Rangers @ Orioles 7:05 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Rangers +115 (5*)

Baltimore is coming off a series at Yankee Stadium in which they won 2 of 3 which was capped off by yesterday’s 3-1 win as a money line underdog of +120. I’m looking for a bit of an emotional letdown from the Orioles tonight versus a Texas team which has won 5 of their last 6. Furthermore, since 2021, Baltimore is an abysmal 5-21 at home immediately following a game they defeated a fellow AL East team as a money line underdog. The Oriole Grayson Rodriguez has displayed poor for over his last 4 starts with a 9.17 ERA/1.98 WHIP.

Texas has averaged 7.0 runs scored per game and hit 11 homers over their previous 7. Texas’ Jon Gray has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.90 ERA/0.80 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.7 inning pitched per outing. Gray has been superb during 5 road starts this season while compiling a 2.20 ERA/0.91 WHIP.

Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line underdog.

Dodgers (Syndergaard) @ Rays (Beeks) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Rays -110 (5*)

Noah Syndergaard is no longer the once overpowering pitcher he once was in his early days with the Mets. During 4 road starts this season, Syndergaard has compiled an enormous 10.29 ERA/1.71 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen of late to the tune of a staff 6.67 ERA throughout their previous 7 games.

This is an extremely cheap price to lay on a team like the Rays who have gone 24-5 at home thus far in 2023. Since 2021, Tampa Bay is 16-2 at home when there’s a total of 9.0 or 9.5, 22-4 at home when facing National League teams, and 35-6 at home when facing a pitcher who averages less than 5.0 innings pitched per start. All those trends are applicable to today’s matchup.

Give me the Tampa Bay Rays on the money-line.

Tigers (Boyd) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Royals -110 (5*)

Matt Boyd has displayed horrible form over his last 4 starts with a 8.19 ERA/1.50 WHIP. The Royals Zach Greinke has made 5 home starts this season with a stellar 3.21 ERA/1.07 WHIP. Greinke has also shown very good form over his last starts overall with a 2.95 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Greinke will be making his first start of the season versus Detroit. During his 2 starts versus the Tigers last season, Greinke had a dominating 1.46 ERA/0.89 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings pitched.

Give the Kansas City Royals as a money line favorite.

Cardinals (Matz) @ Reds (Lively) 6:40 ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Reds +140 (5*)

The Cardinals lefty Steven Matz is 1-3 in his road team starts this season while collecting a terrible 6.64 ERA/1.72 WHIP. The Cardinals are a respectable 10-7 in day games this season. However, they’re a miserable 12-21 at night. As a matter of fact, they’re 0-6 at night this season when Matz is their starting pitcher and they lost by a substantial average of 3.6 runs per game. Conversely, you might be surprised to know that the Reds are a perfect 8-0 at home this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers and with a decisive average victory margin of 4.0 runs per game.

Give me the Cincinnati Reds as a money line underdog.

Red Sox (Bello) @ Angels (Canning) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Red Sox -108 (5*)

The Angels Griffin Canning has displayed very poor form over his last 3 starts with a large 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP. Since the start of last season, the Angels are a dismal 17-32 when facing AL East Division teams.

Brayan Bello is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts with a very good 2.57 ERA while doing so. The Red Sox bullpen have been extremely sharp over their last 7 games with a staff 2.96 ERA/1.15 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Boston has gone an extremely profitable 30-11 versus AL West Division teams. Additionally, Boston is 17-6 this season when facing American League teams like the Angels who possess a 2.60 or worse team batting average.

Give me the Red Sox on the money line.

Orioles (Bradish) @ Yankees (Cole) 7:05 ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Kyle Bradish has been very good over his last 2 starts while allowing just 1 earned run in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Bradish has made 1 career start at Yankees Stadium and that came last year when allowed 0 earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched.  The Orioles bullpen has been consistently good since the start of the season which is evident by their staff 3.03 ERA/1.23 WHIP.

Gerrit Cole has been terrific when pitching at Yankee Stadium this year while recording a brilliant 1.18 ERA/0.92 WHIP in 6 starts. The Yankees bullpen has been terrific over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.34 ERA. The Yankees have played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 and allowed a mere 2.4 runs per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

White Sox (Cease) @ Guardians (Allen) 6:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

The White Sox have played 9-1-1 to the under in their last 11 games. Dylan Cease has made 5 starts versus Cleveland since 2021 and compiled a stellar 2.45 ERA. The White Sox bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 1.25 ERA/0.69 WHIP.

Cleveland pitcher Logan Allen has pitched 3-1-1 to the under in 5 starts this season with a shiny 3.04 ERA. The Guardians bullpen has an impressive 2.51 ERA/1.06 WHIP at home this season. Cleveland has played 15-6-1 at home this season. The Guardians have also played 19-9 to the under when facing right-handed starting pitchers.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Stone) @ Braves (Morton)

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

During their previous 7 outings, the Atlanta Braves have averaged 5.6 runs scored per game and smashed 16 home runs. They’ll get the fair share of at bats versus a Dodgers bullpen which has allowed an alarmingly high 9 home runs over their previous 37 1/3 innings pitched and had a terrible 6.99 ERA as a staff. The Dodgers have played 12-3 to the over this season immediately following 3 or more away games. The Braves have played 9-1 to the over this season at home and following 3 or more home games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Tigers (Lorenzen) @ Royals (Singer) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Tigers +104 (5*)

Simply put, Brady Singer has been lousy in 9 starts this season while recording a 7.09 ERA/1.53 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much run support this evening against a red-hot starting pitcher, and the fact that they’ve scored a combined 3 runs over their previous 3 games.

Speaking of that red-hot starting pitcher, Michael Lorenzen has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.90 ERA and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. Lorenzen has allowed only 3 homers in 34.0 innings this season. Conversely, since the start of last season, Kansas City is an abysmal 9-33 when facing a pitcher who allows 0.5 or fewer home runs per start. Additionally, in the you may be surprised to know category, since the start of last season, Detroit is 23-19 on the road versus teams with a losing record.

Give me the Detroit Tigers for a money line wager.

Astros (Javier) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Houston’s Christian Javier has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.68 WHIP in 19.0 innings of work. Javier can count on his bullpen to get the job done tonight since they’ve posted a staff ERA of 0.76 throughout their previous 7 games. It’s worth noting, since the start of last season Houston has played 34-12 (74%) to the under during the month of May.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes has been very good in 6 starts at night this season while collecting a 1.93 ERA/0.96 WHIP and averaging 6.2 innings pitched per out. The Brewers bullpen has been solid at home this season with a staff 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP. Milwaukee has played 17-9 (65%) to the under in night games this season.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Taillon) @ Phillies (Nola) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 8.5 (5*)

Jamison Taillon is 0-6 in his team starts this season with a lofty 6.66 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in each of their previous 9 and with a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Cubs bullpen has an awful 9.82 ERA/2.09 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Aaron Nola has gone a forgetful 1-4 during his team starts du ring the day this season a a sizable 5.59 ERA. The Phillies bullpen has an uninspiring 5.15 ERA/1.48 WHIP in 20 day games this year.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Arizona (Pfaadt) @ Pirates (Keller) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Pirates -144 (5*)

Arizona’s Brandon Phaadt has made 3 starts this season and posted a terrible 8.59 ERA/1.57 while also surrendering 7 home runs in just 14 2/3 innings pitched. He will be facing a Pirates lineup today that has scored 21 runs and pounded out 31 hits over their last 2 games. Since 2021, Arizona is an abysmal 12-46 on the road when facing National League starting pitchers like Mitch Keller who have a WHIP of 1.25 or better.

Mitch Keller is 4-0 in his home team starts this year with a brilliant 2.00 ERA/0.89 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing.  The Pirates bullpen has been rock-solid of late and they’re a more than respectable 13-17 (7%) on save opportunities this season.

Give me the Pittsburgh Pirates as a money line favorite.

Nationals (Gore) @ Marlins (Cabrera) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Over 7.5 (5*)

Miami has seen 4 of their last 5 go over the total. Miami’s Edward Cabrera has displayed very shaky form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 6.62 ERA. The Miami bullpen staff has a lofty 1.58 WHIP over their last 7 games.

The Nationals are currently a money line underdog of +101 for tonight’s game. Washington has played a perfect 7-0 to the over this season as a road money line underdog of +100 to +150 and there was a combined 14.1 runs scored per game. The Nationals McKenzie Gore has displayed ppor form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 1.79 WHIP. The Washington bullpen has an uninspiring 5.47 ERA/1.62 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Nationals have gone over the total in their last 3 outings and with a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Mariners (Kirby) @ Red Sox (Houck) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Mariners -116 (5*)

Boston is coming off being swept in a 3-game series at home versus St. Louis and has now dropped 5 of their last 6. The Red Sox Tanner Houck has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 6.48 ERA.

The Mariners are coming off yesterday’s 5-3 loss at Detroit which ended a 6-game road winning streak. Nonetheless, Seattle is 9-4 in their last 13 and includes 4-0 in their last 4 immediately following a loss. Seattle’s George Kirby has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.64 ERA/0.86 WHIP and averaged a sizable 7.3 innings pitched per start. The Seattle bullpen has a shiny 1.93 ERA/1.18 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Since the start of last season, the Mariners have gone an extremely profitable 20-7 on the road when their money line is -100 to -150.

Give me the Seattle Mariners for a money line wager.

Rangers (Gray) @ A’s (Kaprielian) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rangers -1.5 (-103) (10*)

Oakland is 1-15 during day games this season and were outscored by an enormous 4.6 runs per game. The A’s are also an abysmal 4-16 at home and being outscored by an average of 3.5 runs per game.

Conversely, Texas is 9-4 during the day this season with a huge +3.6 run per game differential and averaging a substantial 8.1 runs scored per game. The Rangers lost at Oakland last night. But they can take comfort in knowing the A’s are a miserable 1-7 in 2023 immediately following a win and that includes 0-3 at home. Texas’ Jon Gray has been sharp in 4 road starts with a shiny 3.05 ERA/1.02 WHIP.

Give me the Texas Rangers on the run-line.

Cubs (Wesneski) @ Twins (Ryan) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Cubs Hayden Wesneski has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Cubs have gone over the total in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t gone over the total in 4 consecutive games all season. As a matter of fact, even with those last 3 going over the total, Chicago has played 11-5-1 to the under during their previous 17 games.  Chicago has allowed a mere 3.4 runs per game throughout their previous 10 games. The Cubs bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.45 ERA/0.81 WHIP during their last 7 games.

Joe Ryan has shown exceptional form over his last 3 starts with a miniscule 1.42 ERA/0.95 WHIP. The Twins have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and averaged a paltry 2.4 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Rays (Eflin) @Orioles (G. Rodriguez) 6:35 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rays -134 (5*)

Grayson Rodriguez is 5-1 in his team starts this season. However, he’s posted a lofty 5.64 ERA/1.54 WHIP during those outings and has been a beneficiary of very good run support from his teammates. As a matter of fact, take away his 2 starts versus Detroit, and Rodriguez had a massive 10.50 ERA in his other 4 starts. The Orioles bullpen has been somewhat shaky over their last 7 games with a 4.68 ERA/1.52 WHIP. Since 2021, Baltimore is a miserable 20-65 versus Amrican League teams like the Rays who average 4.9 or more runs scored per game.

The Rays won the opening game of this AL East series on Monday 3-0. The Rays are 17-1 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 runs or fewer. Zach Eflin is 5-0 in his team starts for Tampa Bay this season with a brilliant 2.25 ERA/0.96 WHIP.

Give me the Tampa Bay Rays on the money line.

Astros (Brown) @ Angels (Sandoval) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Astros -118 (10*)

The Angels Patrick Sandoval has made 6 career starts versus Houston with a lousy 7.15 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Since the beginning of last season, the Angels are 10-35 when facing starting pitchers like Hunter Brown who allow an average of 0.5 or less home runs per start. The Angels pitching staff has allowed a combined 26 runs and 32 hits during its previous 2 games.

The Astros Hunter Brown is 3-0 in his road team starts this season with a brilliant 1.93 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Since 2021, Houston has gone 36-14 against American League teams like the Angels that average 4.39 or more runs scored per game. Houston is a solid 9-6 on the road thus far in 2023 and outscored those 15 opponents by an average of 1.2 runs per game.

MLB money line road favorites of -110 or greater like Houston who is facing a team whose bullpen that averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game and they allowed 4 earned runs or more in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those money line favorites going 42-10 (80.8%) since 2019. The money line favorites outscored their 52 opponents by a sizable average of 3.6 runs per game and their average money line was -134.5.

Give me the Houston Astros for a 10* Top Play money line pick.

Dodgers (Urias) @ Padres (Musgrove) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: 8.0 (5*)

The first 2 games of this NL West series have gone under the total. The Dodgers are 3-1-1 to the over this season when coming off back-to-back games that stayed under. The Dodgers Julio Urias has given up 7 home runs in 21 2/3 innings pitched over his last 4 starts. Urias has also seen all 3 of his away starts in 2023 go over the total and his awful 7.20 ERA/1.60 WHIP was a key contributor to those high scoring affairs. Urias also has a terrible 7.98 ERA/1.84 WHIP in 3 day starts during day games this season. The Los Angeles bullpen has a poor 5.59 ERA/1.54 WHIP during away games. The Dodgers have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road this season with a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game.

Joe Musgrove has pitched 36-18 (67%) to the over during his career starts versus teams like the Dodgers that are averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game. Musgrove has made 2 abysmal starts so far in 2023 and recorded a huge 10.80 ERA/1.64 WHIP while also allowing 4 home runs in just 8 1/3 innings pitched. The Padres have averaged 6.3 runs scored per game and hit 11 homers over their previous 7 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Nationals (Williams) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Play On: Nationals +147 (5*)

Arizona’s Ryne Nelson is 0-3 in his team starts this season with a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.93 WHIP. Washington’s Trevor Williams has been in good form over his last 4 starts while compiling a 2.95 ERA/1.27 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Washington has gone 14-15 as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater after losing each of their previous 2 games and when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Although that seems like an uninspiring record, by risking $100 on Washington on each of those 29 games it produced a net profit of $1,164. So there’s ample betting value on the Nationals today with all things being considered. Furthermore, dating back to 7/20/2021, Trevor Williams has gone 5-2 in his team starts as an away money line underdog of +100 or greater and by risking $100 on all 7 games it turned a net profit of $523.

Give me the Washington Nationals as a money line underdog.

White Sox (Kopech) @ Reds (Ashcraft) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Reds -122 (5*)

The White Sox Michael Kopech has a lofty 5.97 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 8 homers in 31 2/3 innings pitched this season. The White Sox are 5-13 on the road this year and includes 1-9 in their last 10 away games. Chicago is also 5-13 during day games while being outscored by an average of 2.4 runs per occurrence. The White Sox are a miserable 5-19 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater and $100 bettors lost $1,220 by wagering on them in that exact role.

The Red are an abysmal 4-12 in away games in 2023. Nonetheless, today they will be playing at home where they’ve gone 10-7 and includes 4-1 the last 5. The Reds Graham Ashcraft is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with an exceptional 1.42 ERA/1.05 WHIP while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Additionally, the Reds bullpen staff have a cumulative 2.65 ERA/1.10 WHIP at home.

Give me the Cincinnati Reds as a money line favorite.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Giants (Manaea) 10:15 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Brewers -118 (5*)

Corbin Burnes has a brilliant 1.03 ERA/0.66 WHIP during 5 career starts versus San Francisco. Burnes has been in sparkling form over his last 4 starts overall with a 1.85 ERA/0.90 WHIP. The Giants Seasn Manaea is 0-3 in his previous 3 starts with a massive 11.00 ERA/2.33 WHIP while averaging only 3.0 innings pitched per outing. Manaea doesn’t figure to get much help from a Giants bullpen which has collected a horrible 10.99 ERA/2.24 WHIP and allowed 6 homers in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Since the start of last year, San Francisco has gone an abysmal 14-35 versus starting pitchers like Corbin Burnes that own a 1.15 WHIP or better for the season.

Give me the Milwaukee Brewers on the money line.

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:40 ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Clayton Kershaw has been in spectacular form over his last 3 starts while posting a 0.45 ERA/0.45 WHIP and he averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Dodgers bullpen is beginning to round into form after a disappointing April. During their previous 7 games, Dodgers relievers have a combined 1.16 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Dodgers had testerday off. Since 2020, they’ve played 31-16 to the under following an off day.

Yu Darvish has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.89 ERA/1.18 WHIP and had 26 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched. Darvish has an impressive 2.69 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 career starts versus the Dodgers. The Padres bullpen has been rock-solid over its previous 7 games with a staff 2.10 ERA/0.94 WHIP.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Ober) @ Guardians (Battenfield) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Twins -113 (5*)

The Twins’ Bailey Ober has been very good in 2 starts this season while posting a 1.59 ERA in 11 1/3 innings of work. Ober has a stellar 2.40 ERA/0.87 WHIP in 3 starts versus Cleveland and all have transpired since 2021. Minnesota has scored 6 runs or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Conversely, Cleveland has averaged a mere 2.3 runs scored and 5.7 hits per outing throughout their previous 4 games. The Guardians are 2-6 in their last 8 at home.

Give me the Minnesota Twins on the money line.

Angels (Ohtani) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Angels -128 (5*)

We have a huge edge in this starting pitching matchup. Miles Mikolas has endured some early season struggles and that's been especially so at Busch Stadium. During his 3 home starts this season, Mikolas has recorded a large 7.20 ERA/1.93 WHIP. The Cardinals are 10-20 overall so far in 2023 and it includes an abysmal 3-15 in night games.

Shoei Ohtani has a brilliant 1.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 6 starts this season. The Angels bullpen has been outstanding over their previous 7 games with a staff 0.82 ERA/0.91 WHIP. The Angels have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their last 10 games.

Give me the Los Angeles Angels as a money line road favorite.

Orioles (Gibson) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Zack Grienke has displayed terrible form over his last 4 starts with a 8.24 ERA/1.47 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs during only 19 ⅔ innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has an awful 7.22 ERA.1.78 WHIP at home this season. Furthermore, the Royals are 1-13 at home in 2023 and is allowing 6.6 runs per game.

Since 7/20/2018, Kyle Gibson has pitched 4-0 to the over in his 4 starts at Kansas City with a massive 10.06 ERA/2.12 WHIP. Baltimore has averaged 6.4 runs scored per game in their last 7 while also hitting .301 as a team. During that stretch, they also smacked 11 home runs. The Orioles have played 10-5-1 to the over on the road with a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Braves (Wright) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Braxton Garrett is 4-0 in his team starts this season with a 1.89 ERA. Since the start of last season, Garrett has posted a brilliant 1.32 ERA during 3 starts versus Atlanta. During that same period, Kyle Wright made 3 starts versus Miami and pitched 14.0 innings of scoreless baseball while striking out an impressive 23 batters.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies (Strahm) @ Dodgers (Urias) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

We have a pair of left-handed starting pitchers set to square off on Tuesday night at Dodger Stadium. Neither of these teams have fared well when facing left-handed starters this season. The Dodgers are 2-6 versus lefty starters while averaging just 3.0 runs scored per game and recording a horrible .170 team batting average. The Phillies are 3-5 versus lefties and while averaging a mere 2.6 RPG.

Julio Urias has made 3 home starts for the Dodgers in 2023 and posted a very good 2.04 ERA/1.02 WHIP during those outings. The Dodgers bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a 3.46 ERA/1.23 WHIP.

Matt Strahm has been terrific to begin the season with a 2.42 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 5 starts. The Phillies bullpen has a stellar 2.62 ERA/1.04 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Lastly, Philadelphia has played 10-3 to the under in their last 13 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Royals (Singer) @ Twins (Gray) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Twins -1.5 (+102) (5*)

For starters, the Kansas City Royals are an abysmal 6-21 this season and 18 of their 21 losses came by 2 runs or more. Kansas City is also 0-9 in their last 9 as a run-line underdog  and when the total was between 7.0 and 8.5.

Since 2016, Sonny Gray is a perfect 8-0 in his team starts versus Kansas City and the Royals were outscored by 4.5 runs per game and only averaged 1.3 runs scored per outing. Gray is 3-0 during his home team starts this season and with a brilliant 0.47 ERA and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Twins bullpen headed into the weekend’s action with a stellar 2.73 ERA/1.14 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Twins are a very profitable 12-5 this season as a run-line favorite.

Give me the Minnesota Twins as a run-line favorite.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Blue Jays (Bassitt) 1:37 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Heading into Saturday, Toronto had played 8-0-1 to the under during their previous 9 games and they allowed 2 runs or fewer on 7 of those occasions. Chris Bassitt has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts this season with a sparkling 2.19 ERA/0.97 WHIP. He averaged 6.2 innings pitched per start during those previously mentioned 4 starts. The Toronto bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games with a staff 2.00 ERA/0.61 WHIP.

Seattle’s Marco Gonzalez is 3-0 in his team starts versus Toronto since 2019 with a superb 1.83 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Since 2021, Gonzalez has pitched 17-4 to the under as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater like he’ll be on Sunday. The Seattle bullpen has an excellent 2.86 ERA/0.96 WHIP in their last 7 games, and they also recorded a dominating 25:2 strikeout to walk ratio during a combined 22.0 innings pitched.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Steele) @ Marlins (Hoeing) 12:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Cubs -132 (5*)

Since last season, Miami has gone a terrible 9-21 in home day games. The Marlins are also a very poor 14-35 since last season when facing National League teams like the Cubs who are allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game. The probable listed pitcher for Miami is Bryan Hoeing who has made 2 career starts with a large 9.81 ERA/2.18 WHIP while lasting only a combined 7 1/3 innings. Heading into this weekend, the Marlins bullpen has recorded a shaky 5.81 ERA/1.51 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Marlins have averaged a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game at home this season.

Justin Steel has a dominating 1.19 ERA/0.89 WHIP in 5 starts this season. The Cubs bullpen has been solid on the road with a staff 2.05 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Chicago is 6-3 in road games thus far while averaging a robust 6.2 runs scored per game.

Give me the Chicago Cubs as a money line favorite.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:40 ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 11.0 (5*)

Kyle Freeland has pitched 18-4 to the under in his career team starts when facing a team like the Angels who currently possesses a .510-to-.540-win percentage. Colorado has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and their bullpen has a brilliant 2.96 ERA/1.15 WHIP during that time.

Arizona’s Merrill Kelly had an excellent 1.59 ERA in 3 starts versus Colorado last season and averaged over 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Kelly is 2-0 in his road team starts this season with a 0.93 ERA. The Arizona bullpen has compiled a sparkling 2.15 ERA/1.02 WHIP throughout their last 7 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Angels (Anderson) @ Brewers (Miley) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Brewers -130 (5*)

Tyler Anderson has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with a 10.29 ERA/2.00 WHIP while also allowing 5 home runs in 14.0 innings pitched. Anderson has a poor 6.53 ERA in 4 career starts versus Milwaukee. Since the start of last season, the Angels are 10-33 versus starting pitchers like today’s Wade Miley who were allowing 0.5 home runs or fewer per start.

Speaking of Wade Miley, he’s been extremely sharp in 4 starts thus far in 2023 with a 1.96 ERA/0.96 WHIP. MLB money line home favorites of -110 or greater like Milwaukee that has a team slugging percentage of .370 or worse throughout their previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent like the Angels  which has recorded a team slugging percentage of .480 or better during its previous 5 games, resulted in those money line home favorites going 98-26 (79%) since 1997, and includes 3-0 this season.

Give me the Milwaukee Brewers as a money line favorite.

Guardians (Bieber) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Red Sox +113 (3*)

Boston is coming off a 6-2 loss at Baltimore in their previous game. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 this season following a loss. Cleveland is coming off a 4-1 home win over Colorado. The Guardians are 2-6 following a win this season which includes 0-3 in the last 3. Boston has averaged a lofty 6.6 runs scored per game in their last 7. Conversely, Cleveland has averaged 2.6 runs scored per game in their last 7 while hitting only 4 homers during that stretch. Nick Pivetta made 2 starts versus Cleveland last year and posted a stellar 2.13 ERA during 12 2/3 innings pitched. Shane Bieber has made 2 career starts at Fenway Park with a sizable 7.15 ERA.

Give me the Boston Red Sox as a money line underdog.

Rays (McClanahan) @ White Sox (Cease) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rays -1.5 (+114) (5*)

Something must give in this matchup as both teams are coming off shutout losses in each of their previous 2 games. However, the White Sox have lost 7 consecutive games in all and they’re also 2-12 in their previous 14 games. The White Sox are a poor 3-6 at home thus far and their bullpen had a terrible staff 7.60 ERA/1.91 WHIP in those games. The White Sox are an abysmal 2-14 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater.

Despite those shutout losses to Houston in their last 2 games, Tampa Bay is still riding high with a 20-5 season record, and they’ve hit 48 home runs while doing so. Tampa Bay is currently a money line favorite of -155. The Rays have gone an extremely profitable 17-2 this season as a money line favorite of -150 or greater and they outscored their 19 opponents by a substantial 4.0 runs per game.The Rays Sean McClanahan is 5-0 in his team starts this season with a 1.86 ERA. The Rays bullpen has an outstanding staff 1.32 ERA/0.93 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Conversely, the White Sox Dylan Cease has a shaky 1.53 WHIP over his last 3 starts while walking 10 in just 11.0 innings pitched.

Give me the Tampa Bay Rays on the run-line.

Cardinals (Matz) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Giants -105 (5*)

Stephen Matz is 0-4 in his teams starts this season with a large 6.55 ERA/WHIP. During his 1 start at San Francisco last season, Matz allowed 8 earned runs in just 2.0 inning pitched. The Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 5 and 6 of the previous 8 games. The Cardinals are a dismal 6-14 this season when facing right-handed starting pitchers and 3-11 during night games.

After starting the season 6-13, the Giants have rebounded to win their last 4. The Giants have hit an impressive 36 home runs in 23 games thus far. Anthony DeSclafani has shown very good form in his 4 starts this season while compiling a 2.62 ERA/0.88 WHIP and averages 6.0 innings pitched per outing.

Give me the Giants on the money line.

Red Sox (Sale) @ Orioles (Kremer) 6:35 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Orioles +110 (3*)

Chris Sale has hardly looked like the dominant starter he once was. During 4 starts this season Sale has a terrible 8.00 ERA/1.67 WHIP while surrendering 5 home runs in 18.0 innings pitched. As a matter of fact, 3 of those 5 homers allowed came on 4/1 during a home start versus Baltimore. Furthermore, the Orioles hit 7 home runs during their season opening 3-game series at Fenway Park. Boston is 2-5 this season in division games and they’re also a horrible 28-55 versus fellow AL East teams since the start of last season.

Baltimore opens this AL East series red-hot while on a 6-game win streak and they’re also 10-2 the last 12. The total at the time of this writing is 8.0 and that’s significant. Since the start of last season, Baltimore is an extremely profitable 12-1 whenever the total was 8.0 or 8.5 and with Dean Kremer as their starting pitcher. Baltimore has allowed 1 run or fewer in each of their previous 5 games. The Orioles bullpen has compiled a brilliant 1.59 ERA/0.97 WHIP as a staff throughout their last 7 games.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a money line underdog.

Marlins (Garrett) @ Guardians (Plesac) 6:10 PM ET

Game 2 of DH

Game# 923-924

Play On: Marlins +120 (5*)

Cleveland is 8-5 on the road but just 2-4 at home. Zach Plesak has posted a sizable 6.92 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 3 starts this season. The Guardians enter this series having gone 3-3 in its last 6 which came against the Nationals and Tigers who have a combined 12-23 record thus far in 2023.

Miami has gone 6-2 in their last 8 which improves their season record to 10-9. Braxton Garrett has gone 2-0 in his team starts this season with a shiny 2.61 ERA. The Marlins bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.20 ERA/0.53 WHIP and they were 3-3 on save opportunities.

Give me the Miami Marlins as a money line underdog.

Astros (Brown) @ Braves (Elder) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Braves -110 (5*)

Houston is coming off an 8-1 home win over Toronto in their previous game. However, the Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 this year following a win. The Astros bullpen has been very good at home but on the road they have an unimpressive staff 4.67 ERA/1.44 WHIP.

Atlanta is coming off a 1-0 loss at San Diego which snapped a red-hot 8-game win streak. The Braves have now allowed only 2 combined runs in their last 3 games. Bryce Elder is 3-0 in his team starts this season with a brilliant 1.53 ERA. The Atlanta bullpen has been dominant over their previous 7 games with a staff 1.59 ERA while also recording 30 strikeouts while walking only 3 in 23.0 innings of work.

Give me the Atlanta Braves on the money line.

Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Yankees (German) 7:05 ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Yankees -126 (5*)

The Blue Jays have struggled offensively of late while averaging 2.9 runs scored per game and hitting a poor .213 as a team throughout their last 7 outings. During that identical 7-game stretch, the Blue Jays bullpen has an uninspiring 5.91 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Toronto has lost 3 of its last 4 games and allowed 8 runs or more during their defeats.

The Yankees are coming off a 9-3 home win over the Angels in their previous game. Since the start of last season, the Yankees have gone a perfect 14-0 following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more. The Yankees have allowed 3 runs or fewer in 9 of its previous 12 games. Domingo German has gone 18-3 in his career home starts versus teams with a winning record.

Give me the New York Yankees as a money line favorite.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Astros (Javier) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Kevin Gausman has been very good in 3 starts this season while posting a 1.35 ERA during those outings. Gausman also had an excellent 25:2 strikeout to walk ratio in 20.0 innings pitched. Since 2021, Toronto has played 24-10 (71%) to the under during April away games.

Since last season, Houston has played 22-10 (69%) to the under when facing an American League starting pitched like Kevin Gausman who owns an ERA of 3.20 or better. Christian Javier is 2-0 in his home team starts thus far and with a shiny 3.27 ERA.

Both bullpens in this matchup are solid. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (DeGrom) @ Royals (Lyles) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Over 7.5 (5*)

Kansas City has played 5-0-1 to the over in their last 6 with a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. Jordan Lyles has collected an uninspiring 5.19 ERA/144 WHIP in 3 starts thus far. The Royals bullpen has been brutal of late while recording a terrible 8.31 ERA/1.57 WHIP throughout the last 7 games. Since last season, Kansas City has played 30-11 (73%) to the over when facing teams like Texas who are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.

Since 2021, Texas has played 10-3-2 to the over in games versus Kansas City. The Rangers have also played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 versus all teams. Jacob DeGrom is 3-0 in his team starts but with a very average 4.32 ERA. Since 2022, Texas has played 39-18 (68%) to the over as a money line favorite of -110 or greater.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Giants (Webb) @ Marlins (Luzardo) 6:40 PM ET ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Marlins -120 (5*)

Logan Webb is 0-3 in his team starts this season with a 6.35 ERA. Since the start of last season, Webb 0-9 in his team starts as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150. The Giants bullpen has struggled throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 7.76 ERA. The Giants are a dismal 12-30 since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher like Jesus Luzardo who has an ERA of 3.20 or better. The Giants have allowed 8 runs or more in 8 of their last 12 games.

Speaking of Jesus Luzardo, he’s 3-0 in his team starts with a brilliant 1.93 ERA. During their previous 7 games, the Marlins bullpen has compiled a superb 2.46 ERA/0.97 WHIP.

Give me the Marlins as a money line favorite.

Tigers (Turnbull) @ Blue Jays (Bassitt) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Toronto -1.5 (-115) (5*)

Detroit enters today on a 6-game losing streak and is 2-9 on the season. The Tigers have been anemic offensively while having scored 3 runs or fewer in 8 of 11 games. Their bullpen picked up right where it has left off the past couple seasons and is nothing short of disastrous. Spencer Turnbull will be on the mound for Detroit and he’s posted a massive 13.50 ERA/2.25 WHIP in 2 starts.

After a terrible season debut, Chris Bassitt turned in a quality start for Toronto in his last outing. Since 2021, Bassitt has gone an extremely profitable 25-4 in his team starts versus opponents with a losing record. The Toronto bullpen has been very good during the first 2 weeks of the season. The Blue Jays have been red-hot of late after winning 7 of their last 8.

Give me the Blue Jays on the run-line.

Royals (Keller) @ Rangers (Eovaldi) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Rangers -1.5 (+128) (5*)

Kansas City is 3-9 and averaging a paltry 2.9 runs scored per game. Since 2021, the Royals are a dismal 1-7 at Texas. Brad Keller has 2 starts versus Texas since 2020 and had a horrible 14.14 ERA/3.00 WHIP during those outings. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Kansas City bullpen that has compiled a terrible 7.98 ERA/1.77 WHIP on the road.

Texas is coming off last night’s 8-5 home win over Kansas City. The Rangers have now scored 8 runs or more in 5 of 11 games this season. Texas 6-2 at home thus far in 2023 while averaging 6.9 runs scored per game and hit 13 home runs while doing so. The Rangers bullpen has been lights-out at home with a brilliant staff 1.42 ERA/0.88 WHIP.

Give me the Rangers as a run-line favorite.

Brewers (Miley) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Brewers +135 (5*)

Zac Gallen has made 2 uninspiring starts this season with a lofty 7.59 ERA/1.59 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen has a 4.50 ERA so far and they allowed 10 home runs in 38.0 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s Wade Miley was terrific in his only start of 2023 while pitching 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball against the Mets. Milwaukee has gone 7-1 in their last 8 and allowed just 2.4 runs per games while shutting out opponents on 3 separate occasions. Lastly, the Brewers bullpen has been nearly flawless to start the season with a staff 0.84 ERA and they’re 100% on save opportunities.

Give me the Brewers as a money line home underdog.

Cardinals (Matz) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Rockies +132 (5*)

Steven Matz is 0-3 in his career team starts at Colorado with a large 9.20 ERA/1.77 WHIP and allowed 4 home runs in only 14 2/3 innings pitched. The Cardinals aren’t exactly tearing the cover off the ball to start the season and they’ve scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games.

German Marquez is 5-0 in his career home starts versus St. Louis with a sparkling 2.12 ERA. National League teams like Colorado who are a money line home underdogs of +100 or greater that allows 5.5 or more runs per game, and they’re facing a National League opponent like St. Louis that allows 4.5 or more runs per game, resulted in those home underdogs going an extremely profitable 24-10 since 2019. The average money line for those home underdogs was +136.5 and $100 bettors made a net profit of $2,280.

Give me the Rockies as a money line underdog.

Padres (Darvish) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Padres +130 (5*)

I had to do a double take when seeing the Mets as this cheap a home favorite with Max Scherzer as their staring pitcher. However, after delving into the data the money line price makes more sense to me. Since 2020, Padres pitcher Yu Darvish is 4-0 in his team starts versus the Mets with a superb 1.37 ERA/0.68 WHIP. The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 including a current 3-game win streak. Since last year, Max Scherzer is 0-2 in his team starts versus San Diego with a sizable 7.59 ERA and he allowed an alarmingly high 5 home runs in just 10 2/3 innings pitched. Scherzer hasn’t been sharp in his only 2 starts this season with a 6.35 ERA and he allowed 4 home runs in 11 1/3 innings. By the way, the Padres have hit an impressive 15 home runs in their first 10 games this year.

Give me the Padres as a money line underdog.

Game# 973-974

Play On: Angels -122 (5*)

Yusei Kikuchi is 2-6 in his career team starts versus the Angeles with a massive 9.61 ERA/2.22 WHIP and all those outing took place since 2019. Kikuchi failed to make it past 5.0 innings and each of those 8 starts. It also must be noted, Kikuchi allowed an alarmingly high 13 home runs during just 34 1/3 innings pitched in those 8 starts. The Angels are 3-0 during the day this season and outscored those opponents by an average of 6.4 runs scored per game.

Left-hander Reid Detmers made 1 career start versus Toronto and that took place last season. Detmers pitched 5 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball during that outing. Since last season, Toronto has gone a poor 14-23 when facing left-handed starting pitchers.

Give me the Angels as a money line favorite.

Mariners (Kirby) @ Guardians (Plesac) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Mariners -125 (5*)

I ordinarily don’t like fading teams that are on the cusp of being swept in a series and especially when playing at home. However, Seattle is 6-0 in their last 6 at Cleveland. Dating back to last season, Seattle is 19-3 in their last 22 games as a money line road favorite of -120 or greater. Since 2021, Cleveland has gone 68-31 as a money line home favorite of -110 or greater. Unfortunately for them, that’s not the role they’ll assume today. Conversely, the Guardians are just 10-17 as a money line home underdog of +100 or greater since last season, and that includes 4-9 following a loss in their previous game.

Give me the Mariners as a money line favorite.

White Sox (Kopech) @ Pirates (Oviedo) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Both starting pitchers are coming off terrible 2023 debut starts. The teams split the first 2 games of this series with final scores of 11-5 and 13-9. After going under in their season opener, the White Sox have played 8-0 to the over and there was a combined average of 14.1 runs scored per game. The White Sox bullpen has been brutal through their first 9 games with a staff 8.82 ERA/2.14 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Chicago has played 25-13 to the over in away day games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Royals (Singer) @ Giants (Manaea) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Giants -139 (5*)

The Royals are coming off last night’s 3-1 win in the opening game of this series. Despite that win, Kansas City is a poor 2-6, been shutout 3 times, and scored 3 runs or fewer 6 times. The Royals have an abysmal .555 OPS this season while the Giants are at .822 thus far. Since 2020, the Royals are 3-12 as a money line away underdog of +100 to +144 immediately following a road win.

San Francisco has gone a perfect 3-0 in 2023 following a loss and won by an average of 7.0 runs per game. The Giants slated starter Sean Manaea has gone an extremely profitable 37-12 in his career team starts as a home money line favorite of -110 or more.

Give me the Giants as a money line favorite.

Cardinals (Flaherty) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Brewers -141 (10*)

The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has made 6 starts at Miller Park in Milwaukee since 2019, and he posted an alarmingly high 7.92 ERA/1.92 WHIP. The Cardinals enter the series on a current 3-game losing streak in which they were outscored 17-7.

The Brewers enter this 3-game series versus NL Central rival St. Louis riding a 5-game win streak and outscored their opponents by a cumulative score of 42-12. Since 2021, Brandon Woodruff has made 4 starts versus St. Louis and recorded a microscopic 0.73 ERA during those outings. The Brewers bullpen has been terrific thus far in 2023 with a staff 1.33 ERA/0.93 WHIP.

Give me the Brewers as a money line favorite.

Astros (Urquidy) @ Twins (Gray) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Twins -127 (5*)

This money line jumped right off the board at me. It’s not often we see the Astros come up as an underdog and this is one of those occasions and it’s the first time in 2023. The Astros were just 6-9 during regular season action last season as a money line underdog of +100 to +140 last season when facing a team with a winning record. Houston is coming off an8-2 win over Detroit in their previous game. Since the start of last season, Houston was 12-16 immediately following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more. The Astros starter Jose Urquidy was shaky in his 2023 season debut while allowing 3 earned runs, 7 hits, and 2 home runs in just 4.0 innings pitched.

Minnesota will start veteran right-hander Sonny Gray in their home opener. Gray had a successful season debut while pitching 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball.

Give me the Twins as a money line favorite.

Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Royals (Greinke) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) (5*)

Since 2021, Zack Greinke has made 3 starts versus Toronto and posted an uninspiring 4.24 ERA/1.47 WHIP. The Royals are 1-4 to start the season and are averaging a paltry 2.8 runs per game. Their bullpen has been shaky thus far which is evidenced by a staff 5.03 ERA/1.63 WHIP.

Alek Manoah is coming off a terrible start in the Blue Jays season opener at St. Louis, but he’s a terrific young pitcher regardless. Manoah has made 3 career starts versus Kansas City with all taking place since 2021 and compiled an excellent 0.45 ERA in 20.0 innings pitched. The Blue Jays bullpen has been solid to start the season with a staff 2.89 ERA.

Give me the Blue Jays on the run-line.

Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 987-988

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Toronto hurler Alec Manoah has pitched 8-0 to the under on the road in his career whenever there was a total of 7.0 or 7.5, and there was a combined average of 4.9 runs scored per game. The Blue Jays are a money line favorite of -120 at the time of this writing, and that’s significant from an MLB betting perspective. Manoah has pitched 12-1 to the under on the road during his young career when the Blue jays have a money line of +125 to -125. Manoah was sharp in 5 spring training starts with a 3.10 ERA/1.18 WHIP.

Miles Mikolas looked brilliant in 3 spring training game starts while not allowing any earned runs in 12.0 innings of work. During 14 home starts last season, Mikolas posted a superb 2.38 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.8 innings pitched per outing.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Houston (McCullers) @ Philadelphia (Suarez) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Houston -115 (5*)

The Astros will be facing struggling lefthanded starting pitcher Ranger Suarez in Game 3. Houston is 43-12 versus lefthanded starting pitchers this season. Houston's Lance McCullers Jr. has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling 2.12 ERA which includes allowing 1 earned run in 6.0 innings pitched versus Philadelphia on 10/3. The Astros bullpen has been good all year and has been especially dominant in postseason action. Houston won Game 2 by a 5-2 score to even the series at 1-1. The Astros are a terrific 58-22 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 runs or fewer.

Give me the Astros on the money line.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Padres (Darvish) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

The Phillies Blake Wheeler has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.32 ERA/0.66 WHIP. Wheeler has made 1 starts in each of the past 2 season versus San Diego and was dominating while pitching 14 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball. The Phillies bullpen hasn’t been great by any stretch the past couple of seasons but that hasn’t been the case in postseason action. The Phillies bullpen has a combined 2.19 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 7 playoff games thus far.

The Padres Yu Darvish has made 2 starts versus the Phillies this year and compiled a very good 2.08 ERA during those outings. Darvish has pitched 9-4 to the under this season at home with a 2.60 ERA/0.88 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Astros (Valdez) 3:37 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 6.5 (10*)

Seattle has played 17-3 to the over in their last 20 road games following a loss. The Mariners have also played 8-2 to the over this season on the road following an off day, and that includes 4-0 over if they scored 6 runs or more in their previous outing. Additionally, there was a combined 13.0 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 4 occurrences. The Mariners have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Mariners bullpen has a terrible 8.18 ERA during their 3 postseason games thus far.

The Astros Framber Valdez has gone 21-10 in his team starts this season. However, during his 2 starts versus Seattle he allowed 3 earned runs on both occasions.  There were 5 combined home runs hit in Game 1 of this ALDS including 3 by Houston. Give me this game to go over the total.

Any American League road team with a total of 7.0 or less that has a slugging percentage of .410 or less, and they’re coming off a game in which there was a combined 15 runs or more being scored, resulted in those games playing 34-10 (77.3%) to the over since 2018. There was a combined average of 9.1 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 44 occurrences.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Padres (Darvish) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 8:37 PM ET

Game# 933-934

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Both starting pitchers in this matchup have been in outstanding form throughout each of their previous 5 starts. During those stretches, Darvish has a 1.64 ERA/0.76 WHIP while averaging 6.8 innings pitched per outing, and Kershaw compiled a 1.20 ERA/0.87 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings per start. Darvish has amassed 9 quality starts in a row and in 4 starts versus the Dodgers this season he recorded a brilliant 2.52 ERA/0.92 WHIP. Kershaw has made 2 starts versus the Padres in 2022 and allowed only 1 earned run on 8 hits during 12.0 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen has a 2.10 ERA/1.00 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Gilbert) @ Astros (Verlander) 3:37 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 6.5 (5*)

We have a pair of red-hot starting pitchers squaring of in Game 1 of this ALDS. Hence, the low total in this game.

Seattle’s Logan Gilbert has been in excellent form over his last 6 starts while compiling a 1.75 ERA/1.06 WHIP during that stretch. Gilbert has pitched 3-1 to the under in his starts versus Houston this season with a 2.52 ERA/1.08 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a very good 0.93 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games while recoding a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Justin Verlander has pitched 20-7 to the under in his starts this season with an exceptional 1.75 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Verlander is 3-0 in his home team starts versus Seattle this season and registered a brilliant 1.69 ERA/0.89 WHIP during those outings. The Houston bullpen has been lights out at home in 2022 with a staff 2.18 ERA/0.99 WHIP and they amassed 322 strikeouts in 268 2/3 innings pitched. Houston has played 35-19 (64.8%) to the under this season in day games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Rays (McClanahan) @ Guardians (Bieber) 12:07 PM ET

Game# 945-946

Play On: Guardians -109 (10*)

These teams finished the regular season headed down opposite paths. Tampa Bay heads into the postseason having gone a dismal 8-18 in their last 26 games. Conversely, Cleveland finished regular season action a red-hot 24-6 in their last 30. The Rays finished up regular season play on a 9-game road trip which saw them go 2-7. Tampa is an awful 7-18 (.280) this season following 6 or more games on the road. Meanwhile, Cleveland played their last 10 regular season games at home. The Guardians are 23-10 (.697) this season following 5 or more consecutive games played at home.

At one point this season lefthander Shane McClanahan may have been the frontrunner for the American CY Young Award. However, the Rays hurler is 0-3 during his last 3 teams starts with a sizable 7.07 ERA/1.64 WHIP and that certainly doesn’t equate to good form. McClanahan will be facing a Cleveland team that has gone a terrific 17-4 this season as a home favorite of -110 or greater when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. The Tampa Bay bullpen has recently struggled as evidence by their staff 6.05 ERA/1.55 WHIP over its previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, the Rays bullpen has converted on a terrible 16 of 34 (47.1%) save opportunities on the road in 2022. One more final note, the Rays were a shiny 51-30 (.629) at home this season but went just 35-46 (.432) in away games.

Shane Bieber has gone a stellar 20-11 in his teams starts this season with an exceptional 2.93 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Furthermore, Bieber is 5-1 in his previous 6 teams starts with an outstanding 2.20 ERA/0.85 EHIP. The Guardians bullpen has an excellent 0.99 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cleveland’s bullpen has converted 21 of 25 (84%) save opportunities at home this season. Give me the Guardians on the money line.

Phillies (Nola) @ Cubs (Wesneski) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Cubs +1.5 (-110) (5*)

These teams have recently been going in opposite directions. The Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 while the Cubs have won 6 of its previous 7. The Cubs are coming off last night’s 2-1 win over Philadelphia. Despite Chicago’s poor 68-86 season record, they’ve managed to go an extremely profitable 17-7 this season immediately following a 1-run win. The Cubs are slated to start righthander Hayden Wesnecki. The 24-year-old has been exceptional since his September call up from AAA Iowa. His first 2 career MLB appearances came as a reliever. However, his last 2 were as a starter and he compiled a brilliant 2.03 ERA/0.75 WHIP in 13 1/3 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has been sharp during their 6-1 stretch while posting a staff 2.38 ERA/1.15 WHIP.

Give me the Cubs on the run line.

Rockies (Marquez) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Giants -1.5 (+120) (5*)

Since 2021, German Marquez has made 4 starts at San Francisco and posted a terrible 7.78 ERA/1.68 WHIP during those outings. Marquez has also shown poor form over his last 3 starts with a 7.87 ERA/1.75 WHIP. The Colorado bullpen has a shaky 6.83 ERA/1.58 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games while the Rockies have gone 1-6 during that stretch. Since the beginning of last season, Colorado has gone 28-72 on the road when facing a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Giants enter today having won 6 of its last 7. The Giants are currently a money line favorite of -185. Since the 2021 season began, San Francisco is 15-1 as a money line home favorite of -150 or more when Brandon Webb is their starting pitcher and won by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Webb has made 3 starts versus Colorado this year with a sparkling 2.50 EWRA and 0.80 WHIP. Webb has also displayed good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.31 ERA/0.98 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has compiled an excellent 1.54 ERA as a staff throughout their previous 7 games.

Give me the Giants on the run line.

Mets (Carrasco) @ Brewers (Ashby) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Mets -110 (5*)

The Brewers are a dismal 0-7 in their last 7 when Alan Ashby was their starting pitcher. Speaking of Ashby, he has a terrible 6.87 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Brewers bullpen has been shaky during their previous 7 games with a staff 5.08 ERA and has blown 3 save opportunities in 5 tries.

Carlos Carrasco has displayed good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.84 ERA and just shy of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Additionally, Carrasco is 7-2 in his last 9 team starts with a stellar 2.12 ERA. The Mets bullpen has a shiny 1.71 ERA/0.72 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Mets are currently on a 5-game win streak and hold a slim 1.0 game lead over 2nd place Atlanta in the NL East standings. With the Braves opening a 3-game series at lowly Washington (51-96), their urgency level is sure to be extremely high. Give me the Mets on the money line.

Phillies (Gibson) @ Mets (Carrasco) 6:45 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Blue Jays -120 (5*)

The Phillies enter today on a 4-game losing streak. Kyle Gibson has been in terrible form over his last 3 starts with a large 8.52 ERA/1.97 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much assistance from a Phillies bullpen which has a lofty 6.75 ERA throughout their last 7 games.

Ross Stripling is 8-2 in his road team starts this season with a solid 3.12 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Stripling is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts overall with an impressive 2.95 ERA/0.66 WHIP. The Blue Jays are coming off a 5-4 home loss to Baltimore in their previous game. Toronto is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss and outscored those opponents by an average of 2.8 runs per game. Toronto is an excellent 72-45 this season when facing a righthanded starting pitcher. Give me the Blue Jays on the money line.

Cubs (Sampson) @ Marlins (Lopez) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Cubs +138 (5*)

The Marlins will be facing a Cubs team that despite a poor record has average only 0.59 fielding errors per game. Since Game 82 of the season, Miami has gone an atrocious 14-37 versus opponents that average 0.60 or fewer errors per game. Miami has won their last 2 games. However, the Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 immediately following 2 straight wins and were outscored by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Pablo Lopez has been in poor form over his last 3 starts with a 7.53 ERA/1.69 WHIP.

Adrian Sampson has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.59 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Sampson will have strong Supports from a Cubs bullpen which has compiled a sparkling 2.77 ERA/1.15 WHIP over their last 7 games.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Brewers -120 (5*)

Ordinarily I would look to play Adam Wainwright at home. However, this situation is a bit different. Wainwright has made 4 starts versus Milwaukee this season and posted an uninspiring 4.70 ERA/1.44 WHIP during those outings. The Cardinals bullpen has been awful throughout their previous 7 games while recording a staff 7.66 ERA/1.83 WHIP.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes has made 3 starts versus St. Louis in 2022 and allowed a mere 1 earned run during 21.0 innings pitched while striking out 27 and walking just 3. The Brewers bullpen has registered an excellent 0.92 WHIP. Milwaukee enters today having won 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Brewers on the money line.

No analysis today.

No analysis today.

No analysis today.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Tigers (Alexander) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

Lefthander Tyler Alexander has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while posting an 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Detroit has seen its previous 4 all go over the total with a combined 13.7 runs scored per game.

Seattle has gone 10-1-1 to the over during its last 12 on the road and there was a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game and that includes 4-0-1 over if there was a total of 8.0 or less. The Mariners have played 19-9-1 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Marco Gonzalez has a lofty 1.61 WHIP 12 road starts this season. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Padres (Snell) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Brandon Webb has made 2 starts versus San Diego this year, pitched 8.0 innings on each occasion, and registered a 1.13 ERA. During 14 home starts this season Webb compiled a sparkling 2.88 ERA.

Blake Snell has made 2 starts versus San Francisco in 2022 and allowed just 1 earned run while striking out 19 in 11 2/3 innings pitched.  During his last 3 road starts, Snell recorded a shiny 0.64 ERA and struck out 27 batters in 16.0 innings of work. Give me this game to go under the total.

Royals (Singer) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Royals +115 (5*)

Lucas Giolito has a terrible 8.67 ERA in 3 home starts versus Kansas City since last season. He allowed an alarmingly high 5 home runs in just 15.0 inning pitched during those outings. Giolito also has an awful 6.71 ERA/1.62 WHIP in 10 home starts this year. The White Sox are a dismal 2-9 in their last 11 and includes a current 4-game losing streak.

Despite being 11.5 games behind Chicago in the AL Central standings, Kansas City has gone 9-7 against the White Sox this season. Brady Singer has gone 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a 1.37 ERA/0.84 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Royals are 5-11 in their last 16 games and 4 of those 5 wins came with Brady Singer as their starting pitcher. Give me the Royals as a money line underdog.

Orioles (Watkins) @ Guardians (Quantrill) 6:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.5 (-115) (5*)

Cleveland has played 7-0-1 to the under in their last 8 games. Cal Quantrill has compiled a brilliant 1.38 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts and averaged 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Cleveland bullpen has a perfect 0.00 ERA over its last 7 games and recorded 26 strikeouts in just 17 2/3 innings pitched.

Baltimore has played 5-0 in their last 5 to the under.  The Orioles are also 7-1 to the under in their last 8 and 10-2 under during its previous 12. Spencer Watkins has a terrific 1.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP during his last 4 road starts. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Odorizz) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Cardinals -122 (10*)

Jake Odorizzi is the weak link in Atlanta’s otherwise solid starting pitching rotation. Odorizzi has been in shaky form over his last 4 starts which is evidenced by a 1.63 WHIP during those outings.

Veteran righthander Adam Wainwright has been tough at home during his career and this season is no different. Wainwright has compiled and excellent 2.11 ERA/1.03 WHIP in 13 home starts in 2022 while averaging a lofty 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Cardinals are a terrific 41-22 at home this season which included 30-11 as a money line favorite of -110 or greater and 11-2 if the money line is -100 to -150. Give me the Cardinals for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Morton) @ Cardinals (Montgomery) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Cardinals +107 (10*)

Charlie Morton has been terrific at home this season. However, he’s 4-7 in his road team starts with a 5.08 ERA. As a matter of fact, during his last 2 road starts Morton has allowed an alarmingly high 9 earned runs in 11.0 innings pitched. The Braves have suffered 23% of their losses this season with Charlie Morton as their starting pitcher.

The Cardinals are coming off an 11-4 home loss to Braves on Friday night. St. Louis has gone 7-0 in their last 7 immediately following a loss and won by an average of 4.8 runs per game. Since coming to St. Louis in a trade with the Yankees, Jordan Montgomery is a perfect 4-0 in his team starts with a magnificent 0.35 ERA. Despite Friday’s loss, St. Louis is still an excellent 40-22 at home this season and that includes 13-2 during its previous 15 at Busch Stadium. Give me the Cardinals as a Top Play money line underdog.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Kevin Gausman has a superb 1.65 ERA/0.99 WHIP during 11 road starts this year and averaged a lofty 6.5 innings pitched per start. As a matter of fact, he allowed 0 earned runs in 21.0 innings pitched during his last 3 road starts while striking out 22 and walking 2. Gausman has made 4 starts versus the Red Sox in 2022 and posted a terrific 1.38 ERA/0.92 WHIP while striking out 37 in 26.0 innings pitched. The Blue Jays bullpen has recorded a stellar 2.57 ERA/1.10 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Toronto has played 4-1 to the under during its last 5 and 6-2 to the under in their previous 8 games.

Boston is coming off yesterday’s 3-2 home loss to Toronto. The Red Sox have played 16-5 to the under this season immediately following a game in which they scored and allowed 3 runs. Kutter Crawford has endured his share of struggles this season. However, he has a sparkling 2.78 ERA/0.93 WHIP in his last 4 home starts. Crawford allowed 3 earned runs in 6.0 innings pitched in his only outing against Toronto this year which qualifies as a quality start. Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Bundy) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 7.5 (+103) (10*)

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 and 9-1-1 to the under during its previous 11 games. The Twins have also played 18-6 to the under this season in games versus AL West teams. Dylan Bundy has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.88 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Bundy will be facing a Houston team that has a terrific 79-45 (.637) season record. However, the veteran righthander has pitched 18-6 to the under in his career starts versus teams with a win percentage of .620 or better. The Twins bullpen has a sparkling 2.57 ERA and an 8:1 strikeout/walk ratio during its previous 7 games. Minnesota has averaged a mere 1.6 runs and 5.6 hits per game during their previous 5 outings.

Framber Valdez has also displayed stellar form over his last 3 starts while recording a 2.21 ERA and averaged a lofty 6.8 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has been lights out at home this season while registering a 2.29 ERA/1.02 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Davies) @ Royals (Heasley) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Over 8.5 (-120) (5*)

Jon Heasley has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a 9.91 ERA/2.02 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 10.0 innings pitched. Heasley has been even worse than that in his previous 3 home starts with a 12.20 ERA/2.42 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen has a horrible 8.55 ERA/1.90 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks have played 8-4-1 to the over this season when facing American League teams and there was a combined average of 9.9 runs scored per game.

Zach Davies has pitched very well over his last 3 starts. However, since last season, Davies has made 2 starts against the Royals and allowed 8 earned runs in 9/ 2/3 innings pitched. The most alarming part of those 2 starts was that Davies allowed 7 Kansas City home runs. The Royals bullpen has an uninspiring 4.56 ERA/1.56 WHIP over its last 7 games. Kansas City has played 10-4-1 to the over this season when facing National League teams and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. The Royals have also played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Braves (Odorizzi) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Mets -1.5 (+122) (5*)

The Mets have lost 2 consecutive games for just a 10th time this season. New York is 7-2 this season immediately following losses in each of their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is the fact they are a perfect 4-0 on the road in 2022 following 2 straight losses with an average victory margin of 3.8 runs per game, and all 4 wins came by 2 runs or more.

Max Scherzer is 2-0 versus Atlanta this season while allowing just 1 earned run in 14.0 inning pitched. He also amassed 20 strikeouts in those 2 starts. Scherzer has an outstanding 0.93 WHIP in 16 starts this season and that’s significant as it applies to today’s game. He will be facing an Atlanta team that’s gone 5-11 at home this year when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Putting that record into perspective, the Braves are 34-11 at home when not in that exact situation. Give me the Mets on the run line.

Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 7.5 (-120) (10*)

Alex Cobb has made 3 career starts versus Arizon and all have taken place since last season. During those outings Cobb posted a large 7.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has a poor 5.66 ERA/1.84 WHIP over their last 7 games and that includes 6 home runs allowed in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. San Francisco has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 games. The Giants have an excellent .345 team on-base-percentage throughout its previous 7 games.

Madison Bumgarner has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 6.62 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Bumgarner returns to his old stomping grounds in San Francisco where he enjoyed many great campaigns. However, during his 2 starts as a visitor, Bumgarner has a lofty 6.00 ERA. Arizona is averaging a healthy 5.2 runs scored per game in their last 13 outings. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game series at Coors Field which saw each go under the total. Since the start of last season, Arizona has played 17-3 to the over immediately following 3 consecutive games going under. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Twins (Davidson) @ Angels (Archer)

Game# 975-976

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Twins Chris Archers has pitched 4-0 to the over in his last 4 starts with a lofty 7.41 ERA. The Angels Tucker Davidson is 0-3 in his last 3 teams starts with a 9.25 ERA/2.28 WHIP. Give me this game to go over the total.

A’s (Irvin) @ Astros (Javier) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5 (-105) (5*)

Cole Irvin has pitched very well against Houston this year while posing a 2.19 ERA/0.89 WHIP during those starts. As a matter of fact, Irvin has pitched 15-5 to the under in 2022 with a very good 2.85 ERA/1.03 WHIP. The A’s have averaged a paltry 2.0 runs scored per game in their last 5 outings.

Christian Javier has pitched 4-0 to the under in day games with a sparkling 1.96 ERA/0.83 WHIP. Houston has played 31-11-1 to the under in day games this season.

The home plate umpire is slated to be Ramon DeJesus today. DeJesus has witnessed games being played 12-5-1 to the under this season when he’s been the home plate umpire and there was only a combined average of 6.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.

Phillies ((Wheeler) @ Mets (Bassitt) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 7.0 (+105) (5*)

Since 2020, Zach Wheeler has made 10 starts versus the Mets with an outstanding 2.48 ERA/0.99 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has a brilliant 1.45 ERA throughout its previous 7 games. Philadelphia has gone under the total in their last 5 and there were a combined 4.8 runs scored per game.

The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of their previous 7 games. Chris Bassitt is 6-1 in his team starts in days games this season and with an outstanding 1.83 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been stellar over its last 7 games with a staff 2.95 ERA/1.17 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Twins (Bundy) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:07 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Angels +100 (5*)

Dylan Bundy has made 3 career start at the ballpark in Anaheim and had a poor 5.82 ERA while allowing 5 homers in 17.0 innings. Bundy is 4-8 during his road team starts this season with a sizable 6.33 ERA.

Reid Detmers has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts which is evidenced by him gathering a 1.16 ERA/0.94 WHIP and averaged of 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Angels bullpen has a sparkling 2.13 ERA/0.83 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Angels are coming off last night’s 4-0 loss to Minnesota. The Halos are 4-1 in their last 5 and 6-2 during its previous 8 immediately following a loss. Give me the Angels on the money line.

Phillies (Nola) @ Mets (DeGrom) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 6.0 (5*)

This total is extremely low for good reason. Aaron Nola has recorded a brilliant 2.24 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. The Phillies bullpen has registered a dominating 1.83 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Phillies have gone under in each of their last 4 and there was a combined average of only 4.5 runs scored per game.

Jacob DeGrom has looked spectacular in his 2 starts since returning from a season long injury. During those outings DeGrom had a 2.53 ERA/0.47 WHIP while striking out 18 in 10 2/3 innings pitched. The Mets have allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of its previous 6 games. I’m not going to let this low of a total scare me away. Give me this game to go under the total.

Padres (Darvish) @ Nationals (Sanchez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 8.5 (5*)

Yu Darvish has been much better at home than on the road this season. During 11 road starts Darvish has compiled an uninspiring 4.37 ERA. The Padres have played 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games. San Diego has averaged 10.0 runs scored and 13.7 hits per game throughout their previous 3 outings. San Diego is currently a massive money line favorite of -315. Darvish has pitched 10-2 to the over since the start of last season whenever San Diego was a money line favorite of -200 or more and there was a combined average of 10.9 runs scored per game.

Anibal Sanchez has made 4 starts this year and posted a terrible 7.65 ERA/1.65 WHIP while averaging only 5.0 innings pitched per outing. The Washington bullpen has a combined 6.14 ERA/1.77 WHIP over their previous 7 games and that qualifies as not getting it done. The Nationals have played 6-1-2 to the over in their last 9 games. Washington has also played 26-9 to the over in the month of August since the start of last season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pirates (Keller) @ Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Pirates +141 (5*)

Arizona will enter tonight’s game on a 3-game win streak. They’ve won 4 in a row just once that season and that time it occurred during the first week of May. As a matter of fact, Arizona has gone 0-5 in their last 5 immediately after winning 3 straight games. The Diamondbacks Madison Bumgarner isn’t a shell of the dominant starting pitcher he once was. The Arizona bullpen has a lofty 5.04 ERA over its last 7 games.

Mitch Keller has strung together 5 consecutive quality starts. During that stretch, Keller compiled a 1.14 ERA. The Pirates bullpen has a solid 3.48 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Pirates as a money line underdog.

Guardians (Civale) @ Tigers (Hutchinson) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Over 8.0 (5*)

Aaron Civale has pitched 5-1 to the over on the road this season with a large 7.67 ERA/1.63 WHIP. Cleveland has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 and that includes 3-0 over during its previous 3 road games.

Detroit has played 8-1-3 to the over during its last 12 at home. Drew Hutchinson has pitched 3-1-1 to the over at home in 2022 with a 4.50 ERA/1.54 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has an awful 7.66 ERA/2.02 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Phillies (Syndergaard) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Miami has been anemic offensively for a prolonged stretch. Specifically speaking, the Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its previous 9 games. That includes scoring a combined 3 runs over their previous 5 games versus Philadelphia. The Marlins Sandy Alcantara is arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball right now. Alcantara has a brilliant 1.88 ERA/0.94 WHIP in 22 starts this season while averaging an extremely impressive 7.3 innings pitched per outing. He’s also pitched 3-0 to the under versus the Phillies with a 2.45 ERA in 2022. The Marlins bullpen has a cumulative 1.45 ERA throughout their previous 7 games.

Noah Syndergaard has pitched 6-1-1 to the under in his last 8 starts with a respectable 4.03 ERA/1.32 WHIP. The Phillies have allowed 2 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 10 games. Philadelphia has witnessed 3 of their 4 home games versus Miami go under the total this season. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Perez) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Jose Urquidy has pitched 3-0 to the under in his last 3 starts with a 1.31 ERA/0.71 WHIP while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The Houston bullpen has a microscopic 0.54 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Astros have played 7-1 to the under during iits last 8 and allowed an average of just 2.0 runs per game. Houston is coming off a 1-0 loss to Cleveland in their previous game. The Astros have played 10-1 to the under this season following a game in which there was a combined 3 runs or fewer scored.

Martin Perez has returned to good form after going through a temporary rough patch. During his last 3 starts, Perez posted a 1.35 ERA/1.00 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Perez will be facing a Houston lineup which has averaged hitting 1.37 home runs per game this season. Texas has played 7-0 to the under on the road this season when facing teams that average 1.25 or more home runs per game. The Rangers have averaged a wee 3.0 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 outings.

These teams have played 9-1-1 to the under this season and that includes 4-0 under in games played in Houston. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Strider) @ Mets (DeGrom) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Braves +130 (10*)

The Braves were swept in a doubleheader yesterday at Citi Field and now find themselves 5.5 games behind the first place Mets in the NL East Division standings. If there’s such a thing as urgency in a game being played in the first week of August, then Atlanta possesses it. Furthermore, Atlanta has gone an unscathed 12-0 this season following losses in each of their last 2 and won by a decisive margin of 4.3 runs per game. Conversely, the Mets are 0-3 in 2022 immediately after sweeping a doubleheader.

Spencer Strider has quietly put together a solid rookie campaign thus far while posting a 3.30 ERA/0.97 WHIP in 12 starts. He’s been especially good over his last 7 starts while posting a shiny 2.29 ERA/0.93 WHIP. During that stretch, Strider recorded 61 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings pitched.

Jacob DeGrom will be making just his 2nd start of the season since returning from injury. He was exceptional during his 2022 debut while allowing 1 earned run on 3 hits over 5.0 innings of work versus last place Washington (36-73). Things will get much tougher versus an Atlanta (64-45) team with plenty of offensive firepower. DeGrom will also be on a pitch count as he eases his way back into the rotation. That’s concerning considering the Mets bullpen has a sizable 6.75 ERA while also allowing 7 home runs in 24.0 innings throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Braves as a money line underdog.

Rockies (Senzatela) @ Diamondbacks (Kelly) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Arizona -1.5 (+130)

Arizona is coming off yesterday’s come from behind 6-5 win over Colorado. That now makes them 6-1 in their last 7 at home. Conversely, since the start of last season, Colorado is an abysmal 43-88 on the road and that includes 23-62 (.271) when facing righthanded starting pitchers.

Antonio Senzatela has an uninspiring 5.83 ERA/1.94 WHIP over his last 5 starts. Colorado is 0-6 on the road this season when Senzatela is their starting pitcher and his 6.16 ERA/1.70 WHIP during those outings was a key contributing factor to that futility. The Colorado bullpen has recorded an awful 7.78 ERA/2.00 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Merrill Kelly has been terrific over his last 3 starts while registering a 0.43 ERA and he averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Kelly is 2-0 versus Colorado this season with a 1.15 ERA/0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings pitched. Kelly is also the author of 6 consecutive quality starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a brilliant 2.10 ERA/0.97 WHIP in their last 7 games. Give me the Diamondbacks on the run line.

Braves (Fried) @ Mets (Scherzer) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958 (Game 2-DH)

Play On: Mets -125 (5*)

The Mets are coming off last night’s 9-6 loss to Atlanta. New York has gone an outstanding 29-9 this season following a loss in their previous game. Furthermore, the Mets are 13-2 at home this season following a home loss in their previous game.

Max Scherzer has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.83 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. During his lone start versus Atlanta this year, Scherzer allowed just 1 earned run on 3 hits while striking out 6 9 and walking none. Scherzer is 15-2 in his team starts since the start of last season when facing a division opponent. Throughout their previous 7 outings, the Mets have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game with a .319 team batting average, .366 OBP, and smacked 13 home runs. Give me the Mets on the money line.

White Sox (Kopech) @ Rangers (Dunning) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: White Sox -115 (5*)

Dan Dunning has displayed poor form over his last 4 starts while posing a lofty 5.30 ERA/1.87 WHIP in those outings. Texas has gone a dismal 5-15 this season when Dunning was their starting pitcher. The Rangers are a money-draining 2-11 in their last 13 games when facing teams with a winning record. The Rangers bullpen has a sizable 5.02 ERA and issued 15 walks in 28 2/3 innings during their last 7 games.

Michael Kopech has a solid 3.12 ERA/1.20 WHIP in 19 starts this season. The White Sox bullpen hasn’t allowed an earned run throughout its previous 7 games. Chicago has been better on the road (29-23) than at home (25-29) in 2022. Give me the White Sox on the money line.

Rockies (Marquez) @ Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Diamondbacks -123 (5*)

Since the start of last season, Colorado has gone an awful 43-87 (.331) on the road and includes 17-34 (.333) this season. Colorado is coming off yesterday’s 7-3 win at San Diego. However, the Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 5.7 runs per game and they’re 4-12 in their previous 16 overall.

Madison Bumgarner has a stellar 3.03 ERA in 11 home starts this season. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 at home. The Arizona bullpen has a sparkling 2.39 ERA during its previous 7 games. Give me the Diamondbacks on the money line.

Pirates (Keller) @ Orioles (Kremer) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Pirates +139 (5*)

Dean Kremer has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with an 8.57 ERA/1.83 WHIP. Mitch Keller has exhibited very good form over his last 4 starts while registering a shiny 1.80 ERA. The Pirates bullpen has an impressive 2.16 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. The Pirates are coming off a 3-game sweep of NL Central Division leader which sets up an extremely profitable betting angle shown below.

Any MLB team playing in an inter-league and is coming off a 3-game sweep of a division opponent has gone a terrific 42-14 (75%) since 2018, 21-4 (84%) since 2020, and 4-0 in 2022. Give me the Pirates as a money line underdog.

Nationals (Gray) @ Phillies 7:05 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Nationals +1.5 (-115) (5*)

Kyle Gibson has struggled mightily in his last 3 home starts while recording a large 8.79 ERA and allowed 6 home runs during only 14.3 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has a terrible 1.71 ERA/1.57 WHIP throughout their last 7 games.

Josiah Gray is 7-2 in his road team starts this season with a very good 2.45 ERA/0.99 WHIP. Without Gray as their starting pitcher, Washington is an abysmal 12-29 on the road. Furthermore, Gray has gone an extremely profitable 6-1 this season a a money line road underdog of +150 or greater. Since the start of last season, Gray is a perfect 6-0 in his road team starts versus National League teams that average 4.5 or more runs scored per game. Heading into today, Philadelphia is averaging 4.6 runs scored per game.

Braves (Wright) @ Mets (Carrasco) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Mets -115 (5*)

Kyle Wright has shown very good form in recent starts. However, since the start of last season, Wright is 0-2 in his team starts versus the Mets with a 8.00 ERA/1.89 WHIP, and both appearances were at Citi Field in New York. The Braves are coming off yesterday’s 3-1 home loss to Philadelphia. Atlanta is 4-11 this season immediately following a game in which a combined 4 runs or fewer were scored.

The Mets enter this game having gone a red-hot 8-1 in their last 9 and averaged 5.9 runs scored per game. Speaking of red-hot, Carlos Carrasco has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while recording a 0.90 ERA, and the Mets went 5-0 in those games. Carrasco has made 1 start versus Atlanta this season a pitched 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball. During their previous 7 games, the Mets bullpen has a solid staff 3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Mets are an outstanding 44-23 (.657) when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. New York is also an extremely profitable 33-13 (.717) this season when facing fellow NL East teams. Give me the Mets on the money line.