20* Iowa State/Baylor Big 12 No-Brainer on UNDER 134.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting in 6 days between Baylor and Iowa State.  The Cyclones won 73-58 for just 131 combined points on March 4th.  The Cyclones have shot at least 50% in both meetings with Baylor this season and that's not going to happen again.  But they have proven they can stop Baylor, holding them to 58 and 62 points in the two meetings this season.

Iowa State is 20-10 UNDER in all games this season.  The Cyclones are 13-2 UNDER in their last 15 games when playing against a good team (60% to 80%) after 15-plus games.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Cyclones last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Cyclones last eight neutral site games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on St. John's +8

Oddsmakers and the betting public are making the mistake of not realizing that this is a home game for St. John's at Madison Square Garden.  Thus, they should not be catching 8-plus points against the Marquette Golden Eagles.

I realize the Red Storm will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day while the Golden Eagles are off a bye, but the Red Storm made easy work of Butler 76-63 yesterday which softens the blow.  Marquette is a terrible rebounding team while St. John's is a great one, which will keep them in this game.

St. John's just lost 96-94 at Marquette as 11.5-point dogs in the regular season finale to prove they could play with the Golden Eagles on the road.  So they are revenge-minded here, and oddsmakers aren't adjusting enough towards them considering they are flipping home courts here.

The Red Storm are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games.  The Golden Eagles are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall and have been overvalued for weeks after winning the Big East regular season title.  Bet St. John's Thursday.

20* Wake Forest/Miami ACC No-Brainer on Miami -5

Wake Forest won at the buzzer yesterday over Syracuse.  That game took a lot out of the Demon Deacons as it was played at a fast pace.  They are without second-leading scorer Monsanto (13.3 PPG) and lack depth.

Miami is rested and ready to go after getting a bye into this round.  The Hurricanes are fully healthy and not only a legit ACC title contender, but also a NCAA Tournament contender after making a deep run last year and bringing back mostly the same team.

Miami beat Wake Forest 96-87 at home in their lone meeting this season on February 18th.  Monsanto scored 14 points in that game for Wake Forest and they won't have his production this time around.

Miami is 7-0 ATS off a win where they failed to cover the spread this season.  The Hurricanes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by 3 points or less.  The Demon Deacons are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games.  Bet Miami Thursday.

20* Oklahoma/Oklahoma State Big 12 No-Brainer on UNDER 136

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season between Oklahoma State and Oklahoma, who are both desperate for wins to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  That will lead to all out defense and a low scoring game today.

Let's just compare this 136-point total to the totals in the first two meetings this season.  They had the total set at 127.5 for the first meeting which resulted in 128 combined points.  They had the total set at 131.5 for the 2nd meeting that resulted in 132 combined points.  Now we have a 136-point total for the 3rd and final meeting, which is 8.5 points higher than that first meeting and 4.5 points higher than the 2nd meeting.  There's clearly a ton of value with the UNDER as a result.

Oklahoma ranks 285th in adjusted tempo and 48th in adjusted defense.  Oklahoma State ranks 167th in adjusted tempo and 20th in adjusted defense.  So these are two elite defensive teams that both prefer to play slow, especially Oklahoma.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Virginia Tech/NC State ACC Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 150.5

This has been a very low scoring series between Virginia Tech and NC State in recent meetings.  They combined for 142 points in their lone meeting this season, which was actually a high output compared to recent meetings.

The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings and 8-1 in the last nine meetings.  Virginia Tech and NC State have combined for 143, 121, 131, 130 and 71 points in their last five meetings.  As you can see, none of those games even sniffed 150 combined points.

All three games in the ACC Tournament yesterday were pretty low scoring with Georgia Tech and Florida State combining for 121 points, Virginia Tech and Notre Dame combining for 131 points and Louisville and Boston College combining for 142 points.  Virginia Tech's last seven games have now all seen 151 or fewer combined points.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Wolfpack last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Florida International +2.5

Louisiana Tech (14-17) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lose him.  He has been off the team for their last six games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs, a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs, 66-76 road loss at Western Kentucky as 4.5-point dogs, a 49-63 road loss at Middle Tennessee as 8.5-point dogs, a 1-point home win over FIU as 5-point favorites and a 4-point home loss to FAU as 9-point dogs.

So the Bulldogs are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their six games without Williams.  That includes their 77-76 (OT) home win over Florida International on March 2nd less than a week ago.  Now the Panthers will be out for revenge and I like their chances of pulling off the upset on a neutral this time around.

Florida International is just 1-5 SU in its last six games overall but four of those losses came by 7 points or fewer and the other was an 11-point loss at Middle Tennessee, which is a very tough place to play.  They closed the season with a 90-83 upset win at Rice as 5.5-point dogs to gain some confidence and momentum heading into this C-USA Tournament.

The Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a win.  The Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  The Panthers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Florida International Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgetown +12

Georgetown made a shocking run to win the Big East Tournament a few years back under Patrick Ewing.  This team has a lot of similarities to that one, playing competitive basketball but having a poor record to show for it.

Well, Georgetown is actually 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games overall but just 2-11 SU during this stretch.  The Hoyas have been competitive, including a 73-77 loss at Villanova as 13.5-point dogs in their most recent meeting.  I think they can hang with the Wildcats on a neutral this time around as well.

Villanova has all the pressure on them trying to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Wildcats could have likely clinched a spot in the regular season finale but lost 59-71 at home to UConn.  They know they won't get any credit for a win over Georgetown and style points won't matter, so their mindset is just to win and advance.  

They will be conservative, which is their nature ranking 340th in the country in adjusted tempo.  They remind me a lot of Virginia, which struggles to cover big spreads because they play so slow.  Villanova is 7-14 ATS as a favorite this season.  Georgetown will be free willing it here with nothing to lose, and I like that mindset better.

Georgetown is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games when revenging a same-season loss.  Villanova is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Texas Tech/West Virginia UNDER 146.5

Both Texas Tech and West Virginia are squarely on the bubble to make the NCAA Tournament.  That means both teams will be giving max effort today in the Big 12 Tournament, and it will most likely lead to intense defense and a low scoring game.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 3rd and final meeting between these teams this season.  They combined for 137 points with a 139.5-point total in their first meeting, and 150 points with a 145-point total in their 2nd meeting.  So just comparing the totals from the first two meetings, it's easy to see how there is value on the UNDER as this 146.5-point total is 7 points higher than the total in the first meeting (139.5).  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin +2

Wisconsin is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and won't take Ohio State lightly in the Big Ten Tournament as a result.  That's key because the Buckeyes are struggling to close the season going just 3-15 SU & 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.

I backed Wisconsin in a 65-60 upset win at Ohio State as 7.5-point underdogs in their lone meeting this season on February 2nd.  I stated that Ohio State shouldn't even be favored with how they are playing right now.  And I feel that is the case again here as they are once again getting too much respect from oddsmakers as neutral court favorites to Wisconsin.

The Badgers are playing much better than Ohio State right now.  They are 3-3 SU & 3-2-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their three losses coming by 1 to Rutgers, by 2 to Purdue and in OT to Michigan.  That's how close they are to being 6-0 against a brutal schedule.

Wisconsin is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games.  Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a loss.  Bet Wisconsin Wednesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's/George Washington UNDER 155.5

This will be the 3rd meeting between St. Joe's and George Washington this season and familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  They combined for 158 points at the end or regulation in their first meeting this season before going to overtime.  They came back for 150 combined points in the rematch, and I think this total of 155.5 has been set too high with their seasons at stake in the 3rd and final meeting in the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

All three Atlantic 10 Tournament games yesterday went UNDER the total with Richmond and UMass combining for 109 points, Loyola-Chicago and St. Joe's combining for 139 points and Rhode Island and La Salle combining for 129 points.  Teams clearly aren't clicking on all cylinders to start this Atlantic 10 Tournament at Barclays Center.

St. Joe's is 7-1 UNDER following a conference win this season.  George Washington is 6-0 UNDER in its last six games after forcing 11 or fewer turnovers in three consecutive games.  Plays on the UNDER on all neutral court teams with a total of 150 to 159.5 (George Washington) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15-plus games are 28-4 (87.5%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Mountain West PLAY OF THE DAY on Air Force +7

Air Force just lost 53-54 at UNLV on February 24th in their second-to-last game of the season.  They led that game basically the entire way until a costly turnover leading by 1 in the final seconds that led to a layup by UNLV.  No question they want revenge, and there's no sweeter revenge then ending UNLV's season.

At the very least, I think this game goes down to the wire, so getting 7 points with the Falcons is a nice value.  UNLV is struggling down the stretch going 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall with both victories coming by a combined 3 points, and the four losses coming by a combined 49 points.

While Air Force is fully healthy, UNLV is without Keshon Gilbert (11.5 PPG, 3.2 APG, 46.1% shooting, 38% 3-pointers).  The Rebels lost him in their season finale against Nevada and he has been suspended for this game and won't return until next game if UNLV advances.  That's a huge blow for the Rebels as he is their second-leading scorer and it puts a ton of pressure on Harkless to do more.

The Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.  The underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.  The Rebels are 4-11 ATS at home this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.  Bet Air Force Wednesday.

20* Colorado/Washington Pac-12 No-Brainer on Washington +4

The Washington Huskies have been one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-12 this season going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 conference games.  They have beaten Colorado twice already this season, winning 73-63 as 1-point home dogs and 75-72 as 9-point road dogs.  Now they are catching 4 points in the 3rd and final meeting, and it will be more of the same here with another upset victory in favor of the Huskies.

The key here is that Colorado just lost leading scorer KJ Simpson (15.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.8 APG) to Mono right before the Pac-12 Tournament.  They were already without third-leading scorer J'vonne Hadley (8.0 PPG, 5.9 RPG) and couldn't afford to lose Simpson.  Those two combined for 28 points in their first meeting with Washington this season, and 18 points in the second meeting.  Not having to deal with those two guys will make the task even easier on the Huskies tonight.

Washington is 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral site games.  The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.  Washington is 27-7 ATS in its last 34 games following a loss.  Colorado is 1-7 ATS in its last seven road games following an ATS win.  The Huskies are 6-0 ATS following two consecutive conference losses this season.  The Huskies are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games after failing to cover the spread last game.  Bet Washington Wednesday.

20* Wake Forest/Syracuse ACC Early ANNIHILATOR on Syracuse +3

Syracuse just beat Wake Forest 72-63 at home to close out the season.  The Orange were a PK in that game at home, and now are +3 on a neutral.  They should have been favored in that game, and they should be favored in this game as well.  We'll gladly take the value and the +3 with the Orange in the rematch.

Wake Forest has been a dead team for weeks.  The Demon Deacons are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only two victories both coming at home over Georgia Tech by 1 as 13-point favorites and Notre Dame by 8 as 8-point favorites.  They lost by 9 at Miami, by 14 at NC State, were upset at home as 8-point favorites by Boston College, and lost by 9 at Syracuse.

Wake Forest's season really went in the dumpster when they lost G Damari Monsanto (13.3 PPG, 40.5% 3-pointers) in that loss to NC State.  They have been without him for each of their last three games and just aren't very good without his shooting prowess.  They are a terrible defensive team allowing 70 or more points in 23 of their last 27 games overall, which is why they can't be trusted laying points.

Syracuse is 19-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons.  The Orange are 35-15 ATS in their last 50 games as neutral court underdogs or PK.  Jim Boeheim thrives in these neutral court tournaments and will have his team ready to go to make one final run at the Big Dance.  Bet Syracuse Wednesday.

20* Georgia Tech/Florida State ACC Early ANNIHILATOR on Georgia Tech PK

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have gone 6-2 SU in their final eight games of the season and are playing their best basketball heading into the ACC Tournament.  They have gone a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall as they have consistently been undervalued with four outright upsets during this stretch.

They are once again being undervalued as a PK against lowly Florida State, which is 9-22 SU & 12-19 ATS this season while consistently being overvalued.  The Seminoles did not finish well going 2-9 SU in their final 11 games with one of those wins coming by 3 against Louisville and the other a miracle 1-point win over Miami after being down 25.

The Seminoles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They lost by 22 at Va Tech, by 11 at home to UNC, by 6 at home to BC, by 40 at Clemson, by 8 at home to Pitt, by 9 at home to Syracuse and by 28 at NC State.  They have rarely even been competitive here down the stretch and are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers in the ACC Tournament opener.  Bet Georgia Tech Tuesday.

20* CBB Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +2.5

Wrong team favored here.  Wisconsin-Milwaukee won both regular season meetings with Cleveland State 68-64 as 5.5-point road dogs and 81-72 as 1.5-point home dogs.  And here they are in the underdog role against the Vikings again in the conference tournament when they are clearly the better team.

Milwaukee upset Wright State 87-70 as 1.5-point dogs in their Horizon League Tournament opener in one of the most impressive performances of the season in this conference.  Cleveland State struggled to beat Robert Morris 75-70 as 6.5-point home favorites in their tournament opener.

Cleveland State is 0-9 ATS after winning six or seven of its last eight games this season.  Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Monday.

20* South Alabama/James Madison Sun Belt No-Brainer on James Madison PK

James Madison lost 62-63 as 3-point road favorites at South Alabama in their lone meeting this season.  Now the Dukes want revenge, and we are getting them at a better price here at PK in the rematch despite this being on a neutral and not a true road game.

The value is there, plus the Dukes have the rest advantage.   They will be playing just their 2nd game in 9 days here while South Alabama will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days after beating App State and Southern Miss in their first two games of this Sun Belt Tournament.  

I don't think the Jaguars will have much left in the tank for the Dukes, who will test their tired legs ranking 31st in adjusted tempo and 9th in average possession length on offense in the entire country.  The Dukes average 81.0 points per game this season.  They are also 69th in adjusted defense.

Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (James Madison) - in conference tournament games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 39-13 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Dukes are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet James Madison Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on East Carolina +11.5

East Carolina has quietly gone 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with an upset home win over Tulane, an upset home win over Cincinnati and only a 3-point road loss at Tulane as 12-point dogs.  The Pirates are once again catching too many points here as 11.5-point road dogs to UCF.

This is a UCF team that is not playing well at all down the stretch and just going through the motions.  The Knights are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall with two of those wins coming against Tulsa, the worst team in the American Athletic.  They cannot be trusted to lay this big of a number with the way they have been playing.

ECU wants revenge from a 61-64 home loss to UCF as 5.5-point dogs.  Each of the last six meetings have been decided by 10 points or less, making for a 6-0 system backing the Pirates pertaining to this 11.5-point spread.  The Pirates are 8-1 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  The Knights are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  Bet East Carolina Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on South Florida +8

These are two very evenly-matched teams here in South Florida and Wichita State and this line should be much closer to PK than 8.  South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last five games overall which includes an upset win at UCF as 10-point dogs.

Wichita State is coming off a 66-83 loss at Houston on Thursday and now only has two days to get ready for South Florida.  I like fading teams after playing the No. 1 team in the country because they just aren't as motivated in their next game out.  I think the Shockers suffer a hangover here from that Houston defeat.

USF wants revenge from a 66-70 home loss as 2-point favorites to Wichita state in their first meeting this season.  So the books have adjusted this number 10 points for home-court advantage now making the Shockers an 8-point favorite in the rematch.  That's way too big of an adjustment as Wichita State has actually been better on the road than at home this season, while USF has been at is best on the road.

Indeed, the Bulls are 11-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Wichita State is 4-12 ATS at home this season.  The Bulls are 40-18-1 ATS in their last 59 road games dating back further.  The Shockers are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 home games dating back further.  The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet South Florida Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Houston/Memphis UNDER 145.5

One quick look at the head-to-head series between Memphis and Houston and it's easy to see that this total has been set too high.  The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 136, 124, 136 and 128 points.  The total for the first meeting this season was set at 141 and has now been raised to 145.5 for the rematch, which is an unwarranted adjustment upwards.

The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Cougars last nine Sunday games.  The UNDER is 40-19-1 in Cougars last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The UNDER is 10-2-1 in Tigers last 13 Sunday games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Houston/Memphis CBS No-Brainer on Memphis +5

The Memphis Tigers are 11-2 in their last 13 games overall with their two losses coming by 1 to Tulane and by 8 on the road at Houston.  Now they get their shot at revenge on the Cougars, who don't have much to play for here in what feels like a letdown spot for them.

Nobody has played Houston as tough as Memphis in recent meetings.  The Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Cougars with three outright upsets and five losses by 8 points or fewer.  Memphis is 13-1 SU at home this season with its lone loss coming by a single point.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with the lone exception being an upset road win by Memphis.  The home team has only lost by more than 3 points once in the last 11 meetings, making for a 10-1 system backing the Tigers pertaining to this 5-point spread.  Bet Memphis Sunday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Villanova +3

Villanova has been competitive in each of its last 10 games since Justin Moore returned to the lineup.  Moore is getting better with each passing game and just had 25 points in an upset road win over Xavier three games back.  It was a team effort in an 79-67 upset win over Creighton last Saturday that moved the Wildcats closer to making the NCAA Tournament.

The Wildcats came up clutch again on Tuesday winning 76-72 at Seton Hall.  Moore iced that game by making every free throw down the stretch and finished with 23 points.  This team is gaining confidence with each passing game and now has an opportunity to put a stamp on its season on Senior Night with an upset win over Connecticut that would likely get them in the NCAA Tournament.

UConn comes in overvalued off a blowout home win over a dead DePaul team that has lost 11 consecutive games now.  That win clinched a Top 5 seed in the Big East Tournament for the Huskies, and each of the Top 5 seeds get a bye.  So I think there will be a bit of a letdown factor here for the Huskies with not much to play for, while the Wildcats have everything to play for.

Villanova is 10-2 at home this season with four consecutive home victories coming in.  UConn is just an average road team, going 5-5 SU in true road games.  The Wildcats are 1st in the country in defending catch and shoot 3's which UConn is a Top 25 team in.  UConn is a dominant offensive rebounding team, but Villanova also ranks very highly in defending offensive rebounds.  The matchup is a good one for the more motivated home underdog here tonight.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Florida Atlantic -9.5

Louisiana Tech (14-16) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lose him.  He has been off the team for their last five games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs, a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs, 66-76 road loss at Western Kentucky as 4.5-point dogs, a 49-63 road loss at Middle Tennessee as 8.5-point dogs and a 1-point home win over FIU as 5-point favorites.

So the Bulldogs are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their five games without Williams.  Now they have to face the best team in C-USA in Florida Atlantic (27-3).  Making matters worse is that they are a tired team playing their 2nd game in 3 days after needing OT to beat FIU on Thursday, so they won't have much left in the tank for the Owls.

FAU is trying to make a statement here at the end of the season to try and earn an at-large berth in case they were to lose in the conference tournament.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall winning by 40 over UTSA as 17.5-point favorites, by 26 over UTEP as 12-point favorites and by 29 over Rice as 8.5-point favorites.  They should still be very fresh following three consecutive blowouts.

FAU is 9-0 ATS following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more this season.  The Owls will win this game by double-digits again today.  Bet Florida Atlantic Saturday.

20* Duke/UNC ESPN No-Brainer on North Carolina -2.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels caught fire as an 8-seed and made it to the championship game of the NCAA Tournament last year.  They have pretty much the same team back and after going through the motions most of the season, they are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.  They are squarely on the bubble so will be max motivated.

The Tar Heels have won three consecutive games beating Notre Dame on the road, Virginia at home and FSU on the road.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from a 57-63 road loss at Duke in their first meeting this season.  They shot just 36.4% as a team in that game and just couldn't get a 3 to fall late.  But they are heating up from 3 and will be coming into this game with a ton of shooting confidence.

Duke is 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in true road games this season.  The Blue Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs or PK.  UNC is 12-2 SU at home this season.  Duke is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Blue Devils are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  Bet North Carolina Saturday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State/Texas Tech UNDER 140

This game between Texas Tech and Oklahoma State will be played with extra intensity like it's a NCAA Tournament game.  That's because both teams are squarely on the bubble to make the big dance, and both teams need a win like blood.  Look for that intensity to show up on the defensive end.

Texas Tech ranks 50th in the country in adjusted defense while Oklahoma State ranks 16th, so these are two of the better defensive teams in the country.  The Cowboys have failed to top 68 points in three consecutive games coming in and are struggling on offense.  The Red Raiders are one of the worst offensive teams in the Big 12 as well.

Texas Tech and Oklahoma State have combined for 139 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last five meetings, so this total of 140 is too high given the recent head-to-head history and the situation.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah/Colorado UNDER 134.5

Both Colorado and Utah are really struggling offensively right now due to injuries.  Colorado has scored 68 or fewer points in five consecutive games while averaging just 63.6 points per game during this stretch.  Utah has scored 62 or fewer points in four of its last six games overall.

Utah is without Madsen (11.7 PPG) and Worster (8.7 PPG, 5.1 APG).  Colorado is without Hadley (8.0 PPG) and Ruffin (6.0 PPG) and could be without both Da Silva (16.0 PPG) and Gabbidon (4.6 PPG), who are both questionable.  Points are going to be hard to come by again today behind these teams given these injuries.

Utah is 8-1 UNDER following two consecutive home games this season.  The Utes are 9-2 UNDER in road games vs. teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Colorado is 7-1 UNDER vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game this season.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Utes last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Buffaloes last five games overall.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Buffaloes last six games following a loss.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Kansas/Texas ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Texas -2

The Kansas Jayhawks escaped with home victories over West Virginia 76-74 as 9.5-point favorites and Texas Tech 67-63 as 8-point favorites in their last two games to clinch the Big 12 regular season title.  Now the Jayhawks are primed for a letdown here as this game really means nothing to them as they are basically locked into a No. 1 seed after winning the toughest conference in the country.

I question their motivation tonight, but I have no doubt Texas will be max motivated for revenge from an 80-88 road loss at Kansas.  They want to prove they can beat the top dog in the Big 12, and I think they are favored for good reason tonight.  The Longhorns have one of the best home-court advantages in the country at 16-1 SU at home this season.

The Longhorns are coming off two consecutive road losses to Baylor and TCU to add to their motivation.  The Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a loss.  Kansas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following a win by 6 points or less.  The Jayhawks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following five or more consecutive wins.  Bet Texas Saturday.

15* MVC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley ML -123

The Bradley Braves have now won 11 consecutive games and are the most confident team in the MVC Tournament after winning the regular season title.  They did get a little bit of a scare from UNI winning 72-66 in their MVC opener, but they are battle-tested and still very fresh for this game against Indiana State.

While Bradley will be playing just its 2nd game in 2 days, Indiana State will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days.  So Sycamores were taken to the wire yesterday by Belmont in a 94-91 win that will surely have taken a lot out of them.  I don't think they'll have much left in the tank for the Braves today.

Bradley beat Indiana State 78-67 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  They also won 67-52 at home in their final meeting last season.  The Braves are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Indiana State is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game.  Bradley is the much better defensive team here ranking 39th in adjusted defensive while Indiana State is just 120th.  Bet Bradley on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Tennessee/Auburn UNDER 131

The first meeting this season between Tennessee and Auburn set basketball back 100 years.  The Volunteers won 46-43 for just 89 combined points.  Both teams aren't going to shoot as poorly again, but we have a lot of room to spare to get to this 131-point total.

The Volunteers were already banged up, but now they just lost starting PG Zakai Zeigler (10.7 PPG, 5.4 APG) to a season-ending torn ACL last time out.  That's terrible news for a Tennessee team that was already struggling on offense all season, especially down the stretch.  Not having their floor general out there is going to make them even more stagnant on offense.

Tennessee is a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 276th in adjusted tempo and 1st in adjusted defense.  Auburn ranks 157th in adjusted tempo and 21st in adjusted defense.  The Tigers allow just 64.1 points per game at home this season, while the Vols allow 56.7 points per game overall.  The Vols only score 66.5 points per game on the road this season.

Tennessee is 9-0 UNDER in its last nine games following two consecutive home wins.  The UNDER is 29-14 in Volunteers last 43 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Louisville +20

Virginia struggles to get margin due to ranking 360th in adjusted tempo.  There just aren't enough possessions in Virginia games for them to get margin.  That's why they are such a terrible bet as a big favorite and have been for years, especially this season.

Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall which includes a 48-63 upset loss at Boston College as a 9-point favorite and a 63-71 loss at UNC.  The Cavaliers only beat Notre Dame by 2 as 12.5-point home favorites and Louisville by 3 as 16-point road favorites.

So Louisville already showed they could hang with Virginia two weeks ago losing 58-61 at home.  I am confident they can stay within 20 on the road in the rematch today.  Each of the last 14 meetings in this series were decided by 17 points or less, making for a 14-0 system backing the Cardinals pertaining to this 20-point spread.

Virginia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite.  Louisville is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games as a road underdog of 10 points or more.  The Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet Louisville Saturday.

20* Tennessee/Auburn ESPN No-Brainer on Auburn +2.5

After losing six of their last eight games overall, the Auburn Tigers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  Five of those six losses came on the road.  They need this signature win over Tennessee like blood and I trust them to get it at home today.

Now the Tigers are back home where they are 13-2 SU this season with their only losses coming to Alabama and Texas A&M.  They will be out for revenge from a 43-46 road loss at Tennessee in their first meeting this season.  The Volunteers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games losing by 13 at Florida, by 1 at Vanderbilt, by 12 at Kentucky and by 5 at Texas A&M despite being favored in three of those four games.

The Volunteers were already banged up, but now they just lost starting PG Zakai Zeigler (10.7 PPG, 5.4 APG) to a season-ending torn ACL last time out.  That's terrible news for a Tennessee team that was already struggling on offense all season, especially down the stretch.  Not having their floor general out there is going to make them even more stagnant on offense.

Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games following two consecutive covers as a favorite.  Auburn is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when revenging a loss.  The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss.  Bet Auburn Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Dayton/Saint Louis UNDER 137.5

The Dayton Flyers are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank 346th in the country in adjusted tempo and 48th in adjusted defense.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Dayton's last seven games overall with combined scores of 127, 120, 126, 114, 126, 143 and 130 points.  As you can see, six of their last seven games have finished with 130 or fewer combined points.

This has been an UNDER series between Dayton and Saint Louis as well.  The Flyers and Billikens have combined for just 126, 133, 131 and 129 combined points in their last four meetings, respectively.  Dayton won the first meeting 70-56 this season for just 126 combined points in what was a very slow-paced game.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.

The UNDER is 7-0 in Billikens last seven Friday games.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Billikens last six games following a road loss by 10 points or more.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Dayton's eight games vs. a good team that wins 60-80% of their games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Kent State -4

I love the spot for the Kent State Golden Flashes tonight.  They want revenge from a 55-67 road loss at Akron in their first meeting this season.  They were 1.5-point road favorites in that meeting, and now are only 4-point home favorites in the rematch.

That 2.5-point adjustment for switching home courts isn't enough, especially when you consider Kent State is 14-0 at home and outscoring opponents by 19.2 points per game.  Now they go for a perfect home record on Senior Night and will be max motivated.

Kent State is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following two consecutive conference wins.  The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as home favorites of 6 points or less or PK.  Akron is 1-7 ATS in road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The Zips are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .400.  The Golden Flashes are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games.  Bet Kent State Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Washington State/Washington UNDER 134

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Plus Washington State and Washington are huge rivals so the defensive intensity will be there.  The Cougars won the first meeting 56-51 for just 107 combined points in Pullman.  It should be more of the same here in Seattle in the rematch.

Washington State is a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 329th in adjusted tempo and 53rd in adjusted defense.  The Cougars and their opponents have combined for 120, 130, 133, 142, 107 and 128 points in their last six games overall.  As you can see, five of those six games stayed UNDER this 134-point total.  Washington and its opponents have combined for 131 or fewer points in four of their last seven games overall.

Washington is 7-0 UNDER in its last seven games after allowing 5 or fewer offensive rebounds last game.  The Cougars are 7-0 UNDER in their last seven road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The UNDER is 13-4 in Cougars last 17 road games.  The UNDER is 41-20-1 in Cougars last 62 games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Temple PK

I love the spot for Temple tonight.  We'll 'buy low' on the Owls after losing five of their last six games against a brutal schedule.  They have been off since February 22nd so they are rested and ready to go and primed for a big effort on Senior Night, their final home game.

UCF is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers for a team that is just 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games overall with two of those wins coming against AAC bottom feeder Tulsa.  The Knights already lost 70-77 at home to Temple in their first meeting this season as well.

UCF is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games following three consecutive games where they committed 14 or fewer turnovers.  Temple is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less or PK.  The Owls are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss.  Bet Temple Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Valparaiso ML +105

I love the spot for Valparaiso after a 76-77 (OT) loss at Murray State in their regular season finale.  The Beacons don't have to wait long for revenge and will be facing them on a neutral court this time around.  I believe they are the better team based on what I've seen here down the stretch and will get the job done in the rematch.

Valparaiso is much better than its record this season and has suffered seven losses in its last eight games, but six of those seven losses came by 10 points or fewer including two by a single point.  Murray State is 3-4 in its last seven games overall but has been much less competitive in the losses, losing by 43 at Indiana State, by 34 at home to Drake, by 35 at Bradley and by 15 at Missouri State.  The three wins came against Illinois State by 1, Valaparaiso by 1 and Evansville.

Valparaiso is 8-2 ATS vs. poor passing teams that average 12 or fewer assists per game this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Valparaiso on the Money Line Thursday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Wichita State +18

Only Memphis and Wichita State have played Houston tough in the AAC in recent seasons.  When you look at recent history in this series, the Shockers should not be catching this many points against the Cougars tonight.

Wichita State is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings with Houston.  The Shockers haven't lost any of their last five meetings with the Cougars by more than 10 points.  They lost by 9 as 13-point home dogs, by 2 as 6.5-point home dogs, by 10 as 11-point road dogs, by 7 as 11-point road dogs upset them by 5 as 7-point home dogs.

The Shockers have done their best work on the road this season going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five road games with upset wins at SMU, at Temple by 14 and at Tulane by 7.  The Shockers are 9-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Wichita State is 35-14-2 ATS in its last 51 road games overall.  Bet Wichita State Thursday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU -2

TCU has been one of the best teams in the country when Mike Miles Jr. has been healthy.  He returned three games ago and they promptly crushed Oklahoma State 100-75 to end a four-game losing streak.  They went on to lose at home to Kansas by 5 due to shooting just 30.3% and missing a ton of layups.  But they rebounded with an 83-82 road win at Texas Tech.

Now the Horned Frogs have their sights set on revenge from 75-79 road loss at Texas where they blew a 13-point halftime lead in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of getting revenge at home this time around as a short favorite.

Texas is 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS on the road this season.  That includes 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games losing by 11 at Iowa State, by 11 at Tennessee, by 8 at Kansas, by 7 at Texas Tech and by 9 at Baylor.  Keep in mind the Bears lost their best player in Keyonte George in the opening minutes of that game over the weekend and they still beat the Longhorns by 9.

TCU is 7-0 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss over the last two seasons.  The Longhorns are 2-9 ATS as road underdogs or PK over the last two years.  The Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Bet TCU Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma +7.5

Oklahoma (14-15) is the best team in the country that currently has a losing record.  They have lost a ton of close games this season and still have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament with a big finish here despite their record.  They will be the more motivated team here against a Kansas State team that is comfortably in the NCAA Tournament and in the midst of a surprising 22-7 season.

Oklahoma clearly matches up well with Kansas State, winning 79-65 as 1.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  Now this has been a 9-point adjustment for flipping home courts, which is too much.  I fully expect this game to go down to the wire tonight.

Oklahoma's last three road games were very impressive as they took Baylor to the wire, only lost by 2 at Texas in OT and upset Iowa State by 11 as identical 7.5-point dogs.  The underdog is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.  Bet Oklahoma Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on DePaul +17.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on DePaul following 10 consecutive losses where they have been competitive with nine losses by 14 points or fewer.  That includes an 84-90 road loss at Marquette as 14-point dogs last time out.  And now the Blue Demons are once again catching too many points at UConn tonight.

DePaul wants revenge from a 76-90 home loss to the Huskies as 11-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  I don't see UConn being focused enough to put away the Blue Demons by 18-plus points, which is what it's going to take to cover this inflated number.  We'll 'sell high' on a Huskies team that has won six of their last seven while going 5-2 ATS in the process.

DePaul is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 30 points or fewer in the first half of two consecutive games.  UConn is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games after winning six or seven of its last eight games coming in.

Plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DePaul) - following 10 or more consecutive losses in Wednesday games are 79-40 (66.4%) ATS since 1997.  Bet DePaul Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +10.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores have gone 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall with an upset road win over Florida as well as upset home wins over both Tennessee and Auburn.  They are playing their best basketball of the season and have an outside shot of making the NCAA Tournament, especially if they can beat Kentucky and Mississippi State to close out the season.

While the Commodores remain undervalued on a nightly basis and lacking the respect they deserve, the Wildcats are starting to get a ton of respect from oddsmakers after going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  It's time to 'sell high' on Kentucky following a blowout home win over Auburn last time out.

Vanderbilt as a road underdog is just pure gold.  That has been the case in this series as well as Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS in its last six trips to Kentucky losing by 7 as 14.5-point dogs, by 3 as 11.5-point dogs, by 9 as 21-point dogs, by 9 as 13-point dogs, by 2 as 9-point dogs and by 6 as 10.5-point dogs.  As you can see, the Commodores haven't lost by more than 9 points in any of their last six trips to Kentucky.

The road team is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.  The Commodores are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 road games.  Vanderbilt is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as an underdog of 10 or more points.  The Wildcats are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after winning six or seven of their last eight games.  Kentucky is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following four or more consecutive wins.  The Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Louisville +10.5

Virginia Tech has now lost four of its last six games overall to fall to 16-13 on the season and will now have to win the ACC Tournament to make the big dance.  I think the Hokies will just be playing out the string in these final two games against Louisville and Florida State and will be lacking motivation until they get to the tournament.

Louisville has quietly gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall with upset home wins over both Georgia Tech and Clemson.  The Cardinals have been competitive in 3-point losses to Virginia and Florida State, as well as an 8-point loss at Miami as 20-point dogs.  They also covered on the road at Duke.  Asking the Hokies to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much tonight given their current mental state.

Virginia Tech is 1-9 SU & 1-9 ATS in its 10 road games this season with its lone win coming by 6 at Notre Dame.  The Hokies are 11-29-1 ATS in their last 41 road games.  The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Bet Louisville Tuesday.

20* Texas Tech/Kansas ESPN No-Brainer on Texas Tech +9.5

Texas Tech is playing its best basketball of the season here down the stretch to play itself into the NCAA Tournament.  The Red Raiders have gone 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with two losses coming by 1 and 3 points.  They are catching too many points tonight against Kansas.

The Red Raiders want revenge from a 72-75 home loss to the Jayhawks in their first meeting this season.  This is a Kansas team that has been vulnerable at home losing by 23 to TCU, only beating Oklahoma by 4, Iowa State by 2, WVU by 2 and Oklahoma State by 2 in conference play this season.

Kansas is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games following four or more consecutive wins.  Plays on road teams as an underdog or PK (Texas Tech) - revenging a home loss against an opponent that is off two consecutive close conference wins by 5 points or less are 170-104 (62%) ATS since 1997.  Bet Texas Tech Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Villanova ML -120

Villanova has been competitive in each of its last nine games since Justin Moore returned to the lineup.  Moore is getting better with each passing game and just had 25 points in an upset road win over Xavier two games back.  It was a team effort in an 79-67 upset win over Creighton on Saturday that moved the Wildcats closer to making the NCAA Tournament.

Now the Wildcats will crush Seton Hall on the road tonight.  Villanova just beat Seton Hall 58-54 at home on February 11th.  But that was a 53-39 game with under 3 minutes to go before a frantic comeback by the Pirates.  The Wildcats were clearly the better team, and that will prove to be the case again tonght.

Seton Hall has struggled down the stretch going 1-4 SU in its last five games overall with its lone victory coming at home over Georgetown by 8 as 11.5-point favorites.  Georgetown is the worst team in the Big East.  The Pirates lost by 13 at home to Creighton, by 9 at UConn and by 22 at home to Xavier in the three losses plus the misleading close loss to Villanova.

Seton Hall is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games when revenging a same-season loss.  The Pirates are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.  The road team is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Villanova on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on La Salle +14

La Salle has quietly gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and have played some very competitive basketball with just one loss by more than 7 points in their last 10 games overall.  They are catching too many points here against the Dayton Flyers tongiht.

La Salle has done its best work on the road this season.  They are 9-2-1 ATS in their 12 road games this season which includes upset wins over UMass, St. Joseph's and St. Bonaventure.  They have only one road loss by more than 13 points all season.

Dayton just showed they were vulnerable with an upset home loss to George Mason as 11-point favorites last time out.  The Explorers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game after 15-plus games.  La Salle has pulled the upset over Dayton in each of the last two meetings as 9.5-point home dogs and as 11.5-point road dogs.  Bet La Salle Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgia +2

Georgia wants revenge from a 75-82 road loss at Florida in their first meeting this season as 8.5-point underdogs.  Now the Bulldogs are catching 2 points at home in the rematch when they shouldn't be underdogs at all.

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury against Ole Miss.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

The Gators are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.  They were outrebounded by 15 by Arkansas in a 19-point loss in their first game without him.  They were then outrebounded by 19 in an 8-point home loss to Kentucky in their second game without him.  And they were outrebounded by 11 in a 16-point loss at Vanderbilt in their third game without him.

Castleton has 12 points, 8 rebounds, 7 blocks and 5 assists in the first meeting with Georgia this season.  The Bulldogs will be glad to not have to deal with him this time around.  The Bulldogs have been great at home this season going 13-3 SU with upset wins over Auburn, Mississippi State and Kentucky.  Florida is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after three straight games being outrebounded by 6 or more.  The Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Georgia Tuesday.

25* Big East GAME OF THE YEAR on Butler +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have already clinched at least a share of the Big East title.  They can win it outright when they host St. John's on Saturday, so they know they can afford to lose this game to Butler.  I don't think they will be fully focused as a result.

Butler wants revenge from a 52-60 loss at Marquette as 15-point dogs in their first meeting this season on February 4th.  So they already proved they could play with the Golden Eagles on the road, and asking Marquette to beat them by double-digits to beat us here is asking too much.

Butler comes in playing some of its best basketball of the season going 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall.  The Bulldogs beat St. John's at home and Xavier at home while also upsetting DePaul on the road.  

The Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win and it's a great time to 'sell high' on them here.  They were shaky in their 8-point home win over DePaul as 14-point dogs last time out.  The Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Butler Tuesday.

20* Baylor/Oklahoma State ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 142.5

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between Oklahoma State and Baylor with combined scores of 132, 120 and 115 points at the end of regulation.  The total was set at 138.5 in the first meeting between these teams and is now set at 142.5 for the rematch.  This adjustment is not warranted, and there's a ton of value with the UNDER tonight.

That's especially the case considering Baylor is expected to be without leading scorer Keyonte George (16.3 PPG), who suffered an ankle injury early against Texas and was forced from the game on Saturday.  They did a good job of rallying without him, but they are much less potent without him until he returns.  They'll be up against the 12th-best defense in the country in Oklahoma State tonight.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Bears last five road games.  The UNDER is 9-6 in Oklahoma State's 15 home games this season where they are allowing just 62.5 points per game and 39.3% shooting.  They are also only scoring 69.5 points per game overall this season and struggle to get anything easy on offense.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* UNC/Florida State ESPN No-Brainer on Florida State +8

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Florida State Seminoles.  They are 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  But they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and just showed what they were capable of with an 85-84 upset win at Miami on Saturday.  Now the Seminoles will come back highly motivated to upset North Carolina on National TV tonight.

The Tar Heels have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season after making it to the championship game as an 8-seed last year.  The Tar Heels are 9-19-1 ATS in all games this season.  It's a terrible spot for the Tar Heels after beating ranked Virginia at home on Saturday and with their biggest rivals on deck in Duke.  That makes this a sandwich spot for them.

The Seminoles will be playing only their 2nd game in 9 days, while the Tar Heels will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  UNC is 6-9 SU & 2-12-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in true road games this season.  The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Seminoles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days.  Bet Florida State Monday.

20* Rutgers/Penn State Big Ten No-Brainer on Penn State -2.5

Penn State (17-11) is trying to play its way into the NCAA Tournament.  The Nittany Lions have come up clutch here down the stretch going 3-0 SU in their last three games overall including a 93-81 home win over Illinois.  They are now on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi with some work to do.

Now I expect the Nittany Lions to get revenge on Rutgers after losing on the road to the Scarlet Knights in their first meeting.  This is a struggling Rutgers team that is 1-4 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games overall with its lone win coming by a single point against Wisconsin.  They were upset by 10 at home by Nebraska and upset by 13 at home to Michigan during this stretch.

Penn State is 12-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season.  Rutgers is 3-6 SU & 3-5-1 ATS on the road this season and has been a terrible road team in Big Ten play over the past several seasons.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games.  The Nittany Lions are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.  Bet Penn State Sunday.

15* Cincinnati/Memphis AAC ANNIHILATOR on Memphis -5

The Memphis Tigers are 12-1 at home this season.  They are a highly motivated team right now as they are one of the last teams in the NCAA Tournament according to Joe Lunardi, currently on the 'Last 4 Byes' line.  They can't afford to stumble here against Cincinnati.

That shouldn't be a problem for the Tigers, who have the Bearcats' number and clearly match up well with them.  The Tigers are 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings with all five victories coming by 6 points or more, and the lone loss coming on the road in OT.

Cincinnati is 22-50-3 ATS in its last 75 games following a win.  Cincinnati is 19-41-1 ATS in its last 61 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after scoring 80 points or more.  Bet Memphis Sunday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Loyola-Marymount/Pepperdine OVER 156

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team this season especially here down the stretch.  They are 19-7-1 OVER on the season including 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have combined for at least 153 points with their opponents in 14 of those 15 games, so this 156-point total is actually pretty short for them.

Pepperdine ranks 9th in the country in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home.  They take on a Loyola-Marymount team that also doesn't mind running ranking in the top half of the country in adjusted tempo.  The Lions have allowed at least 70 points in seven consecutive games, including 88 to Pacific and 108 to Gonzaga in their last two games coming in.

Pepperdine and Loyola-Marymount have combined for at least 154 points in each of their last three meetings.  They combined for 154 points in their first meeting this season with Pepperdine shooting just 38.3% from the field, so you have to expect them to improve on that end.

Marymount 11-1 OVER in its last 12 games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 45% shooting or higher.  The Lions are 9-0 OVER in their last nine games vs. a team with a losing record after 15-plus games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Oregon State +9

The Oregon Ducks have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall to play themselves out of the NCAA Tournament.  They know they will now need to win the Pac-12 Tournament to get in, and I expect them to just be playing out the string now until they get there.

Oregon State will be the more motivated team and wants revenge from a 68-77 road loss at Oregon as 13.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Asking the Ducks to now go on the road and win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Oregon State has pulled two impressive upsets in its last three home games, beating USC 61-58 as 9-point home dogs and Colorado 60-52 as 7.5-point home dogs.  The Beavers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after a combined score of 115 points or fewer this season.

Oregon is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 30 points or fewer in the first half of two consecutive games.  The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Oregon State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on SMU/USF OVER 148.5

South Florida has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 21-7 OVER in all games this season and this is a very low total for a game involving the Bulls.  They are a very athletic team that likes to get up and down.

The OVER is 20-4 in Bulls' last 24 games overall.  We have seen at least 149 combined points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  That includes an 80-82 loss at SMU in their first meeting this season that saw 162 combined points.  It should be more of the same in the rematch.

SMU is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games overall with 149 or more combined points in six of those 10 games.  The OVER Is 11-1 in Mustangs last 12 games following an ATS win.  This is going to be a carefree game with little defense being played.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Vanderbilt -3.5

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

The Gators are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.  They were outrebounded by 15 by Arkansas in a 19-point loss in their first game without him.  They were then outrebounded by 19 in an 8-point home loss to Kentucky in their second game without him.

Now the Gators have to go on the road and take on a hot Vanderbilt team that has gone 5-1 SU in its last six games overall while playing its best basketball of the season.  The Commodores have won all three home games during this stretch including upset victories over Tennessee and Auburn.  Vanderbilt F Liam Robbins (15.4 PPG, 7.0 RPG) is one of the best big men in the country and will have a field day not having to go up against Castleton.

Vanderbilt just won 88-80 at Florida on February 11th in their first meeting this season.  Robbins had 32 points and 10 rebounds while Castleton had 25 points and 11 rebounds in a tremendous battle of big men.  So that's a ton of production the Gators will be missing from that first meeting.

The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  The Commodores are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Vanderbilt is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 February games.  The Commodores are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

25* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Middle Tennessee -6

Louisiana Tech (13-15) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lose him.  He has been off the team for their last three games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs, a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs and a 66-76 road loss at Western Kentucky as 4.5-point dogs.

So the Bulldogs are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS without Williams, and now the are in a tough spot here having to playing their 2nd road game in 3 days while being short-handed.  This isn't going to go well for them on the road against Middle Tennessee, which is 11-2 SU & 8-2-1 ATS at home this season with a huge home-court advantage.

Middle Tennessee blasted LA Tech in the first meeting this season 68-51 on the road even with Williams, who had 22 of their 51 points in the loss.  It's easy to see how much they are going to struggle here without him in the rematch.  They have failed to top 67 points in any of their last three games without Williams.

Middle Tennessee has had the last six days off, which gives them a huge advantage in rest and preparation over LA Tech playing its 2nd game in 3 days.  The Blue Raiders are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games following a home win.  Middle Tennessee is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite or PK.  The Blue Raiders are 16-1 ATS in their last 17 games following two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists.  Bet Middle Tennessee Saturday.

15* K-State/Oklahoma State ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma State -1

The Oklahoma State Cowboys return home highly motivated for a victory after three consecutive losses.  After losing at home to Kansas, the Cowboys went on the road and were also beaten badly by TCU and West Virginia.  They had won five consecutive games prior to this skid.

Now the Cowboys have their sights set on revenge from a 57-65 road loss at Kansas State in their first meeting this season.  Oklahoma State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 home meetings with the Wildcats.

Kansas State is coming off two consecutive home wins over Iowa State and Baylor.  Now the Wildcats hit the road where they are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

Oklahoma State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games when playing only its 2nd game in a week.  The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Oklahoma State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Baylor -3

I love the spot for the Baylor Bears today hosting the Texas Longhorns.  Baylor had won 10 of its previous 11 games before going on the road and losing to two of the top teams in the conference in Kansas and Kansas State.  They fell apart in the 2H of both of those games.

Now they return home highly motivated for a victory and primed for one of their biggest efforts of the season.  They also want revenge from a 71-76 road loss at Texas in their first meeting this season in a game that wasn't decided until the closing seconds.  They'll have their revenge on the Longhorns this time around at home.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Longhorns after consecutive home wins over Oklahoma and Iowa State, two teams that are really struggling right now.  It's easy to see the Longhorns are overvalued when you compare the line from the first meeting.  Baylor was actually a 1-point road favorite in that first meeting, and is now just a 3-point home favorite in the rematch.  So the books have only adjusted 2 points for flipping home courts.  There is a ton of value on Baylor as a result.

Texas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road games.  The Longhorns are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.  The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Arkansas +9

Alabama has a lot of turmoil and distractions within their program right now.  That showed up when they needed OT to squeak out a 78-76 win at lowly South Carolina as 17-point favorites on Wednesday.  Now they only have two days to get ready for Arkansas and distractions will be an issue for the Crimson Tide the rest of the way.

Arkansas has had the last three days off an is coming off two of its most impressive performances of the season.  The Razorbacks crushed Florida 84-65 before beating Georgia even worse, 97-65.  So the Razorbacks should still be fresh for this one.

A big reason for their recent success is Eric Musselman giving star freshman Nick Smith more minutes.  When Smith plays at least 20 minutes, the Razorbacks are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season.  He just put up 26 points in the win over Georgia last time out and will be a problem the Crimson Tide have to deal with this time around that they didn't have to deal with in the first meeting.

The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  Arkansas is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when revenging a loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when revenging a loss by 10 points or more.  The Razorbacks are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games following two conference wins.  Alabama is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games after going over the total in two consecutive games.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Villanova +4

Villanova has been competitive in each of its last eight games since Justin Moore returned to the lineup.  Moore is getting better with each passing game and just had 25 points in an upset road win over Xavier last time out.

Now the Wildcats have had the last three days off and will be out for revenge from a 61-66 loss at Creighton on February 4th just three weeks ago in a game that wasn't decided until the final seconds.  I think they are showing tremendous value catching 4 points at home today in a game I fully expect them to get their revenge and win outright.

Villanova is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games when revenging a loss and outscoring opponents by a whopping 18.8 points per game in this spot.  Creighton is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers.  The Wildcats are 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine home meetings with Creighton.  The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* TCU/Texas Tech ESPN 2 Early ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech -2.5

Texas Tech has played its way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion in recent weeks while playing its best basketball of the season.  The Red Raiders have gone 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with four consecutive wins coming in with three outright upsets and a win as a 1.5-point favorite.

Now the Red Raiders are only 2.5-point home favorites over TCU today and will continue their momentum.  The spot is a bad one for TCU coming off a home loss to Kansas, and a hangover can be expected.  The Horned Frogs have gone the other direction of late at 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  Yet they continue getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers here as a short road dog.

The Red Raiders will be out for revenge from a 61-67 road loss at TCU in their first meeting this season.  They have gone 13-4 SU & 9-7-1 ATS in their last 17 home meetings with TCU.  The Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games following two consecutive covers.  The Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  The home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa -4

I love the spot for the Iowa Hawkeyes today.  They return home following consecutive road losses at Northwestern and at Wisconsin in which they could just not get a 3-pointer to fall.  Indeed, the Hawkeyes went 6-of-52 (11.5%) from 3-point range in those two games combined.

But now the Hawkeyes are back home where they have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Iowa is 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games.  They will be out for revenge from a 61-63 road loss at Michigan State in their first meeting this season.  The Hawkeyes beat the Spartans 86-60 as 6-point home favorites last season.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Spartans, who have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with two home wins over Maryland and Indiana as well as a road win at Ohio State, which is 1-14 in its last 15 games.  They also lost by 12 at Michigan and are just 3-5 SU in true road games this season.

Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.  Iowa is 46-21-3 ATS in its last 70 home games.  The Hawkeyes are 8-2 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  The Spartans are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after making 88% of their free throws or better last game.  Iowa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after playing a game as a road underdog.  Bet Iowa Saturday.

15* Nevada/Fresno State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on Fresno State +3.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Nevada Wolf Pack.  They have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall which includes a 77-66 home win over Fresno State as 9-point favorites on February 10th just two weeks ago.  That game was much closer than the final score as the Wolf Pack pulled away late, and it was a brutal beat for Fresno backers.

The Bulldogs now get their shot at revenge at home this time around here just two weeks later.  They are playing competitive basketball going 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games with two losses coming by 2 and 3 points to San Diego State and Colorado State, respectively.  They upset UNLV and Air Force on the road while also beating San Jose State by 8 at home.

The home team is a perfect 7-0 SU in the last seven meetings in this series.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Bulldogs are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following two consecutive games with 8 or fewer turnovers.  The Wolf Pack are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games.  Bet Fresno State Friday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Air Force +9.5

The Air Force Falcons have been an undervalued commodity this season at 17-12 ATS in their 29 games.  The are much better than they get credit for, and asking UNLV to beat them by double-digits to beat us tonight is asking too much.

UNLV is going through its worst stretch of the season right now going 1-4 SU in its last five games overall.  That includes upset home losses to Fresno State as 9.5-point favorites and San Jose State as 6.5-point favorites.  A big reason for the Rebels' struggles is the loss of Luis Rodriquez (11.2 PPG), who remains out tonight.

The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Air Force is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Friday games.  The Rebels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  The underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  Bet Air Force Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego +23

The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  They have gone 23-5 SU but just 9-17-1 ATS on the season.  And now they are in a terrible spot Thursday with St. Mary's on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but look ahead to that game with revenge on their mind after losing to the Gaels in OT in their first meeting.

As a result, I expect a flat effort from the Bulldogs tonight that will allow San Diego to stay within this inflated number.  The Toreros have been much more competitive here of late going 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Loyola-Marymount by 8 as 3.5-point home dogs, only lost by 5 at Santa Clara as 11.5-point dogs, only lost by 5 at Pacific and only lost by 3 at home to St. Mary's as 13.5-point dogs.  There's no way they should be 23-point dogs here to Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs are 9-22-2 ATS in their last 33 games overall.  Gonzaga is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 home games.  The Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.  Gonzaga is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  Bet San Diego Thursday.

20* WCC GAME OF THE MONTH on Pacific +19.5

St. Mary's is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall and consistently overvalued here down the stretch.  This is all about the spot though as the Gaels have Gonzaga on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but to be looking ahead to that game.

We saw St. Mary's struggle to put away San Francisco in a 9-point win as 12-point home favorites the game prior to Gonzaga earlier this month.  I think they let down enough here to allow Pacific to stay within this inflated number tonight.

Pacific has gone 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall which includes some very impressive performances.  The Tigers only lost by 9 as 18-point dogs to Gonzaga, upset Santa Clara outright as 12-point dogs and only lost by 2 at Loyola-Marymount as 9.5-point dogs, easily covering the spread in all three games against three of the better teams in this conference.

The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Pacific Thursday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado -2.5

Colorado has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country and that's the case year in and year out. The Buffaloes are just 4-11 in all games played away from home this season, but they are 11-2 in Boulder with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  I expect Colorado to make easy work of USC tonight.

I love the spot for the Buffaloes coming off three consecutive road games at Utah, ASU and Arizona where they did good to come away with one win.  Now they are back home tonight for the first time since February 5th.  Meanwhile, USC hits the road following a pair of easy home wins over Cal and Stanford.  The Trojans were last seen losing by 18 at Oregon and getting upset by 3 at Oregon State in their last two road games.  Bet Colorado Thursday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Kentucky -4

Louisiana Tech (13-14) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lost him.  He has been off the team for their last two games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs and a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs.

Now the Bulldogs go on the road for the first time without Williams and it won't go well for them tonight, either.  Western Kentucky wants revenge from an OT loss at Louisiana Tech in their first meeting this season.  Williams scored 20 points in 41 minutes for the Bulldogs in that first meeting.

Western Kentucky has won three consecutive home games and will be highly motivated not only for revenge, but to bounce back from two close road losses at Charlotte by 4 and at Rice by 6 in their last two games coming in.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on North Texas -2.5

North Texas (23-5, 14-3 C-USA) is a half-game back of Florida Atlantic for first place in Conference USA.  They have a lot to play for here down the stretch and won't be taking Charlotte lightly tonight.

That's key here because they won't be complacent after crushing Charlotte 67-43 at home in their first meeting this season.  Now they come back as just 2.5-point road favorites here in a game they should win going away.

Charlotte is just 4-6 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with the four wins coming against WKU (twice by 4), LA Tech without Cobe Williams and UTEP.  They don't have much of a home-court advantage as they have lost three of their last four home games despite being 7.5-point favorites in two of them.

North Texas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 February games.  The Mean Green are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games following three consecutive covers as a favorite.  Charlotte is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following two consecutive conference wins.  The Mean Green are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  North Texas is 23-8-3 ATS in its last 34 road games.  Bet North Texas Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Penn State +2

Penn State sits at 16-11 on the season and currently on the 'Next 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  That means they have some work to do to make the NCAA Tournament, and thus they won't be taking Ohio State lightly tonight.

Ohio State has been the single-most overrated team in the country in conference play this season.  They have gone just 1-13 SU & 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Yet here they are once again a home favorite over a team they shouldn't be favored against.  

Their last three games have seen the Buckeyes lose by 27 at Purdue, by 17 at Iowa and by 21 at home to Michigan State.  Not to mention, they just lost Zed Key (10.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) to a season-ending injury and will no longer have him the rest the way.

The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Penn State Thursday.

20* New Mexico/Boise State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico +6.5

New Mexico opened 19-3 this season and looked like a shoe-in to make the NCAA Tournament.  Instead, they have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall to put their tournament hopes in jeopardy.  It's now time to 'buy low' on the Lobos as 6.5-point road underdogs at Boise State tonight.

The loss at Utah State that started this poor run is understandable, and then they lost on a buzzer-beater at home to Nevada.  They lost their best player on Jaelen House (16.9 PPG, 4.6 APG) in that loss to Nevada for two games, which saw them get upset by Air Force and Wyoming.  House returned to help lead the Lobos to a 96-68 blowout victory at San Jose State and he makes all the difference for this team.

The Lobos last played on Friday and have had the last four days off to rest and recover and prepare to beat Boise State again after already topping the Broncos at home in their first meeting.  Meanwhile, Boise State has only had the last two days off after a narrow 73-69 home win over UNLV on Sunday.  That's a big edge in rest and preparation for the Lobos.

Boise State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after two straight games making 78% of their free throws or better.  The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and once again overvalued here as a 6.5-point home favorite in a game that is likely going to come down to the final possession.  Bet New Mexico Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +2.5

The Georgetown Hoyas have quietly gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have just two outright wins to show for it during this stretch, but their hard work will pay off tonight as they get an upset home victory over a team they can handle in St. John's.

The Hoyas will be out for revenge from a 73-75 road loss at St. John's in their first meeting this season.  Now they get them at home this time around and face a struggling Red Storm team that has gone just 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall with five losses by 8 points or more.

The Red Storm are just 2-7 SU in true road games this season.  St. John's is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

25* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Tulane +15.5

Tulane is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall and continues to be undervalued here as a 15.5-point road underdog to Houston.  The Green Wave have pulled off impressive road wins as underdogs at Wichita State and at Memphis while also crushing USF by 18 on the road during this stretch.

The Green Wave now have their sights set on revenge from a 20-point home loss to Houston as 10.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season on January 17th.  This team has improved by leaps and bounds since then, and has played their best basketball on the road this season.  The Green Wave are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Houston has consistently been overvalued at home this season, especially in conference play.  The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  They only beat UCF by 6 as 15-point favorites, South Florida by 6 as 23-point favorites, lost outright to Temple as 19-point favorites, only beat Cincinnati by 6 as 14-point favorites and only beat Memphis by 8 as 14.5-point favorites.

Tulane is 6-0 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The road team is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings as home-court advantage has meant very little in this series.  The Cougars will get more of a battle than they bargained for tonight.  Bet Tulane Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on South Florida/UCF OVER 141

South Florida has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 20-7 OVER in all games this season and this is a very low total for a game involving the Bulls.  They are a very athletic team that likes to get up and down.

In their first meeting this season, USF pulled the 85-72 upset as 4.5-point home underdogs over UCF in a game that saw 157 combined points.  It's not like either team shot lights out either as USF shot 44.3% while UCF shot 41.8%.  So there's actually room for improvement offensively from both teams in this rematch.

UCF is 7-0 OVER when revenging a loss this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Bulls last eight games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine road games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Bulls last six home games.  These four trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the OVER tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Vanderbilt -2.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are quietly playing their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall which includes upset home wins over Tennessee and Auburn as well as an upset road win at Florida.

Now the Commodores should have no problem making it six in a row against the worst team in the SEC in the LSU Tigers.  The Tigers are 0-14 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall with 12 losses by 8 points or more as they have rarely even been competitive.  They just lost by 9 as 7.5-point home favorites to South Carolina and look to have quit on their season.

Vanderbilt is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games following a conference win.  The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5.  Vanderbilt is 37-17-1 ATS in its last 55 road games, including 22-6-1 ATS in its last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Valparaiso +8.5

Bradley is tied with Drake for for first place in the Missouri Valley with two games remaining.  Well, Bradley hosts Drake on Sunday in a game that will decide the the regular season conference champion.  I have no doubt the Braves are looking ahead to that game and overlooking Valparaiso here.

Valparaiso has been much better than its record would indicate.  The Beacons are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall, which includes OT losses at home to Drake and on the road at Missouri State.  They have proven they can play with the best teams in the conference, and I expect them to take Bradley to the wire tonight.

Valparaiso is 8-6 SU at home this season with only two losses all season by more than 7 points.  Bradley is 14-1 at home but just 7-7 SU & 5-9 ATS in their 14 games played away from home.  The Beacons are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six home meetings with Bradley.

Bradley is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after scoring 60 points or less.  The Braves are 1-12 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing 25 points or fewer in the first half last game.  The Beacons are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

20* Kentucky/Florida ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -2.5

The Kentucky Wildcats have gone 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  I expect them to put it on the Florida Gators, who are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

They lost their first game without Castleton 65-84 at Arkansas and were outrebounded by 15.  Kentucky beat Florida 72-67 as 4.5-point home favorites in their first meeting this season despite 25 points, 8 rebounds and 3 blocks from Castleton.  They won despite their best player in Oscar Tshiebwe going 2-of-14 for 4 points as Castleton shut him down.  Without him now, the Gators have no chance of stopping Tshiebwe inside and will get dominated on the boards.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

15* Indiana/Michigan State ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State -3

I like the spot for Michigan State tonight.  They are coming off a road loss at Michigan and will be looking to bounce back at home where they are 10-2 SU this season with their two losses coming to Purdue by 1 and Northwestern early in the season.

The spot favors the Spartans as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.  Meanwhile, Indiana will be playing in its 3rd different city in 7 days.  The Hoosiers are coming off a big comeback 71-68 home win over Illinois who were playing without their best player in Shannon.  They also lost by 2 at Northwestern the game prior, and each of their last five games were decided by 6 points or fewer.  They have been through the gauntlet and won't have much left in the tank for Michigan State.

The Spartans want revenge from a road loss at Indiana in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of getting revenge considering they are 18-2 SU & 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home meetings with the Hoosiers.  The Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  The home team is 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.  Bet Michigan State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Georgia Tech +12.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been one of the most surprising teams in all of college basketball at 19-8 this season.  But you are paying a tax to back them now, especially after going 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall.  They finally had their six-game winning streak snapped with a 72-79 loss at Virginia Tech last time out, and are now likely to be flat at home against Georgia Tech as a result.

Georgia Tech has quietly gone 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.  They only lost by 8 at NC State as 15-point dogs, upset Notre Dame at home, only lost by 1 at Wake Forest as 13-point dogs, upset Virginia Tech by 7 as 8-point home dogs and crushed Florida Tech by 23 at home.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now and catching too many points here.  Asking Pitt to beat them by 13-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Georgia Tech Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech -2

The Virginia Tech Hokies made a big run at the end of last season to win the ACC Tournament and get into the field.  A big finish here again could get them into the big dance as they have ranked games against Miami and Duke in their next two games and need to win both.

The Hokies are starting to play up to their potential of late going 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with home wins over Duke, Syracuse, Virginia and Pitt.  They can handle Miami, which hasn't been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home.

The Hokies want revenge from an 83-92 road loss at Miami in their first meeting this season.  Virginia Tech is 12-3 SU & 9-6 ATS at home this season, including 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  The Hokies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games following an ATS win.  This is a must-win for them and they'll get the job done.  Bet Virginia Tech Tuesday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas A&M ML -115

Texas A&M has been one of the most undervalued teams in the country over the last few seasons under Buzz Williams.  He's one of my favorite head coaches in the country.  The Aggies are 20-7 SU & 18-9 ATS this season including 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS in SEC play with a legit shot to win the conference.

The Aggies have a tremendous home-court advantage at 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS this season.  It will be a packed house tonight with ranked Tennessee coming to town.  The Volunteers have been one of the most overrated teams in the country in recent weeks and just can't be trusted to score despite being great defensively.

Tennessee is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  That includes a 13-point loss at Florida as a 4.5-point favorite, an upset loss at Vanderbilt as a 10-point favorite, an upset home loss to Missouri as a 12.5-point favorite and an upset loss at Kentucky by 12 as a favorite.  The Volunteers have scored 54 or fewer points in three of their last six games, and 68 or fewer points in five of the six.

Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite or PK.  The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet Texas A&M Tuesday.

20* Oklahoma State/WVU ESPN 2 No-Brainer on UNDER 143.5

Oklahoma State beat West Virginia 67-60 for just 127 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 2nd.  The total was set at 138.5 points for that game, and now has been set 5 points higher for the rematch at 143.5.  There is a ton of value on the UNDER here tonight as a result.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and these teams always tend to play in defensive battles.  Each of their last four meetings have seen 141 or fewer combined points.  Oklahoma State ranks 9th in adjusted defense while West Virginia ranks 56th.

A big reason this total has been inflated is due to WVU going over the total in six of its last seven games including a 150-point effort against Texas Tech last time out.  The same can be said for the Cowboys, who have gone over the total in seven of their last eight games including a 175-point effort against TCU last time out.  Points will be much harder to come by tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +5.5

Nebraska comes in playing its best basketball of the season right now.  The Huskers have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Penn State by 9 as 5-point home dogs, upset Wisconsin by 10 as 3-point home dogs and upset Rutgers by 10 as 14-point road dogs.

Now the Huskers are catching 5.5 points at home today against a Maryland team that is in a huge letdown spot.  The Terrapins are coming off a 68-54 home win over No. 3 ranked Purdue on Thursday.  Now they have just two days to get ready for Nebraska, while the Huskers have had the last four days off after beating Rutgers on Tuesday.

Maryland is just 2-6 SU in true road games with their two wins coming against Louisville and Minnesota, two of the worst Power 5 teams in the country.  They lost by 5 at Wisconsin, by 35 at Michigan, by 14 at Rutgers, by 14 at Iowa and by 5 at Michigan State while also losing at Purdue.

Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Nebraska) - revenging a same-season loss, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 or more points at 47-16 (74.6%) ATS since 1997.  The Terrapins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Huskers are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games.  The Huskers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Southern Illinois +2

Southern Illinois wants revenge from a 52-62 road loss at Bradley in their first meeting this season earlier this month on February 1st.  I like their chances of getting their revenge at home this time around.

The Salukis are 12-1 SU at home this season, so getting them as a home underdog is a nice proposition.  Their lone home loss came to Indiana State by 3 points early in the season.  They have beaten the likes of Belmont by 18, Drake by 4 and Missouri State by 20 at home this season.

Bradley is overvalued right now after going 7-0 SU in their last seven games overall against an extremely soft schedule.  They have wins over Illinois State (twice), Murray State, Illinois-Chicago, Northern Iowa, Missouri State and SIU during this stretch.  We'll gladly 'sell high' on the Braves today.

Bradley is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games.  The Braves are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games following two consecutive games where their opponents was called for 15 or fewer fouls.  Bradley is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after committing eight or fewer turnovers last game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on NC State -2

NC State wants revenge from a 69-80 road loss at North Carolina in their first meeting this season.  The Tar Heels have been faltering since and are scuffling inside their own locker room.  They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming at home to Clemson.  They were also upset at home by both Miami and Pitt during this stretch, while losing at Duke and at Wake Forest.

NC State has had a big home-court advantage this season at 12-1 SU on the year.  North Carolina is 5-8 SU & 2-10 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Tar Heels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet NC State Sunday.

15* Auburn/Vanderbilt SEC ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt +3.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are playing their best basketball of the season right now and quietly working their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Tennessee as 10-point home dogs and Florida as 8.5-point road dogs during this stretch.

Now they host an Auburn team that has been dreadful on the road this season.  Indeed, the Tigers are just 4-5 SU in true road games this season with their four wins coming against Washington, Ole Miss, LSU and South Carolina.  None of those teams are even sniffing the NCAA Tournament.

Auburn is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 road games following a game where they made 50% of their 3-pointers or better.  They shoot just 29.9% from 3-point range this season.  The Tigers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games following a win, including 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane/South Florida OVER 155.5

Tulane ranks 5th in the country in adjusted tempo.  The Green Wave consistently play in shootouts as they are 14-9 OVER in all games this season.  Now they face a South Florida team that will have no problem getting up and down with them as they are playing a lot faster this season and are 20-6 OVER as a result.

The OVER is 10-1 in USF's last 11 games overall with combined scores of 154 or more points in nine of their last 10 games.  Tulane is 4-1 OVER in its last five games overall with combined scores of 160 or more points in four of those five contests.

Tulane is 6-0 OVER in all games played away from home this season.  USF is 9-1 OVER following a win this season.  USF is 8-0 OVER vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  These four trends combine for a 32-1 system backing the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Creighton/St. John's Big East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 150.5

St. John's ranks 3rd in the country in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home today against Creighton.  They face a Bluejays team that ranks 27th in adjusted offense and will get up and down with them, no problem.

We saw that in the first meeting this season with Creighton winning 104-76 for 180 combined points on January 25th.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here with this 150.5-point total.  Shootouts have been nothing new in this series as Creighton and St. John's have combined for 180, 159, 151, 176, 170, 161 and 176 points in their last seven meetings, respectively.

As you can see, each of the last seven meetings have seen 151 or more combined points, making for a perfect 7-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 150.5-point total.  St. John's is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pepperdine +16.5

Pepperdine has a ton of young talent and it's starting to show here late in the season.  The Waves have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall upsetting Portland at home, upsetting BYU by 12 as 7.5-point home dogs and losing only by 8 as 9-point dogs at San Francisco.

Now the Waves have had the last week off to rest and get ready to try and knock off mighty Gonzaga.  I think this is a great time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs after one of their most dominant performances of the season Thursday in a revenge-fueled blowout at Loyola-Marymount after recently losing at home to the Lions.  Now they just have one day to get ready for Pepperdine and feel like they just have to show up to win, which won't be the case.

Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS following an ATS win this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after leading their previous game by 15-plus points at halftime.  Gonzaga is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Bulldogs are 9-21-2 ATS in their last 32 games overall.  Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Syracuse ML +105

The Syracuse Orange have come up clutch of late to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their lats three games overall winning by 9 at Boston College, by 9 at Florida State and by 3 at home over NC State.  Now they could really use a win over Duke to help their resume.

Syracuse has been handling its business at home this season, while Duke has been atrocious on the road.  The Blue Devils are 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS in true road games this season with their two wins coming at Georgia Tech and at Boston College (by 1), two of the worst teams in the ACC.  They lost by 11 at Wake Forest, by 24 at NC State, by 8 at Clemson, by 3 at VA Tech, by 22 at Miami and by 7 at Virginia.

Syracuse is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better after 15-plus games this season.  Duke is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Blue Devils are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orange are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Syracuse on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Villanova +4.5

This is a terrible spot for Providence.  They are coming off a 94-86 (Double OT) home win over the Creighton Bluejays.  This is now a letdown spot, especially after already beating Villanova by 5 on the road in their first meeting this season.

But this isn't the same Villanova team they faced the first time around.  The Wildcats have played the last six games with Justin Moore (10.0 PPG, 4.7 APG), who has progressively been getting better.  They have lost three tough games in their first three games with him by 5 to Providence, by 9 at Marquette in a game they led late, and by 5 at Creighton in a game they also led late.  

The Wildcats have since gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in their last three games overall beating DePaul by 16, Butler by 12 and Seton Hall by 4 in a game they led by 11 in the final minute.  Now the Wildcats have their sights set on revenge on the Friars, and they could really use this upset victory to help their NCAA Tournament chances.

Villanova is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 road games following a home win, including 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games following a conference home win.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Villanova/Providence UNDER 138.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  I cashed the UNDER 138 in the first meeting between these teams as Providence won 70-65 for 135 combined points.  Now they have set the total in the same ball park for the rematch, and it's too high again.  Providence shot 50% in that first meeting and that's not going to happen again.

Villanova plays a style the forces their opponents to play in the half court.  They rank 343rd in adjusted tempo this season.  Providence ranks 190th in adjusted tempo, so they rank in the bottom half in terms of pace, too.

Providence is 11-3 UNDER in its last 14 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Wildcats last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Wildcats last four gams following a win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Friars last six games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on DePaul +13.5

Xavier is without one of its best players in Zach Freemantle (15.2 PPG, 8.1 RPG) and it has shown of late.  The Musketeers are 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall with their two wins coming over St. John's and by 2 over Providence.

Now they are laying too many points without Freemantle against DePaul, which already beat Xavier 73-72 as 8-point home underdogs.  Now the Blue Demons are catching too many points (13.5) on the road in the rematch.  That's especially the case when you consider each of the last four meetings in this series were decided by 4 points or less.  

Xavier hasn't won any of its last 11 meetings with DePaul by more than 11 points, making for an 11-0 system backing the Blue Demons pertaining to this 13.5-point spread.  The Blue Demons are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive ATS losses.  

We'll gladly 'buy low' on the Blue Demons after losing seven consecutive games while going 1-6 ATS in the process.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 10 days against a familiar foes that they match up well with.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma +11

The Oklahoma Sooners want revenge from a 69-70 home loss to Texas as 2.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season.  Now the Sooners are catching a whopping 11 points on the road in the rematch against their biggest rivals.  This is simply too much folks.

We'll 'buy low' on the Sooners, who have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  We'll 'sell high' on the Longhorns, who have gone 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.  The Longhorns due have a good home-court advantage, but it hasn't meant much in this series with Oklahoma.

Indeed, the road team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  The underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  I expect this game to be decided by single-digits either way.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

20* Tennessee/Kentucky CBS No-Brainer on UNDER 135.5

Tennessee ranks 1st in the country in adjusted defense this season but struggles to score the ball.  The Volunteers have been held to 68 or fewer points in four of their last five games, including 54 against Florida and 46 against Auburn.  Kentucky hasn't scored more than 76 points in any of its last eight games overall.  

The Wildcats rank 277th in adjusted tempo while the Volunteers rank 255th, so this game will be played at snail's pace.  That was the case in the first meeting as Kentucky pulled the 63-56 upset at Tennessee for just 119 combined points.

Both teams have significant injuries right now that are hampering them offensively.  Tennessee has been without both James (9.5 PPG) and Phillips (9.0 PPG) and both are questionable to return today.  Kentucky remains without Wheeler (7.7 PPG) and could be without Fredrick (7.3 PPG) again.

Tennessee is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games following two consecutive home games.  Kentucky is 15-5 UNDER in its last 20 home games following a close win by 3 points or less.  The UNDER is 27-13 in Vols' last 40 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin +1.5

Wisconsin is starting to play up to its potential again with upset road wins over Ohio State and Northwestern as well as a home win over Michigan in three of its last five games.  The Badgers still have one of the best home-court advantages in the country, and they should not be home underdogs to Rutgers today.

Rutgers has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-7 SU in all games played away from home this season.  They are struggling coming into this one going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall which includes an upset loss to Nebraska by 10 as 14-point home favorites last time out.  A big reason for their struggles is the loss of big man Mawot Mag (7.8 PPG, 5.3 APG), who missed each of their last three games, all losses.

Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last six home meetings with Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games losing by 9 at Illinois, by 6 at Indiana, by 11 at Iowa and by 13 at Michigan State.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Jose State -1

Tim Miles is one of the best in the business at reviving programs from the dead.  He did it at Nebraska, and he's doing it at San Jose State.  Miles has led the Spartans to a 16-10 start this season and they've been one of the most underrated teams in the country, going 17-8 ATS in their 25 lined games.

The Spartans have been really good at home, going 10-2 SU & 8-3 ATS and have been mighty impressive recently at home.  They upset Utah State as 6-point home dogs, beat Wyoming by 20, Air Force by 30 and Fresno State by 10 in their last four home games.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from a loss at New Mexico in their first meeting this season.

But the Lobos aren't playing anywhere near as well as they were in that first meeting.  They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with four consecutive losses.  They followed up a 12-point loss at Air Force as 5.5-point favorites with a 14-point home loss to Wyoming as 9-point favorites in their last two games.  They were without second-leading scorer Jaelen House (17.3 PPG, 4.6 APG) for both games and he remains questionable tonight with a hamstring injury.

The Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Spartans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  San Jose State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.  The Spartans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points.  The Spartans are 13-2 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  Bet San Jose State Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Loyola-Marymount +8.5

Gonzaga has been one of the most overrated teams in the country all season.  The Bulldogs are 21-5 SU but just 8-16-1 ATS.  They take on a Loyola-Marymount team that has been one of the most underrated all season.  The Lions are 17-10 SU & 16-9-1 ATS this season.

Loyola-Marymount already upset Gonzaga outright as 16.5-point road underdogs in their first meeting this season, handing the Bulldogs their lone home loss.  Yes, Gonzaga will be out for revenge, but they simply aren't good enough to go on the road and beat the Lions by 9-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us.

Loyola-Marymount is 12-2 SU & 10-3 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Their two home losses both came by exactly 2 points.  They upset St. Mary's as 6.5-point home dogs in their last home game, so they have wins over each of the top two teams in this conference.

The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.  Gonzaga is 8-21-2 ATS in its last 31 games overall.  The Lions are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.  Loyola-Marymount is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona -10.5

I love the spot for the Arizona Wildcats tonight.  They will be max motivated coming off an upset loss at Stanford, while also looking to revenge an upset loss at Utah in their first meeting this season.  They were 7-point favorites at Utah and are now 10.5-point home favorites in the rematch, a 3.5-point adjustment which isn't enough for home-court advantage.

Arizona is 13-1 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.6 points per game.  Utah is coming off three consecutive home games and was last seen losing by 12 on the road at Oregon, by 15 on the road at USC and by 19 on the road at UCLA in three of its last four road games.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with the lone exception being Arizona's 97-77 win in Utah last season.  Utah is without Gabe Madsen (11.7 PPG), who had 11 points in that first meeting with the Wildcats.

Utah is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover two of its last three games ATS coming in.  The Utes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games after playing a game as a home favorite.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Bet Arizona Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State -3.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Iowa State Cyclones.  They have gone 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four narrow losses.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight, and we should get a big effort from them at home where they are 12-1 SU & 8-5 ATS this season.

TCU is struggling right now due to injuries to their best player in Mike Miles Jr. (18.1 PPG) and key role player Eddie Lampkin Jr. (7.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG).  The Horned Frogs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and aren't likely to have Miles back tonight.  Either way, I like the Cyclones to roll.  Bet Iowa State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Northern Iowa Panthers after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule.  It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Drake Bulldogs after winning seven consecutive games against a soft schedule.

It's easy to see how this spread is inflated tonight considering Northern Iowa was a 7.5-point road dog at Drake in their first meeting this season, and now they are 6.5-point dogs at home in the rematch.  The books have barely even adjusted for home-court advantage.  Northern Iowa will be out for revenge from an 81-88 (double-OT) loss at Drake in their first meeting this season.  

The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Drake is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following a win.  Northern Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following a double-digit home loss.  Drake is 0-7 ATS following a home win by 10 points or more this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS following a home win this season.  Bet Northern Iowa Wednesday.