At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Toronto Raptors (524). THE SITUATION: Toronto (71-30) won the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 118-109 victory as a 2-point favorite. The Raptors have now won and covered the point spread in five straight games. Golden State (69-30) had their six-game winning streak snapped in that game.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors shot just 43.6% from the field on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last twenty-seven games. Golden State has seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games on the road — and the Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Furthermore, Golden State has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and they have also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the number set in that range. Moving forward, the Warriors have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the second game of a playoff series. Golden State has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the NBA Finals. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 second games of a playoff series Over the Total. The Raptors have also played 21 of their last 32 home games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 31 of their last 47 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. Additionally, Toronto has played 14 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 29 of their last 44 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Raptors have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 25 games in expected close contests where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the game finished Over the Total 17 times.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 contests Over the Total — and they have also played five straight games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (523) and the Toronto Raptors (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). THE SITUATION: Golden State (69-29) has won six straight games after they completed their four-game sweep over Portland by defeating them on the road by a 119-117 score as a 2.5-point favorite back on May 20th. Toronto (70-30) has won four straight games after rallying from a 2-0 deficit to defeat Milwaukee by a 4-2 margin with their 100-94 victory as a 1.5-point road favorite last Saturday. The Raptors host the opening two games of this series. Kevin Durant has been ruled out for this game — but the news I have been waiting for was the confirmation by the Warriors that DeMarcus Cousins will be considered active for tonight’s opening game.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: With the big break before the start of the NBA Finals, looking at team trends is helpful to assess how these two teams will respond to the extended time off. Golden State has played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total when playing with at least three of rest. Toronto has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contest. Additionally, the Raptors have played 20 of their last 31 home games Over the Total after a straight-up victory. Toronto has covered the point spread in their last four games — and not only have they played 28 of  their last 43 games at home Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests but they have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. They held the Bucks to just 40% shooting on Saturday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three games as their defensive wall against Giannis Antetokounmpo further frustrated that Milwaukee offense. But they will have to hope the chalkboard clean regarding their defensive schemes against this potent Warriors attack. The Raptors face a dilemma on defense as they want to have Danny Green get significant minutes to take advantage of his size in defending Stephen Curry who will torch smaller defenders like Kyle Lowry or Fred VanVleet — but Green is slow in switching off pick-and-rolls and he cannot be a liability with his outside shooting. Green has a great pedigree of nailing 3s in the NBA Finals given his time with San Antonio — but his cold shooting continues, he will have to be benched for VanVleet who has been on fire with his 3-point shooting but is a defensive liability. Furthermore, Toronto has played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range which includes them playing five of their last seven games at home Over the Total in that point spread range. Golden State plays at a quicker pace without Durant on the court as they can replace quick ball movement with his one-on-one isolation skills that does drain time off the shot-clock. The Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 20 of their last 30 road games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 115 points. Golden State shot just 46.5% from the field in their last game against the Blazers which was the lowest shooting effort in their last five games. The Warriors have not been as sharp on defense as teams of the past in this postseason as they are allowing the 9th most Points-Per-Possession in these playoffs. They certainly miss Durant’s defensive capabilities — and he would have been the primary ball defender on Kawhi Leonard. Moving forward, Golden State stays on the road for the third straight game where the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 5 contests. The Warriors have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total with the number set in that range. Additionally, Golden State has played 6 of their last 8 games in the NBA Finals Over the Total. And with Cousins likely to play tonight, that puts the icing on the cake for this Over play (and the 25* rating) since the big man fills a hole on offense with his post-up and shooting skills while representing a liability on the defensive end of the court.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto swept the two games between these two teams in the regular season with the Raptors pulling the upset in the last meeting back on December 12th where they won by a 113-93 score on the road as an 8-point underdog. The Warriors have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total including four straight Overs when playing in Toronto. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (511) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (512). THE SITUATION: Toronto (69-30) seized a 3-2 in this series on Thursday with their 105-99 upset victory in Milwaukee as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bucks (70-26) has lost three straight games and look to avoid elimination in the playoffs tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE MILWAUKEE PLUS THE POINTS: The Bucks raced out to an 18-4 lead early in this game and entered the 4th quarter still up 3 points. Perhaps this team simply never felt they would not pull this game out with the benefit of playing on their home court where they have been dominant this season. But a few fluky plays down the stretch along with two calls from the referees that were reversed under instant replay along with a late leg injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo and sensational clutch play from Kawhi Leonard resulted in their second straight upset loss in this series. Now this team is facing true adversity — but it would be a mistake to count them out from forcing a climactic seventh game. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games after an upset loss. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a loss on their home court. Additionally, Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after a point spread loss. And while the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in the last three games in this series, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. There is no question that head coach Mike Budenholzer needs to make an adjustment to jumpstart his team. Despite all the accolades that Leonard has earned in this series, Milwaukee still held the Raptors to just 34.9% shooting on Thursday (but Toronto did nail 18 of their 43 3-point attempts). The key for success for the Bucks is to execute better in their half-court offense where things have stalled to a halt. I thought Antetokounmpo would play more in the post in Game Five like he did when playing the 76ers during the regular season. Another likely move by Budenholzer will be to shorten his bench to ensure his best players are on the court in this elimination game. Antetokounmpo has played only 52 minutes in this series at the same time with Khris Middleton and Malcolm Brogdon — but they are +34.9 points over that span when all three are playing together. Budenholzer only had those three play together for 11 minutes on Thursday despite his decision to insert Brogdon back into the starting lineup again after he missed most of the second half of the season with an injury. None of those three players logged in 40 minutes in Game Five either — it is time for Budenholzer exorcise his inner-Bobby Cox and manage this game with a sense of urgency. The Greek Freak is receiving plenty of criticism right now as not being “playoff-ready.” I think he needs more help — Eric Bledsoe, Brooks Lopez, Nikola Mirotic along with Middleton and Brogdon combined to make only 5 of their 22 shots from behind the arc in Game Five. The closer those five players can raise that 22.7% mark from 3-point land to 35.0% mark that the Bucks shoot for the season from behind the arc, the easier it will make things for Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee remains a team that is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games as an underdog. Additionally, Milwaukee has covered the point spread 13 of their last 18 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Toronto should be careful to presume they have won this series with things returning to their home court with the opportunity to close things out tonight. The Raptors do not have a great history of success in dealing well with prosperity. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. The Raptors have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 playoff games when leading in the series.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 18 opportunities to avenge an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge from two straight upset losses to their opponent. Lastly, the underdog has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 12 meetings between these two teams. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Bucks (511) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (508) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (507). THE SITUATION: Toronto (68-30) evened this series at 2-2 on Tuesday with their 120-102 upset victory over Milwaukee (70-25) as a 3-point underdog. The Bucks return home to host the fifth game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE MILWAUKEE MINUS THE POINTS: The Bucks played their worst game of the series on Tuesday. This is just the second time all season that this team has lost two games in a row. This group has responded well when facing adversity this season. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of the last 11 games after an upset loss by double-digits. Furthermore, the Bucks have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 19 games after suffering an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Additionally, Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games after a point spread setback. This team has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing two of their last three contests. The Bucks need to tighten things up on defense after allowing the Raptors to make 47.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight games. Milwaukee has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.3% shooting percentage. Returning home should help as the Bucks limit their guests to only 42.7% shooting on the season. Perhaps the bigger adjustment for head coach Mike Budenholzer will be to make things easier for Giannis Antetokounmpo who missed 19 of his 33 shots from the field in Games Three and Four in Toronto. Raptors head coach Nick Nurse made an adjustment in Game Three by not only having Kawhi Leonard become the primary ball defender against the Green Freak but he also had his primary defender match-up with him tight at the top of the key rather than at the free throw line to neutralize the 7’3’s Eurostep. Look for Antetokounmpo to see more time on the offensive end of the court down low in the post where he had success against the Sixers last round. Toronto has also been quick to double-team Antetokounmpo — and the Bucks’ solution to that is simply to make more open shots. Playing back in Milwaukee should help on this end since the Bucks make 47.8% of their shots at home which translates into 119.1 PPG. Expect more from Eric Bledsoe tonight after scoring only 5 points on Tuesday. Bledsoe has made only 11 of his 45 shot attempts so far in this series. The Bucks have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and this includes them covering the point spread in nine of these last ten situations when playing at home. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after winning two straight games at home. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 32 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. Kawhi Leonard finally got some help in Game Four with Kyle Lowry leading the team with 25 points and Norman Powell scoring 18 points while leading the team with 18 shot attempts. Toronto made 47.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Raptors enjoyed an effective field goal percentage of 61.3% with their 40 uncontested shots from behind the arc in Games Three and Four of this series on their home court. Coincidentally, Toronto also launched 40 uncontested 3-pointers in Games One and Two of this series in Milwaukee but they enjoyed only a 47.5% eFG on those shots in the hostile environment. The Raptors are making only 40.7% of their shots over their last five games — and they made only 71 of their 179 shots (40%) in Games One and Two of this series on the road. A looming concern for Toronto is the status of Leonard who looked to be in pain in Game Four as he deals with a left leg injury. After playing 53 minutes in the double-overtime affair in Game Three, Leonard may be suffering from fatigue in a long postseason in which he has been asked to carry his team in a way he has never done before. The Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The last three games of this series have finished Over the Total with at least 222 combined points scored. But Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games after scoring at least 215 combined points in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after playing at least three straight Overs.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 opportunities to avenge an upset loss to their opponent. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Playoff Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Bucks (508) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (507). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (503) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Toronto (67-30) made this is a 2-1 series on Sunday with their 118-112 victory over Milwaukee (70-24) in double-overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Raptors host the fourth game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee saw their six-game winning streak snapped in that game — but they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games after a straight-up loss. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 33 games after a point spread loss. Milwaukee almost stole Game Three of this series despite not having a dismal performance on offense. The Bucks made only 37.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games — and they made only 14 of their 44 shots (31.8%) from 3-point land. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored only 12 points while turning the ball over 8 times. The Greek Freak combined with Kris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe to score a mere 32 points on 11 of 48 combined shooting — and they three committed 16 turnovers. Milwaukee should see a better effort from their top three scorers. It is a testament to the strong Bucks’ bench as well as their strong defense that they were able to force overtime on Sunday. Milwaukee is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 47 road games as the favorite. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in Toronto. The Raptors played their best defensive game in their last twelve contests by holding the Bucks to that 37.3% shooting effort. They were carried by Kawhi Leonard who played 52 minutes who scored 36 points while drawing the defensive assignment on Antetokounmpo. But with Leonard hobbled by a leg injury, this Toronto team may be simply asking too much of him to continue to carry all the load. Too often his Raptors teammates have been too passive in picking up the offensive slack — especially in crucial situations. Toronto’s hot shooting from 3-point land helped them race out to a 58-51 halftime lead as they made 17 of their 45 shots (37.8%) from behind the arc. But the Raptors managed only 38 points in the second half despite being only the fourth team in these playoffs to make at least 36% of their 3-pointers in a game against the Bucks. Toronto is not built to pull out these high scoring games. They launched 102 shots on Sunday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after taking at least 100 shots in their last game. And while the last two games of this series have finished Over the Total, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after playing two straight Overs. Toronto has struggled against balanced teams this season as they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games against opponents who make at least 46% of their shots while holding their opponents to only 43% or less shooting — and the Raptors shoot 47.3% for the season while limiting their opponents to just 42.9% shooting.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 opportunities to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. With Leonard not at 100% with his leg injury and perhaps fatigues after logging in 52 grueling minutes two days ago, this Bucks team that should better performances from Antetokounmpo, Middleton, and Bledsoe should overwhelm the Raptors. It is telling that the oddsmakers installed Milwaukee as a 2.5-point road favorite when this game opened after Toronto was laying those points on Sunday in their victory. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Playoff Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Bucks (503) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (502) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (501). THE SITUATION: Golden State (68-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 110-99 upset win in Portland (61-36) as a 2.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers host Game Four as they hope to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE PORTLAND PLUS THE POINTS: The Trail Blazers were not able to handle the pressure of the moment down 0-2 in this series in Game Three as they made only 40% of their shots. With this series now likely lost (but then again, one more Warriors injury might change everything), Portland should be able to play this game with a reckless abandon that will help them start making shots again. The Blazers should shoot much closer to the 47.4% clip they average when playing on their home court. Portland usually responds with strong efforts after disappointing performances from what we saw on Saturday. The Trail Blazers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit loss on their home court. Portland is also 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread setback. The Blazers need to play better on the defensive end of the court as the 48.8% field goal percentage for the Warriors along with their 110 points represents their lowest marks so far in this series. Portland has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after surrendering at least 110 points in three straight contests. The Blazers remain 37-11 on their home court with an average winning margin of +7.7 PPG. They have covered the points spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Portland has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. And in their last 56 expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Blazers have covered the point spread in a decisive 37 of these games — and they have also covered the point spread in eleven of these last sixteen situations when playing on their home court. Golden State is 19-42-2 ATS in their last 63 games after a double-digit victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after an upset victory by at least 10 points. The Warriors have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. This is a different team with a bit of distinct personality when playing without Kevin Durant — and their now 33-4 straight-up record when playing with a healthy Stephen Curry but without Durant should be taken very seriously by bettors and handicappers. But this is also a group whose biggest challenger has too often been their own lethargy. Golden State has won eight of their last ten games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Warriors enter this fourth game with Andre Iguodala declared unlikely to play with an injured right calf injury. Alfonzie McKinney will likely take his place in the starting lineup. Without Iguodala, not only does this Golden State team now without their vaunted Hampton’s Five lineup but they lost their third most reliable scorer. The Warriors have been installed as the favorite for this game after taking the 3-0 lead with their upset win on the road on Saturday — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games when favored by no more than 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Year with the Portland Trail Blazers (502) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (501). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (70-23) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 125-103 victory as a 6-point favorite over Toronto (66-30). The Raptors host the third and fourth games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Bucks team has won and covered the point spread in six straight games. Milwaukee has then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning at least five straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four straight contests. The Bucks have dominated the boards in this series as they have out-rebounded Toronto by 15 and 14 boards in the first two games of this series. Milwaukee has then played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last two foes by at least 10 rebounds. The Bucks have also held their last five opponents to just 38.1% shooting from the field — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after their last five opponents shot no better than 42% over that span. Now after playing their last three games on their home court, Milwaukee goes back on the road where they are scoring 116.8 PPG on 47% shooting from the field. The Bucks have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing their last three games at home. Milwaukee has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games as well as six of their last eight contests, the Raptors have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after they have failed to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Toronto shot just 42.5% from the field on Friday — but they return home where they are scoring 113.8 PPG while making 47.4% of their shot attempts. The Raptors have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing three of these last four situations Over the Total when playing on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has lost their last three encounters with the Bucks — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. The Raptors have also played 34 of their last 54 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (548) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (547). THE SITUATION: Golden State (67-29) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 114-111 win at home over Portland (61-35). The Trail Blazers return home where they will host the third and fourth games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TRAIL BLAZERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Warriors rallied from a 65-50 halftime deficit while trailing in the final minute of the game to eke out Game Two. Golden State made 51.2% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eight games. Expect a letdown from this team that will continue to play without Kevin Durant who will not be playing in either of these two games in Portland. While defeating the Blazers in the first two games in this series was their preferred outcome, their success double-digit comeback may have served to enable their penchant to believe they can turn on and off the switch regarding their energy and effort level. Look for Golden State to get stung with that bad habit tonight. As it is, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a narrow win at home by 3 points or less. Furthermore, Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 40 games after winning their last two games on their home court. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 9 games when leading in a playoff series, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Portland has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing their last two games on the road. Additionally, the Blazers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after leading by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. The 51.2% field goal percentage they allowed the Warriors to shoot was the worst defensive in their last eight games. They should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight considering that they have held their playoff opponents to just a 44.1% field goal percentage. Now Portland returns home where they are 37-10 with an average winning margin of +8.1 PPG. The Trail Blazers score 118.1 PPG on their home court while shooting 47.5% from the field. Portland has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Blazers have also covered the point spread in a decisive 37 of their last 57 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Portland has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home when attempting to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 25* NBA Saturday Night Special Feature with the Portland Trail Blazers (548) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (547). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (69-23) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 108-100 victory over Toronto (66-29). The Bucks host Game Two of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks won this game despite shooting just 39.8% from the field which was the lowest shooting mark in their last five games. The seven-day break they experienced after defeating the Celtics in five games resulted in some cold shooters for this Milwaukee team. The Bucks made only 11 of their 44 shots from behind the arc for a 25% shooting clip which was well below their 35.8% percentage when playing at home. Milwaukee scores a robust 119.0 PPG when playing at home given their up-tempo pace and their 47.8% field goal percentage. The Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee should be primed for a better shooting effort tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Bucks have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning five games in a row (as they have after dropping Game One of their series with Boston. Milwaukee has also played 4 straight second games of a playoff series Over the Total. And while the Bucks have not allowed their last three opponents shoot better than 37.8% from the floor, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to make more than 42% of their shots in three straight games. Toronto entered the fourth quarter of Game One with 83 points but only Kyrie Lowery managed to score a field goal in those final 12 minutes of play with Kawhi Leonard showing signs of fatigue by missing all three of his field goal attempts during that span. The Raptors shot just 37% from the field which was the lowest shooting effort in their last six games. Toronto has played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 range — and this includes them playing five of these last eight situations Over the Total. The Raptors have also played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 6 playoff games in the second game of the series, Toronto played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Raptors have played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. And while Toronto has lost the last two games between these two teams, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when looking to avenge at least two straight losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (543) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (544). THE SITUATION: Golden State (66-29) won the opening game of this series on Tuesday with their 116-94 victory over Portland (61-34) as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TRAIL BLAZERS PLUS THE POINTS: Portland seemed physically spent on Tuesday as well as still suffering from the emotional hangover of pulling out their seven-game series on the road in Denver just two days earlier. The Trail Blazers made only 36.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort for them this season. They also committed 21 turnovers. This team also lacked focus on the defensive end of the court as they allowed the Warriors to make 50% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. The funk that Portland endured extended to their head coach with Terry Stotts being having his team play too far off Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson as if the bigger threat on offense was the Warriors role players who were still dealing with one-on-one defenders. It is incredible — after Houston overcompensated in the sixth and final game in that series by barely paying attention to the non-Splash Brothers in the first half of that game, the Blazers pulled a complete 180-degree turn as they focused more efforts trying to slow down the likes of Kevon Looney. Needless to say, I expect Stotts and this Portland team to find a happy medium where they correctly identify the Splash Brothers as the two biggest scoring threats for the Warriors without then leaving open shots for the remaining three Golden State players on the court. The Blazers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Portland has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 15 games when playing their third game in five days. The Warriors are the type of team that the Trail Blazers tend to find success against. Golden State allows 111.2 PPG this season — and Portland has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games in the second half of the season against opponents who allow at least 110 PPG. The Warriors’ bench outscored the Blazers’ bench by a 36 to 28 margin in Game One of this series. Portland’s bench should outplay the Golden State bench tonight — they outscored the Nuggets’ bench last round by a 34.1 to 25.1 PPG margin. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Golden State is just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 games after a double-digit victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a win by at least 15 points. The Warriors have won three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 57 games after winning at least three straight contests. Golden State followed up their inspiring upset win on the road at Houston in Game Six of that series even without Kevin Durant by playing one of their best games of the season on Tuesday once again without Durant. Their 50% shooting mark was the best field goal percentage in their last six games — and the 36.1% shooting mark they held the Blazers to was the best defensive performance in their last seventeen games. Yet this remains a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Golden State is now 31-4 straight-up in their last thirty-five games when playing without Durant but still having a healthy Curry — but that does not mean they have covered the point spread as the favorite in all those games. The Warriors have suffered from hubris too often when in comfortable situations this season — and this is especially when playing at home. Expect a flat effort from them tonight.

FINAL TAKE: Portland should respond with an inspired effort themselves after their subpar performance on Tuesday. The Blazers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 straight games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss on the road. Portland has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss by at least 20 points — and this includes them covering the point spread in these last four situations. 25* NBA Thursday Night Special Feature with the Portland Trail Blazers (543) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (532) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (531). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (68-23) takes the court again for the first time since last Wednesday when they closed out their five-game series with Boston with their 116-91 victory as an 8.5-point favorite. Toronto (66-28) survived their seven-game series with their 92-90 victory over Philadelphia as a 6-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: The Raptors will likely still be emotionally and physically fatigued from that grueling seven-game series with the 76ers. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams from the Atlantic Division. The Raptors have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after allowing no more than 90 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 home games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 opening games to a new series. With fatigue being a potential issue for the Raptors tonight, the energy that will come from the respective benches of both teams will likely play a significant role. Toronto’s bench has played less than 30% of the total minutes for the Raptors this postseason — and bench players accounted for just 24.8% of the team’s minutes in the Sixers’ series. Toronto’s bench has averaged 21.6 PPG in these playoffs on 38.9% shooting. Milwaukee’s bench has averaged 39.8% of the team’s minutes in the playoffs while scoring 37.4 PPG fueled by 48.1% shooting from the field. Head coach Mike Budenholzer will want his team pushing the pace tonight in the attempt to wear out this Raptors team that may still be suffering from the hangover of their victory on Sunday. The Bucks have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games after a double-digit win. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. The Bucks got an additional lift in their series with the Celtics as Malcolm Brogdon returned to the court after being out with an injury for months — he played 17 minutes in Game Five. Milwaukee is playing outstanding on the defensive end of the court as they held Boston to just 31.2% and 37.8% shooting in the last two games of that series. The Bucks have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after not allowing their last two opponents to shoot better than 39% from the field. Milwaukee stays at home where they are 37-9 this season with an average winning margin of +12.5 PPG. The Bucks have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range — and this includes them covering the point spread in seven of their last eight games at home with the Total set in that range. The Bucks have also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 38 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Milwaukee after losing to them at home in their last meeting back on January 31st at home by a 105-92 score. The Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games when playing with revenge against their opponents. 25* NBA Wednesday Night Special Feature with the Milwaukee Bucks (532) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (531). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). THE SITUATION: Portland (61-33) advanced to the Western Conference Finals on Sunday with their 100-96 upset victory in Denver as a 5.5-point underdog. Golden State (65-29) reached the Western Conference Finals two days earlier on Friday when they upset Houston on the road by a 118-113 sore as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors stepped up without Kevin Durant on Friday as they made 49.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But this team will miss Durant’s scoring ability as he will likely miss the first few games of this series. Stephen Curry was outstanding in the second half by scoring 33 points — but he did not score in a first half where Golden State got surprising scoring contributions from their reserves. Curry and Klay Thompson have been inconsistent in these playoffs. This team is making only 46.4% of their shots over their last five games which is far below their 49.0% field goal percentage for the season. The Warriors have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Golden State has also played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Warriors return home where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 36 of their last 58 home games Under the Total when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, Golden State has played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors are making 38.3% of their shots from behind the arc — and Portland has played 41 of their last 68 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have stepped up their play on the defensive end of the court. They held the Nuggets to just 37.1% shooting on Sunday after limiting them to a 38.4% field goal percentage in Game Six of that series. Portland has held their last five opponents to a 42.9% field goal percentage which is a few clicks better than their 45.3% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. But the Blazers are making only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games which is a bit below their 46.4% field goal percentage for the year. Portland will also likely be without their super sub, Rodney Hood, who has been downgraded to being doubtful given the knee injury he suffered in Sunday’s game. The Trail Blazers have also played 12 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: This is Golden State’s fourth game in the last ten days — and in games involving teams who have won five or six of their last seven games and is now playing just their fourth game (or less) in the last ten days, these games finished Under the Total in 435 of the last 764 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (522) minus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (521). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (58-35) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Thursday with their 112-101 upset win at home over Toronto (65-28) as a 1.5-point underdog. The Raptors return home to host this seventh game.

REASONS TO TAKE TORONTO MINUS THE POINTS: The Raptors should bounce-back from that underwhelming effort on Thursday as they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset loss by at least 10 points. Toronto has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. The Raptors need to work harder in this game after allowing the 76ers to out-rebound them by a 64 to 43 margin. Toronto has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards in their last game. The Raptors return home where they are 36-11 this season with an average winning margin of +8.5 PPG. Toronto scores a healthy 114.3 PPG on their home court while making 47.6% of their shots. The Raptors have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the points spread in 16 of their last 19 home games against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. After allowing the Sixers to make 46.1% of their shots on Thursday, Toronto should tighten up on defense as they have held their playoff opponents to make only 41.1% of their shots. Philadelphia may be due for a letdown after extending this series to seven games. They have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after an upset victory — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 12 games after a double-digit win. The 76ers have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 34 games after a win on their home court. And this team has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after out-rebounding their last opponent by at least 20 boards. Now they go back on the road where they have not nearly as good — nor consistent — as they have been on their home court. Philly is just 23-23 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.9 PPG. They have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 road games against divisional rivals — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And while the last two games of this series have finished Over the Total, the Sixers have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after playing two straight Overs.

FINAL TAKE: The 76ers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games between these two teams when playing in Toronto. 25* NBA Second Round Playoff Game of the Year with the Toronto Raptors (522) minus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (521). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (526) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (525). THE SITUATION: Portland (60-33) forced a climactic seventh game of this Western Conference series on Thursday with their 119-108 victory at home over Denver (61-34) as a 4-point home favorite. The Nuggets host this game at the Pepsi Center.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver should respond with a strong effort as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The additionally second day of rest for this Nuggets team should help as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with two days of rest. Denver shot just 38.4% from the field on Thursday with their bench not offering much production — that was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. But now this team returns home where their outstanding second unit usually plays much better. The Nuggets are 39-9 on their home court this season while outscoring their visitors by +10.1 PPG. Denver makes 48% of their shots on their home court. The Nuggets have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 home games when favored by no more than 6 points. They have scored at a 115.2 points per 100 possession pace in this series which has been the most efficient of all the teams in the second round of the playoffs. The X-factor in this game should be Nikola Jokic who has been the best player in this series. Even in a losing effort in Game Six, Jokic scored 29 points on 10 of 15 shooting while adding 12 rebounds and eight assists. The Trail Blazers Evan Kanter simply cannot slow him down on defense. In theory, Kanter’s defensive liabilities are made up for with his offensive prowess — but his shoulder injury has slowed him down on the offensive end of the court. Kanter managed only 6 points on 2 of 9 shooting in Portland’s winning effort on Thursday. Denver has played good defense in this series as they have limited the Blazers to just 42.7% shooting over their last five games. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win at home over a fellow Northwest Division rival. The Blazers bench played a key role in that Game Six win with Rodney Hood scoring 25 points and Zach Collins playing key minutes for this team. But Portland has not been nearly as good when playing on the road — and this is particularly true of their role players. The Trail Blazers are just 23-23 on the road this year where they are being outscored by their home hosts. Portland has failed to cove rah point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games at Denver. And while the Blazers have only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 18 road games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when tied in a playoff series — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when attempting to close out a playoff series.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home when playing with revenge from a loss. Their home court advantage — along with Jokic — should make the difference in this seventh game. 25* NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year with the Denver Nuggets (526) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (525). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). THE SITUATION: Golden State (59-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 104-99 victory at home over Houston (59-33) as a 6-point underdog. This series moves back to the Rockets’ Toyota Center tonight for Game Six with Houston looking to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The calf injury that Kevin Durant suffered in the second half of this game that will keep him out the rest of this series is the most important intangible in handicapping this game. The Warriors will be looking to re-invent their Splash Brothers offense of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson circa the 2015-16 season before they signed Kevin Durant as a free agent. I do expect Golden State to attempt to play at a faster pace as their offense has tended to slow down to adapt to Durant’s isolation game in the half-court. But that all said, I do not expect the efficiency of the Warriors offense to significantly improve — especially without the luxury of having Durant that head coach Steve Kerr describes as the ultimate weapon. For starters, neither Curry nor Thompson are not in great form. Thomson’s series high is 27 points while he has only connected on thirteen shots from behind the arc in all five games. Curry has reached 30 points just once in this series while not nailing more than five 3-pointers in a game in this series while he seems to be slowed by a hyperextended left finger along with a right ankle issue. Furthermore, those pre-Durant Golden State teams had a better set of complementary offensive pieces (such as Harrison Barnes and a more productive Draymond Green on offense) than this current group that began the season banking on big contributions from DeMarcus Cousins. The Rockets have been doing a great job of defending Curry and Thompson in this series. Chris Paul remains a strong on-the-ball defender but what this Houston team has after him is a slew of guards with size whose length can mess with the Splash Brothers: James Harden is 6’5, Eric Gordon is 6’4, Austin Rivers is 6’4, Iman Shumpert is 6’5, Gerard Green is 6’7, and P.J. Tucker is 6’6. What head coach Mike D’Antoni chooses to do with Tucker will be particularly interesting since he has been relieved of being the primary defender on Durant for the Rockets. Frankly, Houston also has three more years of experience under their belts defending the Splash Brothers’ offense that a number of teams have copy-catted as they embraced up-tempo offensive systems that emphasize launching tons of 3s. And this Rockets team has steadily improved in their defensive play due to some important reconfigurations of their roster along with the continued work of their defensive guru in assistant coach Jeff Bzdelik. Houston boasted the second best Defensive Rating in the NBA over the last fifteen games of the regular season — and they have held their opponents in the playoffs to just 43.3% shooting from the field which has resulted in a -5.2 drop in points they are allowing per game from the 113.3 PPG they gave up in the regular season. Golden State typically plays harder on defense when they are away from home as well — they hold their home hosts to just 43.7% shooting as compared to the 44.4% overall mark this year. The Under is 10-2-1 in the Warriors’ last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Golden State has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games — and they have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Under is also 19-7-1 in the Warriors’ last 27 games when playing with one day of rest. The Under is 18-5-2 in Houston’s last 26 games when playing with just one day of rest. Houston has also seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rockets have only reached their 117.7 PPG scoring average once in this series with it being evident that Chris Paul is not the same offensive player that he once was. Paul is making only 45% of his midrange jump shots in these playoffs — and the 58% shooting inside feet of the basket is a few notches below the 61% mark he enjoyed in last year’s Western Conference Finals. Houston returns home where the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when looking to stave off elimination in a playoff series. They will dedicate their defensive energies in stopping Curry and Thompson to dare the Warriors to rely on their secondary scorers. The Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams when playing in Houston. 25* NBA Second Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (516) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (515). THE SITUATION: Denver (61-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 124-98 victory at home against Portland (59-33) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers return for Game Six of this series hoping to keep their season alive.

REASONS TO TAKE PORTLAND MINUS THE POINTS: Trail Blazers head coach, Terry Stotts, claimed after the game on Tuesday that it was probably his team’s worst effort in their last six weeks. Portland allowed the Nuggets to make 48.9% of their shots which was the worst effort in their last four games. But the Blazers were even more disappointing on the offensive end of the court where they made just 36.7% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last 57 games. C.J. McCollum was just 5 of 16 from the floor in that game while scoring only 12 points which was the fewest points he has scored in the playoffs since the 2017 postseason. Damian Lillard has made only 7 of his 32 shots from behind the arc since the first game of this series. Portland should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss to a Northwest Division rival. The Blazers have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss on the road to a divisional foe. Now this team returns home where they are 36-10 with an average winning margin of +8.0 PPG. Portland should find their shooting stroke again tonight given their field goal percentage at home of 47.5% which generates 118.1 PPG. And while the Trail Blazers have allowed at least 116 points in their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 35 games on the road after a win on their home court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after a double-digit win at home. The Nuggets have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 33 road games after scoring at least 1115 points in their last game. Denver goes back on the road where they are just 22-24 this season with an average losing margin of -2.6 PPG. The Nuggets have covered the point spread in the last three games of this series — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 road games after covering the point spread in two straight games. Additionally, Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And the Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after scoring at least 110 points in three games.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has four starters who lacked playoff experience entering this postseason — so they may learn that winning the final fourth game in a playoff series is usually the most difficult. Portland has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games when avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent — and they have covered the point spread in seven straight games when that double-digit loss was on the road. 25* NBA Second Round Bailout Playoff Game of the Year with the Portland Trail Blazers (516) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (515). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (514) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (513). THE SITUATION: Toronto (65-27) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 125-89 victory at home over Philadelphia (57-35) as a 6-point favorite. This series returns to Philly where the 76ers look to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE PHILADELPHIA PLUS THE POINTS: It was just a short week ago where the conventional wisdom hot take was that this Sixers team simply had too much star power for this Raptors franchise that has a long history of postseason failures. This 76ers team is a group that is happy to read about the headlines about the stories about them. They simply did not show up on Tuesday as they allowed Toronto to score 125 points while making 48.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. The team trends that help to identify the team personality of this group suggests they will respond with a big effort tonight after embarrassing themselves (and their darn backers on Tuesday). Philadelphia has rebounded to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 41 games after a loss by at least 15 points — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, the Sixers are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games after a double-digit loss — and this includes them covering the point spread in thirteen of these last seventeen situations. Additionally, Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. The Sixers return home where they are 34-12 this season with an average winning margin of +8.3 PPG. They should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight as they hold their visitors to just a 44.8% shooting percentage — and they have still held the Raptors to only a 43.4% field goal percentage over their last five games. The 76ers have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 46 home games as an underdog. Toronto may be vulnerable to an emotional letdown of their own after winning the last two games of this series. The Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a double-digit win at home over an Atlantic Division rival. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win at home over a divisional rival. The Raptors have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games when favored by 6 points or less. Injuries have certainly been a subplot of this series. Pascal Siakam is dealing with a sore calf but still managed to scored 25 points while pulling down 8 rebounds in Game Five after not being very effective in Game Four in a contest that he was expected to sit out. With a game in hand potentially on Sunday, Siakam may take it easy in this game if Philly produces a fast start. Joel Embiid has been dealing with an upper respiratory issue along with a perennially sore left knee — he scored only 13 points with 8 rebounds on Tuesday. Embiid has has this flu/cold thing for a week at this point so I have to think that is getting better. I suspect Embiid will play better tonight with the season on the line.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 29 of their last 45 games on their home court where they have the opportunity to avenge a same-season loss. Look for the Sixers to extend this series to a climactic seventh game. 25* NBA Second Round ESPN Playoff Game of the Year with the Philadelphia 76ers (514) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (513). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (509) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (510). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (67-23) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-101 upset victory over Boston (54-36) as a 1-point underdog. The Bucks return home with the possibility of closing out this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS PLUS THE POINTS: This has been a frustrating series since I considered the Bucks significantly undervalued after they lost the first game of this series — and I was hearing too many national pundits counting them out against this experienced Celtics team. But, I did expect this to be a long series — so I was disappointed to see Boston get upset twice on their home court albeit against a Milwaukee team I like. That all said, I suspect the professional pride of this Celtics team to propel them to play their best game since that opening contest where they upset the Bucks in Milwaukee. Boston has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after losing three games in a row. The Celtics have not covered the point spread in the last three games in this series — but they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games while also covering the point spread in 21 of their last 30 road games after they failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four contests. Boston has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. Now this team goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Celtics have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Boston has also been reliable as the underdog as they have covered the point spread in 33 of their last 44 games when getting the points — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. The Celtics should shoot better tonight as their 37.8% field goal percentage on Monday was the worst shooting effort in their slat seven games. That opponent’s field goal percentage was also the Bucks’ lowest mark in their last six contests. Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after winning their last two games on the road. The Bucks have also failed to cover the point spread in 52 of their last 78 games at home when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. And because Milwaukee has scored at least 113 points in each of their last three games, they fall into an empirical “play-against” angle that has been 61% effective since 1996. After 42 games into the season, home teams that average at least 102 PPG (Milwaukee: 118.0 PPG) who have scored at least 110 points in three straight games now facing an opponent that allows at least 102 PPG (Boston defense: 107.4 PPG) have then failed to cover the point spread in 159 of the last 261 situations where these conditions applied.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 Game Fives in a playoff series. They have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 trips to Milwaukee to play the Bucks. And in their last 56 opportunities to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 110 points, the Celtics have covered the point spread in 34 of these games. 25* NBA Second Round Playoff Underdog of the Year with the Boston Celtics (509) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (505) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (506). THE SITUATION: Toronto (64-27) evened this series at 2-2 on Sunday with their 101-96 upset victory over Philadelphia (57-34). The Raptors host the fifth game of this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS PLUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia usually responds with strong efforts after disappointing results as they experienced in Game Four. The 76ers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a loss to a fellow Atlantic Division rival. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. And in their last 68 games after an upset loss to a fellow divisional opponent, the Sixers have covered the point spread 43 times — and this includes them covering the point spread in four of these last five situations. Philly suffered a bad break on Sunday with Joel Embiid sick with the flu. He scored only 11 points while grabbing 8 rebounds. With 48 hours to pump himself with liquids, he should be in much better shape tonight. The 76ers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games when playing with one day of rest. Philadelphia has also won their last 3 playoff games with the series being tied. The narrative of this series after the Sixers decisively won Games Two and Three was the Raptors were too dependent on Kawhi Leonard. While that storyline was a bit too myopic, it remains an issue that too often this Toronto team has failed to live up to expectations in the playoffs. This group has not handled playoff pressure well — and they remain just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Pascal Siakam was not expected to play on Sunday with his right calf injury — so it was a surprise when he took the court to contribute. The good news is that Siakam will likely play again tonight. However, the bad news for the Raptors is that he managed only 9 points while grabbing 3 boards as he looked hampered by that injury. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win over an Atlantic Division rival. And while the Raptors have covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: The underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings between these two teams. The 76ers have also covered the point spread in 39 of their last 59 opportunities to avenge a loss at home — and this includes them covering the point spread in 8 of these last 12 opportunities. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Underdog of the Year with the Philadelphia 76ers (505) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (503) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Houston Rockets (504). THE SITUATION: Houston (58-32) made this a 2-1 series on Saturday with their 126-121 win in overtime over Golden State (63-28) as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rockets host Game Four of this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WARRIORS MINUS THE POINTS: Golden State has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games are a point spread loss. The Warriors should shoot better tonight after making just 44.2% of their shots on Saturday. That was the worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. Stephen Curry is struggling in this series making only 35.3% of their shots as he looks to be hampered by a dislocated finger on his left hand along with a sprained ankle — but this looks like a game where Kevin Durant will take charge. Golden State also allowed the Rockets to make 48.4% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. The Warriors have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Golden State should not only play better on the defensive end of the court but they will also work harder. They were out-rebounded by a 67 to 48 margin in Game Three — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after being out-rebounded by at least fifteen boards in their last game. The Warriors have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 fourth games of a playoff series. Houston’s 48.4% field goal percentage was the best shooting effort in their last seven contests. The Rockets have then failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 37 home games after scoring at least 115 points in their last game —and they are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. Furthermore, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after playing a game where at least 245 combined points were scored. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when playing with just one day of rest.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road when looking to avenge a same-season loss. 25* NBA Monday Night Special Feature with the Golden State Warriors (503) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Houston Rockets (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (66-23) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Friday with their 123-116 upset win at Boston (54-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Celtics host the fourth game of this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road after a win by at least 20 points. Milwaukee has also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bucks have played 24 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Now Milwaukee stays on the road where they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. And while Boston has lost the last two games in this series, they have then played 8 straight home games Over the Total after losing two of their last three contests. Additionally, the Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, Boston has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 18-7-1 in their last 26 games when playing in Boston. The Celtics have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* NBA Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (594) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (593). THE SITUATION: Portland (59-31) survived a triple-affair on Friday with their 140-137 victory as a 5.5-point favorite over Denver (59-33) to take a 2-1 lead in this series. The Trail Blazers host the fourth game of this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE PORTLAND MINUS THE POINTS: The Nuggets may have blown their opportunity to take back home court in this series (at least, before a potential Game Six back in Portland) by not pulling Game Three out with all the opportunities they were given to steal that game. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 road games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. Denver has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games when playing with one day of rest. The Nuggets have not been a good road team this season as they are just 21-24 away from home. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 road games in expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Portland has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games when listed in that +/- 3-point range. The Trail Blazers have been very tough to play at home in Rip City where they are now 36-9 with an average winning margin of +8.3 PPG. Portland is 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games on their home court. They are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 37 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Portland is also 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a point spread loss. The high-scoring game on Friday is a likely a good harbinger for the Blazers as they are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 130 points in their last contest.

FINAL TAKE: I think it will be difficult for a young and inexperienced playoff team like the Nuggets to bounce-back from that heartbreaking loss on Friday when playing on the road once again against a Blazers’ team that enjoys a strong home court advantage. 25* NBA Sunday Night Special Feature with the Portland Trail Blazers (594) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (593). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (591) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (592). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (57-33) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 116-95 upset victory over Toronto (63-27) as a 1.5-point underdog. The 76ers host Game Four of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS PLUS THE POINTS: The conventional wisdom after Game Three of this series regarded how little help Toronto’s teammates were offering Kawhi Leonard. Same old Raptors in the playoffs! So it might be surprising that the oddsmakers did not budge as they installed Toronto once again as a small road favorite. The news that Pascal Siakam would be doubtful to play this game given a right calf contusion injury pushed the Sixers to now being favored by 2 or so points. The Raptors will certainly miss Siakam — but I see their problems over the last two games being much simpler to address. First, Toronto simply needs to exert more energy on the defensive end of the court. They allowed Philly to score at a 1.67 Points-Per-Possession rate in transition with the Raptors not getting back in time. Overall, the 51.2% field goal percentage that the Sixers enjoyed on Thursday was the highest shooting mark that Toronto has allowed in their last 32 games. Toronto needs to get back to playing the strong defense that has typified their season. Second, the Raptors simply need to make their darn open shots. They have missed 35 of their 50 open 3-pointers so far in this series — and their failure to make these shots has prompted them to be more cautious in even taking these shots in Game Three. That is not this Toronto team’s game: they led the NBA in both volume and accuracy from the 3-point line after the trade deadline. After making only 36.3% of their shots in Game Two, the Raptors followed that up by shooting just 42.2% from the field with those two efforts being the worst offensive performances in their last eleven games. That should improve this afternoon. Toronto has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset loss by at least 15 points. The Raptors have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a loss by at least 15 points. The first three games of this series have finished Under the Total — but Toronto has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after playing at least two straight Unders. The Raptors have been out-rebounded in their last four games by at least six boards — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after being out-rebounded by at least five boards in three straight games. This remains a team that has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road. Philadelphia is very susceptible to letdowns when they start reading about how good they are. They have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after a win by at least 15 points. The 76ers have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after a double-digit win — and they had failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a double-digit win at home. Furthermore, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 47 games after scoring at least 115 points in their last contest. And while the Sixers have pulled off two straight upset victories, they have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after winning their last two contests — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Their 51.2% field goal percentage on Thursday was the best shooting effort for them in their last six games. Philly has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Expect Toronto to respond with their best effort of this series — even without their rising star in Siakam. 25* NBA Second Round ABC-TV Playoff Game of the Year with the Toronto Raptors (591) plus the points versus the Philadelphia 76ers (592). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). THE SITUATION: Golden State (63-27) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 115-109 victory over Houston (57-32) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rockets host the third and fourth games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests. They return home where the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games — and they have also played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Rockets’ have more than an 0-2 deficit to be concerned about after James Harden got his eyes raked on Tuesday. While Harden will play, he indicates that he is still feeling the effects of that injury. Houston made 46.8% of their shots in Game Two which was actually the best field goal percentage in their last five games. The Rockets have been thriving in the last quarter of the regular season by significantly ramping up their play on the defensive end of the court. Over the last fifteen games of the regular season, Houston had the fourth best Defensive Rating in the NBA. In these playoffs, the Rockets are allowing only 101.1 PPG along with a 42.3% field goal percentage which is far below the 108.5 PPG they are allowing for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.3%. In their last five playoff games, Houston is holding their opponents to just 100.8 PPG on 41.3% shooting from the field. The Rockets have played a decisive 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Golden State is not often the underdog — the two-time defending NBA champions usually tighten things up on the defensive end of the court when their victory is not a foregone conclusion (in their minds). The Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when they were the underdog — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, Golden State has played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The 46.8% shooting percentage that Houston executed on Tuesday was the highest field goal percentage that the Warriors had allowed in their last three games. When playing on the road, Golden State holds its home hosts to just a 43.6% field goal percentage.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. And despite the high Totals that typically are associated with these two high scoring teams, these two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Second Round Saturday ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). THE SITUATION: Portland (58-31) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 97-90 upset victory over Denver (59-32) as a 4-point underdog. The Trail Blazers host the third and fourth of games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets pulled the upset over the Trail Blazers in the opening game of this series by nailing 40.4% of their 3-pointers en route to a 50.6% shooting percentage for that game. It was a much different story in Game Two as they made only 6 of their 29 shots from behind the arc for a dismal 20.7% shooting percentage from 3-point land. Their 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was their lowest mark of the entire season. Denver has played 25 of their last 43 games Over the Total after suffering an upset loss as a home favorite. The Nuggets have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 90 points in their last game. Now after playing their last three games at home, Denver goes back on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games at home. The Nuggets score 107.4 PPG on the road — and they allowed 110.1 PPG in those contests. Denver has played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Portland has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset victory over a fellow Northwest Division rival — and this includes them play those last four situations Over the Total. The Over is also 21-8-2 in the Trail Blazers’ last 31 games when playing with one day of rest. Now Portland returns home where they are scoring 117.8 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field. The Blazers pulled off their upset on Wednesday despite making only 42.4% of their shots. The Nuggets’ 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in Portland’s last 79 games. The Blazers allow their visitors to shoot 45% from the field which generates 109.3 PPG. The Over is 16-4-1 in Portland’s last 21 games at home — and the Over is also 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Blazers have also played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss where they were home favorites. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games played in Portland Over the Total. 25* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (65-23) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 123-102 victory over the Celtics. Boston (54-34) hosts Games Three and Four of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points. They now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Boston has played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. They have also played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by double-digits — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Celtics shot just 39.5% from the field on Tuesday which was the lowest field goal percentage for them in their last five games. They return home where they are making 47% of their shots en route to 113.0 PPG. Boston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 38 of their last 57 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. Lastly, the Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams in Boston. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-33) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 94-89 upset victory at Toronto (63-26) as a 7.5-point underdog. The 76ers return home to host the third and fourth games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games after a victory by 6 points or less. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games over the Total when playing with two days of rest — and that extra day of rest should help Joel Embiid be ready to play this game as he deals with knee injuries. Philadelphia held the Raptors to just a 36.3% shooting percentage on Monday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 41 games. But the Sixers also shot just 39.5% from the field in that low-scoring game. Now Philly returns home where they are scoring 118.6 PPG on the strength of 48.5% shooting from the field. The 76ers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Toronto’s 36.3% field goal percentage was the worst shooting effort in their last 53 games. They also missed 27 shots from behind the arc on Monday — they should improve significantly on that resulting 27% mark from 3-point land tonight considering that they are making 36.6% of their shots from behind the arc on the road. The Raptors are averaging 113.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, in Toronto’s last 18 games overall in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Raptors have played 13 of these games Over the Total. And in their last 13 games in the Eastern Conference Playoff Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 meetings in Toronto Over the Total. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). THE SITUATION: Denver (59-31) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 121-113 victory over Portland (57-31). The Nuggets host Game Two of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The silver lining for the Trail Blazers in Game One was that Enes Kanter was able to play despite a shoulder injury that had him questionable. Kanter played 33 minutes which allowed him to score 26 points while making 11 of his 14 shots. He is more of an offensive threat than Jusuf Nurkic who is out the season with an ankle injury. The problem for the Blazers with Kanter absorbing Nurkic’s minutes is that he is a liability on the defensive end of the court. Denver’s Nikola Jokic exploited him by scoring 37 points on 11 of 18 shooting while pulling down 9 rebounds. Kanter’s presence on both ends of the court has generated higher scoring games — and bettors have yet to catch up. Portland has played 27 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Blazers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Over is 21-7-2 in Portland’s last 30 games when playing with one day of rest. And while this the Blazers just second game in the last seven days after they dismissed Oklahoma City in five games, they have played 4 straight games when playing their second game in seven days. Portland has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against Northwest Division foes. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets increase their offensive proficiency when playing at home — they are scoring 113.2 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field at the Pepsi Center as compared to their 110.4 PPG scoring overall on 46.6% shooting this season. Denver has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing in Denver. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). THE SITUATION: Golden State (62-27) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 104-100 victory over Houston (57-31). The Warriors host the second game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Golden State smoked this Rockets team who had been playing good defense by making 50.7% of their shots on Sunday. The Warriors have a 49.2% field goal percentage at home in the Oracle Center which has translated into 118.2 PPG. Over their last five games, Golden State is making 50% of their shots — and they are shooting 50.3% from the field so far in these playoffs. This shapes up to be a high-scoring game as the Warriors have played 8 of their last 9 second games to a new playoff series Over the Total. Golden State has also played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series — and this includes them playing three of these last four games Over the Total when leading in that playoff series. Houston should shoot better than the 41.9% field goal percentage they endured in the opening game of this series. The Rockets have played four straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing four straight games Under the Total. Houston averages 110.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Rockets have also been out-rebounded by 13, 14, and 14 boards in each of their last three games — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded in their last three games by at least 5.0 Rebounds-Per-Game. Houston has also played 14 of their last 21 second games in a new playoff series Over the Total — and this includes them playing four of these last five situations Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen their last three games finish Under the Total — but the first game these two teams played in 2019 was in the Oracle Center where the Rockets won by a 135-134 score. After Game One finished Under the Total by more than 20 points, look for this game to finish Over the Total. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (572) minus the points versus the Boston Celtics (571). THE SITUATION: Boston (54-33) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 112-90 upset victory over Milwaukee (64-23) as an 8-point underdog. The Bucks host the second game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE MILWAUKEE PLUS THE POINTS: The Bucks should respond with a strong effort after that embarrassing loss on Sunday. Milwaukee has bounced-back to cover the points spread in 15 of their last 18 games after an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after an upset loss by double-digits. Furthermore, the Bucks have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a loss by at least 10 points — and they have covered 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on their home court by at least 10 points. Additionally, Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 22 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after a point spread loss. The Bucks should shoot much better tonight after making only 34.8% of their shots in Game One which was the worst shooting effort in their last 32 games. The Celtics made a point of double-teaming Giannis Antetokounmpo when he got the ball down low — he made just 4 of 15 shots inside the paint. The solution to this tactic is for his teammates to make open shots when the Greek Freak passes out of these double-teams — but these shots were simply not falling on Sunday which prompted him to force too many shots down low. The Bucks will also need to amp up their intensity on defense after allowing the Celtics to make 54% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage of the season. Milwaukee holds their guests to just a 43.1% field goal percentage when they are playing at home — so they should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight. They also make 48.1% of their shots at home which translates into 119.2 PPG. The Bucks are 35-9 on their home court this season while outscoring these visitors by +12.0 PPG. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Boston is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a win by at least 10 points. The Celtics have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a win on the road by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 32 games after an upset win on the road by at least 15 points. Their 54% shooting from the field was the best field goal percentage in their last 34 games. And head coach Brad Stevens may not have the services of Aron Baynes who is questionable with an ankle injury after he joined Al Horford to do such a good job defending Antetokounmpo on Sunday. Boston has only covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent. They also have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging an upset loss where they were favored by at least 7 points. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Milwaukee Bucks (572) minus the points versus the Boston Celtics (571). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). THE SITUATION: Portland (57-30) takes the court again for the first time since last Tuesday after they disposed of Oklahoma City in five games with their 118-115 win as a 3.5-point favorite. Denver (58-31) defeated San Antonio on Sunday by a 90-86 score as a 6.5-point favorite to win that series in seven games. The Nuggets host the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread — and the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread loss. Portland launched 96 shots in that game after attempting 90 shots in Game Four of that series. The Blazers have then played 26 of their last 39 games Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Portland now goes back on the road where they are scoring 111.0 PPG while also allowing 111.0 PPG. The Trail Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Nuggets shot just 39.8% from the field in that game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last twelve games. Denver survived because they limited the Spurs to shooting only 36.5% which was the best defensive effort in their last sixteen games. The Nuggets have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Denver stays at home where they are scoring 113.0 PPG this season on 48.2% shooting from the field — and they are making 48.3% of their shots in the playoffs. The Nuggets have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 encounters Over the Total when playing in Denver. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (561) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (562). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-25) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 108-95 victory over Philadelphia (55-33). The Raptors host Game Two of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS PLUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia should play better tonight ager struggling on both ends of the court on Saturday. The Sixers shot just 39.3% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eleven games. They also allowed the Raptors to make 51.9% of there shots which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seven games. Philadelphia has bounced back to cover the point spread in a decisive 48 of their last 71 games after a loss on the road. Furthermore, the 76ers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a loss to a fellow Atlantic Division rival. Additionally, Philly has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 39 games after a double-digit loss on the road. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win at home over a divisional rival. And while the Raptors have won five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after winning at least four straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after winning at least five in a row. Toronto has covered the point spread in three straight contests as well — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. The Raptors stay at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 home games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Toronto is also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has now lost fourteen straight times when playing the Raptors in Toronto. But this Sixers team has, by far, the best collection of talent. Look for them to play much better tonight in what should be a close game. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month with the Philadelphia 76ers (561) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (55-32) has won four straight games after they disposed of Brooklyn in five games culminating in a 122-100 victory at home on Tuesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Toronto (62-35) has won four straight games as well after taking care of Orlando in five games after their 115-96 victory at home over the Magic on Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Raptors host the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points over a fellow Atlantic Division rival — and they have played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against divisional foes. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The Sixers held the Nets to just 38.7% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last twenty games. Philadelphia did not let Brooklyn shoot better than 41.1% from the field in the last three games of that series — but they have then played a decisive 46 of their last 72 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, the Sixers controlled the boards in their series against the Nets as they out-rebounded them by at least 7 rebounds per game in all five games of that series. Philly has then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least 5.0 RPG. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Raptors have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. Toronto has also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. The Raptors also played very good defense in their opening series as well — they have not allowed their last seven opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. But Toronto has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after not allowing at least three straight opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. Expect these team trends to continue tonight in this opening game of this Eastern Conference Semifinals series. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (533) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (534). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-37) extended this series to a sixth game on Wednesday with their 129-121 upset victory in Golden State as a 15-point underdog. This series moves back to the Staples Center in Los Angeles with the Clippers looking to force a climactic seventh game.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WARRIORS MINUS THE POINTS: The dirty little secret about this Golden State team this season as they have more susceptible to underwhelming efforts when they have played on their home court where the two-time defending champions assume they have a larger margin for error. The Warriors have been more consistent when playing on the road — particularly on the defensive end of the court. Golden State holds its opponents to just a 43.7% field goal percentage when playing on the road as compared to the 44.5% mark they are allowing overall. The Warriors blew a 31-point lead on their home court in Game Two of this series — and they responded by crushing the Clippers in LA by a 132-105 score in Game Three. Golden State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset loss by at least 10 points. The Warriors have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Golden State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Not only should the Warriors play harder on the defensive end of the court but they should also shoot better tonight after making only 44.8% of their shots on Wednesday. That was the lowest field goal percentage for Golden State in their last fifteen games — they should come closer to their 49.8% field goal percentage they have generated in this series. Additionally, the Warriors have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to Los Angeles to face the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. Now the Clippers go home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Most importantly for this spot, Doc Rivers team has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when avenging a double-digit upset loss to their opponent. Look for the Warriors to exert more effort on defense — and that should serve as the catalyst for a decisive victory tonight. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Golden State Warriors (533) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (526) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (525). THE SITUATION: Denver (57-30) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 108-90 victory over the Spurs (50-37) as a 5.5-point favorite. This series returns to San Antonio tonight for Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS MINUS THE POINTS: San Antonio should extend this series to a climactic seventh game tonight.  Denver has won the last two games of this series by 14 and 18 points — but the Spurs have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 37 games after losing their last two games by double-digits. They also have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after losing their last two contests. San Antonio made only 41.1% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. But the Spurs have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Now San Antonio returns home where they score 112.7 PPG while making 48.7% of their shots — so a better offensive performance is very likely. The Spurs are 33-10 on their home court with an average winning margin of +6.4 PPG. San Antonio has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games as a pick ‘em or a favorite laying no more than 6 points. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 home games when playing just their second game in the last five days. Denver may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 road games after a victory on their home court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 road games after a win by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Denver has covered the point spread in three of their last four games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. The Nuggets have also failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 31 games after winning two of their last three games. Their 41.1% opponent’s field goal percentage was the best defensive effort in their last nine games. But now Denver goes back on the road where they allow 109.9 PPG while allowing their home hosts to make 46.9% of their shots. The Nuggets have a losing 21-22 record away from home while being outscored by -2.4 PPG. Denver remains a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals.

FINAL TAKE: The Spurs have been very reliable under head coach Gregg Popovich when they are in revenge situations. San Antonio has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 30 games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games when motivated by revenge from a double-digit loss on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 164-60 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA First Round Playoff Game of the Year with the San Antonio Spurs (526) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (525). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). THE SITUATION: Golden State (60-26) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-105 victory over the Clippers (49-37). The Warriors look to close out this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors took 13 fewer free throws on Monday after attempting 16 fewer free throws than the Clippers in Game Three — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after attempting at least ten fewer free throws than their opponent in two straight games. Now Golden State returns home to the Oracle Center where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their last two games at home. The Clippers go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total. And in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court, Los Angeles has played 16 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home their opponent. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). Best luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). THE SITUATION: Portland (56-30) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 111-98 upset victory in Oklahoma City against the Thunder (50-36). The Trail Blazers return home with the opportunity to close out this series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Oklahoma City offense has stalled in their three losses where they have failed to score even 100 points. Paul George is showing signs of being less than 100% with injuries to both his shoulders. He is making only 37% of his shots in this series while shooting just 30.8% from behind the arc — he is simply not close to his outstanding form in February prior to the All-Star Break when he was making a case to being the league’s Most Valuable Player. Russell Westbrook is also struggling as he is making only 36.3% of his shots in this series while shooting only 30.4% from behind the arc. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in OKC’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Thunder have played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 74 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 50-23-1. Portland has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games after a win over a Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last games Under the Total after a point spread win. Portland certainly deserves much of the credit for the strong defense they are playing in this series. The Blazers have held the Thunder to just  41.3% shooting percentage from the field along with a low 30.8% mark from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. 25* NBA First Round Northwest Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (501) plus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (502). THE SITUATION: Denver (56-30) evened this series at 2-2 on Saturday with their 117-103 upset victory in San Antonio (50-36). The Nuggets host Game Five tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS PLUS THE POINTS: San Antonio should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. The Spurs are also 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. San Antonio has played well in Denver in this series as they won Game One and had a 19-point lead in Game Two before Jamal Murray’s huge 4th quarter propelled the Nuggets to that victory. This veteran Spurs team under head coach Gregg Popovich has covered the point spread in 33 of their last 47 games when a playoff series is tied. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. And while the Nuggets have won two of their last three games in this series, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 30 games after winning two of their last three contests. Now Denver returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Nuggets have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. And in their last 8 playoff games when the series is tied, Denver has failed to cover the point spread all 8 times.

FINAL TAKE: The Spurs have been very reliable when motivated by revenge. San Antonio has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 23 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponents. 25* NBA-TV Game of the Year with the San Antonio Spurs (501) plus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). THE SITUATION: Houston (50-35) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday night with their 104-101 upset win in Utah (50-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Jazz host Game Four looking to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a pulling off an upset victory — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games after a victory by 6 points or less. That game finished below the 214.5 point Total — and Houston has played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Rockets are playing their best defense of the season. They have held their last five opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after holding their last five opponents to no higher than a 42% field goal percentage. Now the Rockets go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played an incredible 36 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing eleven of their last fourteen games Under the Total in that situation. Additionally, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Utah has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 43.3% from the field. The Jazz stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Round One Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Detroit Pistons (574) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (573). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (63-22) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 119-103 victory over the Pistons (41-44). Detroit hosts the likely final game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PISTONS PLUS THE POINTS: Detroit has not been competitive in this series as they have lost all three games by at least 16 points. But we don’t bet on teams, we bet on numbers — and laying 13 points on the road in the playoffs is no way to make consistent profits. The Pistons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after losing their last three games by double-digits. Detroit needs to play harder on defense after allowing the Bucks to make 48.8%, 52.2%, and 48.9% of their shots in each of the three games in this series. But the Pistons have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. Furthermore, while the last two games of this series have seen at least 219 combined points, Detroit has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Pistons have not shot better than the 38.5% mark they had on Saturday. They should shoot better tonight considering that they make 44.7% of their shots on their home court. Detroit did get Blake Griffin back in Game Three — and he scored 27 points while pulling down 7 rebounds and dishing out 6 assists in 31 minutes of work. He is listed as probable tonight. The Pistons should keep this game within single digits fully healthy on their home court where they are 26-16 this season. Detroit has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And while this is the Pistons’ sixth game in fourteen days, they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 home games when having not played more than six games in the last fourteen days. This is the Bucks’ just fifth game in the last fourteen days, they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. Additionally, Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning their last two games against Central Division rivals. The Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 43 games after shooting at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. And in their last 8 opportunities to close out a playoff series, this Milwaukee franchise has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: The Bucks only need to win this game by one point (and, frankly, with their 3-0 lead, they don’t really need to win even this game). Milwaukee should win this game but there is just too much value in the home team getting double-digits. 25* NBA Central Division Playoff Game of the Year with the Detroit Pistons (574) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (573). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Jazz (564) minus the points versus the Houston Rockets (563). THE SITUATION: Houston (55-29) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 118-98 victory over the Jazz (50-34) as a 6.5-point favorite. This series moves to Utah for Games Three and Four.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAZZ MINUS THE POINTS: The Rockets have been dominant in the first two games of this series after also blowing out Utah in Game One of this series by a 122-90 score. Houston raced out to a 59-44 halftime lead in the opening game of this series before generating 70-44 lead in the first 24 minutes on Wednesday. But those great starts may be a harbinger for bad times now for this Houston team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after enjoying double-digit halftime leads in two straight games. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning their last two games at home by at least 10 points. Houston has been only mediocre away from home this season given their 22-19 record. They make only 44.7% of their shots on the road while hitting just 34.9% of their shots from behind the arc. The Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Utah should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Jazz are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Utah has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after losing their last two games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after failing to cover the point spread in their last two contests. And while the Jazz have lost four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. Don’t count out this Utah team just yet that had the second-best Net Rating in the league after Christmas. The Jazz return home where they are 29-12 this season with an average winning margin +7.6 PPG. Utah should better back on their home court after they failed to make even 40% of their shots in both Game One and Game Two of this series. The Jazz shot 46.6% on their home court. And in expected close games, Utah has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has now won the last four meetings with the Jazz — but Utah has covered the points spread in 8 of their last 11 opportunities to avenge a four-game losing streak to their opponent. 25* NBA Round One ESPN Playoff Game of the Year with the Utah Jazz (564) minus the points versus the Houston Rockets (563). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (62-22) took a commanding 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 120-99 victory over Detroit (41-43) as a 15.5-point favorite. The Pistons host Games Three and Four tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Detroit has not been able to put up much of a fight without their best offensive option in Blake Griffin who is likely to miss the third game in this series. The Pistons made only 37.4% of their shots on Wednesday. Over their last five games, Detroit is scoring only 99.2 PPG while shooting 39.9% from the field as opposed to their 106.7 PPG scoring average for the season on 43.8% shooting. The Pistons have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 34-15-2 in their last 51 games after a double-digit loss. Detroit was also not competitive in the first game of this series which they lost by a 121-86 score. The Pistons have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing their last two games by double-digits — and this includes them playing their last six games Under the Total after losing their last two games on the road by at least 10 points. Detroit should play better on defense back at home tonight after allowing the Bucks to make 52.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s shooting mark in their last seven contests. The Pistons hold their guests to just 46.0% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Under is 9-4-1 in Detroit’s last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least 10 points. Now the Bucks go on the road where they have played 48 of their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range overall. And in their last 16 games against fellow Central Division opponents, the Bucks have played 12 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). THE SITUATION: Toronto (59-25) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 111-82 victory over the Magic (43-41) as a 10.5-point favorite. Game Three and Four of this series move to Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors tightened up their 3-point defense — or the Regression Gods paid a visit to Toronto in Game Two as the Magic made only 9 of their 34 (26.5%) shots from behind the arc after nailing 14 of their 29 (48.3%) 3-pointers in their upset win in Game One. The deeper concern for Orlando is that their most reliable scorer, Nikola Vucevic, has been bottlenecked down low by the Toronto combination of Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. Vucevic is averaging only 8.5 PPG in this series while shooting just 6 of 21 (28.6%) from the field. The Raptors are an outstanding defensive team that ranked 5th during the regular season in Defensive Rating. Toronto has held their last five opponents to just 101.6 PPG on 41.4% shooting from the field — as compared to the 108.0 PPG they are allowing for the season on 44.8% shooting. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Raptors’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in Toronto’s last 4 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Raptors have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games on the road — and they have now played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Orlando has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Magic have all played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 36 of the last 52 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Head coach Steve Clifford will focus his team’s bounce-back from Game Two on the defensive end of the court where they ranked 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and in their last 6 games played on Orlando, the game finished Under the Total all 6 times. 25* NBA First Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (547) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (548). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (49-35) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their epic 31-point comeback to stun Golden State (58-26) by a 135-131 score as a 14-point underdog. The Clippers host Game Three and Game Four at the Staples Center.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WARRIORS MINUS THE POINTS: The biggest enemy for this Golden State team often this season has been complacency — and that is exactly what stung them on Tuesday. The Warriors simply stopped playing defense in the second half. The lazy takeaway from the Clippers’ miraculous comeback would be something about Offensive Efficiencies of the modern game. Wrong — Los Angeles only made five 3-pointers in the second half which is right at their season average. Fourteen layups accounting for 28 easy points played a bigger role in the Clippers comeback. Golden State allowed Los Angeles to shoot 56.5% from the field which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed all season. That should help head coach Steve Kerr get his team’s attention — at least for one game. As it is, the Warriors have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. The other piece of bad news from Tuesday was the likely season-ending quad injury to DeMarcus Cousins. I was never as enamored with this move as many of the NBA punditry were. Kerr will insert Andrew Bogut into the starting lineup as he was an intriguing late-season acquisition that now appears very important. Kerr can also use big man Kevon Looney — and he also has the good ole Hampton’s Five lineup of Andre Iguodala playing with the big four of Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green. The extra day off should help Kerr game plan for life without Cousins — his team has covered the point spread in 5 straight games when playing with two days of rest. The Warriors were a great road team this season where they tended to play a bit harder on defense. They hold their home hosts to just 43.9% shooting which is below their season average opponent’s field goal percentage. Golden State is 27-14 on the road this year with an average winning margin of +6.3 PPG. The Warriors have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Shooting has not been an issue for this team as of late as they are making a remarkable 51.1% of their shots over their last five games. This is usually the time in the playoffs where the two-time defending champions shine. Golden State has covered the point spread in 27 of their last 37 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 third games of a playoff series. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 third games of a playoff series under head coach Doc Rivers — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games when tied in a playoff series. A letdown is likely for the Clippers as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when playing with two days of rest. Los Angeles enjoyed their best shooting effort in that game in their last seven contests. But the Clippers are 26-15 on their home court where they are only outscoring their opponents by +3.3 PPG. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 opportunities to avenge an upset loss where they double-digit favorites on their home court. That simply does not happen very often. 25* NBA Pacific Division Game of the Year with the Golden State Warriors (547) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Utah Jazz (541) plus the points versus the Houston Rockets (542). THE SITUATION: Houston (54-29) easily won the opening game of this seven-game series on Sunday with their 122-90 victory over Utah (50-33). The Rockets host the second game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAZZ PLUS THE POINTS: Utah should play much better tonight. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss. The Jazz are also 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread setback. And while Utah has lost their last two games on the road, they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after losing two straight games on the road. This is just the Jazz’s fourth game in ten days — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing no more than four games in the last ten days. This remains a very good team that had the second-best net rating in the NBA since Christmas. They need to work harder. Despite owning the second best Defensive Efficiency mark in the NBA, they allowed the Rockets to make 50.5% of their shots. And while Utah finished third in the NBA in Rebounding Rate, they were out-rebounded by Houston by a 42 to 41 margin. Look for the Jazz to seize many more second-chance scoring opportunities against this Rockets’ team that was second-to-last in the league by allowing their opponents to pull down 30% of their missed shots. Utah rebounds 27.5% of their missed shots which is 12th in the NBA. The Jazz also need to simply make more shots after shooting just 39% from the field on Sunday which was the worst field goal percentage for them in their last seventeen games. Utah has coved the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Jazz have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Utah is also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Houston. The Rockets may be due for a letdown after enjoying their lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seven contests. Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 42 games after a victory by at least 30 points — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eight of these last twelve situations. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 home games after a double-digit win at home. And in their last 25 games after scoring at least 120 points, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: The Rockets high-scoring offense scores 114.0 PPG — but the Jazz have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 23 road games in the second half of the season against teams who score at least 110 PPG. Houston won the first game of the Western Conference Semifinals last season against Utah before seeing the Jazz steal Game Two as a road underdog. Don’t be surprised if History is Repeating tonight — but take the points for some valuable insurance. 25* NBA First Round Western Conference Underdog of the Year with the Utah Jazz (541) plus the points versus the Houston Rockets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (49-34) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 101-96 upset win over the Nuggets in the opening game of this series. Denver (54-29) hosts Game Two before the Spurs host Games Three and Four.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Spurs have won four straight games, they have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after winning at least three in a row. San Antonio found success by double-teaming Nikola Jokic in the post and forcing him to pass to open teammates who more often than not missed their open shot — the Nuggets made only 42% of their shots from the field. But the Spurs had their own difficulties on offense with their two leading scorers, LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan combining to score only 33 points on 12 of 36 combined shooting. San Antonio has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents, San Antonio has played 10 of these games Under the Total. Denver has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Nuggets have lost three of their last four games, they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four. Denver should have better success containing the Spurs scorers who — outside of DeRozan and Aldridge — converted 28 of their 47 shots for a sizzling 60% shooting clip. The Nuggets hold their opponents to just a 44.9% shooting percentage on their home court. Denver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Expect these trends to continue tonight in Game Two of this series. 25* NBA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (522) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (521). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (43-40) has won four straight games after they pulled off a 111-102 upset victory as an 8-point underdog in the opening game of this seven-game series. Philadelphia (51-32) hosts the second game of this series before things move to Brooklyn for Games Three and Four.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS MINUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia should respond with a better effort after lacking the focus they need to step up their game in playoff basketball. With Joel Embiid a game-time decision given his left knee issues that kept him out of fourteen of the Sixers’ last twenty-four games, Philly seemed distracted. But this remains a team that has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. That game finished below the 228 point Total — and the 76ers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games at home after a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, Philadelphia has only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Sixers remain a dominant team on their home court who was 31-11 this season at home with an average winning margin of +7.7 PPG. Philadelphia should get better shooting from Tobias Harris, J.J. Roddick, and Ben Simmons after they combined to make only 8 of their 23 combined shots for just 18 points. The 76ers shot only 40.7% from the field overall which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Philly shoots 48.2% from the field at home so they should shoot much better tonight. The Sixers have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 46 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 19 home games when laying 6.5 to 12 points as the favorite. Embiid wearing the big knee brace looks to be his new normal with it likely signaling that he has arthritis in his left knee. But remember that the 76ers’ big five starting lineup of Embiid, Simmons, Harris, Reddick with Jimmy Butler (who scored 36 points on Saturday) outscored their opponents by a whopping +17.6 points per 100 possessions during the regular season when they were on the floor together. Brooklyn may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after pulling off an upset victory against an Atlantic Division rival as an underdog of at least 6 points. The Nets have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning four of their last five games. Brooklyn remains a team that was just 20-22 on the road this season.

FINAL TAKE: The Sixers are under a bunch of scrutiny right now after their Game One loss. But Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 38 of their last 57 games when avenging a loss at home to their opponent  — and this includes them covering the point spread in seven of these last ten opportunities. 25* NBA First Round Atlantic Division Playoff Game of the Year with the Philadelphia 76ers (522) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (521). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Detroit Pistons (537) minus the points versus the New York Knicks (538). THE SITUATION: Detroit (40-41) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 100-93 win over Memphis as an 11.5-point favorite. New York (17-64) closes out their regular season with a 96-86 upset win in Chicago as a 2-point underdog last night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PISTONS MINUS THE POINTS: Detroit needs to win this game tonight to clinch the final slot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Pistons are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a straight-up win. Detroit has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, the Pistons have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 5 road games when favored by 6.5 to 12 points, Detroit has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. The team may not have the services of Blake Griffin who only played 18 minutes last night after aggravating his sore knee. But the Pistons will be facing a Knicks’ team that is a M*A*S*H unit right now. The following list of players are all listed as questionable tonight with various ailments: Noah Vonleh, Emmanual Mudiay, Allonzo Trier, Mario Hezonja, and Lance Thomas. Yet despite their limited roster, the Knicks have pulled off two straight upset wins with their victory over the Bulls preceded by an upset win over Washington as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Both of those teams are already eliminated from the playoffs — but with the Knicks already locked-in to the last place in the NBA which affords them the most ping-pong balls for the Zion Williamson draft lottery, it was the Bulls and Wizards that had the perverse incentives to tank over these last two games. New York has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games an upset victory where they won by double-digits — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games where they pulled off an upset victory by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Knicks have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a point spread win. They held Chicago to just 36.1% shooting from the field last night which was the lowest field goal percentage for any of their opponents all season. New York returns home where they are just 9-31 this season with an average winning margin of -7.4 PPG. The Knicks have also failed to cover the point spread in 41 of their last 61 games on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: I am neutral on Detroit needing to win this game to make the playoffs — often times, the pressure of needing to win against an opponent that playing the role of the spoiler can be overwhelming. The Pistons will certainly be dialed-in to work hard tonight. The Knicks are in a great “play-against” situation with the added possibility that their healthy players will mail-in their efforts as they begin thinking about summer vacation. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the Detroit Pistons (537) minus the points versus the New York Knicks (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Utah Jazz (518) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (517). THE SITUATION: Utah (49-31) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 113-109 upset loss in Los Angeles to the Lakers as a 12-point favorite. Denver (53-27) looks to bounce-back from their 115-108 loss in Portland on Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAZZ MINUS THE POINTS: Utah looks pretty cemented as the 5th seed in the Western Conference playoff standings at this late point of the season. And head coach Quinn Snyder will be using this opportunity to rest some key players who are dealing with some nagging injuries. Kyle Korver, Raul Neto, Ricky Rubio, and Dante Exum are all out for this game — but Derrick Favors may take the court again as he has been upgraded to probable with his back injury after missing the last four games. But Snyder will demand harder work from his team after their embarrassing loss to an undermanned Lakers team on Sunday where they were out-rebounded by a 49 to 35 margin. Their performance in that game was simply one of their worst efforts of the season. The Jazz shot just 45.2% from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last eleven games. Utah also allowed the Lakers to nail 51.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last nine contests. Said Snyder: "Regardless of where you're seeded, you have to play well and play a certain way to win … We've won some games, so sometimes that masks some things we weren't doing well. Everyone has been talking about the winning streak, but that doesn't mean anything … We've tried to talk about playing well and getting better." As it is, the Jazz are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Utah is also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread loss. While Utah will be undermanned tonight, they still have their rising superstar in Donovan Mitchell along with the potential Defensive Most Valuable Player this season in Rudy Gobert. The Jazz role players also play much better at home where they are 28-12 this season with an average winning margin of +7.8 PPG. Utah has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. The Jazz have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Western Conference opponents. And while they have only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, Utah has then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Denver had failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 road games after a point spread victory. The Nuggets enter this game 1/2 games up on Houston for the second seed in the Western Conference playoffs. Yet head coach Mike Malone may still decide to rest players as he may decide that a fully healthy group entering the playoffs is more important that home court advantage in the second round of the playoffs for his inexperienced team. Denver has been outstanding at home this year — but they are just 20-20 on the road with an average winning margin of -2.4 PPG where they are shooting just 44.6% from the field. The Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after covering three of their last four contest. Denver is not an elite defensive team — they rank only 10th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. The Jazz are making 46.8% of their shots this season — and the Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 road games against teams with a team field goal percentage of 46%. Utah ranks second in the league in Defensive Rating behind the rim protection of Gobert. And while Denver makes 46.6% of their shots, the Jazz have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 35 games in the second half of the season against teams with a field goal percentage of 46% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have failed to cover the point spread in their last five trips to Salt Lake City to face the Jazz — and Utah has won their last eight home games with Denver. The Jazz may not be at full strength — but that development has lowered by a few points in response. Utah should still have enough behind Mitchell and Gobert to cover the point spread. 25* NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year with the Utah Jazz (518) minus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (517). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (581) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (582). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (47-33) has lost their last two games after their 122-117 upset loss to the Lakers on Friday as an 11.5-point favorite. Golden State (55-24) has won four straight games with their 120-114 win over Cleveland on Friday as a 15.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CLIPPERS PLUS THE POINTS: Los Angeles has taken their foot off the accelerator just a bit after clinching a spot in the Western Conference playoffs — but this remains a hard-working team for head coach Doc Rivers who have still won thirteen of their last seventeen games. The Clippers should respond to the challenge of facing the reigning NBA champions. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Clippers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games on the road after a loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a loss to a fellow Pacific Division rival. This team remains motivated to pick up some wins as they are currently in sixth place in the Western Conference standings but just 1/2 game ahead of Oklahoma City and only one full game ahead of San Antonio. Los Angeles made only 44% of their shots on Friday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last nine games. Now the Clippers go back on the road where they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Los Angeles has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 230 or higher. The Clippers have also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games against Pacific Division rivals. Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against Pacific Division foes. The Warriors may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win. And while Golden State went into the locker room at halftime on Friday with a 68-49 lead over the Cavaliers, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after leading by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. Furthermore, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games after winning four of their last five games. Golden State stays at home where they are just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games against divisional rivals.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers will be without Patrick Beverley and Danilo Gallinari who are listed as doubtful with injuries — but the strength of Rivers’ team is their depth. Golden State has Andre Iguodala and Shaun Livingston listed as questionable with injuries and their bench is much thinner than LA’s bench. The Clippers will be looking to avenge a 112-94 loss at home to the Warriors back on January 12th — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games when motivated by revenge. Los Angeles has also covered the point spread in 4 straight trips to Golden State at the Oracle Center. 25* NBA Pacific Division Underdog of the Year with the Los Angeles Clippers (581) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (582). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (50-28) enters this game coming off a 116-89 win over Memphis on Wednesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Denver (52-26) comes off a 113-85 win over San Antonio on Wednesday as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Portland’s last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Trail Blazers are playing tough on the defensive end of the court as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just a 43.0% field goal percentage. Portland needs to lean on their defense given the injuries to C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Turkic who takes away a big-time scoring and a beast on the offensive glass for them. The Blazers go back on the road where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Denver (52-26) has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Denver is struggling to score points as of late. They are scoring just 101.0 PPG over their last five games on 44.3% shooting from the field which is far below their 110.8 PPG scoring average for the season allowing with a 46.6% field goal percentage. The Nuggets stay at home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Denver has also played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents — and in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Denver has played all 6 games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Portland has lost their last five encounters with the Nuggets with the last result being a 116-113 loss in Denver back on January 13th. The previous result was a narrow 113-112 loss at home back on November 30th — and the Trail Blazers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when looking to avenge to straight losses that were decided by 3 points or less. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (541) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (542). THE SITUATION: Miami (38-40) has lost their last two games with their 110-102 loss at home to Boston as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday. Minnesota (35-43) enters this contest coming off a 110-108 upset victory at Dallas on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT MINUS THE POINT(S): Miami should respond with a strong effort tonight as they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up defeat — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Heat have covered the point spread in 37 of their last 57 games after losing their last two contests

At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Brooklyn Nets (512) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (511). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (39-39) has lost six of their last nine games with their 131-121 upset loss at home to an injury-ridden Milwaukee team on Monday as a 1-point favorite. Toronto (55-23) has won their last four games with their 121-109 win over Orlando as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NETS PLUS THE POINTS: Brooklyn should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while the Nets have lost three of their last four games, they have then covered the point spread in 37 of their last 59 games after losing three of their last four contests. Brooklyn has been one of the surprises of the league so far this season with both De’Angelo Russell and Caris LeVert enjoying breakout seasons. The Nets find themselves gobsmacked in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff race — they are in the 7th place just 1/2 game behind Detroit while being 1/2 game ahead of Miami and one full game ahead of Orlando. Brooklyn only made 41.2% of their shots on Monday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. The Nets are battling for head coach Kenny Atkinson — they have outrebounded their last two opponents by +12 and +23 boards. Brooklyn has then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after out-rebounding their last two opponents by at least +10 rebounds. They stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Raptors rank 7th in the NBA by hitting 36.5% of their shots from behind the arc after making nineteen 3-pointers on Monday, the Nets have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games in the second half of the season against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc. Toronto has won four straight games while covering the point spread in their last three. But the Raptors have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after winning at least four straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Toronto seems to be pretty much locked-in to the second seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race as they are 3 games behind Milwaukee and 5 1/2 games ahead of Philadelphia. Head coach Nick Nurse has been monitoring the minutes of his key players as of late with Kawhi Leonard getting plenty of rest, Kyle Lowry not playing more than 30 minutes per game over his last five contests and Serge Ibaka coming off the bench with Marc Gasol starting. The Raptors are not likely to be sending out their “A-team” for the full 48 minutes of this game. They go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games on the road with the Total set in the 220s — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games as a pick ‘em or favorite of no more than 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has won the last two meetings between these two Atlantic Division clubs with them winning at home back on February 11th by a 127-125 score being the last encounter with the Nets. But Brooklyn has then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games when playing with revenge. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Underdog of the Year with the Brooklyn Nets (512) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (511). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (585) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (586). THE SITUATION: Denver (51-25) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-90 upset loss to Washington as a 10.5-point favorite on Sunday. Golden State (52-24) has won three of their last four games with their 137-90 win over Charlotte on Sunday as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS PLUS THE POINTS: Denver should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after an upset loss by double digits. And while Denver has only covered the point spread twice their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 32 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games — and this includes them covering the point spread in seven of these last ten situations. The Nuggets match up well with the two-time defending champions who have taken a step back on defense this season. Golden State ranks just 14th in the league in Defensive Rating — and Denver ranks 6th in the NBA in Offensive Rating. The Nuggets made 46.6% of their shots this season — and the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 32 games against teams that make at least 46% of their shots. Additionally, Denver should be able to generate second-chance scoring opportunities tonight. Led by Nikola Jokic in the middle, they lead the NBA by pulling down 31.2% of their missed shots — and the Warriors are just 16th in the league by allowing their opponents to rebound 27.2% of their missed shots. The Nuggets out-rebound their opponents by +5.3 RPG — and Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games in the second half of the season against opponents who out-rebound their opponents by at least +3.0 RPG. Furthermore, Denver has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 41 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range. And in their last 7 trips to play the Warriors in the Oracle Center, the Nuggets are 5-1-1 ATS. Golden State has been consistently inconsistent during the regular season as they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Warriors are just 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 games after a loss by at least 10 points. And while Golden State raced out to a 71-49 halftime lead over the Hornets on Sunday, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after enjoying a halftime lead of at least 15 points in their last game. The Warriors stay at home where they have still lost four of their last eight games — and they are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games on their home court. Golden State has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games with the Total set in the 220s. The Warriors have been unreliable favorites as well — they have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 home games laying 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: This game has significant ramifications for home-court advantage in the Western Conference playoffs with the Warriors one game up on the Nuggets in the standings. But Golden State also knows they have an easier remaining schedule with four games against Cleveland, the LA Lakers, New Orleans, and Memphis while Denver still has dates with four Western Conference playoff teams. Andre Iguodala is questionable for this game with head coach Steve Kerr likely to give him the night off. The Nuggets’ Jamal Murray left Sunday’s game with the Wizards with an ankle injury but he has been upgraded to probable. Lastly, while the Warriors have won the last two meetings with Denver this season by 17 an 31 point margins, the Nuggets have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with double-revenge. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Game of the Month with the Denver Nuggets (585) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (562) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (561). THE SITUATION: Indiana (45-32) has lost three straight games as well as seven of their last eight games after their 121-116 upset loss to Orlando as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. Detroit (39-37) has won their last two games with their 99-90 win over Portland as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PACERS MINUS THE POINTS: Indiana has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after an upset loss as a home favorite — and this includes them covering the point spread in five of these last six situations. The Pacers have also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 35 games after a  loss at home. And while Indiana lost their previous game in Boston by just 2 points, Indiana has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing their last two games by 6 points or less. Furthermore, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. The Pacers have been tough at home where they are 28-10 this season with an average winning margin of +8.9 PPG. This team consistently plays hard for head coach Nate McMillan — and they limit their visitors to just 100.4 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field. Indiana has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. And while the Pistons allow their opponents to shoot 47.0% from the field, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 46% of their shots. Indiana has covered the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 48 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. And in their last 21 games in the month of April, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 17 of these contest. Detroit may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 33 road games after a win on their home court. Portland shot just 37.3% from the field in that game which was the Pistons best defensive effort in their last fifteen games. Detroit’s win at home over the Trail Blazers came after a 115-98 win at home against Orlando as a 3.5-point favorite — but the Pistons have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning their last two games at home. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning their last two games where they also covered the point spread — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in five of these last seven situations. Now this team goes on the road where they are just 14-24 this season. The Pistons shoot just 42.9% from the field when on the road — and they allow their home hosts to make 47.8% of their shots which generates 108.6 PPG. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 46 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less. The Pistons will be without their best player tonight as Blake Griffin has been declared out with a knee injury. Indiana is 5th in the NBA with a 37.3% shooting percentage from behind the arc — and Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 42 games in the second half of the season against teams who make at least 36% of their 3-pointers. The Pistons have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.

FINAL TAKE: Indiana is still locked-in to a playoff spot as they have overcome the season-ending injury to Victor Oladipo. The Pacers will be looking to avenge a 113-109 loss on the road to the Pistons back on February 25th. Indiana has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games when avenging a same-season loss. 25* NBA Central Division Game of the Month with the Indiana Pacers (562) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (561). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (560) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (559). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (46-31) has won seven of their last eight games after their 132-108 win over Cleveland last night. Memphis (31-45) has won two of their last three games with their 120-115 win in Phoenix last night as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CLIPPERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Grizzlies are a M*A*S*H unit right now as they deal with a host of injuries. C.J. Miles and Avery Bradley are out indefinitely with injuries as they join opening day starters Dillon Brooks and Kyle Anderson along with their first-round pick Jaren Jackson on the shelf with the latter three out the season with injuries. Furthermore, Mike Conley, Chandler Parsons, and Joakim Noah are all listed as questionable with nagging injuries. Frankly, it will be a challenge for head coach J.B. Bickerstaff to field a team tonight — and the fact that travel to Los Angeles to play without a day of rest only compounds the trial they face. As it is, the Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games when playing without a day of rest. Furthermore, Memphis’ five starters last night combined to log in over 180 minutes of play — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing without rest after a game where their five starters played at least 160 combined minutes. The Grizzlies have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games after playing a game on the road. The attrition this team has endured is negatively impacting them on both ends of the court. Memphis is making only 43.5% of their shots over their last five games while allowing their opponents to shoot 48.2% from the field. The Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Memphis has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road with the Total set in the 220s. Los Angeles should build off the momentum of their victory last night as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a point spread victory. This is a group that is consistent from game-to-game. With expectations so low for this team, they remain motivated to fight for playoff positioning after clinching their spot earlier this week. The quality of their bench usually ensures that they have a number of players performing well — and the effort of this team is usually very high for their head coach Doc Rivers. Since being left for dead after trading Tobias Harris to Philadelphia at the trade deadline, the Clippers have won fifteen of their last twenty games. Over their last five games, Los Angeles is scoring 121.2 PPG while making 51.4% of their shots from the field — so they have a good chance to overwhelm a tired Grizzlies team. They have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. While they are playing without rest as well, getting to stay at home after an easy victory last night certainly helps — as does the luxury of their deep bench. The Clippers have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, LA has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 home games with the Total set in the 220s. And in their last 7 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the Clippers have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Memphis is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Clippers. With the Grizzlies in the NBA lottery coming up in June, they may mail-in this performance. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Los Angeles Clippers (560) minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (559). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (537) and the Indiana Pacers (538). THE SITUATION: Orlando (37-39) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 115-98 loss in Detroit as a 3.5-point underdog. Indiana (45-31) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 114-112 loss in Boston last night as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers allowed the Celtics to make 51.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last sixteen games. Indiana has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less — and they have played a decisive 39 of their last 56 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Indiana has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Now this team returns home where they play outstanding defense — their visitors are scoring only 99.9 PPG on low 42.8% shooting from the field. The Pacers have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 22 of their last 30 home games when favored. Furthermore, Indiana has played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, the Pacers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. The Magic average 106.2 PPG — and Indiana has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 106.0 PPG. Orlando should also play harder on the defensive end of the court after they allowed the Pistons to make 53.5% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last twelve games. The Magic have played 37 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 41 of their last 58 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Orlando has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. The Magic stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And while the Pacers shoot 47.4% from the field, Orlando has played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 46% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Indiana will be looking to avenge a 117-112 loss at home to the Magic back on March 2nd. The Pacers will be looking to bear down on defense after allowing Orlando to make 50.5% of their shots in that game. Indiana has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (537) and the Indiana Pacers (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (575) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (576). THE SITUATION: Indiana (45-29) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 124-88 upset win over Denver as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday. Oklahoma City (43-31) has lost five of their last six games after their 115-103 upset loss at Memphis on Monday as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Indiana has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 15 games after losing three of their last four games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. The Pacers made 56.1% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting effort in their last fourteen contests. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and the Under is 23-7-1 in their last 31 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The struggling Thunder returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Oklahoma City’s struggles as of late can be attributed to a steep decline on offense: they are last in the NBA in Offensive Efficiency since the All-Star Break. Over their last five games, the Thunder are shooting just 40.4% from the field which has translated into 105.6 PPG with both those numbers far below their 114.3 PPG scoring average for the season on 45.3% shooting from the field. And while their defensive play has also declined since the break, they still are a respectable 9th in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency over their last fifteen games. Moving forward, the Under is 36-16-1 in the Thunder’s last 53 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight meetings Under the Total. With Oklahoma City struggling with their baskets, expect a lower-scoring game against this Pacers’ team that plays hard for their head coach Nate McMillan. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (575) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (544) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (543). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (41-29) is the hottest team in basketball right now as they have rattled off eight straight wins after their 108-103 victory over Portland on Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. Golden State (47-21) has won two straight games after their 110-88 win in Oklahoma City on Saturday as a 2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPURS PLUS THE POINTS: At first glance, it looks like San Antonio has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league. The Spurs started the season just 11-14. They then went on a 14 of 19 winning streak where they scored 116 points per 100 possessions while holding their opponents to just 103.6 points per 100 possessions with this marks ranking first and sixth in the NBA over that span. But then came the annual road trip for San Antonio where they embark on a long stretch away from home to accommodate their arena being used for the rodeo. The Spurs lost seven of those eight games while clearly looking gassed and demoralized from the experience. But their eight-game winning streak started immediately after they returned home again. Over those eight games, San Antonio ranks 7th in Offensive Rating while also ranking 3rd in Defensive Rating. Gregg Popovich’s team plays much better when things are going well. They have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. And while they have covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. This is also a team that plays much better at home where they are 28-7 with an average winning margin of +7.6 PPG — and they have won ten straight games on their home court. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This team has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them covering the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games in expected close games in that point spread range. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, San Antonio has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. Golden State held the Thunder to just a 32.3% field goal percentage on Saturday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage for the Warriors all season. As I indicated in the Report for that big Under win for us, I commented that this Golden State team is playing better defense this month which they have tended to do during their recent championship runs. But over their last eight games, they still only rank 10th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. This remains a team that is fighting their own disinterest during the dog days of the regular season. Getting up to face their rivals in Oklahoma City is one thing, then traveling to face the boring Spurs led by nondescript stars like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge is quite another. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit victory. And while Golden State has won four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after winning four or five of their last six games. This team stays on the road for the third straight game. They are struggling to score baskets as of late. During their last eight games (to compare versus the Spurs’ winning streak), the Warriors have an Offensive Rating ranked 21st in the league — and they are making just 46.8% of their shots over their last five games as compared to their 48.7% field goal percentage for the year. They will likely see Kevin Durant take the court again tonight after he did not play on Saturday because of a knee injury but DeMarcus Cousins is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. Golden State is just 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 games against Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: The Spurs will also be looking to avenge an embarrassing 141-102 loss at Golden State on February 6th during their rodeo road trip. This rematch offers Popovich a nice coaching opportunity to demand a better effort and execution of the team’s game plans. San Antonio has covered the point spread in an incredible 18 of their last 19 games when avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent. 25* NBA Monday ESPN Game of the Year with the San Antonio Spurs (544) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (543). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (530) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (529). THE SITUATION: Houston (43-26) has won ten of their last eleven games after their 108-102 win over Phoenix on Friday as a 12-point favorite. Minnesota (32-37) has lost their last two games after their 120-100 loss in Utah on Thursday as an 8.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. The Rockets are playing as good basketball as they have all season. Chris Paul appears to be at full strength again and has taken over running the offense. And this team has significantly stepped up their game on the defensive end of the court. Over their last five games, Houston has held these opponents to just 99.6 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field — and those numbers are far below the 110.0 PPG they are allowing this season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 47.2%. The Rockets have played two straight Unders along with six of their last seven Under the Total. Houston has then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home after playing at least two straight Unders. James Harden is listed as questionable for this game with a neck injury — but his absence will allow his teammates to step up as they need to define their roles to find success in the playoffs. Remember that the Rockets defeated the Warriors in Golden State back on February 23rd by a 118-112 score despite Harden missing that game with an injury. Minnesota had failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. The Timberwolves have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. This team has fallen out of the Western Conference playoff race by going just 5-7 since the All-Star break. They are struggling on defense as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 50.8% of their shots. They were also out-rebounded by a 61-45 margin against the Jazz on Thursday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards. This team stays on the road for the third straight time where they are just 9-27 this season. They are being outscored by -6.3 PPG while allowing their home hosts to score 117.4 PPG on 48.1% shooting from the field. The Timberwolves have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This Minnesota team is also a M*A*S*H unit right now with Jeff Teague joining Robert Covington as being out for this game while Derrick Rose is questionable with an elbow injury.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has lost both meetings with the T-Wolves this season with the last encounter ending in a 121-111 loss at Minnesota back on February 13th. The Rockets have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games when playing with double-revenge — and this includes them covering the point spread in their last six opportunities to end a two-game (or more) losing streak to their opponent. The Timberwolves were the underdog in both games as well this season — and Houston has covered the point spread in 3 straight opportunities to avenge two straight upset losses. 25* NBA Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Year with the Houston Rockets (530) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (508). THE SITUATION: Golden State (46-21) has won two of their last three games with their upset 106-104 win in Houston on Wednesday as a 4-point underdog. Oklahoma City (42-27) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 108-106 upset loss in Indiana as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a narrow win by 3 points or less. This team travels to Oklahoma City likely without the benefit of Kevin Durant who has been downgraded to doubtful for tonight’s game with an ankle injury — and that takes away a big piece of the Golden State offensive attack. As it is, the Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 34 of their last 51 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 230 or higher. Furthermore, Golden State has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total in their last four contests against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 19 games in the month of March where this team starts to get in playoff mode on the defensive end of the court, Golden State has played 15 of these games Under the Total. Oklahoma City has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This team is playing lower scoring games on both ends of the court as of late. Over their last five games, they are averaging 110.2 PPG on 41.5% shooting from the field while allowing 106.4 PPG on 41.5% shooting — those numbers are all lower than their 114.9 PPG with a 45.7% shooting mark on offense and their 110.9 PPG and 45.8% opponent’s field goal mark on defense for the season. The Thunder return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 18 games in expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, OKC has played 15 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State is looking to avenge an embarrassing 123-95 loss at home to Oklahoma City back on November 21st — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home. These two teams have played 17 of their last 22 meetings Under the Total which includes 5 of 6 Unders when playing in Oklahoma City. 25* NBA Saturday Prime-Time ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Golden State Warriors (566). THE SITUATION: Denver (43-21) snapped their three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 115-99 win in Los Angeles over the Lakers as a 5-point favorite. Golden State (44-20) looks to bounce-back from their 128-95 loss to Boston on Tuesday as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets made 45.9% of their shots against the Lakers which was the best shooting mark in their last four games. Denver has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Denver stays on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Nuggets have launched at least 92 shots in four straight games — but they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Moving forward, Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Nuggets have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 230s. Golden State saw the Celtics make 51% of their shots (along with 41.2% of their 3-pointers) which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 29 games. The Warriors should use that disappointing effort to make some adjustments on the defensive end of the court including choosing a better way for DeMarcus Cousins to position himself against opponent’s 3-point shooting. Golden State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. This is the time of the season where the Warriors start getting more serious about their defense as they have played 25 of their last 31 games Under the Total in the month of March. Additionally, Golden State has seen the Under go 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four straight games. And while Golden State shoots 48.8% from the field, Denver has played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 46% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets should be focused on playing better defense against the Warriors after surrendering a whopping 142 points in their 31-point loss to them at home in the Pepsi Center back on January 15th. With this game playing a big role in which of these two teams will finish as the top seed in the Western Conference — and with the home court advantage in the playoffs that this position earns — expect this to be a hard fought game on the defensive end of the court. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Golden State Warriors (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (585) and the Washington Wizards (586). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (29-33) has lost two straight games with their 122-115 loss at Indiana as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. Washington (25-37) has lost five of their last six games with their 107-96 loss at Boston as a 9.5-point underdog on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Minnesota is shooting 47.2% from the field over their last five games which has translated into 118.6 PPG — but they are also allowing 120.4 PPG over these last five games as well. The T-Wolves have played a decisive 33 of their last 49 games Over the Total with the Total set at least at 220. Now Minnesota goes back on the road where they have played of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They are 9-23 overall on the road where they are allowing 115.1 PPG — but they are scoring 111.1 PPG away from home. Defending the arc has been a problem for the T-Wolves when playing on the road as their home hosts are shooting 38.9% from behind the arc. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Washington has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. The Over is a decisive 43-21-1 in their last 65 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. The Over is also 45-20-1 in the Wizards’ last 66 games after a point spread loss. Washington is playing at a blistering pace as of late — they are averaging 105.0 possessions per 48 minutes over their last ten games which is the third fastest pace in the league. Over their last five games, the Wizards are allowing their opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 118.8 PPG allowed. Washington returns home where they are 16-12 while making 48.5% of their shots this season which has resulted in 117.6 PPG. But the Wizards are also allowing their visitors to 114.5 PPG. Washington has played 4 straight games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total with the number set at least at 220.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with Washington. While the Over/Under is set in the high-230s to low-240s, expect this game to topple that number between two teams that play at a fast pace while privileging offense over defense. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (585) and the Washington Wizards (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (512) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (511). THE SITUATION: Boston (37-24) has lost three straight games after their 118-95 loss at Toronto last night as a 3.5-point underdog. Portland (37-23) has won four straight games with their 123-110 win at Cleveland as an 8.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: After ending the first quarter last night with a 32-30 lead, the Raptors exploded with a 36-13 second quarter to seize a commanding lead which put this Boston team into the tank to conserve their energies for tonight. There is no question that there are chemistry issues with the Celtics group who are blessed with more talent than there are spaces on the basketball court for them all. But it would be a mistake to overreact to short-term slumps in the dog days of February. Now after losing three straight with that embarrassment last night, this team should rally together now back at home. Boston has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss on the road to an Atlantic Division rival. Furthermore, while the Celtics have lost five of their last seven games, they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 23 games after losing four or five of their last six games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. Now this team returns home after playing their last three games on the road where they have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Boston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games against teams with a +3.0 or better net point differential. Portland is outscoring their opponents by +3.5 PPG — but when they go on the road, they are just 13-15 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.3 PPG. The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 road games as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. This is Portland’s fourth straight road game since last Thursday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when playing their fourth (or more) games over the last seven days. The Trail Blazers made 56.4% of their shots in their win against the Cavaliers which was the best shooting effort in their last sixteen games — but now they face a Celtics’ team that holds their visitors to just a 43.6% field goal percentage. Portland tends to feast (at home) against the lesser teams in the league — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60% to 70% range. Furthermore, while the Blazers have covered the point spread in their last four games, that places them into a nasty empirical “play-against” angle that has been 70% effective since 1996. Teams listed in the +/- 3-point range who have covered the point spread in four straight games but who have not played more than five games over the last fourteen days (as is the case here given the All-Star Break) have then failed to cover the point spread in 47 of their last 67 situations where these conditions applied.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be additionally motivated to avenge a 100-94 loss to Portland back on November 11th last fall. Not only have the Celtics covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss but they have also covered the point spread in 53 of their last 82 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (512) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (511). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (505) plus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (506). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (38-21) has lost two of their last three games with their 119-116 loss to Sacramento on Saturday. Denver (41-18) has won their last four games with their 123-96 win over the Los Angeles Clippers as a 9.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE THUNDER PLUS THE POINTS: Oklahoma City should rebound with a strong effort tonight as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 49 of their last 79 situations after a narrow loss by 3 points or less. The Thunder continued to play at a fast pace that resulted in at least 105 shot attempts for the third straight game — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after launching at least 100 shots in their last contest. Oklahoma City made only 38.1% of their shots against the Kings which was their second worst shooting effort since the second game of the season. They should benefit from the three days off since that contest — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing with the benefit of two days of rest between games. The Thunder go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games away from home. Additionally, OKC has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games as an underdog. Denver held the Clippers to just a 34.5% field goal percentage in their win on Sunday which was their best defensive effort of the season — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games after holding their last opponent to no better than 35% shooting from the field. They also made 51.8% of their shots on the offensive end of the court which was the best shooting performance for them in their last eight contests — so this team is likely due for a bit of a letdown after playing one of their best overall games of the season. The Nuggets have also failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. And while Denver has scored at least 114 points in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after scoring at least 110 points in three straight games. Furthermore, the Nuggets have out-rebounded their last three opponents by at least 10 boards — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after out-rebounding their last three opponents by at least +10.0 RPG. And while Denver has covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City will be looking to avenge a 109-98 upset loss at Denver as a 2-point favorite in the last meeting between these two teams back on December 14th. The Thunder have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games when avenging a loss to their opponent on the road — and they have covered the point spread in seven of those last nine situations when that was an upset loss to their opponent. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Game of the Year with the Oklahoma City Thunder (505) plus the points versus the Denver Nuggets (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (571) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (572). Milwaukee (45-14) has won four straight games as well as ten of their last eleven contests with their 140-128 win over Minnesota as a 13-point favorite on Saturday. Chicago (16-44) has won three straight contests with their 126-116 win over Boston as a 10-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee will be without their superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo who is listed as doubtful with a knee injury — but please keep in mind that the Bulls are dealing with injuries of their own that I will detail below. This Bucks team has nice depth — and the Greek Freak’s absence tonight should allow more playing time for the recently acquired Nikola Mirotic who developed into a star player in New Orleans before they decided to be seller’s at the trade deadline given the Anthony Davis situation. As it is, the Bucks have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after a point spread — and they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a win by at least 10 points. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. The Bucks allowed the Timberwolves to shoot 49.0% from the field which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. Expect head coach Mike Budenholzer to demand a better game on the defensive end of the court tonight. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last contest. The Bucks go back on the road where they are 20-9 with an average winning margin of +6.5 PPG. They are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games on the road — and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 35 games on the road as the favorite including covering the point spread in six of their last seven road games when laying 6.5 to 12 points. Additionally, the Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Central Division opponents. Chicago has pulled off two straight upset victories as they shocked Orlando on the road as an 8-point underdog before they upset the Celtics on Saturday. The Bulls are getting good play from the recently acquitted Otto Porter who is averaging 17.8 PPG in his six games with Chicago while shooting 54.5% from the field and a remarkable 51.9% from behind the arc. But Porter is doubtful to play tonight with a leg injury and fellow starter Kris Dunn is also listed as doubtful as he dealing with migraine headaches. While the Bulls still have starters Zach LaVine, Robin Lopez, and Lauri Markkanen, there is then a big drop off in talent on the rest of this roster for this team that is firmly in the middle of the Tryin’ for Zion tanking mix. Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after an upset victory as a double-digit underdog. The Bulls stay at home where they are 7-23 this season with an average losing margin of -8.8 PPG. They are allowing their opponents to score 112.6 PPG with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 48.1%. The Bucks play at a fast pace which will help them cover the bigger point spread for this game. They average 90 shot attempts per game — and Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 28 home games against teams that average at least 88 shots per game. The Bulls have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 5 straight trips to Chicago to play the Bulls. Even without Antetokounmpo, look for the Bucks to overwhelm this severely undermanned Bulls team tonight. 25* NBA Central Division Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Bucks (571) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (572). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (555) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (556). THE SITUATION: Orlando (27-33) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 110-109 upset loss at home to Chicago despite being an 8-point favorite. Toronto (44-16) has won seven straight games with their 120-117 win over San Antonio as an 8-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAGIC PLUS THE POINTS: Orlando was rusty coming off an eight-day break given the All-Star Game festivities — they committed 12 turnovers in the first-half against the Bulls. They should settle down in this contest as they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. The Magic have been a surprise under first-year head coach Steve Clifford who has installed a system that has seen big man Nikola Vucevic develop into an All-Star. With the lack of other star players outside the emerging Aaron Gordon, Clifford has his team playing unselfish basketball that emphasizing sharing to find the open shooter. Orlando is 8th in the NBA by assisting on 62.6% of their field goals. This team is also playing much better on the defensive end of the court as they actually lead the NBA in Defensive Rating this month. They have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine contests — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 road games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Magic are certainly dangerous underdogs as they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. But they also have legitimate playoff aspirations as they are just 1 1/2 games behind Charlotte for first place in the Southeast Division — and this is perhaps why they resisted the temptation to trade Vucevic for assets since he is an impending free agent. Now Orlando goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games — and they have also covered the point spread 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Magic have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a game where at least 235 combined goals were scored. After a dominant 20-4 start, the Raptors have come back to Earth a bit in their play — and that is created point spread value when going against them. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of the last 16 games against teams with a losing record. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Perhaps most telling, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. This team also missed their backup point guard Fred VanVleet who quarterbacks their outstanding second unit which has been vital for this team. Their winning streak also sets them up for a letdown. They have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after winning at least four straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning at least five straight contests. And in their last 36 games after winning at least six straight games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of these contests — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in these last six situations.

FINAL TAKE: Orlando is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Raptors with the last meeting on December 28th resulting in a 116-87 upset victory as a 4.5-point home underdog for the Magic. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 home games when avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Underdog of the Year with the Orlando Magic (555) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (537) and the Charlotte Hornets (538). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (30-30) has lost three of their last four games with their 113-99 loss to Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. Charlotte (28-30) returned from the All-Star break last night with a 123-110 win over Washington as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nets have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. That game also finished far below the 231.5 point total — and Brooklyn has then played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Nets made only 39.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. Brooklyn should see an uptick in their offensive productivity with Caris LeVert back in the mix — this will be his fifth game since returning to the court after suffering that gruesome leg injury. The Trail Blazers were also dealing with rust in their shooting as they shot just 43.8% from the field which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Nets’ last five contests. Brooklyn has still allowed their last five opponents to shoot 49.1% from the field. The Nets now go on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total — and they have also played 22 of their last 29 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Hornets allow 111.3 PPG, Brooklyn has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams that allow at least 106 PPG. Charlotte’s five starters logged in 166:56 combined minutes last night — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing the previous day where their five starters combined to play at least 160 minutes. Head coach James Borrego made an intriguing change in the lineup last night by moving Jeremy Lamb to the second unit to make room for their first-round draft pick Miles Bridges at forward with Nicolas Batum shifting to the shooting guard spot. The early results were very encouraging with Batum scoring 20 points and Bridges adding another 14 points. Lamb will be asked for instant offense leading the second unit alongside their veteran point guard Tony Parker — Lamb pitched in another 16 points last night off the bench. Overall, they shot a solid 47.9% from the field as a team while holding a cold shooting Wizards team to just a 43.3% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last four games and far below their opponent’s field goal percentage of 47.9% for the season. The Hornets stay at home where they have played 18 of their last 23 home games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. The Hornets have also played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220s. This team plays at a blistering pace which has helped them launch at least 90 shots in three straight games with them attempting 94 and 96 shots in their last two contests. Charlotte has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. The Nets play at a fast pace as well which translates into 90 shot attempts per game — and the Hornets have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents that laugh at least 88 shots per game. Brooklyn allows their opponents to score 112.7 PPG — and Charlotte has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who allow at least 110 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Brooklyn has averaged 104.8 possessions per 48 minutes over their last ten games which leads the NBA over that span. With the Hornets happy to engage in that up-tempo style, expect a high scoring game between these two teams that tend to struggle on the defensive end of the court. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (537) and the Charlotte Hornets (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (530) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (529). Oklahoma City (37-20) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Thursday in their 131-122 upset loss at New Orleans as a 4.5-point favorite. Utah (32-25) returns from the All-Star Break after a 115-108 loss at Golden State as a 9-point underdog back on February 12th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE THUNDER MINUS THE POINTS: Oklahoma City has rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Thunder have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The OKC like to push the pace to take advantage of the athleticism of Paul George and Russell Westbrook. They have seen at least 229 combined points scored in each of their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after playing three straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Thunder return home where they are 20-7 this season with an average winning margin of +7.5 PPG. Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Look for head coach Billy Donovan to emphasize better play on the defensive end of the court after they allowed the Pelicans to make 54.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Thunder have still covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. OKC has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Utah went into the All-Star Break with three straight point spread covers. But the Jazz have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. Furthermore, Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 13 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents, the Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games. Utah stays on the road where they are just 14-15 this season.

FINAL TAKE: OKC should be close to full strength tonight. Dennis Schroder and Jerami Grant missed their last two games but Schroder will be back on the court after the birth of his new baby and reports are encouraging that Grant’s ankle has healed. The Thunder also may debut Markieff Morris who they picked up from Washington — he has been out since December with a neck injury but has been cleared to play for two weeks. The Jazz do not match up well with OKC — they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight meetings with them while also covering the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Oklahoma City. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Year with the Oklahoma City Thunder (530) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Lakers (510) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Rockets (509). Los Angeles (28-29) limped into the All-Star Break having lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 117-113 upset loss in Atlanta back on February 12th as a 6-point favorite. Houston (33-24) lost two of their last three games entering the break after they lost at Minnesota as a 4-point favorite back on February 13th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LAKERS MINUS THE POINTS: LA finds themselves in a hole as they are trailing by three games from the final Western Conference playoff spot with 25 games to go. And there seems to be internal discord from the younger members of this team after they were all dangled in potential trade offers to acquire in Anthony Davis. LeBron James is getting older — and that groin injury that caused him to miss 18 games is an issue. But I am simply not going to get too worked up over how he much he played in the dog days of January and February. I liked the supposed “misfit toys” that Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka acquired in the last offseason (with James’ endorsement). Rajon Rondo is one of the most intelligent players in the league — something James’ covets after playing with J.R. Smith in Cleveland — and he was sensational in the playoffs for New Orleans last year. JaVale McGee and Lance Stephenson added mental and physical toughness as well as defensive skill. Don’t underestimate how good this team was playing on defense before James’ injury. With Kentavious Caldwell-Pope at shooting guard and then the midseason acquisitions of big men Tyson Chandler and Mike Muscala along with guard Reggie Bullock, this team goes eight deep with wily veterans who both know their roles and collectively compare favorably to James’ past Cavaliers teams. And you may have noticed I have not even mentioned the younger players with potential in Kyle Kuzma, Brandon Ingram, Josh Hart and the currently injured Lonzo Ball. When the Lakers upset the Celtics in Boston two weeks ago, it was James playing with the veterans in the key moments down the stretch. That is LeBron’s core — and you will see more of them playing together with it now being the time to step up for a playoff run. What this team gets from their younger players is gravy — and that has certainly been the message communicated to any of the bruised egos. In practice, I suspect that all four of the younger players will compete hard with the opportunity to step up to be the second or third reliable scorer with this group. And when it comes to James, I am far from a LeBron stan — but that dude has not slowed down yet when he wants to turn on the jets. I am just not going to overreact to regular season results. Now this team needs to step up after the All-Star Break and take advantage of their winnable games — especially on their home court. The Lakers have failed to cover the point spread in their last two losses after that impressive win over the Celtics — but they have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after losing two straight games on the road. They also have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. Now after playing their last six games on the road, Los Angeles returns home to the Staples Center where the younger players tend to shoot better — the team is making 47.5% of their shots at home. And a rested James is a dangerous player who can still take over games — the Lakers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when they have not played more than five games in the last fourteen days. The time off will not likely help the Rockets who rely on the precision of launching so many 3-pointers. Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 115 points in their game. After a terrible start to the season, Houston came on to win twenty-one of their last thirty-one contests — but that required James Harden playing hero-ball as he averaged over 38 PPG over his last 25 games. Chris Paul has missed 18 games this season while Clint Capela has missed another 15 games. Paul has been back for the last eight games — with the Rockets going only 4-4 in those contests — and Capela is likely to return to the court tonight from his thumb injury. Harden intimated a number of times over the break that he knows his Herculean efforts are both not sustainable and not a reliable formula for playoff basketball. This time now needs to be spent seeing what they can get from Paul whose skills seemed to have declined while also attempting to solve the problems that plagued this team to begin the season. This team still misses Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah a Moute who fit this team nicely as 3-point shooters and great defenders against opposing wings. P.J. Tucker has played the most minutes for this team this season but scored only 6.4 PPG over his last fifteen games. And Harden’s hero ball was most effective at home where his teammates offered at least some help. The Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And while the Lakers score 112.2 PPG, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games against teams who score at least 110 PPG. Finally, the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set at 220 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: I found Houston to be more reliable when Harden felt forced to carry the burden which will not be the case for the next few weeks. Expect the Lakers to have regrouped after the break and to play like the team that upset the Celtics in Boston just two short weeks ago. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Game of the Year with the Los Angeles Lakers (510) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Rockets (509). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (527) minus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (528). Oklahoma City (37-19) has won four straight games as well as eleven of their last twelve contests with their 120-111 win over Portland on Monday as a 4.5-point favorite. New Orleans (25-33) has lost two straight games after their 118-88 upset loss at home to Orlando on Tuesday as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE THUNDER MINUS THE POINTS: The Pelicans have quickly become a nightmare with Anthony Davis having zero interest in continuing to play for the team — and his teammates have lost all sense of camaraderie in playing hard with him on the court. To recap how they rock bottom: Davis communicated with the team that he did not intend to sign a contract extension with the team after next season and request a trade; New Orleans failed to trade Davis before last Thursday’s deadline; the league applied pressure to the Pelicans’ franchise that it would not be acceptable for them to simply sit Davis the rest of the season since it would appear too much like tanking. Yet this Pelicans’ team would be better served to move on rather than dealing with the distractions and the malcontent. Davis’ body language was awful on Tuesday after scoring a mere 3 points 24 minutes of action. Davis scored 32 points in his first game back from injury after the trade deadline but has since scored only 17 points in the two subsequent games spanning 57 minutes. So, where does this leave us? I suspect that the Pelicans will be in the tank again on Thursday — especially on national television — to make a statement to the league offices that is an absurd situation. To compound matters, with this being their final game before the All-Star break with minds on vacations and escaping this debacle for a week, the likelihood that this Pelicans’ team going nowhere this year will throw in the towel. If so, the Thunder will cover with ease. I simply don’t expect Davis to step up his game or for this team to rally around each other — if they still had that in them, then they would have played better on Tuesday after being upset on the road at Memphis. But, even if the Pelicans — with or without Davis — decide to “play one for the Gipper”, I still think they eventually get overrun by this red hot OKC team. New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their 17 games after losing their last two games. Furthermore, the Pelicans have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to score at least 90 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 27 games after a loss by at least 15 points. And while New Orleans has only covered the point spread once in their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. The Pelicans like to push the pace as they average 91 shots per game — but this is not a good matchup for them against a Thunder team quite happy to play at a blistering tempo. Oklahoma City averages 93 shots per game — and New Orleans has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 11 games in the second half of the season against teams that average at least 88 shots per game. The Thunder may be the hottest team in the NBA led by the play of Paul George that is making a case that he is the MVP of the league. Over his last 20 games, George is scoring 32.6 PPG while adding another 7.7 RPG and 4.1 Assists-Per-Game. He is also making 45.4% of his shots from behind the arc over this span. Frankly, even if the Pelicans decide to redeem themselves from their embarrassing effort on Tuesday, I simply do not see them being able to stay close to this OKC team led by George who is playing at an extraordinary level right now. As it is, the Thunder have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. OKC has also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last contest. The Thunder have met point spread expectations in four straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests — and that is usually a good sign for them as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. The Thunder’s fast pace tends to overwhelm teams that do not play great defense. The Pelicans allow 114.7 PPG — and the Thunder have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the second-half of the season against teams that allow at least 106 PPG. OKC has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 trips to the Big Easy to face New Orleans.

FINAL TAKE: The Pelicans upset the Rockets in Houston on the last Tuesday in January on TNT where they played inspired ball without Davis on the court — but I just don’t think they can sustain an effort like that tonight (if they chose to exert that much energy). The team has since released Markieff Morris and guard Elfrid Payton is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Even if this group defies my expectations and plays for pride tonight, I think the Thunder pull away with the point spread victory eventually. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Game of the Year with the Oklahoma City Thunder (527) minus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (520) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (519). THE SITUATION: Golden State (41-15) has won five games in a row with their 115-108 win over Utah last night as a 9-point favorite. Portland (33-23) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests after their 120-111 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TRAIL BLAZERS PLUS THE POINTS: We had the Warriors last night — and they blew a 25-14 lead after the first quarter before going on a late 20-4 run which saw them covering the point spread late before the Jazz scratched out a very disappointing point spread cover. I was licking my chops at the opportunity to fade reigning NBA champions tonight on the road in Portland playing without rest — and I am not going to forego this opportunity just because they failed to cover the point spread by a basket. As it is, Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win at home where they failed to cover the point spread. Furthermore, the Warriors are just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without rest. This team is very susceptible to thinking ahead to their All-Star weekend plans whether they will be in Charlotte for those festivities or a tropical beach somewhere else. This is a team that tends to suffer letdowns after some success on their home court as they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after winning at least two games in a row at home. Golden State is overvalued in the betting market right now (despite my thinking they had a blowout in them last night) — they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games as well as five of their last six contests. Given the personality of this team, they are likely to continue to fail to meet point spread expectations. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five games. Golden State has also failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning three straight games as a favorite where they failed to cover the point spread in all three contests. Portland should be motivated to make a statement against the reigning champions. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing their last two games on the road where they are now a dismal 10-15 this season, the Blazers return home to Rip City where they are 23-8 this year with an average winning margin of +8.3 PPG. This team can really score in the familiar environments at home where they are averaging 116.3 PPG on 47.8% shooting from the field — and they are making a healthy 48.5% of their shots over their last five games. Portland has covered the point spread in a decisive 37 of their last 53 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Trail Blazers have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Furthermore, Portland has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 21 home games as the underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Portland will not only want to close out the first-half of the season on a high note to erase the bad taste of their recent slump but they would also like to avenge a 115-105 loss to Golden State back on December 29th. The Trail Blazers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Underdog of the Year with the Portland Trail Blazers (520) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (519). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (578) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (577). Golden State (40-15) has won four straight games as well as fifteen of their last sixteen contests after their 120-118 win over Miami Sunday night as a 13.5-point favorite. Utah (32-24) has won two straight games as well as six of their last eight contests with their 125-105 win over San Antonio on Saturday as an 8-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WARRIORS MINUS THE POINTS: Golden State played with fire again as they fell behind to the Heat by 19 points before rallying to take the victory. This comeback in came on the heels of falling behind by 17 points in their previous game against the Suns on Friday. Frankly, the Warriors are not always a reliable home favorite since they are asked to cover high point spreads that they are not as interested in overcoming. But there a few reasons to expect the reigning champions to bring their “A-Game” early on tonight. For starters, falling behind by double-digits once again will be a bit embarrassing with this being a nationally televised game on TNT. Golden State should work harder tonight from the jump after they were out-rebounded by Miami by a 61 to 46 margin. The Warriors have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards in their last game. Furthermore, Golden State does tend to raise their level of play against the better teams in the league as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And this is a team that has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after winning their previous four contests. The Warriors are 21-7 on their home court with an average winning margin of +7.1 PPG. They are shooting the ball well as of late given their 51.1% field goal percentage over their last five games — and they have held these last five opponents to just a 43.5% field goal percentage. Utah may be due for a letdown as they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a double-digit victory — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after winning three of their last four games. Utah has covered the point spread in their last two games as well in four of their last six contests. Yet the Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Additionally, while Utah shot 52.2% from the field in their victory over the Spurs after making 50% of their shots in their previous game against the Suns, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. Now after playing their last four games at home, the Jazz go back on the road where they are just 14-14 this season while allowing their home hosts to make 46.6% of their shots. Utah is a team that tends to feast on the lesser teams in the league while struggling against the elite competitors. The Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while the Warriors are outscoring their opponents by +7.4 PPG, Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG. The Jazz have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Golden State will also be motivated to avenge a 108-103 upset loss in Salt Lake City against the Jazz back on December 19th. If motivation is the most significant opponent of this Warriors team, there are a number of reasons why the Warriors should be very focused for this contest against this Utah team. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Western Conference Game of the Year with the Golden State Warriors (578) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (577). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (559) plus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (560). THE SITUATION: Portland (33-22) has lost two of their last three games with their 102-101 upset loss at Dallas yesterday as a 3-point favorite. Oklahoma City (36-19) has won three straight games as well as ten of their last eleven contests after their 117-112 upset win at Houston as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TRAIL BLAZERS PLUS THE POINTS: Portland should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Portland has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread setback. The Blazers are shooting the ball well right now as they have made 50.2% of their shots over their last five games. Portland has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. But despite their recent success, the Thunder have taken a step back on the defensive end of the court. OKC has allowed their last five opponents to make 47.7% of their shots which is a bit above their 45.8% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. The Thunder return home tonight where they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 29 home games when laying 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Oklahoma City has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Portland has lost both their games with the Thunder this season with the last loss being back on January 22nd by a 123-115 score in their gym. The Trail Blazers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games when looking to avenge a loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with double-revenge. Portland has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Thunder. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Northwest Division Game of the Year with the Portland Trail Blazers (559) plus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Sacramento Kings (546) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (545). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (29-26) has won four of their last five games with their 102-96 win over Miami on Friday as a 3.5-point favorite. Phoenix (11-46) has lost thirteen straight games after they loss at home to Golden State by a 117-107 score as a 17-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Sacramento defeated the Heat despite making only 41.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. The Kings feel the time is now for them to make the playoffs — and they are playing good basketball as of late. Over their last five games, Sacramento is making 48.1% of their shots while holding their opponents to just a 43.9% field goal percentage. The Kings stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Sacramento has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Additionally, the Kings have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. The Suns are firmly committed to the Tryin’ for Zion plan of tanking to improve their odds of getting the first pick in the NBA draft. Playing hard against the defending champs carried little risk of actually adding another win in the victory column — but I expect them to lay an egg tonight. Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after a point spread cover where they lost the game straight-up as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a loss to a Pacific Division rival. The Suns are not working very hard on defense — they have allowed five of their last seven opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Phoenix is only 4-24 on the road this season where they are being outscored by -12.6 PPG. The Suns are allowing their home hosts to make 48.8% of their shots. Phoenix has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 trips to Sacramento to face the Kings.

FINAL TAKE: Sacramento will be looking to avenge a 115-111 upset loss to the Suns back on January 8th — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Pacific Division Game of the Year with the Sacramento Kings (546) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (545). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (532) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (531). THE SITUATION: Houston (32-22) has won three straight games with their 127-101 win at Sacramento on Wednesday as a 3.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City (35-19) has won nine of their last ten games with their 117-95 win over Memphis as a 14-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston is getting into a rhythm now with Chris Paul healthy again and getting back into game shape. Paul’s presence on the court helps the Rockets in two significant ways. First, he is a great ball handler who takes much of the onus off James Harden to take care of these duties. Houston has won the turnover battle in their last three games by +11, +5, +16 margins — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after generating at least a +4 net turnover in at least three straight games. Second, Paul remains an outstanding defensive player. Houston held the Kings to just a 42.9% shooting mark on Wednesday with the at game finishing well the 236 point total. The Rockets have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a game that finished Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games on their home court after a game that finished Under the Total. Houston also gets a boost on defense with the acquisition of Iman Shumpert from the Kings — and he will be available to make his debut with the team tonight. Now after playing their last four games on the road, the Rockets return home where they are 19-8 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Houston is very tough at home in expected close games because Harden’s ability to take over contests typically leads to his team covering point spread expectations. The Rockets have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 home games when favored by no more than 6 points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, Houston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Oklahoma City has covered the point spread in five of their last six games — but they may be due for a big letdown now. The Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games on the road after winning four of their last five games. Oklahoma City has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 21 road games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. The Thunder are second in the NBA in pace as they average 104 possessions per 48 minutes which is only less than the number of possessions Atlanta sees per game. Over their eight games, OKC has increased their tempo by averaging 105.5 possessions per game. But this does seem to have come at the cost of giving their opponents easier looks as they have seen their last five opponents make 47.6% of their shots. However, pushing the pace plays right into the Rockets hands given their desire to launch tons of 3s — the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games against Houston. OKC has played their last two games at home — but now they go back on the road where they are just 16-12 this season.

FINAL TAKE: The Thunder will be looking to avenge a 113-109 upset loss to the Rockets in Houston back on Christmas Day — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Saturday ABC-TV Game of the Year with the Houston Rockets (532) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (531). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Sacramento Kings (516) minus the points versus the Miami Heat (515). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (28-26) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 127-101 loss at home to Houston as a 3.5-point underdog. Miami (25-27) snapped their three-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 118-108 upset win at Portland as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Sacramento played one of their worst games in weeks on Wednesday. They shot only 42.9% from the field which was the worst field goal percentage for them in four games — and they allowed the Rockets to make 45% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four contests. The Kings should play much better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss. Furthermore, Sacramento has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. The Kings stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games — and they have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, Sacramento has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record — and they have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 35 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Kings will be undermanned tonight as they wait for Harrison Barnes and Alec Burks to join the team after acquiring them both in trades (I am assuming they will not be used tonight). Sacramento dealt Iman Shumpert, Zach Randolph, and Justin Jackson to obtain those two players with the loss of Shumpert being the most significant for tonight since he was a regular starter. The Kings will likely start Bogdan Bogdanovic in Shumpert’s absence while having some solid bench pieces who can take up the slack tonight. Miami is likely more impacted by the moves they made at the trade deadline as they deal both a starting guard in Tyler Johnson along with Wayne Ellington for forward Ryan Anderson from Phoenix who will also not likely suit up tonight. The team also remains without their best go-to scorer in Goran Dragic who is on the shelf with a knee injury. The Heat made 54.2% of their shots in their upset win over the Trail Blazers which was the best offensive effort in their last eight games. But Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Heat have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. And while the Kings made 46.7% of their shots on the season, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the second half of the season against teams who shoot at least 46% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: The Heat are looking to avenge a 123-113 upset loss at home to the Kings back on October 29th where they were 9-point favorites. But Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when attempting to avenge an upset loss to their opponent — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Game of the Year with the Sacramento Kings (516) minus the points versus the Miami Heat (515). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (583) and the Portland Trail Blazers (584). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (32-24) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last night with their ugly 141-102 loss at Golden State as a 15.5-point underdog. Portland (32-21) had their three-game winning streak end on Tuesday with their 118-108 upset loss to Miami as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spurs rested LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan in that game which contributed to them making only 43.2% of their shots against the Warriors. Both players will be back on the court tonight in this more winnable game than against the defending NBA champions. San Antonio has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing without rest. The Spurs have also seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Toal after a double-digit setback. Furthermore, the Over is 10-0-1 in San Antonio’s last 11 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. The Spurs will likely be without starting point guard Derrick White who is dealing with a right foot injury. San Antonio will miss his versatile play on defense. The Spurs have allowed three of their last five opponents to make at least 55.6% of their shots after the Warriors nailed 57.9% of their field goal attempts. Overall, San Antonio has allowed their last five opponents to make 52.9% of their shots from the field. The Spurs stay on the road where they are scoring 110.9 PPG but surrendering 115.1 PPG. Home hosts are making 48.3% of their shots against San Antonio. The Over is 24-9-2 in their last 35 road games — and the Spurs have seen the Over go 21-5-1 in their 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Portland has played 21 of their last 29 games over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Trail Blazers made only 45.2% of their shots against the Heat which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Portland stays at home where they are making 47.6% of their shots which translates into 115.9 PPG. Over tier last five games, the Blazers are still making 48% of their shots — but they are also allowing these opponents to shoot 47.1% from the field which is a bit worse than their 45.7% opponent’s field goal percentage for the year. The Over is 6-0-1 in Portland’s last 7 games on their home court — and the Over is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, while the Blazers have scored at least 105 points in nineteen straight games, they have then played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in at least five straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Portland will be playing with revenge on their minds after suffering a 131-118 loss to the Spurs back on December 2nd where they made 52.3% of their shots while allowing San Antonio to shoot 60.2% from the field. These two teams have played 22 of their last 30 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing twelve of their last sixteen games Over the Total when playing in Portland. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (583) and the Portland Trail Blazers (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (565) and the Dallas Mavericks (566). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (26-26) has won three of their last four games with their 125-118 win over Chicago on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. Dallas (24-28) has won four of their last six games with their 111-98 upset win at Cleveland as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team is playing very good defense right now as they have held their last five opponents to just a 41% field goal percentage which has resulted in only 101.1 PPG which is more than 7 points below their 108.7 PPG defensive scoring average. Dallas made a blockbuster trade this week by trading Dennis Smith, Jr. along with Wesley Matthews and DeAndre Jordan to the Knicks for Kristaps Porzingis along with Tim Hardaway and Trey Burke. Losing Jordan along with Matthews will impact the Mavericks’ defensive presence — but integrating Hardaway and Burke into their offensive rotation will take some time. Of course, it has been announced that Porzingis will not take the court this season as he looks to fully recover from his ACL injury from last year. Dallas returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Mavericks have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference — and they have played 36 of their last 59 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Charlotte has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Hornets made 52.4% of their shots in their win over the Bulls on Saturday which was the best offensive effort in their last five games. But this remains a team that is scoring 107.0 PPG over their last five games which is more than 4 points below their 111.6 PPG season average. Charlotte is also making only 43.8% of their shots when playing on the road. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Hornets’ last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: Charlotte will be looking to avenge an embarrassing 122-84 loss at home to Dallas back on January 2nd — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. While the Mavericks are probably not as strong as a defensive team after their trade with the Knicks, I do expect them to struggle on offense as they incorporate Hardaway and Burke into the mix. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (565) and the Dallas Mavericks (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (554) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (553). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (34-19) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 115-108 upset loss at Sacramento as a 3-point favorite. Toronto (38-16) looks to build off their 121-103 win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday as a 9-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS MINUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games after a loss on the road — and this includes them covering the point spread in ten of these last thirteen situations. The Sixers have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing their last four games on the road, Philadelphia returns home where they are 21-5 this season with an average winning margin of +10.1 PPG. The 76ers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing at least four straight games on the road. Philly has also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 36 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 home games in the month of February after last year’s red hot month. The 76ers are very good on offense when playing at home where they are making 48.5% of their shots which translates into 119.1 PPG. Wilson Chandler remains out for two to three weeks with a quad injury but both J.J. Redick and Amir Johnson should be back on the court tonight after both were dealing with nagging injuries. Toronto may be due for a letdown tonight as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of the last 13 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. They held the Clippers to just a 42.7% field goal shooting mark which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. Now Toronto goes back on the road where they are just 16-11 this season. The Raptors have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This team is not at full strength right now with Kyle Lowry doubtful to play tonight as he deals with a sore back. Center Jonas Valunciuanas remains doubtful to play as well as he recovers from his thumb injury. Toronto is making only 43.9% of their shots over their last five contests.

FINAL TAKE: The Raptors will be looking to avenge a 126-101 loss in Philadelphia in the last meeting between these two teams back on December 22nd — but they have not been very reliable when playing with revenge. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in six of these last eight situations. The Raptors have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when attempting to avenge a loss of at least 20 points. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Tuesday ESPN Game of the Year with the Philadelphia 76ers (554) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (553). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Wizards (534) minus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (533). THE SITUATION: Washington (22-30) has lost three of their last four games after their 131-115 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday as a 6-point underdog. Atlanta (12-35) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 118-112 upset win at Phoenix as a 2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WIZARDS MINUS THE POINTS: Washington should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Wizards have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Washington stays at home where they are 15-10 this season. The Wizards have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 home games after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set at least at 230. Atlanta comes off one of their best efforts of the season. The Hawks made 51.2% of their shots against the Suns which was the best offensive effort in their last eight games — and they held Phoenix to a 46.9% field goal percentage which was the best defensive performance in their last five contests. Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset win as a road underdog. The Hawks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Atlanta completes their seven-game road stand tonight so don’t be terribly surprised if they mail-in this effort as they prepare to return home. The Hawks are just 9-22 on the road this season where they are being outscored by -8.8 PPG. Atlanta lets their home hosts make 48% of their shots from the field — and their last five opponents have made 50.6% of their shots. The Hawks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Atlanta has also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Washington usually plays well against Southeast Divisional rivals as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games against divisional foes. The Wizards are still in the Eastern Conference playoff race as they are only 2 1/2 games out of the eighth and final spot. This is a game they need to win. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Southeast Division Game of the Year with the Washington Wizards (534) minus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). THE SITUATION: Denver (34-15) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 95-92 win at Memphis as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday. New Orleans (23-28) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their surprising 121-116 upset win at Houston as a big 13.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after an upset win by at least 10 points — and this includes them playing three of their four games Over the Total when that double-digit upset win was over a Southwest Divisional rival. New Orleans has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team is a  M*A*S*H unit right now with Anthony Davis out (and perhaps never to wear a Pelicans’ jersey again given his declaration that he will not resign with the team when his contract expires and Nikola Mirotic, Julius Randle, Elfrid Payton, E’Twaun Moore all dealing with injuries. The latter three are listed as questionable for tonight as of this writing. This leaves the team with only Jrue Holiday as the only regular starter available for the Pelicans — but he starred alongside Jahil Okafor and a slew of bench players last night. This group buys-in to head coach Alvin Gentry’s aggressive defensive schemes and fast-tempo. The Pelicans made 51.1% of their shots against the Rockets last night — and their 48.9% field goal percentage in their last five games since Davis suffered his injury is higher than the 48.1% mark they have overall for the season. I am not sure how well New Orleans will play on defense tonight — but they should continue to score plenty of baskets back at home where they are averaging 118.4 PPG on 48.4% shooting. The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a dog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. Where the Pelicans really miss Davis is with their interior defense. Through his injury on January 19th, opponents were taking 39.5% of their shots at the rim when Davis was not on the court — that would translate into the second-highest mark if extended to the entire season. The lack of credible rim protector without Davis requires the Pelicans to help on defense — and that opens things up for these opponents on the perimeter again. Opponents were making 46.7% of their corner 3s against New Orleans with Davis off the court before his injury. While Houston lacks a credible inside scoring threat (especially with Clint Capela injured), the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic should have a field day against the Pelicans inside tonight. Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets were sluggish for most of that game with the Grizzlies as they made only 43.5% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eight games. Denver rallied from a 25-point third quarter deficit as well as a 17-point margin in the fourth quarter to pull out that win. They should shoot much better tonight — they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the month of January. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans averages 103.2 possessions per game which is the 5th quickest pace in the NBA. Their injuries require them to play small-ball — and that should facilitate both teams flying up and down the court like the Pelicans’ game with the Rockets last night. Even in a losing effort, Houston scored 116 points while making just 39.6% of their shots. We took that Over last night — and I think we have another big advantage versus the number tonight. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (22-28) has lost three straight games with their 126-114 loss to San Antonio on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. Houston (29-20) has won three straight games with their 103-98 win over Orlando on Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. And while New Orleans has lost five of their last six games, New Orleans has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. This team is mired with injuries with Anthony Davis out with a hand injury and fellow big man Nikola Mirotic also out with a calf injury. With Julius Randle questionable with an ankle injury as well, this leaves head coach Alvin Gentry pretty thin with options on his frontline. Smaller lineups from Gentry will likely see the Pelicans push the pace even faster than the 103.19 possessions per game average they already average which is 6th fastest in the NBA. New Orleans goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 5 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Houston has played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Rockets have won four of their last five games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The team did see Chris Paul III return to the court on Sunday with his minutes being limited until he gets himself back into shape. The Rockets stay at home where they are averaging 116.7 PPG. Houston has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, while their win over the Magic fell well below the 221.5 point Total, they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the number. Houston held Orlando to just a 40.2% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last eighteen games. Yet the Rockets have still allowed their last five opponents to score 116.4 PPG. Houston has played 4 straight games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Pelicans will be looking to avenge a 108-104 loss at home to the Rockets back on December 29th — and they have played a decisive 40 of their last 64 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. With New Orleans’ injuries, it will be Small Ball City in this contest which should facilitate a blazing pace and a high scoring game. 25* NBA TNT Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (534) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (533). THE SITUATION: Boston (30-19) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 115-111 loss at home to Golden State as a 3-point underdog. Brooklyn (27-23) has won six straight contests with their 109-99 win over New York as an 8.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston should play well tonight as they look to begin a new winning streak as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. The Celtics stay at home where they are 19-6 with an average winning margin of +10.3 PPG. Boston has covered the points spread in 16 of their last 23 home games as a favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Furthermore, the Celtics have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games on their home court against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. Brooklyn was the beneficiary of ten fewer personal fouls charged against them than the 31 whistles blown against the Knicks in their game on Friday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after getting called for at least 10 fewer personal fouls than their opponent in their last game. The Nets have been one of the surprises of the league with their 27 wins — but fourteen of these victories have been decided by single digits so this is a team that has been fortunate to win a disproportionate number of their close games. This team is also dealing with a host of injuries right now. Caris Levert is out the year with his Achilles’ injury and starting guard Allen Crabbe has been on the shelf since the beginning of the month with a knee injury. Furthermore, now Jared Dudley is out with a hamstring injury and Joe Harris is questionable with a hip for tonight’s contest. These are not good developments for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Brooklyn has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games as a double-digit underdog.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch from the Nets' 109-102 win at home as a 2-point underdog back on January 14th. Boston has covered the point spread in 30 of their last 41 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (534) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (524) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (523). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (24-25) had won three games in a row before traveling Utah on Friday where they lost to the Jazz by a 106-102 score as a 10.5-point favorite. This home-and-home divisional series returns to Minnesota for the rematch tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIMBERWOLVES PLUS THE POINTS: Minnesota made only 42.2% of their shots in that game which was the worst offensive effort in their last five contests. The Timberwolves have played three straight games Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 home games after playing two straight games Under the Total and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 16 home games after playing three straight Unders. After playing their last three games on the road, they should enjoy a better offensive night back at home where they have a team field goal percentage of 45.6% which has translated into 114.0 PPG. Minnesota is 16-8 on their home court with an average winning margin of +5.9 PPG. Additionally, the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog. Furthermore, the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents. This team is playing better defense under interim head coach Ryan Saunders who has seemed to establish a better rapport with the players than what Tom Thibodeau was able to nurture. The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eleven games with them enjoying a Defensive Rating 6th best in the NBA over that span which is far better than their ranking of 17th for the season. Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a victory at home where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. The Jazz are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games are a straight-up win. And while Utah has won eight of their last nine games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning at least three of their last four games. Moving forward, the Jazz are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents, Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are dealing with a bevy of injuries at the point guard position. Utah is missing Raul Neto and Dante Exum which leaves them Ricky Rubio along with Joe Ingles who has assumed point forward responsibilities. For the T-Wolves, Jeff Teague is out and Derrick Rose is questionable with an ankle injury — but they are getting good play from Jerryd Bayless who logged in over 40 minutes on Friday. Expect a strong effort from Minnesota in this rematch after being on the road for the last three games. 25* NBA Northwest Division Underdog of the Month with the Minnesota Timberwolves (524) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (523). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (572) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (571). THE SITUATION: Houston (27-20) looks to build off their 114-110 win at New York against the Knicks on Wednesday as an 8-point favorite. Toronto (36-14) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 110-106 loss at Indiana as a 6-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston is being carried right now by James Harden who is averaging 52.2 PPG over his last five games. He should be very motivated to make a splash on national television tonight. Their win over the Knicks fell below the 227 point total on Wednesday — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after a game that finished Under the Total. They return home where they are 17-7 this season. The Rockets are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Houston has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, while Houston is without the injured Chris Paul and Chris Capela, they have still managed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering at least three of their last four games. Now the Raptors stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 road games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Harden should be awesome once again tonight — and his supporting cast usually plays better on their home court. The Rockets have a good chance of pulling the upset tonight — but take the points for some insurance. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (572) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (571). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (22-24) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 120-95 loss at Indiana as an 8-point underdog. Memphis (19-28) has lost six straight games as well as twelve of their last thirteen games with their ugly 105-85 upset loss at home to New Orleans on Monday as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after an upset loss to a fellow Southwest Division rival. Memphis has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points to a divisional rival. Furthermore, not only has this team played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total after losing three straight games but they have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after dropping four straight games. Look for the Grizzlies embarrassment lead to a better effort on the defensive end of the court. The Pelicans — without an injured Anthony Davis — made 52.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for Memphis in their last seven contests. The Grizzlies have also allowed their last six opponents to score at least 105 points — but they have then played 9 straight home games Under the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Led by remaining holdovers from the Grit-n-Grind days of yore in Mike Conley and Marc Gasol, this team still plays good defense — they currently rank 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. But their play on offense has been a disaster. They made only 37.5% of their shots on Monday while scoring a mere 35 points in the second-half. Over their last nine games, the Grizzlies are last in the NBA by scoring only 97.0 PPG — and they are second-to-last over that span with a 43.6% field goal percentage. Gasol’s skills seem to be in decline. He is scoring only 13 PPG while making less than 40% of his shots since December. The team also misses Kyle Anderson’s scoring punch as he is out two to four weeks with an injury. Memphis stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Grizzlies have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 8 straight games at home Under the Total priced in that +/- 3-point range. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points on the road. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team is playing well on the defensive end of the court as of late. Over their last five games, they have held those opponents to just a 44.7% field goal percentage as compared to their 46.5% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. The Hornets have a Defensive Rating that ranks 7th in the NBA over that span which is well above their 20th rating for the season. But Charlotte struggles to score on the road where the role players to rising superstar Kemba Walker fail to offer support. The Hornets make only 43.6% of their shots on the road as compared to their 45.2% field goal percentage for the season. The Under is 3-0-1 in Charlotte’s last 4 games on the road — and the Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams come off bad losses — which should ensure a much better work rate from both teams tonight. While effort does not always translate into scoring, it should produce better defensive performances. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (584) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (583). THE SITUATION: Houston (25-19) has lost two of their last three games with their 145-142 upset loss to Brooklyn on Wednesday. Los Angeles (25-21) has won four of their last six games with their 138-128 win at Oklahoma City as a 10-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston allowed the Nets to make 51.9% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last seven games. The Rockets also made just 42.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. This team has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Clint Capela is on the shelf with a hamstring injury but the team has received good news with both Eric Gordon and Clint Capela upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. Houston is 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Rockets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Los Angeles is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. This team is playing pretty good basketball still despite both LeBron James and Rajon Rondo out with injuries. But Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games played in Houston against the Rockets.

FINAL TAKE: The Lakers remain just 5-7 since James last played on Christmas Day. James Harden has been playing outstanding basketball with Chris Paul out with his injury. Harden should have support with this game being played in Houston. 25* NBA Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (584) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (583). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (557) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (558). THE SITUATION: Miami (21-21) saw their two-game losing streak snapped on Tuesday with their 124-86 loss in Milwaukee as a 9-point underdog. Detroit (19-24) has won two of their last three games after their 120-115 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT PLUS THE POINTS: Miami allowed the Bucks to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them in their last fifteen games. They also made just 41.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting performance in their last four contests. They should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 31 games on the road after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 9 straight road games after a loss by at least 30 points. Additionally, Miami has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. The second day of rest and preparation should help Eric Spoelstra’s team as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing with two days of rest. Now the Heat go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games — and they are also a decisive 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Detroit made 47.8% of their shots on Wednesday which was the best field goal percentage they have seen in their last five games. But this remains a team that is shooting just 43.6% from the field over their last five games. The Pistons have also allowed their last five opponents to make 49% of their shots. Consistency has been a problem for Dwayne Casey’s team as Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game — and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Pistons are also just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing with one day of rest. Now this team stays at home where they are just 12-10 this season while being outscored by their visitors. Detroit is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Miami is still without point guard Goran Dragic — but his knee injury has opened up space for former Duke star Justise Winslow to find a nice rhythm running the point for this team that has good depth. Detroit remains an underachieving team that has overpaid their point guard Reggie Jackson who has not emerged as a superstar to match Blake Griffin. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Underdog of the Year with the Miami Heat (557) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (530) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (529). THE SITUATION: Boston (25-18) has suffered three straight upset losses after their 109-102 loss at Brooklyn on Monday where they were 2-point favorites. Toronto (33-12) has won five games in a row with their 140-138 win at Washington in double overtime as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston was without Kyrie Irving on Monday which played a role in their making only 40.7% of their shots from the field. That was the second-worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. The Celtics have plenty of good news for this game. For starters, Irving has been upgraded to probable to take the floor again tonight as his quad injury has improved. Boston also returns home after their three-game road trip where they lost all three times as the favorite. The Celtics have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing three straight games. Boston has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road. This team is very tough to beat on their home court where they are 15-5 with an average winning margin of +10.3 PPG. The Celtics have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as a favorite of no more than 6 points. Toronto blew a 23-point lead to the Wizards before eking out that game in overtime. The Raptors have won five straight games in a row — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after winning at least five in a row. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight contests after allowing at least 125 points. This Raptors team is undermanned tonight with Jonas Valunciunan still out for another couple of weeks and OG Anunoby missing this game on personal leave. Fred VanVleet and C.J. Miller are also questionable for this game with hip injuries which threatens to limit their outstanding second unit. Toronto stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games. And in their last 52 games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread 34 times.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto will be looking to avenge a 123-116 loss at Boston back on November 16th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (530) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (514) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (514). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (28-16) snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 108-105 win at New York as a 9-point favorite. Minnesota (21-22) has won four of their last five games with their 110-106 win over New Orleans as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS MINUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a victory on the road by 6 points or less. The Sixers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. This team will be motivated to play well tonight with this being Jimmy Butler’s first opportunity to play his former Timberwolves teammates since the big trade earlier this season. The 76ers have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games — but they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Philadelphia has scored at least 105 points in seven straight contests — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. The 76ers are an impressive 18-4 on their home court this season with an average winning margin of +8.7 PPG. They are scoring 117.7 PPG on their home court while making 48% of their shots — and they hold their visitors to just a 44% field goal percentage. Philly has covered 16 of their last 23 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Sixers are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games against Western Conference opponents. Minnesota had covered the point spread in four of their last five games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 straight road games after covering the point spread in three of the last four games. The Timberwolves have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with two days of rest. Now they stay on the road where they are just 6-15 with an average losing margin of -5.5 PPG. Minnesota makes only 44.3% of their shots on the road while allowing their home hosts to make 47.5% of their shots. The T-Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set at 230 or higher. Lastly, the Timberwolves have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Philadelphia to face the Sixers.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota will likely get Jeff Teague back for this game as he has been upgraded to probable with a lower-body injury — but the team will be undermanned in this contest with Derrick Rose questionable with an ankle injury and Robert Covington (who came over in the Butler trade) still out with an ankle injury. Butler will want to make a statement in this game and his Philly teammates should step up their play in a show of support. 25* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month with the Philadelphia 76ers (514) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (592) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (591). THE SITUATION: Denver (28-13) looks to rebound from a 102-93 upset loss in Phoenix last night as a 9-point favorite. Portland (26-17) has won six of their last seven games with their 127-96 win over Charlotte as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver made only 38.6% of their shots last night which was the worst offensive performance for them in their last 15 games. This remains a team that has won seven of their last nine contests along with eleven of their last fifteen games. Playing the second day of back-to-back games should not be an issue for this team with a great bench — they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played without rest. This is one of the few teams in the league that are in the top ten in both offensive and defensive efficiency — and they have a rising star in big man Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets have not allowed each of their last three opponents to shoot better than 45.6% from the field which has helped produce three straight Unders. Denver has covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after playing an Under — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after playing two straight Unders while also covering the point spread in 6 straight games after playing three straight Unders. The Nuggets return home to the Pepsi Center where they are 17-3 this season with an average winning margin of +11.6 PPG. They score a healthy 113.6 PPG at home while making 48.3% of their shots. Denver has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home. They also have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Nuggets have thrived when facing fellow Northwest Division rivals against which they are a perfect 5-0 this year with an average winning margin of +7.2 PPG. Denver is holding these division foes to just 99.4 PPG while limiting them to an opponent’s field goal percentage of 42.7%. The Nuggets are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against Northwest Division rivals. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against divisional foes. Denver held the Hornets to just a 40% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last five contests. The Trail Blazers shot 55.9% from the field after making 56.6% of their shots in their previous game against the Bulls. But Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after shooting at least 55% in two straight games. Portland has also played their last two games Over the Total — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after playing two straight Overs. The Blazers have four straight games with three of these being by double-digits — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 35 games after winning three straight games by double-digits. Now they go back on the road for the first time after a four-game homestand where they are just 8-10 with an average losing margin of -5.4 PPG. Defense has been an issue for this team on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to score 113.7 PPG while making 47.1% of their shots. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has been without guard Gary Harris who remains questionable with a hamstring after missing the last three games. Portland is without big man Maurice Harmless who is dealing with a knee. The Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with this balanced Nuggets team that matches up well with them. 25* NBA Northwest Division Game of the Month with the Denver Nuggets (592) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (591). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (538) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (537). THE SITUATION: Miami (19-20) has lost their last two games after their 103-99 loss at home to Denver as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. Boston (25-15) has won four straight games with their 135-108 win over Indiana last night as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT PLUS THE POINTS: The Celtics have been vulnerable when playing with limited rest. They have lost four of their six games when playing the second game in back-to-back days — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing without rest. Boston has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing their third game in four days. The Celtics made 56.8% of their shots last night which was their second-best field goal percentage of the season. But Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 60 of their last 94 games after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last twelve games after making at least 55% of their shots in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 62 games after a contest where at least 235 combined points were scored — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in thirteen of their last twenty games after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. Now after playing their last four games at home, the Celtics go back on the road where they are just 10-10 this season. Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after playing four straight games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning their last three games at home. Now they face this Heat against which they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 encounters. Miami has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 23 games after an upset loss as a home favorite in their last game. And while Miami has failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Heat are playing without point guard Goran Dragic but they are getting surprisingly good play from Justice Winslow who head coach Erik Spoelstra has inserted at the point. Miami does finally have shooting guard Dion Waiters back in the mix after he missed the first few months with injuries. The Heat lacks an elite go-to scorer but they have a deep roster of quality players. Miami has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Eastern Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams may be separated by 5 1/2 games in the standings but they are currently the fifth and sixth seeds in the Eastern Conference standings. With Boston playing on short rest and the Heat boasting a quality bench, expect a close game that Miami has a chance to pull the outright upset. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Game of the Month with the Miami Heat (538) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (537). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Dallas Mavericks (530) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (529). THE SITUATION: Dallas (18-22) has lost their last three games after their 107-97 upset loss at home to the Lakers as a 7.5-point underdog as a 7.5-point favorite. Phoenix (10-32) snapped their six-game losing streak last night with their 115-111 upset victory as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAVERICKS MINUS THE POINTS: Successful handicapping the dog days of the NBA regular season requires due throughout the afternoon regarding the status of key players dealing with day-to-day injuries. The Suns’ Devon Booker has been downgraded to doubtful with an ailing back after missing the last two games including last night’s contest. The Mavs’ Luka Doncic is listed as questionable with a sore back but he did practice yesterday. Fellow point guard Dennis Smith, Jr. is listed as questionable with a back injury but with trade rumors swirling with him having lost his starting job to the rookie phenom in Doncic, I am going to assume he does not take the court tonight. With the lack of afternoon news on Doncic after morning workouts, I am comfortable in assuming that he will take the court tonight — and that is enough for me to endorse the Mavericks in what is otherwise a fantastic situation. Dallas has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Mavericks have also covered the point spread in 32 of their last 45 games after a point spread loss. Dallas stays at home where they are 15-4 this season while scoring 112.7 PPG. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Despite their recent losing ways, Dallas has been playing better defense as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just 42.8% field goal percentage. Additionally, the Mavericks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Phoenix is likely due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The Suns held the Kings to a 47.5% field goal percentage which was actually the best defensive effort in their last seven contests. Phoenix has seen their last five opponents shoot 51.1% from the field. The Suns have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Now Phoenix goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: If Booker were probable to play tonight, I would still like Dallas in this contest — so the news that he has been downgraded to doubtful only improves this play. 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month is with the Dallas Mavericks (530) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Orlando (16-20) has lost five of their last seven games with their 125-100 loss at Charlotte as an 8.5-point underdog on Monday. Chicago (10-27) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-89 loss at Toronto as a 10.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Orlando has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss where at least 225 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Magic have played 28 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and this includes them playing six of their last eight games Under the Total after a loss away from home. This team is dealing with a host on injuries with the worst being at point guard where starter D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathan Simmons dealing with ankle injuries. Not all injuries disproportionally impact one end of the court but Orlando really misses Augustin’s 11.5 PPG along with a 4.9 Assists-Per-Game average along with his 43.8% shooting from behind the arc. The Magic have resorted to using Jerian Grant primary point guard but his lack of penetration skills to the paint limits their offense. Grant started in their last loss to the Hornets where Orlando shot just 41.3% from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. The Magic may also be without center Nikola Vucevic who is questionable with a calf injury. Now Orlando goes on the road where they score 100.6 PPG with a 43.1% field goal percentage while allowing 103.1 PPG with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.1% — and all those numbers are below their 103.4 PPG/44.4% offensive and 107.5 PPG/45.9% defensive numbers for the season. The Magic have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road  - — and they have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Orlando has also played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Magic will have revenge on their minds from a 90-80 loss at Chicago back on December 21st — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when avenging a road loss with seven of those last ten circumstances finishing Under the Total. Chicago has seen the Under go 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. The Bulls have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. Chicago is last in the NBA by scoring just 100.4 PPG. Interim head coach Jim Boylen is preaching to his players to embrace a slowed-down grinding style on offense perhaps as a contrarian philosophy to all the teams that have gone up-tempo this season. The Bulls are scoring only 97.2 PPG over their last five games — and being without their injured point guard Bobby Portis who is dealing with an ankle injury of his own does not help. But Chicago is playing better defense with this approach as they have held their last five opponents to just 95.6 PPG along with a low opponent’s field goal percentage of 40.9%. Those defensive numbers are a far cry from the 109.3 PPG and 45.3% field goal percentage they sport for the season — so perhaps Boyle is on to something for this team. The Bulls return home where they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total — and this includes them playing four of their last five home games Under the Total. The Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in the last 46 games when Chicago was favored, they have played 30 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing in Chicago. With the injuries with Orlando and the new emphasis on defense with the Bulls, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). THE SITUATION: Dallas (16-17) snapped a six-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 122-119 win at home over New Orleans (15-20) as a 2.5-point favorite. These two teams now travel to the Big Easy to play the back-end of this home-and-home series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Dallas should have both Dennis Smith and rookie phenom Luka Doncic on the court tonight as they both are listed as probable despite their nagging injuries. Over their last five games, the Mavericks are scoring 119.0 PPG which is eight points higher than their season average. But Dallas is also allowing their last five opponents to score 122.2 PPG on 50.1% shooting which are both much higher than the 110.2 PPG they are allowing this season on 46.7% shooting. Now the Mavs go on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and this includes them playing 6 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total with the over/under number in that range. The Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against Southwest Division rivals. They return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Pelicans are scoring 120.0 PPG on 48.3% shooting when playing on their home court with both those numbers far above their 116.4 PPG scoring average an 47.6% field goal percentage overall this season. New Orleans has played 30 of their last 46 home games Over the Total as the favorite. And in their last 33 opportunities to avenge a loss on the road, the Pelicans have played 23 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight meetings Over the Total. The Over is also 19-7-1 in the last 27 encounters between these two teams in New Orleans. Even with the high total, with the fast pace that the Pelicans like to play, expect a very high-scoring game. 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (568) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (567). THE SITUATION: Orlando (14-18) has lost three straight games with their 115-91 upset loss at home to Miami as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Phoenix (8-26) looks to rebound from a 111-103 loss at Brooklyn three days ago.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAGIC MINUS THE POINTS: Orlando has been a feisty team this season under head coach Steve Clifford. They have an emerging star in the middle in seven-footer Nikola Vucevic — and Clifford has employed a democratic offensive scheme around him that emphasizes passing to produce better-shot opportunities. The Magic have lost their last three games by double-digits with a bad 29-point loss to San Antonio followed up by a 10-point loss on the road at Chicago before their upset loss at home to the Heat. But this team should play better tonight as they are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread after losing three straight games by double-digits. Orlando has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. The Magic stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Orlando has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games on the road after a loss as an underdog where they covered the point spread. The Suns complete a long five-game road trip over the Holidays where they have been with their suitcases since December 17th. This team is just 3-15 on the road with an average losing margin of -11.5 net Points-Per-Game. Phoenix plays at a fast pace but their lack of defense can make things get ugly for them pretty quickly. They allow their home hosts to score 117.5 PPG while making 48.8% of their shots. The Suns have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games on the road as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 54 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Phoenix has covered the point spread in their last two games while losing both as the underdog. But not only have the Suns failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after losing two straight games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after losing their last two games an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Orlando’s patient style on offense should once again exploit this work-in-progress Suns defense. When these two teams last met on November 30th, the Magic defeated them by a 99-85 score. Given their recent struggles, Orlando will not have the luxury to take this young Phoenix team for granted tonight — while the Suns may be anxious to get this game over with and get back home. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Orlando Magic (568) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (567). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Lakers (563) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (564). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (19-14) has lost three of their last four games with their 107-99 upset loss to Memphis despite being a 5-point favorite on Sunday. Golden State (23-11) looks to build off their 129-127 win over the LA Clippers on Sunday as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LAKERS PLUS THE POINTS: Los Angeles hold play well in this high-profile contest as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Lakers have also covered the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after losing two of their last three games. Los Angeles had been on a fifteen of twenty run but a four-game road trip out east ended with them losing three of those four games while suffering upsets at Washington and Brooklyn. This young team is playing up and down based on their competition — but it is certainly encouraging that they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. LeBron James is still taking a step back in some of these games to see what his proverbial “supporting cast” can do without him. I expect him to bring his A-Game for this nationally-televised contest with the NBA having the monopoly of the public’s attention for sporting events today. The team has played better since head coach Luke Walton moved Kyle Kuzma to the power forward position on defense. Center JaVale McGee is likely out for this contest with an injury but they hope that Tyson Chandler can take the court again with his back injury. Of course, having big men as defenders on the court is not as big a concern when facing the Warriors with their perimeter-oriented style of play. The Lakers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against Pacific Division rivals. Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against fellow Pacific Division foes. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. And while Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Motivation is an issue for the two-time defending NBA champions. This group seems content to do just enough of what is necessary to win these regular season games. It is quite telling that they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Golden State is an impressive 15-3 at home this season but they are only defeating their visitors by +6.2 net PPG. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Golden State is making only 44.15% of their shots over their last five games.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have not been very reliable when asked to lay close to 10 points. James has been sensational this season when he has decided to take over games. He should keep his team close in this one. 25* NBA Divisional Game of the Month with the Los Angeles Lakers (563) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (21-11) saw their four-game winning streak on Sunday with a 114-112 loss at home to Minnesota despite being 6-point favorites in that game. Houston (17-15) has won six of their last seven games with their 108-101 win over San Antonio as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss against a divisional rival as a home favorite. Oklahoma City allowed the Timberwolves to make 49.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. The Thunder have been playing outstanding defense even without their star defender Andre Roberson on the shelf with a knee injury. Oklahoma City leads the NBA in Points-Per-Possession allowed along with forced turnovers. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. Now the Thunder go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total — and they have played 39 of their last 55 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. OKC has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 straight games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Houston (17-15) has played 30 of their last 48 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Rockets have played 32 of their last 45 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Houston has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team will once again be without Chris Paul for two to four weeks after he suffered a hamstring strain a few days ago. His loss is critical since he was the best complementary scoring option to James Harden this season. The Rockets stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 40-18-1 in their last 59 games when facing a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. The Rockets will revenge on their home from a 98-80 upset loss to the Thunder back on November 8th as a 5-point favorite. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent.

FINAL TAKE: The absence of Paul makes the Rockets easier to defend since their opponents can focus on slowing down Russell Westbrook. As it is, these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect that trend to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (510) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (509). THE SITUATION: Boston (18-12) has suffered two straight upset losses with their 111-103 loss to Phoenix on Wednesday despite being an 11.5-point favorite in that game. Milwaukee (21-9) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 123-115 win over New Orleans on Wednesday as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston had been on an eight-game winning streak before losing these last two games to the Suns and the Pistons in Detroit last Saturday. Injuries have played a role with Al Horford and Marcus Morris both out with knee injuries. The good news for the Celtics is that Morris has been upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. This team raised their level of play as of late with head coach Brad Stevens’ decision to insert Marcus Smart into the starting lineup. Smart is an outstanding defensive player who is happy to play a supporting role on the offensive end of the court. This Boston team is so loaded with talent that sharing the basketball has been a problem. Stevens’ decision to settle on Smart to form a core starting foursome with Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum and Morris has been electric as those four have outscored their opponents by +27.2 points per 100 possessions in their last ten games when playing together on the court. The second unit has also improved with the clarification that Gordon Hayward, Jaylen Brown, and Terry Rozier will be anchoring that group. The Celtics should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after losing two straight games. Boston stays at home where they are 9-4 with this season with an average winning margin of +9.6 PPG. The Celtics hold their visitors to just a 42.7% field goal percentage. They have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 30 games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, not only have the Celtics covered the point spread in 24 of their last 36 games in expected close games with the point spread in the +/- 3-point range but they have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Milwaukee is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after winning three of their last four games. This team has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Bucks are just 7-6 on the road — and they are only 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be very motivated to get back to their winning ways against one of the biggest threats in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee struggles against the Celtics as they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 encounters with them — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in their last 6 trips to Boston. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (510) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (509). Best of luck for us — Frank.