The Guardians improved their road record to 8-2 with Monday's 6-0  win at Fenway and have obvious momentum entering this game vs their hosts the BoSox.  Note: BOSTON is 8-17  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 15-32  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

BOSTON is 2-14  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Cleveland starter BIBEE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 18-41 L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB  Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 60-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Kings are playing great hockey right now have won 5 of their L/6, and have dominated tonights competition the Wild this season, beating them by 7-3 and 6-0 counts. Meanwhile, Minny has lost 4 of their L/6 while allowing 21 goals despite of a road win vs lowly San Jose last time out  , and things could easily roll out of control here in LA tonight  as Goalie Gustavsson is set to start. He owns a  . 898 save percentage and minus-6.0 goals saved above expected, and has lost his last three trips to the golden pond. The Kings have won by 2 goals or more in 6 of their L/8 home victories and get the nod again in this spot play situation. 

Play on the LA Kings -1.5 to win  

Right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-2, 7.20 ERA),  will start Monday's game for Colorado and is fade material in his current form.  I know Philadelphia has scored more than five runs in a game just once this year, and the offense has looked inconsistent, but this is a major break out situation for the Phillies. Quote: "We have to get going offensively, which I think we will. I don't think that's a question at all," said Turner, per the Press of Atlantic City. "I feel like we're in a good spot, and we'll get rolling." EndQuote:

Phillies starter Aaron Nola (2-1, 4.50 ERA) and this will be his fourth start this season for the Phillies. The right-hander allowed two runs on three hits in six innings in the Phillies 4-3 victory  last week against the Cardinals in St. Louis and gets my backing in this spot play. 

COLORADO is 4-40  against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.2 which easily quaflies on this run-line offering. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-40 L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.1. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline 

Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and  aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count)

CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2)

Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question)

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

Play over

The series finale is expected to see two right-handers go to the hill as  the Cubs'  send Javier Assad (1-0, 1.64 ERA) against the Mariners' Luis Castillo (0-3, 6.89).Assad, has looked good in his  two starts this season winning a 12-2 event on April 2 hosting the  Colorado Rockies , while  throwing six scoreless innings. On Monday on the road vs San Diego, he left with a six-run lead after five innings  of top tier work in a game the Cubs eventually blew by a  9-8 count.Meanwhile, Seattles starter Castillo, who owns a  7-5 record along  with a 3.64 ERA in 17 career starts against the Cubs, has given up four earned runs in each of his first three starts of the season, and has looked a little shaky  as has  failed to last more than 5 2/3 innings in those starts.Note: CASTILLO is 6-11  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Cubs.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - struggling  NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are just 30-13 L/5 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s giving us a substantial edge on this totals offering to the over. In a recent meeting these teams combined for 238 points, and even though both teams may rest starters tonight Im betting on a loose game with very little physical defensive action which will help propel this score to higher limits than the linesmkaers expect.

HOUSTON L/33 games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. HOUSTON L/29 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER  in April games this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS L/22 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season have seen a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 2219.5 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

This season, the Dodgers have won 10 out of the 16 games, for a  62.5%, conversion rate  when they have been favored. 

The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. and added league wide trends support an even higher probability of victory.

Padres starter  Waldron has-seen his team loes his only start as an underdog this season.Waldron's team is 0-2 when he starts this season. and Im betting nothing changes today as my early season pitcher vs batting order projections estimate that the Dodgers matchup very well against him.

ROBERTS is 73-24  against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a one run loss to opponent, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

The Canadiens have struggled against the Senators over the past few seasons, losing eight straight to their division rivals, all in regulation, while being outscored 40-18. They haven't defeated Ottawa since March 19, 2022 and Im betting nothing changes today vs a Ottawa team with momentum after  two victory  in a three-game road trip, including a 3-2 shootout win against the Tampa Bay Lightning this past  Thursday,Montreal has gone 15-36 when oddsmakers have made them underdogs of +134 or more on the money-line. MONTREAL is 5-23 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at -1.8. 

Play on Ottawa to win

After winning eight of nine, the Rangers are coming off consecutive regulation losses for the first time since Jan. 18-20. The last loss came to the Islanders in a contest the Rangers felt that they were being targeted with vicious hits. Lots a bad blood and revenge on board for a Rangers team that would love to also derail the Islanders play off hopes. NY RANGERS are 16-3 ATS   revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.NY RANGERS are 10-0 ATS  in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season. With their top power play defenseman out ( Dobson) the Isles are in a disadvantageous position. 

Play on the Rangers to win 

Both these sides do not inspire bettors, but one side has an edge here. The Flames matchup well vs a  Ducks  team that have a recent history of struggling vs aggressive offense sides like Calgary. Note:ANAHEIM is 4-26 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 3-21 ATS )in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better  - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (ANAHEIM) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a win by 2 goals or more are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.(Ducks took a rare win last time out by a 3-1 count vs the Kings). 

Play on the Flames to win 

Minnesota ended  a four-game losing streak by recording a 3-2 victory vs the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, but their offensive inconsistencies give cause for pause when believing they may be ready to get going in a positive direction. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense has shown flashes of brilliance and according to my power rankings matches up well against the Lopez the Twins expected starter . After yesterdays cancellation and their Day off on Wednesday the Tigers are well rested and ready for a top tier effort. 

 MINNESOTA is 6-23  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better  over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 29-13   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Home teams (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 26-8 L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win

Im betting these NY NBA rivals play a fairly wide open game tonight that I project will be higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting . I know Brooklyn will be short handed overall but their replacements will be playing loose and  looking for extended contracts, so I expect aggressive action. Meanwhile, the Knicks offense has been hitting on all cylinders, and according to my numbers will exceed the 120 point plateau in this event , even though they played last night in a win vs the Celtics. (. NYK has put 122, 128, and 118 points on the board  in their L/3 tilts) Even in a letdown situation, and with the Nets playing short handed we should get over this exaggerated totals offering. 

NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in 44 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 37-18 OVER   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN iin 43 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season have seen a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.BROOKLYN i n 36  road games this season has seen a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.BROOKLYN in 43 games  revenging a loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.NEW YORK  in 39 home games this season has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 53-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

Play over

Winnipeg has won 4 straight games, and are very offensively productive during this run! However, the Stars goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage during that span and is obviously in top form and hard to score on. Winnipeg puck stopper Hellebuyck is also starting to gear up in top form as the play offs approach, going 3-0-0 over his past three starts with a 2.31 GAA and a .935 save percentage. 

WINNIPEG is 8-1 L/9 UNDER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 goals per game scored. 

Dallas is 5-1 UNDER in their L/6 games.

The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have not seen more than 5 goals scored.

Play under

My. projections estimate a total closer to 224  which give us a more than 2 possession value on this offering to the over. The Bulls know they will play the Atlanta Hawks  as the Nos. 9 and 10 seeds in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. Meanwhile,  the Pistons have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games and have nothing left to play for so they will play loose here tonight. With that said, Im betting there will be a lack of  physical intensity defensively tonight and a more wide open game most likely will be on the agenda which signifies a higher scoring output than expected by the linesmakers.

NBA team (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 63-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the board.

Play on the over

New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYM +1.5  runline 

New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYM +1.5  runline 

The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament.  It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. 

LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS   in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Suns to cover

ARIZONA is 1-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-14 ATS road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

 NHL Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (ARIZONA) - playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 1-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate. 

Canucks have won their L/4 meetings at home in this series. 

Play on the Canucks to win 

Left-hander Cody Bradford (2-0, 2.13 ERA), who was co-Most Outstanding Player of the 2018 Big 12 Tournament with Langelier's when both played at Baylor, will be on the mound for Texas on Wednesday. He will be primed to end the Rangers 3 game losing streak which came at the hands of the Houston Astros. I know the As have won 3 straight, but Im betting their over matched in this tilt as  as they send Right-hander Ross Stripling (0-2, 3.75 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Rangers

OAKLAND is 17-59  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - off a one run loss versus a division rival are 61-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on Rangers to win 

The Baltimore offense, smashed out 13 hits during a 7-1 win over Boston on Tuesday in the series opener and now Im betting they roll here again today vs the Red Sox starter  Crawford. Note: Red Sox starter CRAWFORD is 3-12  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CRAWFORD is 2-9  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 2-13  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CORA is 11-23  against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival as the manager of BOSTON

MLB  Road teams (BALTIMORE) - off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win 

 The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent  5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However,  now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 .

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long.  ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI)

HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

We all know that the Magic thrive in defensive type games, but Im betting tonight the run and gun Rockets who rank 11th in pace in the league will force them into a faster paced game, which will result in a combined score that eclispes this offering. Houston allows an average of 113 plus points per game on the season, and Im betting the Magic hitting that plateau while the Rockets chase that same output  here at home tonight . 

ORLANDO is 16-6 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. ORLANDO iL/59 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or worse this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.  HOUSTONs L/25 games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 239 ppg go on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 222.1 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 55-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 29-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored.

Play over

Mets upset Atlanta yesterday and now Im betting on. big bounce back effort from the Braves. Mets starter HOUSER is 0-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600. Lopez allowed one run over six innings on April 2, when the Braves lost 3-2 to the Chicago White Sox. He is 1-2 with a 3.77 ERA in six games (two starts) vs. the Mets and according to my early season power rankings matchs up well vs the Mets offensive lineup. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher against opponent off a one run win over a division rival are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves

The streaky Isles, are  on a 4 game win streak, but non of the victories were easy, as  all came  by two goals or fewer, and here today agains their rivals the balanced Rangers Im betting things will ramp up to be even more difficult. I know the Islanders are in a fight for their play off lives, but the Rangers will be equally motivated to stop their rivals  opportunity for post season play. 

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season.NY RANGERS are 21-6 ATS   against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season.NY RANGERS are 20-9 ATS against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NY RANGERS are 7-0 ATS  in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Rangers have won 2 of their L/3 visits to Long Island.

Play on the NY Rangers ML

These are two teams playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum.The White Sox,  are 1-9 on the season , and  have been shut out four times already. Meanwhile,The Guardians won the series opener 4-0 on Monday vs the Pale Hose and are now  8-2 on the season and deserve respect here on a runline bet as they have won their L/4 by 2 runs or more. Note: Cleveland starter Allen (2-0, 2.31 ERA) so far this season  and he looked exremely proficient  in a  8-0 road victory over the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday,going  6 2/3 shutout innings. He;ll be a hard nut to crack here, vs a Pale Hose offense averaging just 1.8 rpg via a ugly .196 BA.

CLEVELAND is 29-9  in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2 runs per game. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CONNECTICUT is 9-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 141.3 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 UNDER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg going on the score board.

CONNECTICUT is 8-2 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored. UConn has gone under in 9 of their L/10 games, and their defense has held 10 of their 11 opponents under their season offensive average. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 47-27 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Very reasonable number for the UConn Huskies to cover as they are a side that can shut down the Boilermakers big man  Edey.

The Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to below  their season offensive average. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season with the average ppg clicking at +19. 

Play on UConn to cover

The Rangers have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 loss to the Astros. 

The Astros have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win. 

Im betting the Rangers bouncing back here today.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rangers to win 

Mariners starter CASTILLO  in 6 road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 6.6 rpg going on the board. 

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.BERRIOS is 11-2 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board.

Play on the under

The White Sox come into this game having dropped four straight games to the Royals, and in their current form are fade material. Chicago ,has lost four straight to open the season, is 1-8 overall and 0-7 against the American League Central.

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Guardians to cover -1.5

The Astros offense has looked very inconsistent to start the season, and   only managed two runs, in. a lopsided loss to the Rangers yesterday. Im betting things will not change today as the Rangers side averaging 6.5 runs while their pitching is giving up just 3.38 runs per tilt. I know the Astros Blanco had a top tier outing last time out, but Im betting on regression here against a scoring offense that is not easily shut down. 

BOCHY is 7-0  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. BOCHY is 17-4 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of TEXAS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

The Heat are  currently playing a top tier brand of hoops  and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers .

The Heat are  a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. 

MIAMI is 17-7 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 46-69 ATS  in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Two explosive offenses go head to head here against two average looking pitchers Sale and Nelson. The first two games of this series went over the Total, and Im betting on more offensive fireworks today. Nelson current form lends credence to a a short outing which is not a good omen for the a Arizona bullpen that is currently overworked. 

ARIZONA is 28-12 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER  as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored.

ATLANTA is 25-12 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER  in home games in April games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. 

Play on the over

Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D,  while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me.  CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS  in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.

Play on Uconn

The Rays will send out Tyler Alexander in the starter role on Saturday He is just  11-23 in his career with a 4.44 ERA over 121 games (43 starts) Feltner the Rockies starter also does not give credence to a stellar Rockies pitching performance. However, Im betting home field advantage here will be the difference maker at least from a competitive perspective, which makes taking the runline an advantageous situation. The Rockies took a walk off 10-7 win yesterday and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question. Its early into my wagering campaign, and at this point in the season, insurance via the runline is always a key option until teams get into a more predictable groove.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after allowing 10 runs or more are just 8-24 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or worse) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA  4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 53-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado +1.5 

isles are still in the play off race , or at least they are on paper, but despite of needing this game badly, are a team that can not be trusted to be consistent or play up their abilities or needs on any given night. Also according to my projections they do matchup well against the Predators. 

NASHVILLE is 23-12 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 5-0 ATS   after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season winning those games by an average of +2.4 gpg. (Preds smashed the Blues last time out 6-3)

The New York Islanders have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-14.35 Units / -12% ROI)

Nashville is 5-0 SU/L5 vs the Isles dating back three seasons and have won their L/2 visits to Long Island. 

Play on the Nashville Predators to win on the ML

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

PURDUE is 8-0 UNDER  in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored.

NC STATE is 6-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 138.9 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 104-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored. 

Play under

The Cubs have won 5 straight including yesterdays 9-7 win vs the Dodgers at home in Wrigley and must not be underestimated in this abilities to pull off the underdog win here today. Considering Chicago has scored 35 runs over its first four home games its not a stretch to believe they can make short work of Yamamoto (0-1, 7.50 ERA) the Dodgers starter. Note: This Dodgers squad faces Chicago left-hander Jordan Wicks (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who will make his first career start against Los Angeles . Dating back to last season his team has won his last 3 starts. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4   against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-29 L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 19-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Cubs

Saturday marks the conclusion of the two-game season series between the teams. The Lakers beat Cleveland 121-115 back on Nov. 25.Note:CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. It must be noted that the key LAL cogs James and Anthony are banged up and less than 100% and if they play will be on limited minutes. As far as seeding goes James has said hes not worried about seeding so its obvious he wont push himself here to over extend his body as the playoffs approach. Advantage to Cleveland getting points.

CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATS   off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.

LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS  off a road win this season.Ham is 9-27 ATS  off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS.

Cleveland to cover

As starter Blackburn is a quality pitcher, but the Tigers offense according to my early season power rankings matches up well against him and even better vs the Motown pedestrian bullpen.What Im betting here is that the Tigers get serviceable innings out of Maeda their expected starter and quality bull pen group , and also  thanks to a sometimes explosive offense find a way to the promised land. 

OAKLAND is 3-33  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 18-44  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 3-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win 

The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without  the often injured Towns.  These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. 

Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Play on Suns to cover 

Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks  team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks  group and grabs the victory. 

NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Bulls to win /cover

When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. 

Play on the Celtics to cover

Rockies starter GOMBER is 15-9  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) along with a +0.5 rpg diff in those 24 tilts which qualifies in this RL offering. Note:Gomber got the start in the Rockies' only win this season. Meanwhile TBs starter LITTELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.50. Colorado has struggled out of the gate, but now get to come home and play in the friendly confines of Coors Field for the first time this season. Im betting they are competitive today and cover the runline.

COLORADO is 9-1  in home games after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-5 L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 52-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado +1.5 

From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home  111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. 

DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. 

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

According to my projections the current totals offering is of by close to 2 possession which favors an over bet between the visiting 76ers and their hosts the Heat. Even the slightest edge will end up being a long term profitable approach to betting the NBA .

I know both sides run at a slower pace, but in what the linesmakers are expecting a close competitive game eclipsing the total is a viable opportunity as my projections estimate both sides will score +107 points.

The 76ers defensive rating registers at  115.2 (12th of 30) Net Rtg: +2.3 (14th of 30)

The Heats defensive rating registers at :112.8 (6th of 30) Net Rtg: +1.5 (16th of 30)

PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 OVER   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored.

Spoelstra is 82-59 OVER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-27 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average of 233.8 ppg scored over the 87 game  sample.

Play over

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 47-26 OVER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

  Panthers coach Paul Maurice said recently about his teams recent down efforts . " It's going to be a grinder. ... We've got a good chunk of adversity right now, and part of it will be the panic that will set in outside the room." End Quote: Im betting now in panic /desperation mode we see the well conditioned and speedy Panthers in top form tonight vs the Sens. The key will reside behind Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky who  is 33-17-3 this season with a 2.46 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage.

It must be noted that Florida won the first two meetings of the season series with Ottawa. The Panthers blanked the Senators 5-0 on Nov. 27 and won 3-2 in overtime on Feb. 20.

FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS  when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 2 season.FLORIDA is 43-9 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Panthers to win 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Coyotes have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs the Canucks.Considering the Canucks have won 6 of the last 7 games against the Coyotes, and  still motivated as they  play for playoff seeding, they very much look like the right side vs a non play off side.

ARIZONA is 1-19 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Vancouver to win 

Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. 

Play on Indiana to cover

Red Sox expected starter Pivetta  owns a 1.50 ERA and 15.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .143 against him this season so far. 

He will go to the hill against an Athletics offense that is batting .195 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .323 (24th in MLB).

Meanwhile, the As expected starter Stripling owns a  7.20 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .318 against him. The opposing Red Sox offense has a .244 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 53 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 28 runs scored. 

Advantage Red Sox 

 The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 62% so we have an edge their according to projections. The A's have come away with one win in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season and Im betting this will be their 6th failure.

The Oakland Athletics have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 157 games (-31.10 Units / -20% ROI)

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win 

Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs  Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI)

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

The BoSox look to be in a groove and have won their last two games by a 14-1 combined count including yesterday 9-0 shellacking of Oakland. Im betting on a rinse and repeat W going on the board today. Note:  BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also MLB  favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

OAKLAND is 10-30  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Boston to win

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Seton Hall Im betting will be ready to make this into a grinding defensive affair. Also after the big offensive output last tine out Im betting on regression from the Pirates.  

SETON HALL is 21-8 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better .

GEORGIA is 10-3 UNDER  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. 

GEORGIA is 10-1 UNDER  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season

SETON HALL is 25-13 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog are 165-108 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate .

CBB  Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 110-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

The Pens were defeated  5-2 after the Devils scored four unanswered goals in Pittsburgh on Nov. 16, then flunked out in  another 5-2 defeat during a lazy loss at Prudential Center last month. Its obvious to me the Devils matchup well against Pittsburgh and get the nod here again tonight. It must also be noted that the Pens are in a back to back road game  situation which has not been a good omen for them in recent seasons. PITTSBURGH is 1-10 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road underdogs against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are just 15-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NJ Devils to win 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

"Undoubtedly, Coach [Vadal] Peterson has instructed his group to slow down the pace and stress possession at all times vs a run and gun Sycamores side. The Utah game  plan  of defense first disciplined slow down hoops Im betting  wont deviate today as they will have to deal  with  a raucous environment at the Hinkle Filed House in Indiana this Tuesday night . This gives us an edge towards a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers  expect. 

UTAH is 36-19 UNDER  L/54 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 130.0 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (INDIANA ST) - in a tournament game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 107-60 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Scored 85 in a 85-81 vs Cincinnati last time out). 

Play under

 BoSox starter Houck had great control in the spring, issuing just three walks in 15 innings. He went 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five appearances, striking out 16 and gets the nod today according to my matchup projections vs the Oakland As. 

Oakland had started their season  losing 3 straight games to the Cleveland Guardians by a total score of 26-7 , but bounced back last time out with a walk of walk to grab a win. Im now betting on immediate regression vs what is a superior side.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win

These teams split their first two games this season, with each team winning at home. St. Louis won 6-3 on Feb. 15 behind Jordan Binnington's 35 saves, and Edmonton pulled out a 3-2 overtime victory on Feb. 28, with Stuart Skinner stopping 32 shots. Now with play off elimination nearing the Blues will be pulling out the stops here to try to pull off the upset vs a top tier side they seem to matchup well against. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 20-11 L/27 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +0.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering .

Play on the Blues +1.5 puckline 

. The Astros stranded 34 baserunners and finished 8-for-41 with runners in scoring position in their season opening four game sweep at the hands of the Yankees and Im betting based on my projections  they continue to have issues today vs the Jays pitching staff. HOUSTON is 23-9 UNDER  in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 27-13 UNDER  vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined averag of 7.7 rpg scored. 

MLB  teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TORONTO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams who had good records (54% to 62%) from last season are 29-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under

***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the  No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends:  Atlanta is   11-28 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and  11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just  3-11 ATS  against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

After winning the first two games of this series by 2 runs or more  , the Dodgers flunked out last night as the  Cardinals beat Dodgers 6-5 in 10 innings after Betts homered in the ninth. That was nice dramatic win for the Cards, but now in a emotional let down state vs a redemption minded side playing at home on national TV, Im betting for the Dodgers to make a statement in a bounce back situation. Note: Dating back to last season The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+22.85 Units / 13% ROI)

LA DODGERS are 47-19 SU after a loss over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9  which qualifies on this runline offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 runline 

 The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season. 

Play on 
Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Purdue and Tennessee previously squared off in the early part of the season as part of the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers managed to sneak away with a 71-67 victory and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat of that final here today.

TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Purdue to PURDUE is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.

Purdue to cover

The Royals' offense is not visible yet  scoring just one run in each of their first two games. Kansas City has just 10 total hits so far this season and  im betting their struggles continue today vs the Twins who matchup well vs the Royals starter Singer who in two starts against the Twins last season, allowed 10 runs in 7 2/3 innings. KANSAS CITY is 9-23   against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 3-18  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Twins to win

Stroman/Brown probable pitching matchup projects a strong pitcher advantage vs  opposing offensive production . Same holds true with active  bullpen probables  Edge to the under

NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEE L/8 games   as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

NY YANKEES L/102 night games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined aerage of 8 rpg scored. .

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NYY/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 63-24 UNDER with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

Play to the under

The Islanders kept their play off hopes alive, last time out with a big win vs Florida. But in my opinion it was more of a Panthers letdown rather than the Islanders abilities. In their  usual inconsistent fashion Im now betting that the Islanders cant get the job done tonight and that TB get the W. Note: The Bolts beat the Islanders on Long Island 4-2 back in late Feb. NY ISLANDERS are 0-6 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season.

TAMPA BAY is 3-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS in Tampa Bay over the last 3 seasons and get the nod again. The last two games saw the Lightning out-score the Isles by a 11-1 count. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Connecticut has held 9 of their L/10 opponents to their season low point production average and Im betting nothing changes today. Illinois shoots strong downtown trey action, and defends the trey well, and so does UConn. What Im betting here is that alot of this game is played on the inside, and will be brutally physical and also lower scoring than the linesmkaers are expecting.  

CONNECTICUT is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored.

CONNECTICUT in 9 games when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons have held their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as an underdog are 91-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80%or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 190-126 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored.

Play on UNDER 

Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics  try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday.  Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W,  that their  tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home.  Its obvious to me that the Celtics are  having some regressionary  algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games.  Pelicans are  7-0 ATS  L7 vs .700 or better  opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Play on Pelicans to cover

The first two games of this series saw 10 runs per games scored (both tilts) and Im projecting on the magic of 3 to hit for us today, based on the pitcher/bullpen/batting lineup projections. 

TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-7 OVER (+13.0 Units) in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. 

MLB team (TORONTO) - off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival, first 12 games of the season, playoff team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 41-13 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

Play over

Los Angeles, their first three pitchers gave up a combined nine earned runs in the Thursday game but my projections estimate a   much better all around effort here today from the pitching staff (starter/bullpen). Meanwhile, on offense the  Angels could only squeeze out couple of hits and three walks, and my early season projections estimate more production problems against the Orioles starters/bullpen. Edge to the under.

BALTIMORE is 31-18 UNDER  at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

MLB eam (BALTIMORE) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversin rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in 7.5 rpg. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Its interesting to note that Duke is 21-0 when forcing teams to hit fewer than 46% from the floor. Houston only hits 43.4% of its shots this season, and after their huge output last time out, scoring 100 points to beat Texas A&M while shooting 51.8% from the floor Im expecting on  regression. I know that Houstons top tier D, will be formidable but Duke and can also play a strong brand of D .In a game I have pegged at close to a pickem Im betting we have great value with the Blue Devils. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Play on Duke to cover

Rodon/Javier expected starters- my projections estimate we have value with an under wager between two stop tier sides.  NY YANKEES are 49-30 UNDER  as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. 

HOUSTON is 24-8 UNDER when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored.  BOONE is 36-22 UNDER ( as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (/HOUSTON/NY YANKEES) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 61-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.

Play under

The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover  and are just  11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb.   With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them  seventh in the NBA.

LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS  off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1  ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Iowa State owns a staunch D, but if they had one weakness its their 3 point defense. Illinois is a top tier downtown stopping group, and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker between two teams that sink 35% plus of their treys. 

ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42%  or less this season.

ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Duquesne. 

Im betting we have some runline value with this game based on my projections. Note:BELLO is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE in his career with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636.

SERVAIS is 55-58  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 as the manager of SEATTLE with a just a 0.2 rpg diff advantage. 

MLB team against a 1.5 run line (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on boston +1.5 runline 

Colorado had a 9 game win streak end last time out vs Montreal in a 2-1 loss thanks to some stellar Habs goaltending.  I know the Rangers are also playing well, but redemption Im betting is at hand for the Avs tonight, as they come out looking for revenge for a 2-1 loss suffered art MSG back in Feb. COLORADO is 18-3 ATS   in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.COLORADO is 10-0 ATS   in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.COLORADO is 21-4 ATS  in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season

Play on Avalanche ML 

Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are  0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on New Orleans 

Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive foireworsk of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total.

BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER  in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on under

Dodgers took part in a high scoring affair last time out ( week ago) where 26 combined runs were scored and now Im betting on immediate regression. This Cards first game of the regular season, and facing a top tier pitcher in Glasnow projects to be average at best production event. 

Dodgers starter GLASNOW iin his last 18 appearances  as a favorite of -175 to -250 . (Team's Record) has seen a combined score of 6.1 rpg scored. 

Cards expected starter MIKOLAS is 9-1 UNDER   on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

The Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns 117-107 here at home the last time they played and now the defending champs will be out for redemption and to send a message that they are not to be disrespected. Note: Nuggets are on a 13-1 SU as hosts  L/2 campaigns  when seeking same-season double-digit revenge, and in 6 tries only failed to cover once when given the opportunity this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 124-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UNLV is playing without starting forward Luis Rodriguez who has missed the first two NIT games. Rebs scoring star K Boone has still excelled without him, but Im betting that Boone finally meets his match here against a strong Big East D, that is playing at home. SETON HALL is 8-2 ATS ( in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 . 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference are 391-273 ATS L/27 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall 

Both these teams played last night, but the Kings having rested in their own beds will be fresher. After two straight hard fought games in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the Mavs will be feeling tired as this game progresses which gives us a edge with the home side. Note: Mavs are  1-7 as dogs in back to back situations. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 vs Mavs. 

I know Dallas is on a nice run but it must be noted that Mavs HC Kidd is 27-50 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1996 with average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

After faltering in their last game against the Minnesota Wolves in a hard fought affair, Im now betting on a big rebound performance against a Heat team that they are in revenge mode against for a loss they suffered  at home by a 114-102  earlier this season. Miami has failed to cover 20 of 32 games at home this season including 3-8 ATS against Western Conference opposition.  Meanwhile, GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS  as a road favorite this season. MIAMI is aslo 8-21 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season. Kerr is 87-58 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Play on Warriors to cover

The Devils beat the Isles last time out by a 4-0 count but it must be noted that this is not always a great situation for Devils backers as they are a bankroll depleting  1-12 ATS  off a road win by 2 goals or more this season. From a league wide trends perspective NHL Road underdogs against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, on Tuesday nights are just 9-41 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. Maple Leafs are 5-1 L/6 in this series and get the nod again. 

Play on Toronto to win

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

GEORGIA is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.

Play on Georgia to cover

The Kings are off a 3 game road trip and in the last game of their trek they upset the Orlando Magic in a physical hard fought game, and now Im betting on a letdown spot here vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. It must be noted that despite of playing without Joel Embidd the Sixers have been mostly competitive and should not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight. Philadelphia ha won 10 straight games in this series and if they lose this tilt, it wont come without a valiant fight. 

SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. 

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Brown is 0-9 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Denver has a recent reputation for taking the foot off the gas against teams like the Grizzlies, and could easily rest some stars tonight for long stretches of this game, giving us an edge taking DD points with the visitors. 

MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Boston is surging towards the play offs in top form, but there could be a problem here , as they are also not pacing themselves, and with this being their 9th road game in their L/11 trips to the hardwood, and their 3rd road game in their L/4 days ,could find themselves vulnerable due to exhaustion. 

BOSTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hawks to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

 The Warriors  are primed for payback against  a team they would love to send a message to before the play offs arrive . This Golden State team has lost both their tilts vs the Wolves at home this season and will be sky high for this tilt.   It must be noted that the Warriors – are  6-1-1 ATS when Minnesota is above .500 in a double revenge situation.   Golden State is also golden  5-0 ATS as a dog when in redemption mode for a same-season double revenge. situation  Minnesota when facing an opponent with same- season double revenge are  1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS vs sides with a .400 or better record. 

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a upset loss as a favorite are 40-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Altman is 7-0 ATS (when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON.

CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 28-62 ATS L/5 season for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Oregon to cover

The Spurs are on tired legs after playing last night in a lethargic loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and are now vulnerable to being beat up on by a redemption minded Suns side that has fallen asleep at the proverbial wheel in this last two meetings vs the Spurs this season. It must noted that the Suns are  3-0 ATS L/3 times in this series  when  coming into it with Double revenge and are 13-3 ATS vs any side that took them out in 2 consecutive same season tilts. It must also be noted that the Suns  are a money making  23-3 ATS away in SU wins with same- season double revenge. SAN ANTONIO is 13-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

The Isles are on a 6 game losing streak, but still have hopes of making post season action. I know they will play a superior Winnipeg side here today, but the Islanders have won their L/2 meetings at home in this series, and now in desperation mode are a viable underdog selection.NY Islanders are also  7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg.

Play on NY Islanders to win