The Falcons have gone over in five of their last seven games and a lot of that is because of a porous defense. BG has allowed 101 at Toledo, 93 at Northern Illinois, 80 at Akron and 71 at EMU. Justin Turner is one of four double digit scorers for this team. Ball State is coming off a horrendous performance at EMU that saw them lose 58-41. The team's defense has improved and they'll be happy to be home after six road games over eight contests. Last time there they won 111-106 over Akron in a multiple overtime game. This is one of the most potent offenses in the MAC so I think we could see them crack the 80 point mark once again. They've gone over in 19 of their last 33 home games. I think this one's an over as well. 

George Mason has gone over in six straight and eight of their last nine. The reason for it is the Patriots have no interest in playing defense with five straight opponents putting up 80 or more. Their offense isn't too bad, but the depth just isn't there. They play with some pace even though it may not be beneficial to them. Richmond has had plenty of time to prep for this one with almost a week off. They've gone over in six of their last eight games as the offense is blistering the nets. They have four double digit starters and a fifth putting up around nine points per contest. These two have gone over in seven of their last eight meetings. Mason has been a thorn in the Spiders side because of their size and rebounding ability, but I don't see that being an issue in this one. Richmond wins in an over.

Until they give me a reason not to, I'm going to take the over in William and Mary home games. The Tribe are averaging 92.6 points per game in Williamsburg shooting a blistering 53.4% from the field. The problem for them is on the defensive side where they are allowing just over 86 points per contest in their last five. These two met in Philly back on January 7th with WM winning 85-63, but that's before Drexel got healthy. The Dragons have some confidence after winning three straight home games. They put up 76, 68 and 83 in those contests with two of those going over the total. This team's defense has not been good on the road allowing 107 at UNC Wilmington and 90 at Elon and Towson. As I said above, I will continue to take overs in William and Mary home games.

Clemson has won two straight and four of their last six entering this one against Wake Forest. The Tigers are flying high after knocking off the Tar Heels at home 82-78. Clemson has managed to find it's footing after a rough beginning without Donte Grantham. Marcquise Reed leads one of four double digit scorers that make it tough to slow down the Tigers. They've gone over in seven of their last nine. Wake Forest had their seven game win streak snapped last time out at home against Florida State 76-72. Wake's been terrible on defense allowing 70 or more in three straight and seven of their last eight. Bryant Crawford leads a diverse attack for the home team. Last year, these two teams played a 95-83 game in Clemson. We could see something close here.

Fresno State has gone over in all seven of their road games and 10 of their 13 when the total is in the 140s. The Bulldogs are averaging 81.1 points per game away from home and are shooting 50% in those games. The problem has been on the defensive end where they are allowing nearly 77 points per contest in their last five. Wyoming is 9-2 at home where they score 84.2 points per game. The Cowboys have some matchup issues, but they also can't stop anyone allowing nearly 80 points per contest as well. Wyoming has gone over in eight of their nine lined home games. They've also gone over in 31 of 47 conference games. Last year these two teams played a 102-100 contest in Wyoming. They've gone over in seven of their last eight lined meetings including four straight in Wyoming. This one has over written all over it.

William and Mary is back home where they are averaging almost 92 points per game and are shooting 53% from the field and 48.2% from long range. The Tribe's defense doesn't get any better there either allowing 82 points. They have gone over in all six of their home lined games and 20 of their last 26 there. WM won at Elon about two weeks ago 80-73 in a game that saw them make 16-of-31 three's and shoot almost 52% from the field. In Williamsburg last year, they won 88-85 over Elon. The Phoenix have gone over in three of their last four games as the defense has turned to crap. They allowed 76 at Towson, 83 at Drexel and 85 at James Madison. The team has some offensive firepower so I think this is another shootout in Virginia. 

Drexel plays their final game of a three game homestand as James Madison comes to town. The Dragons have gone over in six of their last 10 contests as they have suddenly found some offense. The roster is healthy and players are getting some rest. They've put up 68, 83, 73, 68 and 86 in their last five games. The team lost 75-73 at Harrisonburg back on January 20th. Tramaine Isabell leads five double digit scorers who provide balance. JMU has two wins on the season and has been really close in a bunch of other games with six single digit conference losses. Their defense has been an issue for a lot of the season as they just don't play man or zone very well. They've allowed 70 or more in nine of their last 11 games. This one seems like a close played over on Thursday.

UNLV has gone over in 16 of their 21 lined games including 14 of 17 as a favorite. They've gone over in 12 of their 13 home contests with the 13th being a push. In comes San Jose State whom the Rebels struggled to beat their place earlier this month 82-76. UNLV wants to run and gun and they've had a lot of success doing so this season. They've put up 88, 81, 78, 74, 94 and 95 in their last six games at home. In games that they've been huge favorites, they've done more then their fair share of scoring. San Jose State has lost nine in a row. On the road, they've allowed 94 at Boise State, 85 at San Diego State, 80 at New Mexico, 86 at Utah State and 85 at Bowling Green. There's not a lot of redeeming qualities with the Spartans. They have one good scorer and are trying to rebuild. I think we could see the home team hit 100 in this one. UNLV also has a road game at Boise next week so there might be some unfocused play in this one. 

St. Bonaventure hits the road for the first time since a particularly rough stretch of four losses over a five game span away from home. The Bonnies have an extremely consistent offense scoring 70 or more in all but two games so far this season. Adams and Mobley along with Stockard are a fantastic trio that a lot of teams can't match. Defensively this team allowed 83 at Davidson, 87 at Rhode Island, 85 at St. Joe's and 82 at Dayton in conference. George Mason has gone over in five straight and seven of their last eight. They play next to no defense allowing 84 to VCU, 81 to St. Louis, 79 to St. Joe and 86 to Davidson all at home. Their offense isn't that bad especially if Otis Livingston is on point. This one should see plenty of points on both sides. 

Michigan State hosts Penn State on Wednesday night. The Spartans are averaging 84.4 points per contest and are shooting 51.7% from the field. They've gone over in eight of their lined home games and have put up 80 or more there 11 times this season. They've got a ton of balance and plenty of scorers. The Nittany Lions have gone over in six of their last eight contests and have played pretty much everyone close in conference play. They won at Ohio State 82-79 already. PSU has allowed 70 at Northwestern, 74 at Indiana, 73 at Iowa and 75 at Maryland. This is not a deep team, but the players that are in the rotation are very impactful. Fouling may play a part in the end, but even if it doesn't, it's because this is a bit of a blowout. 

Central Michigan has lost two straight and six of their last seven as they host Northern Illinois. The Chippewas defense has been terrible allowing 70 points or more in each of those games during this current streak with six contests going over the total. Offense isn't the problem with these guys considering they've scored under 70 just four times this season. They've got five guys who score nine points per game or more per contest. NIU has lost all but one road game and it's because of a really leaky defense that has allowed 79, 82, 95, 66, 78 and 98 in their last six contests away from home. They've gone over in four straight games because their offense hasn't been that bad. I think these two should light up the scoreboard on Tuesday night. 

CSU has gone over in six of seven and seven of their last nine. They are continuing to put up good numbers offensively despite not having Prentiss Nixon who has been out with an ankle injury. The Rams have scored 70 points or more in six straight games. We've seen more balanced scoring from this team despite the lack of depth. The problems also come on the defensive side. New Mexico has played well despite the loss of their leading scorer Sam Logwood. The Lobos have gone over in three straight and seven of their last 10. They've scored 70 or more in the majority of their games so far their season. These two teams are mirror images of each other in that their defense is leaky, but the offense can score. I think this one is an over. 

Home Arkansas is 10-1 this season putting up 88.7 points per game while shooting 51.5% from the field. The Razorbacks have had some problems defensively giving up nearly 80 points per game in their last five contests. They've gone over in eight of their 11 home tilts as they use their pace and press to their advantage. They will also be motivated after losing 99-71 in Stillwater last season. Oklahoma State has gone over in five of their last eight and it's because of a mighty leaky defense that has allowed 80 or more in six of their last nine. The Cowboys offense is no slouch with six guys who score seven points per game or more. It's hard not to play the over in Arkansas this season. 

Northeastern is rolling as they've won four straight and six of their last seven. I watched them against WIlliam and Mary and was impressed by their offense and certainly by their depth as well. The team plays a ton of players and has gone over in five of six and nine of their last 12. They are coming off an 81-67 win at Hofstra last time out and has shot over 50% in four of their last six. Drexel is feeling good after an 83-79 win over Elon which snapped a five game losing streak. As I said in that writeup, we're seeing a healthy Dragons team for the most part outside of Sam Green being out. They have scored 83, 86, 63 and 87 in their last four home games. Tremaine Isbell is an underrated scorer and he should be able to get what he wants against the Wildcats. Both of these teams are allowing opponents to shoot 45% from the field or better. I think this one goes over the total. 

This one should feature a ton of points despite each offense having some issues. Since A-10 play has started George Mason has allowed 95, 80, 81, 79, 86, 72 and 83 points. VCU's offense found it's identity in St. Louis and hopefully they can carry it over to Fairfax. Justin Tillman is a double double machine with three other double digit scorers to make things difficult. George Mason's offense has put up 86, 81, 59 and 86 in their last four home games. Otis Livingston II has been a problem for VCU since he joined the Pats. George Mason has gone over in 33 of their last 46 conference games and 20 of their last 32 at home. VCU has gone over in all five of their road games because their defense can be porous too. 

Ball State has lost three of four and four of their last six entering this one against Akron. The Cardinals offense is heating up a bit though with a couple of 80 point efforts in the last week and a half. They've also laid a few clunkers, but those came on the road where they are not as strong. This is a team with a ton of weapons and one that plays with some pace. Google Akron basketball and you see an article talking about their coach saying the defense has to improve on the road if they hope to win. They will struggle in the interior with Jaden Sayles and Emmanuel Olojakpoke out for this one. They've allowed 87 at Western Michigan, 86 at Marshall and 73 at Dayton. Daniel Utomi, Malcolm Duvivier and Jimond Ivey are a potent trio to try and slow down. These two teams should be able to put up some points in this one. 

UCLA is looking to end a three game losing streak as they host California. These two teams met back on January 6th and the Bruins won 107-84 on the road. UCLA wants to run and California is more then likely to oblige them. They are led by Aaron Holiday and three other double digit scorers. At home this team has had seven efforts of 80 points or more. They've gone over in six of their last 10 and are dying with their recent struggles to get out and have an easy victory. California has lost six straight and their only conference win was at Stanford 77-74 to close out 2017. This team has allowed 80 points or more 10 times this season. The question will be how much they contribute to this total. The offense has had it's issues at times. I think this one sees a ton of points and it goes over the total.

The Drexel Dragons begin three straight at home on Thursday as they host Elon. The team is trying to snap a five game losing streak and is trying to get healthy. It's been rare this season that they've had everyone available. They have five double digit scorers, but if you notice only two of them Kurk Lee and Sammy Mojica have played all 21 games. Drexel's defense has been particularly leaky at home where they gave up 91 to Hofstra, 85 to William and Mary, 82 to Charleston and 77 to Rider. The offense has been capable at times this season as well. Elon's defense has been really leaky as of late especially giving up 80 to William and Mary and 85 to James Madison. The Phoenix go as their big five goes. They really don't have much outside of their five double digit scorers. They won 90-75 at home back on December 30th. These two have gone over in five of their last eight lined games. I think this one continues that trend. 

Georgetown looks for the season sweep of DePaul whom it beat 90-81 back on January 2nd in Chicago. Both teams shot pretty well in that one. Since then, Georgetown has gone 2-3 and is coming off a 93-89 win over St. John's. The Hoyas go as Marcus Derrickson and Jesse Govan go as they are their two top weapons. This team's defense has been pretty porous allowing 70 or more in three straight and seven of their last eight. The Blue Demons have won just once since the first meeting with GTown beating St. John's 91-74 in New York. Their defense has been just as awful especially in conference play allowing 70 points or more in each Big East game. Their offense isn't great but scorers Max Strus, Marin Maric, Tre'Darius McCallum and Eli Cain lead the way. Both teams don't mind a moderately paced game. I think this one goes over the total. 

The Bonnies have lost four of their last five and are currently on a streak of six straight overs as they host St. Joe's on Wednesday. St. Bonaventure lost in Philly to the Hawks 85-78 in a game that saw them struggle to slow down their offense. This is a team that has scored less then 70 points just twice all season. They succeed because of Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley in the backcourt. St. Joe's defense doesn't travel very well and they had their own stretch of six straight overs which came before this current three game stretch of unders. James Demery and Shavar Newkirk are a really potent duo themselves. SJU is allowing 74.1 points per game and has gone over in six of eight contests as an underdog. Buckle up for a ton of points in this one. 

Two of the better shooting teams in the country play as Dayton hosts Davidson. The Flyers are shooting 48.1% from the field while the Wildcats check in at 47.3%. Both teams have had their issues on the defensive end and UD will have problems against one of the biggest teams in the country. Dayton has gone over in four of six and eight of their last 12. They've shot 50% or better from the field in five games over that span. The Wildcats have shot 50% or better in four straight and five of their last seven games. They've played some weak competition over that span outside of the win over St. Bonaventure. To me, this is a tight game with a lot of points. I think this one goes over the total. 

Michigan State has gone over in seven of their last 10 games as they enter this matchup against Illinois. This team is a scoring machine with 13 efforts of 80 points or more. The balance has been pretty awesome and they shouldn't find too much resistance in Illinois. The question is if Michigan State's defense will travel. In three of their last four games, Sparty allowed 70 points or more. Illinois has played better at home, but has had their problems on offense. The worry is that they won't get enough points to help out, but they've allowed 104 to Iowa, 79 to Michigan, 89 to UNLV and 92 to Maryland. I think the pace is good enough to see an over in this one. 

Nevada is a very tough team at home where they are 9-0. They've outscored their opponents 85.8 - 70 there and have gone over in five contests. The Wolf Pack list Cody Martin as doubtful for this one, but there's still some thought he may suit up and a play a little bit. Even without him, Caleb Martin, Jordan Caroline and Kendall Stephens are tough to slow down. Boise State has gone over in seven of their last nine and are coming off a close win over Utah State last time out. They've got a highly efficient offense with Chandler Hutchison leading the way. He's got some help himself in Christian Sengfelder and two others who average double digits. These two have gone over in seven of their last 11 meetings in Nevada. I think this one does too. 

Oral Roberts is glad to be home after an awful trip through the Dakotas. The Golden Eagles have gone over the total in 10 of their last 13 lined games. At home the offense has been cruising especially since they've gotten so many weapons. The Golden Eagles have five double digit scorers and another one who puts up nine points per contest. Denver has lost seven of their last nine and it's because of a porous defense and some struggles on the road. They've allowed 80 points or more in four of their last five. The team does have some decent offensive players, but has struggled to get to the 70 point mark at times. Denver has gone over in 21 of their last 36 road games and 25 of their last 40 in conference. I think this one is as well. 

Bowling Green has won five of their last seven as they host Central Michigan. The Falcons have a very potent offense that has scored 70 points or more in two straight and six of their last seven games. They've put up less then 70 just twice this season with one of those being a clunker at Old Dominion. The problem for BG is that their defense has struggled with some of the better offenses in the league. The Chippewas are reeling a bit right now having lost four straight after a four game win streak. Over this span, the team has played three road games losing by six at Ball State, by five at EMU and by 16 at Kent State. The defense has disappeared which isn't good considering how good their offense is. CMU has five guys who average nine points per game and have gone over in five of their last seven. These two would have gone over a lot of totals in their only meeting last year with CMU winning 82-76. I think we'll see a ton of points in this one. 

Non-conference play for Penn as they host Temple on Saturday. The Quakers are playing their sixth straight home game with two of those going over the total and another pushing. They've scored 70 points or more in seven of their last eight with the eighth contest seeing them score 69. Ryan Betley, AJ Brodeur and Darnell Foreman are the team's double digit scorers. Brodeur could be a lot for the Owls to handle inside. Temple has lost six of their last eight, but the wins came over SMU and Tulsa. Their offense is very inconsistent, but the more they play the freshmen, the better off they are. Quinton Rose and Obi Enechyiona are solid scorers who have to find some sort of consistency. Last year this was a 70-62 game in Temple. With the scene shifting to the Palestra, I think we see more scoring and possible a Quakers win.

Two of the flagship programs of the A-10 play as Dayton hosts Rhode Island. The Flyers shoot 50.5% at home where they are scoring nearly 78 points per game. Dayton has gone over in six of their 10 home games this season. They have had their defensive problems a well giving up 81, 79 and 81 in their last three games. That is an issue against Rhode Island who has so many weapons and one of the most veteran teams in the country. URI plays very good defense and that's traveled for the most part. Still, I think this is a close game as UD Arena is a tough place to play. With late fouling, I think this one goes over the total. This series has seen 13 overs in their last 20 meetings including three of their last four. 

It's hard not to take the overs in William and Mary games especially at home. The Tribe are 7-1 at home where they are winning games by an average score of 94.6 to 81. They are shooting 53.7% from the field there and are a difficult team to guard. On the road, Northeastern has allowed 77 at UNC Wilmington, 82 at Charleston, 70 at JMU and 84 at St. Bonaventure. They don't want to run and gun with a normal pace to their offense, but outside Boston they can be sucked into a quicker game. Northeastern's offense relies on Vasa Pusica and Shawn Occeus who put up over 26 points per game combined. William and Mary's defense at home has been mighty shaky especially last time out when they allowed Towson to shoot 64.4% from the field on their way to a 99-73 road win. This team allowed 82 at home to JMU, 87 to Hofstra and 104 to Marshall. For the most part, Vegas can't put a number high enough for William and Mary games at home. 

James Madison is still winless in CAA play as they host Elon on Thursday night. The Dukes have been close with four single digit losses in conference. Their offense is a mixed bag alternating 60 something and 80 something point efforts over their last four. The consistent thing is their lack of defense as they've allowed 80 or more 10 times this season. They rely heavily on Stuckey Mosley and Matt Lewis with Joey McLean on the sidelines. He's questionable for this one. The Phoenix have five double digit scorers led by Tyler Seibring's 14.1 points per contest. Elon is towards the bottom in terms of tempo but on the road they've played some higher scoring games against Hofstra, Indiana State and Boston University. They've gone over in four of their last seven contests as the defense has had a little bit of an issue at times. Elon has gone over in five of their six games as a favorite. JMU has gone over in nine of their 12 contests as an underdog. I think this one can go over the lower total.

Utah State is licking their wounds a bit after a 83-57 loss at Nevada. The Aggies have lost two straight after a streak of five wins over six contests. This is a team that has played five overs in their last seven games. It's been a mix of horrible defense (allowed 70 or more in seven straight) and a hot offense that scored 80 or more five times. Boise has gone over in seven of their last eight and it's mostly because of an electric offense that has scored 70 or more in six straight and 11 of their last 12. The team is up and down defensively, but there could be some lag after an emotional win over rival San Diego State. They've also got a road contest at Nevada next so I think the letdown happens on defense and this one goes over easily. 

UMass enters Wednesday's game having won three straight contests. The Minutemen are scoring the ball well right now and that's without Rashaan Holloway, their big center patrolling the middle. They beat St. Joe and La Salle at home and Dayton on the road. It's hard to figure this team because before this win streak they lost at home to George Mason as an eight point favorite and we're blitzed out of Olean 98-78. They play at a mediocre pace, but can be pushed a bit which is what the Rams want to do. Rhody is in a small sandwich situation after a big win over St. Bonaventure and a game next at Dayton which is always tough. The Rams have gone over three straight and five of their last seven as the offense continues to roll. They've scored 80 points or more nine times already this season. EC Matthews has a lot of weapons around him. The defense has been pretty good, but there could be a small lack of focus after the headlining game over the weekend. I think this one gets over the total.

Clemson tries to snap a long losing streak in Chapel Hill on Tuesday night. The Tigers want to play a slower paced game, but they've had troubles establishing that on the road. The team has played three overs in their three true road games losing 78-77 at NC State while beating BC 74-70 and Ohio State 79-65. The squad has gone over in four straight after a stretch of five unders. Marcquise Reed leads five double digit scorers which makes this team very difficult to guard. UNC has won four of their last six games and the offense continues to be fantastic. At home they've played contests in the 140s in every game. The Heels defense has cracked down as of late, but I don't know if that will continue. Those games were against an injury weakened Notre Dame, Boston College and UVA. UNC doesn't often see totals in the 140s. I'll take the over in this one.

Central Michigan is trying to snap a three game losing streak at Ball State on Tuesday night. The Chips have been pretty bad on defense  as they've allowed 70 points or more in three straight and six of their last eight contests. The Chips are led by Cecil Williams and Shawn Roundtree who approach 30 points per game combined. CMU has gone over in three straight lined road games. Ball State's offense has been a bit "broken" as of late with two sub 70 point efforts against Western Michigan and Buffalo. They need a break out effort to get back to the offensive juggernauts we know they are. The Cardinals can be deadly from the field with three players who shoot 50% or better from the field in Tayler Persons, Tahjai Teague and Trey Moses. This squad has six players who average 7.5 points per game or better. These two had some wild high scoring affairs last year. I think Ball State gets back to their offensive ways and we see an over here.

Northern Kentucky should be quite angry tonight after their home loss to Wright State last time out. NKU's offense has been spectacular especially in conference play for the most part. They've scored 80 points or more seven times already this season at home. The defense has been a bit leaky as of late allowing over 80 points to WSU and Oakland. Cleveland State doesn't figure to get there because their offense isn't that good. This will be their third straight road game with their second straight against a quality opponent. This team's defense on the road is horrific allowing 81, 85, 111, 81, 79, 78, 72, 72, 70 and 67. The over has hit in five of their last eight contests. The Norse should be able to name their score in this one and go over the total.

St. Joe's is playing some good basketball as they hit the road at UMass. The Hawks are led by Shavar Newkirk and James Demery along with freshman Taylor Funk who average a combined 47 points per game or more. The team isn't as deep as they'd like to be, but they have a potent offense. This squad has gone over in six straight and eight of their last nine. On the road they've played games with scores of 81-79, 81-78, 86-82 and 98-87. The Minutemen are feeling good right now with wins in two straight and six of their last nine. They've scored 70 or more in six of their last eight as well going over in four of their last five. These two teams should have some fun on a Sunday afternoon. 

This is  huge matchup in the Mountain West as Boise hosts San Diego State. The Aztecs have won four of five and six of their last eight. They've done so because their offense is clicking and the defense is doing just enough to win ballgames. Devin Watson leads four double digit scorers with two others averaging around eight points per contest. Boise gets their work done from their own foursome of double digit scorers. The Broncos have gone over in six of their last seven as much like San Diego State they have a potent offense and just enough defense. Last year these two teams had two overs in their two matchups. This one should be too.

Utah State has won five of their last seven games although they haven't exactly been that tested. They have played five overs in their last six as the defense has struggled and the awesome backcourt has gotten on track. Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen, DeAngelo Isby and Dwayne Brown Jr are the biggest threats. Nevada's offense has been elite all year. They've gone over in seven of their last 10 and are doing incredible work especially at home. The Wolf Pack lost Darien Williams from the roster, but they have plenty of other options with the Martin brothers. Nevada has gone over in five of their seven lined home games. I think these two light up the scoreboard.

Western Kentucky's roster is whole right now as the NCAA finally approved their last two Top 100 recruits. The team has shot 50% or better from the field in three straight and four of their last five as they continue to round into form. Josh Anderson is averaging eight points per game and is the team's sixth leading scorer. Moustapha Diagne did not score and had four rebounds in his debut earlier this week. Charlotte is coming off a 91-83 loss at home to Marshall. They've been horrendous on defense allowing 91, 80, 85, 67, 74, 81 and 76 at home this season. Their offense isn't the best, but I think they still find some success against a leaky WKU group. The 49ers have one of the fastest paces in the league. Last year these two played games of 83-77 and 82-80 so I think this one goes over as well.

Kentucky has gone over in eight of their last 11 entering this matchup at Vanderbilt on Saturday. Coach Calipari has no real update on Quade Green and Tai Wynyard and they beat Texas A&M last time out at home 74-73 without them. This team is shooting pretty well right now, but the defense has struggled at times. They've played just two true road games losing at Tennessee 76-65 and winning at LSU 74-71. Vandy has lost three of their last four and is struggling terribly this season. They are coming off a tough loss to Tennessee at home in which they shot almost 52% from the field in an 92-84 loss. They have put up 70 or more in five of their last six. The problem has been on the defensive end where they aren't stopping the better opponents on the slate. Last year in Vandy, the Commodores lost 87-81 to the Wildcats. Two years ago they picked up a 12 point win over the Cats. I think this one goes over the total as both teams find some offense.

Towson has gone over in five straight and six of their last seven games. They've lost five of their last seven as the defense has gotten suddenly very leaky. It's not good that they allowed Hofstra to shoot 50% from long range last time out with William and Mary next on the schedule. The Tigers do have the edge on the inside and can outphysical the Tribe who may be a bit spent after the furious comeback to beat James Madison. William and Mary is one of the best FT and 3pt shooting teams in the country and are on a five game streak of 84 points or more. They've been sizzling hot at home and have gone over in four of their last five. Last year WM won this game at home 83-79 in a game with a 155 total. These two have gone over in each of their last four matchups. I think this one is an over as well.

It's the rivalry game as Michigan State hosts Michigan. Sparty enters this one averaging almost 86 points per game while shooting 51.9% from the field. Their trademark defense has struggled a bit as of late allowing 72 to Rutgers and 80 to Ohio State the last two contests. Still, this is a really potent offense that had a stretch of seven straight contests with 80 points or more scored. Michigan doesn't want to get into a track meet with their opponents but they've gone over in three of their last five contests. Their offense has scored 69 or more in six straight and seven of their last eight. The defense has struggled a bit at times against their better opponents. They allowed 71 at Ohio State and 86 at North Carolina. Michigan has gone over in 19 of their last 26 road games. Sparty has gone over in seven of their 11 lined home games with two pushes. Last year, MSU won at home 70-62 and lost at Michigan 86-57. I think this one is a bit tight and goes over the total.

Cornell had their three game losing streak snapped last time out as they beat a non-division one opponent. The Big Red has struggled on the road giving up 98 at Auburn, 97 at Delaware, 84 at Northeastern and 98 at UMass-Lowell. Matt Morgan is a very good scorer putting up 24.9 points per contest. Cornell wants to get up and down the court especially since their offense isn't great in the halfcourt. Penn's offense has been fantastic scoring 70 or more in six straight and seven of their last eight. This season they've gone under the total just once in a lined game. There could be an unfocused effort from the Quakers this weekend and I think that would show up on the defensive end. 

Fullerton has won three of their last four and eight of their last 10 entering this matchup with UC Irvine. They are a high scoring team with four of their last five lined games going over the total. This is a highly efficient team with seven performances of 50% shooting from the field or better. Their defense could be a little bit better as they've allowed 80 or more in five of their last six. Irvine has never been known as the quickest team, but they are coming off an 86-73 win over Long Beach State at home. They've got some offensive issues, but they've also played just five true home games this season. I think things get a bit loosened up here and we see this one played in the 70s. The Anteaters have gone over in four of their five games when the total is in the 140s.

William and Mary is one of the best shooting teams in the country and JMU plays no defense so this one should see a ton of points. The Tribe are shooting 52.1% from the field and 46.2% from long range. They've got a balanced lineup with good shooters and Nathan Knight inside. Just nine days ago, WM won 84-76 in Harrisonburg in a game that saw them shoot over 50% from the field. These two have gone over in 16 of their last 30 lined matchups. At home, they've actually shot 60% or better a couple of times as well. JMU has lost five straight and have allowed 80 points or more in their last four overall. The Dukes offense will most likely be without Joey McLean which won't help the offense. JMU has gone over in 11 of their 15 games including eight of their 11 as an underdog. The Tribe went over in 17 of their last 23 home contests including all three lined ones this season. This one should see a ton of points.

South Dakota's three game win streak was snapped last time out at home against North Dakota State. The Coyotes offense is pretty potent with 13 efforts of 80 points or more. They are very efficient and have several options to go to. Their defense has struggled at times on the road allowing 85 at UCLA, 77 at NAU, 96 at Duke and 79 at Bowling Green. The Dons are home where they've scored 92, 99, 88, 86, 99, 91, 85 and 114 points. They are led by Jon Konchar and Bryson Scott who are one of the better duos in the country. The problem has been defense as they have allowed several teams to shoot 50% or better from the field. Last year these two teams played a 93-82 game in Fort Wayne and have played high scoring contests quite a bit in this series. I think this one goes over the total as well. 

UNLV has gone over in five straight and 10 of their last 11 contests as they travel to Air Force. The Rebels are getting back to their running ways and have put up 90 points or more eight times already this season. Brandon McCoy and Shakur Juiston both average double doubles and Jovan Mooring as well as Jordan Johnson are double digit scorers as well. In a somewhat similar situation UNLV won 82-76 at San Jose State as a 14 point favorite with a similar total. They also won 81-76 at Pacific earlier in December as a 7.5 point favorite. The Air Force has lost three straight and six of their last seven as they are underwhelming athletically and offensively. The Falcons lost their last home game 86-75 to Nevada. Their motion offense can give some teams fits especially at home. The problem has been their defense has been awful. They lost at home to Pacific 83-71. These two played an 81-58 game last year in Colorado and a 79-74 one two years ago. This one should get ugly with UNLV picking up the easy win.

Utah State has won five of their last six as they enter this matchup with Colorado State. USU's offense put up 80 or more in those victories and is rolling with Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen and DeAngelo Isby leading the way. It looks like Alex Dargenton is returning as well after he missed a couple of games. This is a bit of a sandwich game as they have a road trip to Nevada up next so we may get an unfocused effort which would come on the defensive end. Colorado State has lost three of their last four after a three game win streak. Their defense has been pretty bad especially on the road where they've allowed over 90 three times. The team isn't as deep, but they do have some scorers in Prentiss Nixon and Jeremiah Paige who put up nearly 28 per game combined. CSU has gone over in seven of their eight games as an underdog and four of their five on the road. USU has gone over in 19 of their last 31 at home including four of six this season. I think this one continues all those trends. 

Poor Rutgers has to face Sparty after they lost at Ohio State 80-64. Michigan State's defense was horrible and the offense shot below 40% for the second time this season. Earlier this year, they won at Rutgers 62-52 in a slower game. Things are a lot different in East Lansing though where MSU has gone over in six of their last nine lined games there. The team had a stretch of five straight games where they scored 90 points or more at home. Rutgers' defense doesn't travel very well as they've allowed 82 at Purdue and 89 at Minnesota. Those are the only two true road games that the Scarlet Knights have played. Before the matchup earlier, Michigan State had put up 93, 97 and 96 in their last three meetings with Rutgers. I think this one sails over the lower total as they score around 80 or 90 and do most of the heavy lifting.

Fresno State has gone over in nine of their 13 lined games so far this season and eight of their 11 as a favorite. The Bulldogs are averaging nearly 80 points per contest. They've gone over in two straight and have scored 70 points or more in all but two games this season. FSU has five double digit scorers and are led by Deshon Taylor and Bryson Williams among others. Boise State has gone over in six straight and seven of their last 11 contests. Their defense has been mighty leaky, but the offense has been spectacular. Chandler Hutchison is averaging over 18 points per contest and is fantastic inside. These two have gone over in two of their last three meetings. I think this one sails over the total too.

Eastern Michigan has lost four of their last five as they host rival Central Michigan. The Eagles offense has been extremely hot and cold this season. They had a stretch of five straight games where they scored 80 or more points in early December, but have had some problems against the better opponents as of late. The Eagles are led by Elijah Minnie, Paul Jackson, James Thompson IV and Tim Bond. Central Michigan has gone over in two of their last three true road games. They allowed 85 at Kent State, 86 at UMKC, 86 at Southern Utah and 72 at Michigan. This team has scored 70 or less three times this season with one of those being 69 points. The Chippewas are led by Cecil Williams, David DiLeo and Shawn Roundtree. They have gone over in 18 of their last 28 as an underdog. These two played a pair of high scoring games last year 109-81 and 85-63. I think this one is going to go over as well.

Old Dominion is a fascinating study as they still are one of the slower playing teams according to Ken Pomeroy's numbers, but they've played seven overs in their last eight games. The Monarchs have left their defense at home on the road giving up 75 at Rice, 77 at Fairfield, 82 at VCU and 79 at William and Mary. They've been able to score though with an offense that is led by BJ Stith, Ahmad Caver and Trey Porter. With better health this season, they've been able to withstand the nights that the defense isn't there. North Texas is also one of the slower paced teams, but they've got a pretty solid offense. The Mean Green are led by Roosevelt Smart and Ryan Woolridge who join Shane Temara and A.J. Lawson as players who average double digits. ODU has gone over in 20 of their last 30 road games and five of their last six games when the total is in the 130s. Last year this was a 73-67 win by the Monarchs in Denton Texas. Two years ago they won 76-70 so I think that trend continues.

Fresno State has been on my card a lot with either their spread or the over as this team's offense can do some good things. They've cracked the 80 point mark seven times already this season as they have several weapons. The problem for the Bulldogs has been their defense which has let them down in their last two losses to Utah State and Nevada. FSU has gone over in all four of their true road games this season. Colorado State lost a lot from last season, but still have some options themselves. They've gone over in four of their last seven and it's because they've had their problems on defense too. Both teams are moderately paced so there should be plenty of possessions. Prentiss Nixon will have his hands full with the Bulldogs who can put five double digit scorers out there. CSU has gone over in six of their seven games as an underdog. I think this one goes over the total.

Wazzu looks for their third straight win in the Apple Cup on Saturday as they host Washington. The Huskies are playing their third straight road game as they look to bounce back after a 74-53 loss at UCLA. This is a team that is capable of scoring with seven performances of 80 points or more this season. They've struggled at times with the zone and could do so against a Cougars team that wants to bomb away from long range. Carter Skaggs shoots 52.1% from 3 while Robert Franks and Viont'e Daniels also can light it up too. Wazzu has lost six of their last eight because either their defense was too leaky (89 allowed to USC and 96 to UCLA) or their offense just wasn't up to snuff. This series saw a pair of games played in the 70's last year and in the 90's in 2016. I think this one is a tight high scoring game that the home team could win. 

Ohio has gone over in all but one game so far this season. They've scored 84, 89, 80, 88 and 96 in five of their seven home contests with two clunkers thrown in as well. Mike Laster, Teyvion Kirk, Jordan Dartis and Kevin Mickle average nearly 60 points per game combined for the Bobcats who want to get up and down the court. Their defense has been an issue at times hence the overs. NIU has played four true road games this season with scores of 98-75, 79-70, 94-80 and 95-77. The team has several options on the offensive end and have had their own problems on defense. NIU is 16-4 to the over the last three seasons on Saturday. These two have gone over in five of their last six lined meetings in Ohio. I think the trend continues. 

A pair of teams who don't mind playing with pace play as Ball State hosts Buffalo. The Bulls first conference game was a 104-94 victory at home against Toledo. On the road UB has struggled with defense allowing 89, 81, 72 and 87. They've played three straight overs and six of their last eight have gone over as well. The addition of Wes Clark to the lineup has helped stabilize things and gives the team another shooter on the court. Ball State has scored 70 or more in every game except for one when they put up 69 at Oklahoma. The Cardinals defense has gotten better so that's a worry, but I think they'll struggle with Buffalo. The Cards have gone over in 26 of their last 40 games against teams with a winning record. Last year the road team won each game in this series with Ball State winning 92-77 while Buffalo took the later meeting 96-69. I think this one is close and sees a ton of points.

James Madison's defense has been pretty awful this season. They've allowed 70 points or more in all but four games with one of those coming against a non division one opponent. They don't man to man well or zone and that's a problem against the potent Hofstra offense. The Dukes do have some scorers and have shown some offensive explosion themselves. They have scored 70 or more in seven of their last eight. Hofstra has allowed 80 or more seven times this season. They've played six overs in their last eight lined games. These two have gone over in six of their last 10 lined meetings in New York. I think this one is high scoring. 

Cal Poly had their five game losing streak snapped last time out as they enter Big West play against my favorite team UCSB. Cal Poly has played five overs in their last six lined games as they've struggled horribly on defense against teams that are potent. The Gauchos are awesome offensively led by Max Heidegger and Leland King II. They've got three other scorers who average 7 points per game or more. They've gone over in eight of their 11 lined games. On the road the defense has struggled to slow teams down. They allowed 72 points at Sacramento State and 69 at mediocre Montana State. I think this one sees a lot of points and maybe an outright UCSB win.

Charlotte is 1-5 on the road and is being outscored almost 76-66 in those contests. In their first conference game they lost 89-58 in a game that showed how far away they were from their competition. This is their fifth straight road contest so weariness could occur. They are one of the quicker teams in the country in terms of pace. North Texas has won five of their last six and are playing their first home game in almost a month. At home they've been scoring well although against lesser competition. The slate in Denton has featured McNeese State, Indiana State, Grambling, Rogers State and UTRGV. They've got a lot more balance when it comes to scoring. The Mean Green has gone over in 18 of their last home games. These two played some high scoring games last year with scores of 82-81 and 101-76. I think we could see something similar potentially in this one. 

Fort Wayne has won five of their last six and it's because of an incredibly potent offense led by Bryson Scott and Jon Konchar. The Dons have gone over 90 points six times this season and the defense has struggled to be consistent as well. They've allowed over 80 nine times as well. They've played seven true road games with five of them going over the total. Oral Roberts has won three of their last five games. Their offense has been very good at home this season. They are coming off a 93-74 win at home against Omaha in a game that saw the two teams going back and forth. The team's defense is pretty bad too. Fort Wayne has gone over in 44 of their last 67 games overall including 24 of their last 35 in conference play. Last year this game was 87-83 on the road. I think the Dons win and this goes over. 

Fresno State is putting up nearly 80 points per game while shooting just over 50% from the field. They've gone over seven times already this season. The Bulldogs have played just three true road games beating Cal Poly 83-63, Long Beach State 106-70 and losing at Arkansas 83-75. They have an impressive group of scorers with five guys putting up double digits. The defense has been a problem at times especially away from home. Utah State has won three of their last four and have gone over in two straight home contests. They are scoring better right now and have played teams tough at home. Sam Merrill, Koby McEwen and DeAngelo Isby are their double digit scorers. Utah State has gone over in 18 of their last 30 home games including three of five this season. I think this one is an over.

Valpo has lost three straight and six of their last seven. The Crusaders offense has struggled as they've failed to crack the 65 point mark in five of their last seven. The loss of Joe Burton has been bad for this team as he's the point guard and the guy who made things go. Tevonn Walker and Bakari Evelyn are the team's two biggest scorers, but there's not much help other then that. The Crusaders have been a team that has relied heavily on their defense in the past and for the most part they've been able to accomplish that. Bradey crushes it on the defensive end especially at home where they've allowed 53, 46, 56, 57, 47, 53 and 53. They don't mind a slower paced game and will grind possessions out if they have to. Their offense has been hit or miss this season, but at home it's been pretty good. This team has only gone over the total twice this season with one being at home and one on the road. To me, this one has a lower score coming.

BC has been a huge surprise so far this ACC season with a win over Duke at home and then last weekend they lost by one at UVA. This is a team that has won every true home game this season and has scored 75 or more in all but one of those contests. Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman are as good a trio of scorers as you can find. Clemson's got five double digit scorers led by Marcquise Reed and Donte Grantham. This is Clemson's second true road game after winning 79-65 at Ohio State. The Tigers have cracked the 70 point mark in all but two games this season so scoring isn't an issue for them. Both of these teams play good defense, but I think they'll both light up the scoreboard. BC has gone over in 16 of their last 28 home lined games. I think this one's an over.

Colorado State has won four of their last five entering this one and return home where they've been very good as an offense. The Rams have been awful defensively with six of their opponents shooting 50% from the field or better. Prentiss Nixon and Deion James are the team's best two scorers and they aren't deep as a team. The Aztecs are quite the opposite with four double digit scorers and a couple of other contributors. They are playing with a faster pace nowadays and are trying to beat teams with that. San Diego State has not played as well on the road where they have lost at Wyoming and at Arizona State. The defense has proven at times to be leaky and CSU is a bad place for that to happen. You can't look at too many historical trends considering how slow the Aztecs played under Coach Fisher. This time though I think they speed their way to a win potentially on the road.

Eastern Michigan continues a stretch of road games at Ball State on Tuesday. The Eagles have played some high scoring road contests at Oakland, Long Beach State, North Florida and Indiana. EMU is led by the potent trio of Elijah Minnie, James Thompson IV and Paul Jackson who each average around 16 points per contest. After starting the year 1-4, Ball State has won eight straight games. In each of those victories they've scored 70 points or more and have done so in every game except one against Oklahoma in which they put up 69. The Cardinals are shooting it well, and have to considering their struggles on defense. The team has allowed 80 or more eight times this season. They have a lot more balance with six players who average 7.5 points per game or more. These two have played three overs in their last four meetings. It was a 79-72 contest at Ball State last year which was 2.5 points less then the given total. Ball State has gone over in 41 of their last 65 lined games including 17 of their last 29 home contests. This one should be close and a high scoring game.

Memphis is playing just their second true road game of the season. They lost their first one 71-56 at UAB. Against the better teams on the schedule, the Tigers have had problems allowing 71 to LSU, 81 to Louisville and 82 to Alabama. The offense isn't great, but with such a low total, I don't need as much help from them. Jeremiah Martin, Kyvon Davenport and Jimario Rivers are the leading scorers. Cincinnati's going to win this game. They've scored 81, 77, 77 their last three games and have averaged 87.4 points per game at home this season. The defense has been fantastic so I worry about how much Memphis scores. The Bearcats have gone over in 19 of their last 32 at home while the Tigers have gone over in 14 of their last 22 road contests. I think this one can sneak over the total with an 80 something to 50 something type score. 

South Alabama is coming off a great effort at home over Georgia State in which it won 86-64 as a seven point underdog. This is a team whose offense is very hit-or-miss. They've scored 73 points or more in three of their last four contests and have gone over in four of their last five lined games. Rodrick Sikes, Josh Ajayi and Jordan Andrews are the biggest threats for the Jaguars. Georgia Southern is playing their sixth straight road game and is coming off an 86-80 win at Troy. GSU's offense has scored 70 or more 10 times this season. The Eagles are a veteran group with four double digit scorers led by Tookie Brown. South Alabama has gone over in 25 of their last 42 Sun Belt games. Georgia Southern has gone over in 19 of their last 33 road contests. Both teams play with a modest pace so I think this one should go over the total. 

Utah State has won four of their last five contests entering this one against the revamped Aztecs. The Aggies want to run and have put up some good offensive numbers against lesser opponents as of late. On the road, they have played at Utah, Valpo, Portland State and Gonzaga already. One common thread is a struggle on defense in those games. San Diego State wants to play faster under their new head coach. They have certainly done so with eight efforts of 70 points or better this season. They are using their talent and getting it into space. The defense has been pretty good for the most part although they did just allow 82 points at Wyoming. This team has gone over in six of their 10 lined contests. I think this one goes over too. 

These two teams play next to no defense so there should be plenty of points put up. The Mavericks have allowed 90 points or more five times already this season away from home with a few others being 86, 87 and 89. This roster was ravaged in the offseason and is now led by Zach Jackson and Daniel Norl. They have some offensive weapons so points on their end won't be an issue. Albert Owens gets some help with the Golden Eagles from Emmanuel Nzekwesi and Javan White. ORU has gone over in six of their last seven lined games and it's mostly because of a lack of defense. They have some interesting road wins but have struggled to defend homecourt. Last year, the home matchup between these two was a 103-86 affair. These two have gone over in four of their last six meetings. I think this one sees a ton of points.

The Florida schools play on Saturday as FIU hosts FAU. The Golden Panthers have lost three of their last four after a three game win streak. They are coming off a headscratching 79-72 home loss to Hartford in which they allowed them to shoot 62% from the field. This is a team that has a pretty good offense led by Trejon Jacob, Eric Lockett and Brian Beard Jr who put up nearly 47 points per game. They want the game to go faster and have gone over in four of their six lined games with many others probably going over if there were lines. FAU has lost three straight falling at Minnesota, Texas Tech and Arkansas State. Their defense is pretty bad allowing 80 points or more in three of their last five contests. The offense probably needs work, but they did have a stretch starting at the end of November scoring 91, 93, 92 and 108. FIU has gone over in 15 of their last 24 home games. Three of the last four meetings between these two have gone over the total.

We've seen a lot of blowouts by Big 10 teams in their last non-conference weekend and I think Ohio State joins the party. They've crushed the bad teams at home with wins by 29, 35, 25, 18 and 31 over lesser teams including the Citadel, William and Mary and Robert Morris. They are coming off a 14 point loss over North Carolina so there's a need for a really good effort here. The Redhawks are good enough to score some points and allow a ton more. They lost 83-66 at DePaul, 80-59 at Tulane and 70-51 at Missouri. This is a team that can score some points and play at a decent pace which will probably have to be quicker when they get down big. Miami-Ohio has gone over in 19 of their last 34 road games. I think this one goes over the total and maybe we see the Buckeyes join the 100 point Big 10 club. 

A pair of the mediocre PAC-12 schools play as Oregon State hosts Colorado. Oregon State has won six of their last seven games after a slow start to the season. The Beavers have four double digit scorers and little else as injuries and other things have reduced the roster. They've scored 70 points or more in five of their last six games. The Buffs have lost four of their last six after an undefeated start to their season. The team has played just two true road games losing 96-69 at Xavier and 72-63 at Colorado State. The Buffs are similar in that they play at a similar pace and have a good offense that has problems on defense sometimes. Colorado has gone over in six of their seven games against teams with a winning record and all three games as an underdog

In another non-conference Big 10 game, Iowa hosts Northern Illinois. The Huskies have had some tastes of real opponents this season losing at Marquette 79-70 and at Iowa State 94-80. They are a high scoring team who also struggles on defense at times. NIU is a smallish team with good athletes and one decent guy in the post. Iowa has won four in a row after losing four in a row. They've done so against weaker opponents for the most part, but they've scored 80 or more in all of those contests. This is a team that is a mixed bag in terms of offense and defense with each struggling at some point this season. Any offense they've played with a pulse has been able to score on them. NIU has gone over in 19 of their last 30 games as an underdog. Iowa has gone over in 23 of their last 42 as a favorite. I think this one sees plenty of points. 

This is going to be a massive blowout as Sparty is crushing teams and shooting 51.2% from the field. They are rolling right now with a 42 point win over Long Beach State (102-60), a 45 point win over Houston Baptist (107-62) and a 13 point win over Oakland (86-73). Michigan State beats up on the bad teams at home and scores a ton of points in the process. The worry here is Cleveland State's offense isn't very good. The Vikings lost at Cincinnati 81-62 which was hard to believe considering the Bearcats defense is pretty good. They also lost 78-67 at Western Michigan and 72-69 at East Carolina. The crowd won't be great for this one so maybe we don't get as motivated an effort. Still, I think the over is worth a look here. 

Penn has won four straight and six of their last seven as they host Toledo on Friday afternoon. The Quakers are coming off a 105-52 win over Delaware State last time out. Their offense is very good with four straight efforts of 70 points or more. They've also put up 90 or more three times in November. Toledo has a potent offense and has had their problems on defense too. They've gone over in three of their last four lined games. On the road, the Rockets have allowed 86 to Detroit, 96 to Kansas, 80 to Cornell and 72 to Syracuse. Penn has gone over in seven of their eight lined games. Toledo plays with a decent pace. In an afternoon game, I think we get a light atmosphere and plenty of points. 

North Texas is 7-6 on the season and they've got four scorers who average 10 points per game or more. The Mean Green have already played at Georgetown, UT-Arlington, Oklahoma, Georgia Tech and Nebraska this season. Defense has been an issue in those contests for the most part, but their offense can get clicking too. In their 86-83 win at San Diego they shot almost 50% as a 10 point underdog. UTEP is expected to get Devin Wade back to a team that has won four of their last five. The Miners offense isn't great, but they've scored 70 points or more three times during this seven game homestand. The defense has been good, but the opponents have been. North Texas has gone over in 29 of their last 46 games as an underdog. These two played a 77-71 game last year. I don't know if that will happen again but I do think it's an over. 

Betting overs in Bradley games has been a losing proposition for the most part this season as the under has hit in 10 of 11 lined contests. Traditionally though on the road, their fantastic defense has been a little lax as evidenced by the 17 overs in their last 29 contests. A quick look at some of the road unders this season shows that they were 1 basket short of a push at Ole Miss, 1 three pointer away from an over at SEMO and 5 points away from an over at San Diego State. The Braves offense has been fantastic this season scoring 75 or more in three of their last four already. They've got some balance and can come at you in many ways. Drake has gone over in five of their last six and seven of their 10 lined games this season. They are shooting it a lot better and are scoring at home with relative ease. The Bulldogs have put up 81, 93, 79 and 101 in their four true home games. Defense has been an issue at times as well which is another reason that the over has hit. Six opponents have shot 50% or better this season. Last year, these two played a 82-74 contest at Drake and a 79-72 game at Bradley. I think the over is worth the look.

Boise State had their six game win streak snapped last time out before the holidays in an 86-63 road loss at SMU. The Broncos are 10-2 and are led by Chandler Hutchison and Justinian Jessup who average just over 15 points per game each. At home, they've scored 85, 77, 77, 87, 68, 90 and 104. The team is a mixed bag defensively with some good and bad efforts sprinkled in. Colorado State lost a lot of talent from last year, but has won three straight entering this one. Their defense is pretty bad on the road allowing 95, 92, 77 and 89 away from Fort Collins. Prentiss Nixon is their biggest threat with three others scoring 10 points per game or more. The Rams have gone over in 21 of their last 34 games as an underdog including four of five this season. This series has seen five straight overs in Taco Bell Arena. I think this one is an over as well. 

Hawaii and Princeton try to pick up their second win in the tournament on Christmas. The host school beat Davidson 79-71 after losing 75-57 to Miami. Hawaii is a decently paced offense that has around 70 possessions per game. They've scored 70 or more eight times this season. Sheriff Drammeh leads six scorers who average seven points per game or more. Princeton is one of the slowest teams in the country and is coming off a 64-62 win over Akron. They also lost 69-67 against Middle Tennessee in this tournament. This is a Tigers team that is playing their fifth game on the road with two of those going over the total. They've struggled defensively sometimes away from home giving up 71 at St. Joe, 76 at Fairleigh Dickinson and 71 at GW. Devin Cannday, Myles Stephens and Amir Bell are a solid trio. Hawaii has gone over in 15 of their last 24 games when the total is in the 130s. 

UCSB has been on my card often because of a fantastic offense and the ability to cover on the road where they have gone 5-1 against the spread. They've also gone over in five contests because of a good balanced offense. Max Heidegger, Leland King II, Jalen Canty and Gabe Vincent average over 60 points per game and are a lot to handle. The Hornets have just three wins on the season beating CS-Northridge, Antelope Valley and Notre Dame De Namur. Their defense is bad allowing 70 or more in five of their last six contests. I think the Gauchos get the road win and this one is played with a bit of pace and some points. 

Long Beach State plays their fourth road game over their last five as they travel to Fort Collins to play Colorado State. The 49ers play no defense allowing 102 to Michigan State last time out, 94 to Southern Utah, 91 to Arizona and 91 at West Virginia. Their offense has shown flashes as they had scored 70 or more in five straight before Sparty slowed them down. The Rams play with a decent pace and have gone over in three of their last five lined games. At home, they've scored 70 or more five times and they've struggled on defense against the better teams on the slate. Back in 2015, these two played an 83-77 game in Fort Collins. I think we see something similar on Saturday.

BC has won four straight including a victory at home over Duke. At home this season, they've scored 80 points or more in all but one contest. Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman are a fantastic backcourt who have had to do a little more without Deontae Hawkins. Their defense is pretty good holding seven opponents to less then 70 points. Richmond's offense has perked up a bit as of late scoring 78 against Bucknell and 74 against James Madison. They've allowed all but two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field this season. It's a team that can't stop anyone defensively and has to be low on confidence. These two teams should be able to top this lower total.

East Tennessee State hosts Georgia Southern on Friday. The Bucs have won five of their last six with the loss being by two points at Xavier. ETSU's offense is clicking with six efforts of 80 points or more in their last eight contests. They've got some balance and don't mind playing with a little pace. Georgia Southern has won four of their last five. This is their fourth straight road contest, but they are veteran enough to handle that. GSU has balanced scoring and has scored 70 or more in four of their last five. ETSU has gone over in 20 of their last 28 at home. That trend continues on Friday. 

Bradley hits the road for their third straight game away from home against Ole Miss. The Braves has won three straight and have lost just two games overall. They fell by one on a neutral court against Vermont and lost by 23 at San Diego State. Bradley is known for their defense, but the offense has scored 75 or more in three straight games. Ole Miss is not exactly known for their defense as they've allowed 101 to Illinois State, 83 to Virginia Tech, 99 to South Dakota State and 83 to Utah. They can score as well and have been very efficient at times. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 28 road games while Ole Miss has gone over in 25 of their last 39 home contests. I think the Braves struggle on the defensive end and we get another over. 

Defense is a bit of an issue for Indiana State who is hosting Elon on Friday night. ISU is allowing teams to score nearly 75 points per game and their coach has said his team has an issue with scouting reports and doing the right thing consistently. They played a school called Indianapolis earlier this month and only won 79-75. They have gone over the total in three straight and five of their last six lined games. The offense isnt the issue, but the ability to stop opponents is. Elon is playing their fourth straight on the road having lost two of the first three. Their offense is very inconsistent especially if they are not hitting the three pointer. They play a mediocre pace, but this total is accounting for that. Their offense works at home and has worked on the road as well. ISU has gone over in 20 of their last 29 at home. This one should continue that trend.

Tennessee Tech may not be getting Indiana at a good time after they lost to Fort Wayne. Tech has lost three of their last four and has already played seven games away from home this season. They've got some balanced scoring with at least four guys scoring nine points or more. They've had their problems against the better teams on their schedule allowing 100 to TCU, 96 to New Mexico and 79 to Dayton. The Hoosiers allowed IPFW to shoot 51.7% from the field and scoring 92 points. They bounced back with an 86-77 win over Howard after an opening season loss to Indiana State. The Hoosiers have gone over in eight of their 12 contests. Their offense can be pretty good, but their defense is leaky as can be. I think we get a really focused effort out of IU and we see this one above the total. 

Long Beach State continues to play one of the toughest schedules in the season. They played at Arizona (91-56 loss), at West Virginia (91-62), at Oregon State (89-81) and took on Missouri on a neutral court (95-58). The 49ers offense has played well for the most part this season although against some lesser competition. Their problem is on defense where they've allowed 90 or more five times. Michigan State has pounded on their lesser opponents with a 107-62 win over Houston Baptist, 88-63 over Southern Utah, 98-66 over North Florida and 93-71 over Stony Brook. They are shooting over 50% from the field and should be able to get whatever shot they want. LBSU has gone over in 29 of their last 43 games as an underdog. I think Sparty gets to 100 in this one. 

Chattanooga is looking for their first road win of the season. They have struggled defensively and are coming off an 82-76 loss at Tennessee Tech. The team has been close with a four point loss at Marshall, five point loss at Akron and a 9 point loss at Wyoming. They don't play with a ton of pace, but the offense has been efficient at times as well. Jacksonville State has won five of their last six games. They are pretty good offensively having scored 70 or more in nine contests this season. One of those was a game against the Mocs at their place back on November 21st in a 77-75 win. Both teams shot at or near 50% for the game which helped. JSU has gone over in four of their six lined games and they are shooting better then 50% from the field. I know it's an early start, but I think we get a solid offensive effort and an over. 

Fort Wayne is coming off their second straight win over Indiana and now has to fly to New Orleans to begin a tournament with Liberty. The Mastodons have one of the most potent offenses in the country while Liberty has one of the best defenses and is a lot more methodical. Focus has got to be an issue for IPFW who has been getting a lot of attention in the state after the win. Their defense was better then it has been in the past. This is a team that allowed 84 at home to Stetson and 81 at Miami Ohio. Liberty has some talent with wins over Georgia State and Wake Forest already to go with a close loss to Houston. They play good defense against the three pointer so Fort Wayne could struggle there. IPFW has gone over in 43 of their last 65 lined games. This is an intriguing game and I think it'll be close and higher scoring even on a neutral court that figures to be empty. 

UNC has Ohio State next but before then they get Wofford in a decent little sandwich. The Heels are coming off a 78-73 win at Tennessee so focus could be an issue in this one. They've played a lot of these home games against teams with big point spreads. It went over against Western Carolina, Tulane and Northern Iowa with the Bucknell game probably going over as well if there was a line. Wofford has played two power five schools on the road losing 79-65 at California and 79-56 at Texas Tech. The Terriers offense isn't that bad and UNC usually allows teams to score especially when the game gets out of hand. The Heels won't let them play slow in this one so that's where the over comes into play. I think we get some good pace and good scoring.

A pair of defensively based teams play as UMass hosts Georgia State. The two squads have similar profiles with both averaging around 72-73 points per game while allowing around 66. Last year these two teams played in Atlanta with the Minutemen winning 74-65. The Panthers are coming off a tough 88-83 loss at Dayton as a six point underdog. They've also lost by five at Ole Miss 77-72. GSU has road wins in lower scoring games against Alabama A&M and Rice. UMass has won three in a row after a four game losing streak. They beat Georgia 72-62 and Providence 72-63 at home. They've also picked up home wins of 85-76 and 101-76 over Western Carolina and Niagara. This one should be a victory for UMass and probably an over in a close contest 

Bradley is a defensive team and has played great D all season long holding opponents to 58.5 points per game. The Braves have played two true road games allowing 75 to San Diego State and 58 to Chicago State although they scored 84 in that one. You really can't set the total low enough for their home games. The offense is actually doing pretty well too. On the other side you have the RedHawks who wants to run and has scored 70 or more in all of their home games. Bradley has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games because they don't play defense as well away from home. These two played an 84-78 game last November in a game that had a 134 total. I think this one goes over too. 

UC Davis has lost just three times this season falling at San Francisco, Washington and Utah Valley State. In those games they couldn't compete with the athleticism of their opponents allowing 74, 77 and 80 points. The Aggies want a slower game, but it's harder to do away from home. They've gone over in three straight and four of their last five. Chima Moneke is averaging nearly 20 points per game and he's fantastic. Nevada's offense is fantastic and have scored 80 points or more in all but four games this season. They are deep and want to run. They've gone over in seven of their 10 lined games. I think this one goes over the total. 

Oral Roberts has won two straight entering this one against Arkansas. The offense is picking up and that was without their best player Albert Owens who is back after serving a suspension. On the road, they've had massive defensive issues allowing 90 at Tulsa, 91 at Oklahoma State, 80 at Pepperdine, 86 at Penn State and 92 at UNLV. The Razorbacks are rolling offensively especially at home where they've scored 95, 92, 83, 101 and 95. ORU has gone over in seven of their 10 lined games and 24 of their last 37 road contests. This one should be an over.

Colorado State has lost six of their last eight as they host the Bobcats. The Rams have had some offensive issues as of late struggling to score on their last road trip through Oregon and Arkansas. At home, they've been very good putting up 72, 72, 80 and 72. Defensively, they've struggled against some teams. They've allowed five teams to shoot 50% or better from the field. Texas State has won three of their last five. They are one of the slowest teams in the league, but they've struggled at times to set that pace on the road. They won at Pacific 85-78 and allowed 72 at Abilene Christian and 71 at Houston Baptist. TSU has gone over in 17 of their last 27 road games. CSU has gone over in 20 of their last 31 as a favorite. I think this one is an over. 

Tennessee Tech is finally home after a long time on the road. The Golden Eagles offense has been fantastic at home with wins over Lipscomb, Kennesaw State, Boyce and Midway in which they scored 80 points or more. They've done that seven times overall with four players averaging double digits. This is a balanced OVC squad that should be able to score on a Mocs team that struggles on the road. They lost 70-66 at Marshall, 75-70 at Akron, 89-47 at UAB and 74-65 at Wyoming. Offensively they aren't that good, but I think Tennessee Tech's defense isn't that great. These two played an 80-69 game two years ago. We could see something similar in this one.

James Madison is getting so close to putting it together as they travel to Florida to play FIU. The Dukes have lost four of their last five, but those losses were by 3, 2, 4 and 1 with three of those on the road. The offense is getting better, but the defense is still porous. They've given up 69 points or more in every game except for one against Bridgewater in the opener. FIU is kind of the same team as JMU with an offense that has performed, but also a defense that has struggled at times against potent teams. North Florida put up 87, South Carolina 78 and Elon 95 already this season. The lower point spread means a tighter game late and foul shots and the even better chance to go over. The Golden Panthers have gone over in both their lined home games and 14 of their last 23 there. Give me the over in this one. 

Manhattan has not gone over a single total yet this year. The Jaspers are shooting 46.3% from the field, but their defense has been leaky. They prefer their games in the 60s, but it's hard to install your tempo on the road. Manhattan has played just one true road game losing 70-57 to Fordham. They've scored 70 or more four times this season with a lot of contests played on neutral courts. Tulsa is quite the opposite as they want a faster game and don't mind shootouts. At home they've scored 77, 100, 92, 90 and 67 already this season. Their offense is quite balanced, and the defense can be quite leaky. Tulsa has gone over in 24 of their last 37 games as a favorite. Junior Etou and Sterling Taplin are a great duo. I think this one should go over that total. 

Ohio State's looking to move their win streak to four after a 97-62 win over William and Mary last week. Their offense has been spectacular and there's a chance that Kyle Young and Micah Potter are available as well. They've played good defense as well this season. App State has no interest in playing defense especially on the road. They are coming off a 94-89 loss at Akron. They've also allowed 85 at VCU, 105 at James Madison and also gave up 104 to Iowa State on a neutral court. The good thing for them is that their offense is capable of scoring a bit. They've put up 70 or more in seven straight games. I think the Buckeyes crack the 80 or 90 point mark in this one. 

Michigan State takes on Oakland on a neutral court on Saturday. Sparty is averaging over 80 points per game and is shooting nearly 50% from the field. They play some fantastic defense although that has struggled against the better offenses they've played. Oakland has some talent with Martez Walker and Jalen Hayes accounting for over 40 points per contest. Their defense is terrible having allowed 102 to Kansas, 74 to Syracuse and 87 to Toledo. Sparty took this game last year 77-65 and 99-93 two years ago. I think Michigan State does a lot of the heavy lifting and this one goes over the total.