Toledo is hosting Wright State on Saturday afternoon. The Rockets are getting Willie Jackson on the court for the first time and it will help an offense that has rock and rolled a lot this season. They've scored 70 points or more in three straight and four of their last five. Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Jaelan Sanford combine for 35.3 points per game. Wright State will add Cole Gentry to their lineup. They play fantastic defense and slow the pace down although it's been hard for both to occur on the road. The Raiders lost 78-60 at Western Kentucky, 73-67 at Miami-Ohio and 84-80 at Loyola-Chicago. Grant Benzinger is one of three double digit scorers with three others scoring nine points per game or more. Last year these two played a 82-78 game. I don't think we see that many points, but I do see it as an over. 

NAU is one of the worst teams in college basketball. Teams are shooting nearly 50% against them this season. Their two wins have come against San Diego Christian and Cal-State Bakersfield. They lost by 12 at home to Embry Riddle who is not a division one program. Just once have they allowed less then 70 points so you have to think a potent South Dakota offense should find some success. The Coyotes are 9-3 this season with losses at Duke, TCU and against Northern Colorado. They've scored 75 points or more in all but two games so far this season. Their defense is pretty good although it has struggled on the road allowing 96 at Duke, 76 at TCU and 79 at Bowling Green. They've gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games. I think this one is an over too. 

Northern Colorado is 7-3 on the season and a lot of that is because of their offense that has scored 80 or more five times this season. They are averaging over 70 possessions per game which puts them in the middle of the pack. Denver has won three of their last four and can be efficient on offense themselves. They've scored 80 or more three times with none of those coming on the road. The Pioneers want to play a bit slower, but have been unable to do so in their two true road games losing 79-71 to Florida Gulf Coast and 89-62 to Colorado. Now, the Bears aren't as good as either of those two teams, but I think they can push the pace. Five of the last eight meetings between the two have gone over the total. Denver has gone over in 17 of their last 29 road games. I think this one is as well. 

One of the better defensive teams plays one of the worst offensive teams as Bradley hosts UALR. The Braves are 7-2 and have gone under in eight games this season. It's because they are holding teams to 59.9 points per game and 36.4% shooting. They've gone under in 20 of their last 30 at home including all four lined games there this season. Bradley isn't exactly gifted offensively, but they are certainly better then the Trojans who are shooting 40.8% from the field and scoring 63.2 points per game. They've scored 54, 52, 51 and 62 in their road games this season. UALR has gone under in 18 of their last 22 games as an underdog and 20 of their last 29 on the road. This one is an under and a low scoring affair. 

Indiana State hosts Green Bay on Tuesday. ISU is 4-5 on the season and you can point to it's defense as a reason why. They are averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 75.4. Opponents actually shoot better from the field then they do. They've gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 19 of their last 30 as a favorite. Wisconsin Green Bay is 0-4 on the road and are allowing teams to shoot almost 50% from the field and average 87 points per contest. They are one of the fastest teams averaging over 70 possessions per game. When the total is in the 140's they've gone over in 15 of their last 20. I think this is a bad line. 

This is a matchup of two lesser teams in college basketball right now. The Dukes have wins over Charlotte, App State and Bridgewater this season. Their offense has put up 75 or more six times this season and has allowed that many points five times. Richmond is allowing opponents to shoot over 50% for the season and that trend figures to continue on Sunday. The Spiders offense is pretty pathetic, but they've had some success at home where they did manage to put up 76 against Georgetown. I think the extra day off will take some of the starch out of the crowd 

A pair of middling teams play in Portland. The Pilots have lost five of their last six and are pretty awful defensively. They've allowed 70 points or less just three times this season. Josh McSwiggan, Franklin Porter and Marcus Shaver Jr are the team's leading scorers. San Jose State has just two wins this season over Idaho State and Antelope Valley. They have just just one double digit scorer in Ryan Welage who needs help from others. The Spartans have also struggled on defense against their better opponents. Last year these two teams played a 79-66 game. I think we could see a similar effort. 

Portland looks to slow down a losing skid of four of their last five. The Pilots wins have been over Walla Walla, Oregon Tech and Multnomah Bible with none of those being division one victories. They did lose three times in the PK80 giving up 82 to DePaul, 93 to Oklahoma and 102 to North Carolina. This team has a ton of size and not much of a commitment to the defensive side of the ball. That's quite the opposite of Cal State Fullerton who has won three straight and four of their last five. The Titans prefer a lower scoring game considering they've gone under in all five games so far this season that have had a line. This is their first true road game since losses at St. Mary's and USC. Kyle Allman, Jackson Rowe and Khalil Ahmad are double digit scorers. Last year this game was 77-72 in California. I think we could see some scoring in this one.

BYU is trying to play a more deliberate style and so far at home it's resulted in two overs in their two lined games. The Cougars have put up over 70 five times and have allowed that much three times. Yoeli Childs and Elijah Bryant are each putting up over 16 points per game. Illinois State has struggled on defense on in their two true road games allowing 98 to Nevada and Florida Gulf Coast. Their offense has some potential although they are a really young team. Keyshawn Evans, Phil Fayne and Milik Yarbrough average almost 50 points per game. These two teams should play with some pace and I think it'll be close which means FTs and an over. 

Utah State is looking to end a two game losing streak as they host UC Irvine. The Aggies are playing just their fourth home game of the season. They've scored 66, 83 and 81 there. The problem has been defense which has allowed 70 points or more five times. Koby McEwen is back and that helps them out as he's an important piece. UC Irvine is coming off a home loss to Nevada and has won just three games this season. Their once vaunted defense has been shredded the majority of the season. They allowed 87 at UCLA, 99 at Arizona State, 71 at Kansas State and 69 at Denver. Still, the Anteaters are averaging 75.4 points per game. Utah State has gone over in 27 of their last 39 home games where the total is in the 130s. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 as a favorite. I think this one is an over.

There should be plenty of pace in this one as Arkansas is coming off an embarrassing effort last time out. The Razorbacks lost 91-65 at Houston and has lost two of their last three. The offense hasn't had the success they had to start and the defense continued to be leaky. They allowed 91 to the Cougars and 87 to North Carolina. Colorado State is feeling good after a 72-63 home win over rival Colorado. They've shown some offensive punch and have also failed at defense. CSU allowed 89 to New Mexico State and 90 to Florida State. To me, this is a get right game for Arkansas who shoots 53.2% at home where they are averaging 93 points per game. I think this is an over.

Ball State's offense hits the road to play Notre Dame and their stout defense. The Cardinals are putting up 80.5 points per contest while they allow 81.2. Unfortunately their defense is not very good with opponents shooting 45.6% from the field. Notre Dame is coming off a 71-53 home win over St. Francis of NY. They've embarrassed some bad teams at home putting up 105 against Chicago State and 88 against Mount St. Mary's. BSU's step up in competition resulted in a 95-71 loss at Oregon, 108-69 at Oklahoma and 78-77 at Dayton. They have won three straight though including a 93-85 win at Indiana State. The Cardinals have gone over in 21 of their last 31 road games and 25 of their last 37 in contests against teams with a winning record. I think this one is another over. 

Bradley's stiff defense gets a test in this one against an Aztecs team that is scoring 81.5 points per game. Trey Kell is expected back for this one after missing last game with an injury. The Braves want to slow things down, but it's hard to do on the road. They've gone over in 17 of their last 26 road games. San Diego State has gone over in five of their six lined games overall. At home they've scored 94 against EIU, 83 vs. McNeese State and 91 vs. SD Christian. I think this one is going to go over the lower total. 

Portland is 3-4 on the season with some of the losses coming to DePaul, Oklahoma and UNC. The Pilots offense isn't terrible with Franklin Porter and Josh McSwiggan being their double digit scorers. The problem has been on defense where they've allowed over 80 points four times. This is their first true road game of the season against a Boise team who probably won't be 100% focused after their huge win at Oregon. The Broncos have a very good offense that is getting better with several options. This is all happening with Chandler Hutchison not being at his best either. I think focus is an issue and that this one will be higher scoring. 

Tulane is 6-1 on the season and playing one of the faster tempos in the league. They are scoring nearly 80 points per game and are playing good defense, but the competition steps up big time here. They allowed 96 points to Long Island who is nowhere near the talent of the Heels. UNC's offense is cruising for the most part outside of a poor effort vs. Sparty. We've seen the Heels struggle on defense at times so I think this one is going to see a lot of points. Things could loosen up towards the end when the game is no longer in doubt too. The Green Wave have gone over in 28 of their last 45 games as an underdog. 

The Monarchs once trusted defense has shown some cracks this season especially away from home. They gave up 79 at William and Mary allowing them to shoot 58.3% from the field and 76 to Temple down in Charleston. The teams they've shut down were pretty weak offensively. ODU's offense has put up over 70 in three straight and VCU's defense has been leaky especially against long range shooters. At home, the Rams have allowed 72 to App State, 76 to UVA, 85 to North Florida and 65 to Grambling. Justin Tillman and Brandan Stith inside will be an interesting matchup. VCU wants to run at home and they'll probably be able to do so as the Monarchs struggle to set tempo away from home. They've gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. This one usually sees a ton of fouls which will help as well. I think this is an over.

A contrast in styles as ASU wants to get up and down while USF is one of the slower teams in the country. The Mountaineers have scored 90 or more four times this season and have already knocked off Davidson at home this season. They've got a lot of weapons to throw at an underwhelming USF team. The problem is on defense where they've been mighty leaky allowing 105 to JMU and 104 to Iowa State. The Bulls have struggled on the road this season losing to Elon and Indiana while beating Stetson. They've shown flashes of offensive success with four efforts of 70 points or more. It is a concern that they've also had 60 or less four times, but I think they get more points on the road then at home.

I'll continue to pound the over in Richmond games as long as they continue to fail miserably on defense. The Spiders have allowed every team but one to put up at least 70 and every one shot 50% or better except UAB. They struggle with size and athleticism and Wake has both of those. From time to time, the Spiders offense shows up too although they don't have a ton of consistent scorers outside of De'Monte Buckingham. Wake has put up 80 or more three times all at home, but they've also struggled allowing at least 70 to everyone except Quinnipiac. Wake has gone over in 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one gets played in the 70s or 80s.

We played the over in the UCD/Washington game and it hit for us and I'm going to do so again in this one. The Cougars are 6-0 and are averaging 82.7 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field. They managed to put up 84 on St. Mary's vaunted defense and 93 on San Diego State. Robert Franks and Malachi Flynn average over 36 points per game combined and will be tough for Davis to handle. Chima Moneke and Siler Schneider have been really good for the Aggies who have had their issues putting their pace in place on the road. They lost 77-70 at Washington and 80-71 at Utah Valley State. I think both teams find some offense and this one goes over the total.

Two teams not interested in any defense play as DePaul hosts Youngstown State. The Penguins are allowing teams to shoot 50.3% from the field and 82.1 points per contest. Two opponents, Canisius and Kent State, actually managed to go over 100 points on them. The offense is very inconsistent, but as you'll see DePaul can be pretty leaky. The Blue Demons have allowed four opponents to score 70 or more. Their offense will probably get on track for this one. YSU has gone over in 18 of their last 30 road games and 31 of their last 53 as an underdog. This one should be a track meet.

The Ducks will be without Troy Brown for this one due to a concussion. The Ducks are scoring at will on most of their opponents putting up 80 or more five times this season. Payton Pritchard and Elijah Brown lead the way with Paul White and Victor Bailey Jr also helping out. They play with a good pace and have had issues with defense as of late as well. The Broncos have four double digit scorers themselves led by Justinian Jessup. This is their first true road game of the year so I expect the defense to struggle. These two have played some close games in their series. Last year it was a 68-63 game and I expect more scoring in 2017. 

Weber State has gone over in 18 of their last 25 road games and that figures to happen again in this one. They've been putting up some good offensive numbers at times this season with Jerrick Harding and Ryan Richardson leading the way. The Wildcats helped me out big time in their win over James Madison. They've been bad on defense certain times this season. Fresno State is a potent bunch offensively with just one effort less then 75 points on the season. The Bulldogs have also had their issues with defense and for some reason continue to get lower totals even though they've gone over in four of their last five. I think this one sails over the total. 

Oklahoma is fourth in KenPom's adjusted tempo measurement and third in average possession length at 13.1 seconds. The Sooners have been steamrolling teams offensively with four efforts of 90 points or more. They've also been a little bit leaky at times on defense allowing 80 or more three times. They shouldn't be threatened too much in this one by a North Texas squad that isn't that good. The Mean Green have wins over Grambling, Rogers State, Bethune Cookman and Eureka. They've struggled against any of their better competition, but UNT has gone over in 27 of their last 41 games as an underdog. This one is going to go over the total.

Louisiana Tech has not lost yet this season, but their schedule hasn't exactly been filled with tough teams. They've beaten Texas-Tyler, SEMO, Montana State, George Mason and Evansville. The constant so far was good defense and an offense that has potential. Outside of the game against the MVC, they scored 70 points or more. Alabama made headlines for nearly knocking off Minnesota with three players. They've been an offensive juggernaut led by Collin Sexton who has been awesome as a freshman. They've scored 70 points or more in every game and have played good defense too. I'm guessing this lower total is going to assume that effort continues. The Bulldogs have gone over in 16 of their last 25 road games and 11 of their last 15 as an underdog. I think this one goes over. 

Michigan is a fascinating team in terms of how they play. They are coldly efficient offensively at times while they also play good defense. They've scored 70 or more in all but two contests and will need to do so against a potent UNC team that is hurting after the loss to Michigan State. The Wolverines have been fantastic defensively. The Tar Heels have scored 86 points or more in every game outside of the stinker against Sparty. To me, games in Chapel Hill are always faster pace and it's harder to play slower in that environment. The Wolverines have gone over in 17 of their last 22 road games. I think this one goes over the total.

It's the Mountain West/Missouri Valley challenge as Indiana State hosts Air Force. The Falcons have lost two straight after three early wins. This is their second straight road game after losing 81-69 at Colorado. The Air Force offense has struggled to score at times, but they should be able to find their footing in this one. The problem has been their defense against some of the better opponents. The Sycamores are 2-4 on the season and are playing their third straight home game. ISU has not been able to capture the magic they had at Indiana to open up the year. This team's defense has allowed over 90 points twice an the offense has done so twice as well. When the total is in the 140s, Air Force has gone over in 19 of their last 29. ISU has gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. I think this one is an over. 

We've made a lot of money off UCSB this season and will try to do so this time with the over. The Gauchos are 4-2 this season and are playing their fifth game away from home. So far the defense has struggled at times giving up 70 or more times this season. The good thing is that their offense features several weapons and should be able to keep up in a shootout. San Francisco is 3-1 this season with the loss being to Long Beach State at home. The defensive numbers for the Dons are pretty good, but it's also a reduction in quality of opponents. Souley Boum and Chase Foster are a solid scoring duo. Last year these two played a 75-63 game in UCSB. I think we see more scoring in this one.

Ohio is 3-2 on the season and is coming off back to back 96 point performances over Mt St Mary's and Indiana State. They've played well this season with the losses coming to Dayton and Clemson. Jordan Dartis, Teyvion Kirk and Mike Laster all put up over 14 points per game. Iona is having a rough season considering they have not played a home game yet. They've lost to Syracuse, Northern Kentucky and Coastal Carolina so far. The reason is a struggle on defense despite a solid offense. Rickey McGill and TK Edogi are the leading scorers for the Gaels. Last year this was a 79-75 game at Iona because both teams are good offensively. Iona has gone over in 18 of their last 28 road games. Give me the over. 

Oral Roberts has lost five straight and one can point to their lack of defense as a main reason why. They have allowed 80 points or more four times already this season and each of those teams shot 50% or more from the field. Oakland's road trip continues after already playing at Toledo, Syracuse and Kansas. They've lost all three games, but have shown offensive spunk putting up 87 and 85 already this season. They've had issues with defense too so I think this one is going over the total. ORU has gone over in 13 of their last 21 at home and 17 of their last 34 non-conference games. 

Portland has struggled with the step up in competition in the PK80. The Pilots lost 102-78 to UNC and 93-71 to Oklahoma. The one thing that's been constant is that their offense is working. They've scored 70 points or more in every game so far this season and are doing it with balance. DePaul has just one win and it came against Delaware State. They've struggled mightily shooting the ball from long range, but have the athletic advantage in this one. DePaul has scored over 70 points three times this season while the defense has been leaky as well. I think this one goes over the total. 

Oregon State and Marist are both looking for their first win in this Advocare Tournament. The Beavers lost to St. John's and Long Beach State in games that showed their lack of defense. OSU has four double digit scorers and not much after them. Marist got smoked by Nebraska after a close loss to West Virginia. The Red Foxes have allowed 76 points or more in all five of their games. Their offense has been pretty good outside of the 59 points scored against Nebraska. OSU has gone over in 14 of their last 19 games when the total is in the 140s. This one is going to feature a lot of points.

It's a Big 5 battle as Temple takes on La Salle. The Owls have played just three games and have had some time off to prepare for this one. They are shooting 42.9% from the field and are cranking out the three pointers. Obi Enechionya and Quinton Rose are their leading scorers. The over has hit in 16 of their last 29 non-conference games. La Salle's offense has scuffled a bit other then BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell. The Explorers have been bad defensively especially during this recent losing stretch. Last year these two played a 97-92 game. It won't be that high scoring, but I think it goes over this lower total.

Colorado hosts Air Force on Sunday afternoon. The Buffaloes are 5-0 and are shooting 49.1% from the field. They are putting up 78 points per game and are led by McKinley Wright and George King. The Buffs play some good defense, but have also been leaky as of late allowing 70 to Mercer and 81 to Drake. There's also a matchup with Colorado State on deck so focus could be an issue. Air Force is 3-1 and is playing their first road game of the season. They've had two good defensive games and two stinkers against Pacific and Canisius. Air Force's offense is inconsistent, but they have been playing with pace from time to time. The Falcons have gone over in 18 of their last 28 when the totals are in the 140s. These two played a 75-68 game on the road. I think we get a similar game this year.

Montana State took the title in the tournament they were in and are traveling to Fresno State. Tyler Hall has been part of a potent backcourt that has scored 80 points or more three times this season. The Bobcats have struggled on the road against the better teams losing at Utah State 81-73 and at Louisiana Tech 71-58. Fresno has scored 70 points or more in four of their five games. They've got a lot of weapons and their defense hasn't been that great either. MSU has gone over in 12 of their last 17 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one does too.

The Spiders have a quick turnaround from their three day stay in the Cayman Islands where they went 1-2. Georgetown comes to town and they figure to have some offensive success. Richmond has allowed all but one opponent to shoot 50% from the field. They allowed 75 points or more in each of those games. On the positive side, Khwan Fore is back so the team has another weapon for their own offense which has struggled. Jesse Govan leads a Georgetown team that has crushed each of their first three unlined opponents. They've played good defense in those games, but the teams weren't very good. To me, this is going to be a very physical game and I think it goes over the total. 

I think this is a bit of a lower total for two offenses who don't mind playing with some pace. Vandy was punked by UVA last game, but it was because the offense struggled to get on track. The Commodores have a lot of weapons offensively that they've shown several times already this season. So does Seton Hall who is averaging over 80 points per game. The Pirates are shooting 49.2% from the field. Since this one should be close, I think free throws will come into play at the end. 

Toledo hits the road to play a Cornell team that's horrendous on defense. The Big Red are allowing opponents to shoot 46.3% from the field while allowing 82.8 points per contest. They gave up 98 points to UMass-Lowell. Toledo has been very good on offense outside of the Syracuse game. They've scored 98, 87 and 72 in their three wins so far this season. Cornell has gone over in 10 of their last 17 home games. I think this one sees plenty of pace. 

It's the PK80 and Portland vs. North Carolina is one of the earliest games. The Pilots have wins over Oregon Tech and Walla Walla to go with a loss to Portland State. The team wants to run it seems as they've scored 75 points or more in each contest. They'll have a small advantage in that this game will be close to home, but they have no shot vs. the Heels. North Carolina's offense has rolled so far with efforts of 86, 93 and 96. They have wins over Stanford, Bucknell and Northern Iowa. The defense has struggled at times so I think there will be some pace in this one. I think this goes over the total.

Detroit has had a heck of a time so far this season with their coach suspended indefinitely by the school. On the court they are 2-2 with wins over Houston Baptist and Michigan-Dearborn. They lost by 31 to Seattle and by 32 against Virginia Tech. This team wants to run and plays next to no defense as three opponents have put up over 100 points. The Billikens are 3-1 on the season with wins over the Hokies, Rockhurst and Seattle and the loss coming to Providence. They want to play controlled basketball and don't want to get into a track meet if they can prevent it. They did play two overs against Virginia Tech and Providence. I think this one goes over the total and could get quite ugly for the Titans if they continue their lack of defense.

Two of the best long range teams in the country play as Nevada hosts Davidson. The Wildcats are shooting 53.2% from the field and 45.3% from long range entering this one. They are averaging 109 points per contest and will need to bomb away if they hope to win this one. Nevada has gone over in all four of their games because they shoot just under 50% from the field. Nevada has gone over in 19 of their last 26 non-conference games. Defense will be at a premium in this one as each team threatens 100 points in a close contest. 

San Diego State is starting to play faster and looser now that Steve Fisher is gone. They'll take on EIU who is 1-2 so far this season. The Panthers lost 72-68 at Nebraska and 56-54 at Western Illinois. The team did play a shootout in an 80-79 victory over IUPUI. JaJuan Starks and Terrell Lewis lead the way for them. The coach said they will have to play quicker to counteract the Aztecs size. Malik Pope and Trey Kell lead the way. To me, it's about time they used their athleticism to their advantage. I think this one goes over the total. 

Long Beach State is playing another murderous stretch away from home that takes them to Morgantown. The 49ers are coming off a loss at Oregon State 89-81 two days ago in a contest that saw them allow the Beavers to shoot almost 56% from the field. They won at San Francisco 83-71 and have their usual myriad of transfers and talent. West Virginia is averaging over 90 points per game and is still working on their rotations. LBSU has some vulnerable point guards who will struggle against the press. Long Beach State has gone over in 23 of their last 33 road games and 25 of their last 34 as an underdog. I think this one is going to see a ton of points. 

Ball State loves to run and has gone over in 24 of their last 36 games against teams with a winning record. They allowed 108 points at Oklahoma and 78 at Dayton. This is a team with a bit of offensive firepower themselves. Oregon lost a lot of talent, but has put up over 100 points in their last two games as well. There will be plenty of pace in this one. I think it goes over the total. 

Nevada has been rolling so far this season with three impressive offensive wins over Santa Clara, Rhode Island and Idaho. In each game they scored 88 points or more and two of them featured the Pack shooting 50% or better. The defense was good for the most part except the URI game. Pacific has been underwhelming so far in two games falling to Stanford 89-80 and UC Davis 62-58. Pacific has 23 steals and 43 fouls so far this season so they are very aggressive. That works well when you have the over with the opponent either turning it over or getting to the free throw line quickly. To me, Nevada could reach 100 points if all breaks well.

Fort Wayne has been on a nice over kick as of late. The Mastodons are a potent offensive team who has scored 70 points or more in all three of their games so far this season. The problem comes in their defense which allowed 71 to Delaware State at home and 85 on the road at Oakland. Illinois-Chicago has played two higher scoring games the last two times out beating Delaware State 95-55 while falling to St. Joe's 86-82. They should win this game and don't mind running like IPFW wants to do. I'll take the over in this one. 

The Bulldogs have been good so far this season and they've got six players who average nine points or more. Deshon and Jahmel Taylor are their best two scorers. They've got size, speed and athleticism to match an Arkansas team who has the same. The Razorbacks have won two games rather easily against solid mid majors Bucknell and Samford. They've averaged 98 points in the two contests and should not meet much resistance in a Fresno team that has allowed opponents to shoot just under 50% from the field. FSU has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games as an underdog. I think this one sails over the total. 

Michigan has gone over in 30 of their last 45 games as a favorite and 21 of their last 32 when the total is in the 130s. The Wolverines are led by Charles Matthews and Duncan Robinson along with Moritz Wagner who should play even though he got hurt last game. They beat Central Michigan 72-65 last time out allowing their second straight opponent to shoot better then 40% from the field. Southern Miss beat S. New Orleans 79-69 in their opener. There should be some improvement there this season, but not enough to win this game. I think this one should go over the total. 

Nevada has been rolling offensively in two wins so far this season as they are averaging 88 points per game and that's with a contest against Rhode Island. The Wolf Pack is deep and they've got a ton of talent as well. The Martins are fantastic as well as Jordan Caroline. Santa Clara crushed it's Division III opponent 120-70 shooting 62.3% in the win. The Broncos have gone over in 26 of their last 37 games as an underdog. Nevada has gone over in 27 of their last 49 games as a favorite. This one should be played with some pace and go over the total. 

 Niagara is trying for their second straight upset after knocking off St. Bonaventure on the road 77-75 last time out. The defense held the Bonnies to just 39.3% shooting from the field. Traditionally defense has been an issue for the Purple Eagles who can score, but rarely stop the opponent. Minnesota is coming off an 86-74 road win at Providence and already has a 92-77 win over USC Upstate as well. Jordan Murphy is off to a great start to his season. Minnesota has gone over in 20 of their last 33 home games. This one should go over the total. 

There should be plenty of pace and plenty of points in this one. Davidson made 26 three pointers in their first win of the season. Their defense is very subpar so they'll need shooting efforts like that in order to win ballgames. UNC Wilmington also wants to play with pace to hide their subpar defense. They beat UNC Wesleyan 105-81 in their season opener. 

VMI is going to be one of the worst teams in college basketball as they lost 102-67 at NC State on Friday. The Keydets allowed the Wolfpack to shoot 50.7% from the field in that one. Duquesne won their first game 80-70. They want to get out and run a bit because of their offensive limitations. Duquesne has gone over in 12 of their last 20 games as a favorite and 13 of their last 22 at home. I think this one is an over. 

Nebraska beat EIU 72-68 last time out in a game where we pushed on the over. There's been talk of Coach Miles wanting to push the pace a little bit. He's got some returning talent in Glynn Watson to go along with intriguing talent in James Palmer from Miami. North Texas beat up on it's lesser opponent 122-65 last game. They want to run and get things going a bit because they have lesser talent and have quicker guards to play. North Texas has gone over in 26 of their last 39 games as an underdog. Nebraska has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games with a total in the 140s. Give me the over. 

Cincinnati has a little bit more talent this year and they want to play just a bit faster. They've gone over in 17 of their last 28 home games and should be able to get whatever they want against a WCU team that lost 85-57 last time out. The team returns all five starters so they might be able to contribute a little bit in terms of the total. Two years ago these two teams played in Cincy and the Bearcats won 97-72. Probably a little less points for the Catamounts this time but I think it goes over.

The Bison head to Indiana to play the Hoosiers. Howard lost their last game 84-75 at George Washington allowing the Colonials to shoot 53.4% from the field. Indiana will be glad to find some scoring after they were blasted by Indiana State. The Hoosiers gave up 90 points to the Sycamores and only scored 69 themselves. I think this is a lower total then I expected. With some pace, this one goes over. 

Eastern Illinois had trouble scoring last year but so far in the exhibition season, they've shown that they can light it up. EIU beat Illinois in an exhibition game, but then lost to a division II school a few days later. They've got four seniors and some intriguing pieces. Nebraska has plenty of scoring led by James Palmer from Miami. The Huskers have gone over in 18 of their last 28 games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one will be close too because EIU has some talent.

It's another season of almost instantly betting the over in Fort Wayne games. The Mastodons return Jon Konchar and several other options so scoring won't be an issue. Their problem comes on the defensive end where they allowed over 80 points on the road. The Dons have gone over in 37 of their last 56 games. Oakland loves to get up and down as well. They trend heavily to the over and Kendrick Nunn is going to be a very potent scorer. Quite simply, these two teams should put up at least 80 and we'll go over the total. 

It's a rebuilding year for Dayton who lost four starters and their head coach. Now it's Anthony Grant's job to continue the Flyers success. He has some intriguing pieces in Josh Cunningham, Xeyrius Williams and Kostas Antetokounmpo who is related to the Greek Freak. Grant played with tempo at VCU and may look to do the same with his young team. We know Ball State likes to run. They've got a lot of returning talent and a lot of shooters who will cause the Flyers fits. They have gone over in 37 of their last 58 games including 14 of their last 20 when the total is in the 140s. Early on in the season, there are more fouls called and with this being close, I think we get over the total with both teams shooting late FTs. There will be pace in this one.

Xavier is the Cinderella of the ball and they get the team who usually is in that role in the elite 8. Gonzaga is coming off a tough hard fought win over West Virginia and you have to wonder what is in the tank after such a grueling game. They have plenty of depth to go off of, but with the quick turnaround, you may want to back the team who is playing with house money. Xavier is hot shooting the ball and they've got a little bit of size in Karnowski and Collins that they can throw at the Muskies. Trevon Bluitt is a fantastic player and JP Macura is a solid shooter. X is shooting over 50% in their last five games so I think they can find their way to the basket. Gonzaga should also be able to score a little easier as well.

The best story of the tournament is Michigan and the betting public is backing them to continue that fairy tale. Since their plane issues, they ran off four wins in the Big 10 tourney and two more in the NCAA Tournament. The Wolverines have plenty of weapons and can spread the court with shooters. D.J. Wilson and Moe Wagner can play inside and outside and that might give the Ducks some issues. Oregon has not had many issues scoring the ball averaging nearly 80 points per contest while shooting the exact same 48.4% from the field. Dillon Brooks is playing well and there's a lot of weapons for them on the court. Michigan has gone over in 23 of their 34 lined games including 18 of 24 as a favorite. Oregon has gone over in 10 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games. I think this one goes over the total and is a fun game to watch. 

Boise State has gone over in six of their last eight games entering this one. It's offense is good, but the defense has been mighty leaky allowing 68 points or more in eight straight and 10 of their last 11. That figures to continue as one of their better rebounders David Wacker is out for the season after separating his shoulder last game. Chandler Hutchison and Nick Duncan provide a lot of the offense. Illinois blew out Valpo in their first NIT game 82-57. Their offense is really inconsistent as evidenced by the large trend to the under this season. They rely heavily on Malcolm Hill to do the lifting. This is a lower total and Boise's defense isn't very good. I think we're getting some good value here with the over. 

To me, you see a lot more higher scores in the NIT when teams are playing a little looser. You've got two similar teams playing in Akron and UT-Arlington on Monday. They both average around 77 points per game while giving up around 70. Akron is playing their second straight road game in this tournament after winning at Houston on the 15th 78-75. The offense hasn't been an issue for the Zips as they have cracked the 70 point mark in five of their last seven games. The Mavericks won a high scoring affair at BYU 105-89 in their first dip into the NIT. This is a potent offense as well led by Kevin Hervey. They've gone over in six of their last nine lined home games. I think that trend continues Monday. 

Texas Southern started out the year on an extended road trip that ran through Jan. 7. Over that span, the Tigers got crushed by Baylor (89-63), TCU (96-59), Cincinnati (96-58), Louisville (102-71) and Arizona (85-63). They just don't have the athletes to keep up with the likes of North Carolina. The Tar Heels have pounded the lesser teams on their schedule, putting up 100 points or more five times this season. I think they name their score and whatever it is will go over the total.

Disappointment and defense will be the theme of this game between two teams who lost in their conference title games. Irvine has gone under in five of their last seven as they have an inconsistent offense and a really good defense that has held five straight opponents to 70 points or less. The Redbirds have gone under in five of six and nine of their last 11 overall as they have clamped down on MVC opponents. They have a better offense then UC-Irvine, but they've also played some low scoring affairs. The Redbirds have gone under in 20 of their 32 lined games including 18 of 28 as a favorite. I think this one will be close and low scoring. 

CSU has won two straight games in Vegas and is now one win away from a title. Standing in their way is Nevada whom they lost to in the regular season finale. The Rams offense has been clicking and they are coming off a win over San Diego State late last night. My concern is the relatively quick turnaround for them against a potent Nevada team. The Pack has won eight straight and have not put up less then 77 points in any of those victories. They will try to push the pace on Colorado State who isn't as deep and may be a bit tired. Gian Clavell leads a great trio of scorers for Colorado State, but Nevada has more balance. I think this one goes over the total with a lot at stake.

A pair of solid offenses are on display as Harvard takes on Yale. The Eli are averaging nearly 75 points per game while shooting 47% from the field. Their defense could be better but with the multitude of weapons they have makes up for it. Three double digit scorers for the Bulldogs who also have two others who put up nine points per contest. Harvard's offense is shooting over 50% in their last five games so they bring a real hot offense into the contest. They also play really good defense. The one concern is the neutral court and the two teams getting used to a game with lesser atmosphere. Ironically, Harvard is coming off a game at the Palestra where they lost 75-72. Yale's game at the Palestra was a 68-60 victory over the Quakers. I think this one goes over the total. 

The Spiders try to get a win over their crosstown rivals except this time it's in Pittsburgh. Each of the two regular season meetings went the same way with VCU taking a one point halftime lead into a victory over their rival. VCU shot over 50% from the field and was good from long range. Scoring hasnt been an issue for the Spiders who have TJ Cline and ShawnDre Jones. These two have piled up the points int heir meetings with the over hitting in six straight. Because of what is at stake, free throw shooting will come into play with it being close. Both teams have now gotten a game in at Pittsburgh so the surroundings won't be as unfamiliar to them. I think this one goes over the total.

After what Michigan went through, it was a big surprise how much they pounded Illinois yesterday. Now they get a rematch with Purdue whom they beat at home 82-70 in a game that saw them shoot nearly 55% from the field and hold Purdue down a bit despite being outrebounded. The Boilers have the edge inside with their size, but the Wolverines scheme gives them fits with Moe Wagner being able to play inside and outside. Isaac Haas shot poorly the first matchup, but that won't last in the second one. Purdue's defense has allowed four straight opponents to score 65 or more. Michigan has gone over in five straight games and six of their last eight. The Wolverines shot 63% today so you know they like it in DC. I think this one is tight and high scoring. 

The overs have hit 21 times already this season in Ball State games and I think it does again on Thursday. The Cardinals are averaging nearly 80 points per game and can beat you in a couple of different ways. The two teams played twice with the home team winning each contest. BSU picked up an 84-78 win in January while WMU crushed the Cards 80-55 in February. Western Michigan is rather porous defensively allowing their opponents to shoot over 47% from the field. The Broncos found some defense a bit down the stretch, but I don't think they'll carry it over in this one. Even if they do, Ball State could struggle on their end as well. I think this one is an over. 

A pair of wild card teams play in Pittsburgh with La Salle taking on Davidson. The Explorers won their home game back on January 19th 91-83 in a game that saw them shoot nearly 58% from the field. Jack Gibbs and Peyton Aldridge are two of the best scorers in the conference, but the Wildcats can't play defense and don't have any other options. La Salle's problem is consistency as they have the scoring thing down with BJ Johnson, Jordan Price and Pookie Powell. They've lost three of their last four and really haven't beaten anyone good in conference play other then Rhode Island way back in January. Davidson has lost three of their last four. Neither one of these teams plays very good defense so I'll take the over and hope that the early start time and new surroundings don't hurt both teams too much. 

A pair of offensive teams play with Coastal Carolina and South Alabama. The Jags and Chanticleers each allow over 70 points per game. They play an 81-77 contest back on February 20th in which neither team shot well from the field or the FT line. Coastal had 18 offensive rebounds. They've gone over in eight of their 11 games when the total is in the 140s. CCU has Jaylen Shaw and Elijah Wilson among the leading scorers. South Alabama has gone over in nine of their 12 games where the total was in the 140s. They have a couple of scorers. The lower total is because of unfamiliar surroundings for both teams. I still think it goes over. 

Gonzaga gets another crack at St. Mary's on Tuesday night for a WCC title. The Zags offense steamrolled the Gaels shooting over 55% in each matchup against them. There's been some concerns about their  play in Vegas so far with lackadaisical starts in their two tourney games so far. The Gaels have been beating up their opponents so they may be in better form right now. The totals have been pretty low for this series as of late because of both teams defensive numbers. Last year in the title game between these two we saw an 85-75 Bulldogs win with a 134 total. I think this one inches over the total and is closer then the last two meetings.

There's a lot at stake in the SoCon title game with Greensboro trying to knock the Bucs off for a third time this season. UNCG won game one 83-79 back on January 12th while they picked up a home victory a month later 72-66 at home. ETSU wants to get up and down the court led by TJ Cromer who is coming off a huge performance in the win over Mercer. They have gone over in nine of their last 11 neutral court games. Greensboro is the better defensive squad of the two although they both allow around the same amount of points. This one should be a tight contest meaning late fouling will come into play especially with a lot at stake.

It's a rematch of a game in Ann Arbor back on January 14th in a contest that saw Michigan win at home 91-85 and both teams shot over 50% from the field. The offenses won't be that good, but the total is saying that they don't have to. The Huskers have gone over in four of their last six games as they have scored better at home although the defense continues to be leaky. Nebraska's backcourt is very good with Tai Webster and Glynn Watson Jr. Ed Morrow's return has helped solidify things inside as well. Michigan has gone over in four straight and five of their last seven games. Their offense has been clicking as of late, but who knows what their mindset will be after the very tough loss to Northwestern last time out. This is a team that has improved a bit defensively, but that was because of some strong home games. I don't think we'll have much issues getting over here. 

IUPUI and North Dakota State have split their meetings so far this season. Each team won a high scoring affair at home 93-89 and 86-81 this season. Neither team really plays defense as each are trending heavily to the over. North Dakota State has gone over in 15 of their 18 games as a favorite. IUPUI has gone over in 13 of 16 contests as an underdog. Yes, there's a worry that these two won't be able to go well in a neutral court, but I'm not quite worried when you have good offenses/bad defenses. I think the game will be tight which will help us in the end. 

FIU has to pick themselves up after blowing a huge lead at Middle Tennessee as they take on UAB. The Golden Panthers have gone over in three straight and 10 of their last 11 games as their lack of defense has caught up to them. They have some decent scorers and beat UAB at home 94-85 in a game that saw both teams blister the hoops. They won't get up to this at UAB considering how well they play defense at home. The Blazers are coming off a 79-59 home victory over FAU. These two teams play at a slower pace, but they each have had their stretches of a ton of overs. UAB has gone over in six of their eight games with one or less days of rest. This is a lower total for two offenses that could score. 

There figures to be more scoring in round number two then there was in Toledo's 73-57 victory back on February 7th. EMU has won two straight and it's because the offense is sizzling hot in wins over CMU and NIU. The Eagles have gone over in five of their last six and six of their last eight. They have the weapons led by Ray Lee, Willie Mangum and James Thompson. The Rockets had a stretch of eight overs in nine contests. They've allowed 80, 71, 104, 81, 76, 85, 96 and 90 on the road in conference. Both teams play with a moderate pace, but have offenses capable of scoring. I think we get a game played in the 80's on Friday night. 

We had the over in the game in Chestnut Hill and that was an easy winner as the two teams combined for 88 points at half on their way to 160 for the contest. The two teams have gone over in seven of their last 10 games in this series and I see no difference in this one. Boston College is allowing nearly 80 points per game on the road and should struggle to stop the Irish. The problem will potentially come from BC's offense which has come up lame at times this season. They have not won a single road game with four of the seven going over the total. Notre Dame is outscoring teams by 16 points at home and have a big road game at Louisville next. To me, I feel like the lack of focus will come on the defensive side of the ball. I think they could get to 90 or 100 points and BC does the rest. 

A pair of higher paced teams play with Toledo hosting Ball State. The Cardinals have gone over in 20 of their 25 lined games this season and it's because of an offense shooting nearly 47% from the field. They've gone over in nine of 11 road games and 12 of 16 MAC contests. The problem has also been defense for them as they've struggled with the more potent opponents. These two played back on January 31st and Ball State won 81-80 in a game that saw 90 points in the first half. The Rockets are putting up over 80 points per game while allowing nearly 77. To me, this total should be a bit higher, but I'll take advantage of it and take the over. There was a stretch in January where Toledo went over in eight of nine games. 

Two sad sack teams in the WCC play as San Diego hosts Portland. The Tororos have lost six of their last seven and are one of the worst offensive teams in the country. They scored 38 against Gonzaga last time out and have scored 60 or less in five straight home games. They are one of the slower paced teams and really don't have too many scoring options. This team put up 68 in a 16 point win at Portland back on January 28th. The Pilots are another slow paced team who has scored 60 or less in six of their last seven road games in conference. Portland has gone over in just one of their 10 road games. I think this one will be a low scoring snoozer. 

WIU has gone over in three straight and four of their last six as they host Fort Wayne. The Leathernecks started out conference play with a win at Fort Wayne 93-91 in a game where they hit 18 3's from the field. They have some weapons and are coming off a 92-81 home loss to South Dakota. The Mastodons have gone over in four of five and six of their last eight games. They don't play much defense as six of their last nine opponents have put up 80 or more. As long as the totals are reasonable, I'm taking the over in Fort Wayne games and Summit League contests. 

As I've preached on here, Summit League overs are like gold. South Dakota and IUPUI each average nearly 80 points per game while the home team is allowing almost 80 themselves. These two played a 85-74 game at South Dakota in early January with the Coyotes almost shooting 60% from the field. South Dakota has gone over in all six of their February games because the offense is smoking hot and the team is too. IUPUI has not held a single conference opponent to less then 70 points this season. Luckily for them is that they have been able to score the ball themselves. There's not much analysis needed with two teams that struggle on defense. 

There are a ton of trends in favor of the over in this one. First and foremost, Ball State is 20-4 to the over this season and is shooting 46.8% from the field. Western Michigan has gone over in all nine of their home lined games and 25 of their last 33 there. These two played an 84-78 game at Ball State back on January 28th in a game that saw both teams shoot 50% from the field or better. They each took advantage of their time at the free throw line. Ball State is averaging 81.5 points per game on the road and their defense is pretty porous there too. I think these two teams should be able to light up the scoreboard and make the over a good play.

Drake has not been winning games lately with their new style kind of backfiring. The Bulldogs want to go fast, but they've allowed 81.8 points per contest in their last five. The good thing for them is that they can score at home putting up 77.7 going over in eight of 11 contests. Bradley wants to play a slower contest although they've gone over in 10 of 15 road contests. Just 21 days ago, these two played a 79-72 contest at Bradley which went over the total of 144.5. Of concern is Darrell Brown's status for the road team, but it sounds like he will play. Drake can win this one, but they'd need a higher scoring game which I think will happen. 

Penn has won four straight entering this one against Cornell. One of those wins came against the Big Red in Philly 82-63 in a game that saw the Quakers shoot 54.7% from the field. This offense is cruising right now with three of the four wins featuring them shooting over 50%. Defense has been the issue with this team in the past, but right now they are clicking there as well. You can't beat confidence which this team has right now. Cornell has lost five of their last six and it's because of an awfully leaky defense and an inconsistent offense. They want to play at a faster pace and really have nothing to play for. These two have gone over in four of their last five meetings including two straight in Cornell. I think this one is an over.

The rivalry shifts scenes to Indy where IUPUI hosts Fort Wayne. The Dons won the home game 103-73 in a contest that saw them shoot almost 58% from the field. Taking them on the road means their defense gets much worse as they allow 81.8 points per contest away from Fort Wayne. IUPUI is averaging around that much at home this season. They've played several games in the 80s at home against North Dakota State and South Dakota State this season. To me, there will be plenty of offense and not a lot of defense. Fort Wayne has allowed 90 or more in three of their last four. This one should be a shootout. 

Furman has a lot to play for in this one as they try to win the SoCon regular season title. They are coming off a 21 point home loss to UNC Greensboro. That came after a 11 game win streak that saw them play great defense and awesome offense as well. The start of the streak came against East Tennessee at home 75-62 that saw them hold the potent Bucs to just 37.9% from the field. ETSU has gone over in six of their last nine games as they want to push the pace. The defense is a bit leaky at times, but it usually doesn't matter considering their potent offense. There's a lot at stake in this one so I think fouls will be crucial late and think the over is worth a look. Furman has gone over in nine of their last 12 road games while ETSU has gone over in eight of their 11 lined home contests. 

Ball State has gone over in 20 of their 23 lined games including 13 of 15 when they are the favorite. Their first meeting with Eastern Michigan went over on the road as the Cardinals won 88-80. They shredded the Eagles zone even with making just six three's. These two have played three straight overs as each team brings some offensive talent. Both teams shoot over 45% from the field although the Cardinals do it with three pointers while EMU gets it on the inside. This one has a tight spread meaning FTs come into play at the end. To me, this one seems like an over as neither team may be able to slow the other down.

 It's  another battle between the Mocs and Bucs on Saturday. ETSU took the home game 76-71 in a game where each team had some pretty similar statistics. The Bucs have won three straight and seven of their last eight with six of those going over the total. They like to get out and run whenever they can. The defense has also been leaky at times allowing 70 points or more in eight of their last nine games. UT-C has gone over in five of their last nine games. They play at a "slower" pace, but have the better defense of the two teams. This one is going to be close with a lot at stake, so I see FTs coming into play. To me, this is a bit low, so I'll take the over. 

A pair of teams who enter this one after different results on Monday play as Texas Tech takes on West Virginia. The Mountaineers blew a late lead and lost at Kansas so they'll be fired up not to mention that they already lost to Texas Tech in Lubbock. Texas Tech won 77-76 back on January 3rd in a game that saw them hit almost 54% of their long range shots and commit only 13 turnovers. WVU is averaging 90.9 points at home so things figure to change a bit at home for them. They've gone over in all eight games that have seen the total in the 140s. To me, this one seems a bit low so I'll bite and take the over. 

The Rams and Spiders play round two in the Robins Center tonight. Round one saw both teams shoot really well in an 81-74 VCU win at the Siegel Center. These two have played four straight overs in the series as each team has struggled in spots to stop the other. VCU has a clear size advantage, while Richmond may have the better scorers in TJ Cline and ShawnDre Jones. The Spiders defense has been mighty leaky as of late allowing 93 to George Mason, 90 to Duquesne and 81 to these Rams in that game earlier. VCU's defense is coming off a horrendous effort against St. Joe's at home where they allowed 81 to the Hawks. The team has also struggled at times giving up 77 at St. Bonaventure. This rivalry should be a close game throughout with fouls coming into play late. I think the over is a nice play in this one.

Besides Ball State overs, Fort Wayne is also an over haven especially at home. They've gone over in seven of their nine home games this season and 20 of their last 30 games at home overall. The Dons have an awesome offense that shoots especially well at home. They are averaging 95.8 points per game there shooting 53%. This conference as a whole is a bastion of overs with FW averaging games of 85.5 - 83.6. These two played in North Dakota with the Bison winning 89-83 as a one point favorite. These two have gone over in eight of their last 13 lined games. North Dakota State has gone over in 11 of 12 Summit games. To me, the Summit is almost instabet on the over. 

East Tennessee is one of my favorite over bets although they've been inconsistent as an offense. The Bucs are scoring over 80 points per game and are shooting nearly 50% from the field. They won at Samford last January 96-86 in overtime in a game that was a back and forth affair. These two have played four overs in their last five meetings as coach Padgett likes to get up and down the court. The Bulldogs have gone over in 10 of their 13 conference games. They have done so in four straight and seven of their last eight games. The defense has been an issue especially on the road where they've allowed 221 points in their last two games. I think this one goes over the total on Wednesday. 

Ball State overs are some of the best bets in basketball right now. The Cardinals have gone over in nine of their last 10 games and it's because of a good offense and a very porous defense. They've allowed 70 points or more in all but one MAC game. Luckily for them, they've gone over the 80 point mark seven times already in conference play. The Huskies are one of the slower paced teams, but at home they've had some success. They have gone over in three of their last four home games with the fourth being a push. While it seems they prefer a slower pace, they've had problems enforcing it. CMU played a faster paced game as well as Akron. I think the over is a good play in this one. 

Notre Dame comes down from their high of beating Florida State to travel to Chestnut Hill to play Boston College. The Eagles have failed miserably on the defensive side of the ball especially in conference where they allow over 80 pts per contest. BC has gone over in nine of their 11 lined home games because teams just don't take them seriously. I think the Irish could struggle at times, but their offense is so good that they still should win. ND has scored 76, 82, 87 and 71 in their last four games against Boston College. They've also gone over in eight of their 13 conference games. To me, if there's a let down, it'll come on the defensive side of the ball. I think this one goes over the total since at least one team could score 80 or more. 

VMI continues their six game homestand as they host Furman on Monday. The Keydets are coming off a 101-78 win over the Citadel last time out and has perked up a bit offensively as a group. They lost the first meeting with Furman 89-72 just under a month ago at their place allowing the Paladins to shoot 56.9% from the field. They scorched the nets from long range in the win. Even though VMI has returned home, their defense is still AWOL allowing 78, 81 and 81 in their last three games there. Heck going back some time, they've allowed 75 or more in eight of their last 10 games overall. Furman has won eight straight as they continue to shoot the ball well from the field. The Paladins are shooting 50% or better from the field in four straight and six of their last seven. They've gone over in eight of 10 road games. I think this one goes over too. 

Loyola Chicago has lost three straight, but has a big chance as Wichita State comes to town. They lost the first meeting on the road 87-75 in a game where they allowed the Shockers to shoot 53.8% from the field. This is one of the most efficient offenses in college basketball as the Ramblers shoot better then 50% from the field. Milton Doyle leads a very nice attack. They had a stretch of 12 straight overs at one point from December through January. Very few teams have slowed the Shockers down as they've put up less then 70 points just twice in conference play and three times overall. They've gone over in four of their seven road games. To me, this one will be played at a bit of a slower pace, but both offenses can take advantage of their fewer possessions. 

Two of the better offenses in the Big 10 play two of the worst defenses in the conference. Michigan and Indiana are both very efficient offensively shooting around 48% from the field. The Wolverines allow their opponents to shoot 47% from the field while the Hoosiers allow 71.5 points per contest. The first time these two played just a few weeks ago, it was Michigan pasting IU 90-60 shooting 63.3% from the field while making 11 3's. This Wolverines group has struggled on the road allowing teams to shoot almost 50% from the field. Indiana is getting closer to whole with the return of James Blackmon who is a crucial piece to their offense. It's not often we see a total this low in Bloomington. They've gone over in nine of their last 11 contests there when the total is around 144. The spread suggests a close game so we'll take some free throws to help the cause. 

Denver comes into Fargo with a week off and an offense that is shooting nearly 50% from the field. The Pioneers have gone over in four of six and eight of their last 11 games overall. Much like the rest of this conference, they struggle on defense and play a pretty solid offense. Their effort against North Dakota State back on the 14th was the rare 55 point effort by anyone in the Summit. North Dakota State has gone over in six straight and 10 of their last 11. They are having a good time offensively and will want revenge after one of their worst efforts of the season. This is a rare low total in this conference, so I'll take advantage and go over. 

Ball State and Ohio are very good over bets as of late. The Bobcats have gone over in seven straight despite the loss of their best player Antonio Campbell. Ohio has scored 85 or more in four straight games in conference. Their problem has also been on defense where they have allowed 90 or more in two of their last three. The Cardinals have gone under in just three lined games all year with two of those coming at home. Ball State's offense is fantastic and their defense is lacking just a bit as well. To me, this one seems to be a nice over.