20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

Light winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland today.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Jordan Montgomery is much better than he has shown thus far for the Cardinals and this will be one of his easiest tasks of the season facing this putrid Cleveland lineup.  Hunter Gaddis is coming off his best start of the season firing 6 shutout innings in a 3-0 home victory over the White Sox on May 22nd.  These are two of the best bullpens in baseball with the Guardians having a 3.20 ERA and the Cardinals a 3.56 ERA.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 22 of their last 24 games overall.  They are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 26-7-2 in Guardians last 35 games overall. Cleveland is 17-1 UNDER after losing four or five of its last six games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Dodgers/Rays Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

This is a very low total for two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Rays rank 2nd in scoring at 6.08 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers rank 3rd at 5.54 runs per game.  These teams combined for 12 and 11 runs in their first two meetings in this series, and it should be more of the same today.

Gavin Stone is 0-0 with a 10.12 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in two starts this season for the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 innings.  He won't last long, and the Dodgers have a 4.55 ERA as a bullpen this season and a 5.71 ERA on the road.  The Rays will be making this mostly a bullpen game.  They have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen this season and several injuries limiting their 'pen.

The OVER is 6-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.  The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rays last eight home games.  The OVER is 14-2 in Rays last 16 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 6 No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the more teams become familiar with one another and points get harder to come by.  Teams tend to play slower as well with fewer fast break opportunities.

Game 5 was the lowest scoring game of the series with 207 combined points despite both teams shooting very well from the floor.  The Celtics shot 50.6% while the Heat shot 51.3%.  Both teams aren't likely to shoot that well again, and this game is likely to stay UNDER 210.5 combined points as a result.

Boston is 8-0 UNDER in its last eight games when facing elimination in a playoff series.   Miami is 14-6 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less this season.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Celtics last 19 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Bet the UNDER in Game 6 Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Tanner Bibee is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in five starts this season for the Guardians.  He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who has pitched very well of late with a 3.24 ERA in his last three starts and only 6 earned runs and one homer allowed in 16 2/3 innings.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 21 of their last 23 games overall.  They are hitting .218 and scoring 2.8 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 25-7-2 in Guardians last 34 games overall. The UNDER is 12-1 in Guardians last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Red Sox/Diamondbacks Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 32-18-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 4th in scoring at 5.4 runs per game and 26th in allowing 5.16 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks are similar as they rank 6th in scoring at 5.15 runs per game and 23rd in allowing 4.95 runs per game.

There's not much to like about either of these starting pitchers tonight.  Garrett Whitlock is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  Zach Davies is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 39-18-2 in Diamondbacks last 59 interleague games.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.  Boston is 8-1 OVER after losing three of its last four games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Braves OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right in Atlanta tonight which will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  The Braves are elite offensively ranking 5th at 5.23 runs per game.  The Phillies have a ton of talent and are heating up at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in three consecutive games.

Zack Wheeler has been at his worst on the road for the Phillies, going 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in four starts away from home this season.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst at home for the Braves with a 4.30 ERA in four home starts, allowing 5 homers in 23 innings.  Morton just allowed 6 runs in 5 innings in his last start coming in.  Morton is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in 18 career starts against the Phillies.

Once these two exit the bullpens are likely to get rocked.  The Braves have a 4.99 ERA at home while the Phillies have a 5.83 ERA on the road.  The OVER is 29-11 in Morton's last 40 starts.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.  The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Dodgers/Rays Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Rays rank 2nd in the league in scoring at 6.10 runs per game, while the Dodgers rank 3rd in scoring at 5.53 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine to top this 7.5-run total today.

Clayton Kershaw is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  He is 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in six road starts this season allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 33 1/3 innings.  Tyler Glasnow will be making his first start of the season back from injury for the Rays and will be on a pitch count.

When Glasnow exits early, the Rays will turn to their bullpen which has a 4.49 ERA on the season and is dealing with a ton of injuries.  When Kershaw exits, the Dodgers have a 4.59 ERA as a bullpen on the season and a 5.85 ERA on the road.

Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER after a game where its bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.  The OVER is 16-5 in Dodgers last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 7-0 in Rays last seven home games.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rays last eight games following a win.  The OVER is 13-3 in Rays last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.  The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Tampa Bay.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Houston Astros -1.5 (-150)

The Oakland A's are 10-42 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game and allowing 7.1 runs per game while consistently losing on the Run Line.  The Houston Astros are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall with seven wins by multiple runs and back to playing up to their potential.

The Astros have the rest advantage after having Thursday off while Oakland just got swept in four games by the Mariners in Seattle yesterday.  They have now los eight straight and are 2-16 in their last 18 games overall.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Hunter Brown, who is 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in nine starts this season allowing only 3 homers in 50 2/3 innings.  James Kaprielian is 0-4 with a 7.81 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in five starts for the A's, allowing 22 earned runs and 6 homers in 25 1/3 innings.

Oakland is 0-18 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and losing by 5.2 runs per game in this spot.  Houston is 21-5 in its last 26 games following a loss by 4 runs or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Mets -1.5 (-130)

The New York Mets have a big advantage on the mound over the Colorado Rockies today that should lead them to winning this game by two runs or more with ease.  Plus, the wind will be blowing out at Coors Field which makes their chances of winning by margin even greater.

Max Scherzer looks back healthy allowing just on earned run and 8 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Scherzer held the Rockies to one run in 7 innings with 11 K's in his last start against them.

Connor Seabold is 1-1 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs, 5 homers and 31 base runners in 18 innings.  He is an absolute gas can allowing 9 runs in 8 innings in his last two starts against Texas and Cincinnati.

The Mets are 28-7 in their last 35 games when revenging a loss as a home favorite.  Scherzer's teams are 20-5 in his last 25 road starts vs. a NL team with a .325 OBP or worse and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians.  He is 3-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA in three home starts.  Mathew Liberatore makes his 2nd start of the season for the Cardinals.  He fired 5 shutout innings in a 3-0 victory over Milwaukee in his first start on May 17th.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 20 of their last 22 games overall.  They are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs per game at home.  The UNDER is 24-7-2 in Guardians last 33 games overall.

The UNDER is 18-4 in Bieber's last 22 night starts.  The UNDER is 11-1 in Guardians last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +128

The Texas Rangers are 31-18 this season and have the 2nd-best run differential (+112) in baseball behind only the Rays (+114).  The Orioles have a +45 run differential for comparison.  The Rangers have the rest advantage after having Thursday off while the Orioles just completed a 3-game series in New York yesterday to take the series from the Yankees.  That makes this a letdown spot for them.

The Rangers have a big advantage on the mound tonight and should not be underdogs.  Jon Gray is 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA in nine starts this season, 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA in five road starts, and 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts.  Grayson Rodriquez is 2-1 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in nine starts this season, already allowing 10 homers in 42 innings.  Rodriquez is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 2.128 WHIP in four home starts as well.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* Dodgers/Rays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 2nd in scoring (6.04 runs per game) while the Los Angeles Dodgers rank 3rd (5.57 runs per game) in scoring.  This 9-run total is too low tonight folks, especially with these starting pitchers going.

Noah Syndergaard is 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.331 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in four road starts while allowing 16 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 innings.  The Dodgers have a 4.50 ERA as a bullpen overall and a 5.70 ERA on the road once Syndergaard exits.

Jalen Beeks is just an opener for the Rays and isn't likely to make it past the 2nd inning.  That means they are going to have to rely on their shaky bullpen, which has a 4.56 ERA on the season.  The Rays have a lot of injuries in their bullpen which is why they haven't been as good as years' past.

The OVER is 9-0 in Syndergaard's last nine starts vs. excellent power teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Tampa Bay.  The OVER is 6-0 in Rays last six home games.  The OVER is 12-2 in Rays last 14 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 5 No-Brainer on UNDER 215.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the more familiar teams become with one another and the more difficult it is to score.  They also tend to slow down the pace the longer a series goes.

We saw the lowest combined points in Game 4 last time out as the Heat and Celtics combined for 215 points.  I look for them to combine for 215 or fewer in Game 5 as well with the Celtics facing elimination, they will be locked in defensively.  The Heat are always locked in defensively.

Miami is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 road games after scoring 100 points or fewer.  Boston is 8-0 UNDER when facing elimination in the playoffs over the last three seasons.  Bet the UNDER in Game 5 Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Braves OVER 9

The Atlanta Braves are one of the best offensive teams in baseball ranking 7th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game.  The Philadelphia Phillies have been much better offensively since getting Bryce Harper back from injury to go along with Trae Turner.  There's too much talent in this lineup for them to be held down for long.

Aaron Nola is 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA in 10 starts this season allowing 30 earned runs and 8 homers in 62 2/3 innings.  Dylan Dodd is 2-1 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in three starts this season allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.

Both teams have poor bullpens with the Braves having a 4.05 ERA on the season and a 5.00 ERA in home games.  The Phillies have a 4.05 ERA on the season and a 5.71 ERA in road games.

The OVER is 20-6 in Nola's last 26 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs.  The OVER is 16-6 in Braves last 22 home games.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Yankees OVER 9

The OVER is 4-0 in Orioles last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four games.  They combined for 11 in Game 1 with the Yankees and 15 in Game 2 yesterday.  The OVER is 13-4 in Yankees last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 17 games.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 13 of those 17 games.

Two gas cans go tonight in Kyle Gibson of the Orioles and Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees.  Schmidt is 2-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in 10 starts this season, allowing 30 earned runs and 8 homers in 45 innings.  Gibson has been at his worst on the road with a 5.09 ERA in six starts away from home.

Gibson is 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Yankees.  Schmidt has only faced the Orioles once in his career, and it came earlier this season on April 7th when he allowed 4 runs and 8 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 7-6 defeat.

The OVER is 35-17 in the last 52 meetings in New York.  The OVER is 9-0 in Yankees last nine home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-135)

The Oakland A's have lost six consecutive games to fall to 10-40 on the season.  They rank dead last in run differential (-178) by a wide margin this season.  They score 3.6 runs per game and allow 7.2 runs per game on the season.  That's why I'm willing to back the Mariners on the Run Line tonight.

The Mariners also have a massive advantage on the mound behind top prospect Bryce Miller.  He is 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.513 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 25 1/3 innings without allowing a single homer.  One of those starts came against the A's when he allowed one run and two base runners in 6 innings with 10 K's on May 2nd.

Ken Waldichuk is 1-3 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.848 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 35 earned runs and a whopping 13 homers in 46 innings.  Waldichuk is 1-2 with an 8.39 ERA and 1.946 WHIP in five road starts, allowing 23 earned runs and 9 homers in 24 2/3 innings away from home.  He's backed by a bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 6.53 ERA, while the Mariners have a 3.07 ERA as a bullpen.

Oakland is 0-16 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and losing by 5.6 runs per game.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -108

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Cubs tonight.  They have gone 2-7 in their last nine games overall and have played their nine of their last 10 games on the road.  Now they are back home  where they have been at their best this season.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the New York Mets, who have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall with all five wins coming by a single run.  They have played six of their last seven games at home and now hit the road.

The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Marcus Stroman, who is 3-4 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in five home starts.  He has only allowed 4 homers in 56 innings this season. Kodai Senga has been at his worst on the road for the Mets, going 2-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts away from home, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 20 innings.

The Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 road games.  The Cubs are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.  Chicago is 42-20 in the last 62 meetings at Wrigley Field.  The Cubs are 6-0 in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 8

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field today in Cleveland that will help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket.  These are two solid starting pitchers going as well.

Michael Kopech is coming off his best start of the season for the White Sox pitching 8 shutout innings with 10 K's while allowing only one hit to the Royals.  Kopech has posted a 0.00 ERA and 0.500 WHIP in two career starts against Cleveland, firing 8 shutout innings while allowing only 4 base runners.

Cal Quantrill is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts.  Quantrill is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 19 of their last 21 games overall.  They are hitting .220 and scoring 2.9 runs per game at home.  The UNDER is 23-7-2 in Guardians last 32 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .240 and scoring 4.1 runs per game on the season.  The UNDER is 6-0 in White Sox last six games overall.  The UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Diamondbacks/Phillies NL Early ANNIHILATOR on Arizona -101

The Arizona Diamondbacks have quietly gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall to improve to 29-20 on the season.  The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 2-7 in their last nine games overall to fall to 22-26 this season.  The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them being bigger favorites.

Ace Zac Gallen is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 72 K's in 61 innings and only 2 homers allowed.  Gallen is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in four career starts against the Phillies.

Ranger Suarez is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA and 2.667 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 16 base runners in 6 innings.  Suarez is 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in four career starts against the Diamondbacks.  Bet the Diamondbacks Wednesday.

15* Rangers/Pirates Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on Texas -112

Great value here with the Texas Rangers at basically even money against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  The Rangers are 1st in run differential (+111) this season and bettors are failing to realize how good this team is.  They score 6.4 runs per game and allow 4.1 runs per game this season.

Martin Perez is the better starter in this matchup.  Perez is 5-1 with a 4.01 ERA in nine starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Johan Oviedo, who is 3-3 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Pirates.

The Rangers are 13-4 in day games this season.  Texas is 10-2 in Perez's last 12 road starts in day games.  The Pirates are 5-15 in their last 20 games overall.  Pittsburgh is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.  The Pirates are 1-11 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Pittsburgh is 4-22 in its last 26 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Rangers Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Oakland A's allow 7.2 runs per game overall this season including 7.8 runs per game on the road.  The Seattle Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own like they did last night in an 11-2 victory, but I expect the A's to contribute as well as they score 4.0 runs per game on the road this season.

The Mariners will crush Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings.  The A's should get after Marco Gonzalez, who is 3-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.591 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in his last three while allowing 13 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

Oakland is 14-2 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.  The OVER is 5-2 in Mariners last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 4 No-Brainer on Miami ML -120

The Boston Celtics quit in Game 3 and are lost right now.  Their season ends in a sweep at the hands of the Miami Heat, who have been the most impressive team in the playoffs knocking off the Bucks, Knicks and now the Celtics tonight.

Boston is 0-7 ATS when revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite this season.  Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 playoff games.  The Heat are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Heat in Game 4 Tuesday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs +100

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Cubs tonight.  They have gone 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have played their last nine games on the road.  Now they are back home  where they have been at their best this season.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the New York Mets, who have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by a single run.  They have played their last six games at home and now hit the road.

The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Drew Smyly, who is 4-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.934 WHIP in nine starts, including 1-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in four home starts.  Smyly has never lost to the Mets, going 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in four career starts against them.

The Mets are hitting .216 and scoring just 3.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Kodai Senga has been at his worst on the road for the Mets, going 2-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts away from home, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 20 innings.

The Mets are 0-6 in their last six games when their opponent scored 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  New York is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.  The Cubs are 5-0 in their last five games following an off day.  Chicago is 5-0 in its last five home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Cubs are 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Chicago is 41-20 in its last 61 home meetings with the Mets.  Bet the Cubs Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Braves NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight in Atlanta in what should be a slug fest in Game 2 of this series.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters. They combined for 14 runs in Game 1.

This total is too low due to ace Spencer Strider starting for the Braves.  But Strider has come back down to reality of late, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bobby Miller makes his MLB debut for the Dodgers tonight and it won't go well for him.

The OVER is 5-1 in Dodgers last six games overall.  The OVER is 14-3 in Dodgers last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 10-1 in Braves last 11 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 15-5 in Braves last 20 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Reds OVER 10

Two gas cans go tonight for the Cardinals and Reds, who have both been hot at the plate of late.  They will be playing inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark with temperatures in the in the 80's tonight and prime scoring conditions.

Adam Wainwright is working his way back from injury and is 1-0 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in three starts this season.  Wainwright is 0-5 with a 7.09 ERA in his last six starts against the Reds, allowing 26 earned runs and 5 homers in 33 innings.

Graham Aschcraft is 2-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with a 13.13 ERA and 2.188 WHIP in his last three starts allowing 18 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  Aschcraft has posted a 7.71 ERA and 2.034 WHIP in two career starts against St. Louis, allowing 8 earned runs and 19 base runners in 9 1/3 innings.

St. Louis is 7-0 OVER vs. teams that average 0.9 or fewer homers per game this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 13-5 in Reds last 18 games following a win.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Blue Jays/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

Two of the best offensive teams in baseball square off tonight in Tampa Bay.  The Rays are scoring 6.0 runs per game overall and 5.8 runs per game at home.  The Blue Jays are scoring 4.5 runs per game overall and 4.8 runs per game at home, and their potential is much better than that.

Jose Berrios has been much better at home than on the road throughout his career.  That has been the case again this season as Berrios is 1-3 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in five road starts this season.  Berrios is 2-4 with a 5.44 ERA in nine career starts against Tampa Bay.

Taj Bradley will not go deep into this game for the Rays as he averages just 5.1 innings per start.  Bradley has a 5.40 ERA in his two home starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings.

The OVER is 16-4 in Berrios' last 20 road starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rays last 10 games after a game where their bullpen threw 6 or more innings.  The OVER is 9-0 in Berrios' last nine road starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.  The OVER is 8-1 in Blue Jays last nine road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 9-2 in Rays last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 8.5

There are expected to be light winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 8.5 ticket in Game 2 of this series Tuesday.

Logan T. Allen has pitched well for the Guardians this season with a 3.04 ERA in five starts, allowing 9 earned runs and only 2 homers in 26 2/3 innings with 29 K's.  Dylan Cease owns the Guardians, going 2-1 with a 1.50 ERA in his last four starts against them allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 18 of their last 20 games overall.  The UNDER is 22-7-2 in Guardians last 31 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .241 and scoring 4.1 runs per game on the season, including 3.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  The UNDER is 5-0 in White Sox last five games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Oakland A's allow 7.2 runs per game overall this season including 7.7 runs per game on the road.  The Seattle Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own, but I expect the A's to contribute as well as they score 4.1 runs per game on the road this season.

The Mariners will crush Kyle Muller, who is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.952 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.31 ERA and 2.182 WHIP in four road starts.  Muller has allowed 21 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 1/3 innings on the highway this season.

Luis Castillo is struggling coming into this one, going 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings.  Castillo is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts against Oakland, all of which came last season when he allowed 9 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in those three starts.

Oakland is 13-2 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.  The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last five games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Nuggets/Lakers Game 4 No-Brainer on Los Angeles -3

The Los Angeles Lakers won't go away quietly.  They are 11-2 in their last 13 home games dating back to the regular season.  They are also 7-1 at home in the postseason dating back to the play-in win over the Timberwolves.

Considering the Lakers were 5.5-point home favorites in Game 3 and are now only 3-point home favorites in Game 4, we are getting a discount on them here and the value is there to pull the trigger.  Game 3's home loss was their lone defeat at home in the postseason, and was the abberration.

The Nuggets shot 50% as a team in Game 3 and 17-of-41 (41.5%) from 3-point range and committed only five turnovers..  I have a hard time believing they are going to shoot that well again, or take care of the ball that well.  Look for them to relax a little after taking a commanding 3-0 lead knowing they got two more home games to finish off the Lakers if need be.

Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA Lakers) - revenging a same-season loss vs. opponent that's off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog are 37-10 (78.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Denver is 9-18 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season.  Los Angeles is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss by more than 10 points.  Bet the Lakers in Game 4 Monday.

15* Dodgers/Braves NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight in Atlanta in what should be a slug fest in Game 1 of this series.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Braves should crush Gavin Stone, who allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 10-6 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in his lone start this season.  The Dodgers will get after Charlie Morton, who is 1-3 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in eight career starts against them. The Dodgers have a 4.70 ERA as a bullpen on the season and a 6.25 ERA on the road.  The Braves have a 4.75 ERA in their bullpen at home.  

The OVER is 19-4 in Morton's last 23 night starts.  The OVER is 13-3 in Dodgers last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 7-0 in Braves last seven games after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 14-5 in Braves last 19 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -124

The Texas Rangers are 29-17 this season with the second-best run differential (+108) in baseball trailing only the Tampa Bay Rays (+124).  It's time to recognize this team is legit, and they should be bigger favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight.

The Pirates are 4-14 in their last 18 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 11 of those 14 games.  They won't get much off Dane Dunning, who is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 3 earned runs in 17 innings without allowing a homer.

Luis Ortiz is 0-2 with a 5.62 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 innings with only 4 K's.  Those two starts came against the lowly Tigers and Rockies, so Ortiz takes a big step up in class here against a Texas lineup that is hitting .272 and scoring 6.5 runs per game this season.

The Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Pittsburgh is 0-7 in its last seven interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Rangers Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 9

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 9 ticket despite two suspect starters going for the White Sox and Guardians in Game 1 of this series.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 17 of their last 19 games overall.  The UNDER is 21-7-2 in Guardians last 30 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .243 and scoring 4.2 runs per game on the season.  The UNDER is 4-0 in White Sox last four games overall.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 3 No-Brainer on Boston -3

The Boston Celtics have come up with clutch road wins in the playoffs when they have needed them over the past couple seasons.  They staved off elimination with a win in Game 6 at Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference Finals last year.  Last series, they staved off elimination with a 95-86 win at Philadelphia in Game 6 to force a Game 7.

This is essentially a must-win for the Celtics after losing the first two games of this series to the Heat at home.  I think we get their best effort here as a result, and it will be good enough to cover this 3-point spread.  They are still the better team in this series and that will show tonight.

Miami is 13-27 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Boston is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games following two consecutive upset losses as a favorite.  The Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.  Boston is 4-1 ATS In its last five trips to Miami.  Bet the Celtics in Game 3 Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game overall and 6.5 runs per game at home.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 4.5 runs per game overall and 4.9 runs per game against left-handed starters.  These teams just combined for 17 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same Sunday.

Connor Seabold has been terrible in the majors with a 7.48 ERA and 1.885 WHIP in 49 1/3 innings in his career.  He has a 5.14 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 28 innings this season.  Andrew Heaney is 2-3 with a 4.71 ERA in eight starts this season, including 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA at home allowing 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 24 1/3 innings in Arlington.

The OVER is 10-1 in Heaney's last 11 home starts as a favorite of -110 or higher.  The OVER is 20-4 in Heaney's last 24 starts in the first half of the season.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Rangers last six games overall.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Rangers last 11 interleague home games.  The OVER is 12-3-2 in Rangers last 17 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +103

The Seattle Mariners have a massive advantage on the mound today and should not be underdogs to the Atlanta Braves as a result.  We'll gladly take advantage and back George Kirby and the Mariners over Jared Shuster and Braves Sunday.

Kirby is 5-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.013 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in four road starts.  Kirby pitched 6 innings allowing only 3 base runners with zero earned runs in a 3-1 victory over Atlanta in his lone career start against them last season.

Schuster is 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.902 WHIP in three starts for the Braves this season.  He has already allowed 11 earned runs and 11 walks in 13 2/3 innings with only 8 K's.  Seattle is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the Mariners Sunday.

25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Lakers -3.5

Note: I locked this in at -3.5 as soon as the line came out.  I would still play it up to -5.5.

The Los Angeles Lakers won't go down without a fight and showed that in the first two games of this series.  They lost by 6 points in Game 1 despite the Nuggets shooting 54.9% as a team and 46.9% from 3.  They lost by 5 in Game 2 despite shooting just 8-of-30 (26.7%) from 3 themselves while the Nuggets made six more 3-pointers than them and Jamal Murray going off in the 4th quarter.

Now the Lakers are back home where they are 7-0 in the postseason dating back to the play-in win over the Timberwolves.  The Lakers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games dating back to the regular season.  They have a huge home-court advantage.  The Nuggets have been vulnerable on the road going 1-3 SU in their last four playoff road games.  They have a losing record (21-25) on the season away from home.

Denver is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games following two or more consecutive wins.  The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last five playoff games following a loss, covering the spread by 17.2 points per game.  Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (60% to 70%) this season . The Lakers are 10-1 ATS in home games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.  Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last six home meetings with Denver.  The home team has won all six meetings between the Nuggets and Lakers this season all by 5 points or more.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Saturday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Marlins/Giants OVER 7.5

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park in San Francisco Saturday.  That's going to help aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket this afternoon.

Logan Webb is 3-5 with a 3.66 ERA in nine starts this season for the Giants and has already allowed 8 homers.  He has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Miami.

Braxton Garrett is 1-2 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Garrett is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his lone career start against San Francisco.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

Two potent lineups in the Orioles and Blue Jays face two gas can starting pitchers in Greyson Rodriquez and Alek Manoah today in Toronto.  The end result will be a slug fest that finishes with OVER 9 combined runs.

Rodriquez is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 64 base runners in 37 innings.  He has been really poor in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 12 2/3 innings for an 11.37 ERA.

Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 8 homers and 81 base runners in 45 innings.  He has been particularly bad at home, going 0-2 with an 8.50 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in four home starts.

The OVER is 33-16-7 in the last 56 meetings.  The OVER is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Marlins/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Giants tonight.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park.  That will help these two below average offenses put some runs on the board in Game 1 of this series.

The Giants are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Marlins are also heating up, scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  If both teams get to 4 runs tonight, we cash this OVER ticket.

Sandy Alcantara gets way too much respect from oddsmakers.  He is 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three home starts.  Anthony Desclafini is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in four home starts for the Giants this season.  The Giants have a 5.65 ERA as a bullpen and the Marlins have a 4.32 ERA.

The OVER is 6-1 in Marlins last seven road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 5-1 in Giants last six games following an off day.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 2 No-Brainer on Boston -8.5

The Boston Celtics were flat in Game 1 after winning Game 7 against the Philadelphia 76ers last series.  I cashed the Heat +8.5 anticipating that would be the case.  But I expect the Celtics to fire back with a blowout victory in Game 2 at home.

The Heat shot 54.1% as a team and 16-of-31 (51.6%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  That's not going to happen again.  The Heat will be the team relaxing a little here after gaining home-court advantage and won't be playing with the same sense of urgency that they did in Game 1.

Boston is 19-9 ATS off an upset win as a home favorite this season.  The Heat are 12-27 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Teams down 0-1 in a series at home are now 23-1 SU & 22-2 ATS since 2019.  This has been a very profitable system and it makes 100% sense.  Bet the Celtics in Game 2 Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Astros OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 27-17-1 OVER this season.  They allow 7.4 runs per game overall and 8.3 runs per game on the road.  They score 4.5 runs per game on the road.  With these two gas can starting pitchers going tonight, we should easily get up and OVER 9 combined runs.

Brandon Bielak is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA despite a 2.068 WHIP in two starts.  He has already allowed 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings and is fortunate to not have allowed more earned runs, especially considering he only has 4 K's.  His luck runs out tonight. Bielak allowed 3 earned runs in 3 innings of a 14-2 loss at Oakland in his lone career start against them.

The Astros are capable of covering this total on their own.  They score 5.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  They get to face lefty Ken Waldichuk, who is 1-2 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Waldichuk is 1-1 with a 9.16 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in four road starts, allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 19 2/3 innings.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 2-11 loss to the Astros in his lone career start against them.

Oakland is 12-2 OVER vs. left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in A's last six Friday games.  The OVER is 16-5 in A's last 21 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Astros last four games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Lakers/Nuggets Game 2 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +6.5

The Los Angeles Lakers trailed by 20-plus points against the Nuggets but still had a chance to tie Game 1 late a couple times.  They wound up losing by 6.  The adjustments they made in the 2nd half are something that can work to their advantage the rest of this series, including in Game 2.

The Lakers switched Rui Hachimura onto Nikola Jokic and he did a great job staying in front of him.  That allowed Anthony Davis to roam around and be a stopper inside.  The weak link of the Nuggets is Aaron Gordon from 3-point range, so the Lakers can let Davis guard Gordon so he can roam and make him try to beat them.

The fact that the Nuggets shot 54.9% from the field and 15-of-32 (46.9%) from 3-point range in Game 1 and still only won by 6 is a good sign for the Lakers moving forward.  They aren't likely to shoot that well again the rest of the series.

The Lakers are 22-12 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Denver is 8-17 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season.  Los Angeles is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games following a loss.  Bet the Lakers Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at Busch Stadium in St. Louis tonight.  These perfect scoring conditions will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Dodgers are on a roll right now scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Cardinals are also hot at the plate, scoring 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 14 games overall.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.5 runs per game at home while the Dodgers are scoring 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.

Adam Wainwright is past his prime and will get rocked tonight.  Wainwright will be making just his 2nd start of the season coming back from injury after allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 victory at Boston in his first start.  Julio Urias has been at his worst on the road with a 6.10 ERA in four starts away from home.

The OVER is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 10-3-1 in Cardinals last 14 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -145

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now having gone 15-3 in their last 18 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 13 of those 18 games.  They should stay hot with a win in Game 1 of this series against the Cardinals due to their advantage on the mound.

Julio Urias is 5-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Dodgers.  That includes 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.712 WHIP in his last three starts despite facing the Padres twice and the Phillies.  This will be his first career start against the Cardinals, which gives him the element of surprise.

Adam Wainwright is past his prime and will get rocked tonight.  Wainwright will be making just his 2nd start of the season coming back from injury after allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 victory at Boston in his first start.  Wainwright allowed 4 runs and 9 base runners in 3 innings of a 4-1 loss to the Dodgers in his last start against them.

The Dodgers are 21-6 as favorites of -150 or less this season.  The Dodgers are 16-3 in Urias' last 19 starts as a favorite of -150 or less.  Los Angeles is 18-4 in Urias' last 22 starts as a road favorite of -150 or less.  The Dodgers are 40-11 in Urias' last 51 starts at night.  Los Angeles is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  Bet the Dodgers Thursday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 1 No-Brainer on Miami +8.5

The Miami Heat have been counted out the entire playoffs, and they are being counted out again in this series.  Expect them to play with a chip on their shoulder in Game 1 of this series with the Celtics, who they beat in each of their final two regular season, including once on the road as 7-point dogs.

I expect the Celtics to take a breather after winning Game 7 against the 76ers last series.  They will come out flat in Game 1.  They were flat in practice and I don't expect them to turn it on for Game 1.  The Heat also have a nice rest advantage last playing on May 12th while the Celtics last played on May 14th.

Miami is 24-13 ATS in its last 37 games as a road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  Boston is 0-9 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season.  The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Miami is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 trips to Boston.  Bet the Heat in Game 1 Wednesday.

15* Braves/Rangers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 3 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.7 runs per game on the road.  The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game overall and 6.3 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for these two offenses.

Nathan Eovaldi has been unhittable for the Rangers in his last three starts, but that's not going to last as he takes a big step up in class here against the Braves.  Spencer Strider has been more vulnerable in his last three starts with a 3.78 ERA.  Eovaldi has a 4.26 ERA at home this season.

The OVER is 22-7-1 in Braves last 30 interleague games.  The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings.  The OVER is 8-1 in Rangers last nine interleague games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Rays/Mets Interleague ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 9 ticket between the Rays and Mets tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from left-center at Citi Field.  That is going to keep scoring suppressed.

Kodai Senga is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in three home starts this season for the Mets, allowing just 3 earned runs and one homer in 17 innings.  Josh Fleming will be an opener for the Rays before turning it over to their bullpen, which has a 3.62 ERA on the season and is one of the best bullpens in baseball.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 10-0 in Yankees last 10 games overall where they have scored 6 runs or more in nine of those 10 games.  Not surprisingly, this offensive surge has coincided with the healthy return of Aaron Judge to the lineup.  This total of 8 is very low for two offenses as potent as the Yankees and Blue Jays.

Gerrit Cole has come back down to earth of late with a 5.06 ERA and 1.562 WHIP n his last three starts allowing 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings in his last two.  Chris Bassitt is 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA in eight starts this season and has allowed 6 homers in 49 innings.

The OVER is 6-0 in Blue Jays last six games vs. AL East opponents.  The OVER is 10-3 in Blue Jays last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 11-4 in Blue Jays last 15 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team going 27-16-1 to the OVER this season.  They are scoring 3.9 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game, combining for an average of 11.4 runs per game this season.  They have a terrible bullpen with a 6.63 ERA and face a Diamondbacks team with a 4.89 bullpen ERA on the road.  Light winds will be blowing out to center in Oakland today.

Two gas can starting pitchers square off today.  Tyne Nelson is 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in eight starts this season allowing 28 earned runs and 7 homers in 40 2/3 innings.  Luis Medina is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings.

Arizona is 12-2 OVER in its last 14 Interleague road games.  The OVER is 38-17-2 in Diamondbacks last 57 interleague games overall.  The OVER is 12-5 in A's last 17 interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Diamondbacks/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 26-16-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are allowing 7.5 runs per game with a terrible rotation and the worst bullpen (6.79 ERA) in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to right in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight.  Kyle Muller is 1-3 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.947 WHIP in eight starts for the A's, allowing 31 earned runs, 6 homers and 21 walks in 38 innings.  Tommy Henry is 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in four starts for the Diamondbacks, allowing 11 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.

The OVER is 37-17-2 in Diamondbacks last 56 interleague games.  The OVER is 11-2 in A's 13 games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Lakers/Nuggets Game 1 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +6

The Los Angeles Lakers have made a statement in Game 1 in each of their first two series this season.  They went on the road and beat Memphis 128-112 as a 5-point underdog.  They went on the road and beat Golden State 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog as well.

I think it will be more of the same here in Game 1 at Denver.  LeBron James knows the importance of winning Game 1 of a series.  The Lakers will be 'all in' to get the job done, and at the very least I think it will be good enough to cover this 6-point spread.

The Lakers have proven themselves more than the Nuggets have in these playoffs.  They were underdogs in both of their series against Memphis and Golden State, the defending champs.  They disposed of both in six games.  The Nuggets got to play the Timberwolves and a depleted Suns team with no depth and needed six games to get past them.

The Lakers have remained healthy all postseason which has been their key, and are healthy coming into this one.  The Nuggets are also healthy outside Jamal Murray, who is a non-covid related illness coming into Game 1 and is questionable.  Denver is 6-18 ATS following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more over the last three seasons.  Bet the Lakers in Game 1 Tuesday.

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Guardians -116

The Chicago White Sox are one of the worst teams in baseball at 14-28 on the season with the second-worst run differential (-71) in all of baseball.  Yet they continue to get respect from oddsmakers.  The Guardians should be bigger favorites over them tonight given their massive advantage on the mound.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians tonight.  Bieber is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Bieber owns the White Sox, going 8-4 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.963 WHIP in 17 career starts against them.

Lancy Lynn has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season.  Lynn is 1-5 with a 7.51 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 37 earned runs and a whopping 11 homers in 44 1/3 innings.  Lynn is 0-3 with a 9.57 ERA and 1.876 WHIP in three home starts as well.

The Guardians are 21-6 in Bieber's last 27 road starts vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game.  Cleveland is 31-15 in its last 46 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Chicago is 9-20 in its last 29 home games.  Bet the Guardians Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Rangers OVER 9.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 2 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.8 runs per game on the road.  The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game overall, 6.3 runs per game at home and 7.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

The Rangers get to fade lefty Jared Shuster of the Braves tonight.  He is 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Dane Dunning will be making his third start of the season, and I think his solid start has kept this total lower than it should be.  This is a step up in class for him here, but the Rangers should do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.

Atlanta is 9-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen gave up zero earned runs this season.  The OVER is 21-7-1 in Braves last 29 interleague games.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rangers last eight interleague games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Rangers last four home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Cardinals OVER 8

The St. Louis Cardinals are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  The OVER is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 games overall where they have scored 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 12 games, and 3 runs in the game they didn't.  They have hung 18, 9 and 8 runs in three of their last four games overall.  The Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 11 games overall.

Jordan Montgomery has been a major disappointment for the Cardinals this season.  He is 2-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four home starts.  Montgomery allowed 6 runs, 4 earned, in 5 innings to the Brewers in his last home start against them.

Wade Miley is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA in seven starts this season for the Brewers.  But Miley is coming off a start in which he allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings tot he Dodgers.  Miley also allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Cardinals.

The OVER is 15-5 in Miley's last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-0 in Brewers last six games when their opponent allowed 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Red Sox OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 28-13-1 OVER in all games this season. They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.4 runs per game on the season, including scoring 5.6 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game at home.

The Mariners are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the road this season and are heating up at the plate.  They haves scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 12 games overall and just hung 10 on the Red Sox yesterday.  The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park with temps approaching 80 degrees.

Nick Pivetta is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 34 2/3 innings.  Luis Castillo has struggled in his last two starts, allowing 7 earned runs in 12 innings.

The OVER is 24-13 in Pivetta's last 37 starts.  Boston is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more K's/start this season.  Boston is 10-1 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control, walking less than 1.75 batters/start this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Red Sox last eight home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 9-0 in Yankees last nine games overall.  Their offensive surge has coincided with the return of Aaron Judge from injury.  The Yankees havee scored at least 6 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.

The OVER is 9-4 in Blue Jays last 13 games overall.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 13 games overall.  This is a very low total for two of the best and hottest offenses in baseball, even with ace Kevin Gausman on the mound for the Blue Jays.

Domingo German is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA in eight starts this season allowing 7 homers in 45 innings.  German has posted a 5.79 ERA in three road starts this season.  He is 1-3 with a 5.49 ERA in his last four starts against the Blue Jays allowing 12 earned runs and a whopping 8 homers in 19 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-125)

The Oakland A's are the worst team in baseball going 9-33 this season while getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game.  They are scoring just 3.8 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game with the worst run differential in baseball.  I'll gladly fade them on the Run Line with the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.

The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Merrill Kelly, who is 3-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in three road starts.

Drew Rucinski is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  When Rucinski exits, the A's will turn is over to the worst bullpen (7.01 ERA) in baseball.

The A's are 29-67 in their last 96 home games.  Oakland is 13-39 in its last 52 games overall.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Monday.

20* Braves/Rangers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 1 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.1 runs per game overall, 5.5 runs per game on the road and 5.7 runs per game against left-handed starters.  The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game overall and 6.7 runs per game at home.

Cody Bradford put up a 5.01 ERA in 26 starts at Frisco in the minors last year and will get rocked in his MLB debut tonight.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst on the road this season with a 3.97 ERA and 1.589 WHIP in four starts away from home.

The OVER is 10-1 in Rangers' 11 games after allowing 3 runs or less in consecutive games this season.  The OVER is 27-11 in Morton's last 38 starts.  The OVER is 37-17-3 in Braves last 57 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Brewers/Cardinals NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8

The St. Louis Cardinals are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.3 runs per game in their last seven games overall.

Freddy Peralta has huge home/road splits for the Brewers and has his entire career.  He is much better at home than he is on the road.  Peralta is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.818 WHIP in two road starts this season allowing 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 11 innings.  Peralta is 1-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in nine career starts against St. Louis as well.

Jack Flaherty has been a gas can this season as he just cannot get back to his former self due to injury.  Flaherty is 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.729 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three home starts.

The OVER is 12-1 in Peralta's last 13 road starts after allowing one or fewer earned run in his last outing.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Cardinals last 11 home games.  The OVER is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last eight home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The OVER is 8-0 in Yankees last eight games overall.  They have been hitting the cover off the ball ever since getting Aaron Judge back in the lineup.  They have scored 6 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 13 games overall.

Alex Manoah is 1-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in eight starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 2.286 WHIP in three home starts.  It isn't official yet, but it appears as the Yankees will go with Jhony Brito, who is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in eight starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Angels/Orioles OVER 7.5

The Los Angeles Angels are scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  This is a very low total for these two teams, especially with temps in the upper-70's and light winds blowing out to center in Baltimore tonight.

A big reason this total is so low is due to Shohei Ohtani going for the Angels.  But Ohtani has been vulnerable of late, going 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings.  Ohtani allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start at Baltimore.

Greyson Rodriquez is in line to get rocked just as he has all season.  Rodriquez is 2-0 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Angels last nine Monday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/A's OVER 9

The Texas Rangers and Oakland A's are both dead nuts OVER teams. The OVER is 25-15-1 in Oakland games this season, while the OVER is 22-16-1 in Texas games this season.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Oakland this afternoon to help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  The A's are allowing 7.4 runs per game this season.  Oakland has a 6.72 ERA in their bullpen, and the Texas bullpen has a 4.94 ERA on the road.  The Rangers are more than capable of covering this total on their own.

The Rangers should crush Drew Rucinski, who is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  Andrew Heaney has a 5.25 ERA in seven starts for the Rangers this season and has already allowed 8 homers in 36 innings.

The OVER is 13-3 in Heaney's last 16 starts as a favorite.  The OVER is 10-2 in A's 12 games against left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 8-1 in A's last nine games after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -162

The Texas Rangers are 24-15 this season and outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game.  They have the second-best run differential (+89) in baseball only behind the Tampa Bay Rays.  The Oakland A's are 9-32 this season getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game with by far the worst run differential (-149) in baseball.

Andrew Heaney is 2-3 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in seven starts this season, but 0-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in two road starts.  Heaney is 3-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 10 career starts against Oakland.

The Rangers should crush Drew Rucinski, who is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  Oakland allows 7.4 runs per game and has a 6.72 ERA in their bullpen.

The A's are 1-16 in day games this season.  Bet the Rangers Sunday.

20* 76ers/Celtics Game 7 No-Brainer on UNDER 202.5

Game 7 UNDERS have been a cash cow in the NBA playoffs over the last several decades. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and by the 7th meeting teams are extremely familiar with one another.  It suppresses scoring and favors defense.

That's especially the case in this specific Game 7 as the 76ers and Celtics have had two days off in between games to prepare for this winner-take-all.  These teams combined for just 181 points in Game 6 with scoring suppressed, and it should be more of the same in Game 7.

One tactical move in Game 6 that benefited the Celtics was playing center Robert Williams III more minutes, and not giving Derrick White so many minutes.  It made them much better defensively in trying to guard Joel Embiid and protecting the rim.  That tactical decision will keep scoring suppressed in Game 7 as Williams makes the Celtics much better defensively, but hurts their spacing offensively.

Boston is 22-8 UNDER when playing on two days' rest over the last two seasons.  Bet the UNDER in Game 7 Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +114

The wrong team is favored today between the Guardians and Angels.  I like the fact that the Guardians lost Game 1 of this series to the Angels by a single run as they'll come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 2.

I also like Cal Quantrill over Reid Detmers.  Quantrill is 2-2 with a 3.89 ERA in seven starts this season.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees and Twins.  Quantrill owns the Angels, going 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 20 innings.

Detmers is 0-3 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 45 base runners in 30 innings.  Detmers is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in three career starts against Cleveland, allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.

The Guardians are 27-15 (+12.9 Units) in Quantrill's last 42 starts, including 12-4 (+11.2 Units) in his last 16 starts as an underdog of +100 to +150.  Bet the Guardians Saturday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -133

The Texas Rangers are 23-15 this season and outscoring opponents by 2.4 runs per game.  The Oakland A's are 9-31 this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game.  The Rangers should be bigger favorites over the Oakland A's today.

Jon Gray is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in four road starts this season.  Gray has allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Oakland.

JP Sears is 0-3 with a 5.55 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 23 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in 37 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Oakland is 1-15 in day games this season.  Bet the Rangers Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/A's OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers and Oakland A's are both dead nuts OVER teams. The OVER is 25-14-1 in Oakland games this season, while the OVER is 22-15-1 in Texas games this season.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center and temps approaching 80 degrees in Oakland this afternoon to help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game this season, including 7.4 runs per game against left-handed starters.  The A's are allowing 7.5 runs per game this season.  Oakland has a 6.69 ERA in their bullpen, and the Texas bullpen has a 5.02 ERA on the road.

Texas is more than capable of covering this total on their own.  They will feast on JP Sears, who is 0-3 with a 5.55 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 23 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in 37 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

The OVER is 9-0 in Jon Gray's last nine starts vs. good base running teams that average 0.85 or more stolen bases per game.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rangers last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.  The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Oakland.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Warriors/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles ML -145

LeBron James hasn't lost a closeout game at home in the playoffs since 2008.  He gets it done when he has the chance, and that's precisely what he and the Lakers will do in Game 6 here against the Warriors, who have struggled on the road all season.

The Lakers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games.  They are a perfect 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs.  The Warriors are 13-34 SU on the road this season.  They could be without Andrew Wiggins, who has a rib injury suffered in Game 5.  The Lakers are expected to be fully healthy as Anthony Davis avoided a concussion despite leaving Game 5.  Bet the Lakers on the Money Line in Game 6 Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -159

The Texas Rangers are 23-14 this season scoring 6.2 runs per game and allowing 3.9 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game.  The Oakland A's are the worst team in baseball at 8-31 this season scoring 3.8 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game.

With the big advantage the Rangers have on the mound and at the plate tonight, I'm willing to lay the -159 on the money line.  Martin Perez is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA in seven starts this season.  Perez owns the A's, allowing just 3 earned runs in 26 innings in his last four starts against them for a minuscule 1.04 ERA.

Ken Waldichuk is 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Amazingly, he has already allowed 29 earned runs and 12 homers in 36 innings.  Waldichuk allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his lone career start against Texas.

The Rangers are scoring 7.4 runs per game against left-handed starters this season while the A's are only scoring 3.2 runs per game against southpaws.  Oakland is 1-13 in its last 14 Friday home games.  The Rangers are 7-0 in Perez's last seven May starts.  Texas is 10-1 in Perez's last 11 starts vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or fewer runs per game.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Twins UNDER 8

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket between the Cubs and Twins tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in front center at pitcher-friendly Target Field tonight in Minnesota.

Ace Sonny Gray goes for the Twins and is 4-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in four home starts.  Gray is 4-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in 10 career starts against Chicago as well.

The underrated Drew Smyly goes for the Cubs tonight.  He is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 0.991 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 3.30 ERA in six career starts against the Twins as well.  Both bullpens are above average with a 3.56 ERA for the Twins and a 3.50 ERA for the Cubs.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Twins last six games overall with 8 or fewer combined runs in all six games, and 7 or fewer in five of them.  The UNDER is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games overall with 7 or fewer combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  The UNDER is 12-4 in Cubs last 16 games overall dating back further.  Minnesota is 7-0 UNDER at home with a total of 8 to 8.5 this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Knicks/Heat ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New York +6.5

Jalen Brunson refused to let his team lose in Game 5 as the Knicks avoided elimination with a 112-103 victory behind 38 points from Brunson, 26 from Barrett and 24 from Randle.  Brunson and company won't go down without a fight in Game 6, either.

The Miami Heat were counted out and it's impressive they have gotten to this point despite being an underdog in eight of their 10 playoff games thus far.  But now they are getting too much respect as 6.5-point favorites in Game 6.  They were only 4 and 4.5-point favorites against the Knicks in their first two home games in this series.  The value is clearly with the road underdog here.

The Knicks are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 road games.  Bet the Knicks in Game 6 Friday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rays/Yankees OVER 8

The New York Yankees just got Aaron Judge back from injury.  They have scored 7 runs or more in four of their last five games overall with the OVER going 5-0 during this stretch.  They should feast on Trevor Kelley, who is 1-4 with a 7.23 ERA and 1.607 WHIP while allowing 30 earned runs and 11 homers in 37 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Gerrit Cole is coming off his worst start of the season against these same Tampa Bay Rays.  He allowed 6 runs, 5 earned, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-7 loss to the Rays on May 7th.  The Rays have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 6.1 runs per game overall, including 6.3 runs per game on the road.

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8 ticket, too.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of those six games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Celtics/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Boston ML -135

The Boston Celtics had a bit of a hangover in Game 5 after falling in OT in Game 4 after Marcus Smart's 3-pointer at the buzzer in OT was just a split-second late.  They came back and shot 39.8% as a team while the 76ers shot 50% in Game 5.  Look for that to be reversed in Game 6 as the Celtics won't shoot that poorly again.

James Harden has put together consecutive impressive games, but to ask him to do it three games in a row is asking a lot.  The Celtics will make their adjustments on him and make others try and beat them.  Joel Embiid clearly isn't healthy, and I just can't see the 76ers taking advantage of this pressure-packed close out opportunity.  The Celtics have more experience together in these must-win games, which is huge.

Plays on any team on the money line (Boston) - revenging a SU loss vs. opponent of 7 points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 62-12 (83.8%) SU over the last five seasons.  Bet the Celtics on the Money Line in Game 6 Thursday.

20* Rays/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees just got Aaron Judge back from injury against the A's last series and promptly scored 28 runs in three games against Oakland.  They have now scored at least 7 runs in four consecutive games.  The Rays have one of the best offenses in baseball at 6.1 runs per game on the season.

Drew Rasmussen and Domingo German just squared off on May 6th last time out.  While both had good outings in Tampa Bay, it will be hard to repeat that as the advantage goes to the hitters getting to see these starters for the 2nd time in a week.  Plus, there will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center inside hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium tonight.

Tampa Bay is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games following three or more consecutive unders.  The Rays are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 road games after scoring one run or less in a division loss.  The OVER is 4-0 in Yankees last four games overall.  The OVER Is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Heat/Knicks TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 210

This is the highest total of the series between the Knicks and Heat.  There's clearly value with the UNDER when you consider how familiar these teams are with one another, plus the added pressure of this being a close out game with the Heat trying to win the series and the Knicks trying to stave off elimination.

These teams both shot great in Game 4 and still only combined for 210 points.  The Knicks shot 48.7% from the field while the Heat shot 47.1%.  Immanuel Quickley is doubtful for the Knicks and he is their scoring spark plug off the bench.  They have struggled offensively without him scoring just 86 points in Game 3 and 101 points in Game 4.

The UNDER is 7-2 in Knicks last nine games overall.  The UNDER is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in New York.  Bet the UNDER in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Braves OVER 10

Boston is hitting .270 and scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  Atlanta is hitting .262 and scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  The Red Sox have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Braves have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall, and 3 runs in the two games they didn't.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight.  Jared Shuster is 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in two starts this season allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Bryan Bellow is 1-1 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 17 1/3 innings.

Boston is 7-0 OVER in road games following a loss this season.  Atlanta is 18-6 OVER in night games this season.  The Braves are 10-1 OVER following three consecutive home games this season.  The OVER is 34-16-1 in Red Sox last 51 games overall.  The OVER is 18-5-3 in the last 26 meetings, and 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings in Atlanta.  The OVER is 45-21-4 in Braves last 70 interleague home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  The Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game at home this season for an average of 11.2 points per game.  So this is a very low total for a Cincinnati home game.  The Mets are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.

Justin Verlander will be making his 2nd start back from injury and allowed two homers in his first start.  He will be on a pitch count again.  Hunter Greene is 0-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in three home starts.  Greene allowed 6 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Mets last season.

The OVER is 33-16-3 in Mets last 52 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 8-2 in Reds last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -117

The Houston Astros have a big advantage on the mound over the Los Angeles Angels today and should be bigger favorites as a result.  I'll gladly take the value and side with the Astros to get the job done with this advantage.

Christian Javier is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Javier owns the Angels, going 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.843 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Griffin Canning is 2-0 with a 5.31 ERA in four starts this season allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 20 1/3 innings.  Canning has never beaten the Astros, going 0-1 with a 9.22 ERA and 2.196 WHIP in four carer starts against them while allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.

Houston is 50-19 in day games over the last two seasons.  The Astros are 41-12 in their last 53 during Game 3 of a series.  Houston is 57-27 in the last 84 meetings.  Bet the Astros Wednesday.

20* Blue Jays/Phillies Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it again today after the Blue Jays and Phillies combined for 12 runs in Game 1 of this Interleague series.  The Phillies have scored 27 runs total in their last five games while the Blue Jays have scored 4 runs or more in eight of their last nine games overall.

Kevin Gausman is coming off his worst start of the season allowing 8 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings at Boston.  Zack Wheeler is also coming off a stinker allowing 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to those same Red Sox.  Wheeler is 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four career starts against Toronto.

The OVER is 8-1 in Blue Jays last nine games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Blue Jays last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in Phillies last seven games overall.  The OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Philadelphia.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -157

The Seattle Mariners have a big advantage on the mound tonight which is why I'm willing to lay the juice on them.  George Kirby is 3-2 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in six starts this season and one of the best young starters in baseball.  Kirby owns the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in four career starts against them and the Mariners are 4-0 in those four starts.

Andrew Heaney is 2-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 29 1/3 innings.  Heaney is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

The Rangers are 39-80 in their last 119 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Mariners are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Seattle is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings.  Seattle is 40-18 in the last 58 home meetings.  Bet the Mariners Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Astros/Angels OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Astros and Angels tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Angel Stadium.  That's why I'm willing to take a shot with the OVER even with both aces on the mound for their respective teams.

The Angels have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games overall.  They have also allowed at least 4 runs in six consecutive games.  Shohei Ohtani has been vulnerable of late allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Framber Valdez has also been vulnerable allowing 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 20 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Valdez has a 4.02 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Angels.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.

The OVER is 5-1 in Angels last six games overall.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* 76ers/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on Boston -7.5

The Boston Celtics bounced back from an upset loss in Game 1 where James Harden went off for the 76ers with a 121-87 home victory in Game 2.  After Harden went off in Game 4, I don't trust him to put together two consecutive monster games as he rarely does.

The 76ers need him to because Joel Embiid is clearly hobbled with that knee injury and not himself.  Al Horford owned in him the 4th quarter and OT of Game 4, which isn't something that would happen if Embiid was healthy.  That puts a lot of Harden and company, especially going on the road here in a hostile environment in Game 5 against a pissed of Celtics team.

The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Boston is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Celtics are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  We get a big effort from the Celtics in Game 5 tonight that should have them covering this 7.5-point spread.  Bet the Celtics Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Braves OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Red Sox and Braves tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Truist Park in Atlanta.  It's not like we need the help with these two lineups.

Boston is hitting .271 and scoring 5.8 runs per game this season.  Atlanta is hitting .260 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season.  The Red Sox have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The Braves have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 13 games overall, and 3 runs in the two games they didn't.

Nick Pivetta is 2-2 with a 4.99 ERA in six starts for the Red Sox this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  Charlie Morton has been decent for the Braves, but is fortunate to have a 3.38 ERA with a 1.443 WHIP.

The OVER is 17-4 in Morton's last 21 night starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games following three or more consecutive home games.  The OVER is 24-11-1 in all Boston games this season.  The OVER is 18-6-3 in the last 27 meetings.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mets/Reds OVER 10

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 10 ticket between the Mets and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right.  It's not like we need the help with these two lineups and starting pitchers, plus the fact that this game is played inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

Luke Weaver is 0-2 with a 7.87 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings.  He'll be opposed by the injury-plagued Max Scherzer, who is 1-2 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in four road starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 17 2/3 innings.

The Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game at home this season.  The Mets are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.

The OVER is 6-1 in Mets last seven games following an off day.  The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight vs. NL East opponents.  The OVER is 12-3 in Mets last 15 road games following three consecutive home games.  Bet the OVER In this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Texas Rangers are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 21-11-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 6.7 runs per game and just put up 26 runs in their last two games against the Angels.  They have seen 9 or more combined runs in six consecutive games coming in.

Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in six starts for the Rangers this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  Gray is 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against Seattle.  He has allowed 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.

Logan Gilbert is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA in six starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 33 2/3 innings.  Gilbert has really struggled of late with a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings.

The OVER is 18-7-1 in Rangers last 26 games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Mariners last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  This 7.5-run total is very low for a game involving Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Astros/Angels OVER 8.5

The Angels and their opponents have combined for 9 runs or more in five consecutive games now.  This total is 8.5 is too low for this matchup with the Astros in Game 1 of this series.  That's especially the case with 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center.

Patrick Sandoval is 0-4 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.809 WHIP in four career starts against the Astros.  Hunter Brown has had control issues for the Astros this season and faces a hot Angels lineup that has scored 5 runs or more in five of their last six games overall.

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Angels last eight Monday games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last five Monday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Knicks/Heat TNT No-Brainer on New York +4.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks in Game 4 tonight.  They have failed to cover the spread in every game in this series and are coming off a 19-point loss in Game 3 in which they shot 34.1% as a team and 8-of-40 (20%) from 3-point range.  They aren't going to shoot even close to that poorly again in Game 4.

Jalen Brunson is the leader of this team and had a big Game 2 after an inspirational speech to his team after a Game 1 loss.  He showed how good he could be in the playoffs last year with the Mavericks, and he is one of the most underrated players in the league.  Look for Brunson to respond with a huge Game 4 to lead the way for the Knicks in a game I think they win outright to even this series, but we'll take the 4.5 points for some insurance.

Brunson had 30, Randle 25 and Barrett 24 in the Game 2 response.  Look for this trio to lead the way in Game 4.  The Heat don't have three players that can match these three as it's Butler, Adebayo and a bunch of role players that have played well to get them to this point.  I'm just not sure it's sustainable the rest of the way, including in Game 4 tonight.

The Knicks are a perfect 7-0 ATS after scoring 100 points or less this season, bouncing back to win by an average of 11.2 points per game in this spot.  New York is 38-17-1 ATS in its last 56 road games.  Bet the Knicks in Game 4 Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Orioles UNDER 8.5

There will be 10 MPH winds blowing in from left-center inside pitcher-friendly Camden Yards tonight that will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 8.5 ticket.  Both teams have great bullpens with the Rays sporting a 3.10 ERA and the Orioles sporting a 3.20 ERA as a team this season.

Ace Shane McClanahan goes for the Rays tonight.  He is 6-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in seven starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Orioles, going 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Kyle Gibson has been a pleasant surprise for the Orioles this season at 4-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.027 WHIP in two home starts.  Gibson has held the Rays to one earned run in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them for a 0.73 ERA.

The UNDER is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 Monday games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Nuggets/Suns TNT ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix -2.5

Devin Booker and Kevin Durant scored 86 points combined to lead the Suns to a critical Game 3 victory.  They are two of the best players in the NBA and are capable of doing it again.  Plus, they had others step up around them and that will continue at home tonight.

Cameron Payne pushes the tempo more than Chris Paul and got them a lot of easy looks with his six assists.  Jack Landale was huge off the bench and actually played better than DeAndre Ayton, and it would be a bonus if the Suns could get anything from Ayton.  TJ Warren hit two huge shots late to help them seal the victory.  But either way, Booker and Durant are good enough to carry this team to victory again.

Phoenix is 31-14 at home while Denver is just 20-24 on the road.  The Suns were 4-point home favorites in Game 3 and now we are getting them at a discount in comparison as only 2.5-point home favorites in Game 4.  We'll take the value and back them to get the job done in Game 4.

Denver is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games when revenging a road loss.  Bet the Suns in Game 4 Sunday.

20* Celtics/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Philadelphia +2.5

This is a must-win for the 76ers in Game 4 if they want to get back in this series.  With how good their home-court advantage is, I expect them to get the job done and to avoid losing three in a row to the Celtics after upsetting them in Game 1.

The 76ers are 31-13 SU & 27-17 ATS at home this season.  They only shot 39.7% as a team in Game 3 and I can't see them shooting that poorly again.  They also shot just 39.2% on the road in Game 2 after shooting 50.6% in Game 1.  Look for them to get back to closer to that 50% mark in this one.

Philadelphia is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The 76ers are 17-7 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Philadelphia is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a double-digit home loss.  Bet the 76ers in Game 4 Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Phillies OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 24-10-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.9 runs per game and allowing 5.1 runs per game on the season.  They are 8-0 in their last eight games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in all eight victories.  They are also 5-0-1 OVER in their last six games overall.

The Philadelphia Phillies recently got Bryce Harper back from injury and have one of the most potent lineups in baseball led by him and Trae Turner.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game against right-handed starters this season and allowing 5.2 runs per game overall.  They have a 5.32 ERA with one of the worst bullpens in baseball.

Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in six starts for the Phillies this season while allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 28 2/3 innings.  Walker is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in three career starts against Boston.  He'll be opposed by Tanner Houck, who is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 32 innings.

The OVER is 35-17-1 in Red Sox last 53 games overall.  The OVER is 16-5-1 in Red Sox last 22 road games.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Phillies last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in four of the five games.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Rangers/Angels AL West Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Angels and Rangers.  There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Angel Stadium.  These are two below-average starting pitchers that should get rocked by two hot lineups.  The Rangers have scored 32 runs total in their last four games while the Angels have scored 5 runs or more in nine of their last 11 games overall.

Nathan Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 3.93 ERA in six starts this season for Texas.  But Eovaldo has a 4.60 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in nine career starts against the Angels.  He'll be opposed by Reid Detmers, who is 0-2 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in five starts this season.  Detmers is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA in five career starts against the Angels.

The OVER is 16-7-1 in Rangers last 24 games overall.  The OVER is 4-1 in Angels last five games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game on the season, while the Angels are scoring 5.3 runs per game on the season and 6.1 runs per game at home.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Lakers -2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Los Angeles Lakers after getting blown out in Game 2 at Golden State.  We saw them relax in Round 1 upsetting the Grizzlies in Game 1 before losing by double-digits in Game 2.  They came back and beat Memphis by double-digits at home in Game 3, and it will be more of the same here against the Warriors.

Golden State is one of the worst road teams in the NBA let alone in the playoffs.  The Warriors are 13-32 SU & 15-30 ATS on the road this season.  The Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games and have won all four playoff home games by 6 points or more.

The Lakers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 playoff games when the series is tied.  The Warriors are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games.  Golden State is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.  The Warriors have made 42 3-pointers in two games in this series and won't be nearly as effective shooting the 3 on the road here.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on A's/Royals OVER 10

The wind was blowing out at Kauffman Stadium yesterday and the A's and Royals combined for 20 runs.  The forecast is calling for 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Kauffman Stadium again today, and it should be more of the same with these two gas cans on the mound.

Ken Waldichuk is 0-2 with a 7.26 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 25 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in only 31 innings.  He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 2-3 with an 8.49 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 28 earned runs and 6 homers in 29 2/3 innings.

Both bullpens are terrible with the A's having a 6.80 ERA and the Royals having a 5.67 ERA.  The OVER is 13-3 in A's last 16 road games.  The OVER is 5-1 in Royals last six home games.  The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Reds OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox should easily combine to top this 9-run total at the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark tonight.  The White Sox are heating up at the plate, and the Reds average 5.1 runs per game at home this season.

Nick Lodolo is 2-1 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.728 WHIP in six starts this season, including 2-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.303 WHIP in four home starts.  He has already allowed 8 homers in 30 2/3 innings this season, including 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 2/3 innings at home.

Mike Clevinger is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has been really poor in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 innings for a 7.62 ERA and 1.923 WHIP.

The OVER is 5-1 in White Sox last six games overall.  The OVER is 7-3 in Reds last 10 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Knicks/Heat ABC ANNIHILATOR on New York +4

The New York Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their first two games in this series against the Miami Heat.  It's now time to 'buy low' on the Knicks as 4-point dogs in Game 3.  They were 4-point favorites in Game 1 and 9-point favorites in Game 2, so this is a massive adjustment.

Jimmy Butler is expected to return today, but he's still going to be a little hobbled with that ankle injury.  And I believe the Knicks are the better team even with a healthy Butler, so getting 4 points with them is a nice value.

The Heat shot the 3 terribly all season and have just gotten hot from 3 in the playoffs to get to this point.  I don't see it lasting, and this team still has a lot of flaws outside of Butler.  He has way too much on his shoulders to carry this team much further.

The Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games after outrebounding their last opponent by 15-plus boards.  New York is 38-16-1 ATS in its last 55 road games and has been one of the best road teams in the NBA this season.  The Heat are 11-28-1 ATS in their last 40 games following an ATS win.  Bet the Knicks Saturday.

20* Nuggets/Suns ESPN No-Brainer on Phoenix -3.5

The Phoenix Suns are in must-win mode in Game 3 tonight after losing the first two games of this series to the Denver Nuggets.  I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home to get back into this series.

The Suns are 30-14 at home this season while the Nuggets are 20-23 SU & 19-22-2 ATS on the road.  I think the Nuggets relax a bit after retaining home-court advantage, including a 4th quarter comeback win in Game 2.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  The Suns are 3-0 SU in their last three home meetings with the Nuggets winning by 4, 7 and 29 points.

Denver is 4-12 ATS in road games following two or more consecutive wins this season.  The Nuggets are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more.  Phoenix is 13-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season.  The Suns are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less.  Bet the Suns in Game 3 Friday.

15* Celtics/76ers ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia +2.5

After getting embarrassed with an 87-121 loss at Boston in Game 2, we'll 'buy low' on the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 3 as home underdogs.  They will respond in a big way tonight, especially with Joel Embiid in his second game back from injury.  He will be much more effective at home tonight, and James Harden should bounce back as well.

After making 17 3-pointers in Game 1's upset victory, the 76ers went just 6-of-30 (20%) in Game 2.  They aren't going to shoot that poorly again.  Also don't expect the Celtics to make 20 3-pointers again like they did in Game 2.

The 76ers have played the Celtics tough at home in their two meetings this season.  They lost by 3 as 1-point dogs and won outright as 3.5-point dogs.  The 76ers are 31-12 SU & 27-16 ATS at home this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss this season.  The 76ers are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games.  Bet the 76ers in Game 3 Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -102

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to victory.  They also have the rest advantage after having yesterday off, while the White Sox lost in extra innings to the Twins yesterday.

Hunter Greene has posted a 2.89 ERA in six starts this season with 40 K's in 28 innings.  He'll be opposed by gas can Lance Lynn, who is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 26 earned runs and 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings.

The White Sox are 0-8 in their last eight road games.  Chicago is 1-9 in its last 10 games following a loss.  The Reds are 5-1 in their last six interleague games.  Cincinnati is 10-4 in its last 14 interleague home games.  Bet the Reds Friday.

15* Interleague TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Reds OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark this season.  They are more than capable of covering this total on their own against Lance Lynn and this terrible Chicago bullpen that has a 6.47 ERA on the season.

Lynn is is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 26 earned runs and 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings.  Hunter Greene is pretty fortunate to have a 2.89 ERA despite a 1.429 WHIP on the season.  He has been at his worst at home with a 4.27 ERA and 1.738 WHIP in two home starts.

The OVER is 4-1 in White Sox last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  The OVER is 13-6-2 in White Sox last 21 games with a total set of 8.5 or lower.  The OVER is 37-18-4 in Reds last 59 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.