College Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-05-15 | Temple +6 v. Houston | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Temple +6 The Houston Cougars and Temple Owls seemed like they were on track to battle in the championship as undefeated teams just a bit over a month ago. Two losses by the Owls and a recent loss to UConn by Houston changed all of that. Houston responded in great fashion a week ago with the return of Greg Ward Jr. to the lineup from injury. Yet often times people forget just how much can be lost by missing two games of action. This is a championship game against a veteran team in the Temple Owls. Expect Ward to show some rust and for the Owls to continue to show proper strides they've showcased the last several weeks. Grab the Owls. |
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11-28-15 | Notre Dame +4 v. Stanford | 36-38 | Win | 100 | 49 h 16 m | Show | |
Notre Dame plus 4 Early post before line movement---Subscribers analysis will be added when other plays are finalized. |
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11-28-15 | Florida State v. Florida +2.5 | 27-2 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 32 m | Show | |
Florida +2.5 If Florida had not laid an egg last week against Florida Atlantic this game likely would be Florida -1. I'll side with value here as even though Sean MacGuire is starter he is doing it in a different capacity. No longer has Coach Jimbo Fisher said it's something he'll evaluate. Now with the permanent job I believe MacGuire may handle the pressure a bit differently. Florida will get enough done on offense to cover the 2.5. |
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11-28-15 | Texas State v. Idaho -3 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
Idaho -3 We will go to the Sun Belt yet again as Idaho takes on Texas State. Texas State has been a peculiar team because they have a solid quarterback in Jones as well as senior running back Robert Lowe. But they're just not the same potent combination that was witnessed a season ago. Scoring the football has been difficult and I believe that'll bode to the home favorite in Idaho. Grab Idaho -3. |
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11-27-15 | Baylor -1 v. TCU | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
Baylor -1 Baylor may have lost high hopes of a BCS playoff just two weeks ago but that doesn't take away their talent advantage over TCU. TCU played a spirited game last week without Boykin but even with him back you have to wonder how they're going to keep up with the potent Baylor Bears. We'll back the Bears here today to make things interesting if Oklahoma loses Saturday. |
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11-21-15 | Michigan State +14 v. Ohio State | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 29 m | Show | |
(371) Michigan State vs (372) Ohio State Can Michigan State put a thorn to the Buckeyes on Saturday? This of course could have been a classic matchup of undefeated teams if it were not for the Spartans meltdown against the Wolverines. I ask you, what would the point spread be if that play did not happen to give the Wolverines the win over the Spartans? Definitely not near two touchdowns. Though the Spartans have not looked the part of a highly ranked team neither have the Buckeyes. Expect the Spartans to battle in this game as if they could take that last play back against the Wolverines. Grab Michigan State plus the 14. Play Michigan State plus 14 |
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11-21-15 | Houston v. Connecticut +10 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
UConn plus 10 Last week I avoided posting Oregon as a moneyline play against Stanford. This week I'll recommend a 50/50 wager on UConn ML and with the points +10. There's a reason why the undefeated Cougars continue to get zero respect from the polls and BCS chances. They have a run and gun look that has succeeded in the American conference but they don't pass the eye test. The Huskies have made strides and this is the type of game that can get them to a bowl and carry momentum into next season. Grab the Huskies |
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11-21-15 | South Alabama v. Georgia State -2.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Georgia State -2.5 Last week I bypassed the Sun Belt but we'll head back into it this week as South Alabama travels to Georgia State. South Alabama has been a hot potato team that is off their first winning streak of the season. Still, their defense is a major concern of mine heading on the road against a Georgia State team that has underachieved this season. Expect Georgia State to capitalize at home and take advantage of a South Alabama team that is subpar. |
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11-21-15 | Purdue +23 v. Iowa | 20-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Purdue From time to time value just sticks out. Iowa's undefeated season has rose their spread value sky high. But over their last three games their only cover was by a half point over Indiana. High lines against the Gophers and Maryland did not come close to inflated spreads. As this line continues to climb from 20 to now 23 I have to step in and root for 2-8 Purdue, who did play a competitive game against a similar style team in Michigan State. |
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11-14-15 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -2 | 44-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Baylor -2 Baylor faces the toughest part of their season starting with a Saturday matchup against Oklahoma. Losing Seth Russell will surely have an impact on the Bears but they feel they've improved enough defensively to match their potent offense. Oklahoma will be a true test but I'll side with the Bears to pull out the win and cover Saturday. |
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11-14-15 | Oregon +10 v. Stanford | 38-36 | Win | 100 | 55 h 37 m | Show | |
Play Oregon +10 |
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11-14-15 | Temple -2.5 v. South Florida | 23-44 | Loss | -112 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
Play Temple +3 South Florida has made stellar improvements to turn around a football program that looked in deep trouble the last four seasons. Still, I believe this is a good spot to back a veteran Temple team. Three point road favorites usually pushes a mind set of trap. Instead here I love the value. Back the Owls who should keep winning off of having a turnover advantage. |
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11-14-15 | NC State +10 v. Florida State | 17-34 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show | |
Play NC State plus 10 |
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11-07-15 | UL-Monroe +10 v. Troy | 14-51 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
UL Monroe +10 For the second consecutive week we’ll be on UL Monroe as double digit underdogs. Troy is catching far too much love after a blowout win on the road as 3 point favorites over New Mexico State and taking Appalachian State to three overtime’s as three touchdown underdogs last week. Monroe is a stubborn team that hangs in games. Troy will come back down to Earth from their impactful two weeks. Grab Monroe. |
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11-07-15 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Houston | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Cincinnati +9.5 All great college offenses meet a heads on challenge once or twice a season. You just can’t win every week in college football in landslide fashion with offense. Cincinnati is a confident team that’s capable of sustaining matching offense of the Cougars for four quarters. Cougars sophomore quarterback Greg Ward Jr. is still adapting and may not be ready for a closer than anticipated game. That’ll factor in to the spread as this should be closer to 5.5-6 points. Grab the Bearcats. |
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11-07-15 | UL-Lafayette -2 v. Georgia State | 23-21 | Push | 0 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
Louisiana Lafayette -2 We were on the opposite side of the Rajun Cajuns last week for a cover. Saturday I look for them to play a strong game against Georgia State. In consecutive weeks they’ve found themselves in a hole because of poor first half play. That can be corrected and I expect Lafayette to finally play a complete game and grab the win on the road. Play Lafayette. |
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11-07-15 | Stanford v. Colorado +16.5 | 42-10 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Colorado +16.5 Full season college subscribers have noticed my love for the Buffaloes. They’ve been on my board countless times this season and there’s a main reason why. Colorado has been the doormat of the Pac-12 since entering and with how strong the Pac-12 is this season oddsmakers are overlooking the Buffaloes. Each week there is value and it’s to be had again at home against Stanford. Note the odd start time of 10AM PT for this Pac-12 matchup. Shaky wins by a top ten team don’t prosper the following week. Usually it’ll take a half to get things refigured out. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Colorado have a small lead here at half and hang on to cover a sizeable spread in the second. Grab Colorado. |
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10-31-15 | Arizona +4.5 v. Washington | 3-49 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 18 m | Show | |
Rich Rod and the Arizona Wildcats have been as potent of an offense as there is in the Pac-12. The problem has been the defenses vulnerability to stop anything. Heading up to Washington they need to show the veteran capabilities this team possesses. Washington has a young defense that has struggled against the run and will have Browning returning from injury at quarterback. This is the type of game where Arizona’s offense should finally be able to outpace their poor defense. Grab the Wildcats. Play Arizona +4.5 |
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10-31-15 | Stanford -10.5 v. Washington State | 30-28 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 49 m | Show | |
Saturday night the Washington State Cougars will look to try and knock off the surging Stanford Cardinal in the Pac-12. The Cougars have just one loss in conference and could tie the Cardinal with a win Saturday. Luke Falk has been dominant at quarterback with just four interceptions and over twenty touchdowns. On the road this should be a true tough test for the Cardinal. But they’re the only team in college football I see getting better as the season goes on. They’ll have too much balance that will over power the Cougars. Grab Stanford. Play Stanford -10.5 |
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10-31-15 | Notre Dame v. Temple +11 | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
The undefeated Temple Owls will do all they can Saturday to keep their undefeated record intact. To do so they’ll have to play mistake free football and execute at their highest level in all phases of special teams, defense, and offense. For how great Notre Dame has been this season they’ve been a turnover prone team. That will be the difference in landing our cover Saturday as Temple will play like a true top twenty five team. Play Temple + 11 |
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10-31-15 | UL-Monroe +11.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
As potent as Louisiana Lafayette are on offense they are just as deadly and porous on defense. Louisiana Monroe has struggled as they transition with a true freshman quarterback in Garrett Smith. This should be the type of game he can settle in as he is a dual threat quarterback. Even though Monroe is 1-6 overall they’ve fought in several games including against Tulsa and Alabama. We’ll grab them plus 11.5 Saturday. Play UL Monroe +11.5 |
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10-31-15 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams light it up on offense. Virginia Tech may look back at this season and say what if. They’ve lost several close games that were winnable and now likely will not be in position to make a bowl game. But I believe they’re further ahead in development than Boston College. The Hokies will be able to shut down Boston College’s simplistic offense and get the win and cover Saturday morning. Play Virginia Tech -2.5 |
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10-30-15 | Louisville v. Wake Forest +12 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Play Wake Forest +12 In the ACC Friday night the Louisville Cardinal will look to finally play mistake free football against Wake Forest. This is a curious line even against a rusty young Wake Forest team. I just have not seen enough from the Cardinal offensively or discipline wise to back them as double digit favorites. Wake Forest will stay in this game and cover the number. |
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10-30-15 | East Carolina -6 v. Connecticut | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Play East Carolina -6 UConn is definitely a program moving upward after years of poor football play. They’ve stayed in a few games this season against teams such as Missouri, BYU, and South Florida. I’m not sold on them finishing the season out strong. They have a look of a young team that is growing but will falter as the season ends. East Carolina should be able to take prime advantage of UConn even on the road. Grab East Carolina |
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10-29-15 | Oregon +2.5 v. Arizona State | 61-55 | Win | 105 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Play Oregon +2.5 A Pac-12 battle takes place Thursday night in Tempe, Arizona between Arizona State and the Oregon Ducks. These two have not squared off since 2012's Thursday matchup in which the Ducks blew out Arizona State. This is a chance for both teams to get back on the right path and control their destiny for an at-large bowl game. I like the versatility Adams Jr. brings to the Ducks offense. He'll be very tough for the Devils to adjust too defensively, especially with the all out blitzes Todd Graham loves to bring. It's hard to believe the Ducks are in an underdog role for the second consecutive game but I'll grab them once again. Play Oregon plus 2.5 |
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10-24-15 | Colorado +2 v. Oregon State | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
In the late Pac-12 matchups we’ll overlook Stanford vs Washington for the Colorado vs Oregon State game. Both teams are on the bottom level of the Pac-12 but have ingredients in place to move upward. Colorado has the edge in leadership while Oregon State has an abundance of freshman learning on the go. All of the veterans on Colorado have endured an abysmal record in the Pac-12, with the majority being landslide losses to top level teams. Winning a conference game means the world to the upperclassmen and head coach of Colorado. It won’t be easy but we’ll look for the Buffaloes to grab the road win and cover the small line of plus 2. Play Colorado +2 |
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10-24-15 | South Alabama v. Texas State -3 | 18-36 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
In this late evening Sun Belt conference matchup we’ll back the home team in Texas State against a reeling South Alabama team. South Alabama is coming off extended rest after losing to Arkansas State in a Tuesday matchup a week and a half ago. They’ve had poor play lately from the quarterback position. Texas State is a disciplined enough team at home to have the edge in the turnover battle. That’ll be the difference in the final result and land us a cover with Texas State. Play Texas State -3 |
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10-24-15 | Indiana v. Michigan State -16.5 | 26-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Play Michigan State -16.5 Michigan State has been horrid ATS and is coming off of a freak win against Michigan. The win finally shook their ATS woes but also kept them in the hunt for a BCS championship. I think it will spark the Spartans against an Indiana team that has been playing above their capability. The Spartans style of play bodes well for an ATS cover here. A few big plays with their offense and a grind it out style that pours it on in the second half. Grab Michigan State |
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10-24-15 | Clemson v. Miami (Fla) +7.5 | 58-0 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
Clemson is one of those teams that yearly has had the possibility of representing in a BCS bowl. But ACC conference play usually targets them for a critical loss. While the Miami Hurricane program is no where to the level it use to be, it is by no means a down program. They have talent and will be ready to battle Clemson in hopes of derailing their season. 7.5 is far too many points in my opinion. Look for the Hurricane to battle just as hard as they did against Florida State. Grab the 7.5. Play Miami +7.5 |
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10-24-15 | Houston -21.5 v. Central Florida | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
It’s not often you see a road team as steep favorites. Yet that’s the case with Houston. Houston made the switch to quarterback Greg Ward Jr. in this exact matchup last season. John O’Korn has since transferred to Michigan, but the move has proved to be one of the top decisions any division one program has made. Ward’s averaging over 70% on pass completions and over 100 yards rushing in each game. Those believing that Central Florida will be able to respond in a big way better take a look at the poor play during their 0-7 start. A loss to FCS Furman and a mountain of points giving up to UConn and Tulane. Grab Houston. Play Houston -21.5 |
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10-20-15 | UL-Lafayette +7.5 v. Arkansas State | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
10/20 05:00 PM CF (301) UL - LAFAYETTE VS (302) ARKANSAS STATE edit
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10-17-15 | Oregon +3 v. Washington | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
10/17 07:30 PM CF (213) OREGON VS (214) WASHINGTON edit
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10-17-15 | Arizona v. Colorado +7.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
Colorado +7.5 Colorado is a team that was on the rise in bettors’ eyes just two weeks ago. Then they stumbled at home as 7.5 point dogs to Oregon and suffered another ATS loss last week to Arizona State. A game in which bettors moved the line by two full points to 16.5 to 17 before kickoff. This week though they have a much better matchup against the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona’s defense is one of the worst in the Pac-12 which should keep this game close. The Buffaloes always mark a game or two in Pac-12 play that they believe they can win, and this is one for a building football program. Grab the Buffaloes |
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10-17-15 | Louisville v. Florida State -7 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
FSU -7 Everett Golson has had his woes against tough blitzing defenses throughout his career. Yet the burden at Florida State is not as high on his shoulders as it was at Notre Dame. The Seminoles an rush the football against the Cardinals aggressive defense and then open up the passing game. On offense Louisville turns the football over far too frequently to support them on the road against a potent team such as FSU. Grab FSU. |
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10-16-15 | Cincinnati +6 v. BYU | 24-38 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Tonight in Utah, BYU will look to get back on a winning track after stumbling in late September. BYU’s defense has been worse as the season has stretched and the offense is still working out kinks with freshman quarterback Mangum. That is not a quality recipe to have against the potent offense of the Bearcats. They’ll be able to score against the Cougars and should get a solid cover for us Friday night. |
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10-15-15 | UCLA v. Stanford -7 | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
10/15 07:30 PM CF (109) UCLA VS (110) STANFORD edit
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10-10-15 | California +7.5 v. Utah | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
10/10 07:00 PM CF (379) CALIFORNIA VS (380) UTAH edit
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10-10-15 | Troy +30.5 v. Mississippi State | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
10/10 01:00 PM CF (349) TROY VS (350) MISSISSIPPI STATE edit
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10-10-15 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Nebraska | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
10/10 12:30 PM CF (403) WISCONSIN VS (404) NEBRASKA edit
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10-09-15 | Southern Miss v. Marshall -3 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
10/09 04:00 PM CF (307) SO MISSISSIPPI VS (308) MARSHALL edit
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10-08-15 | Washington +17 v. USC | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
Play Washington Both the Trojans and Huskies are coming off bye weeks. Yet I expect the younger Huskies to be ready against a Trojans team that has hit their ceiling offensively. 17 points is far too many to side on the Trojans side. Grab the Huskies |
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10-03-15 | Arizona +12.5 v. Stanford | 17-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Play Arizona plus 12.5 At night in the Pac-12 we will look to grab Arizona as near two touchdown underdogs against Stanford. Arizona is coming off a horrible loss to UCLA at home but I see this spot as a nice matchup for Arizona. Stanford's defense has given up several points to start the season especially in first halfs. That does well for Arizona's spread offense. Grab the points here. |
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10-03-15 | Colorado State +4 v. Utah State | 18-33 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 53 m | Show | |
10/03 04:00 PM CF (207) COLORADO STATE VS (208) UTAH STATE edit
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10-03-15 | Ole Miss v. Florida +7 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Play Florida plus 7 Ole Miss surged to the top with a win over Alabama. Watching that game anyone would have seen the continuous mental lapses by Alabama. To start the game they used an unproven quarterback that wasn't ready for the big stage, and Alabama's defense kept giving up big play after big play. At home Florida will pose a challenge against Ole Miss. Backing Ole Miss as a full touchdown favorite will bite you in the tail. Grab the points with Florida. |
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10-03-15 | Eastern Michigan +45 v. LSU | 22-44 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Play Eastern Michigan +45 LSU potent run game should be their bread and butter against an Eastern Michigan team vulnerable against the run. Still a steep line of 45 points is high enough to back the MAC Eastern Michigan. Expect this line to toy around the high 30's and low 40's by the third quarter. But it won't be enough to get the cover on LSU's side. Grab Eastern Michigan plus 45. |
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10-03-15 | Alabama v. Georgia -1 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
10/03 12:30 PM CF (159) ALABAMA VS (160) GEORGIA edit
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10-02-15 | Memphis v. South Florida +7.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
10/02 04:00 PM CF (105) MEMPHIS VS (106) SOUTH FLORIDA edit
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09-26-15 | Utah +12.5 v. Oregon | 62-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show | |
09/26 05:30 PM CF (387) UTAH VS (388) OREGON edit
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09-26-15 | UCLA -3 v. Arizona | 56-30 | Win | 100 | 49 h 8 m | Show | |
09/26 05:00 PM CF (401) UCLA VS (402) ARIZONA edit
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09-26-15 | Arkansas State +7 v. Toledo | 7-37 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 54 m | Show | |
09/26 04:00 PM CF (335) ARKANSAS STATE VS (336) TOLEDO edit
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09-26-15 | Army v. Eastern Michigan -1.5 | 58-36 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 55 m | Show | |
09/26 03:00 PM CF (311) ARMY VS (312) EASTERN MICHIGAN edit
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09-25-15 | Boise State -2.5 v. Virginia | 56-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
09/25 05:00 PM CF (305) BOISE STATE VS (306) VIRGINIA edit
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss +7 v. Alabama | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 34 h 42 m | Show | |
Ole Miss (151) vs Alabama (152)Play Ole Miss Plus 7 |
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09-19-15 | Stanford +10 v. USC | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 2 m | Show | |
09/19 05:00 PM CF (195) STANFORD VS (196) USC edit
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09-19-15 | Southern Miss +3 v. Texas State | 56-50 | Win | 100 | 42 h 52 m | Show | |
09/19 04:00 PM CF (163) SO MISSISSIPPI VS (164) TEXAS STATE edit
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09-19-15 | NC State v. Old Dominion +17 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
09/19 04:00 PM CF (129) NORTH CAROLINA STATE VS (130) OLD DOMINION edit
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09-19-15 | Utah State +6.5 v. Washington | 17-31 | Loss | -106 | 40 h 2 m | Show | |
09/19 02:00 PM CF (161) UTAH STATE VS (162) WASHINGTON edit
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