The Pistons here are a quality home team with a 16-8 record.  The betting public will be all over the Raptors as they are the hot team, but they have had 3 days off now and most of the time those teams with that long of rest come out flat.  Pistons will be motivated here as they just lost a close one a few days ago to @ Toronto.  

The Clippers are getting to much respect here against a very quality home team in the Heat.  The Heat are getting healthier and have won one 6 of their 7 games.  The most impressive part of the Heat's winning streak is that only one of those wins came at home.  They have been playing on the road a ton and expect to play with a lot of fire coming back for a few games now.  The Clippers are still without Griffin which I believe will hurt them a lot in this match up.  Clippers are just 1-6 ATS L7 following and ATS win 

I like the Knicks here at a short price.  The Nuggets are coming off a big win over the Bulls and are getting a lot of respect.  The Last 5 wins for the Nuggets have all been quality wins and the next game they have followed it up with a loss.  I look for the Knicks to be extra motivated here and take it to the Nuggets. 

I believe we are seeing a big over reaction here due to the fact that the Raptors haven't covered 4 in a row and the Trailblazers have won 5 in a row.  During the 5 game winning streak Portland beat the Lakers Kings Hornets T Wolves and Bucks.  All those teams are under .500 and Toronto is clearly a superior team compared to those.  I look for a big effort from the Raptors as this is their last game on the west coast for a while. 

To me this is all about motivation here for the Knicks coming off an ugly loss vs the Warriors.  The Celtics are also coming of a bad loss @ Orlando.  I just really don't trust this Celtics team on the road here as the public will be all over them.  The Celtics are 0-6 ATS L6 road gamevs teams with a winning record.  Knicks are 9-3 ATS L12 playing on 1 days rest and are 7-3 ATS L10 home games. 

The Kings are in a perfect spot here coming off straight losses, but three of those were on the road.  I look for them to bounce back big time here facing the Bucks.  The Bucks aren't playing very well as they are 1-4 SU L5 and are a miserable 7-21 on the road.  The Kings will be focused here as they will end their skid.  

I like the short price here we are getting with the Pelicans.  They have been playing a lot better as of late going 7-2 SU.  The reason for the short price is because the Grizzlies have been playing, but a majority of those were home games and in fact during their nice run they only played one team above .500.  Their 2 road game were @ Denver where they were lucky and won by 1 and @ Minnesota where they lost.  Grizzlies are just 1-6 ATS L7 road games.  Pelicans are 4-0 ATS L4 following and ATS loss.

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

Both teams are obviously not very good, but the Hornets are very banged up and I believe they will rest some players here as they have the Cavs Heat Wizards and Bulls for their upcoming home stand.  Zeller is out Batum is out, Lin Lamb and Hariston are all questionable.  The Lakers have covered 3 of their L5 and even though they haven't been winning they have been competitive.  Hornets 2-9 ATS L11 vs team with a losing record.  Underdog in this series is 18-3 ATS L21

The T Wolves present great value as they haven't been winning but they have covered 3 in a row.  I believe we are seeing an over reaction from the Jazz blowing out the Hornets last game.  The T Wolves have actually been playing well lately losing to the Thunder by 3 and the Cavs by 7 while beating the Grizzlies.  The Jazz also have the Bulls next coming to town so I don't seem being totally focused on tonights game.  Minnesota is 10-3 ATS L13 games playing a tema with a winning home record.  Jazz are 1-4 ATS L5 following an ATS win

I like the value here with the Pistons as the betting public will be all over the Cavs here.  I believe the coaching change will take a while and the Cavs have benefited from playing the T Wolves and the Suns.  The Pistons are a quality home team going 15-6 ATS.  I expect a big effort from the Pistons tonight.  The Cavs are just 1-4 ATS L5 following an ATS win.  Pistons are 6-1 ATS L7 playing teams greater than 60% win rate

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

The Kings have been a nice story as of late and are playing better, but favorites on the road for a team who doesn't guard anyone.  The Pelicans have been playing fine themselves as they are 5-5 SU L10 and Kings are 6-4 SU L10.  The Pelicans are 4-1 L5 home games and just dropped a one 1 pt loss to Houston @ home.  Kings are 2-5 ATS L7 following a SU loss.  Pelicans are 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss. 

This is a good spot here to back the Pacers who have been struggling lately.  They will be more focused than ever as I don't believe there is anyway they drop two games at home in a row.  Atlanta is 2-5 ATS L7 plying on 0 days rest.  

This line is high for a reason as it's an extremely tough spot for the Clippers here.  They are on their last game on a 5 game road trip but also their 5th in 7 days and coming off a tough win last night vs the Pacers.  The Hawks have been playing well winning 5 out of their L7.  Clippers 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU win.  Hawks 5-1 ATS L6 home games. 

I like the Wolves here catching the Thunder on a back to back.  It's a long trip for the Thunder coming from New York and also playing an OT game.  Minnesota only lost by 5 last time Thunder played there.  Thunder 0-7 ATS L7 road games, Thunder also 0-5 ATS L5 vs team with home losing record.

The Raptors are without a doubt one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now winning 8 in row and covering in 7 of those game which is very impressive.  I believe they are in a dog fight tonight with the Wizards.  The Wizards come in off a pathetic home performance last night vs Boston and look for them to bounce back here.  Wizards are 5-0 ATS L5 road games, 4-0 ATS L4 following a double digit home loss and the Wizards have owned this seriers going 7-1 ATS L8.  

Indiana is coming off a terrible west coast road trip going 1-3 SU.  They have 2 days off now to rest and come out with a lot of energy tonight playing a Clippers team who is playing their 4th game in 6 days on the road.  Indiana 14-2 ATS L16 playing on 2 days rest.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY 

The oddsmakers are telling you they don't trust the Suns to win back to back games here.  Neither team is obviously very good, but for the Sixers they have been playing better as of late.  2-2 SU L4 and also have had close losses losing to Cavs by 10 Bulls by 4 and @ Knicks by just 6.  I also don't see any interest the Suns might have here with the Cavs on deck.  Suns 0-8 ATS L8 following a SU win, 1-10 ATS L11 following an ATS win.  76ers 6-1 ATS L7 playing a team with a losing record.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

Boston is getting respect here because they have been playing better lately here going 5-2 SU, but the Wizards are starting to pick it up also as they are 5-2 SU as well.  This here is all about the spot and oddsmakers know it.  The Celtics were favored by 1.5 just 9 days @ Washington and now are 2.5 point dogs because of the schedule.  The Celtics are playing on a back to back meanwhile Wizards have had plenty of rest with 4 days off.  Also this is Boston's 4th game in 6 days.  The Wizards will be the motivated team here.  Celtics just 2-5 ATS L7 road games. 

This is the last game of a 4 game trip for the Pacers and expect them to play motivate.  The Kings will be the popular choice after winning and covering 4 in a row.  The pacers are still a good eastern conference team and the Kings are still average and struggle on defense.  

I realize the Suns will be without Knight but I do like their young guys and the effort they put forth.  Atlanta will have 0 motivation playing this game.  Suns 41 ATS L5 following a double digit loss at home.  Hawks just 1-4 ATS L5 road vs teams with losing home record

The Knicks are with out a doubt the better team here.  They are coming off a bad loss blowout @ home and I expect them to bounce back.  The hornets are just 3-10 SU L13. Hornets are 1-6 ATS L7 playing on 0 days rest Hornets also 1-5 ATS L6 following SU win. Knicks 5-1 ATS L6 following a double digit loss at home

I believe the Kings are overvalued here due to their 3 game winning streak all on the road.  They only beat one quality team and that was the Clippers.  I still don't trust their defense as they have given up over 100 points in 10 of their L11 games.  Now they return home off a back to back and are probably thinking to much of themselves.  The Hawks have been playing well as of late also.  They have won 5 of their L7 and are also coming off a back to back.  I do like taking road teams of a win and playing the next night as usually they ride the momentum.  Kings 1-5 ATS L6 homes games.  

The Cavs realize they have to make a statement here playing another quality team at home after an embarrassing loss to the Warriors.  The Cavs come in with a 13 pt win over the Nets last night, but what I like is they held them under 80 points.  I don't care what team your playing in the NBA it's very hard to do that.  The Clippers have been playing very well as of late, but when you look at the opponents only 1 of those teams were above 500!  The Cavs have owned this series as they are 8-2 ATS L10 and the Clippers are just 1-8 ATS L9 playing in Cleveland.  

This is a great spot to back the Bulls here after everyone saw what the Warriors did the the Cavs.  I actually believe the Bulls match up better with them. Bulls will not be taking this game lightly.  Also this line is greatly inflated as the Warriors were just 7 point favorites at the Pistons.  Warriors are just 1-8 ATS L9 playing on 1 days rest Bulls 7-2 ATS L9 home games playing teams with winning road record

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting a really good price on the Heat here who are coming off a very tough west coast stretch.  Miami was just 2-4 SU during that stretch and now return home before going on another 5 game stretch away.  They will be plenty focused here in this spot.  The Bucks are still a disappointing team, but are getting to much respect here since they have covered 4 in a row.  They are still 6-18 SU on the road this season.  The Bucks are also 2-7-1 ATS L10 playing on 2 days rest and we all know the Bucks weren't resting on South Beach with 2 days off.  Heat are 4-0 ATS L4 following an ATS loss.

This is a good spot to back the Clippers here as they had a bad loss the Kings last out .  Rockets have been playing well but against weak competition and are on a back to back here.  Rockets just 2-6 ATS L8 playing on 0 days rest.  Clippers 4-0 ATS L4 playing on 1 day rest

The Cavs are playing really well right now and the Warriors look like they need some rest dropping 2 of their last 3.  Cavs are 6-0 ATS L6 vs team with winning record and are 5-1 ATS L6 following a road trip of 7 days or more.  Warriors are are 0-8ATS L8 playing on 1 day rest and 0-4-1 ATS L5 playing a team with winning record.  Cavs will look to make a statement with a healthy Kyrie who they lost in the finals

I realize the T Wolves have been flat out awful at home, but I believe they will view this game as one they are no doubt the better team.  I don't see any motivation here from the Suns.  They are just 4-17 SU on the road.  The T Wolves haven't been winning, but they have been playing better.  Lost @ Houston by 3, Lost @ home to OKC by 5,  Lost to Dallas by 6, and Denver by 4.  

This spot here reminds me a lot of the Christmas day game between Spurs and Rockets where the Spurs were playing a back to back and Rockets took full advantage of it.  Everyone knows last night the Cavs were in a battle @ Spurs in a losing effort.  You won't have to question the Rockets effort here as everyone gets up for the Cavs.  The Rockets are riding a 5 game winning streak and are 8-3 ATS L11 home games.  Cavs are 0-4-1 ATS L5 playing on 0 days rest. 

I believe this line tells the whole story here.  Bulls are in an extremely tough spot here with it being their 4th game in 5 days which is rare.  They haven't been playing very well lately and are coming off a big comeback OT win @ Sixers.  I really expect the Mavs to expose them here as they are eager to get a road win in their 3 game trip.  Mavs 5-1-1 ATS L7 playing on one day rest, Mavs 10-3 ATS L13 following an ATS loss.  Bulls just 3-8 ATS L11 when starters combine for over 160 minutes previous day.  

Let's face it the Suns are absolutely awful and even with 2 days rest I don't them showing up here.  The Celtics ended their 4 game losing skid against the Pacers and with a 3 game road stretch coming up I don't see them taking it easy.  Celtics are 7-3-1 ATS L11 following an ATS win.  Suns are just 1-7 ATS L8 on the road

This won't be a popular pick but I do see value here with Detroit.  Pistons are 4-2 SU L6 with two losses coming to the Pacers and Spurs.  Now I do realize Detroit has the Warriors coming to town and this is @ Memphis so may not get up for it, but the Pistons lost against them @ home by a half court buzzer beater.  So therefore I see the Pistons showing up here.  Also the Grizzlies are coming off a very bad loss to the Rockets and I don't see them bouncing back as Mike Conley is out again.  Pistons are 5-0 ATS L5 following a double digit loss @ home.  Pistons 19-7-1 ATS L27 playing on 1 day rest.  Grizzlies just 7-18-1 L26 playing on 1 day rest.  2-7-1 ATS L10 following up a double digit loss @ home 

More than a respectable price here because the Pelicans are coming off a close loss last night @ Lakers.  Davis didn't play and he may not tonight but the Kings don't deserve to be a huge favorite like this.  I also don't believe the Kings will be motivated here as they have a 3 game road trip coming up.  The Kings are also one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA and look for the Pelicans to bounce back.  Pelicans are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS loss.  Kings are 16-34-3 L53 home games playing a team winning less than 40%.  

The Nuggets just took the Warriors to OT @ Golden St 10 days and should have plenty of confidence here coming into this game.  The Nuggets are also getting healthier and have everyone back now.  The Warriors will be without Green who I believe is their glue to the team.  The public will obviously be all over the Warriors, but this is their 4th game in six days with another tomorrow night vs the Lakers.  Nuggets are rested having two days off.  Warriors 0-6 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest.  Nuggets 4-1 ATS L5 playing a team winning over 60%

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting more than a fair price here on the Celtics.  Both teams played last night with the Pacers blowing out the Suns and the Celtics giving everything they in a losing effort to the Knicks.  Celtics have been struggling, but all their games have been close and 4 out of their L5 have been on the road.  I like them to bounce back here with a big effort.  Pacers 0-4 ATS playing on 0 days rest and Celtics 37-15-1 ATS L53 playing on 0 days rest.  Pacers also just 2-5 ATS L7 following a win by more than 10 points 

The Mavs have been a nice surprise this year starting off with a 22-16 record.  The Cavs are playing well winning 7 in a row but with the Mavs being 11-6 SU at home there is value here.  The Cavs also have a big look ahead game here with the Spurs on deck.  Cavs just 1-4-1 ATS L6 road games.  Mavs 6-1 ATS L7 playing a team with over 60% winning percentage.  Mavs 5-1-1 ATS L7 following a SU win

The Bulls look like they are trending downward again.  Losers of the last two by double digits to the Hawks and Wizards.  Despite the Bucks record they are more than a respectable home team with a 10-7 record and Bulls are just 6-8 and give up a staggering 105 ppg on the road.  This is also the Bulls 3rd game in 4 days.  Bucks 7-3-1 ATS following a SU loss.

The Celtics come in here after 3 consecutive losses and failed to cover all 3.  For that there are undervalued here because the Knicks have been playing very well lately.  The Celtics were close in all 3 of those losses and should have won two of them realistically.  The Celtics will be more motivated here as the public will pound the Knicks.  Celtics are 8-3 ATS L11 road games.  Knicks just 2-6 ATS L8 after winning by more than 10 points.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

I know the record doesn't exactly show it but the Lakers have been playing good ball lately.  If you throw out their Golden St game they have been playing well for nearly two weeks.  They just had a 4 pt loss to the Thunder and fought clear back @ the Kings after being down by more than 25 points to lose by 3.  The Jazz are coming of a win over the Heat last night but the Heat were on a back to back.  Jazz are also 0-5 ATS L5 on the road.  They are still without key players and may be without Hood and Favors also today which would be major to a team that doesn't score much.  Lakers 6-1 ATS L7, 4-1 ATS L5 home games,  4-0 ATS following a SU loss

The Knicks have been playing a lot better lately and against quality teams.  Milwaukee isn't a quality team at all and are overvalued due to their win last out vs the Mavs.  Knicks are 4-2 SU L6 with wins over Detroit Miami and Atlanta (2).  The Bucks are also 5-16 SU on the road this season.  Bucks are 3-8 ATS L11 following a SU win.  Knicks 5-0ATS L5 playing on 1 day rest,  7-1 ATS L8 after allowing 100 points scored or more previous game,  4-0 ATS L4 playing team with losing record. 

This line is begging for people to take the Rockets.  The reason this line is low because Rockets have won two in a row, but both against a struggling Jazz team.  The Rockets are also just 2-6 ATS L8 games.  0-4 ATS L4 after scoring 100 points or more.  Dwight Howard is also questionable to play today as well.  Pacers have been playing great 3-1 SU L4 with their only loss being @ Miami by 3.  Pacers 4-1 ATS L5 road games.  5-1 ATS L6 playing on 1 day rest.  

The public will be all over the Pacers but this is their 4th game in 7 days.  The Pelicans are rested and are looking to bounce back after a home loss.  Pelicans are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss and 4-1 ATS L5 following SU loss.  Pacers 2-6 ATS L8 vs team with losing record

The Bucks are the more desperate team here and look for them to start picking it up.  Looking back at their schedule it has been extremely difficult the pa two weeks.  They have also had two days of rest.  Bucks 7-3 ATS L10 following a SU loss.  Mavs just 7-20 ATS L27 vs team with a winning home record

We are seeing a little over reaction due to the Wizards losing two in a two to the Heat and Cavs but they gave the Cavs all they wanted.  Wizards are also getting healthier here and look for revenge following last week 3 of loss @ Raptors.  Several key trends here.  Raptors 0-8 ATS L8 following a ATS win.  Wizards 10-1 ATS L11 following a SU loss.  

There will be lots of love here on the Clippers as they have won 6 in a row and covered in 5 of them.  The motivation will be with Portland here to rebound from a loss to Memphis Monday night.  Portland does bounce back well going 4-1-1 L6 following a double digit loss at home.  Clippers just 1-7 L8 ATS following a win of more than 10 points 

We are getting good value here with the Celtics as they aren't getting much respect due to losses to Nets and Lakers but the Pistons haven't been playing any better.  Pistons coming off a blowout win which is why this line is low but they are just 2-4 SU their L6.  Celtics will get back on track.  5-1-1 ATS L7 playing on one day rest 

This game here to me is all about motivation as the Magic lost all 3 on the road and failed to cover in those 3 as well.  Magic are a great home team going 12-6 SU Pacers are just 7-10 SU on the road.  Pacers just 1-4 ATS L5 playing a team on road with winning record.  Magic 9-3 ATS L12 when opponent scores more than 100 points.  

With Lillard's status still in question this is a good spot to back the Grizzlies while Portland is coming off a hard fought win last night @ Denver.  Portland also has big look ahead games with Clippers and Warriors coming to town next.  The Effort will be here for Memphis as they have @ OKC next so this is a spot to likely get their road win.  Grizzlies 23-10 ATS L33 when opponent allows 100 pts or more previous game.  Portland just 8-17-1 L26 ATS playing a team with a winning record. 

You look at this line and think hmmm something is off.  The Rockets have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover in all 4 of them and are favored on the road?  Rockets will be more motivated here and the Jazz have been very lucky lately winning a couple and that is why the line is low.  Jazz still have a ton of injuries to key players.  

I was on the Raptors yesterday and yet another double digit blown lead late in the game.  I think that will take the wind out of their sails here as the Cavs are well rested.  4th game in 6 days for the Raptors and on like I said a tough back to back.  The Cavs have a long 6 game road stretch coming up so I expect a big effort out of them tonight.  Raptors 1-4 ATS L5 after allowing 100 pts or more and 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU loss.  Cavs are 6-1-1 ATS L8 following a SU win and are 5-0 ATS L5 playing teams above 500

The injuries aren't slowing down the Wizards as they have been playing their best basketball lately.  They are 5-2 SU L7 with two losses being both close and good one vs Clippers and Raptors.  Heat also have Pacers coming to town tomorrow night which is a big game.  Miami for some reason also struggles to score on the road only averaging 92.6 ppg.  Heat are 3-13 ATS following a win of 10 or more points.  Wizards 4-1 ATS playing 1 day rest,  4-1 ATS following an ATS win,  4-1 ATS L5 home games

We are getting a respectable line here with the Raptors due to the Bulls 3 game winning streak.  The Bulls beat the Raptors last week and like the Raptors to get revenge today.  Raptors are a very good home team 11-5 SU and Bulls very poor road team 5-7.  Bulls are just 1-11 ATS L12 following and ATS win.  Look for the Raptors to get revenge here

The Bucks come into this game winning @ Indiana and are on their last game of a 4 game road trip and look for them to ride the momen into this game.  Minnesota is just 1-5 SU L6 and 3-13 ATS @ home. 

I really expect the Pacers to be motivated here coming off 2 loses in a row.  Paul Georgoe was quoted saying "it is very unacceptable". Look for them to make a statemen.  Also Detroit ended their 3 game skid but that was against a very bad Minnesota team. Pacers are 13-3 ATS teams with a winning record 

The Pelicans are in a good spot here catching the Clippers on their 2nd back to back and now their 5 road in which they have won every one.  Pelicans have been playing better and are 4-1 SUnat home L5.  Pelicans are also rested and coming off an ugly loss @ Orlando expect them to bounce back

Denver coming off a close 6pt loss to the Cavs last night and go to Portland tonight.  Really bad spot for Denver here also with the Warriors on deck.  Plus the Nuggets will be without Gallinari and Mudiay which is key and Portland is returning Lillard.  I believe Portland has gained a lot of confidence after beating the Cavs badly and see no reason why that won't continue.  Portland 8-3 ATS L11 at home vs team with losing record. 

Really like this spot here for Minnesota.  They have lost 4 in a row but were to the Spurs twice @ Boston and the Pacers 4 quality teams.  Minnesota will be motivated here to get a win while the Jazz literally come limping in.  Jazz have been without Gobert now are without Burks and Favors thise are huge losses and tough to overcome.  

Look for the Wizards to bounce back here after losing a close to the Bulls.  This line looks obvious to pick the Wizards here but they are dealing with a a lot of injuries and have benefitted by playing poor teams during their winning streak and also they were at home as well.  It caught up with them last game as the Clippers took it to them being a quality team.  The Raptors are a quality team as well and have played their last 5 of 7 on the road.  Raptors are 6-2 ATS following a ATS loss.  Also 7-3 ATS following a SU loss

NBA Play of the Day

We are getting good value here with the Knicks who have lost 4 in a row and failed to cover in 3 of those.  3 of those 4 games were on the road and all vs Eastern Conference Playoff teams in Cavs Celtics and Hawks.  New York will be motivated to bounce back from those 3 games.  Pistons are on a 2 game losing skid themselves.  Pistons are just 5-18 ATS L23 meetings in New York.  Pistons also just 4-9 ATS L13 road games.  

This won't be a popular play by the public but I really like this spot.  I realize the Bucks have been terrible on the road this year.  The Bucks are coming of an ugly home loss to the Raptors and this is their first road of a 4 game stretch which I expect them to play very hard.  Bucks are 5-1ATS L6 following a SU loss.  The Mavs are in a weird spot here coming off a big win vs Chicago which I had, but they have the Warriors coming to town Wednesday in a huge sandwich spot here.  Mavs are also just 2-5 ATS L7 following ATS win.  

Good spot to back Indiana here as the Hawks have won 6 in a row and covering in 5 of them.  While the Pacers are just 1-3 SU their L4.  That is why the line is short here.  I look for the Pacers to really be focused as they have a tough matchup tonight and then @ Chicago on Wednesday.  Indiana has been a really good team with a 10-4 record.  Pacers are 11-3 ATS L14 games when playing a team with a winning record.  They get up for the better teams.  

The Magic present some really good value here after losing to their rival Miami @ home last time out.  The Pelicans beat the Rockets last out but were catching them in a great spot after Houston beat the Spurs.  I expect the Magic to be motivated here after losing at home.  Going back to the first part of November the Magic haven't lost B2B home games.  Magic are 10-6 ATS at home,  8-0 ATS playing a team with a losing record,  8-2-1ATS when playing with 1 day rest.  Pelicans are just 3-14 on the road this year SU and are 1-5 ATS L6 following and ATS win

The Clippers were lucky to escape Utah with a win last game out and are still getting enough respect because of their name.  This will be their 3rd game in 4 days and also their 2nd without Griffin which I believe will catch up with them.  Wizards are playing really good ball with now even without some key players.  They have won and covered in 4 straight.  Clippers are 0-9 ATS L9 following an ATS win thats a big stat there.  Clippers are also 1-5-1 ATS L7 road games with their last game being the one they covered.  

The Clippers were on a verge of a blowout win up 28 but let the Lakers get within 10 which meant they had to play their stars a lot longer than expected.  Clippers are just 1-5 ATS L6 with zero days of rest and 0-5-1 ATS L6 road games.  Utah will be motivated coming off an ugly loss at the Warriors and are 5-1 ATS L6 following ATS loss.  Underdog is also 4-1-1 L6.  Good spot for Utah

Bulls pulled the biggest upset yesterday winning @ OKC as a 10 point dog.  Can they back it up tonight? Well Chicago is just 4-12 ATS after a win.  Mavs have had 2 days of rest and are 8-1 ATS following an ATS loss.  Bulls are still just an average team on road 5-6 SU

Rockets come off a big Christmas win vs the Spurs and the Pelicans come off a heartbreaker in losing in OT @ Miami.  I really expect the Pelicans to bounce back here and this is a good spot here begging for people to take the Rockets.  The Spurs had a terrible night shooting just 40% which ob benefitted Houston and it wasn't because the Rockets play defense because we know they don't.  Houston is just 6-8 on the road.  Underdog is 14-6-1 ATS L21

Another game going against the team who played on Christmas Day.  I was on the Heat yesterday but they were extremely lucky.  Miami 5-11 ATS after a win while Orlando is 12-4 ATS off a win.  Magic are a great home team with a 10-5 SU record.  Heat just 4-5 SU on road.  Magic will be very motivated as they are young and and still don't get the respect that big brother Miami does.  

We are getting good value here with the Hornets who have been struggling without Al Jefferson.  He returns tonight which is big.  Hornets have only won and covered in 1 of the last 6 games and Al was out for 5 of those.  Hornets are still a quality home team 11-5 SU and Memphis is just 7-9 SU on road.  Hornets are 4-1 ATS L5 with at least 2 days rest.  Memphis isnt playing great by any means either just 3-5 SU L8 

I know this isn't a popular choice but I really believe we are getting great value here with the Lakers.  The Clippers haven't been exactly clicking as of late either losing 3 in a row.  The Lakers are clearly a bad team team but their average loss at home is by 7 points and we are getting double that which is very rare in the NBA plus I think this high line has a lot to do with the blowout loss vs the Thunder.  The other reason here is simply Kobe Bryant.  This is his last Christmas day game with a huge stage.  I truly believe Kobe will have his teammates ready to play and expect a jaw dropping performance tonight.

This is a great spot to fade the Spurs on a big stage where the betting public will be all over them.  They have been playing great winning and covering 7 in row.  However, the Rockets have been playing better at home going 5-0ATS L5.  This series is also one that the home team has been dominating lately.  Home team is 6-0 ATS L6 and the Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 meetings @ Houston.  

The Heat come into this game losing to the Pistons at home and are due for big bounce back vs the Pelicans.  The Pelicans have won and covered the last two games and that is why this line is low.  I still don't believe in this team even though their players are back.  They still only beat the below average teams.  Heat will be the motivated team here for sure as they are 7-3-1 ATS after a loss. Pelicans are just 1-5 SU following a win and their average loss on the road coming by 9 points 

The Magic are quietly going about their business they are 16-12 and 9-5 at home.  Houston comes into this game extremely over valued because of their 3 game winning streak.  They beat the Lakers then caught Clippers in a great spot and won in last 20 seconds vs Hornets.  I'm still not convinced in this team.  Orlando is 11-2-1 ATS L14 And are 10-4 SU.  Magic continue to be undervalued simply because they don't have a "superstar".  

We are getting a great short line here with a home that is 11-4 SU.  Why this line is low is because Hornets have dropped 2 straight on the road but they will be the motivated team here.  The Hornets also lost to the Celtics just a little over a week ago at home.  Hornets are 10-2 ATS after allowing 100pts or more previous game. 

This line is low here with the Wizards winning and covering 2 in a row.  However, I believe all the injuries will catch up with them tonight.  That's why the line was begging for Washigton.  Memphis is 4-0 ATS with zero days rest.  Wizards 1-5 ATS L6 following SU win

NBA Play Of The Day

Raptors come here losing to the Kings at home and that is why we are seeing a generous line.  The Mavs are just 8-7 on the road but the teams they have beaten on road are lower tier teams.  Raports will be very motivated here after playing poor just like the Celtics last night.  Raptors are 5-1ATS L6 following a ATS loss showing they have good bounce back.  Mavs are just 1-4 L5 ATS following a SU win 

The Clippers opened here as the favorite but that has changed due to the public betteing the Thunder.  The Clippers were playing pretty good on a long road trip winning 4 out of the 5.  They also gave the Spurs all they could want on Friday and were in a terrible spot Saturday vs Houston and the Rockets took advantage of that.  The Thunder are still only 5-6 SU on the road this season.  I expect a big bounce back here for the Clippers after losing to Houston and that is why we are an overreaction.

Good spot here to back the Jazz after they ended a little skid vs Denver last time out.  The Suns are coming into tonights game after losing to Milwaukee last night.  The Suns are just 4-10 on the road this season and 3-7ATS L10 vs Western Conference opponents.  This series has also be owned by the home team in the previous 5 meetings.  I look for Utah to play solid defense which is what they are known for and make it difficult for the Suns guards Bledsoe and Knight who they rely on heavily in a tough back to back game

This line is set high for a reason and makes you want to take the T Wolves because of their success on the road this season.  Also Boston hasn't winning lately, but they are losing to quality opponents and have been in tough spots.  After Boston's 3 game losing streak they have no had two days off to prepare and expect them to be extremely motivated here.  The T Wolves come off a road win @ the Nets last night but this is now their 5 game in 7 days.  

I will keep backing the Magic as the general public still doesn't think this team is good.  Well the Magic are 9-4 and 8-1ATS last 9.  Hawks are just 7-6 SU on the road this season and are coming off a nice win @ Boston, but they caught them in a good spot.  

This is a great bounce back spot for Miami, playing against a weaker western conference opponent.  Miami lost last as a same favorite against Toronto who is clearly much better than Portland.  We see the value here.  Miami is a solid 11-5 @ home while Portland is 5-11.  Miami 7-3-1 ATS following a SU loss.  

NBA Play of the Day

The Bulls come into this game after playing a 4OT game last night in a losing effort vs the Pistons.  The Bulls are just 4-5 on the road this year.  I expect this line to change more as the Knicks should be favored given the spot here.  They have won 3 in a row and are playing with some confidence.  Knicks 10-2ATS L12 following a ATS win.  Knicks 6-0 ATS when playing teams with over a 60% win percentage.