The defending NBA Champs went up against a top tier D, last time out, and failed to get the victory in the fist game of this play off series. Both teams played a grinding style of hoops, but the visitors made more shots in clutch situations. Im betting the Nuggets are now wide awake and must up their offensive play, which Im betting Jokic and company can accomplish in rebound mode. 

DENVER is 9-1 ATS  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.7. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Denver to cover

Cleveland starter McKenzie has pitched well of late as evident by his  1-0  record along with a 2.81 ERA in his L/3 starts. He started slowly this season because of injuries he sustained last year, but now looks to be in top form. Note: McKenzie has pitched well in his career against the Tigers , going 3-2 with a stingy 1.05 ERA while striking out 50 in 43 innings across seven starts. Meanwhile, the Tigers will reply with Flaherty  who has fanned 50 and walked just five over 36 innings this year. Im expecting these viable pitchers to long and strong here today and for their viable bullpens when need to be solid as well.  Detroit owns a 2.09 bullpen ERA at home, and the Guardians pen  own a 2.56 road ERA . Both these hurlers last three starts vs these teams have gone under the total with none of the games eclipsing this offered totals number. 

CLEVELAND is 23-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 24-8 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. 

HINCH is 25-13 UNDER after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games as the manager of DETROIT which was the case last time out in a 5-2 loss to the Yankees with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

Play under

The Philles have won 9 of their L/10 and 5 straight and have momentum entering this game against a road weary SF team that is playing their 7 straight road game, having already lost 6 of those tilts.Considering the Phillies starter Zach Wheeler is on a heater, winning his L/3 trips to the hill while garnering a minuscule 0.49 ERA it will not be a hard decision to lay a little extra lumber in this spot play with the home side. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-37  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11  against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 47-13  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN FRANCISCO) - bad offensive team (3.8or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-35 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win

Phillies stater WALKER is 15-4 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WALKER is 13-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting Walker thrives vs a SF side that has averaged just 3.9 rpg vs righty starters this season. I know Logan Webb is a solid starter but the Phillies re averaging 5.6 rpg vs rtightys this season, and Webb has not been all that strong in 4 away starts garnering a hefty 5.31 ERA. With the Phillies in top form having won four straight and 8 of their L/9 they get the nod here in Sunday night spot play on a value line.  THOMSON is 42-11  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on Philly to win 

 Reds starter LODOLO is 14-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CINCINNATI is 15-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons like Kremer. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - excellent power team ( 1.5 or more  HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 7-36 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to win

Both of todays starters Carrasco and Canning have not looked great this season, but the far superior bullpen is owned by the Guardians who have garnered a 2.20 ERA. MLB  The edge on offense for the Guardians also gives us an advantage  as they average of 5 rpg compared to the Angels 4.2 rpg output. 

Home teams (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-23 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

In game 5 of this series  in Ohio the Magic and Cavs took part in a very close 104-103 tilt that saw the Cavs come out of it with a narrow victory. Last time out in Orlando we saw another close game with the Magic pulling ahead very late for a 103-96 victory. Im betting on more grinding action but as this game winds down Im also expecting alot more aggressive offensive output in this do or die situation. My totals number for this game is 200 so a full possession edge to the over is my call. Bickerstaff in 13  all playoff games as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 198 ppg scored.Bickerstaff in 49  home games revenging a road loss vs opponent as the coach of CLEVELAND have seen a combined average of 220.6 ppg. Bickerstaff in 80  home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.Mosley in 106 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of ORLANDO has seen a combined average of 220.7 ppg scored.

CLEVELAND is 11-3 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored.

Play over

Toronto's offense has been frustrated by the Bruins goalie Swayman as the Leafs have averaged 1.8 goals per game in this series and despite of finding a way to keep the Bruins off the board last time out  are at a disadvantage here on foreign ice. Note:Prior to the last game the buds had allowed three goals per game in thjis series vs the Bruins and has only held the Bruins to less than three goals in two of the five games this series and were 1-for 17 on the power play. Also entering these playoffs the Leafs were ranked 30th in high danger chances . I give the Leafs alot of respect for their 2-1 vicotry at home last time out, but Im betting it all ends for them here tonight ion Beantown. 

 BOSTON is 18-3 ATS  in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 1 goal or less in 2 straight games are 47-112 L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to win

Right-handers Michael Wacha (2-1, 4.24 ERA) of Kansas City  Royalsand Dane Dunning (3-2, 4.13) of  the Texas  Rangers  will go head to head  on Saturday.

Royals starter WACHA is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WACHA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

KANSAS CITY is 10-0 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. 

MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win

The Minnesota Wolves and Denver Nuggets own two grinding defenses and slow paced attacks. But despite of this still have enough weapons to put a generous amount of points on the board. In a game Im betting will be close, my projections estimate both sides will put up +104 points which qualifies on an over wager. 

DENVER is 19-5 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average  228.4 ppg scored.DENVER L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. 

Minnesota L/ 82 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 25-12 OVER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored,

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games in 498 games  spanning 27 seasons has seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored spanning 5 seasons and 252 games.

These teams have gone over the total in 7 of the 9 games in the Mile High city. Only 1 times in the L/13 meetings in this series have seen these teams combined for less than this offered totals number. 

Play over

Left-hander Austin Gomber (0-2, 4.50 ERA) will go to the hill for Colorado against Pirates right-hander Jared Jones (2-3, 3.18).

Gomber has faced Pittsburgh eight times (four starts) in his career and is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA and Im betting his luck wont change today. Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Jones  pitched at least five innings in all of his six start.  He has not given up more than three runs in a game and in two starts has allowed one run or less. Advantage Pittsburgh.

COLORADO is 7-33  against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 25-75against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 14-6  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

These teams have seas-awed back in forth in this series, and have played winning ball when Kawhi Leonard is not in the lineup winning 2 of 3, and   he wont play tonight. Here in this game after going just 2-of-12 shooting Im betting James Harden has a big bounce back effort. The Clippers have already proved they can win in Dallas, and with their backs against the wall, they wont go down without a fight , as the well respected HC Lue Im betting will have his team ready to play and have a viable game plan prepared that can be implemented by his veteran squad and deep bench. 

LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games when trailing in a playoff series . 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 120 points or more are 55-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Clippers to cover

Nats starter Corbin ss 43-25 UNDER  in home games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. 

KIKUCHI  L/13 vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. 

WASHINGTON L/54 in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg. 

Blue Jays hitters have been in a season-long drought and Im betting nothing changes today.   Blue Jays are averaging 3.47 runs per game and have scored three runs or less in 18 of their 32 games this season. I know Corbin has not pitched well for the Nats this season, but the way the Jays have faltered Ill continue fading their offensive production at least for now.

Toronto is scheduled to start left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (2-2, 2.94 ERA) in the opener of this series vs Washington and according to my power rankings matches up very well here.

 TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 24-5 UNDER  in road games after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.

TORONTO is 10-1 UNDER  vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg. TORONTO is 12-3 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg. TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER   after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a horrible NL starting pitcher (ERA 5.50 or more , WHIP 1.650 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. 

Play under

Pittsburghs starter PEREZ is 21-5   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 15-3  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 14-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 10-1  against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record).

Perez is currently in top form, and owns a 2.86 ERA on the season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well against a struggling Colorado batting order. with a .229 road batting average.The Pirates lefty  has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his first six starts.

One the flipside The Rockies will send  struggling right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-3, 5.34 ERA), to the hill. Last time out he allowed a hefty  six runs over five-plus innings in a 12-4 loss to the Houston Astros on Saturday in Mexico City. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 5.50 ERA.

I know the Pirates have not been getting much run production, but Colorado has also struggled to score consistently, and with the home side having had a day off, and the Rockies now playing their fourth straight road games, all losses, Im betting on the fresher side with the better starting pitcher to get the job done.

Colorado has lost five straight and has not won a series this season. The Rockies have trailed at one point in each of their first 31 games, which is a modern-era major league record. They are currently the kings of futility and deserve their fade status here today in Pittsburgh. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - struggling NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worsr), in May games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win

In the two games in this play off series played in Indiana the pace and combined  scoring outputs have produced exactly 239 points both times. Im now betting on a similar all out output, as the Bucks are on the verge of illumination and will have to be aggressive offensively against the NBAs No 1 offense that will be ready to run and gun their way to the next series. The Bucks upset the Pacers by a 115-92 count  at home last time out as the the visitors looked lethargic , but Im betting on a huge rebound here from the Pacers and an all out performance especially on offense where they usually thrive.  Note:INDIANA is 20-7 OVER after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.9 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 41 games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average 232.8 ppg scored.

.INDIANA in 33 in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season have seen a combined average of 244..3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE in 65 games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored.

***There are reports Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard will return for this game, but still not verified. Play or not Im still expecting offensive fireworks.

Play on the over

Boston turns to right-hander Josh Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA), who is scheduled to make his third straight start after seven relief appearances to start the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (no starts) against San Francisco.The righty has allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings since joining the rotation April 2 and projects to have another strong effort here. Meanwhile, San Francisco,, will  send Kyle Harrison (2-1, 4.09) who threw six scoreless innings last Friday against Pittsburgh, striking out seven and allowing only five hits. He also projects to last into the mid innings of this game.  MLB  Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.

BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored.  SAN FRANCISCO is 45-19 UNDER (after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. 

SF has gone under in 5 straight games. Bosox have gone under in 3 straight. 

Play on the under

The Orioles were shutout yesterday by a 2-0 count  and I am now expecting another low scoring tilt  in the finale of this 4 game set . It must be noted that the Yankees  have scored a total of only four runs in the first three games of the series. The  Yanks starter  Rodon has pitched well this season, garnering a   (2-1, 2.48 ERA) record. In his last two games combined, he has pitched in 13 innings while allowing only one run. He struck out a season-high eight in six innings Saturday at Milwaukee and has momentum entering this game and is back with a viable bullpen that owns a stingy 1.87 ERA on the road this season. On the flip-side right-hander Kyle Bradish is expected to come off the injured list for his season debut. He is a viable hurler, and deserves respect here as hr is fresh and far from tired , and is backed by a quality Os bullpen that has garnered 3.66 ERA at home this season.  Im betting on a lower scoring game as my projections estimate both offenses will struggle today.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpgs clicking in at 7.3.  

Play under 

The Heat Im betting will be far more aggressive than they have been in their L/2 games vs the Celtics . Their defensive minded game plan utterly failed vs the Celtics and now they have to open up or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to combined score that eclipses this total.  BOSTON L/35 as a favorite of 10 or more points this season has seen a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. BOSTON 16 games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half this season have seen a combined average of 231 ppg scored.

MIAMI in 20 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. MIAMI in 29  road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. MIAMIs L/33 road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored.

 NBA team (MIAMI) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 224.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

Im betting on Baltimore's Corbin Burnes continuing  his dominate 2024 season when the Orioles host the New York Yankees on Wednesday evening. Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA) has given up three runs or less in each of his first six starts for the Orioles. He has struck out 35 and walked eight in 35 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat now on board.

BALTIMORE is 22-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 season. BALTIMORE is 19-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 36-17 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on the Baltimore 

Okalnd has won 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 an dhave momentum entering this game against a Pittsburgh team that has lost 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 and  scored a total of 5 runs in their L/5 games OAKLAND is 19-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Note: Stripling the As starter today has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Pirates. 

PITTSBURGH is 13-36  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

MLB team (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win

Braves were tripped up last time out and will be in a prime bounce back situation vs the Mariners. ATLANTA is 12-0  against the money line in road games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Mariners starter Castillo has lost all 3 of his home starts this season while garnering a 5.40 ERA. 

Braves starter Lopez owns a 2-0 - 0.72 ERA on the season. 

This year, Seattle has won just one of four games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.

Play on Atlanta to win 

So far this has been a homer series, with the host winning and covering all 4 games, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight. 

CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons  with the average ppg diff clicking in at +5.5 .  CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.3.

CLEVELAND is 20-6 ATS  in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasonswith the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4.

NBA  Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-42 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff registering in at -10.8 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA  Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 7-44 L/28 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Baltimore shutout the Yankees yesterday and have momentum entering this game.

Os starter KREMER is 15-6  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 16-6  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  KREMER is 10-2  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

My power rankings suggest the Os matchup well vs the Yankees expected starter Cortes who has seen hims team lose his L/3 starts overall. 

BALTIMORE is 21-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 3-11  against the money line in road games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more  runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Orioles

Denver knows how to slow down run and gun teams like the Lakers, here in the Mile High City  behind the 6th ranked defense and 27th ranked pace. The Nuggets held the Lakers to 99 and 103 points in the first two games of this series here in Denver, behind a strong grinding D. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total 

DENVER is 9-0 UNDER  in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER   after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 11-3 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season for 215.2 ppg. 

NBAl teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER/LA LAKERS) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Knights lost to the Stars for the first time in 7 games last time out,  but now Im betting on the home side to continue their domination vs Dallas here tonight at home in game 4 of this series. It was a grueling game that Im betting took alot out of the Stars as they were playing with desperation down 2-0 but repeating that kind of intensity against the defending Stanley Cup Champs will be a difficult  task. VEGAS is 14-5 ATS  after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 25-9 ATS  revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons. Note:Dallas has dominated possession at 5-on-5  in this series while controlling 57.8% of expected goals in Game 1 then registering  64.1% mark  in Game 2  and  79 % in Game 3. Its obvious to me the Knights matchup well and deserve our backing as dogs tonight. 

Play on Golden Knights to win  

The Pirates are off a low scoring weekend series vs the Giants, and their overall offense has been muted recently, but Im betting on a break out offensive performance here against the As, and their starter Boyle who has garnered a ugly 1-4 record so far this season along with a hefty 7.06 ERA that includes a 0-2 record at home along with a 9.39 ERA. Note: The As have allowed an average  4.8 rpg at home this season and in night games have allowed 4.9 rpg .  Meanwhile, on the flip-side I know Falter the Pirates starter has looked decent this season, but on the road , owns a 5.79 ERA in 2 starts, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the As struggling offense actually matches up well and should provide us with enough support to get us over the offered totals number.

PITTSBURGH is 10-1 OVER  after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/31 road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. ( lost 3-2 in SF yesterday)PITTSBURGH is 23-11 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. 

Play over

The Red Sox have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.Boston has a record of 5-1 record when favored by -127 or more on the opening line  by oddsmakers this season and once again look like viable favs to back.  The Red Sox smashed the Cubs yesterday by a 17-0 count and now with momentum on their sides Im betting on them cashing again tonight .

 MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after a game where they had 20 or more hits, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 26-7 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, a top-level team 62% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 11-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win

Braves starter  Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Guardians starter  Lively (0-1, 2.38), are a viable  pair of right-handers who according to my projections matchup well here vs these batting orders. 

CLEVELAND is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 27-14 UNDER  as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

Atlanta ha allowed a total of 5 runs in their L/4 games as the D, and pitching staff look to be in top form. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER /L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. 

Play under

The Knicks look like they matchup well vs the Knicks and despite of a DD loss last time out, are more than capable of giving the76ers all they can handle in this spot post season betting situation. The Knicks are also very motivated as they feel a fragrant foul from Joel Embiid against Mitchell Robinson should have resulted in an ejection in game 3. Bad blood starting to form, here and tight tough battle is my call. 

NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 31-17 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of NEW YORK.

Nurse is 9-22 ATS   off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Dallas is the No. 1 seed in the West after garnering  a conference-best 113 points in the regular season. But the Stars are down 2-0 in this series, vs a experienced play off squad that knows how to win big games in post season action as their defending Stanely Cup status would signify. Vegas has won the L/6 meetings in this series and Im betting they get the job done here again tonight.DALLAS is 11-24 ATS   in the 3rd game of a playoff series since 1996.

Play on the Golden Knights to win on the money-line 

Orioles starter IRVIN is 8-0  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at  +2.5.  After getting upset yesterday by the As in the opner you can bet the sometimes explosive Os will be primed to bounce back. 

BALTIMORE is 34-12  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4  or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Thunder are setting into a groove and when their in this kind of form  they are har4d to beat. This team looked like they were on a mission last time out , as they destroyed the Pelicans, 124-92 count. Im betting the home side will play better here tonight, but that wont be enough against a  defensively  determined looking Thunder that has allowed no more than 92 points in the first two games of this series.. I know its  highly likely tbhe 
thunder wont replicate the 59% FG conversion rate they had  last time out, but could easily still eclipse the 50% shooting plateau in what Im betting will be a road victory. 

NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS  in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS   after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-19 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 25-5  ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. are 9-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

. Both offenses are playing extremely well ,while both goaltenders are struggling vs explosive tick tack toe play with 11 goals scored in game 1 and 9 goals scored in game 2.

Note:Kings goalie Cam Talbot,  has now allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 10 starts dating back to the regular season. Talbot has garnered a ugly .883 SV% and 3.36 GAA over that time

Oilers golatender Skinner Dating back to the regular season  owns a  1-2 record  and nasty looking  .829 SV% and 5.49 GAA. Hes backed by a D, that looks in disarray at times which is reflected in thier 12th ranled Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. ( 
that points to offense that is slow or lazy in transition. 

EDMONTON is 15-4 OVER  after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. 

Play over

 The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.73 runs per game and according to my early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings  have an edge for a  stellar outing vs Hancock (6.10 ERA) here today and could easily eclipse this totals offering  on their own. Meanwhile, Seattle despite of their struggling offense matchup well vs Gallen, who owns a 7.20 ERA in two road starts this season, and is backed by a bullpen that owns  4.83 ERA on the road this season. 

LOVULLO is 30-13 OVER  in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of ARIZONA with a average of 10 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - sub standard AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% converison rate for bettors.

Play over

The Pacers were in true run and gun form in game 2 of this series winning by a 125-108 count. The Bucks will have to ramp up their attack here in game two or be blown of the court as Im betting the Pacers  on their own home floor will feed off the energy of the crowd and be in full flight. This will lead to a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 263.3 ppg scored. Carlisle is 15-3 OVER in April games as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 40-21 OVER \ when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. INDIANA in their L/43   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 236 ppg go on the board.

MILWAUKEE  in 39  road games this season has seen a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE iin 20 games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season have seen a combined average of 247.7 ppg scored.

These teams have gone over in 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Indiana.

Play on the over

My. projections estimate that both these teams will produce +114 points in what the linesmakers expect to be a very close game  .LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored..DENVER is 16-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 244.5 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of 227.3 ppg scored.LA LAKERS  L/173 games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS in 48 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored.

DENVER 45 games this season  when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average 221.2 ppg scored.

DENVERs 65 games  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season has seen a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored.

Play over

Orlando has its back up against the wall as they are down 2-0 in this series, and will now be primed for a huge bounce back performance here at home where they have played their best hoops this season winning 29 of their 40 games while covering 27 of those tilts. The last game between these two teams was a grinding affair in Cleveland with the Cavs pounding out a 96-86 win. Note: Bickerstaff is 0-10 ATS  in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND. Also Bickerstaff is 17-33 ATS L/50 in road games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached . 

CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus sub standard pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 37-4 L/28 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-11 ATS L/28 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Reds clinched a season series vs Philly with a 7-4, come-from-behind win on Wednesday and I project them to be a solid runline winner here today in a game that is expected to closely contested. It must be noted Reds starter Martinez will be making his first career start against Philadelphia, but the  right-hander has been dominant in five career relief appearances vs. the Phillies, allowing just one run and four hits over 10 1/3 innings with no decisions.PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 against the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 20-42   against the run line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 19-39  against the run line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 49-30 SU  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Cincinnati +1.5 runline 

The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS  as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4.

Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover

The White Sox have lost 11 of their 12 games on the road this season, in what has begun as an absolutely abysmal start  to their campaign which gives me little credence to consider them as viable underdogs. 

White Sox expected starter Crochet goes to the hill in  his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.The southpaws most recent appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing five hits. In his current form he is fade material. Note: White Sox are averaging just 2.2 rpg scored. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 2-17  against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21   against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win

Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite and Im betting on another top tier effort from the Braves again as the weak bats of the Marlins (2.16 BA) go head to head against expected starting pitcher  Lopez  (2-0, 0.50 ERA) who makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings. The starter is backed with a solid Bullpen that has garnered a 3.38 ERA. Advantage Braves 

MIAMI is 4-16  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff +3.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

ATLANTA is 2-0  against MIAMI this season with the victories coming by 5-0 and 3-0 scores.

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 runline 

In game 1 of this series the  Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first  game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored.

Play over

Everything seemed to go well for the Wolves in game 1, they made tough contested shots, grabbed a plethora of rebounds, and snatched and stole some errant passes from the Suns.However,  doing that two games in a row will be a tough assignment for the Wolves . Yes, Minnesota owns a great defense, but when the men from the Arizona desert are flying their hard to stop and Im betting that will be the case here as they get back into a groove and shoot at above tor at their season average . The Suns dominated the Wolves during the current campaign, winning all three reg season meetings by DDs, and Im now betting they bounce back. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 61-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Suns to cover

When these teams played last week the Nationals won 2 of 3 games, and once again look like vial-be runline underdogs here today in DC. The Dodgers were just 3-6 in their recent home stand and now traveling from west to east with very little momentum, must deal with a time zone change which could easily contribute to a down effort vs a home side that has won 3 of their L/4 trips to the diamonds . It must be noted Dodgers expected starter James Paxtion has seen his team lose his last 2 starts vs the Nats garnering. nasty 6.43 ERA , while losimng by combined 15-4 count. I know Paxton is 2-0 on the season, but could be in trouble vs a patient Washington batting order, as he owns a ugly walk-to-strikeout rate of 14-to-10 this season. 

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (WASHINGTON) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington +1.5 runline 

Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. 

DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER  in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.

Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under.

Play on the under

Pitching Trends:KCs expected starter SINGER is 17-6 OVER  as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Blue Jays expected starter KIKUCHI is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.483. KIKUCHIin his L/11 starts  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. Jays bullpen owns a sub par 5.24 ERA so far this season. KC has averaged 5.9 rpg at home this season.

QUATRARO in his L/ 32  in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. 

QUATRARO is 14-3 OVER  in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more as the manager of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ( Lost to Baltimore 5-0 yesterday)

 MLB  teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less ) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 start are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 11.5 rpg scored.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY/TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up  2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-30 OVER for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at 10.6 rpg .

Play over

Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With  Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen  making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile,  Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers.

CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER   against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored.

CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. 

The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Play under

These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. 

NEW YORK in 26 games  when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. 

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The Predators have claimed an upset victory in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 games they have played as an underdog this season and are  9-8 when they are underdogs of +124 or more on the moneyline. The Canucks are a explosive offensive side, but their type of play is not as efficient in post season action vs a tough  Nashville group that is more physical than their opponents. In post season hockey gritty sides like the Preds deserve respect. Note: Canucks Brock Boeser (40 goals, 73 points) is less than 100% because of injury and uncertain to start this tilt. Also Nashvilles goaltender Saros has a reputation for being very streaky and that was apparent when he stood on his head during a 13-game stretch from Feb. 17 to March 23 in where  he went 11-0-2 with a 1.76 GAA and a .936 save percentage. He is a one man game changer. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NASHVILLE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 20-7 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Nashville Predators to win 

The New Orleans Pelicans won Friday night's elimination game in the West play-in with a 105-98 victory over the Sacramento Kings and must not be under estimated in their ability to play this  Thunder side tough. I know Zion Williamson will be out, but the Pelicans have come together in efficiently and proved in a top tier defensive game to get here.  It must be noted that New Orleans is 4-1 SU L/5 here in Oklahoma City and the road team have covered seven straight meetings between these teams.Daigneault is 11-24 ATS  in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a -9.6 ppg diff. NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 64-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pelicans to cover

 The  Pacers since March 20,  have the best offense in the league and sit third in Net Rating and deserve respect here in Game 1 vs a Milwaukee side that is expected to be without their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of -10.7. 

INDIANA is 12-1 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. INDIANA is 12-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

The Pacers have won the last two meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today.

Play on Indiana to cover

This season, the Cubs have been favored seven times and won six of those games and own a  record of 6-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline and have the edge today according to my own own projections. I know Hendricks the Cubs starter might have some nasty early season numbers attached to his pitching profile, but it must be noted he will face a Miami side that has garnered a ugly .324 slugging percentage this season so far which is the second-lowest percentage in the majors.The Marlins also rank 27th in MLB with a .215 batting average. Im betting on Hendricks righting his ship and for the Cubs to do enough damage against the Marlins starter Cabrera to get us to the promised land of victory.

MIAMI is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.MIAMI is 31-86 L/117 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago to win

Baltimore evened up the series with the Royals Saturday night with a 9-7 victory but Im now betting on immediate limited  offensive production here today, mostly based on the output projections expected by the Royals . Note:The Orioles will start Lugo (3-0, 1.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings and has not allowed more than 2 ERS in any start and is off a shut out performance last time out.  KCs starter IRVIN in 6 career outings  when starting against KANSAS CITY has garnered a  ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.172 with all six games staying on the low side of the totals offering. 

Kansas City went gone under the total in 4 previous games before the Baltimore series began.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KC/ BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.

Play under

The Phillies offense is finally starting to roll and have scored 5, 7, 7 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more production today vs expected starting Right-hander Michael Soroka (0-2, 6.98 ERA) . Im also betting the Phillies will be primed to support right-hander Zack Wheeler (0-3, 3.00 ERA), who hasn't received much run support this season. QUOTE: "It's frustrating," Manager Thomson said. "We haven't really swung the bats in his starts. That'll change."

 PHILADELPHIA is 72-43 UNDER  in home games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 OVER   in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored .PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.

MLB  team (CHI WHITE SOX) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11 rpg. 

Play over

Islanders are red hot having won 8 of their L/9 and have a recent history of playing the Carolina Canes tough. I know the Canes are what we might consider the better team, but the Isles goalie tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are on fire at the moment and in the play offs we are talking q whole new season. Islanders have the edge. 

NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS in April games this season.

NHL  team against the money line (CAROLINA) - as a # 2 seed in the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 7-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NYI to win 

The Suns finished off their reg season with a astounding 125-106 win at Minnesota as underdogs for their third straight win this season vs the Wolves. With that said, Im now betting the Wolves will be ready for redemption/revenge against a team that has soundly beat them this season. Note:PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS L/20  in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog . Also

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss are 101-150 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win/cover

The Magic have played some great defensive ball this season, but their offense can sometimes be stagnant and have been a better team at home in the Magic Kingdom, than they have been on the road. A tell take sign for me going against Orlando today was because they were just  5-10 SU against top-six defenses like the Cavs, averaging 104.4 points per game, Considering the Cavs are fairly healthy at least from the starting unit  perspective with Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all expected to play, they have a pronounced edge at home. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on the ATS offering. CLEVELAND is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on the Cavaliers to cover

The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.

The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. 

NEW ORLEANS L/72 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.

SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over

In a game like this the physicality  and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the  the Heat  an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard  ranking 22nd in ppg output. 

MIAMI is 22-10 ATS  in April games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

Play on Miami to cover

My own projections estimate a combined score in the 211-to 214  range giving us a 2 possession edge to the over. I know Miami is a defense first team, but when pushed- which they will be- can light up the scoreboard with some offensive fireworks of their own. Note: The Heat have gone over in 9 of their L/10 overall.  

MIAMI L/77 games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. MIAMI in 7  road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored ( Lost 109-105 to Phil on April 4th) MIAMI in L/ 44 games   when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. ( lost last two meetings)

MIAMI is 17-4 OVER  in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. 

Nurse in 27 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.

NBA team (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half have seen a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored during a current 65 game sample size over the L/5 seasons. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more have seen a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored over a 233 sample size going back 27 seasons.

Play over

The Islanders have already clinched a play off spot and could rest as many as 5 players tonight so they don't risk injuries . This also the Isles 3rd game in 5 nights.  Meanwhile, the Pens still have a chance at a play off spot and must at least win this game to get their shot and Im betting they leave everything on the ice and grab the victory. 

NY ISLANDERS are 16-31 ATS (+49.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 113-52 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pens to win 

The Tigers were able to get redemption for a 1-0 loss in the series opener on Monday and grabbed a  4-2 victory on Tuesday afternoon by garnering  two runs in the eighth inning and get the nod again here today.

 Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 7-20  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 3-10   against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-9 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)  DUNNING is 4-18 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.020.

Left-hander Tarik Skubal (2-0, 2.08 ERA) is expected to start the third game of the four-game set for Detroit against the Rangers. Skubal collected his second victory of the season on Friday when he held the Minnesota Twins scoreless for five innings and enters this game with momentum. SKUBAL is 7-1  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers bullpen also hasn't allowed a run over 5 2/3 innings in the series and Im betting will give Skubal the support he needs when and if he leaves this game. 

Considering Texas has scored two runs or fewer in four of the past six games their current from suggests their host has the advantage. 

Play on the Tigers to win 

My projections place this game total in the high 220s to low 230s, giving us at least one possession plus edge on this current totals offering. My estimates also suggest both sides will score +114 points- Note:LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.4 ppg scored.

The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in offensive production and a lowly 23rd in defensive ppg allowed and a speedy 4th in pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans rank 13th in offensive production, and 8th in ppg allowed, behind the 17th ranked pace, but those numbers are a little deceiving as they have allowed  a 46.7 % FG conversion rate from opponents at home and in their L/5 overall games entering this game have allowed a 49.7 % FG conversion rate.

Pelicans have gone over in 3 straight games and 7 of their L/9 , while the Lakers have gone over in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7. 

LA LAKERS L/8 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS are 23-13 OVER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 9-1 OVER  in road games against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 240.8 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 22-7 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored.

Ham  in 134 games vs sides like the Pelicans allowing a  46% or more defensive FG conversion rate  as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or  of their shots over a 143 game sample size have seen a combined average of 228 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 62-31 OVER L/27 seasons with a average combined score of 230.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games have seen a combined average of 233.3 ppg over a 245 game sample size. 

Play over

The Guardians improved their road record to 8-2 with Monday's 6-0  win at Fenway and have obvious momentum entering this game vs their hosts the BoSox.  Note: BOSTON is 8-17  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 15-32  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

BOSTON is 2-14  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Cleveland starter BIBEE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 18-41 L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB  Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 60-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Kings are playing great hockey right now have won 5 of their L/6, and have dominated tonights competition the Wild this season, beating them by 7-3 and 6-0 counts. Meanwhile, Minny has lost 4 of their L/6 while allowing 21 goals despite of a road win vs lowly San Jose last time out  , and things could easily roll out of control here in LA tonight  as Goalie Gustavsson is set to start. He owns a  . 898 save percentage and minus-6.0 goals saved above expected, and has lost his last three trips to the golden pond. The Kings have won by 2 goals or more in 6 of their L/8 home victories and get the nod again in this spot play situation. 

Play on the LA Kings -1.5 to win  

Right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-2, 7.20 ERA),  will start Monday's game for Colorado and is fade material in his current form.  I know Philadelphia has scored more than five runs in a game just once this year, and the offense has looked inconsistent, but this is a major break out situation for the Phillies. Quote: "We have to get going offensively, which I think we will. I don't think that's a question at all," said Turner, per the Press of Atlantic City. "I feel like we're in a good spot, and we'll get rolling." EndQuote:

Phillies starter Aaron Nola (2-1, 4.50 ERA) and this will be his fourth start this season for the Phillies. The right-hander allowed two runs on three hits in six innings in the Phillies 4-3 victory  last week against the Cardinals in St. Louis and gets my backing in this spot play. 

COLORADO is 4-40  against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.2 which easily quaflies on this run-line offering. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-40 L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.1. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline 

Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and  aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count)

CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2)

Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question)

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

Play over

The series finale is expected to see two right-handers go to the hill as  the Cubs'  send Javier Assad (1-0, 1.64 ERA) against the Mariners' Luis Castillo (0-3, 6.89).Assad, has looked good in his  two starts this season winning a 12-2 event on April 2 hosting the  Colorado Rockies , while  throwing six scoreless innings. On Monday on the road vs San Diego, he left with a six-run lead after five innings  of top tier work in a game the Cubs eventually blew by a  9-8 count.Meanwhile, Seattles starter Castillo, who owns a  7-5 record along  with a 3.64 ERA in 17 career starts against the Cubs, has given up four earned runs in each of his first three starts of the season, and has looked a little shaky  as has  failed to last more than 5 2/3 innings in those starts.Note: CASTILLO is 6-11  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Cubs.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - struggling  NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are just 30-13 L/5 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s giving us a substantial edge on this totals offering to the over. In a recent meeting these teams combined for 238 points, and even though both teams may rest starters tonight Im betting on a loose game with very little physical defensive action which will help propel this score to higher limits than the linesmkaers expect.

HOUSTON L/33 games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. HOUSTON L/29 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER  in April games this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS L/22 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season have seen a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 2219.5 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

This season, the Dodgers have won 10 out of the 16 games, for a  62.5%, conversion rate  when they have been favored. 

The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. and added league wide trends support an even higher probability of victory.

Padres starter  Waldron has-seen his team loes his only start as an underdog this season.Waldron's team is 0-2 when he starts this season. and Im betting nothing changes today as my early season pitcher vs batting order projections estimate that the Dodgers matchup very well against him.

ROBERTS is 73-24  against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a one run loss to opponent, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

The Canadiens have struggled against the Senators over the past few seasons, losing eight straight to their division rivals, all in regulation, while being outscored 40-18. They haven't defeated Ottawa since March 19, 2022 and Im betting nothing changes today vs a Ottawa team with momentum after  two victory  in a three-game road trip, including a 3-2 shootout win against the Tampa Bay Lightning this past  Thursday,Montreal has gone 15-36 when oddsmakers have made them underdogs of +134 or more on the money-line. MONTREAL is 5-23 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at -1.8. 

Play on Ottawa to win

After winning eight of nine, the Rangers are coming off consecutive regulation losses for the first time since Jan. 18-20. The last loss came to the Islanders in a contest the Rangers felt that they were being targeted with vicious hits. Lots a bad blood and revenge on board for a Rangers team that would love to also derail the Islanders play off hopes. NY RANGERS are 16-3 ATS   revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.NY RANGERS are 10-0 ATS  in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season. With their top power play defenseman out ( Dobson) the Isles are in a disadvantageous position. 

Play on the Rangers to win 

Both these sides do not inspire bettors, but one side has an edge here. The Flames matchup well vs a  Ducks  team that have a recent history of struggling vs aggressive offense sides like Calgary. Note:ANAHEIM is 4-26 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 3-21 ATS )in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better  - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (ANAHEIM) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a win by 2 goals or more are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.(Ducks took a rare win last time out by a 3-1 count vs the Kings). 

Play on the Flames to win 

Minnesota ended  a four-game losing streak by recording a 3-2 victory vs the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, but their offensive inconsistencies give cause for pause when believing they may be ready to get going in a positive direction. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense has shown flashes of brilliance and according to my power rankings matches up well against the Lopez the Twins expected starter . After yesterdays cancellation and their Day off on Wednesday the Tigers are well rested and ready for a top tier effort. 

 MINNESOTA is 6-23  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better  over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 29-13   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Home teams (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 26-8 L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win

Im betting these NY NBA rivals play a fairly wide open game tonight that I project will be higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting . I know Brooklyn will be short handed overall but their replacements will be playing loose and  looking for extended contracts, so I expect aggressive action. Meanwhile, the Knicks offense has been hitting on all cylinders, and according to my numbers will exceed the 120 point plateau in this event , even though they played last night in a win vs the Celtics. (. NYK has put 122, 128, and 118 points on the board  in their L/3 tilts) Even in a letdown situation, and with the Nets playing short handed we should get over this exaggerated totals offering. 

NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in 44 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 37-18 OVER   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN iin 43 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season have seen a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.BROOKLYN i n 36  road games this season has seen a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.BROOKLYN in 43 games  revenging a loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.NEW YORK  in 39 home games this season has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 53-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

Play over

Winnipeg has won 4 straight games, and are very offensively productive during this run! However, the Stars goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage during that span and is obviously in top form and hard to score on. Winnipeg puck stopper Hellebuyck is also starting to gear up in top form as the play offs approach, going 3-0-0 over his past three starts with a 2.31 GAA and a .935 save percentage. 

WINNIPEG is 8-1 L/9 UNDER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 goals per game scored. 

Dallas is 5-1 UNDER in their L/6 games.

The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have not seen more than 5 goals scored.

Play under

My. projections estimate a total closer to 224  which give us a more than 2 possession value on this offering to the over. The Bulls know they will play the Atlanta Hawks  as the Nos. 9 and 10 seeds in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. Meanwhile,  the Pistons have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games and have nothing left to play for so they will play loose here tonight. With that said, Im betting there will be a lack of  physical intensity defensively tonight and a more wide open game most likely will be on the agenda which signifies a higher scoring output than expected by the linesmakers.

NBA team (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 63-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the board.

Play on the over

New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYM +1.5  runline 

New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYM +1.5  runline 

The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament.  It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. 

LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS   in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Suns to cover

ARIZONA is 1-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-14 ATS road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

 NHL Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (ARIZONA) - playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 1-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate. 

Canucks have won their L/4 meetings at home in this series. 

Play on the Canucks to win 

Left-hander Cody Bradford (2-0, 2.13 ERA), who was co-Most Outstanding Player of the 2018 Big 12 Tournament with Langelier's when both played at Baylor, will be on the mound for Texas on Wednesday. He will be primed to end the Rangers 3 game losing streak which came at the hands of the Houston Astros. I know the As have won 3 straight, but Im betting their over matched in this tilt as  as they send Right-hander Ross Stripling (0-2, 3.75 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Rangers

OAKLAND is 17-59  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - off a one run loss versus a division rival are 61-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on Rangers to win 

The Baltimore offense, smashed out 13 hits during a 7-1 win over Boston on Tuesday in the series opener and now Im betting they roll here again today vs the Red Sox starter  Crawford. Note: Red Sox starter CRAWFORD is 3-12  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CRAWFORD is 2-9  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 2-13  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CORA is 11-23  against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival as the manager of BOSTON

MLB  Road teams (BALTIMORE) - off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win 

 The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent  5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However,  now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 .

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long.  ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI)

HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

We all know that the Magic thrive in defensive type games, but Im betting tonight the run and gun Rockets who rank 11th in pace in the league will force them into a faster paced game, which will result in a combined score that eclispes this offering. Houston allows an average of 113 plus points per game on the season, and Im betting the Magic hitting that plateau while the Rockets chase that same output  here at home tonight . 

ORLANDO is 16-6 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. ORLANDO iL/59 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or worse this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.  HOUSTONs L/25 games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 239 ppg go on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 222.1 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 55-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 29-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored.

Play over

Mets upset Atlanta yesterday and now Im betting on. big bounce back effort from the Braves. Mets starter HOUSER is 0-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600. Lopez allowed one run over six innings on April 2, when the Braves lost 3-2 to the Chicago White Sox. He is 1-2 with a 3.77 ERA in six games (two starts) vs. the Mets and according to my early season power rankings matchs up well vs the Mets offensive lineup. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher against opponent off a one run win over a division rival are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves

The streaky Isles, are  on a 4 game win streak, but non of the victories were easy, as  all came  by two goals or fewer, and here today agains their rivals the balanced Rangers Im betting things will ramp up to be even more difficult. I know the Islanders are in a fight for their play off lives, but the Rangers will be equally motivated to stop their rivals  opportunity for post season play. 

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season.NY RANGERS are 21-6 ATS   against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season.NY RANGERS are 20-9 ATS against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NY RANGERS are 7-0 ATS  in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Rangers have won 2 of their L/3 visits to Long Island.

Play on the NY Rangers ML

These are two teams playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum.The White Sox,  are 1-9 on the season , and  have been shut out four times already. Meanwhile,The Guardians won the series opener 4-0 on Monday vs the Pale Hose and are now  8-2 on the season and deserve respect here on a runline bet as they have won their L/4 by 2 runs or more. Note: Cleveland starter Allen (2-0, 2.31 ERA) so far this season  and he looked exremely proficient  in a  8-0 road victory over the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday,going  6 2/3 shutout innings. He;ll be a hard nut to crack here, vs a Pale Hose offense averaging just 1.8 rpg via a ugly .196 BA.

CLEVELAND is 29-9  in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2 runs per game. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CONNECTICUT is 9-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 141.3 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 UNDER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg going on the score board.

CONNECTICUT is 8-2 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored. UConn has gone under in 9 of their L/10 games, and their defense has held 10 of their 11 opponents under their season offensive average. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 47-27 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Very reasonable number for the UConn Huskies to cover as they are a side that can shut down the Boilermakers big man  Edey.

The Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to below  their season offensive average. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season with the average ppg clicking at +19. 

Play on UConn to cover

The Rangers have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 loss to the Astros. 

The Astros have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win. 

Im betting the Rangers bouncing back here today.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rangers to win 

Mariners starter CASTILLO  in 6 road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 6.6 rpg going on the board. 

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.BERRIOS is 11-2 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board.

Play on the under

The White Sox come into this game having dropped four straight games to the Royals, and in their current form are fade material. Chicago ,has lost four straight to open the season, is 1-8 overall and 0-7 against the American League Central.

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Guardians to cover -1.5

The Astros offense has looked very inconsistent to start the season, and   only managed two runs, in. a lopsided loss to the Rangers yesterday. Im betting things will not change today as the Rangers side averaging 6.5 runs while their pitching is giving up just 3.38 runs per tilt. I know the Astros Blanco had a top tier outing last time out, but Im betting on regression here against a scoring offense that is not easily shut down. 

BOCHY is 7-0  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. BOCHY is 17-4 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of TEXAS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

The Heat are  currently playing a top tier brand of hoops  and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers .

The Heat are  a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. 

MIAMI is 17-7 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 46-69 ATS  in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Two explosive offenses go head to head here against two average looking pitchers Sale and Nelson. The first two games of this series went over the Total, and Im betting on more offensive fireworks today. Nelson current form lends credence to a a short outing which is not a good omen for the a Arizona bullpen that is currently overworked. 

ARIZONA is 28-12 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER  as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored.

ATLANTA is 25-12 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER  in home games in April games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. 

Play on the over

Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D,  while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me.  CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS  in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.

Play on Uconn

The Rays will send out Tyler Alexander in the starter role on Saturday He is just  11-23 in his career with a 4.44 ERA over 121 games (43 starts) Feltner the Rockies starter also does not give credence to a stellar Rockies pitching performance. However, Im betting home field advantage here will be the difference maker at least from a competitive perspective, which makes taking the runline an advantageous situation. The Rockies took a walk off 10-7 win yesterday and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question. Its early into my wagering campaign, and at this point in the season, insurance via the runline is always a key option until teams get into a more predictable groove.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after allowing 10 runs or more are just 8-24 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or worse) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA  4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 53-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado +1.5 

isles are still in the play off race , or at least they are on paper, but despite of needing this game badly, are a team that can not be trusted to be consistent or play up their abilities or needs on any given night. Also according to my projections they do matchup well against the Predators. 

NASHVILLE is 23-12 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 5-0 ATS   after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season winning those games by an average of +2.4 gpg. (Preds smashed the Blues last time out 6-3)

The New York Islanders have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-14.35 Units / -12% ROI)

Nashville is 5-0 SU/L5 vs the Isles dating back three seasons and have won their L/2 visits to Long Island. 

Play on the Nashville Predators to win on the ML