Late NBA add... 

The Bucks are being undervalued here due to their loss against the Pelicans that should wake them up enough and make them motivated for a big bounce back here. Memphis is still struggling injuries and Parsons is questionable and Allen is out.  This young Bucks team will respond here after an ugly performance 

This is a great spot here for the young T Wolves tonight.  They have had 2 days rest here and are just playing their 3 home game of the season.  The Clippers will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and 2nd on a back to back.  They are coming off a hard fought win last night @ Thunder which I believe will take a lot out of them.  

So we have a 1-8 team favored over a 5-4 team with the Lakers being one of the early surprises this year.  The betting public will love them some Lakers here no doubt about it.  While I can't blame them, but this line is a telling sign to me.  The Pelicans just got their first win and should be extra motivated following that.  I also think this young Lakers team won't have much interest here and plus they are coming of a road win @ Kings.  I need to see it before I believe it that the Lakers can win back to back games on the road

I have been against them a couple times, but now I'm on board.  This Hornets team is simply on fire to start the season and are playing with a ton of confidence.  Hornets are 6-1 to start the season and I see them having another victory here tonight.  The Raptors will get a lot of love because of their road win @ OKC but it will be hard to follow that up.  

This Denver Nuggets team simply isn't getting enough credit right now.  I have briefly talked about them before the season had started about they were a team to watch out for in the West as a surprise.  The only thing I'm concerned about here is that they are coming off a east coast road trip, but I believe with them playing the Warriors that won't have a big effect as they will be ready for this contest.  This is the Warriors second of a back to back here winning in blowout fashion last night.  The Warriors have only had one other back to back situation and that resulted in a loss @ Lakers as double digit favorites.  I see the Nuggets keeping it real close tonight

I was on the Bulls last night and what a mistake that was.  This team still struggles big time on the defensive end of the ball.  They were in a great spot there and couldn't come through.  Now they are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Heat have had 2 days off now and I will gladly back them in this situation.  Also it is worth noting that this will be Wade's first return to South Beach so you can bet the Heat will have extra motivation here as well.  Bulls are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a losing record.  

This game has the classic let down written all over it.  I was on the Hawks last night as they handed the Cavs their first loss of the season.  The Hawks played great while the Cavs really shot terrible from the field.  Now the Hawks get a Bulls team who will be more than ready tonight.  It's just simply gonna be hard for the Hawks to match the intensity for the whole game tonight as they did last night.  Bulls are 4-1 ATS L5 games following a SU win

I know I just lost with the Wizards the other night, but I have no problem firing back again with them here.  This is more of a play against the Celtics as they are banged up right now with Horford and Crowder out again.  The Wizards truly need this game tonight so show some signs of life.  Celtics are 2-9 ATS L11 games playing on 2 days rest. 

I really believe this line is telling the story here as the Hornets are red hot but they are begging for you to take them here.  To me as I have mentioned a lot I am very high on this Jazz team as they are a top 4 team in the West.  They key here is now they are healthy with Gordon Hayward back in the lineup.  I was also not impressed with the Hornets blowout win over the Pacers as they are struggling big time on defense.  The Jazz have no problem playing defense and will lock down the Hornets tonight. 

This line definitely depends on whether Mike Conley plays, but I haven't found anything that he is out or will be a late scratch so I will be on Memphis here tonight.  This is a big game for them in the sense they have lost back to back home games will be putting forth a huge effort here tonight with 6 of their next 7 being on the road.  The Nuggets are on their final game of the trip with it being 4 games in 6 days.  This has already been a successful one for them picking up two win with one of them coming last game in a big upset over the Celtics.  This is simply a very bad spot for them here tonight.  Nuggets are 1-5 ATS their L6 following a SU win

This is simply to hard pass up on and maybe I'm on the wrong side but the Hawks are no joke this year.  The Cavs have been favorites around this number a lot being favored by 9 over the Knicks, which the Hawks are a lot better than them.  Favored by 10 over a injured Celtics team and 9.5 against the Rockets who are worse than the Hawks.  Both teams have had two days here.  I just think the Hawks will really want to make their presence known here.  I see this being an extremely competitive game.

I'm going to take the Bulls here in a spot where I feel they will respond with a big effort.  The Bulls have lost 3 in a row and have failed to cover in each of those games.  Losing to the Celtics Knicks and Pacers is nothing to hang your head on and 2 of those were on the road.  The home loss to the Knicks doesn't have me as concerned considering you were going to get a huge effort from Noah and Rose returning back.  So with the Bulls having 2 away games coming up and then a huge west coast road trip they will want to get the ball rolling in a positive direction.  The Magic have won 3 in a row but to the Sixers Kings and Wizards.  I see the Bulls responding with the big defensive effort here and pulling away 

I was on the Wizards as 1.5 point favorites over the Hawks in a nice win which was their first of the season.  I'm going to back them again here tonight as there is no better way of getting out of a slump than playing a team that doesn't play a lick of defense.  I Wizards realize that with Boston and Cleveland coming to town later this week this is a big chance for a win.  The Rockets IMO could simply over look this game here as they have a big one with rival Spurs on deck.  Washington should be more than desperate here and I see them coming away with a victory tonight.

I like the Pacers here tonight who I realize hasn't won a road game yet but I feel that is also creating the value here with them.  I was on the Pacers Saturday night in a nice win over the Bulls and I see them bringing forth a big effort again tonight.  The Hornets are off to a nice start themselves with a 4-1 record, but they have played a very easy schedule so far.  With wins over the Sixers Nets Bucks and Heat all 4 are below average teams.  Also the Hornets are dealing with injuries and illness.  Hibbert is out tonight which is a big loss in this matchup with Myles Turner down low.  Also Marvin Williams is very questionable being sick and even if he does go he is clearly not 100%.

This line really tells the story here for this game.  The win less Mavs are favored over a team that has won 3 in a row and 4 of 5.  They key here is that the Mavs catch Milwaukee at a perfect time with them playing their second of a back to back.  Another key here is that the Mavs go on the road for 4 straight games so you can definitely expect a huge effort today despite Dirk being out.  Bucks just 3-7 ATS L10 playing on 0 days rest and Mavs are 5-2 ATS L7 games following a double digit home loss.  

I was high on this Pacers team before the season and it doesnt surprise me that they have struggled out of the gate but I feel in large part that is due to the coaching change.  This a key game for the Pacers here just to gain some confidence.  They are catching the Bulls at the right time with it being a back to back here for Chicago.  Pacers get the job done tonight 

This is simply going to be a situation play here.  We all watched what the Warriors did last night, but they caught the Thunder in a perfect spot last night and the Thunder ran out of gas.  The Lakers have only played one home and won that game beating the Rockets.  I feel this is a team that you will want to back @ home as big underdogs.  It will be hard for the Warriors to match the intensity as they did last night.  The Lakers young team plays hard and can score.  I see them hanging in here tonight. 

This is just a lot of points here for the Clippers to be laying.  They were favored by 7 points @ home over Thunder and now are favored by 6 on the road?  I don't believe the Thunder is that much if at all better than Memphis.  Grizzlies has struggled shooting the last two games and like them to get out of the funk here tonight. The Clippers have a huge game tomorrow with the Spurs as you can bet they are looking forward to that one.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the Grizz beat them here but grab the points anyways. 

I believe this line is telling you everything.  The Atlanta Hawks have been favored in every game so far this season and now playing a team that hasn't covered a spread yet or win a game for that matter and the Hawks are underdogs?!  These teams have already met as well playing the first game of the season in which the Hawks won.  Second time around on the road is always difficult in conference play.  I like the Wizards to get their first win tonight

Sure the Suns are 0-4 to start the season, but to me they have played one of if not the hardest schedule so far in the league.  Facing the Warriors Clippers Thunder is nothing to shake your head at.  From what I have seen Devin Booker looks like a go tonight for the Suns.  They were without him last game @ Clippers.  Portland is in a tough spot here.  They rely so much on the outside shot and are coming off a ugly loss last night vs the Warriors.  I think that loss will be harder for them to get over.  The Suns will put everything they have on the table here as they do match up very well and also will want their first win with a 3 game road trip coming up.  

This is very similar to those who jumped on board last night with the T Wolves in a blowout fashion.  The Celtic and Bulls have already met in the first game of the season where the Bulls came away with the win.  They are now 3-0 ATS and 3-0 overall and flying high.  However, Boston won't lose to them again here tonight.  They have had 3 days off here to get healthy as all the key players are expected to go tonight.  The Bulls killed the Celtics by 23 on the boards in the first game and you can expect that Brad Stevens wont let that happen again.   

I'm not worried at all that this lined has flipped here.  The betting public will be all over the Raptors in this game here tonight.  Early in the season you have to take desperate teams and that is exactly what the Wizards are right now.  They have had two days off since losing @ Memphis and are 0-2 to start the season.  This will be their home opener tonight and I see them coming away with the victory.  For the Raptors sure they are a very good team, but so far they have played every game @ home.  I can't back a team that hasn't played a road game yet vs a quality team that really wants a victory bad.  Raptors are just 2-7 ATS L9 meetings against Wizards.

NBA TOP PLAY!

There is going to be a lot of love here for the Grizzles here tonight as they already beat the T Wolves on opening night.  However, if you remember the T Wolves took a lot of sharp money as they ended up being favored by tip.  This Wolves team will be desperate for a win following two road losses.  This will be their home opener and you can expect a huge effort.  T Wolves have had 2 days while this will be the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 days 

I really like the spot here for the Heat as the Kings are playing their second of a back to back here.  The Heat have lost back to back games here @ home but to the Hornets and Spurs.  Kings are a step down for them here.  The Heat really need this game in a big way with two hard roads coming up.  This will also be the Kings 3rd game in 4 days as well.  I like the Heat here tonight

NBA DOG OF THE DAY!

Really like the value here with the Nuggets tonight.  They are one of the most improves teams in the NBA this season and I totally expect them to compete for a playoff berth down the stretch.  The Nuggets should have beat Portland the other night but blew that game in the final seconds.  I dont see the Raptors being totally invested here in this game.  I also like backing teams when they are on their first road game of a long trip and that fits perfect here with the Nuggets tonight.  Road team has dominated this series going 7-1 ATS L8 games.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm gonna roll with the Jazz here which I expect them to give a tough battle against the Clippers.  The Clippers were extremely lucky to win @ Portland in their first game.  They shot a bad percentage in 40% and normally you don't win game on the road shooting that low.  Portland was also way off from the outside only making 4 threes all game.  The Jazz are a team I am very high on this year and wouldn't be surprised if they were the 3 seed in the West.  They haven't covered a spread in their 2 games yet so the public will be staying away.  The Jazz match up very well with the Clippers as well.  I expect a very close game here today.

I backed the Jazz in their first game as a loss @ Portland and will now gladly back them here again as they won't take the Lakers lightly.  This is the Jazz home opener which will provde plenty of motivation in itself.  The Lakers are still the worst team in the league and even though they upset the Rockets the other night I'm not buying it as the Rockets play right into the hands of LA buy playing zero defense. Lakers are 3-13 ATS L16 games after scoring 100 points or more in previous game.  Jazz are 4-1 ATS L5 game after allowing 100 points or more in previous game. 

I will take the points here with the Raptors as they will want revenge from the Cavs as they eliminated them from the playoffs last year.  This has been a series that is dominated by the team going 8-1 ATS the last 9 home games.  With the Cavs coming off a blowout win over the Knicks the betting public no doubt will love to lay this low number.  This is a bigger game for the Raptors 

I was against the Kings last night, but have no problem backing them here tonight.  I came away very impressed with what I saw especially their big men.  They took full control of that game in the 2nd quarter and never looked back.  I do realize this is obviously a back to back situation here, but the starters did have plenty of rest since they were up large.  The Spurs are coming off a blowout win over the Warriors which everyone is going to fall in love with, but the Warriors will continue to struggle as I have mentioned before their bench is gone and it will take them a while to figure things out.  I like the Kings to stay competitive here tonight.  

Both of these teams had bad seasons no doubt and that is why this line is low.  However, the Suns had to deal with major injuries all year long from key players Brandon Knight and Eric Bledsoe.  The Suns will be one of the most improved teams in basketball this year.  You simply can't trust this Kings team.  The Kings jump shooting I question a lot this year.  Their additions I don't feel like they actually got any better.  Take the Suns to win their opener tonight

To me it's really hard to back the Heat here going into this season with all the question marks.  Wade is gone Bosh having health issues.  The Heat will be one of the worst teams in the East right next to the Sixers.  While I do see the Magic fighting for an 8th seed.  They quietly have a nice front court with big additions of Jeff Green, Serge Ibaka & Bismack Biyombo.  This team matches up very well against the Heat as they aren't a jump shooting team and Josh Richardson maybe their best outside shooter is out for the game.  

The NBA is back!!

Im gonna go with the Jazz here as I fully expect them to be a threat for a top 3 team in the western conference this year.  I realize they will be without Hayward here but they have a great nucleus espec with the additions of Joe Johnson George Hill and Boris Diaw to go along with a lot of young talent in Hood Favors and Gobert.  The Jazz play great defense and will loock down on Lillard and McCollum here tonight.  Take the Jazz and the points 

GAME 7 FINAL TOP PLAY!

First, I want to thank everyone for the support this season it has been a great NBA run the whole year!  Let's go out with a bang!!

The Cavs are now getting credit since they have pushed this to Game 7.  However this is a similar situation to Game 6 where the Cavs were coming off a home loss in Game 4.  The Warriors lost Game 5 @ home and I don't see them losing two in a row in that building.  Let's also remember Draymond was out that game which was huge for the Cavs and LeBron took full advantage.  Let's also remember Games 1 & 2 where the Warriors absolutely dominated both of those games.  I see that happening tomorrow night.  This team will go down as having the best NBA season ever! 

I really think the Cavs get it done here tonight to force a game 7.  Cavs have lost one game all playoffs long @ home and that was the last time they played.  I don't see them losing tonight and definitely don't see them losing two in a row @ home.  LeBron will be on a mission here tonight and I expect Kyrie to keep going from the outside.  Last game showed me this team still believes they can do it.   

Even with Draymond being out tonight I still like the Warriors to get the job done.  The Cavs simply had no answer when it came crunch time last game and they just took the wind out of their sails.  Curry and Thompson caught fire which I fully expect to carry over into this game.  The Warriors will now have the greatest single basketball season in history!

This is very weird for me to make a play 4 straight times on a team in the playoffs, but I like what I saw finally from the Cavs last game as that was my Finals Play Of The Year!  Love being out was they key as the general public views him as a "star" like player but he actually hurts the team with the ball movement on offense and his inability to guard anyone on defense.  Also, with Love being out created openings in the paint as the Warriors weren't showing Love that much respect.  He will play some tonight, but I would be surprised if he played very much.  Cavs know if they lose this game tonight the series is over plain and simple.  Another thing worth noting is that Curry and Thompson are getting a pass as they have flat out played bad so far.  The Cavs have really locked down on defense on those two.  

NBA FINALS GAME OF THE YEAR!

I realize I have been wrong in the first two games on the Cavs, but I'm not afraid to back them here.  They have to much to pride here to go down 3-0 in the series.  We all know what happens when you go down 3-0 IT"S OVER!  The Cavs have shot the ball terrible in the first two games and there is no way LeBron will let that happen tonight.  They are due for a break out game and I expect a big effort and a nice win tonight! 

I was on the Cavs in Game 1 and have no problem backing them here again tonight.  They played about as lousy as you could have imagined.  They only shot 39% from the field while Warriors nearly shot 50%.  Both those averages will even out ere tonight.  Cavs can't afford to get blown out again and give the Warriors all the momentum here.  Cavs are 4-1 ATS L5 games following an ATS loss

I like the value we are getting here for Game 1 o the NBA Finals with the Cavs.  They have now had plenty of time off to rest and prepare themselves for this match up which they want bad.  Revenge is on their mind big time here as everyone knows Love missed the whole series and Kyrie went down in Game 1.  LeBron to me is still the best player on the planet and will prove it with quality players this time around.  I also believe Kyrie will be a handful here as we all know Curry isn't the greatest defender by any means.  I look for the Cavs to really control the game 1 tonight and make a statement! 

I really thought the Thunder would close them out last game as they were up 8 with 6 minutes to go.  I believe the Thunder are in the perfect bounce back spot here.  Game 7's are almost always close and I see it coming down to the wire again.  The biggest difference in last game was simply the three point shot.  The Warriors hit 21 threes to the Thunder's 3!  That is a huge difference.  The Thunder will be ready tonight for this crucial match up!   

I have yet to miss a game in this series and look for the motivated Thunder as I've mentioned in a lot of my playoff picks to get the job done tonight! I'm not gonna go into great detail here but I love the spot for Thunder and expect Durant and Westbrook to have spectacular games! 

I was dead on with the Cavs blowing them out in Game 5 and even though I picked the Raptors in games 3 and 4 and they won outright, I see the Cavs closing the door tonight.  This team is simply a lot better than the Raptors and I expect the momentum to carry over here.  I see the Cavs starting hot and really taking the confidence away from the Raptors early and ultimately pulling away here.  The Cavs have one major thing the Raptors do not and that is LeBron!  He will make a statement here tonight and take over! Cavs are 5-2 ATS L7 following an ATS loss. 

I have been perfect in this series so far and expect nothing different than another winner tonight.  The Warriors now have to win 3 straight as everyone is aware of.  Their shooting has been very suspect to say the least @ OKC, but now they return home where they have a huge advantage plus the Thunder are due for a little bit of a let down here as well.  I believe Kerr will counter the Thunder's game plan here as their big men have dominated the last two games.  Warriors are 7-2 ATS L9 following an ATS loss and are 8-2 ATS L10 home games 

I realize the Raptors have the momentum here and I was on them the previous two games.  However, they now have the attention of the Cavs and people are so quick to forget how Cleveland dominated the Raptors @ home winning by an average of 25 points per game.  The Cavs fell in love with the jump shot as they were simply on fire and then shot themselves out of it in Games 3 and 4.  Even though they did lose Game 4 that was an impressive come back.  Even though this series is now tied besides what the media will want you to hear this series isn't close in my eyes.  Cavs return back to form tonight and take care of business like they did in Games 1 & 2.  Cavs 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs team with a winning record.  Raptors 0-4 ATS L4 road games vs team with a winning home record. 

I had no problem backing the Raptors last night for their 2nd straight home game and will have no problem backing the Thunder for their 2nd home game.  I've been saying it all postseason Durant and Westbrook feel disrespected and are out to prove they are more than capable of not only playing together, but winning a title together.  The most impressive part of the Thunder blowing the Warriors out in game 3 was the fact they didn't even hit 10 3 pointers.  When you look at how most teams are competitive against Golden St they usually have to hit a lot of threes to keep up.  The Thunder know how to play them and that is going big and dominating the glass.  I have picked every game so far right in this series and look for another winner tonight.  

I was on the Raptors in Game 3 and have no problem backing them again here tonight.  Most people will believe that the Cavs will be do for a bounce back, but I believe that the Raptors gained a lot of confidence and look for that to carry over.  The Cavs as a whole didn't shoot great from the field, but they still knocked down an impressive 14 three pointers.  The Raptors quite frankly are a whole different animal on defense @ home.  I see those three pointers coming down for the Cavs.  Also the Raptors dominated the glass and Biyombo was a handful down low.  I see no reason why they won't dominate the glass again here tonight.  Raptors are 8-1 ATS L9 home games vs team with a winning record.  Cavs are just 1-8-1 ATS L10 following a SU loss by 10 or more points 

WESTERN CONFERENCE TOP PLAY!

I have picked both games right so far to start this series and will be backing the Thunder here tonight.  There is to much credit being given here with the Warriors blow out win over OKC last game.  Curry got hot and the Thunder were cold and couldn't recover from that.  However, the series is tied the Thunder did their part and now will be chomping to take the series lead here.  I expect them to dominate the boards as they have a huge advantage down low and they will shoot a lot better given this is @ home.  Thunder are 5-0 ATS L5 games following a SU loss and are 4-0 ATS following a loss by 10 or more points.  Also the Warriors have struggled in OKC lately going  0-3-1 ATS L4 meetings here.  

TOP EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS PLAY!!!!

I was on the Raptors in Game 2 which was my first loss in 13 games during this hot playoff stretch.  I have no problem backing them here again today.  The line is obviously inflated since the Cavs have covered easily in both games.  This is the do or die situation for the Raptors and I expect Lowry and DeRozan to really step up their game here.  They are generally a really good shooting team but have struggled so far.  No better way to end a slump than to return home.  Cavs are just 3-11 ATS this season after winning 2 straight games by 10 or more points.  Raptors are 7-1 ATS L8 home games vs team with a winning record.  

I look for the Raptors to bounce back here tonight in Game 2.  While I do wish they ave Jonas playing they will give forth a much better effort than the previous game.  The Cavs played with a ton of energy which was no surprise since they had plenty of time off to prepare for game 1.  I don't see them dominating the boards like they did either.  The Raptors also shot 20% from the three point line.  They are a good shooting team and that will go up tonight.  I did have the Cavs in game 1 and everything went perfect as planned for them.  Just like the Warriors last night the Raptors will make adjustments and I see them being very competitive here.  Raptors are 7-3 ATS L10 games following a SU loss 

I backed the Thunder in Game 1 and came away with an easy winner.  I was pretty much spot on with my analysis of that game.  Now I will switch here and lay the number with the Warriors.  First, they simply won't lose here they haven't lost two in row @ home in forever and it won't happen here so that is always a plus.  Westbrook and Durant shot the ball just ok but their bench gave quality minutes and their role players stepped up.  The Thunder shot 47% from three which is highly likely that will come down.  The Thunder grabbed the attention of the Warriors and now I see a huge game out of Klay and Curry with coach Kerr switching things up.  Warriors are 6-1 ATS L7 following an ATS loss.  Home team is 7-1-1 ATS L9 meetings 

I would normally be on the Raptors here with this many points, but there are a few factors here why I believe the Cavs will run away with Game 1.  First, Kyle Lowry made some comments about LeBron not being the best and is just one of the good ones behind Steph.  Comments like that normally come back to haunt them.  Second,  the Cavs have had a ton of time off here while the Raptors are coming off an emotional series vs the Heat winning in 7 games.  That is a huge advantage for the Cavs being well rested and expect that to show during the 2nd half tonight.  The Cavs come out and make a statement tonight.  Raptors are 1-4 ATS L5 road games.  Cavs are 6-2 ATS L8 home games.  Cavs are 12-3 ATS L15 games vs team with a winning % above 60.  Raptors 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win

I like the value here with the Thunder in Game 1.  They are coming off an impressive series over the Spurs and believe most people think they are due for a let down.  However as I have been saying all along Durant and Westbrook feel disrespected and they know this is a crucial spot to make statement here as they can't let the Warriors blow them out.  I also love how the big men are playing for Thunder and are controlling the glass which is a huge key for success in defeating the Warriors.  I also wonder if Curry still isn't 100% that he will be able to guard Westbrook for the whole game.  Thunder are 9-2 ATS L11 road games vs a team with a home winning % greater than 60.  Thunder are 5-1 ATS L6 road games.  

I just really see the Raptors winning this game today.  This is a team that is looking to get over the hump and a Game 7 win @ home to make the Eastern Conference Finals would be quite the accomplishment for this team.  When the Raptors shoot it well like they did in Game 5 @home they are a very dangerous team.  With Lowry and DeRozan heating up I really see them taking control of this game and making a statement here today! 

GAME 6 WINNER!

I look for Dwayne Wade to carry the Heat here tonight to victory and force a game 7.  The Heat had an unbelievable come back in Game 4 to force OT and ultimately pull it out.  I really look for Miami to get it going here from the outside shooting where they have struggled so far in this series.  Despite shooting poorly the one Miami does extremely well at all times is defend.  Normally when teams are cold they tend to play lazy on defense, but that isn't the case with this Heat team and I see another strong effort here tonight.  Heat are 10-2 ATS L12 home games.  Heat are 5-2 ATS L7 following an ATS loss. Raptors are 3-8 ATS L11 following an ATS win 

This line to me suggests that the Spurs will win this game, but I believe the odds makers are just giving to much credit here because of their name.  The Thunder didn't do anything that special last game @ San Antonio.  Both teams shot nearly the same from the field and from 3 point distance.  The Thunder did control the boards by 19, but also had 20 turnovers!  To me that is amazing you can have 20 turnovers @ Spurs and come away with a win.  To me this is the Thunder's year as I have mentioned Durant and Westbrook feel disrespected and I see them taking care of business in the close out game.  Spurs are 3-7 ATS L10 road games vs a home team with a winning percentage greater than 60.  Thunder are 30-10-2 ATS L42 home games vs a road team with a winning percentage greater than 60. Strong 74% system play there! 

I'm going to back the Thunder again here tonight taking on the Spurs.  This is just to many points for me to lay getting this far in the NBA playoffs.  The Thunder with Durant and Westbrook want to prove they belong in this greatness conversation that is being dominated by Steph and LeBron.  There are several trends here backing the Thunder strongly as well.  Thunder are 8-3 ATS L11 playing on 1 day rest, Spurs are 2-6 ATS L8 playing on 1 day rest.  Thunder are 5-1 ATS L6 road games vs team with a winning record, Spurs are 1-4 ATS L5 home games vs team with winning record. 

TOP EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAY!

This is great value here with the Heat who have now lost 2 in a row after taking game 1, but now are in a similar spot to the Thunder last night as they can't lose this game to go down 3-1 with next game being @ Toronto.  Last game Miami shot a horrific 22% from the three point which won't happen again.  Why I'm making this a Top Play is centered around Raptors Center Jonas Valanciunas.  He has been a machine this series and isn't getting enough credit here as he has recorded a double double in each game.  From the field he has shot a very impressive 24-37!  He has also done a terrific job on Whiteside down low as well.  Clearly from those numbers Jonas will be missed a ton tonight and they have no one who can fill that void as Bismack Biyombo is next up and he is no scoring threat at all. 

This is an absolute must win for the Thunder here tonight down 2-1 in the series with the next game being @ the Spurs they cant afford to go down 3-1 or else the series is over.  So that is why I expect a big performance out of them here tonight.  The Thunder had more turnovers, less rebounds and were bad from the three point line in Game 3 and I expect that to turn around here tonight.  Also the Thunder hung in there with the Spurs despite them shooting over 50% from the three point line.   Thunder are 11-3 ATS L14 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in previous game, Spurs are just 4-11 ATS L15 games after scoring a 100 points or more in previous game.  75% SYSTEM PLAY

I was on the Hawks in Game 3 and that was just an awful bad beat with them blowing a huge lead @ home and only scoring 2 points the final 5 minutes of the game.  With the Cavs coming back like that and covering again the betting public will once again be all over them.  I feel like that Hawks will have more pride than to get swept here today and the Cavs could easily just coast through this one then close it out in Game 5 @ home.  Hawks are 14-3 ATS L17 following a double digit loss @ home.  

WESTERN CONFERENCE PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR!

With Curry unlikely to play I believe returning home Portland should have the advantage here given the situation.  The public will be all over the Warriors again since they have covered both games, but Portland will be ready.  Remember last series Portland won all 3 games vs the Clippers on their home court.  They also handed the Warriors their worse loss of the season @ Portland also.  Portland is 9-3 ATS L12 games following a loss by 10 or more points.  

2ND ROUND PLAY OF THE YEAR!

This is simply to great of value to pass up here.  The betting public will want no part of the Hawks here as the Cavs have won the first two games by double digits.  The Cavs in no way will shoot like they have been the past two games. They have made 40 3's in the those two games which is just unbelievable and is also super hard to follow up especially when playing on the road.  I believe they will fall in love with thee jump shot and it won't fall tonight on the Hawks home court.  This is a do or die situation for Atlanta being down 2-0 and they will be ready tonight.  The Cavs are just 2-10 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more.  Atlanta is 11-2 in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6.  

I was on the Heat in Game 1 and now will be on the Raptors here to even this series back up.  The Heat were 8-11 from the three point line which is hard to back up.  Also, you know the Raptors have made a huge emphasis on the glass on their off day as they were out rebounded by 15! Toronto is also a very good jump shooting team from 3 but  were ice cold going 5-21.  I see no problem for the Raptors to square this back up tonight.  

With the Cavs covering in the first by 11 the betting public will have no problem backing them again tonight.  When you look at the previous games numbers the Cavs should have won going away, but they gave a big lead back to the Hawks in the 4th.  Atlanta shot only 38% from the field and barely over 30% from the three point line and normally they are a lot better.  The Cavs shot 45% from the field and made 15 threes as well.  The Cavs aren't known as a jump shooting team and expect that to come down.  I see the Hawks making it a close one here tonight.  Cavs are 2-5 ATS L7 games after winning by 10 or more 

The Heat are worth a look here as a small dog @ Toronto to begin the 2nd round of the playoffs.  The Raptors have failed to cover in 4 straight games now.  I like the momentum of the Heat right now winning game 6 on the road @ Hornets and blowing them out @ home in game 7 which I had both of those games.  Whiteside to me will be the difference maker here as he will dominate the paint against the Raptors.  Also Toronto has struggled bad on offense shooting under 40% in 3 of their last 4 games.  Raptors are 3-8 ATS L11 playing 1 days rest 

NBA TOP PLAY!

I think it's safe to say that the Spurs have already played their best game in this series and the Thunder have played their worst.  This line is simply an overreaction to Game 1.  The Spurs shot nearly 61% from the field while the Thunder shot barely above 40% and a terrible 26% from the three point line.  Durant and Wesbrook both played what I would consider both their C games if that.  Thunder will be extremely motivated here and wouldn't be surprised to see them win this one.  Spurs are just 2-6 ATS L8 games winning by 10 points or more.  Thunder are 4-1 ATS L5 following a loss of 10 or more.  

The betting public won't have anything to do with the Raptors here as they have lost 2 of 3 and failed to cover 3 in a row.  The Raptors are no doubt the better team here and will show up for Game 7 tonight.  The Raptors were in full control in the first half and just hit a wall shooting in the second half while the Pacers were on fire.  Raptors are 5-1 ATS L6 following a loss. 

GAME 7 TOP PLAY!

I will gladly back the Heat here after winning Game 6 @ the Hornets and taking this into Game 7.  Miami has all the momentum now and won't let what happened in Game 5 happen again here today.  The Hornets are still getting some respect because of that upset but remember back to Games 1 & 2 when Miami completely ran them out of the gym.  I expect the same here today.  Miami is 8-1 ATS L9 home games.  

NBA KNOCKOUT!

I'm going to take the Thunder here tonight vs the Spurs.  I thought this line would be closer to 3 which creates the value in my eyes.  Both the Spurs and Thunder split the regular season wins by winning on each other's home court twice which is rare.  I believe the Spurs are getting to much respect here because of what they did to the Grizzlies in round 1.  To me this game is very important to Thunder to make a statement in game 1 and prove they can beat them in this series.  Both teams are very well rested.  I believe Durant and Westbrook are tired of hearing about them not being able to play together and etc etc.  We all know how good the Spurs are no doubt, but is this the season the age catches up? We will find out in this series.  Thunder are 5-1 ATS L6 games vs team with a winning % over 60 and Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 games vs team with a winning % over 60.  

This line just looks really inflated here since the Trailblazers won @ the Clippers.  I don't see a blowout happening tonight as the Clippers were in it the whole game last time, they just suffered a cold shooting spell late which was hard to over come.  The Clippers can really slow down the game here make Portland work offensively.  Portland is 9-21 ATS after covering the spread 3 or more games in a row.  Portland is also 0-4 ATS L4 games after scoring 100 points or more. Clippers are 6-2 ATS L8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.

NBA TOP PLAY!

This series has 7 games written all over it.  The Pacers almost grabbed another win @ Toronto in Game 5 losing by 3.  The Pacers will win here tonight as they probably feel they should be ahead in this series.  Indiana has done a great job of chasing the Raptors off the 3 point line in this series which is big considering how dangerous Lowry and DeRozan can be.  The difference in the last game was that Indiana only forced 7 turnovers while committing 14 themselves.  I like Indiana a lot in this do or die spot tonight.  Pacers are 17-4 ATS L21 games playing on 2 days rest.  Raptors are 2-10 ATS L12 Conference Quarterfinal Games

This is no shock to me that the Hawks are favored here @ Boston even though they were underdogs by 2.5-3 the last two games which they both lost.  I called the blowout for Atlanta last game as it was smooth sailing the whole 2nd half for them.  The Celtics are really missing Avery Bradley right now as their poor shooting is being exposed.  The Hawks will be motivated to end this series tonight and I believe they do so.

This won't be a popular play by any means with the news that everyone is aware of regarding Chris Paul and Blake Griffin.  However, when people are so quick to write a team off usually they really surprise everyone.  I also believe this will play with Portland's head as they may feel like this game will be easy and not come out with the same energy and focus that they should.  Let's also remember the loss of Blake Griffin to me isn't as big as people are making they played almost the whole season without him and actually played better without him people are forgetting that.  So really what you have lost is Paul.  Granted a big loss, but they still have a top 5 coach in the league in Doc Rivers and I expect a big game from his son Austin Rivers tonight.  Portland was destroyed in their first two games here in this series as 8 point dogs now they favored by over 3? Take the Clippers tonight

This game is a lot like the Hawks/Celtics series.  Home team has won every game so far and covered in both those.  The Heat have been in control in my opinion in three of the four games which is what I said about the Hawks last night and they were an easy winner.  The Heat will respond here tonight at home after letting the last game slip away.  Miami also dominated the boards, but lost both games which is rare to see.  They will dominate the glass again and take full advantage of it being back home.  Heat are 7-0 ATS L7 home games vs team with a losing road record.  Hornets are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a winning home record.  12-1 system play there! 

Well this series has been very entertaining and the home team has won every game.  While the Hawks have only covered once in the 4 games scaring the betting public away from them.  However, when you look back at the games the Hawks actually were in total control of 3 of them.  Game 1 they were up huge and blew the lead but still won.  Game 2 they dominated.  Game 3 Boston was up big time, but Hawks fought back to make it a game.  Game 4 Hawks were in control and blew it late in 4th and lost in OT.  Atlanta is normally a very good 3 point shooting team, but have struggled and it's not because the Celtics are playing tough defense they are just missing open shots.  I look for Atlanta to get out to a big lead and not look back here tonight.  Celtics 2-9 ATS L11 road games vs team with a winning home record.  

LATE NIGHT NBA PLAYOFFS!

I was on Portland Saturday night in their win over the Clippers, but will be against them here tonight.  The Trailblazers got their win and I fully expect the Clippers to play with a lot of urgency to get a 3-1 lead here to try and end this series @ home next game.  The Clippers shot terrible from three point range going 3-18 in Game 3 and that will not happen here tonight.  Griffin was 5-16 and Redick was 2-10 from the field while only Crawford off their bench had more than 4 points.  This will be a better performance all the way around tonight.  Portland is 2-8 ATS L10 following an ATS win 

The Pistons will be trying to avoid the series sweep here today so I expect a really big effort out of them.  This game was really close the other night but the Cavs just pulled away late to cover.  Now this line has gone up since they won by 10.  Pistons are 7-3 ATS L10 games following a double digit loss at home.  Cavs are 9-18 ATS after winning 3 or more consecutive games in a row.  Detroit is also 12-4 ATS revenging a home loss by 10 more. 

This was the series I had going 7 games and like the Celtics again which was my First Round PLay Of The Year Friday night.  Celtics will tie this series back up today.  Boston had a big lead and let t get away from them but managed to hold on.  They still didn't play a great game by any means, but they will be ready again here today.  Hawks are 0-5 ATS L5 road games.  Hawks are 1-6 ATS L7 games after allowing 100 points or more in previous game.

I'm going to go with the Rockets again here today.  I believe there is to much hype in Curry returning.  Not saying the Rockets will win today but getting this many points at home is hard to pass up.  Curry is no doubt a superstar, but I doubt he is worth 6 or more points to the oddsmakers.  They know the betting public will be all over the Warriors with Curry coming back I'm not biting.   Rockets are 20-6 ATS L26 games playing 2 days rest. 

This will be the third and final NBA play today.  Portland is in a similar spot to the Hornets and Pacers as well.  They are coming off two blowout losses but now return home.  This team shoots a lot of 3's and actually do a great job of knocking them down.  They have been ice cold so far in this series and expect that to change here tonight.  Portland is 8-2 ATS L10 games following a double digit loss.  Clippers 2-8 ATS L10 games playing on 2 days rest.   

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm backing the Hornets here again tonight who are obviously in a must win spot if they want this series to continue.  The Hornets have been a very good home going 30-11 this year.   I simply can't trust the eat here who have been shooting lights out in both games so far. Shooting over 57% for two straight games is difficult there is no way they can do it a third game. Heat are 1-6 ATS L7 road games and Hornets are 11-4 ATS L15 games following a double digit loss.    

This is a do or die situation for the Pacers here tonight.  I believe they will respond here big time following an ugly loss the other night by double digits. The Pacers shot under 40% for the game and a terrible 27% from the 3pt line.  Those numbers won't happen again here tonight. Pacers are 4-1 ATS L5 home games following a double digit loss.  Raptors are 2-8 ATS L10 Conference Quarterfinal Games.

NBA FIRST ROUND PLAY OF THE YEAR!

This is a an absolute must win for the Celtics here as they have played just terrible in the first two games.  They have yet to shoot over 40% from the field, but return home here tonight and this team will have a ton of fight in them.  This Celtics team is no joke and Brad Stevens has done a terrific job this season.  This is a perfect spot for a nice bounce back here tonight.  I really love the Celtics in this spot.  

I backed the Rockets in Game 2 and they covered.  To me it's now or never for this team.  I expect them to bounce back here @ home after hearing about how bad they are on defense.  Also another key here is Curry, gut feeling is that he sits out tonight.  The Rockets are averaging over 20 turnovers in the first two games expect that to be cleaned up big time.  I simply trust the Rockets to have a lot more fight than what they have shown so far 

The Pacers have the chance now to really take control of this series.  Paul George is playing great basketball and expect a couple teammates to step up tonight and help him get the W.  The series is tied up here and Indiana hasn't played good either game when you look at the stats.  I see tonight being a big breakout game returning home.  Pacers are 8-2 ATS L10 games following a SU loss.  Raptors are 3-7 ATS L10 games following a SU win.  

I look for the Cavs to come out extremely focused here tonight as the Pistons gave them all they wanted in Game 1.  The Pistons shot nearly 51% from the field and I don't see that happening again.  Also the Pistons hit 15 threes which is extremely difficult and hard to follow up on.  The Cavs will step up their pressure here tonight and make things very difficult for the young Pistons tonight.  

Everything went perfect for the Heat in game 1 and the public will be all over them again here.  However, the Heat shot 57% from the field which was their 2nd highest percentage going back over a month ago.  They also shot 50% from the three point line, so clearly it will be hard for them to repeat the performance. I see the Hornets bouncing back here tonight and stealing one @ Miami.  

This may seem like a big number considering they just lost by 10 in Game 1.  The Raptors will be ready tonight rebounding from a bad performance.  Lowry and DeRozan shot a combined 8-32 from the field including just 1-10 from three.  They both won't be off again like that tonight.  Also the Pacers hit 11 threes shooting 52% from the three point line which will be difficult to back up.  The Pacers are just 2-10 ATS L12 meetings so don't be surprised to see the Raptors dominate from start to finish.  Also the Raptors hold a big rebounding advantage against Indiana 

I like the Hornets to win this series.  They have been absolutely on fire the 2nd half of the season and aren't getting enough credit here.  The Hornets won @ Miami on March 17th despite the Heat shooting 53% for the game.  The pace of the play here will be very slow and I believe that will favor the Hornets in this game.  Hornets are 10-4 ATS L14 games after winning by 10 or more points 

The Pistons are no push over here for the Cavs.  The Pistons just won @ Cavs last game of the season and that was without Cleveland's best players in Love Kyrie and LeBron.  Since they are back I believe we are seeing a big over reaction to them being back.  The Pistons didn't play their best players either in Drummond KCP Harris Jackson and Morris.  I see the Pistons being able to really clog things up in the middle here and keep it close.  The Pistons won 3 of the 4 meetings during regular season and are 8-2 ATS L10 meetings @ Cavs.  

I like the value here with the Celtics tonight vs the Hawks.  They will be out for revenge after losing a week ago @ Atlanta.  Atlanta won by 11 but in large part was because they made 17 three pointers.  I highly doubt that happens here tonight with how good of defense the Celtics play.  Atlanta only wins by an average of 6 @ home so with it getting very tight and the pace slowing down I see it favoring the Celtics 

I look for the young Suns to rebound here and get the win pretty easily tonight vs the Clippers.  The Clippers are sitting their whole starting 5 and with them playing last night and having an easy win I don't see them having any interest in tonight's game.  The guys that will be playing aren't use to playing this many minutes and they will obviously have a very short bench.  Suns are 6-0 ATS L6 games following an ATS loss. 

The Celtics have lost two games in a row both by double digits, but this game is still a big one for them.  They would tie the Heat and still have a chance for the 3 seed.  Seeds 3-6 are still up for grabs in the Eastern Conference and I expect a huge bounce back from the Celtics tonight after losing an ugly home game to the Hornets last out.  The Heat are coming off a hard fought win last night @ Detroit.  Miami just 1-6 ATS L7 road games and that was last night and are 0-4 ATS L4 on 0 days rest.  

I have no problem backing the Mavs here who right now sit in the 6th spot in the Western Conference, but are tied with the Grizzlies.  So this is a must win game for the Mavs so they can avoid the Spurs or the Warriors in the first round of the playoffs.  The Spurs are sitting a bunch of players again after coming back and beating the Thunder in OT last night.  I don't see them getting up for this at all.  Huge motivation edge goes to the Mavs here tonight.  Spurs are just 1-9 ATS L10 games and are 2-7 ATS L9 games playing on 0 days rest. 

I see the young Bucks giving a good effort here tonight vs the Pacers who will be without Paul George.  The Pacers played last night and played very hard with their playoff fate now in order I don't much of an effort from them here tonight.  The Bucks played very hard their last game being down 20 @ the Magic late in the 3rd quarter and fought all the way to back to get down 4 points so I really like the effort they are still giving here.  Pacers are 1-7 ATS L8 games following a win by 10 or more points 

I see the Pistons responding tonight after losing a tight game vs the Heat last night.  With Love Kyrie and LeBron all out the Cavs have a terrible bench and there is no motivation for them what so ever to win this game.  I believe Van Gundy will have them ready as he wants to build their confidence going into the playoffs.  Pistons are without Jackson again but they have a way better team than the Cavs are putting out there tonight.  

NBA TOP PLAY!

I really like the value here we are getting with the Pistons in their final home game of the season.  The Pistons have been a nice surprise making the playoffs and are tied with the Pacers for the 7th and 8th seed.  That is very crucial as they will want to avoid the Cavs first round.  The Pistons have also had 3 days off and this is the Heat's 4th game in 6 game.  Heat are just 1-6 ATS L7 road games.  

This may seem like a lot of points for the Suns as the betting public won't have anything to do with them, but the Kings are coming off a win over Thunder which I believe they are content with going into the off season.  There is no reason for them to get up for this game and also the have shut down Cousins and without him they have been terrible.  Kings are 7-19 ATS L26 games vs a team with a winning % below 40.  Suns are 18-7 ATS L25 games following a win of 10 points or more 

Utah is in a must win spot here tonight vs the Mavs.  Both teams are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Mavs are coming off a loss @ the Clippers and while they are fighting for the playoffs they still are pretty comfortable.  The Jazz can't simply afford to lose at all being only 1 game up on the Rockets for the 8th seed.  They had an impressive win by 16 @ Denver yesterday which I had and will back them again tonight.  This is a young team that has fought very hard all season to get into this position and see no reason why they can't pull away from the Mavs.  Mavs are still getting a lot of respect because of their 6 game winning streak prior to last night.  

This is another situation where both teams are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Magic played their rival the Heat without Oladipo and Gordon plus it was a revenge game from the Magic just beating them and Miami blew them out which is why I like this young Magic team who has been playing very well prior to last night were 5-2 L7 games.  Oladipo and Gordon should also be back which is 2 starters for them.  The Bucks played @ Sixers and won in OT by 1 point.  I just don't see them responding tonight.  I also question where Middleton will play since yesterday they said he was out then he played so I have a hunch he might sit as well.  Magic are 8-2 ATS L10 following an ATS loss.  Bucks are 0-4 ATS L4 after allowing 100 points or more