NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-08-20 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 34-44 | Loss | -118 | 100 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 9 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four straight games and their offense has cooled off significantly since a hot start to the year, averaging only 18.9 ppg over their last four games. While Seattle admittedly has a lot of issues defensively I don't see Buffalo being able to capitalize, and on the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have been cooking all season long and they own the best scoring offense in the NFL. Additionally, the Bills are coming off a hard-fought divisional win against the Patriots who pushed them to the limit while the Seahawks had a much easier week, convincingly handling the Niners. Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-05-20 | Packers -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 61 h 14 m | Show |
PACKERS @ 49ERS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY Both teams are coming off losses, but I like the Green Bay Packers to be the team to get back in the win column. The Packers took a 28-22 home loss to Minnesota last Sunday, an extremely disappointing loss for the Packers, but they should not have much trouble with a Niners side that will be without its starting quarterback (Jimmy Garoppolo, star running back (Raheem Mostert) and one of the league's best receivers in George Kittle. Defensively, they're missing DB Richard Sherman and DL Nick Bosa among others. Last week, San Francisco lost 37-27 at Seattle and I think the Packers offense will be able to run riot and put up a similar amount of points here Thursday night. Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 8 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Green Bay Packers took a 28 point loss to Tampa Bay in Week 6, their lone loss of the season, but bounced back in a big way with a dominant 35-20 triumph at Houston last week. Here in Week 8, the Packers are back home at Lambeau Field following back-to-back road games, and I like them to come through with a blowout win over a Minnesota team that seemingly has waived the white flag for this season already, not even halfway through the schedule. Sure, the Vikes are coming off their bye week and it is a rivalry game, but they've shown very little to suggest they'll be able to put up a fight against a Packers team that has steamrolled several opponents and beat Minnesota by nine points on the road in Week 1. Minnesota ranks 28th in the NFL for total defense giving up 410+ yards per game while Green Bay ranks 2nd in the NFL for points scored. This is a mismatch all around. Take Green Bay to cover a touchdown. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -3 | Top | 40-23 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 47 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 6 MAJOR WAGER MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings looked like the worst team in the league through the first two weeks of the season. They've bounced back nicely since, covering the spread in three straight games and arguably deserved to pick up their second win of the season when they took on the undefeated Seattle Seahawks last week. The Atlanta Falcons on the other hand is a hot mess, entering Week 6 with an 0-5 straight up record while going 1-4 ATS. Head coach Dan Quinn was fired after last week's 23-16 home loss to Carolina, but I'm not sure interim head coach Raheem Morris will have much impact on the team after only one week. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is inconsistent, but I don't see him having any trouble carving up an Atlanta defense that ranks 31st in the league for passing yards allowed and Delvin Cook is always a huge threat moving the ball on the ground. Atlanta has been held to 16 points in back-to-back games, and I have no problem whatsoever laying just over a field goal on the Vikes. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +2.5 v. Falcons | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 106 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - CAR @ ATL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The winless Atlanta Falcons are an absolute mess, and now they'll be asked to playing on a short week after taking a 30-16 loss to Green Bay at Lambeau Field Monday night. The Carolina Panthers on the other hand must feel pretty good about themselves after answering an 0-2 start with back-to-back outright underdog wins against LA Chargers and Arizona. While the Falcons have one of the most explosive offenses in terms of player talent in the NFL, they rank near the bottom of the league for virtually all defensive categories. On top of that, they're banged up on both sides of the football. The Panthers meanwhile are a solid mid-table for most stats and outgained the Cardinals by 182 yards in last week's 31-21 win. The Hawks are experts on finding ways to lose, and I'm not even sure they should be favorites in this matchup. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in October. Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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10-04-20 | Bills -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 4 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Buffalo Bills are a perfect 3-0 SU on the season after defeating the Rams 35-32 last week. They rank fourth in the NFL for total yards offensively and QB Josh Allen is having a terrific year, entering Week 4 second in the NFL in passing yards (1,038), yards per attempt (9.1), passing touchdowns (10) and passer rating (124.8). The Raiders had opened the season with back-to-back wins before being "found out" in a 36-20 loss at New England in Week 3. They have conceded 24 points or more in each of their three games, and I don't see Bills having any trouble moving the ball against a Raiders defense that ranks 27th in total yards allowed at 406.0 per game. Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -103 | 126 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 3 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY These two teams have opened the season in completely different ways with the Arizona Cardinals 2-0 SU and ATS while the Detroit Lions are 0-2 SU and ATS. Does that mean that the Lions are due to win at least ATS in Week 3? I don't think so. Detroit's defense has been one of the worst in the league for the first two weeks giving up 425.5 yards per game (28th), and here they'll face an Arizona offense that has not skipped a beat ranking 6th in the NFL with 421 yards of offense per game. Of particular interest is Detroit's struggle to defend the run giving up a league-worst 204 rushing yards per game while Arizona has been extremely efficient moving the rock on the ground. Lions are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Cardinals are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on Arizona Cardinals. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
SAINTS @ RAIDERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY Two teams looking to build on season-opening wins will clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas Monday night. The host Las Vegas Raiders are coming off a 34-30 win at Carolina while New Orleans defeated Tampa Bay 34-23 at home in Week 1. The Saints may have put up 34 points, but they did not look all that great on offense. Quarterback Drew Brees had just 160 passing yards on 18-of-30 passing while six different players combined for 86 rushing yards. New Orleans star receiver, Michael Thomas, will miss this game after being ruled because of an ankle injury which will be a huge miss for the visitors. The Saints have an elite defense, but I expect to see a fired up Raiders team in its Las Vegas debut even without spectators in the stands. Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday night games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. 10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 | Win | 102 | 103 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - SUNDAY FOOTBALL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Houston Texans couldn't keep it close with the Chiefs at Arrowhead in their season opener, losing 34-20. They'll run into another powerhouse in Week 2, and I expect a similar outcome. The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a dominant 38-6 win over AFC North rival Cleveland. Sure, we don't know if beating the Browns actually have any merit yet, but the Ravens' offense sure was on point with 275 passing yards and three TD passes from Lamar Jackson and 107 rushing yards for the team. Patrick Mahomes had three touchdown passes against Hoston in the season opener, and Jackson should have plenty of success as well. Lay the points with the Ravens without hesitation. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 22 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BUCS @ SAINTS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New Orleans Saints are just 2-7 SU (1-8 ATS) in Week 1 dating back to the 2011 season. I think they're in for another tough season opener here against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team with a new QB in Tom Brady at the helm and unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, LeSean McCoy, and Leonard Fournette joining the ranks. They boasted the best rush defense in the NFL last season, and while they've consistently been one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL over the last two seasons, they've brought in reinforcements and should be better against the pass this year. Considering no fans in the Superdome, no preseason games, and the Saints' Week 1 record in recent season, I'm happy to take the road underdog in this contest. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -109 | 320 h 12 m | Show |
SUPER BOWL LIV BEST BET I like the San Francisco 49ers to take down the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl. KC has a scary good offense, but let's not forget that San Francisco ranked eighth in the NFL in scoring defense (19.4 ppg) during the regular season, and it gave up just 30 combined points against the Vikings and Packers. Additionally, the Chiefs do not have much of a Plan B (no running game) if the Niners figure out how to stop QB Patrick Mahomes. On the opposite side of the ball, the 49ers have the firepower to match the Chiefs' explosive offense. QB Jimmy G is no Showtime Mahomes, but San Fran's running game averaged the second-most rushing yards per game through the regular season (144.1) and the team averaged 235.5 rypg in their two playoff wins. Note that the Chiefs' run defense is just 25th in the league and they are 2-3 in games where they gave up 150 yards rushing or more this season. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP SIDE The Green Bay Packers took a 37-8 beating at San Francisco in Week 12, but if anything that was a wake-up call for the team. The Packers are undefeated SU and 4-2 ATS in their six games since, including a solid 28-23 win over Seattle in the Divisional Round. I think this matchup will be a lot closer than the first meeting of the season. While the Niners are a formidable team and a well-deserved favorite, winning by more than a touchdown in the playoffs just ain't easy. The Packers have a veteran QB in Aaron Rodgers who knows this might be his last chance to win another ring, so he'll be ready to do just about anything to win this game. Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS giving more than a touchdown this season. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -4 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS SIDE The Seattle Seahawks have been dinged up all season long, and a tough Wild Card matchup against the Eagles did not make the team any healthier. Here they'll face a well-rested Green Bay Packers team, and I expect a blowout win for the home side in this one. Seattle has struggled to stop the run all season, and that doesn't bode well for this matchup. Green Bay's running back Aaron Jones led the entire NFL with his 19 touchdowns (16 rushing TDs) and I think he'll enjoy plenty of success in this one. The Seahawks can't put all focus on stopping Jones though, as that would open up for veteran QB Aaron Rodgers who finished the regular season with a superb 26-to-4 TD/INT ratio. Rodgers is desperate for another Super Bowl ring, with the time running out. "I'm 36, I know what this is all about. This is an important opportunity for us. I feel like I got a lot of really good years left, but you never know. A lot of things happen from year to year. We've had some great teams that have been an injury away or a play away from being special, so I want to make the most of this opportunity." Seattle QB Russell Wilson has bailed out the team with his magic on several occasions this season, but he'll face an extremely hostile environment on Lambeau Field on Sunday. We can also note that the Wilson can't really rely on the ground game to pick up the slack with the team missing its top three running backs and GB was fairly effective stopping the run down the stretch. The Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Lambeau and the Packers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES BOOKIE BREAKER The Philadelphia Eagles won the division with a weak 9-7 record, and I'm not impressed with what I've seen of them during the regular season. They've been beaten up on both sides of the ball all season long and I'm not sure how much gas is left in the tank for this banged up Eagles team at this point. They'll face a Seattle side that is also far from 100% healthy, but it is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 road games and the Seahawks have covered four straight matchups at Philadelphia. The Eagles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog, and the Seahawks have already beaten the Eagles on the road this season, winning 17-9 in Week 12. I think we'll see a similar final score here in this first-round playoff matchup. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 84 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TITANS @ PATS BEST BET The New England Patriots stumbled over the finishing line of the regular season. They took a 27-24 loss to Miami last time out (where a win would've earned a first-round bye nonetheless!) and they're 1-4-1 ATS over their last six games. The Pats defense is still elite, but QB Tom Brady has finally starting to look his age. Here they'll face a Tennessee Titans team that has heated up remarkably since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter for Mariota in Week 7 and the Titans are 5-2 ATS over their last seven. With the momentum completely on the visitors side I think they'll give the Pats all they can handle at Foxboro this Saturday. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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12-29-19 | Falcons +1 v. Bucs | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 52 h 24 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED FALCONS @ BUCS BOOKIE BREAKER The Atlanta Falcons are coming off three straight wins and they've dropped just two of their last seven games. They're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and I like their chances of recording an upset at Tampa Bay in the season finale Sunday afternoon. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw a four-game winning streak come to an end with a 23-20 loss to Houston last time out. QB Jameis Winston threw four interceptions to put the total at 28 for the season, just three shy of his TD count. Atlanta's defense has been decent in recent weeks and Jacksonville QB Gardner Minshew was limited to 181 yards on 13-of-31 passing last week. Additionally, the Bucs are 0-2-1 ATS as a home favorite on the season and Atlanta should be fired up after losing a 35-22 home loss to the Bucs in Week 12. 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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12-22-19 | Ravens -10 v. Browns | Top | 31-15 | Win | 101 | 79 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): EARLY RAVENS @ BROWNS *TOP PLAY* The Baltimore Ravens rolled up 430 total yards of offense when they steamrolled the NY Jets 42-21 last week and can clinch the top seed in the AFC with a win against the Browns this Sunday. Additionally, the Ravens will be looking to avenge one of their two losses on the season after falling 40-25 at Cleveland in Week 4. Baltimore has won 10 straight since while Cleveland is having yet another disappointing season, and most recently it has lost two of its last three. There's little to no chemistry in the locker room, and I don't see how they'll be able to hang around with a red hot and motivated Ravens side. Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Browns are 6-22-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-21-19 | Rams +6.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 83 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): TOP RATED SIDE FOR DECEMBER I absolutely love the points on the LA Rams when they visit the San Francisco 49ers Saturday night. They're in a massive bounce-back spot after taking a 44-21 beating by Dallas last Sunday, and while their playoff chances are slim to none at this point I still expect them to show up here looking to revenge a loss to their division opponent earlier in the season. As for the Niners, they fell to the surging Atlanta Falcons last week and are now tied with Seattle at the top of the NFC West (currently losing the tiebreaker). They face the Seahawks in a matchup likely to decide the division next week, and I think that's where their focus is, particularly with a dinged up defense (SF was without five defensive starters against the Falcons). 10* play on LA Rams. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 101 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 15 SIDE The Carolina Panthers have dropped five in a row and have failed to cover the spread in four of those games. They are nowhere near the playoffs, have fired head coach Ron Rivera and turned the ball over four times in last week's 40-20 loss at Atlanta. There's little fight left in the team, and I don't see how Carolina will be able to keep pace with a Seattle Seahawks team that is 6-1 SU on the road and looking to bounce back from a humbling 28-12 loss at the LA Rams on Sunday Night Football. The Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December while the Seahawks are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games in December. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -107 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 14 SIDE The San Francisco 49ers dropped a 20-17 decision at Baltimore last week. They've played a tough schedule in recent weeks and are just 2-2 SU over their last four games. I think they're in for another loss here against a New Orleans Saints team that has averaged over 30 ppg through a three-game winning streak since putting up just nine points in a shocking double-digit home loss to Atlanta. We can also note that the Saints will have a decent rest advantage after coasting to a 26-17 win over Atlanta on Thanksgiving Thursday last time out while the Niners spent a lot of energy battling Baltimore on Sunday. The Saints clinched a playoff spot last week, but I think they'll keep pushing the pedal to the metal to give themselves a chance to earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, which could be huge considering the Saints advantage in the Superdome. 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* VIKINGS @ SEAHAWKS MNF BOOKIE BREAKER The Seattle Seahawks enter this Monday Night Football contest with the Minnesota Vikings with a 9-2 record. Most of their games have been one-score affairs though, and while Minnesota has a tendency to come out flat in primetime games I still like the visitors to keep it close and cover the spread in this one. Minnesota will be well fresh and well-rested coming off its bye while the Seahawks might be bruised up following a physical matchup with Denver. Seattle's defense ranks 29th in the league against the pass, and Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins and receiver Stefon Diggs are clicking and synced up. Add running back Dalvin Cook to the mix and you have one of the most interesting offensive units in the league at the moment, even without injured star receiver Adam Thielen. Seahawks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY SIDE The Green Bay Packers took a humbling 37-8 beating by San Francisco last week. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing but should have much more success against a Giants side that ranks near the bottom of the league for passing yards allowed per game and allowed a mediocre quarterback like Mitch Trubisky to put up 278 passing yards last week. The Giants have dropped seven straight and have little incentive to win games. Quite the opposite is true for the Packers who are tied with Minnesota for the lead in the NFC North. Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss. Giants are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +2 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 74 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES BEST BET The Seattle Seahawks will travel to Philadelphia rested and well prepared following their bye week. They beat the previously undefeated San Francisco 49ers on the road last time out to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS away from home on the season, and I think they'll get the win here. Sure, Philadelphia is in "must-win" mode sitting 2nd in the NFC East at 5-5 on the season, but desperation can only take you so far. QB Carson Wentz was 20-for-40 passing for 214 yards in last week's 17-10 loss to the Patriots and he was sacked five times. Philly is without its top running back, so it's up to Wentz to move the chains, and here he's supposed to outduel MVP candidate Russell Wilson? I don't think so... The Seahawks have been relentless in close games and we can also note that they're 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Eagles. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S COLTS @ TEXANS BEST BET The Houston Texans took an embarrassing 41-7 beating by Baltimore last Sunday. I like them to bounce back in a big way here against the Indianapolis Colts Thursday night. Note that the Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. As for the Indianapolis Colts, they snapped a two-game slide with a dominant 33-13 win against Jacksonville in Week 11. Most of their damage was done on the ground as they rumbled for 264 rushing yards on 36 carries, but here it'll face a Houston team that has limited opponents to a respectable 102.2 rushing yards per game overall (86.8 rypg at home). Additionally, Houston will be looking to avenge a loss by a touchdown at Indianapolis on October 20. 10* play on Houston Texans. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT CHIEFS VS. CHARGERS @ MEXICO CITY *TOP PLAY* The Kansas City Chiefs have dropped four of six since a perfect 4-0 start to the season. They fell 35-32 at Tennessee last week, and I think they have a difficult task at hand tonight when taking on the LA Chargers in Mexico City Monday night. The Chargers battled themselves back in postseason contention with back-to-back victories, but their dreams of a playoff berth took a hit with a narrow loss to Oakland last week. They enter this game third in the division at 4-6 (all one-score losses), with KC and Oakland ahead of them at 6-4. "I don’t think desperation ... I think urgency. Any other word you can think of ... I don’t think we feel desperate, although we know how crucial this game is." Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers told media. The Chiefs have struggled to stop the run all season long, which is good news for Chargers RB Melvin Gordon who rumbled for a season-high 108 yards and a score last week. This one is likely to go down to the wire, and I'm well happy to take the points on the Chargers. 10* play on LA Chargers. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +11 v. 49ers | Top | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 SIDE The Arizona Cardinals are coming off three consecutive straight up losses, but they're 5-1 ATS over their last six games. That stretch includes a tight 28-25 home loss to the 49ers, and I like them to keep it close at San Francisco this week. The Niners fell in OT against Seattle last week, their first defeat of the season. I would not be surprised to see them come out flat here with no undefeated record to defend, and several of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo's weapons are hurting. Will San Francisco bounce back with a win? Almost certainly, but I think the Niners will find themselves in a much closer game than they might expect. Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West. 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC West. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. 10* play on Arizona Cardinals. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): STEELERS @ BROWNS SIDE THURSDAY NIGHT I absolutely love the Pittsburgh Steelers as a road underdog at AFC North rivals Cleveland Browns on Thursday night football. Note that the Steelers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to the start of the 2016 season and a perfect 3-0 ATS on Thursday nights over that same timeframe. The Cleveland Browns have been arguably the most disappointing team in the NFL this season, and they had lost four on the bounce prior to last week's win over Buffalo. The Steelers have quietly won four straight and covered the spread in six of their last seven contests. They might be without their star QB, but the defense is playing at an elite level. "They (the defense) are playing like the ‘85 (Chicago) Bears," backup quarterback Mason Rudolph said following Sunday's 17-12 win over the Los Angeles Rams. "It seems like, every week, forcing turnovers every other series, it seems like." 10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals v. Bucs -4 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 SIDE The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost four on the bounce SU and ATS following a 40-34 OT loss at Seattle last week. There were still a lot of positives to take away from that contest as they dominated the time of possession against a top team and QB Jameis Winston threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns without a pick. Meanwhile, I think the Cardinals will come out flat here after leaving it all out on the field in a 28-25 home loss to San Francisco last week. It's the closest any team has played the Niners on the season, but it was still not quite as close as the scoreline would suggest. Arizona's defense must be bruised up after spending almost 35 minutes on the field against San Francisco, so we can expect the Bucs to have good success against an Arizona defense that has given up 407.6 yards per game. As for when Arizona has the ball, it will have to try and navigate past the best defense against the run in the NFL without its RB David Johnson, so Cardinals dual-threat QB Kyler Murray might be in for a tough one here. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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11-03-19 | Colts +1 v. Steelers | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 9 SIDE The 3-4 Pittsburgh Steelers are coming into this contest as winners of two in a row, but I think we can all agree that it's not all that impressive to beat up on Miami and the LA Chargers. Here they'll face a very tough opponent in the 5-2 Indianapolis Colts who have won five of their last six and three in a row with quality wins over KC and Houston mixed in. The Colts have held opponents to just 16.3 ppg over a three-game stretch and the Steelers are not the greatest team moving the ball with backup QB Mason Rudolph at the helm. Additionally running back James Conner is banged up and at risk of missing this game. Note that Pittsburgh has been outgained in all but two of its games (against Miami and Cincinnati), and often by triple-digits. The Steelers will play on a relatively short week and are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Additionally, the Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games while the Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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10-27-19 | Eagles v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -125 | 122 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 8 ATS PICK The 5-1 Buffalo Bills didn't look all that good in their 31-21 win over Miami last week, but I think there's an obvious explanation for that with complacency likely kicking in against such an inferior opponent. They may not have covered the 17-point spread, but they did get the W which at the end of the day is all that matters, and it didn't look like they had to spend a lot of energy earning it. The 3-4 Philadelphia Eagles on the other hand are coming off back-to-back draining road losses at Minnesota and Dallas, and they were badly outmatched in Sunday's 37-10 loss as a 3-point underdog to the Cowboys. Philly QB Carson Wentz completed only 16-of-26 passes for 191 yards with a TD and an INT, and here he'll come up against arguably the best defense in the league. While Buffalo isn't scoring all that many points (20.2 ppg), the Eagles defense has been atrocious lately and has given up 31.5 ppg in four road games. It's a short trip for the Eagles this time, but it is nonetheless a third straight road game and I think Buffalo's D and the hostile environment at New Era Field will be too much for the visitors to overcome. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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10-20-19 | Jaguars -3 v. Bengals | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 144 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST SIDE FOR OCTOBER The Cincinnati Bengals managed to cover the 10-point spread in a loss at division rival Baltimore with a late touchdown last week. They're however 1-7 ATS following a loss to a division rival over the last three seasons and I think they'll come up well short in this contest. Here they will be facing an angry Jacksonville team coming off a tough home loss to New Orleans. The setback meant that Jacksonville dropped 2-4 on the season, and it does not have the luxury of looking past 0-6 teams like the Bengals. While Jax struggled to move the ball against a feisty Saints defense, that should not be an issue here against a Bengals team that is one of the worst in the NFL giving up 426 yards of total offense per game and 184.5 ypg on the ground. Jacksonville is rather average on the offensive side of the ball, but it is very capable of moving the chains on the ground averaging a healthy 127.5 rushing yards per game. Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in both of its home games this season and took a 41-17 beating by the Niners as a home dog in Week 2. Jacksonville 2-1 ATS on the road with an impressive outright win at the Mile High in Week 4. 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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10-06-19 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 122 h 43 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER SIDE Not only are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a letdown spot following a huge 55-40 road win at LA Rams, but they're also on the road for a second straight week. Extremely tough spot for any team and I like the New Orleans Saints to get the job done in back-to-back home games. The Saints have played reasonably well since losing star QB Drew Brees to a thumb injury and most recently defeated Dallas 12-10 on Monday night football. With the offense lacking, the Saints relied on their defense to beat the previously undefeated Cowboys and that same formula should work again in this game. I would simply not count on Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston to throw for four touchdown passes in back-to-back games. Note his 9/5 TD/INT ratio on the season and keep in mind that the Bucs were outgained 518-464 offensive yards against the Rams who won the first down battle 36-27. Tampa Bay managed to take full advantage of four Rams turnovers (three Goff interceptions), but their secondary gave up over 500 yards passing to Jared Goff and Saints backup QB Teddy Bridgewater is, even if not spectacular, at the very least serviceable. Additionally, we can note that the Saints are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games in October. 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 10-12 | Loss | -107 | 128 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFL BET ATS FOR SEPTEMBER Dallas will face its first real test of the season when it heads to New Orleans to take on the Saints in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome for a Sunday night showdown. The Cowboys have had no trouble to beat up on three teams that are a combined 1-8 through the first three weeks of the season, but you can only beat what's in front of you and they're unlikely to stumble against an opponent playing without its star QB quarterback. The Saints are coming off a 33-27 win at Seattle, a great result considering that they were outgained by 250 yards. Backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater managed just 177 yards on 19-of-27 passing while running back Alvin Kamara was held 69 yards on 16 carries. The defense/special teams saved the day with three touchdowns, but that's not something that'll happen every week. The Cowboys are coming off a 31-6 win over Miami and rank third in the NFL in total offense with 481.3 yards per game. They should have no trouble to take advantage of a New Orleans defense that ranks in the bottom five in the NFL with 436.3 yards allowed per game. Additionally, we can note that the Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They're playing with a lot of confidence, and I don't see an upset happening. 10* play on Dallas Cowboys. |
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09-22-19 | Rams -2.5 v. Browns | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 159 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED RAMS @ BROWNS ATS BET *This pick was made ahead of Cleveland's Monday night matchup with the New York Jets. The LA Rams have opened the season with a perfect 2-0 record after first beating the Panthers at Carolina before putting a 27-9 beating on New Orleans. Sure, they didn't run away with the game against the Saints until the second half and were fortunate that NO quarterback Drew Brees had to exit the game with an injury, but still a solid effort on both sides of the ball. The Cleveland Browns entered the season as a possible Super Bowl contender, but they looked nothing like it in their 43-13 home loss to Tennessee in Week 1. Note that the Browns gave up 182 penalty yards in the setback, something that could become a recurring theme with this talented but also young and inexperienced roster. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the Browns are 7-18-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games. I'm not saying the Browns won't have their fair share of good games this year, but I doubt they'll keep it close against last season's Super Bowl finalist. 10* play on LA Rams. |
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09-19-19 | Titans -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -120 | 87 h 33 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TITANS @ JAGS BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY* The Tennesse Titans dominated Cleveland Browns in Week 1 but failed to make it a 2-0 start to the season when they came up short in a 19-17 loss to Indianapolis last time out. I think they'll bounce back here in Jacksonville Thursday night, facing an 0-2 Jaguars team that had big trouble to generate any kind of offense in its 17-16 loss to Houston on Sunday. With Nick Foles (and several other offensive pieces) out, the Jags have to rely on rookie QB Gardner Minshew under center. The 6th round pick has not embarrassed himself, quite far from it, but moving the ball against this solid Titans defense won't be easy. As for the Jacksonville defense, it gave up 126 yards on 30 rush attempts to the Texans, and Tennessee can do plenty of damage on the ground with dual-threat QB Marcus Mariota and RB Derrick Henry who ranks 6th in the NFL with 165 yards on the season. We can also note that the Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and won both last season's contests straight up, including a 9-6 triumph here in Florida. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys -4 v. Redskins | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY SIDE The Dallas Cowboys had little trouble to take advantage of one of the worst defenses in the league when they opened the season with a decisive 35-17 victory against the New York Giants. Here they'll face a Washington side that gave up 32 points on the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1, and I like Dallas in to win and cover the spread. The Redskins kept it relatively close against Philly, losing by only five points as a 10-point dog, thanks to QB Case Keenum. He was one of the big surprises in Week 1 as he lit up Philly's defense for a career-high 380 passing yards and three touchdown passes, but Keenum likely to come crashing back to earth here against one of the league’s top defenses. Dallas has the advantage of both sides of the ball, and I don't think Washington's home field advantage will make up for that. We can also note that Dallas has won four of the last five meetings by five points or more. 10* play on Dallas Cowboys. |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7 v. Saints | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
TEXANS @ SAINTS MONDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The New Orleans Saints have dropped five straight season openers, and while they should win this one straight up I still think the visiting Houston Texans will keep it close until the very end. Houston's Deshaun Watson is coming off a big season, and the third-year quarterback should be even better and more mature this year. He has a reliable target in DeAndre Hopkins and talented running backs to hand over the ball to. As for New Orleans, Drew Brees is back under center for his 19th season, and while he's surrounded by talent season openers are always a bit iffy. Brees won't have to worry about 2014 top overall pick Jadeveon Clowney who was traded to Seattle on Saturday, but Houston still has a tough defense. "We have a lot of guys out there," J.J. Watt said. "Obviously it's tough to lose a player like that, but we have a lot of guys out there than can step up can make plays." The Saints meanwhile will open the season without two of their top interior defensive linemen as Sheldon Rankins (injury) and David Onyemata (suspended) will sit this one out. 10* play on Houston Texans. |
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09-08-19 | Bills +3 v. Jets | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 144 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S BILLS @ JETS BEST BET ATS The New York Jets host the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 of the NFL season this Sunday. The home team will surely close as a favorite, but I'm happy to take the points on the visiting Bills in this matchup. Keep in mind that Buffalo boasts one of the best defensive units in pro football and gave up just 294.1 yards per game last year. Sure, the Bills were more effective stopping the pass than the run and the Jets have an outstanding running back with a point to prove in Le’veon Bell, but can new head coach Adam Gase get the best out of his team in Week 1? The Bills have two very capable running backs of their own in 36-year-old veteran Frank Gore, third-round draft pick Devin Singletary and T.J. Yeldon, who was acquired as a free agent in the offseason, and second-year QB Josh Allen must feel the pressure to step up his game this season. The Bills are a solid 10-4 ATS in their last 14 season openers while the Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September. I think Buffalo will start better and its defense will keep the team in this game until the very end. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -2 v. Rams | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP RATED SUPER BOWL LIII BEST BET ATS The BIG GAME is finally here; New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams for all the marbles in Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Pats have played high-scoring contests throughout the postseason, and I expect another shootout here against an explosive Rams team that averaged 32.9 ppg through the regular season. New England's 41 year old signal caller Tom Brady showed that age is just a number as the GOAT had little trouble to march his team down the field when it really mattered in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots and the Chiefs combined for 38 points in Q4 alone of their AFC Championship clash, with 24 of the points coming in the last 3:32 of the quarter. We could very well see a similar scenario here with two clutch quarterbacks more than capable of marching down the field when it really matters. Over is now 7-1 in Patriots last eight playoff games and this Patriots team will have to score plenty of points here to have a shot at winning. Rams have a talented team, but I highly doubt the experienced duo of Brady/Belichick will lose two Super Bowls in a row. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -135 | 80 h 60 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S AFC CHAMPIONSHIP BEST BET ATS The Kansas City Chiefs will host the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game Sunday afternoon. Both teams are coming off blowout victories in the Divisional Round, but I think KC's home field advantage will be too much for the Pats to overcome in this contest. New England was just 3-5 SU and ATS on the road during the regular season, including three double-digit losses. Here it'll face Kansas City defense that may have ranked ranked 31st in the league during the regular season, but allowed just 266 yards and 15 first downs in last week's 31-13 win over the Indianapolis Colts. The Chiefs owned the No. 1 offense in the regular season and 23-year-old first-year starting QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 358 yards and four passing touchdowns against the Pats in Week 6. The Patriots won that contest 43-40, but I expect the Chiefs to execute revenge here when it counts. 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 109 h 52 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFC DIVISIONAL ROUND ATS BET We cashed in big with the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card round, and I'm happy to take a touchdown+ on them here in their NFC Divisional round matchup with the LA Rams. Ezekiel Elliot just won his second rushing title with 1,434 yards and the Cowboys rumbled for 164 yards on 34 carries in their 24-22 win over Seattle last week. Here they'll face a LA Rams defense that allowed a league-worst average of 5.07 yards per rush this season. The Rams can do plenty of damage on the ground themselves, but their star running back Todd Gurley (league-best 21 TDs) sat out the final two games of the regular season with a knee injury and it's worth noting that Dallas boasts the fifth-best run defense in the league. LA finished the regular season 2nd in the league in scoring offense with 32.9 points per game and QB Jared Goff has plenty of weapons, but I still think the visitors will be able to slow things down with their running game and make this a close contest. Rams are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games. 10* play on Dallas Cowboys. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S WILD CARD WEEKEND BEST ATS BET The Seattle Seahawks own the No. 1 rush offense in the NFL this season, but their pass offense is nowhere near as good as previous years and Russell Wilson has been sacked plenty. Here the Seahawks will run into a Dallas defense that ranks 5th in the NFL against the run giving up just 3.8 rushing yards per game, and the Cowboys should come out with extra motivation as the seek to avenge a 24-13 loss at Seattle in Week 3. Dallas has since added WR Amari Cooper to the roster and he has connected very well with QB Dak Prescott; in eight games with Dallas, Cooper has caught 53 passes for 725 yards and six touchdowns. Add a prolific running game that will face a Seattle D which has given up 4.9 yards per rush attempt this season, and I think we have identified significant advantages for Dallas on both sides of the ball. Dallas is 7-1 at home while Seattle is 4-4 on the road (winning at Arizona, Detroit, Carolina and beating Oakland in London). As you can see, the Seahawks have not won on the road against a team near Dallas caliber and I'm well happy to back the home team in this matchup. 10* play on Dallas Cowboys. |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) ATS The winner will "literally" take it all when the Tennessee Titans host the Indianapolis Colts Sunday night; the winner will advance to the postseason while the loser will see its year end. Titans QB Marcus Mariota's status for this contest is questionable (as of the posting of this pick on Tuesday) after leaving Tennessee's 25-16 win over Washington last week with a shoulder stinger. With or without Mariota, I don't see the Titans keeping up with this high-octane Colts offense guided by Andrew Luck who threw for 357 yards and two touchdowns in a dramatic win over the Giants last Sunday. Luck tossed three touchdown passes in a 38-10 win over Tennessee last month. The Titans are 6-1 SU at home this season, but only 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and the Colts are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings. 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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12-23-18 | Bengals v. Browns -6.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 149 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL) ATS REGULAR SEASON The red hot Cleveland Browns look determined to finish a season with a winning record for the first time since 2007. They have won four of their last five games and even have a shot at their first playoff berth since 2002. I don't think they'll have any trouble to take down the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday afternoon. The Bengals are coming off a 30-16 triumph over the tanking and banged up Oakland Raiders, and received some home cooking in their last home game of the season. They had however lost five straight games prior to that, and Cleveland owns a big psychological advantage after beating the Bengals 35-20 at Paul Brown Stadium on Nov 25. 10* play on Cleveland Browns. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
CHARGERS @ CHIEFS AFC WEST BOOKIE BREAKER The LA Chargers look like a solid underdog when visiting Kansas City Chiefs in a matchup between the two teams with the best records in the AFC. KC has failed to cover the spread in four straight games and needed overtime to get past Baltimore last Sunday. The Chiefs gave up 132 yards on the ground and could be in big trouble here if Chargers RB Melvin Gordon takes the field after missing two games with a sprained right knee. "I've been grinding hard to get back and we're still trying to decide what we're going to do," Gordon said Tuesday (via ESPN.com). "I know Coach is trying to be careful and doesn't want me to further hurt myself or things like that. So we'll see where that goes, but I'm a lot stronger and more confident than I was last week." Note that KC is banged up as well; wide receiver Tyreek Hill (foot) and running back Spencer Ware (shoulder/hamstring) are both in danger of missing the game. The Chargers have won three in a row and they're a solid 5-1 SU and ATS on the road this season. They're likely to be extra fired up here seeking revenge for a 38-28 home loss to the Chiefs back in September. 10* play on LA Chargers. |
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12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans -4.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 147 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) ATS The Houston Texans are the hottest team in the NFL coming off nine straight wins, a streak that started with a 37-34 OT win over the Colts. The Texans had no trouble whatsoever to take care of business against Cleveland last week (29-13 triumph) and look like a solid home favorite here against Indianapolis in Week 14. The Colts had won five straight before losing all momentum with a deflating 6-0 loss at Jacksonville last week. They managed just 265 yards of total offense in the defeat and QB Andrew Luck was sacked three times. This figures to another tough matchup for Luck and the rest of the Colt as they'll be coming up against one of the best defenses in the league. Houston ranks 4th in the NFL for points allowed and is tied for third with 41.0 sacks. Houston could clinch a playoff berth and the AFC South division title with a win here so there's plenty of motivation for the home team on top of trying to keep the winning streak alive. 10* play on Houston Texans. |
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12-02-18 | Rams -9.5 v. Lions | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 148 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) SIDE The LA Rams are coming off their bye week and look primed to put a massive beating on Detroit Sunday afternoon. The Lions season is all but over after losing four of their last five and they lost by a touchdown against the Bears on Thanksgiving. Here they'll face a Rams team which has lost just one game all season (to New Orleans) and we can note that the Rams are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week. The Rams rank 2nd in the NFL for total offense with 448.6 yards per game and QB Jared Goff threw for 413 yards and four touchdowns in a 54-51 win over the Chiefs in Week 11. Running back Todd Gurley was limited by an ankle issue against the Chiefs but is expected to be fine for this matchup; bad bad news for Detroit. 10* play on LA Rams. |
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11-29-18 | Saints -7 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -117 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
SAINTS @ COWBOYS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER (10* TOP PLAY) The New Orleans Saints are coming off a successful two-game homestand during which they beat Philadelphia and Atlanta by a combined 55 points. They have won five consecutive games by double digits and I think they'll keep rolling here in the first of what will be three consecutive road games when visiting Dallas Thursday night. The Saints are a phenomenal 9-2 ATS on the season, and while the Cowboys have covered the spread in three straight games I just don't see them keeping up with the Saints explosive offense. Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record and Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has been sacked a league-high 38 times and I don't see Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliot having much success at moving the chains against a solid Saints rush defense which hasn't allowed an individual player to rush for 100 yards for more than a calendar year. Even Rams' Todd Gurley managed just 68 yards rushing in a 45-35 loss to New Orleans on Nov 4. 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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11-25-18 | Giants v. Eagles -5.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) SIDE The Philadelphia Eagles should be extremely fired up for this matchup with NFC East rivals NY Giants as they look to bounce back from a 48-7 beating in New Orleans last time out. The Giants are obviously are nowhere near as good as the Saints, and they're in a letdown spot after back-to-back triumphs and claiming a 38-35 home win over the Buccaneers last week. NY won despite giving up 510 total yards of offense, and we can expect a big game for Philly QB Carson Wentz who threw three touchdown passes in a 34-13 win over the Giants in New York on October 11. Philadelphia has covered the spread in 14 of the last 21 meetings and is in need of a win here to save its season. I think the home team will come through and win in blowout fashion. 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 98 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL SIDE) This is just an awful spot for the Tennessee Titans, playing on a short week and in a let down situation following a 28-14 beatdown of the Cowboys as a 7-point dog at Dallas Monday night. Here the Titans will face a New England side off six straight triumphs while going 5-1 ATS. The Pats have scored 30+ points in five of those games with the lone exception a 25-6 walk in the park victory at Buffalo. Are the Patriots unbeatable? Certainly not, but I'm confident they'll win this by at least a touchdown. Patriots are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 133 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 8 ATS *BEST BET* The Washington Redskins are coming off back-to-back wins over Dallas and Carolina to improve to 4-2 on the season. Here they'll face a NY Giants team which is tied for the worst record in the league at 1-6 with the 49ers and Cardinals. The Giants will play on a short week following a 23-20 setback at Atlanta Monday night. Rookie running back Saquon Barkley failed to reach 100 total yards for the first time in his professional career and is likely in for another tough matchup Sunday afternoon. Washington ranks No.3 in the NFL against the run giving up only 87.3 ypg and held Dallas' Ezekiel Elliott to 31 yards overall on 14 carries last week. New York couldn't exploit an Atlanta D which had given up 32.0 points per game heading into Monday, and I'm more than happy to back the hotter team with the better defense in this contest. 10* play on Washington Redskins. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -119 | 100 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR *BEST BET* The reigning Super Bowl champions Philadelphia Eagles found their groove last week and delivered a 34-13 beatdown at New York Giants. Here they'll face a Carolina Panthers team which took a 23-17 loss at Washington in Week 6, and I like Philly to win and cover the spread in this matchup. We can note that Carolina is 0-2 on the road this season while Philly is 2-1 at home, the lone loss a 23-21 setback to Minnesota in Week 5. Philly QB Carson Wentz has been getting better and better throughout the season and finally looks fully recovered from a devastating knee injury that he suffered last year. Wentz threw for three TDs last week and owns an 8-to-1 TD/INT ratio on the season. The Panthers can do plenty of damage on the ground with their 4th ranked rushing offense, but the Eagles are 2nd at stopping the run and I think Philly has the edge in this game, particularly with the momentum from last week's blowout win. 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -112 | 122 h 9 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR The Chicago Bears should be well rested and ready to go as they're coming off their Week 5 bye. They trounced Tampa Bay 48-10 last time out and have now won three straight since losing their season opener at Green Bay. The Miami Dolphins are trending in the opposite direction, coming off back-to-back losses to the Pats (38-17) and the Bengals (27-17). QB Ryan Tannehill threw two picks against Cincinnati and he has five INTS and four fumbles on the season. I expect him to get roughed up plenty by Chicago defensive end Khalil Mack who has recorded a sack and fumble in four straight games. The Dolphins offense rank rank 30th in the NFL with an average of only 288 total yards per game and here it will come up against arguably the best defense in the NFL with Chicago giving up an average of only 294.5 yards of total offense. We can also note that Miami is highly unlikely to have any kind of success running the ball against a Bears rush defense that ranks #1 in the NFL. Bears QB Mitch Trubisky was outstanding his last time out, massing 354 passing yards with six touchdown passes against the Bucs. Miami’s rush and pass defense both rank 20th in the NFL and I think points will come fast and easy for the visitors. 10* play on Chicago Bears. |
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10-07-18 | Dolphins v. Bengals -6 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFL SIDE FOR OCTOBER I really like the Cincinnati Bengals as a home favorite against Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon. The Bengals are coming off an impressive 37-36 win at Atlanta and they've scored at least 34 points in each of their three wins this season. QB Andy Dalton keeps putting up big numbers and torching defenses. He completed 29-of-41 passes for 337 yards with three TDs and an INT against Atlanta and has passed for 1197 yards with 11 TDs and six INTs on the season. I don't think the Bengals will have any trouble to pile up the points against a Miami team that was off to a 3-0 prior to getting exposed in a 38-7 loss to the Patriots last week. The Dolphins managed just 172 yards of total offense while giving up 449 yards of total offense in the defeat. Miami ranks 30th in the league in total offense and should not be able to keep up with this explosive Bengals team. Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* NFL Game of the Month Side: Cincinnati Bengals ATS. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs -3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
CHIEFS @ BRONCOS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY* The Kansas City Chiefs are travelling to Mile High City undefeated 3-0 on the season. They're the league's highest-scoring team having scored 38 points or more in each contest and average a healthy 295.0 passing yards per game. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has 16 touchdown passes and no interceptions. Denver has struggled to stop the pass, and while KC has surrendered 30.7 points per game I don't think the Broncos have the weapons to hurt them. Note that Denver quarterback Case Keenum has passed for just three touchdowns against five interceptions and he's coming off a season-low 192 yards passing at Baltimore. Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Broncos are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Denver. 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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09-30-18 | Texans +2 v. Colts | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (TOP RATED 10* SIDE) The Houston Texans will be desperate for a win here after opening the season with three straight losses. They're 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 4 and should get the job done when visiting the Colts Sunday afternoon. Houston's offense has been a bright spot and ranks eighth in the NFL with 397 total yards per game. The Colts D gave up 379 total yards in a 20-16 road loss to the Eagles last week and I think Houston QB Deshaun Watson will tear them apart in this contest. Watson notched 385 passing yards with two TD’s against one INT against the Giants last week and we can also expect Houston to do a lot of damage on the ground against a Colts’ D that allows 106.0 rushing yards per game. The Colts offense rank in the bottom 10 of the NFL in several offensive categories and collected only 209 total yards last week. Colts QB Andrew Colt owns a poor 5:3 TD/INT ratio on the season and their running game is among the worst in the league. Great value on the visitors. 10* NFL SIDE OF THE WEEK: Houston Texans. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | Top | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 37 h 36 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOBALL ~ VIKINGS @ RAMS *TOP PLAY* The LA Rams will host the Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum Thursday night. The Rams are coming into this game undefeated while the Vikings are coming off their first loss of the season following a 2-0 start. The Vikings took an embarrassing 24-16 loss as a 16.5-point home favorite against the Bills last week. Perhaps they underestimated the Bills and took a win for granted. That won't happen here though, and there's plenty of talent in this Minnesota team which is considered a serious Super Bowl contender. I like the Purples to bounce back with a big performance here against an LA Rams team which no doubt is good, but also overrated by the public and the bookmakers after opening the season with routs of Oakland, Arizona and most recently LA Chargers. Take the points on the visitors. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-23-18 | Broncos +5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 21 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (10* SIDE) The Baltimore Ravens annihilated the hapless Bills in their season opener, but they came out flat at Cincinnati last week and failed to fully climb out of an early 21-0 hole, eventually losing 34-23. I think the Ravens are in for a tough game here against the Denver Broncos who have opened the season with home wins over Seattle and most recently Oakland. Denver has looked solid on the defensive side of the ball and limited the Raiders to just 92 rushing yards last week. Baltimore has not posed much of a threat on the ground through the first two games which means the Broncos can focus on shutting down Baltimore QB Joe Flacco who was sacked four times against the Bengals. Offensively the Broncos are dangerous on the ground and rank 2nd in the NFL in rushing with 314 yards on the season. Case Keenum is perhaps not an elite QB, but note that this Baltimore D allowed Bengals Andy Dalton to throw for 265 yards and four touchdowns last week. In addition, Baltimore cornerback Jimmy Smith is facing a multi-week suspension from the NFL because of an apparent violation of the league's personal-conduct policy. Broncos are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games in Week 3. 10* NFL Game of the Week (side): Denver Broncos. |
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09-10-18 | Rams -4.5 v. Raiders | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT RAMS @ RAIDER 10* BEST BET The Oakland Raiders are coming off a 6-10 campaign and I think they're in for a tough season here after trading away linebacker Khalil Mack to Chicago. The LA Rams meanwhile finished with an 11-5 record last season and are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Jared Goff and Todd Gurley forms a formidable one-two punch on offense and Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh leading the defense. 10* play on LA Rams. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7 | Top | 3-47 | Win | 103 | 156 h 21 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a perfect 5-0 preseason, and I think they'll ride the momentum to easy victory against the Buffalo Bills at home in Week 1 of the regular season. The Bills salvaged a 2-2 preseason record with a 28-27 win at Chicago last week, but this is a team without much talent and the they're still undecided whether to start Josh Allen or AJ McCarron under center. The Bills will need to rely on running back LeSean McCoy, but the Ravens aggressive D has an advantage all across the board and should be able to keep the Bills caged. There will be few surprises from the Ravens and John Harbaugh know exactly where he has his team after five preseason games. They have a strong go-to QB in Joe Flacco and a solid running game which ranked 11th in the NFL last year. Buffalo finished the 2017 season with the fourth worst rushing defense in the NFL and gave up plenty of yards during its preseason games. Also, let's not underestimate the home field advantage here with a hostile crowd guaranteed to make it difficult for the visitors. 10* NFL Game of the Week: Baltimore Ravens. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 298 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S SUPER BOWL LII BEST BET The New England Patriots failed to cover the spread in their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game, and I predict another tight affair when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LII on Sunday. The Eagles have managed to overcome a season-ending injury to their star QB Carson Wentz, as backup QB Nick Foles has been able to get the job done backed up by a solid defense that has allowed a total of just 17 points here in the postseason. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 112 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S AFC TITLE GAME BEST BET We won with the Jacksonville Jaguars as my NFL Game of the Month when they defeated Pittsburgh outright in the Divisional Playoff, and I'm gonna back them to at the very least cover the spread again here against the New England Patriots in the AFC Title Game. The Pats had little trouble with Tennessee their last time out as Tom Brady was able to exploit Titans linebackers and safeties who had struggled much of the year in coverage, but here they'll face arguably the best defense in the NFL. We can can also note that the Jags feature the top-ranked running game in the league, led by Leonard Fournette who was tremendous in Sunday’s win against Pittsburgh accumulating 109 rushing yards on 24 carries with three scores. The Pats' Tom Brady is 7-0 lifetime against the Jaguars including two playoff victories, but the last encounter was back in 2015 and this Jacksonville team is cut from a different cloth, especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Conference Championships games and while they're likely to win this game outright, I absolutely think they're asked to cover way too many points. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) The Jacksonville Jaguars defense put up another outstanding performance when the Jags recorded a 10-3 home win against the Bills in the Wildcard game last week. I think their tremendous D will keep this AFC Divisional playoff matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers a close game, and getting a touchdown here is well worth a max bet. This will be the second meeting of the season and Jacksonville won the first encounter 30-9 here at Heinz Field in Week 5. The Jags forced five interceptions from Ben Roethlisberger in that matchup and limited the Bills to 263 total yards (including only 133 passing yards) and picked off the Buffalo QB twice last week. Jacksonville has allowed only 15.9 ppg on the season while the Steelers defense wasn't particularly sharp in the final stretch of the regular season, giving up rather big numbers to Baltimore, New England and Cleveland among others. Jacksonville features the top-ranked running game in the NFL led by Leonard Fournette who accumulated 181 rushing yards in the triumph over Pittsburgh earlier this season. We can also note that Pittsburgh star receiver Antonio Brown is questionable after he missed the last two games of the season with a lower leg contusion suffered against New England on Dec. 15. My NFL Game of the Month is a 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PANTHERS @ SAINTS ATS ANNIHILATOR The New Orleans Saints have already defeated the Carolina Panthers twice this season, the most recent a 31-21 triumph here in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome back in December. They're coming off a 31-24 loss at Tampa Bay but are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 23-4 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Panthers fit the bill coming into this contest with a 5-3 road record for the season, but they took a 22-10 loss at Atlanta in their regular season finale and are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with New Orleans. The Saints own the league’s No. 2 offense and they've been able to torch Carolina on the ground in both meetings this season, gaining 148 and 149 yards respectively. New Orleans’ defense meanwhile turned in two of its best performances of the season against the Panthers. My selection is a 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) I think Atlanta Falcons plus the points look like excellent value here in their Wild Card game against the LA Rams. The Falcons have been in playoff mode for weeks while the Rams need to find a way to light their fire again after sitting QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Cooper Kupp and DL Aaron Donald in the regular-season finale (a 34-13 loss to the Niners). The Rams have had a tremendous season considering this is a team that finished 4-12 last season, but they're still unproven in the playoffs while Atlanta has plenty of experience. Sure, Atlanta QB Matt Ryan has had a poor season, but this is still pretty much the same offense that carried the Falcons to the Super Bowl last year and its defense really stepped up in its 22-10 triumph over Carolina in the regular-season finale. My NFL Wild Card Game of the Week is a 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers -3 v. Rams | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 65 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The San Francisco 49ers will be looking to close out the season with a fifth consecutive victory. They've looked like a completely different team since installing Jimmy Garoppolo under center and scored 44 points on one of the top defenses in the league in Jacksonville last week. "Since Jimmy G. got here, things have been a lot different," 49ers running back Carlos Hyde said. "Things have been feeling really good around here. It's been a good vibe. That energy in the locker room right now is really good. Guys are teeing off that and ready to play." I expect the Niners to keep rolling here when they visit the LA Rams Sunday afternoon. The Rams have played well lately, coming off back-to-back triumphs at Seattle and Tennessee to make it four win their last five games. They've clinched the NFC West championship and at least one home playoff game already though, and coach Sean McVay is expected to sit most of his key players here to ensure their health for the postseason. Quarterback Jared Goff, star defensive lineman Aaron Donald and even MVP candidate running back Todd Gurley are all expected to get some rest. The Rams defeated the Niners 41-39 at San Francisco back in September. Expect revenge for the Niners today. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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12-24-17 | Bucs v. Panthers -9 | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 26 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The Carolina Panthers (10-4) are coming off impressive back-to-back triumphs against Minnesota and Green Bay to make it six wins through their last seven games. There's no time for rest though as they enter the week with the same record as the Saints at the top of the NFC South, but losing the head-to-head tiebreaker. Here they'll host a Tampa Bay Buccaneers that stood up well in Monday night's 24-21 loss to the Falcons, but this will be tough playing on short rest, facing a Carolina offense that is firing on all cylinders and averaged 32 points through its last five games. The Panthers have had plenty of success running the ball all season (4th in the NFL with an average of 135 rushing yards per game) and accumulated 151 rushing yards against Green Bay. The Bucs were just torched for 201 rushing yards by Atlanta. These two teams squared up in Week 8, a game the Panthers won 17-3 while holding Jameis Winston to only 210 passing yards with zero touchdowns against two interceptions. Motivation beats class, but the Panthers have the advantage in both aspects in this matchup with the 4-10 Bucs just looking to play spoiler in their last two games of the season. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons -6.5 v. Bucs | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL MONEYMAKER The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been torn apart defensively in recent weeks, giving up a total of 84 points through three consecutive losses while going 0-3 ATS. Here they'll host an Atlanta Falcons team that has won four of its last five games (lone loss against Minnesota) to put itself in a position where it still controls its own playoff destiny. The math is simple; If the Falcons win out in their last three games they will claim the NFC South title. The Falcons defeated the Bucs 34-20 home in Atlanta on Nov. 26 in a matchup where Matt Ryan was 26-of-35 for 317 yards while receiver Julio Jones had 12 receptions for 253 yards and two touchdowns. Tampa Bay's defense has struggled on the pass rush all season and ranks 32nd in the NFL with 17 sacks. Buccaneers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings. My selection is a 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots -3 v. Steelers | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 84 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL) The New England Patriots took a shocking 27-20 loss as a 10.5-point underdog at Miami on Monday, but I really expect them to show up here at Pittsburgh in a matchup that will likely decide home field advantage in the AFC. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won eight in a row, but they've needed late field goals to defeat Cincinnati and Baltimore the last two weeks. The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record and had covered the spread in six straight games before last week's defeat. The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. Bill Belichick won't allow the Pats to lose this game, especially after the debacle at Miami last week. My NFL GAME OF THE YEAR is a 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots -10.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL NO-BRAINER The New England Patriots will be without suspended Rob Gronkowski, but I still they'll put away the Dolphins at Miami Monday night relatively easy. The Phins had lost five straight before defeating the reeling Broncos 35-9 last week. Miami took a 35-17 beating by the Pats on Nov. 26 and here it'll face a fired up Tom Brady looking to bounce back from a sub-par outing (not a single touchdown pass) in last week's 23-3 win at Buffalo. The Pats defense has been outstanding lately while Miami conceded a staggering 177 points during its five-game slide. Patriots are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine Monday night games. Dolphins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-8 ATS in their last eight Monday night games. My selection is a 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +5.5 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 114 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The Baltimore Ravens have quietly won three in a row to move to the second wild card spot in the AFC. They'll visit the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday night, and I think Baltimore should be able to keep this a close game. Note that the Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against AFC North rivals and 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pittsburgh came back from being down 17-0 to beat the Bengals 23-20 Monday night thanks to a last second field goal. Here it'll have to do without linebacker Ryan Shazier who was carted off the field early in that game with a back injury. I did not like what I saw from the Steelers on Monday, and we can note that they're just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. My selection is a 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks v. 49ers +6.5 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 56 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The San Francisco 49ers picked up their first win of the season in a 31-21 home triumph against the Giants in Week 10 before enjoying their bye week. I think they'll put a good fight when hosting the Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon. San Francisco Quarterback C.J. Beathard is coming off his best game of the season as he threw for for 288 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. Their defense ranks 29th in scoring defense and 27th in total defense, but they've looked better on the defensive side of the ball in recent weeks. We can also note that their biggest weakness is defending against the run, but the Seahaws does not pose much of a threat on the ground with QB Russell Wilson accumulating nearly three times as many rushing yards as offseason acquisition Eddie Lacy. Seattle has dropped two of its last three games and it took a 34-31 home loss to the Falcons last week. It won just 12-9 when hosting the 49ers in the season's first meeting and this should be another tight affair. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 155 h 38 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Philadelphia Eagles had reeled off seven straight wins before entering their bye week, and I think they'll pick up right where they left off and take down the Cowboys at Dallas Sunday night. The Cowboys will have to do without their star running back Ezekiel Elliot due to suspension, and they really missed him in last week's 27-7 loss at Atlanta. They had won three straight prior to that, but their offense became way too one-dimensional without Elliott and QB Dak Prescott is likely to be under heavy fire once again here against a solid Philadelphia D. The Cowboys are just 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and I don't see them hanging around with the 8-1 Eagles. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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11-12-17 | Saints -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 41 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The New Orleans Saints started the season 0-2, but they've reeled off six straight victories since and I think they'll make it seven in a row when they visit the Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon. Buffalo does not have much to offer offensively, and the Bills have struggled on the defensive side of the ball lately as well. They gave up 34 points in last week's loss to the Jets and their D enters Week 10 ranked No. 20 in the overall NFL rankings and No. 26 against the pass. I don't see the Bills being able to stop QB Drew Brees and the rest of the Saints who rank 2nd in the NFL for total offense at 392.5 yards per game, and they're equally dangerous through the air and on the ground. The Bills are the only team in the AFC that's still undefeated at home this year, but the Saints got something special brewing this season. Als note that Bills are 12-26-2 ATS in their last 40 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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11-06-17 | Lions -2 v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL DET @ GB The Detroit Lions have lost three straight games (0-3 ATS) following last week's 20-15 setback against Pittsburgh. They did not score a single TD despite five trips to the red zone and QB Matthew Stafford completing 27-of-45 passes for a total of 423 yards, but I think they'll do much better here against a Packers D that is allowing 348.9 total yards per game. Green Bay has even bigger offensive woes with QB Aaron Rodgers out for the season, and Rodgers' replacement, Brett Hundley, has four interceptions in his two games. Here he'll face a Detroit team that is third-best in the league with 10 interceptions and 16 overall takeaways, so this should be another tough matchup for the 24 year old. Hundley might not get much help from the Packers ground game either as Detroit's defense ranks fifth in rushing yards allowed per carry and seventh in rushing yards allowed per game. My selection is a 10* play on Detroit Lions. |
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11-05-17 | Ravens v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 50 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* BAL@TEN BEST BET The Baltimore Ravens had lost two straight and four of their last five before a 40-0 rout of Miami their last time out. They generated just 296 yards of total offense but capitalized on a pair of pick-sixes. I predict a much tougher matchup when they visit the Titans at Tennessee Sunday afternoon. The Titans have won two straight to climb into a tie with the Jaguars for the top spot in the AFC South. They expect to have dynamic wide receiver Corey Davis back from a hamstring injury after missing the last five games while the Ravens' QB Joe Flacco is banged up after suffering a concussion last week. Bad news for a Ravens offense that ranks 27th in total offense and their passing game is dead last at only 1,223 yards. The Titans are coming off their bye week which should have given Marcus Mariota time to heal a minor hamstring injury. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-29-17 | Bears +9 v. Saints | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) MIKE'S MAJOR WAGER The Chicago Bears are coming off back-to-back victories and scored two defensive touchdowns in last week's 17-3 win against the Panthers. It goes without saying that it's hard to beat (nevermind covering the spread against) a team that allows just 301.3 yards per game, and I think the New Orleans Saints are asked to cover way too many points here. Sure, the red hot Saints have won four on the bounce and covered the spread in each game, but that's also the reason why we're seeing an inflated line for this contest. Note that the Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Saints are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. My NFL Game of the Week is on the Chicago Bears. |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | Top | 0-40 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL - MIA@BAL The Miami Dolphins will visit the Baltimore Ravens Thursday night, and I'm well happy to take the points on the visitors in this matchup. The Ravens have lost four of their last five games and were outgained by a total of 149 yards in last week's 24-16 loss at Minnesota. They gave up 169 yards on the ground in that contest and they have the worst run defense in the NFL this season, giving up an average of 145.3 yards rushing per game. That will surely spell trouble here against the Dophins and Jay Ajayi who must look forward to run against Baltimore after a slow start to the season. QB Jay Cutler is out injured for the Dolphins, but Matt Moore is a capable backup. He came off the bench last week to help Miami rally from a 14-point deficit and record a 31-28 victory over the Jets. We can also note that the Ravens have even bigger injury woes with 15 players listed on their injury report, and QB Joe Flacco is struggling to find his targets. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last seven meetings, but this is a great spot for them to end that streak. My selection is a 10* play on Miami Dolphins. |
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10-22-17 | Cowboys v. 49ers +6.5 | Top | 40-10 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 55 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL SUNDAY NFC SHOWDOWN The San Francsco 49ers are 0-6 on the season, but each of their last five have been determined by three points or less and they've covered the spread in four of those games. They could easily have beaten the Redskins at Washington last week, and rookie quarterback C.J. Beathard earned a start here with a fine performance under center after replacing Brian Hoyer. Carlos Hyde added two rushing touchdowns and is tied for third in the NFL with four rushing touchdowns. The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a bye week, but they've dropped back-to-back games and three of their last four, surrendering 35 points or more in each defeat. This will be the Niners first home game since Sept. 21, so you better believe they'll be fired up Sunday afternoon. 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC. My selection is an 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 52 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S MAJOR WAGER ALERT - KC@OAK The Kansas City Chiefs have a 5-1 record as they're coming off their first defeat this season in last week's 19-13 home loss against Pittsburgh. I like the Chiefs to bounce back strong here when they visit the Oakland Raiders Thursday night. The Raiders are in bad shape, entering the game on a four-game losing streak during which they've averaged only 13.2 points per game. Quarterback Derek Carr was 21-of-30 passing for just 171 yards with one TD and two picks in Sunday's 17-16 home loss to the Chargers. He missed the previous game due to injury and playing on short rest here won't do him any good. The Chiefs are perfect 9-0 ATS as a favorite on the road dating back to Nov. 22, 2015. They've won five straight meetings with the Raiders and covered the spread in all but one of those games. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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10-16-17 | Colts +7.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-36 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER The Tennessee Titans put up just 10 points in a loss at Miami without injured quarterback Marcus Mariota last week. He's questionable when the Titans host the Indianapolis Colts Monday night, and it doesn't seem like the Titans want to gamble with his health: "I want to be very smart about how we do this. It's more than this game, it's a lot of games, that we've got to be concerned about," Tennessee coach Mike Mularkey said of Mariota. As a big home favorite the Titans might feel they can afford to give their star QB more time to recover. With or without Mariota, I think Tennessee is asked to cover way too many points in this contest. The Colts will be looking to build on the momentum they picked up with their second win of the season in a 26-23 OT triumph against the Niners last week. They pounded their opponent on the ground and rushed for a total of 159 yards on 35 attempts with two scores. Veteran RB Frank Gore has four touchdowns in his last three games against Tennessee and we can note that the Titans have surrendered 273 rushing yards in their last two games combined (both losses). The Colts are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head meetings and they won 34-26 here at Tennessee last season. My selection is a 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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10-08-17 | Bills +3 v. Bengals | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 16 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Buffalo Bills (3-1) stunned the Falcons last week as when winning 23-17 as an 8-point underdog at Atlanta. They've covered the spread in each of their four games on the season, and here they'll face a Cincinnati Bengals team they defeated 16-12 as a road dog last season. The Bengals (1-3) finally recorded a win last week, but beating up on the Browns doesn't deserve a lot of credit. They've struggled to move the ball against the more accomplished teams in the league and note that Buffalo's defense ranks number one in the NFL, allowing only 13.5 points per game (4th in total defense 284.3 ypg). The Bills offense meanwhile has scored at least 21 points in three of its four games, and I like the visitors to dominate on both sides of the ball in this contest. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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10-01-17 | Titans -1.5 v. Texans | Top | 14-57 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Tennessee Titans opened the season with a disappointing 26-6 home loss against Oakland, but they've come back strong with impressive wins against Jacksonville and Seattle. They pounded the Seahawks on the ground in last week's 33-27 victory as DeMarco Murray rushed for 115 yards and a score while Derrick Henry added 54 yards on 13 carries. This Sunday the Titans will take on a Houston Texans team that gave the Patriots a real scare at Foxboro last week, but I'm not convinced they can come up with another performance like that two weeks in a row. Houston is known as a defensive team, but it gave up five touchdown passes to Tom Brady and has allowed 29 points or more in two of its three games. The Texans run defense is just 17th in the league and I think the Titans will wear them with their ground game. My NFL Game of the Week is on Tennessee Titans. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER Both the Arizona Cardinals and the Dallas Cowboys enter Monday night 1-1 on the season. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings while the home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings, and I really like Arizona in this spot. Dallas' secondary is mighty banged up, and Arizona has a solid QB in Carson Palmer who threw for 332 yards and a touchdown in last week's 16-13 OT win at Indianapolis. The Cardinals outgained the Colts by 123 yards while the Cowboys were outgained by 112 in their 42-17 loss at Denver last week. The Cowboys struggled on both sides of the ball and it's quite possible both of last season's rookie sensations Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott will have a let-down year. Prescott threw for just 238 yards with a pair of touchdowns and two picks against the Broncos while Elliott was held to eight rushing yards on nine carries. My selection is an 10* play on Arizona Cardinals. |
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09-17-17 | Patriots -6.5 v. Saints | Top | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 127 h 7 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH The reigning Super Bowl champions New England Patriots took a 42-27 beating as an 8-point favorite after a second half collapse against the Chiefs on Thursday in Week 1. I can't stress enough how much I like the Pats to come back and totally destroy the New Orleans Saints here in Week 2. The Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and Bill Belichick has had more than a week to get things right from the season opener. The Saints looked hapless in their 29-19 loss at Minnesota. If you allow Sam Bradford to throw for 346 yards and three touchdowns against you there's no telling how much damage a pissed off Tom Brady will do. The New England QB was 16-of-36 passing for 267 yards and no touchdown passes, and expect the GOAT to show why he's the GOAT as he gets back to his best in this contest. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in September. The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in September. My NFL Game of the Month is a 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 78 h 56 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* AFC Championship Game *BOOKIE BREAKER* The Pittsburgh Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, but I think they'll come up short against the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game. New England beat Pittsburgh 27-16 at Heinz Field back in Week 7, and the Pats are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The Patriots defense was phenomenal against the Texans in the Divisional Round, allowing just 285 yards while making three interceptions. Pittsburgh's QB Ben Roethlisberger is of course far better than Brock Osweiler, but he's banged up and has not been able to put up big numbers here in the playoffs. The Pats have held opponents to an average of only 88.6 rushing yards per game on the season so I think they'll be able to contain the red hot Steelers RB Le’Veon Bell. Advantage New England on both sides of the ball, and on the sideline in Bill Belichick vs. Mike Tomlin. Lay the points. |
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01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 75 h 35 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFC *BOOKIE BREAKER* The Green Bay Packers will clash with the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship game Sunday afternoon. The Packers are undefeated through their last eight games, and I'm well happy to take the points here. Atlanta's QB Matt Ryan has been sharp, but so has Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers as well and Atlanta's D has been vulnerable against the pass all season (28th in the NFL allowing 266.7 passing yards per game). Note that the Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five playoff games while the Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games. Take the points. |
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01-15-17 | Packers +5 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 34 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL The Green Bay Packers are arguably the hottest team in the NFL as they wrapped up the regular season with six consecutive wins. They then handed the New York Giants a 38-13 defeat in the wild card game last Sunday, and I think they'll give the Cowboys a tough game here. The 13-3 Cowboys have done surprisingly well this season behind rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, but who knows how they'll play in a postseason game. The Packers have no such worries with experienced Aaron Rodgers at the helm, and he'll come up against a Dallas pass defense that ranks 26th in the NFL. Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven playoff road games, Cowboys 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the points. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL The Seattle Seahawks defeated the Falcons 26-24 on Oct. 26, and I like the points on the underdog here in the divisional round. Atlanta has an explosive offense led by QB Matt Ryan, but keep in mind that Seattle has held opponents to an average of just 17.5 points and 313.5 yards per game this season. The Seahawks cruised past Detroit with a 26-6 victory in the wild card round, and Thomas Rawls rushed for a new franchise playoff-record with 161 yards. The Seahawks are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record while the Falcons are 0-6 ATS in their last six playoff games, and Matt Ryan has a 1-4 playoff record lifetime. |
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01-01-17 | Packers -3 v. Lions | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 83 h 51 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The Green Bay Packers will open the new year with a visit the Detroit Lions, and this is no doubt a massive matchup for both teams. The winner of the game will take down the NFC North, and I like the Packers to be the team to come out ahead. The Lions D got manhandled in a 42-21 defeat to the Cowboys last week, and here they'll face a Packers team that put up 38 against the Vikings top rated defense last week and has scored 30+ points in three consecutive games. The Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings and I think they'll run away with this game comfortably in the end. |
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12-24-16 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The Minnesota Vikings are just 2-7 SU and 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games. They're coming off a 34-6 home loss to the Colts, and I think they'll struggle big time here against the surging Green Bay Packers. Green Bay has won four on the bounce, covering the spread in all but one of those games. The Packers will be looking to revenge a 17-14 loss at Minnesota in Week 2, and they would take down the NFC North by beating the reeling Vikings here and winning at division-leading Detroit in Week 17. The Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has 10 touchdown passes and zero interceptions in the last five games, and running back Ty Montgomery rushed for 162 yards and two touchdowns on only 16 carries while adding four catches for 57 yards last week. We can note that the Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, and I don't think the offensively challenged Vikings will be able to keep up with the Packers here. Green Bay to win by double digits. |
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12-18-16 | Steelers -3 v. Bengals | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 105 h 34 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The Pittsburgh Steelers are playing excellent football at the moment, and they really impressed me in last week's 27-20 win at Buffalo. The Steelers dominated the game from start to finish, and star running back LeVeon Bell rumbled for 200 yards and three touchdowns. It's noteworthy that Cincinnati ranks just 25th in the NFL against the run, so expect another big game from Bell here. Cincinnati is coming off back-to-back wins against Philly (32-14 at home) and Cleveland (23-10 on the road), but neither of those results are that impressive. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and the Steelers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Cincinnati. The Bengals are banged up offensively playing without both wide receiver AJ Green and running back Giovanni Bernard, and we can note that Pittsburgh has allowed just a total of 50 points through its last four games. Nah, the Bengals won't stand a chance here, and I'm firing a BIG BET on the Steelers. |
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12-11-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 61 h 14 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The Buffalo Bills have dropped four of their last after last week's 38-24 loss to Oakland. They struggled to stop Derek Carr, and now they'll face another top QB in the game in Ben Roethlisberger. Add running back Le'Veon Bell (Buffalo gives up 116,2 rushing yards per game) and top notch receivers to the mix and you have a very dangerous offense. The Steelers D has also stepped it up a notch in recent weeks, holding Cleveland, Indianapolis and New York Giants to a combined 30 points through three consecutive wins. The Bills rank dead last in the NFL in passing yards per game and quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed just 18 of 35 for 191 yards with no TDs and a pick last week. Buffalo leans on LeSean McCoy to move the chains on the ground, but the Steelers allow just 92 rushing yards per game, 6th best in the NFL. The Steelers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in December and 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Bills. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 8 m | Show |
Top Rated Thursday Night Football *BIG TICKET* The 10-2 Oakland Raiders will visit the 9-3 Kansas City Chiefs Thursday night, and this looks like an excellent spot to take the points on the visitors. The Raiders are coming off six consecutive wins and defeated the Bills 38-24 last Sunday, thanks to scoring 29 unanswered points. Derek Carr had another solid game with 260 yards and a pair of touchdown passes while Latavius Murray rushed for two scores. The Raiders D defended the pass well but surrendered 212 on the ground. The good news is that Kansas City ranks just 25th in the NFL with 98.8 rushing yards per game. The Chiefs have won six of their last seven, but each of their last four games have been decided by three points or fewer. KC allowed 418 yards of total offense with 297 yards passing and a touchdown to Matt Ryan in a 29-28 win at Atlanta last week. Oakland has an offense pretty similar to Atlanta, and I think the Raiders will put up big numbers on the offensive side of the ball here. The Chiefs defeated the Raiders 26-10 on October 16 in the last meeting, Oakland's last defeat. The Raiders will be hungry for revenge, and we can note that while KC is 4-1 straight up at home it's just 1-4 ATS. The Raiders are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS on the road. Take the points on the Raiders and get ready to cash a BIG TICKET. |
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12-04-16 | Bills v. Raiders -3 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The 9-2 Oakland Raiders enter Week 13 riding a five-game winning streak. They had covered the spread in each game during that stretch prior to coming up just short in a 35-32 victory against the Panthers last week. Take a look at the teams Oakland has beaten up on lately; Tampa Bay, Denver, Houston and Carolina. Not exactly easy opponents. Teams are struggling to slow down quarterback Derek Carr, and he should be good to go even though he suffered an injury to his pinky last week. Oakland does not have much of a running game, but it really doesn't matter when Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper are such reliable targets for Carr. The 6-5 Buffalo Bills are coming off back-to-back wins ... against Cincinnati and Jacksonville. It's worth noting that Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last five games and the Raiders are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. It's not always pretty, but the Raiders are getting the job done more often than not and I think they'll run away with this game, covering the spread in the process. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys -3 v. Vikings | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -116 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
Thursday Night Football *BLOCKBUSTER* The Dallas Cowboys are undefeated since their Week 1 loss to the Giants. They're 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and I like them to win and cover the spread here against the Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota has dropped five of its last six games and fell 16-13 at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. Sam Bradford completed 31 of 37 passes for 224 yards with an interception. Dallas ranks 31st in pass defense giving up 280.4 yards per game, but Bradford poses very little threat and keep in mind that the Cowboys are holding opponents to 19.4 points per game, not far off Minnesota's 17.5. The Vikings rank dead last yardage-wise in the NFL, and they have virtually no running offense at all with Adrian Peterson sidelined. What the Cowboys do have is probably the best QB/RB duo in the NFL in rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, and they're protected by a phenomenal offensive line. Dallas ranks fifth in terms of total yards gained this season and it averages 28.7 points per game, a number which can be compared to Minnesota's 19.8. There's more desperation in the Vikings' camp compared to the Cowboys', but I would not go against the hottest team in the NFL in this game. |
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11-27-16 | Giants -7 v. Browns | Top | 27-13 | Win | 102 | 53 h 11 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The 7-3 New York Giants are going for a sixth consecutive win when they visit the 0-11 Cleveland Browns Sunday afternoon. Surely the Giants must win, and surely they must cover the spread. The hapless Browns are 2-9 ATS on the season and 0-5 home at FirstEnergy Stadium. They've scored just a total of 26 points through their last three games and will take on a Giants team that has gotten the job done on both sides of the ball in recent weeks. Quarterback Eli Manning has at least three touchdown passes in three of his last four games and Odell Beckham Jr. has made all of his team-leading six touchdown catches over the last six games. None of the Giants wins during their winning streak have come by more than seven points, and each of their 10 games this season have been within one score in the fourth quarter. Well you know what, I think the team is poised for a blowout win, and Cleveland has lost each of its last three games by at least 15 points. If the Giants only want to and care enough they'll win this by double digits with ease, and that's what I'm putting my money on them to do. |
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11-21-16 | Texans v. Raiders -5.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* Monday Night Football The Oakland Raiders will take on the Houston Texans at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City in NFL Week 11's Monday Night Football matchup. Both teams are going strong sitting top of their respective division, but I like the Raiders to come through with a win big enough to cover the spread here. Oakland is a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS on the road this season, and it has had plenty of time to prepare for this game coming off a bye week. The Raiders had reeled off wins at Jacksonville and Tampa Bay before a 30-20 home win against Detroit just before the break, averaging 31 points during the winning streak. Houston is coming off a 24-21 road win a Jacksonville, but the team has been dominated in total yardage in each of its last three games. Houston has the league's worst passing attack with an average of 187.3 yards per game, and Brock Osweiler threw for only 99 yards against the Jags and has registered only a total of 416 passing yards through his last three games. The Raiders Derek Carr is a machine and has a fantastic 17-3 TD/INT ratio on the season, numbers that can be compared with Osweiler's 11/9 ratio. Oakland can not only hurt teams through the air, but running back Latavius Murray is also a factor and he rambled for 114 yards and three scores in his last game. The Texans have a pretty clear advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but I expect the Raiders to generate enough offense to run away with this game. I expect a BIG OAKLAND WIN, and I'm backing up my words with a BIG BET. |
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11-20-16 | Cardinals v. Vikings | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 24 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NFL *GAME OF THE WEEK* The Minnesota Vikings opened the season with five straight wins. They've lost all momentum since their bye week though, losing four straight games outright despite entering each contest as a favorite and scoring just an average of 14 points per game during the skid. They host the Arizona Cardinals Sunday afternoon, and I expect a big win for the visitors. Arizona sits at a disappointing 4-4 record, but the Cardinals head into this contest with a 3-1-1 record in their last five games, outgaining three of their last four opponents by at least 160 yards. Arizona has a balanced offense behind the arm of Carson Palmer and the legs of David Johnson, and while Minnesota's D has received a lot of well deserved praise, keep in mind that Arizona has allowed fewer yards per game (311.8 yards vs. Minnesota's 326.4 yards). Minnesota has virtually no running game at all, and while QB Sam Bradford rarely gets picked off, he's not exactly a man known for his big plays either. Minny gave up 26 points and a total of 368 yards in a loss at Washington last week. I just don't see Vikings being able to compete with the Cardinals in their current state. |
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11-17-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* Thursday Night Football *Saints/Panthers* Two teams that cost us a large chunk of change with a pair of late hiccups last Sunday. I still like what I saw from the Saints in their loss to Denver better than Carolina's effort when it let a 14-point fourth-quarter lead evaporate in a 20-17 loss to Kansas City. The Saints beat the Panthers 41-38 on Oct.16, and I'm taking the points on the visitors here. The 3-6 Panthers are nowhere near as strong as they were last season, but the bookmakers are still asking them to ask spreads above the key numbers. While the Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS on the season, the Saints have often been underrated and are a solid 6-3 ATS which includes a 4-0 ATS record on the road. Drew Brees is having a terrific year under center and is NFL second-best with 2,992 yards, and he has a solid 24/7 TD/INT ratio. Carolina's Cam Newton has been underwhelming, throwing for 1994 yards, just 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Overall an edge for Carolina on the defensive side of the ball, but that didn't help the Panthers in the first game when Brees torched them for 465 yards and four touchdowns. We can also note that the Saints are a plus-2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are minus-7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head meetings, and I'm looking for the Saints to cover the spread again Thursday night. |