NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-20-16 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). San Antonio (22-5) has won four straight games with their 113-100 win over New Orleans on Sunday. The Spurs now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 25 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, not only has San Antonio has played 26 of their last 39 road games as the favorite of 6 points or less, they have played eleven of their last thirteen road games when favored by 3 points or less. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. And while the Rockets score 113.1 PPG, San Antonio has played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 103 PPG. |
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12-16-16 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 203.5 | Top | 95-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (509) and the Chicago Bulls (510). Milwaukee (12-12) looks to pull the sweep over the Bulls tonight in their home-and-home series after they defeated them by a 108-97 score last night in a pick ‘em game. The Bucks have then played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Milwaukee has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team will likely be without Michael Beasley again tonight who is dealing with a foot injury. Backup Mirza Teletovic stepped up in his absence last night by scoring 13 points on 50% shooting which included three 3-pointers. Do not hold your breath for a repeat performance on the road. The Bucks have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against Central Division opponents. |
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12-14-16 | Kings v. Rockets -9.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (514) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (513). Houston (18-7) has won seven straight games with their 122-118 win over Brooklyn on Monday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Rockets have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread loss. Houston has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after both scoring at least 100 points in their last game as well as surrendering at least 100 points in their last game. This Rockets team is seeing much better play on defense this month as their Defensive Rating of 99.4 is 5th best this month. Moving forward, Houston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The Rockets have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. |
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12-09-16 | Magic +7 v. Hornets | Top | 88-109 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (701) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (702). Orlando (10-13) was riding high on Wednesday having won three straight games and enjoying a 1-point entering the locker room at half-time at home as a 1-point underdog against the Celtics. But this Magic team then get destroyed in the second-half by getting crushed by 31-points in an ugly 117-87 final score. Look for this team to bounce-back in their first meeting against their Southeast Division rivals. Orlando shot just 37.0% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eight contests. The 51.2% shooting that they allowed Boston to nail was their worst defensive performance in their last fifteen games. This team is playing better with center Serge Ibaka getting comfortable with his role on the team. Their interior should only be stronger tonight with Nikola Vucevic listed as probable with his eye injury after not playing on Wednesday. The Magic have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games after a home game where they were the underdog. Orlando has not been favored in four straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after being the underdog for at least three straight contests. Additionally, the Magic are 6-6 on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games. And in their last 17 trips to Charlotte, Orlando has covered the point spread in 12 of these contests. |
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12-07-16 | Warriors -4 v. Clippers | Top | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (719) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (720). If there was any doubt about how this Golden State team (18-3) feels about the Clippers should have been resolved by their 120-75 win over the Clippers back on October 4th in exhibition play. The Warriors will be playing this game with tons of momentum having won their fourteenth of their last fifteen games with their 142-106 win over Indiana on Monday. Klay Thompson was magnificent in this contest by scoring a whopping 60 points in just 29 minutes of play. When your third scoring option is able to control games like Thompson did on Monday, it is a testament to just how powerful this team is. With Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant, this team leads the NBA by scoring 120.2 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a win by at least 20 points. They are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 game after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, Golden State is 3-1-1 ATS. |
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12-01-16 | Rockets +11 v. Warriors | Top | 132-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (711) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (712). Houston (11-7) looks to bounce-back from a 120-101 loss at Utah on Tuesday as a pick ‘em. The Rockets have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, in their last 11 games after allowing at least 10 points in their last game, they have covered the point spread 10 times. The 55.4% shooting percentage of the Jazz was the best offensive performance any team has produced against Houston. The Rockets’ 40.7% shooting percentage was their worst offensive effort in their last nine contests. This game means plenty to this Rockets team that will be facing the Warriors for the first-time under first-year head coach Mike D’Antoni and his up-tempo 3-point shooting offensive attack. Moving forward, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics UNDER 201.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (505) and the Boston Celtics (506). Detroit (9-10) has won three of their last four games after their 112-89 win at Charlotte last night. The Pistons won that game despite their defensive wizard Andre Drummond being ejected from that game in the second quarter. Drummond was not suspended for tonight’s contest so Detroit will have his shot-blocking presence down low. The Pistons have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Detroit has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Pistons look to avenge a 94-92 loss at home to the Celtics back on November 19th. Detroit has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home. The Pistons have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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11-22-16 | Pelicans v. Hawks -8.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Atlanta Hawks (502) minus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (501). Atlanta (9-4) had won six games in a row but they now have dropped two straight after a 104-94 loss at New York against the Knicks on Sunday. This was one of the worst games this Hawks team has played this season. The shot just 40.1% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in eight games and far below their 47.3% shooting percentage for the season. And they saw the Knicks shoot 47.7% which was their worst defensive effort in nine contests and almost 5% higher than their 42.8% defensive field goal percentage. Returning home to Phillips Arena should help. Not only have the Hawks covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Atlanta has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 home games with the Total set at least 200. This team is 6-1 at home with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. And in the last 11 games against Western Conference foes, the Hawks have covered the point spread 8 times. |
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11-18-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 204 | Top | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Cleveland (9-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday in a 103-93 loss at Indiana in a game where LeBron James took the night off. Expect the return of The King to inspire his teammates to play harder on the defensive end of the court. The Under is then 4-1-1 in the Cavaliers’ last 6 games after a straight-up loss. The Under is also 8-3-1 in Cleveland’s last 12 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, while the Cavs are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games, they have then played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. |
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11-11-16 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 213.5 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (709) and the Boston Celtics (710). New York (3-4) held their first opponent to under 100 points in their 110-96 win over Brooklyn on Wednesday as an 8-point favorite. Defense is certainly an area of emphasis for Phil Jackson who has installed Kurt Rambis in charge of the defense. For better or worse, at least this sends the message to the team that effort on that end of the floor is to be valued. The Knicks have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New York has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Knicks have played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 21 games after scoring at least 100 points, New York has played 16 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, the Knicks have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
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10-27-16 | Clippers -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (505) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (506). Los Angeles (0-0) has been stewing and anticipating this matchup all offseason after the Trail Blazers eliminated them from the playoffs last year in the opening round. The Clippers raced out to a 2-0 lead in that series but then lost four straight games after both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin suffered season-ending injuries to dramatically impact the results of that series. Paul and Griffin are both healthy again with Doc Rivers returning all the key pieces from that team. Bench depth was the biggest vulnerability of that team last year with Jamal Crawford, Austin Rivers along with the venerable Paul Pierce being the only reliable backups on the roster. This deficiency was addressed in the offseason with the Clippers picking a cadre of nice role players in forwards Marries Speights and Brandon Bass along with guards Alan Anderson and Raymond Felton. This gives Rivers as much flexibility regarding putting combinations on the floor than at any time in his tenure in Los Angeles. Being one of the last teams to yet debut this season, this is a team that has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with at least three days of rest. |
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10-26-16 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 212.5 | Top | 113-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (717) and the Phoenix Suns (718). Sacramento (0-0) closed out last season playing 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when on the road. The Kings have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Additionally, Sacramento has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against their fellow Pacific Division foes. |