Miami OH/Kent State 2:30: Since their opening day loss at Miami Florida, Miami OH has won and covered three straight, including impressive win at Cincinnati. The Redhawks have lots of returning production from last year's bowl eligible team. They've been a solid defense over the last few years under HC Martin and usually dominate inferior teams. Kent State, their conference rival, is an inferior team. The Flashes were gutted with transfers, coaches and graduating players. They're dead last in the NCAA FBS in returning production from last year. And so far, they're playing like it. Set aside FCS lightweight Central Connecticut University, and the Flashes have scored a meager 22 combined points against FBS opponents. Miami-OH should choke them out defensively; at the same time, the Red Hawks have some offensive prowess with QB Brett Gabbert (9/3 TD/INT) and a run game generated last week (466 yards with multiple backs). Kent State defense not much better than FCS punching bag Delaware State. Miami Ohio also has solid special teams which could come into play. Lay the wood with the traveling Redhawks.  

Clemson/Syracuse Noon: Syracuse turning in a good season with some good returning talent from last year's team. Garrett Shrader is a pretty good QB who fuels off the Syracuse strong run game. Unfortunately, Clemson boasts a Top Ten run stop unit that allows 2.7 YPC. It's one thing for Syracuse to move the football on Colgate, Western Michigan, Purdue and Army; however, Clemson defense, unlike the aforementioned, in the top tier. Offensively, Clemson made a few critical errors to cost them the game last week vs #5 Florida State. One being QB Klubnik - pre-snap and snap unaware of free rush blitzer off edge, clearly changed momentum and cost them the game; consequently, that will be addressed in the film room/practice for the talented but inexperienced QB. All things considered, Clemson offense is starting to gel under Clemson first year OC Riley. Surrounding talent is there with run game (Shipley), wideouts, and offensive line. Technically, Clemson an amazing 13-0 ATS as a road favorite of more than 6 points vs an opponent with revenge off a SU/ATS win. Clemson the call. 

Florida/Kentucky Noon: Florida coach Napier at his best when a dog of 4' or less at 10-1 ATS. His boys are looking to avenge last year's 26-16 loss at the Swamp. Both teams equipped with Top 25 defenses but the Gators are a bit more experienced and talented offensively. Veteran signal caller Mertz has a solid supporting cast, including Pearsall and RB Etienne. We'll look for the Gators to get er done. 

Utah/Oregon State 9:00: Utes a dynamic team on both sides of the ball under Whittingham. They're coming off a win vs UCLA but still no Cameron Rising (ACL). Rising was questionable last week before UCLA and is taking snaps with the first unit but still no "thumbs up" from his orthopedic surgeon. That leaves versatile QB Nate Johnson at the helm again. The good news is Johnson is secure with the football (no INTs), the bad news is only 2 TD passes in 3 games. Beavers' secondary was toasted by Washington State last week, but don't believe the Utes can take advantage of that with Johnson. Fortunately, the Utes have a Top 10 defense that flips field position often. Tonight, however, Utes may need a more dynamic offense to trade points with the potent Beavers. Beavers possess a strong running game (6.3 YPC) to help out QB Uiagalelei, who's putting up some big numbers. And he's comfortable, like his teammates, on this field where they've won 11 straight. Throw in 42-26 revenge from last year's drubbing in Utah, and we'll side with Oregon State. 

Louisville/NC State 7:00: NC State winning games but not covering. Despite the talent, they continue to underachieve under HC Doeren.  QB Armstrong not the guy he was at Virginia as the offense is stuck in neutral; consequently, it's having an effect on their defense. The Wolfpack no longer has a Top 25 defense. Louisville is potent offensively under Brohm. He did some great things with Western Kentucky and Purdue, and now - Louisville. Plummer starting to see the field better as the Cardinals are heating up. Cardinals a sweet 9-0 ATS as favorites vs an opponent off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Cardinals the call. 

Lions/Packers 8:15: I respect the Lions and Coach Campbell; after all, they're on an 11-2 ATS tear since November 6th of last year (Beat GB at home 15-9 as 4-point dog). As a matter of fact, a majority of those wins came as a dog. Due to their success, lines-makers are now lining Detroit as a favorite. They're just 2-2 SU/ATS in their last 4 favorite roles, including 0-1 SU/ATS as a road favorite (37-23 at Carolina 10/08/22). Sure, they've now beaten the Packers three straight times but now go into that road favorite role. Paying a premium for the Lions against a vengeful Packers team on a short week is a concern; moreover, the secondary issues are glaring. Ever since veteran FS C.J. Gardner-Johnson landed on the IR, Kerby Joseph (hip) and rookie Brian Branch are cast into that role. Packers' QB Love will most likely have deep threat speedster Watson (probable) back in action for the first time this year. And the run game gets a boost with RB Aaron Jones (probable). Defensively, Packers' DC Joe Barry using his personnel well. Gary and Clark are menaces on quarterbacks. And Detroit is banged up along the offensive line which is hurting their run game this year (24th in league). We'll stay at home with the Packers. 

Eagles/Bucs 7:15: Eagles winning but noticeable flaws on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Hurts hasn't been the same under new OC Brian Johnson. Run game is cooking with DeAndre Swift as the now go-to RB but the pass game is 27th in the league. TB has a strong run-stop-unit again this year (#3) allowing just 54 YPG. And the Bucs collected 8 sacks, 19 QB hits and 5 takeaways. Defensively for Philadelphia, their secondary is a concern. Marred by injuries, Eagles' were toasted Mac Jones (NE) for 306 yards and then Kurt Cousins dropped 346 on them. They're 31st in the league defending the pass under new DC De Sai. Mayfield has some quality targets in Godwin, Evans and rookie Palmer. TB at times, will line up Evans in the slot to isolate nickel corners. Eagles' slot corner - Maddox (injured last week vs Minnesota) went on IR. Eagles now going to practice squad secondary players. Bucs should stay in this game. Bowles a sweet 6-1 ATS as a home dog; moreover, TB 8-1 ATS as a MNF home dog. TB the call. 

Saints/Packers 1:00: Packers catching Saints on a short prep week. Saints feeling really good at 2-0. Offense, however, has looked choppy in both games. They really miss RB Kamara. Saints' defense has been stellar though. Today, however, they won't have starting C Adebo (hamstring) and starting S Maye (suspension). And those are big losses. Packers' QB Love possesses the best QB rating in the league at 118.8 with 6 TD passes and no INTs. Run game could get a boost with Aaron Jones (questionable) back. Packers' LaFleur are 5-1 SU/ATS vs undefeated foes and 9-1 ATS before the Lions. Saints are a money burning 1-7 ATS as a road dog of 3 or less off a SU win vs a .500 or greater opponent off a SU loss. Packers the call. 

Colts/Ravens 1:00: Ravens out of the gate strong and QB Jackson continues to be a winner. And Harbaugh is once again facing injury woes. Key secondary players Williams and Humphrey out. Look for very capable QB Minshew to find his rhythm with a number of quality targets, including Pittman Jr., Pierce, Downs and TE Granson. And RB Zack Moss is no Jonathan Taylor, but he's a solid performing back. And defensively, Colts have some dudes, including linemen Paye, Buckner, WLB Shaq Leonard, and a decent secondary. Ravens have two key linemen out which should open the door for a Colts' cover here. 

Titans/Browns 1:00: Really disappointed in Browns' QB Watson. He had several chances to lead the Browns' offense down the field in the late stages of last Monday's game vs Pittsburgh and came up empty. His pocket presence and ability to escape a rush have diminished considerably. And it's not going to get easier without the heart of the offense - RB Chubb (IR). Titans possess a strong run stop unit and Vrabel does a nice job with defensive game plans. On the other hand, Titans getting good work out of rookie RB Spears. Tannehill big improvement last week from Week 1. Browns on a short week with some injury concerns. Stefanski just 1-6 ATS as a favorite off a SU loss vs an opponent off a SU win. Browns 0-4 ATS before taking on Baltimore. Tennessee the call. 

Bills/Commanders 1:00: Respect Washington and Rivera who are 2-0. But Arizona and Denver are not at the same level as Buffalo. And Bills are a sweet 10-2 ATS vs an undefeated opponent in the first quarter of the season (Games 1 through 4). And McDermott is 6-0 ATS after scoring 35+. He's also 7-1 ATS vs non division opponent off a SU dog win. Sack happy Washington (7 sacks) should give up some explosive plays to Josh Allen and company here. On the other hand, Sam Howell meets his toughest defense. Rivera just 1-7 ATS as a .500 or greater dog. Buffalo the call. 

Jets/Patriots 1:00: Jets have lost 14 straight times to the Patriots. Patriots' defense, despite the thinning secondary, should continue to give Zach Wilson problems. Patriots have the flexibility to shuffle defensive backs. They'll use #1 draft pick Gonzalez, who is coming off a great game vs Miami to match up on dangerous Jets' receiver Wilson. Offensively, Mac Jones showing improvement under retreaded OC Bill O'Brien. Belichick 13-2 ATS off a SU loss vs a foe with revenge. Saleh just 3-10 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off a SU loss. 

Ohio State/ND 7:30: Last season, in Freeman's first game as HC, the Irish went into Ohio Stadium and played Stroud and company tough in a 21-10 loss but cover (+17). Tonight, the Buckeyes, with a QB (McCord) who has just 5 starts, will go into the frenzied South Bend Notre Dame Stadium against a Top 10 defense. It's one thing to drop 318 on a Western Kentucky, but against the #9 Irish, should be a different story. On the other hand, Irish QB Sam Hartman will make his 49th career start. Of course, he's got his work cut out for him against the #2 scoring defense in the nation. Hartman has been well schooled over the course of his career (Wake Forest) and should be up to the task. He's got a solid surrounding cast including a serious run game with Estime and explosive play WR weaponry with Merriweather and Tyree. When the Irish outgain their opponent, they usually win as their 44-0 SU record in that role indicates. Irish the call.  

Ole Miss/Alabama 3:30: Nick Saban has had tremendous success reloading coaching staffs and NFL drafted players. He did claim the #1 recruiting class for 2023; however, this coaching staff and player group is not gelling yet. A lot of miscommunication on the sidelines during Texas game between DC Steele and defensive backs coach Robinson. Moreover, QB play has been shaky at best under new OC Rees. Saban's going back to Jalen Milroe who threw 2 INTs vs Texas. Buchner and Simpson are not ready yet. On the other hand, Ole Miss has the continuity in the program to succeed here. They've been scratching at the door for a few years including a 30-24 (+11) loss/cover at home last season. Veteran journeyman QB Dart has developed well in his time with Kiffin. And the Rebels now have a run game that's rolling. Moreover, the defense has improved dramatically over the last few years. A good amount of returning production on a veteran team for the Rebels should give us a cover in Tuscaloosa. 

Maryland/Michigan State 3:30: Michigan State program in tatters as Mel Tucker (suspended) is on his way out and defensive back coach - Harlon Barnett trying to hold the program together. Last week, Washington walked into East Lansing and dropped a 41-7 whitewashing on them. Maryland has very good skill players including QB Taulia Tagovailoa (Tua's little brother) who's having another solid season (67% completions). Michigan State can rush the passer but their strength is also a big weakness. The overly aggressive blitz packages the Spartans dial up result in repeated explosive plays given up; as a matter of fact, they're 99th in the nation vs the pass and 121st in completion % allowed at 67%. Maryland HC Locksley usually strong in early season action and should follow up with win and cover here. 

Florida State/Clemson Noon: Florida State eager to seek revenge against a Clemson team that's had their number. Clemson 5-0 SU/ATS last 5 in series and 3-0 SU/ATS in Death Valley. No doubt, Jordan Travis is a good QB, and I backed him and the 'Noles vs LSU, but he'll face the best defense of the season here. Clemson is a Top 10 defense in a number of categories. On the other hand, Florida State defense yielding - allowing a mediocre Boston College team to run up and down the field on them - barely escaping for the win. Clemson, which I bet against vs Duke, has gotten its offense in rhythm under Garrett Riley over the last few games. QB Klubnik is now ready to step up his game against a top contender. Swinney always dangerous as a dog, including 8-1 ATS after score 35+. Clemson the call.    

Auburn/Texas A&M Noon: Texas A&M underachieved last year despite landing the #1 recruiting class. And the Aggies already disappointed at Miami Fla as a favorite. Today, they're looking to avenge Auburn to whom they lost 13-10. Sure, Aggies have lots a returning production back and nearly all starters back; however, Auburn has an equal amount of returning production and 16 starters from last year's bunch. Moreover, they have a winning head coach in Hugh Freeze running the show. And Freeze is a ridiculous 14-5 ATS as an SEC dog, including 4-1 ATS vs Saban's Crimson Tide. Auburn defense 18th nationally in points allowed. We'll take the points here. 

NC State/Virginia 7:30: Virginia really struggling in Elliot's second year. They rank in the bottom tier in lots of categories both offensively and defensively. NC State, overvalued thus far, should get their first cover here. QB Brennan Armstrong played in 30 games for Virginia before transferring to NC State. And he brought along his OC Anae. Look for Armstrong to slice and dice the Cavaliers' struggling secondary. And Virginia really struggling to generate a pass rush. NC State usually wins and covers when they outgain an opponent as their solid 37-24-1 ATS mark indicates. Wolfpack the call. 

Giants/49ers 8:15: Short week to heal and prep, and SF is in better shape here. SF defense, which allows 15 PPG, has made life complicated for both QBs they faced thus far. Daniel "Not Ready for Prime Time" Jones won't have his entire left side of his offensive line nor Barkley (ankle) to support him. Nick Bosa is salivating at the mouth to record his first sack along a dominant front line. On the other hand, the SF offense is in early season rhythm. They're the #1 rush team in the NFL (5.6 YPC) and Purdy is managing the game just like Shanahan is calling it. Giants' defense in bottom tier in stopping the run and YPP. Giants have been a strong dog over the years but when faced elite teams (Cowboys, Eagles) under Daboll, they struggled. Word of caution: SF has not been good on Thursdays as a .500 or greater team at 1-6 ATS. We'll tread lightly with the 49ers. 

Browns/Steelers 8:15: History not on the side of the Browns tonight. Steelers have won 20 straight games in Pittsburgh on MNF. And the Browns have not won a REGULAR SEASON game in Pittsburgh since October 5, 2003! Browns well aware of that history and are focused. Cleveland's defense was dominant last week vs Cincinnati. Steelers' offense stuck in neutral last week at home vs SF. Offensive line issues still exist as they still can't get Najee Harris going on the ground. And Pickett was under duress for most of the game. Browns' addition of Za'Darius Smith already paying dividends as he lines up opposite of Miles Garrett. Browns' new DC Schwartz already making his mark on a solid improvement at all three levels defensively. On the other hand, Cleveland's bread and butter offensively is the run game with Chubb. Browns will not have 2 Time All Pro OT Conklin (knee) but #4 draft choice from OSU Dawand Jones gets the start. He'll have a tough assignment vs T.J. Watt (3 sacks last week) but Pittsburgh won't have heart of the interior line Cam Heyward (groin) where Browns like to run football. Pittsburgh surely won't be an easy out but like the playmaking ability of QB Watson who seems to be dialed in this season. 

Saints/Panthers 7:15: We'll go with the home dog here. Saints do not have a good history on MNF as a road favorite at 2-4 ATS. And they're also a money burning 1-8 ATS as a .500 or greater team on the MNF road. And surely Dennis Allen is not to be trusted off a SU non-division win at 2-9 ATS. Carolina's defense played well enough to win last week's game. They stalled out the pass and outran the ground heavy Falcons. And RB Jamaal Williams is no Alvin Kamara (susp). Carolina's defense can get after the QB (4 sacks last week). Offensively, Carolina's Bryce Young going through growing pains (2 INTs last week) but he has a good mentor in a good system under Frank Reich. Panthers' run game pretty solid behind Sanders and Hubbard (5.35 YPC). We'll take the points. 

Packers/Falcons 1:00: Last week, Packers didn't miss a beat with Love replacing Rodgers as the starting QB vs the Bears. Packers didn't have vertical threat Watson last week and probably not today either; however, others stepping up to fill receiving void. TE Musgrave (#2 draft choice) had a big game as well as Doubs. Packers could be without RB Jones (hamstring) but Dillon is capable of carrying load. Defensively, liked how Joe Barry's bunch stepped up to stall out the Bears. Atlanta is loaded with offensive playmakers, but offensive line was not that impressive. Carolina shot itself in the foot offensively to open the door for Atlanta. GB more disciplined. GB a sweet 8-0 ATS off a SU division win vs non-division opponent off a SU win. They're also 8-1 ATS as a non-division dog. And Lafleur is a sweet 5-0 ATS as a dog off a double-digit win. Packers the call. 

Bears/Bucs 1:00: Bears laid an egg last week but should bounce back here; after all, Bears have historically been strong as a dog in this price range vs the NFC South at 6-1 ATS. On the other hand, TB is a notoriously pathetic home favorite vs non division opponents in the first quarter of the season at 4-18 ATS. Moreover, they're 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of less than 3 points. And Baker Mayfield is a money burning 9-21-2 ATS in his tenure in the NFL as a favorite, including on an 0-8 ATS run in that role. Bears the call. 

Ravens/Bengals 1:00: Bengals have been notoriously slow starters in the Joe Burrow era. But look for the Bengals to right the ship today; after all, they're catching an injury ravaged Ravens team coming into Cincinnati. Baltimore won't have OT Stanley (knee), C Linderbaum (ankle), RB Dobbins (Achilles), Corner Humphrey (foot) and S Williams (pec). Baltimore does have the "next man up" mentality under Harbaugh but still need to straighten a few things out in their new offensive system. And filling in key positions make it more difficult early. Burrow, who was sluggish last week, has had some huge games vs Baltimore - most notably in 2021 - and we'll look for the Bengals to get it together today. 

Tennessee/Florida 7:00: Good spot for Florida, which is coming off a blowout win in their scrimmage vs FCS lightweight McNeese State. It was confidence builder after dropping their opening day game at #14 Utah. Florida has dominated this series at the Swamp and looking to avenge last year's hard fought 38-33 SU loss at Tennessee. Florida has a stout defense and in good hands offensively with QB Graham Mertz who has played a lot of football. He's completed 74% of his passes this year. Tennessee well coached under Heupel and QB Joe Milton can sling it; however, we'll give the edge to the vengeful Gators. HC Napier is a sweet 17-7 ATS as a dog stemming from his time at Louisiana Lafayette. Roll with the Gators. 

Virginia Tech/Rutgers 3:30: Rutgers boasts a Top 10 defense taking on a VT squad that still has difficulty generated a run game in the 2nd year of Brent Pry's offensive system. Moreover, Hokies' QB Grant Wells, who completed just 53% of his passes so far, is hobbling on a bad ankle. And his top targets Jennings (ankle) and Lane (hamstring) may not play. Rutgers' defense allows just 1.7 YPC and should shut the Hokies pedestrian offense down. Offensively, Rutgers' HC Schiano is old school and likes to wear opponents down with stout defense and a run game with play action. So far so good for the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers is 10-0 ATS after scoring more than 35 points vs an opponent off a SU favorite loss. Rutgers the call. 

Louisville/Indiana Noon: Indiana played Big Ten powerhouse Ohio State tough despite the lopsided 23-3 score (cover +30). Indiana defense is solid Top 20 defense led by linebacker Aaron Casey. Unfortunately, the Hoosiers' offense is not at the same level. The Hoosiers did manage to get untracked vs their crosstown little brother Indiana State in a blowout win. QB Tayven Jackson established himself as the starter with a strong performance. Cardinals' defense is yielding enough to allow Indiana to stay in this game. We'll take the points. 

Army/UTSA 7:00: Two solid programs that are well coached. I will go with the dog here. Army has a difficult offense to prepare for on a short week. And the Black Knights got it rolling last week. The Triple Option spearheaded by versatile QB Bryson Daily was very effective rolling up 525 combined yards vs Delaware State. And Daily was effective passing the ball going 8 of 11 for 3 TDs. The newfound passing threat, mainly to top receiver Alston, is an added dimension that the service academies struggle with. Army is returning 17 starters from last year's bowl winning team. And they're looking for revenge from last year's 41-38 OT barnburner. I like Frank Harris and the Roadrunners, but too many points for a vengeful, getting in rhythm Army team. Take Army.

Vikings/Eagles 8:15: Vikings disappointed as a favorite opening day - losing outright to TB. Their offensive line was shaky - not opening holes for RB Mattison. And QB Cousins was under duress most of the game. Offensively, it will not get easier this week. Vikings won't have C Bradbury (out) and T Darrisaw (ankle) is questionable. They take on one of the best defensive fronts in the NFL. And adding Jalen Carter (#1 draft choice), who showed flashes of dominance last week, to the mix should force Cousins to check down frequently. He does have TE Hockenson who adds a short game dimension to the passing game. And Addison (#1 draft choice) fills the void of Thielen (traded); however, they miss versatile RB Cook (Jets). There is a concern for the Eagles defensively. They're without C Bradberry (concussion) and S Blankenship. Fortunately, Eagles are deep in secondary players as second year C Josh Jobe (Alabama) should fill the void. Last year, Vikings' took away top receiver Jefferson. Slay hasn't lost a step. Offensively, Eagles not happy with second half vs Patriots. Sure, RB Gainwell is out but Andre Swift, who is every bit as good, should carry the load. Vikings' defense not at the level of Patriots. Last year, Eagles accumulated 486 yards on Minnesota in a 24-7 win. Vikings' defense doesn't have the wherewithal to stop A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, versatile QB Hurts, and even TE Goedert who should get involved in the game plan this week. Eagles are a strong 10-1 ATS as a home favorite off a SU win under Sirianni. We'll fly with the Eagles.  

Bills/Jets 8:15: Jets played the Bills tough last season. NY went 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS. Sauce Gardner shut down Diggs as Josh Allen struggled below 200 yards passing in each game. Jets' defense should be even more dominant this season with edge rusher Will McDonald IV (#1 draft pick) added to an already sack happy front. On the other hand, the offense will have a significant boost with Aaron Rodgers running the show. And the run game is bolstered with Dalvin Cook, return of Breece Hall (ACL) and shifty #5 draft pick Abanikanda. Rodgers has a ridiculous amount of weaponry at his disposal to help out Rookie of Year winner - Garrett Wilson. If the offensive line holds up, and with Duane Brown back, I believe it will. Sean McDermott, who appointed himself DC after Frazier departed, will have his hands full tonight. Jets the call. 

Dallas/New York 8:20: Daniel Jones finally emerged as a prime-time player last season. It took a new staff under HC Brian Daboll to do so. Jones is now in a good offensive system with a more experienced offensive line, explosive RB Barkley, and a few new weapons in rookie Hyatt and TE Waller (questionable). Dallas defense is stacked and dangerous but Daboll will be prepared. And defensively, Giants' DC Martindale added a few new pieces to an improving defense. He'll utilize speedy hybrid LB/S Isaiah Simmons better than Arizona did. Cowboys' offense probably will be more conservative under new OC Brian Schottenheimer and McCarthy calling plays. Tonight, like the Giants chances of breaking their dubious 1-11 slide vs Dallas. McCarthy 0-3 SU in openers with Dallas. Giants the call. 

Rams/Seahawks 4:25: Tale of two teams heading in different directions. Rams still trying to put the pieces together after a disastrous 5-12 SU season - worst ever by a defending Super Bowl champion. They did have 15 selections in this year's draft; however, few shined in their sluggish preseason. And Stafford is aging ungracefully, Jalen Ramsey is now in Miami, Bobby Wagner back where he belongs in Seattle, and edge rusher Floyd released. McVay will have to figure out how his revamped offensive line will protect Stafford when Seattle unleashes a hungry defense loaded with talent - especially in the secondary, on him. And not having Cooper Kupp (hamstring) is a major loss. On the offensive end for Seattle, they're feeling good. And they should! Geno Smith is equipped with major arsenal - Metcalf, Lockett, Walker III, and #1 draft pick - Jaxson Smith-Njigba (wrist) who is good to go! And the offensive line is meshing well. Seattle has the fire in the belly early and I'm laying the points. 

Packers/Bears 4:25: Value with the Bears. The #1 rush team in the league last season will have more weapons at Justin Fields disposal. D.J. Moore (via Carolina) was a huge addition, and #1 draft choice OT Darnell Wright and G Nate Davis (free agency) will add to the protection depth. Packers' defense in good hands under DC Barry but the lack of offense should do them in; after all, QB Love won't have vertical threat Watson (out) and Doubs is questionable with a hamstring issue. They'll likely lean on their run game behind Jones and Dillon who ran roughshod over the Bears last year at Lambeau Field for 193 yards. Bears were 31st vs the run last year but addressed those issues in the offseason with good additions along their front seven. We'll look for the Bears to break the dismal 0-8 slide vs their division rival. 

49ers/Steelers 1:00: Steelers took time to gel with Pickett last season. Growing pains in the new offense resulted in a 2-6 start. Then the 7-2 SU stretch run validated the arrival of Pickett as the field general of the future. He's now equipped with an improving offensive line and a really good cast of support players including matchup nightmare George Pickens. Defensively, Steelers bolstered their defense through the draft and in free agency. And I liked what I saw in pre-season with their depth. A healthy T.J. Watt makes the Steelers a dangerous team. 49ers notorious for sluggishness out of the gate in openers under Shanahan at 2-4 SU/1-5 ATS. And Bosa arrived in camp. I'm sure he'll be in shape and do what he does best. Steelers, however, expected him to play and we'll back Pittsburgh here. 

Stanford/USC 10:30: USC a bit expensive here. They've coasted against two lightweights and competition should get tougher here. Stanford actually looked solid at Hawaii on the 1st. QB Ashton Daniels was impressive (25 of 26 for 248 yards/ 2 TDs). He has a good supporting cast of receivers including emerging star TE Yurosek (9 receptions for 138 yards last week). The run game is solid behind an offensive line, which had no scholarship departures, is improved from a year ago. They should be able to move the ball against a USC defense that still has lots of question marks. Defensively, Stanford is not a match for USC explosive offense; however, they held up well vs Hawaii last week - allowing just 5.1 YPP. And lots of those yards came in garbage time after game was decided. Caleb Williams will get his share of yardage, but Stanford defense should limit explosive plays. Stanford HC Troy Taylor a good choice for he's gotten the Cardinal off in the right direction. Take the points.

Texas/Alabama 7:00: Texas played the Crimson Tide tough last year in a 20-19 nailbiter that could have easily gone their way; remember, starting QB Ewers went down with a sprained clavicle in the first quarter. Little used Hudson Card (now at Purdue) came in an did a nice job as the Longhorns accumulated 292 yards passing on the Alabama secondary. And that's without a good run game as superstar Bijan Robinson was stalled out en route to a paltry 2.4 YPC. Alabama coaching retread Kevin Steele now the DC and his secondary is thin with Moore, Key and Henderson laboring. Sarkisian has recruited well (#3 rank) and loaded with returning players. Alabama does have a super new quarterback in versatile Jalen Milroe and, of course, will have talented and speedy receivers. Liked how Texas' DC Kwiatkowski played them last year and he has a great linebacking corps and an athletic secondary. We'll take the points here. 

Texas A&M/Miami U 3:30: Miami Fla blew out Miami Ohio in opening game but that doesn't necessarily mean the "U" is back. Sure, Cristobal had a few rock-solid recruiting classes and a new OC to guide QB Tyler Van Dyke. 'Canes ran for 250 yards in their 38-3 win. But Texas A&M, which beat Miami Fla last year 17-9, has a strong front 7 in good hands under the guidance of DC Durkin. A&M is a mission team this year after capturing the #1 recruiting class last year. Only Kentucky started more freshmen last season. Aggies have 20 returning starters with a crap load of returning production. Moreover, Jimbo Fisher has found his QB in Connor Weigman who threw 5 TD passes last week. Miami Fla has not been good in this spot in recent history: 1-9 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back home games. Aggies, however, are a perfect 6-0 ATS on the road off a non-conference game vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Edge to A&M

Notre Dame/NC State Noon: I chose U Conn (+15') August 31st over NC State and delivered. Today, I'm jumping on NC State as the dog. Doeren's defense disrupted the current ND QB Sam Hartman on this field (Carter-Finley Stadium) when Hartman was running the Wake Forest offense. Hartman was picked six times in those two games in the two WF losses. Wolfpack once again brings another disruptive defense to the field. NC State had an additional day of prep for this one. We'll look for Virginia QB transfer - Armstrong - to get the NC State offense generated enough to cover this one. 

Lions/Chiefs 8:20: This line opened at Detroit +7; I picked it up at +6 on Tuesday. Wednesday, news broke that KC TE Kelce hyperextended his knee; consequently, line dropped to +4'. New that Kelce will try to play; however, KC may take precautions for draining a knee is not best remedy for a long season ahead. Kelce is a big part of what the Chiefs do and surely little used backup TEs Noah Gray and Blake Bell are nowhere near as effective. Mahomes is magical and has Toney, Valdes-Scantling and Skyy Moore - all very good receivers - to go down field with. However, I like what the Lions did in the offseason on bolstering their defense at all levels. Secondary is now a strength with stealing S Gardner-Johnson from Philly. They got C Cam Sutton from Pittsburgh and drafted Alabama's S Brian Branch in 2nd round. In addition, they grabbed Iowa's Jack Campbell at MLB in the 1st round to team up with Barnes and Anzalone on the second level. And the interior is bolstered by #3 draft pick Brodric Martin who is immediately making an impact. And of course, edge rusher Hutchinson (9' sacks last season) is a major force. Offensively, same offensive coordinator - Ben Johnson - did an amazing job developing Goff into a solid QB. He has another weapon added to the arsenal with #1 draft choice RB Jahmyr Gibbs running behind a highly underrated Lions' offensive line. And remember, Chris Jones, who will possibly play Thursday if a deal is struck, hasn't practiced with the team all season. Remember, he accounted for 31 of 55 sacks for them last year! At a technical standpoint, Lions are a miserable selection in openers and early season; after all, they're 0-4-1 past 5 seasons in openers and just 2-14 in Weeks 1 through 9 (2021-22 combined). The team, however, addressed that concern early in training camp and aware they need to get out of the gate strong. We'll back them here. 

Clemson/Duke 8:00: Duke, no longer just a basketball school, as exhibited last year with new HC Mike Elko restoring life in the football program that's been moribund from 2019-21. Elko, whose background was as a defensive coordinator, had his Blue Devils' defense 2nd in the nation in turnover margin. Him and new DC Santucci should be equally strong this season with many returning starters. They'll be facing Cade Klubnik who excites the entire Clemson fanbase as he's coupled with former TCU offensive coordinator - Garrett Riley (yes, same pedigree). He's got good weaponry including RB Shipley. On the other hand, Duke is pretty explosive themselves. Versatile QB Riley Leonard came on the scene last season to lead the Blue Devils to a nine-win season, including a blowout bowl win over UCF. And a major part of that offensive production is back including all seven Duke receivers who caught triple digit numbers from Leonard. Blue Devils have lots of returning production from last year's team and not an easy out. Take the points. 

LSU/Florida State 7:30: One year ago today, Florida State eked out a 24-23 win over LSU. Florida State has a lot of returning production from last year's bowl winning team that finished the year with six straight wins and sported a money making 8-4 ATS mark overall. And well-respected HC Mike Norvell did a solid job surrounding playmaker QB Jayden Daniels with quality athletes and a much-anticipated improved offensive line. LSU, on the other hand, in hands with Brian Kelly who has the Tigers headed in the right direction; however, a lot of top-notch players from last year's stellar team went on to the NFL; as a matter of fact, LSU second to Georgia in terms of losing players (10) to the NFL. And although Kelly has a deep backfield, he won't have dazzling RB Emery (out) or star DT Maason Smith (suspended). No doubt, LSU QB Jayden Daniels is a playmaker, but 'Noles' veteran defense with 10 returning starters, should be up to the task. Take the points. 

North Carolina/South Carolina 7:30: Drake Maye getting an inordinate amount of attention heading into this one. Meanwhile, former Heisman frontrunner Spencer Rattler taking a back seat here. And it may work out best for him. Rattler has done the most damage when he's flying under the radar. Just when you think he's not an NFL caliber QB, he comes back strong. He exhibited that late last season vs Tennessee and then at Clemson. And he did well vs Notre Dame. Beamer has recruited well and surrounded him with a good cast of players. Defensively, they'll need to improve. Fortunately, for the Gamecocks, their secondary won't have Tez Walker (denied transfer by NCAA) running rampant through it. On December 20th of 2021, South Carolina hung 536 total yards on North Carolina. There's a lot of explosive play making in this year's version of the Gamecocks. And the Tar Heels' defense has not improved much under DC Chizik. We'll take the points here.

Stanford/Hawaii 11:00: Hawaii a bit more established in their program in the second year under Timmy Chang. He actually did a decent job considering what he had to work with. The former Hawaii record setting QB is on an 8-1 ATS run dating back to last year, including a strong effort at Vanderbilt on August 26th. The Warriors outgained Vanderbilt and were in that game late to win. Chang instituted his run-and-shoot offense and QB Schager is now prepared for his 11th career start. On the other hand, Stanford's HC Troy Taylor has yet to announce a starting QB. Taylor, who turned around a moribund Sacramento State team, is in his first year at Stanford and the cupboard was left bare by the dismissed David Shaw. He'll eventually turn around Stanford but I'm going to give the edge to Hawaii based on what I saw from them last week, and the immediate prep by Chang and his staff, who were scheming all spring on this game. Hawaii the call. 

NC State/U Conn  7:30: U Conn turned in an impressive performance last year under their first year HC Jim Mora. They were a spread darling cashing in on 8 of 11 games. This season, they have a crap load of returning production (#9 in nation) to a team that was embarrassed at NC State last year 41-10. They did, however, cover that game as a 38' road dog. NC State was highly ranked last year but ended up underachieving as they've done for so many years under HC Doeren. They'll no longer have QB Devin Leary (transferred to Kentucky) calling the signals but graduate transfer from Virginia - Brennan Armstrong, who came with his OC Anae, will fill the void nicely. U Conn, however, has been tough in-home openers at 11-3 SU. They too bring in a new QB Joseph Fagnano who put some big numbers up at Maine (5,655 yards 46 TD/12 INTs).  We'll take the points with the home dog in this revenge game. 

Kent State/UCF 7:00: This one should get ugly quick, and I don't project a back door cover late. UCF, in its third season behind respectable coach Gus Malzahn, is stacked with 15 returning starters from a decent 9-5 season, including their versatile QB Rhys Plumlee. Not only that, but Malzahn was strong in hitting the transfer portal in the offseason, acquiring 19 players from Power Five conferences. On the other hand, Kent State lost a crap load of players and coaches. The Flashes lost 18 players in the transfer portal, including their QB Schlee and their 1,300 yard rusher Cooper. They have just 1 returning starter on the offensive end and are in the bottom tier of the NCAA in recruiting for this year. Needless to say, first year head coach Burns, will have his work cut out for him this season. Lay the wood. 

Texans/Saints 8:00: So far, Saints look respectable going into the season; after all, they're 2-0 SU and have shown some good work on both sides of the ball. Tonight, we'll fade them though. Carr will likely sit leaving Winston as the starter. Problem with the Saints is their run game (2.7 YPC in pre-season). Texans have very good young talent across the board defensively and should disrupt the Saints' offense at some point in this game. Saints will close with Jake Haener who at some time in the future will be a starter in the NFL. But tonight, limited weaponry late in the game to work with gives edge to Houston. Texans will likely start Stroud again for Houston is the only NFL team not to name starting QB. He should be at his best early with good talent to work with. Mills, who started last year, will surely be competitive in his time in the game. And we could even see veteran journeyman Case Keenum - who has been in some big games in his tenure. Texans are 8-3 ATS as a pre-season road dog and we'll jump on them here. 

Ravens/Buccaneers 7:00: TB has been a miserable pre-season home favorite at 2-12 ATS. They're coming off a satisfying win over the Jets last week. Baker Mayfield will get the starting nod at QB this season and for this game. That doesn't bode well for the Bucs. Mayfield is a money burning 9-21-2 ATS as a favorite in the NFL, including 0-8 ATS in the last 8. Trask, his backup, surely doesn't install fear in opposing defenses. Look for the Ravens' aggressive defense to improve this week after a poor outing last week. Offensively, Ravens looked good last week with Josh Johnson and Anthony Brown as they got more comfortable running the offense. Look for Baltimore to regain their leverage as a top pre-season team tonight. 

Chargers/49ers 10:00: In final tune up before regular season, 49ers' HC Shanahan adamant that he'll play his starters. But I don't think for too long. He surely has the depth at QB with Purdy, Darnold and Lance - mop up duty. Offensive line though, questionable at this stage of the game for they've unleashed RBs Mason, Davis-Price and McNichols for just 3.5 YPC. Surely, McCaffery or Deebo Samuel won't see action. Chargers' young defensive rookies Henley and Tuipulotu leading the charge in players striving for a spot on the 53 man roster. Offensively, Herbert could see little or no action. I like Easton Stick, who went the distance last week. He was shaky but should bounce back strong here. He surely won't have Nick Bosa (contract holdout) chasing him down. And depth of SF defensive front drops precipitously outside of their top 4. Chargers have an immensely talented receiving corps, including TCU rookies Quentin Johnston (#!) and Derius Davis (#4). Chargers always play better on the road (pre-season and regular season) while SF struggles as home chalk. We'll look for the Chargers to hang around. 

Patriots/Titans 8:15: Patriots 0-6 ATS as pre-season road chalk. I'll stay off NE here on account of their offensive line struggles. Starting guards Strange and Onwenu have missed a majority of camp, and Patriots still uncertain on RT. With the shuffling of the line and defensive secondary issues, I'll take the home dog here. Titans' QB Willis may get a majority of the snaps again for Levis (leg) still not at full strength. Willis did a solid job in Week 2 and he's got a good supporting cast with a deep backfield. Rookie Spears (57 yards on 7 carries) and Chestnut (98 on 13 carries) are surely helping Willis acclimate to the NFL. And hats off to the Titans' offensive line, which is much healthier this year. Patriots' run-stop-unit allowed the Packers to rush for 119 yards on 29 carries and a TD last week. Belichick will go deep into his bench to find potential dudes who can play. Tennessee's defense much healthier this year and seems to have depth on the defensive front this year. Not a fan of Patriots' McSorley - probably cut after today. Cunningham, however, more dangerous with legs than with arm. We'll give edge to Tennessee, which is 9-2 ATS as a pre-season dog vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win. 

Analysis to follow....

Saints/Chargers 7:05: I was all over the Chargers last week as a dog vs the Rams. Chargers delivered big - 34-17. Tonight, I'm fading them. Chargers 0-5 ATS as a preseason home team after a double-digit SU win. We certainly won't see Herbert for any extended period. I do like Easton Stick, who should solidify the backup spot this year; however, Max Duggan (#7 draft pick) needs work and he's not to be trusted even late in the game vs a deep Saints' secondary. On the other hand, Carr, who's having a great pre-season, should see a series or two. He is surely surrounded by skill talent (Olave, Michael Thomas) this year; moreover, guys like rookie A.T. Perry (#6) and Bryan Edwards could make some noise late. QB rotation will run to veteran Jameis Winston and I'm comfortable with #4 draft pick Jake Haener who has Drew Brees-like skill. Saints the call... There's a chance this game may be suspended (Hurricane Hilary). 

Broncos/49ers 8:30: Broncos have high expectations going into this year with Sean Payton running the show; however, a bit overrated at this point. They were limited in the draft because of the large extent of what they had given up in acquiring Russell Wilson. And we know how that turned out. A complete turnaround from a disastrous 5-12 season with limited talent is a stretch. And the Broncos have been hit with injuries across the board in training camp. 49ers feeling the effects of injuries too, and not having Nick Bosa signed yet is a concern; however, 49ers infrastructure in place unlike Denver. And I feel comfortable with veteran signal caller Sam Darnold seeing a lot of action here. 49ers are 5-1 ATS as pre-season dogs off SU favorite loss. Take the points. 

Patriots/Packers 8:00: Patriots have a history of being dangerous as a pre-season road dog at 8-2 ATS. Belichick should have his defense prepped to handle a Packers' team that hung 36 on Cincinnati last week. It should be noted that the Packers are a money burning 1-6 ATS at home after scoring more than 35 points in a pre-season game. Patriots' offense starting to gel under O'Brien as exhibited in joint practice sessions this week. The practice sessions were chippy (7 fights) as Green Bay looked good Wednesday, but New England came on strong Thursday with a strong performance on both sides of the ball. I like the late editions of Patriots QB rotation with Zappe and versatile rookie Malik Cunningham. Not as keen on Packers' Clifford and McGough. We'll look for the Patriots to get it done here. 

Bills/Steelers 6:30: Steelers still have a bad taste in their mouth from the 38-3 onslaught last October. Since then, Steelers have refined in a number of areas, including their offensive line and defensive secondary. Experience and through the draft have bolstered the Steelers back into contention this season. Starters on both sides should see time. Like the Steelers' depth which should factor in late in the game. 

Panthers/Giants 7:00: Panthers' offense lethargic last week as the offensive line nearly got their future franchise QB Bryce Young killed. And Andy Dalton (back) likely won't play again today. That leaves mediocre Corral and Luton as the options for the rest of game. Giants' defense not as well rounded as the Jets' defense but they have guys who can get the QB. Thibodeaux, Ojulari could see some field time early to wreak more havoc on Young. Panthers need to fill that right guard spot -vacated by injury to Corbett (Week 4 target date). Giants not great in the linebacking corps but surely Okereke who came over from Indy will help tremendously. Giants' secondary has some young talent (S Pinnock) that looks to gel early. On the other hand, QB Daniel Jones will see a few series and he has some young receivers making noise. Speedy #3 draft pick - Jalin Hyatt looks impressive and TE Waller (from Las Vegas) finally healthy! Look for Giants' offense to start getting it rolling in the 2nd season in the Daboll/Kafka system. And backup Tyrod Taylor - capable former starter in league, should guide some late drives. Too many injuries across the board early for Carolina to overcome. Giants the call. 

Browns/Eagles 7:30: Eagles are unquestionably one of the, if not the, most talented teams in the league. The problem is new DC Sean Desai preparing his men, after 13 practices, to play as a synchronized unit - like they did under Gannon (Falcons) last season. Eagles also had arguably the best defensive mind in modern day football -Vic Fangio (Dolphins) in the booth as a consultant. Browns' offense will start dynamic rookie Thompson-Robinson who tore it up in the Hall of Fame game for us. He's versatile and has a good supporting cast, including #3 pick Cedric Tillman who will be a solid fit in the receiving rotation for Cleveland immediately. On the other hand, Browns' DC Schwartz has already gotten the defense to tighten vs the run - a weakness last year under Woods (Saints); however, secondary issues remain. Nevertheless, not confident in Mariota, Book or Mckee putting together sustained drives vs the hustling and aggressive Browns' defense. We'll take the points here. 

49ers/Raiders 4:00 pm: These teams met in the regular season last year in Las Vegas on New Year's Day. 49ers were 10-point favorites but the Raiders put up a great fight before falling in OT. Raiders new QB Garoppolo is a savvy veteran who finally is getting traction in practice. He looked good in the final practice before today's game. He won't have Adams (minor leg injury), but new acquisition Meyers looking good. And Raiders have a pair of big target TE's with newly acquired Austin Hooper and #2 draft pick Michael Mayer from ND. Again, value added to Raiders without Josh Jacobs (holdout), but Zamir White is not a huge drop off in production behind an improving Raiders' offensive line. SF won't have Bosa (hold out) disrupting the QB either. On the defensive side of the ball, Raiders' defense showing good intensity and hustle in practice. Spillane (from Steelers) is a great addition at Mike. And the secondary is starting to gel. Raiders can hang here. 

Chargers/Rams 9:00: Chargers a bit further along in their progression on both sides of the ball. Rams still reshuffling offensive line; moreover, QB Bennett will have to prove he can throw from the pocket successfully in the NFL. He'll have his work cut out for him against some pretty good defensive line rushers, including #2 draft choice - DE Tuli Tuipulotu from USC. On the other hand, like the receiving weapons added to the Chargers this season for Herbert. #1 Quentin Johnston and #4 Derius Davis - both from TCU - should translate to the big league well. Of course, Herbert won't play but I like #2 Easton Stick - who played well last year in pre-season. And mop up duty goes to TCU's #7 Max Duggan who is versatile and surely comfortable throwing to his alum mates. Chargers the call. 

Jets/Panthers 4:00: Jets have a game under their belt. They got off to a good start in the Hall of Fame game but failed down the stretch. I can assure you the message from Saleh to his team will be to "finish." Defensive breakdowns were uncharacteristic of the Jets last week. Look for them to have more discipline in secondary this time around. Carolina's Bryce Young is the focal point of this week. He looked sharp vs the Jets in Wednesday's scrimmage. Jets have enough defensive talent to stall him out early. Andy Dalton is solidified as the backup to Young. Matt Corral is the guy who should see most of the snaps and the jury is still out on him. At the same time, Zach Wilson will need to step up to give reason for the Jets to invest in the future with him. He made some good throws last week vs Cleveland. Look for him to build on that with the plethora of offensive weapons he's surrounded by. Carolina is breaking in a new DC Ejiro Ever. He's changing the base from a 4-3 to 3-4 which takes time to do. There should be enough breakdowns for the Jets' Wilson and mop up man - Boyle to take advantage of. Jets 8-2 ATS as a less than .500 pre-season dog. Take the points. 

Steelers/Bucs 7:00: Steelers have historically played well in Tampa Bay at 5-2 ATS. It will be a sizzling 90 degrees with humidity. Tomlin usually has his men well-conditioned for these games; moreover, he'll most likely rotate in lots of bodies, including starters. QBs Pickett, Trubisky, Rudolph and even Tanner Morgan should see action. Some Steelers' youth is showing promise in scrimmages, including the likes of DB Kenny Robinson - defensively and T Broderick Jones - offensively. TB didn't have a running game last year (76.9 YPG) and did little to change that in the off-season. That will put pressure on Mayfield and Trask through the air. Mike Evans is great but the load is too heavy to carry the team here. I don't see it starting well for TB here. Steelers the call. 

Texans/Patriots 7:00: Value with Patriots tonight. Pre-season hype on Houston with a loaded draft (Stroud, Anderson Jr.) and new HC Demeco Ryans coming off a sensational stint as the DC of SF. Not buying into it as OC Slowik (ex-49er) has to rebuild a poorly designed offense. He eventually will but with limited practices under his belt, he won't work miracles here, especially after already losing a few linemen (C Quessenberry (ACL), RT Howard - hand). Belichick still has a grasp on defense that no other coach can emulate. Him and Kraft stocked up on defensive backs through the draft and grabbed a pretty good edge rusher at #2 in Keion White from Georgia Tech.  Offensively, Patriots got an upgrade on OC bringing back O'Brien. He has a great relationship with Mac Jones during their Alabama stint. But the stars today could be Zappe, who showed promise last year as a starter, and undrafted free agent - Malik Cunningham - dual threat out of Louisville. They've upgraded their receiving corps - deepest it's been in years. Patriots have never lost to the Texans at Gillette Stadium and I'm taking the points here. 

Analysis to follow...

Celtics/Heat 8:30: Pressure now back on Miami to close out the series; if not, back to Boston for Game 7. Gabe Vincent (ankle) was a huge part of their playoff run and his absence was notable for Game 5. He's listed as questionable and should be good to go. Need Butler to step up his usual strong playoff performance after back-to-back sluggish games. Celtics were sizzling from the perimeter in Game 5. Look for those percentages to flatten out as the Heat lock in and deliver here. 

Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heat have been a scrappy bunch throughout the playoffs. A rare sloppy performance on Tuesday should get their attention tonight. Heat realize they need to turn it up a few notches to take away confidence that was restored to Boston in Game 4. Heat 10-3 ATS on 1 day rest and covered 5 of their last 6 road tilts. They're also 4-1 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of their last 5 in Boston. Miami has the underdog mentality and, although not nearly as talented as their competitor, have the Pit Bull fight in them that should enable them to cover here. Shots that weren't falling in Game 4 should fall tonight. Miami the call. 

Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers, despite down 3-0 SU in series, have been competitive in the process at 2-1 ATS. Lakers have a few veteran champions on the team in James and Davis along with some hungry up and comers in Reaves, Hachimura, Schroder and Walker IV who are playing well and looking for much bigger contracts next year; therefore, don't see them waving the white flag like the Celtics did yesterday. Lakers have been especially tough off a SU loss of 10+ at 7-0 ATS. We'll grab them here. 

Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Lakers feel good about themselves after 4th quarter comeback. Rui Hachimura was instrumental in helping to shut down Jokic. He was the primary defender on the two time MVP while A.D. roamed the paint only to chip off late to disrupt the big man going to the basket. It isn't the first time that the Nuggets have seen that look. It happened several times during the regular season and vs Minnesota. Denver will surely adjust when they see that look as the skilled big man will find roaming Gordon or kick it out to Porter, Brown or Murray. Denver has the ability to turn it up several notches with explosive play. Lakers had trouble with the pick and roll on Murray. And the Nuggets are getting good work out of supporting cast players. Nuggets deliver. 

Heat/Celtics 8:30: Celtics' Tatum was unstoppable Sunday in Game 7; however, there has been a level of inconsistency from Tatum and Boston this year. With the Celtics coming off that emotional Game 7 win, look for well rested Miami to give the Celtics trouble in Boston. Heat are 13-5 ATS in Boston. And now that post-season superstar Butler had a few days extra to rest his injured ankle, look for him to shine. Miami the call. 

Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Home team has gotten the best of this season series - splitting 4 games. I do realize that the Lakers have been entirely reconfigured since that January 9th 122-109 win in Denver. Lakers have a strong bench which proved to be a big asset thus far in the playoffs. Interesting matchup with Anthony Davis vs Jokic. Jokic has yet to be stopped in postseason and this will be perhaps his most challenging adversary. Jokic has a solid supporting cast that is on the same page. Gordon, Porter Jr. and former Laker - Caldwell- Pope have been strong, and the X Factor this season is Murray. He's the missing piece which should carry Denver in Game 1. Both teams are strong on 3 days rest - a combined 8-1 ATS, but Denver is a sweet 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. Edge to Denver tonight as they deliver. 

76ers/Celtics 3:30: Not a Doc Rivers' fan, for he's flopped in many a Game 7 including never winning one on the road; however, 76ers have a fighter's chance here. They had time to improve their spacing and get Harden to work more efficiently with Embiid. Supporting cast is there with Maxey and Tucker, but Harris needs to step up his game. Sixers have won a few at Boston and are respectable 7-3 ATS off a loss. Celtics have been inconsistent off wins (1-4 ATS). We'll look for Sixers to hang tight. 

Nuggets/Suns 8:00: Suns Booker shot the lights out Friday night and Durant practically lived at the free throw line. Ayton was a dud and the other surrounding cast was mediocre. Nuggets came back strong from a double-digit halftime deficit. They're getting consistent outstanding production from Jokic and his sidekick - Murray - finds ways to pick up his game. Porter Jr. playing well. Other supporting cast members Gordon and Caldwell-Pope, who had been playing well prior to Friday, should be the difference makers tonight. HC Malone should make the right defensive adjustment on Booker. Denver the call. 

Nuggets/Suns 10:00: Chris Paul (groin) was starting to find his shot around the foul line when he pulled up with the injury; consequently, Denver took over the game. Sure, Booker and Durant can take over a game, and Payne is a viable backup point guard. But Jokic is dominating Ayton, and Murray, who was out of rhythm a bit in Game 2, should turn it up a notch here. Denver has solid contributions from Gordon and Caldwell-Pope. Porter Jr. is overdue to step up his game here too. Denver has covered 5 straight in this series and I'll take the points here. 

Lakers/Warriors 9:00: Scheduling advantage to the Lakers in Game 1, and as I thought, an outright win. Game 2 a different story. Only one day rest and don't expect Anthony Davis to play 44 hard minutes like he did in Game 1. Golden State will surely bounce back in this game. Green should stay out of foul trouble while Looney and Wiggins continue to hit the boards. And Curry and Thompson should go off. Warriors the call. 

Lakers/Warriors 10:00: Lakers have the scheduling advantage here. They've had three full days rest and that goes a long way for veterans James and Davis. As for GS, they've just come off an emotional Game 7 win over Sacramento. Quick turnaround for the Warriors as they only had a full day of rest to charge back up. Lakers covered 5 of the last 7 in this series. Edge to LA in Game 1

Heat/Knicks 7:30: Heat took control of Game 1 late but paid the price when Butler twisted ankle. He's a big time playoff player and tough as nails so I wouldn't be surprised if he gave it a go tonight; however, he may not have the mobility to close out late on a very good Knicks' defense. Look for the well coached Knicks to make the adjustment. And Brunson is a legitimate superstar who went 0-7 from 3 point range in Game 1. He'll make up for that tonight. Knicks the call. 

Suns/Nuggets 8:30: As much as I like the Nuggets, value with Suns in Game 1. Phoenix did not look sharp vs undermanned Clippers but found ways of executing down the stretch. Suns are 6-1 ATS on Saturdays and 10-4-1 ATS on 3+ days rest. Suns have practiced up in in high altitude area of Colorado for this one so should have their wind and legs. Nuggets do have a history of getting out of the gate strong in playoffs and 0-4 ATS in Conference Semfinals and just 4-10 ATS on Saturdays. We'll grab the points tonight

Celtics/Hawks 8:30: Celtics find themselves pressured here to prevent a Game 7 back in Boston, where they just lost. And the Hawks won without suspended key cog - Murray, who is back in action today. Coach Snyder was forced to use Trae Young for 44 minutes in Game 5 to keep the Hawks in it. And fortunately for Atlanta, they got good work out of Bogdanovic, Collins and Hunter. With Murray, Hawks should be able to stay in it tonight.