NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-13-16 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Steelers | Top | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 114 h 58 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE MONTH* Not even the return of Ben Roethlisberger could end the Pittsburgh Steelers slide as they came up short for the third game in a row in a 21-14 loss at Baltimore last week. I think they're in for another tough game here against the surging Dallas Cowboys. Dallas is coming off a comfortable win as it defeated the woeful Browns 35-10. Dak Prescott is coming off yet another impressive game with three TDs and only six incompletions. The Cowboys are now 7-0 ATS in their last seven games, and while they have a great chance to win this game outright, why not take the points as a little insurance. Great value on Dallas here, and I'm firing a BIG BET against Big Ben. |
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11-06-16 | Jets +4 v. Dolphins | Top | 23-27 | Push | 0 | 88 h 2 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The New York Jets are coming off back-to-back wins as they came from behind to beat the Browns 31-28 last week. The Jets had great success running the ball and Ryan Fitzpatrick had a solid game under center. They'll visit the Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon, and I like the Jets to make it three on the bounce. They've won four of the last five meetings with their AFC East rival outright and they're 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Miami. Fitzpatrick threw four touchdown passes in a 38-20 victory in the last meeting. The Dolphins are also looking to make it three consecutive wins as they're coming off a bye week. They've defeated the Bills and the Steelers in recent weeks, which are indeed pretty impressive results. The bye week might have come at a bad time though interrupting the momentum, and this is a classic letdown spot for the Fins. Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC East while the Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. division rivals. Miami could very well win this game outright, but by more than a field goal? I don't think so, and I'm putting in a BIG wager on the Jets. |
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10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 115 h 49 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL* The Dallas Cowboys will host NFC East rivals the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday night football. This looks like an excellent spot to back the home team IMO. The Eagles are coming off an upset against the Vikings as they handed Minny its first defeat of the season. Can they follow it up here in Dallas? I think it sets up a let down spot here against a Cowboys team riding a five-game winning streak and coming off a bye week. Philly is perfect at home but 1-2 SU and ATS on the road. Teams are struggling to figure out how to stop Dallas' rookie duo Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, and I don't think the Eagles will have any success either. |
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10-30-16 | Patriots -6 v. Bills | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 83 h 47 m | Show |
NFL *AFTERNOON APOCALYPSE* EASY play on the New England Patriots here. Huge revenge spot after a 16-0 home loss to the Buffalo Bills on October 2. They've since defeated Cleveland (33-13) on the road, Cincinnati (35-17) at home and Pittsburgh (27-16) on the road last week. Buffalo had won four straight prior to a 28-25 loss at Miami last week. Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Buffalo, and Bill Belichick will have his team fired up for this game. The Bills won't stand a chance ... |
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10-23-16 | Patriots -7 v. Steelers | Top | 27-16 | Win | 100 | 89 h 9 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *BIG HITTER* The New England Patriots were close to unstoppable with Tom Brady out, and they've looked even better with him back under center. The Patriots are coming off back-to-back wins against Cleveland and Cincinnati by a total of 38 points, and now they'll take on a banged up Pittsburgh Steelers team which will have to do without injured QB Ben Rothlisberger for a while. With 394.8 points allowed per game, the Steelers' defense ranks 28th in the NFL and this is arguably a team that needs its offense to bail out the D. That seems like mission impossible with Big Ben out. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in Pittsburgh, and I expect the visitors to win by a healthy margin. |
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10-23-16 | Giants -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 94 h 34 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* Super Early NFL *Giants/Rams at London* The New York Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings with the LA Rams, and this looks like a good spot to back the Giants when the two teams clash at Twickenham Stadium across the pond. Both teams have split their first six games of the season, but the Rams are coming off back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Detroit while the Giants have some momentum after a 27-23 upset against the Ravens last Sunday. The Giants rank 3rd in the league in passing offense, and say what you want about Eli Manning, he moves the chains on a regular basis. Manning was picked off twice in last week's win, but he made up for it with 32-for-46 passing for a total of 403 yards and three scores, two of them to Odell Beckham Jr. who exploded for 222 yards after a slow start to the season. The Rams have a respectable D, but they rank 28th in both rushing and passing offense. I don't think they'll be able to keep up with the Giants high-powered offense here. |
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10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans -3 | Top | 23-26 | Push | 0 | 104 h 49 m | Show |
Mike's Sunday Night *AFC SOUTH GAME OF THE YEAR* Colts/Texans This looks like a GREAT spot to back the Houston Texans as they host AFC South rivals Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football. The Colts are coming off a 29-23 win against the lowly Bears, but they're still looking for their first road win this season and are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games last year included. The Houston Texans need a quick bounce back after an embarrassing 31-13 loss at Minnesota last week, where we won with the Vikings as a free pick. The Texans struggled to solve the Vikings' top rated D, but here they'll come up against a Colts secondary that's 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game. Even Brock Osweiler should be able to throw plenty of touchdown passes against it, and I think we'll see an extremely lopsided affair in favor of the home team Sunday night. |
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10-10-16 | Bucs v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL* BEST BET Both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Carolina Panthers head into this Monday Night Football clash with a 1-3 record. Carolina will have to do without Pro Bowl QB Cam Newton as he is in the NFL concussion protocol after getting banged up in last week's loss to Atlanta. Derek Anderson will replace Newton, and he went 17-of-23 passing for 172 yards with two TDs and two picks when he came in under center last week. Tampa Bay has dropped three in a row since a season-opening victory over the very same Falcons and they've been torched for a total of 104 points during their slide. The Bucs have covered the spread in just one of their last seven Monday night football games and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings with the Panthers. Carolina is 8-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and I like the Panthers to rally behind their backup QB and bounce back with a win in this NFC South clash. |
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10-09-16 | Giants v. Packers -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* *SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL* The Green Bay Packers are fresh off a bye week, a terrific spot for them as they're 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a week off. The New York Giants meanwhile suffered a 24-10 loss at Minnesota on Monday to fall to 2-2 on the season (0-3 ATS last three games). The Giants' secondary is banged up and they'll be without top cornerback Sam Shields (concussion) for this contest. Bad news as they'll come up against Aaron Rodgers who has seven touchdown passes and just one pick on the season. The Giants Eli Manning meanwhile has thrown for a lot of yards, but as many picks as TDs (4). It will be a very hostile environment at Lambeau Field, and I expect the home team to win and cover the spread in this NFC showdown. |
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10-09-16 | Redskins v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -105 | 108 h 51 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL Non Conference *GAME OF THE YEAR* We lost with the Baltimore Ravens last week when they came up short in a 28-27 home loss to Oakland. They're now tied with the Steelers at the top of the AFC North, both with a 3-1 record, and I expect a big bounce back game from the Ravens when taking on the Washington Redskins at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore actually played decent football last week and outgained the Raiders by a total of 151 yards while allowing just 62 yards on the ground. The Redskins meanwhile are coming off a 31-20 win over Cleveland, but it was a real "inside-out" victory as they were outgained by 79 yards ... by the 0-4 Browns! Washington has been outgained by 50 yards or more in three of their four games on the season, and I think they'll run into plenty of trouble against the Ravens D that ranks fourth in total yards allowed. Kirk Cousins has six touchdown passes on the season, but three came last week against the lousy Browns and he has also tossed four picks on the season. Nah, this should be a blowout win for the Ravens, and I'm going BIG on this bet. |
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10-02-16 | Panthers -3 v. Falcons | Top | 33-48 | Loss | -113 | 83 h 7 m | Show |
Top rated NFL *AFTERNOON ASSASSIN* The Carolina Panthers are at risk of starting the season with a 1-3 record. They suffered a 22-10 home loss to the Vikings as a hefty favorite in Week 3, but I like them to bounce back with a big game here against an NFC South foe. The 2-1 Atlanta Falcons rank first in the NFL in offense by scoring 34.7 points and gaining 448 yards per game, but they've faced some rather mediocre defenses. The Panthers D is allowing just 273.3 yards per game while Atlanta's is giving up 433 yards per game. Carolina has a good chance of keeping Matt Ryan quiet while I can see the Falcons having plenty of trouble with Cam Newton who'll be looking to rebound from a poor display against Minny. Then we have the motivational factor. A loss here would be devastating for the Panthers as it would put them in a very tough spot in the division. That's not something this Super Bowl finalist can afford to happen, and they won't. |
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09-25-16 | Bears v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL PRIMETIME *BOOKIE BASHER* The Dallas Cowboys minus less than a touchdown at home on primetime versus the lowly Chicago Bears? Yes Please! The Cowboys are playing well even with Tony Romo out as Dak Prescott has slotted in perfectly under center. He's set an NFL record for the most passes without an interception (75) in a player's first two games. The Bears starting QB Jay Cutler on the other hand is both getting blasted by the media and enter the game banged up after leaving Monday's 29-14 home loss to Philly with an apparent thumb injury. He's not getting much help from his O-line either and was sacked three times in that defeat and the Bears as a team is averaging just 271 ypg. The Bears are not in the best shape defensively either with several defensive players questionable. The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven following a loss of more than 14 points and 0-6 ATS in their last six in September. I don't like their chances here against a Dallas team strengthened by a 27-23 win as a 3.5-point dog at Washington last week. |
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09-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 54 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *SUNDAY STEAMROLLER* The Denver Broncos have opened their title defending campaign with back-to-back wins against Carolina and Indianapolis. I like the Broncos to make it three in a row as they hit the road for the first time this season with a visit to the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Denver outgained the Colts 400 yards to 253 last week, including 134 yards on the ground, and C.J. Anderson put in a shift on the ground with 74 yards on 20 carries and one touchdown. The Bengals does not have much of a running game and the team’s leading rusher, Jeremy Hill, has just 53 yards on 20 carries for the season. Denver's secondary should be able to pick off Andy Dalton a couple of times, and I don't think the Bengals will be the team to hand Denver its first loss of the season. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five September games and the Bengals are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games. |
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09-18-16 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 103 h 3 m | Show |
Top Rated NFL *SUNDAY SLAUGHTER* Tough opening schedule for the Miami Dolphins who lost 12-10 at Seattle in their season opener and head to Boston to take on the New England Patriots here in Week 2. The Dolphins produced just 222 yards of offense in their opening loss and points won't come easy here against Bill Belichick's Pats who defeated the Cardinals 23-21 on Sunday night, despite playing without not only Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, but also without three starting linemen. Brady is still suspended, but I expect Gronk to be back for this contest, and even if he's not I don't see the Pats having any trouble scoring with Jimmy Garoppolo stepping up under center with plenty of reliable targets out wide. Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Home team is 8-0 ATS in their last eight head-to-head meetings and this looks like a great spot to back the Pats to cover a touchdown. |
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11-22-15 | Colts +6 v. Falcons | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 46 m | Show |
10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* Colts@Falcons I think we're getting way too many points on the Colts here to pass up on. Sure, they'll be without Andrew Luck under center, but who needs Luck when you have a veteran like Matt Hasselbeck as back-up? He's proven himself more than capable time-and-time again and the Colts stilll pose a big threat on the ground with Frank Gore. The Falcons have averaged 16.8 points and committed nine turnovers in their past four contests. They're not quite as sharp as in the beginning of the season and 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall while the Colts have covered in four of their last five. |