IUPUI's defense is mighty leaky and Northern Kentucky's offense is actually better it seems on the road. The Norse have gone over in five of their last seven road games because they are scoring more and their defense is actually not as good. My concern is that IUPUI won't score enough, but I think they play better at home. Give me the over. 

Colorado is playing just their third home game since December 22nd as they host Oregon State. The Buffaloes have lost seven of their last 10 as the defense has failed them. Colorado is led by McKinley Wright, Tyler Bey and Lucas Siewart. Oregon State has lost three of their last four including two straight on the road. They can be really efficient on offense with Tres Tinkle, Stephen Thompson Jr and Ethan Thompson. OSU has gone over in three straight and five of their last seven. They've gone over the total in 18 of their last 28  on the road winning just three of those outright. I think this one goes over the total. 

Mercer has gone over in seven straight and 11 of their last 12. One of those overs came at Wofford where they lost 78-74. At home they've scored 75 or more in three of four and really all but two contests there. The defense has had some issues giving up 70 or more in all but two games since December 8th. Wofford has gone over in three of four and eight of their last 11 overall. The offense is pretty explosive even on the road where they scored 90 at VMI, 87 at Mississippi State and 81 at South Carolina. Their shooters will be a problem for the home team. I think this total is woefully too low. 

Drake is playing good basketball right now and has gotten over the temporary issues they had when Nick Norton went down. They've won four straight scoring 70 or more in all but two games this calendar year. The Bulldogs have a ton of weapons and like to push the pace at home. Drake's defense has been very good as of late, but I think Illinois State will stress them there. ISU has won five of their last seven, but their defense can desert them. They allowed 85 to woeful Bradley at their place and 70 at Evansville as well. Illinois State has gone over in four of their last six contests. I think this one will be played with some pace and will go over the total. 

Virginia Tech has split their last four games as they look for their second road win of the season. The Hokies have lost 103-82 at North Carolina, 81-59 at Virginia and 63-62 at Penn State. Their offense is smoking hot especially from long range which is where Miami has been hurt their last few games. As you can see, Virginia Tech's defense has not traveled and they've gone over in five of their last seven. Miami has lost three straight and six of their last seven. At home in conference play, they've allowed 78 to FSU, 85 to UNC, 65 to Wake and 87 to NC State. The Canes do have some weapons, but they are not deep at all. The concern here for the total is Miami not scoring enough, but I think Tech could contribute plenty here. Give me the over.

Colorado State has gone over in 12 of their 17 lined games this year as they have a solid offense and a very leaky defense. The team has gone over in 31 of their last 47 conference contests. The team has won three of their last five and has scored 74, 91 and 87 points their last three contests at home. I've never had a problem with their offense, but it's the defense that has been a problem. Boise State saw their three game win streak snapped against Wyoming last time out beating them 77-52. Boise State's not a deep team, but they've got some scorers and have also presented a leaky defense at times on the road. They allowed 74 points at Air Force in their last road game. I think this one is played with a little bit of pace and it will go over the total. 

This one should see plenty of points on Sunday. Florida Gulf Coast lost at North Florida 87-66 just a few weeks ago. This team has lost six of their last eight and it's because of a really leaky defense. They've been able to score some points as well. The Eagles beat Stetson 87-65 at home back on Monday and have either scored or allowed 80 points at home in all but one contest. The Ospreys have a very potent offense themselves. They've scored 80 points or more in five of their last eight contests. They've also struggled on defense on the road. I think this one should be played with a good pace and since the spread is tight, we may see some free throws at the end to help us. 

Wofford is coming off a highly emotional win at home against Samford entering this one. The Terriers got the win at the buzzer. Their offense has been pretty spectacular at home this season scoring 90 or more seven times. I think the defense could be a bit lax against a Chattanooga team that's not very good. We've had mixed success betting overs with this team. They've gone over in three of five, four of seven and seven of their last 11 games. The team has some balance and poor defense which are two keys to hitting an over. Still, I think the Terriers struggle at least early to get up for this one so give me the over.

I don't usually like to dabble with numbers this high, but there's a clear reason why it's in the 150s. The Chippewas are outscoring opponents 85.3 - 76.1 on the season and have the offense to keep up with almost anyone. The problem is that their defense is rather porous. CMU has allowed 77 at Miami-Ohio, 94 at Youngstown State and 89 at TCU. They've also scored 70 or more in every game except for three this season. On the other side you have a Rockets team that loves to get up and down the court especially at home. Now they do play better defense there, but still, they want this game in the 80s. Last year these two played an 89-76 contest as well as a 93-82 one. The only reason there was an under in their last four meetings was because the total was set for 176. I think this one is an over on Saturday.

Colorado State has gone over in 12 of their 16 lined games including eight of 11 as underdogs and six of seven at home. They have a very potent offense, but don't play very much defense at all. These two played a 78-67 game at Fresno earlier this month and that was with CSU shooting just 15% from long range. Colorado State has allowed 75 points or more in three straight and six of their last seven. The defense is leaky enough to help this over. Fresno State has gone under in seven of their last eight after a stretch of six overs in seven contests. This squad can score themselves, but they also struggle a little bit defensively away from home giving up 77 at Utah State and TCU as well. I think this one has over written all over it.

I took a break from WM overs and they hit in three of their last four. This team's defense is absolutely dreadful and is coming off a 93-88 loss at UNC Wilmington in which the Seahawks shot 50.8% from the field. This team has allowed 90 or more four times already this season. The good thing is that their offense is capable of carrying some load too with Justin Pierce, Nathan Knight and Chase Audige. Charleston is coming off a 72-53 win over Elon. They play very good defense, but have struggled at times at home with teams that have solid offense. Drexel scored 79 there in a 79-78 Cougars loss. They also allowed 86 at Hofstra. Last year these two played 83-73, 114-104 and 82-77 contests. They've gone over in five straight matchups. You don't often see Tribe totals this low so I'll take a shot that it goes over here.

Ball State has gone over in 12 of their 18 lined games this season behind an offense that shoots nearly 50% from the field while scoring over 80 points per contest. Ohio is nowhere near as consistent as they hover around 70 per contest. I had the over in their first meeting back on January 12th and it lost because the Bobcats held the Cardinals to just 52 points on 35.4% shooting from the field. Ohio managed to score 70 points which was rare for them on the road. Ohio is 8-2 at home where they score nearly 80. I don't think they'll be able to hold down Ball State again. BSU has had just six games with totals in the 130s and they've gone over in five of those games. Heck, Ohio has gone over in six of their last seven when the total is around this much as well. Give me the over.

Detroit's hot and cold defensive effort has disappeared once again. The Titans have allowed 84 points per game and opponents to shoot over 50% in their last five contests. They've also put up 80 themselves behind Antoine Davis. Yes, they've had some issues on the road, but I think they can find some success at IUPUI. The Jaguars average almost 85 points per game at home and have a lot more weapons to deal with. Their defense isn't the best either allowing over 70 points per contest. These two teams should be able to score some points and go over the total. I think it could be a fun game as well. 

This is one of the sneaky games in the Big 12/SEC challenge as Ole Miss hosts Iowa State. Ole Miss is 14-4 and averaging nearly 80 points per game. They've either scored or allowed 80 points per game during every home contest except for one. The Rebels go as Breein Tyree and Terence Davis go. Iowa State is 14-5 and much like their opponent, they average nearly 80 points per game. The Cyclones have a really potent offense and an inconsistent defense. They have four double digit scorers and Nick Babb who averages nearly 10 points per contest. I think these two will play a tighter game and will both find it easy to score at times. Give me the over. 

I've learned my lesson about taking Little Rock on the road, but at home they are a different team. They are 6-2 there scoring 81.5 points per contest while shooting 52% from the field. The team actually plays a little defense there as well. The balance is really good for the Trojans this season. They are shooting nearly 50% in conference play. Coastal is 3-7 on the road and 2-3 in conference. The team's three road wins are against Troy and Campbell with the third being a neutral court win against UNC Asheville. These two score plenty of points and allow plenty of them as well. Coastal has gone over in every single road game this season. Give me the over in this one. 

Furman has lost four of their last seven since an undefeated start to their season. The Paladins are led by Matt Rafferty and Jordan Lyons who are two of six scorers who average eight points per game or more. They play some hot and cold defense allowing over 70 points in four of their last seven contests. Chattanooga has had some criminally low totals this season that I've taken advantage of. The Mocs have won four of their last five and have scored 70 or more in 13 straight games. The offense has struggled at times on the road, but the defense has as well. They've allowed 96, 62, 85, 75, 90 and 95 in their last six away contests. I think this one should see plenty of points.

Loyola Chicago has been very efficient on offense this season behind their big three of Krutwig, Custer and Townes. They are getting a lot of teams best shot because of the Final Four run last year. They've shot 50% or better in three straight and five of their last six. The team has scored 70 or more in three of their five true road games. Missouri State has lost six of their last ten this season. The Bears are led by Tulio Da Silva, Jarred Dixon and Keandre Cook. The money is coming in on the home team and that means that bettors think that the Bears can push the pace and keep up a bit. I'd have been more concerned if the Ramblers were getting money. To me, it's harder to play the slower pace on the road then it is at home. I think this one could go over the total. 

Drake is a very high scoring team putting up nearly 80 points per game. They had a brief blip on the radar when Nick Norton went down with the injury, but they've won three of their last four. The offense has scored 74, 82, 74, 98, 76 and 79 in their last six games. Even without Norton they still have Nick McGlynn, Brady Ellingson and D.J. Wilkins. Evansville is playing a faster style under Walter McCarty at head coach. Despite that, they've actually gone under in eight of their last ten. That came after a good stretch of overs. The problem has been the offense which would score in the 60s and then the 80s. KJ Riley, Shea Feehan and Marty Hill are their double digit scorers. The Purple Aces defense is also hot and cold especially on the road. I'll take my chances that Drake can push the pace and we go over this total. 

Fresno State isn't the deepest team in the world but they are led by Braxton Huggins and Deshon Taylor who average 35 points per game combined. They've got two other double digit scorers and two others who contribute as well. This team saw a streak of 12 of their last 13 games scoring 70 or more snapped last time out in the loss to Nevada. Their defense has been very hot and cold this season giving up 70+ to their last two opponents. San Diego State's defense has improved a bit, but they also just faced some weak competition in the Air Force and Wyoming. Against teams with a pulse especially on the road, they've been very porous. Their offense isn't very good so that's a concern, but I think they can hold their own in this one. Give me the over. 

The Owls are one of the worst teams in the country and have lost six straight contests. This team plays no defense whatsoever especially on the road where they have allowed 72, 92, 87, 81, 84 and 74. The offense isn't great either, but I feel like I don't really need them to be because Lipscomb is going to be doing a lot of the heavy lifting. Tyler Hooker is their only double digit scorer at 18.6 points per game. Lipscomb has more balance but Garrison Mathews and Rob Marberry are their most potent players. They've scored 80 points or more 10 times already this season. There's a good chance they get to 90 or 100 in this one. I think this over is worth a look. 

This is a hold your nose type of play, but I really don't understand why the over is getting love here. Charlotte is scoring 59.9 points per game and playing decent defense as well with the new pack line system under coach Sanchez. The 49ers have gone under in four straight and six of their last seven. This team has scored more then 65 points just four times this season. ODU's defense has been porous on the road, but I don't think there will be many issues for them considering Jon Davis is Charlotte's only option. The Monarchs have held opponents to 65 points or less 13 times this season. They are clearly the better team, but we've also got the odd timed tip-off of 4 o clock this afternoon. Last year these two played very high scoring games, but I just can't see that being the case in this one. 

It's the last matchup for Fran Dunphy against his former team Penn. Temple has won four of their last five and it's because of a smoking hot offense putting up nearly 80 points per game. The Owls are getting contributions from others then Rose and Alston in the backcourt and that's making them tougher. The defense could be a little bit better as they allow their opponents to shoot around 48% from the field over their last five contests. Penn has lost four straight and the bottom has dropped out a bit as they deal with some injuries. The offense has scuffled, but that's also because they played Princeton twice and their tough defense. This team has a 78-75 win over Villanova and has previously not had issues scoring so it's been possible. I just don't think the Owls have much of a problem scoring and think they allow at least 60 or so from Penn. This one should go over the total.

ETSU has gone over in four of five and five of their last seven and a lot of it is because of their offense. They have shot 50% or better five times in their last seven contests and have scored 85, 96, 81 and 79 in their last four home games. Balance is a big thing with this team and so is their occasionally leaky defense. They just gave up 82 to VMI last time out. Greensboro is an uber talented team and they've lost just twice since December 1st. This team wants to play a bit slower, but they've also gotten into some faster games playing an 83-75 contest at Samford. They also won at Elon 75-74 and 84-65 at Delaware. I really like the weapons they can throw at their opponents. I think both of these teams will score and it'll be a higher paced game.

This is a big game for Auburn to flex their muscles as a favorite vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats have won six of their last seven and some of it is because of improved defense, but of course it's also because of weaker opponents. Kentucky has four double digit scorers and Ashton Hagans who is the starting point guard. They play a medium paced kind of game that could be dragged into a faster pace at Auburn. The Tigers have scored 80 or more 10 times this season and have gone over in five of their eight lined home games. They've got the better backcourt and will want to get up and down so the crowd gets into it. Last year this was a 76-66 game at Auburn with a total of 156.5. Vegas wised up and made it lower so now I think it'll go over. This one should be fun.

Oregon State is in great form right now having won four straight and five of their last six. The Beavers put up 77 or more in each of those games which included a road win at Oregon 77-72. They lost a lower scoring game at St. Louis, but then played a game in the 70s against Long Beach State. Tres Tinkle is a very good scorer along with the Thompsons Stephen and Ethan. ASU likes a faster pace and they are averaging almost 80 points per game. At home, they've scored 83, 86, 66, 80 and 83 in their last five contests there. The defense has been very leaky at times allowing a whopping 96 to Utah and 85 at Stanford. They have five double digit scorers and Romello White who puts up 9.1 points per game. Last year in two games these two teams played 77-75 and 79-75 contests. I think this one is another over.

This has all the makings of an over and a blowout on Thursday night. East Tennessee has wins of 26, 23, 18, 18, 14 and 25 at home against division one opponents. In those games a lot of the time, ETSU scored 80 points or more. The Buccaneers have seven guys who average eight points per contest or more. On the road, VMI has allowed 96, 103, 93, 89, 65, 79, 92 and 94. The Keydets have very little interest in playing defense. The offense has had a little bit of success here and there, but their terrible defense is going to be the reason why this over hits. Last year, this game was 89-48 with the contest two years ago being 102-75. I think we could see a score in the 90s from ETSU.

I think this is the classic case of the slower team having their pace pushed a bit on the road as Wright State plays at Youngstown State. The Penguins have a horrific defense that has allowed 70 points or more at home to every division one team they've faced there. Heck, Heidelberg scored 83 at Youngstown back on November 12th. Their offense isn't great but three times during this recent four game road stretch they scored 75 points or more. The Raiders are playing their fourth straight road game. They lost two of their last three with the win coming at Oakland 89-73. This team has slowed down the likes of Detroit and Mississippi State on the road, but they also got into a track meet with Kent State and the previously mentioned Oakland. Wright State is led by Billy Wampler, Cole Gentry, Loudon Love and Mark Hughes. WSU has gone over in eight of their last 10 road games where the total is 140 to 144.5. These two have gone over in eight of their last 13 meetings in Youngstown. Last year's road game was an 83-57 Raiders win. I think we could see something close to that again.

UNC Wilmington has played overs in three of four and four of their last six. They have a couple of solid pieces on offense with Devontae Cacok inside and Jeantal Cylla. UNCW has scored 80 points or more seven times this season, but they've also allowed that much 11 times as well. Hofstra is averaging over 80 points per game themselves. The Pride go as Justin Wright-Foreman and Eli Pemberton go. At home they've scored 70 or more in every contest including 90 or more four times. Their defense can be good and it can struggle as well. Outside of a blowout win over Delaware, they've allowed 70 or more to some of the lesser teams including Drexel and Elon. Last year, these two played three times with scores of 96-76, 90-70 and 93-88. I think this one is an over. 

UCF heads to Wichita State on Wednesday night. It's a 10 o clock tipoff so the game can be shown on television. The Golden Knights have won seven straight since losing at Missouri in early December. Their big three continues to do big things with BJ Taylor, Aubrey Dawkins and Tacko Fall. The team is playing some very good defense, although four opponents have put up 70 points or more. They've gone over in four of their last six because of an efficient offense. Wichita State' defense has abandoned them since the turn of the calendar allowing 85 to Memphis and Temple and 79 against Houston. They've struggled against the better teams on their schedule. Wichita has several solid options on offense led by Markis McDuffie. The Shockers have gone over in 28 of their last 44 AAC games. A lot of that was because of last year's great roster. I think this is a solid number to take advantage of the over with.

Missouri State and Evansville are pretty close to the same team as they play on Wednesday. Both teams average around 71 possessions per game. Missouri State has eight players who average six points per game or more although the eighth one Obediah Church is out. This team has won four of their last six, but has had problems with defense. In their last game at home, they lost 82-66 to Valpo in a game that had a lower total. The squad has gone over in four straight at home. On the other side, you have Walter McCarty's Evansville who is going to a faster paced style. Despite that, they've gone under in seven of their last eight. That's why we are getting some value here in the number. The Purple Aces are led by KJ Riley, Shea Feehan and Marty Hill. Evansville has gone over in all four of their games against teams with a losing record. I think this one is an over.

Southern Illinois wants to play lower scoring games and they do for the most part at home. They've gone under in five straight home games. The problems come on the road where they are unable to slow down the pace as much. They lost 82-70 at Drake (I had that over), 73-65 at Buffalo, won at SEMO 83-73, 82-61 at SIU-E and 82-67 at Colorado State (had that over as well). There's no doubting the talent with Armon Fletcher back and there's no doubting that they are smarting a bit without Thik Bol patrolling the middle. Bol did play four minutes last time out so we'll see how much he gets in this one. Illinois State wants to play a little faster and also has struggled on defense from time-to-time. The Redbirds are finally healthy and have their options on offense with Milik Yarbrough, Phil Fayne and Zach Copeland. They have gone over in five of their last eight and six of their last 10 overall. Last year these two played three overs with totals around 140. I think this one is an over. 

Pittsburgh has been a bit of a surprise after Coach Capel took over. They have lost just five games so far this season and pretty much only the loss to Niagara was unexpected. The Panthers have gone over in two straight and three of their last five. Since joining conference play, they've allowed 86, 86 and 85 although they topped 80 in two of those games as well. The Panthers have four double digit scorers. FSU is coming off a horrendously tough loss just two days ago at home to Duke 80-78. They had the game won and now they've lost two of their last three. The Seminoles can score with the best of them and the defense has been fantastic. I think both of those let down a little bit though with the quick turnaround against Pittsburgh. There has to be a hangover for the Seminoles after playing in a sold out gym. FSU has gone 4-2-1 to the over in their last seven games. Last year these two played an 88-75 game when Pittsburgh was a lot worse. I think this one goes over. 

This one could be ugly as California who is allowing almost 80 points per contest and 85 points over their last five contests. The big question will be if Paris Austin is in the lineup. He's missed the last two games and could help the offense of a team that may struggle with Arizona's length and defensive prowess. Cal has allowed 80 or more in six straight and seven of their last eight. Arizona's offense needs Justin Coleman out there and it looks like he'll play. The Wildcats have gone over in three of four and five of their last eight overall. They've given up 70 or more in all three true road games and five of their six contests not on their court overall. I think this one should see plenty of scoring.

Nevada and Fresno are two of the best teams in the Mountain West. Nevada is 15-1 averaging 81.1 points per game this season. They are averaging 81 ppg on the road while shooting 47.7% from the field. The defense has been worse too allowing over 70 points per contest. They are going up against Fresno who is feeling good about themselves. They are 8-1 at home putting up nearly 82 points per contest. Both of these teams play pretty good defense so that's a worry, but both also have a ton of weapons. I think this is a bit of a tighter game, but we're going over the total.

Louisiana Tech hosts Middle Tennessee on Saturday as they continue to play without starters Derric Jean and Exavian Christon. The team beat UAB 64-53 last time out and has had problems scoring consistently as of late. They've gone under in four straight and five of their last six as their defense has been pretty strong. This team has held five of their last six to 70 points or less. Middle Tennessee is brutal. They lost at Southern Miss 77-70 last time out. This team has scored 65 points or less in six of eight and nine of their last 12. There's one solid scorer and a lot of garbage around him on offense. The defense has been a bit leaky, but they've shown some decent effort from time to time. The pace of the game won't be too super fast and if it's not that close, then we don't have to worry about fouling late. MTSU has gone under in 16 of their last 23 games when the total is in the 140s. They've also gone under in eight of their 14 contests lined overall. I think this one is an under.

Toledo has lost two straight and is coming off getting undressed by Buffalo 110-80 last time out. They've played some higher scoring games on the road 75-74 at Marshall, 84-74 at Wright State and 87-86 at Oakland. The Rockets offense is fantastic and you can always count on them to score at least 75 or so. Western Michigan has lost five of six and seven of their last nine. They've gone over in four of their last seven contests. Michael Flowers, Seth Dugan, Josh Davis averaging 44 points per game combined. The Broncos have played just five home games this season. WMU has gone over in 22 of 35 of their games when the total is in the 140s. I think we get a better Toledo effort and this one goes over the total. 

Miami is 0-3 in conference play as they host Wake Forest on Saturday. The Canes have lost to FSU, Louisville and NC State as their defense has been pretty bad. The Cardinals scored 90 while the Pack put up 87. This team doesn't have a ton of depth, but the guys they do play can score. The Canes have five double digit scorers and then five other guys who have played with three of those getting 10 mins or more per game. Wake Forest is 0-2 in conference with losses to Duke and Georgia Tech. They also play rather awful defense allowing 87 and 92 in those games. The Demon Deacons are led by Brandon Childress, Jaylen Hoard and Chaundee Brown. They should have the edge on the inside in this one. Last year this game was 87-81 in Florida. We could see a score around there, but don't have to in order to hit our over. 

Ball State is an offensive juggernaut this season that is shooting 50.6% from the field while averaging nearly 84 per contest. The Cardinals have gone over in 11 of their 14 lined contests this season. At home, they've scored 95.3 points per game shooting 52.5% from the floor. Tayler Persons, Tahjai Teague and K.J. Walton are a potent trio of scorers. Ohio is 1-5 on the road and are scoring just 59.3 points per contest. The Bobcats have scored 70 or less in five straight and six of their last seven. The road has been unkind to their defense allowing 82 to Bowling Green, 95 to Purdue and 82 to Xavier. Ball State has gone over in 30 of their last 42 as a favorite and 20 of their last 29 at home including all five this season. I think this one is an over. 

Arkansas State returns home after splitting two in Louisiana against Monroe and Lafayette. The Red Wolves have scored 70 or more in all five of their home games this season. Their defense has been pretty porous on the road and overall allowing 70 or more to all but two division one opponents. The Red Wolves offense rolls through Ty Cockfield and Marquis Eaton who average over 32 points per game. South Alabama has a crisp offense that has shot 50% or better in five of their last six contests. They've struggled a bit though on the road scoring 67 points or less in every game. Still, they've got some solid weapons and with a semi-tight line, we should see FT's come into the mix. I think this one is an over. 

UCSB has been rolling as of late with four overs in their last four lined contests. The Gauchos have seen things get much better since Max Heidegger came back although he is injured once again. Still, even without him, they have four double digit scorers led by Ar'Mond Davis. UCSB has shot the ball at around 49% or better in four of their last five. They are putting up good defensive numbers, but they've faced some weaker competition this season. Yes, they are one of the slower paced teams in the league, but they are efficient it seems. Cal Poly is somewhat underwhelming as a team. They've gone over in seven of their last 10 lined games. The team's defense is non-existent holding just three teams to less then 70 points with two of those being Holy Names and Texas State. Donovan Fields, Mark Crowe and Marcellus Garrick are the team's double digit scorers. Last year these two teams played three games 75-53, 86-61 and 80-79. I think this one goes over. 

The Aggies and Fresno State play on Wednesday night. Utah State has been very efficient this season at home where they've scored 70 or more in all but one contest. They are also putting up incredible defensive numbers, but upon further look, it's been done against a pretty easy non-conference schedule. The Aggies have been double digit favorites six times already this season. When facing competent offensive teams they allowed 87 to Arizona State, 95 to BYU and 72 to Nevada. Sam Merrill is really good with Dwayne Brown Jr and Neemias Queta are solid scorers. Fresno State has gone under in four straight games after a stretch of seven overs in nine lined games. This team has a very good offense that is very efficient. Their defense is also putting up good numbers, but once again, they've been favored by 10 points or more seven times including each of their last six. I really like Braxton Huggins along with Deshon Taylor, Nate Grimes and New Williams. Last year these two went over in Utah State and went under in Fresno. I think this one is an over on Wednesday. 

These two teams have had personnel changes that have affected them over the past week or so. SIU brought back Armon Fletcher from suspension and they won 58-51 at Northern Iowa. This team wants to play a slower game and has had five straight unders, but that came after a stretch of six overs over seven contests. They've played 83-73, 82-61 and 82-67 road games back in early December. The loss of Thik Bol will hurt in the middle as well. They have five double digit scorers though and can beat you in a bunch of different ways. Drake's season turned now that Nick Norton is out with the ACL injury. Their defense isn't very good, but they have shown some efficiency on offense. The Bulldogs have scored 70 or more in four straight. I really think that this one is played with some pace and it'll go over the total. 

Central Michigan has won six straight as they host Akron on Tuesday. The Chippewas have an extremely potent offense and have scored 80 points or more in every one of their home games this season. Now that number is slightly skewed by the three games against teams from the lower levels. The Chips are led by Larry Austin Jr, Shawn Roundtree, Kevin McKay and David DiLeo who average almost 60 points per game combined. Their defense is very questionable though as seven straight opponents have cracked the 70 point mark. Akron wants a lower scoring game and played games in the 60s at Nevada and Fort Wayne already this season. The Zips are coming off a 56-48 win at home against Western Michigan. Their offense has been very hot and cold this season. Daniel Utomi and Jimond Ivey are a solid duo that should be able to get whatever they want. CMU has gone over in 26 of their last 32 games as an underdog and 28 of their last 40 in the MAC. At CMU, I think this one is a higher scoring game.

St. Bonaventure is one of the best 4-9 teams in the country. They've lost four straight entering this one, but they are getting healthy at the right time. With Courtney Stockard and LaDarien Griffin in the lineup, they are a completely different team. Yes, it's been ugly for them offensively the last two games, but those are two good defenses. This team has plenty of offensive firepower with Poyser and Lofton as well. George Mason has won five of their last seven after losing five of their first seven. The Patriots have already lost to Vermont, American and Penn at home this season and won't have the students there to make it much of an atmosphere. George Mason has a little bit more depth then the Bonnies, but they are very inconsistent. I definitely see both sides scoring the basketball and I like the road team plus the points. 

Dayton's offense has been tough to stop at home as of late. The Flyers have scored 94, 81, 85 and 98 in their last four contests at UD Arena. Josh Cunningham leads six guys who score eight points per game or more. The Flyers defense has been up and down. They've allowed 70 or more in four of their last five. The team has played in six overs as well. Richmond is coming in with offensive momentum having scored 91 and 74 in wins over South Alabama and High Point. Their defense has been very hot and cold and I'll take the chance that they struggle in this one. The group has played just two true road games allowing 82 at South Alabama and 90 at Georgetown. The Spiders go as Grant Golden and Jacob Gilyard go. This one feels like an over. 

Gonzaga may get Killian Tillie and Geno Crandall back for this one with Tillie potentially playing his first action of the season. Gonzaga has scored 90 or more in three of their last five and have cracked the 100 point mark five times. They are an overwhelming monster offensively. The reason this total is lower is because they've cracked down defensively allowing 55 or less in four straight. Santa Clara has won six straight and eight of their last nine. They've got a pretty good offense that put up 102 on USC at home in mid December. They won't get anywhere near that, but I think they can put up some points on the Zags. They also allowed 92 to USC and 80 to Minnesota and 82 to Washington. They won't be able to slow down the juggernaut so I could see a 100-60 type game. 

Liberty is one of the slowest paced teams in the league yet their efficiency is so good that they put up very nice offensive numbers. This team has a ton of talent and is riding high off a win over UCLA on the road. Now they head to Florida Gulf Coast where defense is optional. This squad nearly lost to a school called Keiser at home in an 87-85 game. This one is an over. 

Chattanooga's in a good spot offensively hitting 50% or more in four straight while going 70 points or more in nine straight. They've got some solid balance and also show the lack of defense on the road. The team has allowed 80 or more four times on the road and gave up 69 at Charlotte which is like 80 points. East Tennessee State has gone over in two of their last three. They had a stretch of five overs in six games back in November into December. ETSU and Chattanooga run about the same amount of tempo according to kenpom. They've scored 70 or more in four straight and six of their last seven. The numbers seem to say that this one could be played in the 70s. Give me the over. 

We hit easily the over in the Monroe/UALR game last time out and will go back to the well once again. The Warhawks have gone over in three straight and four of their last five lined games. ULM plays at a really show pace, but their offense has clicked quite a bit as of late. They've scored over 90 points three times with the likes of Daishon Smith, Michael Ertel, Travis Munnings and JD Williams who account for almost 65 points per game. ASU's offense is in good form too. They've scored 70 or more in two straight and eight of their last 10 contests. Their problem has been on defense allowing 83, 82, 72, 82, 96 over their last five road games. Ty Cockfield does a lot of the heavy lifting with Marquis Eaton the second leading scorer. ULM has gone over in 15 of their last 23 at home. I'll take the over. 

The Chippewas hit the road for the start of MAC play on Saturday against Miami-Ohio. The Chips have lost just two games at TCU and against Weber State on a neutral court. CMU has road wins at Youngstown State and Sam Houston State as well. They will have the best players on the court with Larry Austin Jr and Shawn Roundtree as well as Kevin McKay. The offense has scored 80 points or more in five straight and seven of their last eight. Miami-Ohio is coming off a three point home win and has won five of their last six. The Redhawks have some solid talent but have played a weaker schedule. Still, there's some talent there and a good offense that has scored 70 or more in every home game this season. This one should be an up and down affair with the road team being worth a look. 

I wrote a longer writeup on this but my computer decided to delete it. Basically, I like Tech's offense to get whatever they want against BC. Tech's defense has put up good numbers, but against lesser competition. I expect this one to be played in the 70s and maybe the home team gets to 80 so give me the over. 

Arizona State is coming off a loss to Princeton as they host Utah on Thursday. The Sun Devils offense is very hot and cold as of late alternating games in the 60s and 70s. They've scored 80 or more seven times already this season. Luguentz Dort leads six players who score nine points or more per contest. The team's defense could be better. They've allowed 70 or more in seven of their last eight. Utah is almost the same type team that can score and struggle on defense. They just allowed 86 to Nevada in an 86-71. Utah has played just two true road games losing 88-61 at Kentucky and 78-69 at Minnesota. Sedrick Barefield leads six scorers of seven points per game or more. ASU has gone over in nine of their last 10 games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one continues that.

Little Rock is averaging almost 80 points per game while shooting nearly 50% from the field. Their problem is that they are allowing almost 80 points as well. Skewing those numbers just a bit are the last two games allowing 102 to Georgetown and 99 to Memphis. I like the Trojans a lot and figure to be on them in conference play. They've got a ton of scorers led by Rayjon Tucker and Nikola Maric. Monroe is a slower tempo team but they are efficient at home. They've scored 80 or more three times at home and four times overall. Daishon Smith has averaged over 18 points per game in nine outings. They've got four really solid scorers. The over has hit in three of their last four lined contests. Give me the over in this one. 

Delaware is 9-6 on the season as they host William and Mary. These two teams are similar offensively with both averaging around 74 points per game while shooting just under 47% from the field. The difference comes on defense where the Tribe allow nearly 80 points per contest. Delaware is one of the slower paced teams in the country yet they've cracked the 80 point mark three times this season. The Blue Hens have gone over in eight of their last 10 games and are led by Eric Carter offensively. Delaware has five guys who average nine points per contest or more with Ryan Allen joining them after playing just four contests so far. William and Mary has allowed 72, 71, 71, 84, 73, 100 and 84 on the road. The question is how good will the offense be with Nathan Knight and Justin Pierce leading the way. William and Mary has had totals in the 140s just nine times the last three seasons and have gone over six times. Last year these two played twice with the scores being 83-66 and 90-65. I think the over is in play here. 

This is my first time dipping into the crazy world of the Citadel who averages 99.1 points per game with their crazy up and down style of basketball. They take early shots and allow baskets the other way. It's worked a lot to the tune of a 9-3 record although they are coming off a 110-94 loss to Longwood last time out. They've scored 90 or more six times although three of those came against lower level teams. The defense has been better although they have allowed over 90 four times as well. Wofford should thrive in this one as they don't really need the help to score points. They've put up 80 or more in four of their last five and eight times overall. We've made a lot of money off the Terriers who have a ton of talent themselves. Last year these two played an 80-78 and a 109-92 game. The previous year it was 100-90 and 104-103 with the Citadel actually winning twice over those four contests. I think this one is an over as well as someone gets to 100. 

Valpo has lost three of their last five as they begin MVC play. The Crusaders offense is very hot and cold scoring 97, 49, 61, 82, 53, 82 over their last six contests. Their defense has been a problem too allowing 70 points or more in four of their last six contests. Valpo does play a bit of a slower pace which is a concern, but Illinois State has weapons. The Crusaders have three double digit scorers with the fourth being Bakari Evelyn who may or may not be available. ISU has lost four of their last five and has had their own issues with defense allowing 75 or more in six straight games. The Redbirds are healthy right now and have four really solid scorers to lead the way. I'm coming really close to taking them to win this game, but instead I think the over is worth a look. 

Missouri State has won two straight and three of their last five as they travel to Southern Illinois. The Bears have an ugly road record, but they also played at Oregon State, Air Force and Murray State among others. The Bears have a ton of scorers and are led by Tulio Da Silva's 16 ppg on 63.6% shooting from the field. Their problem is on defense where they've allowed 70 or more in 10 of their last 11 contests. Defense has not been a strength for SIU either during this losing streak allowing 79, 73 and 80 points. Leading scorer Armon Fletcher is suspended so that puts more on Sean Lloyd Jr, Eric McGill and Aaron Cook. Missouri State has gone over in seven of their 11 lined games. I think they can go over and potentially cover this one.

Wake Forest is 6-5 while Cornell is 6-7. Both of these teams have their faults with some of them coming on the defensive end. Wake allowed 73 at home to Gardner Webb last time out in a 73-69 loss to them. This team has also lost to Houston Baptist at home as a 16.5 point favorite. The Deacs have gone under in three straight after a brief stretch of three overs in four contests. They have the athletic edge and Brandon Childress should be able to get whatever he wants. Cornell has struggled in their road games against better talent allowing 81 at SMU, 86 at Toledo, 91 at UConn and 73 at NJIT. Matt Morgan and the Boeheim kid aren't terrible offensively. Yes, the Big Red could flop on offense, but I expect them to do their part and this over will hit. 

Niagara's got a pretty nice offense and they want to push the pace at home. Albany's defense has struggled on the road but they have a decent offense. I think this one should go over the total. 

I'll take a shot here with the over. Colorado State's defense isn't great and I think New Mexico State plays a little faster on the road when they can't set their pace. Give me a shot on the over here. A lot of talent on both sides. 

It's almost a blind wager now as the over is 22-2 in the last 24 William and Mary home games and 30-11 in their last 41 conference matchups. The scores at home this season for the Tribe are 79-74, 106-89, 87-84, 87-85, 81-72 and 79-69. Nathan Knight and Justin Pierce are a solid duo, but once again, this team just doesn't play defense. BTW, the 106-89 was against lower leveled William Peace. Towson's offense is not spectacular. They've scored less then 70 seven times this season and they want to play a slower game. They've also succumbed pace-wise on the road to Elon (77-60) and UMBC (80-76). Brian Fobbs and Tobias Howard are their best two scorers. I know you are looking for some sort of deep analysis here, but I'm stunned how low this total is. Last year this game was 99-73 in Williamsburg with the game two years ago being 83-79. 

This is the classic case of hoping the home team goes nuts and the road team does just enough. St. Mary's is averaging 83.1 points per game at home where they are shooting over 54% from the field. They are also holding teams to 67 points per contest there. The Gaels have gone over the total in six of their last nine and nine of their 14 contests overall. The defense hasn't been as great as it has been in the past allowing 70 or more six times this season. San Jose State is not very good although they do have five decent scorers. The Spartans have gone over in three straight, four of five and seven of their last nine. Their defense is pretty awful, but the offense has found a bit of a groove. They scored 80 at Cal and 73 at Stanford. I think this one should go over the total.

Two mid-majors very capable of winning a game or two in March play as Toledo hosts Penn. Last year the Rockets won this game in PA 85-72 as they shot 52.6% from the field and over 60% from long range. They have gone over in four of their last five scoring 80 or more eight times already this season. This team does it with balance with six guys who score eight points per game or more. Three of those players shoot 50% or better from the field. Penn puts up almost 80 ppg and have scored at least that five times. They have played four road games already winning at New Mexico, La Salle, Delaware State and George Mason. The Quakers go deep too with six guys who average seven points per game or more. Both teams play with a moderate to quick pace so I fully expect plenty of points in this one. 

Ball State has a great scoring offense and has been a very good over bet the past few years. Delaware State plays next to no defense, but has a competent enough offense to do their part for this thing. I think it goes over the total. 

William and Mary has gone over in 21 of their last 23 at home and 29 of their last 40 in CAA play. This is a team that scores a ton of points, but doesn't play a lick of defense. The Tribe is shooting 46.6% from the field, but allowing 80.5 points per contest. At home this season there's been scores of 106-89, 87-84, 87-85, 81-72 and 79-69. Nathan Knight is a beast inside and Justin Pierce is a really good scorer too. James Madison has struggled lately losing six of their last nine games. The offense has failed to get on track and the defense isn't stopping too many opponents either. They've been held to under 50 points in each of their last two road contests, but the likes of Stuckey Mosley should be able to get some points in this one. The last three matchups between these two were 89-82, 84-76 and 95-92. I think this one sails over. 

Two of the worst defensive teams in the country play a 2 o clock game as Youngstown State hosts Detroit. YSU allows 81.6 points per contest while the Titans give up 78.2. At home, the Penguins allowed 88 to Western Michigan, 100 to Central Michigan and 83 to Heidelberg. Their offense isn't great, but they don't have to against a Detroit team whose D is bad. Garrett Covington is their only double digit scorer with five others averaging six points per contest or more. Last year these two played games of 94-84 and 93-91. I don't know if we'll see as high score in this one but I do see an over with these two playing in an early afternoon tilt. 

It's round two between Indiana State and TCU but the scene shifts to Hawaii this time. Round one went to the Horned Frogs who won the game 90-70. They shot nearly 50% from the field in the win and held the Sycamores to just 18.8% from long range. TCU has scored 80 or more in four straight and six of their last seven games. Coincidentally they won all of those games as well. TCU has some balance with five double digit scorers and Kevin Samuel who chips in with 8.3 ppg. The Sycamores have won their first two games in Hawaii since that loss to TCU with four of their last six going over the total. The team has looked a little better with Christian Williams back in the lineup as help to Jordan Barnes and Tyreke Key. ISU has gon over in 44 of their last 68 games overall including 14 of their last 20 in December. To me, this one should see plenty of points. 

SMU has gone over in nine of their last 11 with a 10th game pushing the total. This offense has shot 50% or better five times already this season and are doing more running then they have in the past. The defense has also struggled a bit especially considering how tight they've been in the past. They allowed 70 or more five times already. Jahmal McMurray leads four double digit scorers with two others putting up seven per contest. Cornell has allowed 86 at Toledo, 77 at Niagara, 91 at UConn and 73 at NJIT. Jimmy Boeheim and Matt Morgan are their two best scorers. They have put up 70 or more in three straight and five of their last seven. I don't expect that to happen in this one, but I think this goes over the lower total. 

Mississippi State has won seven straight since losing to Arizona State. The Bulldogs can come at you in many ways with five double digit scorers led by Quinndary Weatherspoon and Lamar Peters. At home, this team has already scored 98, 70, 90, 88, 79, 77 and 95. They play with a moderate pace and want to get up and down a bit. The defense has struggled though as they allowed Wofford to put up 87 and McNeese State to score 77. Wright State wants a slower game, but they've struggled to keep the pace away from home. They lost 83-76 at Kent State and gave up 73 to Murray State at their place. Wright State is in a good spot offensively right now scoring 70 or more in three straight. Loudon Love is a solid big man with Billy Wampler and Cole Gentry also helping. This one should go over the total.

Murray State is 8-1 on the season as they play at Auburn on Saturday. The Racers have played just three true road games winning at SIU 80-52, at Middle Tennessee 64-42 and lost at Alabama 78-72. They play some awesome defense, but have struggled a little bit against the better teams on the schedule. Get to know Ja Morant because he's one of the best scorers in the league. Auburn is going to be a bit angry after their poor performance at NC State in which they had a ton of turnovers. This team has scored 80 or more six times already this season, but they've also allowed 70 or more in three straight. Last year, this was an 81-77 game. I don't expect that, but I do think this one will be played in the 70s.

Western Michigan has lost four of their last five as they come home to host Milwaukee. The Broncos have gone over the total in seven of their 11 games overall. WMU is pretty good on offense and has struggled with defense at times. They've allowed 70 or more in four straight and all but two contests overall. Michael Flowers, Seth Dugan and Josh Davis are their best players. Milwaukee has gone over in six of their last nine games. They've struggled at times on offense, but should be able to get what they want in this one. The Panthers have a couple of solid scorers themselves. I think this could be closer then the spread and should go over the total. Neither team excels at defense. 

Cal is not an impressive team. They've only won four games so far this year with them coming at home over Cal Poly, San Diego State, Santa Clara and Hampton. The Golden Bears have five guys who can score a little bit, but they don't have a ton of depth. On the road this team lost 84-71 to St. Mary's in their only true road contest. They don't play great defense and have scored 60 points or less four times. Fresno State is playing their fifth straight home contest. They've scored 92, 71, 76 and 81 in those contests. This team has a ton of weapons and should be able to get whatever they want. This total is a little lower because Cal isn't a great team. 

NC A&T plays in another buy game as they travel to Blacksburg to take on Virginia Tech. Already this season they have lost 90-78 at Wake, 82-59 at Maryland, 92-72 at Hofstra and 95-71 at Marshall. This team has scored 70 points or more in all but two games so they could hold up a little bit of their end to this total. Harris and Copeland are the team's two leading scorers. At home this year, Virginia Tech has won games 87-59, 75-37, 94-40, 89-68 and 81-44. I think NC A&T's offense is a little bit better then theirs. My only concern is that Tech's defense wasn't great at times vs. Washington so there might be a little more focus on that end. I just think we'll see the Hokies at around 80-90 points and then NC AT will add their part. 

Oakland is playing their fifth straight on the road on Tuesday as they travel to Georgia. This team has plenty of scoring options and a lack of interest in defense. Case in point, the Golden Grizzlies have scored 82, 83 and 87 over their last three games allowing 87, 92 and 86 to those opponents. Oakland has gone over in six of their last seven and eight of their 10 lined games overall. Xavier Hill-Mais and Jaevin Cumberland average nearly 40 points per game combined. Georgia is coming off a tough loss where they blew a huge lead and fell at home to Arizona State. The Bulldogs have scored 74, 92 and 84 their last three contests at home. They've alternated unders and overs the last few weeks and have struggled on defense. UGA does it with more balance with five guys who score seven points per game or more. Two years ago Georgia lost at Oakland 86-79 in a high scoring tilt. I think we could see a ton of points once again. 

Northern Illinois comes home to host Western Illinois on Monday. NIU is coming off a 95-68 loss at Butler and they are 3-1 at home. The Huskies have scored 70 or more in every game except for the Butler loss, but they've had their issues slowing teams down defensively. Eugene German and Levi Bradley are a good duo averaging nearly 39 points per game. Western Illinois has lost three straight and is playing their eighth true road game of the season. They've allowed 70 or more in four of those games. I like Kobe Webster as a scorer and Brandon Gilbeck is an enforcer in the paint. NIU's gone over in all five games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one should see some scoring. 

The Demon Deacons are 5-3 on the season although the losses have come to St. Joe's, Houston Baptist and Richmond. Wake has scored 70 or more in their last four games. They've also allowed 70 or more four times as well. Brandon Childress leads four double digit scorers, but this team has a little bit of depth although it is young depth. Davidson was nearly able to pull off the victory in Atlantic City on Saturday without leading scorer Kellan Grady. The Wildcats got some really good efforts from Luke Frampton and Carter Collins on Saturday and their shooting will help them again in this one. Wake has gone over in 20 of their last 34 as an underdog. I think this one should see a boatload of points. 

San Francisco has been steamrolling teams this season and has gone over in five of their last nine contests. They have shot 49% or better in five straight and six of their last seven games. The Dons come at you with balance and six guys who average seven points per game or more. They are really good defensively so that is a bit of an issue in terms of the total, but I think they can provide a lot offensively because Fullerton sucks at defense. Fullerton has played four true road games this year allowing 81, 87, 80 and 102. They've got a really good backcourt with Allman and Ahmad, but are looking for help elsewhere. This is a team that wants to play with a quicker pace and because of that they allow more points since they aren't committed as much to the defensive side of the ball. I think this one is an over.

Western Kentucky is back home after two straight on the road. The Hilltoppers are experiencing some changes on the roster with DeSean Murray not playing because he wants to go pro but Lamonte Bearden coming back after serving his suspension. WKU has gone over in five of their nine games and it's because of an offense that has scored 75 or more in three straight and five contests overall. They have also had their problems on the defensive end allowing 70 or more in all but two contests. They have three double digit scorers along with Bearden who has been good for them in the past. Troy has gone over in five of their seven lined games. They've got the same thing as their opponent in that their defense has been shoddy at times but the offense spectacular. Jordon Varnado leads four double digit scorers for the Trojans. Both teams average about 68 positions a game according to kenpom so this may struggle to get to the over, but if you look at the stats, both teams have leaky defenses. I think this over is worth a look. 

It's a big time rivalry as UAB hosts Auburn. The Blazers have taken a few steps back in terms of talent and it shows on the court. Their two biggest tests were losses 94-76 at Memphis and 81-63 on a neutral court to Florida State. The Blazers offense started out hot at home, but has cooled off a bit although they did score over 70 in their last two contests. UAB has a little bit of balanced scoring with six players scoring 7 points per contest or more. Auburn has six guys who score 8 points per game or more and they'll be adding Danjel Purifoy to the mix as well. The Tigers are a scoring machine putting up 80 or more six times this season. They have not played a true road game yet this year so maybe that helps out a little bit. To me, this total seems a little bit low. I'll take the over.

Tech faces their third power five school on Saturday in Atlantic City. The Hokies offense has been steaming hot with three straight efforts of 80 or more. They've done that six times this season including an 89-83 win over Purdue. I really like Justin Robinson and think that he'll be busy against the 2-3 zone along with NAW and Ahmed Hill. They've got the long range shooters and the experience from facing Syracuse to help them in this one. Washington has already faced two top 15 teams losing 88-66 to Auburn and 81-79 at Gonzaga. Washington has plenty of scorers and a lot more size then Tech does. I think this one will be played with some pace and it will go over the total.

Davidson has gone over in four straight and five of their nine games. They've got a very potent offense that has scored 70 or more in five straight and seven of nine overall. Jon Axel Gudmundsson and Kellan Grady are fantastic as well as Luke Brajkovic. Their problem is that they aren't that deep of a team and defense is optional sometimes. Temple's defense has come and gone from time to time. They held Villanova to 69 and UMass to 63 the last two games. St. Joe's Missouri and Georgia all have had success. Temple's also going to go how Rose and Alston go. They've gone over three times this season, but a lot of that is because of higher totals. This one is within range. I think this game is close and it's played above the total.

I love betting on the overs in Detroit games because they've shown a true lack of interest in defense. On consecutive nights (yes back-to-back) they allowed 101 to Toledo and 98 to Dayton on the road. This is a team that has shown some offensive punch in their three home games against Kent State, Bowling Green and Loyola Maryland. Still, outside of Antoine Davis, they lack a ton of talent and that's why they struggle to stop opponents. Ohio is another team that wants to get up and down. They've scored over 80 points five times already this season including 101 at home vs. Marshall. This is just their second true road game having already lost at Xavier 82-61. The Bobcats are led by Jason Carter and Teyvion Kirk who put up 35 points per contest combined. This one should see a boatload of points.

It's a Final Four rematch in Kansas as the Jayhawks host the Wildcats. Villanova's team is different then the squad who won the title last year. They are coming off a 78-75 loss at Penn snapping a six game win streak. The Cats want to grind it out a bit and beat you in an ugly contest. They are led by Phil Booth, Eric Paschall and Collin Gillespie who are the three double digit scorers. Some of the teams to crack the 70 point mark on them include Morgan State, Furman and Michigan which gives me hope that Kansas can do so as well. The Jayhawks are without their big man Azubuike once again for this one. They've had some high scoring games with five of their first six going over the total. Kansas can beat you in a multitude of ways with Dedric Lawson leading the way. They've got a ton of talent and don't mind getting into a quicker paced game. They are also going to be looking for revenge after getting steamrolled in the tournament. Kansas has gone over in 21 of their last 33 at home including three of four this season. Fire up the over in this one. 

Arkansas State is playing just their third home game of the season so far. The Red Wolves have an 89-54 win over Missouri Baptist and 87-77 victory over Evansville there. This team's main problem has come on the defensive side of the ball where they've allowed 70 or more in all but two games with one of those being against the lower level team. This squad goes as Ty Cockfield goes as he's averaging 21.3 points per game and the next highest is Marquis Eaton at 9.3 ppg. The Owls are quite the opposite with four double digit scorers although Xavian Stapleton is questionable for the game. FAU has played just two true road games losing at Bethune Cookman by 2 and winning at UCF by one. Their offense has been very impressive as a whole and both of these teams play with some modest pace so scoring shouldn't be an issue. This one should be an over with a real chance the road team could win. 

This is Georgia State's third home game of the season after a crazy stretch of contests. The Panthers have played the likes of Alabama, Georgia and Creighton away from home and have wins over two of them. Their problem has been defense allowing 70 or more in three straight and four of their last five. D'Marcus Simonds is averaging nearly 22 points per game with three others also scoring 10 points per game or more. The over has hit in four of their last five. Chattanooga has won three straight after a four game losing streak. They've allowed 83 at Michigan, 73 at South Alabama and 69 at Charlotte. Kevin Easley leads the team and is a solid scorer with four others putting up eight points per game or more. To me, this one seems like a good chance for the Panthers to score a lot and for this one to be an over.

Fullerton has lost five of their last seven as they enter this one against St. Mary's. Fullerton has allowed 80 in Hofstra, 87 in Sacramento State and 102 in Arizona State. Their offense has laid a few eggs, but Khalil Ahmad and Kyle Allman Jr are a really solid duo on offense. Traditionally St. Mary's has been good defensively, but not so much this year. They've allowed 70 or more four times, but their offense has been spectacular. The last three wins have seen them score 85, 93 and 84. This Gaels squad has a balanced unit offensively. They've gone over in all of their home games and I think that trend continues on Monday. 

Wofford has gone over in 17 of their last 27 as a favorite and 17 of their last 26 at home. The Terriers have a potent trio in Fletcher Magee, Cameron Jackson and Nathan Hoover. Wofford is putting up 91.3 points per game at home where they shoot over 50% from the field. Coastal is 2-4 on the road, but they are averaging over 80 points per game over their last five contests. Coastal goes as Zac Cuthbertson goes as he's the team's leading scorer by far. They do have five other guys who average between 7 and 10 points per game. The last two meetings between these two have gone 87-81 and 75-74. I think this one is an over as well. 

Chattanooga has won two straight after a four game losing streak. They've scored 71, 95, 92 and 78 at home already this season. The Mocs have had some issues with defense at times giving up 83, 74, 73 and 81 already this season. They play at a moderate pace and are led by Kevin Easley, Jerry Johnson Jr and Donovann Toatley. VMI has lost three straight entering this one and you can point to their defense as an issue allowing 80 or more four times already this season with almost all of those coming on the road. Bubba Parham is the conference's leading scorer and this is a team that can get really hot from long range. This series hasn't produced a lot of overs, but I think that trend could change on Sunday. 

Auburn has the offense to compete with almost anyone in the country. They host Dayton on Saturday. This Tigers squad has seven players who average seven points per game or more. They've scored less then 70 just once and that was last time against UNC Asheville. At home, they've put up over 100 twice and 99 the other time. The defense has been very good so that's a bit of a concern in this one. Dayton also plays good defense, but this is their first true road game. The most potent teams on their schedule Fort Wayne (80 points) and Virginia (66 points) were able to move it on their defense. Once again, we're seeing some movement to the under. I think it's almost moved too much. Auburn has gone over in 18 of their last 30 at home. Give me the over.

Eugene German and NIU head to Butler to take on the Bulldogs. German is averaging nearly 22 points per contest. The Huskies have scored 71 or more in every game this season so offense hasn't been the issue. Their problem is on the defensive end where they allow 71.4 points per contest. Green Bay was able to put up 85 at home on NIU while Oakland scored 72. Butler's offense has had an up and down season. They've scored 70 or less in three straight and four of their last five. They are capable of so much more and Kamar Baldwin has struggled mightily. They have been fantastic on defense and that's a concern for my over. Next up is a game vs. Indiana so one eye could be on their next game. Butler has gone over in 21 of their last 34 at home. The Huskies have gone over in five of their six lined games. This one should do that as well.

Northeastern is playing just their third true home game of the season. They've got a 77-74 loss to Boston back on Opening Night and a 81-67 win over EMU at Matthews Arena. This team has scored 70 or more in four contests this season. Their bigger issue is on defense where three opponents have shot 50% or better with seven opponents scoring 70 points or more. Oakland will make you pay on offense and is coming off an 87-86 win at Fairfield in which they shot nearly 60% from the field. They have scored 70 or more in every game except for two while allowing that much in all but three contests. This team allowed NIU to shoot 66% from the field. Northeastern has gone over in all three games as a favorite this season. I think these two should find some offensive success. 

Wright State is 4-5 on the year having lost four of their last five. They have struggled to score as of late and are not getting the stops when it matters. This is a team that has played two true road games losing at Indiana State 69-63 and Murray State 73-54. They want to play a slower game despite having some very solid talent. Kent State is quite the opposite as they've scored 70 or more in every game this season. Jaylin Walker has been an impact player as expected averaging almost 25 points per game over his first three. Now they have four double digit scorers. I think this is a very good team who already has a win at Vanderbilt. The money in this one is on the under and I think we're getting a good value on the over now. Wright State has gone over in 10 of their last 14 games when the total is in the low 140s on the road. KSU will play with their pace and this one goes over.

It's a state rivalry as George Mason hosts JMU. These two have played a lot of overs in their history including six of their last seven in Fairfax. Last year Mason won 76-72 in Harrisonburg and beat the Dukes 80-77 at home two years ago. James Madison has gone over in eight of their 10 games as they play with a moderate pace and struggle on defense. They've scored 70 or more seven times and have allowed at least that much six times. Stuckey Mosley leads a trio of scorers who put up 10 points per game or more. George Mason is 4-6 and has been a massive disappointment on the year. They have the scorers and the talent to make a run in the conference, but they've got to play more defense. The Pats have scored 80 or more three times and have allowed 70 or more in five straight and eight of 10 overall. It would really help if Jaire Grayer was going to play. No word yet on his availability. I think though this one will be close and higher scoring. 

Elon has won just three games this season with wins over Manhattan, Milligan and Central Penn College. They've struggled with defense especially against the better teams on their slate. Furman just put up 98 on them and UNC scored 116. The Phoenix have a decent offense although they've only topped 70 points three times. Steve Santa Ana and Tyler Seibring put up over 14 per game. Greensboro is one of my favorite mid-majors. The Spartans have Francis Alonso and Isaiah Miller. They've cracked 80 points or more six times this season and have shot 50% or better in all but two contests. Their defense could be better although they've done well against their lesser opponents. I think this one is a higher scoring game. 

Ball State has been an over machine this season and in the past. They've hit in four straight and six of their seven lined games. The Cardinals have a potent offense scoring 80 or more in four straight and five of their eight games this season. The defense has been a little bit of an issue too giving up 75 to IUPUI at their place last time out. I really like the trio of Tayler Persons, KJ Walton and Tahjai Teague. There's some interior work along with some solid guard play there. The Ramblers are a little more methodical, but they've still been able to score some buckets when they need to. The team has scored 70 or more five times this season. They've also struggled with their defense with a period where three straight opponents shot 50% or better from the field. I like the over and think Ball State could get an upset in this one. 

Brown has won six of their last seven as they embark to Butler. The Bears have dried up a bit offensively on the road, but they had a stretch of six of their first seven where they scored 80 or more. This team has had a little bit of an issue at times with defense giving up 71 to Rhode Island on the road and 83 at Long Island. Desmond Cambridge, Brandon Anderson and Tamenang Choh are the team's three best scorers. Butler is coming off a rough loss at St. Louis 64-52. They've played just three home games with the Bulldogs scoring 83, 84 and 90 as they've got a really good offense. Butler has gone over in 21 of their last 33 home games. I think this one goes over too. 

The Keydets have been a hot and cold team this season on the road. We tried to fade them at Kentucky and VMI shot 50% from long range in a 92-82 loss to the Wildcats. They won at Stetson 87-79 and have also put up over 90 points against two other lower level opponents. The team has struggled big time on defense allowing 94 at Pittsburgh to go along with the other two scores. Virginia Tech has been fantastic at home scoring 94, 75 and 87 against lesser teams, playing good defense in the process. The Hokies don't really have any reason to lookahead, but this one could get really ugly. Back in November of 2016, this was an 88-72 game. I don't expect as much, but we should see the over hit.