This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Marshall and Florida Atlantic.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong Over/Under ATS statistics: 

As note that Marshall has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven off a loss against a conference rival (fell 41-30 to FIU last week), while FAU has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 16 at home, including in three of four this season.

The bottom line: Marshall won its sixth game and then had a letdown last week. With that predictable loss behind them, the Herd look to get back on track here. The Owls have won four straight, but have just five wins on the year. FAU needs one more victory to become bowl eligibile and its also playing with revenge after falling 27-21 to Marshall last year. It’s an important game for these division rivals and in our opinion all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL THUNDER on the UNDER between Northern Illinois and Toledo.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Northern Illinois has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and in eight of its last 13 as an underdog, while Toldedo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 24 as a favorite and in eight of its last 11 against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Both teams are bowl eligible, but each has bigger plans moving forward with conference title implications on the line. We’re banking on these highly motivated teams to battle tough and for this one to ultimately fall UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports