David Price has been one of the best pitchers in baseball during recent seasons. However, he’s inexplicably struggled in postseason appearances, evidenced by a 0-6 career team start record at this time of year. Price has been very shaky during his previous two starts, posting a sizable 6.75 ERA in those outings. The explosive Toronto offense was silent in the opening game of this ALCS during a 5-0 loss. I look for their bats to come alive in Game 2.

Yordano Ventura made one start versus Toronto this year, and it was an unimpressive one. During that outing, he allowed 5 earned runs in 7.0 innings of work. Ventura made two starts in the 2015 ALDS against Houston, and was ineffective, compiling a 7.71 ERA during those appearances.

The home plate umpire for Game 2 of the ALCS will be Laz Diaz. Games have gone 19-10 (65.5%) over the total this year, and 57-32 (64.0%) over during the past three seasons when Diaz is behind home plate. Play on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

The sportsbooks have been pretty much spot on when they’ve installed Toronto as a money line favorite this season. Toronto is 72-36 (.667) this year when installed as a money line favorite of -110 or more. Marco Estrada has made two career starts versus Kansas City and both have come this season. Estrada posted a stellar 2.92 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in those outings. The Blue Jays right-hander enters Game 1 of this ALCS in excellent form over his previous three starts, evidenced by his microscopic 0.63 WHIP in those outings. Edinson Volquez is 1-5 in his career team starts versus Toronto with a large 6.46 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays are a 5* money line wager.

Jacob DeGrom has been sizzling hot over his last three starts, posting a microscopic 0.53 ERA, and struck out 29 while walking just 3. DeGrom has made two starts versus today’s opponent (Dodgers) including the opening game of this NLDS. He was dominant in those two outings allowing 0 earned runs on 7 hits and 21 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings of work. Unless you’re living under a rock, or just don’t follow baseball, it’s widely known how good Zack Greinke of the Dodgers has been in 2015. However, the Mets have the confidence in knowing they beat him in Game 1. They’ve also gone a stellar 31-15 in their last 46 away games. Play on the New York Mets for a 5* money line underdog wager.

In games of this magnitude I often throw all statistical data out the window, and rely solely on my professional intuition. Here’s my strong feeling in that regard. Kansas City gained valuable experience in their deep 2014 postseason run which fell one win short of a World Championship. They’ve been very good at home this season and the Astros haven’t been a championship caliber team on the road.

This is the first career postseason series for the majority of Astros players. My intuition tells me that Houston will be mentally fragile and tight heading into this deciding game of the series. After all, they had a 6-2 leading heading into the 8th inning of Game 4, and appeared destined to reach the ALCS. Their bullpen which has been very good all season long failed them, and Kansas City stormed back for a 9-6 win. This will be a monumental task for a young team to bounce back from, and especially on the road. Play on the Kansas City Royals as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

John Lackey has been dominant in his previous five starts, posting a superb 1.39 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Lackey is 4-0 in his team starts versus the Cubs this season with an excellent 0.93 ERA. He’ll be pitching on an uncustomary 3 days of rest. This will be the 5th time he’s done so in his postseason career, two of those came following a start, and it includes Game 7 of the 2002 World Series with the Angels. He went 2-0 and had stellar 2.42 ERA in those previous four postseason starts on 3 days rest. The Cardinals will be facing right-hander Jason Hammel today. St. Louis is 76-45 (.628) this year versus right-handed starting pitchers. Speaking of Jason Hammel, since 2014, he’s gone 1-4 in his team starts versus St. Louis with a sizable 6.61 ERA. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals as a 5* money line selection.

Brett Anderson has displayed terrible form over his last three starts, posting a large 7.16 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in those outings. Anderson hasn’t fared well when opposed by a quality starting pitcher, evidenced by a 1-8 team start record in 2015 when there’s a total of 7.0 or less. The Dodgers have gone a terrific 56-27 at home this year, but are only 37-44 in away games.

Matt Harvey enters the postseason in excellent form over his last three starts, compiling a terrific 1.02 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in those outings. The Mets have faced Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw, and Zach Greinke in three of their last four games. Anybody else at this juncture will seem like a minor leaguer. Play on the Mets -1.5 as a 5* run line selection.

Jake Arrieta has been insanely hot during the second half of the season. As a matter of fact, he’s gone a perfect 14-0 in his last 14 team starts, allowed 0 earned runs in ten of those outings, and allowed 1 earned run or less in his last 13.

Michael Wacha has struggled mightily in his previous three starts versus the Cubs this season, posting a massive 9.00 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in those outings. Wacha has also displayed horrible form during his previous three starts overall, evidenced by his sizable 8.36 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. Play on the Cubs -1.5 for a 5* run-line selection.

R.A. Dickey has been very good during three career starts in Arlington, Texas, posting a stellar 2.75 ERA and 1.17 WHIP during those outings. The knuckleball specialist has displayed super form during his previous three starts overall, evidenced by his superb 2.00 ERA and 0.72 WHIP during that stretch.

The Texas starter Derek Holland has been vulnerable to allowing the long ball in 2015. He ‘s allowed 11 home runs in just 58 2/3 innings pitched, and that includes three bombs in 6.0 innings against Toronto. He’ll have his hands full today against a Blue Jays club that leads all of Major League Baseball in home runs hit. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

Right-hander Jason Hammel has displayed very good form during his previous three starts, posting an excellent 1.50 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, and all three of those games went under the total. The Cubs have gone under the total during their previous four games, and have only gone over the number twice in their last thirteen. The Cubs pitching has been terrific recently, and they’ve allowed 1 run or less in seven of their last ten games.

Cardinals starters Jaimie Garcia is 8-1-1 under the total at home this season while compiling a superb 1.89 ERA during those outings. The Cardinals are 37-18 (67.3%) under the total at home this year when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. St. Louis has gone under the total in each of their last four games, and were able to amass just a combined 18 hits during that stretch. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Jon Lester has faced the Cardinals at Busch Stadium three times since 2013, including a World Series appearance, posting an excellent 1.25 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in those starts. Lester has been terrific in his previous three starts on the road, evidenced his 1.13 ERA, and 0.50 WHIP during that stretch. The Cubs have allowed a paltry average of 1.3 runs per game in their last 7 contests.

The Cardinals have gone 48-26 (62.2%) under the total at home this season. John Lackey has made three starts versus the Cubs in 2015, compiled an excellent 1.28 ERA, and all three games went under the total. Lackey has displayed superb form during his previous four starts overall that’s indicated by a stellar 1.80 ERA over that period. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

David Price has gone 22-5 under the total in his career as a money line home favorite of -200 or more. Price has also gone 11-1 under the total this season in his day game starts, posting a stellar 2.04 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in those outings. Yovani Gallardo has seen just 1 of his 8 days game starts go over the total this year, and he compiled a superb 2.37 ERA during those outings. Gallardo has faced Toronto twice in 2015, and allowed no earned runs on 6 hits during 13 2/3 innings pitched. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

How can I possibly fade Jake Arrieta the way he’s pitched recently, or all season for that matter? For starters, the Cubs hurler has gone 22-6 this year with an excellent 1.77 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Although it seems unfathomable, he’s been much better than that over his previous twelve starts, posting a microscopic 0.41 WHIP, and allowed 0 earned runs in nine of those twelve outings. By the way, the Cubs went a perfect 12-0 in those aforementioned games. Arrieta has faced Pittsburgh five times in 2015 and had a dominating 0.75 ERA and 0.64 WHIP in those outings. The Cubs ended the regular season on an eight game win streak.

Pittsburgh slumped badly offensively during their last seven, averaging just 2.9 runs per game, and compiled a terrible .614 OPS. The Pirates starter Gerrit Cole (19-8) is a top notch pitcher in his own right, but he doesn’t figure to get much run support tonight, and that leaves virtually no margin for error. Play on the Cubs as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

Dallas Keuchel is a 20 game winner, and posted a terrific 2.33 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 33 starts this season. The Houston southpaw has displayed superb form over his previous three starts, evidenced by a 1.74 ERA and 0.92 WHIP during those outings. Keuchel has faced the Yankees twice this season, allowed 0 earned runs on just 9 hits while striking out 21 and walking only 1 in 16.0 innings. The Astros enter the postseason red-hot offensively, compiling an outstanding .929 OPS during their last seven games.

Masahiro Tanaka has been very good over his previous four starts. However, this isn’t the same power pitcher that came over from Japan. Due to his throwing arm injury issues sustained last season, he’s lost some velocity, and had to reinvent himself to more of a finesse pitcher this season. As a result, he’s been more prone to giving up the long ball, and especially so at home. Tanaka has allowed 17 home runs during 87 1/3 innings pitched at Yankee Stadium in 2015. That’s not good news considering he’s facing an opponent (Keuchel) tonight that’s second in all of baseball this year with 230 home runs hit. As a matter of fact, in his only starts versus Houston this season, he allowed 3 homers and 6 earned runs in only 5.0 innings of work. Houston averages 1.42 home runs per game, the Yankees are 12-21 this year versus opponents averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game, and that includes a dismal 6-16 since game 82 of the season.

The Yankees finished the regular season by losing six of their last seven games. Any team in a postseason game that’s lost six or seven of their last eight has gone 10-28 (26.3%) since 1997. Play on the Houston Astros as a 5* money line selection.

John Lester has seen his last three starts all go under the total. During those outings, Lester posted a stellar 2.86 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. The veteran southpaw has gone 19-10 (65.6%) under the total during his starts in 2015. The Cubs have gone under the total in each of their previous seven, and those contests averaged a combined 4.0 runs scored per game. The Cubbies had a horrible .547 OPS during that seven game stretch, and also a poor .194 team batting average as well.

Anthony DeScalfani hasn’t been sharp during his last two outings. However, DeScalfani has pitched extremely well in four stars against the Cubs this season, posting a sparkling 1.88 ERA, and none of those games went over the total. Cincinnati enters today on a ten game losing streak, and has averaged a paltry 2.2 runs scored per outing during that futile stretch. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Johnny Cueto has been a major disappointment since coming over in a trade from Cincinnati. As a matter of fact, Cueto has seen each of his previous eight starts go over the total, and he had an awful 7.36 ERA during that stretch. Cueto has faced the White Sox twice this season, had a terrible 7.15 ERA in those outings, and both games went over the total.

Jeff Samardzija has seen each of his last six starts at home go over the total, and he posted a monster 11.08 ERA during that span. The White Sox hurler is 0-3 in his team starts against Kansas City this season, and had a miserable 8.15 ERA during those outings.

Neither one of these teams is exactly tearing the cover off the ball in recent games. However, due to the ineptitude of Tuesday’s starting pitchers, I like this game to be a high scoring affair. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Colby Lewis has been extremely sharp in his last two starts, evidenced by a superb 1.20 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in those outings. Lewis has dominated Oakland in four starts against them this season, posting an excellent 1.33 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in those appearances. Texas has averaged a robust 7.0 runs per game and compiled a stellar .889 OPS in their last seven contests.

Felix Doubront has made four starts versus Texas since 2012, and had a massive 13.78 ERA in those outings. The Oakland hurler has also displayed poor form during his previous four starts overall, posting a large 7.25 ERA and 1.57 during that stretch. Oakland has allowed 6.1 runs per game and opponents had an alarming .903 OPS against them during its last seven contests. Play on the Texas Rangers as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

Corey Kluber has displayed very good form during his previous three starts, posting a stellar 2.55 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Kluber has three starts versus Minnesota this year and had an excellent 1.38 ERA and incredible 0.38 WHIP in those outings. The Indians are coming off a 3-1 loss at Minnesota on Tuesday, and they’re 22-12 on the road this season following a loss in their previous game.

Philip Hughes has a mammoth 9.71 ERA and 2.04 WHIP over his previous four starts. Hughes made three starts against Cleveland this season, and compiled an awful 8.44 ERA during those appearances. Play on the Cleveland Indians as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

Rays (Smyly) @ Red Sox (Porcello) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Drew Smyly has made four starts versus the Red Sox since 2014 and was extremely efficient in those appearances. During those outings, Smyly posted an excellent 1.52 ERA, a terrific 0.89 WHIP, and none of those four games went over the total. That includes two starts versus Boston this year in which he allowed only 1 earned run in 12.0 innings pitched. Tampa Bay is a money line road underdog today, and they’ve gone 28-16 (63.6%) under the total in that exact role this season.

Rick Porcello has gone 3-0 in his team starts versus Tampa Bay in 2015. During those three outings, Porcello has posted a stellar 2.70 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* selection.

Angels (Santiago) @ Astros (McCullers) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Southpaw Hector Santiago has pitched brilliantly in three starts versus Houston this year. During those outings he posted an excellent 1.40 ERA and all three games went under the total. The Angels are a +145 money line underdog in this game. Since 2013, the Angels are 21-8 under the total as a money line underdog of +100 to +150 when Hector Santiago is their starting pitcher.

Lance McCullers has pitched extremely well this season at Minute Maid Park in Houston. During those nine starts, he’s posted a superb 1.61 ERA. He was also very efficient during three starts against the Angels in 2015, evidenced by his 2.00 ERA in those outings. Houston has gone 31-21 (59.6%) under the total this year when facing a southpaw starting pitcher. Play in this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

Cardinals (Lackey) @ Brewers (Nelson) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Cardinals -139 (10*)

The Cardinals enter today looking to complete a three game sweep of Milwaukee. As a matter of fact, St. Louis has gone an outstanding 21-7 at Miller Park in Milwaukee since 2013, and that includes 6-2 this season. John Lackey is 3-1 in his last four team starts with a solid 2.96 ERA. Lackey has been superb in three starts versus Milwaukee in 2015, posting a stellar 2.70 ERA and 1.115 WHIP during those outings. St. Louis is a terrific 71-36 (.664) when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year.

Jimmy Nelson has made four career starts versus St. Louis and all have come since 2014. The Cardinals have has Nelson’s number during that time, evidenced by his large 8.44 ERA in those outings. Nelson has also displayed bad form over his previous four starts overall, posting an awful 6.64 ERA in those outings, and had some serious control issues with 13 walks issues in 20 1/3 innings pitched. Contrary to their NL Central rival, Milwaukee has gone a dismal 43-65 (.398) when facing a right-handed starter this year. The Brewers enter today having lost five in a row, and seven of their last eight. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals as a 10* Top Play money line selection.

Dallas Keuchel has been in superb form during his previous four starts, posting a sparkling 1.29 ERA, 0.86, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Keuchel made three starts against Texas this season and compiled an outstanding 1.23 ERA during those outings. The Houston southpaw is 14-5 in his team starts since 2014 when facing an opponent with a winning record, and the Astros have a sizable +3.0 run per game differential in those nineteen contests. Texas starter Martin Perez has been in shaky form over his past three starts with a 5.71 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Perez has been awful in his seven night games starts this season, posting a large 7.08 ERA, and 1.81 WHIP. Play on the Astros as a 5* selection.

Jake Arrieta is far and away the hottest pitcher in baseball right now. He’s gone 8-0 in his last eight starts with a microscopic 0.47 ERA. The Cubs right-hander has been totally dominated in three starts versus Pittsburgh this season, evidenced by his tiny 0.86 ERA in those outings. The Cubs are 14-2 on the road in 2015 when Arrieta is their starter while he posted a stellar 1.72 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Arrieta is a perfect 11-0 in his road team starts this year when installed as a money line favorite of -110 or more. The Pirates hurler A.J. Burnett has posted a large 9.00 ERA and 1.90 WHIP during his previous four starts. Play on the Cubs as a 5* rated selection.

Twins (Pelfrey) @ Royals (Medlen) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

·       Mike Pelfrey has a 4.36 ERA this season.

·       Kris Medlen has a 6.88 ERA during three starts in 2015.

·       The Minnesota Twins have a .247 team batting average for the year.

Any American League road team (Twins) with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70, and has a team batting average of .260 or less for the year, facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 6.20 or worse, resulted in those games going 34-8 (81%) over the total since 1997. Those forty-two contests averaged a combined 12.8 runs scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Indians (Carrasco) @ White Sox (Rodon) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Carlos Carrasco has been in terrific form during his previous five starts, evidenced by an excellent 1.36 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in those outings. Cleveland is 44-27 (62%) under the total in away games in 2015. They will be facing a southpaw (Rodon) starting pitcher this evening. Cleveland has gone 29-19 under the total in that role this year, averaging only 3.4 runs per game, and possessing a horrible .264 OBP. They’ve also gone 6-1 under the total in their last seven games overall,  and had a poor .220 team batting average during that stretch.

Carlos Rodon has posted a brilliant 1.85 ERA during his previous five starts. The White Sox lost 3-2 to Cleveland in Monday’s series opener between these AL central rivals. Chicago is 16-4 under the total in 2015 following a game in which they scored 3 runs or less. The White Sox are 40-25 (61.5%) under the total at home this year.

These teams have seen each of their eight meetings at US Cellular Field go under the total this season, and are 12-2 under during all fourteen of their encounters during the 2015 MLB campaign. Runs will be hard to come by in “The Windy City” today. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Pirates (Happ) @ Cardinals (Martinez) 8:15 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The Pirates J.A. Happ has displayed excellent form during his previous four starts, posting a microscopic 0.78 ERA during that time, and all four games went under the total. Pittsburgh is averaging just 3.1 runs per game and has a poor .227 team batting average during its last seven outings. Carlos Martinez has allowed 2 earned runs or less in twelve of his previous sixteen starts. The Cardinals have gone 42-21 (66.7%) under the total at Busch Stadium this season. Besides both starting pitchers performing well, these teams possess two of the finest bullpen staffs in baseball. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Nationals (Scherzer) @ Cardinals (Wacha) 8:15 PM ET

Play On: St. Louis -115 (5*)

The Cardinals have gone 15-3 since 2013 versus Washington, and that includes a perfect 8-0 at home. Michael Wacha has made three career starts versus Washington with all coming since 2013, and posted a microscopic 0.79 ERA in those outings. As a matter of fact, Wacha has gone 5-1 in his last six team starts with an excellent 1.15 ERA. The Cardinals are an incredible 24-4 at home in September since 2013. They’re also 48-19 (.716) at Busch Stadium in 2015.

Max Scherzer has gone 0-4 in his previous four team starts and posted a sizable 6.95 ERA. Scherzer has been plagued by the long ball during those outings, evidenced by his 7 home runs allowed in only 22.0 innings pitched. The Nationals are a dismal 11-26 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or more. Play on St. Louis as a 5* money line selection.

Reds (DeScalfini) @ Cubs (Haren) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Cincinnati’s Anthony DeScalfini has posted a terrific 0.98 ERA during three starts versus the Cubs this season. DeScalfini has posted a brilliant 2.60 ERA in thirteen road starts this season, and those games went 8-3-2 under the total.

 Dan Haren has posted an impressive 2.18 ERA in two starts versus the Reds in 2015. Despite their 6 runs outburst on Monday, the Cubs are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, and possess a poor .214 team batting average during their last seven contests. This is a very high total for a National League game despite the wind conditions at Wrigley Field tonight.  Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Mariners (Nuno) @ Astros (Keuchel) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Houston -1.5 (-105) (10*)

Vidal Nuno is 9-23 in his team starts since 2014, and that includes 3-16 after game 81 of the season. As a matter of fact, the Mariners southpaw has a large 7.87 ERA in two road starts in 2015. Nuno has allowed 6 home runs in only 19 1/3 innings pitched this year. He’ll be facing an Astros batting order on Monday which is second in all of baseball with 176 home runs, and they’ve hit 101 of those in 66 home games. The Mariners will be facing one of the best southpaw starting pitchers (Keuchel) in the American League tonight. That’s not good news considering they’ve gone a dismal 16-27 in the role this season.

Dallas Keuchel has gone a perfect 11-0 in fourteen starts at home this year with a superb 1.35 ERA. He’s also in terrific form over his previous three starts overall, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in those outings. Houston has gone an excellent 45-21 (.682) at home this season, and that includes 6-1 against Seattle. Play on the Houston Astros -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.

Astros (McCullers) @ Twins (Santana) 2:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 8.5 (5*)

Lance McCullers has gone 1-6 in his team starts on the road this season. During those seven outings he posted a lofty 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. His last two road starts at Texas and Tampa Bay were absolutely horrible. McCullers compiled a monster 14.22 ERA in those two appearances.

Ervin Santana has struggled mightily during his previous six starts. During that stretch, he posted a large 8.13 ERA, and 2.04 WHIP. The Twins right-handed hurler has a terrible 9.76 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in three starts at Target Field this year. Each of those three games went over the total. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Astros (Fiers) @ Twins (Pelfrey) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Michael Fiers threw his first career no hitter in his previous start. During his previous three outings he has a microscopic 0.43 ERA, and he’s allowed 2 earned runs or less in eight of the last ten. Fiers has gone 15-5 under the total since 2014 when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Astros lost the opening game of this series on Friday against Minnesota 3-0. Houston is 21-7 under the total in 2015 following a game in which there were a combined 4 runs or less scored. Despite having a reputation of being an occasionally explosive offensive team this year, Houston possesses a poor .303 team OBP heading into today.

Mike Pelfrey has certainly had his share of troubles on the road this year. However, he’s put together a stellar home resume that starts with an exceptional 1.97 ERA in eleven starts. He’s also allowed just 2 home runs in 73.0 innings pitched this season at Target Field. That’s an important factor considering Houston is second in all of baseball with 174 home runs.

Any American League road team (Houston) with a total of 8.0 or 8.5, possessing a team OBP of .320 or less, and is coming off a game in which there was a combined 3 runs or less scored, resulted in those games going 102-48 (68%) under the total since 2011. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Mariners (Iwakuma) @ White Sox (Samardzija) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Seattle -105 (5*)

Hisashi Iwakuma has three career starts versus the White Sox and was dominant in those outing with a stellar 1.57 ERA in addition to a brilliant 0.52 WHIP. Iwakuma has gone 4-1 in his team starts on the road this season with a more than respectable 2.97 ERA.

Jeff Samardzija is 0-5 in his previous five team starts with a brutal 9.00 ERA. The White Sox hurler is also a dismal 0-4 in his last four at home with a mammoth 9.67 ERA. During those previous four at US Cellular Field, he’s allowed a whopping 8 home runs in 23 1/3 innings pitched. The White Sox have been shutout in two of their last three games. Play on the Seattle Mariners as a 5* money line selection.

Red Sox (Kelly) @ Mets (DeGrom) 4:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Joe Kelly has endured a rough season, but the right-hander has really come on of late. During his previous three starts, Kelly has compiled an impressive 1.40 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

Jacob DeGrom is coming off a rare bad outing at Philadelphia. However, he’s been an absolute beast in twelve starts at Citi Field this season.  DeGrom has posted an excellent 1.46 ERA and 0.91 WHIP at home. The Mets young right-hander has also been lights out in his day game starts, evidenced by his miniscule 0.94 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in those outings.

Any road team (Boston) with a total of 7.0 or less, possessing a .290 or better team batting average during their previous twenty games, and is facing a pitcher (DeGrom) with a WHIP of 1.10 or less in his last ten starts, resulted in those games going 35-11 under the total since 1997. Those 46 contests averaged just a combined 5.5 runs scored per game. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Reds (Iglesias) @ Brewers (Jungman) 8:10 PM ET

Raisel Iglesias has been in terrific form during his last four starts. During that stretch, Iglesias has compiled a brilliant 1.73 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and struck out 40 in 26.0 innings pitched. The Reds aren’t nearly as dangerous offensively on the road compared to at home. They’re averaging less than four runs per game and have a lousy .672 OPS on the road.

Taylor Jungman has gone 5-1 under the total at Miller Park this season with an outstanding 1.75 ERA. Jungman made his lone start this year against Cincinnati in early July, and was certainly impressive in that outing. He allowed Cincinnati just 1 earned run on 4 hits while walking only 2 in 8.0 innings. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Orioles (Chen) @ Royals (Cueto) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Southpaw Wei-Yen Chen will make the start for Baltimore today. Chen has displayed very good form over his previous three starts, compiling a stellar 1.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP during those outings. He’s allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last two starts, and is 10-1 under the total this season in his following outing in this exact role. Chen made three starts versus Kansas City last season, posting a very good 2.55 ERA, and all three games stayed under the total.  Baltimore will be facing an opposing pitcher (Cueto) on Wednesday that averages exactly 6 strikeouts per start. The Orioles are 22-8 under the total this season versus a pitcher averaging 5.5 or more strikeouts per start. Baltimore heads into today having lost their last six in a row. During that futile stretch, the Orioles have scored 3 runs or less in each of those games.

If early results are any indication, Johnny Cueto has taken very nicely to his new home ball park. The right-handed hurler is 2-0 at Kauffman Stadium with an excellent 0.53 ERA since coming over in a trade from Cincinnati. As a matter of fact, Cueto is 8-2 in his home team starts this season with the Royals and Reds, and has an outstanding 1.54 ERA during those outings. The Royals are 25-16-3 under the total in 2015 when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Astros (Feldman) @ Yankees (Eovaldi) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

The Astros have gone under the total in each of their previous six games. Houston has scored 3 runs or less in 12 of their previous 15 and was 12-3 under the total in those contests. Despite their offensive struggles during that stretch, Houston has still managed to go 8-7 due to stellar pitching. Scott Feldman has been very good during his last three starts while posting a superb 1.89 ERA in those outings. Feldman was 2-0 versus the Yankees in 2014 with an excellent 1.35 ERA.

Nathan Eovaldi has seen each of his last four starts at Yankee Stadium go under the total while posting a stellar 2.96 ERA. The Yankees are 12-6 under the total in their previous 18 games. “The Bronx Bombers” leading home run and RBI man is Mark Teixiera is listed as doubtful tonight with a leg injury. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Mets (Niese) @ Rockies (Rusin) 8:10 PM ET

Jonathan Niese has been lights out in his last three starts on the road. The Mets southpaw posted a miniscule 0.40 ERA in those outings, and all three games went under the total. The Mets are coming off a 14-9 win on Friday, and they’ve gone 12-2 under the total since 2014 following a game in which they scored 10 runs or more. New York has gone over the total with a high degree of regularity in recent games. However, they’re facing a left-handed starting pitcher (Rusin) tonight, and they’re 17-9 under the total versus southpaw starters this season, averaging a paltry 3.0 runs per game, and possessing a poor .228 team batting average.

Chris Rusin has been stellar in his last two starts, allowing only 1 earned run during 15.0 innings pitched, and one of those outings came at Citi Field versus the Mets. Rusin has held his own at hitter friendly Coors Field this season, compiling a very good 3.27 ERA in seven starts. Colorado has gone a pathetic 5-20 this year versus southpaw starting pitchers, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, and had a poor .672 team OPS.

Considering both of these teams struggles against left-handed starters, and the pitchers for tonight’s game displaying some impressive form in recent outings, I like this to a be a low scoring contest. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Braves (Folynewicz) @ Cubs (Arrieta) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Cubs -1.5 (-115) (10*)

Atlanta has gone a miserable 2-20 during their previous 22 road games. They averaged just 2.4 runs per game during that futile away game stretch. The Braves have seen 13 of their previous 14 losses come by 2 runs or more. Mike Folynewicz has displayed poor form over his previous three starts, posting a sizable 7.71 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, and allowed 5 homers in just 16 1/3 innings pitched.

Jake Arrieta is 3-0 in his previous three starts with a microscopic 0.84 ERA. The Cubs hurler has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 11 of his last 12 starts. Despite losing the first two games of this home stand to Detroit, the Cubs continue to produce plenty of offense, evidenced by them scoring 8 runs in each of those defeats. As a matter of fact, they’ve scored 5 runs or more 11 of their last 14 games.

Any money line home favorite of -110 or more whose hitters strike out an average of 7 or more times per game, and three straight games with at least 5 hits less than their opponents, resulted in the home team going 36-6 since 1997. The home team also had a huge +2.5 runs per game differential during those 42 contests. Since 2011, this betting angle has gone a perfect 12-0. Play the Chicago Cubs on the run-line as a 10* Top Play selection.

Braves (Wisler) @ Padres (Shields) 10:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 7.0 (5*)

Matt Wisler has displayed horrible form over his previous three starts, posting a giant 8.40 ERA and 2.00 WHIP during those outings. The Braves right-hander has been unimpressive during six road starts in 2015, compiling a very lofty 5.57 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Atlanta has gone 10-4-2 over the total in their last sixteen games.

James Shields is 3-0 over the total in his previous three starts with a sizable 4.74 ERA. The veteran right-hander is 9-2 over the total this year when the number is 7.5 or less. He’s faced Atlanta once this season, allowing 4 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 1 in only 5 1/3 innings during a 6-5 Padres loss. San Diego has gone 15-4 over the total in their previous nineteen games. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

White Sox (Danks) @ Angels (Richards) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

It’s been sort of a hit a miss proposition for John Danks over the last month. However, when he’s on, Danks is very good, exemplified by allowing 1 earned run or less in five of his previous eight starts. As a matter of fact, he’s been in very good form during his previous three starts by compiling a stellar 2.37 ERA in those outings. The White Sox left-hander has been dominant during two starts versus the Angels since 2014, evidenced by his 1.80 ERA in those appearances. Danks is 11-2 under the total this when the number is 7.0 to 8.5.

Garrett Richards has a superb 2.53 ERA and 0.98 WHIP during eleven starts at home in 2015. The Angels have gone 22-8-1 under the total this year when facing a left-handed starting pitcher, and have hit a meager .228 as a team in those games. The Halos won the opening game of this series 2-1 despite amassing just 4 hits. They’ve gone a perfect 8-0 under the total this season following a game in which they had 4 hits or less. During their previous seven outings, the Angels are averaging a paltry 2.7 runs per game, and have a poor .220 team batting average. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ A’s (Gray) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 6.5 (5*)

What can I say about Clayton Kershaw that hasn’t been said already? The Dodgers southpaw has allowed 0 earned runs in five of his last six starts, and 1 earned run or less in seven of his previous eight outings. He will also be facing an Oakland team tonight which has scored 3 runs or less in six of their last seven, and eight of the previous ten games.

Sonny Gray has been spectacular in his last four starts for Oakland. During those outings he’s compiled a microscopic 0.88 ERA, tossed two complete games, and all four of those starts went under the total. He’ll face a Dodgers club which has gone 32-22-1 under the total on the road, compared to their 38-23-1 over the total results at home. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* selection.

Rays (Ramirez) @ Astros (Kazmir) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Erasmo Ramirez has allowed 1 earned run or less in eight of his previous ten starts. He’s made one start versus Houston in 2015, and it was a solid performance. During that outing, he allowed 1 earned run on 4 hits in a 3-1 Rays win. Tampa Bay will be facing a Houston club that averages 1.36 home runs per game, and that’s the best in all of baseball. Tampa Bay has gone 20-6 under the total this season when facing an opponent that averages 1.25 or more home runs per game.

Scott Kazmir is 6-1 under the total in his previous seven starts with a microscopic 0.79 ERA. That excellent stretch is no fluke for Houston’s southpaw hurler. Kazmir has a brilliant 2.12 ERA and 0.90 WHIP during twenty-two starts in 2015. The Astros have gone 8-3 under the total in their last eleven contests, and have averaged just 3.0 runs per game during that time frame. Houston has also gone 11-4-2 under the total against Tampa Bay since 2013. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Tigers (Boyd) @ Astros (Fiers) 2:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Forget the starting pitching matchup for today’s game. Neither one of these teams are hitting right now. Detroit is averaging just 3.1 runs per game, and has a poor team batting average of .215 during their previous seven contests. Houston has gone 6-1 under the total during their previous seven games, averaged 2.3 runs per contest, and has an awful .198 team batting average during that stretch.

·        Detroit starting pitcher Matt Boyd has a 1.74 WHIP in four starts this season.

·        Houston starting pitcher Michael Fiers has a 3.75 ERA during twenty-two starts in 2015.

·        The Astros have a team on base percentage (OBP) of .305 this year.

Any American League home team (Houston) with an OBP of .315 or less, and has a starting pitcher (Fiers) with an ERA of 4.20 or less, facing an American League starting pitcher (Boyd) with a WHIP of 1.70 or more, resulted in the home team going 32-9 (78%) under the total since 1997.  Play on Detroit and Houston under 8.0 as a 5* selection.

Tigers (Verlander) @ Astros (McHugh) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Detroit +133 (5*)

Houston has averaged just 2.7 runs per game, and had a miserable .198 team batting average during their previous seven contests. Collin McHugh has been in a bit of shaky form during his previous three starts, evidenced by compiling an unimpressive 1.56 WHIP in those outings. He’s made one start versus Detroit this year, and allowed 9 hits while walking 1 in a 6-2 Houston loss.

Justin Verlander has been terrific in his last three starts on the road, posting an excellent 1.25 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, and struck out 19 while walking just 1. Verlander’s power pitching matches up very well against an opponent which has struck out more times than any other team in baseball. Star slugger Miguel Cabrera returned from the disabled list on Friday after missing 35 games due to a strained calf. He was 0-for-3 last night with two strikeouts, and his batting average dipped to .346 on the year. You can give him a bit of an excuse due to the long layoff, and then having to face Dallas Keuchel upon his return. Play on the Detroit Tigers as a 5* money line underdog selection.

Cubs (Arrieta) @ White Sox (Quinatana) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

It would be hard to imagine anyone pitching at the level that Jake Arrietta has over his previous ten starts. During that stretch, Arrieta has a sensational 1.23 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and had two complete game wins. This isn’t anything new for the Cubs unheralded right-hander. He’s seen just 5 of 23 starts this season go over the total while posting a superb 2.38 ERA and 0.99 WHIP.

Jose Quintana has displayed very good form over his previous four starts, posting a stellar 2.57 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in those outings. The southpaw will be pitching on 5 days of rest today. Quintana is 11-2 under the total this season when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest, and those contests averaged only a combined 5.4 runs scored per game. The White Sox are 35-20-1 under the total at home in 2015.

The general public has seemed to ignore how well today’s starting pitchers have performed, and chose instead to only focus on both clubs recent ability for scoring runs with more frequent regularity. I’m going to fade general public and go under the total for a 5* selection.

A’s (Bassitt) @ Orioles (Gonzalez) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Oakland +120 (5*)

Miguel Gonzalez has displayed horrible form for Baltimore over his previous three starts, posting a large 8.10 ERA and mammoth 2.10 WHIP. As one would expect, the Orioles lost all three of those games. The Orioles rely heavily on hitting home runs, and they’ll be facing a starting pitcher (Bassitt) tonight that has allowed just 2 home runs in 43 1/3 innings pitched during his starting assignments this season. Baltimore has gone a dismal 16-31 this season when facing a starting pitcher that allows 1.75 or less walks per start. They’ll be facing Oakland’s Chris Bassitt on Saturday, and the A’s hurler has walked a combined total of 7 men this season in 7 starts.

Speaking of Chris Bassitt, he’s been in excellent form over his last three starts, posting a superb 1.74 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in those outing. The Oakland hurler just faced Baltimore less than two weeks ago and dominated them during that start. Bassitt pitched 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball and allowed only 4 hits while walking none in a 5-0 A’s win. Play on the Oakland A’s a 5* money line underdog selection.

Angels (Heaney) @ White Sox (Danks) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Andrew Heaney is 7-1 in his team starts for the Angels with an outstanding 2.45 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. The Angels have been anemic offensively over the past week. They’re averaging a paltry 2.7 runs per game during their previous seven contests, and were held scoreless on three separate occasions. The Halos have also gone 19-8-1 under the total versus southpaw starting pitchers this year, and possess a dismal .230 team batting average in that role.

John Danks has posted an excellent 0.49 ERA in his last three starts at home. Danks has gone 10-2 under the total this season when the posted total is 7.0 to 8.5. The White Sox are averaging only 2.9 runs per game and hitting a pathetic .217 as a team in twenty-one contests against lefty starters. On a different note, Chicago is now 34-19-1 under the total at US Cellular Field in 2015. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Tigers (Norris) @ Royals (Volquez) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Southpaw Daniel Norris has seen each of his previous three road starts go under the total. During those outings, he compiled an excellent 1.04 ERA. Detroit continues to inexplicably struggle offensively in recent games. As a matter of fact, they’ve scored 2 runs or less in seven of their last ten games, and had exactly 4 hits during each of their previous three contests.

Edinson Volquez has a stellar 2.84 ERA this year in twelve starts at home. He’s also displayed very good form during his last five starts overall, posting a 2.73 ERA, and four of those five went under the total. Kansas City has gone 23-13-4 under the total this season when facing a southpaw starting pitcher. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Braves (Wisler) @ Rays (Odorizzi) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Rays -1.5 (+112) (5*)

Jake Odorizzi has pitched marvelously at home this season, posting an excellent 1.40 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in eight starts. The rays hurler has also displayed very good form during his previous three starts overall, compiling a stellar 2.41 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those outings. Tampa has gone 6-2 during their last eight games.

The Atlanta Braves have gone an abysmal 21-39 in road games this season, and that includes a pathetic 2-17 during the previous nineteen in that role. Matt Wisler has pitched horrible during his previous three starts with a large 7.41 ERA and 1.82 WHIP during that stretch. In five road starts in 2015, Wisler has a lofty 5.93 ERA and 1.65 WHIP.

I like the Rays to win this game in a decisive manner. Play on Tampa bay on the run-line as a 5* selection.

Dodgers (Wood) @ Pirates (Morton) 8:08 PM ET

Play On: Pittsburgh +102 (10*)

It what appears to be a pretty even starting pitching matchup, I just have to side with the home team in this spot. After all, the Pirates are a terrific 38-18 (.679) at PNC Park in Pittsburgh this year. The Pirates starter tonight Charlie Morton has gone 5-1 in his home team starts with a stellar 2.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this year. The Pirates will be facing southpaw Alex Wood tonight. Pittsburgh is hitting a more than respectable .280 versus during twenty games versus southpaw starting pitchers which far exceeds their overall season numbers. Wood has also gone an awful 1-10 in team starting after game 81 of the year during the past two seasons. This will be the finale of a five game home stand for the Pirates, and they’ve gone a remarkable 26-5 in 2015 following four or more consecutive home games. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 10* Top Play selection.

Mets (Synergaard) @ Rays (Karns) 6:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 6.5 (5*)

The Mets Noah Syndergaard has been spectacular over his last seven starts, posting an excellent 1.44 ERA and 0.82 WHIP during that time. The Rays Nate Karns enters today in stellar form over his previous three starts, evidenced by an excellent 1.65 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in those outings.

Mark this down as my sucker play of the day. At this juncture, the general public has overwhelmingly wagered on this game going over the total. After all, the posted total is only 6.5, New York is averaging 5.7 runs per game during their previous seven, and Tampa Bay has gone 6-1 over the total during its last seven while possessing a very good .292 team batting average over that stretch. However, my many years of experience taught me it’s never as easy as it may appear to be. I’m fading the general public. Play on the Mets and Rays under the total for a 5* selection.

Dodgers (Latos) @ Pirates (Liriano) 4:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Matt Latos has displayed stellar form during his previous four starts, posting a terrific 1.73 ERA and 0.73 WHIP during those outings. The Dodgers veteran right-hander has gone 6-2 under the total in eight road starts this season. He’s been a primary reason for the high percentage of low scoring affairs, compiling an impressive 2.44 ERA during those road appearances. Latos has a 3-0 record in six career starts at Pittsburgh with a sparkling 2.87 ERA.  The Dodgers will be facing a southpaw (Liriano) starting pitcher today, and they’ve possessed a poor .234 team batting average while averaging just 3.4 runs per game during those twenty contests in 2015. They’ve also gone 32-20-2 under the total on the road this year, and that includes 13-4 if it’s a day game.

Francisco Liriano’s 2015 pitching performance line is superb, evidenced by his outstanding 2.92 ERA and 1.06 WHIP during twenty starts. Liriano is 6-0 in his previous six team starts and has a low 2.13 ERA during that stretch. The southpaw hurler has gone 44-22 under the total in his career when pitching during day games. Pittsburgh is 52-28 (65%) under the total since 2014 during matinee contests. Play on this game to go under the total for as 5* selection.

Astros (Keuchel) @ A’s (Gray) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: Astros -108 (5*)

Since the beginning of the 2014 season, Dallas Keuchel has gone a perfect 6-0 in his team starts versus Oakland, and posted an excellent 1.40 ERA in those outings. Keuchel has proven to be one of the premier left-handed starting pitchers in baseball during the past two seasons. He’s posted a superb 2.35 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in twenty-two starts this year. The Astros are averaging 5.3 runs per game, and have an impressive team slugging percentage of .446. That’s not a huge surprise since Houston leads all of MLB with 153 home runs in 2015.

For starters, Oakland has gone a dismal 18-44 since 2014 as a money line underdog of +100 or more, and they fall into that parameter this evening. They will be facing one of the premier southpaws in baseball on Friday, and they’ve gone a futile 9-19 in that role this year. The A’s are 4-10 in their last fourteen overall, they’ve had an anemic .194 team batting average over their last seven games, and are a poor 24-34 at home this season. Play on the Houston Astros as a 5* money line selection.

Mets (DeGrom) @ Rays (Odorizzi) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Mets -120 (5*)

Jacob DeGrom has been dominant over his previous four starts, posting a superb 1.30 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, and a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. DeGrom has a stellar 2015 resume in which he’s compiled a 2.09 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during twenty starts. The New York Mets won six in a row and nine of their previous eleven games. They’ve struggled this season in producing any type of consistent offensive production. However, that hasn’t been the case of late. The Mets are averaging a healthy 6.0 runs per outing over their previous seven games. When the books install the Mets as a money line favorite of -110 or more, they’ve certainly been spot on. The Mets are a spectacular 44-13 this season as a money line favorite of -110 or more.

Jake Odorizzi has walked just 1 in each of his previous two starts. You would think that would be a good sign, but not so fast. Odorizzi is 1-8 in his team starts since 2013 after walking 1 or less in each of his previous two outings.

·        Jacob Degrom has a 1.54 ERA over his last ten starts.

·        The Mets had 12, 12, and 15 hits respectively in their previous three games.

·        According to the MLB betting odds at Bookmaker.com, the Mets are currently a -117 money line favorite.

Any money line road favorite of -110 or more, with a pitcher that’s compiled an ERA of 3.00 or less in his previous ten starts, and they’ve amassed 12 hits or more in each of their last three games, resulted in that road favorite going 34-8 (81%) since 1997. Play the Mets as a 5* money line selection.

Blue Jays (Dickey) @ Yankees (Eovaldi) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 9.0 (5*)

Knuckleball specialist R.A. Dickey has been red-hot over his previous four starts, posting an excellent 0.92 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in those outings. Dickey has fared very well when facing the Yankees in recent years. Since 8/26/2013, he’s made six starts versus New York, and had a terrific 1.12 ERA during that stretch. The Yankees we’re stymied against Red Sox knuckleballer Steven Wright on Wednesday. R.A. Dickey is certainly much more accomplished in that regard. It’s also worth noting, Toronto is coming off a 9-3 win over Minnesota on Thursday, and they’ve gone 17-5 under the total this season following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more.

Nathan Eovaldi has quietly done a very nice job in 2015 and that’s been especially apparent recently. The right-hander is 4-0 in his previous four team starts with a more than respectable 3.70 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The Yankees hurler will be facing a Toronto batting order today which possesses a plethora of power. The good news in that regard, Eovaldi has allowed just 1 home run over his last nine starts.

Early action in this game has seen bettors overwhelmingly wagering on going over the total. All you have to do is look at both teams hitting resume over the past couple of weeks, and it’s easy to understand why. I’m going to fade the general public and go under the total for a 5* selection.

Giants (Heston) @ Cubs (Hammel) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Over 7.0 (5*)

Chris Heston has pitched much better at home this season than on the road. He’s gone 7-2-1 over the total in ten road starts with a 4.01 ERA. Speaking of the road, San Francisco is 34-16-4 over the total during away games this year. The Giants have scored 6 runs or more, and had 11 hits or more, during each of their previous three games.

Jason Hammel has posted a lofty 5.02 ERA and 1.74 WHIP during his previous three starts. The Cubs have scored 4 runs or more in each of their previous six games. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Twins (Duffey) @ Blue Jays ( Hutchinson) 7:07 PM ET

Play On: Toronto -1.5 (+116) (10*)

Don’t be deceived by Drew Hutchinson’s terrible overall ERA in 2015. The majority of the damage inflicted upon the Toronto hurler has come on the road. He’s been quite the polar opposite at home. Hutchinson is 8-2 in his home team starts this year with a stellar 2.47 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Blue Jays enter today riding a three game winning streak and are also 6-1 in their last seven. They’ve held the Twins to exactly 1 run in each of the first two games of this series. That’s significant considering they’ve gone 18-5 since 2014 after allowing 3 runs or less in each of their previous two games, and possessed a large +2.6 run per game differential during those twenty-three contests. Toronto is a very good 34-21 (.618) at the Rogers Centre in 2015, and has a sizable +1.8 run per game differential.

The Twins have been beyond anemic offensively during their previous five games. During that time, Minnesota has averaged a meager 1.4 runs and 3.2 hits per game. They’ve dropped three in a row in addition to going 2-8 in their last ten games, and seven of the eight defeats have come by 2 runs or more. They will be facing a starting pitcher (Hutchinson) today that averages just 1.67 walks per start this season. Minnesota is a dismal 3-17 this season when facing a pitcher that allows an average of less than 1.75 walks per start, and they have a horrible -2.5 run per game differential. Tyler Duffey will make his first ever MLB start tonight for Minnesota. He was a combined 6-8 with a 2.66 ERA at AA Chattanooga and AAA Rochester prior to being called up to the big leagues for the first time.

1.      Toronto’s Drew Hutchinson has a 5.42 ERA in twenty-one starts this season.

2.      Minnesota has gone 9-for-85 at the plate during their previous three games, and that equates to an abysmal .106 team batting average.

3.      Minnesota is averaging 4.2 runs per game in 2015.

Any home team with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 4.70 to 5.70, versus an opponent that averages 4.2 or less runs per game, and that opponent has a .175 or less team batting average over their previous three games, resulted in the home team going 47-14 (77%) since 1997. In addition, the home team had a substantial +2.2 run per game differential in those sixty-one affairs. Play Toronto as a run-line favorite for a 10* Top Play selection.

Chris Archer has established himself as the ace of the Tampa Bay pitching staff this season. He’s rebounded nicely from a bit of a recent funk by displaying very good form over his last three starts. During those previous three outings, Archer has compiled an excellent 1.35 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and an almost 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The usually mild hitting Rays have found some offensive punch of late, averaging 5.3 runs while hitting .287 as a team over their last seven games.

After going on a seven game win streak that catapulted them back into the AL Wild Card race, the White Sox have preceded to lose four of the last five. What’s even more alarming has been the shaky performance line of ace southpaw Chris Sale during recent starts. Sale has posted an uncharacteristically high 6.38 ERA and 1.75 WHIP over his previous three starts. That’s not good news since he’ll be facing a Rays club today which has gone 19-11 versus southpaw starters this year. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays as a 5* selection.

Jake Peavy has a lofty 5.40 ERA in three starts on the road this season. The Giants squandered a 6-0 lead in Monday’s series opener versus the Braves and lost 9-8. San Francisco has gone a dismal 3-10 this season following a one run loss.

Shelby Miller has been superb on nine starts at home in 2015 with a 1.89 ERA in those outings. He’s made one start versus San Francisco this year and it was a very good one. On that outing he allowed just 1 earned run on 5 hits while walking none. Atlanta is a dismal 21-38 on the road this season, but are a very respectable 27-20 at home. They’ve also gone 13-7 at home versus an opponent with a winning record. Play on the Atlanta Braves as a 5* selection.

Jason Verlander is coming off two very good starts in which he showed glimpses of his old self. However, both of those starts came on the road. Verlander is 0-4 on his team starts at home in 2015 with a sizable 8.24 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. His last two starts at home have been horrible. During those outings Verlander allowed a whopping 14 earned runs, 15 hits, and four home runs in only 8 2/3 innings. The Detroit veteran hurler made three home starts versus Kansas City in 2014, and had a poor 6.16 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. This will be his first appearance versus the Royals in 2015. Detroit has gone a dismal 8-18 at home this year when they’re +125 to -125 on the money line like they’ll be today.

Daniel Duffy is coming off a shaky outing at Toronto in which he allowed 5 earned runs in 6.0 innings. Although it must be noted, that’s a Blue Jays team which has tormented left-handing pitching all season. This will be Duffy’s first outing of the year versus Detroit. He made four starts versus the Tigers in 2014, and posted a terrific 1.88 ERA. Kansas City is an outstanding 43-25 (.632) versus right-handed starting pitchers in 2015. Kansas City didn’t play on Monday, and they’ve gone an extremely profitable 26-9 since 2014 following an off day. Play on the Kansas City Royals as a 5* selection.

Orioles (Wilson) @ A’s (Chavez) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: A’s -107 (5*)

Tyler Wilson will get the start tonight for Baltimore. The 25 year old right-hander will be making just his second career MLB start. He was just called up on Sunday from AAA Norfolk. Baltimore enters this west coast road trip with an awful 19-30 (.388) record in away games. When tightening up Baltimore’s 2015 road resume it’s not very pretty. They’ve gone a dismal 12-26 on the road versus right-handed starting pitchers, and are an even worse 7-22 at night in 29 away games. Baltimore will be attempting to win three straight on the road for just a second time in 2015.

Right-hander Jesse Chavez will be on the mound for Oakland on Monday. Chavez has struggled a bit on the road in 2015, but that’s certainly not been the case at home. Chavez has compiled a stellar 2.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in eight home starts.

Baltimore is clearly the better team on paper, but their road woes this season make it very difficult for me to place any degree of confidence in them tonight. In addition, they’ll have a rookie pitcher tonight who’ll be making his first career start on the road. Jesse Chavez has shown me enough in his performances at home. Play on the Oakland A’s as a 5* selection.

Padres (Ross) @ Brewers (Peralta) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Padres -105 (5*)

The Padres are 4-1 in their last five and 7-2 during their previous nine games. Tyson Ross has pitched very well for the Padres in thirteen road starts this season with a stellar 2.75 ERA. Ross is in decent form over his previous three starts overall. San Diego is averaging 4.7 runs per game and possesses a very respectable team batting average of .276 in their previous seven contests. That’s a key point consider they’ll be facing an opponent tonight that’s been struggling to score runs.

The Brewers lost a lot of pop from their batting order due to the recent trades of Carlos Gomez, Gerardo Parra, and Aramis Ramirez. Those three players combined to hit 28 home runs and amass 116 runs batted in for Milwaukee prior to being traded. The impact has certainly been felt with Milwaukee averaging a pathetic 1.7 runs per game over their last ten contests. The Brewers are also a brutal 20-33 at home this season, have lost their last five overall, and dropped nine of the previous ten. Play the San Diego Padres as a 5* selection.

Nationals (Zimmerman) @ Mets (Syndergaard) 8:08 PM ET

Play On: Under 6.5 (5*)

Jordan Zimmerman has gone 3-0-1 under the total in his team starts versus New York since 8/13/2014, and had a superb 1.38 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. The Nationals hurler has displayed very good form during his previous seven overall starts, compiling a 2.62 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and an 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Washington is 5-1 under the total in their last six games, and scored 2 runs or less in five of those six. The Nationals are also allowing just an average of 2.4 runs per game, and holding opponents to a meager .199 team batting average during their previous seven outings.

Noah Syndergaard has gone a perfect 7-0 under the total at Citi Field in 2015. During those seven starts, he posted a miniscule 1.46 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, and compiled better than an 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Mets hurler has also gone 5-0-1 under the total in his previous six starts overall, and had an excellent 1.29 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. The Mets have scored 3 runs or less in eleven of their last fifteen games, and have also allowed 2 runs or less in five of the previous seven contests. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Braves (Wisler) @ Phillies (Nola) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Phillies -122 (10*)

The Braves have been horrific for close to a month now. They’ve gone a dismal 1-8 in the last nine which includes losing five in a row heading into today, and are 4-15 in their previous nineteen games. All you have to do is look at Atlanta’s offensive production over this futile stretch to completely understand why they’ve struggled. Specifically in their last nine games they’ve been outscored 34-14 and possess a terrible team batting average of just .220. They’re come off a 9-3 loss at Philadelphia last night, and have gone 3-15 on the road since 2014 following a loss by 6 runs or more.

This is a Phillies club which is on a completely different path. They were the laughing stock of baseball during the first half of the season. However, since returning from the all star break, Philadelphia has gone a terrific 11-2. The Phillies are average 5.6 runs per game and hitting a robust .304 as a team over their last seven. The best pitching prospect in the Phillies organization is Aaron Nola, and he will get the start this evening. In two starts this season Nola has been impressive with a 3.29 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies as a 10* Top Play.

Indians (Salazar) @ A’s (Gravemen) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: Cleveland -129 (10*)

In a real oddity, Cleveland has been much better (27-22) on the road this season than at home (20-32). Danny Salazar enters tonight’s start in very good form during his previous three with a 2.11 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The Indians hurler will be facing an Oakland team on Friday that has a paltry .310 on base percentage in 2015. Salazar has gone an extremely profitable 9-1 in his road team starts since 2014 versus an American League opponent with an on base percentage of .320 or less. Salazar dominated Oakland in his one start against them this season, allowing 0 earned runs and 5 hits in 8 2/3 innings pitched.

Oakland has gone 1-6 in their last seven, averaged just 2.7 runs per game and possesses a terrible .213 team batting average during that time. Kendall Gravemen has gone 0-3 in his last three team starts with a monster 10.22 ERA and 2.27 WHIP. Oakland has gone a dismal 21-30 at home this season.

Any road team with a starting pitcher that has a 2.50 ERA or less in his last three starts, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher that has a 2.25 WHIP or greater in his last three starts, resulted in the road team going 32-10 against the money line since 2011, and that includes 3-0 in 2015. Play on the Cleveland Indians as a 10* Top Play selection.

Angels (Shoemaker) @ Astros (Kazmir) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: 7.5 (5*)

Scott Kazmir’s debut with Houston after coming over in a trade from Oakland was nothing short of sensational. He tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 4 hits and walking just 1 in a 4-0 win at Kansas City. Kazmir has now registered a brilliant 0.34 ERA over his last four starts. He’s proven to be one of the top ten starting pitchers in the American League this season with a superb 2.24 ERA in nineteen starts.

After enduring a tough first half of the year, Matt Shoemaker has seemed to find his pitching groove of late. Shoemaker has compiled a stellar 2.31 ERA during his previous four starts, and the Angels were 3-0-1 under the total in those games. The Angels have gone 16-7-1 under the total this season when facing a southpaw starting pitcher like they’ll be doing this evening. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Royals (Duffy) @ Blue Jays (Estrada) 7:07 PM ET

Play On: Under 8.5 (5*)

Daniel Duffy enters today in superb form over his last three starts, evidenced by an excellent 0.90 ERA during those appearances, and all three games went under the total. Duffy has gone 9-0 under the total during his starts in July since 2014, and those nine games averaged a paltry 3.9 runs combined scored per contest. The Royals southpaw hurler was terrific in his one start versus Toronto this year, allowing no earned runs on 4 hits during 6.0 innings of work. The Kansas City bullpen is the envy of baseball. The Royals relievers have a cumulative 2.14 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Kansas City has averaged only 3.1 runs per game and has a poor .229 team batting average over their last seven contests.

Marco Estrada has a stellar 2.59 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over his last seven starts. The Toronto bullpen has been solid in 2015 at home with a staff ERA of 3.05 and a very good 1.09 WHIP. Toronto is coming off a 8-2 shellacking of Philadelphia on Wednesday, and it was the 20th time this season they have scored 8 runs or more in a game. The Blue Jays have gone 16-4 under the total this year following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Yankees (Tanaka) @ Rangers (Lewis) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+120) (5*)

Masahiro Tanaka has gone 10-3 in his team starts this year with a solid 3.64 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The native of Japan is 3-0 in his last three team starts and displayed very good form in doing so. During those outings, he compiled a 2.82 ERA and an excellent 0.67 WHIP. Tanaka will be facing a Texas team tonight that has a .249 team batting average for the year. He’s gone a perfect 8-0 in his team starts this season when facing an American League opponent with a team batting average of .260 or less, and the Yankees won by an average of 4.6 runs per game. The Yankees have gone a sizzling hot 16-5 in their previous 21 games. As a matter of fact, they’ve also won four in a row and are 8-1 in their last nine. “The Bronx Bombers” have outscored Texas by a cumulative score of 27-7 in the first two games of this series.

Colby Lewis is in shaky form over his previous four starts, evidenced by his large 9.00 ERA in those outings. Lewis has gone 8-0-1 over the total in nine starts at home this season with a lofty 4.95 ERA. The Rangers right-hander has allowed an alarming 7 home runs in 32.0 innings during his last five starts. He’s made one start versus the Yankees in 2015, and it certainly wasn’t anything to write home about. Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits in 6 2/3 innings during a 10-9 Rangers win at Yankee Stadium. The Rangers have gone a dismal 7-25 at home since 2014 after allowing 8 runs or more in their previous game. They’ve had very unusual home and away splits in 2015. Texas has gone a very good 31-24 on the road but they’re horrible 16-28 at home.

These are two teams that are clearly headed in opposite directions. The Rangers bullpen has been taxed over the last week by the ineffectiveness of their starting rotation, and quite frankly they weren’t that good even before that occurred. Play on the Yankees as a 5* run-line selection.

White Sox (Quintana) @ Red Sox (Porcello) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: White +105 (5*)

Southpaw Jose Quintana has been dominant in three career starts versus Boston with a superb 1.27 ERA and 0.66 WHIP. All three outings have come since 2012. The White Sox enter today on a six game winning streak, and are averaging a robust 7.5 runs per game during that time. They’ve scored 19 runs and pounded out 29 hits during the first two games of this series at Fenway Park.

Although Rick Porcello has pitched much better of late, he’s been a huge disappointment this season. Porcello has a lofty 5.51 ERA in 19 starts this season. In two starts versus the White Sox a season ago, Porcello had a sizable 6.17 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Red Sox are 2-11 in their last thirteen games. Boston is also a dismal 21-39 this season when they’re +125 to -125 on the money line. Play on the Chicago White Sox as a 5* selection.

Nationals (Fister) @ Marlins (Koehler) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Miami +116 (5*)

This is a prime example of an overrated (Fister) versus an underrated (Koehler) starting pitcher. Doug Fister gets more acclaim without a doubt. However, the Nationals hurler is 1-6 in his last seven team starts with a terrible 6.19 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Fister is also 1-5 in his team starts on the road this season with a lofty 5.46 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. The Nationals are 1-4 in the last five and 3-7 in their previous ten games.

Tom Koehler is in very good form over his previous four starts with an excellent 1.44 ERA. He’s pitched extremely well in seven home starts this season, posting a 1.79 ERA, and 1.02 WHIP. In his one home start versus Washington this year, Koehler pitched 7 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball during a 8-0 Marlins win. Miami enters tonight having gone 8-1 in their last nine home games. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 5* selection.

Angels (Wilson) @ Astros (McHugh) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Astros -125 (5*)

C.J. Wilson has made seven starts versus the Astros since 2014 and has a large 7.56 ERA in those outings and that includes 0-2 in his team starts versus Houston in 2015 with a sizable 8.10 ERA. Wilson has gone a miserable 3-15 in his team starts since 2014 when he’s installed as a money line underdog.

The Astros have gone an outstanding 33-17 at home this season. Houston starter Collin McHugh has made six starts since 2014 versus the Angels and has a superb 2.08 ERA in those outings. McHugh is also in good form during his previous three starts overall with a 2.70 ERA and 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on the Houston Astros as a 5* selection.

Pirates (Morton) @ Twins (Pelfrey) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Charlie Morton is in terrible form over his previous six starts, posting a large 7.76 ERA and 1.63 WHIP during that time. Morton has also struggled in his five road starts this season, evidenced by a sizable 7.81 ERA in those outings.

Mike Pelfrey has been extremely shaky over his last five starts, posting a 6.84 ERA and mammoth 2.01 WHIP. The Twins have gone over the total in their last three and five of their previous six home games. They’ve hit 53 of their 88 home runs at home this season. They’re also averaging 4.9 runs per game and have a solid .279 team batting average at Target Field in 2015. Minnesota has allowed an average of 6.0 runs per game over the last seven contests. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Nationals (Zimmerman) @ Marlins (Fernandez) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Marlins -124 (5*)

It’s extremely difficult not to use the Marlins as this cheap of a price at home with Jose Fernandez as their starter. After all, Fernandez has gone 14-0 in 22 career starts at home for Miami, and posted an absolutely dominating 1.17 ERA in those outings. The Marlins have been a horrible 17-35 on the road in 2015. However, they’ve held serve at home with a 24-23 record, and that includes 7-1 in the last eight at Marlins Park. Fernandez has made three career starts versus Washington since 2013, and he posted a microscopic 0.45 ERA during those outings. The Nationals Jordan Zimmerman has been very average in eight road starts lofty 4.67 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Miami is 4-2 versus Washington this year and that includes a perfect 3-0 at home. Play on the Miami Marlins as a 5* selection.

Padres (Shields) @ Mets (Syndergaard) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Mets -132 (10*)

James Shields has posted a very good 2.94 ERA in his last three starts. However, his large 1.70 WHIP in those outings sends up a red flag. Shields issued 11 walks in 15 1/3 innings during those three starts. In eleven starts on the road, Shields has been less than impressive with a 5.01 ERA. San Diego has averaged a miniscule 2.4 runs per game and has a terrible .220 team batting average during their previous seven contests. Although they’re coming off winning three of four versus Miami in their last series, they scored just a combined 9 runs in those games, and were beneficiaries of an anemic hitting Marlins club.

The Mets youngster Noah Synergaard has been outstanding in his six starts at Citi Field. The Mets have gone 5-1 in those six games and much of that success has been due to the outstanding pitching by Syndergaard. He’s posted a sparkling 1.74 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and compiled a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those six home appearances.  Syndergaard enters today in great form over his previous five starts overall, posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.91 WHIP during those outings.

The Mets have gone an outstanding 34-16 (.680) at Citi Field this year, and that includes an even better 29-12 (.707) when they’re facing a right-handed starting pitcher. They’re coming off a 3-2 extra inning home win over the Dodgers on Sunday. The Mets are a superb 25-6 at home this year following a win in their previous game. The major sportsbooks have been spot on when labeling them as a money line favorite of -110 or more. The Mets are an incredible 37-13 in that exact scenario and an even more impressive 30-7 if they’re playing at home.

Money Line Betting System

·        The Padres starter James Shields has a 1.32 WHIP in 21 starts this year.

·        The Padres are averaging only 0.86 home runs per game on the season.

·        The Mets Noah Syndergaard is allowing just 0.46 home runs per start in 2015.

·        The MLB betting odds at BetOnline.com currently have San Diego as a +122 money line underdog.

Play against any National League road underdog of +125 to +175 (Padres), averaging 0.9 or less home runs per game, and has a starting pitcher (Shields) with a WHIP of 1.25 to 1.35, versus a starting pitcher (Syndergaard) that allows 0.50 or less home runs per start. This system resulted in the home favorite going 137-48 (74.1%) since 1997. Play on the Mets as a 10* Top Play selection.

Diamondbacks (Ray) @ Mariners (Montgomery) 10:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Robbie Ray has gone 4-1 under the total in five road starts this season, posting an excellent 1.35 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. In ten overall starts, the Arizona southpaw hurler has a very good 2.71 ERA. The Diamondbacks have gone under the total in their last three and six of their previous eight games. They’ve scored 3 runs or less in each of the last three, and seven of their previous eight.

Mike Montgomery has struggled in recent starts. However, he’s compiled a stellar 3.15 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in five starts at pitcher friendly Safeco Field. Seattle is 26-12 under the total in 2015 when facing an opponent with a losing record. The Mariners are also 30-9 the last two seasons when facing an opponent with a winning percentage of .460 to .490, and Arizona enters today with a 46-51 (.474) record. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Rockies (Jorge De La Rosa) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Jorge De La Rosa has welcomed the opportunity to pitch away from Coors Field this season where he’s really struggled. On the road has been a much different adventure for the Rockies southpaw. In six away game starts, De La Rosa has posted an excellent 1.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Colorado’s offensive numbers are drastically different on the road this season compared to hitter friendly Coors Field. They’re averaging just 3.4 runs per game and possess an unimpressive .238 team batting average in their 45 road tilts.

Kyle Hendricks has gone 4-1 under the total in his previous five starts. He’s been a major contributor to those low scoring games by posting an outstanding 1.69 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and compiling a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cubs offensive production at home this season has a left a lot to be desired. They’re averaging a paltry 3.1 runs per game, and have a poor .226 team batting average at Wrigley Field. The Cubbies are 30-15-3 under the total at home in 2015. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Tigers (Sanchez) @ Rays (Karns) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Tigers +122 (10*)

Veteran right-hander Annibal Sanchez will get the start today for Detroit. Sanchez has gone a perfect 8-0 in his last eight team starts with a very respectable 3.16 ERA. The Tigers have provided Sanchez with plenty of run support during those eight starts, averaging a robust 7.3 runs per game. The Detroit hurler is 10-1 in his career team starts versus AL East opponents, and his teams have a decisive +3.3 run per game differential in those eleven contests.

The Rays Nate Karns is 4-6 in his home team starts this season with a 4.09 ERA, and a less than impressive 1.46 WHIP. Unlike his pitching adversary today, Karns has received very little run support in recent starts. During his last five outings, the Rays have scored a combined 7 runs. This will be Karns’ first career start versus Detroit. After being one of the surprise teams in the American League during the early going of 2015, Tampa Bay has faded badly in recent weeks. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 7-17 since 6/28, and that’s the worst record in baseball during that time frame. In that 24 game stretch, Tampa has just one player with 45 at bats or more hitting better than .235. John Jaso has been the lone exception by going 16-for-48 (.333). Unfortunately, Jaso has gone a horrible 1-for-14 (.071) in his career when facing Annibal Sanchez. Tampa Bay has scored 3 runs or less in eight of the last nine, and eleven of their previous thirteen games. They’ve also had 8 hits or less in twelve of their last thirteen. Play on the Tigers as a 10* Top Play selection.

Tigers (Greene) @ Red Sox (Rodriguez) 8:08 PM ET

Play On: Over 9.5 (5*)

It would be hard to imagine any major league starting pitcher performing so poorly over an extended period of time like Shane Greene has, and still maintain his spot in the rotation. Greene has posted a monster 12.00 ERA, and allowed 9 home runs in only 24.0 innings during his last six starts. This will be the first start of the season for Greene versus Boston. He did face the Red Sox twice last season, and had a brutal 11.04 ERA and 2.32 WHIP in those outings. The Tigers are 27-13 over the total in day games this year, and have a stellar .301 team batting average in those 40 games.

Eduardo Rodriguez has gone 5-0 over the total in day game starts this year. During those five outings he posted an awful 9.81 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. Rodriguez has also gone 4-1 over the total at Fenway Park in 2015 with a sizable 6.41 ERA. Boston is 19-11-3 over the total in day games this season. Play in this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Miami (Latos) @ San Diego (Despaigne) 4:10 PM ET

Play On: Miami -106 (5*)

Matt Latos enters today in excellent form over his previous three starts. During those outings the Miami hurler has posted a terrific 1.35 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, and 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In three career starts versus San Diego since 2012, Latos has a dominating 1.35 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. He’ll be facing a Padres team today that’s averaging a poor 2.7 runs per game and possesses a terrible .212 team batting average over their last seven outings. San Diego has also gone a dismal 10-19 at home this season when they’re +125 to -125 on the money line. Play the Miami Marlins as a 5* selection.

Reds (Lorenzen) @ Rockies (Kendrick) 4:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 11.0 (5*)

Michael Lorenzen enters today in bad form over his previous three starts, posting a lofty 5.40 ERA, and 1.73 WHIP. Lorenzen has compiled a shaky 1.57 WHIP in six day game starts this season. The Reds are averaging 5.1 runs per game and have a very good .295 team batting average during their previous seven contests. They’ve also gone 7-3-1 over the total in their last eleven games.

Kyle Kendrick has been terrible during his previous six starts. During that time he posted a large 6.83 ERA and 1.77 WHIP. Kendrick hasn’t found pitching at Coors Field to be a pleasant experience this season. In nine home starts, he’s posted a sizable 6.90 ERA, and has surrendered 14 home runs in just 47.0 innings pitched. Colorado is averaging 5.3 runs per game and is hitting .302 at home in 2015. The bad news, opponents are averaging 5.6 runs per game at Coors Field this year. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Blue Jays (Buehrle) @ Mariners (Walker) 4:10 PM ET

Play On: Toronto -114 (10*)

Mark Buehrle has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last nine starts. In his last four starts alone the veteran southpaw hurler has compiled an excellent 1.24 ERA. His adversary on the mound today will be Tijuan Walker. The Mariners right-hander has a huge 9.39 ERA in his last three starts and allowed 5 home runs in 15 1/3 innings pitched. That’s not good news for Seattle since they’ll be opposed by one of the best power hitting teams (Toronto) in baseball today. The Mariners are a dismal 7-17 at home this year when they’re +125 to -125 on the money line like they’ll be today. Play on Toronto as a 10* Top Play selection.

Rangers (Gallardo) @ Angels (Santiago) 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Angels -1.5 (+129)

Veteran right-hander Yovani went through an incredible streak this season in which he failed to yield an earned run in four consecutive starts, and also during six of seven appearances. The dominating pitching for Gallardo has temporarily come to a screeching halt in recent starts. He’s posted a lofty 5.28 ERA, 2.15 WHIP, and has walked four more than he struck out during his previous three starts. Texas is hitting a dismal .229 as a team in 36 games this year when facing a southpaw starting pitcher like they’ll be doing this evening.

Southpaw Hector Santiago has gone 5-0 in his last five team starts for the Angels with a spectacular 1.13 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and compiled a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Angels hurler has a terrific 0.93 ERA in three starts against Texas this year. Despite losing their last two, the Angels are 16-5 in their last 21 games.

The Angels enter today with a .249 team batting average this season. The Rangers Yovani Gallardo has a 2.91 ERA during 20 starts in 2015. The combination of these two factors creates a very profitable betting system siding with the favorite winning by decisive margins.

Any money line favorite of -150 or more (Angels), playing in the month of July, possessing a team batting average of .260 or less, and is facing an American League starting pitcher (Gallardo) with an ERA of 4.20 or less, resulted in the favorite going 65-17 (79.3%) since 1997. More importantly, the favorite had a large +2.6 run per game differential in those 82 contests. Play the Angels on the run-line as a 5* selection.

Nationals (Gio Gonzalez) @ Pirates (A.J. Burnett) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Gio Gonzalez has been in superb form over his last four starts which is evidenced by cumulative 1.38 ERA during that time. The Nationals southpaw hurler is 6-0 in his career team starts versus Pittsburgh since 2010, and has posted a stellar 2.95 ERA in those outings. In his one start versus the Pirates this year, Gonzalez went 7.0 innings, allowed 0 earned runs, and gave up just 4 hits. Washington possesses a miserable team batting average of only .199 during their previous seven games.

A.J. Burnett has pitched extremely well in nine starts this season at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. During those outings he’s posted a dominating 1.58 ERA, and allowed just 2 home runs in 62 2/3 innings pitched. Burnett should also benefit from Ted Barrett being the home plate umpire today. Barrett can be considered a pitcher friendly umpire based on games going 48-35-4 under the total since 2013 when he’s calling balls and strikes. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Orioles (Miguel Gonzalez) @ Rays (Erasmo Ramirez) 6:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*)

Miguel Gonzalez has made three starts this season versus Tampa Bay. In those outings he posted a microscopic 0.84 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and each game went under the total. Baltimore has gone 14-7-2 under the total during their previous 23 games. The Orioles have scored 3 runs or less in ten of their last twelve, and amassed a total of only 22 hits in the previous four games.

Erasmo Ramirez has been outstanding in his last nine starts, posting an excellent 1.29 ERA, compiling nearly a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio, and went 6-1-2 under the total. As a matter of fact, he allowed 1 earned run or less in eight of those nine starts. In his only start versus Baltimore this year, Ramirez pitched 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball and allowed just 3 Orioles hits. Tampa Bay has gone 7-1-2 under the total in their previous ten games, and has scored 3 runs or less in nine of the last eleven. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Blue Jays (Hutchinson) @ Mariners (Hernandez) 10:10 PM ET

Play On: Over 6.5 (5*)

Drew Hutchinson was scratched from his start on Thursday while recovering from the flu. All indications appear that he’s good to go on Friday. Hutchinson has gone 9-1 over the total in ten road starts this year, posting a large 8.81 ERA and 1.98 WHIP during those outings. The Blue Jays are averaging a lofty 5.3 runs per game in 2015, and have smashed an extremely high 126 home runs during 97 games.

You don’t need me to tell you how dominant a starting pitcher that Felix Hernandez is. However, there’s a bit of vulnerability detected when he faces Toronto. In seven starts versus the Blue Jays since 2011, “King Felix” has a sizable 5.83 ERA. All three of his home starts during that time went over the total.

I’m anticipating the majority of bettors to side with going under the total in this game tonight. I’m going to challenge public opinion in that regard. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Yankees (Pineda) @ Twins (Hughes) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Twins +129 (5*)

Minnesota veteran right-hander Philip Hughes has gone a superb 6-1 in his last seven team starts with an outstanding 2.41 ERA. The Minnesota hurler has impeccable control, evidenced by him issuing only 12 walks in 123 2/3 innings (1 per 10.3 innings) pitched this year. The Twins have gone a terrific 31-16 (.660) at home, and that includes 7-1 in their previous eight.

Granted the Yankees enter this series having won four in a row, six of the last seven, and nine of their previous eleven games. However, it must be noted, they’ve played 12 of their last 15 games at home. “The Bronx Bombers” have gone a dismal 5-10 in their previous fifteen away games.

This selection is all about betting value. In my professional opinion this is a very even starting pitching matchup, and both bullpens performance lines are similar. Considering the Twins are the home underdog tonight, their impressive record at Target Field, and the Yankees recent struggles on the road, I have to give the nod to Minnesota as a 5* money line selection.

White Sox (Quintana) @ Indians (Kluber) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (5*

Jose Quintana enters tonight in solid form over his previous four starts, posting a stellar 3.37 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and he struck out 29 while walking just 1. All four of those games went under the total. The White Sox southpaw hurler has also seen all three of his starts go under the total versus Cleveland since 9/6/2014. During those outings, he compiled an excellent 1.42 ERA, and all three games went under the number. Quintana will be pitching on five days rest today. He’s gone 10-1 under the total this season when pitching on five or six days rest.

Corey Kluber has recently been rounding into the type of form he displayed in 2014. He’s posted a stellar 2.02 ERA and 0.94 WHIP during his previous three starts. Kluber has made three starts versus the White Sox since 9/6/2014, tossing two complete games, had a very good 2.63 ERA, struck out 26 while walking just 2, and all three games went under the total.

Despite yesterday’s 8-1 win by the White Sox that surpassed a total of 7.5, these teams have gone 9-1 over the total in their ten encounters this season. I like this game to be a low scoring affair. Play on going under the total as a 5* selection.

White Sox (Samardzija) @ Indians (Bauer) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Jeff Samardzija has displayed very good form during his previous three starts, posting a superb 1.90 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and all three games went under the total. Samardzija pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball in his only start versus Cleveland in 2015. The White Sox enter today averaging a terrible 2.7 runs per game, and are hitting an awful .226 as a team during their last seven outings. They’ve also lost four in a row, and are 18-6 under the total this year following two or more losses in a row.

Trevor Bauer’s ERA over his last four starts has been a bit deceiving. He’s actually pitched much better than his 4.62 ERA indicates. In those outings, Bauer has an outstanding 0.99 WHIP while compiling a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Unfortunately he’s been victimized by allowing 6 home runs in 25 1/3 innings pitched during that time. However, he’ll be facing a White Sox team that’s hit just 66 homers on the season which ranks amongst the worst in baseball. Bauer has made three starts versus the White Sox in 2015, and posted an excellent 1.33 ERA.

This game has all the earmarks of a low scoring affair. As a matter of fact, all nine encounters between these clubs this season have gone under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Blue Jays (Buehrle) @ A’s (Gravemen) 10:05 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

The savvy veteran southpaw Mark Buehrle has been outstanding over his last eight starts. During that time he’s posted a superb 1.55 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and compiled better than a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Kendall Gravemen has recently become a very reliable starter for Oakland. In his last seven starts the A’s right-hander posted a terrific 1.85 ERA.

The Blue Jays have gone 7-2-1 under the total in their previous ten games. Oakland is 11-4 under the total in their last fifteen games. Toronto possesses a poor .228 team batting average during their previous seven games, and Oakland is at an even worse .216 in its last seven. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Indians (Salazar) @ Brewers (Garza) 8:10 PM ET

Play On: Indians -125 (5*)

Danny Salazar has displayed very good form for the most part in his last three starts. During that time he had a 2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and compiled a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Indians hurler has gone a terrific 15-3 in his team starts since 2014 as a money line favorite of -125 to -175. Cleveland had a sizable +2.9 run per game differential in those eighteen games. The Indians are a very respectable 25-21 on the road this season,

Matt Garza has been in horrible form over his previous five starts, posting a large 7.88 ERA, surrendered 6 home runs, and allowed 41 hits in just 24.0 innings pitched. Garza is a poor 2-6 in his team starts at home this season with a lofty 5.29 ERA, and has allowed a whopping 11 home runs in only 47 2/3 innings. Milwaukee is a terrible 19-28 at home.

This game also qualifies for an extremely profitable money line betting system that’s predicated on the pitching performance line of Matt Garza. Garza is allowing an average of 7.4 hits per start in 2015, and has posted an awful 7.79 ERA over his previous seven starts. When playing against a money line home underdog of +100 to +150, possessing a pitcher that’s allowing 7.0 or more hits per start, and has an ERA of 7.50 or more in his previous three starts, resulted in going 50-14 (78.1%) since 2011. Play on the Cleveland Indians as a 5* money line selection.

Mariners (Walker) @ Tigers (Greene) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

Tijuan Walker has been awful is his last two starts with a 9.00 ERA, and both of those games went over the total. Walker has posted a lofty 5.47 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in ten road starts this season. His only career start versus Detroit came this year, and he had an extremely difficult time in that outing, allowing 5 earned runs in 6.0 innings, and surrendering 3 home runs at usually pitcher friendly Safeco Field.

Shane Green has been in brutal form over his past five starts, posting a gargantuan 12.57 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in those outings. He also allowed a whopping 8 home runs in only 19 1/3 innings pitched during that time. The Tigers are 27-11 over the total this season as a money line underdog of +100 or more, and that includes 9-1 at Comerica Park in Detroit. Play in this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.

Twins (Millone) @ A’s (Chavez) 4:05 PM ET

Play On: Twins +118 (5*)

Southpaw hurler Tommy Millone has really pitched with a vengeance since being recalled from AAA Rochester after enduring an earlier humiliating demotion. He’s been especially good during his previous three starts evidenced by a microscopic 0.95 ERA in those outings.

Speaking of southpaws, Oakland has gone a dismal 6-17 this season versus left-handed starting pitchers. The A’s are also averaging only 2.4 runs per game and hitting a terrible .206 as a team during their last seven contests. The A’s starter Jesse Chavez has been in bad form over his previous four starts, posting a sizable 6.54 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Play on the Minnesota Twins as a 5* money line underdog.

Red Sox (Porcello) @ Angels (Richards) 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Angels -140 (5*)

Rick Porcello has a large 7.16 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in nine road starts this season. In his one start versus the Angels in 2015 he allowed 7 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 3 in only 4 1/3 innings during a 12-5 loss.

The Angels Garrett Richards has gone a very profitable 6-1 in his home team starts this season while posting a stellar 2.25 ERA. The surging Angels are now 14-3 in their last seventeen games after Friday’s 1-0 win over Boston. It was a rare lack of offensive output of late for a team with bats that have been recently sizzling hot. Play on the Angels as a 5* money line pick.

Mets (Colon) @ Cardinals (Lackey) 7:15 PM ET

Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (+155) (10*)

Bartolo Colon has been in shaky form during his last four starts, posting a lofty 4.63 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. In his one starts versus the Cardinals this season he was awful, allowing 8 earned runs on 11 hits while walking 2 in just 4 1/3 innings during a 9-0 loss. The Mets have been very good at home in 2015 but the polar opposite on the road. They’re a dismal 15-29 (.341) in away games.

John Lackey has gone 5-1 in his last six team starts with an excellent 1.69 ERA. In his one starts versus the Mets this season, Lackey allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and walked none in 7.0 innings. The Cardinals are the best home team in baseball in 2015, evidenced by a stellar 32-11 (.744) record at Busch Stadium. Play on the Cardinals -1.5 on the run-line as a 10* Top Play.

Cubs (Lester) @ Braves (Banuelos) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Jon Lester is in terrific form over his previous three starts, posting an excellent 1.71 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and just short of an 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cubs are 3-0-1 under the total in the last four, and 14-6-1 under in their previous twenty-one games. They’ve scored 2 runs or less in ten of those last twenty-one.

The Braves youngster Manny Banuelos has been sensational in his first two MLB career starts. He’s compiled a microscopic 0.82 ERA in those outings and each game went under the total. The Braves have gone 16-5 under the total during their last twenty-one games. The home plate umpire for today’s game will be Toby Basner, and he’s gone 10-2-3 under the total in his fifteen games behind the dish in 2015. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.

Indians (Kluber) @ Reds (DeSacalfini) 7:10 PM ET

Play On: Indians -162 (10*)

Corey Kluber has been terrific in his last three starts with a 1.99 ERA and better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s made two career starts versus Cincinnati and was dominant in those outings, posting a superb 1.17 ERA and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Indians are coming off 6-1 and 2-0 losses in their previous two games. Cleveland is a perfect 7-0 on the road this year following two games in a row in which they scored 3 runs or less.

Anthony DeScalfani is in bad form over his last three starts, posting a lofty 4.42 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. In 8 starts at home in 2015 the Reds hurler has a sizable 5.11 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Play on the Cleveland Indians as a 10* money line Top Play.

Rockies (De La Rosa) @ Padres (Shields) 10:10 PM ET

Play On: Rockies +133 (5*)

Jorge De La Ross has been superb in five road starts for the Rockies this season, posting a 1.67 ERA in those outings. He’s also gone 4-0 during his last four team starts with an excellent 1.88 ERA. Colorado enters tonight on a four game winning streak, and has also hit a sizzling .349 as a team during their previous seven. The Rockies will be facing an opponent (Padres) tonight that’s hitting just .238 as a team this year. Colorado is 8-2 on the road in 2015 versus a National League opponent that has a team batting average of .245 or less.

The Padres are anything but a good bet as a money line home favorite this season considering they’ve gone 18-22 at Petco Park. James Shields has been shaky during his previous five starts with a lofty 5.28 ERA. In two starts versus Colorado this season, Shields has a large 6.36 ERA, and allowed 4 home runs in 11 1/3 innings pitched. The Padres are averaging a paltry 2.4 runs per game and hitting a lethargic .214 as a team over their last seven. Play on Colorado as a 5* money line underdog selection.

Mets (Syndergaard) @ Cardinals (Lynn) 8:15 PM ET

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

Noah Syndergaard enters tonight in very good form over his previous three starts, posting an excellent 1.23 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, and compiling a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. All three of those games went under the total. The Mets have gone 5-1 under the total in their last six games. They’re also allowing just 1.6 runs per game in the last seven, and holding opponents to a paltry .171 team batting average during that time. The Mets average just 2.9 runs per game and are hitting only .229 as a team on the road this year.

Lance Lynn has been lights out in eight home starts in 2015, posting a sparkling 1.90 ERA, and went 7-1 under the total. As a matter of fact, in his last three at Busch Stadium, Lynn has a microscopic 0.44 ERA. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection.

Orioles (Jimenez) @ Tigers (Sanchez) 7:05 PM ET

Play On: Baltimore -101 (5*)

Ubaldo Jimenez has been terrific in his last three starts for the Orioles, posting a microscopic 0.45 ERA in those outings.

Annibal Sanchez has a lofty 4.87 ERA in twelve home starts this season. Sanchez has been very prone to giving up the long ball this year, evidenced by the 19 home runs he’s surrendered in 118 2/3 innings pitched. That not good news considering the Orioles have smashed 110 homers already in 2015. The Tigers hurler has allowed six home runs and walked 12 in his last four starts that encompassed 27 2/3 innings. The Tigers are a dismal 6-16 this season at home when they’re +125 to -125 on the money line, and they fall into that parameter today. Play on the Baltimore Orioles as a 5* selection.

Cardinals (Cooney) @ Pirates (Liriano) 8:05 PM ET

Play On: Pirates -1.5 (+145)

St. Louis will send their young southpaw hurler Tim Cooney to the mound today. Cooney has gone 1-2 in his team starts this season with a 3.95 ERA. St. Louis has gone a marvelous 47-21 (.691) when facing right-handed starting pitchers in 2015. However, they’re just 9-11 versus southpaw starters. St. Louis has been good but not dominating on the road this year. They’ve gone 25-21 (.544) in away games, and that’s a far cry from their 31-11 (.738) home record.

The Pirates veteran southpaw Francisco Liriano has been in very good form in recent starts. Especially during his last three when he posted an outstanding 1.80 ERA and the Pirates were 3-0 in those games. Liriano is 7-4 in his career team starts since 2009 against St. Louis, compiling a stellar 2.43 ERA and 0.97 WHIP during those outings. Pittsburgh has gone a respectable 21-19 in away game this season, but has been lights out at home. The Pirates are a stellar 31-16 (.660) at PNC Park in 2015. Pittsburgh got off to a slow 17-23 start to the season, and since then have gone an amazing 35-12 (.745) in their last 47 games. Play the Pirates as a 5* run-line selection.

Padres (Shields) @ Rangers (Lewis) 9:05 PM ET

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

James Shields is 12-5 over the total in seventeen starts this season. He’s posted a lofty 4.85 ERA in ten road starts, and has a similar 4.94 ERA in his last four outings overall. The Padres have gone 37-19 (66.1%) over the total this season, when they’re installed at +125 to -125 on the money line.

Colby Lewis has struggled in his last three starts, posting a large 9.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The Rangers have gone 7-0-1 over the total this season at home when Colby Lewis is their starting pitcher, and those games have averaged a combined 14.0 runs scored per contest. Lewis is also 9-1 over the total this season when the number is 8.5 to 10.0. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.