The NFL Totals Play is in the under in the Buffalo at NYJ Game. Rotation numbers 109/110 at 8:25 eastern. This should be an old school defensive battle with 2 solid defensive minds squaring off in Ryan and Bowles. The Database agrees as Thursday home favorites are 0-12 to the under with an average 34 points scored if the home team scored 28 or more at home and the road team scored 21 or more at home in their last games.Both teams have high end rush defenses which will also be key as there is a 70% chance of rain for this game. The Jets are 5 of 6 under in weeks 10 to 13 while the Bills are 5 of 7 to the under in that time frame. The Bills have stayed under in 6 of 8 on the road if the total is 42.5 to 45 and the Jets 3 of 4 at home on Thursdays. Look for this one to go under tonight in a big divisional game.

The Double perfect t system play is on Chicago. Game 473 at 8:05 eastern. The Bears are 15-2 ats vs AFC West teams that are under .500 and beat KC on the road as 9 point dog earlier in the year. They have covered 3 of the last 4 on MNF and have the offensive fire power to stay with a Chargers team that can score but allows nearly 30 points per game at home this year. Monday night home teams are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 ats with a bye week on deck if both teams enter off a loss. Monday night road teams are 13-0 ats off a home loss between 1-3 points. The Chargers are 0-3 ats at home off a road loss  and 1-5 straight up and ats in the series. Take Chicago plus the points

The Sunday night Slammer is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 471 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles are set to soar off their bye week and are 12-3 ats on the road with 2+ home games up, they have covered 6 straight when tight end Ertz had 5+ catches. In games in Dallas they have covered 4 of the last 5. Sunday night home dogs in division games have failed to cover every time the last few seasons vs an opponent off a loss. Dallas is 1-8 ats home with 2+ road games up. The Cowboys are also 0-11 ats if the line is +3 to -3 vs a team that throws the ball 35 or more times per game. Philly has revenge here and Dallas is fading fast. Take the Eagles.

465 at 4:05 eastern off shore steam nmove on Atlanta Falcons. This game was hit hard with a jumbo buy order. These moves are on a 68-38 all Sports run and cashed out yesterday with an outright dog win on Old Dominion. Take Atlanta

The NFC Totals Play is on the Over in the Atlanta at SF Game. Rotation numbers 465/466 at 4;05 eastern. Perfect totals system alert has the over for road favorites like Atlanta laying -2.5 or more off a divisional overtime loss. All non division teams have gone under 13 of 15 times if both teams have bye weeks after this game Certain dogs that score 6 or les in their last 2 games have stayed under 17 straight times the last 26 seasons. The Niners are 4 of 4 over vs non division teams off back to back division games and 4 of 5 over as a dog of less than 10 off back to back straight up and ats losses.. The Falcons have posted overs in 7 of 8 vs NFC West teams and 5 of 6 vs non division road favorites of -3.5 or more and 4 of 5 off a home favored loss. Look for this one to go over as the Niners bench Kappy and go with Gabby and Atlanta get their Mojo back on offense today.

The Early Super system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 452 at 1;00 eastern. The Steelers are 100% to the spread at home off a home a home game scoring 14 or less vs a team that scored 28 or more winning by 14 points per game. Road dogs off a +3 or more home dog win by 7+ points have not won or covered the last 26 years vs a team off a loss that scored 14 or less and lose by 12 points per game. The Steelers are 19-0 ats on the grass vs a non division team that is off 2+ wins and is not 2 or more games better than them in the standings. Steelers have covered 6 of 7 with double revenge. Oakland has failed to cover 10 of 13 vs winning teams, 0-6 ats if they had a 100+ yard rushing performance. The Raiders are 0-10 ats on grass of a spread win vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss and 2-8 ats vs the AFC North. The play is on Pittsburgh.

 BONUS 3 Team 10 point teaser-Vikings, Patriots, Steelers

 The Dog with Bite that can win outright is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 464 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are undefeated and 8-0 ats +3 to-3 if they out yarded their opponent last out. The Packers suffered their first loss and that sets them up in a 24-3 system that plays against certain favorites of 7 or less off their first loss in week 6 or later. The Packers have failed to cover 7 of 10 in November. The Panthers are 9-0 ats with revenge vs a team that wins 70& or more of their games. Panthers are Packer Smackers today. Take the Points with Carolina.

The NFC Power system play is on the Vikings. Game 456 at 1:00 eastern. Minnesota has covered 4 of 5 in the series  and is 9-1 ats off back to back division games, vs a non division teams. They are 7-0 ats on turf v a team off back to back wins by 10 or more. St. Lois is 0-10 ats on the turf if they were out yarded last out and 0-6 ats on the road with a total of 38.5 to 42. Minny has covered 10 of 12 in that same totals range. Non division road dogs with triple revenge are 1-14 ats as a dog vs a team off a win. Make it Minnesota.

The AFC Totals Play is on the under in Miami vs Buffalo game. Rotation numbers 457 at 458 at 1:00 eastern. Road dogs in the 2nd of a 3 game trip have played under in 12 of 15 if they went under last week. Teams off 28+ point loss like Miami have gone under 90% of the time if the loss was divisional. AFC East specific home favorites with a total of 41.5 or higher have played under 92% at -1.5 to -6.5. Over the last 35 seasons in the NFL Teams who scored 7 or less but scored 70+ points in the 2 prior games have gone under every times as long as they are getting no more than 13 points. The Dolphins are 7 of 7 under in game 8, 7 of 2 in 2nd of back to back division. Buffalo is 5 of 5 under as a division home favorite of -1.5 or higher. Look for this one to go under the total.

The Double Perfect NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Browns at Bengals game. Rotation numbers 305/306 at 8:25 eastern. Line is a big high for the side. However Cincy has last seasons 24-3 loss in mind as a 6 point favorite to these Browns. This should be another lower scoring games. The Bengal have an under rated defense and should be able to slow down Manziel and Cleveland here tonight.  Thursday home favorites of 10 or more have gone under every time if the total is 44.5 or more. Thursday road dogs have played under every time at 7 or more off a home dog loss vs an opponent who scored 21 or less and these games average 31 points per game. If Manziel plays decent here and doesnt turn the ball over 5 times this one stays under.

Monday night Football takes center stage tonight. We have what looked to be a great game prior to the season. Tonight we will back the Carolina Panthers at 8;35 eastern. Carolina is undefeated and the Winner is 11-1 ats in their Monday night games. The Colts have been exposed as an inept team with several holes as they will probably once again win the weakest division in the NFL in the AFC South. The Colts have failed to cover 3 of 4 as a dog in this range and are 0-7 ats on the road off 2 previous road wins. Carolina is 6-1 ats at home if the total is 45.5 to 49. Colts are 0-4 ats if total is 42.5 to 49. Now for the Masterpiece. Play on Non division Monday night Home favorites off a win, vs an opponent off a loss by 3 or more and ats loss by 3 or more. Colts were upset at home by the Saints. There is a subset to the system that is 26-1 since 1980. There are also 2 more power systems that apply to Carolina. Both of which pertain to Monday night Football. Take Carolina tonight.

The Sunday night Slammer is on Denver. Game 274 ay 8:35 eastern. Denver has a better defense here and the home field will go along way tonight as Denver is 10-0 at home in games where the total is 45.5 to 49. The Packers 1-14 straight and 0-14 to the spread as a favorite at -6.5 or less vs a team with an identical record and off a home game. The Pack has failed to cover 8 straight after allowing 295+ yards passing and 9 straight if they allowed 100 yards more than their season average. Now for some dynamite from the database. Non Conference Road favorites with a total that is 40.5 or more that are off a home favored win and ats loss are 0-6 ats since 1989 vs an opponent off a road win scoring 21+ points. Green Bay will be feeling the effects of that thin night air out in Denver Sunday night. Cant back the Pack. We are Doing Denver tonight.

NFL Off shore steam move over Seattle vs Dallas at 4:25 eastern. These plays are on a 67-36 run and have been exceptional in all sports. Take the over.

 The AFC Power system Play is on the NY. Jets. Game 269 at 4:05 eastern. The Jets will look to bounce back from a tough blown lead loss to the Patriots. Conference road favorites off a +3 or more dog loss where they scored 21+ points are 20-2 since 1989, and if they passed for 250+ yards passing they are Perfect and win by 13 points per game. The Jets have out gained every opponent this year and catch the Raiders off a big divisional road dog win. Oakland is 1-10 ats after playing the Chargers vs a non divisional team that beat them in their last game. Oakland has lost 13 of 15 off a division win and are 8-21 ats as a home dog of 3 or less. They are 1-4 vs AFC East teams and 3-12 vs winning teams. Raiders are 0-7 ats home +3 to-3 off road win and were out gained and 0-6 ats home after allowing 300+ yards passing. The Jets have a defense that is 100 yards better. Jets to win

The Early Banger system is on the NY. Giants. Game 257 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants are off a big Division win over Dallas and they do well off division wind going 4-1 of late. They have won 11 of the last 15 vs losing teams and are a tremendous 16-0 ats as a dog off a win where they did not turn the ball over. G-men are 6-0 ats on the road If they had a pick 6 in their last game. On to our power system. We want to play against home favorites in non division games off a +3 or more dog win, vs an opponent off a home favored division win and cover while scoring 21 or more points. These home teams are big time money burners covering 1 Times the last 26 years. Saints are off back to back dog wins and are still inconsistent. Saints are 4-23 ats off a dog win, covered by 10 or more vs a team with revenge.  Take the Giants. Bonus teaser below
BONUS 3 team teaser, Houston, Seattle and Cincinnati

NFL Members only total Under Texans vs Titans

NFL members only Play. Over Chargers vs Ravens at 1:00 eastern

The Thursday night NFL Power  system play is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 101 at 8:30 eastern. Miami is riding the shock value coaching change momentum with Dan Campbell. They are in a solid spot here as they catch the Patriots feeling good odd emotional wins over the Colts and Jets. Thursday Divisional dogs are 5-1 straight up and 6-0 ats if both teams are off a home favored wins. Miami is in the first of 3+ road games and teams that are in this system and not laying 4 or more points are 28-8 ats long term. Miami is 15-2 ats in the first of back to back road games and the Patriots are 1-4 ats off  Jets win  and have failed to cover 4 of 5 on Thursdays off a division game. This game should be close throughout. Make it Miami.

The NFL Power play is On The Arizona Cardinals on Monday night football at 8:30 eastern. Baltimore is depleted in the defensive back fields and will have a tough time stopping the higher powered home attack the Cardinals will display here. Looking at the spread is not a concern. Since 1989 Monday night non road dogs of 3 or more that lose the game have failed to cover every time if they are coming off a road favored loss  like the Ravens. The average loss is by 16 points per game. Arizona lost last week and also lost their last home game. They have covered 12 of 16 vs losing teams an are 4-0 straight up and at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. Coach Arians is 11-3 ats off a loss and the Ravens are a miserable 0-5 ats as dog of 7 or more. The Ravens are 1-5 and its shaping up to be a long season for them. Look for the Cardinals to soar.

The Sunday nighter is on Philadelphia. Game 473 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles are 4-0 straight up as as road dog of 3 or less. The Eagles appear poised to make a run in the NFC East. Conference road dogs off a home favored win and cover by 7+ points that scored 21 or more points and had 150+ yards rushing are 10-0 ats with 8 outright wins since 1989 vs an opponent off a road dog win at +3 or more also scoring 21 or more. Carolina is 0-7 ats vs a non division team with a Monday nighter up next and have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 in the series. Last week they came up big with a win at Seattle. Tonight they come up flat vs Philly. Take the points with the Eagles

The AFC West totals play is on the under in the Oakland at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 4:05 eastern The Chargers have played under in 11 of 12 in division games where the total is more than 41 and 7 of 7 under in game 7. In the series here 9 of the last have played under. Oakland has stayed under in 10 of 11 as a division road dog if they are a dog of 9.5 or less. Division games in week 7 or later are on a 14-2 run if both teams are winning 40% or less of their games. All teams off a bye week like Oakland vs a division team have gone over 100% of the time if they played a divisional team prior to the bye.. Look for this one to stay under the total today.

NFL System play is on the NY. Jets game 459 at 1:00 eastern. The Jets fit a nice 90% dog system today and are the #1 ranked defense in football. Number one vs the run and #3 vs the pass. They are also the #1 ranked rushing team. They will take on the Patriots 23rd ranked rush defense. This will be key today as they look to keep the New England offense off the field. The Patriots really wanted last weeks game in Indianapolis as Belichick was seem hugging Brady as the time ran out, which was a rare occurence. The Pats may not be able to sustain their offense against the vaunted Jets defense. The Jets have covered the last 4 in the series and are 5-0 ats at New England in games where the Patriots are undefeated. The Jets are 8-1 ats in the series with double revenge. The Jets have rushed for over 200 yards in back to back games and have several weapons of their own on offense. The Jets know if they lose this game they are most likely playing for a wild card. We expect a top notch game from New York here and would not be surprised if they put a ton of pressure on Brady and come away with the win. That said we are taking the points here.

3 TEAM BONUS NFL TEASER, JETS, TAMPA BAY, KC

The Dog with bite is on the Titans. Game 464 at 1:00 eastern. A big database system is in full effect here tonight as we play against certain teams off their first loss of the season in this line range in week 6 or later. The Titans are in the 3rd of a 3 game home stand after losing the first two, they have covered 6 of 8 in this role. Mariota looks like a go for this game. The Titans have covered 9 of 11 vs NFC South teams and Atlanta has dropped 8 of 10 in weeks 5-9. Atlanta is better on offense but the Titans have a better defense and should stay in this game throughout. Take the points with Tennessee.

NFL Offshore steam sharp $$ jumbo total over Falcons vs Titans at 1:00 eastern. These plays are now 66-31 all sports run after cashing big NCAAF Total last night. Take the over

On Thursday night the NFL Thursday night specific totals system is on the under in the Seattle at SF Game at 8:25 eastern. We are taking the under here tonight for home dogs with a total of 36 or more off a home dog win. Thursday road teams off a non division that are off a home loss and scored 21 or more vs a team off a win have stayed under over 80% of the time.. Seattle is 13 straight unders +3 to -3 vs a division teams on the road next game. SF has pled under 7 of 10 as a dog in this range and allows just 13 points per game at home. In the series the last 5 have stayed under and thats what we will recommend tonight

The Monday night Football Power system play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 276 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles fit a rare super system that is undefeated over 27 years and plays on Monday night  Football. We are playing on Division home favorites off a home win where they scored 35+ points and are playing a team off a win. These teams average a 12 point win. The Eagles are as follows. They are 1-1 ats off a win of 13 or more vs a division team and 5-0 ats on Monday nights off a 20+ win. The Giants are 1-4 ats of late  on Monday night, 1-5 ats in the first of back to back division games and 0-6 ats off 3+ games averaging 24 or more points. They are 0-7 ats as a dog of 4 or more on Monday nights. Star wide out Odell Beckham will play but has not practiced all week. The Giants are also without one their top corners. Look for the Eagles to get the win and cover

The Sunday night power system play is on the Indy Colts. Game 274 at 8:30 eastern. Colts should be getting Luck back and are taking alot of points here tonight. The Colts fit several variations of the home dog off a road dog win systems, some of the subsets that take the winning percentage into the upper echelon is for teams off back to backs win, an opponent off a win and teams who are over .500. The colts are 8-2 in weeks 5-9 and 8-0 ats at home off a division game vs a team that is .600 or better. The Colts are 9-0 ats as home dogs and 5-1 ats with an NFC Game up next. Patriots may win, but the Colts with major blowout playoff revenge should get the cover.

The NFL Totals play is on the over in the Baltimore at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 271/272 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a powerful totals system that plays to the over for non division road favorites like Baltimore that are off a straight up division home favored loss by 3 or less points but still managed to score 21 or more. This system cashed big last week and is now 25 of 32 to the over the last 25+ years. Baltimore has gone over in 3 of 4 as a favorite and Both teams have suspect defenses that are allowing 375+ yards per game. This one goes over the total.

The NFL Power system play is on the SF 49ers. Game 272 at 4:25 eastern. The Nines are in a huge system that dates to 1980 here as we are playing against road favorites like Baltimore that are in the first of back to back road games in a non division game if they are on the road in a Monday night game up next. There is a killer 100% subset to this one and the Ravens are 1-7 ats in the first of back to back games vs a non conference team that has revenge. The Ravens are 3-7 in weeks 5-9. San Francisco is 8-1 off a loss of 3 or less and 9-2 vs losing teams. Play on SF 49ers.

NFL members only Over SD at Greenbay at 1:00 eastern

The Revenge power system play is Carolina. Game 267 at 4:05 eastern. The Panthers have playoff loss revenge and are sitting at 4-0. They are 13-1 ats in weeks 5-9 on the road vs a team off a loss. Seattle is off a devastating Over time loss in Cincy last week and may feel the effects of that game. The Panthers are 9-1 ats with conference revenge and 10-3 vs losing teams. Carolina has covered 3 of the last 4 as a dog of 3.5 to +7. Seattle is 2-8 ats in weeks 5-9.  Teams that are off a bye week and are 4-0 are 14-2 vs a team off  a loss. Coach Rivera is 4-0 ats with revenge off a win vs a losing team that is off a loss. Carolina is the revenger

NFL off shore steam move under Carolina at Seattle at 4:05 eastern. Jumbo by order in on this one. These plays are on a 64-30 run after easily cashing last nights College total. Play this one under the total

The NFL Dog with bite is on Kansas City. Game 255 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs are one of our contrarian plays as many think they are dead in the water with J. Charles and coming off off a bad home favored loss to the Bears. However, coach Reid is 5-1 vs the Vikings  and 11-2 ats off a straight up favored loss vs a .500 or less team also off a loss. The Vikings are 0-5 ats with rest and 0-5 as a non conference favorite of 5 or less. For our system we note that dogs of 2 or more off a -7.5 or higher straight up and favored loss allowing less than 27 are 51-16 to the spread and home favorites off a bye at -5 or less that are off a prior road loss have been big money burners historically. Take the Chiefs

BONUS 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER-Green Bay, Houston, Carolina

NFL Members only play Over Bengals at Bills

The NFL Power system Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 104 at 8:25 eastern. Nice value play here with The Saints taking points at home vs AN Undefeated Falcons team off a come from behind overtime win over Washington. That Overtime win sets the Falcons up in a system that plays against Thursday road favorites off a home overtime win. These teams have not covered dating as far back as 1989.. Atlanta is 1-6 ats vs an opponent that is off a loss and has revenge. The falcons are 2-7 in weeks 5-9. The Saints are 6-0 at home in October games and 10-0 ats vs Undefeated teams in week 2 or later. Atlanta has 2 road wins but trailed in both before making late comebacks. The Saints need this game and will look to tighten things up on defense. Brees now has a slew of healthy weapons. Take the points.

MNF Football play is on San Diego. Game 476 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers are 13-2 ats on Monday night football vs Non division teams including 7-0 ats if opponent has revenge. The Steelers are 1-6 ats vs AFC West teams. Now for our super system. We wan to non division Monday night home favorites at -7 or less in a non division game off a win, vs an opponent with a win percentage of .250 or higher and off a loss. Right there we are at 26-6 ats. if the opponent loss by 3 or more and we scored 28 or more the system goes perfect. Look for the Chargers to get the win and cover.

The Sunday night Prime time play is on the SF 49ers. Game 473 at 8:30 eastern. Powerful system at play here tonight as we play on 1-3 teams off a loss, vs an opponent off a win. San Francisco is 7-0 ats on the non division road with back to back home games up. The Giants are 2-9 to the spread as a home favorite off a road game vs an opponent off a home game. Lastly Sunday night football home favorites have failed to cover 80% off back to back wins vs a losing team. Giants may win but its close and the points are the play.

2 OF 3 MUST CASH

The Late Blowout is on New England. Game 469 at 4:25 eastern Patriots and favorites off a bye week that scored more than 35 points vs an opponent that is .599 or less have covered 95% at -9 or less and the opponent is off a loss where they never trailed by 10+ points, like Dallas. The Cowboys blew it down in New Orleans on Sunday night and had 2 linebackers lined up wrong resulting in blown coverages in their OT Loss. Pats with extra rest against a team going backwards. This could get ugly. With New England 8-0 ats if they has a receiver with a 100+ yards in receptions we will Lay it with the Patriots.

The NFL Road warrior system is on Arizona. Game 467 at 4:05 eastern. The Cards have plenty of fire power and are 7-0 ats after allowing 4+ sacks and have covered 7 straight on the road if they had a receiver with 6+ catches.  They are 8-1 ats 1t of back to back road vs non division team that has revenge. The Lions are 1-5 ats off Monday night game. Coach Arians is 10-2 ats off a loss. Home teams like the Lions that lost by 1-3 points at +10 or more have failed to cover 30 of 38 as these teams are spent after a close loss as a big dog and cannot get up for these games the week after when playing at home. Detroit lost close in Seattle and have 1 less day to prepare as they are the only winless team in the NFL. Take Arizona.

The Late totals system  is on the over in Arizona at Detroit Game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 4:05 eastern. Arizona Is 5 of 6 as a non division road favorite, 9 of 11 vs NFC North teams. The Lions are 4 of 4 over at home vs Arizona, 6 of 8 as a non division home dog and 6 of 8 in the first of 3+ home games. This game fits a solid totals system that has cashed 24 of 31 times long term by playing over in non division games when we have a team off a home favored division loss like the Cards that scored 21 or more. With the Lions 19-0 to the over as a dog after allowing 7 or less points than their season average we will. Look for this one to go over the total.

The Early Dog system is on Chicago. Game 459 at 1:00 eastern. Cutler is back for this one and he should be able to lean on Forte here and keep this close against a struggling 1-3 KC Team. Visiting teams off a win taking 8+ points are 33-5 ats if both teams are under .500. The Chiefs are 0-7 ats at home after passing for 300+ yards. Take the Bears plus the points.

BONUS 3 TEAM TEASER

 3 Team 10 point teaser. Green Bay, New England, Arizona

The NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Saints at Eagles game at 1;00 eastern. This one fits some sweet totals systems. Week 5non divisional games that pits two teams that are .333 or less are 90% to the over if the total 42.5 or more.  Game 5 homers that played under the first 4 weeks are 90% to the over if the total is 37 or higher and game 5 home favorites of more than 4 are 100% to the over. Over the last 36 seasons home teams with a Monday nighter that take on a team that will play their next game on Thursday have pitched overs  over 80% of the time. Finally 90% of the time in week 5. Philly has played over 6 of 6 home vs AFC South teams and 4 of 5 vs the Saints and 5 of 5 vs .333 or less non division teams. The Saints are 9 of 10 over in game fives, 4 of 5 before a Thursday game and 7 of 9 vs the NFC East. With 4 Huge system and several over tendencies we will take the Eagles and Saints over the total.

The Late Blowout is on New England. Game 469 at 4:25 eastern Patriots and favorites off a bye week that scored more than 35 points vs an opponent that is .599 or less have covered 95% at -9 or less and the opponent is off a loss where they never trailed by 10+ points, like Dallas. The Cowboys blew it down in New Orleans on Sunday night and had 2 linebackers lined up wrong resulting in blown coverages in their OT Loss. Pats with extra rest against a team going backwards. This could get ugly. With New England 8-0 ats if they has a receiver with a 100+ yards in receptions we will Lay it with the Patriots.

The NFL Road warrior system is on Arizona. Game 467 at 4:05 eastern. The Cards have plenty of fire power and are 7-0 ats after allowing 4+ sacks and have covered 7 straight on the road if they had a receiver with 6+ catches.  They are 8-1 ats 1t of back to back road vs non division team that has revenge. The Lions are 1-5 ats off Monday night game. Coach Arians is 10-2 ats off a loss. Home teams like the Lions that lost by 1-3 points at +10 or more have failed to cover 30 of 38 as these teams are spent after a close loss as a big dog and cannot get up for these games the week after when playing at home. Detroit lost close in Seattle and have 1 less day to prepare as they are the only winless team in the NFL. Take Arizona.

On Thursday the 100% Super system play is on the Houston Texans. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern Road dogs or favorites of -3 or less are winless since 1989 off a home favored Overtime win vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 21 or more points. The Colts are 0-4 ats if the total is 42.5 to 49. Houston has better numbers on both sides of the ball and are 6-1 ats at home with revenge off a 10+ ats loss and 5-0 after allowing 35 or more points. The Colts have not looked goo this year and this will be a tough spot with Foster ready to get extended carries. Look for the Texans to take this one.

The NFL Monday night play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 278 at 8:30 eastern. 

The Sunday night upper system Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 276 at 8:35 eastern. This fits an exclusive super system that plays on home favorites that are off a road dog loss at +7 or more and scored 21+ points while still managing to cover the spread, if they are playing an opponent like Dallas that scored 21+ points in a home loss. Dallas Back up Weeden is 0-9 straight up and ats in starts. The Saints have covered 5 of 6 in the series at home and are 5-0 ats off back to back division games and 11-1 ats if winless and taking on an a team that is over .500 and not in their division. Dallas is 0-8 ats on the road with a home game then a road game upcoming vs a non divisional team that lost their last game. Finally Dallas is 0-7 ats on Sunday night Football vs an opponent off 2+ losses and the Saints are 9-0 ats on Sunday night Football vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. SAINTS come marching in tonight.

The NFL Bounce back system side is on the SF 49ers. Game 270 at 4:25 eastern. We have a huge system that dates to 1973 here today and plays against Game 4 teams like the Packers that scored 24 or more in their first 3 games, vs an opponent with at least  1 win and they are favored by 7 or more and covered in their last game. These teams falter big time failing to cover over 95% the last 42 years. So this puts us on the Niners. San Fran will look to play much better after getting blasted for over 40 points in back to back road games. San Fran is 6-0 ats as a 7+ dog after scoring 9 or less points and 6-0 off  a loss to Arizona. Home dogs off a loss allowing 40 or more have covered 10 of the last 12 times if they are taking 8 or more points. Green Bay may be flat here off a couple of home wins and covers. They are 0-6 ats as a 7+ favorite if they scored 34 or more at home, 0-5 ats off a monday nighter, 2-6 with revenge with back to back home games up next. Look for San Fran to get the cover,

NFL off shore steam sharp  money jumbo buy order on the Over in the St. Louis at Arizona game Rotation numbers 273/274 at 4:25 eastern. These plays are on a solid 58-31 run after cashing easily on Saturday. Play the Rams and Cardinals over the total

NFL Blowout system on Denver. Game 272 at 4:25 eastern. 

The Sunday Dog with system side is on the Houston Texans. Game  255 at 1:00 eastern. Houston is in a solid spot here as Atlanta and favorites off 3+ dog wins have failed to cover 15 of 20 times long term. The Falcons are 0-17 ats at home off 3+ spread wins and have failed to cover 14 of 15 at home off 2 wins and covers. The Dirty birds are 0-6 ats at home off a road game if they had 34+ minutes of T.O.P., 2-9 ats in the first of back to back home, 1-8 ats vs AFC Teams. Houston should have Arian Foster back and have covered 4 of 5 in the 2nd of back to back non division games if they play the Colts next week. Teams like Atlanta in Game 4 that scored 24+ points in the first 3 games are an 80% go against system long term. Take the Texans today.

3 Team 10 point Teaser. Indy Colts, Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins

The NFL total is on the over in the Giants at Bills game on Sunday. Rotation numbers 259/260 at 1 eastern.

The NFL Banger system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Steelers are 11-0 ats at home after scoring 14 or less vs a losing team. Baltimore is in a tough spot here as they are 0-3 and now have to take the road on a short week after a devastating home loss. The Ravens are 1-4 ats in the series. Thursday home divisional teams like the Steelers off a road win vs an opponent off a home loss are undefeated since 1989 winning by an average 11 points game. The Steelers  may not have big Ben but the line is adjusted around 6 points for that and as we have seen many a time, the first game shock value particularly at home with a backup Qb has cashed many times. The Public will be banging Balty figuring they wont go 0-4. We however will side with the database and take the home dog tonight.

The NFL Totals Domination Play is on the Over in the Monday nighter between KC and Green Bay at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a multitude of powerful totals angles the best of which is the system below, direct from the database and plays to the over form Road teams that were at home on their last game in a high scoring game that played over the total. With 2 higher powered offenses the totals play is to go over the total in the KC at Greenbay game.

O/U:
20-0-1     
 
Final

Team
27.0

Opp
28.3 
 
Sep 18, 2011   Sunday  2  2011  Packers  Panthers  away  0-10  7-3  16-0  7-10  30-23  -10.0  45.0  7  -3.0  8.0  2.5  5.5  W  L  O  0 
Dec 26, 2011   Monday  16  2011  Falcons  Saints  away  10-7  0-14  3-10  3-14  16-45  7.0  52.5  -29  -22.0  8.5  -6.8  15.2  L  L  O  0 
Oct 21, 2012   Sunday  7  2012  Titans  Bills  away  14-14  7-6  7-14  7-0  35-34  3.5  46.5  1  4.5  22.5  13.5  9.0  W  W  O  0 
Nov 04, 2012   Sunday  9  2012  Vikings  Seahawks  away  7-14  10-6  3-7  0-3  20-30  4.0  38.5  -10  -6  11.5  2.8  8.8  L  L  O  0 
Nov 11, 2012   Sunday  10  2012  Chargers  Buccaneers  away  14-7  7-10  0-7  3-10  24-34  3.0  47.5  -10  -7  10.5  1.8  8.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 15, 2013   Sunday  2  2013  Broncos  Giants  away  0-3  10-6  14-7  17-7  41-23  -4.5  54.5  18  13.5  9.5  11.5  -2.0  W  W  O  0 
Oct 20, 2013   Sunday  7  2013  Bears  Redskins  away  10-3  7-21  7-7  17-14  41-45  -1.0  48.0  -4  -5.0  38.0  16.5  21.5  L  L  O  0 
Nov 03, 2013   Sunday  9  2013  Buccaneers  Seahawks  away  0-0  21-7  3-7  0-10  24-27  15.5  41.0  -3  12.5  10.0  11.2  -1.2  L  W  O  1 
Nov 17, 2013   Sunday  11  2013  Vikings  Seahawks  away  3-10  10-14  0-0  7-17  20-41  13.0  46.0  -21  -8.0  15.0  3.5  11.5  L  L  O  0 
Nov 24, 2013   Sunday  12  2013  Titans  Raiders  away  3-3  3-6  7-3  10-7  23-19  -2.0  42.0  4  2.0  0.0  1.0  -1.0  W  W  P  0 
Dec 08, 2013   Sunday  14  2013  Lions  Eagles  away  0-0  8-0  6-6  6-28  20-34  3.0  53.0  -14  -11.0  1  -5.0  6.0  L  L  O  0 
Dec 09, 2013   Monday  14  2013  Cowboys  Bears  away  7-7  7-17  0-11  14-10  28-45  1.5  49.0  -17  -15.5  24  4.2  19.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 14, 2014  view  Sunday  2  2014  Seahawks  Chargers  away  7-3  7-17  7-7  0-3  21-30  -5.0  45.5  -9  -14.0  5.5  -4.2  9.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 28, 2014  view  Sunday  4  2014  Falcons  Vikings  away  7-14  7-10  14-3  0-14  28-41  -4.0  47.0  -13  -17.0  22.0  2.5  19.5  L  L  O  0 
Oct 12, 2014  view  Sunday  6  2014  Packers  Dolphins  away  7-3  3-0  7-7  10-14  27-24  -2.5  47.5  3  0.5  3.5  2.0  1.5  W  W  O  0 
Oct 20, 2014  view  Monday  7  2014  Texans  Steelers  away  7-0  6-24  0-0  10-6  23-30  3.0  44.5  -7  -4.0  8.5  2.2  6.2  L  L  O  0 
Nov 02, 2014  view  Sunday  9  2014  Broncos  Patriots  away  7-3  0-24  14-10  0-6  21-43  -3.0  53.0  -22  -25.0  11  -7.0  18.0  L  L  O  0 
Nov 30, 2014  view  Sunday  13  2014  Raiders  Rams  away  0-21  0-17  0-0  0-14  0-52  7.0  42.5  -52  -45.0  9.5  -17.8  27.2  L  L  O  0
 
Sep 28, 2015   Monday  3  2015  Chiefs  Packers  away       6.0  48.5 
 

The Sunday night BANGER system side is on Denver. Game 487 at 8:25 eastern. Broncos have a solid defense and one that 170+ yards better than Detroit. Denver is 8-1 in September and qualifies in a powerful system that plays on .700 or better teams off a Thursday win and a matched up against a sub .300 team who lost on Sunday. The Broncos have won 8 of 9 in September  and are 7-0 ats vs an opponent off back to back losses. New coaches have covered 16 of 19 when playing off 2+ wins. With Denver 5-0 straight up and ats off a Thursday game when taking on a team off a loss we will Look for the Broncos to take Down Detroit tonight.

The NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Chicago at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4:25 eastern. Chicago is without Cutler as Claussen makes the and Rb Forte is banged up as well. Week 3 winless teams that are 0-2 straight up and ats allowing 30+ points back to back have stayed under 26 of 34 times since 80 and winless game 3 non division dogs of 7 or more are 22 of 28 to the under. Chicago should be better defensively and stay in this game. Dogs off a loss by 3+ touchdowns have gone under in 14 straight games and the Bears as a team have gone under 20 straight if they allowed more than their season average in 2 straight games. Chicago is under 18 in a row at +6.5 or more vs a team who allows 3.84 or more rush yards per carry. Look for this one to stay under.

 NFL Off shore steam move on SF 4pers GAME 481 AT 4:05 Eastern. These plays are 58-29 in all sports and the Niners were hit with a Big buy order. Take the points in this one.

The 23-0 Monster system side is on the Cleveland Browns.  Game 476 at 1:00 eastern. We are playing against Oakland here as we note play against non division road teams off a home dog win that scored more than their season average last out. These teams are 0-23 ats. Oakland has lost 16 straight early games in the Eastern time zone. Cleveland is sitting on a big game here. Take the Browns .

The Early super system play is on Dallas. Game 480 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas has shock value with Qb Romo out. In these situation teams are more focused and play better in at least the first game with the starter out. Wheedon can sling it so they should be ok against an Atlanta defense that is allowing 140+ more yards than the Dallas defense. The Boys have covered 12 straight as a dog vs a team who allows 65% or higher completion rate and are 10-0 ats  after scoring 10 or less points off their season average in a prior road game. Dallas also fits several variations of the home dog or pick off a road dog win systems. Road teams in this line range like the Falcons are in are 2-7 straight up and 1-8 ats off back to back dogs wins. Atlanta is 0-7 ats against a team that they passed for 300+ yards against as a favorite the last time they played them. Look for Dallas to get the cash today.

BONUS 3 team 10 point Teaser San Diego has covered 24 straight on a 10 point teaser line on the road vs an opponent who allows 376+ yards per game.   Under San Francisco, the Niners have stayed under 26 straight off a 10+ point spread loss. Indy Colts who have won 14 straight vs Divsion teams.

SD,  INDY, UNDER SF

The NFL Totals Super Play is on the Under in the Washington at NYG Game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. Road dogs like the Skins on Thursday night games have stayed under EVERY Time since 1980 off a home win vs an opponent like the Giants that are off a home loss. These game have averaged just 35 points.. In the series here the last 5 have stayed under the total. The Giants have stayed under in 6 of 7 as a division home favorite of -3.5 or more, 5 of 6 in game threes. Washington has played under in 7 of 8 as a division road dog of 3.5 or more and 4 of 5 on the road when the total us 42.5 to 45. Look for this one to stay under the total tonight

The Monday night Super system side is on the NY. Jets plus the points. Game 289 at 8:35 eastern The system in this game is monday night specific as Monday night Conference road dogs of 3 or more are 7-1 straight up and 8-0 ats since 1994 off a home favored win and scored 28+ points vs an opponent off a loss. The line is built on perception more than reality which is eerily similar to the Saints and Bucs game on Sunday where the line was inflated with the perception that the Saints would blow out the Bucs due to what they have done in previous years. We see what happened in that one. The truth is the Colts have done well off a loss with Luck, but that trend could start to reverse itself. The Colts are without TY Hilton and an aging Andre Johnson will be shadowed all night by Revis. The Jets have one of the best fronts in football and should get enough pressure on Luck and be able to contain Frank Gore. Indy is 0-5 straight up and ats vs AFC East teams. We wont bore you with meaningless Jets trends that have no bearing here as the Jets have a new coach and new philosophy. The Public will be all over the Colts here and the line may rise at game time. We will take the contrarian approach. Take the points with New York

SU: 7-1-0
ATS: 8-0-0
  
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 30, 1995  Monday 9 1995 Bears Vikings away 0-0 14-3 0-3 0-0 14-6 3.5 44.5 8 11.5 -24.5 -6.5 -18.0 W W U 0
Oct 07, 1996  Monday 6 1996 Steelers Chiefs away 0-0 6-7 8-0 3-0 17-7 4.5 37.0 10 14.5 -13.0 0.8 -13.8 W W U 0
Oct 21, 1996  Monday 8 1996 Raiders Chargers away 7-7 3-0 10-0 3-7 23-14 3.5 42.5 9 12.5 -5.5 3.5 -9.0 W W U 0
Nov 25, 2002  Monday 12 2002 Eagles Fortyniners away 0-0 21-7 14-10 3-0 38-17 7.0 38.0 21 28.0 17.0 22.5 -5.5 W W O 0
Nov 14, 2005  Monday 10 2005 Cowboys Eagles away 7-7 0-7 0-3 14-3 21-20 3.0 39.5 1 4.0 1.5 2.8 -1.2 W W O 0
Sep 29, 2008  Monday 4 2008 Ravens Steelers away 3-3 10-0 0-14 7-3 20-23 5.5 34.5 -3 2.5 8.5 5.5 3.0 L W O 1
Nov 23, 2009  Monday 11 2009 Titans Texans away 0-7 14-7 3-3 3-0 20-17 4.0 48.5 3 7.0 -11.5 -2.2 -9.2 W W U 0
Oct 25, 2010  Monday 7 2010 Giants Cowboys away 7-10 17-10 14-0 3-15 41-35 3.5 45.0 6 9.5 31.0 20.2 10.8 W W O 0

Sep 21, 2015  Monday 2 2015 Jets Colts away      7.0 46.5

The NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Seattle at Green Bay game on NBC at 8:35 eastern tonight. This game fits a powerful early season totals system that plays to the under in a rematch of 2 non division teams that met in the playoffs last season if the current total is at least 35 points. Additionally Green Bay has gone under 11 straight times at home with a Monday nighter up next. Seattle has played under 6 of 6 times if the total is 49 or higher and the last 3 times off a division loss. In 2nd of back to back road games Seattle is 4 of 4 to the under. Look for this game to play under the total tonight.

BONUS On Sunday night Baseball its the Subway Series and the Rubber game here at CITI Field. The Mets took game 1 before losing 5-0 here on Saturday in game 2. Since 2004 the home team has won the rubber game in this series 8 of 10 times. The Mets are 20-5 as a home favorite off a home game where they scored 2 or less runs. The Yankees are 0-6 as road dog off a road win by 5+ runs. Sabathia opposes Harvey and these two met earlier in the season, and the Mets emerged with a comfortable win. Sabathia has a 4.36 road Era but did allow 7 runs in 5 innings to the Mets in the earlier start. Harvey has started twice vs the Yankees and our friend Harvey twisted them in to a pretzel both times as he is 2-0 with a 1.62 era vs the Yank,s and the Mets are 11-4 in his home starts as he has a solid 2.56 Era. Harvey spit the bit in his last start on the 8th vs Washington but can make amends with the fans here with a solid outing in the Subway series finale. Take the Mets as the Yankees learn. ITS NO FUN ON THE ROAD WHEN YOU DONT TAKE A RUBBER.

The NFC East play is on the Eagles. Game 286 at 4:25 eastern. The Eagles have a powerful system on their side today. Dallas was lucky to win last week at home and division road dogs off a home favored win and spread loss at -7 or more are 1-13 ats vs an opponent off an ats loss losing by an average 28-10 score. Philly should bounce back off a tough road loss in Atlanta where they were inept on offense in the first half just falling short late in Atlanta. Demarco Murray had 9 yards in 8 carries and should me plenty motivated vs his old team. Lay the points.

The Early blowout play is on the Steelers. Game 266 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are 4-0 ats at home vs NFC West teams and 7-2 ats in first home games vs non division opponents. The Niners are in a tough spot playing with short rest from a Monday night dog win and taking on the Steelers who played and on lost on opening night Thursday. San Fran is 0-12 ats as a dog off a win if they scored 32 or less points and had 4 or more sacks and 2-8 ats as a dog off a Monday night game. Road dogs off 14+ home dogs wins vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 21 or more are 0-8 straight up and ats since 1989. Steelers should coast in this one.

The 3 team Power teaser is on Miami who has covered 24 straight on the teaser line vs a team who has forced 1.25 or less turnovers.  Baltimore who has covered 36 straight on a teaser line if they converted less than 25% of first downs on overall plays and Pittsburgh as the teams like  SF are 0-8 ats as road dogs off a 14+ point home dog wins vs a team who scored 21 or more and lost.  Move the line 10 points On Miami, Baltimore and Pittsburgh

The Early NFL Power system play is on Cleveland. Game 274 at 1:00 eastern. Big improvement expected today from the Browns and some regression from the Titans. Game 2 teams off a spread win of more than 30 like the Titans are 0-8 ats if they were a dog in that big win. The Titans ran a vanilla offense last week with short pas plays and Mariotta took advantage of a Tampa defense that was severely under prepared. They wont be as luck this week when Mariota has to start making complex reads and not having the luxury of a big lead to fall back on. The Browns fell apart late after a solid first half vs the Jets. They have covered 7 of 9 prior to Oakland and are 10-1 ats in the first of back to back home games vs a non division team. The Titans are 5-20 with 6 or less days rest and 0-13 ats on the road if they had a 100+ yard receiver in their last game. What can Browns do for you. Get the win.   

The Thursday night NFL Play is on the KC Chiefs. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. KC is 4-0 ats on Thursday nights when playing with revenge and has covered 4 of 5 as a favorite on Thursdays. They followed their impressive 4-0 NFLX Stat (the first time since 1969) with a solid road win in Houston. The Chiefs are 5-0 at at home in games where the total is 38.5 to 42 and have won 7 of 9 in September. The Broncos are off a win at home vs Baltimore but have struggled on offense. Manning and the Broncos have some nice divisional numbers but this team has a different feel and Denver is 1-5 ats as dogs. The KC Crowd will be jacked up and loUD. Thursday home favorites are 11-2 since 1989 off a road win vs a team off a home win. Lay the small number with Kansa City.

The Monday night Super system play is on the  SF. 49ers. Game 492 at 10:20 eastern. The Niners fit a powerful system here tonight that plays on Opening Monday night Home dogs of 5 or less. These home dogs are 11-4 ats since 1970. San Francisco is 9-1 ats on Monday night Football and 5-0 ats in Game 1 vs Non Division teams. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs NFC North Teams. Minnesota is 0-6 straight up and ats on Monday nights, 0-5 ats on the road with 2+ home games coming up. The Vikings are 1-7 ats as road favorites and have lost 5 of the last 6 times here in San Francisco. Take whatever points you can with the 49ers.

The NFL Monday night super system side is on the Atlanta Falcons at 7:10 eastern as they fit a solid monday night opening week home dog system. The Falcons are 7-0 ats in opening home games and 12-1 ats at home with back to back road games coming up. The Eagles have lost the last 2 in the series.  We will back the Falcons and the points

The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons

The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons. Take Atlanta and Philly to play under

The Sunday night Power system Play on NBC is on the NY. Giants. Game 487 at 8:35 eastern. BIG NFC East battle get things going on NBC Sunday night Football here tonight. Game 1 teams that had a losing record last season that are +3 to +6.5 are 13-0 to the spread covering by over a touchdown vs an opponent like Dallas that won 12 games last year. The Giants have always been a live dog with Eli Manning and he has covered the spread with NY 9 straight times on the road with revenge if he passed for 240+ yards the last time he Faced that opponent. Romo for Dallas has failed to cover 7 straight vs a team he had 3+ touchdowns against the last time he played them. Dallas his 0-5 ats in Division games at home vs a team that won 6 or less last year. The Giants have covered in 4 of 5 as division road dogs. Look for the Giants to control the clock with a solid ground attack and stay in the game. Take the NY. Giants plus the points

On Sunday night Baseball the Totals Play is on the over in the KC at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 921/922 at 8:05 eastern. There are Several powerful indicators pointing to the over in this one. KC Has Cueto going but he has hit a wall of late with a 9.64 Era in his last 3 starts allowing 21 runs in his last 20 innings. Chen goes for Baltimore and he has gone over in 3 of his last 4 home starts and has gone over in his last 3 starts allowing 12 runs in 15 innings. These two Met in August and 13 runs were scored. KC has gone over in 5 of the last 6 vs leftys. The Orioles have gone over in  4straight as a home dog and in the series the last 5 here have played over. We may not see 20 runs in this one. But we should see enough runs to go over the total.

    The Late Afternoon Members only totals system Play is on the under in the Cincy at Oakland game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4;25 eastern. This game fits a powerful Week totals system that goes under for non division road favorites like the Bengals with a total of 45 or more.  Cincy has gone under the last 8 times as a favorite of 7 or less in Games 1-3 and 6 of 7 vs Oakland and 5 of 6 vs any AFC West team. Oakland has gone under 4 straight v AFC North teams, 6 of 7 in the 1st of back to back homes games and 6 of 7 as a non division home dog of 7 or less. Play this one under the total.

The late afternoon Super system Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 480 at 4:05 eastern. Dogs like Detroit in game 1 that are off a playoff loss in round 1 are 0-21 ats if the total is 37.5 or higher. The Chargers are 6-0 ats at -3 to +3 in game ones and Detroit has lost 12 straight as a dog and is 1-4 vs SD and have lost big here in San Diego the last 2 times. Look for the Chargers to win this one.

The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams  and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under.

The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams  and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under.

The Early totals system is on the Under in the Miami at Washington Game. Rotation numbers 471/472 at 1:00 eastern. Powerful totals system at play here today that goes under for non division road favorites if the total is 45 or more. These totals have gone under 22 of 23 times. The Dolphins are 5 of 5 under in game 1, 12 of 13 under vs NFC Teams if the total is 41 or more and 9 of 10 if the total is 39.5 or higher in games they are a road favorite. the Red skins are 5 of 5 under as dogs with a total of 44.5 or less and 6 of 6 in 1st of back to back home games. Look for this one to go under the total.

BONUS 3 Team Teaser- Green Bay +3.5, KC +11, DENVER +5

Thursday night play is on the Patriots. Game 462 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots are catching th eSteelers at the right time as they are with Our Center Pounce, Running back Bell and deep threat Matavius Bryant. Certain Dogs like the Steelers that are off a 1st round playoff loss in a game where the total is 37.5 or more have failed to cover. The Patriots have covered 5 of 7 at home in the series and Super Bowl winners are 12-2 and 9-4-1 ats. On Thursdays they have won 13 straight. The Steelers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as dogs in September games and the Pats have covered the last 6 times vs a team who had more than 9 wins last year. Look for a team effort tonight as the Pats get the win and cover.

New England Patriots
(AFC)Seattle Seahawks
(NFC)DateFebruary 1, 2015StadiumUniversity of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, ArizonaFavoritePatriots by 1RefereeBill Vinovich SUPER BOWL 49 GAME TIME 6:30 EASTERN
Weather 68 degrees- Zero precipitation Our Super Bowl selection in this game is on the Seattle Seahawks at 6:30 eastern. Below is an array of some of the most solid long term historical and current Statistical indicators, Power angles, trends Systems and Data in the industry. We have left no stone unturned in our comprehensive analysis. Seattle has the better defense and intangible factors that cannot be overlooked. Below are Powerful indicators that apply to this years game That has been dominated by Deflate gate scandal
Of the 48 Super Bowls played, 38 of the 48 have had a top 10 defense. Seattle is ranked #1, New England is #13
The Team that has Averaged more points is on a 2-11 spread run. Denver fell victim to this one last season.
Seattle is 10-1 ats as a dog off a win, should they take a point or two.
Super bowl favorites that score less than 28 point are 1-18 ats. Be tough on Patriots to score 28 on the #1 ranked defense
Teams who win the rushing battle win 91% of the time. Seattle has the better overall rush numbers
Super Bowl favorites off back to back home wins ae on an 0-8 spread run
** In the 10 battles between two #1 seeds the NFC has a Commanding 8-2 all time Record, which includes Seattle's win last year and the average win score is by 20+ points per game.
Super Bowl favorites that lost last year in the playoffs are 1-7 ats
**** 100% NO TEAM with a Pass defense that was league average or worse has won a Super Bowl. Seattle #1 NE- #17
The last 33 seasons the NFC has a 22-11 record
Defending champs are 8-2 in SB History
Teams off 3+ home games that won by less than a touchdown have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 times- against New England
Teams with the highest yards per pass attempt have won 40 of the 48 Super Bowls, surprising Seattle qualifies here.
Seattle 3-1 vs AFC East
Russell Wilson is 10-0 vs Qb/s that have won a Super Bowl
Coach Carroll is 14-2 off a win and ats loss
Seattle is 4-0 ats after rushing for 150+ yards
Patriots are 1-9 ats on grass and teams who scored 40+ points in a playoff game are 4-22 ats
Pats 1-3 ats NFC West.
SIMULATION MODEL: Seattle wins over 57% of the time and is a value play when considering they may take a point or two by game time. the cumulative score was Seattle 23-20
The Hank Stram system has been another powerful indicator. Below is this years model. The record is 37-9-1 all time through 48 super bowls.
Give 10 points to a team if they have won a Super Bowl in the last three seasons. Seattle
Give 8.0 points to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history. Push
Give 8.0 points to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes. New England
Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs. Push
Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season. Seattle
Give 5.0 points to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns. New England
Give 4.0 points to the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number. New England
Give 3.5 points to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt. Seattle
Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season. Seattle
Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns. Seattle
Give 3.0 points to the team that has recorded the most sacks.New England
Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts. Seattle
Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year. New England
Give 1.5 points to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 1.0 points to the team with the better completion percentage. New EnglandThe totals are: Seattle 40.5 New England 22

In Closing Seattle appears to the Destiny team here tonight after their miraculous comeback at home vs Green Bay. The Patriots are a dark team with the major distraction of DEFLATE GATE. Seattle is better defensively and should do enough on defense to take down the Patriots. R. Wilson plays much better than he did in NFC Championship game. Based on the major aforementioned indicators we will Side with Seattle here tonight.

BONUS PROPS:Under 24 first half3 Straight unanswered scores- this has happened in 35 of 48 super bowlsShane Vereen over 10 yards rushingMarshawn Lynch over 82 yards rushingOver 7.5 points Seattle Kicker HauchkaR. Wilson to score TD- YesR. Wilson over 41 yards rushing

In the Pro bowl we will back Team Carter. Game 497 at 800 eastern. While we have cashed the last 3 pro bowls we will advise not to go nuts in this one as the purpose of the play is the better overall roster for Team Carter and the higher end coach in J. Harbaugh. Team Irvin has talent but in a game where passing is fancy, Irvin and crew took many smallish receivers and Carter took the better of the defensive backs. Coach Carter in this one.

In The AFC Championship game the Selection is on the Indianapolis Colts. Game 303 at 6:45 eastern. We have a solid system here today that plays against the Patriots and any team in their second game of the playoffs off one home win exact as they are a terrible 1-20 straight Up and 1-19-1 ATS in games in where the total is set at 37.5 or more points. The Patriots are in this one as they are off a come back win vs the Ravens and lost their prior game. Additionally teams off a playoff win where they allowed 28 or more have failed to cover 17 of 22 since 1980. Moving on through the system folder we play against conference Championship teams that won and scored 30 or more and won by 21 or less. The Colts and Playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less back to back are 29-8 to the spread vs an opponent that scored 30 or more. The Patriots have Playoff revenge from last year and Home Blowout loss revenge from this year. They have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins by 10 or more and dogs of 4 or more are perfect the past few years if they won on the road last week and at home the week before. Coach Bellichick have failed to cover 5 Straight in Conference Championship games and teams who lost last year in the Conference championship have lost 9 straight covering just once if they are playing an opponent who has lost less than 28 percent of their games. The Colts were the side in our Simulation models as well. Look for the Colts to get LUCKY here today.

The NFC Championship play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 302 at 3;05 eastern. The Defending champs come in on a superior role and have several powerful indicators on their side as well as a solid advantage in Simulation models. Seattle has covered 8 straight off back to back 10+ point wins and 10 of 11 after allowing 17 or less in 2 or more games. The Packers are 0-5 ats on turf and have failed to cover 6 of 8 vs NFC West teams. They are a dog here and they have not done well in that scenario going 1-8 ats. NFL Home team off back to back spread wins have covered 13 of 14 vs an opponent that has won .669 or less the last 32 games. Green Bay wont reach 100 yards rushing here against the vaunted Seattle defense and have a Qb that with a torn muscle could be one play away from the bench. Truth be told it probably would not matter if Rogers were 100%. Conference Championship teams who win are an amazing 75-8-1 ats over the past 40+ years. Look for Seattle to get the win and cover here.

NFL MEMBERS ONLY OVER INDY VS DENVER

The Divisional Game is on Denver over the Colts. Game 120 at 4:40 eastern. Denver in 100.000 simulations was on average a 9 point winner. The Broncos have a solid advantage here with rest and getting to play a Colts team that must travel in January to a cold weather location, never a good thing for a dome homer. In fact these teams are 0-12 if they have revenge and are off a win. Home teams like the Broncos are solid playoff investments in their first home game if they lost as a favorite last year in the playoffs. The last 35 years these teams have won 53 of 60/ P. Manning had an extra week to rest his arm and the Broncos are 16-3 to the spread with 2+ weeks rest. They are also 12-2 ats vs an opponent that has 7.5 or less average punt return yards. The Colts can be one dimensional and may not run the ball well which will force them to throw pretty much on every down. In week 1 they were getting destroyed here before Denver took their foot off the pedal and wound up winning by 7. When the Colts dont show up they get blasted, like they did in Dallas and this could happen here. Teams with revenge that won and covered at least 2 straight as a favorite have failed to cover 27 of 35 times. Were Doing Denver here today.

 The NFC Power system play is on Dallas. Game 117 at 1:05 eastern. Were not worried about A. Rogers and his calf here as Dallas should be able to run the ball better and will play better then they did last week at home vs Detroit. Playoff road dogs of more than 3 off back to back wins but lost to the spread in last have covered 12 of 13 long term in the playoffs Both teams will score here. Dallas is 8-0 on the road while Green Bay is 8-0 at home. This is just the 3rd time in history this has happened. The last time in 1972 when Miami went into Pittsburgh and won. Dallas is a live dog here with big play makers and dogs with a better win percentage have been solid at covering the spread in the playoffs. Take Dallas plus the points.

The NFL Playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 117/118 at 1:05 eastern. The Packers average 38 per game at home and Dallas 34 per game on the road. Home teams off a bye that won their last regular season game at home and scored 28 or more have played over every time since 1989 vs a team off a home win. In the series 12 of 15 have flown over. The Packers are 7 of 8 over at home and 4 of 5 off a division game. Dallas is 6 of 6 in conference and 6 of 7 on the road. Simulation show a high scoring game. This may be one of the better games to watch as both offenses should put up points. Take this one over the Total.

The NFC Power system totals play is on the over in Carolina at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 113/114 at 8:15 eastern. Exclusive simulations of this were well into the 40/s which gives up some value on a total that approaches 40 in this one. Road dogs of 7 or more off a home win, like Carolina have played over every time since 1989 vs an opponent who won their last regular season game and covered the spread. Another solid system plays to the over in games where the total is more than 35 up to 42 if one of the teams is off 3+ wins and the other is off 4+ wins. This system is 55-21 to the over and There is a 18-0 subset that applies. In the series here the last 3 have played over the total and the Panthers are 5-0 to the over vs winning teams and 4 of 5 to the over on turf. The Carolina defense will have a much tougher time on the road vs Seattle than it did vs Arizona at home. On offense Carolina has been hot and will put up more than expected here. Seattle has played solid defense the last few weeks and as both teams look to be the hottest in the conference coming in. Seattle home game average around 40 points and Carolina road games over 50 points. Many expect a low scoring game but look for this one to get over the total.

On Saturday in Early Action the AFC Divisional Play is on the Patriots. Game 112 at 4:35 eastern. The Patriots are rested and ready and fit Powerful database systems here today. First we want to play against teams that are off a Wild card win asa dog if they are playing a team with rest. These teams have lost 14 of 15. The Ravens pulled the upset and are back to the road with 1 less day of rest than normal. The Pats have won and covered 6 straight off a loss vs AFC North teams and are 7-2 straight up and ats vs winning teams this year and 8-0 ats the last 2 years if that opponent is off a win and cover. Teams who lost their last regular season game have been solid all time if they are at home in the first game they are playing in the playoffs. The Pats also fits a powerful subset that plays on teams off back to back spread losses that is 100% perfect the last 3 years. Home teams that scored less than 10 points in their last game vs a team that scored 30 or more are 52-22 and the Pats fit a 26-0 subset of that system, they are also 7-0 ats off a loss. The Ravens are 1-4 ats off 2+ wins and wont be able to pull of the win or cover here as Simulations showed the Pats with an average win of 9 points. Play the Patriots.

On Sunday the NFC system play is on Dallas. Game 102 at 4:40 eastern. Detroit is 0-6 ats in the playoffs and has not won a road game in the post season since 1991 Going 0-9 straight up all time.. In fact NFL Playoff road teams off a 10+ division loss have failed to cover 11 of 12 times. Stafford is 0-17 in his career in road games against teams that finished the season over .500. The most recent examples are a 10-point loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 17. That stat does not help considering that teams in this round who lost straight up are 0-20 ats and 11-96 since 83. Opening game road dogs off a loss are 0-7 ats since 1989 and lose by an average 31-13 score. Dallas is 11-4 ats at home in the playoffs since 1980 and teams at home making the playoffs for the first time in the last 4 years have covered 75% long term. The Lions are 4-120 at if they won at least 3 of their last 4. Were not big fans of Post season dome teams on the road. Take Dallas here.

In the AFC Wild card round the Power system Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 108 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 4-1 at home in playoff action this round and have edges on both sides of the ball. They have won 8 of 9 if the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals who were already shutout here 27-0 have several negative indicators against them today. They are 0-7 at Indy and 0-6 on the road in the playoffs. So we are not going to expect them to do some thing they have not done before. Road dogs off a road loss to end the season are 0-7 straight up and ats since 1989 losing by an average 31-13 score. The Bengals have lost 11 of 13 in January. Even if A.J. Green plays there is no guarantee how effective he will be. The Colts have a history of getting behind in games but have big time playoff poise. Last year they rallied from a big deficit to beat KC. The Simulation models have them winning by 6.and teams who win this round straight up have covered 19 straight. Look for them to get past the Bengals here today.

The AFC Wild card Play is on the Over in the Baltimore at Pittsburgh game at 8:15 eastern. There are two 100% totals system that play to the over here. Divisional road teams with a total 37 or higher that are home favored win and spread loss at -3 or more that scored 21 or more have flown over every time in the first round. Home divisional teams that are off a home divisional win in the final regular season game have played over every time since 1989. Steelers home games average 56 points and Baltimore road games average 49 points. The Steelers have played over All 6 times in the wild card round and 13 of 17 on Saturday. The Ravens have played over 4 of 5 times vs winning team and both times off a division win. The Steelers statistically have not played as well at home as on the road. The Ravens average 25 points on the road. The Ravens also remember the last time they were here and Big Ben went bananas on them for 6 td passes. This looks to be another high scoring affair and the total is dropping with the anticipation on rain, you know because teams don't score when its wet out. Take the over.

 
In the NFC Wild card game the Power system Play is on Arizona. Game 105 at 4:35 eastern. Arizona is in a good spot here. One of the better systems we use pertains to dogs who have a better record than their opponent. This is the case here today as Arizona fits the bill. If these live dogs are off back to back losses they are 11-1 straight up and ats. The Cardinals are on a 5-1 post season Spread run and coach Arians does produces his best results when playing a team off a win as he is 6-0 in this spot. In the NFL the last 15 teams at home off a dog win have failed to 13 of 15 times and this play against the Panthers who had to win in Atlanta to get in. Things wont be so easy here as the Falcons had the worst defense in the league. The Cardinals have one of the better stop units and forced Cam Newton into 3 picks the last time they face him. Arizona is 11-2 ats with 6 or less days rest, 10-2 ats vs losing teams and 10-1 ats vs teams who allow 5.65 or more yards per play. Arizona played Seattle and a road game in San Francisco and this is an easier spot. Carolina is laying nearly a touchdown and is 0-3 vs winning teams. NFC South teams have lost 11 of the last 12 vs the NFC West. Look for Arizona to get the cover.

The Sunday night Total is on the Under in the Bengals vs Steelers game. Rotation numbers 305/306 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system that pertains to reversing the total result between 2 teams playin the 2nd time in a 3 week span.. These two flew over the total 2 weeks ago in a 42-21 game the featured 9 touchdowns. This one should be lower scoring as the Steelers are 8 of 10 under off 2+ wins. The Bengals check in at 5 of 7 under as a dog and 6 of 7 on the road. This is an important Divisional game with Playoff Implications which is why the game is Flexed to Sunday evening. Look for a hard fought divisional game that goes under the total.

On Sunday the Final Game Super system play is on Carolina. Game 315 at 4:25 eastern. The Panthers are a live dog here and losing teams that are divisional road dogs playing with revenge have covered 13 of 14 times since 1978 vs an opponent off a dog win. The Falcons dashed the Saints playoff hopes on the road last week and now must win to host a playoff game. The Panthers are 6-0 ats as road dogs vs losing teams and have covered 11 of 13 off an AFC Game vs a losing team. The Falcons have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 final home games vs losing team in division play. The Falcons have the worst defense in the league. Look for the Panthers to at the very least get the cover.

The NFC North totals Play is on the Over in the Detroit at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 4:25 eastern. A powerful totals system takes center stage here today as we play the over teams playing a 2nd straight road game and are dogs of 7 or more and scored below their season average in both of their last 2 games but did not lose to the spread by 10 or more points in either game. These teams have posted overs in 18 of the last 19 instances. The Lions are 9 of 9 over off a road game at Chicago, 9 of 9 off a road win that did not require overtime. The Packers have flown over in 11 of 11 if they had less than 165 yards rushing and Rogers threw for less than 215 yards. As a favorite of -6.5 or higher they are 13 of 13 over vs an opponent with an identical record. The First game between these two was a low scoring Lions win. The Packers are averaging over 40 points at home and their home games average over 60. The Lions defense may not be as effective as a dome team playing outdoors in December has had problems historically. Look for this one to go over the total today.

On Sunday the Early Power System play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 323 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas is in a tough spot here today as Teams off a spread win by more than 29 points have lost straight up over 70% of the time vs an opponent off a spread win. Dallas has revenge for their home Monday night loss to Washington but that may not matter here as Home dogs off a home dog win have been solid in this range . The Cowboys go from a nice Cozy home game to a cold weather venue in late December. Dome teams have struggled mightily regardless of how good they are in this spot going back to the 70/s losing over 85% of the time not even factoring in the spread. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage. Washington has covered 4 of the 5 in the series and this is one of the most closely contested rivalries in football. Take the points,

BONUS: NFL Power Tear 3 teams moving the line 10 points on each

Green Bay- 24-0 on a teaser line home favored at 14 or less in reg. season off back to back road, have lost lost here since 91 vs Lions

San Diego 20-0 on teaser line as a road dog vs opponent allowed 4 or more sacks- Rivers 13-2 in December road games

Baltimore- Last home game teams off a road favored loss 39-15 ats off a road favored loss, C. Shaw making debut for Browns.

The NFL Monday night Super Side is on The Cincinnati Bengals. Game 132 at 8:30 eastern. There are several powerful indicators that apply to this game. Cincy is 9-0 ats as a dog off a spread win by 10 or more points. Teams that allowed 6 or less first down have covered 40 of the last 57 times. Bengals are off a dominating shut out win over the Browns 30-0. Home teams off a shutout win have covered 80% of the time. The Broncos are 0-10 straight up on Monday night football vs Non division teams. We also want to play against road favorite that have won at least 4 straight games, but did lose their prior road game before the streak. These road teams are 24-61 to the spread with the last on being Green Bay and we saw what happened to them last week. Super Bowl losers are poor non division road favorites historically particularly if they are laying more than 2 vs a winning team where they are failing to cover well over 90%/. On Monday nights non division home dogs of favorites of 4 or less that are off a road dog win and allowed 7 or less also are a solid investment. Simply too much data to support the Bengals so we will take the points here.

The Sunday night NFC West super system play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 130 at 8:30 eastern. Will have to reach down and grab them here tonight. Were playing against the World champs on Prime time TV and were playing a 3rd string Qb to boot. Here is why though. Road favorites at -5.5 or more that were favored in their last 2 games and 3 or more sacks in each game while allowing 439 or less yards through the air in both games combined have failed to cover 19 straight times long term. Home dogs off a road dog win that scored 14 or less have covered 22 of 27 times. The Cards allow 15 points per game here and are 10-0 ats after Larry Fitzgerald had 6 or more catches and have covered 7 straight home in between 2 road games. Over the last 7 years only 3 home dogs have had 11 or more wins and all 3 won straight up. Seattle is 0-8 ats on grass in between home games. Finally winning teams in their last home game have covered 17 of 20 times the last 35 years if they are off a dog win, have revenge and are playing a .500 or better division team. Coach Arians is 15-1 ats vs an opponent off a win and cover. In what should be a low scoring game we will take the points.

The Late afternoon Power Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 127 at 4:25 eastern. Angles galore in this one. Lets have a look see. Dallas comes in off a big road dog division win vs the Eagles. Now they come home for the Colts who despite a win vs Houston did not play that well on offense. Dallas is 0-11 ats in game 13 or later off a win vs a non division team. The Colts are 13-0 ats if they scored 21 or less last out and 6-0 ats if they scored 10 or less than their season average and have covered 6 straight on the road vs an opponent off a dog win.Dallas gets a big breal with the unexpected Philly loss but In what should be a good game we will back the Dog here. Take the Colts.

On Sunday in early action the NFL Road warrior system side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 109 at 1:00 eastern. The Packers are off a road last week in Buffalo where they previously had never won. Look for a big bounce back week from the offense against a Tampa team that's playing out the string. The Packers are 7-0 ats on the road off a road loss if any of their receivers had 5+ catches. Since 1980 road favorites of more than 10 have covered 14 of 17 times. The Packers have covered 7 of the last 8 on grass and Tampa has failed to cover 5 of the last 5 at home and 2-5 ats the last few season as non division home dogs off a loss. They are also a dismal 1-9 ats in the 2nd half vs teams who average 375+ yards per game Green Bay has a tough challenge vs Detroit for the division this season. Look it to be GREEN BAY ALL DAY.
Bonus 3 Team 10 point power teaser
Piitsburgh. Steelers are 32-0 on a teaser line if they were favored and completion percentage was 10% higher than average
New Englans: Pats have covered 24 straight on a teaser line in non grass games.
NY. Giants- 16-0 on a teaser line if they allowed 10 or less points than their season average.

The NFL Power system play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 119 at 1:00 eastern. Expect a much better effort from the Browns here today as they fit several variations of a shutout system we use. Here is one of the nicer ones. Since 1980 we are playing on certain non conference road dogs off ats shutout loss if they lost by 17+ points and the opponent is off a win. The Conference head to head brings an interesting slice of data today. NFC South teams are 5-13 ats vs AFC North teams including 0-6 ats if the NFC South team is favored. No surprises as we have the deepest Conference vs the weakest. Carolina is 0-8 ats vs the AFC North The Panthers have failed to cover 3 of 4 off a division game while the Browns are 3-0 out of conference. The Panthers struggled with Tampa last week. Look for Cleveland to get the cash and see what Brown can do for you today.

On Saturday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the San Diego at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. The Chargers are 5 of 5 under after Denver, 5 of 5 as a non division dog of 4 or less, 4/4 on Saturday, 4 of 5 before KC ,4 of 4 if the line is +3 to -3. San Francisco is 4/4 under in 1st of back to back home, 5 of 6 vs AFC West, 6 of 8 on Saturday, 5 of 6 off a road loss by 10 or more. Now to tie in an exclusive system to all those Under angles above we play the under for non conference home favorites that scored 10 or less in a road dog loss at +7 or more, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 14 or less. These games have played under every time since 1991, with no gam e getting above 30 points. Look for a low scoring game with points at a Premium. Take the Under.

NFL Matinee Play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 106 at 4:30 eastern. Washington lost the first meeting in Philly 37-34. Now they are taking over 7 points at home. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage and do well in the yardage battle despite the losing record. One can remember their 10 point dog win at Dallas on Monday night Football. In fact home dogs of 7 or more that are off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less are 5-0 ats since 1980 vs an opponent off a home loss that scored 21 or more. The Eagles are 0-14 ats at home if they had a receiver with a 25+ yard catch in last game. Philly is 0-13 to the spread vs an opponent that averages 25 or less rush attempts. They are also 0-7 ats as a road favorite off a home game. Home teams like Washington that have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 or 5 of the last 6 that have a win percentage of .250 or less are 82-43 ats in the second half long term vs an opponent with a winning record. Finally Washington is 17-4 ats vs a team that averages 260+ yards. Take the Points in this one.