The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Coastal Carolina (7:00 EST).

The 16-5 UT-Arlington Mavericks are at Coastal Carolina to take on the 9-12 Chanticleers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Mavericks are poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their big 83-67 road win over Appalachian State, while the Chanticleers come in hungry, looking to take out their frustrations after a 52-50 home loss to Texas State.

Texas-Arlington is poised for a letdown here after four straight wins, playing nearly flawless basketball and averaging 87.8 PPG and conceding 69 PPG during the win skein. 

The Mavericks are 6-2 in Sun Belt action, but note that they’ve averaged just 72.2 PPG and conceded 71.4 PPG in true road games overall this year.

Despite its 9-12 overall record, Coastal Carolina is still 4-4 in league action. The Chanticleers looked great defensively last week, holding the Bobcats to just 33.9 percent. Unfortunately though, they were also held ot just 33.9 percent shooting themselves. Elijah Wilson was a bright spot with 16 points. Note that five players have averaged at least 8.7 PPG. 

So far Coastal Carolina has averaged 68.2 PPG and conceded 70.4 in league play. 

I’ll point out though that Texas Arlington is already just 1-2 ATS this year as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Coastal Carolina is a perfect 2-0 ATS this after allowing 60 points or less.

The Chanticleers are the “hungrier” team, they’ve lost three straight and still have a shot to make some noise in the conference. I think this one comes down to the wire, so grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Texas State (7:00 EST).

The 12-7 Texas State Bobcats are at Appalachian State to take on the 6-13 Mountaineers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Texas State comes to town off a 52-50 road win at Coastal Carolina, while the Mountaineers enter off an 83-67 home setback to UT-Arlington.

The Bobcats squeaked by the Chanticleers, but have now won three of their last four and are 5-3 overall in league play. In the win over Coastal Carolina, they’d hold the Chanticleers to just 38 percent shooting. They also forced 18 turnovers. 

Texas State averages 66.5 PPG and concedes 65.0 PPG in conference play thus far. 

Appalachian State has averaged 70.6 PPG and allowed 78.4 so far in league action. It’s just 1-7 in Sun Belt play to this point and it’s lost four in a row overall. 

I’ll point out that Texas State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 against the conference, while App State is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight against the Sun Belt and only 3-9-2 ATS in its last 14 against teams with a winning SU record.

Also note that the dog is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series.

The Bobcats have a huge advantage on the defensive end of the floor and I think that fact will prove to be the difference. Play on Texas State.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON-CONFERENCE SUPER TOTAL is the under Thunder/Cavaliers (3:35 EST).

The 28-19 Oklahoma City Thunder are at Cleveland to take on the 31-14 Cavaliers on Saturday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up as a defensive affair.

OKC comes in having won three straight, while the Cavs broke a three-game slide with an uninspiring win over last place Brooklyn last time out. 

The Thunder are led by Russell Westbrookw with 31 points, 10.6 boards and 10.2 assists per game, while LeBron James leads the Cavs with 25.7 points, 8.5 assists and 7.9 boards per contest. 

OKC just beat the Mavs 109-96 on Thursday. The victory came at a cost though, as Enis Kanter fractured his arm punching a chair in frustration.

The Cavs looked shaky defensively in their 124-116 victory over the Nets. The victory though improved them to 20-5 at home this year. 

Note that OKC has seen the total go under the number in both games that it’s played this season when playing with two days of rest and in eight of nine after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of eight as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range thus far.

I’m expecting more of a war than a wide open run and gun shootout, this number is just a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TV GAME OF THE MONTH is on Michigan State.

The 14-7 Michigan Wolverine are at Michigan State to take on the 12-9 Spartans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I simply feel that MSU is going to be the “hungrier” team today as it looks to stop the bleeding of a three-game losing skid. Most recently the Spartans fell 84-70 to Purdue.

The Wolverines though look poised for a letdown after their 90-60 win over Indiana, their second in a row. Derrick Walton Jr. had 21 points. 

So far Michigan averages 75 PPG and concedes 65.6. 

Michigan State averages 72.2 PPG and concedes 68.5. The Spartans are on a three-game losing streak, but still sit 4-4 in league plays, so have the potential to still make some noise down the stretch. Keep your eyes on Mile Bridges, who had 33 points in the setback to the Boilermakers. 

I’ll point out that Michigan is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after conceding 60 points or less, while Michigan State is 2-1 ATS in its last three following a three game or longer losing streak. 

I like the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night, play on Michigan State.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Oakland (1:00 EST).

The 8-14 Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers are in Rochester, Michigan to take on the 15-7 Oakland Golden Grizzlies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Milwaukee is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after three straight wins. Conversely, the Golden Grizzlies will be risking life and limb today as they look to avoid a three-game slide. 

The Panthers have averaged 70.7 PPG in conference play, but conceded 71.7. Note that only two players score in double figures, Cody Wichmann and Brock Stull. 

Oakland has averaged 73.8 PPG in conference action, while allowing 73. Three players score at least 12 points in Jalen Hayes, Dorse-Walker and Martez Walker. 

I’ll point out that Wisconsin Milwaukee is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine versus good offensive teams which average over 77-plus points per game, while Oakland is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home fav in the 9.5 to 14 points range.

As stated off the the top, the Panthers are set up for a classic letdown here, while the desperate home side puts the foot on the gas from start to finish. I think this line should be a lot higher, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the over Clippers/Warriors (8:35 EST).

The 30-17 LA Clippers are in Golden State to take on the 39-7 Warriors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it.

LA comes in off its third loss in its last four games after falling 121-110 on the road to the surging 76ers on Tuesday.

The Warriors enter off their eighth win in their last nine games after dumping Charlotte 113-103 on Wednesday. 

These teams played to a lower-scoring affair in the first matchup this year, with the Warriors winning 115-98 back on December 7th.

LA is tied for sixth in the league in scoring offense with 108 PPG. The Clippers are decent defensively as well in conceding 103 per night. Blake Griffin leads the nightly charge with an average of 20.9 points and 8.9 boards per game. 

The Warriors are No. 1 in the league in scoring with 117.5 PPG. Their defense is a weak point, as it allows 104.8 PPG. Kevin Durant averages 26.1 points and 8.4 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that LA has already seen the total go over the number in four of five this year after playing three consecutive road games, while Golden State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of eight this season when playing with two days of rest.

I’m expecting each team to push the pace from the opening tip until the final horn and for this one to blast past the number as it comes down the stretch. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* 33-Club Play is on Iowa (8:00 EST).

The 13-8 Ohio State Buckeyes are at Iowa to take on the 11-10 Hawkeyes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Ohio State averages 73.5 PPG and allows 67.5. The Buckeyes are led by Jae’Sean Tate with 13.9 points and 1.7 assists per game. 

Ohio State may have the better overall record, but the team has consistently struggled on the road this year and comes in having lost four of its last five away from friendly confines.

Iowa averages 80.4 points and concedes 78.2. Peter Jok leads the nightly charge with 21 points and 2.3 assists. The Hawkeyes have also struggled on the road, but are a “different” team at home, going 7-1 thus far.

I’ll point out that Ohio State has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 2-4 ATS on the road and only 6-7 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Iowa has excelled by going 3-1 ATS in its last four at home and 4-2 ATS in its last six after three or more consecutive SU losses.

All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on Iowa.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH is on Oregon State (7:00 EST).

The 4-17 Oregon State Beavers are in Utah to takeon the 14-6 Utes and while I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the lowly visitors can keep this one a little more competitive than what the bookmakers are leading us to believe. 

Oregon State has dropped eight straight after a hard-fought 85-78 setback at Colorado on Thursday. The Utes come in having had their two game win streak stopped with a 73-67 home loss to No. 10 Oregon on Thursday. 

Not surprisingly, this does indeed set up as a revenge game for Oregon State, as Utah has taken four of the last five in the series, including a tight 71-69 home win in the most recent (Feb 4th, 2016).

The Beavers shot 54.9 percent from the floor and were 12 of 22 from beyond the arc in the loss to the Buffs. Drew Eubanks was a bright spot with 27 points and 13 boards.

Utah got 18 points and nine boards from Kyle Kuzma in the loss to Oregon. Clearly the Utes are the better team all around, but I think this sets up as a “trap” for the home side. With a game at Cal next week, I think Utah gets caught looking ahead to that one, as the Utes are currently tied with the Golden Bears (also 14-6) in the standings.

The Beavers looked a lot more competitive last time out and note that Oregon State is 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with one or less days rest, while Utah is already 2-3 ATS this season as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. 

This is a few too many points to be giving up in this situation, play on Oregon State.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Vanderbilt (4:00 EST).

The 13-6 Iowa State Cyclones are at Vanderbilt to take on the 9-11 Commodores and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Cyclones enter off a deflating 70-65 home loss to Kansas State, while the Commodores come off a tough 71-70 home loss to Arkansas. 

Iowa State averages 78.4 PPG in true road games this year, while conceding 80.0 PPG. 

Vanderbilt averages 78.2 PPG and has allowed just 69.5 at home so far this year. 

I’ll point out though that Iowa State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 65 points or less, while Vanderbilt is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 70 points or more.

The Commodores are a “different” team at home and after losing on a last second bucket last time out, I think they use that as fuel for the fire today. Play on Vanderbilt.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Minnesota (2:00 EST).

The 18-2 Maryland Terrapins are in Minnesota to take on the 15-6 Golden Gophers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Maryland is poised for a letdown here after five straight wins and going 6-1 in conference action. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Minnesota today as it’s now lost four straight after winning three straight. 

The last time these team’s played, the Gophers shocked Maryland 68-63 from Minneapolis last year and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a repeat this afternoon.

Maryland is led by Melo Trimble, who had 17 points, six boards and four assists in his team’s most recent win over Rutgers. The Terps though would commit 18 turnovers and shot 44.2 percent from the floor. 

Note that Maryland averages 75.2 PPG and concedes 65.2.

Nate Mason leads the nightly charge for Minnesota with 14.0 points and 5.5 assists per contest. Minnesota averages 74.3 PPG and concedes 66.9. 

I’ll point out though that Maryland is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset win as an underdog, while Minnesota is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a three game or longer unbeaten streak. 

I think the desperation level in which the home side plays with today turns out to be the difference. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Notre Dame (12:00 EST).

The 17-4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are at Georgia Tech to take on the 11-8 Yellow Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Irish are going to be hungry today after a listless 71-54 home loss to Virginia. Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for Georgia Tech after its big 78-56 home win over FSU on Wednesday.

Despite the setback to Virginia, the Irish are still sitting well in the ACC standings, just a half game back of UNC for first place with a 6-2 record.

Note that the Irish average 79.9 PPG and concede just 67.6. Bonzie Colson leads the nightly charge with 15.6 PPG.

The Yellow Jackets average just 67.4 PPG and concede only 66.8. Josh Okogie had 35 points and 14 boards in the upet win over the Seminoles.

A great situational play in my opinion. I have a hard time seeing the Yellow Jackets’ offense keeping matching what they did last time out, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play on the over Grizzlies/Blazers (10:05 EST).

The 27-20 Memphis Grizzlies are in Portland to take on the 20-27 Trailblazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Portland had lost four in a row before back-to-back victories over the Celtics and Lakers. 

Memphis also comes in with plenty of momentum after winning two of its last three after getting the better of Toronto on Wednesday. 

One player to keep your eyes on for the Grizzlies is center Marc Gasol, who has reached the 20-point mark in five straight games. In the most recent victory over the Raptors he had a career-best 42 points and five three-pointers. 

And for Portland, make sure to track shooting guard CJ McCollum, who is averaging 29.5 points during the two-game win streak. He’s also scored 20 or more points in 12 of the past 15 games. To say everyone is focused on the task at hand tonight for the home side would be an understatement: “I think it’s a great opportunity for us,” Blazers’ star point guard Damian Lillard commented. “I just asked somebody in the locker room, ‘When was the last time we won three games in a row?’ We had to look at the schedule to see.”

I’ll point out that Memphis has seen the total go over the number in 14 of 22 on the road this year, while Portland has seen the total sail above the posted number in ten of 17 this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

I think this number is just a little low, as I am expecting each side to push the pace from start to finish. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Wizards/Hawks (8:05 EST).

The 25-20 Washington Wizards are in Atlanta to take on the 27-19 Hawks on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive affair written all over it. 

Note that Washington is just 6-14 on the road this year, while Atlanta is 13-9 at home. 

The Hawks most recently got the better of the Bulls. Big man Dwight Howard continues his solid season, he’s averaged 12 points and ten boards over his last five games. Note the that Hawks average just 103 PPG and concede 103 on the other end.

Washington has gone 8-2 its last ten, but note that it’s seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a two game unbeaten streak.

This is also a spot in which the Hawks have seen the total dip below the number plenty of times already this year, including in all four games they’ve played after playig to three or more consecutive “overs,” and in all six home games where the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 210. 

I think this number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH is on Yale (8:00 EST).

The 10-9 Brown Bears are at Yale to take on the 10-6 Bulldogs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

This is the second game of a home and home set between the schools, Yale barely scraping by Brown 75-74 last Friday in the first meeting. Suffice it to say, after that wake up call, I’m fully expecting the home side to take nothing for granted tonight and to keep the foot on the gas from the opening tip until the final horn.

Brown averages 77.2 PPG, but allows 76.9. Steven Spieth had a career-high 33 points last time out. 

Yale averages 74.6 PPG and concedes just 67.8. Sam Downey came up big in the win over Brown, finishing with a season-high 26 points and 13 boards. 

I’ll point out that Brown is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after giving up 75 points or more, while Yale is 35-16 ATS in its last 51 following an ATS loss. 

The Bulldogs are 6-0 on their home floor. Yale has also been downright dominant on the defensive end of late, giving up an average of just 59.5 points over its past four games. The Bears got close last time out, but I’m expecting a rout this time around. Note that Brown is one of the worst rebounding teams in the nation and Yale outrebounded it 47-31 last week. 

Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Sacramento Kings (7:00 EST).

The 18-27 Sacramento Kings are in Indiana to take on the 23-22 Pacers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

I had a play on Indiana last night, a 4-point dog which would win outright on the road over the Wolves. 

I now think this sets up a natural letdown spot for Indiana. Sacramento comes to town with plenty of momentum as well after winning two straight, most recently a confidence building 116-112 OT victory over the Cavs on Wednesday. 

Note that this also sets up as a “revenge” game for the visitors, who fell 106-100 to the Pacers at home back on January 18th.

With the win over the defending champs, the Kings are now just 1.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Sacramento is in the middle of the pack on both the offensive and defensive ends of the floor, but does catch a break here in facing the now contented Pacers.

Indiana is an average offensive team with 105.4 PPG and a sub-par defensive one in conceding 106.8 per night. 

And I’ll point out that Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road, while Indiana is only 1-5 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference.

These are two teams desperate for victories, but I think Sacramento catches the Pacers at a good time. While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points. Play on the Kings.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on San Francisco (11:00 EST). 

San Francisco is 14-7 overall and 4-4 in league play, while Saint Mary’s is 17-2 overall and 7-1 in the WCC.

Note that this is a “revenge” game for the visitors, which lost 63-52 at home back on January 7th. 

In that game, the Dons actually held a two-point lead at half time. 

San Fran opened conference play by going 1-4, but has since won three straight WCC games. Most recently the Dons beat San Diego by 17.

Saint Mary’s was able to shut down the Dons in the first game, holding them to 37 percent from the floor, but clearly San Francisco has turned the corner and looks like an entirely different team now than at the start of the month. I think its momentum gets carried over here.

Not as well that San Francisco is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year and 3-1 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Saint Mary’s is just 2-4 ATS this season off a win against a division rival and only 1-5 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more.

While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do definitely feel this is a few too many points to be giving up to the ever improving Dons.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Indiana Pacers (8:05 EST).

The 22-22 Indiana Pacers are in Minnesota to take on the 17-28 Timberwolves and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Pacers are going to be the “hungrier” team tonight in my estimation, they enter off a third straight loss, this time 109-103 at home to the Knicks. 

Conversely, I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the suddenly over-achieving Timberwolves who come in off their third straight victory, most recently a 112-111 win on the road over Phoenix. 

So far Indiana averages 105.4 PPG, while conceding 106.8. Paul George leads the way with an average of 22.2 PPG. 

Minnesota averages 103.5 PPG and allows 104.5. Karl-Anthony Towns leads the way with 22.4 PPG. 

I’ll point out though that Indiana is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 when playing on two days rest, while Minnesota is interestingly just 19-41-1 ATS in its last 61 home games against teams with a losing road record.

A desperate Indiana team. A contented Minnesota side. I’m grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Virginia Tech (8:00 EST).

The 15-4 Virginia Tech Hokies are in North Carolina to take on the 18-3 Tar Heels and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright SU upset, I do definitely think that the visitors can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to beileve.

The Hokies come in off a big 82-81 win over Clemson, while the Tar Heels enter off a 90-82 road victory over Boston College.

Note that this not surprisingly does indeed set up as a “revenge” game for VT, which lost 75-70 at UNC in the lone meeting last year. 

VT shot 54.7 percent from the floor in the win over Clemson and was led by Seth Allen who would go on to finish with 17 points. The Hokies have won two straight in the tough ACC and are now averaging 81.5 PPG, while conceding 72.2. 

UNC shot 47 percent from the floor in the win over BC, but also allowed the Eagles to shoot 47 percent and hit 12 of 27 from range. Justin Jackson was a bright spot with 22 points. So far the Tar Heels average 89.4 PPG and concede 70.8. 

I’ll point out though that VT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games, while UNC is interestingly just 1-5 ATS in its last six at home in this series.

The Tar Heels just gave up 82 points to a much weaker Boston College team, so I think that the Hokies high-octane offense will give the home side some issues as well. Note that UNC has not been as sharp defensively since conference play started, allowing an average of 76.7 points. 

I’m grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Cincinnati (7:00 EST).

The 14-5 Xavier Musketeers are in Cincinnati to take on the 17-2 Bearcats and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Xavier enters off an 86-75 home win over Georgetown, while Cincinnati smashed Tulane 78-61 last time out. 

Note that this does set up as a “revenge” game as well for the home side after the Musketeers beat the Bearcats 65-55 at home in the lone meeting last year.

The Musketeers looked pretty shaky in losing three straight before the win over the Hoyas. Xavier averages 76.6 PPG and concedes 68.7 and is led by Trevon Bluiett, who averages 17.2 PPG. 

The Bearcats average 77.3 PPG and concede just 61.4 (tenth in the nation). Keep your eyes on Jacob Evans, who leads the team with 14.2 PPG. 

I’ll point out that Xavier is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games, while Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series.

The Bearcats are a perfect 11-0 at home this year, while the Musketeers have just a single road win. And note that Xavier has struggled defensively of late, allowing 78 PPG over its last six.  

Cincinnati though has dialed up the pressure as the season has worn on, allowing just 58 PPG over its last seven since conference play began.

I’m laying the points on the red hot home side.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Florida (9:00 EST).

The 14-5 Florida Gators are at LSU to take on the 9-9 Tigers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Gators are out for revenge today as the Tigers have taken three of the last four in the series, including last year’s 96-91 victory in front of the home town crowd.

So far Florida is 5-2 in SEC play. The Gators remained ranked No. 25 in the country, despite coming into this one off two straight losses. It’s going to be all hands on deck for Florida today as it looks to “right the ship.” 

The Tigers league losses have all come by double digits, except a four-point setback at Auburn. Note that LSU has lost three conference home games by an average of 13 points. Defense has been a mjaor issue, in the latest loss to the Razorbacks the Tigers would allow the Hogs to shoot 53.2 percent and make eight of 16 from range. 

I’ll point out that Florida is 9-4 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite and 5-1 ATS in its last six versus poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while LSU is just 2-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 3-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

I think the Gators finally play a full two halves and bury the floundering Tigers once it’s all said and done. Play on Florida.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on the Brooklyn Nets (7:35 EST).

The 15-30 Miami Heat are in Brooklyn to take on the 9-35 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I simply feel this sets up as a big time letdown spot for the Heat, who come in off their season-high fourth straight win after upsetting the Warriors 105-102 on Monday night.

Brooklyn will be the much “hungrier” side tonight, it comes in having dropped two straight, most recently a 112-86 setback at home to the Spurs on Monday. 

And to say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement, as Miami has won seven of the last eight in the series, including a 110-99 home victory in the most recent matchup back on March 28th, 2016.

Despite the win over the Warriors, Miami still only averages 98.9 PPG. Brooklyn averages 105.8. 

The Heat are much better defensively, but as i mentioned off the top, it’s impossible not to think that Miami won’t have some sort of letdown here after their shocking defeat of mighty Golden State last time out.

Combined with the revenge factor, it’s a perfect set of situational circumstances to take advantage of. 

Also note that Miami is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset win as an underdog, while Brooklyn is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 against teams with losing records. 

While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on Brooklyn.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Georgetown (7:00 EST0.

The 18-2 Creighton Bluejays are at Georgetown to take on the 10-10 Hoyas and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the home side.

This is a great situational play to take advantage of, as I think Creighton is poised for a bit of a mental lapse here after suffering a 102-94 loss to Marquette at home on Saturday, falling to 5-2 in Big East play. It was the first game that the team played without point guard Maurice Watson Jr, who was averaging 12.9 points and 8.4 assists (led the country).

The Hoyas though come in “hungry,” they’re off an 86-75 loss at Xavier on Sunday and now just 1-6 in league play.

Creighton averages 87.1 PPG and allows 72.2. Georgetown averages 76.2 PPG and concedes 72.1. 

Ultimately I think the loss of Watson is significant for the Blue Jays, who missed his defensive play more than anything. 

I’ll also point out that Creighton is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite at home, while Georgetown is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.

For all the reasons listed above, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Hoyas won this one outright, but in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Central Florida (6:00 EST).

The 17-4 SMU Mustangs are at Central Florida to take on the 14-5 Knights and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

SMU most recently rolled over Houston 85-64, while UCF enters off a 70-65 setback to Memphis on the weekend. 

Note that this is a revenge game for the Knights, who fell 88-73 in the lone meeting last year.

The Mustangs are led by Semi Ojeleye with 17.8 PPG. SMU averages 73.2 PPG and concedes just 59.4.

Note that the Knights are not too far behind in either category though, averaging 69.4 PPG and coneding just 59.2, good for third in the entire country.

I’ll point out that SMU is already 0-1 ATS this year as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while UCF is 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records and 4-2 ATS when playing the role of underdog.

SMU’s offense relies on the three-ball, but the Knights are holding opponents to just 29 percent from beyond the arc. UCF also holds a major rebounding advantage today, ranked second overall in the nation, led by 10.5 RPG from Tacko Fall.

While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset obviously, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Bulls/Magic (7:05 EST).

The 22-23 Chicago Bulls are in Orlando to take on the 18-28 Magic and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it.

These teams are battling it out for one of the final playoff spots. The Bulls enter off a 102-99 win over the Kings at home on Saturday night, snapping two-game slide, while the Magic lost for an eighth time in their last ten games in a 118-98 setback at home to Golden State on Sunday. Note that these teams met on November 7th and Chicago would come away with the 112-80 victory.

Chicago can move back to .500 with a win today. Note that the Bulls average 101.2 PPG and concede 101.4 Keep your eyes on Dwayne Wade, he had 30 points in the win over the Kings on the weekend.

Orlando was tied with Golden State at half time, but predictably fell apart down the stretch and allowed the Warriors to shoot 47.2 percent overall and 19 of 42 from beyond the arc. 

So far the Magic average just 99.9 PPG, while conceding 105 per contest. 

I’ll point out though that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in two of its last three against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Orlando has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 15 of 26 this year after allowing 105 points or more. 

Both teams need to string some wins together quickly if they have any shot at the postseason. I’m expecting each to push the pace from start to finish and for this one to fly over as it comes down the stretch.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Miami Ohio (7:00 EST).

The 8-11 Miami Ohio Redhawks are at Buffalo to take on the 9-10 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Miami Ohio is coming off a 101-92 road loss to Central Michigan, while Buffalo beat Western Michigan 66-54 on the weekend. 

The Bulls looked stout defensively in their win over WMU, holding it to just 32 percent from the floor. Note though that Buffalo shot just 34 percent itself. Nick Perkins had 21 points and ten boards.

Note that Buffalo averages 74.8 PPG and concedes 73.6.

The Redhawks will be the “hungrier” team in my opinion, in its latest setback to CMU they’d actually hold a ten point halftime lead. Michael Weathers was a bright spot with 24 points. He now leads the team in scoring with 18.2 per night. 

So far Miami Ohio averages 74 points and concedes 75.5. 

I’ll point out though that Buffalo is already 0-3 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while the Redhawks are 6-2 ATS at home this season and 3-0 ATS against teams with losing records. 

I think this one comes down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Akron (7:00 EST).

The 16-3 Akron Zips are at Western Michigan to take on the 6-12 Broncos and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Akron has won nine straight, most recently a 70-63 win at home over Eastern Michigan.

WMU enters off the 66-54 road loss to Buffalo, its fourth setback in its last six.

The Zips are 6-0 in league play, winning both conference road games thus far. Akron has turned it up a notch since conference action began, averaging 78.5 PPG and allowing 71.5. Overall Akron averages 78.7 PPG and concedes 68.5. Isaiah Johnson leads the nightly charge with 15.8 PPG.

WMU has averaged 72.2 PPG and conceded 78.2 in league play this year. Overall the Broncos average 74.2 PPG while allowing 78.2.

I’ll point out that the road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series, while the favorite is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 this series.

I think the surging Zips can smell the blood in the water and look for the deeper team to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Pittsburgh (7:00 EST).

The 16-5 Louisville Cardinals are in Pittsburgh to take on the 12-7 Panthers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Pittsburgh will be the “hungrier” team today as it looks to snap a four-game slide. The Panther lost to Syracuse, Louisville, Miami and NC State, making this an immediate “revenge” scenario for the home side as well.

I think this sets up as a letdown spot for Louisville as well, which had its four game win streak snapped at Florida State this past weekend.

Tony Hicks was a abright spot in the setback, finishing with a season-high 16 points. 

Pittsburgh looks to snap out of its funk and get back on track after four straight league losses. Note though that the Panthers have performed well in this spot for bettors already this year, going 5-3 ATS as an underdog and 2-1 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. 

To say this is a “revenge” game for Pitt would be an understatement obviously, as Louisville has won nine straight in this series, including three in a row at Pittsburgh. 

I like the focused home side to at the very least, take this one down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (9:05 EST).

OKC sits 3.5 games behind the Jazz in the Western Conference standings, making this a very meaningful mid-season game. He may have been snubbed at the All Star Game, but I think Russell Westbrook brings his “A” game tonight and at the very least, helps his team take this one down to the wire.

The Thunder enter off a 121-100 loss to the Warriors, a game which was tied at halftime. Westbrook would go on to finish with 27 points, 15 boards, 13 assists, two steals and two blocks in the loss. It was his 21st triple-double of the season. OKC can score with the best of them, but lacks on the defensive end in conceding 105.6 PPG.

Utah is coming off a 109-100 win over Indiana, led by 30 points from George Hill. Utah isn’t a high-scoring team, but gets the job done with tough defenisve play, the No. 1 ranked unit in allowing only 98.9 PPG. 

I’ll point out though that the Thunder are already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to 6.5 points range and 7-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Utah is just 8-11 ATS against teams with winning records and only 15-16 ATS against good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest.

This is a tough matchup. For both teams. I’m expecting a highly competitive affair, one which will be decided in the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is the under Spurs/Nets (7:35 EST).

The 34-9 San Antonio Spurs are in Brooklyn to take on the 9-34 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair and will look for this one to stay under the number once it’s all said and done.

I simply feel this sets up as a natural letdown/look ahead spot for the Spurs, who come in off a 118-115 OT win over the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday and who then travel to Toronto to take on the No. 2 team in the East tomorrow night.

San Antonio ranks seventh overall on the offensive end in averaging 107.6 PPG, but most nights gets the job done on the defensive end in conceding just 98.9 PPG. Kawhi Leonard leads the team with 25.5 points, 5.7 boards and 1.83 steals per game. 

Brooklyn averages 106.2 PPG, but is last on the defensive side in conceding 114.9 per game. 

The Nets blew out the Pelicans, but then immediately returned to Earth with a dud against the Hornets last time out. Things won’t get any easier in facing San Antonio’s smothering defense.

I’ll point out that San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in eight off road games where the total is greater than or equal to 210, while Brooklyn has seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of 24 this year after scoring 105 points or more.

With a tough game tomorrow night in Toronto, I think the visitors slow this one down and control the tempo from the outset. This number is just a little bit high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* MAAC SIDE OF THE MONTH is on Rider (7:00 EST).

The 12-9 Rider Broncos are at Saint Peter’s to take on the 10-9 Peacocks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Peacocks enter off a home loss to Niagara, a setback which snapped a four-game win streak. Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, is even more difficult to get back. 

So far St. Peter’s averages 64.8 PPG, while allowing 63.4. 

The Broncs enter off a win against Marist which snapped a three-game slide. 

Rider averages 73.6 PPG and allows 73.2. Keep your eyes on Kahlil Thomas, who leads the way with 13.8 points and 9.5 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that Rider is already 3-1 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while St. Peter’s is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 off a loss against a conference rival and just 3-4 ATS at home this season.

I think Riders offense will finally test the Peacocks today and while I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Rider.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on Saint Louis (2:00 EST).

The 5-13 St. Louis Billikens are at Dayton to take on the 14-4 Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

Saint Louis will be out to atone for a listless 75-52 loss to St. Bonaventure in its latest action.

Dayton enters off a 75-59 beatdown of Ricmond. 

St. Louis is a bad team, it averages 60.6 PPG and concedes 71.7. One bright spot though has been Davell Roby, who has scored 13 or more points in six out of his last eight games. 

Dayton is a good team, it averages 75.4 PPG and concedes 64.5. Charles Cooke averages 17.9 PPG.

But note, this is definitely a spot in which the Billikens have excelled in for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in their last five after scoring 55 points or less, while Dayton is just 1-3 ATS in its last four against a team with a road winning percentage below .400.

I think the high-flying Flyers come in a bit complacent today and the hungry Billikens keep this one a little more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on Saint Louis.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Orlando Magic (12:05 EST).

The 37-6 Golden State Warriors are in Orlando on Sunday afternoon to take on the 18-27 Magic and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I simply feel this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the No. 1 ranked Warriors, who come in off their sixth straight win, most recently a satisfying 125-108 road victory over Houston on Friday. 

Orlando is going to be the “hungrier” team today in my opinion. The Magic do come in with some postitive momentum, after losing three straight and seven of eight, Orlando got back into the win column with a solid 112-96 win over the Bucks on Friday. 

The Warriors have the No. 1 offense, but the defense ranks middle of the pack in conceding 105 points a night. 

Orlando averages only 100 points per night, while conceding 104.7. 

I’ll point out though that the Warriors are just 1-3 ATS in their last four following a five-game unbeaten streak, while Orlando is 3-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 112 points or more.

Golden State may be 17-3 SU on the road, but it’s only 8-11 ATS. With a game tomorrow night in Miami, I think the visitors come into this one a bit distracted and the focused home side keeps it competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* LEGEND is on LSU (8:30 EST).

The 9-8 LSU Tigers are at Arkansas to take on the 14-4 Razorbacks and while I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do definitely feel that the visitors can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to beileve. 

LSU enters off a tight 78-74 setback to Auburn on Wednesday. The Tigers actually held a lead through most of the first half, but they were unable to hold on in the end. 

LSU is going to be the much “hungrier” team today as it’s lost four straight and has just one league victory thus far.

Keep your eyes on Tigers’ forward Aaron Epps, who had 15 points and 13 boards in the setback to Auburn. Leading scorer Antonio Blakeney added 13 points and seven boards.

Arkansas narrowly edged Texas A&M 62-60 last time out. Daryl Macon saved the day with 16 points and four rebounds. 

I’ll point out that LSU is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 off a loss against a conference rival and is 2-0 ATS in its last two after playing to three consecutive SU losses, while Arkansas is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 60 points or less and only 5-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

I think the hungry Tigers do more than enough to come away with the comfortable cover once it’s all said and done. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH on the Miami Heat (7:30 EST).

The 20-22 Milwaukee Bucks are in Miami to take on the 13-30 Heat and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Milwaukee comes in off a 112-96 road loss in Orlando just last night. Miami on the other hand has shown some life in winning two straight, most recently a 99-95 victory over Dallas on Thursday.

The last time these teams played, the Bucks took a 116-108 home win, which of course sets up the revenge scenario for Miami tonight.

Milwaukee averages 104.8 PPG and concedes 103.8.

The Heat average just 98.6 PPG and allow 102.6. As mentioned above though, Miami has looked a lot better over its last two games 

And note that Miami is 8-6 ATS this year against clubs with losing records and 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Milwaukee is only 7-12 ATS on the road and just 8-13 ATS against teams with losing records.

The Bucks are in a free-fall and they won’t have an easy time tonight in the second game of the back-to-back. I think the home side continues to build momentum and finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Miami.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Appalachian State (5:00 EST).

The 6-10 Appalachian State Mountaineers are at Georgia Southern to take on the 12-6 Eagles and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Mountaineers will be the “hungrier” team today as they’ve opened Sun Belt action with just a 1-4 record following an 85-73 setback at Coastal Carolina. Ronshad Shabazz was a bright spot with 17 points in the loss. 

Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Eagles, who come in having won six straight and who are 5-0 in conference action. Most recently they’re coming off a close 62-60 win over Louisiana-Monroe, needing a late furious rally to secure the victory. Tookie Brown had 19 points and eight boards for Georgia Southern. 

I’ll point out though that App State is 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Georgia Southern is just 1-2 ATS at home this season and only 1-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 

For all of the reasons listed above, I think Appalachian State keeps this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Daytime Dominator is on Rutgers (12:00 EST).

The 9-9 Nebraska Cornhuskers are at Rutgers to take on the 11-8 Scarlet Knights on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Plain and simple, Rutgers is going to be the “hungrier” team today as it risks life and limb in trying to snap its three game losing streak. 

And here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against as Nebraska comes to town deflated after its 67-66 home loss to Ohio State. 

This is also a revenge game for the home side after the Huskers took all three meetings last season.

Nebraska actually comes in having lost three straight. In the setback to the Buckeyes it shot only 41 percent on the night, including just 5 of 21 from behind the arc. Tai Webster was a bright spot with 18 points and eight boards. 

Note that the Cornhuskers average just 71.9 PPG and concede 71.2.

Rutgers was outplayed badly in its last outing against Indiana, falling 76-57 on the road. Corey Sanders though was decent, going 7 of 14 for 17 points. 

Note that the Scarlet Knights score just 68.3 PPG, but concede just 65.3. 

I’ll point out that Nebraska is 3-10 SU in its last 13 on the road, while Rutgers is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400.

The Scarlet Knights are 8-2 their last ten at home and feature the superior defense in this matchup. I think the home side is definitely the correct call in this one. 

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Milwaukee (8:00 EST).

A couple of cellar dwellers face off on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The visiting Cleveland State Vikings are 6-13 this year and 2-4 in the Horizon League thus far, while the Panthers are 5-14 on the season and 1-5 in conference play. 

I simply feel this sets up as a letdown spot for Cleveland State, which snapped a four-game losing streak with a 76-65 win over Oakland as a 14-point underdog on Monday. Rob Edwards poured in a career-high 32 points. 

The Vikings would go on to hit 37 percent from behind the arc, which is completely out of character as the team ranks dead-last in three point field goal percentage in the conference.

Milwaukee enters as the “hungrier” team in my estimation, most recently falling 71-57 to the UIC Flames in Chicago on Tuesday. Bryce Nze was a bright spot with 22 points on 83 percent shooting. 

I’ll also point though that Cleveland State is just 2-8 ATS on the road this year, while Milwaukee is already 5-3 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less.

This is a revenge game for the Panthers as well, as they’d fall 62-53 on New Year’s day to the Vikings. 

I’m backing the home side in this one.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Youngstown State (8:00 EST).

While I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the “hungry” Penguins can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

Youngstown State has lost five of six including a 16 point setback at Detroit last time out. 

Green Bay though seems poised for a bit of a mental letdown in my estimation as it gets set to face the lowly Penguins, the Phoenix are 5-1 in conference play, tied with Valpo for top spot in the Horizon League.

Green Bay comes in off a humbling 80-56 loss to Valparaiso last time out though, losing the rebound battle 51-39. 

I’ll point out that Youngstown State has done well in this spot for bettors all year, going 2-1 ATS as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range and 2-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Green Bay has struggled in this position by going 0-2 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less and 0-1 ATS as a home fav of 9.5 to 12 points.

Everything points to the visitors comfortably sneaking in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the under Bucks/Magic (7:05 EST).

The 20-21 Milwaukee Bucks are in Orlando to take on the 17-27 Magic and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done.

These are a couple of struggling teams that are eager to get back on track and stay relevant in the playoff picture. 

The Bucks have lost three straight, most recently a 111-92 setback at Houston on Wednesday. The Magic can empathize, as they would go on to drop the last three on a six-game road trip, including a 118-98 loss in New Orleans on Wednesday. 

Milwaukee has won four of the last five in this series, including both games this year. The latest was a 104-96 win in Orlando back on November 27th. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score once it’s all said and done tonight as well.

The Bucks are ranked 17th in the league with an average of 104.8 PPG and ranked 11th in scoring defense in conceding 103.8.

The Magic are ranked 25th in the NBA in scoring at 99.7 PPG and 17th in scoring defense in conceding 104.9. 

I’ll point out that Milwaukee has already seen the total go under the number in both games that it’s played this year following a three game losing streak, while Orlando has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of 13 this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent.

This number is just a bit high in my opinion, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Oakland (7:00 EST).

The 14-5 Oakland Golden Grizzlies are at Northern Kentucky to take on the 12-7 Norse and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Golden Grizzlies are just one spot back of first-place Valaparaiso in the Horizon League, but come into this one having dropped two straight. 

The Norse have also dropped two in a row and sit two games behind the conference leader. 

If recent history is any precedence though, then the visitors have to be loving their chances to get back on track today as when these teams met at Oakland earlier in the season, the Golden Grizzlies pulled away for the convincing 76-65 victory.

Oakland averages 80 PPG and hits 32.1 percent from behind the arc. Note that the Grizzlies are already 4-1 in true road games this year.

The Norse are lea by Drew McDonald, who has eight double-doubles this season. So far Northern Kentucky is just 3-3 in league action though. 

I’ll point out that Oakland is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Northern Kentucky is is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight as a home underdog.

If the Golden Grizzlies had come into this game on a big win streak, then I’d likely be playing the Norse tonight instead. But I think the revenge factor gets thrown out the window today because Oakland does in fact come in focused and motivated after the two-game slide. The Grizzlies domianted the first game of the year and I think nothing will change tonight. Play on Oakland.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on USC (9:00 EST).

The 16-2 Arizona Wildcats are at USC to take on the 16-3 Trojans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I think Arizona is complacent after winning ten straight, most recently crushing rival Arizona State 91-75. USC enters off a quality 71-68 road win over Coloardo. 

These teams split last years series, each winning on its home floor.

The Wildcats average 75.2 PPG and concede 61.6. Lauri Markkanen leads the way with 16.7 PPG.

USC averages 78.6 PPG and concedes 70.7. Chimezie Metu leads the nightly charge with an average of 14.1 PPG. 

I’ll point out that Arizona is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing with five or six days rest and only 2-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while USC is 6-4 ATS at home this season and 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing the role of underdog.

I think USC is the “hungrier” team today as all three of its losses have come against the PAC 12. 

While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the home side to catch the Wildcats a little flat footed. Play on the Trojans.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Clemson (9:00 EST).

The 11-6 Clemson Tigers are at Louisville to take on the 15-3 Cardinals and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Tigers are used to seeing ranked teams as this marks the fourth such opponent in their last five games. Note that Clemson beat a top-20 Louisville team in Greenville last season. 

According to the KenPom national rating, Clemson has so far faced the nation’s sixth-toughest schedule. 

One player to keep your eyes on for Clemson is Jaron Blossomgame, who enters the contest with four straight 20-point games. 

Louisville looks primed for a letdown here after its big 78-69 win over Duke on Saturday. Center Anas Mahmoud set career-highs with 17 points and 11 rebounds for his first career double-double. 

Note that the Tigers are 3-1 ATS in their last four after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while Louisville is just 2-3 ATS against the conference thus far.

Clemson matches up well against Louisville. The Cardinals are the better team, but success does breed complacency. While I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright SU upset, I do definitely feel that the visitors can keep this one more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on Clemson.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the under Nuggets/Spurs (8:35 EST).

The time has come for my NBA “PLAY OF THE YEAR.” 

So far the Nuggets have seen the Over/Under go 29-10-1 this season, while the Spurs have seen it go 25-16. 

Denver comes into this one having seen the total go over the number in eight straight games, while San Antonio has seen the total sail above the posted number in four straight.

When these teams met on January 5th, San Antonio won 127-99, the total sailing well above the posted number. 

In fact, the total has eclipsed the number in six of these team’s last eight in the series.

I now finally think though that the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned.

The Nuggets are just 17-23 SU on the year and come into this one clearly over-achieving after notching their third straight victory in Tuesday’s 127-121 road win over the Lakers. 

I also feel that San Antonio comes in a bit complacent, it most recently won for the fifth time in seven games by besting the Wolves 122-114 on Tuesday. The Spurs have had their way with the Nuggets over the last few years, taking 11 of the last 12 meetings. If ever they were to take an opponent for granted, it’s Denver.

Hammering the Lakers is one thing, but clearly it’s quite another to dominate the Spurs on their home floor. Denver beat LA despite 17 turnovers. Also note that the Spurs own the second ranked defense in the league, conceding just 98.4 PPG. 

I’ll point out that Denver has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last 12 as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while San Antonio has seen the total stay below the number in 15 of its last 22 games when the total is greater than or equal to 210.

For all of the reasons listed above, I do indeed think this number is a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Iowa (7:00 EST).

The 16-2 Maryland Terrapins are in Iowa to take on the 11-8 Hawkeyes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Maryland is now ranked No. 25 and comes in on the back of a three-game win streak. Most recently the Terps came back to beat Illinois 62-56 on the road. 

Smells like a letdown spot to me.

Iowa enters as the “hungrier” side in my opinion, it’s just 3-3 in Big Ten play after falling at Northwestern, 89-54. 

Note that the Hawkeyes play with revenge after dropping the lone contest between the teams last year, 74-68 at home.

Maryland averages 75.2 PPG and concedes 65.1. Melo Trimble leads the nightly charge with 17.2 PPG.

Iowa averages 81.5 PPG and concedes 78. Peter Jok paces the team with 21.9 PPG.

I’ll point out that Maryland is just 2-3 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Iowa is already 5-3 ATS at home thus far.

After upsetting Purdue at home, Iowa just suffered perhaps its worst conference loss of all time. It’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side today, play on the Hawkeyes.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Colorado (11:00 EST).

Washington has struggled this season, going just 8-9 overall, including only 1-4 in conference play. Colorado is only slightly better at 10-9 overall, but the Buffs are 0-5 in conference action. 

In a contest between two teams desperate for a victory, I’m going to grab the points.

Colorado almost scored a huge upset over No. 25 USC last time out, eventually succumbing 71-68. George King led the way with 16 points, nine boards, two assists and a steal. 

The Huskies come in of a 76-69 loss to Stanford. Markelle Fultz was a bright spot with 34 points, seven boards, three assists, two steals and two blocks. 

These teams are very evenly matched, but note that Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last five after five straight SU losses, while Washington is just 4-6 ATS at home this year and only 1-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

Grab as many points as you can, play on Colorado.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Virginia (8:00 EST).

The 13-3 Virginia Cavaliers are in Boston College to take on the 9-9 Eagles and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Cavs have won two straight, after two straight setbacks. Most recently Virginia beat Clemson 77-73 on Saturday to improve to 3-2 in the ACC.

The Eagles are coming off a listless 76-53 setback at Syracuse on Saturday and I think they’ll once again have their hands full today with the Nation’s No. 16 team. 

Virginia got 25 points from guard London Perrantes in the victory over the Tigers, he leads the team with an average of 12.1 PPG and 4.1 assists. The Cavs get the job done with suffocating defensive play, leading the nation in conceding just 53.4 points per contest.

Boston College would turn the all over 20 times and shot just 39.6 percent from the floor in the loss to the Orange. Jerome Robinson remains a bright spot this season in averaging 20.2 points, 4.6 boards and 3.2 assists per game. 

I’ll point out that Virginia is 8-5 ATS as a favorite this year and 4-1 ATS on the road, while BC is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 60 points or less.

I think the loss to Syracuse is a clear sign of things to come for the Eagles. Look for the visitors to control the pace from the opening tip and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. 

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Charlotte Hornets (7:00 EST).

The 18-25 Portland Trailblazers are in Charlotte to take on the 20-21 Hornets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Both teams come in struggling. Portland has dropped two straight on the road, most recently a 108-98 setback to Washington, while Charlotte comes in even more desperate after losing five in a row. 

The Blazers average 107.9 PPG, but they’re horrible on the defensive end, conceding 110.7 per night. 

The Hornets average 105 PPG and concede 104. Kemba Walker remains a bright spot for Charlotte, averaging 23 points, while dishing out 5.4 assists. 

I’ll point out that Portland has struggled in this spot all year for bettors, going just 7-13 ATS when playing the role of underdog and only 6-8 ATS in non-conference games, while Charlotte has excelled by going 12-9 ATS at home this year and 8-6 ATS in non-conference contests.

I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Charlotte.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Memphis Grizzlies (7:00 EST).

The 25-18 Memphis Grizzlies are in Washington to take on the 21-19 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Memphis is the “hungrier” team in my opinion, it comes in having lost two of its last three, most recently a 108-104 home loss to Chicago on Sunday. 

Conversely, I think the Wizards come in a bit complacent, as they’ve won five of their last six, most recently a 120-101 win over the Blazers at home on Monday. 

But if recent history is any precedence, then the Grizzlies have to be loving their chances today as when they faced Washington back on October 30th, they’d pull away for the 112-103 victory at home.

The Grizzlies average just 99.6 PPG, but are third overall on the defensive end in conceding just 99.1. Marc Gasol leads the nightly charge with 19.4 points and six boards per contest. 

The Wizards average 105.8 PPG and concede 105.7. Guard John Wall leads the team with an average of 22.9 points, 10.1 assists and 2.24 steals per contest. 

I’ll point out though that Memphis is already 12-9 ATS this year against clubs with winning records and 9-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Washington is just 2-3 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and just 2-3 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.

While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the gritty visitors to take this one down to the wire. Play on Memphis.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Toronto Raptors (7:00 EST).

The 27-13 Toronto Raptors are in Philadelphia to take on the 13-26 76ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

I played against the Raptors last night, and Brooklyn would manage a slim 1-point cover with the large 11-point spread it was afforded. Suffice it to say, i think Toronto bounces back with a much bigger effort this evening. 

These teams have already played twice and the Raptors have won both easily, winning 122-95 in the first meeting, before a 123-114 win in Philadelphia last month. 

Toronto has now won three straight and averages 111.3 PPG, while conceding 104.6. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 30.5 PPG this month and is now fifth in the league in scoring at 28.1 PPG.

Philadelphia is playing its best basketball of the season, but I still don’t think it will be enough. Despite winning four of their last five, the 76ers still average just 99.5 PPG, while allowing 105.3

I’ll point out that Toronto is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 in the second game of the back-to-back scenario, while Philadelphia is a poor 9-20 in its last 29 divisional contests.

Toronto has kicked it up a notch of late, averaging over 120 PPG over its last five. This is a matchup which the 76ers have struggled with and I don’t see anything changing tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Notre Dame (7:00 EST).

The 16-2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are at 16-2 Florida State on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

After winning 12 straight, FSU got spanked 96-83 at North Carolina on Saturday. Notre Dame has won seven straight, including a gritty 76-71 road win over Virginia Tech on Saturday to improve to 5-0 in the ACC. 

Steve Vasturia had 20 points on 8 of 14 shooting in the victory over the Hokies for the Fighting Irish. Bonzie Colson though leads the team with an average of 15.8 points, 10.9 boards and 1.4 blocks. 

Florida State shot just 12 of 26 from the foul line against the Tar Heels. Dwayne Bacon leads the charge with 17.8 PPG.

I’ll point out that Notre Dame is already 4-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival this year, while FSU is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 versus good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.

I think the Irish present similar matchup issues for the Seminoles today as what UNC did last time out. While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Notre Dame.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* BIG-TEN SIDE OF THE WEEK is on Michigan (9:00 EST).

The 12-6 Michigan Wolverines are in Wisconsin tonight to take on the 14-3 Badgers and while I’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, I do definitely expect the “hungrier” visiting side to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

Michigan enters off a 91-85 home win over Nebraska on Saturday, while Wisconsin made quick work of Ohio State in its latest 89-66 win last week. 

Note that this is a revenge game for the Wolverines after the Badgers took the lone meeting 68-57 last year. 

Michigan averages 75.3 PPG and concedes 66.2. The Wolverines are paced by Zak Irvin, who averages 14.4 PPG and who had 21 points, including going 7 of 7 from the charity stripe in the victory over the Huskers.

The Badgers average 76.8 PPG and concede 60.2. Bronson Koenig had 21 points in the team’s win over the Buckeyes.

I’ll point out though that Michigan is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while Wisconsin is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a win against a conference rival.

These team’s offensive and defensive averages are very similar. Michigan has struggled on the road this year, but I think it can catch the Badgers a bit complacent this evening. I’m grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Brooklyn Nets (7:35 EST).

The 27-13 Toronto Raptors are in Brooklyn to take on the 8-32 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Clearly the Raptors are the better team, but I think they’ll come in a bit complacent in facing the lowly Nets and look for the home side to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Toronto most recently hammered the Knicks 116-101 at home on Sunday, while Brooklyn lost its tenth straight in a 137-112 home loss to the Rockets. 

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as Toronto has won six straight in the series, including both meetings this year. 

So far Toronto is third in the league in scoring with an average of 111.3 PPG, while ranked 15th on the defensive end in conceding 104.6

The Nets are ranked 14th overall in scoring in posting 105.3 PPG, but are last on the defensive end in conceding 114.9 PPG thus far.

I’ll point out that Toronto is just 23-30 ATS in its last 53 after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a home dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range.

Because of all the reasons listed aboved, I think this is a few too many points to be giving up today. Play on the Nets.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (8:00 EST).

The 29-10 Cleveland Cavaliers are at Golden State to take on the 34-6 Warriors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Warriors have now lost four straight to the Cavs going back to the Finals when they blew a 3-1 lead. 

Cleveland won 109-108 at home on Christmas day and I think all signs point to another nail-biter tonight as well.

The Cavs snapped a mini two-game slide with a 120-108 OT win in Sacramento on Friday. Newly acquired sharp-shooter Kyle Korver had 18 points off the bench, including 4 of six from range. LeBron James had 16 points and 15 assists. 

So far Cleveland posts 109.4 PPG, which ranks fourth. The Cavs concede 103.5, which is 11th. 

The Warriors have won three in a row and average 117.5 PPG, ranked No. 1. The team doesn’t need to be the best on the defensive end, and it isn’t, conceding 105.4 PPG, ranked 21st. 

I’ll point out though that Cleveland is 4-1-1- ATS in its last six when playing on two days rest and 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 following a SU win of more than ten points, while Golden State is just 1-5 ATS in its last six at home and only 1-7 ATS following a SU victory.

There’s something about this rivalry that brings out the best in LeBron James. While I won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset, I think the visitors will at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Play on Cleveland.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on DePaul (4:30 EST).

The 8-10 DePaul Blue Demons are at Saint John’s to take on the 8-11 Red Storm and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

Both teams have been struggling this year, with DePaul just 1-4 in league action, while St. John’s is just 2-4. 

Overall the Red Storm have lost four in a row, while the Blue Demons have dropped five of their last six. 

Note though that this is a definite revenge game for the Blue Demons, who dropped the first game between the teams on January 1st, 79-73. 

Keep your eyes on DePaul’s Billy Garrett Jr. who is averaging 14.9 PPG and Eli Cain, who leads the way with 16.4 per contest. 

The Red Storm opened league play with wins over Butler and DePaul, but have since dropped four in a row. Shamorie Ponds has been a bright spot in averaging 15.7 PPG this season. 

Ill point out that DePaul is already 2-0 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and 3-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while St. John’s is just 4-5 ATS when playing the role of favorite and only 1-2 ATS when playing with one or less days rest.

The first game was decided by a six point margin and I think all signs point to an even closer affair this time around. Play on DePaul.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Xavier (2:00 EST).

The 17-1 Creighton Bluejays are at Xavier to take on the 13-4 Musketeers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Xavier will be the “hungrier” team today after back-to-back road losses against top ranked opponents in Villanova and Butler. Xavier allows 68.2 PPG and averages 76.6 of its own. Keep your eyes on Trevon Blulett, who leads the team with 16.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. 

While the Musketeers are just 3-2 in Big East action, they come into this one a perfect 9-0 at home this year. 

Creighton has won four straight and averages 86.8 PPG, while allowing 71.5. Marcus Foster leads the way with an average of 18.2 PPG. So far the Blue Jays are a perfect 4-0 in Big East play and 4-1 overall on the road. 

Can anyone say “classic letdown spot?!”

The home team has covered the spread in eight of the last 11 in this series and I think that strong trend continues here. Off two straight losses, I simply can’t see Xavier having another letdown tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (9:05 EST).

Analysis posted at least 3 hours before game time.

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Ohio State (1:30 EST).

The 12-6 Michigan State Spartans are at Ohio State to take on the 10-7 Buckeyes and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the home side. 

Michigan State is 4-1 in Big Ten conference action after a satisfying 65-47 wint at home over Minnesota, while the Buckeyes come into this one desperate after opening league play at 0-4, most recently an 89-66 setback at Wisconsin on Thursday. 

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as MSU took all three games against OSU last year.

The Spartans’ defense looked pretty good against the Gophers, but the offense left something to be desired, going just 42.6 percent from the floor and 5 of 14 from beyond the arc. MSU averages 72.3 PPG and concedes 66.7 thus far.

JaQuan Lyle was a bright spot for Ohio State in the loss to the Badgers, finishing with 13 points on 5 of 9 shooting. So far OSU averages 73.8 PPG and allows 66.9.

I’ll point out that MSU is already just 1-3 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Ohio State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 80 points or more and 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more consecutive SU losses. 

I think the desperation level in which the home side plays with today turns out to be the difference. Play on the Buckeyes.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Ole Miss (6:30 EST).

The 10-6 Ole Miss Runnin’ Rebels are in South Carolina to take on the 13-3 Game Cocks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

Mississippi is desperate for a win today after staring out 1-3 in the SEC. Conversely, it’s not too hard to imagine South Carolina coming out a bit flat-footed and content tonight after opening with a 3-0 conference record. 

Most recently Ole Miss fell 69-47 at home to Georgia, while South Carolina comes in off a satisfying 70-60 road win over Tennessee. 

The Runnin’ Rebels are now leaning on Terence Davis to shoulder the load after losing guard DeAndre Burnett to injury last time out.

Sindarius Thornwell had 22 points, five boards, four steals and four assists in the Gamecocks’ win over the Vols on Wednesday. It wasn’t all sunshine and roses though, as note that South Carolina would go on to commit 21 turnovers in the victory.

I’ll point out that Ole Miss is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Memphis is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as a home fav of 11 points or more.

I think the desperation level in which Ole Miss plays with today will in the end keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the under Spurs/Suns (6:05 EST).

The 31-8 San Antonio Spurs are in Phoenix to take on the 12-27 Suns and for a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle. 

Phoenix is eager to break a two game slide and will look to score an upset today against San Antonio at Mexico City Arena tonight. 

The Spurs bounced back from a home loss to beat the Lakers 134-94 on Thursday.

These teams have played twice already this year, with the Spurs winning 107-92 in Phoenix on December 15th and then again at home in a 119-98 victory. 

Phoenix likes to get out and push the pace, but the Suns have been unable to do that against the Spurs’ clamp down defense. Note that the Suns rank third in the league in possessions per 48 minutes at more than 102, but they’d not even reach 100 in either outing against San Antonio.

We can expect a similar game plan from the Spurs tonight as well obviously as they look to combat the altitude, as the arena is 7,350 feet above sea level.

I’ll point out that San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 25 after plaing three consecutive home games, while Phoenix has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three as an underdog.

For all of the reasons listed above, I think this one ends in a lower-scoring under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Illinois (6:00 EST).

The 15-2 Maryland Terrapins are in Illinois to take on the 12-5 Fighting Illini and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

It’s revenge time for the Illinis after falling 84-59 to Maryland on December 27th at College Park. Illinois shot just 35.6 percent from the floor.

Since then though the Fighting Illini have gone 2-1, beating Ohio State and Michigan, but losing to Indiana. Maryland enters this one off a close 75-72 win over Indiana on Tuesday and suffice it to say, I think it’s poised for a letdown tonight.

Melo Trimble leads the Terps with an average of 17.5 PPG. Maryland averages 76 PPG and allows 65.6.

I think the Illini carry over the momentum from their last game, destroying Michigan by shooting 64.2 percent from the floor, including 9 of 14 from range. Malcolm Hill has been the most consistent player in averaging 18.6 points and 6.1 boards per game.

Illinois averages 78.6 PPG and concedes 72.5.

I’ll point out that Maryland is just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival, while Illinois is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 after scoring 80 points or moe.

Illinois is a different team at home, something it proved to Michigan last time out. I think the home side comes in focused and avenges the earlier loss to the Terps. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on South Florida (6:00 EST).

The 6-9 USF Bulls are at Memphis to take on the 12-5 Tigers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

South Florida is the “hungrier” team here in my estimation as it comes in having gone 0-4 to open AAC play. Last time out USF lost to Tulane at home 82-67. 

Memphis enters off an 81-71 loss at Tulsa on Wednesday to snap a three-game win streak. Momentum is a difficult thing to gain and once lost, it’s even harder to get back. Suffice it to say, i think this does indeed set up as a natural letdown spot for the Tigers.

These teams split a pair of games last year, each winning on its home floor. 

The Bulls are led by Geno Thorpe, who had 16 points in the setback to the Green Wave. So far USF averages 67.1 PPG.

The Tigers average 79.8 PPG and concede 70.6. Memphis is paced by Dedric Lawson, who had 26 points and six boards in the loss to Tulsa.

I’ll point out though that USF is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 15.5 to 18 points range, while Memphis is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 as a home fav in the 15.5 to 18 points range. 

Am I going to suggest “sprinkling a little on the money line?” Of course not.

I simply feel that the Bulls determination in this spot will keep it a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on South Florida.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (10:30 EST).

The 28-10 Cleveland Cavaliers are in Sacramento to take on the 16-22 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

It’s going to be all hands on deck for the Cavs tonight as they look to snap a two-game slide. The Kings enter off a win which snapped a three-game skid by beating Detroit on Tuesday.

After wins over the Nets and Suns, the Cavs lost 100-92 at Utah on Tuesday and then 102-86 at Portland on Wednesday. LeBron James had just 20 points and Kyrie Irving had just 11. Is it time to hit the “panic button” if you’re a Cleveland fan?

Of course not. These types of games/stretches happen to even the best of them. For championship teams like the Cavs, it serves as a “wake up call.” 

DeMarcus Cousins had 24 points, 13 boards and six assists in his teams 100-94 victory over the Pistons. Note though in the three previous losses, he averaged just 18.3 PPG on 17-of-45 shooting. 

I’m expecting James to lead the drive tonight. Cleveland is too deep and talented and a three-game losing streak would clearly not be acceptable. I’m expecting a rout, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Ivy League SIDE OF THE MONTH is on Yale (8:00 EST).

The 8-5 Yale Bulldogs are in Pennsylvania to take on the 6-6 Quakers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

This is a big game for Yale, as it’s its first Ivy League contest of the year and the first of three straight road contests to commence league play. Pennsylvania enters off a 61-52 setback at Princenton in its conference opener. 

Yale though has won six of seven, most recently annihilating D-III Mitchell College 102-46. And if recent history is any precedence, then the visitors have to be loving their chances today as they’ve taken eight straight in this series. So far the Bulldogs average 76.4 PPG and concede just 68. Six players average over nine points, led by Alex Copeland with 13.3. The team also averages 17.8 assists per game, which ranks it 15th in the nation.

The Quackers had won three straight before losing to a shorthanded Princeton team. AJ Brodeur is a bright spot on the team in averaging 14.8 points and 6.6 boards per contest. Penn averages just 66.9 PPG, but makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing only 65.6.

I’ll point out though that the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 50 points or less in their previous outing and 9-3-1 ATS against the conference, while Pennsylvania is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games and only 1-4 ATS against the conference.

Yale has won eight straight in this series by an average of 15.1 PPG and all signs point to similar final outcome here as I simply can’t see the offensively challenged Quakers keeping pacing down the stretch. Play on the Bulldogs.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Golden State Warriors (10:35 EST).

The 18-22 Detroit Pistons are at Golden State to take on the 33-6 Warriors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Detroit comes in off a 110-94 loss to the Sacramento Kings. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had 21 points. The Pistsons would go on to allow the Kings to shoot 13 of 24 from behind the arc. Reggie Jackson leads the team with 16.9 points. 

So far on the season Detroit ranks 24th in the NBA in scoring at 100.1 PPG, while ranked fourth on the defensive end in conceding 100.3.

Kevin Durant had 28 points and eight boards in a home win over Miami last time out. Guard Klay Thompson was given the night off in that one. The Warriors shot 45.3 percent from the floor and are now 17-3 in front of the home town crowd this season. 

Note that Golden State leads the league in scoring at 117.3 PPG. 

I’ll point out that Detroit is just 8-11 ATS as an underdog this year and just 8-13 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 12-8 ATS this year following a win by ten points or more.

The Warriors have gone 5-1 SU in their last six, but are 0-6 ATS in that span. I think that trend finally gets broken today as I simply can’t see the offensively challenged and now road weary Pistons matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on Wiconsin Green Bay (8:00 EST).

The 11-6 Wright State Raiders are at Wisconsin Green Bay to take on the 10-6 Phoenix and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Phoenix are 4-0 in league play, while the Raiders are 2-2.

Wright State enters off an 80-75 loss to Youngstown State. In three of four league games, the Raiders have conceded at least 72 points (and at least 80 in two of those). 

On the year the Raiders have four players that have averaged at least 7.6 PPG. Note that Wright State averages 74.5 PPG, while it concedes 69.8.

The Phoenix like to push the pace from start to finish and so far not many have been able to keep up to them. Note that Wisconsin Green Bay has posted 81.5 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Seven players average at least 7.6 PPG, led by Charles Cooper at 13.9 PPG. 

I’ll point out that Wright State is just 1-3 ATS against the conference this season and only 1-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while Wisconsin Green Bay is 3-1 ATS this year when playing with one days rest and 2-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival.

Wright State’s defense isn’t very good and I have a hard time seeing the visitors slowing down the surging Phoenix. Lay the points as I expect the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Knicks (7:05 EST). 

The 17-21 New York Knicks are in Philadelphia to take on the 10-25 76ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Knicks are the “hungrier” team in my estimation. The Knicks have lost two in a row and eight of their last nine after falling 110-96 at home to New Orleans on Monday. 

Conversely, this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the suddenly surging 76ers who have won three of their last four, most recently a 105-95 victory in Brooklyn on Sunday. 

If recent history is any precedence though, then the Knicks have to be loving their chances to get untracked as they’ve taken five straight and nine of the last ten in the series. 

New York averages 105.5 PPG and is actually tied for third in the league in rebounding with 45.7 boards per contest. Where the Knicks lack on most nights is on the defensive end of the floor in allowing 108.9 PPG. Carmello Anthony leads the way with 21.9 points and 6.1 boards per game.

Philadelphia is 26th in the league in scoring with an average of just 99.2 PPG. It’s 20th in rebounding and ranked 21st on the defensive end in conceding 105.9 PPG. Joel Embiid leads the way for the 76ers with 19.4 points, plus 7.3 boards per game.

I’ll point out that New York is 9-4 ATS as a favorite this year and 3-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Philadelphia is just 5-6 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and only 1-4 ATS after a divisional contest.

I think desperation breeds motivation and success leads to complacency. Play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Tulane (7:00 EST).

The 3-12 Tulane Green Wave are in South Florida to take on the 6-8 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Both teams are struggling. Tulane enters off an 80-59 setback to Memphis, while USF comes in off an 84-65 road loss to SMU.

Whenever these teams meet, it’s been a battle as last year saw them split the two-game series.

The Green Wave are led by Cameron Reynolds, who averages 15.5 points and 6.2 boards per game. 

South Florida lost leading scorer Jahmal McMurray to a transfer after three games played and head coach Orlando Antigua was fired last week. 

I’ll point out that Tulane is 3-2 ATS in its last five after allowing 80 points or more, while South Florida is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after allowing 80 points or more.

I think Tulane is going to have its chances today as these teams do in fact match up pretty evenly on the offensive end. USF is dealing with adversity off the court and I think is ripe for the picking. That said, grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Tennessee (6:30 EST).

The 12-3 South Carolina Gamecocks are in Tennessee to take on the 8-7 Volunteers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Vols are anxious to break a two-game slide and take advantage of what could potentially be a contented Game Cocks team which comes in having won two straight. 

South Carolina is led by guard Sindarius Thornwell, who averages 18.4 points, 7.2 boards, 3.6 assists and 2.4 steals per game. 

Tennessee will have its hands full today against the Gamecock’s smothering defense, but note that South Carolina has struggled in this spot mightily for bettors, going just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five following a victory and just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS win.

Conversely, this is a position in wihch the Volunteers have excelled, going 5-3 ATS this year after teams with winning records and 5-2 ATS when playing the role of underdog. 

I think Tennessee’s up-tempo offense will do just enough to secure the victory today. Play on the Vols.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on George Washington (6:00 EST).

The 9-7 George Washington Colonials are at VCU to take on the 13-3 Rams and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

I think the Rams come in a bit complacent after winning seven straight. Conversely, the Colonials will be the more desperate side after dropping three of their last four.

Most recently George Washington would cut a 23-point second-half deficit to just four, ultimately falling to Richmond 77-70 on Sunday though. Tyler Cavanaugh was a standout with a game-high 22 points. 

VCU is coming off an 81-64 win over Massachusetts, winning the rebounding battle 45 to 32: “We’ve got to keep playing the way we’re playing,” new head coach Will Wade explained. “It’s nothing sexy. It’s nothing out of the ordinary. But it’s tried and true, good basketball. We’re a mid-tempo team. We push it in transition. If we don’t have anything, we pull it out and get that thing in the paint, either off the bounce or off a post feed. We guard and we crash the glass. We’re nothing special. We’ve got to understand why we’re having success.”

I’ll point out though that George Washington is 3-1 ATS on the road this year, while VCU is just 2-3 ATS at home and just 5-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite.

While I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do think that the Rams’ recent success will lead to a bit of complacency and that the hungry Colonials will keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on SDSU (11:00 EST).

The 8-6 San Jose State Spartans are at San Diego State to take on the 8-7 Aztecs on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

SDSU is struggling through its worst start to a season in a very long time and will be desperate to score a conference victory, so far 0-3 in Mountain West action. 

Conversely, this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the Spartans in my estimation after they notched their first conference win in a 69-62 effort over Fresno State on Saturday. 

SJSU only had 25 rebounds total in its last game and still somehow managed to beat the Bulldogs. 

SDSU’s 0-3 conference record draws some concern, but note that it did come against three of the best in New Mexico, Nevada and Boise State. 

I’ll point out though that San Jose State is 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU victory and just 3-7 ATS in its last ten against the conference, while SDSU is 13-4-2 ATS in its last 19 following an ATS loss. 

I’m banking on the “hungrier” team finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Brooklyn Nets (7:35 EST).

The 21-16 Atlanta Hawks are in Brooklyn to take on the 8-28 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Hawks are poised for a bit of a mental letdown in my opinion after winning six straight, most recently a 97-82 victory in Dallas on Saturday. 

Conversely, the lowly Nets will be desperate to break a six-game slide, most recently falling 105-95 at home to the 76ers. 

Brooklyn plays with revenge of course, as it’s lost seven of the last eight in the series, but note that the last time the teams met in New York, the Nets escaped with the 90-88 win on November 17th, 2015. 

Clearly the Hawks are the better team overall. While just 20th in scoring offense at 102.3 PPG, Atlanta makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing just 102.8. Brooklyn is 15th in league scoring at 105.4 PPG, but last on the defensive end in allowing 114 per contest.

I simply feel however that this sets up as a natural letdown/lookahead/trap game for the visitors, who conclude a four game road trip after posting three straight wins, before enjoying three whole nights off and their first game back at home. 

Brooklyn’s level of desperation will at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the over Mavericks/Timberwolves (8:05 EST).

The 11-26 Dallas Mavericks are in Minnesota to take on the 11-26 Timberwolves and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it. 

Dallas enters off a second straight loss, this time a listless 97-82 setback at home to the Hawks on Saturday.

Minnesota comes in off its fourth loss in a row, this time a close 94-92 setback to Utah on Saturday. 

The Wolves will be looking to get off the schneid and to say they play with “revenge” would be a bit of an understatement as the Mavs have taken seven straight in the series. 

So far Dallas is last in the league in scoring with an average of 95.2 PPG, while ranked fifth on defense, conceding 100.6. Harrison Barnes is the leader with 20.6 points plus 5.5 boards per night. Note that the Mavericks are tied for seventh in the league for threes made with 10.4 per game. 

Zach LaVine was a standout for the Wolves in the loss to Utah, finishing with 24 points, nine boards and four assists. So far the Wolves average 103.1 PPG, ranked 19th, while conceding 104.9, ranked 17th. 

I’ll point out that Dallas has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 20 after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota has seen the total fly above the posted number in 40 of its last 68 after playing to three or more consecutive losses. 

A couple of cellar dwellers desperate for a win in this one. I don’t expect to see much offense played as each pushes from start to finish, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Georgetown (6:30 EST).

The 8-9 St. John’s Red Storm are in Georgetown to take on the 8-8 Hoyas and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the desperate home side.

The Hoyas are off to an 0-4 start in the Big East and will be particularly anxious to get back on the court and take out their frustrations on someone after falling 85-76 to Butler in OT at home on Saturday. 

The Red Storm are ripe for the picking, they’ve lost two straight, most recently falling 97-82 to Xavier on Saturday. Marcus LoVett was a bright spot with 32 points on 10 of 14 shooting. St. John’s though was sloppy, turning the ball over 16 times and shooting just 40.6 percent from the floor. The Red Storm average 78.4 PPG and concede 73.9. 

Georgetown is led by Rodney Pryor with an average of 18.6 PPG. He was 0 for 8 from the field in the loss to Butler though. So far the Hoyas average 77.4 PPG and allow 72.4.

I’ll point out though that the Red Storm are already just 1-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Georgetown is 4-2 ATS in its last six after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The Hoyas domianted St. John’s in two games last year and after the recent shoddy play, I expect them to duplicate those performances with another rout in this one. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on USC (10:00 EST).

The 10-5 California Golden Bears are at USC to take on the 15-1 Trojans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Cal has lost three of four, most recently coming off an 81-71 setback at UCLA on Thursday. 7-2, 260 lb. center Kameron Rooks is questionable for this one. 

After losing their first game of the year at Oregon on December 30th, the Trojans would easily bounce back in a 72-56 destruction of Stanford at home on Thursday. 

Cal struggled from the field in the loss to UCLA, shooting just 39.1 percent, while also going only 10 of 18 from the foul line and turning it over 13 times. The Golden Bears average 70.9 PPG and concede 61.7. 

The Trojans average 80.3 PPG and concede just 69.7 USC would go on to hold the Cardinal to just 36.5 percent fro the field and 4 of 15 from the 3-point line.

I’ll point out that Cal is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss, while USC is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. 

USC is 25-2 in its last 27 at home and I think it’s high-powered offense will prove to be just too much for Cal tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Sacramento Kings (9:00 EST).

The 31-6 Golden State Warriors are in Sacramento to take on the 15-21 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Warriors look vulnerable in this spot in my estimation after having their four game win streak snapped in a brutal 128-119 OT loss to Memphis on Friday. 

The Kings on the other hand will be risking life and limb today as they try to break a four-game slide, most recently a 106-98 setback at home to the Clippers on Friday. 

And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as Golden State has taken 12 straight in the series.

The Warriors own the No. 1 offense in the league, but clearly the team has major issues on the defensive end. 

The slumping Kings will look to reverse their fortunes and take advantage. Sacramento averages 102.2 PPG and is middle of the pack on the defensive end, allowing 104.6, ranked 16th (the Warriors are ranked 20th). 

I’ll point out that Golden State is in fact 0-4 ATS in its last four against teams with a losing straight up record, while Sacramento is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 following a straight up loss.

Sacramento has Rudy Gay back in the line-up, which is a good boost for a team in need of postive momentum. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think the Kings can take advantage of this still reeling Warriors team and keep it competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Colorado (9:30 EST).

The 10-5 Colorado Buffaloes are in Arizona to take on the 14-2 Wildcats and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

I think Colorado is the “hungrier” team tonight, it’s lost two straight after falling 78-77 at Arizona State on Thursday. Arizona on the other hands looks poised for a bit of a letdown here after eight straight victories, most recently a 66-56 win at home over Utah.

Note that the Buffs play with revenge today as the Wildcats have won eight of the last ten meetings. That said, the teams did split a pair of meetings last year. In fact, the last matchup was a nail-biter, but Arizona would end up holding on for the 82-78 victory in the Pac-12 Tournament on March 10th, 2016. 

Colorado enters averaging 74.3 PPG, while conceding 68.1. Keep your eyes on White, who leads the team with 16.3 points, plus 4.1 assists per game. 

Arizona enters averaging 73.8 PPG, while conceding 60.1. Lauri Markkanen leads the way with 15.5 points and 7.2 boards per contest. 

I’ll point out that Colorado is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog of 12 points or more, while Arizona is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing on one or less days rest.

I think Arizona comes in a bit complacent here and the determined Buffaloes keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the under Hornets/Spurs (8:35 EST).

The 20-17 Charlotte Hornets are in San Antonio to take on the 29-7 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one also sets up as a defensive affair. 

San Antonio is rolling along, it’s won six of its last seven. Charlotte comes into this one having dropped three of its last four, including a tough one-point loss to Detroit in its last outing.

Charlotte though will look to score the upset today and still owns the fifth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Kemba Walker has averaged 34.3 points in his last three contests. Clearly the team though will be concentrating on the defensive end after giving up an average of 112 points over its last four games. 

San Antonio has lost just twice since mid December and sits just two games back of the Warriors for the best record in the West. Big man LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 24.3 points and shooting 70.9 percent over his last six. 

I’ll point out that Charlotte has seen the total go under the number in all four games this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while San Antonio has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four againt clubs with winning records. 

I think Charlotte tries to slow this one down. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the under Nuggets/Thunder (8:05 EST).

The 14-22 Denver Nuggets are in Oklahoma City to take on the 21-16 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I’m expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle.

Divisional contests are always the most important ones in sports. The Nuggets will be especially motivated today as they’ve lost four straight, most recently a humbling 127-99 spanking at home by the Spurs on Thursday. 

The Thunder though can empathize, they’d go on to drop all three games of their road trip, most recently a 118-116 setback to the Rockets in Houston on Thursday. 

These two teams battled on November 25th and OKC would prevail 132-129 in OT on the road. 

Denver can score, but isn’ able to defend. The same can pretty much be said about Oklahoma City.

I’ll point out though, this is a spot in which both teams have seen the “under” hit at a considerable rate, as Denver has seen the total dip below the posted number in 20 of its last 32 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while OKC has seen the total go under in 14 of 23 as a favorite this year and three of four against the division.

Both teams are desperate for a win. Everything points to a scrappy war tonight, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the under Knicks/Pacers (7:05 EST).

The 17-19 New York Knicks are in Indiana to take on the 19-18 Pacers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair than a run-and-gun shootout.

The Knicks snapped a six game slide with a 116-111 road win in Milwaukee on Friday night. 

The Pacers enter having won four straight, most recently a 121-109 effort over Brooklyn on Thursday night. 

Carmelo Anthony had 26 points in the win over the Bucks for the Knicks, he leads an offense which is middle of the pack in averaging 105.3 PPG. New York has been poor defensively as well, allowing 108.4 PPG, ranked 25th. 

Indiana is 14-5 at home this year, but also owns a middle of the road offense which averages 105.4 PPG. The Pacers are 22nd in the league in scoring defense, allowing 106.1 PPG. Paul George leads the way with 22.6 points plus 6.3 boards a night. 

I’ll point out though that New York has seen the total go under the number in 73 of its last 120 against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Indiana has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of six already this year after playing to three consecutive “overs.” 

These are two teams which have underperformed and which are desperate for victories. I’m banking on a slower-paced, more methodical contest, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Delaware (7:00 EST).

I think this one favors the home side. 

The Blue Hens are looking to bounce back after getting hammered 90-54 to Northeastern on Thursday, the setback dropped them to 7-9 and 0-3 in the CAA. 

UNC Wilmington comes in complacent after its 18 point win over Drexel on Thursday. The Seahawks are now a comfortable 3-0 in the Colonial Athletic Association. 

UNC Wilmington is now 14-2, with its only two losses coming to MTSU and a 14 point road loss to Clemson. The Seahawks are a good team, but I simply feel this is a bad spot for it.

Delaware on the other hand comes in desperate and will be risking life and limb in front of the home town crowd today. Note that the Blue Hens would in fact outscore the Huskies by four in the second half of their last game and suffice it to say, I think the team carries that postiive momentum and tenacity into this one.

While I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do definitely expect the hungry home side to keep this one competitive. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Indiana (5:00 EST).

The 11-4 Illinois Fighting Illini are in Indiana to take on the 10-5 Hoosiers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

It’ll be all hands on deck for the Hoosiers today, after rising to No. 3 in the Top 25 poll, they’ve now lost three straight and are in danger of falling out of the rankings. 

Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Illini after winning seven of their last eight. 

If recent history is any precedence, then the home side has to be liking its chances today, as it would go on to take both games last year by wide margin, a 103-69 victory at home and a 74-47 effort on the road. 

The Illini may have won seven of eight, but they did lose their conference opener at Maryland 84-59, before then bouncing back with a 75-70 win over Ohio State. 

League play began for Indiana with an 87-83 loss to Nebraska at home before losing by 15 to the ACC’s Louisville, then followed by a five point loss to Wisconsin. But as mentioned above, the Hoosiers won both meetings last year by a combined 61 points. 

I’ll point out that Illinois is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road and just 1-4 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the seven to 12.5 points range, while Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the seven to 12.5 points range and 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS loss. 

Is Indiana as bad as its recent record would indicate? Are the Illini as good as their current win skein would indicate? I think the answer is a resounding “no” to both of those questions.

I like the hungry home side to put the foot on the gas and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Play on the Hoosiers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the under Grizzlies/Warriors (10:35 EST).

The 22-16 Memphis Grizzlies are in Golden State to take on the 31-5 Warriors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will turn into a defensive battle. 

The Warriors are looking for fifth straight win and come off a 125-117 home victory over the Trailblazers on Wednesday. Stephen Curry had 35 points and five assists. Golden State has the No. 1 ranked offense, but will face a stiff test today in the Grizzlies.

The Grizzlies have split their last eight games and will be hungry here to avoid a third straight loss following a listless 115-106 setback to the Clippers on Wednesday. Marc Gasol was a bright spot with 23 points and six assists. 

Memphis gets the job done with tough defensive play, ranking in the Top 5 in the league, so it comes as little surprise to learn that it’s seen the total go under the number in three of four already this year after playing to three or more consecutive “overs” and in ten of 17 against teams with winning records.

And note, despite being the highest-scoring team in the league, the Warriors have seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of 20 this year after three or more consecutive victories and in all five games this season as a home fav in the 12.5 to 15 points range. 

This number is just a little bit high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Ohio (9:00 EST).

The Kent State Golden Flashes are in Ohio to take on the Bobcats. Kent State is 9-5, while Ohio is 9-3. Both teams won their respective conference openers, but for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Golden Flashes most recently topped the Ball State Cardinals 100-90, led by Jaylin Walker’s 21 points. Note though that the Flashes have the third lowest three-point percentage in the conference and Kent State is at the very bottom of the conference when it comes to field-goal percentage. 

The Bobcats demolished WMU in their opener 89-58. Antonio Campbell led the way with 22 points. Ohio would go on to shoot 50 percent from the floor and almost 52 percent from behind the arc. The Bobcats have dominated from range, ranked as the No. 1 team in the conference in connecting on 40 percent of their attempts. 

I’ll point out that Kent State is just 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 against teams with a winning straight up record and only 2-9-1 in its last 12 on the road, while Ohio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Ohio is 8-0 at home with an average margin of victory of 17 points. Kent State is just 1-2 in its last three road games and is overclassed in every department tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Pacifc (7:00 EST).

The 6-9 Pacific Tigers are in San Diego to take on the 7-7 Toreros and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Tigers are the much “hungrier” team in my opinion after losing six of nine, including an 81-61 setback to Gonzaga in their last outing. Jacob Lamping was a bright spot with 18 points on 9 of 11 shooting. So far Pacific averages 71.2 PPG.

The Toreros are regressing as the season has progressed, a five-game win streak has now been followed by back-to-back losses, most recently a 72-60 defeat to St. Mary’s. Brett Bailey led the way in the setback with 18 points. So far San Diego averages 73 PPG.

I’ll point out though that Pacific is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while San Diego is just 1-2 ATS this year after scoring 60 points or more.

While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing the poitns as I think the visitors matchup extremely well in this one. Play on Pacific.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Santa Clara (10:00 EST).

The 9-5 Portland Pilots are in Santa Clara to take on the 7-8 Broncos and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Pilots look poised for a ledown here in my opinion after two straight wins, most recently a 73-60 victory at home over Pepperdine on December 31st. The Broncos are 1-1 in conference play after hammering San Francisco 72-58 on Saturday. 

Alec Wintering had 23 points for Portland in the win over the Waves on Saturday. So far the Pilots average 77.6 PPG, while conceding 72.6. 

KJ Feain had 22 points, while Jared Brownridge added 20 in the Broncos win over the Dons on Saturday. Note that Santa Clara went 13 of 26 from beyond the arc. The Broncos average just 67.9 PPG, but allow just 66.6 per contest.

I’ll point out that Portland is just 2-4 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog and only 1-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Santa Clara is 2-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less and 4-2 ATS against teams with winning records.

I think the Pilots come into this one on “cruise control” and the home side takes advantage. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON-CONF SIDE OF THE MONTH is the Utah Jazz (7:35 EST).

The 22-14 Utah Jazz are in Toronto to take on the 23-11 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

Toronto returns home after an extended road-trip, there’s no question that this one does indeed set up as a classic “letdown” spot for the Raptors. They lost 110-82 at San Antonio most recently on Tuesday. 

Utah continues its Eastern road swing and enters off a 115-104 road loss to Boston. 

Note that the Jazz play with revenge here after falling 104-98 to the Raptors back on December 21st.

It was a rare weak defensive effort for Utah in the setback to the Celtics. Overall the Jazz shot a solid 46 percent. The setback snapped a four-game win streak, but Utah still sits in first place in the Northwest division standings. 

Note that the Jazz average only 99 PPG, while conceding just 94.5, which ranks No. 1 in the league.

The Raptors average 110.3 PPG, while conceding 103.4.

I’ll point out that Utah is 7-2 ATS this year in revenging a home loss against an opponent and 3-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto is a deplorable 0-9 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.

As mentioned off the top, I think this one sets up as a natural “letdown” spot for the Raptors after returning home from a lengthy road trip. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Hofstra (7:00 EST).

The 4-11 James Madison Dukes are at Hofstra to take on the 9-6 Pride and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

I think the Dukes are primed for a letdown here after three straight vivctories. Conversely, the Pride will be anxious to take out their frustrations on someone after falling 95-93 in OT to William and Mary.

Oh ya, James Madison also won both meetings against Hofstra last season. Both in overtime.

It’s payback time for the Pride!

James Madison got out to a slow start, losing 11 of its first 12 games, but it has to be feeling pretty content after the three straight victories and two conference wins. The Dukes are poor on the offensive end though, averaging 66.4 PPG. They do however own a tough defense which concedes 69.9, ranked 134th overall. 

The Pride had a three-game win skein snapped in the OT setback to William and Mary. Hofstra did shoot a solid 50 percent in the loss. Note that the Pride average 80.1 PPG, ranked 60th overall, while conceding 76.5.

I’ll point out that James Madison is 2-7 ATS as an underdog this year and 1-5 ATS on the road, while Hofstra is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 off a loss against a conference rival.

The Dukes have been playing over their heads of late. Expect the home side to push the pace and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Wyoming (10:00 EST).

The 11-4 Wyoming Cowboys are at Fresno State to take on the 9-5 Bulldogs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

I think Wyoming is the “hungrier” team today as it’s lost two of its last three, most recently to USC and UNLV. 

The Bulldogs enter this one after snapping a two-game slide with a 77-76 win over Nevada on New Year’s Eve. 

Wyoming held the Rebels to just 39.1 percent from the field, but UNLV still topped 80 points. Justin James was a bright spot, scoring a game-high 17 points. In all, four players average double figures.

Fresno State has gotten inconsistent play from its starters of late. Since opening the season with a double-double in a win over Texas-San Antonio, starter Cullen Russo has yet to duplicate that feat since.

I’ll point out that Wyoming is 2-0 ATS already this year after allowing 80 points or more, while Fresno State is just 14-15 ATS in its last 29 when playing the role of favorite.

I think Wyoming bounces back after two straight losses and expect Fresno State to continue to struggle with consistency. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Notre Dame (9:00 EST).

The 12-2 Louisville Cardinals are in Notre Dame to take on the 12-2 Fighting Irish and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Cardinals look primed for a letdown here in my opinion after downing Indiana 76-62 on the road last time out. Notre Dame enters off a 78-77 OT road win over Pittsburgh and will look to keep the momentum rolling in front of the home town crowd.

And if recent history is any precedence, then the Irish have to be loving their chances today as they’d take last year’s meeting 71-66. 

Donavan Mitchell scored a career-high 25 points in the win over the Hoosiers for Louisville. He leads the team with 12.1 PPG. So far the Cardinals average 76.1 PPG, while conceding 60.4.

The Irish held Pittsburgh to just 37.5 percent shooting from the field in their big win. Steve Vasturia had 15 points and is now third in team scoring with 14.9 PPG. The Irish feature a high-powered scoring attack with averages 83.2 PPG and also a strong defense which concedes just 66.2.

I’ll point out that Louisville is just 3-10 ATS in its last 13 on the road, while Notre Dame is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in front of the home town crowd.

Four players average 13 or more points for the Irish and I think this incredible depth will prove to be the difference tonight. Play on Notre Dame.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over Thunder/Hornets (7:00 EST).

The 21-14 Oklahoma City Thunder are in Charlotte to take on the 19-16 Hornets and for a number of different reasons, I think this has “shootout” written all over it.

OKC comes in having lost two of its last three, most recently a 98-94 setback at Milwaukee on Monday. The Hornets have lost two straight after a 118-111 road loss in Chicago on Monday. 

Note that the Hornets will be eager to break the string of losses to the Thunder, having dropped 11 straight in this series.

OKC is ranked ninth in the league with an average of 106 PPG and 17th in the league in scoring defense in conceding 104.4 PPG. The team is led by Russell Westbrook, who averages 30.9 points, 10.4 boards and 10.5 assists per night. 

Charlotte averages 105.1 PPG, while conceding 103. Kemba Walker is the man, he averages 23 points, 5.4 assists and 1.26 steals per game. 

I’ll point out that the Thunder have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Hornets have seen the total sail above the posted number in seven of ten non-conference games and in five of eight off an upset loss as a favorite.

These are two teams hungry for a victory and I’m expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Michigan State (6:30 EST0.

Rutgers has just three conference wins since joining the Big Ten in 2014 and it hasn’t won a road game yet. 

Unfortunately for the Scarlet Knights, I don’t foresee anything changing this evening as MSU continues to get better as the season wears on.

Rutgers enters off a 60-47 home loss to Penn State. Mike Williams was a bright spot with his third career double-double, finishing with 16 points and ten boards. It wasn’t enough though as the Scarlet Knights would go on to commit 17 turnovers. In all Rutgers would make a season-low 28.6 percent of their field goal attempts and go just 3 of 20 from behind the arc.

The Spartans finished a tough non-conference schedule with a 7-5 record and most recently downed Northwestern 61-52 on Friday. Alvin Ellis III led the way with 16 points in that one. Note that MSU is expected to welcome back Miles Bridges to the lineup tonight, he’s missed the last seven games with an ankle injury. Bridges is averaging 16.6 points and 8.8 boards. 

I’ll point out that Rutgers is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and just 7-25 ATS in its last 32 following a SU loss, while MSU is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 following an ATS win.

Last year the Spartans won 96-62 at home in this game, while shooting 53.1 percent from behind the arc, en route to tying the school record with 17 three-pointers. I’m expecting a similar final outcome this evening. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Kentucky (9:00 EST).

The 8-4 Texas A&M Aggies are in Kentucky to take on the 11-2 Wildcats and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Aggies enter off a 73-63 home loss to Tennessee on Friday, while the Wildcats would bounce back from a tough loss to in-state rival Louisville by hammering Ole Miss 99-76 in their conference opener. 

These teams met in the SEC Tournament Championship game on March 13, 2016 and the Wildcats won 82-77. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a much bigger margin of victory today. 

The Aggies looked bad in their loss to Tennessee, limited to just 34.4 percent shooting from the field and only 5 of 17 from behind the arc. So far A&M averages 74.3 PPG. The team is strong defensively though in allowing only 64.6 PPG. Tyler Davis leads the teams with 14.3 points plus 7.8 boards per night.

The Wildcats posted 60 first half points and never looked back in the beatdown over Ole Miss. Isaiah Briscoe had a triple-double with 19 points, ten board and 11 assists.

Kentucky is ranked third in the country with an average of 93.5 PPG and 189th scoring defense in coneding 72.1 PPG. 

I’ll point out though that the Aggies are just 1-5 ATS in their last six as an underdog and only 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a winning straight up record, while the Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.

Texas A&M was exposed in the loss to Tennessee and now the team faces its stiffest test of the year in the hostile environment of Rupp Arena. I like the home side to roll in this one, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Total Situational Stunner is the under Jazz/Celtics (7:35 EST).

The 21-13 Utah Jazz are in Boston to take on the 20-14 Celtics and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done.

Utah comes in off a 101-89 victory in Brooklyn just last night and I think will be a little “gassed” in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

Boston enters off a 117-114 home win over the Heat on Friday, winning for the third time in four games. These teams split a pair of games last year, with Boston coming out on top 100-95 in the last matchup here back on February 29th, 2016. Suffice it to say, I think we’ll see a similar final combined score at the end of this one as well.

It wouldn’t be hard to see the Jazz getting caught “looking ahead,” as after tonight they still have stops in Toronto, Minnesota and Memphis before returning home to face Cleveland to end what will be six games in nine days. Note that Utah has some breathing room in the playoff picture as it’s 6.5 games ahead of ninth-place Denver. 

Utah is ranked 26th in league scoring at 98.9 PPG, while leading the league on the defensive end in conceding only 94.7 PPG. 

Boston is ranked tenth in the league in scoring at 106.1 PPG and 15th on the defensive end in allowing 104.3.

I’ll point out though that the Celtics have seen the total go under the number in three of four as a home favorite of 3.5 to six points this season.

And note that Utah has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of six already this year after three or more consecutive SU wins.

Boston is banged up right, recently recalling some members from D-League. The Jazz are tired and will be looking to slow this one down from the outset. Everything points to this one falling under the number.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is the under Wizards/Rockets (8:00 EST).

The 16-16 Washington Wizards are at Houston to take on the 26-9 Rockets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. 

Washington is back to .500 after winning its third straight, most recently over the Nets at home on Friday. The Wizards won that game without the services of leading scorer Bradley Beal, who is also questionable for this one. 

Houston won its fourth straight, most recently a 129-122 victory over the Knicks at home. Note that Washington plays with revenge after falling 114-106 at home in the first meeting of the year between the clubs. 

John Wall is leading the charge for Washignton, averaging 23.6 points, 4.5 boards, 2.3 steals and ten assists per contest. 

The Rockets are led by James Harden, who had 52 points in his last outing. So far Harden averags 28.5 points, 8.1 boards and 12 assits per game. 

I’ll point out that Washignton has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 20 after playing three consecutive home games, while Houston has seen the total go UNDER in six of ten already this year after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” 

This can still be a high-scoring affair and fall below this sky-high number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Appalachian State (8:00 EST).

The 5-7 Appalachian State Mountaineers are in Texas to take on the Arlington Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

I think the Mavs are poised for a letdown here after winning ten straight, most recenlty taking down Coastal Carolina on New Years Eve. 

Conversely, App State comes in hungry after falling to Texas State this past Saturday. Ronshad Shabazz had 19 points in the 67-58 setback. 

Kevin Hervey leads the way for Texas-Arlington, averaging 16 points and nine boards per game. 

I’ll point out though that App State is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and 13-10 ATS in its last 23 when playing with one or less days rest, while Texas-Arlington is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off a win against a conference rival and just 9-13 ATS in its last 22 when playing with one or less days rest. 

Am I going to suggest to you to “sprinkle” a little on the money line? 

Of course not. I simply feel that the home side gets caught “looking past” the Mountaineers today. Grab as many points as you can.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Delaware (6:00 EST).

The 10-4 Charleston Cougars are in Delaware to take on the 7-7 Blue Hens and for a number of differnet reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Cougars opened their CAA scheudle with a road win over Elon, while the Blue Hens come in hungry after falling 58-56 at home to Hofstra. 

Joe Chealey leads the way for Charleston, he averages 14.2 PPG. The Cougars put up just 64.1 PPG, while ranked 11th on the defensive end in conceding just 59.5 PPG. 

The Blue Hens have six players that average at least 7.1 PPG, led by Ryan Daly who averages 12.6 PPG. So far Delaware averages 64.4 PPG, while allowing 64.7. 

I’ll point out that Charleston is just 14-39 ATS in its last 53 following an ATS victory, while Delaware is 5-0 in its last five against teams with a winning SU record and 6-1 ATS in its last seven as the underdog in this series.

These teams are very similar, but as mentioned off the top, I think the Blue Hens are the “hungrier” side. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Drexel (4:30 EST).

The 8-5 Northeastern Huskies are in Philadelphia to take on the 6-8 Drexel Dragons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I think the Huskies finally have a letdown tonight after winning four straight, most recently an 86-64 victory over William & Mary. 

Conversely, the Dragons will be extra motivated here after dropping their conference opener in a 78-67 road loss to James Madison. 

The Huskies are led by TJ Williams, who is averaging 21.1 PPG. Northeastern ranks 191st in the nation in scoring in putting up 73.7 PPG and at the defensive end are ranked 157 in conceding 70.7.

Drexel is led by Rodney Williams, who averages 16.5 PPG. The Dragons rank 134th in the country in scoring 76.2 PPG, while allowing 75.5. 

I’ll point out though that Northeastern is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road fav of 3.5 to six points and just 11-14 ATS in its last 25 when playing with one or less days rest, while Drexel is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with one or less days rest and 3-1 in its last four following a conference game. 

Drexel is the hungrier side and while I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset. That said, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Dragons.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on San Diego (9:00 EST).

The 7-6 San Diego Toreros are at St. Mary’s to take on the 11-1 Gaels and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

San Diego enters off an 80-74 loss at San Francisco, breaking a five game win streak. Saint Mary’s has won five straight, including a 72-60 win over Loyola Marymount on the 29th and suffice it to say, I think the home side is poised for a letdown here.

Note that San Diego plays with revenge after falling 60-43 and 79-46 to the Gaels last year.

Brett Bailey had 18 points and six boards in the loss to the Dons for San Diego and he leads the team with 18.5 points and 7.1 boards per game. San Diego averages 74 points and concedes 75.4. 

Saint Mary’s guard Emmett Naar had a season-high 19 points in the win over Loyola Marymount. The Gaels average 74.7 PPG and allow just 57.7, ranked third. 

I’ll point out though that San Diego is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six road games, while St. Mary’s is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS victory. I think the Gaels get caught a little flat-footed today and much improved San Diego does more than enough to cover with the large spread that it’s been afforded. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Fresno State (7:00 EST).

The 12-2 Nevada Wolf Pack are at Fresno State to take on the 8-5 Bulldogs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Bulldogs will be the “hungrier” teams today as they’ve lost two straight. Fresno State averages 72.2 PPG, while conceding 71.2. Karachi Edo leads the way for the Bulldgos with 13.5 points and 6.5 boards per game. 

The Wolf Pack is poised for a letdown here after winning seven straight in my opinion. Note that Nevada averages 78.4 PPG, while allowing 69.8. Marcus Marshall leads the charge with 20.6 PPG. 

I’ll point out though that Nevada is just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 off a win against a conference rival, while Fresno State is 5-0 ATS as an underdog this year and 4-0 ATS against teams with winning records.

I look for these strong trends to continue, play on Fresno State.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Texas State (5:30 EST).

The 5-6 Appalachian State Mountaineers are at Texas State to take on the 7-5 Bobcats and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

App State looks poised for a letdown here after back-to-back wins. Note that that Mountaineers are just 1-5 in their true road games. App State has eight players that average at least 6.5 PPG, but just one that averages in double figures in Ronshad Shabazz. 

The Mountaineers are 61st overall in putting up 80.1 PPG and on the defensive end they concede 74.0.

The Bobcats have won two straight and five of their last seven after getting by Tulane 69-66 in OT on the road. Kavin Gilder-Tilbury had 23 points in the victory and he leads the team in scoring with 15.5 PPG. The Bobcats average 68.9 PPG and concede just 61.9, ranked 23rd in points allowed overall. 

I’ll point out that App State is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven against teams with a winning SU record, while Texas State is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite.

The Mountaineers have played terrible on the road and now they face the best defense they’ve seen all year. I think App State’s offense stalls and the Bobcats do just enough to secure the ATS win. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry