The Ravens are no longer that dominating defensive team they have been in years past. However offensively they are more dynamic in every aspect. The Redskins have been stellar against the run but versus the pass they are one of the worst statistically in the NFL. What more can you say about the Redskins prized rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. He has brought an element to the offense that makes it quite difficult for opposing defenses to stop.

Any road team off a SU favorite loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, they have a winning record, and the total is between 42.5-49.0 has seen 31 of those 38 games go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total.

Any road underdog of 12.5 or less off a road SU loss in which they covered the spread, they

Any home team playing with revenge in a division game and they

If it looks too easy in sports wagering the vast majority of the time it

Any Monday night home underdog of 4.0 or less that

I am not sold on the inconsistent play of the Bears this season. They can look like one of the top five teams in the NFL one week and the next you would think your watching a different club. Seattle has shown a ton of resiliency and character under Pete Carroll. This will be another one of those spots that will be displayed.

Any road underdog of 4.5 or less that's coming off a road SU loss by 20 points or less and has a winning percentage of less than .555, they're playing in game 13 of the season, and they've won 13 or more of their last 32 games is 18-3 ATS since the start of the 2003 season. The underdog has won 16 of those 21 games outright. Play on Seattle plus the points.

The Packers are still quite banged up and were exposed last week versus the Giants. I look for Adrian Peterson to have a huge game and that will just make life easier for quarterback Christian Ponder who's struggled mightily at times this season. This is way too many points in this contest.

Any away underdog of 9.5 or less that's coming off an away underdog ATS loss by 14 points or more, they have a winning percentage of better than .400, versus an opponent coming off an away SU loss by 28 points or less is 24-5 ATS since the start of the 1983 season. The underdog has won 20 of those 29 games outright. Play on Minnesota plus the points.

The Saints have to play with a high degree of urgency as they are still right in the thick of the NFC Wild Card race but still are on the outside looking in. The Saints are a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss versus a team with a winning percentage of .500 or better. New Orleans has won those 9 games by an average of 13.6 ppg. The Saints have defeated the Falcons in 10 of their last 12 meetings including 5 of the last 6 at Atlanta. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a division favorite of 7.0 or less following a SU win.

Any away underdog of 6.0 or less coming off a SU loss, versus an opponent who has failed to cover their last 3 games all as a favorite but is coming off a SU win is 8-0 ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The underdog has won 7 of those 8 games outright.

Any division away underdog of 5.5 or less that

Any Monday night away favorite of 8.0 or less in game 11 of the season or beyond, versus a team that has a winning percentage of less than .357 and is coming off 2 or more SU losses in a row is 7-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1993 season. The away favorite has won those 7 games by an average of 18.0 points per game.

Any favorite of 2.5 or more in game 5 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent coming off 2 SU losses in a row the last of which was against a division opponent by 10 points or more, and they have a winning percentage of less than .400 is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2008 season. The away favorite has won those 12 games by an average of 19.1 ppg. Play on the Carolina Panthers minus the small number

The Cardinals have lost 6 in a row after getting off to a 4-0 start. They are an absolute mess and the quarterback situation has become an absolute joke. Whether they go with John Skelton or rookie Ryan Lindley it doesn

Any road underdog of 6.0 or less that has a winning percentage of .428 or less playing in game 10 of the season or beyond, they

Charlie Batch has been in this situation before with the Steelers. There

The degree of urgency will be very high and the margin for error very low for the Jets. New England has a very comfortable 3-game lead with 6 games to play versus the other 3 teams in the AFC East and traveling on a short work week is never an easy task in the NFL. The Jets are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 2.0 or more versus an opponent coming off a SU win.

Any home team that

Any division home underdog with a total of between 42.5 and 49.0 that comes off an away underdog SU win in which they scored 30 points or less, they covered by 10.0 or more, versus an opponent that scored 21 points or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .666 or better has seen all 10 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1988 season. The average combined total score of those 10 games was 36.8 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total.

Any division home favorite of 6.0 or less that

The Denver Broncos are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 1.5 or more when coming off a SU win. The Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as a division home favorite following a non-division game.

Any away underdog of 10.0 or less that

Any non-division away underdog of 13.0 or less, off an away SU loss by 14 points or more playing in game 13 or less, versus an opponent coming off an away SU loss by 21 points or less is 27-1 ATS since the start of the 1993 season. The underdog has won 23 of those 28 games outright.

Any away underdog of 13.0 or less that

The Redskins have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games as a home favorite with the total 48.5 or less. The average combined total score in those 10 games is 32.2 ppg. The Eagles have gone under the total in their last 6 road games with an average combined total score of 33.3 ppg.

Any home team with a total of 37.5 or more that comes off a SU favorite loss by 2 points or more, they scored 24 points or less in their previous game, they

Any favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less that comes off BB SU wins each by 10 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 14 points or less in their previous game, and they have a better than .200 winning percentage is 14-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2003 season. The average margin of victory is 14.1 ppg. Play on Tampa Bay.

Green Bay is 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as an away favorite of 6.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 or better. The Detroit Lions are 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 5.0 or less.

Any division road favorite that

Buffalo is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.0 or less versus an opponent coming off a SU loss. The Bills have won those 4 games by an average of 14.0 ppg. In a short work week in a battle of two teams going nowhere, I favor the home team simply due to the fact they don't have travel. In addition the Bills played both New England and Houston arguably the two best teams in the AFC very tough the last 2 weeks. Contrarily Miami was just crushed last week as a home 37-3 versus a less than stellar Tennessee team.

Any home team that scored 10 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent playing in game 10 of the season or before, they're coming off a home favorite SU loss by 28 points or more while scoring 7 points or less, and they have a losing record on the season is 27-0 SU since the start of the 1989 season. Play on the Buffalo Bills.

This will be a statement game for a Bears team who seemingly hasn

Any home underdog of 6.5 or less that comes off an away favorite ATS win that they covered by 16.0 or less and allowed 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 25 points or more is 10-0 ATS since srt 1980 season. The underdog has won 9 of those 10 games outright. Play on the Carolina Panthers plus the points.

Any home favorite coming off BB away underdog SU wins, they have a winning percentage of better than .428, their previous game win was by 17 points or less, they've won 26 or less of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off a SU win in which they scored 10 points or more is 15-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1992 season. Play on Tampa Bay minus the small number.

The Ravens are 50-3 SU and 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games as a non-division home favorite. The Raiders are 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a non-division away underdog of 7.0 or more versus an opponent with a winning percentage of better than .666. The Raiders lost those 10 games by an average of 22.5 ppg.

Any home favorite coming off a division away favorite ATS win, they have a winning percentage of better than .666, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite SU loss by 4 points or more, and they have a losing record on the season is 10-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season. The home favorite won those 10 games by an average of 25.0 ppg. Play on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points.

Any undefeated division away team playing in game 9 of the season or beyond is 10-0 SU since the start of the 1990 season. The away team won those 10 games by an average of 16.0 ppg. Play on the Atlanta Falcons.

The Eagles will be in super urgent mode on a couple of fronts this evening. They will be playing for their very well liked head coach Andy Reid and his long tenure with the Eagles is on shaky ground. The Eagles quarterback Michael Vick will be playing for his starting job and possibly his future in the NFL tonight after enduring a horrible season thus far. The Saints played with absolutely no hear last week in their loss at Denver and their defense is just atrocious. The Eagles are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games under Andy Reid as an away underdog of 2.0 or more. New Orleans is just 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 2.0 or more.

Any Monday night away underdog of 3.5 or less versus an opponent coming an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 24.0 or less, and they have a winning percentage of less than .600 is 10-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season.

Any road underdog that gained less than 100 yards rushing in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that allowed 200 yards or more rushing in their previous game is 37-13 ATS (74.0%) since the start of the 2003 season.

Any road favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less that allowed an average of 8.0 or more yards r pass attempt in their previous game, versus an opponent that allowed an average of 7.0 or more yards per pass attempt in each of their last 2 games is 44-16 ATS (73.3%) since the start of the 1983 season. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles plus the points.

The Falcons have gone under the total in their last 5 non-division home games when the total is 42.0 or more. Dallas has gone under the total in their last 6 road games when the total is 45.5 or more. The Cowboys are #4 in the NFL in total defense heading into this week. Atlanta is #7 in the NFL in scoring defense at 18.6 ppg.

Any home team in game 5 of the season or beyond with a total between 42.5-49.0 that

Any road team with a total of 48.0 or less that

Any home pick or favorite of 3.5 or less that

Any road team that

Any division away pick or underdog of 8.5 or less coming off a division SU favorite loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a non-division SU favorite loss is 14-0 ATS since the start of the 1986 season. The underdog has won 10 of those 14 games outright.

Any division away underdog of 10.5 or less that has a less than .500 winning percentage, they

Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 or more that's coming off a division SU win, they have a win percentage of .444 or better, versus an opponent that has a winning percentage of better than .250, they've won 21 or less of their last 32 games, scored 12 points or more while allowing 7 points or more in their previous game is 25-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 1991 season.

Any Monday night division away favorite coming off a SU win, they're playing in game 5 of the season or beyond, they have a winning percentage of .700 or better, they've won 28 or less of their last 32 games, versus an opponent who allowed 10 points or more in their previous game is 13-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1988 season. The favorite won those 13 games by an average of 16.3 ppg. Play on the San Francisco 49ers.

Any non-division favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less that has a better than .333 winning percentage, they

Any non-division away favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less in game 6 of the season or beyond, and they come off a road ATS win but SU loss by 7 points or less is 15-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1991 season. The average margin of victory in those 15 games is 6.6 ppg.

Any away favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less versus an opponent coming off a Monday night SU loss by 19 points or less in which they scored 8 points or less is 9-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The average margin of victory in those 9 games is 14.2 ppg. Play on the Seattle Seahawks.

Any non-division home favorite coming off a division away favorite ATS win, they

The Vikings are a perfect 4-0 SU at home this season winning by an average of 11.0 ppg. Greg Schiano has done a very nice job so far in making Tampa Bay a more competitive team week in and week out. However, his club has yet to shake the stigma of being a bad road team losing 8 in a row in that role and all by 6 points or more.

Any non-division home favorite of 13.0 or less in game 3 of the season or beyond that's coming off a SU win by 10 points or less, versus an opponent that's coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, and they scored 10 points or more is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1985 season. The home favorite won those 12 games by an average of 17.3 ppg.

Any Thursday NFL home favorite of 4.0 or more with a winning percentage of better than .600 is 8-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2004 season. The home favorite has won those 8 games by an average of 18.8 ppg.

Any non-division home favorite of 12.0 or less that's coming off a SU win, they have a winning percentage of less than .800, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, they're playing in game 15 of the season or before, and they have a winning percentage of .85 or better is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite has won those 12 games by an average of 19.1 ppg. Play on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points.

The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in 14 of their last 15 road games since 11/21/2010. The average combined total score in those 15 games has been 57.7 ppg. The Chicago Bears have gone over the total in their last 4 games as a home favorite with a total of 42.5 or more. The average combined total score in those 4 games is 55.5 ppg.

Any road team with a total between 42.5-49.0 coming off a SU win by 3 points or less, versus an opponent coming off BB SU wins by 10 points or more in each game has seen 17 of those 19 games go over the total since the start of the 1984 season. The average combined total score in those 19 games was 58.4 ppg. Play on this game to go over the total.

The Steelers have won their last 10 games following a loss winning by an average of 17.9 ppg. Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU&ATS in their last 11 games versus Cincinnati. The Bengals are just 2-8 SU&ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog or favorite of 5.5 or less following a SU loss.

Any away pick or favorite of 3.0 or less that's coming off a SU loss by 3 points or less and has a winning percentage of less than .600, versus an opponent that allowed 30 points or more in their previous game is 18-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 1981 season. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as a home underdog winning by an average of 7.7 ppg. The Packers are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 as an away favorite.

Any non-division favorite or underdog of 9.5 or less that's playing in game 11 of the season or before, they're coming off a SU loss but ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win is 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2003 season.

Any home underdog coming off a non-division SU loss by 6 points or less, versus an opponent of an away underdog SU win is 8-0 ATS since the start of the 1988 season. The underdog has won 7 of those 8 games outright.

Any home underdog of 2.0 or more that's coming off a non-division SU loss by 7 points or less while allowing 20 points or less, they've won 7 or more of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog SU win, and they have a winning percentage of .750 or less is 9-0 ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The underdog won 8 of those 9 games outright. Play on the St. Louis Rams plus the points.

Any home favorite of 10.0 or less that's coming off a non-division road SU win in which they scored 37 points or less, they're playing in game 6 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent off a SU underdog win by 10 points or more while scoring 27 or more is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season. The favorite won those 12 games by an average of 15.3 ppg. Play on the New York Giants minus the points.

I usually don't get trapped by being short sighted when assessing a particular game. However, this instance is an exception to the rule. The Giants exposed many flaws in the 49ers offense last week and the Seahawks defense is more than capable of creating the same headaches for Alex Smith and company. Seattle is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.0 or more winning by an average of 10.3 ppg. Can you say underdog value?

Any away underdog of 5.5 or more that's coming off a home underdog SU win, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they scored 23 points or less, allowed 14 or more, an they have a winning percentage of .800 or less is 11-0 ATS since the start of the 1980 season.

Any division away underdog of 3.5 or more that's coming off BB SU underdog wins in which the last was versus a non-division opponent, they have a winning percentage of .300 or more, versus an opponent coming off a SU lss is 9-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog s won 7 of those 9 games outright. Play on the Seattle Seahawks plus the points.

The Broncos are a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a division away favorite or underdog of 7.5 or less winning by an average of 14.3 ppg. All of those contest with quarterbacks that are nowhere near the level of Peyton Manning. The Chargers are just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 division home games. The Broncos are much better than their 2-3 record may indicate as they've played a brutal schedule to this point. The books must agree when you look at the current line which is virtually an even game.

Any division away favorite or underdog of 4.0 or less that's coming off an away underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 9.0 or less, versus an opponent coming off a non-division away underdog ATS loss is 9-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. Play on the Denver Broncos as a 50* Best Bet selection.

The Chargers have gone under the total in 11 of their last 14 home games including all 6 versus division opponents. This is a Denver defense that is vastly underrated and matches up very well in all areas versus the San Diego offense.

Any Monday might home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less with a total of 45.0 or more that playing i game 13 of the season or before has seen 12 of those 13 games go under the total since the start of the 1980 season. The average combined score in those 13 contest was 38.1 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.

The 49ers are 11-0 SU&ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 3.0 or more winning by an average of 21.5 ppg. The Giants are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 regular season games as an away underdog of 7.5 or less off BB SU wins losing by an average of 15.3 ppg.

Any non-division home favorite of 4.5 or more that covered by 14.5 or more versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win is 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1988 season. The home favorite won those 11 games by an average of 21.4 ppg.

Any home favorite off a home favorite win in which they scored 42 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 9.5 or less is 7-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 7 games by an average of 23.6 ppg. Play on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points.

Any home underdog of 3.0 or less that's playing in game 6 of the season or beyond that has yet to win a game, they've won 11 or less of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off a SU loss is 7-0-1 ATS since the start of the 1985 season.

Any home underdog of 3.0 or less that's playing with revenge in game 6 of the season or beyond, they've yet to win a game on the season, their previous loss was by 4 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a SU loss is 6-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. Play on the Cleveland Browns plus the small number.

Any non-division home favorite of 8.0 or more that's coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss is 9-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1988 season. The home favorite won those 9 games by an average of 30.3 ppg.

Any undefeated non-division home favorite of 6.0 or more in game 6 of the season or beyond that's coming off an away favorite ATS win, versus an opponent that has a winning percentage of .400 or less is 7-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1985 season. The home favorite has won those 7 games by an average of 22.0 ppg.

Any home favorite of 9.5 or less that has won 15 or more of their last 22 games, versus an opponent playing with rest, and they're coming off an away underdog ATS loss is 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite has won those 11 games by an average of 20.4 ppg. Play on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points.

Any home favorite of 8.0 or less versus an opponent coming off consecutive home underdog SU wins, they're playing in game 13 of the season or before, and they've won 10 games or less out of their last 32 games is 6-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 6 games by an average of 16.3 ppg.

Any home favorite of 5.0 or less that's coming off an away underdog SU win playing in game 12of the season or before, versus an opponent coming off BB SU wins the last coming as a home underdog in which they scored 14 or more points is 8-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite won those 8 games by an average of 18.8 pg.

Any home favorite of 4.5 or less playing in game 12 of the season or before coming off a SU underdog win, versus an opponent off BB SU underdog wins is 8-0 SU&ATS since the start of he 1980 season. The home favorite won those 8 games by an average of 14.1 ppg. Play on the Miami Dolphins minus the points.

The Titans have allowed 30 or more points in all 5 of their games this season. They are last in the NFL in scoring defense at 36.2 ppg. Tennessee has gone over the total in 11 of their last 13 games as a home underdog when the total is 46.0 or less. Tennessee has gone over the total in all 7 of their games the last 3 seasons versus opponents that average 32 minutes or more in time of possession. The average total score in those 7 games was 52.1 ppg.

As good as the Steelers defense is and has been they've allowed 31 points to Denver and 34 to Oakland in their only two road games this season. Pittsburgh has gone over the total in 14 of their last 18 games as an away favorite, and all 9 games within those 14 have gone over the total when they're a favorite of 6.5 or less with a total of 36.0 or more.

Any away favorite of 4.0 or more with a total of greater than 38.5 that scored 16 points or less in their previous game, and their opponent scored 7 points or less in their previous game, has seen 15 of those 18 games (83.3%) go over the total since the start of the 1990 season. Play on this game to go over the total.

If this game was even played 2 weeks ago you wouldn't have seen a line remotely close to this one. The Jets hit rock bottom last week losing 34-0 at home versus San Francisco. The Jets will also be without 2 of their best players for the rest of the season in Santonio Holmes and Darell Revis. Houston has looked unbeatable in their first 4 games of the season. The general public has responded exactly the way the books thought they would. When it looks this easy it rarely is.

Any home underdog of 8.0 or more is 23-3 ATS (88.5%) since 12/6/2009. The underdog has even won 10 of those 26 games outright. The last example of this situation was in the opening week of the season when Cleveland as a 9.5-point home underdog was easily inside the number in a 17-16 loss to Philadelphia.

Any Monday night non-division home underdog that allowed 34 or more points in their previous game, and they're playing in game 12 of the season or before is 12-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The underdog won all 12 of those games outright by an average of 9.5 ppg. Play on the New York Jets plus the points.

Any non-division away underdog of 4.0 or more playing in game 3 of the season or beyond, they that's coming off a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 1.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win that they covered by 18.0 or more is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdog won all 9 of those games outright by an average of 7.4 ppg. Play on the Denver Broncos plus the points.

Any non-division home underdog of 6.5 or less that's coming off a non-division away underdog SU win by 4 points or less, versus an opponent coming off a SU win by 11 points or less is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1987. The underdog has won all 9 of those games outright by an average of 8.1 ppg.

Any home underdog of 6.0 or less that's coming off a SU underdog SU win, versus an opponent who is undefeated after 4 or more games is 6-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdog won all 6 of those games outright by an average of 13.7 ppg. Play on the Washington Red Skins plus the points.

Miami is 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or less. The Dolphins won those 8 games by an average of 7.9 ppg. Cincinnati is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games as a non-division home favorite of 3.5 or less losing by an average of 7.0 ppg.

Any favorite or underdog of 9.0 or less that's coming off an away SU loss in which they covered the spread, they are playing in game 11 of the season or before, they have a winning percentage of .100 or better, versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win is 13-0 SU&ATS since 2003. The average margin of victory in those 13 games is 11.6 ppg. Play on the Miami Dolphins plus the points.

Any home underdog of 3.5 or less that's coming off a SU underdog win by 14 points or less, playing an undefeated opponent who is playing in game 5 of the season or beyond, and their previous win was by 25 points or less is 6-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home underdog won all 6 games of those games outright by an average of 15.8 ppg.

Any home underdog of 2.5 or less that's coming off a SU underdog win by 14 points or less in which they scored 27 points or less, versus an opponent coming off a SU win by 20 points or less, and they have a better than .500 winning percentage for the season is 15-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The home underdog won all 15 of those games outright by an average of 15.8 ppg.

Any home underdog of 2.5 or less that's coming off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 18 points or more, and they covered by 6.5 or more, in addition they've won just 13 or less of their last 32 games is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home underdog won all 9 of those games outright by an average of 8.4 ppg. Play on the St. Louis Rams.

The Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an away underdog. Dallas is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite of 6.0 or less following a SU win by 4 or more points. The Cowboys have won those 5 games by an average of 22.6 ppg. One quarterback (Tony Romo)) loves performing under the national spotlight and seems to thrive in those situations. While the other (Jay Cutler) is the poster child for melt downs and inconsistent play in the same scenario most especially on the road.

Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 or less that's coming off a SU win by 4 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ARTS win is 13-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The home favorite has won those 13 games by an average of 11.7 ppg. Play on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points.

The Eagles come off a humiliating 27-6 loss at Arizona as a 3.0 point favorite last week. This after narrowly escaping with a pair of 1-point wins in the first 2 weeks of the season versus the Ravens and the Browns. In my humble opinion there's a high degree of probability that we will see there best game of the season under the national spotlight versus their division rival and defending world champion New York Giants.

Any home favorite or pick that scored 3 points or less in the 1st half of their previous game versus an opponent that scored 30 points or more in their previous game is 40-14 ATS since the start of the 2003 season.

Any favorite or pick versus that has an opponent that allows an average of 5.4 or more yards per play, and their offense has produced 450 yards or more of total offense in each of the last 2 games are 34-11 ATS (75.6%) since the start of the 1983 season. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the small number.

Miami is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an away underdog of 7.0 or less winning 9 of those 14 games outright. The Cardinals are a dismal 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a non-division favorite of 3.0 or more.

Any non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less that's coming off a SU loss by 28 points or less, versus an opponent coming off a non-division home underdog SU win in which they scored 16 or more points, and they're playing in game 14 of the season or before is 11-0 ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The underdog has won 6 of those 11 games outright.

Any non-division away underdog that allowed 33 points or less in their previous game, they've won 17 or more of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off BB SU wins that last of which was as a home underdog, they won 16 or less of their last 32 games, and they're playing in game 13 of the season or before is 12-0 ATS since the start of the 1981 season. The underdog won 10 of those 12 games outright.

Any team that comes off a SU loss by 3 points or less versus an opponent that allowed 6 points or less in their previous game is 63-29 (68.5%) ATS since the start of the 1983 season. Play on the Miami Dolphins plus the points.

Any road team that creates an average of 1.25 or less turnovers per game, versus an opponent that creates an average of 2.5 or more turnovers per game, and they forced 4 or more turnovers in their previous game is 22-4 (84.6%) ATS since the start of the 1983 season.

Any division away underdog of 8.5 or less that's coming off a home favorite SU loss by 10 points or more, they've won 15 or less of their last 32 games, and they're facing an opponent that's won 11 or more of their last 32 games in addition to having a winning percentage of better than .400 is 17-2 ATS since the start of the 1987 season. The underdog has won 11 of those 19 games outright. Play on the Carolina Panthers plus the points.

Seattle is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 2.0 or more including 6 of those 7 games outright. The notorious 12th man in Seattle is far from a myth as it's historically been one of the toughest of places to play for visitors even in the leanest of years for the Seahawks. Seattle is also a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 overall as an underdog of 4 or more with an average margin of victory being 14.7 ppg. The Packers are a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a non-division away favorite.

Any home underdog of 4.5 or less that's coming off a non-division home underdog SU win that they covered by 6.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win that they covered by 28.0 or less is 14-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1984 season. The underdog has won all 14 of those games outright by an average of 10.0 ppg.

Any non-division home underdog of 4.5 or less that's coming off a home underdog SU win that they covered by 23.5 or less, versus an opponent that's won 18 or more of their last 32 games is 9-0 ATS since the start of the 1996 season. The Underdog is also a very good 7-1-1 SU in those 9 games.

Any Monday non-division home underdog of 2.5 or more that has won 26 or less of their last 32 games, with a winning percentage of .500 or better, and they scored 14 points or more in their previous game is 12-0 ATS since the start of the 186 season. The underdog has won 11 of those 12 games outright. Play on the Seattle Seahawks plus the points.

Any non-division home favorite of 6.0 or less that's coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they scored 27 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 18.0 or less, and they allowed 20 points or more is 16-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1983 season. The favorite has won those 16 games by an average of 19.2 ppg. Play on the San Diego Chargers minus the points.

Arizona is 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games as a non-division home underdog following a non-division game. The Cardinals are also 12-4 SU&ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 2.0 or more. The Eagles are a dismal 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a non-division away favorite losing 3 of those 4 games outright. Philadelphia enters this contest 2-0 after two narrow 1-point victories over Cleveland and Baltimore. Their luck runs out versus a decent team on the road this week.

Any home underdog of 4.5 or less that's coming off an away underdog SU win playing game 11 of the season or before, versus an opponent coming off a SU win but home favorite ATS loss is 12-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1997 season. The underdog won all 12 of those games outright by an average of 10.1 ppg. Play on the Arizona Cardinals plus the points.

I am totally aware of the key players the Giants will be without this evening. Starting wide receiver Hakeem Nicks, starting running back Ahmad Bradshaw, starting offensive tackle David Diehl, and #3 receiver Dominick Hixon. However, we have seen this from the Giants before and the resiliency they've shown in recent years is 2nd to none. The so called experts out there that base their selections on reverse line movement and going against public money will tell you the Panthers are an absolute steal this evening. The books have adjusted this line from it's opener due to the Giants injuries and not because sharp money has gone the way of Carolina. You can't factor into the line the heart of a champion which is exactly what the Giants are and they will exhibit that tonight on a national stage.

Any away underdog of 3.0 or less that scored 10 or more points in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 27 points or more, and allowed 22 points or more is 11-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The underdog won all 9 of those games outright by an average of 9.5 points per game.

Any away underdog of 3.0 or less coming off a SU win in which they didn't cover as a favorite, versus an opponent coming off a division home underdog SU win in which they allowed 33 points or less is 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdog won all 7 of those games outright by an average of 8.3 ppg. Play on the New York Giants.

There's a lot of hype surrounding this national telecast with most of the attention being paid to the Denver Broncos and the return of Peyton Manning. However, there's a quality football team they will be facing tonight who will be playing in their home opener. The Atlanta Falcons are a very profitable 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 non-division home games as a favorite or underdog of 3.5 or less. To say the Falcons have a home strong field is an understatement as they've gone 27-6 SU in their last 33 at the Georgia Dome.

Any non-division home favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less that's coming off a non-division game, they've won 12 or more of their last 32 games overall, and the total is 50.0 or more is 12-0 SU&ATS since 1981.

Any Monday night non-division home favorite of 2.0 or more with a total of 50.0 or more versus an opponent who scored 16 points or more in their previous game is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home favorite won those 7 games by an average of 17.6 ppg.

Any non-division home favorite of 9.5 or less playing in their 2nd game of the season, following an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 24 points or more, They've won 15 or more of their last 32 games overall, and are facing an opponent that won 14 games or less in the previous season is 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The favorite has won those 10 games by an average of 19.1 ppg. Play on the Atlanta Falcons minus the small number.

Any non-division away underdog of 7.5 or less versus an opponent playing in their home opener following a non-division away underdog SU win in which they scored 30 points or less, and they've won 16 or more of their last 32 games is 8-0 ATS. The underdog has won 7 of those 8 games outright.

Any away underdog coming off a SU win but didn't cover as a home favorite versus an opponent coming off an away underdog SU win is 5-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1995 season. The underdog won all 5 of those games outright by an average of 9.0 points per game.

Any non-division away underdog of 9.5 or less that's coming off a SU win by 6 points or less but didn't cover as a home favorite, they've won 14 or more of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win is 9-0 ATS since 1987. The underdog has won 7 of those 9 games outright. Play on Detroit plus the points.

Any non-division away underdog of 6.5 or less that's coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they scored 25 points or more, they've won 19 or less of their last 32 games, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss by 11 points or more, they've won 19 or more of their last 32 at home, and won 14 or more of their last 32 overall is 16-0 ATS since 1986. The underdog has won 14 of those 16 games outright. Play on the New York Jets plus the points.

Seattle is 8-3 ATS and 6-5 SU in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less. Dallas is just 2-5 SU and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an away favorite of 4.5 or less. Dallas comes off a huge road win versus the Giants and consistency hasn't been their strongest attribute in recent years. With expectations high the Seahawks will be in urgent mode in their home opener desperately trying to avoid a 0-2 start.

Any home team coming off an away favorite SU loss versus an opponent coming off an away underdog SU win is 31-6 SU since 1980. Since we are getting points with the home team in this spot the SU number takes on added significance. Play on the Seattle Seahawks plus the number.

Any division away underdog that has won 17 or less of their last 32 games versus an opponent off a division away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 35 points or more, and they've also won 17 or less of their last 32 games is 11-0 ATS since 1988. The underdog has won 7 of those 11 games outright. Play on the Cleveland Browns plus the points.

Going back to the NFL Playoffs the Packers have now lost 2 games in a row at Lambeau Field. If you consider that they won 19 of their last 20 home games prior to this temporary 2-game slide then we can assume the home side will be in a foul mood. The Packers are a dominating 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus the Bears as a favorite of 3.5 or more while winning by an average of 14.0 points per game. Green Bay is also a profitable 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a division favorite of 6.5 or less. The Bears are a dismal 1-6 ATS and 0-7 SU in their last 7 as a division away underdog of 3.0 or more.

Any home favorite that's coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they allowed 28 points or more, they won 20 or more of their last 32 games, they're facing an opponent that's coming off a home favorite ATS win, and they've won 16 games or more of their last 32 games is 6-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The favorite has won those 6 games by an average of 25.0 points per game.

Any Thursday NFL home favorite that's won 20 or more of their last 32 games is a sparkling 23-5-2 ATS and 28-2 SU since the start of the 1994 season. If they've won 24 or less of their last 32 home games while scoring 34 points or less in their previous game, and they're facing an opponent that's won 10 or more of their last 32 games the angle improves to a perfect 10-0 SU&ATS. The home favorite won those 10 games by an average of 18.8 points per game. Play on the Green Bay Packers minus the points.

Any division home favorite of 3.0 or less playing in their season opener that won 7 or more games in the previous season is 18-1 SU&ATS since the start of the 1990 season.

Any Monday night division home favorite or underdog of 2.5 or less that's playing in their in one of their first 4 games of the season, and they won 8 or more games in the previous season is 9-0 SU&ATS since 1982. The home team won those 9 games by an average of 13.4 points per game. Play on the Oakland Raiders.

Any team that allowed an average of 24.0 points per game or more the previous season and is facing a division opponent has seen 59 of those 84 games (70.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2002 season.

Any home favorite or underdog of 4.5 or less playing in their opening game, with a total of 45.0 or more, and they won 8 games or less in the previous season has seen all 16 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1996 season. the average combined total score in those 16 games was 36.7 points per game. Play on this game to go under the total.

For starters we're talking about an away favorite who is 7-28 SU and 10-25 ATS in their last 35 road games. In addition since 2008 the Seahawks are 0-8 SU&ATS in their first 2 road games of the season losing by an average of 21.1 points per game. We also must not forget that although impressive in the preseason their starting quarterback Russell Wilson is a rookie 3rd round draft choice. Since the start of the 2007 season Arizona is 11-4SU&ATS as a home underdog of 2.0 or more.

Any home underdog or favorite of 2.5 or less in its opening game of the season who won 8 or more games in the previous season, and they've won 21 games or less in their last 32 at home is 10-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The home team has won those 10 games by an average of 9.8 points per game.

Tampa Bay knows heading into this contest they can't afford to get into a high scoring affair with anyone this season because chances are they don't have enough bullets in their gun. The Panthers have really focused during the offseason on improving on the defensive side of the ball and what better way to start the season than against an offense the figures to be challenged for the better part of the upcoming season. Both head coaches have made their marks by coaching defense and doing it well.

Any division home underdog of 4.0 or less in the opening game of the season that won 11 games or less the previous season, and they're facing an opponent that won 15 games or less in the previous season has seen 26 of those 29 games go under the total since the start of the 2003 season. If we tighten this up a bit more we find that if the total was 41.5 or more then all 14 of those games in that identical situation all went under the total in that same time span. Play on this game to go under the total.

The Packers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 regular season games as a home favorite, including a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS if they're a favorite of 10.0 or less winning by an average of 19.2 points in those 5 contests. The Packers will enter the season with a bad taste in their moths after putting together a stellar 15-1 regular season in 2011 then stumbling in their opening playoff game versus the Giants to shockingly see their season end prematurely. Now the Packers take the team in which what many are predicting will get to the Super Bowl out of the NFC in the San Francisco 49ers. Lambeau Field is a brutal place to play for visitors under ordinary circumstances and this situation qualifies for anything but.

Any home favorite of 3.5 or more that's playing in their season opener after winning 15 games or less in the previous year, versus an opponent that won 11 or more games in the previous season is 14-2 ATS since the start of the 1993 season. Play on the Green Bay Packers minus the number.

Beating the Patriots twice in one season during the Brady/Belichick era is a rare feat indeed, with only the 2005 Broncos, 2006 Colts and 2010 Jets accomplishing the task. There's very good reason to believe the Giants can join that exclusive club, however. While New York's Week 9 win in Foxborough shouldn't be used as the sole measuring stick when breaking down this rematch, the fact that it came without a pair of prime offensive players (WR-Hakeem Nicks and RB-Ahmad Bradshaw) is certainly noteworthy, as is the fact that the Patriots still had their best pass rusher in Andre Carter available as well as tight end Rob Gronkowski at full strength. And while it's true that New England's much-maligned defense has been performing at a higher level during this pivotal stage of the season, so has a Giants' crew that's been making life miserable for enemy quarterbacks in a strikingly similar way it successfully contained Brady and his playmakers the last time these teams met up in a Super Bowl. Considering the recent history of this series and the track record of both Manning and Brady in clutch situations, it wouldn't be the least bit surprising to see this game come down to who has the ball last. But when factoring in New York's better recent results in the turnover department a critical determinant to the outcome of the last meeting between these two the Giants appear are the more confident team and the winner in this contest. We will take the small number as an additional bonus. Play on the New York Giants plus the number as a 100* Top Play selection.

The Giants have seen 5 of their last 6 games go under the total. The lone over came in the playoff game at Green Bay in a 37-20 win surpassing the total of 54.0. However, it should be noted that both of Green Bay's touchdown drives in that contest were aided by questionable 3rd down defensive penalties on the Giants. Those two penalties occurred with the Packers floundering in their own territory and resulted in 1st downs after the Giants had apparent stops that would've forced punts on both occasions. In their three playoff wins leading up to the Super Bowl the Giants have allowed just 13.0 ppg. In addition the Giants have recorded 9 sacks and created 6 turnovers in their three playoff wins.

The much maligned Patriots defense ranked next to last in total defense in the NFL during the regular season. It should also be pointed out that New England was in the middle of the pack (15th) in scoring defense at 21.4 ppg. They've covered up a lot of weaknesses on that side of the ball with a bend but don't break mentality. The Patriots pass rush has created 8 sacks in their two playoff wins.

The last but not least factor in my strong opinion on the total is these two head coaches. Both Bill Belichek and Tom Coughlin are masters of when given ample time to prepare taking the opposing offenses strengths away while forcing them to operate out of their comfort zones. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.

The Giants have the edge here in playoff experience both from a player and coaching standpoint. The core group from New York made a similar run back in 2008 with the exception with all 3 wins that earned them a trip to the Super Bowl in that playoff year came on the road. This year they opened with a home win over Atlanta before totally dismantling the 15-1 Green Bay Packers on the road.

The 49ers led the league in takeaways and turnover differential. Nothing was more evident of that than in their opening playoff 36-32 win over New Orleans forcing the Saints to turn the ball over 5 times. Against a veteran quarterback Eli Manning who's playing the best football of his career and two veteran running backs (Brandon Jacobs & Ahmad Bradshaw) they won't be as fortunate. In addition they won't have the luxury of facing a defense like the Saints that relies on elaborate blitz packages to put pressure on the quarterback, while in doing so leaving their defensive backs in single coverage all over the field. The Giants are adept at getting pressure from just rushing four and leaving seven in coverage. In doing so Alex Smith isn't going to be afforded some of those ideal matchups he had last week and will be nowhere near as effective.

Since 1984 any playoff team that's coming off a home underdog SU win is 0-13 SU.

Any playoff favorite or underdog of 4.0 or less that's coming off an away underdog SU win is 8-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The Average margin of victory in those 8 games was 15.3 ppg. Play on the New York Giants as a 50* Top Play selection.

The Giants' pass rush has come alive during this current four-game win streak with 17 sacks, including four of Aaron Rodgers last Sunday. The emergence of second-year Pro Bowler Jason Pierre-Paul, return of Osi Umenyiora for the Dallas game and the improved health of Justin Tuck have boosted one of the league's most fearsome units. unlike New Orleans the Giants have been able to get to the quarterback by just rushing four and keeping seven in coverage. San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith isn't going to find those favorable man on man situations that he encountered a week ago.

The 49ers, meanwhile, had the league's top rushing defense in allowing 77.3 yards per game as well as a pass rush led by rookie Aldon Smith's 14.0 sacks. San Francisco earned a reputation for delivering bone-crushing hits while tying for the league lead in creating 38 takeaways. San Francisco was also #4 in total defense and #2 in scoring defense in the NFL during the regular season.

Since 1983 any road team coming off an straight up win by 14 points or more as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home straight up win, and the total is between 35.5-42.0 has seen 24 of those 29 (82.8%) games go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 100* Top Play selection.

Hidden in the fact that the Patriots are such an explosive offensive team is the fact that they were rated next to last in the NFL for total defense during the regular season allowing 411.1 yards per game. The high powered Patriots offense will also be facing a formidable Baltimore defense with plenty of veteran playoff experience.

Baltimore's offense looked less than impressive in last week's home playoff 20-13 win over Houston. We can't lose site of the fact that was a Houston defense that was #2 in the NFL in total defense allowing just 285.7 yards per game. Joe Flacco won't be mistaken as a top five quarterback in the NFL but he's a much more dangerous passer than the Patriots faced last week in Tim Tebow. In addition the Ravens are much better at the skilled positions on offense than the Broncos led by all-pro running back Ray Rice (1364 yards rushing/12 TD'S). Rice is also an adept pass catcher with 76 receptions for 704 yards and an additional 3 touchdowns on the season. This game has all the earmarks of a game that goes down to the wire and could go either way which gives the underdog plenty of value in this spot.

Any non-division playoff favorite or underdog of 9.0 or less that has a winning percentage of less than .888, they are coming off a playoff non-division home favorite ATS win in which they scored 40 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 30 points or less in their previous game is 0-10 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of loss in those 10 games was 14.7 points per game. Play on the Baltimore Ravens plus the points as a 50* Top Play selection.

The deciding factors in this game will be experience and home field. The Ravens excel playing in Baltimore and already own a home win over the Texans. On top of that, key members like Joe Flacco, Ray Rice and Ed Reed are all playoff-tested, while Ray Lewis is a former Super Bowl MVP. On the other side of the ball the major concern for the Texans will be the play of rookie quarterback Tyler Yates. He's more of a game manager than someone who can create plays. I look for Baltimore to get the lead make the Texans one dimensional and things to get ugly by early in the 2nd half. Play on Baltimore as a 50* Top Play selection.

San Francisco was terrific at home this season going 7-1 with their only loss coming in overtime to Dallas in week 2 of the season. Since that loss the Niners have reeled off 6 straight home wins to close the regular season with an average point differential of +20.1 in those 6 contests. In addition the San Francisco defense allowed just 43 total points (7.1 ppg.) over those last 6 home games.

If New Orleans has shown a sign of weakness this season it's been on the road where all 3 of their losses occurred. Two of those three losses came to the likes of St. Louis and Tampa Bay who were a combined 6-26 this season. They were nowhere near as dominant in their road wins as they were at home as well. They won at Carolina by 3, at Atlanta by 3 in overtime, and at Tennessee by 5. If you take away their opening road game of the season at Green Bay their remaining 7 road games were versus teams that were a combined 38-74.

Any playoff home underdog with a winning percentage of .750 or better versus an opponents with a winning percentage of less than .823 is 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The home underdog won all 7 of those games by an average of 15.0 points per game. Play on San Francisco plus the points as a 50* Top Play selection.

This line opened at 49.0 and in spite of over 80% of general public money going on the over the number has come down to 47.5. This is a true indicator that a lot of sharp money including mine has gone on the under. Both of these offensives are very good but neither is as explosive as what we saw last night in the Lions and Saints contest. Contrarily both of these defenses are superior to the two stop units we saw play last night as well. Atlanta will lean heavily on their potent running game to keep the Giants talented front four off balance and not allowing them to pin their ears back and tee off on Matt Ryan. Tom Coughlin is an experienced playoff coach and knows you don't get deep into the playoffs by being one-dimensional on offense like his team has been for most of the season with their potent passing attack. I look for the Giants running backs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs to play a key role in this game. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.

This is a rematch of a Week 14 game in Cincinnati, when the Texans scored a go-ahead touchdown with two seconds left for a 20-19 win. Houston lost three fumbles in that game but outgained the Bengals 412-285. The Texans defense matches up well with the Bengals offense, which relies heavily on big plays to receivers A.J. Green and Jerome Simpson. The Houston secondary, led by CB Johnathan Joseph, is one of the NFL

These teams played a wild one in Week 14, with the Giants scoring two touchdowns in the final 3:14 to win 37-34. Tony Romo is expected to play after missing most of the previous game with a bruised throwing hand. He may have to perform in adverse elements which is something he hasn't done very well throughout his career. The Giants just beat a Jets team with a defense (led by head coach Rex Ryan) similar to the Cowboys

The Ravens have been a borderline disaster on the road this year, where they

The Bears

The Saints look to celebrate the holidays with an NFC South title when they host the rival Falcons. New Orleans has won six consecutive games (SU&ATS), while Atlanta is 4-1 SU (2-1-2 ATS) in its past five contests. These teams have played three straight games decided by a field goal, including Atlanta

With both teams still having something to play for and the rivalry that exists between these two franchises, motivation isn't going to an issue here. That means it's going to come down to who executes the best, and the Chiefs seem to hold an advantage based on recent results. Kansas City's defense has been mostly terrific over the past four weeks, and Orton brought a much-needed spark and stability to an offense that was sorely lacking in those aspects. Oakland, meanwhile, continues to cripple itself with mistakes in all sorts of forms, whether it's turning the ball over in bunches, defensive breakdowns or a troubling plethora of penalties. The Chiefs are the more sounder of these two participants, and that grasp of fundamentals could wind up being the difference. Play on the Kansas City Chiefs as a 50* Top Play selection.

Arizona has caught fire, winning four in a row and six of seven SU,
plus six of eight ATS. They

Miami proved it can play in the cold by winning in snowy Buffalo last week, and the Dolphins visit Foxboro this week, where they

Tampa Bay has lost eight in a row SU, going 1-7 ATS during that stretch. And three weeks ago at home against the Panthers, the Buccaneers allowed 163 rushing yards and 38 points. Tampa Bay started backup QB Josh Johnson in that game and generated only 285 yards of offense against a Panthers team that stacked the box to stop the run. The presence of QB Josh Freeman should help open things up for the running game this time around, but it won't be enough to cover against a Carolina team that

While it's true that the Colts haven't been very competitive when going up against an upper-echelon opponent this season, there's reason to believe the front-runners for next year's No. 1 overall draft pick can give the injury- plagued Texans a run for their money. Houston's offense has hardly been a juggernaut in Yates' three starts, with the team having averaged less than 17 points during the 24-year-old's time at the controls, and Indianapolis has been respectable on the defensive end since firing coordinator Larry Coyer in late November and replacing him with linebackers coach Mike Murphy. That trend will continue for another week with the Texans still in the process of getting the offense in sync and the difference-making Johnson once again out of commission.

Any home underdog with a less than .500 winning percentage that's playing in Game 9 of the season or beyond, versus an opponent that's covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, and they have a winning percentage of between .600-.750 is 34-11 ATS (75.6%) since 1983. Play on the Indianapolis Colts plus the points as a 25* Top Play selection.

San Francisco is coming off an upset loss in Arizona, and they are susceptible to the big pass play. They

The Ravens carry a four-game win streak into San Diego to square off with the surging Chargers on Sunday night. San Diego is coming off wins over Jacksonville and Buffalo by a combined 75-24 score. But the Chargers are just 1-6 SU and ATS against teams that have winning records, and that lone win was against the Broncos when Kyle Orton was still their starter. Baltimore is the best opponent the Bolts have played in a while, especially defensively, as the Ravens rank third in the NFL in both scoring defense (15.5 PPG) and total defense (278 YPG). Play on Baltimore minus the points as a 25* Top Play selection.

Lets not get carried away with the Jets 3-game winning streak. The three wins have come versus 3 teams that have been in a 2nd half of the season tailspin in Buffalo, Washington, and Kansas City. Philadelphia in spite of their struggles still possesses game breakers on the offensive side of the ball at all the skill positions. The Eagles defense is 2nd only to Baltimore with 42 sacks on the season. Look for that to be a key factor versus the Jets erratic quarterback Mark Sanchez who seems to make head scratching throws at times when under pressure. This is a chance for the Eagles to some amends for an otherwise very disappointing season. What better way than to beat a team vying for a playoff spot. The Jets are very lucky to even be 8-5 at this point of the season. The luck runs out here. Play on Philadelphia minus the points as a 50* Top Play selection.

Two of the league

The Cowboys are desperate for a win and there

Jacksonville has gone under the total in all 6 road games this season. The average total score in those 6 games is an incredibly low 28.9 PPG. That includes the Jaguars averaging just 11.2 PPG in those 6 contests. As bad as the Jaguars have been this season they are still are #4 in total defense, #7 in scoring defense, and #4 in passing defense in the NFL. The flip side of the coin is that their offense is last in total offense, last in passing offense, and #28 in scoring offense in the league. The one thing the Jaguars do well offensively is run the ball which is much do in part to Maurice Jones-Drew. However they will be facing an Atlanta defense that's #5 in the NFL versus the run.

The Falcons have gone under the total in their last 5 home games this season. As a matter of fact last week's 31-23 win over Carolina broke a string of 8 consecutive games going under the total for Atlanta. Mike Smith has seen 12 of 15 non-conference games go under the total as head coach of the Falcons with an average total score of 36.5 PPG.

Any road team in Game 9 of the season or beyond, that's averaging 150 yards or less passing per game, and allows between 230-265 yards passing per game has gone under the total 23 of 28 (83.3%) games since 1983. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.

The decimated Rams would have been hard-pressed to come away with a victory in a venue in which they've experienced little success over the years even if Bradford managed to suit up, and there's practically no chance of that considering the deplorable state of the team's offensive line. Shutting down the league's lowest-scoring team should be no sweat for a Seattle defense that's been performing well in recent weeks with Brandstater at the controls, and Lynch stands a good chance of adding to his string of dominant games against a porous St. Louis stop unit. The Seahawks won't need to get fancy to keep their playoff dreams still plausible with another win; a workmanlike effort would do just fine.

Any Monday night favorite of pick'em that's facing an opponent that lost 5 of 6 of their last 7 games is 41-14 ATS since 1983. Play on Seattle minus the points as a 50* Top Play.

Both of these team's major weaknesses are on the defensive side of the ball. Neither stop unit has had success at stop the opposition's running attacks. This eventually leads to explosive plays in the passing game. San Diego is finally 100% healthy with their skill positions on the offensive side of the ball and it showed last Monday night as they hung 38 points on the Jaguars. Philip Rivers has had a somewhat erratic year but versus a porous Buffalo defense he will have a field day. Ryan Fitzpatrick has fizzled a bit in the 2nd half of the season but not all is totally on him. The Bills are still capable of putting up points and moving the ball especially on this Chargers defense.

Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO), with a poor rushing defense, allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards per carry, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in their past 2 games has gone over the total in 38 of 51 games (74.5%) since 2006. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.

While the Packers escaped last week with a wild 38-35 victory against the Giants in New York for their 18th straight victory, the Raiders