50* CLIPPERS/MAVS NBA on ESPN *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Mavs +2.5) 

We cashed a 50* Top Play on the Clippers in Monday's 109-99 win at Dallas. I was really big on LA in that game, as they were out for revenge from an ugly 50-point loss to the Mavs earlier in this season. Now that the Clippers got that revenge, I'm going to jump sides and go big on Dallas here as a home dog in the rematch. 

The Mavs didn't really play great in that first meeting and yet still only lost by 10 points. They only managed 21 points in the 4th quarter and were held scoreless for the final 3 minutes and 15 seconds. Doncic had a triple-double with 25, 10 and 16, but he was just 9 of 23 shooting from the field, missing a lot of big shots late. LA's had trouble bringing a consistent effort and I just think the Mavs are in a prime position to win this game. Give me Dallas +2.5! 

50* WOLVES/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Wolves +9)

I really like the value here with Minnesota as a 9-point dog against the Lakers. The Timberwolves have looked like a different team out of the All-Star break and a big reason for that is the improved play of rookie Anthony Edwards. Not only his strong play, but the effort level across the board for the team has been a lot better. 

Minnesota returned from the break with a shocking 135-105 win at New Orleans as a 8-point dog, They then lost 121-125 at home to the Blazers as a 5-point dog and beat Portland 114-112 as a 5-point dog in the rematch. 

Lakers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a convincing 128-97 win at Golden State last night. I just think LA is a bit overvalued here. Not only are they in a big flat spot on no rest, but they are playing shorthanded right now. Give me the Timberwolves +9! 

50* CLIPPERS/MAVS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clippers -1.5) 

There's just some losses to teams that it doesn't matter how long it's been since that loss occurred, it's one that you don't forget. I believe the Clippers 73-124 loss at home to the Mavs back on Dec. 27th is one of those games. Dallas not only won the game by 51, they lost by 50 at the half. 

Not only does LA have that for motivation here, but they also just got embarrassed yesterday at New Orleans by 20 in a 135-115 loss. Playing on back-to-back games is never easy, but the Clippers have covered 6 straight in the second of a back-to-back. They are also 17-5 ATS last 22 off a loss by 10 or more and 5-1 ATS last 6 trips to Dallas! Give me the Clippers -1.5! 

50* BLAZERS/WOLVES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 233.5) 

I really considered take the Timberwolves as a home dog here, but I think the real value in this game is the OVER 233.5. Minnesota looked like a different team out of the break, as they went on the road and crushed the Pelicans 135-105. Timberwolves shot 53.7% from the field in that game and while some of that was New Orleans subpar defense, it's not like the Blazers are a good defensive team. Portland just allowed the Suns to shoot 59% from the field in a crushing 121-127 loss at home on Thursday. 

I think there's a good chance that Minnesota carries over that strong offensive showing and I definitely don't trust this Timberwolves defense to slow down a potent Blazers offense. This is one of those games where it feels like both teams could easily get into the 120s and it wouldn't shock me if it got way up there with both in the 230s. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

50* HEAT/PELICANS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Pelicans -2.5) 

We successfully played against the Pelicans last night, easily cashing the Bulls +5 in Chicago's 128-124 win (wasn't as close as the final score). It was just the perfect letdown spot for New Orleans coming off that huge win at home over the Jazz and having this prime time TNT matchup on deck with Miami looming tonight. 

I just think we are going to see a much more focused and determined Pelicans team in this one. The one thing you do have to concern yourself with in the last game before the all-star break is motivation, but I don't see that being a problem. Zion was so upset about how he played last night that he went back out on the floor for more shots after the game. 

The Heat have been playing much better here of late, but did just have their 6-game win streak snapped last time out in a 80-94 loss to the Hawks. They just couldn't get anything going offensively and that could be a problem here as well if Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo aren't able to play. Both are questionable with knee injuries and you have to wonder if it's worth it for the Heat to play them here instead of resting them with the long layoff looming. Even if they do play, I still like the Pelicans to win and cover. Give me New Orleans -2.5! 

50* HAWKS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Hawks -3.5) 

I really like the value here with the Hawks as a mere 3.5-point road favorite against the struggling Magic. Atlanta has been one of the biggest underachievers in the first half of the season, but I think now is a great time to buy low on them. The Hawks fired head coach Lloyd Pierce on Monday and in their first game under interim head coach Nate McMillan they beat the Heat on the road 94-80. Doing so despite Trae Young only having a mere 5-points thru the first 3 quarters. 

I think the effort defensively was as good as it's been for the Hawks in that game and it's not uncommon for a team to flip the script and play with a new since of energy after a head coach gets fired. It also helps they are playing a Magic team that has not been playing well. Orlando comes in having lost 4 straight, giving up 124 or more in each of their last 3 games. They also could be down one of the better players in Evan Fournier, which would be a big loss with all the guys they already have out. Give me the Hawks -4.5! 

50* NUGGETS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls +5)

I love the value here with the Bulls catching 5-points at home against the Nuggets. Denver is just getting a little too much love here on the road coming off that big 30-point road win over OKC. Even with that win the Nuggets are just 6-7 over their last 13 games. Denver figures to continue to struggle until they get back to full strength. They are down two key players right now in Milsap and Harris. They also won't have JaMychal Green. 

Bulls come in off a 9-point home loss to the Suns, but had won 5 of 6 prior to that loss. What I love here is that Chicago is well rested, playing on a full 2 days off. They also haven't had to deal with any travel, as they last played on the road Feb. 22nd. Bulls have covered 12 of their last 16 vs a team from the Western Conference. Nuggets are also just 3-15 ATS last 18 off a game where they made 55% or more of their shots and 4-16 ATS last 20 on the road after a win by 15 or more. Give me the Bulls +5! 

50* WIZARDS/CELTICS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Celtics -5.5) 

I will take a shot here with the Celtics as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Wizards. Boston made it clear they wanted to finish out their last 4 games before the All-Star break and they delivered in their first game, beating the Pacers 118-112. 

I've seen it all from this team over the last couple months, but I'm confident they show up here and make easy work of Washington. Boston caught a lot of grief losing at Washington as a 7-point road favorite a couple weeks ago, so I don't see them looking past the Wizards. This is also a brutal spot for Washington, who will not only be playing on the road in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, but their 5th game in the last 7 days. Give me the Celtics -5.5! 

50* SUNS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Suns -5.5)

I will gladly lay the 5.5-points on the road with Phoenix against the Bulls. I just think Chicago is getting a little too much respect in this one. Bulls have gone 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games, but it's really not that impressive when you look at who they have played. 

The 5 wins during this stretch have come against the Pacers, Pistons, Kings, Rockets and Timberwolves. So 4 of those wins are against teams who currently own the 4 worst records in the league in Detroit, Sacramento, Houston and Minnesota. Indiana is just 15-15 and have been playing some of their worst basketball of late. 

Phoenix is one of the best teams in the league with a 20-11 record. The Suns have won and covered 9 of their 14 road games this season and will definitely be motivated for this game coming off an ugly 121-124 loss at home to Charlotte as a 9-point favorite. Give me Phoenix -5.5! 

50* MAGIC/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228) 

If you have been following my NBA picks this year, you knew that the OVER in tonight's Brooklyn/Orland game was going to be on the board. I just don't know the books can make the numbers high enough for these Nets games.

I definitely will be a little more cautious with the OVER going forward when Brooklyn plays a top tier team, as we did just see the UNDER cash in their two games with the Lakers and Clippers, but no way am I not taking the OVER when they are playing a sub-par team like Orlando. 

The Nets are so good offensively, even without Durant, that they know they don't have to play all that hard on the defensive end to win games. I definitely don't see them being interested in giving that extra effort against the Magic and it's not like we need 240 in this one, we just need to get to 230. These two combined for 137 in a recent meeting on Jan. 16 and that was with them only reaching 102 at the half. Give me the OVER 228! 

50* WOLVES/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls -4)

I love the Bulls -4 at home against the Timberwolves tonight. Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 and have owned bad teams at home like Minnesota, cashing 8 of their last 10 at home against a team with a losing road record. 

The Timberwolves are just 1-9 in their last 10 games, have failed to cover 5 straight and are a mere 3-13 on the road this season. If that's not bad enough, Minnesota is also in a horrible rest situation playing on no rest and their 3rd road game in 4 days. This line should be closer to 7. Give me the Bulls -4! 

50* WARRIORS/KNICKS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Warriors -2.5)

I absolutely love this spot and price with Golden State as a mere 2.5-point road favorite against the Knicks. Warriors are going to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column after giving away their last two games at Orlando and Charlotte. 

I also think there's some value here because of how well New York has been fairing of late. Knicks are 6-3 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games. Thing is a lot of these wins have come against bad teams. I think they also benefit a lot from teams not showing up with their "A" game against them. 

The Warriors will be ready for this one and could be getting a huge boost to their rotation. After playing several games now without a traditional center, both Kevin Looney and James Wiseman could be returning for this game. Both practiced in full, so while they are questionable, it seems likely both will suit up. Either way, I like the Warriors to get the win and cover here. Give me Golden State -2.5! 

50* HORNETS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 229) 

I love the OVER 229 in today's game between the Jazz and Hornets. These two teams played earlier this month (Feb. 5) and combined for a ridiculous 259 points as the Jazz won 138-121 on the road. Now I'm not expecting them to approach to 260 again, but I don't think getting to 230 is asking a lot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Utah score 130 on their own in this one. 

The big key here being how good a 3-point shooting team Utah is and how bad the Hornets are at defending it. Jazz are shooting 39% and averaging 16 made 3-pointers on the season. Charlotte is allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep with an average of 16 made 3-pointers on the road. 

The other thing here is because the Jazz figure to have such an easy time scoring, are fresh off two grueling games against the Clippers and have a big home game on deck against LeBron and the Lakers, I don't see them really investing a lot of energy on defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

50* PISTONS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Magic -1.5) 

I can't help myself here with the Magic as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Pistons. Orlando has won 3 of their last 4 and covered 4 of their last 5. It's no coincidence their recent strong play has coincided with them getting back a few guys from injury. 

I just don't think the number here is near enough with what the Pistons are working with right now. Detroit won't have Delon Wright for this game and are sitting one of their best players in Blake Griffin to be traded. It's a real struggle for this Pistons team to score and it's why this team is a mere 2-13 SU in road games this year. Give me the Magic -1.5! 

50* BULLS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 230.5)

I really like the OVER 230.5 in tonight's game between the Bulls and 76ers. The OVER had cashed in 3 straight games for Chicago before Wednesday's low-scoring game with Detroit, where both teams had an awful quarter that kept it UNDER. With the way Chicago can score and their limitations on defense, this is team that should be in a lot of high-scoring games. 

I definitely think that's the case here. The 76ers are really clicking on offense. Philadelphia has scored at least 111 points in 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They also have allowed 110 or more in 8 of their last 9. With the uptempo style the Bulls like to play and their lack of defense, I could see this flying past the number here. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

50* PISTONS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 220)

I love the value here with the OVER 220 in Wednesday's game between the Bulls and Pistons. This is a late addition to the slate, as the league threw this game together last minute after both teams had their original schedule opponents unavailable to play. 

I believe it's going to lead to a more high-scoring game than what me night normally see between these two division rivals. Detroit went from suppose to playing the Spurs at home last night and the Mavs in Dallas tonight to traveling to Chicago. I just don't see them being locked in, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

Chicago is scoring 114.8 ppg over their last 5 games and really matchup well here. Bulls are a great 3-point shooting team, hitting 38.3% as a team and will be facing a Detroit defense that is allowing opponents to shoot 39% from deep. 

As for the Bulls defense, it's one of the worst in the league. Chicago is giving up 116.0 ppg on 48% shooting. Pistons aren't known for their offense and are only averaging 108.9 ppg on the season, but are averaging 115.4 ppg in their last 5. A stretch that has seen them eclipse 120 on 3 different occasions. If either team hits 120 (both are more than capable) this should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 220! 

50* WIZARDS/ROCKETS NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 228.5)

I love the value here with the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Wizards. A lot of people just see the fact that Washington is giving up 119.1 ppg and just immediately look to play the OVER. 

Thing is the Wizards have had a bit of bad luck on the defensive end this year. They advanced stats suggest they should be allowing a lot less than they have been and those stats are starting to show as the UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games for the Wizards. 

Not only is it their defense, but it's also their struggles offensively, as Washington has shot 42% or worse from the field in 6 of 7. Houston is in a major offensive funk right now as well, as they are really missing Christian Wood and will also be without Oladipo. Rockets have shot 43% or worse in 5 straight and are scoring just 98.8 ppg during this stretch. Give me the UNDER 228.5! 

50* SPURS/HORNETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I love the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's matchup between San Antonio and Charlotte. I see these two teams easily getting to 230 points. That's basically been every game here of late for the Hornets. In Charlotte's last 5 games they are scoring 118.6 ppg and giving up 114.6 ppg. 

Spurs aren't exactly viewed as a great offensive team, but they are quietly averaging 110.7 ppg and that jumps up to 113.2 ppg on the road. In their last road game at Atlanta on Friday they scored 125 points on 53% shooting and were better than that as they had 110 points thru 3 quarters before throwing in the scrubs in the 4th. 

Spurs are also not a great defensive team. They are giving up 111.5 ppg on 47% shooting from the field and 39% from behind the 3-point line on the season. That poor 3-point defense figures to be a major problem against the Hornets. Charlotte is averaging 14 made 3's and shooting 38% from deep on the season. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* KNICKS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 218.5) 

I really like the UNDER 218.5 in Friday's slate between the Knicks and Wizards. Washington's defensive numbers don't look great, as they are giving up 120.9 ppg on the season and 126.4 ppg at home. I'm not saying this is a great defensive team, but the advance stats strongly suggest they are a better defensive team than what it shows. Teams have just shot lights out against them. 

That's where the Knicks come into play. New York is one of the few, if not the only, team that wants to win games strictly on their defense. New York is only scoring 101.7 ppg on the road this season. 101.7 ppg would be decent 10 years ago. It's awful in this day an age. With Bradley Beal sitting out this game for rest, the Knicks should be able to turn this into more of a half-court game and keep it well below the number. Give me the UNDER 218.5! 

50* HEAT/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets +2.5) 

I will gladly back the Rockets as a home dog against the Heat. I know that Miami has won 3 straight, but this team has a long way to go before they can be treated like the team that made the NBA Finals last year. Those 3 wins were against the Knicks twice and the Wizards. Not to mention they barely beat New York in their two meetings with them and had lost two days earlier to Washington before winning the rematch. 

Houston has lost their last 3, but they haven't been full strength much at all here of late. They rested Wall and Gordon in the first of a back-to-back and Oladipo in the second game. Not having those guys combined with the injury to Wood put them in a horrible spot. All 3 of those guys should be in action here. Simply put, the Heat should not be a road favorite in this one. Give me the Rockets +2.5! 

50* RAPTORS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 232)

I love the OVER 232 in today's game between the Raptors and Wizards. Washington has seen the UNDER cash in 4 straight, but all of those were on the road and against some subpar offensive teams in the Heat (twice), Hornets and Bulls. Prior to this recent stretch the OVER had cashed in 11 of 16 games involving the Wizards. OVER is also a dominant 7-2 in the 9 home games Washington has played. Not a big surprise that the Wizards are an OVER team at home. They play at one of the fastest tempos in the league, are scoring 121.3 ppg at home and giving up 125.2 ppg. 

As for the Raptors, they are red-hot offensively right now. Toronto is averaging 122.0 ppg over their last 5 and are scoring 116.5 and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road this season. OVER has cashed in each of the Raptors last 6 games and is 9-4 in their 13 road games. Give me the OVER 232! 

50* NETS/PISTONS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 230)

I love the OVER between Brooklyn and Detroit tonight. Even with Kevin Durant sidelined, the Nets are still an offensive juggernaut with Irving and Harden. Those two can more than carry the load and I expect both to be on point here to make sure the Nets don't lose a 3rd straight game. 

Thing is those two are also a big liability on the defensive side of the ball and we have seen the Nets consistently give up a ton of points to bad offensive teams like Detroit. Brooklyn has allowed 120 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games. There's a good chance both teams hit 120 points in this game. The total here should be closer to 240. Give me the OVER 230! 

50* RAPTORS/GRIZZLIES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Raptors -2) 

I love the Raptors here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Grizzlies. Memphis was playing really well for awhile, but they have cooled back off with 3 straight losses. Toronto to me feels like they are about to make their push after sleepwalking through the first 1/4 of the season. Raptors did lose last time out at Atlanta, but that was in a huge flat spot after their big win over the Nets. I look for Toronto to return to their winning form here and wouldn't be shocked if they won here going away. Give me the Raptors -2! 

50* BULLS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls -2) 

I will gladly lay a mere 2-points on the road with Chicago against a Magic team that has completely fallen off here of late. Orlando comes in having lost 4 straight with all 4 losses coming by at least 13 points. They are just 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS over their last 14 games.

The Bulls are 1-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 5, but I still like what I've seen out of this Chicago team. With all the injuries the Magic are dealing with combined with their recent form, I feel like this number should be 3-4 points more than what it is. 

Keep in mind the Bulls have been a great bet away from the United Center as they are 8-2 ATS in their 10 road games. Magic are just 4-7 ATS at home and 3-15 ATS over the last 2 seasons as a home dog. Give me Chicago -2! 

50* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 222.5) 

I love the OVER 222.5 in Monday's matchup between the Thunder and Rockets. I really think this Rockets team is better than they get credit for and could end up being quite the juggernaut offensively. They come into this game off 126 point outburst in a 14-point win at New Orleans and I look for the offense to have another big game on the road against OKC tonight. 

Thunder just gave up 147 points in regulation to the Nets and have allowed 112 or more in 8 of their last 10 games. OVER is 6-2 in OKC's last 8 games and in their last 5 they are scoring 111.6 ppg and giving up 118.8 ppg. They also are allowing a staggering 121.9 ppg at home this season. I just think the total here should be closer to 230. Give me the OVER 222.5!  

50* JAZZ/NUGGETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Nuggets -1) 

 I will gladly lay the -1 with the Nuggets at home against the Jazz. Most will avoid betting against Utah given they have won and covered 11 straight games, but if you take a closer look at the schedule for the Jazz they have really been beating up on a bunch of bad teams or teams not playing up to their potential. 

One of those wins was on the road against Denver, but Utah only managed to win that game 109-105 despite them shooting 51.3% from the field and the Nuggets only shooting 40.0% Denver outrebounded Utah 63-50 and were +4 in the turnover department. Since that loss the Nuggets have gone 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS with the only loss coming in the final game of a 5-game road trip. Give me the Nuggets -1! 

50* BLAZERS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls -2)

I will gladly back Chicago as a small 2-point home favorite against the Blazers. The Bulls have lost their last two games and failed to cover both after an incredible 11-2 ATS run in their previous 13 games. This feels like the perfect spot to jump back on Chicago, as they are not only going to be motivated to get back in the win column, but they are going to have extremely fresh legs after a 4-day break. 

As for the Blazers they are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and are missing a bunch of key players right now. Portland will be without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic. They are also still without Zach Collins and Robert Covington is questionable. Portland is simply getting too much respect on the road in this one. Give me the Bulls -2! 

50* CLIPPERS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Magic -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Magic as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Clippers tonight. LA was able to win at Miami last night without George or Leonard and that will entice a lot of square bettors to back them here as a road dog against a mediocre Orlando team. 

I see it the exact opposite. With their two starts both still out, this has flat spot written all over it for the Clippers playing a bad team on no rest in what will be their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Not to mention LA had to use up a ton of energy in their win against the Heat as they trailed by as many as 18 in that game. I'm confident Orlando will show up at home and that should be more than enough to get the dub and cover. Give me the Magic -3.5! 

50* BLAZERS/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -4.5) 

I love the value we are getting with the Rockets at -4.5 at home against a depleted Blazers team. I just feel like Houston is flying under the radar right now. Everyone kind of threw this team under the bus when they traded away Harden, but there's a ton of talent still on this team and they are expected to get back one of their best players in big man Christian Wood. 

As for Portland, they are down 3 starters in CJ McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic and Robert Covington. They are also still without a likely starter in Zach Collins. As good as Damian Lillard is, and he's really good, he just doesn't have enough around him right now to be all that competitive, especially on the road against a team like Houston that is playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me the Rockets -4.5! 

50* WIZARDS/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5) 

I will gladly lay the 3.5-points with Houston at home against a depleted Wizards team. Washington will barely have enough guys to field a team in this game, as Hachimaura, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, Brown Jr, Avdija are all out for quarantine. Neto is also questionable. If he doesn't play they will be down 2 starters and the entire 2nd unit. 

The Rockets are going to be without Christian Wood, but have a more than capable replacement in veteran DeMarcus Cousins. Plus they got a pretty good backcourt trio of John Wall, Eric Gordon and Victor Oladipo. This team is not in as bad a shape as many people think after the Harden trade. This is one they should win with relative ease. Give me the Rockets -3.5! 

50* CELTICS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (76ers -4.5) 

We played and won on the 76ers in Wednesday's 117-109 win at home over the Celtics and will fire right back with Philadelphia at the same price on Friday. I know it can be difficult to beat a team twice in a row, but with the 76ers back to full strength (getting back Seth Curry tonight) and the Celtics still without one of their best players in Jason Tatum this is just too good a price to pass up. 

Celtics had no answer for Embiid in the game on Wednesday. He shot 12 of 19 from the field and 17 of 21 from the free throw line in route to 42 points. He should be in store for another big game here, as Boston just doesn't have the guys inside to contain him. I also love the 76ers getting Curry back. He was really playing well before he went out. Philadelphia is also 8-1 SU at home this year. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

50* PELICANS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Pelicans +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a 6.5-point road dog against the Jazz. These two teams faced off in Utah on Tuesday and the Jazz won that matchup 118-102. Not a lot the Pelicans could do in that first meeting, as Utah went off from behind the 3-point line, hitting 21 of 47 (45%) from deep. New Orleans in comparison was just 6 of 26 (23%). 

One thing I liked from that first meeting is the fact that Utah had no answer for Zion Williamson, as he went 14 of 19 for 32 points. If he'd just got a little more help from his supporting cast, that would have been a much different outcome. New Orleans should be the much more motivated team in the rematch and I not only think they cover, but I give them a great shot here of winning the game outright. Give me the Pelicans +6.5! 

50* ROCKETS/SPURS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Spurs -6.5) 

I love the value here with the Spurs at -6.5 at home against the Rockets. These two teams just played each other at San Antonio on Thursday. It was Houston's first game since trading James Harden and they were absolutely depleted in that game. You could tell the Spurs thought they could just go into that game and win without trying. It bit them in the ass. Popovich isn't going to let them make the same mistake twice and with several key players again out for Houston, this game figures to get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Spurs -6.5! 

50* LAKERS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Thunder +8.5) 

I really like the value and the spot for OKC as a big home dog against the Lakers tonight. The betting public can't get enough of the Lakers regardless of the price and they are certainly going to be on them here with the Lakers coming off back-to-back covers. 

Also these two teams were both in action last night. The Lakers got their second straight cover with a 117-110 win over Houston as a 5-point favorite. OKC on the other hand lost 102-112 as a 2.5-point home dog to the Spurs. 

Big thing on the second leg of a back-to-back is motivation and I don't think there's any question the Thunder will be motivated for their first crack this season at the defending champs and this game probably had something to do with their poor showing last night. Lakers don't care about beating teams like the Thunder and it wouldn't surprise me if they rested some guys in this one. Give me Oklahoma City +8.5! 

50* PACERS/WARRIORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Warriors -3) 

I will gladly lay the 3-points at home with Golden State as they get ready to host the Pacers. The Warriors got off to a really slow start, but have got things rolling here of late. Golden State is 6-2 SU over their last 8 games and have covered 4 of their last 5. 

The biggest factor here is the scheduling spot for the Pacers. Indiana just opened up a 5-game west coast road trip last night at Sacramento. A game they lost 122-127. The big key here is the Pacers basically used a 6 man rotation in that game as all 5 starters played 30 or more minutes and McDermott also logged 30 of the bench. No other player played more than 15 minutes. I just don't see the Pacers haven't enough gas in the tank for this one. Give me the Warriors -3! 

50* HORNETS/PELICANS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Pelicans -6.5) 

I think this is the ideal spot to back New Orleans as a relatively small home favorite against a bad Charlotte team. We are getting value here because of the fact that the Pelicans have lost and failed to cover each of their last 2 games, plus the fact that the Hornets come in off a huge 102-94 upset win over the Hawks as a 6-point dog on Wednesday. 

Thing with Charlotte's win over Atlanta was that was more of the Hawks playing awful than anything. Hornets only shot 38% from the field in that win and have now gone 4 straight games where they have shot worse than 42% from the field. That's not going to cut it on the road against a team like New Orleans. In those previous 3 awful shooting performances they lost by at least 15 in all 3 games. Give me the Pelicans -6.5!

50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Heat -2.5) 

I think we are getting a gift here with Miami as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Celtics. Boston was able to beat the Raptors with a depleted roster in their last game and I think it has them overvalued in a really tough spot. Celtics are playing their 4th straight road game and this will be their 3rd game in the last 4 days and 4th in the last 6 days. 

Miami's been up and down to start the season, which was to be expected after their deep run to the NBA Finals and short offseason. They absolutely dominated OKC in their last game 118-90 and there's no doubt in my mind we get a max effort here against a team like Boston, especially with the game being televised on ESPN. This is also just the 2nd game in the last 5 days for Miami, so they are going to be the much fresher team here. Give me the Heat -2.5! 

50* BULLS/BLAZERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls +10) 

I will gladly grab double-digits with Chicago in Tuesday's road game against the Blazers. The Bulls got off to an ugly start with a 20 point loss to the Hawks at home followed by a 19-point home loss to the Pacers. Outside of an ugly showing at Milwaukee on New Year's Day they have really played well of late, winning 3 of their last 4 outright. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. 

Billy Donovan was a very underrated hire for this team and it was to be expected that this team was going to be more competitive. The Blazers are just 3-4 with only one of those 3 wins coming by double-digits. Portland has really struggled shooting the ball. They come in having shot a mere 43.5% from the field in their first 7 games and are riding a 3-game streak of shooting 43.5% or worse. They are also giving up 119 ppg and have allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better. 

Another thing to note here with Portland is the scheduling spot. Blazers just finished up a 4-game road trip and are on just 1 day of rest. I really think we could see a flat Blazers team struggle to pull away. Give me the Bulls +10! 

50* CAVS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Magic -5) 

I will gladly lay the 5-points with Orlando at home against the Cavs. This is a great spot to jump on the Magic, who have lost their last two after an impressive 4-0 start to the season. Poor shooting is to blame for both recent losses, as they shot just 35% from the field in a 24-point loss to the 76ers on New Year's Eve and 37% in Saturday's 9-point setback to the Thunder. 

This is a team that averaged a solid 120.3 ppg in their 4-0 start and shot 48% or better from the field in 3 of those games. I'm confident Orlando gets back their stroke in this one. 

As for the Cavs, they have surprised some people by starting out 4-2. Two of those wins have come against bad teams in the Hornets and Pistons. They did beat the 76ers, but Philly was playing on no rest and rested Embiid. Their most recent win over the Hawks was also misleading, as Atlanta was on no rest after laying it all on the line in their previous two games against the Nets. Give me the Magic -5! 

50* ROCKETS/NUGGETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Nuggets -6.5) 

I'm probably going to avoid playing Denver a ton early on, as I just think the Nuggets came into this season a little overvalued off their run to the Western Conference Finals in the bubble. With that said, this is one spot I'm willing to back them. 

This is a really big game for Denver after starting out the season 0-2 and both of those losses coming at home. We should get their very best in this game. As for Houston, I think people see the Rockets covering the big number at Portland with all those guys out and are quick to grab the points here. That is a Blazers team that lost by 20 at home to the Jazz in their opener. 

The other big thing here is you have a depleted Rockets team with all those guys out with Covid protocols playing their second road game in 3 days in the thin air of Denver. This to me feels like a spot where Houston really has trouble matching the intensity of the Nuggets and if the outside shots don't fall it could get real ugly. Give me Denver -6.5! 

50* PELICANS/RAPTORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I will gladly take the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's NBA season opener between the Pelicans and Raptors. I feel like these are going to be two of the highest scoring teams in the league this year. Toronto is a team that shot and made a lot of 3's last year and from the looks of it will be shooting it even more. That's pretty evident with them replacing their two big men of Ibaka and Gasol with Aron Baynes. They were jacking up 40+ 3's in the preseason. 

As for the Pelicans, the minutes restrictions are off for Zion and this team is built to get up and down the floor with all their youth and athleticism. They also got plenty of guys who shoot from deep. I look for Zion to feast against the small-ball Raptors lineup and for this game to fly past the total. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* WARRIORS/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 231.5) 

I think we are going to see the Warriors and Nets fly past the total of 231.5 tonight. Golden State won't have Draymond Green for this game and lost Klay Thompson for the year. The loss of Thompson is big, but his absence will be more felt on defense than offense. I don't see the offense having any trouble to score with the trio of Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr. These 3 are going to shoot and make a ton of 3-pointers this year. 

As for the Nets, we finally get to see the dynamic duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. These are two of the most skilled offensive players in the league. While Durant is a solid defender, Irving is a major liability on that side of the ball. 

You also have to factor in all the new pieces both teams are working in compared to last year. The lack of chemistry usually impacts the defense a lot more than the offense. I wouldn't be surprised if both teams scored 120+ points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

50* HEAT/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Lakers -7) 

Props to the Heat for not just laying down and letting the Lakers win in a sweep. However, I'm not buying into Game 3 being some kind of indicator that Miami now has a chance to make this a series. 

That was 100% the Lakers not showing up to play (at least everyone not named LeBron). Anthony Davis only attempted 9 shots and posted a ridiculous -26 +/-. The other three starters outside of James, combined for 11 points on 3-13 shooting. 

The Heat ended up winning by 11, but that was just a 5-point game going into the 4th. For LA to play that poorly and have a shot is bad news for Miami. Not to mention Jimmy Butler went off for 40 points, 13 assists and 11 rebounds. No way he repeats that statline. 

I fully expect to see the LA team that dominated both Game 1 and Game 2 tonight. Give me the Lakers -7! 

50* HEAT/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Lakers -5) 

I will gladly lay the 5-points with the Lakers in Game 1. I wasn't shocked that the Heat were able to take out the Bucks and Celtics. Those were great matchups for Miami. I just don't think they are going to be able to generate the same kind of offensive production against this Lakers team. 

Los Angeles has the bigs that can keep Adebayo in check with Howard and AD. They also got a guy by the name of LeBron to lock down Jimmy G in the 4th quarter (when Miami needs him the most). 

You also have to look at how Boston was able to repeatedly build double-digit leads against this Heat team. The Lakers are not the Celtics when it comes to playing with a lead. LA knows how to finish. I think the Heat can make a series of it with their shooting, I just don't see LeBron and company losing this game. Give me the Lakers -5! 

50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 213.5)

As much as I want to fire back on the Heat at +3.5 after cashing on them in Game 4, I'm going to take the UNDER 213.5. Game 4 ended up going over the total by 9 points, but the OVER didn't look good for the majority of that game. We got a 35-33 4th quarter (a lot of late scoring). I get it happens, but I don't see Game 5 coming close to this number. 

Miami wants to finish this thing off and the Celtics are facing elimination. We haven't seen a lot of games go OVER the total since the first round completed, especially late in the series like we are here. Give me the UNDER 213.5!  

50* RAPTORS/CELTICS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Celtics +1) 

I'm shocked the Celtics are a dog in Game 4. It makes no sense. If Anunoby doesn't hit a 3-pointer with 0.5 seconds left, Boston has a 3-0 series lead. I was on the Raptors in Game 3. I just expected more from them with their backs against the wall down 0-2 in the series. 

I get Toronto was a better 3-point shooting team than what they have been in this series, but we are now 3 games into this thing. Clearly Boston has the scheme/talent to make it difficult on the Raptors to get clean looks from deep. 

Let's also not overlook the fact that Toronto barely won with Boston's best player, Jason Tatum, having a bad game. Tatum was just 5 of 18 from the field and finished with 15 points. 

Tatum had a similar bad game in Game 3 against the 76ers, scoring just 15 points on 6 of 19 shooting. Next game he went 10 of 18 for 28 points. I think he bounces back and Boston wins this one rather easily. Give me the Celtics +1! 

50* ROCKETS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Lakers -6) 

I was kicking myself all night for not making the Clippers a premium play yesterday. Luckily I did have some action on it (check my twitter). We get the Lakers in almost the same exact scenario tonight and at a much cheaper price. 

There's a lot of talk about how the Rockets match up well with LA in terms of the fact that they should have an edge in 3-point shooting. Thing is, the same could have been said of the Blazers. I mean how much better is Harden/Westbrook than Lillard/McCollum. Harden is slightly better than Lillard at best and while Westbrook is the better all-around player, McCollum is the much better shooter. 

After losing Game 1, which wasn't a big shock given LA hadn't played a meaningful game in forever, the Lakers dominated Portland the rest of the way. 

Rockets didn't shoot great in their series with OKC either, so I'm not sure why people are expecting them to just shoot lights out in Game 1. Especially, given how gassed they have to be after playing a Game 7 two days ago. Give me the Lakers -6! 

50* CELTICS/RAPTORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Celtics +1.5) 

I can't believe Boston is a dog in Game 2. I get Toronto being favored in Game 1, but after what we saw in Game 1, it's pretty clear who the better team is. It's also not like it was anything new either. Celtics have had the Raptors numbers this season. They destroyed them in the bubble 8-game restart very similar to Game 1. 

Celtics have the best player on the floor in Tatum and are simply more talented from top to bottom. I just don't see any kind of letdown here for Boston against the defending champs. Give me the Celtics +1.5! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 234.5)

I wanted to take the points with the Mavs and might have a little side action on them, but I believe the real value in this game is the OVER. These are two of the best offenses the NBA has to offer. Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 straight games. Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level and this Dallas team is oozing with confidence after winning Game 4 on a buzzer beater. There's just too much star-power and great shooters on the floor. I think this total should be closer 240. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

50* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -3) 

I love Houston to cover the small spread in Game 4. The Rockets were so close to have a commanding 3-0 series lead, as they had a 5-point lead with less than a minute to play. The proceeded to two turn it over twice and House missed a free throw with less than 10 seconds to play that would have given them a 1-point lead and likely the win. 

I just feel Houston is the better team, even with Westbrook sidelined. Dort has done a great job on Harden these last two games, but he still scored 38 in Game 3. Rockets were also just 15 of 50 (30%) from behind the 3-point line. It wasn't just great defense, Houston missed a lot of shots they normally make. I think a few more fall in Game 4 and they pull away late for the win and cover. Give me the Rockets -3! 

50* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

The books keeping dropping the total, but I don't think they have adjusted enough for Game 3. The Lakers/Blazers combined for just 193 points in Game 1, which had a total of 234. They then had just 199 in Game 2 with a total of 227.5

The Lakers defense has completely shut down the Blazers offense. Portland shot a mere 39% in their win in Game 1 and hit only 40% in Game 2. Lakers had a great offensive game and still only had 111 points. LA shot 48% from the field and connected on 14 3-pointers after making only 5 in Game 1. 

I just think we are going to see more of the same from the Lakers defense. With how inconsistent the Lakers shooting has been, they likely regress from their strong Game 2 performance. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* CLIPPERS/MAVERICKS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clippers -5) 

For many of the sames reasons that I laid the points with both the Bucks and Lakers on Thursday, I'll lay it with the Clippers on Friday. I was confident that both Milwaukee and LA would respond in a big way after their Game 1 loss. 

The best teams always bounce back and I think the Lakers/Clippers/Bucks are by far the 3 best teams. Dallas has a promising future with Doncic, but I think all the hype he's getting is helping keep this line lower than it should be. Clippers are the better team and with their backs against the wall they win this one easy. Give me the Clippers -5! 

50* MAGIC/BUCKS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bucks -12.5)

I got no problem laying the big number with the Bucks in Game 2 against the Magic. Not covering the spread in Game 1 is one thing, losing outright was an absolute shock. I just think Milwaukee wasn't giving the Magic the respect they deserve. They won't make that same mistake in Game 2. I also think it will be hard for Orlando to match the intensity in which they played with in Game 1. I am confident the Bucks send a message in this one and win here going away. Give me Milwaukee -12.5! 

50* JAZZ/NUGGETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4) 

I love the value here with Denver as a small 4-point favorite in Game 2 against the Jazz. I don't care that the Nuggets were lucky to cover in Game 1, as they needed OT to pull away to cover the spread. What I saw was a Utah team that looked exhausted in OT. Not to mention they couldn't win with Mitchell going off for 57 points. Pretty good chance he won't be as good in Game 2. I just don't think Utah has the goods to keep this close. Give me the Nuggets -4! 

100* HEAT/PACERS NBA TOP PLAY **GOY** (Heat -4.5) 

I absolutely love the Heat in this one. Miami matches up extremely well with the Pacers. T.J. Warren has been great in the bubble, but Jimmy Butler has made it a point to quiet the noise on Warren.

I just don't think Indiana has the depth to hang with this Miami team without a big game from Warren. The Heat just keep coming at you with their deep bench. Give me Miami -4.5! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 229.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER at 229.5 in Game 1 between the Clippers/Mavs. I know Dallas didn't play great defense in their 8-game bubble restart, but you have to keep in mind they really had nothing to play for. They were all but locked into the No. 7 seed in the west. I think the intensity goes up a lot for the Mavs. As for the Clippers, they are a top tier defensive team, but I feel they got another level they can take it to. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

50* MAVS/SUNS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Suns -7.5)

I got no problem laying the big number here with the Suns. I'm confident Phoenix will win this game and I really think they do so in a blowout. While this game means everything to the Suns, the Mavs got nothing. Dallas is locked into the No. 7 seed. You have to think they are going to sit some their stars completely and those that do play will see limited minutes. I also look at a Dallas team that hasn't been playing much defense. They certainly aren't trying on that side of the ball in this game. Give me the Suns -7.5!

50* THUNDER/HEAT NBA TOP PLAY (OKC +1.5)

I think we are getting a steal here with the Thunder as a dog. OKC rested basically everyone of their key players but Chris Paul in their 128-101 loss to the Suns on Monday. Two guys that sat out, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Danilo Gallinari are both expected back. Could also see Nerlens Noel and Steven Adams return.

Either way, I like the depth of this Thunder team and while it might not seem like there's much at stake for either team, I think OKC wants to stay at No. 5 and face off with No. 4 Houston in the first round. You know Chris Paul definitely wants that matchup. Thing is they are just 0.5-game up on No. 6 Utah. As for Miami, they are basically wrapped into the No. 4 or No. 5 seed (no difference in the seeds). Give me the Thunder +1.5! 

50* MAVS/BLAZERS NBA BEST BET (Blazers -2.5) 

I had a pretty good feeling the Mavs were going to cover against Utah last night (tweeted out a free lean on Dallas +6.5). I just didn't see any real incentive for Utah in that game. Even with some of the star guys that sat out yesterday's game expected to suit up, there's still nothing for Dallas to play for. 

Different story for Portland. Blazers have looked really good in the bubble. They are 4-2 with their two losses coming to the Celtics and Clippers (competitive in both defeats). They would be in the play-in game if the season ended, but because of the Suns crazy start, they really need this game to ensure they make it. I just don't see the Blazers not delivering in this spot. Give me Portland -2.5! 

50* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 222.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 222.5. Last time out the Magic played a very low scoring game against the Raptors, which ended at 208 with a total of 222. However, each of their first 3 games had gone over the total. All 3 seeing at least 229 and all 3 the Magic gave up 116 or more. 

While the 76ers won't have Ben Simmons for this game, I think that could play to our advantage. It gets another guy who can hit a 3-ball on the floor. I actually think the loss of Simmons hurts them more on the defensive side and the 76ers defense has stunk in the bubble so far. I could easily see both teams hitting 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +2.5) 

Both of these teams have impressed early on the bubble. Both are sitting 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS. I personally have been more impressed with Phoenix and would actually have them favored. I just think because Indiana had the better resume coming into the bubble, they are a bit overvalued in this matchup. 

Another thing to note about the Pacers and their 3-0 start, two of those wins were against the Wizards and Magic. The other was against a 76ers team that hasn't really looked good (Philly is playing no defense). Suns on the other hand have two really good wins against the Mavs and Clippers. 

Game also means a lot more to the Suns. While the media isn't talking about them to make the playoffs, there's no doubt this team feels like they can make it after their hot start. Indiana is in the playoffs and are basically going to be somewhere between the No. 4 to No. 5 seed in the east. With the Lakers on deck Saturday, could also see them looking ahead a little. Give me the Suns +2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -5.5) 

I love this spot and price on the Mavs. Dallas should have no problem winning this game by more than the number. Mavs come in at 0-2 and failed to cover both games. However, they could have easily won and covered both. They had a 7-point as a dog with 45 seconds to play and ended up losing by 4 in OT against the Rockets. They then lost a 13-point halftime lead against the Suns as a 5-point favorite.

Losing is tough to swallow and it's only magnified when the losses come in games you feel like you should have won. I still really like the talent and makeup of this team. Same can't be said for the Kings. Sacramento lost 120-129 to the Spurs in their first game and then lost 116-132 to Orlando. Kings are simply playing no defense in the bubble and I just don't think their offense will be able to keep up with a motivated Dallas team. Give me the Mavs -5.5! 

50* NBA EARLY BIRD (HEAT/RAPTORS) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat +3) 

I will gladly take the 3-points with the Heat. While I think the Raptors are better than people think, I do think they are a bit overvalued off that 15-point win against the Lakers. That was a huge letdown spot for LA off that big win against the Clippers and pretty meaningless given the Lakers got the No. 1 seed in the west on lockdown. 

It's also worth pointing out that there were some reasons to be concerned with Toronto. Raptors were very fortunate the Lakers weren't on, as LA went just 10 of 40 (25%) from behind the 3-point line. Another thing is how the Lakers benched owned the Raptors. 

Miami was dominant in a 125-105 win against the Nuggets in their first game are one of the deepest teams in the bubble. Heat have a little more to play for, as they desperately want to get out of the No. 4 spot. Raptors are sitting pretty comfortable in 2nd, 3 games up on Boston (remember No. 2 and No. 3 aren't much different given no homecourt). Give me the Heat +3! 

50* NBA LAKERS/RAPTORS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +3.5) 

I absolutely love the value here with Toronto getting 3.5-points in Saturday's game against the Lakers. I really like the Raptors to win this game outright. Lakers are primed for a big letdown here after laying it all on the line against the Clippers on Thursday. With that win LA all but locked up the No. 1 seed in the West, as they have a 6.5 game lead with 7 to play. While the Raptors are sitting comfortably in the No. 2 spot, I think they will be way up for this game, as it's a real measuring stick type of game for them. Lakers have not been nearly as good against East teams as they have against teams from the West and it continues here. Give me the Raptors +3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Grizzlies at home. Memphis comes in having won 4 of their last 5 and during this stretch have held their opponents to a mere 95.4 ppg on 37.5% shooting. Orlando is simply getting a lot of love here because of the fact that they have covered 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Thing is the Magic have really taken advantage of a soft schedule. Not an easy spot here either for Orlando, playing their 4th road game in 6 days. Give me the Grizzlies -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Golden State as a home dog against a 76ers team that is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game west coast trip without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons. Especially with the Warriors having back Steph Curry. Not only is Curry an elite talent, but I think him coming back from injury when he could have easily sat out the rest of the season has ignited this team. They shot just 41% and only lost by 8 to the Raptors in Curry's first game. I think they win here outright in a blowout. Give me Golden State +2.5! 

50* NBA PRIME TIME (ESPN) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Lakers +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Lakers as a home dog against the Bucks. This is a no-brainer if you ask me. These two teams played back on Dec. 19th. Milwaukee really embarrassed LA in that game. The Bucks won by just 7, but were up 19 at the half. Lakers will be out to send a message here and no way should they be getting points. Give me Los Angeles +1! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans at basically a pick'em at home. New Orleans has lost their last 3 and are now 5 back of the Grizzlies for the final playoff spot in the West. I see them showing up in a big way in this game. Miami is a good team, but are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. I think the Heat riding a 4-game winning streak (all at home) are getting too much love here. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento winning by 6 or more at home against the struggling and depleted 76ers. Philadelphia is still without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons and this is not a deep team that's built to sustain injuries of that kind of magnitude. I just don't see them playing well in this one. Kings have been red-hot since the All-Star break, going 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Give me Sacramento -5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +1.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a 1.5-point road dog against the Nets. I just think this is a great spot to fade Brooklyn. The Nets scored 51 points and rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime at Boston last night and wound up winning 129-120. That's not just a tough game to bounce back from physically, but emotionally as well. Memphis is also coming in off two straight dominating performances on the defensive end, beating the Lakers 105-88 at home and the Hawks 127-88 on the road. Give me the Grizzlies +1.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. 

I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. 

As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami bouncing from a rare home loss with a win and cover at home against the Mavs. Heat let one get away against the Timberwolves last time out, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 4 minutes. They were visibly and vocally upset with that loss. I think we are going to get their very best tonight. As good as Doncic and the Mavs are, this is too good a price on Miami with them being 23-4 SU on their home floor. They are also 15-6 ATS this season off a loss. Mavs had had to travel quite a bit since the break and could be running out of gas for this one. Give me the Heat -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a 8-point home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a fortunate win and cover as a 8.5-point home favorite against the Hawks, outscoring Atlanta 38-20 in the 4th quarter of a 17-point win. Key thing to note is that was at home. Things don't go so well for the 76ers on the road and they are still missing one of their best players in Ben Simmons. 

Cavs have won 3-4 and I think are a team worth taking a shot on right now. They are definitely playing harder since the coaching change and while he hasn't played great, Drummond is a big addition for this team. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Cleveland won outright. GIve me the Cavs +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn laying a short number at home against the Magic. Orlando is 9-18 on the road this season and the Nets are 16-12 at home. I have to lay the 3 here with Brooklyn. I just think this team is way undervalued right now because of the recent news that Irving has been lost for the season. Nets have played better without him and it's really not a surprise. Irving is an incredible talent, but an awful teammate. Brooklyn is 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. Give me the Nets -3! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. 

Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. 

I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +8.5)

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog at Philadelphia. I think the Nets are showing value and will continue to as long as Kyrie Irving is out. I just don't think Irving is a good team player and rubs people the wrong way. The Nets have been a much much better team without him on the floor than with him. I don't think the public sees it that way. 

I feel 8.5 is way too much here. I know the 76ers are really good at home, but how motivated are they to return from the All-Star break? I just think we see them come out a little flat and it wouldn't shock me at all if the Nets won this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +8.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Heat. Utah has now won 3 straight since losing 5 in a row and I fully expect them to come out highly motivated here at home to make sure they go into the All-Star break on a positive note. 

As for Miami, this is really a tough spot for the Heat. Miami will be faced with playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and their 5th straight on the road overall. They got some new pieces, but it's a work in progress to get them up to speed and I just think we aren't going to see this team take a step forward until after they have some time to build some chemistry. Utah is not the place to figure things out. Give me the Jazz -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. No way I'm passing up a play on New Orleans at home at this price, especially with Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram both expected back after missing their last game. There's clearly a lot of hype around New Orleans with Zion now in the mix, but I don't think people truly understand just how good he is and it's why they are still showing such great value. 

Portland has been playing great, but this is a tough spot for the Blazers, who have been all over the place here of late. They were at LA to close out January, then returned home for a game against Utah before leaving to play at Denver. They then returned home for one game against the Spurs, flew to Utah and then back home for a game against Miami. Now they are in New Orleans in the first of a back-to-back before the All-Star break. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +9)

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a 9-point road dog against the Bucks. It couldn't look much worse for the 76ers right now, as they come in having lost 3 straight on the road, all by double-digits. The most recent one being a 31-point loss at Miami. Public will want nothing to do with them against a hot Milwaukee team, but I got a good feeling we get a huge effort from Philly in this one. 

I also think the 76ers are one of the few teams that have the size to at least make things difficult for the Bucks. We saw that in their Christmas Day game, which Philadelphia won 121-109 at home. I'm not saying they win the game, but this is too good a team to not back at this price regardless of the spot or location. Give me the 76ers +9!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis catching 5-points at Dallas. Mavs are still without Doncic, but have won and covered the first two games without him. I just think it has Dallas getting a little too much love here against a red-hot Memphis team. There's no way Dallas can keep it up without Doncic and let's not overlook their two wins came against the Hawks at home and a Pacers team that has looked out of sync since Oladipo returned to the lineup. 

Grizzlies have won 12 of 15 and for them to getting 5-points against a Doncic-less Mavs team is just too good to pass up. Memphis can really score the basketball behind the great rookie Morant and I just don't trust the Dallas offense. They scored 112 at Indiana, but needed a 38-point outburst from Porzingis and shot a mere 42% from the field. Give me the Grizzlies +5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans +7) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans catching 7-points at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee's lines are inflated every game and while they have been able to cover a lot of those big numbers here of late, I think they are being asked to lay way too many on the road against a New Orleans team that has caught fire with the addition of rookie Zion Williamson. 

PER is one of the main rating systems that evaluates how good an NBA player is. Zion has a 24.56 rating in his first 6 games, which if he qualified would be the 10th best mark in the league. He's only going to get better and most importantly the Pelicans as a team are improving with him on the floor. I wouldn't be shocked at all of New Orleans won this game. It certainly means a lot more to the Pelicans than it does the Bucks. Give me the Pelicans +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis winning by double-digits at home against the Pistons. A lot to like here with this one. For starters, you got the Grizzlies in a massive bounce back spot after they laid an egg at New Orleans (was their 3rd game in 4 nights and second straight on the road). Detroit on the other hand is playing on no rest after a grueling 128-123 OT win at home over the Nuggets yesterday, where they had to rally from down more than 20. On top of that the Pistons lost Derrick Rose to a groin injury that likely will have him sidelined for this one and he's easily been their best player. 

You also got to factor in just how good this Memphis offense is and how bad Detroit's defense has been here of late. Grizzlies are averaging 115 ppg on 48% shooting at home. Pistons are allowing 118 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5 and have allowed each of their last 4 opponents to shoot 50% or better. Give me Memphis -8.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Nets -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Bulls. I really liked what I saw out of the Nets in their last game, which they won 125-115 at home against the Pistons. I wasn't just the Kyrie show. Brooklyn had a very balanced offensive attack in that game. I think we see more of that against a Bulls team that I think is going to have a really tough time showing up here. Chicago is coming off an absolutely devastating loss on the road to division rival Indiana. Bulls had a 100-93 lead with 4:11 to play and didn't score another point in regulation. Pacers rallied to force OT and went on to win 115-106. Hurting with injuries the Bulls had several players log big minutes and with just 1 day of rest and having to travel way out east, this is a brutal spot. Give me the Nets -5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 2.5-point home dog against the Spurs. Chicago has been playing better of late going 5-4 in their last 9 with 3 of those losses coming on the road to the Celtics, 76ers and Bucks. They have covered 3 of their last 4 and I think they easily cover this one. 

A big reason for that is I just don't see the Spurs being able to get up for this game. San Antonio had the difficult task of playing yesterday shortly after the tragic news of Kobe Bryant's death. It had to be brutal playing that game against the Raptors and I just think they are going to be emotionally drained and this is also a physically tasking spot playing on the road on no rest. Give me the Bulls +2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston cashing in as a 5-point road favorite against the Timberwolves. Rockets finally got some positive vibes going in a 121-105 win against the Nuggets on Wednesday. While Denver was short-handed that really doesn't matter. Houston's 47% shooting was their best mark in two weeks. 

They should have no problem keeping it going against the Timberwolves. These two have already played twice and the Rockets have won 125-105 at Minnesota and 139-109 at home. Timberwolves have allowed their opponents to shoot 46% or better in 7 straight, with 5 of those seeing the opposition shoot 50% or better. Give me the Rockets -5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with New Orleans as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Pelicans have really been playing some great basketball of late and are about to add their best player in rookie Zion Williamson. With the recent return of Jrue Holiday they are as healthy as they have been all season. 

Some might be concerned with Williamson throwing off the chemistry of this team, but I'm just not buying it. This is a very unselfish team and will only be better with him on the floor. Spurs have been playing better of late, which is also playing into this number, but San Antonio can't be trusted on the road, where they are just 7-13 on the season. Not to mention this is the Spurs second road game in 3 days and their 6th road game in their last 8 games overall. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, as they are working on a league best 7-game winning streak. They are 6-1 ATS in this run with the only non-cover coming in a crushing ATS loss last time out against the Cavs at home. A game they won 113-109 after being up by 21 in the 4th quarter. 

I just don't think people realize how good this team is playing right now and this feels like a great spot to fade the Pelicans. New Orleans is coming off a crushing 133-130 loss at home to the Clippers, as they were outscored by 11 in the 4th quarter (only managed 20 points). Not only are they off a tough loss, but they could have a hard time not looking ahead to Wednesday's home game against the Spurs, which is expected to mark the debut of No. 1 overall pick Zion Williamson. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bulls -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Cavs. While Chicago only has 3 more wins than Cleveland, there's no doubt in my mind they are the better team. 

The even bigger key here is both teams are playing on rest, which is a big advantage for the home team. Even more so when you factor in the Cavs were at Memphis last night and will be playing their 6th straight on the road. Both teams also had their flights into Chicago delayed last night until this morning. Another factor I think favors the Bulls. Give me Chicago -6.5! 

50* NBA SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Thunder -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Oklahoma City laying a short number at home against the Heat. This just feels like a perfect spot to jump on the Thunder coming off an ugly home loss to the Raptors. It wasn't their offense that got them beat, as they shot 50.6% from the field (3rd time in 4 games they have shot 49% or better). Toronto just couldn't miss, as the Raptors went 52 of 85 (61.2%). 

I look for OKC to stay hot offensively in this one. While the Heat are one of the better defensive teams, they do struggle against the pick and roll and Thunder are one of the best in the league in that department to no surprise given they got Chris Paul. 

Another thing to note is Miami's defense is a shell of themselves on the road. Heat are giving up 111.0 ppg away from home compared to around 104.4 ppg at home. It's why Miami is 18-1 on their home floor and just 10-11 on the road. 

OKC is 12-4 ATS last 16 off a game where they didn't cover, while Heat are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 off a SU win and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Thunder -1.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Suns laying a small number at home against the Magic. I think this is the perfect spot to fade Orlando. Magic are getting some love from the books due to the fact that they have won and covered 4 of 5, but a big part of that is they just played 4 straight at home. and the wins were against the Heat on no rest and the Nets and Wizards.

Magic only got one day off after their last game against Washington and have to travel clear across the country. Orlando is just 5-12 on the road this season. Suns have lost 2 straight at home to Memphis and Sacramento, so we know we are getting a big effort from them. Give me Phoenix -3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -1) 

I'll gladly back the Pacers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Heat. All you got to do is look at the home/away splits to see the value is with Indiana in this one. Pacers are 15-4 at home compared to just 8-10 on the road. Miami is just 9-9 on the road compared to 17-1 at home. 

I also we are getting some value here with the Pacers due to the fact that Sabonis and Brogdon are both listed as questionable. I think both play. Sabonis hurt his knee in their last game and had to leave but came back and finished the contest. As for Brogdon he's reportedly been full court scrimming in practice, which is a pretty good sign he's ready to play. Even if both sit out, I still like Indiana to win and cover. Give me the Pacers -1! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 223.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 between the Celtics and Hawks. Atlanta will be getting back their best offensive player in Trae Young and their offensive net rating is 13.9 points higher with him on the floor compared to when he's not. Not to mention he also makes their defense worse. Atlanta just can't defend the pick and roll and Celtics are one of the best in the league at pick and roll offense. 

Other big key here is that because Boston is so much better than Atlanta, this is not a game where they are going to feel the need to lockdown defensively. The proof of that is in recent matchups. OVER has gone 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams including 4-0 in the last 4 games in Boston. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Raptors. This just feels like the perfect spot to not only fade Toronto but jump on the Heat. Raptors are still down 3 starters in Siakam, Gasol and Powell.While they have remained competitive without those 3, they are playing their 4th game in 6 days, which I think is only that much harder given it's been over the holidays. 

As for the Heat, Miami is poised for a breakout game after failing to cover their last 3 and fresh off an ugly ugly 123-105 loss at Washington. Heat have had a full 3 days to stew over that defeat and should win here going away. Give me Miami -5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 226.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in tonight's game that has the Mavericks hosting the Spurs. Dallas should have Doncic back in the lineup and with him they should do whatever they please against a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 116.2 ppg. In fact, both teams could go off here. San Antonio is averaging 120.0 ppg in their last 5 and the Mavs are scoring 117.2 ppg on the season. Both have also brought the offense in division games. Spurs are averaging 121.2 ppg against division opponents and the Mavs are even better at 127.2 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NBA XMAS DAY VEGAS SHARP TOP PLAY (Under 223) 

My money is on the UNDER 223 in the huge Christmas Day matchup between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams are so good that their numbers can sometimes be misleading, especially on the defensive end. Because they have so much offensive talent they don't have to bring it defensively on a nightly basis. There's no concern here with them showing up on that side of the ball in this one. These two have played once already and only combined for 114 points and that was with the Clippers shooting 51% from the field and the two combining for 24 made 3-pointers. I just think a slower pace and a little more defensive intensity are going to keep this thing well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 223! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll once again take my chances here with the OVER in a game involving the Grizzlies. We should have cashed the OVER last night with Memphis and Cleveland, but the Grizzlies were a no show in the 4th quarter and Ja Morant was off with just 8 points. I fully expect Morant to bounce back and for this thing to fly past the total. OVER is still 4-1 in the Grizzlies last 5 and each of their last 6 have seen at last 220 points. OVER is also 2-0 since Fox returned for Memphis. Give me the OVER 218.5!