20*

Siena -6.5

30*

Iowa State +3

Trap line of the day. Basically anything less than -3 essentially is a pick em game. So the mighty Kansas Jayhawks, who are 16-1 and ranked #2 in the country, are pickem to an 11-5 team? Like I've said 1000 times, Vegas isn't stupid, they don't give away money. It looks WAY too easy to lay the chalk and the public is going to LOVE the Jayhawks here.

If you look closer, Kansas is consistently getting over valued. They are 1-5 ATS their last 6 games overall and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings against Iowa State. Wouldn't be shocked to see Kansas go down tonight along with the betting public.

20*

Louisiana-Monroe +3.5

50* CBB Horizon League GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit -4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Weber State -9

20*

Tennessee Tech ML +110

30*

Oklahoma ML -110

50*

Morehead State -1

40*

Wofford ML -120

20*

Utah +3.5

30*

Kansas State -1

50*

James Madison ML -125

50*

Wish-Milwaukee +1

30*

Davidson +3

40*

Western Michigan ML -120

30*

Manhattan +1.5

50*

UC Riverside +2

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Cal Poly -4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Utah -5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Montana State -2

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

40*

Idaho State +4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

40*

Oral Roberts -5.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Cleveland State -3.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Miami -3.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

James Madison +4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Buffalo ML +103

30*

Missouri ML +108

Great public fade with everyone all over the visitors here. Auburn has covered the spread just TWICE the last 22 times they have been a road favorite and just ONCE, in this price range, in their last 18 tries.

20*

Western Michigan +3.5

50* CBB Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

West Virginia -6

Let me get this straight...the UNDEFEATED, #1 ranked team in the Nation are 6 point underdogs? There's a reason for this folks. Like I say all the time, especially when handicapping basketball, Vegas isn't stupid. They don't give away money. The public is going to LOVE the Baylor Bears here. This is just like Villanova/Butler, when we were on Butler last week. The spread +1 and the world was on Nova. Well, Butler ended their win streak. I expect a similar result here. Some teams just match up better against you and WVU matches up with Baylor. I will say, Dub V's weakness is the charity stripe. As long as they shoot a decent % (helps that they are at home, obviously) they win going away.

40*

California ML +110

Big time public fade here. Sources and books have informed big money is coming in on the dog. The Trojans are the most public favorite of the day in the sports world, yet the line has dropped. USC is #25 with 1 loss this season and is -1.5 to a 10-5 team? This has trap written all over it. USC has never been a good favorite as they have lost (ATS) 5 of their last 6, when listed as the favorite and have failed to cover the spread in 6 straight following a straight up win.

30*

Drake +3

40*

Appalachian State ML -120

40*

Morehead State -3

30*

East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel OVER 185.5

20*

Texas -1

40*

Western Illinois -1

20*

Vanderbilt -6

20*

Syracuse +1.5

30*

Northern Iowa +2.5

20*

Duke -19.5

40*

Butler +1.5

30*

Texas Tech +3

40*

Clemson +3.5

20*

Tennessee ML -135

20*

Morehead State +3

30*

Santa Clara ML -113

20*

California ML -140

50* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Virginia vs. Louisville UNDER 121.5

This may be an obvious or "square" play but you can not ignore these incredible numbers. Both these teams play at a snail's pace and focus on strap down defense. In my opinion, the two best defenses in the entire country are going at it tonight. UVA plays the SLOWEST pace of any team in the nation and are the 2nd best in defensive shooting percentage. Louisville is right behind them in 5th and have the third most blocks in the country. The Cardinals have yet to score 60+ against the Cavaliers and in three of their losses, they didn't even eclipse the 50 point mark. I expect their offensive struggles to continue against Virginia as UVA is only allowing 47.2 points per game this season.

This is a trend lovers dream to back the under. In a nutshell, UVA goes under on the road (18-7) and as an underdog (42-19) and UL goes under at home (36-13-3) and as a favorite (27-11-2). There is not one statistic, trend, or situation that says over here tonight. I believe the 1st half UNDER 56 is worth a look as well.

20*

San Diego State -3.5

20*

CS-Fullerton +2.5

30*

Long Beach State -3

30*

Southern Illinois -6

20*

Murray State -4.5

20*

Manhattan -2

20*

Siena +2

40*

East Tennessee State -4

20*

Cornell +3

30*

Illinois -7

20*

Toledo +108

30*

Wisconsin-Milwaukee vs. Ohio OVER 141

40*

Arizona State vs. San Diego State OVER 140.5

50* CBB VEGAS INSIDER

Long Beach State -8

This is the definition of a "fishy" line or a line that's "too good to be true." Vegas doesn't give away money. 9 times out of 10, when a line is like this, Vegas is right. They are begging for Pepperdine money here. A 1-9 LBSU team is laying 3 possessions? Well if you look closer, this team has played one hell of a schedule. They have played 9 straight on the road which included games vs. Kansas, Wichita State, Louisville, UNC, UCLA, and Washington. Obviously they didn't win any of these games but now they are battle tested and they'll be a much better team for it. As they say, "you only get smarter by facing a smarter opponent." Some home cooking is exactly what LBSU needs and they have done extremely well at home. This is just their 2nd home game this season (they won their first by 36) and they get to face a Pepperdine team playing their first true road game of the year. Long Beach has covered 4 straight as a home favorite and Pepperdine has lost 4 straight on the road against the number. I expect the 49ers to win by double digits tonight.

20*

California -1

30*

Georgia State vs. Mississippi OVER 133.5

20*

Marshall ML -118

Big time revenge spot here for Marshall as Ohio crushed them their meeting. Ohio is the type of team that just chucks of multiple jump shots. When they are on, look out, but if they go remotely cold, they can get blown out. I'm expecting the latter tonight since it's tough getting into a shooting rhythm away from your home rims. Taylor is back for Marshall and just asking them to win at home seems like a no brainer.

30*

Maryland -4

First true road game for Pittsburgh and Maryland has been dynamite at home. The Pitt Panthers have not fared well against the number on the road or against the Big 10. They are 1-5 and 0-8 respectively. They have also gone 11-40 ATS following a straight up win. Going to ride the hot streak with the Terrapins here, looking for their 8th win in a row.

20*

Pittsburgh vs. Maryland UNDER 143.5

Both teams are trending towards the under here. Only way this game goes over is if we have referees that call fouls every time down the floor. Pittsburgh is a dead nuts under team, going 10-1 following a win, 10-2 on the road, 9-2 as a dog, and 15-6 their last 21 games overall.

The Terps are 22-8 to the under in their last 30 games and are 20-6 following a straight up win. They have also gone under the posted total in 19 of their last 26 games as a favorite. We have Pitt, who goes under when they are the dog and on the road, and Maryland who goes under when they are the favorite and at home. Only way to look in this game.

40*

Florida State -9.5

The public is all over Minnesota here looking for some easy money. A 6-0 team getting 9.5 points?! When it looks to good to be true, it usually is. If you look closer you will see that Minnesota has been awful against the number as an underdog and on the road. They have lost 4 straight ATS as dogs, are 7-21 ATS on the road, and 8-24 ATS as a road dog. Look for Minnesota's road struggles to continue here tonight.

20*

Wisconsin -5.5

30*

Towson -3

20*

Alabama ML -125

20*

Texas -2.5

30*

Wisconsin -13

40* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Arkansas-Little Rock -10

Idaho should get run out of the gym here. I know it's only their 3rd game of the season but they are shooting 31.6% from the floor, 41% from the line, and 15% from distance. In order to win, especially on the road, you have to make your free throws and make timely three point buckets. Obviously this team can't do that. They have also lost 5 straight road games against the spread.

Little Rock will be BUMPIN tonight. It's veteran's night and they have an 18 game home winning streak, so this team has an excellent HFA. They are also averaging nearly 100 points per game and have the 4th high FG% in the nation. We have a team that is on fire offensively facing a team that can't hit the broad side of a barn. This should get ugly quick.

20*

Xavier -3

30*

Southern Methodist (SMU) -4

40*

Providence +6.5

30*

Missouri +14.5

30*

Davidson +4

30*

Wisconsin-Milwaukee vs. Memphis OVER 156

30*

Texas-Arlington +2

20*

Coastal Carolina +12.5

20*

Pacific +17

50* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Villanova vs. Oklahoma UNDER 145.5

Typically, Final Four games are lower scoring. It's a mix of several things. Jitters, a week of preparation, high defensive intensity, and venue change. The Final Four is played at a Football stadium. It's much bigger than a typical basketball venue. This really messes with shooter's sight lines. It's even more so the case here in Houston. The Final Four was here in 2011 and man was it ugly. Offenses were having a very tough time adjusting. Both games were extremely low scoring and do you remember the National Championship game between Butler and UConn? Well if you don't, it looked like both teams were shooting beach balls. I expect this to be the case in both games Saturday night. Also like the first half to go under as well.

The public is loving the over right now with 3 of every 4 tickets currently on it.  The line however, has dropped nearly 4 points from the opener. I was hoping the number would go back up a little bit but it looks like its going to continue to drop, so we need to strike now. What most don't expect is that Oklahoma is actually an UNDER team. They have gone under the posted total 12 of their last 14 games, 11 out of 13 facing a team with a winning percentage of .600, and 8 of their last 9 following a straight up win. 

Villanova is an excellent defensive team. They have allowed less than 70 points in 7 straight games. They were also the 15th ranked defense in points allowed on the season. I expect the gameplan for the Wildcats to be "Shut Buddy down and don't let him be the one to beat you." If the rest of the Sooners can't pick up the slack, this game is going to stay way under the posted total.

30*

George Washington +2.5

20*

George Washington +3

20*

Columbia ML -117

40* VEGAS INSIDER

Valparaiso ML -140

20*

Tennessee Tech vs. Old Dominion UNDER 138.5

Taking a look at all the FIRST HALF unders for each of the Vegas 16 tournament games as well. These teams have been off for a very long time and they could be rusty.

20*

Cal-Irvine ML -175

I know this is a lot of juice but considering parlaying with UNC money-line.

30*

Villanova +2.5

50* ELITE 8 MAX BET

Oregon ML -113

I think the two key differences in this game are going to be the size advantage and the somewhat "home field advantage" for the Ducks. Oregon is big inside and have they have two elite shot blockers that feature Jordan Bell and the Nation's 2nd leading shot blocker, Chris Boucher. Oklahoma is going to have an exceptional night from 3 in order to beat this squad, albeit they are capable, but I believe the Ducks will be able to shut them down.

I don't think the Sooners have been that impressive during the tournament. They had a very easy road which honestly should have been against a 15 seed, 10 seed, and 12 seed, but UNI suffered the worst collapse ever and allowed #3 seed Texas A&M to advance. OU got to play the Aggies in a huge letdown spot and quite frankly, A&M (in my opinion) is not as good as everyone thinks. When looking on how the Sooners have done against the number, it's clear on what is the right side. Oklahoma is 5-17 ATS facing a team with a winning record, which includes going 1-6 facing a team with a winning percentage above .600, 1-5 ATS following a straight up win, and just 2-7 ATS their last 9 NCAA Tournament games. Keep in mind that they did cover their last game, so those numbers could be a whole lot worse.  

Oregon is the exact opposite, according to the trends, than Oklahoma. The Ducks have reeled off 11 straight victories and are 12-4 ATS facing a team with a winning record. They have also covered 8 of their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Most will say "these aren't the same teams that have been playing in the last 10 tournament games (9 for OU.) This matters because it shows that the numbers get inflated for the bigger/most popular named schools. A simple rule is that you ride the hot streaks and the Oregon Ducks are as hot as they come.

Best of luck to us and remember to always use proper money management.

-Don Anthony: TheBetterBettors.com

50* MARCH MADNESS GAME OF THE YEAR

Virginia -5

I also think a great bet is parlaying Kansas money-line with Virginia money-line.

Well-respected College Basketball insider, Kem Pomeroy, currently has the Virginia Cavaliers as the best team in the Nation. If you asked me, they are a tied with the Jayhawks because KU has been on fire, but UVA is still an amazing team and their defense is suffocating. This is the type of team that can give the Cyclones fits and turn them over. Iowa State basically had a cake walk to the Sweet 16, getting Iona and Little Rock in the first 2 rounds. They have not been battle tested lately and clearly are not the same team away from home. Most will say "Well Don, they played in the Big 12, they're a good team and played tough competition!" Just look on how the Big 12 has done so far in the tourney. WVU, Baylor, Texas Tech, and Texas were all taken down in the First Round. Oklahoma had probably the easiest route of ANYONE in the tournament and they barely escaped VCU and even though they won by 14, Cal State had them within 4 late in the game and that win was not impressive. My point is that the Big-12 isn't as dominating as everyone thought and the ACC is the cream of the crop.

The Atlantic Coast Conference has only suffered 1 loss so far in the Tourney. Guess who's the best team in the best conference? Yeah, it's the Virginia Cavaliers. They have the toughest strength of schedule in the nation and are ranked in the Top 10 in almost every category. This Cavs are for real and they are flying under the radar, in my opinion. Everyone talks about UNC, Kansas, and Oklahoma as title contenders which is just fine by me. I believe this is giving us outstanding line value and has also given UVA a gigantic chip on their shoulder. They also know that this is their best chance at the Final Four because with a win here, they will either be playing a 10 or an 11 seed when most #1 seeds are expected to be playing a #2 in the Regional Finals. UVA has covered 7 of their last 8 games (which have all been against teams with winning records) and they have covered 5 of their last 6 neutral site games. The Cavaliers have the huge coaching edge here with 2 time ACC Coach of the year, Tony Bennett, and with nearly a week to prepare, UVA should win convincingly here to punch their ticket to the Elite 8.

Best of luck to us and remember to always use proper money management.

-Don Anthony: TheBetterBettors.com

30*

Oregon ML -155

30* CBB SHOOTOUT

Middle Tennessee State vs. Syracuse OVER 129.5

A solid correlated parlay would be with Middle Tennessee +6 because I believe that the way this game goes over is if MTSU is knocking down their three pointers, and if those are falling, its going to be tough for this team to lose, let alone by more than 6.

Everyone knows that the way to beat Syracuse is to shoot lights out from the perimeter because of their lock down zone. Syracuse makes it extremely difficult to get the ball inside but the weakness is giving up a lot of shots form the perimeter. MTSU excels from deep. These plays are reliant on that. Syracuse's offense has been doing well lately as they have scored 70+ in their last 5 games, so if they keep their typical offensive production up, we would need 60 points from MTSU for this play to cash. I think they get it done.

20*

Stephen F. Austin ML -111

50* CBB MAX BET SHOCKER

Gonzaga ML -110

I believe that Utah is over-rated. They remind me a bit of Vanderbilt, California, and USC. They greatly benefit from their home field advantage and don't play the same type of ball away from their house. As we saw, all three of those teams mentioned had quick exits. Teams have a tough time playing in Utah due to the high altitude. Another key for Utah is the dominance of Poeltl because he usually has a mismatch in the post. Well the Zags can match up down low against him with Zabonis. Gonzaga is experienced and are playing great basketball of late. Gonzaga has the highest scorer on BOTH teams, Kyle Wiltjer; Top 10 rebounder in the country, Zabonis; and the WCC Defensive player of the year, McClellan. The Bulldogs are well rounded and are hot against the number. They have covered 6 straight ATS and 4 straight ATS on a neutral site.

20*

Connecticut (UConn) +8.5 

50* CBB MAX BET BLOWOUT

Kentucky -3

Well in every one of my brackets, I have Kentucky winning this game and in all but 1, have the Wildcats making it to the Final Four. This is still Kentucky folks. Year after year they get all the best recruits. It may not be Calipari's best team, but it's still a damn good team. Remember when they were seeded incorrectly last time two years ago? Yeah, they made it all the way to the National Championship. The knock on Indiana is their home and road splits. We have made a killing this year playing on Indiana at home, but when they are on the road, they are not nearly as good. This team relies heavily on the 3 ball. The only way they win this game is if they are draining them all night long from the perimeter. If they have a cold night, the Wildcats will DESTROY them. Kentucky has now covered the number in 6 straight games and they are 16-5 ATS facing a team with a winning record. Indiana has also only covered the spread 3 times in their last 11 games following a spread win in their previous game.