Chris Creighton is 32-14-1 ATS as a road underdog at Eastern Michigan. Worth a sprinkle if you are looking for action tonight.

Well we have the two best teams in FCS football playing in the championship as North Dakota State takes on James Madison. Quite simply for me, the Dukes are the better team and I think they will win this one outright. Depending upon the book you use, the Circa in Las Vegas has the Dukes -2 while 5Dimes has North Dakota State -1.5. 

It's Bud Foster's final game as defensive coordinator for the Hokies and they get Kentucky on Tuesday. The Wildcats offense is predicated on Lynn Bowden Jr's mobility and the ground game. Last month they ran the ball an average of 51 times per game. VT has the 27th ranked rushing defense and has held their last seven opponents to less than 150 rushing yards. Normally I'd be worried that Caleb Farley is not a guarantee for Tech because he's their best corner but he wouldn't be very busy anyways. 

Power 5 teams averaged just under 20 points per game against UK's defense. The Hokies offense is solid, but very one dimensional. They can't run it very well even with the return of Jalen Holston so that puts more on Hendon Hooker who has been very good down the stretch. He's got amazing receivers with everyone healthy now. The Wildcats have the 2nd best pass rush by the numbers in the SEC. Another key factor is that both teams have amazing punters which will help the under and make each team have to drive long drives in order to score. I just don't know how either team gets to 24 points unless there's a massive turnover issue which neither team has. Give me the under here.

The Hilltoppers boast the best scoring defense in Conference USA and have allowed just 20.1 points per game in 12 games. WKU allowed an average of 137.3 yards rushing per game. The group features C-USA Defensive Player of the Year DeAngelo Malone, who was tied for fourth in the country with 21 tackles for loss and 11th in the nation with 11.5 sacks when receiving the honor. Only two schools ran for 200 yards on the Hilltoppers this year and they were the two power five schools on Western Kentucky’s schedule. The problems for the Toppers come on offense where they are just okay. They want to run it and use their superiority up front. Western Michigan's offense is going to be one of the best WKU has seen this season. They have popped off quite a bit this season, but they've also failed to see too many defenses like this. The Broncos want to run the ball which will take some time off the clock. WMU has gone under in eight of their 12 games while Western Kentucky has gone under in half of their contests. I think this one features a bit more ball control. 

Quite simply, I think Clemson is the best team in the country and it seems like they are relishing playing third fiddle to Ohio State and LSU. These two teams are ridiculously similar with strong offenses and even stronger defenses. The Tigers average just over 46 points per game while the Buckeyes average just over 48. Yes, Clemson played a ridiculously easy schedule, but they took care of business smashing everyone except UNC. Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne are a potent duo and that doesn't even include the WRs out wide and Etienne's backup as well. Ohio State has also been rolling as of late although Justin Fields did come out recently and say his ankle still isn't 100%. Hasn't mattered down the stretch, but the defense has shown some cracks. They gave up chunk plays to both Michigan and Wisconsin away from home where their defense just isn't as strong. This is really personal preference to me. I'm a guy who thinks Clemson is just the better team, but you could think OSU is. I like Dabo in a big game and Brent Venables is the best defensive coordinator in football. 

Michigan State is 6-6 and has limped down the stretch. Sure, the Spartans beat Rutgers and Maryland in their last two games, but pretty much everyone beat those two. The more concerning part is that they scored only 46 points against two awful defenses and have put up just 97 their last five games overall. There's no questioning Sparty's defense although you can beat them through the air. Illinois threw for 369 yards in their 37-34 win in East Lansing. Wake Forest has lost three of their last four, but they were ravaged by injuries on offense. Even with those problems they still managed to put up a combined 69 points on Duke and Syracuse. The big problem for this team is their defense that has been awful against the run and the pass. They will be without safety Nasir Greer who was honorable mention all-ACC. Still, what's the motivation for Michigan State to show up in this game in a baseball stadium against a perceived lower level ACC team. I'll take the Demon Deacons plus the points. One other thing to consider is that Wake's kicker has missed one FG all year while Sparty's has missed nine. Give me the dog here.

I'm going to lock in this play now as I don't want to lose the value of the line and where it's at. Miami just finished up a 6-6 season and now has to head to Shreveport to take on Louisiana Tech. The Hurricanes traditionally have not shown up for games like this as they think this stuff is below them. Jarren Williams and N'Kosi Perry are vying for the quarterback position as Miami tries to find who will best suit the offense. The Canes have lost to FIU and Duke their last two games after a three game win streak.

On the other side, you've got Louisiana Tech who has been a fantastic team this season when everyone was available. They lost two of their last three when the quarterback and #1 wide receiver were suspended. With them in place, the offense was fantastic and the defense even played pretty well. They've played just seven contests against the ACC since 1992 so you know they'll relish this chance.

I'm playing a lack of motivation for the Canes in this one. I'm also playing the chance that Miami loses a player or two as they prep for the draft and sit out this game.

** Watch the headlines to see who may or may not play in this one. It will severely change my thoughts here, but as of now this is my play **

I missed the value of 51 on this one, but I still think we see an under in JMU/Weber State game. The Dukes offense was uncharacteristically sloppy last week in the win over Northern Iowa. The thing is that their defense was lock down once again. JMU's front line with Greene, Daka and Carter is immense and will shut down run games. I think the Dukes will improve on offense, but once again Weber State is going to struggle to score. 

Weber's offense did just enough last week in the snow against Montana. They have a very mediocre quarterback in Jake Constantine who nearly has as many interceptions as he does touchdowns. They have a mediocre run game and some decent weapons on the outside, but what the Wildcats are known for is their defense. They held San Diego State to just six points in week one and then a few weeks later did solid work against Nevada. I think this one could be a bit of a field position battle. 

I liked it a lot more at 51 but at 47, I think it's still worth a look. I can see a 31-10 type game. 

These two teams have a ton of similarities. NDSU is No. 5 in the FCS with 285.9 rushing yards per game and Montana State is No. 7 with 265.9, but neither team has a 1,000-yard rusher. The Bobcats are No. 9 with 107.1 rushing yards allowed per game while the Bison are No. 30 with 134.7. The Bison have 41 sacks and have allowed 12. MSU has 41 sacks and have allowed 13.

These two teams want to move the ball on the ground and I don't know if they'll be successful. In their last three games, the defending champions are averaging 22.3 PPG and 363.0 YPG. Montana State is averaging nearly 40 points per game over that same span as well.

I think it's a field position battle between these two. I don't know if someone gets to 27 so I'm feeling it could be a 21-10 game. The one worry is that the Bison snap out of their doldrums and blow this thing out, but I just don't see that happening.

** I'd play this down to 45 or so. If you wait maybe the total sails up a bit and there's more value **

If you got in early on this one, then you are feeling good with the Jordan Love news. The Aggies quarterback was pinched for marijuana along with leading rusher Gerold Bright. One has to believe that the two will miss some time and potentially the whole game. Behind Love is a lightly used quarterback who saw mostly mop up duty. I really don't love the Aggies and how they closed things out down the stretch on defense. Linebacker David Woodward will miss his fifth straight game and you notice his absence on the run defense. 

Momentum is a big thing in these games and Kent State has it. They've won three straight and have covered each of their last five as an underdog. Dustin Crum has 2,336 yards and 18 TDs to 2 INT and leads the team in rushing yards.. Kent State scored 30+ points in five of its final six games overall. The Flashes will get starting junior safety Qwuantrezz Knight back from a head injury that kept him out of action the past two games.

I think USU losing Love is pretty big. Kent State's defense isn't great, but if Bright is out too even for a period, that's huge. I'm taking the MAC school as I think they have a shot outright. 

** I'd consider Kent State in 1H too. The Aggies have surrendered a whopping 87 first-half points over their previous three games, with 73 coming in their final two games of the season. **

Before the season began, the line for this game was a pick'em according to the Westgate because Army was supposed to be really good with Kelvin Hopkins under center and Navy was supposed to struggle considering how few starters they had back on defense. Well the script has been flipped for this one with the Naval Academy playing in a bowl game and Army being massively disappointing. In this battle of triple option teams you've got Hopkins and Jabari Laws under center vs. Malcolm Perry for Navy with the edge clearly going to the squad with the AAC Offensive Player of the Year. The problems for Army come on the defensive side of the ball although they did have a decent stretch of games against Air Force, UMass and VMI. Navy's defense allowed 121 points their last three games against Notre Dame, SMU and Houston, but Army's not as explosive. 

The under is about as close to an instabet in this series as could possibly be. These two teams won't allow for a ton of possessions due to the triple option and the familiarity each has with it. Yes, Navy can throw it more and that's something to consider, but the nature of this game lends to no one really running away with it. There's been one game that has been decided by more than one score since 2011 and that came in 2013 when Navy won 34-7. I know what's at stake and I know that Army has won three straight, but I just think this is way too many points in another potential one possession contest. 

Before the season began, the line for this game was a pick'em according to the Westgate because Army was supposed to be really good with Kelvin Hopkins under center and Navy was supposed to struggle considering how few starters they had back on defense. Well the script has been flipped for this one with the Naval Academy playing in a bowl game and Army being massively disappointing. In this battle of triple option teams you've got Hopkins and Jabari Laws under center vs. Malcolm Perry for Navy with the edge clearly going to the squad with the AAC Offensive Player of the Year. The problems for Army come on the defensive side of the ball although they did have a decent stretch of games against Air Force, UMass and VMI. Navy's defense allowed 121 points their last three games against Notre Dame, SMU and Houston, but Army's not as explosive. 

The under is about as close to an instabet in this series as could possibly be. These two teams won't allow for a ton of possessions due to the triple option and the familiarity each has with it. Yes, Navy can throw it more and that's something to consider, but the nature of this game lends to no one really running away with it. There's been one game that has been decided by more than one score since 2011 and that came in 2013 when Navy won 34-7. I know what's at stake and I know that Army has won three straight, but I just think this is way too many points in another potential one possession contest. 

James Madison hosts Northern Iowa on Friday night at 7 o clock on ESPN2. The Dukes average nearly 500 yards of offense as they feature a full backfield with several running backs and an efficient passing attack led by Ben DiNucci. It's a little tough to take an under with this team because they've scored a ton on everyone. This squad also third in total defense and features a ferocious front line and a stout secondary. UNI is 11th in the FCS in total defense and 14th in scoring defense. The Panthers allowed only 220 yards against South Dakota State and 213 against San Diego. They've played road games in Ames Iowa and Fargo North Dakota so they won't be intimidated by Harrisonburg. The common thread for a lot of the steps up in competition for the Panthers is a lack of offense. They put up 26 on Iowa State in week 1, 14 on North Dakota State and 13 on South Dakota State last week. The worry is that they go three and out a ton and the game gets away from them. There's also going to be some precipitation in the forecast which could effect some things. I don't think JMU will be worried about it because they are balanced, but maybe it causes issues for UNI. I'll take my chances with the under in this one.

The ACC Championship figures to be a blowout on Saturday night as Clemson takes the final step towards another playoff berth. The Tigers are averaging over 45 points per game as a unit while putting up almost 550 yards. Their coach Dabo Swinney has played the disrespect card and will want to use this platform to remind everyone how good they are. The best thing for this matchup is how banged up UVA is in the secondary. They let Hendon Hooker throw all over them last week and his attack is nowhere near as good as Trevor Lawrence. Travis Etienne should be able to find some holes against this front seven. On the other side, Clemson's defense is putting up epic numbers, but I think they are facing their best offense of the season in the Wahoos. UVA is averaging over 30 points per game and features Bryce Perkins who is the 2nd best QB in the ACC. UVA has scored 30 points or more in four straight and five of their last six. I think Perkins will be able to keep Clemson honest enough. The Hoos have gone over in eight of their 12 games this year. I just see a lot of points in this on one Saturday. 

The winner of this SEC game will get their spot in the FBS playoffs. The Tigers are 12-0 and are putting up almost 50 points per game. Joe Burrow and this offense have scored 45 or more in four straight games, but outside of Alabama, I'm not too impressed with the defenses they've faced. Georgia allowed 151 rushing yards against three ranked foes, and it held Notre Dame and Florida under 50. LSU's defense has struggled at times, but I'm really not that scared of Georgia's offense. The Bulldogs put up 52 on a bad Georgia Tech team, but scored 67 points the previous three weeks and have been inconsistent on that side of the ball. Lawrence Cager got hurt and George Pickens is out for the first half after getting ejected last week. D'Andre Swift is the team's star running back, but he's not 100%. UGA's run defense has been awesome the past few weeks and the secondary has it's moments. Last year LSU won this game 36-16 at home with a 16-0 halftime score.

Kennesaw State is coming off a 28-21 road win at Wofford in round one of the FCS playos. In that game, quarterback Tommy Bryant suffered a leg injury and backup Jonathan Murphy came in to rush for 206 yards and three touchdowns. This team wants to run it as they average nearly 350 yards on the ground per game. Kennesaw has held seven opponents to 20 points or less and nearly knocked off their FBS opponent Kent State 26-23 in overtime. Another factor to consider here is that this will be their fourth road game over their last five. Weber State has had the week off to prepare for this one and is ninth in the FCS with 107.3 rushing yards allowed per game. They've held seven opponents to 20 points or less and are very familiar with the triple option as they've seen Cal Poly four straight years. Over the last four seasons, the Wildcats have held Cal Poly to an average of 12 points less and 128 rushing yards less than their usual scoring and rushing averages. I just think we see a lot of rushing and some long possessions. Give me the under here. 

Motivation is a powerful factor in this game as Troy hosts Appalachian State. The Trojans are coming off a 53-3 loss at Lafayette in which they got blasted in a bunch of areas. This is an offense that had scored 30 points or more in each of their previous five games before that ugly loss. Kaleb Barker is a very good quarterback and that offense should be able to move the ball enough to keep things interesting. App State is making their way to the Sun Belt title game again so this contest doesn't mean as much right now. They lost their stud wide receiver Sutton last week, so you know they are going to want to run it a lot and get out of dodge with a victory. App State's defense can be beaten through the air with South Carolina and North Carolina putting up over 300 yards. I just think this one is tighter then people expect as Troy is playing for bowl eligibility. Give me the home team. 

Fresno State is a ridiculously banged up bunch right now and I think Nevada has a chance to pick them off. The Wolf Pack are coming off a bye week after winning two in a row over New Mexico and San Diego State. One could say the bye week screwed up their mojo, but I'd like to think it helped focus them up more. The team has struggled to run it and is getting just enough in the passing game to win. Defensively Nevada is playing well against the pass and has held up okay against the run. Fresno State has lost two straight and three of their last four. The defense is riddled with injuries and the offense is just not getting much going especially since the offensive line has a ton of injuries. Fresno State has started three centers, three left tackles and four left guards. I'll take a shot on the under. Nevada has gone under in four straight and six of their last eight. Fresno scored seven points last week vs. San Diego State. Give me the under here. 

Oklahoma is coming off a highly emotional win over Baylor on the road and now they host TCU on Saturday. The Sooners offense is averaging 47 points per game while the defense has allowed 120 points over their last three contests. You can beat OU's defense and one has to wonder if there will be a hangover after last week. TCU has lost four of their last six, but they've gone over the total in four straight and seven of their last eight. The Horned Frogs offense was humming last week in the 33-31 win over Texas Tech in which they put up almost 600 yards of offense. TCU's problem is on defense where they've allowed 24 or more in six straight contests. The last two years these two have played games with scores of 41-17 and 52-27. Quite simply, I think this one will see a lot of points.

Wake Forest has their final home game of the season as they host Duke. The offense has collapsed with the loss of WRs Surratt and Washington and it showed last week against Clemson. Jamie Newman was harassed into all sorts of issues. He does still have Kendall Hinton, but it's just not the same. It's a worry that Wake plays with a bit of pace, but that doesn't matter if you are going three and out. Wake's defense is bad, but at home they held NC State to 10 points and FSU to 20.

Duke has scored just 44 points the last four weeks. Their offense has collapsed big time with Quentin Harris regressing and opponents stacking the box against the run. The Blue Devil defense has shown up at times although last week getting blasted by Syracuse was a worry. They've gone under in 12 of their last 18 as an underdog and 10 of their last 15 on the road. To me, this one should be played a little closer to the vest. The weather is going to be rainy so the passing games may be hampered a bit. I think this one is an under. 

This line confuses me as Cincinnati has been living on the edge during this current win streak. The Bearcats are coming off a narrow 20-17 win at South Florida in which they passed for just 78 yards. The defense was gashed by the Bulls and had to hold on for dear life. Just a few weeks before that, Cincy beat a woeful ECU team 46-43 at their place and they allowed over 500 yards in that one. The offense hasn't been great at times this season and the defense is very exploitable. 

Temple has won two straight since a brief two game losing streak. The Owls held down a pretty good Tulane offense last week and can still win the AAC with two wins and some help. The Owls offense can run it and Anthony Russo is capable of winning games too. Yes, Temple's defense has struggled against athletes, but does Cincy have enough of them? Their quarterback is very mediocre and Temple has dominated this series as of late. They beat Cincinnati at home 24-17 last year after knocking them off 35-24 on the road in 2017. Give me the underdog here.

Louisiana Monroe has lost three of their last four and it's because of a very leaky defense and an offense that has gone through some awful stretches. The Warhawks have scored 115 points the last three weeks, but have also given up 130 on defense. The last four opponents have rushed for 200 yards or more on them. I really like Caleb Evans as a quarterback. He threw for 291 yards and three touchdowns two weeks ago against Georgia State and is facing a team with seven sophomores or freshmen in their top eight of the depth chart in the secondary. Coastal has lost five of their last six and it's because of a lot of injuries too. They have allowed 28 or more in seven straight contests as you can torch them in the secondary. The Chanticleers have gone over in 10 of their last 18 on the road. The last two scores in this series were 51-43 and 45-20. Give me the over here. 

Appalachian State is 9-1 and Texas State is 3-7. The Bobcats have allowed 33.2 points per contest and over 400 yards per tilt as well. TSU on the road has lost by 30 at SMU, 24 at Ark State and 28 at Louisiana Lafayette. They got crushed at home last time out 63-27 by Troy and App State's offense is a lot better. Appalachian State is steamrolling folks at home outside of the Georgia Southern loss. The Mountaineers have a 19 point win over Coastal Carolina and a 45 point win there over Louisiana Monroe. Yes, a road game against Troy is next, but it's senior day and App State can't afford to slip up when they are playing for a New Year's Day bowl. This one should be over by halftime. 

Georgia Tech may be one of the best two win teams in America after another close shave in Charlottesville last week. The Jackets are one of the best teams against the pass holding teams to under 200 yards per game on average. Georgia Tech has actually struggled more it seems at home where they lost to The Citadel back in September as a 27 point favorite. The Hokies are playing some great football right now having won four of five since the Duke loss. The offense worked very well against the Demon Deacons and they slowed down their vaunted attack as well. Tech and UVA are the only two teams that control their own destiny in the Coastal right now. With regards to this game, I think it's a bad spot for the Hokies as they head down to Atlanta. They are coming off a highly charged emotional win for Bud Foster and have another home game against a Coastal foe in Pittsburgh next. I think focus could be an issue here and I wish I was getting more points. The play is Georgia Tech plus the points. I don't know if they win, but it's going to be tight.

Two of the lesser offenses in the SEC play as Vandy hosts Kentucky. The Wildcats have gone under in six straight games as their O has gone really anemic. Kentucky has scored just 109 points over their last seven contests. A lot of that has to do with injuries at quarterback, but Sawyer Smith is healthier and Lynn Bowden is still playing at quarterback. The good thing for them is that their defense has been really good. The last three weeks this team has allowed 45 points and that included 21 in the pouring rain against Georgia. It's very hard to run on these guys and their secondary has held six straight opponents to less then 220 yards through the air. Vandy will have Riley Neal under center which will help them. The Commodores have scored 44 points the last five games and have gone under in five of their last six. Vandy's defense is nothing special, but they've spent a lot of time on the field. This team held South Carolina to 24 and Missouri to 14. Last year this was a 14-7 game with two better teams. I think we could see something similar here.

Two of the lesser offenses in the SEC play as Vandy hosts Kentucky. The Wildcats have gone under in six straight games as their O has gone really anemic. Kentucky has scored just 109 points over their last seven contests. A lot of that has to do with injuries at quarterback, but Sawyer Smith is healthier and Lynn Bowden is still playing at quarterback. The good thing for them is that their defense has been really good. The last three weeks this team has allowed 45 points and that included 21 in the pouring rain against Georgia. It's very hard to run on these guys and their secondary has held six straight opponents to less then 220 yards through the air. Vandy will have Riley Neal under center which will help them. The Commodores have scored 44 points the last five games and have gone under in five of their last six. Vandy's defense is nothing special, but they've spent a lot of time on the field. This team held South Carolina to 24 and Missouri to 14. Last year this was a 14-7 game with two better teams. I think we could see something similar here.

This should be a fun one in the CAA on Saturday. One has to wonder where the Spiders heads are at after blowing last week vs. Villanova. It was a 35-28 loss to the Wildcats in which Nova was able to do whatever they wanted in the second half. Richmond's offense has some potential to move the ball even on James Madison's stout defense. Joe Mancuso has been very good as a dual threat quarterback lately. The Spiders defense has talent, but on the road they've given up 45 at BC, 25 at Delaware and the aforementioned 35 to the Cats. JMU has faced five ranked opponents their last six games and they have scored 54, 27, 38, 45 and 45. They want to run it, but also have threats outside. It's a rivalry game so you know that the Dukes will score a little extra if they get the chance to. JMU overs have been very profitable to me and I'm going to keep pounding them.

Coastal Carolina's defense figures to get smashed in this game as their secondary has been ravaged by injuries. CCU has allowed over 700 yards through the air at home against Troy and Lafayette. The Chanticleers offense was poor last week scoring seven points. Before that, they had a stretch of six straight games scoring 21 or more. I think they can move the ball on Arkansas State who has given up 35 or more in four of their last five and five of their last seven. Even Southern Illinois put up 28 on the Red Wolves. Layne Hatcher has been great for their offense though as this team is cruising offensively. They put up 35 or more on UNLV, SIU, Troy, Georgia State, Texas State and UL-Monroe. ASU has gone over in four of their last six. This game last year was a 44-16 ASU win on the road which followed a 51-17 victory back in 2017. Coastal is 10-4-3 to the over in their last 17 road games. Give me the over here.

Towson has won three of their last four after a three game losing streak. The Tigers offense is very capable putting up 31 each of the last two weeks at home against Delaware and on the road at Stony Brook. Tom Flacco is putting up fantastic numbers for the Tigers with 2,426 yards passing to go with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions. One of his main targets is Shane Leatherbury who has 44 receptions and nine touchdown catches. Defensively, Towson is allowing over 400 yards of offense. Villanova was able to score 52, Albany 38, JMU 27 and Delaware 24. The Tribe have scored 25, 31 and 55 points their last three weeks against the likes of Maine, Elon and Rhode Island. This team continues to run the go-go offense which means that they are running a ton of plays and putting pressure on their opponents. When it doesn't work, that puts their defense early and often. They are giving up over 400 yards of offense themselves. Towson is desperate to keep their playoff hopes alive and I think this one sees a boatload of points.

This seems like way too many points in this game. Florida is coming off a 56-0 win at home against Vanderbilt. The Gators defense was massive and their offense was great too. UF's defense has been good for the most part outside of giving up 42 to LSU on the road. They held UGA to 24, Auburn to 13 and Tennessee to 3. The thing is Missouri's defense is also really good. The secondary has been fantastic against the pass and it matches up well with the Gators. The under has hit in seven of their last eight games. Kelly Bryant is back after missing last week, but is he going to be rusty. The Tigers scored just 21 points during their three game road stretch at Vandy, Kentucky and Georgia. I think this is way too many points and I'll take the under. 

Louisville has won three of their last four and has a pair of road victories already this season. Scott Satterfield has done great things with this team and a lot of them showed up last time out two weeks ago against UVA. In that game they featured a dynamic running attack and a defense that clamped down on the run and played well in the secondary. That's not the norm, but I really think they have the talent to make things interesting on Saturday. Miami has won three of their last four, but are a maddeningly inconsistent team to figure out right now. Miami's offense has shown a bit of a pulse lately with Jarren Williams under center. They don't run it very well which means the signal caller has to be more involved. Miami's defense has finally played like the unit we thought they were. Seven straight opponents have thrown for 250 yards or less. The Canes have covered just 10 of their last 28 as a favorite including one of five this season. I like the road team with the extra week to prepare as Miami has their final home game of the season.

These two teams are going in different directions right now. The home team was leading James Madison in the 4th quarter, but couldn't finish the deal and have now lost three straight. Villanova's problems start in the backfield where they are getting almost half the product from DeeWil Barlee that they got from Justin Covington who tore his ACL. Richmond's offense has been clicking with Joe Mancuso under center. In all but one game he's led them in passing and rushing yards averaging 263 through the air and 82 yards on the ground. During this losing streak, Villanova has allowed 28 to New Hampshire, 36 to Stony Brook and 38 to JMU. Those are some dynamic offenses much like UR. During this recent stretch, the Spiders have scored 30 on Stony Brook, 35 at Delaware and 27 on Yale. The defense has gotten better with a really strong set of linebackers. Villanova probably was the better team entering the season but I really think UR is right now so I'll take all these points.

** I like this play from +8.5 and higher if it should move **

Rhode Island's offense has a lot of potential through the air which is good because William and Mary specializes against the run themselves. The Rams have Vito Priore under center with Aaron Parker out wide. URI's defense has given up 32.4 points per game and 438.4 yards per contest. This team has had a tough road schedule losing 41-20 at Ohio, 27-24 at New Hampshire, 34-17 at Virginia Tech and 35-28 at Albany to go along with a 31-28 win at Brown. The Tribe continue to run the go-go offense to mixed results. They've had to play some quarterback roulette with Hollis Mathis and Kilton Anderson going in and out of the lineup from time to time. Last week they won at Elon 31-29 which halted a five game losing streak. The WM defense has had a stretch of five straight opponents scoring 29 points or more. I think this one should see plenty of points.

Temple was 5-1 and then got blasted the last two games by SMU and UCF in games that showed their defense has problems with athletes and speed on the outside. They gave up 45 to the Mustangs on the road and 63 at home to the Knights. The defense is better then that, but they've had some odd performances on the road. The Owls allowed 38 at Buffalo, but a lot of that came after a bogus targeting penalty on Shaun Bradley. Temple's offense has been pretty consistent scoring 21 or more in all but one contest this season. They can run it a bit and can throw it with Anthony Russo and Todd Centeio. The WR corps is very strong. USF's defense can be exploited especially at home where they allowed 49 to Wisconsin and 48 to SMU. They struggle against the run with several teams rushing for 180 or more. USF's offense was supposed to be strong with Kerwin Bell coming to install his uptempo offense. They've put up 45, 3, 27 and 48 in their last four games as the run game has figured things out. The problems come with the passing attack led by freshman Jordan McCloud who has 10 touchdown passes and six interceptions. Jordan Cronkite is the guy who makes this thing go at running back. The Owls have gone over in nine of their last 15 on the road. I think this one sees plenty of points.

Vandy is coming off a bye week after a 21-14 win over Missouri. The Commodores offense has been underwhelming all year outside of scoring 38 on LSU. They've put up 21 or less in three straight games and four overall. The quarterback play has been poor and it's not keeping opponents honest. Vandy's defense is nothing special, but they've done a solid job against the lesser teams they've faced. South Carolina could be one of those squads as their offense has scored 21 or less four times already. Ryan Hilinski has had the ups and downs of a freshman QB. Their defense needs to be better after giving up 41 to Tennessee last time out. That can't happen against the lackluster Volunteers. The under has hit in three of their last five. Vandy has gone under in four straight and five of their seven overall. Give me the under here. 

MTSU is getting a lot of respect after beating FIU 50-17 at home as an underdog. Still, the Blue Raiders other wins came at home against Tennessee State and Marshall. The team was able to run it last week in a torrential downpour and take the ball out of their qb's hands. Their defense was pretty solid, but that's not representative for the whole season. You can run on these guys which means Benny LeMay should go nuts. Charlotte saw their four game losing streak end after an awesome 39-38 comeback win over North Texas. They were able to use their balance to run and pass the ball. Charlotte's defense is brutal so that's a worry, but this team is 3-1 at home this season. I'm going to take a shot with the underdog in this one. I think they can get the points when they need to.

It's the big time rivalry game as Kansas hosts Kansas State. The Wildcats are coming off a 48-41 win at home against Oklahoma. Their offense clicked big time for the first time after three lackluster weeks. In an ideal world, they want to have some balance with the run and pass game. Still, focus could be a slight issue after the huge win last week. Since the bye, Kansas has scored 48 and 37 on Texas and Texas Tech. The offense is clicking as they play with a quicker pace and are able to move the ball. The Jayhawks defense is still hideous as all but three opponents have had no issues running the ball. Right now, you can't set Kansas totals high enough for me not to take the over. It's a perfect recipe for a shootout Saturday.

Miami is feeling good after picking up a sloppy 16-12 road win at Pittsburgh. The Hurricanes have won four of their last six despite struggling to score. This team has put up 21 or less in three straight and four of their last five. The defense is still having problems slowing down the run. They've actually been very good against the pass though. FSU is coming off crushing my Orange 35-17 extending their streak to five straight unders. I like their defense and the offense looked competent as well. I'm not ready to buy them playing like that consistently though. I think it was more a product of their opponent then suddenly figuring things out. Miami has gone under in 22 of their last 32 games while the Noles have gone under in five of their eight tilts this year alone. To me, this one is an under.

Stony Brook is ranked in the FCS top 25 poll right now after winning in Villanova 36-35. The Sea Wolves were down 28-10 at halftime, but Tyquell Fields brought them back as well as Ty Son Lawton. This team also took JMU to overtime falling 45-38 at home at the beginning of October. Stony Brook won at Rhode Island 31-27 and beat Fordham 45-10. Their offense isn't in question and their defense isn't infallible. The Spiders offense is clicking right now after scoring 35 at Delaware and 27 at home against Yale. Joe Mancuso has several solid weapons at wide receiver and a defense that can be beaten as well. Richmond at home has played games with scores of 38-19, 42-20, 23-20 and 28-27. To me, this one should be another shootout.

The Owls are a great underdog and for some reason continue to be underrated by the oddsmakers. Already this season, they've covered as a home dog against Maryland and Memphis winning both games outright. I think some of the shine came off after their loss against SMU last week in which they gave up over 400 yards through the air. Still, this offense is capable of doing good things and controlling the clock a bit. They've run for 150 yards or more five times already this season. The defense, for the most part has been fantastic holding the Terps to 17 points back in week 3. UCF is 5-2 and you can notice that in their two losses, they were out-physicaled and got punched in the mouth a bit. This will be their fourth road game and they are 1-2 so far away from home. We know how good their offense is, but their defense is very vulnerable. The Golden Knights have dominated this series as of late although last year they only won 52-40 against the Owls at home in a game that saw Temple go punch for punch with them. I'll take the home team in this one.

Kansas has an offense now as they made a change at coordinator and is going a lot faster. They put up 48 points on Texas last week on the road and they had 86 plays in the loss to the Longhorns. Pooka Williams really benefits in this new system. Texas Tech's defense has allowed 28 or more in five straight games. You can throw on them and they've allowed 28, 55 and 33 on the road this year. Jett Duffey has replaced Alan Bowman pretty well so far as this team has put up 45, 30 and 24 in their last three games. The Red Raiders are showing some solid balance on offense and should be able to get what they want against a Jayhawks team with some key injuries on defense. In KU's first conference game they gave up 29 to West Virginia then allowed 51, 45 and 50 in the next three contests. The last two years this game saw scores 48-16 and 65-19. I missed the early number here, but I still think the over is in play and I think there's a shot KU gets the win as well.

South Carolina and Tennessee play on Saturday in a game important for bowl eligibility. The Gamecocks are 3-4 and are coming off a 38-27 loss at home to Florida. South Carolina's offense has been underwhelming for the most part scoring 24 points or less five times with one of the non contests being against Charleston Southern. The defense has sprung some leaks against the run, but has been good against the pass. Tennessee's offense is also anemic as of late. They've scored just 50 points the last four weeks against SEC competition. They have a terrible group of quarterbacks which affects the running game. The defense has done some solid work against the lesser offenses they've faced. They held Mississippi State to 10 points in Rocky Top a few weeks ago. USC has gone under in eight of their last 11 road games. Tennessee has gone under in 11 of their last 20 SEC games. Give me the under in this one.

ECU interests me a ton in this matchup. USF's offense is just not working under their new coordinator from Valdosta State. Even worse right now, they are deciding between a healthy walk-on and a backup quarterback who has shoulder and arm issues right now and can barely throw. USF is 3-4 on the year with the wins coming over South Carolina State, UConn and BYU. Problem is that when the offense doesn't work, it really doesn't work. This squad still hasn't fixed their issues on defense either. You can certainly run on them with five teams putting up 180 or more against them. ECU showed me something in the 2nd half vs. UCF last week. They were blown out in the first half, but made things a little interesting after halftime. They've got some decent quarterback play and can control the clock with their run game. I love the Mike Houston hire as he knows offense. USF is 7-12 against the spread the last three years as a favorite. I really question the motivation of the road team right now with an awful coach like Charlie Strong. Give me the home dog here.

Buffalo turns to Kyle VanTrease under center after Matt Myers was announced to be out for the year. He had an awful game last week against Akron, but it didn't matter throwing for just 65 yards. His backup is a true freshman and the third stringer is a wide receiver who is also holding field goals. This offense wants to succeed by running it with Marks and Patterson. CMU has won three straight and can be beaten on the ground, but they are pretty stout in the back end. The question is if UB can slow down a Chips offense that is smoking hot right now. They've scored 122 points during this win streak as Quinten Dormady and Jonathan Ward lead the way. Buffalo's defense has been vulnerable against the pass when stressed. They've put up good numbers as of late but Ohio, Miami (Ohio) and Akron don't throw it well. I think the road team is a live dog here. Remember, CMU nearly won at Miami.

The Golden Flashes offense doesn't suck as much as it has in the past. Woody Crum is doing great things for them as they have three wins on the year. Heck last week they lost 45-38 to Ohio putting up nearly 500 yards of offense. The team has won both their home games this season beating a good Kennesaw State team in OT and crushing Bowling Green 62-20. Their defense is still awful so that's a concern, but Miami is anemic. They've scored 20 points or less four times this year and have done their best work at home where they beat Tennessee Tech, Buffalo and NIU. They can't really run it well and struggle on defense a ton. KSU has been a favorite three times already this season which is half of their total over the last three seasons. I think they win this game outright so give me the lean moneyline.

It's a pair of triple option teams playing each other as Navy hosts Tulane. Tulane held Army to just 363 yards of offense in a 42-33 win just a few weeks ago and Willie Fritz is very familiar with the Naval Academy's offense and how they want to run it. Tulane's going off the 47-17 loss to Memphis so we know they'll be focused and angry here as well. Last year they held Navy to just 321 yards of total offense. Two years ago Navy managed just 23 points. On the other side you've got a Midshipmen team that's got an improved defense. They don't get beat often by the run with USF's 150 yards being the most allowed all season. Now they haven't been tested through the air as much as they could be here, but I still think their secondary will hold up. It'll be interesting to see if Darius Bradwell or Corey Dauphine will be available as both were limited this week and that's the bulk of the running game. Tulane has gone under in 18 of their last 31 lined games while Navy has gone under in 17 of their last 32. I think this one is an under and I'll hesitantly go against the move to the over.

A pair of 3-4 teams take the field as Florida State hosts Syracuse. These two teams are awfully similar in that their offenses have been spotty while the defenses have had to be the brunt of the opposition being constantly on the field. Tommy DeVito is not the answer for the Orange as they have lost four of their last six games. The offense has scored 25 points or less five times already this year as a bad offensive line and inconsistent skill players have doomed them. The defense was supposed to be the strength of the team, but the secondary has been ravaged by injuries. On the other side, you've got an FSU team that is going between two quarterbacks although it seems like James Blackman will get the call here. Cam Akers is a fantastic running back for the home team. Their defense has had some troubles this season although most of them have come against Boise and Clemson. Syracuse has gone under in 19 of their last 31 lined games while FSU has gone under in 13 of their last 21 ACC contests. This total seems a little too high for me.

This one could see plenty of points on Saturday. Elon is coming off a bye week after an impressive 42-7 win at home against Delaware. This team has been a mixed bag offensively as they've struggled against the better defenses they've faced putting up 10 on JMU and New Hampshire and 7 on Wake Forest. Going back even farther the team started out with 21, 35 and 42 over their first three weeks. Davis Cheek is an impressive signal caller for the Phoenix. Rhode Island is 1-6, but they are a fun 1-6. Their scores this season are 41-20, 44-36, 27-24, 31-27, 31-28, 34-17 and 35-28. The Rams have a fantastic offense with Vito Priore under center and Aaron Parker out wide. This team's offense should be able to move in this one but I don't know if they can stop the Phoenix. This one seems like it should be a shootout on Saturday.

Liberty has won five in a row since an 0-2 start to the year and a lot of that is because of this offense and a relatively easy schedule. Last week I had an easy winner with the over in their game against Maine as both teams went over by themselves. Buckshot Calvert and Antonio Gandy-Golden are a potent duo and the Flames have a solid run game to offset that as well. Liberty's defense hasn't been tested that much so far and they've allowed 24 to Syracuse and 35 to ULL. Rutgers offense is awful. They've scored 30 points over their last six games with all of those coming against power five schools. The Scarlet Knights have thrown for 49 yards the last two weeks. Way back in week one, they played the lesser UMass Minutemen and won 48-21. Rutgers defense hasn't been very good and will probably continue to struggle on Saturday. The thing is, I think they can find the end zone as well. Give me the over in this one.

Texas is coming off the loss to rival Oklahoma and should be rather ornery for this one. Kansas has lost 51-14 and 45-20 in their last two games in conference play. During the bye week the team picked up a new offensive coordinator that wants to go fast. Reading the press clippings, it seems like the Jayhawks like the new energy and should be able to do something. Even if they don't, at least their possessions will go faster giving Texas the ball more. This is a Longhorns defense that has allowed 30 points or more four times this season. Good thing for them is that their offense has scored 30 or more five times. Sam Ehlinger should be able to get whatever he wants through the air. Kansas has allowed 51 and 45 in their last two conference games letting TCU and Oklahoma do whatever they want. These two played a 42-27 game in Texas two years ago. Give me the over in this one.  

Maine was ranked in the top 25 for a lot of the season, but it's been a rough year for the Black Bears. They are coming off a 24-17 home loss to Richmond in which their starting quarterback got hurt and the star wide receiver was already out. Before that, they lost 33-17 to Villanova. The team's wins were over Colgate 35-21 and Sacred Heart 42-14. It's their second FBS opponent of the year after falling 26-18 to Georgia Southern back on September 7th. Liberty has won four straight since a two game losing streak to start the year. The offense hasn't clicked lately so maybe they'll figure some things out during the bye week as Hugh Freeze gets his fingers into this side of the ball. The defense can be exploited but New Mexico and New Mexico State weren't good enough to do it. The Flames gave up 27 to Hampton in a 62-27 win over an FCS opponent back in September. I think this one should go over the lower total. 

 Missouri has been steamrolling opponents since losing to Wyoming on the road in week one. They have allowed just 58 points over their last five, but part of that is level of competition and the other thing is that all of those games were at home. This is a road game here that will feel like a home game as Vandy never draws. Missouri's offense is the one to worry about here because this feels like a name your score situation. They've got a road trip to Kentucky next so maybe they slack off towards the end, but probably not. Vandy has scored just 16 points the last two weeks against Ole Miss and UNLV. Somehow the Commodores gave up 34 points to the Runnin Rebels. The good thing is that outside of the running back Vaughn, this team has no offensive identity. They can't throw it at all with Riley Neal competing for the job. Vandy has gone under in 12 of their last 18 games including three of four this year. I think that trend continues here.

William and Mary faces their second straight top five opponent as they host James Madison for homecoming after a bye week. The Tribe have scored at least 30 points in three of their four games against FCS opponents with them putting up 28 on a very good Villanova D two weeks ago. Kilton Anderson has worked well in this new go go offense that the Tribe are running and it looks like Hollis Mathis could be available as well. The WM defense has had it's issues against the better offenses giving up 35 to Nova, 39 to Albany and 52 to UVA. JMU is averaging 40.7 points per game and are averaging over 250 yards rushing. They want to go up-tempo too with their spread attack. The Dukes have put up 45, 45 and 38 in their last three conference games. The defense has been very good too although Stony Brook scored 38 while Nova put up 24. To me, the over in JMU games are almost insta-bets right now as the offense keeps rolling.

Oregon is allowing just over eight points per game this year and clamps down on both the run and the pass. Since giving up 27 to Auburn in week one, the Ducks have allowed 25 points over their next five contests. Granted, this is going to be one of their biggest tests of the season offensively, but Washington's offense has struggled at times too. They broke out against Arizona last time out putting up 51, but the previous two games saw them score 41 combined. Jacob Eason hasn't worked out as well as they had thought so far. Washington's defense has held five of their seven opponents to 20 points or less. Oregon's offense runs a lot of short passes which will be hindered by the loss of Jacob Breeland who is done for the season. The Ducks have gone under in 19 of their last 31 lined games including nine of their last 11 on the road. Washington has gone under in 20 of their last 34 games. Give me the under here.

The Bison are 6-0 this season and have wins with margins of 47, 31, 25, 11, 34 and 32. This is the Trees Bowl game against 1-4 Missouri State. Now there's a worry that the team will be looking ahead to the rivalry game at South Dakota State, but the Bison are just so good. They've scored less then 30 just once and have allowed more then 20 just once. Missouri State has losses of 14, 52, 11 and 35 with the one loss coming in triple overtime against Western Illinois. The Bears last time out gave up 24 points in the span of four mins in their loss to South Dakota. They had an early 7-0 lead before giving up 45 straight. Missouri State is also one of eight FCS teams to have just one win in the last calendar year. Only two teams rank behind them in third down conversions and they are 112th in rushing yards allowed. I think even giving a B level effort will give the Bison a really easy win. 

So I've been trying to fade Wyoming whenever I can and I'll try doing it again here with New Mexico. The Lobos are 2-4 and have been a mixed bag on both sides of the ball. They scored 39 on Sam Houston State and 55 on New Mexico State, but have also scuffled at Notre Dame and at Liberty. The one thing this defense does well is stop the run for the most part. I'm guessing a lot of that has to do with the fact that they've allowed over 300 yards passing to everyone. I don't know if Wyoming can take advantage of that considering 214 passing yards is their season high on 32 attempts. They want to run the ball early and often. This team is 4-2 against the spread failing to cover against Idaho and San Diego State. They are good against the run which is a bit of a concern. Wyoming has spanked New Mexico the last two years. Foolish or not, I'm going to keep trying to fade the Cowboys when I can.

There are a lot of question marks in this game on both teams. UCLA doesn't know who their starting QB will be with Dorian Thompson-Robinson questionable. If he does not play, then Austin Burton is under center and he was not very good against Oregon State. UCLA's offensive line has allowed 15 sacks this season. The Bruins have had four games scoring under 20 points with two other games where they scored 98. Theo Howard departed the team and that's a big hit for them. UCLA's defense isn't great, but I don't think Stanford can take advantage of it. KJ Costello is out, Davis Mills is questionable and Jack West is the third string QB. Cameron Scarlett figures to be busy against UCLA who is allowing over 160 yards per game on the ground. Stanford also has only six healthy offensive linemen. The Cardinal's defense has allowed 28 or more three times and 21 or less three other times. They had an impressive 23-13 win over Washington last time out. Stanford has gone under in 12 of their last 21 games as a favorite. I think this game is an under on Friday too. 

Wyoming is coming off their bye week so it's time to fade them once again on Saturday. They beat Missouri in week one despite getting out-gained by a ton. After that they should have lost to Texas State who out-gained them but a pick six gave them the win and cover. The Cowboys barely beat Idaho who is a horrendous FCS school then lost at Tulsa by three. They demolished a bad UNLV team which was huge for them. This team doesn't throw it well and struggles to move the ball when forced to be one dimensional. They've clamped down on the run, but none of their early opponents were good at it. San Diego State is 4-1 and is well known for the 6-0 win in week one against Weber State. The Aztecs offense is nothing great either because they just can't run it very well. This team's defense doesn't allow anyone to run it having allowed 35, 62, 30, 82 and 18 rush yards. You can beat them a bit through the air, but I don't think Chambers can do so. A concern is that this team is a terrible home favorite against the spread, but I think they are just that much better then the Cowboys. 

This has been a high scoring series between Navy and Tulsa. Last year the Middies won 37-29 in a game that saw them rack up 389 yards. They've been able to run on the Golden Hurricane the past few years with 421 in 2017 and 390 in 2016. Both teams could be hung over for this one after Tulsa let a huge one slip last week at SMU falling 43-37. The Golden Hurricane could struggle to run it, but I think they'll be able to throw on Navy. The Midshipmen's triple option is humming right now despite having a youngish offense. The defense hasn't been tested that much although Memphis did put up 35 on them. Both teams trend to the under, but I think this one sees a bunch of points on Saturday night.

Kentucky's offense has been anemic especially considering all the injuries at quarterback. Terry Wilson is done for the year and Sawyer Smith is dealing with all sorts of ailments even after a bye week. The Wildcats have scored just 41 points the last three weeks against SEC opponents. They have a decent run game but are facing more crowded boxes. UK's defense has struggled the last two games against the run, but I like their defense as a whole especially at home. Arkansas is 2-3 with wins over Portland State and Colorado State and losses to Ole Miss, San Jose State and Texas A&M. Their offense can put up some good numbers, but they've also been home for the most part. The defense has actually been pretty good against the pass outside of the SJ State game. These two teams have trends that point to the under. With a total this high and an offense so inconsistent at home, I'll take a shot on the under.

This is a spot play as we have a classic sandwich involving Virginia Tech. The Hokies were dead and buried entering last week, but they played a wild game against Miami picking up a win. They cashed in a bunch of turnovers, but then choked the lead away before a late score. I'm still not a huge Hendon Hooker fan and wonder what kind of gameplan they call with North Carolina on deck. That's a lot bigger game for them then this one. Of course, Virginia Tech is dying for wins, but that doesn't matter in the spread. Rhode Island is 1-4 but three of the losses were by 12 points against Delaware, New Hampshire and Stony Brook. This team lost 41-20 early on against Ohio so they have a little FBS experience. It's a spread style of offense with receivers taking direct snaps. They've forced 10 takeaways defensively, but are bad against the run. Aaron Parker is a really good URI receiver and he's got good chemistry with Vito Priore. I'll take a shot on the spot here and hope we get a sleepy Tech effort much like the one they had against Furman.

The Cougars have had two weeks to prepare for a Cincy team coming off a huge win over divisional rival UCF. Houston was awesome two weeks ago in North Texas proving that life post D'Eriq King may not be as awful as people think. Clayton Tune played well in place of King and got some extra time to add more wrinkles to Dana Holgorsen's offense. The Coogs also have had a chance to rest after a fast and furious start to the season that saw a bunch of games packed in early. Cincy's win last week over UCF was because of the Golden Knights' struggles in the red zone. Cincy's defense has had some success this season, but against some lesser offenses. Their offense could struggle to get Michael Warren going. Houston's run defense has had three good games and two awful ones, but those were Oklahoma and Tulane. Houston has covered eight of their last 13 home games. I think they are a live dog in this one. 

New year, but same old NIU as the team continues to struggle on offense and plays good enough defense. Last week was the perfect example as they lost 27-20 to Ball State in a contest that saw them hold the Cardinals to less then 300 yards of offense, but struggle to do much after a fast start. It's hard to figure out this Huskies team as they beat an FCS team then lost three straight to power five schools. This is their fourth road game over the last five and that could be a factor. Ohio's 2-3 and that's a real surprise considering how we all practically handed them the MAC East before the season. This team's offense is not clicking through the air and the defense is really inconsistent. Part of these numbers are because of the level of competition. Giving up almost 300 rushing yards to ULL is to be expected considering how well they run it. These two played a 24-21 game last year. NIU has gone under in 19 of their last 32 including 11 of their last 14 when the total is between 49.5 and 56. When the total is this high in an NIU game, I like to jump on the under. 

Marshall is a disappointing 2-3 so far this season and one can point to their offense being a let down the last two games and the defense struggling from time to time as well. Somehow last week they racked up nearly 600 yards of offense, but only scored 13 points. They've put up 14 points or less three times this season as things just haven't been consistent. On defense, they were thrashed by Cincinnati and Ohio, but were able to hold their own against some of the other teams on their schedule. ODU has gone under in every game and it's because of a non-existent run game, an inconsistent passing game and a defense that's played better then we thought. The Monarchs have scored 82 points in five contests so far and have held three opponents to 24 or less. They are pretty stout against the run and have played the pass pretty well as well. Marshall has gone under in 10 of their last 17 C-USA games. Give me the under here. 

Ball State has to be feeling good about themselves after getting their first win over Northern Illinois in a long time last week. This team is playing their third straight road game with a bye mixed in there. They ran it 60 times last week to just 14 passes, but I don't see that radical a split in plays this week. Ball State's defense is exploitable depending upon how you want to attack it. NC State had 204 rushing yards while Indiana and FAU had over 300 yards passing. EMU is 3-2 and is coming off a really tough 42-16 loss last week in Central Michigan. This is their second home game of the season and I think that'll be big for this team. The Glass kid at quarterback is very solid and has performed well despite the run game being of no help. EMU's defense had a poor effort last week against the Chippewas. I expect something better from them at home. This team has covered 18 of their last 30 overall. I think the home team bounces back. 

I think this line is rather crazy considering these two teams. Yes, Memphis is 5-0 putting up awesome numbers on offense, but they've also put them up against garbage defenses. Brady White's really good under center and it'll be interesting to see if Patrick Taylor Jr will play in the backfield. Memphis has very good defensive numbers, but they did allow nearly 600 yards of offense to UL-Monroe last week. Temple is an unfocused effort against Buffalo away from being 5-0 themselves. The Owls shut down a potent Maryland offense holding them to 17 points. They've given up just 86 points and have a very good secondary and a pass rush that could stress the Tigers. Temple's 18-13 against the spread in their last 31 games and have covered all three games at home. Memphis is only 7-6 against the spread the last three years on the road. I just think Temple can keep up here if there is a shootout but could also get stops when needed as well. Give me the home dog.

Colorado is putting up very good numbers on offense, but the injuries continue to come for the Buffs. Right now Laviska Shenault Jr and K.D. Nixon are dealing with ailments and may not be available for this one. Colorado's rushing attack has not approached the effort it put up in week one against Colorado State although it's getting better. The problems for them are on defense where they've allowed 30 points or more in every game. Oregon's D doesn't mess around as they've allowed 22 points the last four weeks against Nevada, Montana, Stanford and Cal. They clamp down on the opposition's run game and have been very difficult to throw on. Oregon's offense has exploded just once against an FBS opponent when they put up 77 on Nevada after the loss to Auburn. Feels like they've gone through the motions a little bit and Verdell the running back is a little banged up but will play. Up next is a road trip to Washington so they may not show a ton of new stuff either? Colorado has gone under in 13 of their last 15 games as an underdog and 15 of their last 29 overall. The Ducks have gone under in 18 of their last 30 including three of four this season. Give me the under in this one.

 It's Sun Belt action on a Thursday as Texas State hosts Louisiana Monroe. I can't believe I'm getting involved in another Bobcats game, but here we are. Texas State has won two straight since a three game losing streak to start out the year. The offense has started to perk up a bit scoring 37 against Georgia State and 24 against Nicholls State. Now with some extra time off, Jake Spavital can add a little more to the playbook and put Gresh Jensen in a good place to succeed. ULM's defense is nothing special allowing 45 to FSU, 72 to Iowa State and 52 to Memphis. Even in their 30-17 win over South Alabama, the Warhawks allowed almost 400 yards of offense. The good thing for them is that this offense is smoking right now. Caleb Evans is a very good quarterback who runs this RPO system extremely well. They've scored 20 or more in every contest. The concern here is that this team is playing five days after losing 52-33 at home to Memphis. I think we could see a boatload of points here with potentially the home underdog getting the win.

These two teams each have one win this season and are hoping for a second one. The Beavers are 1-3, but are averaging over 30 points per game. So far this team has losses to Oklahoma State and Hawaii to go along with a three point loss at the hands of Stanford. With Jake Luton who some people don't like and Jermar Jefferson at running back, the offense hasn't been the issue. The defense has let them down from time to time although they've done well the last two weeks. UCLA is 1-4 with losses to Cincy, San Diego State, Oklahoma and Arizona. The team's only win came in a wild one against Washington State on the road despite giving up nine touchdown passes. It looks like UCLA's starting QB may be out for this one which means they'll try to rely on the run a lot more. The Bruins defense isn't that great as they've given up 290 passing yards or more in four straight. UCLA is just 11-18-1 against the spread in their last 30 games including 3-8 in their last 11 as a favorite. Give me the road team. 

SMU has been the best story in college football as they are 5-0 with an offense that is averaging over 500 yards per game and 44.4 points. Their defense has been leaky but it hasn't mattered much. They gave up 30 to Arkansas State, 38 to TCU and 27 to North Texas. Shane Buechele has been a revelation coming over from Texas, but it's the WRs and the solid group of backs that have made the Mustangs go. Tulsa is 2-2 on the year and is coming off a bye week after a 24-21 win over Wyoming. They've had a really tough schedule with contests against Michigan State and Oklahoma State already. The Cowboys got whatever they wanted to on offense and Michigan State may have as well if they didn't have the issues with turnovers. Tulsa has gone under in all of their games and SMU has gone over in all of theirs. I just don't know how Tulsa slows them down in this one. Give me the over here. 

I've made so much money betting on the overs in JMU games because for some reason Vegas is tragically underrating the Dukes. JMU has scored 44, 63, 37 and 45 in their FCS games this season. They racked up over 300 yards of rushing in the win over Elon last week and is now playing their third straight road game in a semi sandwich situation. They are coming off a win against the head coach's former school and have a home game against 5th ranked Villanova next week. I have to think this defense which has been fantastic will give up some points. Granted, they've allowed 7, 12, 14 and 10 so far. Stony Brook is 4-1 and is coming off a 31-27 win over Rhode Island last week. They have the best offense in the CAA and are averaging nearly 30 points per contest. Last year's contest was a 13-10 game in Harrisonburg which is a concern, but I think both teams are better in 2019. Give me the over at this really low number. These two defenses could stop the other, but I'll take a shot that the offenses rule the day. 

This is a spot play as Texas embarks to their huge rivalry game against Oklahoma next week. The Longhorns have lost three of their last five in the contest before taking on the Sooners. Last year they beat K-State 19-14 as an eight point favorite and the year before that they beat K-State again 40-34 as a six point favorite. In 2016 they lost by 18 at Ok. State and that started a stretch of three straight losses. West Virginia is 3-1 with wins over JMU, NC State and Kansas. This team is running it a lot better and is finding some room to throw it too. The defense hasn't been great and that's a worry here. Texas is also 3-1 with wins over La Tech, Rice and Oklahoma State with the loss coming to LSU. The Longhorns offense has been fantastic this season outside of the slight turnover issue that it seems they've had. Their defense has been pretty good although the Cowboys gashed them for almost 500 yards of offense. There are plenty of Longhorns injuries in the secondary which could be a factor. Last year the Mountaineers went to Texas and won 42-41. They also won in Texas back in 2016. This has been a close series. I think we get a solid game here and the home team makes things interesting. 

This is a really high total for an NIU game. The Huskies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 games when the total is between 49.5 and 56. This is a team that plays ball control offense and has a pretty good defense. Overall, they've gone under in 18 of their last 31 games overall. Northern Illinois is a hard team to figure out because they've played one FCS opponent and then were on the road against Utah, Nebraska and Vandy who are all power five squads. The one thing I did notice is that they've been pretty good against the pass which will be important against Ball State. NIU's offense isn't running it very well, but Ross Bowers is doing some good things through the air. The Cardinals are 1-3 on the season with the win coming over Fordham of the FCS and the losses were to Indiana, FAU and NC State. BSU wants to chuck it all over the yard with Plitt under center and his bevy of wide receivers. Their defense is a question mark, but it's also faced better talent much like NIU. Last year this was a 24-16 game that went to the road team. I think we could see a similar score.

Toledo is 3-1 entering this matchup and has their usual stout offense to rely on. The QB is on point despite having essentially a new wide receiving corps. What the Rockets are doing is running it down people's throats with the Koback kid at running back. The Rockets scored 45 on Murray State, 41 on Colorado State and 28 on BYU. Toledo's defense is ranked 120th out of 130, but they are 59th in the nation in red zone defense. Western Michigan has scored 48, 17, 57, 33 and 31 this season with Jon Wassink under center. He was a little banged up but should be good for this one. LeVante Bellamy is a solid running back and their defense is like Toledo's in that it struggles against the better teams. They allowed 51 at Michigan State and 52 at Syracuse. Last year this was a 51-24 game in Kalamazoo. WMU has gone over in seven of their last 11 as an underdog and 17 of their last 30 overall. Toledo has gone over in 17 of their last 30 as well.

Virginia Tech's offense is absolutely anemic and it looks like they are making a quarterback change to Hendon Hooker. It was probably time for that to happen, but they've handcuffed him by basically making him a signal caller who runs it or hands it off. He's thrown just two passes in his college career so Miami's defense is going to tee off on him. The Canes have allowed just 270 yards per game and 16 points per contest. I'd heavily consider the team total under for the road team here as I just don't see how they get to 14. That means the Canes offense which has shown some success but is very inconsistent will have to do the heavy lifting. I'm guessing they spent some time working on some concepts considering they only put up 17 points and just over 300 yards on a MAC school. Tech has scored just 24 points in their last two meetings with Miami. VT has gone under in 11 of their last 18 ACC games while Miami has gone under in 14 of their last 18 conference contests. Give me the under here BUT the best bet is the under on the Hokies team total.

Georgia Southern is sitting at 1-3 entering this matchup against South Alabama on the road. The Eagles are coming off a 37-24 loss to Lafayette in which it's defense couldn't stop the ULL rushing attack. On offense, this team is just not doing enough despite them putting up over 20 points three times. They are not getting anything through the air and Shai Werts is having to do more work. GSU's road games were a 55-3 loss at LSU and a 35-32 loss at Minnesota. South Alabama is 1-4 with their only win coming 37-14 over Jackson State. This team's defense is pretty horrific allowing 30 points or more to all of their FBS opponents. The Jaguars offense has scored 26 points the last three weeks, but has flashed some ability with Cephus Johnson. The signal caller is also prone to some turnovers which will give GSU short fields to work with. Georgia Southern has won this game 48-13 and 52-0 the last two years. They will also get Wesley Kennedy back and that'll help the offense. I think they could score the over themselves so give me the lower total on a Thursday night. 

Wyoming lost on the field 24-21 last week at Tulsa and took some big time injuries as well. Running back Trey Smith is out six to eight weeks with an ankle injury and Xazavian Valladay has been battling a foot injury which won't keep him out of the game. Guard Logan Harris and corner Tyler Hall sustained concussions and their status is up in the air. The team's right tackle Alonzo Velazquez isn't expected to play with a knee injury either. UNLV's coaching staff said they spent their bye week working really hard on the Cowboys who finally got picked off after a lucky 3-0 start. “We did a little more (game preparation) than you would if we had a bye in say Week 6, 7,” Sanchez said. “We’ll handle the next bye week (in November) a little bit differently than we did this. … I feel really good about where we are moving on into this week.”

Wyoming beat Missou 37-31 at home then somehow beat Texas State on the road despite being outgained. They then only took down Idaho 21-16 as a 27.5 point favorite. This team wants to run the ball and use Chambers as sparingly as possible. UNLV's got a win over Southern Utah 56-23 and losses of 43-17 to Arkansas State and 30-14 to Northwestern. It's a concern that their quarterback position is a massive concern and their run defense isn't great, but the Rebels have also forced nine turnovers. UNLV has covered nine of their last 12 as a road underdog. Wyoming is 7-7 against the spread the last few seasons at home. Give me the road team plus the points.

Kentucky and South Carolina play in a crucial game in the SEC. Both of these teams have some gaudy offensive numbers, but when you dig into them a little, it's against a lot of lesser opponents. Kentucky is 2-2 with wins over EMU and Toledo, but that's been followed up by losses to Mississippi State and Florida as the offense dried up under Sawyer Smith. Once the Wildcats lost Wilson under center, things changed up. I like their defense although they did get gashed on the ground by Toledo and Mississippi St. South Carolina's only win came against Charleston Southern and that was 72-10. The Gamecocks lost 24-20 to North Carolina, 47-23 to Alabama and 34-14 to Missouri. Hilinski has not been very good since the lone win of the season. They didn't run it very well against Missou and struggled to stop their balanced attack. To me, this is a matchup of very similar teams with the same issues. Last year these two played a 24-10 game and a 23-13 one back in 2017. UK has gone under in eight of their last 11 road games while South Carolina has gone under in 10 of their last 18 SEC games. I think this one is an under as well.

UCF is going to be quite the angry bunch on Saturday as they host the awful UConn. The Golden Knights are coming off a tough 35-34 loss to Pittsburgh which killed their chances of making the College Football Playoff. This team has bludgeoned their lesser opponents beating Florida A&M 62-0, FAU 48-14 and destroyed Stanford 45-27. This offense is quite prolific and they'll be eager to get Dillon Gabriel back on track. The Huskies are 1-2 with a 24-21 win over Wagner to go with losses of 31-23 to Illinois and 38-3 to Indiana. This offense is anemic and their defense can't stop the run or the pass right now. Last year these two teams played a 56-17 game in Storrs with the road team winning as a 23.5 point favorite. This team has been a favorite of 31 or more points four times the last three seasons. They are 18-7 against the spread in their last 26 contests as a favorite. I think this one gets really ugly. 

Georgia Southern is starting Sun Belt play on Saturday as they host Louisiana. The Eagles are coming off a bye week and despite the fact they are 1-2, there's still a lot to like. They nearly knocked off Minnesota two weeks ago on the road and have a tight win over Maine. I was worried about how the triple option would look with Justin Tomlin under center but he ran it pretty well against the Golden Gophers. The defense's biggest strength is against the run holding teams to 89 yards per game on the ground. Minnesota only managed 93 yards on 48 carries and LSU only got 122. Yes, this means they are vulnerable through the air which means Lake Lewis will have to be good. Lafayette wants to run it, but can also throw the ball around the yard as well. Their wins are over Liberty, Texas Southern and Ohio with a 10 point loss against Mississippi State sprinkled in. The Ragin Cajuns have had a turnover issue with 12 of them the last three weeks and that's a concern. Lafayette doesn't have the extra time to prepare for the option while GSU had a week to get healthier. Maybe there's a chance Shai Werts gets in under center. These two played back in 2017 with GSU winning 34-24 as a four point underdog. I think they are worth a look here. ULL is going to be without defensive lineman Chauncey Manac for this one as well. 

New Mexico is 2-1 and flying cross country to play Liberty on Saturday. The Lobos have wins over Sam Houston State (39-31) and New Mexico State (55-52) to go along with a 66-14 loss to Notre Dame. This offense has found some balance despite rotating a bunch of quarterbacks. Their defense is horrendous against the pass which will be an issue against the recently hot Buckshot Calvert and Antonio Gandy Golden. The last two weeks Liberty began to play like the team I thought they would be. They beat Hampton 62-27 and Buffalo 35-17 at home. The Flames defense is really young in spots and should struggle against the diverse attack of the road team. The Lobos have also not allowed a sack yet this year. Last year these two played a crazy 52-43 game in New Mexico with the teams each racking up nearly 600 yards apiece. This game has shootout written all over it. 

This is a situational play for me as SMU is 4-0 and is coming off an emotional 41-38 road win at TCU. The Horned Frogs have been awesome offensively with Shane Buechele under center. They've beaten people on the ground and through the air. The defense has also sprung some leaks allowing over 200 yards on the ground twice. I think there's a chance we don't get a focused Mustangs bunch in this one. South Florida is coming off a bye week after a 55-16 win over South Carolina State. It was an awful start to the season with a 49-0 loss to Wisconsin and a 14-10 defeat at the hands of Georgia Tech. I'm sure the Bulls used a lot of time this bye week to work on Kerwin Bell's speedy offense. The talent is there with this bunch and they may find some success against SMU. The Mustangs have gone over in every game this season and have failed to cover the last three years as a road favorite. It's interesting to see that the McCloud kid is starting at QB and not Blake Barnett. Maybe that'll spark something. 

San Jose State is feeling really good about themselves after beating Arkansas 31-24 on the road. The Spartans had a rally on Monday and a little extra celebration after the win. They have a 35-18 win over Northern Colorado and a 34-16 loss to Tulsa. In those games the Spartans showed some balance on offense and some struggles on defense. The Golden Hurricane ran for 256 yards in their win in California. I have to wonder what the SJSU focus will be like for this one. Air Force is also 2-1 with a 48-7 win over Colgate to go along with a 30-23 overtime defeat of Colorado. They lost a tough one to Boise last week 30-19. This is a respectable defense, but more importantly an offense that can run it and throw it. Donald Hammond is running this thing really well. Give me the Force to cover this big number as they wear down the Spartans. 

To me, this seems an awful lot like the WM/UVA game last week in that you've got a name your score type affair with the home team. UVA is averaging almost 40 points per game while the defense has also done some work as well. At times last Saturday they went bend but don't break as a unit which worked against the Seminoles. The Hoos have scored 30 points or more in every game and they have to work on cutting down the turnovers. A factor to consider is that they have Notre Dame on the road next week. ODU has two games under their belt with a 24-21 win over Norfolk State and a 31-17 loss in Blacksburg vs. Virginia Tech. The Monarchs defense doesn't scare me much. Their offense has potential with Stone Smartt under center as he brings mobility that keeps team's honest. He needs to fix his passing game because he's a little raw in that area. I can see this one being a 41-10 contest. I think the line move on the total is bad. 

Liberty is coming off their first win of the season as a three game homestand continues on Saturday. The Flames beat Buffalo 35-17 and finally looked like the offense we thought they'd have with Buckshot Calvert and Antonio-Gandy Golden. The defense has it's issues allowing 35 to Louisiana and 24 to Syracuse. Last year this team beat Norfolk State 52-17 at home as an FCS opponent. I think they should be able to put up some points on Hampton. The Pirates beat Elizabeth City State 65-7 in week one, then losing 36-17 to lower level Virginia Union before winning 41-20 on the road against Howard. The former FSU standout Deondre Francois has been the signal caller for Hampton so far this season. He's had a mixed bag of results so far this season. The one thing I do notice is that Hampton's defense isn't good enough. Francois has 7 TDs and 2 INTs. I think this one sees some points as they go up and down the field. 

East Carolina dipping into the FCS ranks for a second time this season as they host William and Mary. The Pirates beat Gardner Webb two weeks ago 48-9 and that was their best offensive effort after scoring six against NC State and 10 against Navy. I don't mind Holton Ahlers as a signal caller, but it's not good that they don't have Darius Pinnix in the backfield. The defense is as mediocre as you can get and I think they'll give up some points to the Tribe. Last year, WM's offense was very anemic, but they've put up 30 points or more on two good defenses in Lafayette and Colgate. Hollis Mathis is an intriguing prospect at quarterback as he brings some mobility and a solid arm. In between the two wins, UVA crushed the Tribe 52-17. I don't see the Pirates scoring that much but I do think William and Mary put up 20 or more. I can see this one going over the total. 

This total moved down a ton this week and now that it's at around 48.5 and 49, I want in on the over. Kansas is feeling good right now after beating BC on the road 48-24 in a game that saw them pretty much do whatever they want on the ground and through the air. Now, the defense was still an issue, but they were able to make the stops when it mattered. The Jayhawks other two games were a 24-17 win over Indiana State and a 12-7 loss to Coastal Carolina. Pooka Williams was not available for that first contest and that makes a rather large difference. West Virginia is 2-1 and has been all over the board when it comes to performance. They beat James Madison 20-13 in a tight contest then lost 38-7 at Missouri. Austin Kendall and the offense got going last week in a 44-27 win over NC State. The defense is very beatable especially on the ground as pretty much all three opponents took advantage of it. These two teams have played contests with scores of 38-22, 56-34 and 48-21 the last three years. Points will be scored by both sides in this contest. Give me the over in this one. WVU has gone over in 11 of their last 18 in conference.

Chattanooga is 1-2 on the season entering this home matchup against James Madison. The Mocs beat Eastern Illinois week one 24-10 at home and then got blitzed by Jacksonville State 41-20 and Tennessee 45-0. In each of those games, they folded under the pressure of the better offenses. Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks is the big time running back in that one and he comes over from Maine with Ailym Ford also providing some rushing yards. Opponents have been able to beat the Mocs through the air for the most part and JMU can certainly do that. The totals on Dukes games have been tragically low in my mind and I've taken advantage of it the past few weeks. They put up 63 last week on Morgan State, 44 on St. Francis of PA and 13 at West Virginia. The last FCS regular season road game they had was back in 2014 when they beat Lehigh 31-28 in Bethlehem PA. This offense wants to go fast and this defense wants to put pressure on you. At this number, I could see JMU winning and putting up at least 35 points. Once again, their total is too low so give me the over.

The Owls made headlines last week as they held down the potent Maryland offense to the tune of 20-17 with several goal line stands. It's hard to figure how good Temple's offense is because they beat Bucknell 56-12 in week one and put up some decent numbers against the Terps, but Anthony Russo is prone to throwing some awful passes. The Owls defense could be one of the best in the country in the group of five. They'll be looking for revenge against Buffalo who beat them in Philly last year although UB was a lot better then. The Bulls beat Robert Morris 38-10 and then lost 45-13 to Penn State and 35-17 at Liberty. This team wants to run it with Marks and Patterson and they stop the run pretty well. The problems come in the secondary where they have been gashed. Temple's got a lot at stake in this one and I think their defense shows up in a lower scoring game.

Wyoming is dying to be picked off and I think it finally happens on Saturday. The Cowboys have an extremely anemic passing attack and a defense that can be beaten through the air. They have a 37-31 win over Missouri followed by 23-14 victory over Texas State and then they skated by 21-16 against Idaho. This team has just 18 completions in three games and have allowed their FBS opponents to get whatever they want. I don't love Tulsa considering what they've gone through so far. The Golden Hurricane lost 28-7 to Michigan State, and 40-21 to Oklahoma State, but also beat San Jose State 34-16 on the road. The offense has shown some balance, but they really need to cut down on the turnovers. The defense got gashed by the Big 12 team, but Wyoming's offense shouldn't scare anyone especially if you stack the box against their run game. I like the home team to get the win outright. 

Iowa State has to be wondering what happened last week in their 18-17 loss to rival Iowa. The Cyclones have played just two games so far this season with the other being a three point win over Northern Iowa in 3OTs. Brock Purdy just doesn't have enough help elsewhere on the team. The defense has been very good as they've held teams to two touchdowns and a bunch of field goals. Is there a hangover here for the noon kickoff or are they angry and ready to blow someone apart. The Warhawks are 1-1 beating Grambling 31-9 and then losing 45-44 in overtime to Florida State. Good thing for them is that they had a bye week afterwards to heal up after the physical affair. I really like the potential of this offense with Caleb Evans under center. They have hung around .500 the last three seasons as a road underdog under Matt Viator. There's certainly blowout potential here, but I think Iowa State will be in a bit of a fog as they struggle to a win. 

This matchup had so much promise before the season and now both teams are struggling to a certain degree. FIU is 1-2 with the win coming over New Hampshire last week 30-17. They ran for over 300 yards of offense on the FCS opponent and played pretty good defense. Outside of getting gashed by Tulane in week one, the Golden Panthers have been pretty good on that side of the ball. James Morgan may return but if not the Wiggins kid will be under center and he can beat you with his legs. Louisiana Tech may be 2-1, but they haven't exactly been that great. This team beat Grambling 20-14 two weeks ago as a 30 point favorite. The defense hasn't been the issue although they were beat up by Texas. J'Mar Smith is the Tech QB and Adrian Hardy is a very good receiver. Still, both of these teams have their faults. Louisiana Tech has gone under in 18 of their last 29 games including 11 of their last 18 as a favorite. I think this one is an under on Friday night.

The Gators are coming off a 45-0 home win over UT Martin as the team built off the week one win over Miami 24-20. We saw how good this defense has been and how inconsistent the offense is with Feleipe Franks. Good thing for them is that the D has been fantastic. Last year the Wildcats snapped a long losing streak to UF with a 27-16 road win. That team relied a lot on Benny Snell who is now in the NFL. The current version of UK took a major hit once they lost Terry Wilson at quarterback. In steps Troy transfer Sawyer Smith who has some ability but is nowhere near as good as Wilson. The Gators are leading the nation in sacks so he could constantly be on the run. I kinda like this Wildcats defense as well. I think this one is a bit lower scoring and I'd even consider looking at the Kentucky team total under as I think they struggle to get to double digits. 

Miami has to be quite ornery after starting out the year 0-2 against Florida and North Carolina. The Hurricane defense has not lived up to it's highly touted levels from the preseason allowing 24 to the Gators and 28 to the Tar Heels. Jarren Williams should have all the time in the world in this one and if he does, he'll connect plenty to KJ Osborn and Jeff Thomas out wide. Heck, we could see Tate Martell do something as well. Last year in the FCS game, the Canes won 77-0 over Savannah State as a 60 point favorite. Two years ago they played this Bethune Cookman team to a 41-13 game in week one. The Wildcats beat Jackson State 36-15 in week one and this is a team last year that played two FBS opponents. On September 15th they lost 49-28 to Florida Atlantic then took on Nebraska just over a month later falling 45-9 on the road. Akevious Williams is an intriguing quarterback with several linemen and receivers back. The defense is good for a MEAC level, but this is a step up. I find it hard to believe that Miami doesn't go nuts and probably go over the total themselves. This one should get really really ugly. 

Morgan State disappointed me immensely in week one as they lost 46-3 to the lowly Bowling Green Falcons. The Bears were outgained 620-70 in that one as BG did whatever they wanted in this one. Morgan St is coached by Tyrone Wheatley and they are supposed to be going to a more uptempo offense. This team is coming off a bye week giving them some time to tinker with things a little bit. Last year, this team played two CAA squads and lost 36-10 to Towson and 30-27 to Albany. James Madison is way better then both of them and has a highly potent offense led by Ben DiNucci and Solomon Vanhorse. They lost 20-13 to West Virginia in Morgantown, but then bounced back to beat St. Francis of PA 44-7. The Dukes want to play uptempo and get things going with their talent advantage. At home in 2018 this team played games with scores of 73-7 and 51-0 as well as 48-31. I think the Dukes can do a lot of the heavy lifting here on this total and we see something like 45-3 or something like that. Morgan State is no match. 

South Alabama has played well so far this season keeping it close with Nebraska in week one 35-21. In week two the Jaguars bounced back and beat Jackson State 37-14. I like Cephus Johnson at quarterback as he's got a lot of raw talent and in the case of overs, he can throw the occasional interception. This offense has eight returning starters. Last year when the Jags took a step up they lost 55-13 to Oklahoma State and 52-35 to these Memphis Tigers. Memphis is 2-0 with a 15-10 win over Ole Miss followed by a 58-24 victory over Southern. There's no questioning this offense with Brady White under center and Damontie Coxie out wide. I'm not thrilled to be without Patrick Taylor for this one at running back, but I think this team is very capable of putting up some points without him. I think this one is an over as both teams are capable of putting up some points. 

This is so odd that the total is this high. Looking at BYU, they lost 30-12 at home against Utah and then they beat Tennessee 29-26 in double overtime on the road. Zach Wilson is an ugly quarterback who just hasn't done a lot this season. He didn't get his first touchdown until overtime last week. The Cougars defense has been pretty solid so that's a good thing for this wager. On the other side, you have a USC team that beat Stanford 45-20 with Kedon Slovis under center. Slovis is a rookie who did a lot in his first start. Now he's going to head to a hostile atmosphere where I think he struggles a little bit. The team beat Fresno State 31-23 at home in week one. They've got a huge game at home against Utah next Friday night so focus could be a bit of an issue. I don't mind this Trojans defense in this matchup. I just think this one is way too high. Give me the under in this one. 

Central Michigan enters this one coming off a 61-0 loss to Wisconsin in a contest that saw them lose quarterback Quinten Dormady and running back Jonathan Ward who are their two best weapons. David Moore will start at quarterback while sophomore Kobe Lewis will work with the first team. Moore came in relief and threw for one yard against the Badgers. CMU just doesn't have the offensive ability to overcome something like this and they have issues on defense. On the other side, it's been a rough start for the Zips who lost to UAB at home and Illinois on the road. Still, there are many picking Akron to win their half of the MAC led by Kato Nelson under center. They played CMU last year and beat them 17-10 at home. The Zips are on the road so that's not great, but I can't imagine there's too much of a homefield advantage for the Chips. 

This is the second time that I've tapped the Spartans this season after they covered in a close to loss to Old Dominion way back in week one. This is a veteran bunch who is led by a very good quarterback in Juwan Carter. Last week Carter threw for four touchdowns in a 44-21 win over Virginia State who is a level below NSU. This team has some solid weapons and not the worst defense in the world. Back in week one they lost 24-21 to ODU and showed that they could go punch for punch with them. Coastal Carolina is 1-1 losing 30-23 to Eastern Michigan at home in week one. In week two they went to Kansas to win 12-7 in a contest that I'm sure they are really excited about. This offense has been pretty underwhelming this season. Last year the Chanticleers won 58-21 at Campbell. This team has not covered their last three games as a home favorite. This is a rather large number. Give me the FCS squad.