Twins (Paddack) @ Angels (Soriano) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Twins +103

Twins have won 5 in a row and outscored the opposition by a cumulative 30-14. The Angels have gone 1-7 in their last 8 and averaged a tad over 3 runs per game during that stretch. The Twins bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a solid staff 2.52 ERA/1.16 WHIP. The Angles bullpen has a terrible staff 5.55 ERA at home this season. Give me the Twins as a money line bet.

Mets (Quintana) @ Giants (Winn) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Mets +102

Since starting the season 0-5, the Mets have gone a terrific 12-4. The Mets Jose Quintana is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a stellar 2.81 ERA. The Mets bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.05 ERA/0.87 WHIP and they recorded an impressive 38 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched. Conversely, the Giants bullpen has a lousy 6.29 ERA/1.148 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Mets are 6-2 in night games this season while San Francisco is a dismal 3-9 in that identical role. Give me the Mets on the money line.

Cardinals (Gibson) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 8:10 ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Cardinals -104

Ryne Nelson has made 2 starts for Arizona so far and had a horrible 8.21 ERA/1.83 WHIP while lasting only a combined 7 2/3 innings. That’s even more alarming when you consider the Arizona bullpen has a shaky staff 5.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Nelson has 1 career start versus St. Louis and that took place last season. It was certainly an uninspiring performance as he allowed 5 earned runs, 8 hits, and walked 3 in 6.0 innings. Despite having a subpar 6-8 record. Arizona is a +1.0 run per game differential. However, that’s a bit deceiving when considering they’re 5-2 versus Colorado (4-10) with a +2.0 run per game differential and 1-6 against everyone else.

Kyle Gibson has gone 6-0 in his teams starts on the road since last season when facing teams like Arizona who have a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Gibson has made 4 starts versus the Diamondbacks since 2020 and posted a stellar 2.35 ERA/1.17 WHIP during those outings. The St. Louis bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.33 ERA/1.26 WHIP. Give me the Cardinals on the money line.

Rangers (Dunning) @ Astros (France) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Astros -121

The oddsmakers are begging you to take the defending world champion Texas Rangers as an underdog versus a Houston team that’s started the season 4-10. Additionally, Houston is coming off being swept in a 3-game series at Kansas City  with the last 2 losses coming by embarrassing score of 13-3 and 11-2. Yet here they are as the favorite in this matchup. When it looks to good in sports betting more times than not it is.

Since 2022, Dan Dunning has gone a miserable 8-22 during his road teams starts and an even worse 3-12 if facing a club with a losing record. Sice last season, Dunning is an atrocious 3-18 during his team starts throughout the first 81 games of the season. Texas enters this series having lost 4 of their last 5. Give me the Astros as a money line favorite.

Royals (Wacha) @ Mets (Severino) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Royals +123

The Mets return home after coming off a successful 5-2 road trip. However, they’re just 1-5 at Citi Field this season. Luis Severino has gone an abysmal 2-13 in his team starts since 2022 when the money line was +125 to -125.

Don’t look now but the Kansas City Royals have won 7 in a row and outscored their opponents by a cumulative score of 48-13 while doing so. Michael Wacha has made 3 starts this season and posted a stellar 2.25 ERA/0.58 WHIP. Wacha is 17-7 in his team starts since last season when the money line is +125 to -125. The Royals bullpen has a brilliant 0.77 ERA as a staff throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Royals on the money line.

Orioles (Irvin) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Red Sox -110

Baltimore’s Cole Irvin was shaky in 4 spring starts while posting a 6.23 ERA/1.85 WHIP. He walked an alarmingly high 13 batters in 17.0 innings pitched during those appearances. Those struggles carried ove to his regular season debut and lone 2024 start when he allowed 4 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 2 versus Kansas City. Irvin has made 1 career start at Fenway Park and it came last year when he allowed 6 earned runs on 4 hits during just 4.0 innings pitched.

Kutter Crawford has been excellent in his first 2 starts of the season while posting a 0.84 ERA. The Red Sox bullpen is coming off a bad day in yesterday’s 7-1 loss to Baltimore. However, they still have a terrific staff 1.95 ERA over their previous 7 games.

The Red Sox finished last season with a disappointing 78-84 (.481) record. They finished last season by going a dismal 6-14 over their final 20 games. Any MLB money line favorite of -110 or greater that’s playing in their first 12 games of the season, and they finished the season before with a win percentage of .450 to .550 while losing 14 or more of their last 20 games, resulted in those money line favorites going 38-6 (96.4%) since the 2020 season began. Give me the Red Sox on the money line.

Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:40 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-115)

Since 7/9/2022, Kyle Freeland has made 5 starts versus Arizona and compiled a terrible 8.89 ERA during those outings. That includes a start at Arizona last week in which he allowed a whopping 10 earned runs on 10 hits over just 2 1/3 innings pitched.  The Rockes bullpen has been awful to start the season with a staff 7.28 ERA/1.93 WHIP.

Arizona began the season by taking 3 of 4 at home versus Colorado and outscored them 32-14. Since 2020, Zac Gallen has made 5 starts at Coors Field in Denver and posted a terrific 2.18 ERA/0.73 WHIP. The Arizona bullpen has been solid thus far with a staff 3.55 ERA/1.08 WHIP. Give me Arizona on the run line.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Blue Jays -112

Luis Castillo has been shaky in 2 starts this season with a 6.75 ERA/1.78 WHIP. The Mariners are coming off a 3-game series at Milwaukee in which their bullpen had a miserable 8.67 ERA/2.03 WHIP as a staff.

Toronto will be playing their home opener today after beginning the season on a 10-game road trip. Jose Berrios has been very good in 2 starts with a 2.25 ERA and averaged 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Give me the Blue jays on the money line.

Orioles (Wells) @ Pirates (Falter) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Orioles -133

The Pirates Bailey Falter was terrible in 3 spring starts in addition to a shaky 2024 regular season debut. The Orioles Tyler Wells has 1 career start versus Pittsburgh and that came last season. During that outing, Wells was brilliant while allowing 0 earned runs on 1 hit and striking out 8 over 7.0 innings pitched. The Baltimore bullpen has been rock-solid thus far in 2024 with a staff 2.38 ERA/0.93 WHIP while also amassing better than a strikeout per inning pitched. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Orioles are an excellent 17-2 as a money line road favorite of -125 or greater and they outscored their opponents by an average of 2.7 runs per game. Give me the Orioles as a money line favorite.

Astros @ Rangers 8:05 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Rangers +120

These teams played in the ALCS last season which was won by Texas in 7 games. The real oddity to that series was the road team winning on each occasion. I look for the home team Texas Rangers to put that trend to rest tonight. This will be the Astros first road game of the season and they’re currently a disappointing 2-5. The Houston bullpen has not performed well thus far while posting a staff 6.00 ERA/1.67 WHIP and they allowed 6 homers in just 21.0 innings pitched.

Any American League home team like Texas that’s averaging 5.4 runs or more scored per game, and they allowed 1 run or less in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 30-6 (83.3%) since the start of the 2020 season. The home teams average outscoring those road clubs by an average of 2.7 runs per game. Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Angels (Anderson) @ Marlins (Luzardo) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Over 8.5

Both bullpens have been shaky to start the season and is a major reason for each team being involved in large percentage of high scoring games. The Marlins have witnessed all 5 of their games going over the total with a combined average of 11.8 runs scored per outing. The Angel have played 3-1 to the over thus far with a combined 11.7 runs being scored per game. The Halos smacked 6 homers in those 4 games. The Angels Tyler Anderson has pitched 31-11 (73.8%) to the over in his career road starts when there’s been a total of between 8.5 to 10.0. Anderson has also posted a lofty 5.67 ERA/1.50 in his career regular season appearances during the months of March and April. Give me this game to go over the total. The Angels will be facing Marlin’s lefty Jesus Luzardo. Dating back to last season, the Angeles have played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 on the road when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher with a combined average of 12.6 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go over the total.

Giants (Keaton) @ Dodgers (Paxton) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Over 8.5

San Francisco went over the total in each of their first 4 games of the season and there was a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per outing. During that stretch they averaged 6.2 runs scored per game and hit 6 homers. The Giants starter Keaton made 1 career start versus the Dodgers, and it came last season. He allowed 6 earned run and included 3 homers in just 5 1/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers have scored 5 or more runs in each of their first 6 games and have smacked 10 homers. Give me this game to go over the total.

Yankees (Gil) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Yankees -114

Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson has terrible numbers in his career team starts at home and all appearances during the month of April. Aince the art of last season, Arizona is 10-22 versus American League teams like the Yankees who are allowing an average of 4.4 runs or less per game.

Both teams are off to a great start with the Yankees at 4-0 and Arizona 3-1. However, the Yankees bullpen didn’t allow an earned run in their 4-game sweep at Houston. Yankee starter Luis Gill was sharp in 3 spring training starts with a 2.87 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and struck out 23 batters in 15 2/3 innings pitched. The Yankees allowed 4 runs or fewer in each of their 4 wins at Houston to start the season. Since the start of last season, the Yankees are an extremely profitable 11-2 on the road after allowing 4 runs or less in each of their previous 4 games. Give me the Yankees on the money line.

Reds (Abbott) @ Phillies (Sanchez) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Reds +132

One thing that’s been consistent for the Phillies over the last 2 years as they’ve been an underachieving bunch in the 1st half of the season and terrific during the remainder of both seasons. The Phillies started the season 1-2 and their bullpen has been horrible. Cincinnati has won 2 of their first 3 while averaging 6.7 runs scored per game and hit 6 homers while doing so. Reds starter Andrew Abbott went 9-3 in his team starts as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater last season. Abbot was also 6-0 in his team starts since last season whenever there was a total of 8.5 to 10.0 like it currently is for this matchup. Give me the Reds as a money line underdog.

Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Diamondbacks -105

Nathan Eovaldi has an extremely profitable track record during his career postseason starts. This year has been no different when considering the Rangers are 5-0 this postseason when Eovaldi is their starting pitcher. However, he was uninspiring in the World Series opener when he allowed 5 earned runs during just 4 2/3 innings pitched versus Arizona. The Rangers have some wiggle room in this spot knowing that even if they lose, they’ll have 2 chances at home to capture the franchise’s first ever World Series crown.

Zac Gallen has not been in good form over his last 3 starts. However, 2 of those outings came on the road where he was an ordinary at best pitcher all season. Nonetheless, Gallen is 12-5 during his home team starts this season with a brilliant 2.67 ERA/1.05 WHIP and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ration. Galeen made 1 home start versus Texas this season and allowed just 1 earned run in 6.0 innings and struck out 11 batters while doing so. The Diamondbacks bullpen pitched 8.0 innings last night. Arizona is an extremely profitable 15-4 this season immediately following a game in which they pitched 6.0 or more innings. Give me the Diamondbacks on the money line.

Rangers (Heany) @ Diamondbacks (Mantiply) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 9.0

Texas is coming off yesterday’s 3-1 win which marked the first time they stayed under the total in 9 games. The Rangers will go with Andrew Heany on the mound tonight. Heaney hasn’t been god in 2 starts this postseason while recording a sizable 8.29 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Since 2021, Heaney has pitched 25-10 to the over during his team starts against teams with a winning record. Texas is 30-17 this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher while averaging 6.0 runs scored per game and belting 68 home runs. The Texas bullpen is a bit taxed heading into today after pitching a combined 15.0 innings throughout the first 3 games of this World Series. Arizona will attempt to piece this game together with a bullpen by committee approach. They’ll be facing a potent Texas batting order which has slugged 26 homers in 15 games during this 2023 postseason. This is nothing new when considering the Rangers are averaging 1.46 home runs hit per game this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Rangers (Scherzer) @ Diamondbacks (Pfadt) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 945-946

Play On: Rangers -108

I know Max Scherzer hasn’t been sharp in his 2 postseason starts. However, he’s been a proven clutch performer in past postseasons and will shine tonight. Texas is 8-0 on the road during this postseason and has outscored their opponents by a decisive margin 51-21. Brandon Pfadt has pitched extremely well during his last 3 postseason starts. Nonetheless, during his only starts versus Texas in 2023, Pfadt allowed 7 earned runs on 9 hits which included giving up 4 homers. Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Rangers (Eovaldi) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 941-942

Play On: Rangers -1.5 (+134)

Zac Gallen has been shaky over his last 3 postseason starts as evidenced by a 6.06 ERA/1.53 WHIP and 6 home runs allowed in 16 1/3 innings pitched. The latter home run to innings pitched ratio is especially concerning with Texas having hit 22 homers in 12 postseason games. Furthermore, the Rangers are averaging an enormous average of 1.79 homers hit per game at home this season.

Nathan Eovaldi is an extremely profitable 10-1 during his career team starts in October. That includes 4-0 this year with a brilliant 2.42 ERA/0.96 WHIP and an average of 6.5 inning pitched per start. Texas reached the World series with a convincing 11-4 win in a deciding Game 7 at Houston. The Rangers are 21-6 this season following a game in which they scored 10 runs or more and outscored those 27 opponents by an average of 2.7 runs per outing. Give me the Rangers as a run-line favorite.

Rangers (Scherzer) @ Astros (Javier) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 933-934

Play On: Over 9.0

Max Scherzer has a reputation as a clutch postseason pitcher. However, I’m not showing him that type of respect at this stage of career and specifically today. Scherzer’s has made 2 starts versus Houston since 9/6 and had a terrible 12.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP in those outings. Houston’s Christian Javier has made 2 starts versus Texas in 2023 with an awful 9.00 ERA. The last 5 games of this ALCS have played 4-0-1 to the over. There’s been an extremely high percentage of bets and money placed on the under. I’m going with a contrarian approach. Give me this game to go over the total.

Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Rangers +105

Houston continued its season long trend of being a fantastic road team by sweeping the 3 games in Texas and put themselves 1 win away from reaching another World Series. However, the Astros are just 40-45 at home this season and that includes going 3-10 in the last 13. Framber Valdez is scheduled to be on the mound for Houston tonight and he’s recently being in terrible form. During his last 4 starts, Valdez posted an awful 9.92 ERA/2.14 WHIP and averaged just 4.1 innings pitched per outing.

It was a huge disappointment for Texas to lose all 3 at home after winning the first 2 of this NLCS at Houston. However, they can take solace in knowing that they’re a perfect 6-0 on the road this postseason. Additionally, Nathan Eovaldi get the start in Game 6 and he’s been in terrific form over 3 postseason starts while going 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA/0.86 WHIP.  As a matter of fact, Eovaldi is 13-2 in his career postseason team starts and opponents averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per outing during those 15 games. Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Phillies (Sanchez) @ Diamondbacks (Mantiply) 8:07 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 9.5

Chris Sanchez has a sparkling 2.16 ERA/0.92 WHIP this season in 5 road starts. The Phillies bullpen has a magnificent 1.63 ERA during postseason play. The Phillies have generated most of their run production in the playoffs via the long ball while belting 17 home runs in 9 games. However, the Diamondbacks will be attacking the Phillies tonight with a bullpen by committee approach. Arizona relief pitchers have allowed 0 home runs in 29.0 innings pitched during postseason play. Give me this game to go under the total.

Astros (Verlander) @ Rangers (Montgomery) 5:07 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Under 9.0

Justin Verlander has established himself as one of the best starting pitchers in postseason baseball over the past 2 decades. There’s no reason to think that will change tonight. Verlander has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts with a 1.05 ERA/0.93 WHIP. During his last 4 road starts Verlander recorded a sparkling 0.72 ERA. Verlander has made 2 starts versus Texas this season with a 1.98 ERA/0.95 WHIP in 13 2/3 innings pitched. The Astros bullpen has a terrific staff 1.47 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Jordan Montgomery has been magnificent for Texas down the stretch. During his last 7 starts the Texas lefty has a brilliant 1.22 ERA. During his 2 starts versus Houston this season Montgomery had a superb 0.69 ERA. The Rangers bullpen had a tough day yesterday, but they’ve been very good during a majority of postseason action. Give me this game to go under the total.

Astros (Urquidy) @ Rangers (Heaney) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Astros -102

The Astros came away with an 8-5-win last night to cut their series deficit to 2-1. Despite that result, they still can ill afford to lose tonight and fall behind 3-1 with another game to be played in Texas on Friday. The good news for Astros backers is their team is a terrific 54-30 on the road this season. That includes 7-1 in games played in Arlington.  They’ll be facing Rangers lefty starter Andrew Heaney tonight. During his last 2 starts versus Houston this season Heaney recorded a lofty 5.58 ERA/1.65 WHIP. Give me the Astros on the money line.

Phillies (Suarez) @ Diamondbacks (Pfadt) 5:07 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Under 9.0

The first 2 games of this NLCS have gone over the total. However, it was more the result of the Phillies home run hitting prowess against Arizona starting pitching and each total closing at 7.5 than anything else. Arizona had a combined 3 runs scored and 8 hits through the first 2 games. Philadelphia pitcher Ranger Suarez made 1 start at Arizona this season and tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Suarez posted a 1.04 ERA/0.58 WHIP during 2 postseason starts this year. The Phillies bullpen has a brilliant staff 1.09 ERA this postseason.

Arizona has played 44-31-7 to the under this season at home. Their bullpen has a respectable 3.51 ERA during the postseason while allowing 0 home runs in 25 2/3 innings pitched. Brandon Pfadt pitched 4 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball in the NLDS clinching home win versus the Dodgers. Pfadt has pitched 13-3 to the under this season when there was a total of 8.5 to 10.0. Arizona is coming off a 10-0 loss in Game 2 on Tuesday night. The Diamondbacks have played 14-5 to the under at home this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher like Ranger Suarez is.

Astros (Javier) @ Rangers (Scherzer) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 9.0

Houston hitters have an abysmal .165 team batting average throughout their previous 3 games. However, the Astros have played 7-0 to the over this season following a 3-game stretch in which they had a team batting average of .200 or worse and there was a combined 13.8 runs scored per game. The Astros are a stellar 53-30 on the road this season and hit an eye-catching 136 home runs while doing so. As a matter of fact, Houston has belted 13 home runs in 6 postseason games thus far. Houston starter Christian Javier has a lofty 4.82 ERA 17 starts on the road this season and those games played 12-5 to the over. During his only start at Texas this year, Javier allowed 8 earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings pitched.

Max Scherzer has proven to be a tremendous postseason pitcher throughout his career. However, this will be his first start in over a month after being sidelined with an injury. Additionally, Scherzer’s lone start versus Houston this season came at home on 9/6 and he allowed 7 earned runs in only 3.0 innings pitched while also surrendering 3 homers. Texas has averaged 5.6 runs per game while going 7-0 in postseason action. The Rangers are also 6.0 runs scored per game at home in 2023 while smacking 146 homers in 82 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Phillies (Nola) 8:07 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5

The 2 scheduled starting pitchers have been in recent excellent form. Merrill Kelly has a 1.44 ERA/0.96 WHIP and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing over his last 4 starts. Aaron Nola has a 1.44 ERA/0.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts and averaged 6.4 innings pitched per appearance. Each of these bullpens have been lights during this postseason. Philadelphia relievers have a combined 1.25 ERA/1.20 WHIP and the Diamondbacks bullpen has a staff 1.54 ERA/1.11 WHIP.  The Arizona bullpen is 4-4 on their save opportunities and Philadelphia is 4-5 this postseason. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Eovaldi) @ Astros (Valdez) 4:37 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rangers +110

Houston is a very good 53-30 during away games this season. However, at home they’ve gone an inexplicable 40-44 which includes 3-9 in their last 12. The Astros slated starter Framber Valdez has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts with a 9.22 ERA/1.97 WHIP. During his lone postseason start which came at home versus Minnesota, Valdez allowed 5 earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings pitched.

Nathan Eovaldi is an extremely underrated postseason pitcher. He has a career 12-2 postseason team start record in which opponents averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per game.  This postseason has been no different, Eovaldi has made 2 starts this October with a fabulous 1.32 ERA/0.81 WHIP in 13 2/3 innings pitched. During 9 day game starts this season, Eovaldi has an outstanding 2.92 ERA/1.11 WHIP. The Texas bullpen has been very good during this postseason with a staff 1.86 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Rangers enter today having gone 6-0 this postseason with 5 of those games taking place on the road. Make it 7-0! Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Braves (Strider) @ Phillies (Suarez) 8:07 PM ET

Game# 943-944

Play On: Under 8.5

Since 7/25/2022, Ranger Suarez has made 6 starts against Atlanta and posted an excellent 0.90 ERA during those outings. Yes, he only averaged 5.0 innings pitched per outing. However, this is a superb Phillies bullpen that just over the last 7 games alone has compiled a 1.29 ERA/0.86 WHIP. The Braves have averaged only 2.3 runs per game, possess a team batting average of .196, and a team on-base percentage of .250 during the first 3 games of this NLDS. On a positive note for Atlanta, Spence Strider will make the start tonight. Strider has made 5 starts against Philadelphia this season with an exceptional 2.18 ERA/0.85 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Elder) @ Phillies (Nola) 5:07 PM ET

Game# 931-932

Play On: Phillies -118

Bryce Elder was just named the Braves starting pitcher this morning. Elder enters the postseason in shaky form based on his last 3 starts which saw him record a 7.80 ERA/1.87 WHIP. One of those appearances came against Philadelphia when he allowed 4 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Elder also hasn’t been sharp over his last 5 road starts while compiling a 6.49 ERA/1.71 WHIP during those outings.

Since 9/23/2022, Aaron Nola made 3 home starts versus Atlanta and held them scoreless over 18.0 innings pitched. Nola has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts overall with a 1.31 ERA/0.71 WHIP while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Phillies bullpen did blow a save in Game 2. However, despite that mishap they have a terrific staff 1.46 ERA/0.73 WHIP throughout the previous 7 games. Give me the Phillies on the money line.

Orioles (Kremer) @ Rangers (Eovaldi) 8:03 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Orioles +125

Nathan Eovaldi was arguably a Top 5 MLB starting pitcher during the first half of this season and was mentioned as an early American League Cy Young Award candidate. However, his performance lines have tapered off considerably since. That certainly has reared its ugly head over his last 4 home starts with Eovaldi recording a terrible 7.90 ERA/1.90 WHIP during those outings and n4 home runs allowed through just 13 2/3 innings pitched.

The Orioles had a storybook 2023 regular season which saw them win 101 games and capture an American League East Division title. Nevertheless, after losing the first 2 games of this ALDS at home, Baltimore finds themselves on the brink of elimination. The Orioles schedule starting pitcher Dean Kremer has far from dominating numbers this season. Yet, Baltimore is 24-8 in his 32 starts and that includes 15-2 when facing teams like Texas that possess a winning record. Baltimore keeps their season alive with a win in Game 3. Give me the Orioles as a money line underdog.

Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Dodgers (Miller) 9:07 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Dodgers -146

Zac Gallen was awful in his only 2 starts at Dodger Stadium this season while recording a 9.90 ERA/2.10 WHIP and he surrendered an alarming 4 homers in just 10.0 innings pitched. Arizona is 3-0 in the 2023 postseason and allowed 3 runs or fewer in each game. However, they’re a dismal 2-11 this season after allowing 4 runs or fewer in each of their previous 3 games.

The Dodgers are coming off an embarrassing 11-2 loss in Game 1 of this National League Divisional Series. However, the Dodgers have gone a dominating 17-3 this season following a game in which they allowed 9 runs or more. Los Angles is also 25-5 this season immediately following a loss by 4 runs or more. The Dodger’s Bobby Miller has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 1.96 ERA/1.15 WHIP. Give me the Dodgers as a money line favorite.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Braves (Fried) 6:07 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 8.0

Zack Wheeler has made 2 starts at Atlanta this season and was magnificent in both while posting a 0.64 ERA during 14.0 innings pitched. Wheeler has also been in top form during his last 4 starts overall with a 2.28 ERA/1.01 WHIO and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Phillies bullpen has been excellent and especially so over their previous 7 games when they compiled a staff 1.29 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Phillies have allowed a grand total of 2 runs in their 3 postseason games. Atanta’s Max Fried has also been in superb form over his last 4 starts while recording a 1.88 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 9:20 PM ET

Game# 9:07-908

Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

Merry Kelly has made 2 starts at Dodger Stadium this season and posted an awful 7.26 WHIP/2.54 WHIP. Quite frankly, with a WHIP of 2.54 in those outings Kelly was extremely lucky to come out of those starts with just 7.27 ERA.

Clayton Kershaw has made 2 home starts versus Arizona this year and posted a superb 1.64 ERA/0.91 WHIP while also recording just shy of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. As a matter of fact, Kershaw is 8-2 in his home team starts this season with a brilliant 1.58 ERA/0.84 WHIP. Since 2021, the Dodgers have gone an extremely profitable 21-5 at home versus Arizona. The Dodgers are a very impressive 53-28 at home and 74-39 when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Give me the Dodgers as a run-line favorite.

Phillies (Suarez) @ Braves (Strider) 6:07 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Under 8.5

Spencer Strider is 4-0 during his team starts against Philadelphia this season with an excellent 2.42 ERA/0.81 WHIP while striking out 38 batters in 26.0 innings pitched. Since 7/25/2022, Ranger Suarez has made 5 starts versus Atlanta and compiled a terrific 1.03 ERA during those outings. This will be the 7th postseason start for Suarez since last year and opponents averaged a mere 2.7 runs scored per game in the previous 6. The Phillies bullpen staff has been lights out of late while recording a 1.33 ERA/0.85 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marlins (Garrett) @ Phillies 8:08 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Marlins +137

Aaron Nola has made 3 starts versus Miamin and wasn’t very good while doing so as evidenced by a 6.75 ERA/1.50 WHIP during those outings. Nola has been extremely shaky throughout his last 4 starts versus teams with a winning record while recording a a large 7.65 ERA/1.60 WHIP.

Miami dropped Game 1 of the series last night 4-1. Nevertheless, the Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 following a loss in their previous game. The Marlins Braxton Garrett has gone 10-5 in his road team starts this season with a stellar 2.85 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Marlins lefty has also exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP and 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me the Marlins as a money line underdog.

Diamondbacks (Gallen) @ Brewers (Peralta) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 7.5

Zac Gallen has made 2 starts versus Milwaukee this year and was brilliant in both outing while allowing just 1 earned run on 5 its and walked 2 in 14.0 innings. The Arizona bullpen has been extremely good of late while posting a staff 1.31 ERA/0.76 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Diamondbacks scored 6 runs last night which was mostly due to them smacking 3 home runs in the first 4 innings. However, we must keep into perspective, this is the same Arizona team that closed out their regular season schedule by scoring a combined 6 runs in their last 5 games and only averaged 4.0 hits per game throughout that stretch.

Freddy Peralta has been lights out in his last 5 home starts while recording an excellent 1.48 ERA/0.46 WHIP during that stretch. The Brewers bullpen has a solid staff 2.25 ERA/1.16 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Milwaukee squandered opportunity after opportunity last night while scoring only 2 runs despite pounding out 12 hits and left 11 men on base. That won’t get nearly the opportunities to score tonight than they had last night against Arizona’s ace. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marlins (Luzardo) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 945-946

Play On: Marlins +133

Jesus Luzardo is the lesser know of these 2 starting pitchers but has more than held his own this season. As a matter of fact, Miami is 6-1 versus fellow NL East teams this season when Luzardo was their starting pitcher and the young lefthander’s stellar 2.38 ERA/1.15 WIP during those outings was a major contributor to that success. During his last 4 starts versus teams not named Milwaukee, Luzardo has compiled a brilliant 0.75 ERA/0.71 versus some pretty good hitting teams like the Rays, Dodgers, Braves, and Padres. Miami has been in postseason mode for quite a while now as they’ve been batting for a Wild Card spot, they finally clinched on the nest to last day of regular season action. The Marlins have also held their own this season versus the defending National League champion Phillies by going 7-6 during those head-to-head meetings which includes 4-2 at Philadelphia. Give me the Marlins on the money line.

Diamondbacks (Pfadt) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 949-950

Play On: Over 7.5

Despite Arizona being anemic offensively over the final week of regular season action this total moved from an opening number of 7.5 to 8.0. Some of that mover may be due to the slated Arizona starting pitcher Brandon Pfadt. During regular season play Pfadt made 18 starts and posted a lofty 5.70 ERA while surrendering 19 home runs in 90 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks have played 7-0-1 to the over in their last 8 on the road this season immediately following an off day and there was a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game.

Former National League Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes has once again had a very good season. However, his ERA was much better on the road than at home where 9 of his 14 starts went over the total and he posted an ordinary 4.27 ERA during those outings. During his lone start at home versus Arizona this year, Burnes allowed an alarmingly high 7 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Milwaukee has played 12-4 to the over at home versus NL West teams this season and there was a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ Twins ( Lopez) 4:38 PM ET

Game# 947-948

Play On: Blue Jays +103

Pablo Lopez has been shaky over his last 3 starts with a 6.46 ERA. During his only start versus Toronto this year which came at home, Lopez went an uninspiring 5 2/3 innings and allowed 4 earned runs on 5 hits including 2 surrendering 2 homers and walking 2. The total in this game is currently 7.0. Minnesota is a solid 47-34 at home this season but just 9-18 when there’s a total of 7.0 or 7.5. The indicator being when they face a quality starting pitcher at home, they don’t fare well at all.  This is a Twins franchise that has struggled in the postseason during the past 25 years while going a miserable 6-27 in those high-profile games.

Kevin Gausman has been very good in 3 of his last 4 starts. During that stretch the veteran Blue Jays hurler posted a stellar 1.75 ERA/1.01 WHIP. The Blue Jays have gone a solid 46-35 on the road this season and 39-27 during day games. Give me the Blue Jays on the money line.

Rangers (Montgomery) @ Mariners (Gilbert) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Rangers +100

For starters, Texas has gone 8-1 this season versus Seattle. Seattle’s Logan Gilbert has been shaky over his last 4 starts with a 5.09 ERA/1.44 WHIP and Seattle was 0-3 in those games. The Mariners are a dismal 6-18 this season when facing starting pitchers like Jordan Montgomery that possess a 3.70 ERA or better. Seattle is also a money-draining 8-23 in 2023 when facing teams like Texas that have a +1.0 or greater run per game differential. Seattle enters today feeling the pressure of losing 5 of their last 6 and in jeopardy of missing the postseason as a result.

Texas is on the doorstep of winning the AL West and with a win at the very least will clinch a postseason berth. The Rangers scheduled starter Jordan Montgomery has been brilliant over his last 3 starts while compiling a 0.43 ERA and he went 7.0 innings on each occasion. The Rangers bullpen has a solid 2.84 ERA over their last 7 games.  Montgomery faced Seattle once this season and pitched 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. The Rangers enter today having won 8 of their last 9. Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Cubs (Stroman) @ Braves (Smith-Shawver) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Over 9.5

Marcus Stroman has been brutal over his last 4 starts while posting a 13.85 ERA/2.77 WHIP and averaging just 3.3 innings pitched per outing. The Cubs bullpen has struggled of late with a staff 5.67 ERA/1.59 WHIP and they allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 27.0 innings. That’s surely concerning when facing the best home run hitting team in baseball the Atlanta Braves who’ve belted 303 home runs this season. The Cubs have gone over the total in 8 of their last 11 games.

A.J. Smith-Shawver has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a large 7.07 ERA/1.50 WHIP while also allowing 7 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Atlanta has gone over the total in 18 of their last 22 games. They’ve also played 12-1 to the over on Thursdays this season and 24-6 over when facing NL Central Division teams. The Braves have also seen their last 4 versus the Cubs all go over the total and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Red Sox (Sale) @ Orioles (Kremer) 6:35 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Orioles -125

Chris Sale is still a very good starting pitcher but certainly not the dominant force he once was. As a matter of fact, during his 3 starts versus Baltimore this season Salle had an awful 13.50 ERA/2.25 WHIP and gave up 5 homers in 12.0 innings pitched.  The Red Sox are only averaging 3.0 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 outings. The Red Sox are an abysmal 7-21 in their last 28 games and that includes a current 4-game losing streak.

Conversely, Baltimore has won 4 in a row and is on the cusp of clinching the AL East title. Additionally, Baltimore is 36-17 this season when facing left-handed starting pitcher like Chris Sale. I’m not crazy about Orioles starter Dean Kremer, but Baltimore is 15-3 at home this season when’s he’s their starting pitcher. Give me the Orioles on the money line.

Yankees (Cole) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 7.0

Gerrit Cole is 6-0 in his last 6 team starts with a dominating 1.59 ERA/0.78 WHIP while recording a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Cole has made 3 starts against Toronto this season with a brilliant 0.46 ERA. New York has averaged just 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings.

Jose Berrios has been in very good form throughout his previous 4 starts while posting a 2.80 ERA/0.93 WHIP and just shy of a 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Toronto has played 40-2-2 to the under at home this season with Berrios as their starting pitcher and his stellar 3.11 ERA/1.15 in those outings was a key contributor to the low scoring games. The Blue Jays bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.84 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Give me this game to go under the total.

Cubs (Steele) @ Braves (Elder) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Over 9.5

Justin Steele has enjoyed a terrific season for the Cubs. However, he's struggled mightily over his last 2 starts while allowing 12 earned runs over 9.0 innings pitched. Steele made 1 uninspiring start versus Atlanta this season in which he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched. He was fortunate to give up only 3 earned runs in that outing when considering he allowed 8 hits and walked 4. The Cubs have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game throughout their last 7. Additionally, the Cubs have scored 6 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games.

Atlanta has played 20-11 to the over this season when facing left-handed starting pitchers like Justin Steele and belted 58 homers during those 31 games. Atlanta has also played 16-4 to the over in their last 20 games heading into today.  Atlanta's Bryce Elder has made 1 starts versus the Cubs in 2023 and allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 3 over only 4 1/3 innings pitched. Elder hasn't been good at all in his last 2 starts while allowing 8 earned runs on 12 hits which included 3 homers and walked 3 batters in 8 2/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.

Padres (Snell) @ Giants (Webb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Under 7.0

Both starting pitchers have been in terrific form in recent starts. Blake Snell has a dominating 0.56 ERA over his last 5 starts. Snell has made 5 starts versus San Francisco since last season and had an excellent 0.61 ERA during those outings while striking out 46 in 29 2/3 innings pitched. Logan Webb has strung together 5 quality starts in a row and in his last 3 has a terrific 1.80 ERA/0.95 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per start. Webb has made 3 starts versus San Diego this year and recorded a 0.83 ERA/0.74 WHIP with all 3 games staying under. Give me this game to go under the total.

Mariners (Miller) @ Rangers (Dunning) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Rangers -120

Bryce Miller has made 1 start versus Texas this season and allowed 7 earned runs on 8 hits while walking 2 in just 2 1/3 innings pitched. Seattle has gone a dismal 8-20 this season when facing teams like Texas that have a +1.0 or greater run per game differential on the season.

Texas is 5-1 versus Seattle this season and that includes 3-0 when playing at home. Texas is coming off a 15-5 blowout win over Boston in their previous game. The Rangers are an extremely profitable 19-6 this season immediately following a game in which they scored 10 runs or more, and they outscored their opponents by a decisive margin of 2.5 runs per game. Dane Dunning has a stellar 1.19 WHIP in 9 home starts this season while averaging a healthy 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Dunning was rock-solid in his lone start versus Seattle this season while allowing just 2 earned runs over 6.0 innings of work. Give me the Rangers on the money line.

Giants (Harrison) @ Dodgers (Sheehan) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+115)

The Giants Kyle Harrison has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a 7.36 ERA/1.57 WHIP and allowed an alarming 6 home runs during just 14 2/3 innings pitch. That recent home rate allowed by Harrison is especially noteworthy considering the fact he’ll be facing one of the top power hitting teams in baseball tonight. Furthermore, the Giants bullpen has been terrible over their last 7 games while posting a staff 6.14 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Lastly, the Giants have gone an abysmal 5-25 in their last 30 away games.

The Dodgers are coming off a 4-2 home loss to Detroit last night that halted a 5-game win streak. However, Los Angeles is 4-0 in their last 4 immediately following a loss and outscored their opponents by a wide margin 34-7 or 6.7 runs per game. Additionally, since 2021, the Dodgers are 46-11 at home with a +2.8 run per game differential immediately following an outing in which they scored 2 runs or less. Emmet Sheehan is scheduled to start for the Dodgers, and he has a stellar 2.92 ERA/0.97 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. The Los Angeles bullpen has been lights out over their last 7 games while recording an excellent staff 1.24 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Give me the Dodgers as a run-line favorite.

Pirates (Oviedo) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Over 8.5

Th wind will be blowing in from rightfield at 10 MPH at Wrigley Field tonight. That’s always something to assess when playing a total in that ballpark. Nevertheless, it’s been much worse than that on many occasions this year and     this total is extremely reasonable with all things considered. The Pirates Johan Oviedo has made 4 career starts at Wrigley and with a lofty 6.52 ERA/1.91 WHIP. Oviedo also has a horrible 2.35 WHIP during his last 3 starts while walking 12 batters in only 12 1/3 innings pitched. The Pirates bullpen has a dismal 6.75 ERA over their last 7 games, and they’ve surrendered 7 homers in 34 2/3 innings pitched. Pittsburgh has played 17-5 to the over this season when facing a National League team averaging 5.0 or more runs scored per game.

The Cubs are coming off yesterday’s 13-7 home loss to Pittsburgh in a game their bullpen allowed 7 earned runs in 6.0 innings. The Cubs played 9-0 to the over this year immediately following a game in which their bullpen allowed 5 earned runs or more. Kyle Hendricks has an uninspiring 4.96 ERA/1.41 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The Cubs are averaging 5.7 runs per game throughout their last 7 and with an outstanding .350 team on-base-percentage.

Giants (Webb) @ Diamondbacks (Kelly) 3:40 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Under 7.5

Merrill Kelly has pitched 12-1 to the under in his 13 home starts this season with a stellar 3.04 ERA/1.04 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Kelly has made 3 home starts against San Francisco and compiled a brilliant 1.69 ERA/0.61 WHIP and averaged 7.1 innings pitched per outing.  The Diamondbacks bullpen has been very good over their last 7 games while posting a staff 2.25 ERA/1.19 WHIP.

Logan Webb has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.74 ERA/0.68 WHIP and averaging 6.9 innings pitched per outing. Webb has pitched 10-3 to the under during his starts in day games this season and with a 2.41 ERA/1.00 WHIP.  Webb has made 3 starts versus Arizona this year and had a splendid 2.57 ERA/0.86 WHIP.

Rockies (Feltner) @ Padres (Snell) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Padres -1.5 (-135)

Ryan Feltner will be making his first start since 5/13. During his last 3 starts Feltner compiled a terrible 8.71 ERA/2.42 WHIP and averaged just 3.4 innings pitched per appearance. Colorado is an abysmal 22-54 on the road this season which includes 2-16 in their last 18 away. Adding more to that road futility is the fact that Colorado is 3-33 as a road money line underdog of +200 or greater this season and they were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game. One more final note, the Rockies are 2-22 on the road this season versus teams like San Diego who are at a +0.5 or greater run per game differential.

The Padres are currently riding a 5-game win streak in which they outscored their opponents by an average of 4.8 runs scored per outing and all 5 of those wins came by 2 runs or more. Throughout their previous 7 games, the Padres have averaged 7.6 runs scored per game and belted 14 home runs. The Padres are scheduled to have their ace Blake Snell take the mound this evening. During his last 4 starts Snell has recorded a brilliant 0.72 ERA and the Padres won all 4 of those by 3 runs or more. Give me the Padres as a run-line favorite.

Orioles (Gibson) @ Astros (Brown) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Over 9.0

Kyle Gibson has been erratic over his last 3 road starts while posting a large 8.82 ERA/1.90 WHIP and all 3 games went over the total. During his last 6 starts overall, Gibson has a lofty 1.50 WHIP and allowed 9 homers in 35 1/3 innings pitched. The Usually reliable Orioles bullpen has been shaky over their last 7 games with a 5.18 ERA, and they allowed 6 home runs in just 24 1/3 innings pitched. Baltimore has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 away games.

Hunter Brown has been awful over his last 4 home starts while collecting a 8.44 ERA/1.81 WHIP. The Houston bullpen has an uninspiring staff 5.49 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 4 homers over only 19 2/3 innings of work throughout their previous 7 games. Houston has played 27-14 to the over this season versus teams like Baltimore who possess a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Give me this game to go over the total.

Angels (Sandoval) @ Rays (Bradley) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Over 8.0

The Angles Patrick Sandoval has been in bad form over his last 3 starts with a 9.22 ERA/2.12 WHIP. The Angels have played 16-6 to the over this year as a money line underdog of +150 or greater and there was a combined average of 11.0 runs scored per game. The Rays Taj Bradley has seen 3 of his last 4 starts go over the total and had a sizable 6.52 ERA/1.55 WHIP during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Phillies (Wheeler) @ Braves (Wright) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Phillies -109

The Braves are coming off being swept in a 3-game weekend series at Miami in which they were outscored by a combined 36-13. Wright started at Philadelphia a week ago Monday and allowed 6 earned runs in just 3.0 innings pitched. The Atlanta bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 10.21 ERA/1.90 WHIP. The Atlanta scheduled starting pitcher Kyle Wright has been in terrible form over his last 6 starts while posting a 7.48 ERA/1.89 WHIP.

Since the start of last season, Zack Wheeler has made 4 starts at Atlanta and compiled a very good 1.95 ERA/1.80 WHIP in those outings. The Phillies bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.28 ERA/1.27 WHIP. Give me the Phillies on the money line.

Rays (Civale) @ Orioles (Bradish) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Orioles -130

Baltimore suffered their 2nd straight loss yesterday when they fell to St. Louis 1-0. However, the Orioles are 6-1 this season after being held scoreless in their previous game, and 7-0 during their last 7 immediately following 2 consecutive losses. Additionally, the Orioles haven’t lost 3 straight games since 7/1 and are 12-1 on Thursdays in 2023. Kyle Bradish is 7-0 during his last 7 team starts with an impressive 2.38 ERA/0.96 WHIP. He went 6.0 innings or more in 6 of those 7 outings and allowed 2 earned runs or fewer on each occasion. Baltimore will be facing the Rays starter Aaron Civale today. Civale has been a shade shaky over his last 4 starts while posting a lofty 5.13 ERA. Give me the Orioles on the money line.

Padres (Snell) @ Dodgers (Pepiot) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Under 8.5

The Dodgers Ryan Pepiot has been superb in his 2 starts this season while allowing 0 earned runs, allowing 3 hits, and walking just 1 during 12.0 innings pitched. The Dodgers bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.22 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Blake Snell has amassed 6 consecutive quality starts. During his last 3, Snell has a brilliant 0.95 ERA while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. During his 2 starts at Dodger Stadium since the start of last season, Snell posted a very good 2.45 ERA. It’s worth noting, the Padres have played 16-1 (94%) to the under this season in their games played on Wednesdays.

Reds (Williamson) @ Tigers (Wentz) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Reds -112

The Tigers starting pitcher Joey Wentz is 5-12 during his team starts this season with a poor 7.17 ERA/1.74 WHIP and allowed 17 homers in 75 1/3 innings of work. That’s a major concern for the Tigers since Cincinnati has belted 14 home runs and has a terrific .355 team on-base-percentage during their previous 7 games. Detroit is coming off wins in each of their last 2 games while defeating the White Sox 3-2 and 3-1. However, the Tigers are an abysmal 0-7 at home this season immediately following 2 straight games in which they allowed 3 runs or less and were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per outing.

Brandon Williamson has been excellent over his last 3 road starts while compiling a 2.04 ERA/0.96 WHIP. Williamson has also been in very good form over his last 5 starts overall with a 2.70 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Reds didn’t play yesterday and that’s significant. Cincinnati is 7-1 on the road this season immediately following an off day. The Reds are also 9-1 in their last 10 on the road versus teams with a losing record. Give me the Reds as a money line pick.

Mariners @ Rays 6:40 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Over 8.0

Seattle won the opener of this 4-game series last night 1-0. That game produced just a combined 9 hits. Despite that anemic offensive result, today’s total opened at 7.5 and quickly moved to 8.0 and for good reason.

Seattle starter George Kirby has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts while posting a 6.38 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 4 home runs in 18 1/3 innings pitched. The Mariners bullpen has a lofty 5.09 ERA/1.57 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle is averaging a sizable 1.38 homers per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers.

The Rays starter Taj Bradley has shown bad form over his last 7 starts while compiling a 7.72 ERA/1.75 WHIP. Bradley struggled in his lone start versus Seattle this season when he allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has averaged a robust 1.42 homers hit per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Additionally, Tampa has played 40-23 (63.5%) to the over this season immediately following each of their previous 2 games going under the total. Give me this game to go over the total.

Phillies (Lorenzen) @ Padres (Avila) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Over 9.0

The Phillies Michael Lorenzen has struggled over his last 3 starts with a 7.80 ERA/2.00 WHIP and he allowed 5 home runs in 15.0 innings pitched. The Phillies have been dynamic offensively over their last 7 games while averaging 7.0 runs scored per outing and smashing 20 home runs. Philadelphia played 6-1 to the over in those previous 7 games with a combined average of 13.3 runs scored per outing.  The Phillies bullpen has been shaky during that previously mentioned 7-game stretch while gathering a 4.68 ERA/1.52 WHIP as a staff.

The Padres are averaging 5.0 runs scored per game and hit 10 homers during their previous 7 games. During that identical time frame, the Padres also have an impressive .292 team batting average and .358 on-base-percentage. The Padres Pedro Avila has seen all 3 of his starts this season go over the total and his 5.56 ERA/2.03 WHIP was a major contributing factor to those high scoring affairs. San Diego has seen all 5 of their games in 2023 versus Philadelphia go over the total and there was a combined average of 12.6 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Giants (Walker) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 10.5

The Giants will approach today’s game from a standing standpoint as a bullpen by committee. The Giants bullpen has a superb 1.64 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Giants are 0-4 and in their last 3 they scored just a combined 1 run and collected only 11 hits. As a matter of fact, they were held scoreless in each of their last 2 games. Additionally, the Giants have played 8-0 to the under this season immediately following 4 or more losses in a row and there was a combined average of only 4.8 runs scored per game. The Giants have played 43-24 (64%) to the under this season versus teams like the Cubs who have a winning record.

Since 2018, Kyle Hendricks has made 6 dominating starts versus San Francisco with a 1.05 ERA/0.75 WHIP. Hendricks has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.50 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Cubs have played 7-1 to the under throughout their previous 8 games.  Kyle Hendricks has pitched 44-22 (67%) to the under during his career home starts versus teams like the Giants who own a winning record. Give me this game to go under the total.

White Sox (Cease) @ Royals (Singer) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Royals -120

Dylan Cease has been in awful form over his last 3 starts while posting a 10.80 ERA/2.20 WHIP. Cease made 1 start versus the Royals this season and allowed 7 earned runs in 5.0 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has a terrible 6.90 ERA/1.77 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The White Sox have averaged a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 7, went 1-6 with a huge -4.8 run per game differential, and are 37-63 this year when facing right-handed starting pitchers.

The Royals have been red-hot offensively over their last 4 while averaging 8.3 runs scored and 13.0 hits per game. Brady Singer is 5-0 during his last 5 home team starts while compiling an excellent 2.29 ERA/0.74 WHIP and averaging 7.1 innings pitched per start. Give me the Royals on the money line.

Yankees (King) @ Astros (Javier) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Over 8.5

Houston has played 12-4 to the over in their last 16 games. The Astros are also averaging 8.3 runs scored per game, have a .333 team batting average, amassed a .399 team on-base-percentage, and hit 13 homers over their last 7 games. The Astros are coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss to the Yankees. Houston has played 14-3 to the over this season immediately following a 1-run loss and there were a combined 12.2 runs scored per game. Christian Javier gets the start today and he’s been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 7.24 ERA/2.12 WHIP. The Yankees have hit 17 homers over their last 7 games and that includes 5 during the first 2 games of this series. Christian Javier has allowed at least 1 home in each of his last 6 starts. Javier also allowed 2 homers in just 4 2/3 innings pitched in his only start versus the Yankees this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Orioles (Bradish) @ Diamondbacks (Cecconi) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Orioles -126

The D-Backs Slade Cecconi has pitched well in 4 starts. However, he’s averaged only 4.8 innings pitched per outing and that’s significant because Arizona’s bullpen has a large 6.57 ERA/1.54 WHIP over their last 7 games. Arizona is 1-11 this season after scoring 4 runs or fewer in each of their previous 4 games.

Baltimore has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 this season as a road favorite of -125 or greater. Kyle Bradish has been in superb form over his last 3 starts with a 2.00 ERA/0.89 WHIP and just shy of an 8:1 strikeout to walk ration during 18.0 innings pitched. The Orioles bullpen has a stellar 3.00 ERA/1.10 WHIP and allowed 0 home runs in 21.0 innings pitched during their previous 7 games. Finally, Baltimore is an outstanding 41-24 on the road in 2023. Give me the Orioles on the money line.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Mets (Peterson) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Mariners -134

The Mets are an abysmal 13-38 this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150 just like they currently are. David Peters has an uninspiring 1.58 WHIP over his last 4 starts. Couple that with a Mets bullpen 1.56 WHIP over their last 7 and their relivers 19 walks in 24 1/3 innings pitched and it’s a recipe for losing. Furthermore, the Mets are averaging a paltry 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings.

Despite coming off last night’s loss, Seattle is on impressive winning runs of 13-3 the last 16 overall, 26-8 the last 34 overall, and 16-4 in their previous 20 away games. The veteran right-hander Luis Castillo has been in very good form over his last 4 starts while posting a 2.00 ERA/0.78 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a terrific 2.91 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Mariners on the money line.

Cubs (Assad) @ Reds (Abbott) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Under 9.5

Javier Assad has a brilliant 1.86 ERA/0.88 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. The Cubs have gone under in 5 straight and there only a combined average of 5.4 runs scored per game.

The Reds have gone under in 6 straight with a combined average of 6.2 runs scored per game. Andrew Abbott has seen all 7 of his home starts go under the total while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.95 WHIP.

Both bullpens have been solid of late. The slated home plate umpire is Laz Diaz and games have played 12-5 to the under this season when he’s behind the plate. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Strider) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.5

Spencer Strider has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts while recording an 0.43 ERA/0.62 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Strider made 1 start this year and 1 last versus the Dodgers with a 1.50 ERA/1.08 WHIP while striking out 18 in 12.0 innings pitched. The Atlanta bullpen has been very good over their previous 7 games while posting a staff 2.79 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Braves have allowed a mere 2.7 runs scored per game over the last 7 outings.

Lance Lynn has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an impressive 2.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per appearance. The Dodgers bullpen has been stellar during their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 2.25 ERA/1.06 WHIP and had just shy of a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Woodruff) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 2:20 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Under 7.0

Brandon Woodruff is 5-1 in his team starts this season with a superb 2.65 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a terrific 2.10 ERA/1.01 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has played 19-7 to the under on the road this season when facing a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing National League starting pitchers like Kyle Hendricks who have a WHIP of 1.25 or better.

The Cubs have now seen 4 of their 5 games at Wrigley Field versus Milwaukee go under the total. Kyle Hendricks has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 3.00 ERA/1.22 WHIP and averaged 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The Chicago bullpen has a very good 2.49 ERA/0.97 WHIP as a staff during their previous 7 games. Both team’s pitching staffs will benefit today from wins of 18 MPH that are blowing in. Give me this game to go under the total.

Reds (Williamson) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET

Game#957-958

Play On: Reds +148

The Giants Alex Cobb has been in poor form over his last 4 starts with a 7.53 ERA/1.67 WHIP. He’s made 1 start versus the Reds this season and it wasn’t a good one. During that appearance, Cobb allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits while walking 4 in just 4 1/3 innings pitched. The Giants bullpen has a lofty staff 5.80 ERA and allowed 8 homers during their previous 7 games.

The Reds are coming off 2 straight losses including a 4-1 defeat last night at San Francisco. However, hasn’t lost 3 in a row since 8/6 and is 4-0 in their last 4 following 2 consecutive losses. The reds Brandon Williams has been in very good form over his last 4 starts while recording a 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP and averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Cincinnati is a respectable 37-31 on the road this season and made $100 per game bettors a net profit of $1,640. Give me the Reds as a money line underdog.

Rays (Civale) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Under 7.5

Aaron Civale of the Rays has pitched brilliantly during 9 road starts this season while recording a 1.86 ERA/1.12 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Civale has posted an impressive 2.59 ERA/1.10 WHIP during 17 starts overall this season. The Rays bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.64 ERA/1.05 WHIP.

Sandy Alcantara has been dominant over his last 3 home starts with a 0.76 ERA/0.72 WHIP while averaging 7.9 innings pitched per start. Speaking of being dominant, Alcantara was in his lone start versus Tampa Bay this year when he pitched a complete game and allowed only 1 earned run. The Marlins have been anemic offensively of late. Throughout their last 8 outings they’ve averaged a mere 1.9 runs scored per game and tallied 2 runs or fewer on 6 of those occasions. Miami’s bullpen pitched 8.0 innings during a 2-1 win over Washington in their previous game. The Marlins have played 7-0 to the under this season following a game in which their bullpen pitched 6.0 innings or more, and there was a combined average of only 4.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total.

Brewers (Miley) @ Cubs (Taillon) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Brewers +110

Jameson Taillon has a horrible 8.59 ERA over his last 3 starts while averaging only 4.9 innings pitched per outing. Taillon is 4-8 during his team starts at home this season with a 6.00 ERA. The Cubs veteran right-hander has made 1 start this year and 1 last season versus Milwaukee with a terrible 7.00 ERA/1.56 WHIP.

The Brewers have won 8 straight and averaged 7.3 runs scored per game during that win streak. Wade Miley has exhibited good form over his last 5 starts with a 2.77 ERA/1.23 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been outstanding during their current win streak. Milwaukee is 17-11 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150 and $100 per game bettors made a net profit of $960. The Brewers are only 18-20 versus lefty starting pitchers but an extremely profitable 55-37 versus right-handers in 2023. Give me the Brewers as a money line underdog.

White Sox (Kopech) @ Orioles (Rodriguez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Orioles -1.5 (-117)

Michael Kopech has an awful 7.16 ERA/1.84 WHIP over his last 6 starts. Kopech has allowed an alarmingly high 28 homers during 120.0 innings pitched this season. That’s genuine cause for concern considering he’ll be facing an Orioles team which has belted 12 home runs during their previous 7 games. The White Sox are coming off home wins over the lowly Oakland A’s on Saturday and Sunday. However, they haven’t put together a 3-game win streak since 8/6 and did so just once since 6/8. The White Sox bullpen has an unappealing 5.90 ERA over their previous 7 games and that includes allowing 6 homers in 29.0 innings pitched.

After a rough start to the season, Baltimore’s young right-hander Grayson Rodriguez is coming into his own as of late. Rodriguez has a stellar 2.61 ERA/1.00 WHIP over his last 5 starts and averaged a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent over their last 7 games with a staff 2.21 ERA/0.64 WHIP and a 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Baltimore is 25-6 this season as a money line favorite of -150 or greater and they averaged 6.0 runs scored per game. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite.

Angels (Giolito) @ Phillies (Walker) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Phillies -128

Lucas Giolito is 4-10 during his away team starts this season with a lofty 6.14 ERA/1.62 WHIP and allowed a noteworthy 18 homers in just 73 1/3 innings pitched. That shapes up to be problematic for Giolito considering he’ll be facing a Phillies team that’s averaged 6.4 runs scored per game, hit .309 as a team, recorded a team on-base-percentage of .366, and smacked 15 homers throughout their previous 7 outings. Making matters even worse, the Angels bullpen has a dismal 6.62 ERA/1.79 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games while also allowing an eye-catching 7 homers in 34.0 innings of work.

Since the start of last season, Tijuan Walkers is 17-3 during his home team starts in games such as this one that have a total of 9.0 or 9.5. Walker is 10-3 in his home team starts this season with a very good 3.26 ERA/1.19 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has performed well over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.45 ERA/1.09 WHIP. Give me the Phillies as a money line favorite.

Padres (Wacha) @ Brewers (Houser) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 9.0

Michael Wacha has been in terrific form over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.06 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Wacha has also been superb in form day game starts this season with a 1.12 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has been very good over the past week. However, their offense has been silent and they were hitting just .182 as a team and averaged 3.1 runs scored per outing over their last 7 games heading into the weekend.

The Brewers Adrian Houser is a perfect 6-0 during his team starts in day games with a shiny 3.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Houser has made 3 home starts versus the Padres since 2019 and posted a brilliant 1.80 ERA/0.87 WHIP in those appearances. The Milwaukee bullpen has been extremely good of late. The Brewers have played 26-11 to the under this year whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Scherzer) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Over 7.5

There’s something going on with Twins starter Joe Ryan who has been awful in recent starts. During his previous 5 starts, Ryan has compiled a sizable 9.00 ERA/1.83 WHIP and allowed an alarming 11 home runs in just 23.0 innings pitched. The Twins bullpen has been shaky over their previous 7 games while recording a staff 4.98 ERA/1.85 WHIP and they walked 17 batters in 21 2/3 innings pitched. Throughout their previous 7 games, Minnesota is averaging 5.7 runs scored per game and belted 13 homers.

Some of you may be scratching your head when seeing this pick, and consequently feeling uncomfortable betting a game over with Max Scherzer as one of the starting pitchers. However, as much as Scherzer has been dominant in his home starts this season that’s not been the case on the road. Scherzer has pitched 8-4-1 over on the road this season with a lofty 4.79 ERA. The most concerning part of Scherzer’s road starts is that he’s allowed 20 homers in 73.3 innings pitched. Couple that with the fact that he’ll be facing a Twins team which averages 1.48 homers hit per game at home and identically 1.48 hit per outing during 97 games versus right-handed starting pitchers, and he points toward a perfect storm. Furthermore, the Rangers bullpen has been brutal over the last 7 games while posting a 8.69 ERA/1.66 WHIP as a staff and they gave up 7 homers in 29.0 innings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Padres (Darvish) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 957958

Play On: Brewers -110

The Padres are coming off a 4-0 home win over Miami. San Diego is 1-6 during in their last 7 following a win in their previous game. The Padres have averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings with an anemic .176 team batting average. Yu Darvish is 0-2 in his last 2 starts with a 6.00 ERA/1.58 WHIP.

Milwaukee enters today riding a 5-game win streak and they scored 6 runs or more in all those games. Brandon Woodruff is 4-1 in his team starts this season with a 2.89 ERA/0.86 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a very good 2.35 ERA/1.13 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Brewers on the money line.

Red Sox (Sale) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Houston -105

Since 2016, Chris Sale is 1-4 during his team starts at Houston with a sizable 6.07 ERA and he allowed 6 home runs in 26 2/3 innings pitched. The Red Sox bullpen has a terrible 6.75 ERA/1.65 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games, and they allowed an eye-popping 8 homers in just 26 2/3 innings of work. Boston will be playing their 9th of a 10-game in 10-day road trip. The Red Sox are a dismal 6-18 this season following 5 or more away games in a row.

Jose Urquidy as struggled mightily at times this season. However, he’s 2-0 in his career home starts versus Boston with a 0.69 ERA/0.46 WHIP and both outings took place since 2021. The Astros bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.83 ERA/1.12 WHIP and a 34:7 strikeout to walk ratio. The Astros have averaged 6.1 runs scored per game, compiled a .285 team batting average, and smacked 13 homers over their previous 7 games. Additionally, since the start of last season, Houston is 67-27 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Chris Sale is, and that included 24-14 in 2023. Give me the Astros on the money line.

Rangers (Gray) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Diamondbacks -118

The 1st place Texas Rangers hit a wall of late and lost 5 in a row. During this current losing streak, they’ve averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game and 5.6 hits per game. The Rangers bullpen has compiled a lousy staff 6.66 ERA over their last 7 games.

Arizona has gone 6-1 in their last 7 and 8-2 in their last 10 which has catapulted them back into the National League Wild Card race. Zac Gallen has gone 10-2 during his home team starts this season with an excellent 1.82 ERA/0.90 WHIP while averaging 6.6 inning pitched per outing. Give me the Diamondbacks on the money line.

Reds (Ashcraft) @ Angels (Giolito) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Reds +135

The Angels pitching has been horrific of late. The Halos have allowed 7 runs or more in their last 3 and 6 of the previous 7 games. Lucas Giolito is the slated starting pitcher for the Angels, and he’s been in bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a 9.19 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has a miserable 8.16 ERA/1.92 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Despite being 3-4 in their last 7, the Angels are a -4.2 run per game differential over that course of time. 

Graham Ashcraft of the Reds has exhibited very good form over his last 4 starts with a 2.25 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Reds bullpen has an excellent staff 1.42 ERA/0.79 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cincinnati is 33-21 this season versus teams like the Angels who have a losing record. Give me the Reds on the money line as my MLB Underdog Game of the Month. 

Red Sox (Houck) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Over 8.5

The Red Sox have hit home runs and averaged 5.7 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. Boston has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 12.2 runs scored per game. Boston’s Tanner Houck has an uninspiring 5.26 ERA over his last 4 starts while also allowing 4 homers in 19.0 innings pitched. The Red Sox bullpen has a staff 6.35 ERA in their last 7 games and allowed an alarmingly high 8 homers in 28 1/3 innings of work. Boston has played 34-18 to the over this season when facing American League teams like Houston who allow 4.4 runs or less per game.

Justin Verland hasn’t been sharp in his last 2 starts while posting a 5.73 ERA/1.55 WHIP. The Astros have belted 12 homers over their previous 7 games. Houston has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and that includes 9-4 home win versus Boston. Last night’s game could have been much higher scoring than it already was but for the fact that the teams had a combined 24 men left on base. Give this game to go over the total.

Mariners (Woo) @ White Sox (Clevinger) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 8.5

Mike Clevinger has pitched very well for the White Sox this season. However, he made 2 starts versus the Mariners last season and recorded a large 8.18 ERA/1.55 WHIP and allowed 4 homers in 11.0 innings pitched. Chicago has gone over the total in 4 straight and with a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game.

During their current 7-game win streak, Seattle has averaged 7.9 runs scored per game, hit a sizzling hot .337 as a team, and smacked 17 homers. The Mariners have also cracked 90 homers in 63 road games in 2023 and that equated to an average of 1.43 home runs hit per game. Seattle has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 with a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Cubs (Smyly) @ Tigers (Olsen) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Over 9.0

Drew Smyly has pitched 6-0 to the over his last 6 starts and with a massive 10.33 ERA/1.93 WHIP while allowing 10 home runs during just 27.0 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has a lofty 5.01 ERA/1.46 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Detroit’s Reese Olsen has a sizable 5.61 ERA this season in 11 starts. Olsen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 5.27 ERA/1.61 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has a terrible staff 6.47 ERA/1.65 WHIP during their previous 7 games. Detroit has played 19-7 to the over in home night games this season. Since the start of last season, the Tigers have played 11-2 to the over at home when facing a starting pitcher like Drew Smyly that allowed an average of 1 or more home runs per start, and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Orioles (Bradish) @ A’s (Sears) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Orioles -1.5 (-115)

Oakland is an abysmal 9-41 during day games this season and was outscored by a substantial average of 3.2 runs per game. Oakland’s slated left-handed starter J.P. Sears has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 5.79 ERA/2.07 WHIP. He’s very lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher during that span considering that extremely high 2.07 WHIP. Especially when considering that Sears has given up a whopping 26 home runs in 130 2/3 innings pitched this season. The same can be said for the Oakland bullpen that has a staff 5.96 ERA/2.06 WHIP over their previous 7 games.

Kyle Bradish has been in good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/1.08 WHIP throughout his previous 3 starts.  Bradish is an extremely profitable 7-1 his day game team starts this season while posting a sparkling 2.28 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has registered a very good 2.33 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Orioles are also 29-14 this season versus lefthanded starting pitchers and 40-24 in road games. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Dodgers (Gonsolin) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Dodgers -132

Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant over his last 4 starts. However, during that time he tossed 2 complete games and logged 32.0 innings pitched. That’s an extremely heavy workload by modern MLB standards. Furthermore, Alcantara has been horrible during 3 career starts at Dodgers Stadium while compiling a massive 18.00 ERA/3.00 WHIP. He lasted only a combined 10.0 innings in those 3 outings. Miami hasn’t been the same team since returning from the all-star break. As a matter of fact, the Marlins are an abysmal 3-14 during their previous 17 away games.

The Dodgers remain sizzling hot after winning 1-0 at home over Milwaukee last night which extended their current win streak to 11 games. Additionally, they’ve gone a terrific 15 -1 in their last 16 games and that includes 10-0 at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonsolin was very good in 13 night-game starts this season with a 2.73 ERA/0.97 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has been magnificent of late while posting a 0.41 ERA over their last 7 games. Give me the Dodgers as a money line favorite.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+145)

Corbin Burnes is widely recognized as one of the best National League starting pitchers. However, Burnes has made 4 career starts versus the Dodgers and recoded a horrible 10.34 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those appearances.

The Dodgers have won 4 in a row versus the Brewers this season and outscored them by a immense margin of 27-6 while doing so. Los Angeles has won 10 consecutive games going into to today and won 8 of those by 2 runs or more. They’re also 14-1 in their last 15 and includes a perfect 9-0 at Dodger Stadium. Lance Lynn has been rejuvenated since coming over to the Dodgers at the trade deadline. During his last 3 starts, Lynn has an impressive 2.00 ERA/0.94 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing and compiled an excellent 22:4 strikeout to walk ratio. The Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding over their last 7 games while compiling an excellent staff 0.39 ERA/0.34 WHIP. The Dodgers are 19-3 this season after allowing 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 3 outings and with a huge +3.8 run per game differential. Give me the Dodgers as a run-line favorite.

Guardians (Allen) @ Reds (Ashcraft) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Reds -111

The Guardians lefthanded starting pitcher Logan Allen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts while posting a lofty 1.53 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a poor 5.40 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Cleveland is 1-5 this season when they’re between -100 to -150 and facing a team like Cincinnati that didn’t play the day before. Cleveland is coming off a 9-2 win at Tampa on Sunday. However, they’re 0-5 in their last 5 immediately following a win in their previous game.

Graham Ashcraft has exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts while recording a 1.71 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Furthermore, Ashcraft has been superb over his last 5 starts at home with a 2.14 ERA/0.89 WHIP. Cincinnati is coming off a 6-5 win at Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Reds are 5-1 this season following a day off and a win in their previous game. During those exact 6 situations, they averaged 7.0 runs scored and 1.67 home runs hit per game. The Reds bullpen has a solid 3.59 ERA/1.21 WHIP at home in 2023. Lastly, Cincinnati is 12-4 at home this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher like Logan Allen while averaging 6.2 runs scored per game. Give me the Reds on the money line.

Orioles (Rodriguez) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Under 8.5

Yu Darvish has produced 5 quality starts over his last 6 outings. He’s been especially good during his last 4 starts while posting a brilliant 0.95 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen has struggled on the road but has been solid at home while with a staff 3.31 ERA/1.22 WHIP. San Diego has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games.

The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has endured his fair share of struggles this season. However, throughout his previous 3 starts he’s exhibited very good form while collecting a 2.50 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has been consistently good all season. The Orioles are coming off a weekend series at Seattle in which they took 2 of 3 despite scoring just a combined 5 runs during the first 9.0 innings of play in each game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Dunning) @ Giants (Webb) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Giants -132

This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a red-hot Texas Rangers team that’s won 10 of their last 11 versus a San Francisco Giants club that lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7, and it’s the latter who comes up as a sizable favorite. They’re begging us to bet Texas but we’re not taking the bait. The Giants Brandon Webb has been superb during 11 home starts this season while recording a 2.58 ERA/0.99 WHIP and averaged 7.0 pitched per outing. Since 2021, Webb is 26-12 during his team starts versus team with a winning record. Additionally, the Giants are 15-6 this season versus teams like Texas who own a win percentage of between .540 and .620.

Since the start of last season, Dane Dunning is a dismal 5-17 during his road team starts. Dunning has a lofty 5.40 ERA/1.50 WHIP during his last 3 road starts in which Texas went 1-2. Give me the Giants on the money line.

Tigers (Rodriguez) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 12:05 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Tigers +118

Kutter Crawford is 1-5 in his home team starts this season with a terrible 8.87 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Heading into this weekend the Boston bullpen had a lofty 6.50 ERA/1.72 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Red Sox are coming off a 6-2 home loss to Detroit on Saturday and the continue to struggle offensively. Boston has scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 16 games. The Tigers are a more than respectable 10-6 over their previous 16 away games. Give me the Tigers as a money line underdog.

The Tigers Eduardo Rodriguez has been solid all season long with a 2.75 ERA/1.05 WHIP in 19 starts while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Rodriguez has an even better 2.15 ERA/0.89 WHIP during 10-day-game starts. Heading into the weekend, the Tigers had a bullpen 2.16 ERA/1.20 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

A’s (Medina) @ Nationals (Irvin) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Nationals -131

Luis Medina is 0-5 during his road team starts this season with a terrible 8.34 ERA/1.99 WHIP. The Oakland bullpen has a miserable 6.28 ERA/1.66 WHIP on the road. The A’s have scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 10 games which includes 2 or fewer in each of their previous 3. Oakland is an abysmal 3-24 this season when scoring 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 outings they were outscored by a decisive average margin of 3.7 runs per game.

Washington is a more than respectable 13-8 during their previous 21 games. Furthermore, the Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 at home. Conversely, Oakland is 2-11 in their last 13 on the road. Although I’m not crazy about their starting pitcher Jake Irvin, the Nationals bullpen has a stellar 2.63 ERA/0.99 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Nationals as a money line favorite.

Angels (Detmers) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Astros -1.5 (+127)

The Angels Ross Detmers has exhibited terrible form over his last 5 starts with an 8.61 ERA/1.70 WHIP. Detmers has a sizable 6.55 ERA during his 2 starts versus Houston this season. The Angels bullpen has an uninspiring 5.68 ERA/1.78 WHIP over their last 7 games.

Justin Verlander has been superb over his last 4 starts while compiling a 1.37 ERA/0.95 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has an impressive 1.71 ERA as a staff during their previous 7 games. Houston is coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss at Baltimore. However, the Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-1 during their previous 10 games immediately following a loss. Give me the Astros as a run-line favorite.

Cardinals (Liberatore) @ Rays (Littel) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Rays -1.5 (+108)

The Cardinals are coming off a win at Tampa yesterday to even this current series at 1-1. However, St. Louis has gone a dismal 0-6 throughout their previous 6 games immediately following a loss. Furthermore, during those 6 defeats they scored 3 runs or fewer on each occasion and averaged 2.0 runs scored per game. Mathew Liberatore is the slated starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he’s compiled a horrible 10.45 ERA/2.13 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Additionally, Liberatore has a massive 11.48 ERA/2.10 WHIP during 4 road starts in 2023.

Zack Little has pitched very well in 5 starts for Tampa Bay with a 2.45 ERA/1.20 WHIP. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. Tampa is 15-6 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Liberatore and with a +2.3 run per games differential. They also average 1.57 home runs per game when facing those left-handed starting pitchers. Even more impressive is the fact they’re 9-2 at home versus southpaw starters with a decisive +2.7 run per game differential. Give me the Rays as a run-line favorite.

Royals (Lyles) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Over 10.5

Jordan Lyles has seen each of his previous 3 starts go over the total and his 7.47 ERA/1.53 WHIP during those outing were major contributing factors to those high scoring affairs. Lyle has surrendered an alarmingly high 23 home runs in 118 1/3 innings pitched this season. Lyles has made 5 starts versus Boston since last season and had a miserable 8.10 ERA during those appearances. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.87 ERA, and they allowed 5 home runs in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Kansas City has scored 7 runs or more in 7 of their last 11 games. The Royals have gone over in 5 of their last 6 and 9 of their previous 12 games.

Boston’s Nick Pivetta has displayed terrible form over his last 7 starts while recording a sizable 7.23 ERA and he allowed 9 homers during 37 1/3 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Kansas with all coming since 2021, and he compiled an awful 6.98 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those outings. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal throughout their previous 7 games while posing a staff 9.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP and they allowed 7 home runs during 34.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total.

Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Guardians (Bibee) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 8.0

The Blue Jays Yusei Kikuchi has a brilliant 1.04 ERA over his last 3 starts and all those games went under the total. Kikuchi has a career 1.80 ERA/0.90 WHIP in 3 starts against Cleveland while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Blues Jays have played 14-4-1 (77.8%) to the under in their last 19 games.

Cleveland’s Tanner Bibbee has displayed terrific form over his last 7 starts while recording a 1.96 ERA/1.16 WHIP. Bibee has also pitched 7-1 to the under at home this season with a 1.96 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 with a staff 2.70 ERA/1.11 WHIP. Cleveland has played 36-19-1 (65.5%) under at home this season. Cleveland has averaged a pathetic 2.4 runs scored per game and it a mere 2 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Braves (Chirinos) vs. Pirates (Keller) 7:05 ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 10.0

Mitch Keller is 0-3 in his career team starts versus Atlanta with a massive 10.03 ERA/2.57 WHIP. Keller has been in horrible form over his last 4 starts while recording a 9.97 ERA/1.98 WHIP. The Pirates have played 33-21-1 (61.1%) to the over at home this season and that includes 26-12 (68.4%) over as a money line underdog of +100 or greater.. The Pirates have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and 6-1 over during their previous 7 games when the total was 8.0 or greater.

The Braves have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and belted 14 home runs over their previous 7 outings. The Braves Yonny Chirinos is unequivocally the weak link in their starting pitching rotation. Chirinos has a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Astros (Valdez) @ Orioles (Rodriguez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Orioles +113

Yes, I am fading a starting pitcher in Framber Valdez who tossed a no-hitter in his last outing. My personal experience when witnessing an ample sample size of no-hitters over the past 2 decades is that pitchers coming off those monumental feats are more often than not nowhere near as sharp in their next start. Besides, during his previous 3 starts prior to the no-hitter, Valdez had a large 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a deceivingly low ERA throughout their last 7 games. During that span, Astros relievers have an uninspiring 1.65 WHIP while walking 18 batters in just 20.0 innings pitched. Houston is coming off a 9-7 win at Yankee Stadium on Sunday in a game they belted 4 homers. The Astros are 5-15 since the start of last year immediately following a game in which they hit 4 or more home runs.

The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has a superb 0.44 ERA over their previous 7 games. Baltimore is 27-12 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Framber Valdez while averaging 6.1 runs scored per game, compiling a .315 team batting average, and an excellent .382 on-base-percentage. The Orioles enter this series having won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 games. Give me the Orioles on the money line.

Yankees (Cole) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+100)

The White Sox will be facing one of the Top 5 dominant pitchers in MLB tonight. If that’s not tough enough, they’ve averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. The White Sox slated starter Dylan Cease has been horrible in his last 2 starts while allowing 11 earned runs, 11 hits, and walked 5 batters in just 7 1/3 innings pitched. Cease is 0-3 in his career teams starts versus the Yankees and with a massive 9.54 ERA and each of those outings transpired since 2021.

Gerrit Cole has been extremely good in a high percentage of his starts this season. Cole has displayed superb form over his last 4 starts with a 1.71 ERA/0.68 WHIP while striking out 34 batters and wlaked just 4. Since the start of last season, the Yankees are 15-0 versus AL Central Division teams like Chicago when Gerrit Cole is their starter. Give me the Yankees on the run-line.

Guardians (Smith) @ Blue Jays (Ryu) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Blue Jays -124

The Guardians are 2.7 in their last 9 while averaging a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game. Gavin Williams is the slated starter for Cleveland, and he’s displayed poor form over his last 5 starts with a 1.65 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a staff 1.62 WHIP over their last 7 games which leaves much to be desired.

The Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 on the road. That includes coming off a 3-game sweep over Boston this past weekend in which they averaged 8.3 runs and 14.7 hits per game. Hyun-Jin Ryu makes his second sart of the season after returning from a 13-month stint on the disabled list. I expect him to be much better than in his season debut last week. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays on the money line.

Mets (Quintana) @ Orioles (Bradish) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+116)

The Mets have now lost 5 straight and were outscored by a combined 39-14. He Mets bullpen has a horrible 6.92 ERA/1.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-12 versus lefthanded starting pitchers this season and outscored their opponents by an average of 1.5 runs per game. The Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish has been terrific in 8 starts at Camden Yards this season 2.39 ERA/0.92 WHIP while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent over their last 7 games while collecting a staff 0.43 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.  Baltimore is 26-12 in 2023 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Jose Quintana. The Orioles are 6-1 in their 7 while scoring 6 or more runs on 5 of those occasions. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite.

Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-108)

The Royals are 1-9 on the road this season when Zack Greinke is their starting pitcher. During those 10 away starts, Greinke posted a 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Royals had their season long 7-game win streak snapped in yesterday’s 9-6 loss at Philadelphia.

The Phillies Taijuan Walker has been terrific at home this season while going 8-2 in his team starts with a 2.80 ERA/1.10 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Walker has gone 25-5 during his team starts when facing teams with a losing record. The Phillies bullpen has been very good at home this season while recording a staff 2.88 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Give me the Phillies as a run-line favorite.

Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Over 9.5 (+100)

Zack Greinke has posted a large 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched during 10 road starts this season. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP, and they allowed 5 homers in just 22 1/3 innings pitched. On a positive note, the Royals have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .307 team batting average and .354 on-base-percentage over their last 7 outings. Furthermore, the Royals have gone over the total in 7 straight games and 11 of their last 12 when the total was 9.5 or greater.

The Phillies have gone over the total in 4 straight games when the total was 9.5 or greater and there were a combined 12.5 runs scored per game.

The first 2 games of this series have produced a combined 8 homers and 27 runs scored. The scheduled home plate umpire today is Jeff Nelson and teams have played 13-6-1 to the over this season when Nelson was calling balls and strikes and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mets (Megill) @ Orioles (Gibson) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+105)

The Mets have lost their last 4 while being outscored by a cumulative 30-11. New York has also dropped 7 of their last 8 road games. Tylor Megill has a a horrible 7.99 ERA/2.23 WHIP during 8 road starts this season. The Mets bullpen has an undesirable 6.57 ERA/1.62 WHP throughout their previous 7 games. New York is coming off a 10-3 loss last night at Camden Yards. They’ve gone 1-9 on the road this season after allowing 9 runs or more in their previous outing and were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

Kyle Gibson exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been stellar over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.13 ERA/1.03 WHIP. During that identical stretch, Baltimore averaged 6.6 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .369 on-base percentage.  Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the run-line.