4*Washington +8.5

5*NY Giants +7.5

5*Washington +1.5

10*Tennessee Titans +6

The Carolina Panthers will be playing its first road game in just about 1 month after defeating the Packers, Colts, Eagles, and the Seahawks in successive weeks. Very tough especially later in the season. The Steelers were in this very same role last year and lost to the Jets, 20-13 as 4-point road chalk. The Titans have a sneaky good defense, allowing 21 fewer yards per game than the Panthers and their special teams is ranked five spots (23rd) higher than Carolina (28th). Mike Mularkey will bring something new on offense in his second game as interim head coach so the Panthers don't really know what to expect. Dorial Green Beckham is a rising star and I like his matchup against the Panthers' secondary. Jonathon Stewart is questionable and even if Stewart does play he won't be at 100%. Carolina has some injury issues on the offensive line as well. Finally, the Titans have lost their last four home games and are pumped-up for this game. Take the home dog in this classic overlay. 

4*Tampa Bay +3

5*Pittsburgh Steelers -4

The Steelers held the Bengals to a season-low 296 yards in last week's home loss. I like the Steelers here at home with the Raiders flying cross country to play an early 1:00 PM E (10:00 AM Body Clock) game. DeAngelo Williams is a capable replacement at running back and I expect the Steelers to roll in this one. Look for the Steelers to push the pace on offense early and often.

4*Washington +14.5

5*Dallas Cowboys +6

The Cowboys offense is much better with Cassel under Center and I believe they match-up well with the Seahawks. Seattle has the worst offensive line in the league, allowing 31 sacks already while the Cowboys have allowed just 12. Dallas defeated the Seahawks in Seattle as 10-point underdogs last season. Dallas outgained the Giants 460-289 in last week's loss. This line is out of whack so take the home team in this overlay. 

4*Oakland Raiders +3

5*Chicago Bears +1

The Bears have a sneaky good defense holding four opponents to season-low yards this season. The Bears own the better offensive line by a wide margin. Minnesota has allowed 19 sacks while the Bears have allowed just 12 sacks this season. John Fox has been highly successful, winning his last seven games immediately after the BYE dating back to when he coached the Carolina Panthers. Fox is 10-3 overall after byes, with his last loss coming in 2007. Chicago has won and covered six out of the last seven meetings at Solider Field. More of the same. 

5*Tennessee +6

I think the Titans' offense will be better with Zack Mettenberger. Lets fade the public and take home underdog in this one. I would not be surprised if the Titans won straight-up, so a little taste on the money line is recommended. NFL Home underdogs coming off a blowout (27 points or more) loss at home are cashing close to 80% if they play at home in their very next game. Tennessee is allowing 313 yards per game, while the Falcons are allowing 369.5 yards per game. I love NFL home underdogs with the better defense. 

4*Indianapolis Colts -4

4*Detroit Lions +2

5*Arizona Cardinals -3 (-125)

It's normally tough for NFL teams to play back-to-back road games on the East Coast. However, Arizona did something a little different. The Cardinals arrived at The Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia on Sunday night after defeating the Lions, a place they will stay through Friday before heading to Pittsburgh for this matchup. The Steelers were outgained in last week's victory. Michael Vick is 5-11 SU against winning teams after a SU win. Short week against an explosive offense. Take the road team!

5*Cleveland Browns +5

This will be Peyton's first cold weather and windy game of the season. I think the Browns will be fired up at home and should be able to score enough points to keep this one close. The Broncos played a physical game against a bitter rival last week. The Broncos are 3-11 ATS as road chalk after facing the Raiders with no rest. Denver's defense is a little "nicked" up this week. Take the underdog in the Dawg pound.

5*Oakland Raiders +6

The Raiders are coming home with a chip on its shoulder and should be pumped up for this rivalry matchup. Denver played a physical game last week against the Vikings last Sunday. Check out this nugget. NFL teams are 0-3 ATS after playing the Vikings this season. The Browns easily covered 7.5 points against the Chargers this past Sunday. Jack Del Rio facing former team. He served as the defensive coordinator for three years before taking the Oakland gig. Oakland enters this game with the higher-rated QB. Carr has a quarterback rating of 97.7, while Manning checks in at 80.7. Oakland has lost seven straight in this series and the line is less than a TD. Seems like a trap. I like the home team to keep it close.

4*Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5

4*Cleveland Browns +7

4*San Francisco 49ers +9.5

4*Cleveland Browns +7.5

5*New York Giants +6

The New York Giants have 10 days to prepare for this game. The Bills have to travel back home after playing the Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium. The Bills are cashing 33% after defeating the Miami Dolphins. Lets fade Tyrod Taylor is his first career game as the betting favorite. This line is too high so take the points in this overlay.

5*St. Louis Rams +1.5

5*Minnesota Vikings -1 (-125)

10*Philadelphia Eagles +2.5

The Jets are coming off an emotional Monday Night victory at Indianapolis in which they accumulated 5 turnovers. With that said, they only scored 20 points. Eric Decker played a big part in the win and he is OUT for this game. The Eagles are 0-2 and have looked awful on both sides of the ball. Nobody is giving them a chance to win this game. In the NFL, no team is as bad or as good as they looked the week before. The Eagles are in desperate mode facing the Jets off a short week. Talent wise, the Eagles and Jets are pretty equal. Take the road dog!

4*Chicago Bears +2.5

The Cardinals are tough at home, but will have to work a little harder playing on natural grass. Arizona is just 8-9 SU on the road over the last three seasons. Arizona has a division game next Week against the 49ers. Possible look ahead. NFL home underdogs off a loss, playing their second straight home game with no rest do very well. Take the home dog in this mild upset.

4*Washington Redskins +3.5

Washington was doomed by their special teams in last week's opening week home loss. The front seven played extremely well. The Rams are coming off their upset win at home against Seattle. Teams have performed poor on the road after facing the Seahawks and their physical style.

4*Houston Texans +3

I like when teams change quarterbacks and Ryan Mallett has a very strong arm. I believe the Texans defense can exploit some weaknesses from the Panthers' offensive line. Carolina will be without stud linebacker Luke Kuechly and that should bolster the Texans' run game.

5*NY Giants +6

The Giants should have extra motivation from getting swept in two straight seasons by Dallas. Division underdogs normally do very well in Week one. The Cowboys starters played very little in the preseason. Dallas gets a lot of attention for having an excellent offensive line and they do. You might be surprised to see that Dallas is much better at run-blocking than pass-protection. The Cowboys were ranked 16th in sacks allowed last season and the starting offensive line hardly played together in the preseason. The Underdog in Dallas Cowboy games are cashing nearly 70% over the last four seasons combined. I don't see the Cowboys defense being able to stop the Giants from scoring enough to cover this game. Should be a tight one. Take the Giants in this overlay.

5*Oakland Raiders +3.5

Oakland's first team offense and defense played inspired ball this preseason. The Bengals have to travel a long way and temps are expected to be above normal. The Bengals have struggled in warmer climates early in the season. I think the Raiders are on the right track. I would expect the Raiders to give the city of Oakland a very competitive team this season. It very well could be their last season in Oakland.

5*Jacksonville Jaguars +3

I think the Jaguars are improving on both sides of the ball. They have a lot of talent you've never heard of. Carolina is very thin at WR and they have one of the worst offensive lines. Jacksonville's first team offensive line looked solid in the preseason. Gus Bradley is building something special in Jacksonville. They should be undervalued early in the season. Look for the Jaguars to win their home opener for the 4th consecutive season.

4*New England -103

Nobody is really talking about the health of the Seahawks' secondary. Two key starters will playing at less than 100%. The Seahawks also played one of the easiest schedules in all of football this season. With two weeks to prepare, I expect Belichick and company to install a solid game-plan that will exploit the middle of the field with quick-short type passes. Look for numerous running plays from the spread formation with Vereen and Blount. Seattle's defense struggled against Top-notch Quarterbacks with a great Tight-End. They lost to Dallas, San Diego, and should have lost to Green Bay in the NFC Championship game. Antonio Gates gashed Seattle for 3 touchdowns in the Chargers Week two victory. The Patriots' defense matches up pretty well against Seattle as they can stack the box with eight defenders. No team can stop M. Lynch, but the Pats should be able to contain him enough. New England should have extra motivation after losing their last two Super Bowl affairs.  

5*Colts +7

The Colts come into this matchup with the better offense and defense. New England crushed the Colts earlier this season due to a breakout game by Jonas Grey. I don't see that happening again as the Colts run defense is much improved. The Colts have outgained its foe in three straight games while the Pats have been outgained during that same time frame. Indianapolis is allowing just 222 passing yards per game which is what the Pats like to do. The Colts are 12-5-1 ATS this season. New England played a very physical game last week against Baltimore. Look for a close game either way!

5*Dallas Cowboys +6

I am hearing that Aaron Rodgers injury is more serious than people think and his mobility could be limited. That's a big part of the Packers' offense. The Cowboys should be able to run the ball much better than what they showed against Detroit. Look for a close game decided by 4 points or less.

5*Baltimore Ravens +7

Baltimore won't be intimidated playing at Foxboro. I think the Ravens match-up very well against this NE team. I like underdogs with the better defense in the NFL, especially this time of year. Take the road dog!

4*Baltimore Ravens +4

4*Oakland Raiders +7

4*NY Jets +11

10*Minnesota Vikings +7

The Vikings held the Lions to a season-low 233 yards in last week's two-point loss. Teddy Bridgewater is a Miami native and the team is extremely motivated to finish at .500 this season. Miami has lost the stats in four straight games and they rank in the bottom third in red-zone scoring. The Dolphins don't have any tall red-zone targets and it shows. Minnesota is 10-2 ATS in December over the last three seasons and will bring in the better defense. Miami is 2-5 ATS after playing New England with no rest of late. Take the road dog!

4*Washington +8

4*San Francisco 49ers +10

4*Buffalo Bills +5.5

4*Oakland Raiders +10.5

10*Washington +3

The Rams BYE was back in week four which means they have played nine straight games without rest. This will be the very first cold weather game for the Rams all season and they have not played well when temps are in the 40's. They also have a big revenge game against Arizona this coming Thursday. The Redskins have a +25 net yard differential while the Rams are minus -41. Colt McCoy has a 113.5 QB rating and should be pumped up to give the home fans a win. Take the home team in this upset maker! 

4*Oakland Raiders +7

4*Tennessee Titans +7.5

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +3

5*Minnesota Vikings +10

This game will not look anything like the 42-10 Green Bay shellacking in early October. The Vikings committed three turnovers, including two interceptions by C. Ponder and were outgained by just 21 yards. Double Digit division home underdogs with the better defense do very well this time of year. Teddy Bridgewater should benefit from playing in cold weather last week. Look for more quick-type passes up the middle where the Packers have struggled to defend. There is a 70% chance of rain with a high around 42.

4*Oakland Raiders +7.5

5*Detroit Lions +2

Drew Stanton has never played against a No. 1 ranked defense in his career. He is completing less than 50% of his throws, despite his 2-1 record as a starter this season. Arizona continues to benefit from takeaways and that's tough to maintain in the NFL against winning teams. Both squads are very stingy against the run, so I will take the better passing team on offense and the better team at defending the pass. The Lions should feel right at home playing in a dome. Arizona will be playing its seventh straight game without a week of rest. Take the road underdog in this upset maker.

4*Kansas City Chiefs -1

5*Detroit Lions -2.5

This will be the first dome game for the Dolphins in over 1 year after winning three straight games. They are just 1-3 SU over the last three seasons in a Dome. Detroit is allowing 74 yards against the run while the Dolphins are allowing 104 yards. Both defenses are very good, but I like the fact that Calvin Johnson is returning for the Lions. Detroit has the advantage in red-zone scoring, ranking No. 17 (57.1%) while Dolphins are ranked No. 26 (48.7%). Take the home team with two Weeks to prepare. 

5*NY Jets +6

The Steelers are coming off a very physical game against the Ravens and will now play its first road game in almost a month. The Steelers check in at 1-4 ATS after playing the Ravens, without rest over the last two seasons plus. The Jets have quietly won the stats in their last three games with nothing to show for it. Two key players (Polamalu & Shazier) are OUT and that will weaken the Steelers' defense. Look for Jets press coverage to make the difference. They held Tom Brady to 261 yards in New England. Take the home team in what should be a very close game.

5*New England +3.5

New England has the game circled after getting eliminated from the playoffs by Denver last season. Peyton Manning's arm is not as strong and could struggle with timing in windy conditions. The Patriots defense is No. 1 against the pass. The official forecast calls for windy weather, 21-24 MPH with gusts as high as 40 MPH. Highs in the low 40's with a 30% chance of rain. The weather conditions favor the home team as the Patriots know what to expect. New England is 20-3 SU at home over the last three seasons.

4*NY Jets +10.5

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5

5*New Orleans Saints -1

This is the Super Bowl for the host Saints and they play "lights out" at home. The Packers only loss was in a dome against the Lions. In fact, the Packers are just 3-4 SU in Dome games over the last three seasons. The Saints are 14-4 SU at home over the last three seasons. Green Bay has allowed more yards than gained this season. Look for a big bounce back win from the Saints. 

5*Philadelphia Eagles +3

Chip Kelly is excellent with extra time to prepare and the Eagles offensive line is getting healthier. Arizona relies on takeaways (11) to win games. That is tough to maintain and I believe the Eagles are the better team. Philadelphia is 12-3 SU since the second half of last season.

5*NY Giants +7

Dallas is coming off a physical game and the odds-makers are just begging you to take Dallas. Looks like a trap to me. The Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss. The Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Cowboys are 13-6 SU and 6-13 ATS as home favorites over the last three seasons. The Giants are 7-3 ATS in October over the last three seasons. The Underdog is now 22-5 ATS in the last 27 Cowboy games. Lets ride it to the bank!

5*Kansas City Chiefs +4.5

Andy Reid's teams have been very good after the BYE Week going 13-5 ATS. The Chiefs come into this game knowing the Chargers have swept the season series in two straight seasons. The Chargers have a big game on deck against the Broncos. Lets fade the public and take the road team in this upset maker.

5*Baltimore Ravens -3

The Ravens do a good job of playing much better after a not so good performance. They committed three turnovers in last week's loss against the Colts. The host was outgained by 197 yards in losing to the Saints last Week, and has been outstatted in 10 straight games dating back to last season. NFL Teams that play the Saints are covering just 37% of the time in their very next game, since Sean Payton has been there.

4*Miami Dolphins +3.5

5*St. Louis Rams +7

5*Houston Texans +7

4*San Francisco 49ers -4

5*Baltimore Ravens -3

The home team is 13-6-1 ATS in Baltimore games. I am not sold on Carolina this year as a playoff team. The Ravens are a team on a mission after last year's flop, and they are 5-1 SU against the NFC South of late. Baltimore is even more physical than Pittsburgh, who Carolina had trouble with. I'll take the Ravens at home at minus -3 points or less.

4*Green Bay Packers -1.5

4*NY Giants +1

5*Washington +7

The Eagles became just the fourth team in the past 30 years to win consecutive games in which they trailed by more than 14 points in the second half. I think that will catch up with the Eagles in this game The Eagles have a cluster of problems on the offensive line. The road team is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings. All the wise guys know this system and it's worth repeating. NFC teams playing in the division after winning on Monday Night Football, are just 9-22 ATS in their next game when the line is more than 3.5 points. Take the road dog in this upset maker!

4*Baltimore Ravens -1

5*San Diego Chargers +6

5*Dallas Cowboys +3.5

5*Jacksonville Jags +6

5*Dallas Cowboys +5

There are not many games you will want to back the Cowboys this season. This may be the only one. Both squads have extra time to prepare, and teams have no clue what the Cowboys will do on defense with Rod Marinelli now running the stop unit. No game film to look at yet. Too many points to give an offense that can definitely score in bunches. The defense has a chance to be better than most experts think.

10*Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1

The Carolina Panthers swept Tampa Bay last season.. In fact, these two teams have swept the other in every season since 2009. If I would do an offensive line ranking the Panthers would be last. Tampa would be around 12. Love Smith is an expert defensive coach and will know how to scheme against a very inexperienced offensive line. First home game with new team. New coach's really want to win at home especially in the division. It's a point of emphases. Tampa Bay has tall receivers going up against small DB's. Carolina's defense is not as good as most people believe. Cam is not 100%. I like Tampa bay quite a bit!

4*Miami Dolphins +5.5