I like the Jazz here tonight to bounce back against the Nuggets who are coming off a win over the Spurs, but that is with the Spurs resting players.  The Jazz have all the motivation here as they are fighting a playoff spot and are only 1 game ahead of the Rockets for the 8 seed.  The Jazz are 10-1 ATS L11 games vs team with a losing record.  Nuggets are 1-5 ATS L6 games vs team with a losing record. 

This won't be a popular play with the Clippers coming off a big road win @ Utah as a double digit underdog.  They have nothing to play for here in this game and are fully expected to sit a bunch of players.  Meanwhile, the Mavs have everything to play for as they are fighting for a playoff spot but still have a chance to get the 5 seed with Portland losing last night.  The Mavs have won 6 in a row and expect a large effort this afternoon 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

This line is a huge over reaction to the Bulls struggles.  While it's very likely they miss the playoffs I still expect them to compete and give the Cavs a game today.  The Bulls were actually favored by 4 this year @ home.  The Cavs have nothing to play for as the #1 seed is theirs.  The Bulls are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings.  Cavs are 1-7-1 ATS L9 following a loss of 10 points or more.  

I like the Celtics here tonight getting the points.  This is a team that Brad Stevens has playing really good ball winning 4 in a row.  This games means a lot to each team as they are battling for the 3 seed in the Eastern Conference.  That is huge because that means they would avoid the Cavs until Eastern Conference Finals.  The Celtics are the best team in basketball playing a 2nd of a back to back going 40-16-1 ATS L57 games on 0 days rest.  

The Spurs are resting everyone tonight so clearly they are showing they don't have much interest in this game.  While the Spurs do have very good bench this is hard for those bench players in this situation since they will be logging a lot more minutes than usually.  The young Nuggets will be up for the game tonight.

This is actually a very big game that will go under the radar.  The Mavs are only 2 games back of the Grizz and are looking to climb in the playoff race to avoid the Spurs and Warriors first round.  The Grizz are being over valued here due to their win over the Bulls.  Like the Mavs to pull away here as they have won 5 in a row.  

I'm going to go with the Magic here tonight.  The Heat are coming off a big win last ngiht over the Bulls and the Magic are come in off a loss vs the Pistons.  I realize every game counts for Miami now but this is the first of a home and home and the Magic will have plenty of motivation here to beat their in state rival.  Heat are 0-4 ATS L4 road games.  

I'm taking the Warriors here for a couple reasons.  One I'm not sure that Coach Pop will play everyone tonight.  Also the Warriors will be focused here tonight as clearly they had no interest in playing the T Wolves the other night.  Warriors beat the Spurs by 30 earlier this season when they played @ Golden St.  I like the Warriors to bounce back in a big way here tonight.  Spurs are 2-12 ATS L14 following a SU win and are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

This is a perfect spot here to back the Kings as short home favorites over the Timberwolves.  Minnesota comes into this game beating the Warriors as 14 point underdogs and are due for a major let down here tonight.  There is no way the T Wolves will bring the intensity like they did vs the Warriors.  The Kings have been playing pretty good as of late as well they have covered 6 of their last 7.  When you look back at Minnesota they won @ Thunder then followed that up by losing at Suns.  Clearly that aren't capable of back that performance up.  Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 games vs a team with losing record.  T Wolves are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs team with losing record.  

Both of these teams played on the road last night and both came away with wins.  This is a similar spot to what the Pacers are facing tonight.  This game means nothing to the Thunder as they have locked in the 3 seed.  Portland, however this game means a lot as they could get the 5th seed from Memphis but if they lose they could go to a 7 seed.  Portland has already beat the Thunder @ home this year and see no reason why they won't do it again tonight given the circumstances.  Thunder are 2-5 ATS L7 games after allowing 100 points in and Portland is 17-7 ATS L24 games after allowing 100 points previous game.  

This is a huge game for both teams as both are fighting their playoff lives.  Houston is coming off a big win which I had over the Thunder and now faces a Mavs team who has won 4 in row.  I actually believe the Mavs need this more when looking at the remaining schedule.  After this they have road games @ Clippers and Jazz and also play the Spurs.  A loss here would pretty much know them out.  The Rockets have 4 games left after tonight against 4 bad teams in the Suns Lakers Kings and T Wolves.  So a loss for them tonight wouldn't be the end.  Rockets are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win and Mavs are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU win 

This is a great spot to back the Pacers tonight vs the Cavs.  Cavs are coming off a blowout win last night vs the Bucks and now travel to rival Indiana.  The Pacers are a very desperate team right now fighting for the playoffs coming off of two road wins and having @ Toronto next they can't afford to lose tonight.  Indiana as had two days off and are 14-3 ATS L17 games playing on 2 days rest and the Pacers have are 5-0-1 ATS L6 meeting vs the Cavs.  Take the Pacers here tonight they will have a huge game 

I'm going to take the Kings here tonight as I feel like this game should be at least a PK or even the Kings favored.  Portland is coming off a hard fought game @ the Warriors and now will have to bounce back, but they have a huge look ahead with the Thunder.  The Kings are coming off a nice upset win @ Denver and I say upset because they rested their better players.  I believe the Kings will respond here tonight and get revenge on Portland just beat them by double digits on March 28th.  Portland has just 1 road win SU in last 10 games and that was @ the Pelicans who have injuries everywhere.  

I like the Jazz here tonight as they are still fighting for a playoff in the Western Conference.  A big question mark lies with what the Spurs will do for tonight's game.  Coach Pop has been on record resting his players late in the year and with the Warriors on deck I wouldn't be surprised if he chose to do that tonight.  The Spurs have nothing to play for here tonight while the Jazz have everything.  I expect a huge effort from this young team tonight.  They won't let this game get away like they did vs the Warriors.  Jazz are 9-2 ATS L11 home games vs a team with a winning road record.  

We are getting good value here with the Heat @ home tonight.  They are coming off a blowout loss @ Portland, but Wade sat out that game.  Why this line is low is because Wade is questionable for tonight's game.  To me it doesn't matter if he plays or not I would still back the Heat.  This is a huge game for both teams as the Pistons are looking to make the playoffs while the Heat have a chance for the 3 seed.  The Pistons are coming off a an upset win @ Chicago and are getting respect because of that.  Heat are 5-0 ATS L5 games following a loss of 10 or more points 

This won't be a popular play, but the Lakers are in a very good spot here.  They are coming off a big upset win over the Heat and have had 3 days off since that win.  The Celtics couldn't be more overvalued because they did something no other team had done this year and that was beating the Warriors @ Golden St.  It's very difficult to bounce back from a game like that and expect a let down here.  Celtics are just 2-7 ATS L9 road games. 

The Magic are playing very well right now late in the season winning 3 of their last 4 but their last game was a tough spot being a 2nd of a back to back.  I see the Magic responding here tonight with the Grizzlies who keep on slipping.  The Grizz have lost 5 in a row and with how banged up they are with injuries everywhere I see them losing again tonight.  Magic are 5-1 ATS L6 home game vs team with a losing road record.  

I look for the Rockets to bounce back here Sunday vs the Thunder.  The Thunder have nothing to play for here as they are locked into the 3 seed for the playoffs.  The Rockets have everything to play for as if the season ended today they would be out of the playoffs.  Falling 2 games back would be very difficult this late in the season to make the playoffs.  I like the Rockets to bounce back from a tough loss vs the Bulls on Thursday night.  The Rockets seem to give the Thunder great games as they are 5-0 ATS L5 games 

Portland comes in off a very impressive victory over the Celtics Thursday night and are still fighting for a playoff spot as they are only 2 games ahead for the 8th seed.  You can't afford to lose home games late in the year.  I'm not so worried about the look ahead with the Warriors tomorrow night as they will give a max effort here knowing they probably lose @ Warriors.  The Heat played last night and blew a big lead in the 4th.  They will once again be without Wade and Bosh tonight and I think this will be hard for them to play back to back with a limited bench.  Portland is 8-3 ATS L11 games vs team with winning record. 

CENTRAL DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR!

The Bulls come into this game winning two hard games on the road @ Indiana & @ Houston.  Generally yes, you would play against a small favorite coming home in this situation, but the Bulls can't afford to lose anymore games if they wanna make the playoffs.  The Bulls have 3 road games in a row after this game tonight so if they were to lose it would knock them out of the playoffs.  The line is low here since Rose is out for the Bulls.  I actually like how the Bulls play without Rose anyways.    

We are getting really good value here with the Celtics who I lost with last night, but have no problem backing them on a back to back as they are one of the best teams in the league ATS in this situation with a 39-16-1 ATS record on 0 days rest.  The Warriors were very lucky the other night @ Utah and somehow they covered which is why this line is high.  The Celtics are still one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and they have a lot to play for with seeds 3-6 being a toss up.  The Warriors have locked up the #1 seed since the Spurs will be resting their guys for remainder of season.  I know the Warriors are trying to break the record, but this will be their 7th game in 12 days.  

The Heat are coming off a terrible loss @ Lakers the other night and will be the more motivated and focused team here tonight.  The Kings are coming off a nice win over the Wizards which I had, but they caught them in a good spot as the Wizards were on a back to back.  The Heat actually have a lot to play for with the seeds 3-6 being to tight in the Eastern Conference.  Also at the end of the game vs the Wizards Cousins received a technical which puts him out for tonight's game and that is a huge loss for them.  The Heat will have no problem exposing them in the paint tonight.  Heat are 20-7 ATS L27 road games vs home team with a losing record.   

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I like the value here we are getting with the Bucks.  The Magic have had 3 blowout wins in a row including an impressive one last night @ Indiana as a big underdog.  This will be a tough spot for them tonight on a back to back which is giving us the value with Milwaukee.  I was on the Bucks last game vs the Suns and was very impressed that when the Suns came all the way back Milwaukee didn't fold and in fact they battled back to win by double digits.  Jason Kidd will not let this young team quit and this is a perfect spot for them at a short price tonight. 

I don't think the average fan will realize it, but the Celtics have a lot to play for here.  They sit in 4th place currently tied with the Heat and Hornets, but are only 1 game back of the 3rd spot.  Getting the 3 seed is crucial as that means that would avoid the Cavs until the conference finals.  With the Celtics coming off an ugly performance vs the Clippers and have had two days off I see a max effort here tonight.  Portland has won two in a row, but over the Sixers and Kings nothing to be impressed about.  The Celtics have played very well in Portland going 8-2 ATS L10 meetings.  Portland is also just 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

As the season continues to come to an end the Bulls find themselves still 2 games behind the Pacers after beating them last game.  This line is very inflated as the Rockets are coming off a crazy comeback @ Cleveland, but that was without LeBron.  I honestly question if the Cavs are even a playoff team without LeBron so I'm not very impressed with that.  The Bulls won't be getting much love because of their recent play, but they still have everything to play for here and every game is a must win now in order to make the playoffs.  Rockets are 0-4 ATS L4 games following a SU win and are just 2-6 ATS L8 home games.  

LATE NIGHT SPECIAL 

I really like the value we are getting here with Kings.  I actually thought they would be favored in this one.  This is a very difficult spot for the Wizards playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and 2nd of a back to back.  Coming off an extremely hard fought game vs the Warriors where they gave everything they had.  It's hard to bring that intensity to a game like this.  The Kings lost by 12 their last game, but is very misleading as they rested Rondo Gay and Cousins.  So their 3 main players have ad two days off. Prior to the rest taking place they did win two straight.  Don't let the close game last night with Warriors fool ya I see the Kings taking advantage of a tired team here.  

The Jazz have been a great surprise this season and wouldn't be shocked if they pull the upset tonight over the Warriors.  If you remember when the Warriors played @ Utah earlier they had to come back from a big hole and won by 3.  The Jazz remember that all to well.  This will be the Warriors 6th game in 10 days and 2nd of a back to back.  The Jazz will have plenty of motivation as they will be trying extra hard to make the playoffs as they are currently in the 7th spot, but one loss could knock them down to 9.  The Jazz have won 4 of 5 and 8 of 10 with both losses on road @ Bulls and @ Thunder nothing to hand your head on.  Jazz are 9-1 ATS L10 home games vs team with a winning road record.  Home team is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings 

This is all about the motivation here for these two teams.  The Knicks laid an absolute egg @ Pelicans which is telling me they are done for the year.  The Pelicans team has so many injuries and yet the Knicks could have cared less.  The Mavs, however have a lot to play for.  This is a must win game here to stay in the playoff picture with Utah and Houston.  Knicks are 4-10 ATS L14 games playing on 1 days rest and Prozingis is doubtful for tonight as well.  Mavs played hard last game @ Denver and will do the same tonight 

The Bucks are coming off an ugly loss to the Hornets @ home and I expect them to bounce back here tonight after having 3 days off.  This is a young team and I don't believe Jason Kidd will allow these guys to call it quits for the season.  Also the Bucks have lost 5 in a row, but all 5 of those were to playoff teams.  The Suns gave a lot of effort in making a comeback @ Minnesota, but I don't see them having any interest in tonight's game.  The Suns are a terrible road team going     7-30 SU.  The Bucks are 9-1 ATS L10 games after losing 2 in a row by double digits or more.  Suns are 3-11 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points previous game.  Suns are also 11-22 ATS when being a road underdog this season.

NBA TOP PLAY!

I'm backing the Raptors here as they are coming off an ugly loss to the Thunder where they were just outplayed from the get go in that game.  Atlanta is coming off a nice road win @ Chicago and have won 9 out of their L10 which is why we are getting a short price here.  Tough spot for the Hawks as they have the Cavs coming to town next and are due for a let down here after a nice win over the Bulls.  The Raptors will be highly motivated and will need a win to keep the Hawks away from stealing their #2 seed in the East.  The Raptors have won all 3 meetings this year and with 3 of their next 4 on the road I expect them to take care of business again 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I was against the Thunder last night and will be against them again here as they are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Raptors were flat out horrible last night and the Thunder lights out.  The Pistons have a lot to fight for here as they are trying to get in the playoffs.  Also the Thunder do have the Clippers on deck making this spot a little bit harder as well.  The Pistons have had two days off and coming off an ugly home loss vs the Hawks.  They will be the more motivated team here tonight and you can't trust the Thunder to cover two in a row on the road with a road ATS of 12-21

This is another game where I like the spot.  The Nets are still getting some respect because of their wins over the Cavs and Pacers.  Now they are playing their 2nd in a back to back and have the Cavs on deck again.  The Magic had a nice win over the Bulls Saturday night, but the public won't be giving them any credit due to the Bulls recent struggles.  Also the Magic have had two days of rest and are getting Oladipo and Vucevic back tonight as well.  Nets are 1-5 ATS L6 games playing on 0 days rest.  Magic are 14-2 ATS after playing a home game as an underdog.  

This may look like a big number since both teams have bad records, but I see Minnesota controlling this one from the start.  The home team has won and covered in their 3 meetings this year, but the Timberwolves absolutely destroyed the Suns @ Minnesota earlier by 30 as 4 point favorites.  The T Wolves lost @ the Suns 2 weeks ago but that was only by 3 points.  Minnesota hasn't gave up on their season since they are a young team.  They did beat the Kings @ home as 4 point favorites who are better than the Suns and also won in double OT @ the Wizards.  The Suns are 2-3 their L5 games but both wins came against the Lakers so not very impressive.  Suns are 1-8 ATS L9 road games vs team with a losing home record.  

EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE YEAR

The Bulls aren't getting any respect here due to their 3 game skid which including 2 losses to the Knicks and a terrible performance @ Orlando in getting blown out.  The Bulls are still without a doubt one of the most talented teams in the league.  They currently sit in the 9th spot and this is an absolute must win game for them as 5 out of their next 6 are on the road.  This will be the Hawks 4th game in 6 days and have the Raptors and Cavs looking ahead for them.  I just can't street enough how crucial this game is for the Bulls and they will have a max effort here vs the Hawks who have beat them 3 times already but won't make it a 4th!  Take the Bulls here you won't be disappointed 

NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH!

The Thunder have been playing better but I was very surprised to see them favored @ Toronto who is a very good home team.  The Thunder have won 7 in a row but most of those were to lesser teams and the Spurs win doesn't count as a quality win since they rested their whole team.  The Raptors are getting ready to make a big playoff run this year and will be up for the Thunder tonight.  The Thunder are also terrible on the road vs the spread,  as they are 11-21 ATS on the road.  The Raptors are 6-0 ATS L6 home games vs team with a winning record and have a home record of 28-8.

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

I like this spot to back the Pacers as they are coming off a bad loss last night vs the Nets while the Rockets are coming off a big win @ home over the Raptors.  Rockets 0-4 AS L4 after scoring 100 or more and have lost 3 consecutive road games.  Pacers are 5-1 ATS L6 following a SU loss 

Both of these teams play last night in losing efforts.  Hornets made a crazy comeback @ Detroit late but just ran out of time.  The Bucks will be playing their 5th game in seven days and are coming off 3 road games as well.  The motivation here will be with the Hornets as they are right in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff race.  Bucks are 3-7 ATS L10 home games vs team with a losing record.  Play against home underdogs after playing 2 consecutive road games and playing on back to back days  64%! 

TOP NBA PLAY!

This is really a do or die spot here for the Bulls as they dropped two games in a row to the Knicks and have fell out of the 8 spot by 2 games.  They simply can't afford another loss here with the Hawks coming to town followed by two tough road games.  The Bulls didn't play last night while the Magic had a hard fought game vs division rival Miami.  The Magic aren't playing well themselves as they have lost 6 in a row.  Bulls are 5-2 ATS L7 games after losing by 10 or more the previous games.  The Bulls also return Gasol to the lineup and the Magic could be without Oladipo and llyasova.  

This game here is all about motivation.  The Rockets are still playing to try and make the playoffs, meanwhile, the Raptors pretty much have locked up the 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.  With the Rockets coming off an home loss to the Jazz and tough road games @ Indiana & @ Cavs on deck I see a max effort here in a must win game to stay alive for playoff hunt 

TOP NBA PLAY!

The Hornets are getting way to much respect here.  Sure they have been playing good ball as of late but they have benefited from playing a ton of home games.  In fact this will only be their 3rd road game this month.  The Pistons are playing well also winning 4 of their last 5 and they have a lot of motivation riding as they are in the hunt for a playoff spot.  This Pistons are a solid 23-12 @ home and meanwhile the Hornets aren't a great road just 14-19.  Pistons are 15-5-1 ATS L21 home games vs team with a losing road record.

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

This is a nice short price here on the Clippers who have been struggling as of late losing 3 in row.  They lost by double digits last night @ the Warriors and look for a big bounce from them tonight.  The Trailblazers played as well last night and beat the Mavs by 6.  I really believe they are in for a tough one tonight given this spot.  The last meeting the Clippers were favored by 3.5 @ Portland so clearly there is a ton of value with the Clippers only laying 4.5 @ home given that.  

This is a great spot to back the Suns tonight as the Lakers are coming off a nice upset win over the Grizzlies, but they also caught the Grizz on a back to back.  Believe it or not the Suns were favored by 11 earlier in the season over the Lakers @ home and covered!!  That is pretty remarkable when you think about it.  The Suns will be motivated here and don't trust the Lakers on the road as they are 5-30 SU so this short line shouldn't be a problem.  

This is a great spot to back to the Jazz who will be hungry for a win tonight considering they are battling for the 8th spot with the Rockets.  The Rockets just played a heck of a game last night vs the Thunder but came up short and now on a back to back this line wants you to take them here.  The Jazz however are well rested having two days off so expect a max effort here.  Rockets are 2-8 ATS L10 games playing on zero days rest.  Rockets also just 1-6 ATS L7 home games. 

This is a huge game for the Celtics tonight and love the price we are getting with them.  The Raptors have won 7 of 8 including a recent win over Boston by double digits.  The Celtics will be giving it their all tonight for several reason.  1.  They have a big 5 game west coast trip coming up which will be difficult,  also seeds 3-6 in the Eastern Conference are only divided by half a game, and last is the revenge factor.  The Raptors have beat the Celtics every meeting this year it won't happen tonight.  Raptors are 3-9-1 ATS L13 meetings in Boston.  

NBA UNDERDOG SPECIAL

This is a very tough spot for the Grizzles who just upset the Clippers @ home last night as 9 point underdogs.  Now they travel all the way to Phoenix where the Suns are well rested and have had two days.  The Grizzlies are also very banged up still with a ton of players out.  The Suns won't get much respect because of their record, but they already won @ Memphis two weeks ago.  Also the Suns have been playing better with the return of Knight as they are 4-4 SU L8.  Considering they only have 19 wins that is playing well for them.  

We are getting good value here with the Wizards who are finally starting to get healthy.  The Hawks have won 5 in a row with the last two being by double digits.  They were only favored by 8 over the Nuggets @ home and the Wizards are clearly 1 point better than the Nuggets.  The Wizards also have a lot to play for here as the season is winding down they need a big run to make the playoffs.  I expect a lot of effort here from them tonight as they have won 4 in a row themselves and are being under valued here.  

I think to much is being made of the Clippers so called recent struggles.  Their losses were @ OKC home to Cavs and @ Spurs all elite teams.  Now they are catching points @ Houston.  Rockets are being over valued winning 4 of their last 5.  I really think the Clippers ware desperate here and will come out with the win.  Clippers are 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss. 

The Pistons were embarrassed last time out losing 81-124 @ the Wizards.  The Hawks are coming in off a blowout win vs the Pacers.  I really see a big bounce back here for the Pistons as they are still in the playoff hunt and need every win they can grab especially at home.  This is just a one game road trip for the Hawks so I don't any motivation here with them.  After the Piston suffered a blowout loss @ the Knicks they returned home and had an easy victory over the Trailblazers.  

This line really surprised me here with a very good home team catching this many points.  The Thunder are coming of a blowout win over the Trailblazers, but they had to following 2 straight loses.  The Celtics deserve more respect here with a 23-11 home record.  They are coming off a tough loss last night and will be ready for tonight.  The Thunder are also a terrible 9-20 ATS on the road this season.  Celtics are 9-3-1 ATS L13 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60% and the Thunder are 5-11 ATS L16 on road games vs a home team with a winning percentage above 60%

NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP

We are getting good value here with the Clippers as they are coming off an embarrassing @ home vs the Cavs.  I expect the Clippers to be very motivated here as they are just 2-3 SU their last 5.  The Spurs are coming off a big home win in a come back vs the Thunder.  The Clippers are 8-1 ATS L9 games following a SU loss and ar3 3-0-1 ATS L4 games following a double digit home loss.  Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 games following a SU win and are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs a team with a winning record.  

NBA BLOWOUT WINNER

I like the Magic here at a short price vs the hot Denver Nuggets who are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Nuggets gave everything they had last night vs the Heat and have covered 5 in a row and that is why the line is low.  The Magic are 1-4 SU their last 5 and are coming off a 4 game west coast road trip but have had two days.  Orlando is also expected to get back Payton and Jennings tonight which is key.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 games following a loss by 10 or more points 

The Jazz have won 2 in a row both by double digits and like them to carry on the momentum here.  The Cavs are coming off a blowout win over the Clippers yesterday and will be getting all the public love.  The Jazz have a lot to play here as they are fighting for a spot in the Western Conference playoffs.  Cavs are 8-19 ATS L27 games after two consecutive wins by 10 or more points.  Jazz are 8-1 ATS l9 homes games vs a team with a winning road record.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Suns have dropped 3 games in a row including a close loss @ the Warriors.  The betting public is missing one major key here because they want noting to do with the Suns.  Eric Bledsoe returned from injury and that is huge for them as he is immediately their best player.  Also the T Wolves caught the Thunder in a perfect spot when they beat them last and it's simply an over reaction.  Play against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog then playing a team with a losing record.  30-8 ATS 79%!

The Wizards need a win and need one bad if they want to play in the post season this year.  They come in losing 5 in a row and failed to cover in all of those contests.  However, 4 of those 5 were on the road and their home loss only by 1 to Indiana.  I expect a big effort from them tonight.  The Pistons are coming off a 14 pt win @ the Sixers and this will be their 4th consecutive road game in 6 days.  I doubt they play with much motivation here given they have already won twice on this road trip an return home for 8 games in row.  Pistons are 1-8 ATS L9 games playing on 1 days rest and Wizards are 5-2 ATS L7 home games. 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pacers played with a lot of effort last night after having a few days off and are returning home after this game for a 5 game home stand.  I think the Pacers will be looking ahead to that as they have the Celtics Raptors and Thunder coming which are all big games.  The Hawks are playing good basketball going 6-2 their last 8 with losses coming @ Warriors and @ Raptors.  They played pretty sloppy last night vs a Memphis team battling injuries and clearly weren't interested in that game.  Pacers are 7-15 ATS L22 games @ Atlanta and are 5-13 ATS L18 playing on 0 days rest

This is a really tough spot here for the Pelicans who are very banged up from a lot of injuries.  They also just played last night in a losing effort @ Memphis in which that game went to OT.  Thin bench as I have mentioned now playing @ Bucks I see no motivation here for the Pelicans and they also have the Warriors on deck Monday night.  The Bucks are still fighting and are coming off a nice win vs the Heat.  I don't see a let down here as they have had two days off after that game.  This is a young team that wants to end the season on a high note.  Bucks are a solid home team with a 19-12 record and Pelicans are a pathetic 7-25 on the road.  

I'm gonna roll with the Hornets again here tonight as they won for me last night.  They are quietly playing some of the best basketball right now.  They have won 6 in a row and have covered in 5 of those.  Why we are getting a nice price here despite that is because the Rockets have won 3 road games in a row.  The Rockets pulled off a nice upset last night @ Boston, but I don't see them being able to win 4 in a row and especially on back to back nights it's very difficult.  I believe they will be content here as they have a winning road record during this current trip.  Rockets are 2-6 ATS L8 games playing on 0 days rest.  Hornets are 7-0 ATS L7 games following a win by 10 points or more.  

NON CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE DAY 

I really feel like the Mavs are in a must win game here.  They have dropped their last 3 home games in a row which is he first time all yer that has happened and I see them being extra motivated here tonight to end that streak.  They are tied with the Rockets for the 7th and 8th spot, but the Jazz are lurking.  Mavs have had two days off which will help them because their schedule gets very tough from here.  Pacers have had a rare 4 days off and don't see much motivation from them tonight as they have Eastern Conference Rival Atlanta tomorrow.  The Pacers are coming off a big win over the Spurs as well which I had.  Pacers are 2-7-1 ATS L10 games following a SU win.  

I like the Jazz to bounce back here tonight vs the Wizards who aren't exactly playing quality ball either.  The Wizards have only covered 2 out of their L7 road games and that was to the Sixers and the Timberwolves.  The Jazz are 19-13 @ home but have lost 3 straight @ home and don't see them dropping one tonight.  Wizards are 0-5 ATS L5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

Both teams are extremely banged up, but the Grizzlies have it a lot worse than the Pelicans.  This line is begging you to take Memphis @ home but they may only have 8 in uniform.  They will also be missing 4 starters and I just don't see how they can overcome this tonight.  Pelicans are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss.  

Both of these teams have been playing extremely well as of late.  I will take the home team here as the Pistons are due for a letdown coming off two big wins.  The Hornets are 23-9 @ home while the Pistons are just 14-20 on the road.  Pistons are 1-7 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest.  Hornets are 7-1 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting a nice short price here on the Raptors due for a couple reason.  The Raptors have only covered 1 game in their last 5 and had to come back against the Nets @ home, but I believe they were looking ahead to this one.  The other reason is that the Hawks are riding a 3 game road winning streak.  Hawks were very lucky to escape @ Denver with a victory because the Nuggets shot 35%.  Raptors are 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs a team with a winning record.  

MARQUEE SHOWDOWN

This is a game the Thunder have had circled a week ago since blowing a huge 4th quarter lead @ the Clippers.  The Thunder controlled 90% of the game, but had some costly turnovers down the stretch and that was the difference.  I expect a big effort from Durant and Westbrook here tonight.  The Thunder have had two days off and they are 5-1 ATS L6 games having that.  Clippers are 4-10 ATS L24 games following a ATS win.  Thunder are 27-9-2 ATS L38 home games vs a road team with a winning percentage greater than 60% 

NON CONFERENCE BLOWOUT WINNER

We are getting a nice short price here on the Mavs who have lost and not covered 3 in a row.  The Mavs are still in the hunt for the playoffs, but they can't afford to lose to teams that are equal or less than them like the Pistons.  Detroit is getting some respect here because they are coming off a 20 point blow out win over the Trailblazers and have won 4 of their L6.  Pistons are 2-6 ATS L8 road games. Mavs are 4-1 ATS L5 games playing on 1 day rest.  

We are getting good value here with the Jazz as a short home favorite.  The Jazz snapped a 5 game losing skid last time out @ Pelicans.  I believe this young team will try and rally here as they are fighting for the 8th spot in the Western Conference.  The Hawks have covered 5 in a row but I think they are due for a letdown here coming off a win @ the Clippers and have Eastern Conference rival the Raptors next.  Atlanta is 16-33 ATS L49 games playing on 2 days rest.  

I don't think the Nuggets are getting enough credit here tonight as the Knicks are coming off a big victory over the Pistons as underdogs.  Nuggets were lucky escape with a win vs the Mavs but the Knicks are a terrible team on the road with just 10 wins. 

I hit my TOP PLAY winner with the Bulls last game vs the Rockets and will back them again tonight.  The Bulls are still being under valued here because of that 4 game losing skid when Jimmy Butler was out.  The Bucks are coming off a hard fought game last night vs the Thunder and it's very difficult for the lower quality teams to play with that intensity back to back nights against tough competition.  Bucks are just 1-6 ATS L7 meetings @ Chicago.  

We are getting good value here on the Pacers since they have been struggling lately.  I believe they can ride a little momentum in this game coming off a hard fought road win @ Washington.  The Pacers in my opinion are still a quality Eastern Conference team and I just don't see the Spurs blowing them out.  The last time these teams met were @ the Spurs and they were favored by 9 so if adjusting for Pacers home court the line should be around 3.  Also if you look back at the recent road games for the Spurs like the Pelicans Kings those lines were only between 8-10 and the Pacers are way better home team than those two.  I expect a battle here tonight.  Indiana is 4-1-1 ATS L6 games playing a team with a winning percentage greater than 60% 

This may look like a big number, but the Hornets aren't getting enough credit here as they have been playing really basketball as of late.  They are 9-2 SU their L11 and look for them to roll tonight.  I really don't trust Minnesota in this spot either as they are coming off a blowout win over the Nets @ home.  Somehow the T Wolves shot 68% from the field which is unheard of.  There is no way that happens again and they also have the Spurs on deck tomorrow night @ home.  Minnesota is 1-8-1 ATS L10 games after scoring 125 points or more in the previous game.  Hornets are 6-1 ATS L7 games when their opponent scores 100 or more point the previous game.  

This line here is solely base off of last night's performance.  The Pistons played the Knicks at the wrong time.  The Knicks shot 53% from the field and when a team does that your in for a long night.  Portland is still getting a lot of love here since they took the Raptors down to the wire Friday night, but this will be their 6th road game in 9 days!  I look for the Pistons to bounce back from last night especially since they have a 4 game road trip coming up as well.  The Pistons are 4-0 ATS L4 games playing on 0 days rest.  

I normally don't like to play on teams in the NBA that have a big game ahead of them the next day like the Grizzlies do with the Cavs, but I don't seem them looking past the Suns here who just recently beat them @ Phoenix.  The Suns also just destroyed the Magic Friday night and are being way over valued as they have won just 5 road games.  I look for the Grizzlies to really take it to them as the Suns are just 5-21 ATS L26 road games.  Suns are also 1-10 ATS L11 games following a SU win.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Bulls have lost 4 in row and during that stretch that have failed to cover in all 4 of those.  They key here is that Jimmy Butler is expected to return which they badly need.  Rockets have no business being favored here with a 13-17 road record.  The Bulls will be extra motivated as they are actually outside the playoffs if ended today.  The Bulls have also had 2 days off to get back on track.  Rockets are 1-4 ATS L5 game following a SU win.  I really believe the Bulls will put forth a huge effort here.

ESPN SHOWDOWN

I really believe this is a good spot here to back to Cavs who will be extra motivated playing tonight after having 3 days off.  Also the Cavs just lost @ Washington last week, but that was without LeBron and I really look for him to make a statement tonight on the National TV stage.  The Cavs won't be a popular choice like they always are since they have only covered 2 out of their last 8.  Also the Wizards have been winning games but it has been against bad competition.  Out of the Wizards L10 road games they have gave up 100 points or more 7 times and that's not counting the 99 and 98 so clearly they have defense issues especially on the road.  I realize Love is out as well but that doesn't worry me as the Cavs are fresh here.  

When you see a very strange line like this it requires looking into.  The Grizzlies have won 4 of 5 and are 22-9 @ home yet only favored by 1 over the Jazz who have lost 4 in row?  Doesn't make much sense... The Grizzlies have really benefited here from having an easy schedule with Gasol being out.  Also the Jazz are fighting for the 8th spot in the West and I really believe they will be extra motivated tonight to end this skid.  The Jazz will present problems for the Grizzlies down low without Gasol.  Also their best defender in Tony Allen is out tonight.  The Jazz will bounce back here tonight and get the W 

There is still a lot of respect given here to Portland who has been impressive.  I believe most people will look at this as a bounce back spot, but this is their 5th road game in 7 days.  Also we saw what the Celtics did to the trailblazers last out and that is largely in part of their defense.  The Raptors play defense as well and I see Portland struggling again tonight.  Raptors are 8-3 ATS L11 home games.  Another key here is that as the season winds down Toronto will be giving max effort to keep their 2 seed so that can dodge the Cavs until Eastern Conference Finals

After really looking over this closely I decided to make a play with the Thunder.  Everyone knows about their game last Saturday where Curry hit the game winner.  Also the Thunder blew a huge 4th quarter lead vs the Clippers last night and I expect Durant and Westbrook to be on a mission tonight.  The Thunder dominated the glass out rebounding the Warriors by 30 yes 30!!!!  Also Curry was 12-16 from the three point line, while everyone knows he is unbelievable I doubt we see 12 threes from him and he isn't exactly 100%.  They key in the game was turnovers Thunder turned it over 22 times while the Warriors only did 11.  That was also what hurt the Thunder late last night.  I really believe they will clean it up and bounce back here as they know this is a huge game.  Warriors are 4-10-1 ATS L15 games playing on 1 day rest.  

NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP

The Thunder are getting a little to much respect here as they come into this game blowing out the Kings.  Since all star break the Thunder are just 2-4 SU.  In their only match up so far this season the Thunder made a huge come back @ the Clippers and I don't see the Clippers letting them do that tonight.  Also the Thunder have a big rematch look ahead game with the Warriors tomorrow night.  I really look for the Clippers to be focused here tonight and get it done.  Thunder are 2-8 ATS L10 following a SU win.  Thunder just 3-10 ATS L13 road games.  Clippers are 13-3-2 ATS L18 games following an ATS loss.  Clippers also 6-1 ATS L7 home games vs team with a winning record. 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I was against Portland last night and will be against them again tonight.  They are obviously a hot team and are 8-2 ATS L10 but last night they benefited from New York shooting a pathetic 37% @ home.  This is a tough spot here for Portland as the Celtics are no joke.  This will be Portland's 4th game in 5 days and all on the road. They are due for a major let down tonight and the Celtics are the team to do it with how they play defense.  Boston has won 4 of 5 so it's not like they are playing bad ball right now.  Celtics are 5-0 ATS L5 games vs team with a winning record.  Portland is just 4-13-1 ATS L18 road games vs a team with with a winning percentage greater than .60  

There is no doubt that Portland is one of hottest teams in the league besides the Warriors.  This will be Portland's 3rd road game in 4 days.  The Knicks are coming off an ugly double digit loss @ home vs the Heat and expect them to respond here tonight.  These teams met back in December @ Portland and the Knicks were only 3.5 point dogs at their place and they came away with the win.  So clearly now being 5.5 point dogs @ home they are presenting good value here.  Portland is 4-10-1 ATS L15 game in New York 

NBA Underdog Special

This game here is more about motivation.  The Rockets are coming off a loss vs the Spurs and I just don't see them having any interest in playing the Bucks.  The Bucks are in a crucial spot here as they just started a 7 out 8 game home stand with a loss.  The Bucks are only 6 games out of the 8th spot and I don't see this young team throwing in the towel.  So with a lot of home games as I have stated I see them rallying here late in the season.  Rockets are just 6-15 ATS L21 games vs the Eastern Conference.  

I believe we are seeing a big number here between conference rivals for a reason.  The Cavs are coming off 2 losses in a row granted both were on the road and yesterday LeBron didn't play.  So I see LeBron returning and getting his team very motivated here as they have 4 home games in a row now.  The Pacers haven't been playing very well either as they have dropped 2 in a row @ home and have failed to cover in 4 consecutive games.  Pacers are 3-13 ATS L16 games playing on 0 days rest.  Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS L6 playing on 0 days rest.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

This is a great spot to back Pacers here as they will be extra motivated coming off a close loss.  Meanwhile, Portland is due for a let down after beating Chicago last night.  The Pacers aren't getting enough credit here they their only losses after all star break was in OT @ Miami and a 1 point loss their last game vs Hornets.  Indiana has 6 of their next 7 on the road so they will be focused today.  Portland is 3-7 ATS L10 playing on 0 days rest.  Pacers are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss. 

TOP NBA PLAY!

I was against the Thunder last time out vs the Pelicans as I thought they would be looking ahead to the Warriors and sure enough they were.  The Warriors are clearly the public's team as they have been nothing short of spectacular all year long.  OKC is just 1-3 since all star break and they will be desperate here as they have a tough 4 game road trip coming up including a game @ Warriors.  OKC will be ready here tonight there is no doubt in my mind.  Warriors are just 4-10 ATS L14 games playing on 1 day rest.  Thunder are 27-9-1 ATS L37 home games vs a team with a winning percentage greater than 60%.  Warriors are also just 1-6 ATS L7 meetings @ OKC 

I believe we are getting more than a fair price here on the Mavs.  Mavs are coming off a 13 point blowout loss to the Thunder while the Nuggets are coming off a huge road win @ Clippers as a double digit dog.  I see a motivated Mavs team here as they are still in playoff hunt and a letdown spot here for the Nuggets who have only won back to back road games once this season.  Mavs are 9-3 ATS L12 games following a loss by 10 or more points.  Nuggets are 1-3-1 L5 meetings in Dallas.  

We are seeing a high line here for reason.  The Bulls are obviously banged up but they have won 3 in a row and covered 4 in a row which will attract the public here.  Atlanta has lost 3 home games in a row and will be extra motivated here as they have dominated the Bulls in both meetings this season.  The Hawks also have had 3 days off here following their skid to get focused and ready for this one.  Atlanta is 10-2 ATS L12 home games following a double digit loss @ home.  Bulls are 2-9 ATS L11 games playing on 1 day rest 

I realize the Knicks haven't been winning games but coming off a hard fought loss @ Indiana and with 4 of the next 5 @ home I expect a big effort from them tonight.  Also if the Knicks have any playoffs hopes as they are 5 games out of it right now they need to win these upcoming home games which I believe they will.  Magic are in a tough spot here coming off an emotional game vs the Warriors which I believe there isn't much left in the tank.  Also this is the Magic's 4th game in 6th days.  Magic are 4-10-1 ATS L15 meeting vs the Knicks.  

I see a lot of value here with the Suns tonight.  This has to be the first time ever in the NBA that a team with only 4 road wins is favored on the road.  The betting public will want nothing to do with the Suns as they haven't won since January 23rd, and are coming off a 40 point blowout.  I was on the Nuggets last night as the Clippers were coming off the blowout win and we know what happened.  The Suns will bounce back here in a big way tonight as they know they are better than the Nets.  Nets are 4-10-1 ATS L15 meetings in Phoenix.  

The betting public will be back all over the Thunder again as they covered easily last night @ Dallas.  This is obviously the 2nd of a back to back and the Thunder have the Warriors coming to town Saturday night.  The Pelicans were blown out last game @ Washington and I expect a big effort out of them tonight.  The Thunder are just 7-17 ATS on the road this season and I doubt they can cover 2 in a row on road in back to back nights.  

We are getting good value here with the Heat who have won and covered 3 in a row.  The Warriors are just favored by 6 over the Hawks and I believe Miami is a tougher opponent for the Warriors.  This is also the Warriors 4th consecutive away game and they have only covered once which was last out during this trip.  Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 games after scoring more than 100 points.  The Warriors are 1-4 ATS L5 games after scoring 100 points or more.  

This is more of play against the Pistons which I believe is an inflated line because of their big win @ Cavs.  The Pistons won't have near the intensity in this game and are due for a let down.  Prior to beating the Cavs the Pistons were on a game 5 game losing streak and also didn't cover in any of those.  The Sixers have also scored over 100 points in the L4 games and Detroit gives up 99.6 @ home so I don't see a blow out coming.  Pistons are 0-7 ATS L7 games playing on 0 days rest.  They are also 1-6 ATS L7 following a SU win. 

This is one of those back to back double headers here for the Kings as they just squeaked by the Nuggets.  I doubt he Kings will play with much energy here tonight since they just beat them and have the Spurs on deck.  Nuggets will be looking for revenge 

Getting good price with Wizards here who were in a very tough spot last out vs Heat as it was their 3rd game in 3 days.  Pelicans are overvalued here as Davis is coming off a monster game but the Pelicans are just 7-21 on the road this season 

This line is screaming to take the Blazers here as they have won 4 in a row and just coming off a huge win vs the Warriors.  This is a major letdown spot as they won't have near the focus tonight vs the Jazz.  The Jazz are quietly playing some very good basketball winning 8 out of their L10 games.  The road team has covered 7 out of the last 10 here and the Jazz are 9-4 ATS L13 games @ Portland. 

This is a tough spot here for Indiana as they are coming off a big win @ the Thunder.  They also have to Heat tomorrow night which I'm sure they are looking more forward to that game.  The Magic have won 3 of their last 4 and present good value here as they have covered 7 of the last 8.  Pacers are 0-6 ATS L6 following an ATS win.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 vs a team with a winning record. 

Really like the Heat tonight as they catch the Wizards in a weird spot.  This will be the Wizards 3rd game in 3 nights and they are coming off two wins since all star break.  Miami won their game last night @ Atlanta and expect them to carry the momentum over here.  

I think we are seeing a big over reaction here to the Bulls losing streak.  Sure they lost ugly to the Cavs but that was at their place and I expect a big bounce back from them tonight.  Just last out vs the Raptors they were only 4pt dogs at their place.  Raptors are 0-7 ATS L7 meetings. 

I'm not sure the Hornets deserved to be favored here and think their last blowout win @ Indiana has played a lot in this line.  The Hornets are just 8-17 on the road this season while the Bucks haven;t played well, they do play well at home going going 15-8 so far.  The Bucks are a young team and had two nice wins before all star break and I expect them to play with a lot of fire this 2nd half

I like the Magic here tonight as they are coming out of all star break winning 2 in row vs the Hawks and took the Spurs down to the wire only losing by 2.  The Mavs have dropped 4 of 5and I don't see them being to interested tonight.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 vs team with a winning record.  Mavs are 1-5 ATS L6 road games.