20*

Arizona State +5.5

50* NCAA MAX BET

Florida -3.5

This game is situational handicapping 101. LSU comes off a gigantic home win against the Kentucky Wildcats and Florida comes off a dismal road performance against Tennessee, yet the Gators are two possession favorites in this one. Public perception will have everyone on Bayou Bengals. LSU is a very young squad and they should be in for a serious letdown. They have proven that they are not a good road team as they are just 1-4 ATS their lat 5 road games.

Florida has been excellent covering the number after a poor performance. The Gators have covered 4 straight ATS following a spread loss and are 5-1 ATS following a straight up loss. Florida and LSU do come into this matchup with the same record (9-5) but the Gators are 6-1 at home and their losses have been to some great teams. LSU has just 1 road victory this year and it was in their last game. LSU should struggle today on the offensive end as Florida is ranked in the Top 5 in defensive efficiency. 

30*

Arizona vs. UCLA OVER 148

50* BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR

Purdue -7.5

Most don't know that the Boilermakers are the top defensive team in the country. They also shoot the ball well and are solid at the charity stripe. This team was on a roll but just suffered a hiccup their last game by blowing a 19 point lead to lose to Iowa. Purdue should really come out fired up in this one. They are 6-1 ATS following a loss. Purdue has dismantled some very good teams this year and teams that play very similar to Michigan. They took out Florida, Pitt, and Vandy all by double digits. On the other hand, Michigan has really struggled against the better teams and they have been getting crushed by them. The Wolverines also have Maryland on deck so possible lookahead here. The big key here is rebounding. Purdue should have a field day on the glass as the Wolverines are one of the worst rebounding teams in the nation. Michigan is just 3-7 ATS their last 10 meetings in Purdue and they have failed to cover the number in 6 straight meetings. Look for the Boilermakers to roll here tonight.

30*

Georgetown +3.5

20*

Louisiana State (LSU) +4

20*

The Citadel vs. Samford OVER 171

20*

Purdue -9

20*

Portland -1.5

40* NCAA-B GAME OF THE MONTH

New Mexico -7

20*

Iowa -135

20*

Connecticut vs. Texas OVER 141.5

20*

Cincinnati -11.5

20*

Oklahoma -13

30*

Arizona State vs. UNLV OVER 137

30*

UC-Davis -2.5

20*

UCLA -11.5

30*

New Mexico -4

20*

Boise State -2.5

20*

West Virginia +4.5

20*

Long Beach State +11

20*

Illinois +2.5

20*

The Citadel vs. Air Force OVER 168

20*

Vanderbilt -20.5

20*

North Carolina (UNC) -6

20*

Arkansas State +8

20*

UAB -6.5

30*

Clemson +113

40* 

Alabama vs. Notre Dame OVER 138

20*

Belmont vs. BYU OVER 171

20*

San Diego State vs. West Virginia UNDER 139

20*

George Washington -5.5

20*

California vs. San Diego State OVER 134.5

20*

Clemson -12.5

20*

Oregon State -1

20*

Penn State -8.5

20*

Creighton -12

20*

Iowa State -16

20*

Georgia -7.5

20*

Bradley +24

40*

Oregon State vs. Rice OVER 139.5

20*

Brown -3.5

20*

Duke +105

20*

USC (Southern California) -10

20*

Arizona State -4.5

20*

Indiana -29.5

20*

Colorado +10

50* NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP TOP PLAY WINNER

Wisconsin vs. Duke UNDER 140

One has to think that both the Badgers and Dukies are not going to let you beat them from the perimeter in this game. I expect both teams to do a lot of entry passes and post moves since Duke has Okafor and Wisconsin has Kaminsky. I also expect the refs to swallow their whistles a bit because no one wants to be the one that calls the controversial call to ruin their career. This happens a lot in all sports in championship games, typically. Both teams also don't commit a lot of fouls or turnovers. Very discipline teams don't allow points with the clock stopped or easy transition buckets. Big games tend to go under with the teams playing tight and really heightening their defensive effort. 

50* NCAA FINAL FOUR MAX BET

Kentucky -5

I personally am going to play part of this bet on the money-line with a money-line parlay.

ML=money-line

Kentucky ML (-230) + Duke (-230) = +105 odds.

40*

Stanford -1.5

70* THE #1 & BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

Temple -1

For all intents and purposes, this is practically a home game for the Owls. Madison Square Garden is only 90 miles away from Temple and it's less than a 2 hour drive. I expect Temple to have a huge following for this game tonight. Needless to say, Miami is light years away and coach Jim Larranaga has NEVER coached here before. 

The Temple Owls are simply on fire right now and are destroying everything in their paths. They have won 14 of their last 17 games and two of those losses came to SMU. Temple's last two wins came by 13 and 18 points. They are 11-2 ATS following a win, which includes going 9-2 following a spread win. 

As for Miami, they have had to use a ton of energy in their games and needed a miraculous come back to beat Richmond their last game. Let's be honest, terrible coaching cost the Spiders in that one. The Hurricanes 3 wins in this tournament have come by a combined 13 points. I think their luck is going to run out in this one, especially with one of, if not, their best player Rodrigues being listed as OUT. Miami also has 2 other key injuries and they are not close to 100%. But you know who is 100%? That's right, the Temple Owls.

Temple's defense should frustrate the hell out of Miami tonight and looking at the stats, the Owls have the edge in close to every aspect of the game. They do in all the defensive categories and they turn the ball over less and create more turnovers. The huge factor here is on the boards. Temple has a big advantage here and I believe this is what will be Miami's doom. If we get a solid effort from the Owls on defense here and they are hitting a solid percentage from the floor, Temple cruises to the finals and for what it's worth, I think they are the eventual Champions. 

20*

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 130

20*

Duke -2

Also have a small lean to the UNDER 145. Will post the pick if it becomes an official play.

30*

Gonzaga vs. Duke UNDER 145

Was going to make this a small play but a lot of cappers I respect are all over this one. Apparently, the sight levels, back drops, and the rims are TERRIBLE for the shooters and it's been a problem. You can see with the Duke/Utah game and the Gonzaga/UCLA game. Both teams struggled to score from the floor. They got almost all their points in the paint. Not going to make this a top play simply because it's hard to judge what the referees are going to do this late in the tourney. Just last night they called 100 fouls in the Wisconsin game and only 10 in the Kentucky game. Still, we'll play this UNDER for 3%.

50* NCAA CUSTOMER APPRECIATION MAX BET

Michigan State -2

50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Arizona vs. Wisconsin UNDER 133.5

Most people are going to look at this total and think it's too low, especially since Wisconsin has been scoring a ton lately, but if you look closer, this total is actually too high. Wisconsin has played teams in the first three rounds of the tournament that aren't known for their defense one bit and they try to beat you by outscoring you. They now take on Arizona, who has one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona only allows 59 points per game on the season and LESS than 40% opponents FG percentage on the season. That's extremely impressive. But what makes this play even better is that Wisconsin has a terrific defense as well. They allow actually less points than Arizona on the season. The Badgers allow just 57 points per game and 41% opponents FG percentage. 

When these two teams met last, they played in this exact game (Elite 8) and it was a very low scoring game. It was 54-54 in regulation and the final score was 64-63 with Wisconsin winning in OT. That's just 127 points and that's even with the extra session. 

As for the trends. Both teams are trending towards the UNDER in all of their current spots. The Wildcats are 5-1 to the under their last 6 overall and 6-1 to the under their last 7 neutral site games. The teams are also 4-1 to the under when playing a team with a winning percentage of .600 or better. There's an old saying; Big games go UNDER. Teams play very intense defense and the jitters usually force some bad/missed shots. This is the biggest game of both their seasons and this game should stay under the posted total tonight.

50* NCAA PARLAY OF THE YEAR

Michigan State -130

When looking at both Wichita State and Michigan State, you'll notice very similar things. BOTH are 7 seeds FAVORED over 3 seeds. BOTH teams have the advantage in coaching, and BOTH have the better defense then their opposition. I also love the potential story lines that would happen if both the Shockers and the Spartans win. For Wichita, they will get a chance to try and take down the team that spoiled their perfect season last year (Kentucky) and fittingly try and spoil the Wildcats quest for perfection. For Michigan State, it sets up the dream coaching match-up, if Louisville wins, of Izzo vs. Pitino. Coaching is SO important this time of year, especially now with the extra time to prepare and it's never a good bet to go against Izzo.

30*

Duke -5

30*

Louisville -2

20*

Gonzaga -8.5

20*

Arizona -10.5

For all intents and purposes, this is a home game for Arizona. The Wildcats are just too talented for the Musketeers to keep up with. Hollis-Jefferson and Johnson had horrible shooting days against Ohio State and they still manage to crush them. I don't see them struggling two games in a row and that is just terrible news for Xavier. It turns out that the Big-12 is very over-rated and the Pac-12 is very under-rated. Xavier is just 1-5 ATS against the Pac-12 and Arizona is 12-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. The only thing that scares me in this game, which is why this is just a 2% play, is that Xavier's coach knows Arizona extremely well as he was the understudy to Arizona's coach. They coached together and he was an assistant for Miller. Look for Arizona to pull away late and cruise to a comfortable win.

40* TOP TOURNEY TOTAL

West Virginia vs. Kentucky OVER 136.5

I expect this game to be played fast with the full court pressure WVU plays with and the Kentucky Wildcats love to get out and run and they excel at it. There should be a ton of fouls in this game, which puts points on the board with the clock stopped. West Virginia commits a ton of fouls. With the type of intense defense they play, it's almost impossible not to with all the hand checking fouls that are called. That is a huge key when playing the over. Also both teams shoot threes at a solid rate but WVU shoots a bunch of them. I expect WVU to shoot a lot of them since it's very hard scoring in the paint against Kentucky with the giant trees down low blocking shots. The Wildcats should have a decent sized lead towards the end of the game, which will force WVU to play the foul game at the end. Teams don't want to give up in the NCAA Tournament, especially this far in, knowing this is their last basketball game. The last 2 minutes of a 7-10 point game can take 30 minutes if the trailing team continues to make shots. If Kentucky solves the press, which I expect them to do, this should be a high scoring blowout.

30*

Wisconsin -5.5

I am personally going to do a moneyline parlay with Wisconsin ML + Duke ML. (ML=moneyline)

If Wisconsin loses (since they play Thursday and we'll already know the outcome) we'll play Duke -5. If Wisconsin wins, we'll let it ride.

Also taking a hard look at Gonzaga. Looking into them some more and they could be added later. Will publish them if they are official plays.

50* NCAA PARLAY OF THE YEAR

Wichita State -122

When looking at both Wichita State and Michigan State, you'll notice very similar things. BOTH are 7 seeds FAVORED over 3 seeds. BOTH teams have the advantage in coaching, and BOTH have the better defense then their opposition. I also love the potential story lines that would happen if both the Shockers and the Spartans win. For Wichita, they will get a chance to try and take down the team that spoiled their perfect season last year (Kentucky) and fittingly try and spoil the Wildcats quest for perfection. For Michigan State, it sets up the dream coaching match-up, if Louisville wins, of Izzo vs. Pitino. Coaching is SO important this time of year, especially now with the extra time to prepare and it's never a good bet to go against Izzo.

Wichita State is 7-2 ATS their last 9 NCAA Tournament games and Notre Dame is just 1-10 ATS their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. 1-10 ATS...that's just pathetic!

20*

Tennessee-Martin +5.5

40* NCAA BEST BET

Stanford -3

30*

Murray State +3

20*

Oral Roberts +5.5

30*

Illinois State +3.5

20*

Texas A&M Corpus Christi +3

20*

N.J.I.T +3.5

50* NIT UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Louisiana Tech +4.5

40* NCAA BEST BET BAILOUT

Norhern Iowa -140

Kicking myself for not releasing this one earlier when it was at -1. Betting this on the moneyline to take the points out of the equation.

30*

Gonzaga -6.5

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Wichita State +2

Ever since Selection Sunday I was hoping for this match-up, knowing I would have a play on it, and we got it. What makes this game even better is that Wichita State barely escaped Indiana and Kansas destroyed New Mexico State. I've decided that instead of going on and on about stats and trends about this game that favors the Shockers, I will tell you this. Wichita State has been begging and pleading to get a game against the boys from Kansas and the Jayhawks have been ducking them. Well, they can't avoid them anymore and Wichita State is going to be foaming at the mouth to lay a beat down to their in-state rival. The odds-makers are clearly telling us something here by making this game a virtual pick-em game between a 2 seed and a 7 seed. The public is going to be lining up to get a piece of a 2 seed just needing to win the game. As Lee Corso would like to say. "Not so fast, my friend." I expect the Shockers to "shock" a lot of people here as they pull the upset Sunday and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

40*

Arkansas vs. North Carolina OVER 157

40*

Arkansas +4.5

30*

Utah vs. Georgetown OVER 123.5

20*

Xavier -7

30*

Arizona -8.5

30*

Cincinnati vs. Kentucky OVER 118.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Wisconsin -19.5

Yours truly, is a graduate from the one and only Coastal Carolina University and West Virginia University. I follow these teams very closely and go to plenty of their games and know people close to the organizations. I will tell you this. The kiss of death when wagering on sports is betting with your heart and not your head. Don't get me wrong, I would LOVE to see CCU take out Wisconsin, but I don't see that happening one bit. The Chanticleers are just too small. Their best low post presence, Badou Diagne, is just 6' 7". Good luck having to guard Frank Kaminsky and Sam Dekker. I see this being a blowout of epic proportions, Even if CCU starts draining 3's and makes this game close at half, this Wisconsin team has the capability to just steam roll you in a hurry. CCU is just way too small to be able to compete with the big boys of Wisconsin. Coastal Carolina actually was up on UVA 31-21 last year in the 1st half. They ended up getting outscored 49-23 in the next 20 minutes. My point is that CCU is not going to be able to hang with, in my opinion, the 2nd best team in the land behind Kentucky for 40 minutes. Even if Wisconsin gives them a little hope in the beginning, the Badgers can still roll when CCU starts going cold from the field. I personally see this being a wire-to-wire domination as the Wisconsin Badgers easily cover this number.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Davidson +2.5

Iowa has NEVER won an NCAA tourney game under their coach and Davidson is the best team against the spread in the nation. Davidson's last loss was to VCU but VCU also had a severe blowout revenge in that game. Davidson has lost against the number just ONCE following a loss. Wrong team favored here and if Davidson is knocking down their three's (which they shoot a ton of) they will win this game going away. 

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Oregon +1

Let me start with this. Coaching in the NCAA tournament is extremely important and Oregon has one of, if not, the most under rated coaches in the game in Dana Altman. He's got his Oregon Ducks flying high right now and took them all the way to the Pac-12 Title game. Even though they got destroyed by Arizona, I believe this gives us value on them as this is the last thing the public remembers about the Ducks. 

As for Oklahoma State, they have completely limped into the tourney and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. This team is in a funk right now and I'm not this biggest fan of Travis Ford either. This team has just been awful ATS of late and have 1 or zero wins in multiple trend categories. 

The Ducks have been on fire against the number and have played very well on neutral sites. The Ducks are 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 neutral site games and are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 non-conference games. Oklahoma State doesn't match up well against Oregon and Joseph Young should carry the Ducks to a convincing win tonight.

30*

Maryland -4.5

20*

Cal-Irvine vs. Louisville UNDER 125

This one is pretty basic. Both team's strength is their defense and can struggle on offense. Both have huge big men that can make it difficult to score in the paint. Both teams ranked 2nd in their respective conference in points allowed. This total is simply way too high and frankly I'm pretty shocked this total is lined in the 120's.

30*

Cal-Irvine +8.5

30* NCAA PARLAY

Eastern Washington vs. Georgetown OVER 146

30* NCAA PARLAY

Eastern Washington +8

Georgetown is ALWAYS overrated and I don't understand why. They are a 4 seed and so is Maryland. The Terps are 10 times the team the Hoyas are this season. Georgetown has a history of chocking year in and year out and I wouldn't be shocked if they barely make it out of this one. Georgetown has NO business laying 8 here. Eastern Washington is a very dangerous underdog because they shoot three pointers at an incredible rate. EWU is one of the best teams in the country shooting the three ball and Georgetown is one of the worst at defending it. If Eastern Washington is dropping treys, this is going to be a long day for the Hoyas.

20*

Wofford +7.5

20*

NC State -2

Georgia State +9 just missed the card, for what its worth.

50* NCAA FIRST FOUR MAX BET

North Florida -145

Instead of just listing stat after stat about this game, I'll say this. North Florida has the advantage in almost every area of the game. Better offense, better 3 point defense, better free throw shooting, commit less fouls, more experienced, deeper bench, and have a stronger strength of schedule. North Florida is also 8-2 ATS their last 10 neutral site games. Going to take the points out of the equation and just pull for a North Florida straight up victory, which should have a VERY good chance of happening.

50* NIT MAX BET

Central Michigan vs. Louisiana Tech OVER 151.5

20*

Wisconsin -6.5

Play Wisconsin -6.5 for 1% and we're also going to play Wisconsin moneyline with Atlanta Hawks moneyline parlay for 1%

50* NCAA MAX BET

Kentucky -13

The Kentucky Wildcats have been playing their whole season for these big games and I believe they make one hell of a statement here guys by DESTROYING the Arkansas Razorbacks for all to see and to put the fear in everyone for the Big Dance. Let's face it, there is Kentucky, then everyone else. The mismatches this team creates is unlike anything anyone has seen before. The Wildcats absolutely dismantled Auburn in the semifinals and they didn't have to use much energy to do so. What I love about Kentucky with these big numbers is that they don't have any scrubs. Most teams when having a big lead, coast and bring in their terrible players. Kentucky's 10th man would start anywhere else in the country. Kentucky has been on an ATS tear of late. They are 8-1 ATS their last 9 games, 8-1 ATS following a straight up win, and 8-1 ATS against the SEC. Kentucky is also 11-2-3 ATS their last 16 neutral site games. 

As for Arkansas, this team may keep it close for the first half, but they will begin to break down in the final 20 minutes as Kentucky will prove to be way too much for them. The Razorbacks are just 2-7 ATS facing a team with a winning % above .600 and they are only 1-5 ATS their last 6 games following a straight up win. Look for Kentucky to dominate Arkansas in every aspect of the game as they cruise to a big win.

20*

Eastern Washington +101

20*

North Carolina (UNC) vs. Notre Dame OVER 149.5

40* NCAA TOP PLAY SHOCKER 

Wyoming +6

This IS the season for Wyoming. A loss here, and their not dancing. As for San Diego State, they know they're in the tournament, regardless of the outcome, so this game means much more to the Cowboys. SD State also has a quick turnaround as they played late last night, beating Colorado State. That final score is misleading though because they didn't have their best player, Avila, who averages over 17 points a game. I feel that's why we're getting a ton of value here. This should be a very low scoring game, so getting this many points is a much bigger deal than if this was a game lined in the 150's for instance. I personally played this at +7 because that is a very key number (3 possession game) and it takes 8 to beat us here. I see this game coming down to the final possessions and it would not surprise me at all if Wyoming stole this one tonight.

30*

Harvard -123

You got to think that Harvard is licking their chops for another shot at Yale today. Yale completely blew their shot to win the Ivy league and get their bid to the NCAA Tournament, but a late collapse to Dartmouth cost them their bid. That loss set up this, winner take all, game and I feel this greatly favors Harvard. Yale's confidence as got to be thin and if Harvard jumps out early, Yale could start thinking "Oh no, did we blow it?" Harvard is 3-0 with home loss revenge and I expect them to stamp their ticket to the big dance with a W here today.

50* NCAA TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Middle Tennessee State vs. UAB OVER 121.5