 20 points per game. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover in all 4 outdoor games this season and we all know how dome teams do on the road in the cold. These teams have failed to cover 24 of the last 33 times. Minnesota is 4-17 ats on the road off a win of 3 or less points and come in off 4 dog wins. The Packers lost last year and were the first team to win 15 games in the regular season without winning at least one playoff game. That loss sets them up in this little nugget. Play on teams at home in game one of the playoffs that lost as a favorite at home last season. These teams are 12-5 ats since 1976 and 9-0 ats with same season division revenge.. Wait there's more. Home teams that allowed 26 or more in their last game vs a division opponent are 7-3 ats. The Packers are 5-1 with 4 spread wins with revenge. The Packers are 24-0 ATS since, 2002 when they are off a game in which they trailed at the half and punted fewer than four times, as long as they were not a dog of more than a TD in that game.The Packers are 11-0 ATS since 2003 as a favorite when they are off a road game in which they scored 34-plus points. WERE PACKER BACKERS TONIGHT.

On Sunday night the NFL Play is on Dallas. Game 315 at 8:30 eastern. Teams facing Washington the second time have done a better job defensively and that's what we will expect here tonight. On Thanksgiving Day Washington went in to Dallas and won 38-31 aided by +2 turnover margin and having held the Cowboys to just 35 yards rushing. Dallas has not closed out the season well under coach Garrett, however they will be tough to beat here and will look to end the Skins 6 game win steak knowing that The Redskins are 0-19 Ats when hosting a team with fewer wins on the season, as long as they are not on a two-plus game losing streak. They are also 1-7 ats as a favorites vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has won their last 2 revenge games and will be tough to down here tonight. Take Dallas.



In NCAAB Action the bonus Play is on the Dayton Flyers. Game 821 at 7:00 eastern. Dayton is 18-3 vs losing teams, 12-1 vs opponent that score 65 or less and 31-12 vs non conference teams. USC is not very good and the stats show that. Souther Cal is 2-6 vs winning teams and have lost 24 of 32 vs teams who allow 65 or less. The Trojans are 8-27 after a game where they allowed 60 or less. Take Dayton

3 team 10 points teaser. St. Louis +21, Baltimore +12, San Francisco -7



The Rams want this game to finish .500 and will play hard the whole way through, taking them up to 21 in this one is a steal as they can handle the noise here in Seattle and may catch the Hawks a little flat off a big win vs the Niners. The Seahawks are 0-15 ATS when they are off a non-Monday 21-plus point win as a favorite.




The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. The Bengals never play well as a favorite after playing the Steelers as they have lost the last 8 times in that role. They too may be flat off a big road win in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won their last game the last 6 years. We will tease the Ravens up to 12.





The 49ers are 12-0 ATS the last 5 years when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. They may really lay it on an Arizona team with no Quarterback in Lindley or Skelton. Getting the Niners at -6.5 looks like a solid investment in this teaser. Plus we know they will wan to bounce back from the Whipping they took in Seattle.

On Sunday the Last Home Game Super System Game is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 320 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings are 6-1 at home this season and come in with revenge in this one. The Vikings fit several solid system here today. One of my favorite is the one that cashed just a few weeks back when Dallas took down the Steelers as a 3 point home dog. We want to play on home dogs that are winning teams at +7 or less that are off a road dog win vs an opponent off a win. These teams are 33-4 ats. Furthermore teams like the Vikes off 3 straight dog wins are undefeated vs a division opponent that is off an ats win by 10 or more points. Another system is the Artificial turf home dog off a road dog win system which has ben solid the last 30+ years. Moving forward Divisional home dog that scored 20 or more back to back vs an opponent off a win is solid as well. The Vikings are 5-0 off a non conference games vs a division teams that won their last game by 10 or more. With all the systems on the Vikings here today we will look their way and take the 3-4 points. Make it Minnesota.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.




On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.




On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears.

On Sunday the NFC West Sunday night Power Side is on San Francisco. Game 129 at 8:30 eastern. Seattle is the first team since 1950 to score 50 or more back to back. Now they have to face the Vaunted Niners defense which allowed over 30 points in a win in New England. Teams teams with the line being 3 points to pick either way that scored 50 or more last week have covered just once long term. San Francisco has covered 7 straight when they and their opponent are both off back to back wins and covers. Coach Carrol is 0-8 ats if favored vs winning teams off a win by 2 or more touchdowns, and 1-7 vs an opponent off 2 or more wins and covers. The Niners are 5-0 as dogs off a non conference dog win. So this tell me there is no bounce off the Patriots win. The 49ers are 14-0 ATS when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. The Seahawks are 1-20 ATS when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Look for San Francisco to win this one.

On Sunday the Late afternoon system Play is on Baltimore. Game 122 at 4:25 eastern Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are winless up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting points at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright. Look for Baltimore +3 to bounce back and get the cash here today.

On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the 3 game Power Teaser for 10 points is Denver to -2. Game 125 at 4:05 eastern. Green Bay. Game 104 at 1:00 eastern to -2.5 and Baltimore. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern.


For Denver. The Broncos are 13-2 ATS vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. They fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of 10.5 to 15 that are off back to back road favorite wins and covers. These teams are 23-0 and 17-5-1 since 1980.The Browns are 0-12 ATS when they are off a 16-plus point ATS loss vs a non-divisional opponent.


For Green Bay. The Packers fit a last home game system vs teams in their last road game. Add in the fact that teams in their final regular season home game off 3+ wins and covered vs a Team under .699 and also off a win and cover are 15-3 ats. The Packers at -2.5 in teaser, that just wrong, they may win by 20.




For Baltimore. Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are 0-5 straight up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting over 12 at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright.

On Saturday the NFL Triple system Super Side is on Detroit. Game 102 at 8:30 eastern. The Lions have several solid indicators going for them tonight. Here we go. We want to play on Saturday dogs that are off a straight up loss as a favorite, vs an opponent that comes in off an ats win by more than a touchdown. The last 33 years these teams have covered 92% of the time. Atlanta was "Salty", the phrase M.Ryan used to describe the teams attitude last week vs the Giants, and we had them big as they bounced back from a bad loss to Carolina and shutout the Giants 34-0. That win sets them up in a negative system that pertains to late season non divisional road teams off a shutout win. These road teams have failed 94% of the time when their opponent had less than 100 yards rushing. Detroit has lost their last 3 home games, all in a row and all by 4 or less points. The Lions are 11-0 ATS vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game in which they suffered an ATS loss of more than 21 points and they scored ten points or less..The Falcons are 1-15 ATS when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their season average. The Falcons are also 0-7 ats on Saturday off a win and the Lions have covered 8 of the last 9 as dogs with revenge in December if their opponent won by 10 or more in their last game. The Lions lost here last season and should be motivated for this one as game 15 home dogs off back to back losses are 14-2 ats if they played their final road game last week. Take the 4-5 points with Detroit. 6* NFC WEST GAME OF THE YEAR GOES SUNDAY

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 332 at 8:40 eastern This game fits a 100% system that plays against the Jet and any road dog of 3 or less on Monday Night football that comes in off a road favored win. This one has cashed all 10 times Long term. Eve better the home team is winning by an average 28-11 score in games where the line is a basic Pick. Much Like Our Atlanta Winner on Sunday we simply cannot use all the spread trends that apply in a game with low of a line. The Jets have controlled the series of late. However can we really back a team that has thrown for a measly 216 yards the past 2 weeks. A team that has a Qb in Sanchez that has regressed to the point where they must run the ball and not ask him to make tough throws to avoid all the turnovers he commits. How bad has Sanchez become. Just look at what the Washington rookie Qb Cousins was able to do against a solid defense on the road in Cleveland on Sunday. Sanchez may not even be one of the top backups in this league at this point. The Jets defense has kept them hanging around at 6-7. The Jets have trailed two terrible teams 3-0 at the half the last 2 weeks before luckily coming back to win. The Titans have had more yardage than their opponents the last 4 weeks and have been playing much tougher teams all season, should they get the lead the could be off to the races as the Jets will commit turnovers trying to catch up. The Titans have won the last 3 on Monday night the Jets have lost 6 of 7 as a dog. The Titans are 5-1 straight up at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Jets have a decent defense that cant be expected to shut down teams every week and the Titans have a much better offense than Arizona and Jacksonville. Look for the Titans to win this one here tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the San Francisco at New England Game . Rotation numbers 329/330 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has played to the under every time the last 10 years and goes like this. Play the under for home teams with a total of 50 or less if they are off a home favored win and scored 42 or more points, vs an opponent like the Niners that scored 21 or more at home in their last game. The Niners have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and 2 of 3 here in the series. When they are non conference Dogs of 4 or more they have played under in 8 straight. They have played under in 7 of 8 before games vs Seattle. The Patriots have have a tougher time scoring vs this Vaunted San Francisco Defense. Take the Under in this one.

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

SUNDAY 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER JACKSONVILLE +17.5, BUFFALO +15.5 AND KC +13


On Sunday the 3 team teaser is on Jacksonville to +17.5. Game 313 at 1:00 eastern. The Jags fit a tight system here that plays on road dogs from 7-10 in non division games if both teams enter off non division losses. Miami is off a loss to the Niners and Jacksonville to the Jets. The above system has cashed 38 of the last 44 times and many of times for us the past few seasons. The Jags are 4-1 ats on the road of late . Miami is 0-8 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more and 0-3 vs AFC South teams.The Dolphins are 1-12 ATS at home when they scored fewer points than their season average in each of their last two games. Finally the Jaguars are 9-0 ats on the road of a loss. Take the points in this interstate matchup with Jacksonville.



Buffalo +15.5. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more



Kansas City Chiefs +13. Game 327 at 4:25 eastern. The Chiefs have covered 15 of the last 17 times off a non division loss of 10 or more points and 11 of the last 13 on the road off a road loss. The Raiders have failed to cover 13 of the last 14 as a favorite off 2 or more losses and cant seem to get out of their own way this season.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on Baltimore. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens should come out with a Huge motivation here as they received a Big kick in the ass from coach Harbaugh with the firing of ling time friend and Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. I look for Qb Flacco to have a big game here in this one against Denver. Here is why. There are Several Cutting edge Power systems in application for this game. First we want to plays against road favorites Like Denver that are off a 4+ game win streak if they lost on the road prior to the steak. Secondly we want to plays against second half road teams at +3 to -3 that are off a road win of 10 or more, another high end system. For Baltimore we want to play on home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite of 7 or more. These home teams have Never failed to cover the spread. The Ravens are 7-0 straight up and to the spread vs AFC West teams and 9-1 ats at home off an ats loss in the final 4 games of the season. The Broncos are 1-8 ats off back to back wins and covers. Peyton Manning for all his accolades has failed to cover 8 of 9 times vs winning teams in December. Denver is 0-5 straight up and to spread here in Baltimore. The Ravens are 16-1 ats when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Baltimore is also 10-2 ats when they are off a game in which they allowed 24-plus points and the game went over the total by double-digits. Look for Baltimore to at the very least Cover in this one in what looks like an outright win.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 306 at 1:05 eastern. Atlanta plays this one with Revenge from last seasons 24-2 loss here in what was a shutout for their offense. They have this game circled and was perhaps the reason they were beat last week in Carolina. There are several solid indicators for this game as well. We note that the Falcons are 11-2 at home with a total of more than 40 if they had less than 50 yards rushing as a road favorite. They are 5-0 off a loss and 3-0 vs NFC East teams most recently. In tight games where the line is +3 to -3 they have won 7 of 9. They get no respect this year due to their close wins this season. However they may very well be sitting on a large performance here. The Giants are 0-4 on the road when the total is 42 or higher and they scored 42 or more in their last game, losing by an average 14 points per game in that role. In fact all road teams in this league long term are winless when the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 42 or more vs an opponent that rushed for less than 50 yards. Home teams like the Falcons here have Never lost when the total is higher than 42 and they scored 21 or less on the road with less than 50 yards rushing and 300 or more yards passing. The Falcons have been a cash machine the past few season in December vs Non division teams, cashing 8 of the last 9. The Best part of the aforementioned is that they are not based on the spread, but on straight up situations, which is what you use in game where the line is a basic pick. The DIRTY BIRDS Today.

On Thursday the NFL Super system Play is on Philadelphia and over the total. Game 302 AT 8:25 Eastern. This game fits another solid short rest system we use which has been Kicking tail again this season. We want to play on home teams on short rest that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 250 or more yards passing with a total that was more than 40. These home teams are 12-1 ats and winning by an average 31-21 score, as these games have also played to the over at a high percentage as well. So we will back the Eagles and the over in this one. We also note that road teams with a total of 42.5 to 49 off a straight up favored loss like the Bengals have played to the over 31 of 38 times if they are .500 or better.. The Bengals are a terrible 0-6 straight up in road games when the posted total is 42.5 to 45 and 0-4 ats as favorites vs an opponent off a dog win. The Eagles are 8-0 ats as home dogs in certain situations vs an opponent that lost as a favorite. With the line moving up for Philly and the Bengals having short rest off a devastating late blown loss to Dallas we will take The Eagles and the points and the over in this one. This Sunday will be the release of the 7* NFL Game of the year + a 5* Bowl total on Saturday.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 134 at 8;40 eastern. This game fits an exclusive Road system that has won all 16 times since 1980. We want to play against any team in their third straight road game, Like the Texans here tonight off a win, provided they have a win percentage of .666 to .921 and they are not a favorite of 3 or more. We also note that .400 or better Monday night teams as a non division home dog or favorite of 5 or less off a win with 12+ wins last year have covered 17 of the last 22 on Monday night Football. The Patriots are 20-0 in the 2nd half since 2010 and have a +51 turnover differential in that time span. They are 6-1 ats in the first of back to back home games vs Non divisional teams and Brady is 12-2 ats on Monday night vs opponents with at least one loss. The Patriots have won and covered the last 4 Monday nighters overall and are 15-1 straight up off a division game. Both teams have won 6 straight. However this is Houston's third straight road game with no bye in between and they are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 49 or higher and 0-4 with just 1 spread win as a road dog from +3.5 to +7. They have lost to the spread in 4 of the last 5 on Turf and will likely have their one weakness in pass defense exposed in this one. The Patriots have a way of playing up or down to the competition and will very likely play one of their best games here tonight according to computer Simulations of this game. Look for the Patriots to win and cover.

On Sunday night were Packer Backers. Game 132 at 8;30 eastern. Home favorites in this range with a total of more than 40 cashed big if they scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game and had 250 or more yards passing, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also had 250 or more yards passing. The average win score for these homers is 35-15, if we insist that the home team alos rushed for over 150 yards the system goes perfect and wins by over 25 points per game. Green Bay is 21-0 and 14-5-2 ats at home vs the Lions. The Packers are 3-0 ats vs division teams and have covered 3 of 4 as a home favorite in this range. Detroit blew a late lead last week to the Colts and we have to wonder where their heads are after a loss like that which was their 3rd straight home. Coach Schwarts may be out as his team has too much talent to be this far under .500. The Defense has been the main culprit as they have allowed 24 or more in their last 4 games. The Lions are 0-4 and 1-3 to the spread with revenge and 3-10 ats in the second half vs winning teams. In road games where the total is 49 or higher Detroit is 0-5 straight up and ats. Detroit may be ready to throw in the towel as they have virtually no chance at he playoffs. For those still alive in survivor pools. How do you go against a team that has lost 21 straight times at a particular venue. Last season I thought this streak could end as the Lions were a 6 point favorite here in the last game of the season and the Packers rested everyone. Rogers didn't play and they still lost. Packer backers here today no way around it.

On Sunday the Late Afternoon Dog is on Arizona. Game 129 at 4:25 eastern. This line is way out of whack here today. Arizona has lost 8 straight after starting 4-0. They would have won last week against a Pathetic Jets attack. However Coach Whisenhunt insisted on leaving rookie Qb and his deer in the head lights look on the field, costing them the game. Now he will have Skelton back and starting. Had Skelton been in last week the Cardinals may have been better than 0 for 15 on 3rd down. This game should be much closer here today. Seattle is off a big win at Chicago last out and should not be expected to now cover a double digit spread. In fact we want to play against favorites from -3.5 to -10 that have won 57 to 60% of their games in the second half the the past few seasons as they have failed to cover 40 of the last 51 times. Take Arizona to keep this one close.

On Sunday the Early 5* Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 16-0 ATS since 2002 on the road when they are off a game in which the converted less than one-third of their third-downs and punted at least three times as a favorite.They are also 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.. Baltimore has been money off a favored loss and are 9-0 ats as non division dogs off an ats loss of 10 or more. Coach Harbaugh is 5-0 ats on the road off a favored loss. For technical purposes we note that road teams are PERFECT since 1989 from +3 to -3 if they scored 21 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Need more? Washington is 1-3 ats in the series and have lost to the spread the last 7 times after facing the NY. Giants. They are also 0-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Finally, teams off back to back dog wins have not covered the last 32+ years vs an opponent that is at least 60% of their games on the season. Take Baltimore Today.


On Sunday the Power play is on the Bengals. Game 124 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit a nice system that plays on teams from +3 to -3 if they allowed 17 or less and have a solid Point differential. The system has cashed 24 of 27 times. The Bengals are 9-1 ats vs opponent that allow 61% or more pass completions. Dallas is 1-12 ats off 1 or more wins. and 1-7 off a division homer. The Bengals have covered the last 4 at home in the series and are a hot team right now. Take the Bengals

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the same Short turn around system we used last week to cash 3 of 4. We want to reverse the totals result between two teams that played within a 2-3 week period. These two played under 2 Weeks ago and now their on the turf here in Minnesota. The Vikings have played over in 12 of 13 off 3 straight division games, 11 of 13 at home with division revenge, 5 of 7 as a home dog of 3 or less and 5 of 7 in the 2nd meeting vs the Bears. Chicago has gone over 5 of 5 times as a division road favorite vs an opponent with revenge, 6 of 7 after Seattle, 4 of 5 after a loss and 4 of 5 before playing the Packers. You had me at short turnaround- Take the Over in what looks like a high scoring affair.



Bonus 3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Baltimore to +12.5, San Francisco to even, SD Chargers +19

The Ravens are 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.

The 49ers are 13-0 ATS since 2008 at home when they played on the road last week and they have a road game next week.

Play against teams like the Steelers as a non division favorite off a+7 or higher road dog win vs a divison rival, Chargers keep this close against a rusty Rothlisberger. Chargers 6-0 game 13

On Thursday the NFL power System play is on Oakland. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Broncos are 0-17 ATS 2006 in the last 4 games of the season they are off a non-divisional opponent. Home Dogs of more than 8 have cashed 24 of the last 26 times and the Raiders have Blowout loss revenge for a 38-6 drubbing earlier in the season in Denver. The worst loss for them vs Denver in several years. The Broncos are 0-10 ats in the second half vs teams that have been outscored by 10 or more points and have failed to cover 11 of the last 13 as a division favorite of 6 or more. Oakland is 9-0 ats as a division dog off a loss. The General thinking ids that Carson Palmer and the Raiders offense will keep this one close enough to cover the spread. Take Oakland.

On Monday night the NFL Selection is on the Washington Redskins. Game 368 at 8:40 eastern. There are 3 Very strong systems that apply to this one. This is the 2nd meeting between these two this season. The first one was won by the Giants in a game where they hit a Long late 70+ yard Manning to V. Cruz touchdown pass. The Giants have struggled with Washington of late and are laying 3 points in this one. We note that That Washington is 10-0 ats vs teams that allow 6+ yards per play in the second half of the season. They have covered 2 of 3 vs winning teams this season and are 9-0 ats when playing off 2 or more wins vs an opponent off a win. They have covered in 4 of the last 5 in this series and al 3 times in divisional games this season. The Giants have ailed to cover in 11 of the last 13 when playing an opponent off a dog win. Home teams on Monday night have done well off a road win when taking on an opponent that won and covered at home in their last game covering 26 of the last 33 times. Since 1979 home dogs of more than 1 on Monday night off a road dog win are 19-1 ats vs an opponent who played at home in their last game in divisional affairs. The Skins fit just about every subset and variation of the home dog off the road dog win system, so there's no need to specify all of them. The Giants blew the doors off Green Bay last week as they simply have figured out how to stop Rogers and the Packers and took advantage of a Packers team that was without Clay Mathews and had several key injuries. Tonight it will be much tougher to stop RG3. The Crowd will be loud and I look for Washington to get the win in this one. Take the Points.

On Sunday night the Totals Play is on the Under in the Philly at Dallas game. Rotation numbers 365/366 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turnaround system that reverses the results of the total when two team are playing a second time within 2-3 weeks. These two met 3 weeks ago in a wild 38-23 shoot out chocked with turnovers. This one should stay under as I expect both defenses which allowed 30 or more in their last game to play much better. Dallas has played under in 10 of 11 vs an opponent off back to back straight up and ats losses. Look for this one to stay under.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

On Sunday the NFL Power System Play is on the Chargers. Game 364 at 4:25 eastern. San Diego has won 5 of the last 6 here vs the Bengals. The Chargers blew the game on Sunday losing in overtime to a Baltimore team that was awarded a 4th and 29 first down after the replays showed they didn't get the first down yardage, but since the markers were moved after the play and they could not be put to the exact spot they were on 4th down, the Ravens were given the first down, and were in field goal range tied the scored and won in overtime in a game that was really Botched by the League. Today the Chargers should bounce back as they are 5-0 ats as a conference home dog. The Bengals have played much better of late after losing 4 straight. However this is a tough game and they are not the type of team that is good enough to win back to back road games. Road teams +3 to -3 have been poor investments long term if coming off a home game where they scored 28 or more vs an opponent off a home game that scored 14 or less. Look for the Chargers to get the win.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

NFL TOTALS PLAY UNDER RAMS-NINERS

3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Miami to +19 Jets to +4, Dallas even



The Dolphins. Game 354 at 1:00 eastern are 8-0 ATS (+10.2 ppg) since 1993 as a dog the week after a win in which they were losing at the end of the third quarter.




The Jets. Game 346 at 1:00 eastern are 11-0 ATS at home when they played at home last week.The Cardinals are 1-16 ATS as a road dog after a home game in which they had at least four red zone attempts and failed on at least two of them.




Dallas: Game 366 at 8:30 Eastern Home favorites of 10 or more with 6 or more days rest that scored 21 or more at home vs an opponent off a home game are 15-1 straight up.

On Thursday night the NFC Super system Side is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a Perfect system that wins by an average 23 points per game. We want to plays on home favorites with a total of 44.5 or more that scored 21 or more points as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog while Rushing for less than 100 yards. The Falcons offense is just a few yards off that of the Saints. However the defense is a big advantage for the Falcons by over 90 yards. The Saints are 1-3 on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher. The Falcons are 6-1 ats on Thursday and 18-1 straight up vs teams under .500 at the point they play them. Atlanta has quadruple revenge and should be propelled by a nice win at Tampa,escaping with a 24-23 win. The Saints may be deflated off a 31-21 loss to the Niners and it will be tough coming back from that on short rest. Look for Atlanta to win and cover here tonight.