MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY

I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. 

In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game.

4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. 

Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... 

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field.   

5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR

I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. 

Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game.

5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS.

I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. 

Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

5* PLAY ON THE BUCS.

MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY

The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs.

There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. 

Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS.

MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. 

Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday.

Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win.

Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival?

5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. 

The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS.

MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY

The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 

4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. 

5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. 

The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 

4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. 

MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs.

The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. 

MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY

The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team.

The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. 

The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week.

I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. 

The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line.

5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS.  

MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins.

I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. 

The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15.

Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday.

There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 

4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. 

The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. 

The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS.

MIKE'S 5* PACKERS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Green Bay Packers are coming off an upset win over the Chargers, but I think they'll lose big here in Detroit on Thanksgiving.

The Packers are far from healthy, and they'll face a Lions team that is on a roll with seven wins while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, including a 34-20 win at Lambeau Field back in late September.

The Lions did not cover in last week's 31-26 win over the Bears but note that the Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

5* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S 5* BENGALS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 30-27 loss to Houston, but that did not come as a surprise to me who predicted that they would have a letdown game following four straight wins SU and ATS.

I expect the Bengals to come out fully focused again for this divisional matchup against Baltimore who also saw a four-game winning streak end last week, with a 33-31 loss to Cleveland.

These are two very evenly matched teams in my opinion, and I would not be surprised to see this game come down to a last-drive field goal. Let's take the points on the underdog. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany.

The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia.

The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO.

Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 

5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET

The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover.

Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons.

The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 

4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S COLTS/JAGS GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars return home from two weeks across the pond and off an upset win over the Bills. The travel could become an issue for Jacksonville against a Colts team that has won three of its last four games outright. Gardner Minshew will quarterback Indianapolis, but I'm not sure he's that much of a downgrade from injured Anthony Richardson.

Over the last three seasons, the Colts are 14-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 3-7 ATS as favorites (0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 7 points). 

4* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

4* TOP PLAY - Mike's Ravens/Steelers NFL Game of the Week

This looks like a great spot to back the Steelers to bounce back from a disappointing 30-6 loss as a 3-point favorite at Houston. The Steelers are not good as favorites, but Mike Tomlin knows how to get his squad fired up as underdogs, especially when it comes to divisional games. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Steelers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs against division opponents. 

The Ravens meanwhile are in a potential flat spot following a 28-3 rout of the Browns in Cleveland. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Ravens are 9-17 ATS as favorites and 1-4 ATS off a win against a divisional rival. 

4* play on the Steelers. 

5* NFL MAX BET - Mike's Ravens/Browns Game of the Month

The Ravens took a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts last week, and they're heading to Cleveland with a banged-up squad. Here they'll face a Cleveland team boasting arguably the best defense in the league.

The Browns have only allowed six points in their two home wins this season, and while I'm not completely sold on their QB Deshaun Watson, the team is very good at moving the ball on the ground (4th in rushing yards per game). 

5* MAX BET on the Browns. 

MAX BET ALERT - Mike's 5* Eagles/Bucs NFL Game of the Month

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven to be a lot harder to defeat than most predicted. They've opened the season with wins over Minnesota and Chicago, and while tonight's opponent will be a much tougher test, I still like the Bucs to keep it within the number. 

The Eagles have defeated the Pats by five points and Minnesota by six points, but they have allowed 326 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall (29th). 

Bucs QB Baker Mayfield is playing with a lot of confidence and averages 7.2passing yards per attempt. 

5* MAX BET on the Bucs. 

Mike's 4* Patriots/Jets NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson.

Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog.

4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots. 

Mike's 4* Giants/Niners T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Giants got stomped by Dallas in Week 1, and they needed a 17-0 fourth quarter to scrape by a weak Arizona team in Week 2. Here they'll have to do without star RB Saquon Barkley who left the win against Arizona early with an ankle injury, and I just don't see how the Giants will be able to keep up with a Niners team that is superior on both sides of the ball. 

The Niners are 2-0 on the season after winning 30-7 at Pittsburgh in Week 1 and 30-23 at LA Rams in Week 2. Two dominant performances, and their Week 2 win could've/should've been bigger. I expect the 49ers to rout their opponent here in their home opener. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the 49ers with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Ravens/Bengals NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Bengals were held to three points and 142 yards of total offense in their Week 1 matchup with Cleveland. QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf injury during training camp that made him miss one month of the preseason, and he looked completely off. Here he'll face a solid Baltimore team that is coming off a 25-9 win over the Texans. 

Since the start of the 2019 season, the Ravens are 13-3-1 ATS as underdogs. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the RAVENS with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Vikings/Eagles ATS TOP PLAY of the Day

The Vikings do not have the defense to compete with Philly, but they have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Turnovers and penalties hurt them badly in Week 1 against the Bucs, but I think we'll see a much better Vikings offense in this one. The Vikings will also have a chip on their shoulder after losing to Tampa Bay as a big favorite, and divisional matchups are never a gimme. Additionally, the Eagles have been hit with injuries on defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the Vikings with 4% of your bankroll. 

10* BENGALS/BILLS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

Buffalo might be the best team in the AFC, but this is a lot of points to give to a team as talented as the Bengals. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been inconsistent lately. Sure, he has thrown 12 touchdown passes over the last four games, but also five interceptions in the last three. For the season, the Bills rank 31st in the NFL with 1.8 giveaways per game while Cincy ranks 8th with 1.5 takeaways per game. 

Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - RAMS/SEAHAWKS MAX BET

The Rams are banged up but still battling. They have lost eight of their last 10 games straight up, but they are 4-2 ATS in their last six and I think we'll get an honest effort from them here against a Seattle team that needs a win to maintain their hopes earning a wild-card spot. Seattle is not fully healthy either, and its top three running backs all missed practice time this week. 

Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Seahawks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win.

10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT

Deshaun Watson's return from suspension has not had nearly the positive impact that the Browns would've hoped for. They've been held to 10, 13, and 10 points over their last three games and here they'll face a Washington team that ranks fourth in the NFL for total defense.

Washington gave up 37 points at the Niners last week, but they were only marginally outgained.

The Browns are eliminated from the playoffs while the Commanders must win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I don't care whether Taylor Heinicke or Carson Wentz quarterbacks the Commanders, their defense, and their running game should get them the win and cover. 

10* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. 

10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - GIANTS/VIKES BEST BET

Last week, Minnesota came back from a 33-0 deficit to beat the Colts and win yet another one-score game. The Giants are coming off a 20-12 win at Washington and are coming into this game holding the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The Vikes have clinched a playoff spot, and while they might find a way to win this one outright, I like the Giants to cover. 

Giants are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.

10* PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS. 

10* COWBOYS/JAGS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a potential flat spot for the Cowboys following four straight wins and with the Eagles on deck next week. The Jags are only 5-8 on the season but can still win the division. so they'll show up. The Cowboys are relying on their running game to move the ball rather than their passing game but the Jags run defense is decent and I think they'll keep this close. 

10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* NON CONFERENCE BEST BET ATS

The Vikings are 10-3 on the season, but they've been fairly lucky being on the right side in several one-score games and here they'll face Colts team that will be looking to pick up the pieces following a 54-19 loss at Dallas two weeks ago. They kept it close until getting outscored 33-0 in the final period, and they've had extra time to prepare for this one. 

Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Vikings are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

10* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH ATS - PANTHERS/SEAHAWKS BEST BET

The Seahawks are 0-3 ATS in their last three games and failed to cover the last two as favorites. They won by only four points against the extremely banged up LA Rams and now they'll face a Panthers team that has been playing well lately, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

The Panthers defense has been playing at a very high level, and I do not see the Seahawks pulling away. 

10* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

10* RAIDERS/RAMS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Rams will need to keep relying on their backups at many positions as the injuries are mounting up. Still, that was the case last week as well when they lost by only four points as a seven-point underdog to Seattle last week, and I think they can keep it close here as well against a Raiders team that is in a potential flat spot following three straight wins, two as underdogs. Raiders are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. 

BILLS/PATS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and here they'll face a Pats team that has played well in recent weeks. The Patriots have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they look to avenge last a 47-17 loss to the Bills in last season's playoffs. The Pats are not putting up a ton of points, but they are well coached and their defense rarely lets them down. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

STEELERS/COLTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Steelers took a 37-30 loss as a 3.5-point home underdog against Cincinnati last week. They rarely fail to cover the spread two games in a row though. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Colts are having a tough season and they are 1-4 in their last five games. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE MONTH - RAVENS/JAGS 10* BEST BET

The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games.

The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D.

10* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

Top-rated 10* 49ers/Cardinals M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Niners may not be built to blow teams out of the water, but I think they match up well against the Cardinals. Arizona QB Kyler Murray missed last week's game with a hamstring injury, and if he takes the field here he'll be running for his life against the best defense in the NFL. Murray was a limited participant in practice this week, as was backup QB Colt McCoy who led the team to an upset win against the Rams last week. Following that win, I would not be surprised to see the Cards come out flat tonight. 

49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games. Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* RAIDERS/BRONCOS BEST BET

The Broncos and the Raiders might be two of the most disappointing teams this season. The Broncos took a 17-10 loss at Tennesee last week but they are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Raiders are 0-5 SU on the road this season and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record (Denver is 2-2 at home). 

10* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. 

TOP-RATED 10* TITANS/PACKERS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Packers came from behind to beat Dallas last week, but I'm still not sold on this team at all. While the Packers have been overvalued for most of the season, the betting market has been undervaluing the Titans all season long and they have covered the spread in seven straight games, winning six of those outright. The Packers are awful against the run, and the Titans have the second-leading rusher in the league in Derrick Henry. 

10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR ATS - 10* MAJOR WAGER

The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out.

The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 

10* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* PACKERS/LIONS TOP PLAY

The Lions are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak, but the Packers are in almost equally rough shape coming off four straight losses.

This is the Packers' third straight game away from home while the Lions have remained home in Detroit since a 31-27 home loss to Miami last week.

Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

TOP-RATED 10* EAGLES/TEXANS T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

I'm still not 100% sold on the Eagles, but they are looking more and more like the real deal. They are running the ball very well, and this could get ugly for the Texans who rank dead last against the run. Additionally, the Texans are beat up on defense and their offense is just terrible. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.

10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. 

NFC/AFC GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S BEARS/PATS M.N.F. BEST BET

I love Chicago in this spot as the Pats are getting way too much respect following their blowout win at Cleveland last Sunday. The Bears meanwhile are getting no respect whatsoever after three straight losses, the most recent at home against a weak Washington team. That was a Thursday night game, so the Bears have had extra time to prepare for this one. I would not be surprised to see Pats rookie QB Bailey Zappe with a poor outing as he might be feeling a bit too confident after throwing for 309 yards and two TDs on 24-of-34 passing against the Browns.

10* PLAY ON CHICAGO BEARS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* ATS MAJOR WAGER

This looks like a great spot to back a Jacksonville team coming off a 13-6 home loss to Houston.

The Jaguars put up 422 yards of offense and outgained their opponent by 174 yards, but two INTs from QB Trevor Lawrence cost them dearly. I expect the Jags' offense to do well here against a Colts defense that ranks 30th in the league with only four takeaways on the season. 

The Colts are coming off an OT win at Denver on Thursday Night Football, but it was a struggle and I honestly still can't wrap my head around how the Broncos gifted them the game. Also, these two teams have already faced each other once this season, on Sep 18 when the Jags won 24-0. 

10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. 

AFC GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BENGALS/RAVENS S.N.F. BEST BET

The Bengals are rolling again after a slow start to the season Over the last two weeks, they have outscored the Jets and the Dolphins by a combined score of 45-27 and they've had extra time to rest and prepare after beating Miami on Thursday night football.

The Ravens on the other hand are coming off a physical game against Buffalo, a game they lost.

Divisional rivalries are almost always close, and I love the Bengals in this spot. 

Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S RAMS/NINERS M.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY

The Niners are 1-2 on the season after taking a disappointing 10-11 loss at Denver last week. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and they have owned the Rams in recent regular-season meetings, winning each of the last six.

The Niners have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they get a chance to avenge a loss to the Rams in last season's NFC Championship game. 49ers are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 Monday games.

10* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* VIKINGS/SAINTS MAJOR WAGER

The Vikes are 2-1 on the season but needed a fourth-quarter rally to defeat Detroit last week.

The Saints are 1-2 on the season after taking a 22-14 loss at Carolina in Week 3. They outgained the Panthers by 426 yards and Jameis Winston threw for 353 yards, but two picks ruined the day. Winston should have a big game here against a Vikes defense that ranks 29th against the pass.

Also, after starting the season 0-3 ATS, it's almost a guarantee that the Saints are undervalued by the betting market while they really shouldn't. Since the start of the 2015 season, teams who are 0-3 ATS in Week 4 are 13-6 (68%) against the spread. 

Take the Saints to cover at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS. 

MIKE'S DOLPHINS/BENGALS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Dolphins are 3-0 on the season after defeating Buffalo last week, but this looks like an extremely tough spot for the visitors. Not only are they on the road, but they'll be playing on a short week after an upset win in which their opponent held the ball for more than 40 minutes.

The Dolphins defense must be gassed, and the Bengals finally got their offense going in a 27-12 win at NY Jets in Week 3. 

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/BROWNS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

Something is not right with Cleveland who just barely won at Carolina in Week 1 and lost to the Jets in Week 2. Pittsburgh is coming off a weak outing against New England, but that was following an upset win at Cincinnati in Week 1. I expect the Steelers to show up again here against a divisional opponent. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

PERFECT 8-0 RUN - MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Chiefs are good but they are asked to cover too many points here as an overreaction to their blowout win in Arizona. The Chargers have a lot better defense than the Cardinals and Justin Herbert has as good of an arm as Patrick Mahomes. Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Since the start of the 2020 season, the Chargers are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs. Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Chargers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with KC. 

10* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER

Say what you want about Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin, but he knows how to rally the troops when coming into a game ss a an underdog. With the Steelers, Tomlin is 43-27-5 as an underdog, and the Bengals are in a prime letdown spot in their first game since losing the Super Bowl to the Rams. 

Last season, the Bengals swept the season series against Pittsburgh. Time for revenge, and the Steelers are actually in a better spot offensively now that Ben Roethlisberger has retired as he was a shadow of his former self last year. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

TOP-RATED 10* SUPER BOWL LVI BEST BET

Looking at the metrics, there is not much separating these two teams. 

Additionally, all the pressure is on the Rams playing at SoFi Stadium, and I'm not all that impressed by what we saw from them in the NFC Championship Game.

Ultimately, the Niners didn't have the QB to take advantage of the Rams' dodgy secondary, but now they'll face a Bengals team that is averaging an NFL-best 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Cincy QB Joe Burrow has averaged 280 passing yard per game through their three playoff games. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The San Francisco 49ers have already upset Dallas and Green Bay here in the playoffs, and they're once again spotted points when facing the LA Rams in the Conference Championship. This will be the third meeting of the season, with San Fran looking to complete the three-game sweep after winning both at home and here in LA as 3.5-point underdogs during the regular season. The Niners' defense is playing at a very high level, and they clearly match up very well against the Rams who are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - 49ERS/PACKERS GAME OF THE WEEK

The San Francisco 49ers upset Dallas in the Wildcard Round, and I think their Divisional Round matchup with the Packers will go down to the wire. The run-heavy Niners should have good success against a Green Bay defense that is giving up 4.7 yards per rush (31st), which goes up to 5.6 rushing yards per attempt at home! The first meeting of the season ended with a 30-28 Packers win at San Francisco on September 26. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in January.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots split their two regular-season meetings. Buffalo won the last one in a blowout at Foxboro on December 26, but I expect this to be a much tighter game. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and who would you rather have on the sidelines in a playoff game other than Bill Belichick? Surely, The Hoody will have a plan for how to stop Buffalo's explosive offense. The Pats rank 2nd in the NFL against the pass, and I expect them to keep Josh Allen in check. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

The Cleveland Browns are eliminated from postseason contention while the Cincinnati Bengals have clinched the AFC North. They can move up to the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the AFC with a win and loses for the Titans and the Chiefs. They still need a win here to stay ahead of the Bills for the No. 3 seed. 

The Bengals are playing great football at the moment, and they have scored 75 points over the last two weeks combined. The Browns' offense has been a huge disappointment all season, and while they can run the ball, but Cincy is great at stopping the run. 

While there is a small chance of the Bengals resting their starters to heal up for the playoffs, I think they'll go for it.

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 17 GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

This looks like a great spot to back the Washington Football Team to put up a fight following three straight losses. Washington was humiliated at Dallas last week. They've been severely crippled due to injuries and COVID-19 protocols in recent weeks, but Washington is expected to be a lot healthier for this week. 

The Eagles have won five of their last six, but they've been blessed with a favorable schedule combined with shorthanded opponents. 

This is Washington's season as a loss here would see them officially eliminated from playoff contention. I expect to see a desperate and finally healthy Washington team getting it done at home.

10* play on Washington Football Team. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Bears Monday night, but they still have a rest advantage over the Rams who battled Seattle the following day.

This game means a lot more for the desperate 7-7 Vikes than it does for the 10-4 Rams, and we can note that the Vikes are an incredible 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.

Add in that the Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings, and we have a really strong case for Minnesota. 

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

TOP-RATED 10* VIKINGS @ BEARS NFL MONDAY NIGHT MONEYMAKER

The Minnesota Vikings will be looking to ride the momentum of a 26-28 Week 14 win against the Steelers, but I think they're in for a tough game here at Chicago Monday night. The Bears are way underrated by the betting market after covering the spread in only one of their last eight games, but we can note that the Bears are 6-2 in the last eight meetings with the Vikes who are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

10* play on Chicago Bears. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

Last week, the Buffalo Bills outscored Tampa Bay 17-3 in the fourth quarter to force overtime only to come up short in the extra period. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has thrown eight interceptions in the past six games, and here he'll face a Carolina defense that ranks no. 1 against the pass, giving up only 177.7 passing yards per game. 

Sure, the Panthers are not playing well right now, coming off three straight losses straight up and against the spread, but they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog and at the moment, I don't think Buffalo should lay double-digits to a team like Carolina. 

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cleveland Browns have alternated wins and losses through their last six games. They lost their lat game (at Baltimore mind you!), and I like the Browns to bounce back with a win coming off a loss yet again. They've had an extra week to rest and prepare coming out of their bye week while Baltimore was in a dogfight with the Steelers last week. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense has been excellent at home, holding opponents to 256.5 yards of total offense and 4.9 yards per play. 

A well-rested Cleveland team off its bye in a revenge spot against a beat up and tired Ravens team? Yeah, I'll bite. 

10* play on Cleveland Browns. 

MIKE'S STEELERS @ VIKINGS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a demoralizing and humiliating loss to the at that point winless Detroit Lions. Their season is now all but over, and not only did they lose the game to the Lions, but they also lost Adam Thielen to an ankle injury. Vikes QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to play at his absolute worst in primetime games, and the Steelers have historically been money as underdogs under Mike Tomlin. 

Steelers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog. Vikings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S RAVENS @ STEELERS BEST BET

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. 

The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Great spot to back the Seahawks after coming out completely flat in a shutout loss at Green Bay last week. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

The Cardinals are not the same team without injured star QB Kyler Murray, and while he returned to practice Wednesday, I don't think the Cards will risk him here with their bye on deck. 

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

TOP-RATED 10* RAMS @ NINERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Niners can ill afford to drop this game against the Rams as a loss here would make their road to the playoffs all but impossible. "I definitely think there's a big hunger to win," San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday. "I think there's a huge sense of urgency. ... There's a different type of disappointment, a different type of frustration. But the hunger, the energy, that's all still there."

San Francisco's 3-5 record does not look good on paper, but they have played a really tough schedule and I think they'll be the hungrier team in this one. Niners' quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for more than 300 yards in back-to-back games, and the Rams can be hit through the air, giving up 249 passing yards per game (17th). 

The 49ers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. The rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP-RATED 10* SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week, and they are expected to get Russell Wilson back under center after missing more than a month with a fractured middle finger.

The Packers on the other hand spent a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss at Kansas City last week with backup QB Jordan Love. Rodgers was absent for the loss while in the league's COVID-19 protocol after testing positive, and even if Rodgers is back for this game, he would be reinstated until Saturday at the earliest and as such having spent quite some time in quarantine. 

Seahawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

TOP-RATED 10* TTIANS @ RAMS SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

The Tennessee Titans are traveling to Los Angeles riding a four-game winning streak, and they have won six of their last seven straight up and against the spread. For this game they'll be without NFL's leading rusher Derrick Henry, but I still think the Titans can keep this one relatively close. The Rams have won four in a row, but they have failed to cover the spread as big favorites in their last two games. 

Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rams are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Bears are averaging an NFL-worst 255.4 yards of total offense per game, and this looks look a bad matchup against a San Francisco team that ranks no. 6 in total defense and no. 5 against the pass. Offensively, the Niners are getting slightly healthier again and QB Jimmy Garoppolo should be sharper than he was in last week's 30-18 loss to Indianapolis. 

The Niners are a winless 0-4 in their last four games, but they've played a rather tough schedule and they should be able to get the job done against Chicago. Additionally, we can note that Bears head coach Matt Nagy is on the Covid-19 list, so special teams Chris Tabor will serve as head coach and outside linebacker Kahlil Mack has been ruled out due to a foot injury. 

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS @ TITANS MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

I think the Tennessee Titans will keep this Monday night matchup reasonably close. 

Sure Buffalo is elite on both sides of the ball, but the Titans are among the best at running the ball, which means they can keep the Bills offense off the field while also keeping the clock moving to shorten the game, limiting the Bills' chances of pulling away. Additionally, Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill's weapons are getting healthier, and I think the Titans will put up a fair amount of points. 

We can also note that Buffalo has been fairly "lucky" with their opponents averaging 2.0 fumbles per game, and these things tend to even out.

Lastly, this is a potential flat spot for Buffalo after blowing the doors off the Chiefs on the road at Kansas City Sunday night in Week 5, and Titans' coach Mike Vrabel is 13-5 (72%) ATS as a dog of three points or more. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY*

The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly.  

As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. 

Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games.

10* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one.

While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game.

It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. 

Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.

10* play on New York Giants. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game.

Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). 

Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

I think the Saints are getting way too much respect here after putting a 38-3 beating on the Packers in their season opener. Carolina did not look too shabby either as it opened the season with a solid 19-14 victory against the New York Jets. Sure, the Jets are one of the weakest teams in the NFL, but Carolina is at home for a second straight week while the Saints are on the road in a potential letdown spot. 

The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and the underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

TOP-RATED PACKERS @ SAINTS WEEK 1 NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Aaron Rodgers is, despite a turbulent offseason, back under center for the Packers. They return very much the same core, unlike the Saints whose long-time QB Drew Brees has retired. On top of that, star-wide receiver Michael Thomas has been placed on the physically unable to perform list as he continues his recovery from foot surgery.

The Packers had the top-scoring offense in the league last season, and I think it will be too much for the Saints to keep up with.

10* play on Green Bay Packers.

CHIEFS VS BUCS SUPER BOWL LV *BEST OF THE BEST*

The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a three-point favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. I think the value is on the underdog.

While the Chiefs have an edge offensively, the Bucs defense is one of the best in the league and going against Tom Brady in big games is rarely a winning proposition. We can also note that Tampa Bay has home field advantage, and even though there will be a limited amount of fans at the game, at least they are very familiar with the stadium. 

Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

TOP-RATED 10* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The Chiefs did not cover the double-digit spread against the Browns in their Divisional Round matchup, but I think they'll win and cover a much smaller number here against the Bills. 

As of this writing, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is in concussion protocol, but I fully expect him to be activated. "(Mahomes) took all the snaps and he feels good, so we're just going to follow this protocol as close as we possibly can," Chiefs coach Andy Reid told reporters Wednesday.

Looking at stats, it looks like the Bills can go toe to toe with KC offensively, but I hold the Chiefs as the more complete team. Also, it feels like they've been cruising along most of the season why pure stats do not tell the whole story about their performance. 

KC held nine opponents to 20 or fewer points, and even though Bills' QB Josh Allen has had a spectacular season, there is a risk of the pressure getting to the inexperienced signal caller in this one. 

These teams met in Buffalo earlier in the season, and Kansas City won 26-17. Take KC. (If you can buy down to -2.5, do it. This pick will be graded as -3). 

10* play on Kansas City. 

*BEST BET ALERT* BUCS @ PACKERS NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

The Bucs looked solid in their 30-20 win over the Saints in the Divisional Round, but I think the Packers will be too much to handle. 

The Bucs rank only 21st in the league agains the pass, and here they'll face MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers. I also think Green Bay's defense is not getting as much credit as it should, and note that even though TB put up 30 points on the board last week, they had only 300 something yards of total offense. 

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

TOP-RATED 10* BUCS @ SAINTS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The New Orleans Saints have defeated their NFC South rivals twice this season, but I would not be surprised if Tom Brady and the Bucs come through now when it really matters. 

Tampa's offense is clicking and the team has averaged 35.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak and put up 30+ on a tough Washington defense last week. 

The Saints have one of the best running backs in the game in Alvin Kamara, but I think he'll struggle agains the Bucs top-ranked run defense. 

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

RAVENS @ BILLS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE MONTH

The Buffalo Bills win over the Colts in the Wild Card Round was not quite as dominant as their run they closed out the regular season on, but they got the job done in the end. 

I think they match up rather well with the Ravens who had some early trouble of their own with the Titans in their Wild Card Round game. 

The Bills offense is the hottest in the NFL, and while the Ravens can run the football, they rank dead last for passing yards per game which is not great when playing from behind, which I think they will here. 

10* play on Buffalo Bills. 

RAVENS @ TITANS 10* NFL. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Baltimore Ravens closed out the regular season winning five straight games straight up and covering the number in each of their last six. Their hot run is a big reason why they are a favorite on the road at Tennessee, but I'm not buying it.

The Titans won 30-24 in OT at Baltimore back in November, and their offense is coming into the postseason firing on all cylinders. 

10* top play on Tennessee. 

WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ WAS @ TB 10* SIDE

First of all, Washington's offense is admittedly absolutely trash as they rank 30th in the NFL for total offense with 317 yards per game, but their defense is truly elite. 

Here they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that has had no trouble picking apart subpar defenses, but also struggled at times against tougher opponents. 

We can also note that Bucs veteran QB Tom Brady has been far from at his best in primetime games this season, and one of his weapons, star wideout Mike Evans, is questionable. 

The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite while the Football Team are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

10* game of the year top play on Washington. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK  - 10* MAJOR WAGER ATS TOP PLAY

The 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs have the division title and the No. 1 seed already locked up going into the final week. They have announced that they will rest QB Patrick Mahomes and other stars are likely to get the week off as well. 

The 6-9 LA Chargers are not going to the postseason, but they are heading into this contest on a three-game winning streak and rookie QB Justin Herbert keeps putting up impressive numbers.

Herbert passed for 311 yards and one touchdown in his NFL debut against the Chiefs in Week 2, a 23-20 OT loss. He should have good success against KC's backups. 

10* play on Los Angeles Chargers. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CAR @ WAS 10* TOP PLAY 

The Washington Football Team saw a four-game winning streak come to an end last week. They still covered the spread in the 20-15 loss to Seattle, and I think they'll get back to their winning ways by beating Carolina as a favorite this week. While the Panthers are usually money as underdogs (especially on the road), they are also usually spotted more points than this. 

Washington's defense is truly elite and held Seattle to 20 points last week while Carolina put up only 16 points against at Green Bay. 

Panthers are 6-15 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on Washington. 

DOLPHINS @ RAIDERS 10* TOP PLAY ~ PRIMETIME SATURDAY

The Miami Dolphins are rolling, but this looks like a letdown spot following a satisfying 22-12 win over division-rival New England Patriots. They need to win out to ensure a playoff spot, but here the Dolphins are asked to fly across the country to face a Raiders side coming off a pair of disappointing home losses to the Colts and the Chargers, defeats that all but ruined Vegas' playoff aspirations.

The Raiders have had extra time to prepare since they played on Thursday last week, and I think they'll show up for this one. 

The Fins have been winning without playing all that great. Their turnover differential is insane in recent weeks, and regression has to be just around the corner. Look for the Raiders to play spoiler at home in a nationally televised primetime game. 

10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. 

STEELERS @ BENGALS 10* NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers would clinch the AFC North title with a win, which I do think they'll finally get following back-to-back losses. 

Still, the Steelers are hardly rolling at the moment, and this looks like too many points to cover. While the Bengals are eliminated from playoff contention, note that they'll be looking to make up for a 36-10 loss to Pittsburgh on November 15. 

Cincy has had an extra week to prepare, coming off its bye following a 30-7 loss to Dallas on December 13. The Bengals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home and I think they'll show up for this one. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BEARS @ VIKES 10* TOP PLAY

The Chicago Bears are coming off a 36-7 rout of Houston, and all of a sudden they are getting just a field goal at Minnesota here in Week 15. The Bears had lost six straight prior to that win, and here they'll face the same Vikings team that beat the Bears 19-13 at Soldier Field on Nov. 16. 

The Vikes had won back-to-back games before coming up short at Tampa Bay last week, dropping just the second game in the last seven contests. Well, the Bears are no Bucs, and I like the Vikes to bounce back big here against their NFC North rival. 

Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Vikings are 38-13 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss. Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 15.

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

PATRIOTS @ RAMS THURSDAY NIGHT NFL 10* TOP PLAY

The New England Patriots are back in contention for a wild card after winning four of their last five games. Last week they put a 45-0 beating on the Chargers in Inglewood and wisely decided to stay on the West Coast for this Thursday night contest against the LA Rams. 

Still, playing on the road on a short week is never easy, and this will be a much tougher matchup against a Rams side that will be looking to avenge a 13-3 loss to the Pats in Super Bowl LIII. The Pats are not the dominant force they used to be, and I sense a possible letdown game after last week's rout.

Additionally, note that while the Patriots defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, they're still mediocre at best on offense while the Rams rank top three in the NFL for both total offense and total defense. 

Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL - CHIEFS @ BUCS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. I do like them to cover a very reasonable number here against a reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers side that has lost two of its last three straight up. 

Bucs QB Tom Brady looked his age in a 27-24 loss the Rams Monday night, completing only 26-of-48 passes for 216 yards with two TDs and two INTs. 

The Chiefs have scored 33 points or more in four straight games, and while their defense has not been at the very best lately, I don't think the Bucs are not in a good spot to take advantage. 

Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

EARLY TEXANS @ LIONS TURKEY DAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a great spot to back the Detroit Lions as a home underdog to Houston Texans. 

Detroit coach Matt Patricia should have his Lions fired up for this one after getting humiliated in a shutout road loss at Carolina last week. D’Andre Swift returned to practice on Tuesday after being sidelined with a concussion, and he should be able to feast on the Texans' league-worst run defense. 

Houston is coming off an upset win over a mediocre Patriots team. I think the betting market is giving the Texans too much respect here, and that combined with the Lions recent outing sets up a nice buy-low sell-high spot. 

Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Texans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Texans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

10* play on Detroit Lions. 

RAMS @ BUCS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 10* TOP PLAY

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a 46-23 rout at Carolina. They are however only 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite and I think they're in for a tough game against the LA Rams on Monday Night Football. 

The Rams are coming off a solid 23-16 win over Seattle and they rank #1 in the NFL for total defense, holding opponents to an average of 296.4 yards per game. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

This game could very well go down to the last possession, and I'm well happy to take the Rams at this spread. 

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CHIEFS @ RAIDERS MAX BET

The Las Vegas Raiders are heading into this contest riding a three-game winning streak, but I think they're about to come back down to earth this week as the reigning Super Bowl champs Kansas City Chiefs are coming to town. 

The Chiefs are coming out of their bye week and can't be too happy about their last outing, a lackluster 33-31 win over Carolina. Note that the Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. I expect Andy Reid to have a good gameplan and his team fired up for this one. 

The Raiders on the other hand are in a potential letdown spot after an impressive 37-12 win over Denver. Note that the Raiders are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win and Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 10 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

This contest features two teams in very different spots, with the San Francisco 49ers off a humiliating home loss to Green Bay on Thursday night while the New Orleans Saints put a 38-3 beating on the Bucs on Sunday night. I think this sets up a perfect buy low, sell high spot here, selling the Saints in a potential letdown spot while buying an angry and disappointed Niners side with extra time to prepare. Additionally, the 49ers are getting healthy after dealing with a ton of injuries over the last couple of weeks. 

49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

COLTS @ TITANS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY

The Indianapolis Colts took a 24-10 loss to Baltimore in Week 9, their second loss of the season. I think they'll bounce back with a win here Thursday night, facing a Tennessee side who had lost back-to-back games before beating the Bears by a touchdown last time out. It was far from a dominant performance from the Titans though as they were held to 11 first downs and racked up only 228 yards of offense in the win. The Colts' defense is elite, ranking third in scoring defense (20.0 ppg) and first in yards allowed per game (290.0 ypg). 

Colts are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tennessee.

10* play on Indianapolis Colts.