40* MNF BEST BET

New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts OVER 46.5

I know this sounds obvious, but we all know how Andrew Luck plays after a loss. He has won every game except one in his career. He also puts up stellar numbers when playing at home. So why don't we take the Colts then? I'll tell you why...the Colts defense is bad. They continue to get killed on the ground as their rush defense is pathetic. I expect the Jets to have a lot of success running the ball tonight and in turn, should open up the play-action passing game for Brandon Marshall. The Colts LOVE to throw the ball around the field and this game should turn into a track meet in the dome. I feel that as long as the Jets can put up 20, this will fly over because Indy should be able to put 4 in the end zone and get us 28 points right there.

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (I recommend buying the hook)

When the schedule game out and the Packers saw they got the Seattle Seahawks at Lambeau, for their home opener, on primetime...you know this team was as hyped as can be. Talk about the perfect scenario to dish a little payback. A lot of people are going to look at this game and say "No way the Seattle Seahawks lose 2 in a row." I beg the differ. This is not the same Seahawks team we're used to. They lost their defensive coordinator, a couple corners, and one of, if not, the most important players on that defense, Kam Chancellor, is holding out and likely will not play this game either. Look what the Rams offense did to this team...Just wait and see what a pissed off Aaron Rodgers does.

The story of the Seahawks the last few seasons is that they are not as good on the road, and they proved that in Week 1. Do you know one of the worst places to play for a bad road team? You guessed it, the frozen tundra of Lambeau field and at night, no less. This place is going to go insane for this one and I have a feeling the Green Bay Packers are going to send a huge message to the NFC right now saying "We're the best and good luck trying to get passed us." Look for a convincing win for the Green Back Packers on Sunday night.

40* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Pittsburgh Steelers -6

This game is situational handicapping 101. We have the Pittsburgh Steelers coming off a loss in prime time, while the San Francisco 49ers come off a win in prime time. Public perception is going to be out of whack in this one. Another big key for this game is that the Steelers played Thursday night so they have a week and a half to prepare for their home opener and as an added bonus they didn't have to travel far at all, coming from New England. The 49ers, however, will be in for a bit of a let down as they are playing on a short week, having played Monday Night Football for their home opener. A good spot to bet in the NFL is when west coast teams travel to the east coast for 1:00 EST (10:00 PST) games. That's exactly what we have in this one. Let's not forget, Pittsburgh moved the ball really well in that game against the Pats and if it wasn't for two missed FG's, that game could have been a whole lot different. But good news for us is that they lost that game and it has given us great line value on the winningest NFL franchise in history. 

50* S.E.C. GAME OF THE YEAR

Alabama -5.5

Well guys, my long term guys and I know how this game ended last year. We were on the Tide and it looked like smooth sailing until Ole Miss scored 13 unanswered as Blake Sims and Christian Jones turnovers cost the Tide the game in the 4th quarter. Right there we have the revenge angle. We also get this game in Tuscaloosa. That's huge for the Tide as it's damn near impossible to beat this team at home. A lot of folks are down on Alabama this year as they lost a lost of starters but remember, this is ALABAMA...the team that always get the most 5 star recruits year in and year out.

Most people are going to see the huge performances that Mississippi has had the last 2 games, but let's face it, they were against some really bad squads. Not to mention, the Rebels did have 3 turnovers and let Fresno rush for over 160 yards. That's got to be alarming. A big key here is that everyone is starting to talk about Rebel QB Chad Kelly. He may have had some great numbers but this is a whole new ball game going to Alabama. I see this kid really struggling in a game of this magnitude with a berserk crowd.

Alabama is going to be out for blood and we have the best coach in the game on our side at home in this one, with revenge. Alabama basically had a week off last week and, for all intents and purposes, had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Crimson Tide man-handled Wisconsin, at a neutral site I might add, and I believe they are a better team than Ole Miss. Look for a convincing Bama win.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Louisiana Tech +10

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -5

Posting this Packers selection now as I believe this line will continue to climb and wouldn't be surprised if it reached 6.5/7. Get this one now before it goes to 6.

Games that I am also taking a long look at and will be posted closer to the season if they become official plays:

Miami Dolphins -2.5

Arizona Cardinals -2.5

New York Jets -3

Carolina Panthers/Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43

Also like the Arizona Cardinals regular season win total OVER 8/8.5 wins for 5%

Taking a hard look at the New York Giants OVER 8 and New Orleans Saints UNDER 9

New England Patriots OVER 10 wins and/or to win the AFC East is a 7% wager. NOTICE: This was before the Tom Brady ruling...if you are just getting to it now, I would play for 4%

50*

Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 42.5

Love this under. These are two teams that have solid defenses and pretty bad offenses, especially Jacksonville. Losing Benjamin is a big blow to the Panthers and it takes away their ability to stretch the field and have a down field threat. We all know that Jacksonville really struggles on the offensive end and both teams should continue to pound the rock over and over again, continuing running the clock to shorten the game. 

Week 1 in the NFL, like Week 1 in college football, typically are lower scoring games. Even better are games when the oddsmakers make the visiting team the favorite. Both Carolina and Jacksonville typically play to the style of team they play. For instance, when they play teams that play stout defense and run the ball a lot (UNDER teams,) they play to the under. 

I expect this game to have a ton of punts and field goals and reaching the end zone is going to be a tough task. As long as we don't have a bunch of turnovers in their territory to shorten the field, points will be tough to come across in this one.

40*

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans UNDER 42

This Houston Texan defense should be incredible this year. Check out this defensive line. Wilfork, Clowney, and Watt. Good luck doing anything on offense, especially a team like KC who have Alex Smith. He's the quintessential "game manager" who doesn't take chances and really only throws short passes and check downs. Remember, he didn't throw a TD to a WR last year. We already know the Chiefs love to run the ball and so do the Texans. The Texans have to with guys like Hoyer and Mallett playing behind center. The Chiefs also have a pretty good defense also. With Foster being out, this only helps our cause here.  

Bottom line is that we have 2 running/time management teams with mediocre QBs with stellar defenses.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Buffalo Bills +3

Bottomline here is that one of the favorites to win the AFC is only laying 3 to the Buffalo Bills...huge trap. The books are practically begging for Colts money and everyone is lining up to bet them. Currently 3 out of every 4 tickets written are on Indianapolis yet this line is staying put at -2.5 at some spots. Heavy sharp money is coming in on the dog here and we agree. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league and they now have playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. This is a big game for Rex Ryan in front of this frenzied home crowd and I fully expect him to have his guys ready as they take down the Colts to open the season.

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Michigan State Spartans -3.5

This game should sound pretty basic as we do have the revenge angle here and this meeting between both of these two squads last year was close until the fourth...Michigan State was in this game until then..they even had the lead. This isn't the same Oregon team everyone is used to. This squad just gave up 40+ to an FCS school in EWU, which the Ducks QB just recently played for. That should tell you a lot, and that this Duck defense is in some serious trouble.

Teams that give Oregon problems are the physical, tough, dominant in the trenches squads and that's exactly what the Spartans are. I refuse to over think this one as Michigan State should have a great home crowd on hand and this isn't the same Oregon squad that we are used to seeing. The Mighty Spartans should dominate this game and I fully expect an easy victory from the boys from Michigan and this will cause a huge shake up in the AP poll standings next week.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arkansas State +11

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Georgia -19.5

50* NCAA MAX BET

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10

This one is really simple for me. Notre Dame is returning practically their entire squad and the Irish's defense is primed to be one of the best in the country. Texas is going to have 5 freshman starting this ball game. The experience for these clubs is really going to show in this game, especially if Notre Dame gets out to an early lead, this crowd will go crazy and that's when the youth is really going to show for the Longhorns and they will fall apart. I expect Texas not to do much of anything on either side of the ball and this game should be a laugher. 

40*

Arizona State vs. Texas A&M OVER 69.5

In a nutshell, we have two prolific offenses that are returning a bunch of starters and play fast paced. I fully expect both teams to be able to get 35 points a piece here. Both teams have playmakers that can score on any play and they will definitely take a few shots downfield. Arizona State has gone over in 6 of the last 7 neutral site games. Remember that Texas A&M defense last year? All the more reason to take this over.

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Boise State -11.5

40* NCAA on ESPN TOP PLAY

North Carolina (UNC) +2

50* SUPER BOWL MAX BET

Seattle Seahawks 

Let me start with this. DEFENSE wins Championships. It's the oldest rule in the book. The Patriots are getting a ton of love right now from the betting public and I'm not buying it. This looks eerily similar to last year's Super Bowl. Every one lined up to bet Denver and they got their butts kicked. Another serious problem for New England is the whole Deflategate story. This distraction is going to hurt the Patriots. I also don't believe the refs are going to take to kindly to the Pats either. The Seattle Seahawks are at their best as an underdog. They DOMINATE in this role. We actually cashed our NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on this squad as they crushed Philadelphia a few weeks ago and they are damn near impossible to beat as an underdog. The most important thing for the Seahawks is to put a ton of pressure on Brady. He is not even a shell of the QB he is when you apply a ton of pressure on him. Remember the two Super Bowls he lost to the Giants? Yeah, they attacked him all night long. I have a feeling its going to be a loooooong day for Tom as Seattle repeats as Super Bowl champs.

PROPS: Some of these props may require to lay a bit of juice, but typically those are the ones that hit and provide a ton of value. The longshot props in the Super Bowl are just moneymakers for the books. Below are the props that we will be playing.

40* TOP PLAY PROP: Highest scoring half: 2nd Half + OT

UNDER 24 1st Half

Higher scoring quarter, 1st or 4th: 4th QUARTER

UNDER 9.5 1st Quarter

Will there be a scoreless quarter in the game: NO

How long will it take Idina Menzel to sing the National Anthem: UNDER 2 minutes 1 second

Will there be an onside kick attempt: YES

Tom Brady throw an INT: YES

Russell Wilson first pass attempt: COMPLETION

Russell Wilson pass attempts 27.5: UNDER

Luke Wilson 2.5 receptions: OVER

Marshawn Lynch score a TD: YES

Rob Gronkowski score a TD: YES

Longest FG in the game by both teams 44.5 yards: OVER

50* ONE & ONLY NFL GAME OF THE YEAR

New England Patriots -6

The Patriots impressed the hell out of me coming back from 14 down to the Baltimore Ravens. This team is the real deal. Belichick is, without a doubt, the best coach in the league. He will know how to slow down Andrew Luck. The Colt's QB has been playing well but is prone to making mistakes. He still is a young QB. Every time he has faced the Patriots, he has been totally BLOWN OUT. Remember last year's playoff matchup? Yeah, huge laugher. I expect the same result here with a ton of points. Tom Brady and the Patriots played all year to ensure their home field advantage for this game. This team is a force to be reckoned with in Gillette Stadium. The cool pick is Indianapolis for this game and there is actually more bets placed on the Colts. Whenever the public likes a dog, especially in a game of this magnitude, you ride the favorite. I like the Patriots to run through this team on both sides of the ball. The Colts now have the added distraction of the rape charges and this just adds even more to our case to take the Pats. We have the better coach, better team, better situation, home field, public perception, distractions, and line value going for us in this game. 

40*

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots OVER 53.5

50* COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Ohio State +7

analysis soon

*PLEASE READ*

70* #1 BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

6 POINT TEASER: NEW ENGLAND -1 + DENVER -1 

If you simply refuse to play a teaser or can't, play 40* on Denver -7

The NFL wants this story book matchup of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning in the AFC Championship. Both New England and Denver are lights out at home. I trust New England to at least get the victory and I do expect Denver to cover the spread. The Broncos should tear up this Colts defense. Indianapolis has NO pass rush. Peyton Manning will eat you alive if you don't pressure him. The Colts have NO running game. Denver's defense can rush the passer and sit back and just worry about the pass. Manning knows he doesn't have that many years left and the Broncos know it too. Once Manning is gone, this team is done. This could be their last chance at a Super Bowl with Manning and I don't see any scenario where Denver doesn't win this game.

Side notes: New England is 16-1 straight up it's last 17 home games. The Broncos are 25-3 at home since Manning joined the Broncos including going 8-0 this season at home. Denver is also 16-3 ATS playing with 2+ weeks of rest.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Seattle Seahawks -10.5

This is an extraordinary mismatch. Seattle is playing the best ball in the league and Carolina's success is smoke and mirrors. The Seahawks have given up 37 points in 6 games. SIX GAMES. That is incredible. If you just look at the way Carolina played against Arizona, this game shouldn't even be close. Arizona had 70 yards of offense and the worst punter in the world and barely covered that spread. If Arizona had any sort of QB, they win that ball game. Cam missed a ton of throws and the team made way too many mistakes, and that was a HOME game. Imagine how they are going to be against the best home field advantage in the game. Seattle should absolutely destroy this team. I don't expect Carolina to score above 13-14 points in this game. As long as Seattle's offense just has a decent day, they win this one going away.

50* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit Lions +7.5

Make sure to get at least +7, I recommend buying the hook if your shop has + 6.5

I simply don't trust Dallas laying this type of number at home, ESPECIALLY in the post season. Yes, Dallas has been playing out of their minds but the playoffs are a totally different beast. Tony Romo has a funk about him that stinks in the big time. He has had a ton of success this year because of the NFL's leading rusher, Demarco Murray. The problem for Dallas is that they are facing the best defense against the run and add in the fact the Donkey Kong Suh is going to be playing this game is HUGE for Detroit. Dallas is just 1-14 as a favorite after being favored the previous week. What this means is that this team is greatly overvalued. The Cowboys are already a very public team so the number is inflated whenever they are a favorite to begin with. I know the struggles Matthew Stafford has had on the road but he is playing in a dome which is huge. I expect this game to be very close through out and getting a touchdown is a no brainer.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Indianapolis Colts -3

analysis soon

50* MAX BET

Washington Huskies -5

Oklahoma State lost 5 straight before upsetting the Sooners the last game of the season. As it turns out Oklahoma was severely over-rated. The Cowboys are a bad team. They are 100th in the nation in points allowed and they are about to face one of the best coaches in college football and a terrific offense. Washington is better than their record. Lord knows how they lost the Arizona game when all they had to do was knee the clock and they walk off the field victorious. I feel that the Huskies will be well prepared for this game, especially since their coach is no joke. Oklahoma State has been getting destroyed in their games and I don't see how the Huskies don't destroy them tonight.

50* SUGAR BOWL SHOWDOWN

Alabama -9.5

In a nut shell, Nick Saban is damn near impossible to beat with a month to prepare. Alabama is, without a doubt, the best team in the nation. I believe that Ohio State is overvalued now from drubbing a mediocre Wisconsin team. Let's face it, the Badgers only have one player (Gordon) and their QB SUCKS! Ohio State loves to fall flat on their face in big games and they do it EVERY year in EVERY sport. Alabama routs this team and goes on to the National Title game.

BONUS 7 POINT NCAA TEASER: Alabama -2.5 & Oregon -2

50* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR

Missouri -5

First, let me start with this. This is SEC vs. Big 10. The SEC is king and the Big 10 was a joke this season. Secondly, Minnesota's coach Jerry Kill, has never won a bowl game. Gary Pinkel, Missouri's coach, will have these kids well prepared after the butt kicking they took against Alabama. We did see that one coming though, because without a doubt Alabama is the best team in the land and they'll win the National title..hint hint. Missouri has played the much tougher schedule and I imagine them giving one hell of an effort here. All their players will be back and healthy for this game and they should destroy this Minnesota team who is just happy to be here. Missouri has an amazing defense and if they get their running game going, this may well be a blowout. Best of Luck and Happy Holidays!

50* UNDERDOG MAX BET

Michigan State +3

analysis coming

50* COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR 

Notre Dame vs. LSU UNDER 52.5

Let's start with LSU. This defense is for real. They rush the passer and they are the 3rd best team against the pass in the nation. They definitely have one of the best defenses in all of football and add in the fact that they are an SEC and this team is ferocious. Now LSU on offense does two things, run and run some more. They control clock and run it down your throats. A running clock means a faster game and fewer plays and that's just what we want for the under. Notre Dame throws the ball a lot but I think they'll change up their game plan here because of how well LSU defends the pass. Also Golson is very prone to the turnover so I expect them to run more and have Golson himself run more to limit those mistakes. I believe both teams with take this game very seriously, due to their sub par seasons. This will make the teams play tight, close to the vest, and not take as many chances. All these things add up to a lower scoring game for me and we'll take UNDER 52.5 as our TOTAL OF THE YEAR! Best of luck and Happy Holidays. 

50* MAX BET

Arkansas Razorbacks -6

This is SEC vs BIG 12. Advantage Arkansas. The Razorbacks have really stepped up their game towards the end of the season with their running game and their defense. Arkansas should dominate in the trenches on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Texas offense is just terrible and I expect the Razorbacks to win this one by double digits.

40*

Carolina Panthers +3

50*

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4

analysis soon

50* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR

Denver Broncos -3

Bottom line. The Broncos have been favored in 26 straight games. They have covered 24 of them, ALL by a TD or more. Peyton Manning simply doesn't lose. Peyton is the prime-time king and Andy Dalton always is HORRIBLE on the National TV spotlight. The new Broncos offense that has turned into a run first offense, is going to have defenses completely on their toes in every game. They have been running the ball down people's throats. That's the last thing you want when facing Manning. He'll carve you up all night if you commit. The Bengals may be the "cool" underdog pick but don't fall for it. The Bronco's should win this game comfortably.

50*

Minnesota Vikings +7

analysis soon

40*

Dallas Cowboys +3.5

HUGE revenge spot here for the Cowboys who were embarrassed on Thanksgiving in their building. The Cowboys have been great on the road this year going 6-0 and they also have had extra time to prepare having played last Thursday. Look for an inspired effort here from the Boys and don't be surprised if they get the outright victory here.

50* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH

New York Jets -1.5

Before you freak out about laying points with the Jets, there is actually a team drastically worse than them. You guessed it, it's the Tennessee Titans. This team has quit on the season and they are a train wreck at home. This could be the worse any team as ever played in their own building in the history of the game. Tennessee is just 1-11 ATS their last 12 games at home. The Titans have one thing in mind and that's trying to get a Top 3 pick in the NFL draft and they have a good chance at that. The Titans have problems everywhere and they really struggle in the trenches. The Jets should have a field day running the ball and getting to the QB on defense. One last thing...this team lost to the REDSKINS! If you lose to them, you're a joke. Although New York only has 2 wins on the season, they have given a solid effort in most of their games and it doesn't look like they have quit just yet. The Jets should get their first win on the road this season.   

50* NFL MAX BET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41.5

Personally did buy the half point to 42 with 42 being a very key number in the NFL.

This game should be field goal after field goal. A lot of running, especially with Cam Newton out and Derek Anderson getting the start. Tampa Bay does have a solid defens but their offense is pretty mediocre. More on this game later

50*

Army vs. Navy UNDER 57.5

analysis soon

40* TOP PLAY TOTAL

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers OVER 55

this play basically comes down to the horrible defense of Atlanta and the amazing ability of Green Bay at home. this offense simply can't be stopped.I could see the Packers completely blowing this team out and getting close to 40 themselves.the Packers did struggle in the red zone against the Patriots but I see them putting it through with Atlanta. this team doesn't punt and doesn't turn the ball over. if they finish off their drives they get to 55 themselves. prime time games have been going over at an incredible rate and I don't see that trend bucking here tonight

50* NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Seattle Seahawks +102

Yes I do realize this is a sandwich game for the Seahawks, having just played San Fran and playing them next week...But the exact same thing goes for the Eagles. They just played Dallas and they have them next week as well. I think that this game means more to Seattle because of the demise of the Cardinals. Seattle has a great opportunity to win the division now. For Philadelphia, if they lose this game, it doesn't hurt them as much because if they beat Dallas next week, they basically have the division wrapped up. What is incredible about this Seahawks team is that they are 10-1 as a dog. Their defense is back healthy and they are really coming into form now. What makes me love this play is that Pete Carroll used to coach Mark Sanchez. Without a doubt, he'll know his tendencies and this Seahawks defense should eat him alive. Remember what they did to the all mighty Peyton Manning? Just imagine if they bring their A game for Mark Sanchez. Look for Seattle's run game to ram it down the throats of the Eagle's defense and for Seattle to pull the upset on the road.  

Side note: Seattle is also 10-1 ATS after playing SF & 16-3 as an Underdog.

50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Fresno State vs. Boise State OVER 69

40*

Florida State ML -182

Consider parlaying with Alabama moneyline for much better odds (around -125)

50*

Denver Broncos PICK

50*

Texas-San Antonio (UTSA) -4.5