30*

Arizona -6

30*

Alabama +1

30*

Troy State +1

30*

North Dakota +3

30*

Drake +2

30*

Marquette +3

20*

Eastern Michigan vs. Syracuse UNDER 135.5

50* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Buffalo vs. Syracuse UNDER 147

I love taking Syracuse unders at home against mid-majors, especially when that mid-major is a high scoring team. Sight lines and the zone cause serious trouble for offenses that aren't accustomed to it. You can see with the trends on how we are getting a ton of value on this game. Both Buffalo and Syracuse are trending to the over and have played a bunch of overs lately but what's key here is Syracuse's 5-1 UNDER record in their last 6 home games. We were on all 6 of those games and the only over there was happened when Maryland hit nearly every 3 they shot and it still barely went over by a few points. The only way this game goes over is if Buffalo drains every shot from the perimeter or the "under killer" overtime.

30*

UNC-Wilmington +3

20*

Long Beach State +2

20*

Eastern Illinois ML -125

20*

Massachusetts +3

20*

Southern Utah +3

30*

Wisconsin-Milwaukee +2.5

30*

Virginia Tech +6.5

20*

Albany +110

30*

St. Louis +2

20*

Cincinnati -12.5

40* 

Santa Clara -2.5

30*

UTEP +1.5

30*

Portland State vs. Loyola Marymount OVER 159

30*

Grand Canyon +6

20*

Arizona +1.5

30*

Vermont +4

30*

North Dakota State +3

This game is a system play from our College Basketball system. A note to subscribers. Our College Basketball season kicks off big time during Conference play (typically starts the end of December.) We gather the information during the first month of the season and pick our spots during the early going. Best of luck to everyone.

30*

Southern Methodist (SMU) -2.5

Unranked team facing off against a Top 15 team and they're favored. Also love the fact that USC upset SMU in the tournament last year in the 1st round on a game that went down to the final shot. You always remember who ended your season the prior year and its been a solid angle to work with in the past.

20*

San Diego +4

30*

Seton Hall -2

30*

Purdue -8

30*

Iona +3

30*

Wisconsin vs. Syracuse UNDER 122.5

30*

Maryland vs. Syracuse UNDER 134.5

40* CBB VEGAS INSIDER

Arkansas +4

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Toledo vs. Syracuse UNDER 144

I love taking Syracuse unders when mid majors come to the Carrier Dome. Sight lines are a big problem and that zone can make even the best offenses look mediocre. It reminds me a bit of the triple option in football. It's so hard to prepare for and if you aren't ready for it, you can look foolish.

50* CBB UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Texas-Arlington +11

Two of the most important factors to be successful on the road in College Basketball is being a great 3 point shooting team and having experience. Well, UTA boasts the 2nd best 3 point shooting team in the land and they start FIVE seniors. One of the biggest problems of Alabama is their FT shooting (#349) and leaving a ton of points at the line only hurts when laying points. UTA has done well covering the number against non-conference foes, going 20-7. This shows that they are constantly being under valued, mostly due from the fact they play in the Sun Belt.

30*

Vanderbilt +3

One of my favorite home field advantages in college basketball is Memorial Gym, Vanderbilt. The raised floor really messes with site lines of visiting teams. Also, the #10 team in the nation is nearly pick em to this unranked Vandy squad and I'll tell you why...Vandy is money making machines against the winning teams. They have covered the spread 17 of the last 22 and this is USC's first true road game of the season.

30*

Utah -4

20*

Denver +11.5

20*

Lipscomb +14.5

30*

Iona +10

40*

College of Charleston +17

This game reminds me a lot of our Vermont selection last night that cashed. The spread just looks way too short/easy. Ranked teams typically lay nearly 20/30 points to these mid majors. This is the #7 Wichita State Shockers at home and they're only laying 17?! If you look closer, the head coach of CoC was an assistant under Marshall for 6 years and has familiarity with the program. Charleston also returns all 5 of their starters. 

30*

Providence -2

40*

Vermont +13

50* FINAL FOUR MAX BET

South Carolina vs. Gonzaga UNDER 138

I'll let you guys in on a little secret. The first thing I always look at when the Final Four is set and books release their numbers is the under. Now obviously we aren't just going to play the under blind in both games but it certainly adds a ton a value if the numbers alone point to the under when breaking down the match-up. The reason is that the Final Four is usually played at an NFL stadium. This effects the sight lines and shooting in a big way. Add in the fact that you have young kids with shot nerves and the jitters (1st half under play) and this creates value.

As for the game, we have two of the best defenses in the country going at it here. We all know by now how fantastic that Gamecock D has been but no one is talking about the Gonzaga defense. In this year's tournament, they have allowed 59, 58, 73, 46. However in the Northwestern game where they allowed 73, they only gave up 20 in the 1st half and the influx of points in the 2nd half was due to the blowout. Gonzaga only allowed 60.9 points a game this season. 

Both teams are a combined 30-11 to the under in non-conference games. I like using this stat because it shows how teams perform facing unfamiliar foes (tempo, pace, shot selection, etc.)

South Carolina has shot better in the tournament but this team still ranks 291st in FG%, 241st in 3 point %, and 177th in points per game. There are just too many signs that point to the under.

50* CBB GAME OF THE MONTH

Wyoming -8

Well like when we took Gonzaga against WVU, I explained that I have two degrees from two different schools. One is West Virginia University and the other...Coastal Carolina University. I follow both of these teams extremely closely. There are 3 factors that really stand out for me with this play.

1. Coastal Carolina is dreadful on the road, going 3-10 with a scoring differential of -11.3. (PF: 69.2 PA: 80.5)

2. The high altitude of Wyoming and short turnaround. Coastal Carolina hasn't experienced playing in the altitude, typically staying in the southeastern part of the country. These kids should be gassed in the 2nd half.

3. The line. Wyoming just got blown out at CCU and now they are laying nearly double digits?! There's a reason for this folks. Coastal Carolina has lost 6 straight being an underdog in this price range (7+.) Also, Wyoming has been outstanding covering the number at home and following a straight up loss.

50* March Madness TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Kentucky vs. North Carolina OVER 159.5

The last time these two teams met, the final score was 103-100 (203 combined points.) Kentucky and North Carolina have two of the best offenses in the entire country. The Wildcats are 3rd in points scored and the Tar Heels are 2nd in points scored.

The HUGE factor for this game is pace. Both teams love to run and play transition basketball. However, I believe this game will be won or lost with Kentucky. If Kentucky wants to slow this game down, that obviously hurts but I'm betting that both teams will be playing fast with a ton of shots from the perimeter. UNC is also a fantastic offensive rebounding team, which gives us a ton of put back point opportunities.  

Overs in the NCAA tournament have the added benefit of the extended foul game at the end. With this game lined nearly at a pick, its expected to be close and if the game stays in the single digits, there could be an extra 10-15 points just in the final minute. 

30*

Gonzaga -7.5

Xavier is getting a ton of public love here tonight. I love fading a public underdog. Only thing making this from being a huge play is that Gonzaga just had a grueling game against that WVU press and they may be a bit tired. However, Goss had a terrible game and the Zags shot under 30% for the game, yet still won the game. This shows how good of a team this is and this is now the Zags chance to finally get over the hump against an 11 seed. Doesn't get much better than that to get the monkey off your back.

30*

UCLA ML -110

Not over thinking this one. Lonzo Ball is the best player on the floor and the inexperience of Kentucky will be their downfall here. When UCLA faces a team that will allow them to run an gun, they look like a well oiled machine. Kentucky is almost always over-valued in the NCAA Tournament and their 1-5 ATS record shows this and I believe they will be 1-6 ATS after tonight.

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

South Carolina vs. Baylor UNDER 135

Will be playing 1st half UNDER 63 as well

Playing this under because of the offensive anomaly of South Carolina last game. This team (who ranks 300th in FG%) scored nearly 70 points in the 2nd half against Duke. That's what teams typically score for the entire game.

What is the same for both these clubs is their defense. They both pride themselves on shutting you down. SC only allows 65.3 PPG, where Baylor only gives up 63.8 PPG.

Another key here is the fact that oddsmakers have to adjust these totals up a notch because of the ridiculous over trend for the 1st two rounds. This has to regress back to the mean and we saw it last night with 3 of the 4 games going under the posted total.

I do recommend betting some of your wager on the 1st half under because of the lack of deep Big Dance experience of these two squads and because you don't have to worry about the extended foul game at the end, if it should so happen.

50* Sweet 16 MAX BET

Kansas -5

You might as well call this a home game for the Jayhawks. The Sprint Center is only a "hop, skip, and a jump" from Allen Fieldhouse. To show how important that is, Iowa State had "home field advantage" in the Big 12 tournament and they RAN through the competition and they have been in recent years. Also, Allen Fieldhouse may be the toughest place to win a game in all of College Basketball. The Jayhawks road to the Final Four is practically through their back yard. This is a HUGE advantage.

This is a big time clash of styles with Purdue relying on the post game where Kansas plays transition perimeter ball. This is where HFA will be huge because typically the home team/crowd dictates the pace. If this gets into a run and gun, 3 point shooting contest and KU is knocking them down...Kansas rolls.

40* CBB TOP PLAY

Gonzaga -3

I have two degrees from two different schools. One of them is West Virginia University. I follow this Mountaineer club closely. One thing that I have learned with this team is that you bet on them either the 2nd round (Round of 32) or the Elite 8. This is because if they make it there, teams only have 1 day to prepare for the press and will have tired legs. A perfect example is this years tournament. They didn't cover in the 1st round but they cruised against a very good Notre Dame club in the 2nd round. Another thing to watch out for is when Dub V is an underdog in the tournament. They have failed to cover in 4 straight as a puppy in the Big Dance and they are 1-10 ATS their last 11 neutral site games as a dog.

There is a lot of talk about Gonzaga being over-rated and that they are a fraud. This reminds me a bit of Villanova last year. Nearly everyone was talking the same trash about them..."They never make it far in the tournament." "Their coach always blows it." "They can't make it to the Elite 8." Well, we know how that story ended. The Zags have been money making machines all year long and were one of the best bets you could make in the game. They currently are on a 35-15 spread run and are 15-5 ATS when facing the best teams (.600+) in the nation.

It's no secret, this game comes down to the turnovers. If Gonzaga can break the press and turn this into a half court offense type of game, WVU is in huge trouble because the Mountaineer offense is anemic in that spot. Another glaring issue is the officiating, which can really hurt the Mountaineers. If the refs are calling touch fouls and it allows Gonzaga to get into the bonus...goodnight.

30*

Michigan -1

30*

Rhode Island +5.5

30*

Rhode Island vs. Oregon OVER 139.5

40*

Kent State vs. UCLA OVER 162

40*

Virginia Tech +5.5

30*

St. Mary's -4.5

20*

Vermont vs. Purdue UNDER 135

40*

Middle Tennessee State -1

30*

North Carolina Wilmington (UNCW) +7.5

30*

Kentucky -8

20*

Rhode Island -1

20*

Princeton -7

20*

Oregon -2

20*

Notre Dame +4.5

We are taking WVU just waiting to see if it will drop back down to -3

40*

West Virginia -3.5 

Bought the hook to -3

Few notes: WVU is just a bad matchup for Iowa State. WVU won both meetings this season by double digits. Most people think that its really hard to beat a team 3 times in one season and love the double revenge angle. The other side of the coin says that this team just has your number. I'm going with the latter. WVU causes serious problems with their press, especially having to play this grueling style on a 3 nights in a row set.

50* CBB Conference Tourney MAX BET

Notre Dame +2

Going back to the well here with Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish made beating the UVA defense last night a simple task, which is a near impossibility. It's never a bad thing to back Notre Dame. This team is amazing at the free throw line (which is a HUGE factor in meaningful games.) They are also much more experienced than the Seminoles. ND is filled with upperclassmen and FSU (for a lack of a better word) are a bunch of babies. I must admit, I do put a lot of stock in experience this time of year.

Notre Dame has been dynamite as an underdog and against the great teams of the nation. ND has covered 4 straight as a pup and have won the money in 5 straight against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better.

30*

Minnesota ML -110

20*

Notre Dame +3.5

20*

Kansas State +5

20*

Lehigh +4.5

20*

San Diego State -10

20*

St. Peter's -2.5

30*

Wofford ML +105

30*

Northeastern ML +105

50* CBB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH

North Carolina -6.5

To paraphrase this pick. You fade Duke as an underdog and you back North Carolina as a home favorite. Duke has covered the spread just once in their last 7 games as a pup and they are just 3-10 ATS on the road. Duke has been one of the worst bets (ATS) this year and North Carolina continues to be dominant at home, where they are undefeated. Which is the case with most Duke games...they need to be hot from distance to win. Team's in all levels always shoot worse from 3 point land away from home. The revenge minded UNC should dominate down low and if Duke goes on a cold spell shooting, North Carolina will blow them out.

30*

Oklahoma State ML +105

20*

Western Michigan -10

20*

West Virginia -8

30*

Princeton -7.5

30*

Duke -6.5

20*

Davidson -3

20*

Eastern Michigan ML -135

50* CBB SEC GAME OF THE YEAR

Missouri +4

The last time these two teams met, it was a battle all the way to the end with the Tigers losing by just 3. That game was on the road. The Tigers now get to play in their building against the Aggies for their home finale, which should give these players a huge boost.

Missouri has been money against the spread as a home dog recently, covering 6 straight. Furthermore, Texas A&M has been a train wreck on the road (2-7) and are just 3-9 when listed as the favorite. This shows that Texas A&M doesn't perform well when they are "supposed" to win and Missouri relishes the fact when they aren't expected to do much.

The Aggies are in a tough spot. They get the mighty Kentucky Wildcats at home for their finale on deck and they got PUNISHED by them last meeting. They could be caught looking ahead here. 

30*

North Carolina vs. Virginia UNDER 130

20*

Mercer -5.5

20*

Quinnipiac +2

40* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Syracuse vs. Louisville UNDER 142

30*

Arizona ML -130

30*

Michigan ML -110

30*

Northern Iowa +2.5

30*

Loyola-Marymount +2.5

20*

Cincinnati -13.5

30*

Eastern Kentucky +2

20*

North Carolina -8

20*

Arkansas -3.5

30*

Oral Roberts +2.5

40*

Rider -6

50* CBB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH

Tulane -2.5

Several buy orders coming in on the home team. A 5 win team has gone from pick to -2/-3? Tulane should destroy ECU (who hasn't won a road game all year.)

I apologize for the lack of write-up on these system plays. We have found a system that has done extremely well of late and we need to keep it close to the vest. Partly has do to with fading the teams the public loves for the day's card

30*

Texas +15.5

Hard to see WVU being extremely motivated to destroy Texas tonight. The Mountaineers are coming off a double OT victory on Saturday with little help from their bench. Texas has yet to lose by this much on the road in the Big 12 and only lost by 2 to WV in their last meeting.