Sacramento played a grueling game in Phoenix last night losing by a 130-125 count  and now play a back to back games in the thin air of the Mile High City which is never a good situation. The combination of these high altitudes and the physical and emotional letdown scenario make the Denver Nuggets a viable option tonight laying lumber. It must also be noted that the Nuggets have the added motivation of  redemption and revenge on their minds for a loss they suffered to these same Kings  a few days ago by a ugly 136-105 count.  Note: Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6  as hosts vs unrested opposition .

DENVER is 23-11 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 19-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Kings have lost three of their past four overall to fall a half-game behind the Suns in the Pacific and will now be very motivated for a bounce back effort vs a side that they have covered against in 5 straight meetings . Note: The Suns have failed to cover 5 straight at home vs .500 or better opposition. 

Phoenix won the last meeting here back in mid January by a 119-117 count and Im betting on another close game here with the points in my humble opinion being golden.

SACRAMENTO is 21-9 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 12-2 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.PHOENIX is 5-13 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Both these teams can score in bunches, behind strong power plays. Both meetings this season have gone over the total with 9  and 10 goals scored. TAMPA BAY is 31-19 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

Note: I know Boston has strong goaltending but, Tampa Bay can light up the best of Goalies, and with the Bruins taking the 5th most penalties in the NHL the Bolts will Im betting get some opportunities to score. behind a power play at that converts  30% of its opportunities. Also Tampa Bays expected starter Andrei Vasilevskiy still at less than 100% after back surgery  and the Bruins behind a power play that converts at a 25.1 % rate will also bury some biscuits, . 

NHL Home teams against the total (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 53-26 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 64-36  OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

The Nuggets have a few days rest under their belts and will the have the legs to be physical in transition here v vs the Bucks. Meanwhile, with the Bucks big three of Middleton, Lilliard , and  Antetokounmpo banged up with various injuries and playing at less than 100% Im betting on a lower scoring affair. Note: The Bucks last 3 home tilts vs the Nuggets have stayed on the low side of the total. 

Denver ranks 6th in the NBA in ppg allowed, and just 18th in ppg on offense.

DENVER is 12-2 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.. DENVER is 15-7 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored. Nuggets have gone under in 9 of their L/11 overall. – The Nuggets have gone under in 6 straight non-conference away tilts  and have gone under in 5 straight  vs . .600  or better opposition. 

MILWAUKEE is 27-14 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.Only 1 of the Bucks last 8 games has eclipsed the total. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). are 31-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

Pelicans Zion Williamson will possibly miss this game or will play at less than 100% which should be a detriment to the New Orleans offense and with this being the Pelicans 4th straight road game the Bayou crew should be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun. Meanwhile. Memphis continues to be ravaged by injuries, and have now lost 8 straight and struggle on most nights to put points on the board. With that said, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed. 

 MEMPHIS is 7-0 UNDER in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

Note: Pelicans took a 93-84 decision at Portland last time out. Which sets in motion this key long term  league wide trend. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 37-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 215.1 ppg. 

Play Under

The Nuggets have a few days rest under their belts and will the have the legs to be physical in transition here v vs the Bucks and control their top tier opponents . Meanwhile, with the Bucks big three of Middleton(out), Lilliard , and  Antetokounmpo banged up with various injuries and playing at less than 100% Im betting the Nuggets have the edge.

MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Denver is 2-0 ATS L/2 vs Milwaukee as visitors. 

NBA Home underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 25-40 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SF barley got by both their opponents in the play offs, and despite of the vast array of talent have looked vulnerable of late especially on D, which is not a good omen going against the likes of super star QB Mahomes and company. ( Mahomes is 13-1 ATS L/13 as an underdog in his career )  Also the Chiefs D, has the stopping power to slow down the mighty 49ers offense, and here in the NFL championship game as the old adage goes Defense wins championships. We all know how good SF is behind RB Christian Macaffery but it must be noted that  KANSAS CITY is 10-1 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more  rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more  rushing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 7-3 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992. 

Play on KC to cover-Play as low as a pickem for Chiefs 

.My projections for this Super Bowl game total come in at the low to mid 50s. Im estimating both teams eclipse the 24 point plateau. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 OVER  when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 60.6 ppg. KANSAS CITY is 9-2 OVER in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 58.4 ppg scored.

Both these teams have solid defenses but both sides can make great defenses look average and thats what Im betting on in this big time tilt.

Shanahan is 9-2 OVER off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 54 ppg going on the board.

Reid is 10-1 OVER  in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 63.3 ppg scored.

KANSAS CITY is 11-3 OVER )in road games vs. sub average passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.5 ppg scored.

Play over

My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 230s giving us close 2 plus possession edge on the offered Total.

SACRAMENTO is 24-8 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 26-10 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons are 26-10 UNDER for a combined average of 231.3 ppg.  SACRAMENTO is 18-6 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 36-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (118 or more PPG) are 36-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Tulane has underachieved so far this season, especially considering the top tier talent on board ie 

Sion James, Jaylen Forbes and Kevin Cross. Im expecting this group to step up today in the underdog role and get us the cover vs Memphis side that has not  won by more than 8 points in over a month. 

MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season.

Hunter is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points as the coach of TULANE.

Tulane to cover

The Canucks have  lost consecutive games for only the third time this season and will primed for a big bounce back effort here today vs a Washington side that struggling to score consistently which is not a good omen vs one of the leagues most explosive offenses. Yesterday the Canucks blew a 3-1 lead and lost in OT to Detroit. Yes, they will be in a back to back situation, but are a well conditioned side that will play with the extra motivation of redemption on their plates.

VANCOUVER is 11-0 ATS against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Canucks are also  10-0 ATS after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game this season.

 NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (WASHINGTON) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 3-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Cleveland enters this game on a 8 game win streak behind a stingy D, that ranks 2nd in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. They go against a Raptors side playing back to back games after squeezing out a hard fought victory vs the Houston rockets last night. Considering the visiting  Cavaliers have redemption on their plate tonight for a loss they suffered on New Years day here in Toronto by a 124-121 count Im betting on a full court start to finish effort from the Cavs vs an exhausted side, playing for the 5th time in 7 days and off playing last night as mentioned above. 

CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-57 L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to covers 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Miami to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

Vancouver was shut out last time vs Boston, and have only scored more than 3 goals 1 time in their L/5. Yes, they have been an explosive offensive side this season, but all teams have lulls in production and Im betting thats the situation now as they play their 3rd straight game on the road and will be 3rd game in 5 days on tired legs. Meanwhile, the Detroit Red Wings Im betting will have a defensive mind set in play today vs a team they know can light up the board in a hurry. This Motown group has seen 6 of their L/8 games stay under the total.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game 35-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

 Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pelicans enter this  game ranked 9th in ppg allowed this season and 8th in defensive rating  and 17th in pace, while ranking 13thin offense. The Cajun birds   counter parts and hosts  tonight the Lakers rank 14th in offense ppg, and 20th in offensive rating, while ranking 6th in pace, which tells me that their not producing according to their tempo which bodes well here for a under bet cashing as my  projections estimate a combined score that does not beach the 231 point plateau giving us a one possession edge. 

Also the Lakers played last night so that high end pace could also slow significantly . Note: the Pelicans have gone under 7 straight times in  away tilts vs unrested conf opposition. Lakers have gone under at  home 7 of the L/8 times on back to back games and have gone under  in 6 of their L/6 at  home against the Pelicans. 

NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents which is the case entering this game. /the average combined ppg in these tilts rings in. at 190.8 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 UNDER  after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 16-4 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 33-16 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.7 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 225.3 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 227.1  ppg scored. 

Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the over

New York may be without star guard Jalen Brunson (ankle) and if he does play will be less than 100%. Meanwhile, Julius Randle (shoulder), OG Anunoby (elbow) and Quentin Grimes (knee) will sit out. This Im betting forces the Knicks to be more defensive minded in transition and  to slow play down. Also on the flip-side visiting Dallas will see super star Doncic play with a face guard on because of a broken nose, and this could easily play havoc with his offensive production . I know these teams played a high scoring affair, last time they played with Dallas taking a 128-124 count but it must be noted that   NEW YORK is 7-0 UNDER in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213.2  ppg scored. Thibodeau is 35-14 UNDER  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of NEW YORK with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored in those 49 games.

DALLAS is 27-14 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored.

NEW YORK is 22-12 UNDER  sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. 

NYK has gone under in  L7 home games  vs Dallas.

Play on the under

 The Bruins had won seven of their previous eight games and have lost  just twice in regulation to Western Conference teams all season (12-2-5) before what coach Jim Montgomery called a "poor" effort against Calgary. Im now betting on a big bounce for the Bruins tonight vs visiting Vancouver.  BOSTON is 11-0 ATS in home games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. (Boston was upset by Calgary by a 4-1 count at home last time out and will now be ready for redemption vs a top tier side)

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 14-3 ATS against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 6-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Trojans (9-13, 3-8 Pac-12) Im betting cover tonight  as they go for their  12th consecutive victory over the Golden Bears (9-13, 5-6).including  6 game winning run at  Haas Pavilion. Even if the Bears some how find a way to win Im betting it wont come easily thus our best investment option here is to take the points. I know its been a down year for the Trojans, but back on Jan 3 they beat the Bears 82-74 as 7.5 point favs and now with a close to 10 point turnaround on the line, Im betting we have a value side to back with the visitors. 

Play on USC to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

Miami played instate Orlando last night in a win and will now be on tired legs in a back to back situation that has also seen them play 3 games in 4 nights . Now against a  hard working group of Spurs lead by first year  phenom  Victor Wembanyama that have covered 12 of their L/18 overal the Heat will Im betting not have enough gas to get the cover here in this spot play l. 

 aNote: MIAMI is 0-7 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.The /series visitor is 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series and the Heat are 1-10 ATS L/11 playing at home with no rest. 

MIAMI is 4-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a home win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 37-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

Utah has had a viable season, and have proven themselves over and over again, and against quality sides like the Thunder they almost always seem to bring their A game  to the court , as is evident by the following trends. UTAH is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UTAH is 22-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Yes, I know that they have lost both games to Oklahoma City this season, but now with added motivation of double revenge Im betting that the magic of three will pay off for them tonight. In the recent past the Jazz have been strong bets in revenge mode, as is once again evident by the following trends. UTAH is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season  is 12-2 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season. The Jazz have not been covering with consistency of late, losing 3 straight before a cover in a win last time out, but in past this has been a good omen for their betting backers as UTAH is 18-3 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 46-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

St.Joes to cover

The Magic travel into Miami a winner in three straight and in four of the last five, while their hosts have 2 of 3 after a long drought.  The Magic took the most recent matchup on Jan. 21, grabbing 105-87 victory after the Heat won the Jan. 12 contest 99-96 and the Dec. 20 meeting 115-106. Im now betting on the hungry Heat to come out of this with a win in a cover at home where they have won the last 5 meetings against this sunshine state rivals. 

NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are just 4-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Miami to cover

Buffalo has won 2 straight by 2 more more goals but this has not been a good omen for them in the recent past as the Sabres are  0-7 ATS in home games after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons and are just  4-17 ATS off a win or tie in their previous game this season.

Dallas  has won three straight and 4 of their L/5 and destroyed the Sabres late last season by a 10-4 count, and according to my matchup power rankings still matchup very well here vs the home side .  

The Stars rank third in the NHL in goals per game (3.69) and faceoff winning percentage (54.4) entering the resumption of reg season play after the all star break. They also won the league's sixth-best penalty kill (82.9 percent) and among the west conference top teams. On the flipside  the Sabres are now without  key cogs in the lineup as defenseman Mattias Samuelsson (upper body) ruled out for the rest of the season and forward Jack Quinn expected to be sidelined 6-8 weeks after he had surgery for a lower-body injury.

Buffalo is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing DallasBuffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas.

NHL team against the money line (BUFFALO) - after a 2 game unbeaten streak, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season in the second half of the season are 63-118 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to win 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SOUTHERN U is 10-1 ATS vs sub standard  teams - shooting 42% or worse with a defense of 45%  or better over the last 2 seasons.

JACKSON ST is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SOUTHERN U) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 100-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors

Play on Southern to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The 76ers played a lazy brand of D in their L/ game vs the Brooklyn Nets losing by a 136-121 count as home favs . HC Nurse was not happy with his teams Defensive efforts,. note:Nurse is 12-1 UNDER  in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. Also from my perspective it was the Sixers first game back home after a grueling 5 game road trip out west and they were jet lagged. Now rested after sleeping on their own beds  I expect tonights host to come out here with alot more fire especially in defensive  transition, and this Im betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the offering. 

Also lots of key offensive cogs are expected to miss this game for both sides and if they do play see limited action as they are less 100%. 

Doncic for Dallas is questionable and Kyrie Irving is dealing with a thumb sparain and Embiid for 76ers is ruled out. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 35-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s. I know Memphis has a boatload full of injuries but some of the G league players that have been called up will be more than ready to prove themselves with all out performances, that Im betting lead to a much higher scoring out put than the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile the well rested Celtics will be trying to avoid back-to-back home losses. Boston is  off one of its worst performances of the campaign, losing 114-105  at home  to the Los Angeles Lakers, who played without Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Now Im betting on all out bounce back performance that could see a merciless amount of offensive production go on the board here vs a sub par Memphis side. 

BOSTON is 25-13 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.

Jenkins is 28-15 OVER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 55-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with a combined average 229.7 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots 27-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a conversion rate of 87% with a combined average of 231.6 ppg. 

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

Play on the over

This might seem like a hefty  chalk selection, but it must be noted that the Hornets , have lost by DDs in 3 of their L/4 overall  at home. With that said, in this spot against a hungry Indiana team off a 3 straight losses they could find themselves as punching bags for a frustrated and redemption minded group that can light up the board in a hurry. CHARLOTTE is 4-19 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons the average ppf diff clicking in at -13.5 . Charlotte is 0-5 SU L/5 overall with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.8. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. ( Indiana beat Charlotte 144-113 earlier this season. )

Play on Pacers to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This is do or die for Villanova, their season is all but over until the Big East Tournament if they don't grab a start to finish win here and get some momentum on their sides.  Note:

Villanova is 6-0 ATS as hosts with three-plus days of rest and in  double revenge-exact  mode from their previous season.

Play on Villanova to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Rider to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

The Hawks do not matchup well vs the visiting Golden State Warriors according to my preferred head to head power ratings data base  as is evident by the following  negative trends :ATLANTA is 0-11 ATS versus teams like the Warriors who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 0-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. The Hawks have also shown a lack of consistency and the ability able to build momentum. Last time out Atlanta upset the Suns as 3.5 dogs and grabbed the SU victory. But these kinds of efforts have not been a recipe for success for their betting backers in the recent past as they are a bankroll depleting 1-11 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons. Also from a SRS perspective the Warriors are the superior side, despite of their sub par record- as Golden State ranks 13th with a + 1.21 mark while the Hawks ranks 23rd with a - 2.58. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Snyder is 8-20 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ATLANTA.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pelicans wrap up a four-game road trip on tired legs here tonight after playing Milwaukee, Boston and Houston and Im betting they will not be in any condition to run and gun  against a another tired side, that is trying to focus on playing a more solid type of D, behind french phenom Wembanyama. Advantage to the under on this offered totals number.

.NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER   after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons wih a combined average of 226 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 11-1 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 23-9 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 UNDER  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 49-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play under

The Thunder are superior side, in this matchup vs the visiting Hornets but because of the obvious attention OkCity get from the public the lines attached to their games are sometimes a little skewed , as is what Im betting is the case here this evening. Note: Hornets 4-0 SU/  5-0 L5 ATS  vs Thunder while Oklahoma City has failed to cover 5 of their L/6 vs .333 or less  non-conference foes. After back to back hard fought battles against Minnesota and Denver, this could easily be a letdown spot for the home side vs a sub par team Im sure they are not overly concerned with beating. 

NBA Road underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights. are 39-13 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The visiting Pacers played hard in the 2nd half against the Celtics last time out, and despite of the late rally fell by a 129-125 count, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a under rated opponent that are up-trending in my power rankings and currently on a 8 game win streak.  NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is  also 20-9 ATS as a favorite this season and are  14-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS L/16 ) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season and 12-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.NEW YORK is 21-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.

NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 33-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in February games are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

From a SRS perspective the NYK are the superior side. The NY Knicks rank 5th in the NBA with 5.58 mark while the Pacers rank 11th at 1.87.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Play on NY Knicks to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB  teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, on Wednesday games are 28-6 OVER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Home teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, on Wednesday games are 38-9 OVER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on the OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Providence to cover

My projections estimate this total to be closer to the 231 plus giving us more than possession value on this number. 

SAN ANTONIO is 19-6 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 OVER  as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored.

ORLANDO in 9 games  versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 120+ points/game this season have seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a sub par team (25% or less) are 29-5 OVER L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.3 ppg going on the board.

Play over

Orlando is not a solid fav here as they are just 3-8 SU in their L/11 games. Meanwhile, their opponents the Spurs are showing improvement as they season has progressed especially from a betting perspective as is evident  by covering  11 of their L/15 trips to the hardwood and have also  captured 2 of their L/3 games SU. Considering the Magic are off a heart breaking loss to Dallas by a  131-129 Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown spot vs a young team that is gaining momentum and playing with confidence of late. Giving us an edge with the home side taking points. Spurs have covered 5 of the L/6 vs the Magic. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Spurs to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Missouri State to cover

Cleveland against lower tier teams like Detroit have a tendency of really playing hardcore D . Note CLEVELAND is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or worse) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg while allowing their opposition just 98.9 ppg in offensive production. Also CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 210.1 ppg scored . 

Detroit last time out pulled off a huge upset vs the Oklahoma City and will now Im betting will  be in a letdown spot . Note:DETROIT in their L/13 off a double digit win as a home underdog of 6 more have scored an average of just 96.7 ppg. 

Cleveland is also off a big DD win at home  vs the LA Clippers last time out.CLEVELAND is 15-3 UNDER   in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg while once again not allowing their opposition to eclipse the 100 point plateau while allowing an average of just 98.3 ppg in offense. 

The Pistons have gone under in 6  straight vs the Cavaliers. .

The Cavs  have gone under in 12 of their L/13 vs .300 or less  opposition and have gone under  9 of their L/10 division home games  and another score that does not eclipse the total is what Im betting will be a high probability outcome.

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

Both sides are playing decent hockey at the moment, and are scoring goals with consistency, but both defenses remains vulnerable especially in division play  . For example The Sharks have allowed an average of 4.7 gpg in 15 division matches this season , while the Kraken have allowed an  average  3 goals per game on 31.4 shots per game. My projections estimate 6 plus goals here tonight. 

SEATTLE is 5-0 OVER  against horrible offensive teams - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. 

 SAN JOSE is 14-5 OVER  against poor defensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or more  pp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 26-13 OVER  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. 

Home teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 29-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Michigan to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Play under

The Celtics have revenge on board for a 133-131 loss they suffered to Indiana on Jan 8th just a couple of days after beating up on the Pacers by a 118-101 count in the same road venue. Now Im betting on a very focused effort by the Celtics here at home where they have won 9 of the L/10 meetings vs the Pacers. Note: G Haliburton expected to return to the court tonight for the Pacers , but I doubt he is ready to play alot of minutes after missing a substantial amount of time. 

Boston is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home.  

Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under